Discussion: Western Union

profileylang_2005
PublicOpinion.pptx

Chapter 10

Public Opinion

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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After You’ve Read This Chapter, You Will Be Able To: (1 of 2)

Explain the role of public opinion in a democracy.

Evaluate how well American citizens measure up to notions of an ideal democratic citizen.

Identify key factors that influence our individual and collective political opinions.

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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After You’ve Read This Chapter, You Will Be Able To: (2 of 2)

Describe different techniques used to gauge public opinion.

Give examples of ways in which public opinion enhances or diminishes the relationship between citizens and government.

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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Public Opinion

Public opinion: the collective attitudes and beliefs of individuals on one or more issues

Public opinion polls: scientific efforts to estimate what an entire group thinks about an issue by asking a smaller sample of the group for its opinion

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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The Role of Public Opinion in a Democracy

Why public opinion should matter:

The government’s legitimacy rests on the idea that government exists to serve the interests of its citizens

Why public opinion does matter:

Politicians act as though they believe the public is keeping tabs on them

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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Two Competing Views of Citizenship

The ideal democratic citizen:

A virtuous citizen concerned for the common good

Recognizes that democracy carries obligations as well as rights

Informed about politics and current events

The apolitical, self-interested citizen:

Inattentive and ill informed

Easily manipulated

Politically intolerant

Unlikely to participate

Apathetic

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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Citizen Values

Political knowledge and interest

The ideal democratic citizen understands how government works, who the main actors are, and what major principles underlie the operation of the political system

Tolerance

A key democratic value

Participation

Criticism that citizens do not participate enough

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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What Influences Our Opinions About Politics? (1 of 3)

Political socialization: the process by which we learn our political orientations and allegiances

Patriotism: a strong emotional attachment to one’s political community

Spiral of silence: the process by which a majority opinion becomes exaggerated because minorities do not feel comfortable speaking out in opposition

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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What Influences Our Opinions About Politics? (2 of 3)

Differences in public opinion

Race and Ethnicity

Gender

Gender gap

Marriage gap

Stages of life

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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What Influences Our Opinions About Politics? (3 of 3)

Partisanship and ideology

Partisan sorting

Education

Economic self-interest

Religion

Geographic region

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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Measuring and Tracking Public Opinion

The quality of opinion polling today

Random sample

Sample bias

Nonresponse bias

Sampling error

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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Types of Polls (1 of 3)

National polls: include Gallup, CBS News, and so on

Campaign polls:

Benchmark poll

Tracking poll

Exit poll

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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Types of Polls (2 of 3)

Pseudo-polls:

Self-selection

Push poll

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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Types of Polls (3 of 3)

Survey experiments

survey questions are manipulated in an effort to get respondents to disclose more information than they think they are disclosing

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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How Accurate Are Polls?

Polls do make predictions, and we can tell by the vote count whether the polls are correct

The record of most polls is quite good

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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Citizenship and Public Opinion (1 of 2)

Rational ignorance

The state of being uninformed about politics because of the cost in time and energy

Shortcuts to political knowledge:

On-line processing

Two-step flow of information

Opinion leaders

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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Citizenship and Public Opinion (2 of 2)

The rational electorate: a third competing view of citizenship?

Analogy to football fans from the text

Constitutes rational ignorance

Barbour, Keeping the Republic, Brief 8e. © SAGE Publications, 2020

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