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Unit2-HWAssignment2-Advertising1Finished-updated.xlsx

Model

Advertising model
Inputs
Exposures to various groups per ad
Timeless Sunday Night Football The Simpsons SportsCenter Homeland Rachael Ray CNN Madam Secretary
Men 18-35 5 6 5 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 3
Men 36-55 3 5 2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 5
Men >55 1 3 0 0.3 0 0 0.3 4
Women 18-35 6 1 4 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 3
Women 36-55 4 1 2 0.1 0.1 1.3 0.2 5
Women >55 2 1 0 0 0 0.4 0.3 4
Total exposures 21 17 13 1.5 1.9 2.5 1.2 24
Cost per ad 140 100 80 9 13 15 8 140
Cost per million exposures 6.667 5.882 6.154 6.000 6.842 6.000 6.667 5.833
Advertising plan
Timeless Sunday Night Football The Simpsons SportsCenter Homeland Rachael Ray CNN Madam Secretary
Number ads purchased 0.000 0.000 8.719 20.625 0.000 6.875 0.000 6.313
Constraints on numbers of exposures Range names used:
Actual exposures Required exposures Actual_exposures =Model!$B$23:$B$28
Men 18-35 73.531 >= 60 Number_ads_purchased =Model!$B$19:$I$19
Men 36-55 60.000 >= 60 Required_exposures =Model!$D$23:$D$28
Men >55 31.438 >= 28 Total_cost =Model!$B$31
Women 18-35 60.000 >= 60
Women 36-55 60.000 >= 60
Women >55 28.000 >= 28
Objective to minimize
Total cost $1,870.000

Note: All monetary values are in $1000s, and all exposures to ads are in millions of exposures.

It's difficult to keep this example timely, with shows going off the air and new shows becoming hits. Feel free to substitute new shows (with reasonable data) for the ones shown here. Or add other shows to these.

The linearity assumption made here -- k times as many ads result in k times as many exposures -- is certainly questionable. Therefore, we present a nonlinear version of this example in Chapter 7.

Sensitivity Report 1

Microsoft Excel 16.0 Sensitivity Report
Worksheet: [Advertising 1 Finished.xlsx]Model
Report Created: 11/1/2016 11:40:16 AM
Variable Cells
Final Reduced Objective Allowable Allowable
Cell Name Value Cost Coefficient Increase Decrease
$B$19 Number ads purchased Timeless 0 10 140 1E+30 10
$C$19 Number ads purchased Sunday Night Football 0 7.5 100 1E+30 7.5
$D$19 Number ads purchased The Simpsons 8.71875 0 80 1.7438692098 29.0909090909
$E$19 Number ads purchased SportsCenter 20.625 0 9 0.7619047619 0.4507042254
$F$19 Number ads purchased Homeland 0 0.5 13 1E+30 0.5
$G$19 Number ads purchased Rachael Ray 6.875 0 15 2.2857142857 1.1034482759
$H$19 Number ads purchased CNN 0 2.25 8 1E+30 2.25
$I$19 Number ads purchased Madam Secretary 6.3125 0 140 11.0344827586 6.9565217391
Constraints
Final Shadow Constraint Allowable Allowable
Cell Name Value Price R.H. Side Increase Decrease
$B$23 Men 18-35 Actual exposures 73.53125 0 60 13.53125 1E+30
$B$24 Men 36-55 Actual exposures 60 15 60 44 5.1162790698
$B$25 Men >55 Actual exposures 31.4375 0 28 3.4375 1E+30
$B$26 Women 18-35 Actual exposures 60 10 60 11 14.9310344828
$B$27 Women 36-55 Actual exposures 60 5 60 44.8888888889 4.8888888889
$B$28 Women >55 Actual exposures 28 2.5 28 6.2857142857 7.5862068966

Although you might prefer SolverTable to answer sensitivity questions, the classical sensitivity output shown here is certainly relevant. The nonzero reduced costs indicate how much less an ad would have to cost before it would be optimal to place an ad on that show. The shadow prices indicate how much it would cost to increase the exposure requirement to a particular group. Of course, the first and third shadow prices are 0 because the exposures to these groups already exceed the minimum.

Model Integer

Advertising model
Inputs
Exposures to various groups per ad
Timeless Sunday Night Football The Simpsons SportsCenter Homeland Rachael Ray CNN Madam Secretary
Men 18-35 5 6 5 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 3
Men 36-55 3 5 2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 5
Men >55 1 3 0 0.3 0 0 0.3 4
Women 18-35 6 1 4 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 3
Women 36-55 4 1 2 0.1 0.1 1.3 0.2 5
Women >55 2 1 0 0 0 0.4 0.3 4
Total viewers 21 17 13 1.5 1.9 2.5 1.2 24
Cost per ad 140 100 80 9 13 15 8 140
Cost per million exposures 6.667 5.882 6.154 6.000 6.842 6.000 6.667 5.833
Advertising plan
Timeless Sunday Night Football The Simpsons SportsCenter Homeland Rachael Ray CNN Madam Secretary
Number ads purchased 0 0 8 16 2 6 0 7
Constraints on numbers of exposures
Actual exposures Required exposures
Men 18-35 71.000 >= 60
Men 36-55 60.000 >= 60
Men >55 32.800 >= 28
Women 18-35 60.000 >= 60
Women 36-55 60.600 >= 60
Women >55 30.400 >= 28
Objective to minimize
Total cost $1,880.000

Note: All monetary values are in $1000s, and all exposures to ads are in millions of exposures.

This is an example where you might think the rounded solution from the original (noninteger) solution would be the optimal integer solution. However, this isn't quite the case. In fact, the rounded solution isn't feasible -- it doesn't quite satisfy the exposure constraints. (Try it out to see.) Also, it places no ads on Homeland, whereas the solution above places 2 ads on this show. This just demonstrates that the best integer solution is not necessarily "close" to the best noninteger solution. On the other hand, their objective values are reasonably close. The integer solution is "only" $10,000 dollars more expensive than the noninteger solution. Is it guaranteed to be more expensive? Let's just say that it can't be cheaper. Remember that constraints can only hurt the objective -- a more constrained problem can't have a better objective value.

SolverTableSheet

1
$D$22
1
700
850
25
$B$26
$A$31

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