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Principles of Corporate Finance, Concise (2nd Edition)
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Problem
Respond to the following comments:
a. “The random-walk theory, with its implication that investing in stocks is like playing roulette, is a powerful indictment of our capital markets.”
b. “If everyone believes you can make money by charting stock prices, then price changes won’t be random.”
c. “The random-walk theory implies that events are random, but many events are not random. If it rains today, there’s a fair bet that it will rain again tomorrow.”
Step-by-step solution
Efficient market hypothesis
It states that stock prices reflect the news and information in market efficiently and that is the reason why selling stock in efficient market does not result in positive NPV
Random Walk theory:
It states that stock prices of independent of each other and vary randomly like a walk which is random.
Comment
a.
In a paper written by Maurice Kendall, it was observed that stock prices vary every week in a random manner. This resulted in Random Walk theory, which says that the changes in prices of stocks drifts by different values every week. When stock prices were observed, no regular pattern was found. They were behaving in a random manner with no dependence on previous values.
Comment
b.
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If everyone believes that past prices will result in patterns and will reflect in stock market, they will start investing in stock prices driving the market. But any new information will affect this and crash the price if it was wrongly increased. A correction happens.
Comment
c.
According to random walk theory, the events are random. It is true since any news is new information and cannot be predicted beforehand. And the news which can be predicted is already incorporated in the stock price.
Comment
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Chapter 11, Problem 12PS
Which of the following observations appear to indicate market inefficiency? Explain whether the observation appears to...
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Chapter 11, Problem 11PS
Respond to the following comments:a. “The random-walk theory, with its implication that investing in stocks is like playing...
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