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Chapter 7 & 9 (4.1):
Descriptive Statistics
Describes a sample’s characteristics
Descriptive statistics describe the data, but can not make
any conclusions
Inferential Statistics
Used to infer something about the population based on the
sample’s characteristics.
Inferential statistics draw conclusions about the data. Can
determine whether or not one variable causes an effect in
another.
How Inferences Work
1. A claim is made (hypothesis)
2. A sample representative of the population is chosen
3. A test is given, and results are computed and compared
4. A conclusion is reached as to whether the scores are
statistically significant
5. Based on the results of the sample, an inference is made
about the population
Hypothesis
A hypothesis is a statement about the value of a
populationparameter or a population model
We want to decide whether the hypothesis is true or false
It's an educated guess
Translates the problem or research statement into a form
that can be tested
There are two different types of hypothesis
Null Hypothesis
Research (Alternative) Hypothesis
Cations:
Before you make a hypothesis, you have to clearly
identify the question that you are interested in
studying
A hypothesis is not the scientific question
It is an educated testable prediction about what will
happen
It predicts cause and effect
Answering some research questions may require multiple
hypothesis and/or multiple experiments
Creating a hypothesis:
1. Brief and to the point
2. Stated in declarative form rather than a question
3. Defines expected relationship between variables
4. Reflects theory or literature on which it is based
(consistent with data)
5. Testable includes variables that can be measured
Null Hypothesis
Two or more variables are equal to one
another
No effect on the experiment
Written as H 0
Starting point for research
Status quo
Assume it to be true
Benchmark to compare the actual outcomes
Research Hypothesis
Known as alternative or alternate hypothesis
A relationship between two variables
There will be an effect on
the experiment
Can be written as H or H
Can be …
Directional
Direction of
difference is
specific
One-tailed test
Includes a < or > in the numeric statement
Non-Directional
Reflects differences, not direction
specific
Two-tailed test
includes a ≠ in the numeric
statement
3 types of equations
(not equal) = H 1: μ 1/ μ 2
(greater than) H 1: μ 1> μ 2
(less than) H 1: μ 1< μ 2
Rejection Regions
Region of rejection
Represents the values of a
statistic whose combined
probability is low enough that
we could reject H 0
Region of non-rejection
Represents the values whose
probability is not low enough
to allow us to reject H 0
Notes
Significance level is represented by
Alpha = α
Entire Curve - represents all possible outcomes from a null
hypothesis
Low probability
Critical Value(cv) - The point beyond which the
obtained outcomes are judged to be so rare that we
conclude the outcome is not due to chance
If the obtained value is more extreme than
critical value, we reject the null hypothesis
If the obtained value is less extreme than the
critical value, we fail to reject the null
hypothesis
P-Value - Probability of obtaining an effect as
extreme as your test statistic, if the null hypothesis
is true (p < 0.05 (%5))
If the p-value is less than the level of
significance, we reject the null hypothesis
If the p-value is greater than the level of
significance, we fail to reject the null
hypothesis
If p is low, the null most go!
When making conclusions we’ll only or reject fail to
reject the null hypothesis, we’ll never accept the
null
If the p-value is greater than the level of
significance, we will the null fail to reject
hypothesis
If the p-value is less than or equal to the level of
significance, then we the null hypothesis and reject
conclude that the test is statistically significant at
that level of significance
Significance Test
Comparing p-value to significance level
Comparing test statistic to significance level
Statistical Significance
Comparing significance level (alpha) to p-value
Comparing test statistic to critical level
Gives you evidence to reject the null hypothesis
Probability that our findings would occur if the null
hypothesis is true
Clinical Significance
Known also as clinical importance, practical significance,
or meaningful
Is concerned with whether or not the effect seen is enough
to alter practice
This is a matter of judgment
Large effect sizes may indicate clinical significance
Statistical Vs. Clinical Significance
A study can be statistically significant but not very
meaningful
Statistical significance can be interpreted only in terms
of the context in which it occurred
Statistical significance should not be the only goal of
scientific research
Statistical significance is influenced by sample size
The larger the sample, the more likely you will find a
significant result of some kind
Factors:
Sample size
Larger samples make it
more likely that we can
reject H 0
Alpha
The smaller the value
of,the more difficult it
is to reject H 0
Nondirectional hypotheses
have regions of rejection
inboth extremes of the
distribution, and are called
two-tailed
Directional hypotheses
have a region of rejection
only one extreme of the
distribution, and are
called one-tailed
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