Week 6
China-USA Business Review, ISSN 1537-1514 September 2012, Vol. 11, No. 9, 1205-1212
The New Regulatory Concerns and Regulatory Management
Gouher Ahmed
Al Ghurair University, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
The present study is attempts to investigate the global financial crisis of 2008, which originated in the United States
of America and spread to other countries. This global financial crisis was following the collapse of the mid-19th
century financial giant on the September 15 of this year, other big banks also on the verge of collapse have raised
concerns across the globe, especially in the United States of America, and also started to search for some unfailing
financial regulations and financial authorities or regulators, but even amidst the countries like UAE and India were
noted to be of comparative calm because of their principled banking and central banks, and the results found out to
be mostly as a failure of bank leadership, especially of central banks like the US Fed, the unprincipled banking
which is at the back of the crisis, and also an ineffective central banking, and the regulatory search is led to central
banking and dynamic regulatory management (DRM).
Keywords: international business, global financial crisis, regulatory management, banking principles, ethics
Introduction
When the world was thought to be advancing well under the new market ideology of the west, of which
the USA is supposed to be the main proponent—in the 21st century, it was struck in 2008 by financial crisis of
the magnitude of the Great Depression of the 1930s, starting with the No.1 economy of the world of the USA
spreading to the rest of the world like a wild-fire, from the devastations of the US to the rest of the world which
have yet to recover. For example, the rate of unemployment in the US is said to be running at the yet
unmaintainable level of 9.1% in August 2011 (U.S BLS, 2012), not to say the other less “robust” countries and
economies. Democratic India too has yet to hit its pre-2008 near to double digit growth rate of 9 percent plus,
notwithstanding its self-acclaimed prudential financial management of the crisis and its international economic
good behavior, according to principles of “free & fair trade”, unlike some nouveau rich countries aggrandizing
themselves.
What is more, it is feared whether the Great Recession, a great calamity in itself would slide into a far
great calamity of Great Regression, according to some straws in the wind.
After the Great Recession, Europe has embarked on a Great Regression. Wages, Pensions, unemployment insurance, welfare benefits and collective bargaining are under attack in many areas as governments struggle to reduce debt swollen partly by the cost of rescuing banks during the global financial crisis. (Taylor, 2011, p. 12)
So, it is banks at the center of the crisis that called for not only rescue but also regulation to see that such
Gouher Ahmed, Ph.D., PMP, Associate Professor of Strategy and International Business, College of Business Studies, Al Ghurair
University. Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Gouher Ahmed, P.O. BOX: 37374 Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
E-mail: [email protected]; [email protected].
DAVID PUBLISHING
D
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crises which do not take place hence. But, in the near future, the present crisis is to be fought off. Following
this concern exercising G-20, IMF, IBRD, banking, and academic circle too, this note is addressed to the new
financial regulatory concerns, regulations, and regulatory management that appear to be eluding a consensus. It
is the nature of the crisis that the regulatory remedy or remedies to put into effect. The big crisis itself after has
so much experience and expertise of running the financial institutions, then regulation appears to have no cause
when everything appeared to be running well under the new international economic order of globalization,
privatization, competitions, free and fair trade, etc. (Paul, 2008). However, the free-market ideology, which
calls for a lot of self-discipline and self or voluntary regulations on the part of all its players, should not be
interpreted to do anything in pursuit of profits. Accordingly, the new regulatory concerns assume the
importance for an academic investigation, with the objective of unraveling the nature of crisis and whether right
remedies are being sought in the new regulatory searches. The exercise may start with a note of the objectives
and methodology of this modest exercise.
Objectives
To understand the nature of the great crisis;
To know whether the regulators were helpless against the crisis and its alleged authors or perpetrators;
To fathom the new regulatory concerns and regulatory remedies;
To outline the nature of regulatory management that would take care of great crisis and their formidable
players;
To draw lessons from the crisis for policy and regulation.
Methodology
In the first place, it is the free market ideology giving a freehand to the market players as the benefactors
of mankind which is at stake and is to be examined. Does it mean regulatory helplessness? This question is to
be addressed. Next, it is the question of banking, particularly big banks, which is said to be at the heart of the
crisis, but banking is well-established economic setup which is the guardian of public money which should be
the last or never to stray away from the path of trusteeship. So, along with the free market ideology, the
question of banking and banking standards are also gone into, in the breach of which the whole problem of the
crisis appears to lie in the fact that the failure of central banking to uphold the principles of banking. It also
argues whether the big bank means no principles of banking to follow. Than the great crisis itself is examined
and the efforts at warding it off and the cost of the crisis in human and materials terms.
It is also well known that there is a crisis—within the crisis, debt crisis, under which government are
reeling under it and being bailed out by the IMF and following government movements such as that of the EU,
quite reluctantly, and which are running budgetary and trade deficits, including India. There are also regulatory
concerns on this bigger score (Krugman, 2011).
As such, regulatory concerns, arising out of the great crisis-2008, are very much in the air not only at the
national level but also at the international level of which a view is taken, as also of attempts at new regulatory
bodies or super or unfailing regulators that would make the world safe from big or great financial or banking
and debt and budgetary crisis. Not the least is the Regulatory Architecture or Management (RM) that is to
emerge from the new regulatory concerns and regulations.
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Finally, the method of the study is to see whether the new regulatory concerns remedial concerns and
measures and architecture meet the basic problem of the crisis which appears to be the regulatory failure itself,
self and of the regulatory authorities. Why, for example, entities like the UAE are free from the regulatory
concerns’ show they could have a safe sail through the crisis? The case of India is not different, where there are
no regulatory concerns. It is a different thing that the government of India, for no reason but just to assert itself
unnecessarily and against a good working central bank, appears to be thirsting for one and two regulatory
concern. Indian is a case of petty political over lordism in the crisis to rule over a good working central bank.
The roots of the crisis are deep and abutting that need to be taken a view. Why, again the US
neighbor—Canada has no regulatory concerns and appears to be calm amidst the raging financial storm just in
the neighborhood. In the light of this, the new regulatory concerns may appear panic reactions, which, in
retrospect, may seem unmissed for it.
Market and Banking Ideology
There is no doubt that the winds of change blowing across the continents and countries, bringing the
countries together, the winds of globalization, marketization, privatization, enterprise, innovations, mobility,
internet, mobile phones, international business, travel, tourism and education, free trade, consumerism,
advertisement, enterprise, rising aspirations, environmental concerns, space exploration, etc.. The economic
dictum of this new world economy is the rule of the invisible hand or price mechanism, an all time and
seemingly an ever alluring accept of Adam Smith (1723-1790), the author of the foundational classic of the
science of economics as well as business The Wealth of Nations [1776] (Smith, 1776). Notwithstanding its
critics, the ideology by and large continues to dominate the domain of economic policies and practices (The
Economist, 2001). It needs no saying that the market ideology is for high growth, greater trade, and more
welfare, for ushering in, in short, an era of global prosperity. It is well known that the late Prof. C. K. Prahalad,
the management doyen, had called upon the business in general and MNCs in particular to advance their
footsteps towards the bottom of the economic pyramid (BOP) which made up of the world’s poor and produce
goods and services for the poor by somewhat lowering their high profit expectations (Prahalad, 2004). Prof.
Prahalad’s concept is a great innovation in economic and business with a great humanizing effect, lending the
new market ideology to be a human face and a concern for the welfare of humanity at large. The market theory
is for unleashing enterprises and innovations. It has brought, among other things, mobiles at a cost of Rs. 500 or
$11 a piece within the reach of the common man in India, a country of great poverty numbers. The Crisis raises
doubts concerning the free market ideology (Economic & Political Weekly, 2009) whether it is time for a
counter-revolution is a different thing. There is, however, no doubt about the crisis raising regulatory concerns.
One thing overlooked concerning the free market ideology by all the players is self-discipline and umpiring,
and nobody big enough to break the market code. In fact, the bigger enterprises have greater responsibility
thrust on them. They are the uncrowned market leaders who set example in good business behavior for the rest.
They are economic light-houses who should strike a right path for themselves and the rest. They are business
leaders. No business or profit at the cost of the public good and general welfare, which is not philosophy or
ethics but fundamental market and business principle. Banking, especially, should be the embodiment of all this
time principle. No tampering, hanky-panky. The foundation of banking is PUBLIC TRUST. They should set up
financial standards and norms of good financial behavior. There is an unbreachable banking code. If anything,
the crisis appears to teach that the bankers, especially the so-called big bankers, need to taught the banking
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principles. It is an unfortunate situation that even the great central bankers appear to be in need of learning the
banking principles and the principles of central banking. There is no such thing as free-for-all-banking.
Banking Principles
It may seem to belabor the obvious to talk about the banking principles to the management community,
but it is the breach of these age-old, trusted principles which is the heart of the big or the first big financial
turmoil of the 21st century and all efforts at the national and international level are being expended to invent a
financial regulatory—Holy Grail(s) align to a wild-goose chase. After all, for all these years, especially in the
greatly inventive 22nd century, the world has not been living in financial regulatory dark times. The world had
lived through the far greater financial crisis of the great depression. It is now only great recession, somewhat a
lesser calamity. Eternal vigilance, they say, is the price of democracy, the winds of which appear to be blowing
across the seemingly democratically arid Arab World. Free market ideology and system is alien to economic
democracy that needs to be eternally guarded. But, the Guards, the bankers, viz. the central bankers appear to
be off the duty—the mighty Fed, the historical and imperial BOE and the no less distinguished BOJ, which, it
appears, need to learn from their lesser brethren like the Reserve bank of India (RBI) that had stood tall and
firm during the crisis. No less is the role played by central banking in the UAE—the entity of about four
decades. They are the examples of good banking.
Whatever it may be, no sub-prime loans, at the heart of financial crisis, banking calls upon among the
banking principles nor putting all investment eggs in one basket—In the crisis in housing (Sowell, 2009), nor
passing the buck on to the unsuspecting public around the world in the form of mortgaged back (un) securities
or derivatives. “The ‘creative’ financing of home mortgages and the marketing of financial securities based on
American mortgages around the world are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up and
then suddenly collapsed” (Financial Express, 2009).
Banks should reach out to the general public and make them to be a partner in their business, of which the
first is mobilization of deposits—the stock in trade of banks. It is needless to say is for the BOP or inclusive
banking or banking inclusive of the common man saving, Deposits, as such, are the first principle of banking
(The Penguin Dictionary of Economics, 1972), from which the rest of the banking principles follow—Liquidity,
Security, Prudence, Economy, Reserves, Sound Investment, Due Diligence, Trusteeship, Public Confidence,
Low Profile, Productivity, Credit creation, Monitoring, Mortgages, Credit Counseling, Recoveries, Deposit and
Interest Rates, Profit Margins, CEO Pay and Bonuses and Perks. The Golden Rules of Banking are liquidity,
Security, Profitability, and Public Trust.
Above all, the central banks should stand tall and see that however their constituent banks are big and
trying to be forbidding on the right lines and are not an authority and law unto themselves. The real
regulatory measures in the given circumstances would be to create a Regulator of Central Bank, say, Fed
Regulator or Regulatory Authority, a ridiculous proposition. The mandate of central banking is banking
governance beyond all hum-drum politics and politicking. Central Banks are begin to be banking rulers and
overlord with carrot-and-stick. The Fed should have heard quite in advance the tolling of the bells of the
impending crisis.
Here is the great economist the late Prof. Samuelson has to say about the Fed-Federal Reserve System, the
US Central Bank, generally acknowledges to the first of the Central banks of the developed world, where
decisions have world-wide repercussions. The Fed is said to be interested in the interest of the American public
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and always acts in their favor (Samuelson, 1980). But it appears to have failed in the present crisis daily costing
huge to the US public.
In 1913, Congress created a Federal Reserve Act, signed by President Wilson. The reform sprang from the panic of 1907, with the alarming epidemic of bank failures. After half a dozen years’ agitation and discussion by both parties, the Federal Reserve System was formed-in face of strong banker opposition. (p. 275)
So any banking reforms and regulations are not easy.
The Fed is a public agency, its role has expanded over the years (MacDonald & Koch, 2006), but its
primary focus has remained the same, and the Fed is directly responsible for Congress, and whenever any
conflict arises between its making a profit and the public interest. It acts according to the public interest without
question. It is in fact, one of the most eminent public institutions of the US. Although the President appoints the
Board of Governors and considers that its allegiance is primarily to congress and not to the executive branch.
This is not intended to be an easy thing on Banking and Central banking, but on the big financial or
banking crisis of 2008 and the regulatory concerns raised by it and the search on for new regulations and
regulatory bodies, which even if necessary are not going to be an easy sailing in the light of the seemingly
“sovereign” of big banks and their rightist or ultra rightist political pals. The battle for any regulations or
regulatory bodies is most likely to be lost, at the very thought stage. It is not the intention to paint a dark or
darker picture of the troubled situation, but to bring home human and leadership failure(s). There is no lack of
“weapons” of bank and credit regulation—both major and minor. There is the minor but powerful weapon of
“Moral suasion” to make the banks see reason and the writing on the wall, from indulging in any unbanking
practices. This does not appear to have been used by any during or after the present crisis. It is the weapon of
last resort, a powerful weapon which puts the guilty and the culprit at the bar of public opinion and makes the
things known to the banking and the general public and all stakeholders. As it is, the bank’ CEO appear to be in
low public estimation. The general consensus is that the crisis is owing to the bankers “greed” and unbanking
practices. Both CEO royalism does not seem to impress the general public.
The Big Crisis
Among the results of the crisis is the output of large “crisis literature”, which is not to be at an end for
quite some time to come. “The economic recession that the world stumbled into seems to have caused larger
damage to the forests than banks, the ‘recession literature’ it is already packed to rafters” (Jagannath, 2011).
There may be a larger picture involved in the crisis, as the crisis may be depicted as the crisis of capitalism.
There are forever capitalism bashers, but the system is instead of collapsing or exhibiting any signs of collapse
even getting back to its feet. The over-riding factors or the factors in all the exercise regarding the crisis is
sub-prime or bad or un-maintainable or ineligible loans quite overwhelmingly to the single sector of housing
from the start of the 21st century in the United States of America and elsewhere. This breaches the banking rule
of not putting all eggs in one basket, so theoretically and practically quite an untenable banking proposition for
any good length of time. It is a case of infirm or bad credit management. Sub-Prime loans are not at all in the
banking lexicon. Do the banks need to be told these basic principles of banking in India, the RBI—Reserve
Bank of India cautious the banks to be wary of real estate loans. Then, during the crisis, the RBI has had the
good fortune of good leaders or Governors—D. Subba Rao and his predecessor Y.V. Reddy. Dr. Reddy was
taken to be a crisis averting central banker by no less than an authority than Prof. Stiglitz, an Economics Nobel
Laureate. Then the crisis boils down to the crisis in central banking leadership. It is Prof. Krugman’s constant
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thesis and refrain that the crisis is entirely the work of the big US bankers. He has very strong words for them,
such as looters. His almost seemingly single-point program of banking reform and regulation is banker’s
compensation (Krugman, 2009). Prof. Krugman too is an Economics Laureate and a people’s economist whose
opinions cannot be brushed aside as partisan or ideological. The Fed and its leadership are not spared. In his
view, the Fed is awakening from its slumber and thinks that the banker’s compensations too fall within its
regulatory purview as a measure of preventing reckless banking. For “royal” pay and perks, bonuses, house
furnishings, paid holidays, private jets, etc., also, it needs no elaboration, and does not fall within the principles
of sound banking, The US public appears to be palpably furious about the banking royalty. The fury is directed
against the presidency and Fed for not disciplining the big businesses.
From the first (Semmler, 2009) to the latest (Bartiromo, 2011) stories of the crisis point to the deliberate
breaking of the banking principles as the proximate cause of the crisis, starting with the lack of saving drive to
excessive leveraging, non-prime or subprime loans, heavy housing loans, heavy risk taking, complex securities,
the outsourcing of risk, fat pay packs and large bonuses, poor CRM deception, cut throat competition, and bad
leadership worse are the accusations of fraud against the big Businesses of the United States of America, the
banking of which should set a model not of democratic banking, the United States of America standing for the
cause of democracy world over and which is the bond of affinity between the US and India. It is reported to be
a big public furor and wrath against the big banking of America from their own people which should be an
enough cause for deep introspection and self reform and regulations, beyond any government regulatory
concerns, reforms, and measures. The public appears to be equally or palpable against the great Fed and its
celebrity leadership. The great Greenspan, the ex-Fed, head appears to be no more than a national icon, and the
current head Ben Bernanke, an academic, just scraped through the senate for his second term. The role of the
fellow bankers in the collapse of the 19th century origin from Lehman September 15th, 2008, heralding the
financial crisis of nearly a century is claimed to be no less than that of the Richard Fuld, Lehman CEO, and
rated No. 1 among the best American CEOs. The crisis sounds a great human drama disappointment with the
charismatic President Obama seems to be no less, with his putting of health reforms as No. 1 program of his
Administration amidst the big crisis. For, while the importance of a public health program cannot either be
discounted or ruled out, the crisis should have been addressed first. That is, First Things First. The president, it
seems was vetoed down in the Massachusetts senate election in January 2010 wherein democratic stronghold,
the democratic candidate, a lady, had to give into the Republican one, spurring the president to financial
regulatory concerns and reforms after nearly one and a half years of crisis, during which time massive bailouts
were being handed over to the “too big to fail” (too big to reform and regulate too?) banks by the Fed and the
Treasury, denting a big deficit hole in the budget to be called a bailout budget, bailouts 1.25 tr. and deficit 1.35
tr. (Financial Express, 2010). The crisis is compounded by the budgetary and trade deficits.
The US macroeconomic fundamentals are indicative of policy shifts that occurred just after the turn of the
Century toward fiscal and monetary excess. “Twin deficits” have characterized the US economy after 2001.The
current account deficit reflects the imbalance between US national savings and investment, which takes into
account both government and private saving and investment balance.
The twin deficits as well as banking lapses, by and large, point to leadership failure for which there cannot
be any regulatory remedy, leaving the lapses of political or presidential leadership aside for the time being,
before, during as well after the crisis lapse of central banking leadership is most telling, especially in the light
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of the well known Davos or WEF consensus for strong, proactive central banks or more appropriately central
bankers. Hence, the lament of D. Subbarao, Governor, Reserve Bank of India over the loss of creditable of
central banks during the crisis (Subbarao, 2010). Hence, any number of regulatory concerns arising out of the
crisis (Reddy, 2010), from capital base to the quality of credit, quite understandably, but all falling to the lot of
any central banks. Any financial regulations are sure to be met with stiff bankers’ opposition as opposed to
their freedom of enterprise. The crisis-born Reforms or Regulations, after a lot of deliberations and
compromises also fall short of popular expectations, as, for example, leaving the crucial issue of banker’s pay
to the shareholders (Financial Express, 2010). Hence, what appears to be called for is central bank Dynamic
Regulatory Management, the IMF, which also failed to throw any light in the troubled situation (Economic &
Political Weekly, 2011). The consequences of which are expected to be lost for quite some time.
Dynamic Regulatory Management
So the ball of crisis management and crisis prevention is thrown into the court of the central bank. It
cannot abdicate its natural banking authority and responsibility to any other body. It is the public representative.
Big banks should be model banks, as the SBI-State Bank of India, the biggest of all Indian banks and other
nationalized and private and foreign banks of India, because the Reserve Bank of India is forever monitoring
the situation.
Economic and business situation is ever changing, even keel through this changing situation by an
appropriate and dynamic, democratic, and progressive regulatory management that is primitive of growth with
equity. There should not be duplication of banking regulators or authorities. The principles of management are
as much applicable to central banking as to business bodies. However public welfare replaces profit motive.
Conclusions
The Global Financial Crisis of 2008, signaled by the fall of Lehman Brothers on September 15, 2008, has
many lessons to impart to the politicians, policy makers and bankers and central bankers, to the last, mainly.
The crisis, called Great Recession, falls within the domain of central banking. It is the result of breaking all
banking principles, with unbridled competition and a seemingly insatiable thirst for profits and fat pay, bonus
and perks that do not fall within the ambit or democratic banking. The crisis has raised regulatory concerns and
search for unfailing banking regulations and regulatory authorities. The search leads to good old central
banking and a dynamic regulatory management (DRM) by it.
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