Graduate level Project and journal

profilestudent2006
Scenarios.pdf

Background and Scenarios for Incident Action Plan Project

Little Columbia Southern Island Physical Attributes and Infrastructure Little Columbia Southern Island is a bridgeless barrier island located off the Southwest Coast of the United States. The nearest municipality is a one hour drive from the Columbia Coastal Marina, which then takes 45 minutes to reach the island by ferry or boat. The water between the mainland and the island is designated as a protected wildlife zone by the U. S. Fish and Game Commission. All boat traffic is limited to 15 mph per hour. The island is approximately seven miles in length and varies between 1/8 and 3/8 miles wide. The length and width of the island changes as currents erode and deposit sand along the shoreline. The only vehicles/equipment on the island are electric golf carts used by the residents, one 1930 jeep used to grade the main road, a Coastal Power & Light truck, one sea plane, and fire department apparatus. There are no commercial stores or facilities on the island, which includes food or other amenities. The governing body of the island is an Advisory Board with one person elected from each district of the island representing 2,724 residents. The island is divided equally into five different districts. The advisory board communicates concerns, problems or issues to the Columbia County Commissioner who represents the island. All Advisory Board and community meetings are held in the Coastal Chapel on the island. Rarely do the island residents attend any of the County Commission meetings due to the time and distance to the meetings held on the mainland. The Advisory Board provides a summary list of the issues and considerations for their County Commissioner to present at various hearings and meetings. The island is divided into three distinct mindsets. The northern end of the island will not utilize any governmental agency and refuses to have potable water connected to their homes. The middle of the island is made up of rental properties along the coast and bay. The southern part of the island is made up of residents who have a vision for change by developing the infrastructure to include water and sewer from the mainland. The majority of the island is single-family homes with two condominium developments; combined, both condominiums have 300 units. The condominiums on the bay are protected by a sprinkler system that is supplied from a fire pump connected to the island’s only pond. The island has no public use or facilities for public access. The road system consists of unimproved paths and dirt roads which are maintained by the residents. Many of the unimproved paths and dirt roads only allow vehicular access that is limited to the width of a golf cart. The main roadway system that runs the length of the island will accommodate fire apparatus and the island’s utility truck. Residents that live on the bay side have privately owned docks that extend out past the shallow flats for access to their home. Many of those homes are only accessible from the dock and water. There is only one dock that will accommodate the ferry and fire boat from Columbia County Emergency Services. The ferry is mainly used for transporting people and household garbage from the island to the Columbia Coastal Marina. The infrastructure is very limited with Coastal Power & Light providing electricity and the Coastal Telephone Company providing phone services. Cellular phone coverage is limited due to a lack of cellular towers within close range. Potable water is provided by a privately-owned water company (owned by one of the island residents). The privately-owned water company has a deep well that provides water to 10% of the island residents through a 3-inch water main with 1 ½ inch branches. The four fire hydrants located in the southern part of the island are fed from the fire pump. All the homes in the northern section of the island have individual cisterns that rely on rain as their source of water. Some homes have shallow wells and a reverse osmosis desalinization plant that provides water to 38% of the residents and condominiums. Single-family homes are on septic tanks and drain field systems, except the condominiums which has a wastewater treatment system. All parcels of the island are privately owned by the residents and there are 745 platted lots ranging in various sizes from one tenth of an acre to five acres. The majority of the homes and structures have

native vegetation within five feet and no fuel reduction buffers. Several of the residents have pushed for community awareness regarding Firewise principles and a defensible space, keeping wildfire away from homes and structures, but it has been met with resistance. They want the native vegetation to remain in place to have the old coastal look. Part of the concern from those aware of the fire danger are weather patterns and available firefighting resources that would influence the ability to control the fire quickly. Emergency Services Emergency medical services are provided by the Little Columbia Southern Island Fire Department. The fire department has two fulltime career personnel which includes the fire chief and a firefighter/paramedic. Four volunteers from the community provide assistance to the fire department on emergency incidents. The fire department is funded through a non-ad valorem assessment levied on each property and contributions from island residents and visitors during special events held on the island. Law enforcement is provided by the Columbia County Sheriff’s Department. The Little Columbia Southern Island Fire Department was formed after a fatal fire that killed four island residents. The delayed response from Columbia County Emergency Services to the fire occurred after the 9-1-1 call was dropped. The fire was so intense that fire investigators from the State could not determine the cause. Following that fire incident, the island’s Advisory Board met and demanded fire protection. After several meetings with their County Commissioner a solution was proposed to provide limited fire protection and emergency services from the county. The Little Columbia Southern Island Fire Department was able to maintain on-duty status of at least one or more persons 24 hours per day, 7 days a week. In addition, the fire department had to initiate measures to control the emergency while the county provided a full response to the incident, if needed. The Little Columbia Southern Island Fire Department had to also submit a proposed budget for approval during the budgetary process beginning each October 1st. The island’s Advisory Board also serves as the Fire Board with oversight for the fire department. The total budget for the fire department is $220,057.78. Twenty thousand dollars is raised by the volunteers and Advisory Board from the sale of tee-shirts and hats during special events on the island. The fire department is temporarily using one of the rental homes on the island as their station. The station has a small generator which provides power to the radio, refrigerator, and some emergency lights during power outages. Most emergency calls are received by a cellular phone which is carried by the on-duty person at the fire station. Many residents do not trust the Columbia County 9-1-1 Public Address System (PAS) since the communications center dropped the emergency call that resulted in the fatal fire. The fire department utilizes two all-wheel drive pickup trucks converted to fire apparatus and two all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) to access the beach and remote areas of the island.

Environmental-Related Emergency Scenario

Red Tide Along the coastal area of Little Columbia Southern Island, the largest red tide bloom in more than five decades occurred, killing thousands of fish. Long-term island residents have never seen such a magnitude of devastation to the fish and marine organisms as is occurring with this bloom. As the dead fish and marine organisms begin to wash ashore, many of the residents have begun to develop health issues. According to the Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, the Department of Environmental Protection, and the Columbia Marine Laboratory, this red tide bloom threat is expected to last for three months. A researcher with the Ocean Technology program at the Columbia Marine Laboratory suggested that the phenomenon of red tide blooms has existed for centuries and many times the bloom remains offshore. However, this bloom is impacting the health and safety of residents and commercial fishing for the entire coastal area. The Department of Environmental Protection obtained a sample of the red tide bloom and discovered the bloom is the harmful algal bloom (HAB). As a result, multiple manatees, sea turtles, and bottlenose dolphins are being washed up on the northern side of the island. Columbia County health officials, the Department of Environmental Protection, and the Columbia Marine Laboratory have issued warnings of brevetoxin exposure from the HAB. However, each agency’s warning does not exactly contain the same information. Nonetheless, they all agree that inhalation of aerosolized toxins or the consumption of any fish or marine life in the area may be dangerous to one’s health. They stated clinical symptom signs are respiratory illnesses followed by lethargy and muscle weakness including death. They have ordered a voluntary evacuation; however, residents of the island refuse to leave. The Department of Environmental Protection and health officials began monitoring the potable water from the reverse osmosis desalinization system and found HAB have penetrated the purification semipermeable membrane, allowing the toxin to be disseminated into the potable water. In fact, several residents had complained that the potable water tasted salty at times and county officials refused to investigate the complaints because of it being a private system. Within a week after the red tide bloom began to occur, 45 deaths resulted from people drinking the water and eating shellfish from the bay.

Fire-Related Emergency Scenario

Wildland Fire The coastal area surrounding Little Columbia Southern Island is under water restrictions due to an extreme drought condition with a deficiency of as much as 10 inches below the average rainfall for the island. Even native plants that can tolerate drought are showing signs of significant damage. Columbia County Wildland fire managers have issued burn bans for the entire coastal area and placed suppression resources on high alert. Fire units are dispatched to any calls reporting smoke. After eight months of being on high alert, the county had to restrict response to every call involving reported smoke because of budget constraints. Currently, all the calls have been false reports of islanders and those on the mainland burning household waste in burn barrels. Columbia County Emergency Services (CCES) developed a scenario-based standard operations guideline for responses of only one apparatus for reported flames showing until its arrival, and then units could be dispatched based on the scene size-up. The tradeoffs of responding only to flames showing have reduced expenditures and proved to be effective. Little Columbia Southern Island Fire Department (LCSIFD) had responded to multiple calls involving smoke from burn barrels despite the request not to burn household waste. However, the northern part of

the island refuses to abide by the request. After responding two to three times a day to the northern area, the fire department adopted the same guidelines as the county for only responding to visible flames. Moreover, due to the large amount of natural vegetation many times smoke was not noticed and the fire department was not even alerted. Drought conditions continued to worsen and resources available to respond to incidents became even more restricted due to multiple small fires occurring in the county. Columbia County petitioned the Federal Government for aid; however, due to the number of other disasters occurring across the Nation, requests were denied, unless there was a true disaster. After weeks of responding to small fires caused by human carelessness, CCES sent a memorandum to LCSIFD reminding them of the agreement that the county would provide a full response to the incident if needed and only after they attempted to mitigate the incident first. One reason listed in the memorandum was due to the daily number of fires not receiving a full response in the county because of limited resources. Small fires began to increase on the island, taxing the career firefighter and fire chief, as well as the four volunteer firefighters. The volunteers decided to respond only when notified by career personnel instead of the county dispatcher for working fires and emergencies. The volunteers’ only means of contact were through cell phones on an already taxed system of family members calling to check on loved ones. Weather conditions began to change and the normal weather patterns of the morning sea breezes moving inland and the land breeze moving toward the coast in the evening were making it impossible to predict fire behavior based on weather and time of day. Wind gusts up to 30 mph became a norm for the area, causing white caps in the bay, which was unheard of for decades. The LCSIFD responded to a small grass fire on the most southern part of the island where the only means of fire suppression was a float-a-pump that had to be hand carried to a canal in order to mitigate the fire. The fire was approximately covering a ¼ acre in moderate fuel. While fighting the fire on the southern part of the island, reports came in of a large fire that had developed in the northern part and was moving south. Multiple residences, including the volunteer firefighters, started to call the fire department cell phone to report multiple structure fires. The LCSIFD called CCES for mutual aid and were denied due to CCES working a 45-acre fire involving multiple structures in the eastern part of the county and they requested mutual aid to assist them. The LCSIFD fire chief left the southern fire to investigate the northern fire. A total of 12 structures were already lost and two more were involved. As nightfall was approaching, the winds had died down and the fire was near a natural fire break.

Storm-Related Emergency Scenario

Hurricane During the month of January, high winds and heavy rain caused localized flooding throughout the island. The majority of the homes are on stilts due to building codes, and the flooding only impeded the use of golf carts on the unimproved paths and dirt roads and drives of homes built in 1950s. Septic tanks were backing up and overflowing into stagnate flood waters. The only wastewater treatment plant on the island was affected due to the increase in rainfall, which caused the plant to exceed its capacity. Flood waters migrated to the unimproved paths and dirt roads as a result of years of use, causing the sand and dirt to displace lower than the existing island. Most of the telephone and communications cables were buried along these paths and the flood water began to infiltrate into the weak points along the cable. In February, a hurricane warning notification was issued by the National Weather Service for Columbia County and most of the coastal areas. The hurricane named Andrea was the first named storm of the year even though hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. Many of the islanders did not heed any of the warnings even though Hurricane Andrea was a Category 3. After all, they survived Hurricane Donna in the 1960s, when they had no real warnings.

The storm's initial onslaught began at approximately 2:30 p.m. on February 21. The heavy rains continued until 3 a.m. on February 22. These torrential rains added to the already saturated ground from the previous rains. The warning system, established to alert sleeping citizens in the rural areas on the mainland, proved to be totally inadequate for people living on the island since they could not hear the warning due to the island’s distance to the mainland. Virtually all deaths on the island occurred as a result of failure of the Columbia County Emergency Operations Center (CCEOC) to initiate timely warnings and to implement evacuation of the low-lying areas along the coastal area and Little Columbia Southern Island. The Columbia River overflowed its banks in the early morning hours of February 22, causing $8.3 million worth of damage to the area around Columbia Coastal Marina. The evacuation of 5,000 people from low- lying areas caused access from the marina to Little Columbia Southern Island to be shut down. Communications systems proved to be totally inadequate to cope with the devastation generated from Hurricane Andrea. There were no procedures established for evacuating and sheltering residents from the island or the marina area; which led to confusion. The following shortcomings were noted:

 Evacuation traffic control procedures were not coordinated among state police, county sheriff, and local law enforcement officials. This resulted in a traffic gridlock that delayed evacuation on the only main road leaving the marina.

 Red Cross was not tasked to operate the opened shelters north of Coastal Marina. The management of the shelter directly depended on the management skills of the school system. There was no previous training of school system personnel on shelter operation. In addition, there were no written materials available on shelter operation.

 Shelter management was marginal, at best, and there was no registration and systematic processing of evacuees. This was believed to be the underlying cause for the rumors that developed on February 21 that Hurricane Andrea caused hundreds of deaths. These rumors resulted in hours of anxiety for relatives and close friends of the evacuees.

 The Columbia County commercial telephone facility was damaged, as were many of the telephone lines. There was no prior effort to organize radio amateur civil emergency service (RACES) personnel and to incorporate their systems and capabilities into the emergency plan.

 The county does not have a communication plan that integrates the fire service, law enforcement, emergency management, and emergency medical service personnel into the overall communication plan.

Public Health-Related Emergency Scenario

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) One of the island residents returned to the island after being overseas and volunteering in several rural hospitals. During this time, the person was unknowingly carrying Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS). The man spoke at several island events during a seven day period and at neighboring humanitarian events throughout Columbia County. He even spoke at a July 4th event on the island where just under a thousand visitors made contact with him during the two-day event to raise money for another humanitarian trip. The next day, he suddenly became ill with shortness of breath, flu-like symptoms, gastrointestinal discomfort, muscle ache, and a cough. Over a two-day period, several more people on the island began

complaining of similar symptoms to include lethargy and a sore throat. There was a small red tide outbreak that causes the same symptoms in many patients. Paramedics from Little Columbia Southern Island Fire Department responded to the emergency and a patient was transported via boat to the closest hospital. As a result of the red tide bloom, many patients believed the symptoms were just that. The local hospital misdiagnosed SARs as the side effects of the red tide bloom and released the patient to return to the island. As a result, the disease spread rapidly throughout the tight-knit community with a total of 12 deaths.

Mass Casualty Incident Scenario

Mass Shooter Incident This scenario is based on active shooter and Mass Casualty Incidents (AS/MCIs). One of the island residents returned to the island after being overseas visiting several conflict zones where Islamic State extremist groups were known to be: Iraq and Syria. His reasons for visiting the conflict zones were for humanitarian efforts to provide war-torn children with toys and other items they have been deprived of because of ISIS/ISIL. Many islanders and others had given thousands of dollars to support his humanitarian efforts. Over several years, many of those supporters became concerned each time he returned to the island because of some of his views concerning jihad. Some islanders even began to believe that he was planning to fight with one of the militant groups in Syria and Iraq and was giving part of the money donated to him to these groups. During several presentations, he discussed the ideological appeal and savvy of ISIS/ISIL from his viewpoint. Even with this concern, many islanders continued to contribute for the sake of the children. On the same date the jihad’s holy war occurred years ago, over a hundred visitors from a church group that has publicly denounced the beliefs of ISIS/ISIL planned to visit the island for their annual retreat. After several months of planning and marketing that encouraged others to join, the church group was holding an outdoor event in the middle of the condominium complex. This same condominium donated two empty units to be used as storage for the toys and other items donated to the humanitarian effort. Near the closing of the church group’s event, which stressed critical points of the Islamic State extremist group, gunfire erupted and multiple victims were shot. Although the main attack ended within a few minutes, gunshots could be heard any time there was any movement in the “direct threat” or “hot zone” of the shooting. The shootings continued for hours and there were multiple casualties requiring extensive triage, treatment, and transportation. A few casualties that sustained only minor injuries self-evacuated and called 9-1-1 for assistance. They remained on the periphery of the shooting event. A few of those minor injured patients directly self-transported to the nearby local hospital on the mainland using boats from islanders that were trying to assist. This was crowding the narrow channel leading from the marina to the bay for first responders, impeding their response. This also caused problems for the receiving hospital as patients continued to show up. As the active shooter continued over several hours during the evening and night, the media became an issue by commandeering any available boat to reach the island. Due to their policies, the local fire and emergency medical services delayed their response because of concerns for their safety with no law enforcement on the island. In fact, the on-duty paramedic/firefighter could hear the cries and screams of those injured. The local law enforcement called for mutual aid for assistance since their team was only 15 officers employed by the County of Columbia. The anticipated response for mutual aid would take an hour to reach the marina. The local law enforcement’s plan of attack was to stage on the south end of the island after commandeering boats and then walk to the middle of the island clearing each residence on their way.