Economics Assignment 2

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TheAD-ASModelpart3of3.pdf

THE AD – AS MODEL (PART 3 OF 3)

ECO 9740 | Henry

OBJECTIVE

Our discussion will look at the supply side of the AD – AS model

and then look at the AD – AS model

At the end of this lecture, you should understand and be

comfortable with

o the aggregate supply (AS) curve – why it slopes upwards

and what factors will cause it to shift

o using the AD – AS to describe inflationary and necessary

gaps and how the economy can self-adjust eventually

THE AGGREGATE SUPPLY CURVE

Aggregate Supply (AS): shows the relationship between

each possible price level and the quantity of goods and

services that all the nation’s firms are willing to produce

during a specified period of time, holding all other

determinants of aggregate quantity supplied constant

Why does it slope upward?

o input prices (such as wages) are normally fixed for

some period of time

o higher output prices lead to higher production

THE AS CURVE The AS curve and potential GDP (SRAS and LRAS)

P0

AS0 (SRAS0)

Ypot Output (Real GDP)

Price Level (GDPD)

Potential GDP (LRAS)

THE AS CURVE Recall ~

Factors that shift the level of potential output ( shift LRAS)

o changes in the factors of production (labor, land,

capital, natural resources)

Factors that shift the AS curve (SRAS curve)

o nominal wage rate

o prices of other inputs

o technology and productivity

o available supplies of labor and capital

THE AS CURVE The AS curve and potential GDP (SRAS and LRAS)

AS1 (SRAS1)

Y1

P0

AS0 (SRAS0)

Ypot Output (Real GDP)

Price Level (GDPD)

Y2

Potential GDP (LRAS)

AS2 (SRAS2)

THE AD – AS MODEL Equilibrium of Real GDP and the Price Level

P0

AS0 (SRAS0)

Output (Real GDP)

Price Level (GDPD)

Y0

AD0

THE AD – AS MODEL

Inflation and the multiplier ~

o AS is upward sloping

o an increase in AD will increase the price level

THE AD – AS MODEL Equilibrium of Real GDP and the Price Level

P0

AS0 (SRAS0)

Output (Real GDP)

Price Level (GDPD)

Y0

AD0

AD1

Y1 Y

P1

THE AD – AS MODEL

Inflation and the multiplier ~

o AS is upward sloping

o an increase in AD will increase the price level

o higher prices will reduce consumers purchasing power

(and decrease net exports)

o inflation reduces the value of the multiplier suggested

by the oversimplified multiplier (from chapter 9)

THE AD – AS MODEL Long Run Equilibrium

Potential GDP (LRAS)

P0

AS0 (SRAS0)

Output (Real GDP)

Price Level (GDPD)

Y0

AD0

Y0 = Ypot

THE AD – AS MODEL But, what if AD = SRAS at an output level that is not the

potential GDP?

Two scenarios ~

o short run equilibrium with a recessionary gap

o short run equilibrium with an inflationary gap

THE AD – AS MODEL Short Run equilibrium (recessionary gap) ~

o equilibrium GDP is below potential GDP

THE AD – AS MODEL Short Run Equilibrium (recessionary gap)

Potential GDP (LRAS)

P0

AS0 (SRAS0)

Output (Real GDP)

Price Level (GDPD)

Y0

AD0

Ypot

recessionary gap

THE AD – AS MODEL Adjusting to Long Run Equilibrium

Potential GDP (LRAS)

P0

AS0 (SRAS0)

Output (Real GDP)

Price Level (GDPD)

Y0

AD0

Ypot

AS1 (SRAS1)

P1

THE AD – AS MODEL Short Run equilibrium (recessionary gap) ~

o equilibrium GDP is below potential GDP

o the economy experiences unemployment (cyclical) |

actual UE > natural rate of UE

o if nominal wages fall, eventually the SRAS will shift to

the right

real world: nominal wages may not fall ● change in nominal wages is slow and uncertain

o process is really slow ● cyclical UE may linger ● hello

government?

THE AD – AS MODEL

Short Run equilibrium (inflationary gap) ~

o equilibrium GDP is above potential GDP

THE AD – AS MODEL Short Run Equilibrium (inflationary gap)

Potential GDP (LRAS)

P0

AS0 (SRAS0)

Output (Real GDP)

Price Level (GDPD)

Y0

AD0

Ypot

inflationary gap

THE AD – AS MODEL Adjusting to Long Run Equilibrium

Potential GDP (LRAS)

P0

AS0 (SRAS0)

Output (Real GDP)

Price Level (GDPD)

Y0

AD0

Ypot

AS1 (SRAS1)

P1

THE AD – AS MODEL

Short Run equilibrium (inflationary gap) ~

o equilibrium GDP is above potential GDP

o the economy experiences inflation and a short supply of

labor | actual UE < natural rate of UE

o nominal wages increase ● SRAS will shift to the left ●

production costs increases

o both prices and unemployment increases (stagflation) ●

stagflation usually occurs after excessive AD

o an aside: stagflation may also result from a negative supply

shock

THE AD – AS MODEL

Economic Growth~

o real world: price and output grow over time

o AD and SRAS increase over time | increase in population; K,

and/or L; improved technology

o if AD grows slower: slower growth in output ● less inflation

o if AD grows faster: faster growth in output ● more inflation

o supply shocks: higher rates of inflation will be associated

with lower rates of economic growth

o stabilization policy: Employment Act of 1946 ~ the federal

government is responsible for ensuring (pursuing?) the

economic stability of inflation and unemployment