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Risk Analysis
Consider the formula:
RISK = LIKELIHOOD (Threat x Vulnerability) X CONSEQUENCES (Intrinsic Value + Symbolic Value)
To use these worksheets, identify the risk. Ask yourself, what critical infrastructure are you concerned about? Under the Critical Infrastructure column identify that CI is at Risk. In the Score column assigned the corresponding assessment (add what the Risk is, to help you remember when ranking your CI). After you have ranked each worksheet plug in those numbers into the RISK FORMULA to achieve your final rankings.
Rank your threats!
If you have threats that have the same rankings, you can use symbolic or intrinsic values to help break the tie…
Threat Worksheet
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Critical Infrastructure Asset |
Threat Score |
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Threat Scoring Key |
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No known threats associated with the specific critical infrastructure asset. |
1 point |
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Generalized, non-specific information about a threat associated with an attack to the specific critical infrastructure asset. Takes into account the intent and capabilities of terrorist groups that pose the threat. |
2 points |
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Specific information about an imminent threat associated with an attack to the specific critical infrastructure asset. Takes into account the intent and capabilities of terrorist groups that pose the threat. |
3 points |
Vulnerability Scoring
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Critical Infrastructure Asset |
Vulnerability Score |
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Vulnerability Scoring Key
Low Vulnerability = 1 point
Moderate Vulnerability = 2 points
High Vulnerability = 3 points
Consequence Scoring
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Critical Infrastructure Asset |
Symbolic Value |
Intrinsic Value |
Level of Consequence |
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Symbolic and Intrinsic Value Scoring Key 1 point: Low Value 2 points: Moderate Value 3 points: High Value |
Consequence Scoring Key 2 points: Low Consequence 3 – 4 points: Moderate Consequence 5 – 6 points: High Consequence |
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