Stats

Statistics in Surveys and Polls Project Information

STAT 2220

Summer 2018

Due to the 2016 presidential election, there has been more focus on the accuracy of predictions made from election polls. Many national polls incorrectly predicted who would be the winner of the 2016 presidential election.

On December 12, 2017, Alabama held a Senate special election to replace Senator Jeff Sessions who became the U.S. Attorney General. This contentious election pitted Doug Jones (Democrat) versus Roy Moore (Republican). In the end, Doug Jones won the election with 50% of the vote while Roy Moore had 48%.

For this project, you will investigate 2 polls (Fox News and Emerson) used to predict the winner of the Alabama Senate special election. The Fox News poll correctly predicted the winner while the Emerson poll did not. Go to the following link for information:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/senate/al/alabama_senate_special_election_moore_vs_jones-6271.html

The purpose of this project is to delve into issues (pros and cons) with polls from a statistical perspective. You should relate information discussed in lecture in your presentation. Present your detailed discussions in a PowerPoint presentation.

Refer to the project guidelines and rubric as you complete your presentation.

Statistics in Surveys and Polls Project Guidelines

Include the following in your presentation in the following order :

Slide 1: Project Title and your name

Slide(s): Introduction/project overview

Slide(s): Fox News poll- Provide background information about this poll including date(s) poll was conducted, how the poll was conducted, demographics of those polled, sample size etc.

Slide(s): Emerson poll – Provide background information about this poll including date(s) poll was conducted, how the poll was conducted, demographics of those polled, sample size etc.

Slide(s): Compare and contrast Fox News and Emerson polls

Slide(s): Discuss the pros and cons of each poll as it relates to being able to predict the winner

Slide(s): Conclusion/Final thoughts

Slide(s): References (at least 4 references)

Your presentation should include diagrams and/or pictures and your text should be grammatically correct. Reference all information in your presentation.

Statistics in Surveys and Polls Project Rubric

Slide	5 points Completed	2.5 points Partially completed	0 points Not completed
Title slide

Slide	15 points Excellent	12 points Very Good	9 points Good	6 points Satisfactory	3 points Sufficient	0 points Not completed
Introduction
Fox News poll information
Emerson poll information
Compare and contrast polls
Discussion
Conclusion

Slide	5 points Completed	2.5 points Partially completed	0 points Not completed
Reference

10 points will be deducted from your final project grade for not following directions.

5 points will be deducted from your final project grade for each grammatical error or misspelled word.