Econ data analysis project

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Regression9thMay2019.pptx

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Saving Rates and GDP

The model indicates that there is a strong relationship between saving rates and GDP.

The R squired is 0.6239, which

means that poverty rate contributes

to 62.39%.

The p-value is 1.59E-10, which

leads to rejection of null hypothesis and

conclusion made that there is a significant

relationship between saving rates and GDP.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/categories/33491

saving rates 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.21 0.2 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14000000000000001 0.14000000000000001 0.14000000000000001 0.14000000000000001 0.14000000000000001 0.14000000000000001 0.14000000000000001 0.14000000000000001 0.14000000000000001 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 0.06 7.00000000 00000007E-2 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 0.08 0.08 0.08 7.0000000000000007E-2 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 9.7182539682540647E-2 7.0000000000000007E-2 2.7769367919463499E-3 5.2696648773393077E-2 2.8574441468782085E-2 0.22 0.06 0.16 0.12 0.06

Poverty rate and GDP

Poverty rate affects GDP at 0.056209,

poverty rate contributes to 5.6% to

GDP growth.

The p-value is 0.163847

meaning that the relationship between

variables is significant hence rejection

of null hypothesis and conclusion made

that the two variables are significantly related.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/tags/series?t=poverty

Poverty rate

21.48 21.62 22 22 21.95 22.08 22.23 22.4 22.84 22.91 23.06 23.41 23.68 23.67 23.5 23.82 24.01 24.15 24.4 24.43 24.36 24.31 24.16 24.05 24.01 23.91 23.91 23.92 23.91 23.92 23.7 23.7 23.75 23.67 23.7 23.61

Consumer price index and GDP

The findings shows that consumer

price index contributes to GDP

growth by 0.407627.

CPI contributes to 40.8% of

GDP growth in the nation.

The p-value (0.003262) is less

than 0.05,

this leads to rejection of

null hypothesis and conclusion

made that the two variables

are significantly affects each other.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/tags/series?t=cpi

CPI

Workplace safety and economic Development

The R-squired is 0.82652,

which means that workplace safety

contributes to 82.7% of economic

or GDP growth.

The p-value is 7.09E-08,

this leads to rejection of null hypothesis

and conclusion made that

the two variables have significant relationship.

https://www.osha.gov/oshstats/

workplace safety 5147 4674 1967 693 581 263 56 6 8 28 11 8 17 17 7 25 3 20 21 6 5 19 5 7 13 11 59 4 3 14 36 152 115 62 57 3 33 12 3 4 3 1 3 3 1 16 10 76 0 0 74 74 40 39 39 14 20 43 31 31 10 5 3 11 8 8 4 4 112 8 8 8 7 31 17 17 5 10 1 4 2 2 10 5 2 3 3 73 73 73 12 61 971 971 196 135 135 39 10 66 55 8 42 152 73 30 12 31 68 68 9 610 254 31 3 8 27 8 37 11 8 27 10 4 107 29 24 12 4 10 5 1 147 73 7 26 66 16 13 6 1 2 94 19 4 4 42 18 7 6 5 13 5 6 3 110 79 11 21 31 6 7 303 303 51 4 4 1 6 5 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 18 18 0 11 4 4 9 7 4 3 1 1 3 6 6 1 5 1 1 3 1 7 1 1 6 6 1 1 1 24 10 10 9 4 4 1 0 10 4 3 3 11 7 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 1 8 8 3 3 3 2 1 13 4 0 3 15 14 3 8 1 1 1 1 35 4 4 1 2 21 2 15 3 8 8 6 8 2 2 0 0 2 2 1 1 50 4 4 22 12 10 1 10 4 5 3 0 1 1 1 6 5 1 1 7 7 0 3 6 4 4 20 4 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 8 5 3 24 4 0 1 2 6 6 3 1 6 3 1 7 7 5 10 6 3 3 0 1 3 3 7 3 3 0 4 3 2707 1371 28 28 20 10 0 2 1 1 10 10 5 5 3 3 174 85 16 3 3 7 14 6 7 5 1 1 5 5 4 3 19 5 7 4 0 19 15 87 1 1 1 1 39 8 4 3 5 0 5 6 15 10 4 12 10 4 0 14 12 1 1 1 1 287 54 28 16 10 7 7 19 13 6 8 5 3 7 7 7 4 3 30 24 9 0 6 6 60 49 28 21 4 0 2 7 7 7 7 4 1 1 37 37 35 13 6 4 7 7 3 3 3 24 7 7 3 4 17 9 23 7 7 12 1 1 9 1 21 5 5 3 14 8 882 21 8 8 5 3 13 13 7 0 11 11 11 8 13 5 5 4 8 8 8 599 409 78 300 190 29 183 15 80 84 64 49 44 4 3 3 4 4 7 7 5 4 1 1 7 4 4 90 7 0 4 4 9 4 4 51 41 15 15 4 4 51 37 37 14 14 22 22 15 3 43 43 10 9 8 5 4 1 3 1 3 20 13 13 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 3 101 32 20 12 10 7 7 0 5 1 1 4 1 3 7 3 3 3 4 1 3 0 69 48 21 12 3 8 8 17 14 11 3 21 9 8 6 3 1 9 4 4 532 69 69 10 8 4 4 1 18 9 3 5 1 6 6 4 10 6 1 3 7 1 1 4 9 1 1 4 3 3 3 3 1 460 397 4 4 38 33 4 7 1 1 3 0 1 55 50 44 4 5 279 10 38 214 1 11 1 63 33 33 29 8 8 1 3 1 22 11 4 7 189 43 43 9 9 7 7 17 17 17 9 1 5 3 146 65 9 9 6 0 3 3 6 1 1 2 4 4 3 19 19 22 19 3 0 21 21 21 31 9 9 12 7 5 8 8 4 4 28 11 8 5 1 3 8 8 4 4 262 91 38 7 1 21 21 5 3 1 5 5 5 5 4 48 2 1 1 44 15 4 8 171 33 26 21 4 1 1 7 7 4 3 138 9 6 26 26 103 103 53 46 3 205 205 132 95 65 57 11 8 3 14 9 4 4 24 24 9 0 0 3 36 10 8 5 3 0 11 10 1 10 4 6 3 5 4 35 20 20 2 2 1 1 6 6 5 3 473 116 4 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 112 25 23 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 21 21 21 1 1 1 1 1 1 84 84 2 2 1 1 78 78 76 91 15 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 13 13 13 13 76 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 15 8 8 7 7 7 2 2 1 4 4 3 3 1 51 51 0 0 1 43 43 22 18 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 265 27 27 27 24 1 1 23 23 238 25 18 18 3 3 2 14 8 6 7 6 3 3 3 3 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 12 12 4 4 1 1 8 3 3 3 4 4 3 31 26 26 25 25 5 8 7 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 155 155 4 4 0 1 145 145 1 100 2 39 4 4 3 22.975460122699385 5 3106.6756260685906 55.737560280914614 135.21712337761824 532 1 531 19 1

Money supply and GDP

The R-square is 0.011203,

this means that money supply

contributes to 1.1% to the model.

The p-value is given by 0.666285,

which is less than 0.05,

the null hypothesis is rejected

and conclusion made that there

no significant effect of money

supply on GDP.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2

Money Supply

1591.4 1592.9 1596.3 1597.2 1596.1 1597 1599.5 1599.3 1595.6 1596.6 1600.1 1606.8 1609.4 1608.6 1614 1618.9 1623.3 1626.1 1630.5 1636.2 1640.8 1646.7 1652.3 1658.4 1663.4 1664.1 1663.9 1663.8 1662.6 1663.3 1666.1 1666.4 1669.8 1672.8 1671.9 1678.2 1677.9 1683.5 1685.8 1688.2 1694 1695.2 1697.6 1701.2 1702.3 1707.5 1708.3 1707.8 1714 1719.6 1722.9 1725.3 1727.6 1732.2 1736.2 1736.6 1743.5 1749.2 1751.5 1755.1 1753.7 1756.5 1761.8 1766.6 1769.5 1773.1 1771.4 1774.3 1775.4 1778.4 1781.6 1786.2 1789.3 1793.7 1800 1805.2 1806.7 1806.7 1805.7 1809.7 1812.1 1816.5 1821 1823 1826 1826.5 1824.6 1827.5 1828.7 1830.4 1834.2 1837 1841.1 1846.1 1849.9 1853.4 1855.9 1859.2 1861.2 1860.1 1863.9 1865.5 1869.3 1873.4 1878.8 1881.4 1885 1887.6 1888.5 1891.7 1892.3 1909.9 1917.5 1927 1943.2 1955.6 1965.3 1976 1986.5 1993.1 1998.4 2005 2009.8 2010.7 2015.1 2018.2 2023.1 2025.1 2024.5 2028.1 2036.3 2037.4 2041.4 2042.5 2044.8 2049.1 2052.6 2052.6 2054.5 2060.3000000000002 2065.1 2065.3000000000002 2068.3000000000002 2070.8000000000002 2069.6999999999998 2072.1 2072.9 2073.5 2077.1999999999998 2077.3000 000000002 2079.1999999999998 2084 2087 2093.1 2095.5 2099.6 2102.9 2102.8000000000002 2104.1999999999998 2105.1 2107.8000000000002 2112.9 2117.6999999999998 2121.1 2122.6 2127.6 2133.4 2137.6999999999998 2140 2140.6999999999998 2152.1 2164.5 2137.6999999999998 2129.1999999999998 2147.6999999999998 2166.6999999999998 2181.1999999999998 2190.8000000000002 2192.6 2191.8000000000002 2192.8000000000002 2194 2194.6999999999998 2199 2204.9 2207.9 2209.3000000000002 2214.1999999999998 2216.8000000000002 2218 2220.9 2224.6 2224.5 2228.8000000000002 2229.699999999999 8 2229.3000000000002 2230.6 2230.6 2232.1 2233.5 2236.4 2241.1 2244 2246.8000000000002 2253.5 2253.1 2259.1999999999998 2258.8000000000002 2264.4 2270.8000000000002 2275.9 2283.1999999999998 2286.1999999999998 2287.6 2297.1 2303.4 2311.4 2316.8000000000002 2322.9 2331.8000000000002 2337.3000000000002 2341.3000000000002 2344 2345.8000000000002 2349.5 2352.1999999999998 2357.3000000000002 2359 2360.8000000000002 2366.3000000000002 2370.6 2368.5 2371.4 2375.5 2374.5 2377.6 2381.5 2386.8000000000002 2390.4 2393.1999999999998 240 3.4 2409.3000000000002 2418 2425.3000000000002 2422.9 2427.3000000000002 2430.1 2432 2435.3000000000002 2437.4 2438.8000000000002 2442.3000000000002 2441.9 2444.6 2446.6999999999998 2450.1999999999998 2462.1 2460.8000000000002 2461.4 2467.1 2467.8000000000002 2469.8000000000002 2470.1999999999998 2473.6 2479.5 2482.6 2486.8000000000002 2489.6 2495.1 2494.3000000000002 2501.1999999999998 2499.6 2503.6999999999998 2509.1 2505.6999999999998 2510.6 2512.6 2517.8000000000002 2521 2528.8000000000002 2535.3000000000002 2541 2547.8000000000002 2553.6999999999998 2555.4 2562.4 2568.9 2575.8000000000002 2580.3000000000002 2585.1999999999998 2591.1999999999998 2594.1999999999998 2601.6999999999998 2609.6 2615.1999999999998 2620.1999999999998 2624 2629.4 2635.1 2638.9 2643.3 2647.8 2650.5 2653.5 2660.9 2663.4 2665.6 2674.8 2680.3 2683.1 2683.9 2689.6 2693.8 2694.9 2698.3 2702.4 2703.5 2714 2713.1 2719.1 2730.6 2744.1 2757.9 2745 2742 2745.2 2742.7 2741.2 2741.3 2742.6 2744.3 2748.2 2752 2752.1 2755.4 2757.6 2758.7 2771.5 2773.5 2768.4 2763 2764.6 2770 2773.2 2769.8 2771 2773 2772.8 2778.8 2773.3 2777.5 2781.1 2779.1 2782.8 2783.8 2785.2 2785.1 2784.5 2790.6 2795 2797.4 2804.3 2800.8 2809.3 2827.2 2819.3 2815.9 2816.2 2817.1 2817.8 2820.8 2823.5 2826.4 2828.6 2830 2836 2846.9 2854.8 2863.2 2862.3 2867.9 2875 2875.3 2882.4 2889.4 2897.4 2901.5 2905.1 2909.4 2912.1 2920 2917.4 2918.3 2922.7 2927 2929.5 2935.2 2937.5 2944.8 2949.1 2947.5 2950.1 2952.3 2955.4 2958.6 2956.2 2958.4 2959.7 2960.2 2959.5 2958.7 2962.5 2964.6 2961.9 2964.6 2969.4 2969.1 2972.3 2978.9 2982.2 2985.3 2988.4 2987 2989 2989.2 2989.5 2994.1 2993.8 2994.7 2994.6 2989.3 2987.5 2985.3 2987.1 2988.7 2997.3 2995.8 2999.5 3002.7 3000.6 3001.5 3004 3008.9 3009.1 3001.9 3004.2 3005.7 3009.7 3015.1 3018.8 3023.9 3030.6 3036.9 3048 3050.5 3053.8 3056.7 3064.4 3068.3 3072.6 3075.3 3076.1 3082.6 3086.4 3090.8 3098.9 3105.3 3111.5 3116.6 3118.6 3126.5 3129.5 3132.5 3138.9 3142.2 3146.2 3150.2 3157.3 3161.1 3164.1 3164.4 3166.4 3167.6 3175.4 3177.1 3179.9 3185.2 3186.6 3187.4 3188.7 3194.2 3196.5 3197.9 3200.6 3202.9 3205.9 3199.1 3199.9 3201.5 3201.1 3205.9 3208.7 3213.7 3217.1 3223.8 3219.3 3225.1 3224.8 3228.2 3231.3 3240.3 3244.6 3246.6 3250.7 3252.7 3252.6 3254.5 3262.4 3260.4 3259.4 3256.8 3259.8 3259.6 3261.4 3263.8 3267.2 3257.5 3266.1 3270.7 3276.1 3280.6 3280.1 3282.6 3289.1 3294.4 3298.8 3303.7 3303 3306.7 3312.2 3316.1 3319.3 3327.1 3332.1 3330.7 3334.6 3331.9 3331.7 3337.6 3342.9 3345.7 3345.6 3342.1 3351 3351.8 3351.1 3359.1 3355.2 3357 3356.8 3355.4 3354.5 3354.6 3353.4 3358.5 3353.5 3356.5 3355.4 3354.5 3353.8 3356.8 3358.1 3362.4 3363.2 3360.3 3365.2 3365 3366.5 3369.4 3372.4 3379.5 3371.1 3367.7 3365.7 3374.9 3381.7 3393.5 3392.9 3398.9 3400.8 3402.5 3401.1 3404.6 3407.2 3404 3401.1 3400.2 3401.6 3397.8 3399.4 3399.3 3401 3398.3 3397 3397.5 3393.7 3396.5 3394.3 3389.1 3390.9 3393.6 3395 3396.5 3392.2 3396.8 3397.1 3398.7 3405.3 3403.1 3408.7 3412.4 3416.3 3413.6 3423 3421.5 3429.2 3430.9 3430.5 3428.3 3421.5 3424.3 3427.7 3428.4 3421.6 3423.1 3418.7 3422.2 3416.8 3415.5 3414.9 3410.1 3414.6 3415.7 3414.7 3411.5 3411.1 3409.6 3409.7 3409.1 3410.1 3405.1 3411.1 3425.5 3437.4 3437.2 3434.3 3445.5 3444.6 3446.2 3442.2 3438.2 3436.1 3443.7 3443.2 3442.3 3443.6 3446.8 3447.5 3443.9 3444.7 3447.6 3453.1 3453.7 3453.4 3453.3 3457.8 3453.6 3453.7 3464.8 3466.7 3473.2 3470.8 3469.6 3476.2 3477.8 3473.6 3474.6 3467.3 3473.8 3478.1 3477.1 3473.9 3474.6 3478.7 3475.4 3474.2 3478 3483.5 3481.9 3477.5 3479.4 3483.3 3476.1 3480.1 3488.9 3494.2 3492.9 3491.2 3486.8 3481.6 3480 3476.4 3480.7 3478.4 3487.2 3489 3490.3 3492.5 3484 3485.8 3487.4 3485.1 3484.2 3485.2 3487.2 3490.4 3480.6 3486.9 3485.5 3483.6 3482.7 3481.6 3486 3490.8 3489.9 3490.1 3488.7 3485.8 3486.1 3480.3 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