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Decreasing price of oil in Kuwait and Effects on the Economy

Presented to Dr. Florentina Halimi

ENGL 201 Business Writing

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Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3 INTRODUCTION 4 BACKGROUND 4 ANALYSIS 5 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5 REFERENCES 6

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Very short example of an executive summary!

The following report provides an analysis and evaluation based on the declining price of oil and its negative effects on Kuwait’s economy. Not only does this affect Kuwait’s economy, but also affects the whole economy of the GCC and the Mena Regions. This report also investigates the reasons behind the decline of Kuwait’s oil. The factors have been found behind the decrease of oil in Kuwait. Iran returned to the international Scene, the increase of production of other oil countries, inverse relationship between oil prices and price of dollar in international currency market, and global recession and low rate of economic growth in most of industrialized counties are all played big roles in that dramatic fall. This report indicates that most of the GCC countries rely on oil as the main revenue stream. An analysis has been conducted to show the fall in oil prices along with graphs to help demonstrates the issue.

INTRODUCTION

This report investigates the decrease in the prices of oil and its effects on Kuwait’s economy. The main aim of the report is to show that the oil prices are decreasing. Another goal is to label out the factors behind what happened to Kuwait’s economy. In particular, the report attempts to answer the following questions:

· What is the price of oil per barrel?

· What is OPEC? And how does contribute to Kuwait’s Economy?

· What is Kuwait’s plan in order to increase its oil production?

The report is organized as follows. First, the background section; discusses the price per barrel of the Kuwaiti oil. Second, the analysis section, which presents the data from three/four/five sources regarding several aspects of the topic at hand, such as graphs that show how the Barrel of oil dropped in Kuwait and how the prices changed. The report ends with conclusions from the analysis (and recommendations on how to address the issue).

BACKGROUND

Kuwait has oil as its main source of revenue. Also Kuwait has nearly one tenth of the world’s oil reserves. Kuwait can also sustain its oil production to 150 years from now with the materials that can lower the cost of producing pure oil. The most famous refineries in Kuwait are Al-Shuwaikh and Al-Shuaiba. Kuwait’s first Oil Company is Kuwait Oil Company (KOC), which was found in 1934. It was divided equally with the British Petroleum Company. In 1955, the Kuwaiti oil has been marketed intelligently and helped the economy to grow significantly since then. In, 1976 Kuwait achieved its goal and took full control over its oil production.

This topic is important because Kuwait is facing a serious issue in the decrease of oil prices. Kuwait didn’t adopt other oil dependent countries’ strategies on diversifying their revenue streams. With the new modern technology, many countries won’t use oil, as a source of energy, 40 years from now. In the past, many states relied on oil and the price on barrel of oil increased to 120 dollars per barrel, which marked the peak of oil price (per barrel). Some countries started to take their measures into formulating plans that would rely on other sources of income rather than oil. These countries knew that oil will not last forever, leading to a snowball effect with many other countries making oil’s relevance to a minimal level.

ANALYSIS

What is the price of Kuwait’s oil per barrel? The current oil price is standing at $68 per barrel, Kuwait’s oil price per barrel reached its maximum in 2014 at a price of $109 per barrel. As shown below, one would conclude that the price is not stable and it varies significantly.

Figure 1 (Prices of Barrel in Kuwait)

The statistical data through my research about the prices of oil in Kuwait that turned out to be on a graph to show historical data of oil prices within the past five years. The figure above, shows the price per barrel between 2014 and 2018. It is obvious that prices decreased dramatically within this period. In 2014, the price per barrel reached $109, which is considered the highest of all times. The year after, the price suddenly dropped to as low as $35 per barrel. The Kuwaiti government had to react so quick to this significant change. The government had to increases the fuel prices of over 105%. The year after, the price climbed humbly to reach $49 per barrel. As of today, the price is set at $68.10 per barrel.

OPEC, which is an acronym of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, is an intergovernmental organization. It was formed at the Baghdad conference in September 1960 by Iran, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Venezuela. These counties were the leaders in oil production at that time. Many countries joined the organization shortly after the formation, which are Qatar, UAE, Libya, etc. After the significant fall in oil prices in 2014, the OPEC formed announced that it won’t reduce the production of oil, however the price kept dropping (Dr.Wafaa, 2016). The demand was too low in comparison with the huge supply and that was one of the main reasons of the fall (The Economist, 2014).

There are many factors that could manipulate the change in the prices. Kimberly Amadeo mentioned in her article “Oil prices are controller by traders who bid on oil futures contracts in the commodities market” (Amadeo, 2018). It was mentioned that there are mainly the factors that determined oil prices. First, is the number of supply for the oil since the OPEC has limited the supply to 61% of the world’s oil exports. What OPEC mainly tries to do is balances the oil production to keep its price around $70 per barrel. Second factor is access to the oil reserves supply. Countries like Saudi Arabia can easily access its reserves if the oil price went too high. The third factor is the oil demand. Demand might rise during the summer, which might lead to an increase to its price and vise versa (Amadeo, 2018).

Macintosh HD:Users:rashid:Desktop:Graph OPEC share of world crude oil reserves 2016.jpg

What are the factors that caused Kuwait oil decrease? There are many reasons that caused oil prices to decrease. First factor is that Iran returned to the international oil scene. Dr. Wafaa Sbieti said that Iran nuclear deal with US in 2015 made a huge difference in the GCC’s economy. The U.S. had to buy crude oil from Iran as part of the Nuclear Deal. Nevertheless, Dr.Wafaa also said that the second factor that made oil price to decrease is the development of oil production in some countries, which includes US, China, Iran, and many others. The U.S. found a new oil field in 2015, which made raised its production by 9.2 million dollars. Furthermore, Dr.Wafaa indicated that the third reason that led the prices that Japan and Russia are facing a global recession. Moreover, Brazil, China, and India are experiencing low economic growth rate.

What is Kuwait plan in order to increase its oil production?

Kuwait now holds around 6 percent of the world’s oil reserves, and is the fifth-biggest produces in the OPEC. Kuwait Plans to raise oil-production to as much as 4.75 million barrels a day after 2030 as the OPEC member builds refineries in Asia to process more of its crude, the head of state-run Kuwait Petroleum International Ltd. Said. (Bloomberg Markets,2017). The plan is to expand processing plants in China, India, Vietnam, the Philippines and Indonesia. Bakheet Alrashidi, the minister of oil Kuwait and the president and chief executive office of KPI, wanted to create a plan to expand the production. His plan is to make KPI refine around 800,000 barrels a day outside of Kuwait within five years, including the plant under construction in Vietnam. “The future in the business is for big refineries with integrated petrochemical plants,” al-Rashidi said.(Mahdi, MacDonald, Fattah, 2017).

CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

In conclusion, decreasing price of all is a big factor not just in Kuwait but also for the whole world. When the most natural resource is decreasing is big factor for the countries that produce oil. Furthermore, some of the reasons of decreasing oil prices in Kuwait is Kuwait barrel of oil is reduced. In 2014 Kuwait oil price exceeded above 100 dollar per barrel. But in 2018 it decreased to 69.37 dollar. Nevertheless, another factor is that US dollar was increased which became a factor in the GCC countries. Also the OPEC Cartel reduced the pol expert to 50%. Iran nuclear deal made one of impacts of Kuwait oil reduces that made the strong countries buy oil from Iran rather then Kuwait or middle east. In addition, there are many solutions for Kuwait to improve the GDP of the country. Some of the solutions are Tourism and landmarks in modern countries. These two main factors can increase the GDP of the country and have other incomes rather then oil. In fact, supply is also increasing while demand in decreasing. The economy in modern country is decreasing which made them think of evolving new modern technology that is electronic cars to function. Also other natural resource such as natural gas in a factor that many countries are developing. My recommendation is that Kuwait GDP is more then 304 billion dollars. With this money Kuwait can make factories, which develop new cars or tourism like Disney land and fancy restaurants. Also, Kuwait can buy landmarks in America or China which are now the most countries with economic power and strong passport, buying land makes can make new allays and economical power rules.

REFERENCES

Amadeo, Kimberly. “Who Really Controls Oil Prices?” The Balance, Commodities Market , 26 Apr. 2018, www.thebalance.com/how-are-oil-prices-determined-3305650

Mahdi, Wael. “Kuwait to Boost Oil-Output Capacity From 2030, Plans Refineries.” Bloomberg.com, BloombergMarkets, 13 July 2017, www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-13/kuwait-to- boost-oil-output-capacity- from-2030-plans-refineries.

Fattah, Zainab, et al. “Kuwait Appoints Refining Unit CEO as Oil Minister in New Cabinet.” Bloomberg.com, BloombergMarkets, 11 Dec. 2017, www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-11/kuwait-appoints-refining-unit-ceo-as-oil- minister-in-new-cabinet.

Sbeiti, D. (2016, May 10). Low Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences and Challenges. Retrieved from http://news.kuwaittimes.net/website/low-oil-prices-causes-consequences- challenges/

Tarver, E. (2015, October 22). 4 Reasons Why the Price of Crude Oil Dropped. Retrieved from https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/102215/4-reasons-why-price-crude-oil- dropped.asp

Sadek, D. A., & Anthony, J. D. (2018, April 26). Kuwait. Retrieved from https://www.britannica.com/place/Kuwait/Resources-and-power

Per Barrel

Per Barrol 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 109 35 49.35 64.3 69.37

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