Budgeting and Forecasting with excel

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summativeassessment2021-forstudents.xlsx

Sheet1

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9359436181
R Square 0.8759904563
Adjusted R Square 0.8604892633
Standard Error 3219.4083545009
Observations 10
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 585715052.875758 585715052.875758 56.5111638982 0.000068147
Residual 8 82916721.2242424 10364590.1530303
Total 9 668631774.1
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept 43330.9333333333 2199.274593606 19.7023752556 0.0000000458 38259.3970260284 48402.4696406382 38259.3970260284 48402.4696406382
YEAR 2664.503030303 354.4451943451 7.517390764 0.000068147 1847.1509464401 3481.855114166 1847.1509464401 3481.855114166

Sheet2

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9486292924
R Square 0.8998975343
Adjusted R Square 0.8712968298
Standard Error 3092.1949951604
Observations 10
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 601700084.883333 300850042.441667 31.4641737231 0.0003173633
Residual 7 66931689.2166666 9561669.88809524
Total 9 668631774.1
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept 47158.85 3636.8910732289 12.9668029783 0.0000037741 38558.9691678418 55758.7308321583 38558.9691678418 55758.7308321583
YEAR 750.5446969697 1518.9190383192 0.4941308115 0.636340825 -2841.1280972458 4342.2174911852 -2841.1280972458 4342.2174911852
yr sq 173.9962121212 134.5705141289 1.2929742689 0.2370550702 -144.2124891372 492.2049133796 -144.2124891372 492.2049133796

Sheet3

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9486292924
R Square 0.8998975343
Adjusted R Square 0.8712968298
Standard Error 3092.1949951604
Observations 10
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 601700084.883333 300850042.441667 31.4641737231 0.0003173633
Residual 7 66931689.2166666 9561669.88809524
Total 9 668631774.1
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept 47158.85 3636.8910732289 12.9668029783 0.0000037741 38558.9691678418 55758.7308321583 38558.9691678418 55758.7308321583
YEAR 750.5446969697 1518.9190383192 0.4941308115 0.636340825 -2841.1280972458 4342.2174911852 -2841.1280972458 4342.2174911852
Yr ^ 2 173.9962121212 134.5705141289 1.2929742689 0.2370550702 -144.2124891372 492.2049133796 -144.2124891372 492.2049133796

Assessment (1 sheet)

Budgeting and Forecasting Fill out the areas in buff/beige. Do not use other cells, we may miss it in grading!
Summer 2021 Your name:
Prof. Larry Louie
The Summative Assessment is based on The Clorox Company. The questions in this assessment are partially based on facts, and partially fictitious. Its purpose is to evaluate your understanding
of the course topics.
Score Q# Pts
in millions
Balance Sheet 1 2 You have joined the FP&A department at The Clorox Company. The CFO, Kevin Jacobsen, has risen through the ranks since 1995. His last position prior to promotion to CFO was as VP of FP&A.
Report Date 06/30/2016 06/30/2017 06/30/2018 06/30/2019 06/30/2020 He is looking to add you to his already strong FP&A team. This is your interview with the current FP&A team. The first question is "What is the difference in the role of FP&A and the Controller"?
Cash & Equivalents 401.00 418.00 131.00 111.00 871.00
Cash & Equivs & ST Investments 401.00 418.00 131.00 111.00 871.00
Receivables (ST) 569.00 565.00 600.00 631.00 648.00
Inventories 443.00 459.00 506.00 512.00 454.00 2 2 "Our CFO Kevin spent 8 years in FP&A prior to his CFO promotion. What is the role of FP&A in working with the CEO, CFO and Board of Directors? Give two examples of work that FP&A does
Prepayments (ST) 70.00 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 to contribute to executive level decisions"
Other Current Assets 2.00 72.00 74.00 51.00 47.00
Total Current Assets 1,485.00 1,514.00 1,311.00 1,305.00 2,020.00
Gross Property Plant & Equip 2,817.00 2,932.00 3,057.00 3,184.00 3,327.00
Accumulated Depreciation 1,911.00 2,001.00 2,061.00 2,150.00 2,224.00 3 4 Here are two examples of products in our wide ranging portfolio of consumer products. From the standpoint of the Growth-Share Matrix, a) which quadrant would you find the
Net Property Plant & Equip 906.00 931.00 996.00 1,034.00 1,103.00 Glad to be Green and Clorox Bleach products? And b) what would be the investment strategy for the two product groups and why?
Intangible Assets 1,932.00 1,918.00 2,531.00 2,503.00 2,471.00
Other Assets 195.00 210.00 222.00 274.00 619.00
Total Assets 4,518.00 4,573.00 5,060.00 5,116.00 6,213.00
Accounts Payable & Accrued Exps 1,035.00 1,005.00 1,001.00 1,035.00 1,329.00
Accounts Payable 490.00 501.00 627.00 623.00 731.00
Accrued Expenses 545.00 504.00 374.00 412.00 598.00
Current Debt 523.00 804.00 199.00 396.00 - 0
Other Current Liabilities - 0 - 0 - 0 9.00 89.00
Total Current Liabilities 1,558.00 1,809.00 1,200.00 1,440.00 1,418.00
LT Debt & Leases 1,797.00 1,391.00 2,284.00 2,287.00 2,780.00
Pensions & OPEB 335.00 298.00 283.00 280.00 294.00
Deferred LT Liabilities 82.00 61.00 72.00 50.00 62.00
Minority Interests - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0
Other Liabilities 449.00 472.00 495.00 500.00 751.00
Total Liabilities 4,221.00 4,031.00 4,334.00 4,557.00 5,305.00
Common Share Capital 159.00 159.00 159.00 159.00 159.00
Additional Paid-In Capital 868.00 928.00 975.00 1,046.00 1,137.00
Retained Earnings 2,163.00 2,440.00 2,797.00 3,150.00 3,567.00
Accum Other Comprehensive Income (570.00) (543.00) (547.00) (602.00) (640.00)
Treasury Stock 2,323.00 2,442.00 2,658.00 3,194.00 3,315.00
For Curr Trans (BS) (353.00) (356.00) (384.00) (414.00) - 0
Other Equity 353.00 356.00 384.00 414.00 - 0
Total Equity 297.00 542.00 726.00 559.00 908.00 4 4 What are the five types of data captured in a Growth-Share Matrix? What are the names of the four quadrants? If Clorox wants to sustain growth, which quadrant would be the most
Total Liabilities & Equity 4,518.00 4,573.00 5,060.00 5,116.00 6,213.00 fertile quadrant to find the most promising new businesses? Why?
Income Statement
Report Date 06/30/2016 06/30/2017 06/30/2018 06/30/2019 06/30/2020
Sales Revenue 5,761.00 5,973.00 6,124.00 6,214.00 6,721.00
Total Revenue 5,761.00 5,973.00 6,124.00 6,214.00 6,721.00
Direct Costs 3,163.00 3,302.00 3,449.00 3,486.00 3,658.00
Gross Profit 2,598.00 2,671.00 2,675.00 2,728.00 3,063.00
Selling General & Admin 1,393.00 1,409.00 1,407.00 1,468.00 1,644.00
Depreciation & Amortization 8.00 10.00 11.00 17.00 13.00
Research & Development 141.00 135.00 132.00 136.00 145.00
Restructure, Remediation & Impair 9.00 23.00 1.00 - 0 2.00 5 3 You have been asked to create a SMART goal for the Glad to be Green" product. Give one SMART goals for 2022, and explain how it meets the SMART objectives.
Other Operating Expense (4.00) 7.00 (1.00) (10.00) 2.00
Total Indirect Operating Costs 1,547.00 1,584.00 1,550.00 1,611.00 1,806.00
Operating Income 1,051.00 1,087.00 1,125.00 1,117.00 1,257.00
Interest Income (83.00) (84.00) (79.00) (94.00) (97.00)
Gains on Sale of Assets - 0 11.00 (4.00) - 0 - 0
Other Non-Operating Income - 0 - 0 - 0 (14.00) 5.00
Total Non-Operating Income (83.00) (73.00) (83.00) (108.00) (92.00) 6 Calculate the ratio for five years (data on the left) and interpret
Earnings Before Tax 968.00 1,014.00 1,042.00 1,009.00 1,165.00 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
1 Current Ratio = current assets/current liabilities
Taxation 335.00 330.00 231.00 204.00 246.00 1 interpretation of the above
Equity Earnings 15.00 19.00 12.00 15.00 20.00
Discontinued Operations - 0 (2.00) - 0 - 0 - 0 1 Total Asset Turnover = sales/total assets
Net Income 648.00 701.00 823.00 820.00 939.00 1 interpretation of the above
Average Shares Basic 129.47 128.95 129.29 127.73 125.83 1 Total Liabilities/ Asset Ratio
EPS Net Basic 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 1 interpretation of the above
EPS Continuing Basic 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Average Shares Diluted 131.72 131.57 131.58 129.79 127.67 1 Net Profit Margin = net income/sales
EPS Net Diluted 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 1 interpretation of the above
EPS Continuing Diluted 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Shares Outstanding 129.36 129.01 127.98 125.69 126.20 1 Research and Development as % of sales = r&d expenses/sale
1 interpretation of the above
Cash Flow Statement
Report Date 06/30/2016 06/30/2017 06/30/2018 06/30/2019 06/30/2020 2 What is your overall impression of the financial performance, based solely on the ratios above (no extra work needed)
Net Income 648.00 701.00 823.00 820.00 939.00
Adjustments from Inc to Cash 216.00 217.00 239.00 174.00 258.00
Change in Working Capital (96.00) (47.00) (88.00) (28.00) 316.00
Other Operating Cash Flows 10.00 (3.00) - 0 26.00 33.00 3 Review the statement of cash flows. a) did they generate or use cash from operating activities? b) what did they invest in? c) what were major cash used for debt and equity?
Cash Flow from Operations 778.00 868.00 974.00 992.00 1,546.00
- 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0
Purchase of Pty Plant & Equip (172.00) (231.00) (194.00) (206.00) (254.00)
Acquisitions (290.00) - 0 (681.00) - 0 - 0
Other Investing Cash Flows 32.00 26.00 16.00 10.00 2.00
Cash Flow from Investing (430.00) (205.00) (859.00) (196.00) (252.00) 7 2 "We often create spreadsheets for our operating divisions' use. What are two examples of Excel "hygiene" that will make the spreadsheets more easily useable by division personnel
- 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 and less likely to have errors made by those users?
Change in ST Debt 426.00 (125.00) (214.00) 189.00 (396.00)
Change in LT Debt (300.00) - 0 491.00 - 0 492.00
Treasury stock purchased (254.00) (183.00) (271.00) (661.00) (248.00)
Payment of Dividends (398.00) (412.00) (450.00) (490.00) (533.00)
Issuance of common stock for employee stock options 210.00 75.00 45.00 147.00 162.00
Cash Flow from Financing (316.00) (645.00) (399.00) (815.00) (523.00)
Change in Cash 19.00 17.00 (287.00) (21.00) 766.00 8 8 "Here is a hypothetical model for a new product launch. Create one example of a sensitivity analysis and one example of a scenario analysis. For full credit, explain what you are testing with the sensitivity and scenario, do the calculation, and interpret the results.
- 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0
Opening Cash 382.00 401.00 418.00 134.00 113.00
Closing Cash 401.00 418.00 131.00 113.00 879.00 Price 4.00
- 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 units sold 10,000
Depn & Amortn (CF) 165.00 163.00 166.00 180.00 180.00 product costs 1.50
Net Purch of Pty Plant & Equip (172.00) (231.00) (194.00) (206.00) (254.00) selling and marketing costs 5,000
Revenues 40,000
product costs 15,000
selling and marketing costs 5,000
profit 20,000
9 4 What is the difference between the steps in a scenario analysis and a simulation? Be specific for full credit.
Day # Units Sold 10 4 Refer to the data for customer sales on the left. Compute the indicated statistical measures
1 3,800 Mean
2 8,500 Median
3 2,100 Standard deviation
4 10,000
5 14,000 Sales corresponding to the top decile of customers
6 700
7 1,800
8 12,000
9 3,000
10 18,000
11 3,100
12 13,300
13 9,000 "We have been asked to assist the warehouse on a problem they are having with on time deliveries. They would like ideas on how to improve. Of the following techniques, which is most
14 2,000 11 3 appropriate to address this as quickly as possible? Fish bone, Kaisen, Lean Manufacturing, Six Sigma, Total Quality Management
15 13,000
16 8,000
17 13,700
18 4,000
19 1,700
20 1,600
21 800 12 8 The Production Engineering department has an annual expense of $4 million, most of it in salaries
22 30,000 Currently, it is charged to divisions based on total products manufactured. Look at the data below and apply the ABC concepts to recommend an allocation of the
23 600 production engineering costs to the four products Explain your choice of the basis for allocation.
24 20,000 Total Production Engineering costs 4,000,000
25 2,400 # of units produced # of direct labor hours used Hours of Production Engineering hours Total Manufacturing Costs
26 1,500 Product
27 10,500 Product A 20,000 250 5,000 5,000,000
28 900 Product B 100,000 500 7,000 20,000,000
29 400 Product C 300,000 1,200 4,000 40,000,000
30 11,500 Product D 900,000 900 4,000 80,000,000
31 16,500
13 2 "We use an On Demand Business Outlook approach. What is the difference between this approach and the more traditional way of budgeting? Why is it better than traditional budgeting?
14 5 You are asked to explain to a new manager the difference between incremental budgeting and zero based budgets?
Which do you recommend and why?
15 6 One of our main contributions is our work on capital investments. Analyze the projects below and
compute the NPV, IRR, PI and Payback for both. The required rate of return is 12% for each project.
in $000's 0 1 2 3 4 5
Project A -5000 1000 2000 2000 2000 1500
Project B -1000 100 300 500 600 700
16 3 If you could only select one project, which would you choose? If you had unlimited capital, what would you do?
I would recommend Project B since it has the highest Profitability Index. This means for every dollar of initial capital investments, it generates the most value (NPV of the future cash flows). If there is excess funds, we can consider also funding Project A or other projects we have not seen here.
17 3 Assume there is another high risk, high return alternative investment, Project C. If the total investment amount is $5 million, how can you use real options to make this project more attractive? For full credit be specific to show why your approach is effective.
3. Forecasted Financial Statements 18 10 Use the information to the left and determine the value of equity and the price per share (caution: this is a time consuming and challenging question!)
dollars in millions Actual Forecast additional information:
current 1 2 3 4 cost of capital 11%
Cash 30.0 40.0 45.0 55.0 70.0 long term growth% 2%
Marketable sec 100.0 150.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 tax rate = 35%
Accounts receivable 300.0 450.0 500.0 520.0 550.0 shares outstanding 400
Inventories 190.0 230.0 240.0 250.0 270.0
Prepaid expenses 40.0 44.0 49.0 55.0 60.0
Total Current Assets 660.0 914.0 1,034.0 1,180.0 1,350.0
Net fixed assets 450.0 550.0 600.0 650.0 700.0
Goodwill 100.0 150.0 150.0 300.0 300.0
Total Assets 1,210.0 1,614.0 1,784.0 2,130.0 2,350.0
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities 200.0 270.0 290.0 325.0 375.0
Short term loans 40.0 40.0 50.0 55.0 60.0
Total current liabilities 240.0 310.0 340.0 380.0 435.0
Bonds payable 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 150.0
Other operating non-current liabilities 35.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0
total long term liabilities 185.0 200.0 210.0 220.0 230.0
total liabilities 425.0 510.0 550.0 600.0 665.0
Common stock (300mil shares outstanding) 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.0
Retained Earnings 725.0 1,044.0 1,174.0 1,470.0 1,625.0
Total shareholders' equity 785.0 1,104.0 1,234.0 1,530.0 1,685.0
Total liabilities and equity 1,210 1,614 1,784 2,130 2,350
NOPAT 600 650 750 900
19 8 The data for 2010 TO 2019 for a Clorox division revenues is to the left. Analyze using two approaches: a) Compute and graph the 4 year moving average and b) Use the quadratic regression technique to determine a formula for sales in year 11. For full credit, show the formula, the sales estimate, and your assessment of the accuracy of the formula.
YEAR SALES
1 44,000
2 54,000
3 55,000
4 52,700
5 56,000
6 57,500
7 59,000
8 63,000
9 71,000
10 72,000
20 4 Performance Reporting
Clorox is moving toward a more comprehensive reporting approach.
What would be one example of a metric that shows their commitment to sustainability?
What would be one example of a metric that shows their commitment to the community?
100 total points possible
0.0