db week3 cj methods

profileismails95
week3-2.ppt


Concepts, Operationalization, and Measurement

Chapter 4

*

Introduction

We want to move from vague ideas of what we want to study to actually being able to recognize and measure it in the real world

Otherwise, we will be unable to communicate the relevance of our idea and findings to an audience

Conceptions and Concepts

Conception: mental image we have about something

Concepts: words, phrases, or symbols in language that are used to represent these mental images in communication

e.g., serious crime

Example of Concept

According to Gottfredson and Hirschi's General Theory of Crime, low levels of self-control is the primary cause of crime. Because self-control is a concept, how to conceptualize and measure it has been debated extensively among academics. Furthermore, the measuring of symptoms of levels of self-control and the inability to measure self-control directly has led some academics to argue that the General Theory of Crime is a tautology and is, therefore, not testable.

Conceptualization

  • Conceptualization: mental process of making concepts more precise to specify what we mean

Results in a set of indicators and dimensions of what we have in mind

Indicates a presence or absence of the concept we are studying

Serious crime = offender uses force (or threatens to use force) against a victim

Indicators and Dimensions

Dimension – specifiable aspect of a concept

“Crime Seriousness” – can be subdivided into dimensions

e.g., dimension – victim harm

Indicators – physical injury, economic loss, psychological consequences

Specification leads to deeper understanding

Creating Conceptualization Order

Conceptual definition: working definition specifically assigned to a term, provides focus to our observations

Gives us a specific working definition so that readers will understand the concept

E.g., Which dimensions of SES will be included?

Operational definition: spells out precisely how the concept will be measured

E.g., How will we measure SES?

Progression of Measurement Steps

Conceptualization

Conceptual Definition

Operational Definition

Measurements in the Real World

*

Operationalization Choices

Operationalization – the process of developing operational definitions

Moves us closer to measurement

Requires us to determine what might work as a data-collection method

Measurement as “Scoring”

Measurement – assigning numbers or labels to units of analysis in order to represent the conceptual properties

Make observations, and assign scores to them

Different measurement can produce different results

E.g., Time frame in which recidivism is measured might produce different results

Exhaustive and Exclusive Measurement

Every variable should have two important qualities:

Exhaustive – you should be able to classify every observation in terms of one of the attributes composing the variable

Mutually exclusive – you must be able to classify every observation in terms of one and only one attribute

Example – Measure for Marijuana Use

Not exclusive or exhaustive

How many times in the last year have you smoked marijuana?

0

1-3

3-6

6-9

Reworded to be exclusive or exhaustive

How many times in the last year have you smoked marijuana?

0

1-2

3-6

7-9

10 or more times

Levels of Measurement

Nominal: offer names or labels for characteristics (e.g., race, gender, state of residence)

Ordinal: attributes can be logically rank-ordered (e.g., education, opinions, occupational status)

Interval: meaningful distance between attributes (e.g., temperature, IQ score from an intelligence test)

Ratio: has a true zero point (e.g., age, number of priors, sentence length, income)

Implications of Levels of Measurement

Different analytical analysis require certain levels of measurement

Higher levels can be converted to lower levels

Lower levels cannot be converted to higher levels

Therefore, seek the highest level of measurement possible

Criteria for Measurement Quality

Measurements can be made with varying degrees of precision

The more precise, the better

Should not sacrifice accuracy

Reliability

Reliability: whether a particular measurement technique, repeatedly applied to the same object, would yield the same result each time

Problem – even if the same result is retrieved, it may be incorrect every time

Reliability does not insure accuracy

Observer’s subjectivity might come into play

Methods of Dealing with Reliability Issues

Test-retest method – make the same measurement more than once – should expect same response both times

Interrater reliability – compare measurements from different raters; verify initial measurements

Validity

The extent to which an empirical measure adequately reflects the meaning of the concept under consideration

Are you really measuring what you say you are measuring?

Demonstrating validity is more difficult than demonstrating reliability

Methods of Dealing with
Validity Issues

Face validity: on its face, does it seem valid? Does it jibe with our common agreements and mental images?

Criterion-related validity: compares a measure to some external criterion

Construct validity: whether your variables related to each other in the logically expected direction

Multiple measures: compare measure with alternative measures of the same concept

Measuring Crime

  • Crime can be a dependent variable in exploratory, descriptive, explanatory, and applied studies
  • Crime can also be an independent variable, as in a study of how crime affects fear and other attitudes
  • It can be both: the relationship between drug use and other offenses

General Issues in Measuring Crime

How are do you conceptualize crime?

What units of analysis?

Specific entities about which researchers collect information

Offender, victim, offenses, incidents

What purpose? e.g., monitoring, agency accountability, research

Measures Based on Crimes Known to Police

Most widely used measures of crime are based on police records

Certain types are detected almost exclusively by observation (traffic and victimless offenses)

Most crimes reported by victim or witnesses

What crimes are not measured well by police records?

Uniform Crime Reports (UCR)

Originally, reporting voluntary, but now very common

Type I offenses (index crimes/offenses): murder, rape, robbery, larceny, burglary, aggravated assault, motor vehicle theft and arson (added in 1979)

Type II offenses: a compilation of less serious crimes

Summary-based, group level unit of analysis

Assumptions of UCR

Citizens know an offense has occurred

Citizen reports offense to the police

Officer can verify that the offense occurred

Officer decides the offense deserves to be reported

Agency’s numbers end up being forwarded to FBI on time

Positives of UCR

Can compare agencies

Quick, easy, and efficient

Index offenses are valid indicators of public’s crime concerns

Negatives of UCR

Doesn’t count ALL crimes reported to police

Jurisdictions vary in completeness of crime data they provide to FBI; voluntary

Can suffer from clerical, data processing, political problems

Hierarchy rule – only most serious crime counted in an incident

Summary-based measure: UCR data include summary crime counts from reporting agencies

Incident-Based Police Records

Incident-based measures: the incidence of crime is the unit of analysis

Supplementary Homicide Reports (SHR)

Police agencies submit detailed info about individual homicide incidents

Can conduct a variety of studies that examine individual events

National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS)

Joint effort by FBI and BJS to convert UCR to a NIBRS

NIBRS reports each crime incident rather than the total number of certain crimes for each LE agency

Many features are reported individually about each incident, offenses, offenders, victims

UCR – 7 Part I offenses, NIBRS – 46 Group A offenses

Other Revisions with NIBRS

Hierarchy rule dropped

Victim type (individual, business, government, society/public)

Attempted/completed.

Computer-based submission

Drug-related offenses

Computers and crime

Quality control; states require certification

National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS)

Victimization survey: asks people whether they have been the victim of a crime

Since 1972 by Census Bureau

Sought to illuminate the “dark figure of crime”

Longitudinal panel study: households agree to participate for 3 years (7 interviews; one every 6 months) and then replaced

Does not measure all crime

Respondents are asked screening questions

Positives of NCVS

Measures both reported and unreported crime

Independent of changes in reporting

More information about how crime impacted victim than UCR

Provides more victim characteristics than UCR

Negatives of NCVS

Telescoping incident dates

Faulty memory

Little information on offenders

No information on CJS response if reported

Excludes crimes against commercial establishments

Only includes residents of US

Surveys of Offending

Self-report surveys: ask people about crimes they may have committed

Useful in measuring crimes that are poorly measured by other techniques (prostitution, drug abuse, public order, delinquency)

Useful in measuring crimes rarely reported to police (shoplifting, drunk driving)

Two ongoing self-report studies – NSDUH & MTF

National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH)

Based on a national sample of households

Conducted since 1971; 2004 sample had n=68,000

Includes questions to distinguish between lifetime use, current use, and heavy use

Encourages candid responses via procedures

Includes residents of college dorms, rooming houses, and homeless shelters

Monitoring the Future (MTF)

Conducted since 1975 by the National Institute on Drug Abuse

Includes several samples of high school students and others, totaling about 50,000 respondents each year

Questions concern self-reported use of alcohol, tobacco, illegal drugs, delinquency, other acts

A subset of 2,400 MTF respondents receive follow-up questionnaire

Composite Measures

Allows us to combine individual measures to produce more valid and reliable indicators

Typology: produced by the intersection of two or more variables to create a set of categories or types

e.g., Typology of Delinquent/Criminal Acts (Time 1 and 2)

None, Minor (theft of items worth less than $5, vandalism, fare evasion), Moderate (theft over $5, gang fighting, carrying weapons), Serious (car theft, breaking and entering, forced sex, selling drugs

Nondelinquent, Starter, Desistor, Stable, Deescalator, Escalator

Index of Disorder

What is disorder? (Skogan, 1990)

Distinguish b/w physical presence & social perception

Physical disorder: abandoned buildings, garbage and litter, graffiti, junk in vacant lots

Social disorder: groups of loiterers, drug use and sales, vandalism, gang activity, public drinking, street harassment

Index created by averaging scores for each measure