Evaluate the claim "we can predict who will become a criminal"

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Workshop1-DevelopmentalandBiological.pptx

Criminal Behaviour CRM203

Workshop 1: Developmental

& Biological

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Matters arising

Essay title vs Essay focus

Referencing

Forums (look around you…)

AoB (start messaging in now)

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‹#›

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Workshop Overview

Case study

Perspectives and Approaches

Factors associated with criminal behaviour

How to measure developmental criminal behaviours

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Case Study: John

Childhood (0-10): Generally ‘good’, no signs of truancy, no irregular behaviours, seemed to be social (had friends), enjoyed school, played with siblings (2 brothers)

Youth (10-13): Changes noticed, mostly minor (vandalism and anti-social behaviours) in the neighbourhood, began hanging around with a ‘tough crowd’

Teenage: Progression of crime, stealing from shops, throwing rocks from bridges (at cars passing beneath), began getting into fights

Adult: Continued violence, escalating to fights in local clubs.

Arrested: murder with knife, age 20

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Case Study: John

What questions do you have about John?

What do you need to know?

Is this progression typical?

Could it be stopped?

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Why study developmental risk factors?

The study of developmental risk factors offers potential strategies for early intervention.

One of the frustrating aspects of criminology generally is that most of our data is correlational

This means that we have limited cause and effect data.

For instance, how can you prove poor parenting causes crime? How can you show the effects of peer group on crime?

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Cumulative Risk Model

NOTE: Systems Approach

A number of risk factors build towards a criminal career development

Predicts negative emotional and mental health outcomes

Focus on harmful environmental, psychological, and social influences

Emphasises identification of children confronted by multiple risk factors as priority for intervention

Age (life history)

Number of risks

As risks increase across life so does the chance of being a criminal… (but is it additive?)

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Developmental Cascade Model

NOTE: Systems Approach (again)

AKA ‘Dynamic Cascade Model’

Interactive approach – between risk factors

Also, individual differences taken into account

Factor A

Factor B

Factor C

Crime

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This is ‘standard’ Psychology -and is not very good… at all!

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What are the ‘factors’

Multiple (more than listed here)

Broadly: Social, Familial/parenting, Psychological

REMEMBER: they interact

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Social I: SES

Socio-Economic Status (SES)

Poverty and crime = closely correlated (especially violent crime)

BUT, this is correlational

The overwhelming majority of low SES are not offenders

What does this mean?

How do poverty and crime interact?

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Social II: Peer Rejection

Not all peer rejection is a risk factor (i.e., Individuals with ASD –heightened peer rejection, but decreased risk of crime)

Peer rejection based on aggression appears to be a significant risk factor

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Social III: Anti-Social Peers

Social Learning Theory – plus conformity, influence, and later indoctrination/radicalisation

Can stem from rejection – rejected individuals group together…

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Social IV: School Problems

In addition to the bullying issues, truancy, failure, being held back, and poor reading skills (i.e., academic failure) are predictors

Note the importance here of parenting

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Social IV: School Problems

In addition to the bullying issues, truancy, failure, being held back, and poor reading skills (i.e., academic failure) are predictors

Note the importance here of parenting

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Familial / Parenting

Family variables are consistently found to be predictors

Parenting including poor supervision/ monitoring; erratic, non-contingent; harsh rejection; low involvement; punitive discipline without reasoning.

Other factors include disruption, criminality, size. Strong link between family violence and subsequent violence

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Familial / Parenting

Family dysfunction is a very stable and strong predictor. Includes criminality, family violence, alcohol and other drug (AOD) problems, abuse and neglect

Other factors include disruption and family size.

Strong link between family violence and subsequent violence

Adverse childhood experiences are also risk factors and are essentially familial

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Adverse Childhood Experiences

ACEs are associated with a wide range of health and well-being problems including criminal behaviour

Physical abuse

Sexual abuse

Emotional abuse

Physical neglect

Emotional neglect

Intimate partner violence

Mother treated violently

Substance misuse within household

Household mental illness

Parental separation or divorce

Incarcerated household member ….

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Psychological

In addition to the social and familial factors intra-individual factors have also been identified

Attachment is a factor but with the caveat that it is likely that it is not directly linked but operates through other factors

Multiple Psychological Factors

Empathy

Developmental Disorders

Intelligence

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Psychological: Empathy

Empathy is a problematic concept

Entails emotional and cognitive empathy

Absence of emotional empathy seems to be a risk factor

Links to animal cruelty…

Again, operates through other variables

BEWARE: talking about ‘psychopathy’ (in relation to empathy)…

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Psychological: Developmental disorders

Hyperactivity, impulsivity, attention deficit is a predictor

As you will note, impulsivity is one of the major personality characteristics of Life Course Persistent (LCP) criminals

It is likely to be in part a biological/genetic predisposition compounded by environmental circumstances

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Psychological: Intelligence

Low intelligence is predictive.

May be due to subsequent school failure & lack of attainment & isolation that is, a socialisation process.

Alternatively, may be related to poor abstract reasoning (necessary for impulse control, consequential thinking, planning & possibly empathy)

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Bartol & Bartol: Table 2-3

Social Parental/Familial Psychological
Poverty Single-parent household Lack of empathy
Early peer rejection Permissive or lax parenting Attachment disorder
Association with anti-social peers Minimal parental monitoring Animal cruelty
Inadequate pre-school child care Parental psychopathology Cognitive / Language deficits
Inadequate after-school child care Abuse Low IQ
Academic Failure Domestic violence / substance abuse ADHD etc.
Anti-social siblings

Beware biological issues (see next week!)

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HINT: this is a good chance to ask me anything

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How do we measure development?

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Longitudinal studies

Longitudinal research is also known as the criminal careers approach.

Tries to link human development sequences to the development of criminal behaviour. 

Tries to find predictors or behaviours which might predict criminal behaviour. These behaviours might be criminal, anti-social or neither.

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Criminal Careers

We now understand that there are different factors which operate on:

Onset

Persistence

Escalation

Desistance

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Life Course Persistent

The longitudinal research has demonstrated that criminal conduct is evident in early life, that these individuals account for a substantial amount of crime, that they have a long criminal career and that there are very few late entrants

These individuals have been described as LCP as opposed to the Adolescent Limited offenders who will stop offending after early adulthood.

We are interested in the LCP offenders

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New methods for measuring life course / history of criminals

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Crime Script Analysis

Behaviour Sequence Analysis

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Crime Script Analysis

Comes from ‘Script Analysis’ in Cognitive Psychology

How do you navigate a restaurant?

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Crime Script Analysis

In the same way we have ‘restaurant’ scripts, criminals have ‘crime’ scripts…

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Crime Script Analysis

These can be applied to specific crimes (i.e., bombings, rape, homicide),

Examining active shooter events through the rational choice perspective and crime script analysis (Osborne & Capellan, 2017)

Pathways in Crime… (Keatley, 2018);

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Crime Script Analysis

… or they can be applied to life history events and risk factors

Understanding school shootings with crime script analysis (Keatley, Mcgurk, & Allely, 2019).

NOTE: this was my 2nd year student!!!

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Crime Script Analysis

Behaviour Sequence Analysis

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Behaviour Sequence Analysis (BSA)

More statistical (sorry)

BUT BETTER (yippee)

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Behaviour Sequence Analysis (BSA)

Episode (i.e., murder, rape, terrorism etc.)

Parse the episode into discrete behaviours/events – YOU define

Code behaviours (e.g., A, B, C…)

We are interested in transitions between behaviours

Analyse sequence of events

AB|BC|C D|EF … JK

A B C D E F G H I J K

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Behaviour Sequence Analysis (BSA)

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Behaviour Sequence Analysis (BSA)

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Behaviour Sequence Analysis (BSA)

Typologies

Behaviours

Childhood abuse

Keatley, Marono, & Clarke (2019)

NOTE: Abbie started publishing in her first year! She now has ~5+ papers!

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Temporal Analyses

There are more complex forms (i.e., T-Pattern Analysis)

Very useful (especially in applied cases!)

I’m very keen to collaborate with students! (remember: I want you to improve academia)

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BRINGING IT ALL TOGETHER

Various risk factors have been identified

The problem is that many of these factors are highly inter-correlated so it is difficult to know which factors might be causative

At this stage we do have information on the factors but not on if or how they are causal and how they might be interacting

The up side is that we can intervene at the primary level and this does have an effect

Methods like BSA can show ‘attractors’ / ‘absorbing point’ to intervene and break the flow.

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Criminal Behaviour CRM203

Biological Factors

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Case Study: Hadden Clark

AKA: the cross dressing cannibal

Serial Killer

Michelle Dorr (age 6) -1986

Laura Houghteling (age 23) - 1992

Early life abuse (see previous week)

So, why the biological factor?

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Case Study: The Clarks

Bradfield Clark

Jailed in 1985 for killing co-worker Trish Mak

Invited her over for dinner (while partner was out of town)

Brutally beat her, and ate parts of her

Similar Developmental background

Similar Biological background

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Questions?

How much of their behaviours stem from developmental factors?

How much of their behaviours stem from biological factors?

How would you study this?

What methods would you use?

Nature Vs Nurture

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Genetic Theories

Earliest positivist explanations of crime suggested a distinct biological/genetic basis to crime 

Social Darwinism became a very popular social theory

Influenced eugenics

If people are ‘born’ bad – what does this mean for treatment and intervention?

Minority report?

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Genetics vs Biology

Genetic disposition or predisposition but also

Acquired deficits (birth trauma, other head injuries, abuse) and poisons causing permanent damage (heavy metal poisoning)

Transient biochemical problems (drugs, hormone imbalances)

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Genetics Position

Biology implicated in violence

Biological basis could be acquired or genetic or combination

Genetic predisposition but to general offending

Strong interaction effect

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Genetics Position

Some evidence to suggest certain types of genetic abnormalities are related to criminal behaviour (the XYY syndrome) but the number of this genetic abnormality (found in less than .3% of the pop.) makes it a marginal area of consideration.

Generally, polygenetic nature and function yet to be reliably explained.

PLEASE NOTE: ‘selfish gene’ does not mean ‘selfish people’.

There is NO ‘gene for…’

Note: this is also where ‘meme’ comes from!

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Genetics Position

The nature of the genetic effect is difficult to determine: It is either:

a predisposition to act in a manner likely to lead to criminal activity; or

occurs through an intervening process. For example, arguments that suggest that there is a difference in cortical control

If genes ‘code’ for the blanket, try changing just one crease –

Everything is inter-connected

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Genetics Position

In sum:

Most biosocial scientists would claim that there is some biological predisposition to crime; and

that genetic predisposition can be overcome by some environmental factors.

Not a single gene

Crime is not genetically determined

Genetic research cannot explain individual criminality

Genetic predisposition does not means determinism

Genetic studies need to address environmental impact

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Research Strategies

The fundamental proposition of the biological approach is that behaviour is, in part, determined by genetic influences. 

An alternative (but not inconsistent) proposition is that behaviour is, in part, determined by biological influences.  

The aim of this research is to demonstrate either a genetic or biological basis to criminal behaviour.

Is this even possible?

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Lombroso’s work

Three classes:

Born criminals – atavistic reversions – an evolutionary perspective

Insane – a commonly held belief that only an insane person could commit some of the horrific offences

Criminaloids – no special features but has criminogenic needs

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Lombroso’s work

Was discredited relatively quickly

Important because he tried to apply

scientific method

used clinical data

recognised multi-factorial explanation

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Body types…

Sheldon’s (1949) Theory of Body types

Somatotyping

Research consistently points to both juvenile and adult offenders having more mesomorphic body types (muscular) and more mesomorph – endomorph type (muscular & fat) as opposed to the ectomorph types (slight & thin)

Identify the argument for a biological basis to crime (and not the counter)

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Body types…

Sheldon’s (1949) Theory of Body types

Endomorph: heavy with short arms and legs. Relatively non-criminal

Mesomorph: athletic and muscular, tend to be aggressive and apt to commit violent crimes

Ectomorph: thin, introverted, overly sensitive

DISCREDITED!

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Physiological factors I

A variety of physiological indices have been found to correlate with criminal behaviour

Toxins – see effects of lead

Alcohol and other drugs

Neurotransmitters

Hormones including testosterone

Autononomic Nervous System activity (~fight or flight)

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Physiological factors II

A variety of physiological indices have been found to correlate with criminal behaviour

Heart Rate & Criminality 

EEG Patterns and Criminality 

Hypoglycaemia and Criminality 

Hyperactivity 

Hemisphere Functioning and Criminality

BEWARE THIS PATH JUNK SCIENCE LAYS AHEAD

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HINT: this is a good chance to ask me anything

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How do we measure (biological) development?

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NeuroPsychology

Recent advances in neuroimaging have led to research examining different brain behaviours and their relationship with criminal behaviour

This research points to the importance of brain plasticity – that is there is an interaction between gene and environment on behaviour

It shows that environmental factors impact on brain development

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Brain Plasticity

We now understand that there is considerable interaction between brain development and environmental factors

We also understand that there are negative environments which impact on the development of relevant parts of the brain; and conversely positive environments which impact on the brain.

For example the following impact on the developing brain

In-utero experiences – lead and alcohol

Birth complications increased risk especially with other psychosocial factors

Early trauma such as attachment and victimisation

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Neuropsychological factors I

There appears to be two areas of the brain which are particularly relevant to the development of criminal behaviour.

The frontal lobe is important for organising thought, planning, self regulation, sustained attention, abstract decision making, self-regulation and inhibition and thus consequential thinking. It is important for impulse control.

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Neuropsychological factors II

The amygdala is important for emotional regulation

Emotional regulation refers to emotional recognition, control and direction

There are sex differences

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FAST FORWARD

When we examine psychopathy you will note there are key dimensions:

Empathy, callous, unemotional

Poor impulse control

The amygdala is critical for emotional regulation

The frontal cortex is important for impulse control

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Gene studies

The previous studies indicate that criminal behaviour and certain physiological characteristics are linked but causality is difficult to determine and genetic causality is even more difficult to determine

The following research strategies are aimed at determining a clear gene/behaviour relationship

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Family studies

Identifies the conviction rates for parents and children. And siblings??

High correlations between criminal father and criminal sons compared to criminal behaviour of sons of non-criminal fathers.

Some studies have tried to control for environment but this is considered practically impossible.

Arguments and counter-arguments?

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Twin studies

Dizygotic Twins

Fraternal

Two different eggs

Genetically as different as non-twin siblings

Monozygotic Twins

Identical

Same egg

Share same genes

Why important?

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Twin studies

Assumption: monozygotic and dizygotic twins have same environment but different genes.

 

Concordance rates: probability of one twin being criminal it the other is also.

RESULTS:

Average concordance rate for MZ is 51.5% and for DZ 20.6%.

For most recent studies 31% v 12.9%.

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Adoption studies

These studies try to tease out genes and environment by examining criminal behaviour of children (mostly boys) reared by non familial parents.

You compare criminality of biological parents (ie criminal non-criminal) with criminality of adopted parent and criminality of child.

Results consistently point to genetic predisposition.

EVALUATE ADOPTION STUDIES…

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In sum

Overall, evidence points to a genetic predisposition to crime.

There may also be a separate biological process occurring.

While no one study is conclusive, divergent studies from different cultures all pointing in the same direction are difficult to dismiss.

The predisposition shows most strongly in adoption studies to be for property crime and not violent crime.

There is probably an interaction effect with genes and environment. Greater criminality is found when both operate and this is greater than their mere addition. This is evident in gene, brain plasticity and domestic violence.

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Discussion Point

Now you know about developmental and biological factors

Can we predict criminal behaviour?

Is it based on environment?

Is it based on biological?

Is it based on the limitations of our methods?

Are the Clarks the norm, or the exception?

Are the Krays the norm, or the exception?

Questions? (this is it for background theory, from here it gets more applied…)

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