Case Study Assignment

profilesinister670
projectvaluationworksheet.xls

WACC Calculations

Kassatly Chtaura in 2013 (Professor estimates)
CAPM estimate of the weighted-average cost of capital
Cost of Equity (KC has 7M cash savings onhand) Amount of Equity Beer Saudi Angola
Riskfree rate 2.85% Value 5000 7000 7000
Beer Beta 1.50
Saudi Beta 1.20
Angola Beta 2.00
Market return 13.46%
Lebanon Cost of Equity 18.77%
Saudi Cost of Equity 15.58% *Saudi project does not require debt because the company can invest cash and get 8M from Saudi investor
Angola Cost of Equity 24.07% Amount of Debt
Value 10000 0 8000
Cost of Debt
Rate 7.40% Total Capital needed 15000 7000 15000
Taxrate 15%
Cost of Debt 6.29%
Project
Beer Saudi Angola
WACC 10.45% 15.58% 14.59%
Notes: 1. Professor's Beta estimates based on risk of investment (feel free to challenge this, or change it)
2. risk free rate based on 2013 data from https://tradingeconomics.com/lebanon/risk-premium-on-lending-prime-rate-minus-treasury-bill-rate-percent-wb-data.html
3. Since the relevant cost of equity in this situation seems to be the opportunity cost of equity reinvested into the business, Professor used annualized growth rate (2M to 25M over 20 years = 13.46%) Feel free to challenge this or change it if your team has a better estimate.
4. For cost of debt, Prof used the Lebanon bank lending rate from 2013 https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/lebanon/bank-lending-rate
5. Business tax rate in Lebanon was 15% in 2013, Individual rate 20%

Cashflow estimates

Beer cash flows Angola cash flows Saudi Cash flows
Probability estimate Probability Estimate Probability Estimate
0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4
Pessimistic Moderate Optimistic Pessimistic Moderate Optimistic Pessimistic Moderate Optimistic
-2500000 -2000000 -1500000
-1000000 -1000000 0
-600000 500000 1000000
-200000 1000000 3000000
300000 2500000 5000000
2000000 4000000 7000000
4000000 5000000 8000000
6000000 6000000 9000000
6500000 6500000 10000000
7000000 7000000 11000000