Advance Biostats SPSS (Multiple Linear Regression)

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WK4PART4_4.4_PracticeStep-by-StepGuide.doc

PART4

Step-by-Step Guide Assignment Problem 4.4

Multivariate Linear Regression

Problem 4. Discuss whether or not there is interaction (effect modification) first between Age and BMI and second between BMI and Coffee.

Discussion:

If the effect of an independent variable on a dependent variable depends on another independent variable, the third independent variable is an “effect modifier”.

Statistically, effect modification is best assessed by simple linear regression with each independent variable separately and the dependent variable. A difference in the R, R2, and the β for that variable alone versus these values for that same variable in the multiple linear regression model with the variables of interest indicates effect modification by the combined variables. This is because the effects of the other variables are not being held constant or controlled in the simple linear regression model.

Step 1. Simple linear regression for age and birth weight: go to Analyze ( Regression ( Linear.

image1.png

Step 2. Simple linear regression with age: Click Reset to remove the previous input. Transfer birthw to Dependent and transfer age to the Independent(s). Click Statistics.

image2.png

Step 3. Check Estimates, Confidence intervals Level(%) 95 and Model fit. Click Continue. Click OK.

image3.png

SPSS Output:

Model Summary

Model

R

R Square

Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

1

.400a

.160

.152

420.779

a. Predictors: (Constant), age at conception

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t

Sig.

95.0% Confidence Interval for B

B

Std. Error

Beta

Lower Bound

Upper Bound

1

(Constant)

2543.252

258.844

9.825

.000

2029.585

3056.919

age at conception

38.867

8.987

.400

4.325

.000

21.033

56.701

a. Dependent Variable: birth weight

Step 4. Simple linear regression with BMI: Repeat steps 1 through 3 with BMI.

SPSS Output:

Model Summary

Model

R

R Square

Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

1

.313a

.098

.089

440.567

a. Predictors: (Constant), body mass index

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t

Sig.

95.0% Confidence Interval for B

B

Std. Error

Beta

Lower Bound

Upper Bound

1

(Constant)

2828.244

257.296

10.992

.000

2317.515

3338.972

body mass index

33.215

10.275

.313

3.233

.002

12.820

53.611

a. Dependent Variable: birth weight

Step 5. Simple linear regression with cups per day: Repeat steps 1 through 3 with cups per day.

SPSS Output:

Model Summary

Model

R

R Square

Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

1

.187a

.035

.024

455.721

a. Predictors: (Constant), cups per day

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t

Sig.

95.0% Confidence Interval for B

B

Std. Error

Beta

Lower Bound

Upper Bound

1

(Constant)

3716.978

56.369

65.940

.000

3605.008

3828.948

cups per day

-35.027

19.310

-.187

-1.814

.073

-73.384

3.330

a. Dependent Variable: birth weight

Step 6. Repeat step 1. Remove cups per day from Independent(s) then transfer age and BMI to Independent(s). Click OK.

image4.png

SPSS Output:

Model Summary

Model

R

R Square

Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

1

.515a

.265

.250

399.711

a. Predictors: (Constant), body mass index, age at conception

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t

Sig.

95.0% Confidence Interval for B

B

Std. Error

Beta

Lower Bound

Upper Bound

1

(Constant)

1673.932

340.733

4.913

.000

997.491

2350.373

age at conception

39.946

8.589

.409

4.651

.000

22.894

56.998

body mass index

33.957

9.324

.320

3.642

.000

15.447

52.467

a. Dependent Variable: birth weight

Step 7. Repeat step 1. Remove age from Independent(s) and transfer cups per day to Independent(s) with bmi. Click OK.

image5.png

SPSS Output:

Model Summary

Model

R

R Square

Adjusted R Square

Std. Error of the Estimate

1

.365a

.133

.114

439.152

a. Predictors: (Constant), cups per day, body mass index

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized Coefficients

t

Sig.

95.0% Confidence Interval for B

B

Std. Error

Beta

Lower Bound

Upper Bound

1

(Constant)

2891.228

267.491

10.809

.000

2359.646

3422.810

body mass index

33.034

10.464

.314

3.157

.002

12.238

53.830

cups per day

-30.790

18.707

-.164

-1.646

.103

-67.966

6.386

a. Dependent Variable: birth weight

Interpretation:

Your interpretation must cover issues including:

· The meaning of R and R square in the association between each independent variable (age, BMI, cup per day,) and birth weight The meaning of R and R square for the model with all independent variables combined

· Whether there is evidence that there was an effect modification with the addition of the independent variables

· Which model you would chose to report as the final model in your research