group project, part 1 and 2
Bernstein Strategic
Decisions Conference
May 30, 2018
Scott Kirby President
1
Certain statements included in this presentation are forward-looking and thus reflect our current expectations and beliefs with respect to certain current and
future events and anticipated financial and operating performance. Such forward-looking statements are and will be subject to many risks and uncertainties
relating to our operations and business environment that may cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied in such
forward-looking statements. Words such as “expects,” “will,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “estimates,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook,”
“goals” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Additionally, forward-looking statements include statements that do not
relate solely to historical facts, such as statements which identify uncertainties or trends, discuss the possible future effects of current known trends or
uncertainties, or which indicate that the future effects of known trends or uncertainties cannot be predicted, guaranteed or assured. All forward-looking
statements in this presentation are based upon information available to us on the date of this presentation. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or
revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or otherwise, except as required by
applicable law. Our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to numerous factors including, without limitation, the
following: general economic conditions (including interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, investment or credit market conditions, crude oil prices,
costs of aircraft fuel and energy refining capacity in relevant markets); economic and political instability and other risks of doing business globally, including
political developments that may impact our operations in certain countries; demand for travel and the impact that global economic and political conditions have
on customer travel patterns; competitive pressures on pricing and on demand; demand for transportation in the markets in which we operate; our capacity
decisions and the capacity decisions of our competitors; the effects of any hostilities, act of war or terrorist attack; the effects of any technology failures or
cybersecurity breaches; the impact of regulatory, investigative and legal proceedings and legal compliance risks; disruptions to our regional network; the ability
of other air carriers with whom we have alliances or partnerships to provide the services contemplated by the respective arrangements with such carriers; costs
associated with any modification or termination of our aircraft orders; potential reputational or other impact from adverse events in our operations, the
operations of our regional carriers or the operations of our code share partners; our ability to attract and retain customers; our ability to execute our operational
plans and revenue-generating initiatives, including optimizing our revenue; our ability to control our costs, including realizing benefits from our resource
optimization efforts, cost reduction initiatives and fleet replacement programs; the impact of any management changes; our ability to cost-effectively hedge
against increases in the price of aircraft fuel if we decide to do so; any potential realized or unrealized gains or losses related to any fuel or currency hedging
programs; labor costs; our ability to maintain satisfactory labor relations and the results of any collective bargaining agreement process with our union groups;
any disruptions to operations due to any potential actions by our labor groups; an outbreak of a disease that affects travel demand or travel behavior; U.S. or
foreign governmental legislation, regulation and other actions (including Open Skies agreements and environmental regulations); industry consolidation or
changes in airline alliances; our ability to comply with the terms of our various financing arrangements; the costs and availability of financing; our ability to
maintain adequate liquidity; the costs and availability of aviation and other insurance; weather conditions; our ability to utilize our net operating losses to offset
future taxable income; the impact of changes in tax laws; the success of our investments in airlines in other parts of the world; and other risks and uncertainties
set forth under Part I, Item 1A., “Risk Factors,” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2017, as well as other risks and
uncertainties set forth from time to time in the reports we file with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Safe Harbor Statement
2
Improving profitability remains top financial objective
Primary focus areas:
- Strengthening and growing our domestic network
- Driving asset efficiency and productivity
Remain committed to the long-term financial targets that we laid out on January 23rd
- 2018 target adjusted earnings per share previously raised to $7.00 - $8.50 from $6.50 - $8.501
2018E
$7.00 - $8.50
2020E
$11.00 - $13.00
Target adjusted earnings per share, diluted1
1 Excludes special charges and the impact of mark-to-market adjustments on equity investments, the nature of which are not determinable at this time. Accordingly, the company is not providing
earnings guidance on a GAAP basis
3
Continuing to deliver top-tier operational performance in 2018
D:001 Completion factor1
1 Mainline operation 2 Source: Department of Transportation for 2015-2017 and masFlight for YTD 2018
Note: YTD 2018 includes data through May 28, 2018
Relative
performance
rank2 3 13 23 21 2
55.2%
63.6%
68.3% 71.2%
2015 2016 2017 YTD 2018
98.7%
99.0% 99.0% 98.9%
2015 2016 2017 YTD 2018
4
Gemini Revenue Management system forecast rollout
Segmentation improvements – Basic Economy
– Premium Plus
Network optimization – IAH / ORD re-banking
– Driving higher connectivity at our hubs
Product improvements – Expansion of Polaris seat – average of one plane every 10 days
– New Polaris Lounges in EWR and IAH scheduled to open this summer, LAX later this year; SFO now open
– Wi-Fi and entertainment improvements
Sales initiatives – Focusing on domestic high-yield share
United® Premium Plus
SFO Polaris Lounge
Commercial initiatives expected to create tailwinds
5
We are improving the customer experience in 2018
Connections Additional wayfinding maps
throughout terminals
Informative messaging for
connecting customers
Boarding
Testing new boarding process
Better communications via gate
displays and customer
notifications
Checked Bags Improved mishandled bag
performance
Bag tracking in the mobile app
Better coordination with interline
partners
Communications Providing more information to
employees and customers during
flight delays >60 mins
Improved automated messages
6
The U.S. airline industry is now generating consistent profits
U.S. passenger airlines Pre-tax earnings
Structural changes in the business and advanced thinking
regarding airline economics have led to financial stability
($20B)
($30B)
$10B
$0B
$20B
($10B)
$30B
2000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20172010200920082007200620052004200320022001
Source: U.S DOT Form 41 Data
2000-2013
averaged ~$4B
annual pre-tax loss
and negative (3%)
pre-tax margin
2014-2017
averaged ~$19B
annual pre-tax profit
and 11% pre-tax
margin
Profit/(Loss)
7
Increased fuel price expected to be offset by revenue and commercial initiatives
Expected Fuel Impact Expected Impact of
Revenue &
Commercial Initiatives
Current Outlook
$7.00-$8.50 $6.50-$8.50
Initial Outlook
2018 target adjusted earnings per share, diluted1
1 Excludes special charges and the impact of mark-to-market adjustments on equity investments, the nature of which are not determinable at this time. Accordingly, the company is not providing
earnings guidance on a GAAP basis
8
Despite run-up in fuel, remain committed to our adjusted EPS guidance targets
2020E
$11.00 - $13.00
2018E
$7.00 - $8.50
Target adjusted earnings per share, diluted1
1 Excludes special charges and the impact of mark-to-market adjustments on equity investments, the nature of which are not determinable at this time. Accordingly, the company is not providing
earnings guidance on a GAAP basis