Case Analysis - STRATEGIC MARKETING MANAGEMENT
Tim Christiansen BUMT 5500
Superior Supermarkets
Superior Supermarket’s Problem
Superior Supermarkets has been in business in Dixie Town for over 60 years and has both
the largest number of stores in town, as well as the largest market share in supermarket sales.
Recently, Superior’s franchise wholesaler, which Superior has been a member of since 1952,
proposed that Superior use the private-label brand which it distributes as a way to boost sales and
margins for the store. Up until now, the store has only sold national brand labels and the owner
of Superior (Sam Harris) is very resistant to bringing in private labels. He has expressed his
belief that the company has been successful because it provides convenience, service and
national labels.
Sam Harris Jr, the son of the owner is at least open to the idea of bringing in private label
goods and has paid for a survey to be done to get some better data about what this change in the
store merchandise might be able to do for the company. While he is open to the idea, he does
admit that it would be a strategic change for the firm. The franchise group has said that in order
to be consistent for Superior’s customers the adoption of the private label goods would have to
be company-wide and for a minimum of five years.
The decision needs to be made at the next board meeting. Does Superior begin selling
private label merchandise, in every store, for the next five years, or not?
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Laying Out the Options
The first alternative is to simply reject the offer from the franchiser and continue business
as usual. Sales are good and have been going up, but there is a significant amount of competition
within the town for the consumer’s supermarket shopping dollar. The competition has been
relatively stable but consumers have been becoming more accepting of private labels and the
company might lose market share if it doesn’t have anything to offer to the cost conscious
consumer.
The second alternative is to accept the offer from the franchiser. Accepting the offer
would mean carrying these products for a minimum of five years, even if they did not seem to be
well accepted by Superior’s customers. And the products would have to be in every store. The
stores would also lose about 10% of the current shelf space to the private label brands. Since all
the stores have a concern about the amount of space in the store, the private label merchandise
would have to replace other brands rather than being considered as an additional source of
revenue. Sam Jr. had the controller of the company check on how this might affect the sales.
The controller said that the best estimates would be that anywhere from 2 to 15% of the sales
would switch from national brands to the private brand, and about 7% seems to be the average
from what he has seen. However, the private label merchandise would be priced about 10%
lower than the national brands they would be replacing, thus the next years sales estimate of $28
million would probably go down.
Sam Jr. wanted some hard data to help him decide whether he should try to encourage the
board to adopt the private label merchandise. He knew that at the absolute minimum, bringing in
the private label merchandise must not lower the overall gross margin dollars for the store. The
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survey he arranged to have done by a college class in the town will provide him with some
primary data which may help in making the decision.
Evaluating the Options
Maintain Status Quo
The first option of essentially doing nothing does have some very appealing aspects.
First, there would be no change in current operations, so there would be no cost associated with
restocking and relabeling shelves, etc. Admittedly, those are probably minor costs, but in
addition to no change in the operations, there would be no change in the image of the firm to the
public. It would continue on by providing convenient locations, national brands at the premium
prices they demand, and good customer service.
The data the Sam Jr. has collected also lends some support to this option. Table A-1
shows the Superior is the most patronized of all the chain supermarkets at 30.5% of all shoppers.
While the difference between Superior and Old South was only a little over one percent, it was
higher, even though Old South carries private label goods. And Table A-3 suggests that
Superior’s shoppers do not come to the store for the price level (only 10.1%), they are coming
for the location and the selection of brands that are available. The personnel in the store were
equally important as the price at 10.1%.
Table A-4 suggests that the Superior customer is no more, nor no less, knowledgable
about prices than the Old South shoppers who have the option of private labels. So if the
Superior shopper knows prices about the same as the Old South shopper, why aren’t they
shopping at Old South to buy private labels, which are lower priced?
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The data do support the fact that Superior is the most expensive store in town. Table A-6
shows that even if the Superior shopper buys the lowest price product available when they are
doing their shopping, they will still be spending over $4 more than if they bought the lowest
price products at Old South. They would even be spending over a dollar more for the national
brands. But, the private labels that Superior could sell would only be able to reduce the prices by
10%, so a reduction of 10% of the Superior shopping basket from A-6 would only bring the price
down to $39.57, which is only about a nickel less than what they would spend at Old South, not a
large savings by any means.
And finally, if the private labels were accepted, the controller has noted that these
products will not attract customers from other stores unless they are advertised. Since these
products have a lower price that will bring sales down and smaller sales may translate into
smaller gross margin to try to cover increased costs generated by trying to advertise these private
label products.
Bring in Private Labels
Since the discussion about margins available was just mentioned, what would the margins
be if private labels were brought in? From the controller’s note, we know that about 7% of the
sales would switch from national brand to private label, and that private labels retail for about
10% less. So 7% of the estimated $28M for next years sales would go down by 10% or about
$1.96M in sales would go down to $1.764M. Thus, next year’s sales would only be $27.8M
which would still make it the market share leader in the town.
But what about the margins? The national brands generate on average about 19% gross
margin. Thus, on the $1.96M of sales that would have been national brands it would have
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generated about $372,400 of gross margin. And the private label would only sell $1.764M, but
the margins on average are about 25%, so the gross margin that they would represent would be
about $441,000. The increase in margin should be about $68,600. A complete chart showing all
the potential combinations of sales and margins for national vs. private can be found on
Appendix A, but on average the private labels will generate a higher gross margin.
There are also a number of factors from the survey which suggest this might be an
appropriate strategic direction to take. First, while Superior does have greater sales than any of
its competitors, it also has more stores. Thus, if you compare average store sales it is slightly
behind Old South at about $5.332M per store compared to Old South’s $5.357M per store. And
Old South does have private labels selling at lower prices.
Table A-2 suggests that Superior loses more shoppers to other stores than any other chain
except Big Bear and Big Bear has a different kind of product mix which may make it harder for
customers to do all their shopping in one store. And the largest percentage of customers that
Superior loses goes to Old South which prominently features and advertises its private label
merchandise.
Table A-3 does show that Superior shoppers don’t come for the price, but its customers
also didn’t find it was all that convenient. Both Old South and Big Bear customers found their
stores convenient locations to be a bigger draw than Superiors. So if convenience is not
something that the Superior shopper really sees in the store, why are they coming to the store?
The choice of selection is less important to the Superior customer than to either the Big Bear or
Old South shopper. But the personnel are as important as prices, and higher than the other two
chains. And the personnel wouldn’t change.
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Possibly the most revealing data is from Table A-5. Here we see that Superior’s shoppers
think buying private label merchandise is a great way to stretch the budget — but Superior
doesn’t sell private label products. So where are these shoppers going to stretch their dollars?
Somewhere other than Superior.
Recommendation
The decision of whether or not to bring in private label merchandise is a critical strategic
decision for the firm. It has long term consequences of at least five years and sale of these
products throughout the company. It is important to carefully weigh the evidence.
There is no doubt that it looks like the margins for the firm would increase, even though
sales levels would go down. But we do have to balance this potential increase with the
probability of higher advertising costs to promote these products. While on average the gross
margin should increase by $68,600, the extra costs of advertising could seriously erode that
advantage.
There is also little doubt that the Superior shopper is looking for private labels as a way
to stretch their food budget, they just are not finding these products at Superior. This could be
one reason why so many of the shoppers Superior is losing to other stores are choosing Old
South.
But there is also strong evidence that price of the products is not a major concern for
Superior shoppers. The data suggest that price level ranks at least third or fourth in the list of
reasons why shoppers chose Superior. And the Superior shopper is at least as knowledgeable
about price as the Old South shopper, so if they are equally as knowledgeable, maybe the
Superior shopper just doesn’t care as much about the higher price.
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While there is certainly some good support for either view, I would have to recommend
to NOT introduce private labels. The firm has a strong image with its shoppers of providing a
wide variety of national brands, through convenient locations, with good service. The addition
of private labels would provide a new means of reaching the price sensitive shopper, but that
would take more advertising and would essentially be trying to compete with a competitor who
has built up this market over the years. Instead of trying to beat the competitor at their game,
why not stick to your own direction and do a better job of fulfilling the strategic direction of the
firm. Acquiring new customers who only want lower prices, at a significant increase in
advertising, means that they could then be easily lost when a competitor lowers its prices. I
believe it would be much better to find something that the competitors can’t match and use that
as a strategic tool to grow sales and margins.
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Appendix A $28,000,000 Estimated Sales for Next Year
7.0% Percent of Sales that would change from National Brand to Private Label $1,960,000 Sales volume that would be affected
10.0% Difference in price between National Brands and Private Label $1,764,000 Sales volume if customers bought Private Label instead of National Brand
Margin Analysis Margin for National Brand
Margin for Private Label
17% 18% 19% 20% 21%
$333,200 $352,800 $372,400 $392,000 $411,600 20% $352,800 $352,800 $352,800 $352,800 $352,800
Difference $19,600 $0 $19,600 $39,200 $58,800 21% $370,440 $370,440 $370,440 $370,440 $370,440
Difference $37,240 $17,640 $1,960 $21,560 $41,160 22% $388,080 $388,080 $388,080 $388,080 $388,080
Difference $54,880 $35,280 $15,680 $3,920 $23,520 23% $405,720 $405,720 $405,720 $405,720 $405,720
Difference $72,520 $52,920 $33,320 $13,720 $5,880 24% $423,360 $423,360 $423,360 $423,360 $423,360
Difference $90,160 $70,560 $50,960 $31,360 $11,760 25% $441,000 $441,000 $441,000 $441,000 $441,000
Difference $107,800 $88,200 $68,600 $49,000 $29,400 26% $458,640 $458,640 $458,640 $458,640 $458,640
Difference $125,440 $105,840 $86,240 $66,640 $47,040 27% $476,280 $476,280 $476,280 $476,280 $476,280
Difference $143,080 $123,480 $103,880 $84,280 $64,680 28% $493,920 $493,920 $493,920 $493,920 $493,920
Difference $160,720 $141,120 $121,520 $101,920 $82,320 29% $511,560 $511,560 $511,560 $511,560 $511,560
Difference $178,360 $158,760 $139,160 $119,560 $99,960 30% $529,200 $529,200 $529,200 $529,200 $529,200
Difference $196,000 $176,400 $156,800 $137,200 $117,600
Average Difference
$68,600