StatisticsinSurveysandPollsPart1studentnotes.pptx

Statistics in Surveys and Polls Part 1: Types of Surveys and Non-random Sampling Methods

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Definitions

Surveys– an important kind of observational study; a sample is gathered from the population

Polls– a specific type of survey; usually by phone or mail; usually a political or social topic, interested in opinions and attitudes

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Types of Surveys

Face-to-face surveys

Mail surveys

Telephone interview surveys

E-mail/Internet/Text surveys

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Reminder

Opinions of all registered voters

Opinions of selected registered voters

Population of units = all registered voters

Unit = a registered voter

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Types of sampling methods

Non-random sampling

Convenience sampling

Voluntary response sampling

Quota sampling

Snowball sampling

Random sampling

Simple random sampling

Systematic sampling

Stratified sampling

Cluster sampling

Multi-stage sampling

Also called non-probability sampling. Sampling in which units’ responses in population do not have same chance of being included in the sample.

Also called probability sampling. Sampling in which units’ responses in population do have same chance of being included in the sample.

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Chapter 2: The Problem with Samples (Part 1)

Bad sampling techniques often produce sample information that does not reflect the population. These techniques introduce bias: “systematically favoring certain outcomes or responses”

Non-random sampling techniques

Convenience sampling

Voluntary response sampling

Quota sampling

Snowball sampling

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Convenience Sampling

Asking the first 100 people you contact at a mall what they think about product X

Problems/Bias?

Asking the first 10% of students on class roll what they think about changing a test date

Problems/Bias?

Asking your friends what they think about text book costs

Problems/Bias?

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Voluntary Response Samples

Dr. Phil http://www.drphil.com/ asked his audience to respond to the following question; “If you could start over, would you have children again?”

Problems/Bias

Bill O’Reilly http://www.billoreilly.com/ asked his audience to respond to the following question; “Do you think secular politicians want to destroy Christmas?”

Problems/Bias

A company provides ambulance service to a town. The town paper asked readers to call in with a yes/no vote on keeping the service

Problems/Bias

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Quota Sampling

Used in market research

Population of units are divided into groups called strata

Strata consist of similar traits such as age, sex, states

Selection of units within strata is non-random

Units are selected so that the % of trait in sample is same as in the population

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Quota Sampling Example

Suppose you want to survey 100 high school students from a particular school.

Strata = grade level

Of 1000 students at school, there are 150 eleventh graders.

______% of students are 11th graders

If you want to survey 100 students, how many of these students should be 11th graders?

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Snowball Sampling

Initially, contact a few potential respondents and then ask them whether they know of anybody with the same characteristics that you are looking for in your research.

Examples

vegetarians / cyclists / people with a particular disability / people who support a particular political party, teachers etc.

Initial contacts may well have knowledge (through e.g. support group) of others.

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