Week 5 Final Assignment MUST BE COMPLETED BY SATURDAY AUG 27th

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Dividend Analysis and Preliminary Valuation

Kevin Sessions

BUS 401 Principles of Finance

University of Arizona Global Campus

August 15, 2022

PART 1

DIVIDEND ANALYSIS

Apple has maintained a pattern of paying dividends on a semiannual basis during the previous 11 years. Table 6 presents Apple's dividend per share and annual growth rate from 2010 through 2021, even though it does not include the dividend per share for 2021. During the past ten years, Apple has seen an average yearly growth rate of 16.52 percent. The average annual growth rate during the previous five years was 22.25%, but the average annual growth rate over the previous three years was 7.44%. In nine out of the past ten years, DIS has raised the amount of money it has distributed as dividends.

On the other hand, by 2020 and 2016, they had dropped by 50 and 21.5 percent (Mickle, 2020). In 2015, the dividend growth rate was 110.45%, but it dropped to 4.76% in 2019. From its highest position in 2015, when the average dividend growth rate was at its highest, to its lowest point in 2020, when it was at its lowest.

Divided per share

Annual Growth Rate

2021

NM

NM

2020

$ 0.79

-50.000%

2019

$ 1.80

4.762%

2018

$ 1.71

7.692%

2017

$ 1.62

9.859%

2016

$ 1.54

-21.547%

2015

$ 1.90

110.465%

2014

$ 0.96

14.667%

2013

$ 0.84

25.000%

2012

$ 0.68

50.000%

2011

$ 0.35

14.286%

2010

$ 0.41

0.000%

After conducting a significant study on the subject, I concluded that the highest dividend growth rate I could locate was 7.69 percent. This result was reached by analyzing the average growth rate over the last three years and the expected growth rate for 2018. I have determined that a minimum dividend growth rate of 4.76 percent must be maintained at all times (Mark, 2020). Compared to the average growth rate of the three years with the weakest economic expansion over the preceding five years, 2019's anticipated expansion is expected to be similar to that rate. These growth rates are based on several factors, including a decrease in revenue and net income in 2020, a little increase in sales in 2021, and an inventory turnover rate of 30.98 percent over the previous three years.

PART 2

PRELIMINARY VALUATION

Using the formula for compound growth, one can determine the value of Apple stock. The stock price is computed using the continuous growth method by combining the most recent dividend (D), a dividend growth rate (g), and a discount rate. This yields the final result (r). The following is the solution to the problem:

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To be included in the first computation of dividend growth, DIS must always sustain a growth rate of 4.76 percent or above. (g). According to the most recent information provided by NASDAQ, the dividend per share will be $0.88 in 2022. (D). Because Apple has a significant amount of cash on hand, the discount rate will be 10%. (r). When we consider everything, we get an estimate for the share price of Apple that comes out to $17.60 on average. To be more specific, we get to these conclusions:

C:\Users\LMS\Pictures\Screenshots\Screenshot (12).png

When using the second approach, Apple's maximum dividend growth rate is 7.69%. (g). These shares currently provide a dividend yield of $0.88 per year, and the current discount rate is 10% (r) (D). The current price of a share of DIS is $41.02, as of right now. The following is how it computes out:

C:\Users\LMS\Pictures\Screenshots\Screenshot (13).png

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On February 11, 2021, NASDAQ will announce that one share will sell for $149.41. If we utilize the strategy of continuous growth, the minimum and maximum values anticipated are less than the price currently being offered on the market. This suggests that the price of DIS on the market is currently at an extraordinarily high level.

If this estimate comes true, the value of a single share would be $41.02 in terms of the currency used in the United States (Deutschman, 2020). Due to increased sales, net income, and inventory turnover, this stock valuation considers a dividend growth rate of 7.69% per year beginning in 2020 and continuing beyond. Since the price of an individual share of stock right now is $41.02, it's plausible that the market as a whole is now overvalued.

References

Deutschman, Alan (October 11, 2020). "The once and future Steve Jobs." Salon.com. Archived from the original on December 2, 2010. Retrieved November 22, 2010.

Mickle, Andrew Dowell, and Tripp (March 14, 2020). "Apple Closes All Its Stores Outside China Over Coronavirus." The Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660. Retrieved April 14, 2020.

Mark, G. (March 24, 2020). "Apple May Start Reopening Stores in First Half of April." Bloomberg L.P. Retrieved March 25, 2020.