C.
D.
NONLINEAR MODELS - For the latter part of the quiz, we will explore some nonlinear models.
9. (15 pts) QUADRATIC REGRESSION
Data: On a particular summer day, the outdoor temperature was recorded at 8 times of the day, and the following table was compiled. A scatterplot was produced and the parabola of best fit was determined.
|
t = Time of day (hour)
|
y = Outdoor
Temperature (degrees F.)
|
|
7
|
52
|
|
9
|
67
|
|
11
|
73
|
|
13
|
76
|
|
14
|
78
|
|
17
|
79
|
|
20
|
76
|
|
23
|
61
|
|
|
Quadratic Polynomial of Best Fit:
y = 0.3476t2 + 10.948t 6.0778 where t = Time of day (hour) and y = Temperature (in degrees)
REMARKS: The times are the hours since midnight. For instance, 7 means 7 am, and 13 means 1 pm.
(a). Using algebraic techniques we have learned, find the maximum temperature predicted by the quadratic model and find the time when it occurred. Report the time to the nearest quarter hour (i.e., __:00 or __:15 or __:30 or __:45). (For instance, a time of 18.25 hours is reported as 6:15 pm.) Report the maximum temperature to the nearest tenth of a degree. Show algebraic work.
Solution:
(b). Use the quadratic polynomial to estimate the outdoor temperature at 7:30 am, to the nearest tenth of a degree. (work optional)
Solution:
(c) Use the quadratic polynomial y = 0.3476t2 + 10.948t 6.0778 together with algebra to estimate the time(s) of day when the outdoor temperature
y was 72 degrees.
That is, solve the quadratic equation 72 = 0.3476t2 + 10.948t 6.0778 .
Show algebraic work in solving. State your results clearly; report the time(s) to the nearest quarter hour.
Solution:
10. (10 pts) + (extra credit at the end) EXPONENTIAL REGRESSION
Data: A cup of hot coffee was placed in a room maintained at a constant temperature of 69 degrees, and the coffee temperature was recorded periodically, in Table 1.
|
t
= Time Elapsed
(minutes)
|
C
= Coffee
Temperature (degrees F.)
|
|
0
|
166.0
|
|
10
|
140.5
|
|
20
|
125.2
|
|
30
|
110.3
|
|
40
|
104.5
|
|
50
|
98.4
|
|
60
|
93.9
|
TABLE 1
|
REMARKS:
Common sense tells us that the coffee will be cooling off and its temperature will decrease and approach the ambient temperature of the room, 69 degrees.
So, the temperature difference between the coffee temperature and the room temperature will decrease to 0.
We will fit the temperature difference data (Table 2) to an exponential curve of the form y = A ebt.
Notice that as t gets large, y will get closer and closer to 0, which is what the temperature difference will do.
So, we want to analyze the data where t = time elapsed and y = C 69, the temperature difference between the coffee temperature and the room temperature.
|
TABLE 2
|
t
= Time Elapsed (minutes)
|
y = C 69 Temperature
Difference
(degrees F.)
|
|
0
|
97.0
|
|
10
|
71.5
|
|
20
|
56.2
|
|
30
|
41.3
|
|
40
|
35.5
|
|
50
|
29.4
|
|
60
|
24.9
|
|
Exponential Function of Best Fit (using the data in Table 2):
y = 89.976 e 0.023 t where t = Time Elapsed (minutes) and y = Temperature Difference (in degrees)
(a) Use the exponential function to estimate the temperature difference y when 25 minutes have elapsed. Report your estimated temperature difference to the nearest tenth of a degree. (explanation/work optional)
(b) Since y = C 69, we have coffee temperature C = y + 69. Take your difference estimate from part (a) and add 69 degrees. Interpret the result by filling in the blank:
When 25 minutes have elapsed, the estimated coffee temperature is ________ degrees.
(c) Suppose the coffee temperature C is 100 degrees. Then y = C 69 = ______ degrees is the temperature difference between the coffee and room temperatures.
(d) Consider the equation ____ = 89.976 e 0.023t where the ______ is filled in with your answer from part (c)
EXTRA CREDIT (6 pts):
Show algebraic work to solve this part (d) equation for t, to the nearest tenth. Interpret your results clearly in the context of the coffee application. [Use additional paper if needed]
The model estimates that it takes _____ minutes for the coffee to cool from ___ to ___ degrees room temperatures.
Don't forget to include your Last name into your quiz file name; otherwise, when I save it to grade, I would not know who this quiz belongs to, and will not grade it.
Please follow this: your LastName Quiz5 Math107.
Temperature
on a Summer Day
y = -0.3476t2 + 10.948t - 6.0778
R² = 0.9699
7 9 11 13 14 17 20 23 52 67 73 76 78 79 76 61
Time of Day (hour)
Temperature (degrees)
Temperature Difference between Coffee and Room
y = 89.976e-0.023t
R² = 0.9848
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 97 71.5 56.2 41.3 35.5 29.400000000000006 24.900000000000006
Time Elapsed (minutes)
Temperature Difference (degrees)
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