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RSCH665Assignment2.3.docx

RSCH 665 - Assignment 2.3

The table below will be used for the following five questions. The table represents the mean and standard deviation graduation rates, by candidate age, for a population of flight academies.

Age

Mean Graduation Rate

Standard Deviation

16

76.6

1.8

17

74.2

1.8

18

79.5

1.7

19

79.6

2.1

20

81.2

2.1

21

84.2

2.2

22

85.5

2.1

23

88.5

1.4

24

86.5

1.5

25

87.7

1.9

26

87.8

1.5

27

88.1

1.6

28

89.8

1.8

29

90.1

1.8

30

87.8

2.3

31

88.3

2.2

32

88.3

1.7

33

84.5

1.9

34

85.1

1.6

35

88.1

1.4

36

88.2

1.5

37

86.5

1.4

38

84.5

1.8

39

88.8

1.9

40

84.4

1.6

1. A flight academy has a graduation rate of 72.1 among all their 17-year old candidates from the last five years. What percentage of flight academies have a higher graduation rate for 17-year old candidates?

Mean graduation rate of 17-year olds = 74.2, and std deviation = 1.8

The graduation rate X can be considered to be normally distributed for large enough samples and hence,

P(X > 72.1)

= P(Z > (72.1 - 74.2)/1.8) (converting into the corresponding Z-score)

= P( Z > -1.167 )

= 0.879 = 87.9%

2. A flight academy has a graduation rate of 83.5 among all their 28-year old candidates from the last eight years. What percentage of flight academies have a lower graduation rate for 28-year old candidates?

Mean graduation rate of 28-year olds = 89.8, and std deviation = 1.8

Again, the graduation rate X can be considered to be normally distributed for large samples and hence,

P(X < 83.5)

= P(Z < (83.5 - 89.8) / 1.8)

= P(Z < -3.5)

= 0.0002 = 0.02%

3. A flight academy boasts it is among the top 10% for graduation rates among its 25-year old candidates. This academy’s graduation rate is 89.1 over the last two years for 25-year old candidates. Is the claim that this flight academy is in the top 10% a true statement? Explain.

4. A flight academy wants to invest in new training methods to improve its graduation rate of 18-year old candidates. This academy’s graduation rate for 18-year old candidates is 82.6 for the past ten years. Should the academy invest in the new training methods? Explain.

5. A flight academy had a graduation rate of 85.1 for 27-year old candidates from 2000-2009. Since then, new instructors have been hired that have specifically worked on providing clearer instruction to pilot candidates. From 2010-2018, the graduation rate for 27-year old candidates is 88.3. What percentile did the organization start at from 2000-2009, and what percentile is the organization now (2010-2018)? Explain what this means in terms of percentage of population between these scores.