2 problem excel and word

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project1DMUU.docx

Gannon University

Department of Mechanical Engineering

Decision Making Under Uncertainty, GENG 623

Problem # 1

Jafar Alsayednasser

Dr: Mahesh C. Aggarwal

Probability is the fundamental science of uncertainty. At whatever point there is something that we don't know without a doubt, our uncertainty can be depicted by probabilities. When we examine probability hypothesis, we are considering uncertainty. To study uncertainty with a spreadsheet-based reproduction, it is valuable to make some uncertainty inside the spreadsheet itself. Knowing this, the originators of Excel gave us one straightforward yet flexible approach to make such uncertainty: the RAND() function, and afterward press the Enter key. A number somewhere in the range of 0 and 1 is dis-played in cell Al. At that point (by mouse or bolt keys) and enter the formula;

=IF(A1<0.5,"Defective","Good")

(The initial equals sign [=] alerts Excel to the fact that what follows is to be interpreted as a mathematical formula, not as a text label. The value of an IF(,,) function is its second parameter if the first parameter is a true statement, but its value is the third parameter if the first is false.)

Group 1

Group 2

Subgroup 1

Subgroup 2

Nu of people

30

10+20

5+30

Defective %

0.05

0.15

0.4

Assemble %

0.5

0.3

0.2

<0.5

<0.8

>0.8

=IF(K7<L5,L4,IF(K7<(L5+M5),M4,N4))

This formula used for the defective percentage of each group in the Excel sheet.

=IF(E34=$H$31,D34,"…..")

This formula used for simulating the table for 1 to 2000 cell.

=COUNT(F34:F2034)

This formula used for the total defective in the Excel sheet.

=SUM(F34:F2034)

This formula used for group 1 defective in the Excel sheet.

=J22/J21

This formula used for Probability defective of the first group in the Excel sheet.

Total defective

219

Total defective of the first group

4

Probability defective of the first group

0.01843318

References

WHAT EVERY ENGINEER SHOULD KNOW ABOUT DECISION MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY, JOHN X. WANG, CERTIFIDE SIX SIGMA MASTER BLACK BELT CERTIFIED RELIABILITY ENGINEER, ANN ARBOR, MICHIGAN