management case analysis

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s9creativeproblemsolving_S22018.pdf

Management Competencies

Session 9: CREATIVE PROBLEM SOLVING Seminar Instructor:

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胡悦瑜�
Confirmation Bias Framing Effects Implicit Bias/Implicit Association Unique perspectives can be a source of creativity and a source of misunderstanding/conflict (“I don’t see how this is useful...”) Debiasing…�

Agenda

1. Warm-up case 2. basics on cognitive biases

1. Biological influences 2. Social Context / Culture influences 3. Personality influences

3. Practice: Creativity challenge 4. Improving creative problem solving (debiasing)

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powerful. flawed!

unique!

1. Warm-Up Case

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MONEYBALL – problem solving dysfunction

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Assignment: • note the problems that occur in the

group’s attempt at problem solving • reflect on why these problems occur

• Billy Beane (Brad Pitt), is general manager of the Oakland A's, an under-resourced baseball team

• Before the new season starts, he loses 3 of this best players to other teams

• He has no replacements in the team, and no budget to hire equivalent players from others teams

• He arranges a meeting with his team of talent scouts to discuss potential solutions.

2. basics of cognition

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optimize ! (best possible

option)

satisfice ! (“good enough”

option)

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idealistic view

realistic view

how people process stimuli

8source: adapted from hambrick & mason 1984 AMR

stimuli

choice

limited field of vision

& memory

selective attention &

recall interpretation

personality (preferences, needs,

thinking style, knowledge/experience,

etc.)

social context / culture

(frames, values, stress, structure, etc.)

biology (attention, memory,

systematic heuristics + biases, emotions)

stimuli

胡悦瑜�
刺激�

biology

personality

social context/ culture

biology

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Daniel Kahneman • Social psychologist • Received Nobel Prize for

Economics 2002

relies on heuristics: intuitive shortcuts learned from experience

• save limited time and attention

• cope with incomplete information or too complex information

• heuristics can bring hidden traps and lead to systematic mistakes in judgment (i.e. confirmation bias, anchoring, availability bias, etc.)

advantages disadvantages

system 1: fast, reflexive

system 2: slow, reflective

attempts to carefully think things through (systematic evaluation of adv./disadv. etc.)

READING: Milkman, Katherine L., Dolly Chugh, and Max H. Bazerman. "How can decision making be improved?." Perspectives on Psychological Science 4.4 (2009): 379-383

胡悦瑜�
启发式教学法�
胡悦瑜�

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relevance for creative problem solving:

we tend to dismiss things/ideas that are incompatible with held beliefs

CONFIRMATION BIAS

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OPTIONAL READING: De Martino, B., et al. (2006). "Frames, biases, and rational decision-making in the human brain." Science 313(5787): 684-687.

FRAMING EFFECTS

relevance for creative problem solving:

how ideas are presented influences our willingness to pick risky options

social context / culture

personality

social context/ culture

biology

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IMPLICIT BIAS / IMPLICIT ASSOCIATION

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• internalized, taken for granted assumptions about associations between race/gender/etc. and ability, trustworthiness, socioeconomic status (i.e. stereotypes)

• implicit biases are not accessible through introspection, and may be at odds with espoused values

relevance for creative problem solving:

erroneous assumptions about team members or stakeholders risk faulty problem definitions, solutions development, and solution evaluation

personality

personality

social context/ culture

biology

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powerful. flawed!

unique!

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relevance for creative problem solving:

unique perspectives can be a source of creativity and a source of misunderstanding/conflict (“I don’t see how this is useful…”)

3. PRACTICE: CREATIVITY CHALLENGE

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4. IMPROVING CREATIVE PROBLEM SOLVING

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Debiasing

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READING: Milkman, Katherine L., Dolly Chugh, and Max H. Bazerman. "How can decision making be improved?." Perspectives on Psychological Science 4.4 (2009): 379-383

not very effective: a) appeals to “try harder” b) offering warnings about the

possibility of bias c) describing the direction of a bias d) providing personalized feedback

(on errors in judgment)

more effective:

shifting decision makers from System 1 thinking to System 2 thinking (i.e. replacing intuition with formal analytic processes) e.g. by: • employing simple linear (econometric) models • taking an outsider’s perspective • “consider the opposite’’ • analogical reasoning (finding common underlying principles) • requiring joint rather than individual decision making • choosing between multiple options simultaneously (rather

than rejecting option separately)

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2 using contextual nudges to counter problematic system 1 biases

Debiasing – a simplified model

personality

social context/ culture

biology to address limits: involve multiple decision makers

to address biases: involve diverse decision makers (who work with different premises) utilize “rich” data

to manage multiple/diverse decision makers: carefully structure the process (choice architecture)

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encouraging people to share unique perspectives

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Why is it difficult for people to share unique information/perspectives they have?

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Ego-protection: In general we do not want to look weird, be judged

Projected Similarity: people may not see the need to share their point of view, because of

• subconscious parochialism (belief that your way of thinking is the only possible way of thinking)

• the assumption that people (or their situation) are more similar to you than what they really are, and that they see/interpret things in a similar way, have similar access to similar information etc.

3 Groupthink: in cohesive decision-making groups we experience a psychological drive for consensus at any costs

solutions: • Encourage a culture of differences

and psychological safety • demonstrate through active

listening for and reward contrarian views to demonstrate uncommon knowledge is welcome/valued

• show own willingness to accept criticism to encourage expression of doubts

how to structure the process: the design thinking approach

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DIVERGE

CONVERGE

SEE ALSO OPTIONAL READING: Kelley, T. & Kelley, D. (2012). Reclaim your creative confidence. Harvard Business Review. 90(12), 115-118.