ERM Week2
Brian34
Unit2LecturewithAudio.pptx
ITS 835
Chapter 6 & 9
Strategic Risk Management at the LEGO Group
Dr. Waters
Introduction
Strategy
Legacy risk management
Enterprise risk management
The PAPA model
Risk management ROI
ERM at LEGO
Risk management developed in 4 stages
Step 1: Enterprise risk management
Step 2: Monte Carlo simulations
Step 3: Active Risk & Opportunity Planning (AROP)
Step 4: Preparing for Uncertainty
Order is by initiation sequence
Steps 1 & 2 are damage control
Steps 3 & 4 are proactive
ERM Step 1: Enterprise Risk Mgmt
The PAPA Model
Park, Adapt, Prepare, Act: PAPA
Park
Adapt
Prepare
Act
ERM Step 2: Monte Carlo Simulations
Monte Carlo simulation
Method of evaluating the effect of input variances on a model of a complex system
In short, it helps to see how input variances affect outcomes
Helps to define risk tolerance
Implemented in three areas
Budget simulation
Credit risk portfolio
Consolidation of risk exposure
UW’s Risk Assessment: Likelihood and Impact
ERM Step 3: AROP
Active Risk Assessment of Business Projects (AROP)
Formal approach to defining and handling project risk
Includes multiple steps
Identification
Assessment
Handling
Reassessment
Follow-up
Reporting
ERM Step 4: Preparing for Uncertainty
Preparing for Uncertainty
Defining and Testing Strategies
Workshops precede strategic planning sessions
Four scenarios
Agree on two key drivers of uncertainty
Describe each of four quadrants of 2x2 matrix
Define strategic issues
Actions to take
“who is doing what by when?”
Risk Management ROI
Strong support from upper management
Efforts have resulted in value
Many LEGO key planning processes now include risk management
More visibility of enterprise risk
More opportunity to address risk
Summary
Risk management is not risk aversion
ERM allows LEGO to take risks when appropriate
Grow
Create value
LEGO strategic risk management mission
“Drive conscious choices”
