10 pages double space financial report

profileboomshakalaka
zzc.doc

Running Head: FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 1

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 3

Financial Analysis

Student’s Name

Institutional Affiliation

Introduction

This form of analysis is widely done using ratio analysis with an aim of looking at whether the organization in question is healthy. The trend lines can be used in the analysis to extrapolate the financial statement into the future. The internal analysis is conducted for the sake of the business, and it is not going to be part of this analysis. The analysis that is conducted in this report gathers information for three different organizations in the Oil and Gas Industry. The companies that will be analyzed include Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Valero Energy Corporation (VCO) and Philips 66 (PSX). The analysis will be conducted using the financial statements of the company whereby the ratios of the company will be created, trend lines will be developed and the comparisons between the firms developed. At the end of the report there will be a report on whether or not to invest in the companies.

Overview of the Companies

a. Marathon Petroleum (MPC)

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) is an American company located in Findlay, Ohio. The company is made up of several other subsidiaries such as Marathon Company LP, MPLX LP and Speedway LLC. The company is considered as one of the largest petroleum products refiners in the United States (Marathon Petroleum (n.d). The company also takes part in marketing and transportation of Petroleum products. It is the largest refiner in the Midwest and the third largest in United States. The operations of the company are set up with a strategy of serving major markets and they are made up of seven plants, extensive wholesale and retail as well as a transportation and terminal system.

b. Valero Energy Corporation (VCO)

The company was named after the mission San Antonio de Valero and is on a mission of being one of the largest independent oil refiner in the United States. The company has a reputation of churning out up to 3 million barrels each day (Reuters, 2017). The company has continued to refine the low-cost residual oil as well as heavy crude oil into cleaner higher margin products such as low sulfur diesel. The company has an extension of refineries in the United States, Aruba and the United Kingdom. The company also has 11 ethanol plants that can combine a capacity of 1.3 billion gallons each year. It was once a diversified company but decided to leave the retail segment and concentrate on ethanol and oil refining operations.

c. Philips 66 (PSX)

Philips 66 (PSX) is an American company located in Texas and the company primarily deals in refining, midstream operations, chemicals, and marketing of specialty and petroleum products. The company is in the business of manufacturing asphalt, gasoline, distillates, jet fuel, petrochemicals and other refined products (Market Realist, 2017). The company started its operations as independent publicly traded company in 2012 away from ConocoPhilips and it has continued to show stability in its operations.

Trend Analysis

It is an analysis model that calculate the percentage change of accounts from one period to another (Godfrey et al., 2010). It is used to analyze the finance of a company for a single period or more. In the case of the three companies, the trend analysis will be conducted for accounts that are related to profitability, debts and equity (Deegan, 2013). The bias in analysis is due to the fact that this financial analysis is concerned with the debt and equity segments of the company.

From the data in the Appendix, of the three companies the one that has shown positive profit between 2015 and 2016 is Valero Energy. The company has a percentage change of 0.01944 while Philips 66 and Marathon Petroleum had negative change of -0.6321 and -0.5884 respectively.

The interest expense is a cost that is incurred by the company while financing long term debts. From the trend data it has been shown that only Marathon Petroleum has not paid interest expense for the past two years. Both Valero Energy and Philip 66 have a positive increase of 0.08 and 0.09 respectively.

A company is considered to be performing well when the assets are on the increase. When the management is provided with more assets from which to derive sales, it is expected that profitability will be assured. From the information provided, Valero has had an increase of 0.09 in terms of assets. It is higher than 0.06 for Philips and 0.03 in Marathon Petroleum.

Every company that seeks to grow the shareholder’s equity strives to cut on the level of liability on its assets. Valero Energy has shown that its liabilities are reducing at -0.0026 while at Marathon Petroleum the liabilities are reducing at -0.0007 which is lower. The case is worse at Philips 66 which seems to have increased its liabilities by up to 0.15.

The shareholder’s equity is the best metric that is used in investment analysis to determine the financial health of the company. It is calculated though subtracting the liabilities from the assets of the company. The data in trend analysis has shown that Philips has the lowest shareholder’s equity where the amount has reduced by -0.03. While the equity has been reducing at Philips, Valero Energy and Marathon Petroleum have increased their numbers by 0.2 and 0.02 respectively.

Ratio Analysis

Financial ratios refer to mathematical comparison that is conducted on the financial statements of the company. The relationship that exist between the accounts in the financial statements help the potential investors and creditors understand the performance of the organization. The ratio analysis is a common and the most widespread tool that is used to determine the financial health of an organization. The use of ratios is advantageous because they are easy to calculate and to understand.

In the case of these report, financial ratios are important in comparing the performance of the three companies in question. The ratios are mathematical comparisons that are done through proportions hence they are critical in conducting financial comparisons. The financial ratio does not take into consideration the size of the company in determining the financial performance. In this report, the ratios will compare the strength and weaknesses of the company and then determine the best option for an investor. Even though there are several categories of financial ratios, in this report the main focus will be in solvency and leverage ratios.

A. Debt Related Ratios

It is also known as financial leverage ratio and it measures the value of equity in a company through analysis of the debt picture. The ratios compare the debt to the assets or the equity of the company in its bid to measure the real equity held in the company. It measures the overall debt load that is on the company when compared to the assets and the equity. It indicates the amount of the company’s asset that is part of the owner’s equity and not the creditors. For the purpose of investment, a less leveraged company is the best option that should be utilized.

The first ratio that calculated as shown under the appendix is debt ratio which is calculated by dividing the total liabilities with the total assets. The information indicates that all the companies have a ratio that is satisfactory. Philips 66 has a ratio of 0.56 and Valero Energy has a ratio of 0.49. The lowest ratio is shown by Marathon Petroleum at 0.1.

The second debt ratio that has been calculated in the appendix is debt to equity ratio. This ratio looks at the relationship between the debt and equity of the company. It is calculated through divided the total liabilities with the total equity in the company. Even though the growth of equity at Marathon is the lowest, the company has maintained low debt in relation to equity since it is the best performing company at 0.52 compared to Philip 66 which has a ratio of 1.3 times the equity. Valero is doing fine at 0.92 which is not idea but better than Philips 66.

B. Equity Related Ratios

Equity ratio is considered as a solvency ratio which determines the amount of asset that are financed by the investments of the owners through comparison of the equity to the assets of the company. This ratio highlights the two concepts which are sustainable business and solvency. It is an indicator of the amount of asset that is held by the equity holders. During the process of winding up the company, the assets of the company will benefit the shareholders.

The data in the appendix has shown that all the companies are struggling against the debts portion in the assets. The only company that can measure the liabilities and equity is Valero Energy at 0.508 which is higher than Marathon Petroleum at 0.3 and Philips at 0.4.

C. Quick Ratio

Quick Ratio is a measure of the ability of the company to pay off its short term debts using the most liquid of its current assets. It is determined through dividing the current assets (less inventory) with the current liabilities. All the companies have shown positive figures but the most ideal data has been shown by Philips 66 which has a ratio of 1. It means that the company does not hold an extra asset that could have been invested elsewhere in its liquid form. Valero Energy has a ratio of 1.33 and Marathon has a ratio of 1.53.

D. P/E Ratio

This is an indicator of what the market is willing to pay on the stock based on its current status. It is calculated by dividing the market price of the shares by the earnings per share. The data indicates that potential investors will be willing to pay more for Marathon Inc. shares at 14.9 followed by Phillips 66 at 13.0 and lastly Valero Energy at 12.1.

Stock Prices

When a company has the desire to raise money it will be better placed to raise more when the share prices are high. The company will be permitted to issue less of the shares to raise the amount of money that they need (Schroeder et al., 2011). When the share prices go down it will mean that they will have to issue more shares for lower amount of money, hence it will lower the value of the existing equity. The higher the number of shareholders the lower the return on equity.

Stock Elements

 

 

 

 

Philips 66

Valero Energy

Marathon Petroleum

Return on Equity

7.83

8.55

5.7

Beta

0.87

0.01

1.68

Diluted EPS

3.34

1.84

1.68

Book Value per Share

43.73

22.32

24.97

 

Source: Yahoo Finance, 2017

From the information above, Philips 66 and Valero Energy are the two companies with the best options that an investor can select from. The return on equity of 8.55 at Valero is the highest meaning that investors are gaining better returns than any other firm. The reason behind the good return on equity numbers is due to the fact that Valero Energy is the most profitable company of the three companies under review.

The company that is good to invest in is determined through determining the risk. An investment risk refers to the probability that there could be losses relative to the expected return of the company. It is the measure of uncertainty level that is associated with making an investment in a particular organization (Cole, 2004). The risk levels are determined through calculating the beta element. From the data above, Marathon Petroleum has a beta of 1.68 which is a swing above the market beta. When the movement of the stock is lesser than that of the market the beta is below one as it is the case for Valero Energy and Philips 66. The higher the beta stock the higher the risk that is associated with the stock of the company. When the beta is low it means that the risk that is associated with a given stock will be lower.

The data that has been given above indicate that an investor will be at a beta place to invest in Valero Energy which has the lowest deviation from the market beta. The beta amount of 0.01 is very low which gives an investor the surety that their investment will not deviate fur from the expected return. It means that one is better off with Valero Shares than any other company that has been analyzed.

Recommendation

From the trend analysis indicates that an investor should consider Valero Energy based on the fact that it has shown positive change in profitability compared to the other two companies. Most investors are concerned with the returns in terms of dividends paid from the profits hence they should invest in Valero Energy. The net interest expense has an effect in the organization profitability since it is charged on the operating income. The amount that is charged on the income reduces the amount of dividend that is earned by the shareholders. It is therefore advisable to invest in Marathon Petroleum considering this aspect.

In terms of the assets, it would be advisable for an investor to invest in Valero Energy which has shown an increase of 0.09 which is the highest among the three companies. Growth in assets mean that the shareholders will be at a better position to gain from the company when the management has decided to wind it up. When the liabilities of a company are growing it means that the shareholder’s position is compromised. The increase in liabilities means that the interest expense will be higher (Potter, 2012). It has been shown that Philips has highest interest expense due to its increase in liabilities. It is not prudent for an investor to invest in Philips due to its high levels of liabilities.

The shareholder’s equity is the most important metric that can be used by an organization in determining the financial health (Watts & Zimmerman, 2010). In the trend data that has been given below has shown that Valero Energy is doing well than the other two companies based on this metric. The shareholder’s equity has improved at Valero by 0.2 and has reduced at Philips by -0.03 and has increased at Marathon by 0.02.

Having conducted the trend analysis above, it is evident that Valero Energy has performed exemplarily in terms of all the financial metrics that have been measured. The financial statement elements that have been used indicate the company’s performance and position in terms of equity and liabilities.

Based on the ratios, the recommendation has to revolve around the equity and debt ratios. The fast ratio that has been shown above is the debt ratio which compares the total asset to the total liability. The data indicates that the best performing company in this category is Philips 66 followed by Valero Energy. The data indicates that when one invests in the assets of the company, a smaller portion will be attributed to debt.

Debt to equity looks at the amount of debt in the company compared to the equity holders of the company. From the data Philips 66 is the worst company to invest in regarding this element of measure. The company has 1.3 times debts compared to equity. The best company to invest in using this measure is Marathon Petroleum at 0.52 times debt to equity. Valero is also another company that can be considered at a ratio of 0.92 which is not ideal but better than Philips.

When a bigger portion of the assets of the company are owned by the debt holders and not the equity holders. The higher the debt holders portion on the assets the higher the interest expenses of the company. The high levels of interest expense mean that the company has to pay less dividends which is not a phenomenon that most investors desire. Of the three companies, Valero is the only company whose equity portion of the assets is higher than the liabilities at 0.508. It would be prudent for the investors to place their capital at Valero since they will be assured of getting higher returns due to low interest expense cutting on the amount of profits earned.

General Conclusion

As an investor, the best option to invest in is Valero Energy. It is company that has shown better financial health from the point of view of profitability, share returns and the risk associated. An investor in most cases is concerned with the risk of investing in a given share. When the risk is low, the investor is assured that the returns will be positive in the long-run. This paper recommends that the best option is to invest in Valero Energy.

References

Barnes, P. (2013). Analysis of Financial Ratios. Review of Articles. Retrieved from http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-5957.1987.tb00106.x/abstract

Khan Academy, (2017). Ratio Review. Retrieved from https://www.khanacademy.org/math/pre-algebra/pre-algebra-ratios-rates/pre-algebra-ratios-intro/a/intro-to-ratios

Market Realist, (2017). Phillips 66 An Overview. Retrieved from http://marketrealist.com/2014/11/phillips-66-overview/

Marathon Petroleum, (n.d). Company Profile. Retrieved from http://www.marathonpetroleum.com/

My Accounting Course, (2017). Financial Ratios. Retrieved from https://www.myaccountingcourse.com/financial-ratios/price-earnings-ratio

Reuters, (2017). Valero Energy Corp. Retrieved from https://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/company-profile/VLO.N

Yahoo Finance, (2017). Philips 66 Financials. Retrieved from https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PSX/balance-sheet?p=PSX

Yahoo Finance, (2017). Valero Energy Financials. Retrieved from https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/VCO/financials?p=VCO

Yahoo Finance, (2017). Marathon Petroleum Financials. Retrieved from https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MPC/financials?p=MPC

Appendixes

Philips 66

image1.emf

Details Philips 66 (PSX)

20162015

Net Income 1,555,0004,227,000-0.6321

Interest Expense338,000310,0000.09032

Total Assets51,653,00048,580,0000.06326

Total Liabilities 29,263,00025,480,0000.14847

Total Equity 22,390,00023,100,000-0.0307

Valero Energy

image2.emf

Details Valero Energy

20162015

Net Income 72,45571,0730.01944

Interest Expense15,38614,1620.08643

Total Assets1,516,6641,386,8010.09364

Total Liabilities 745,954747,921-0.0026

Total Equity 770,709638,8810.20634

Marathon Petroleum

image3.emf

Details Marathon Petroleum

20162015

Net Income 1,174,0002,852,000-0.5884

Interest Expense000

Total Assets44,413,00043,115,0000.03011

Total Liabilities 29,856,00029,878,000-0.0007

Total Equity 13,557,00013,237,0000.02417

Ratio Data

image4.emf

Ratio Analysis

Financial Leverage Ratios 2016

Philips 66Valero Energy Marathon Petroleum

Debt Ratio

Total Liabilities 29,263,000745,9547,146,000

Total Assets51,653,0001,516,66444,413,000

Ratio0.5665305020.4918386670.16089884

Debt to Equity

Total Liabilities29,263,000745,9547,146,000

Total Equity 22,390,000770,70913,557,000

Ratio1.3069673960.9678802250.52710777

Equity Ratio

Total Equity 22,390,000770,70913557000

Total Assets51653000151666444413000

Ratio0.4334694980.5081606740.30524846

image5.emf

Quick Ratio and P/E Ratio

Philips 66Valero EnergyMarathon Petroleum

Quick Ratio

Current Assets-Inventory9530000110910003438000

Current Liabilities94630008,328,0002240000

Ratio1.0070802071.3317723341.534821

P/E Ratio

Market Value Price43.7322.3224.97

Earning Per Share3.341.841.68

Ratio13.0928143712.1304347814.8631

_1571907993.unknown