Business
Case 1 is from a firm called Purchase Point Media Corporation, or PPMC. PPMC was a thinly traded over-the-counter stock that issued some detailed financial projections. The data was presented in a very poor form; however, the substance and sequence of the data was organized in such a way that it was possible to compute a break-even point. Study PPMC’s “Projected Statement of Net Income” and additional informa- tion provided, then integrate marketing and finance techniques to write a report on the findings.
Case 2 is quantitative and involves the analysis of selected financial data for a firm we’ll call “Motomart.” Motomart was a retail automobile dealership seeking permission to relocate in an area already served by a similar automobile dealership. The existing dealership brought a lawsuit to block the reloca- tion. Although the data provided by the company is flawed, prepare a summary of observations and answer several questions about problems with the case.
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Case 1: Purchase Point Media Corporation (PPMC)
INTRODUCTION
This case is based on actual financial projections developed and provided by a publicly traded firm, Purchase Point Media Corporation (PPMC). Carefully examine the PPMC projections, which are presented in a sequence and format suitable for break-even calculation and analysis. After you calculate the break-even point, use additional, publicly available informa- tion to come to a decision with respect to market potential.
The increase in the price per share of PPMC stock suggests that, over time, the market may have reacted to their results and analyses, using a comparable methodology.
9
CASE BACKGROUND
Purchase Point Media Corporation (Pink Sheets: PPMC) is what some refer to as a thinly traded “corporate shell.” The firm held patents in the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, and Germany for a shopping-cart display device, but was a nonreporting and nonoperating entity.
On March 18, 2002, PPMC reported its intention to sell these patents and related trademarks. The initial estimates sug- gested a stock price of nearly $2.50 per share, before related per-share deductions for sale-related broker’s commissions and legal fees. At the time of the news release, the firm’s stock was trading at $0.04 per share. In less than 60 days the stock was trading at more than $0.60 per share (Cataldo 2003, 55–60), for a 1,400 percent increase in price per share. (Note that investors and speculators alike would view this as a very risky investment, and the price per share for PPMC stock would be expected to fall short of or sell at a significant discount to the “anticipated” selling price for the firm’s intan- gible assets. See Arbel and Strebel 1982 and 1983; Arbel, Carvell and Strebel 1983; and Arbel 1985 for guidance on thinly traded or “neglected” firms.)
While this initial news release attracted speculators, causing the stock price to rise, after months without any additional news releases, the stock price drifted down again. On August 20, 2003, PPMC again announced its intention to sell the firm’s intangible assets (Business Wire 2003).
In the second announcement, PPMC management referred interested investors to their corporate Web site. Among the data provided, PPMC included a financial projection and other items they felt might be of interest to potential pur- chasers of the firm’s intangible assets (see Exhibit 1, Purchase Point Media Corp. statement, which follows).
To begin this case, review and comment on the “form” of the public disclosure circulated by PPMC. Then use the “substance” of this information to develop per-unit, sales- based contribution margins and break-even points for the first year of operations. Last, gather other publicly available information to determine the market feasibility of achieving its break-even point.
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
Brand Name versus Generic Stocks
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Brand Name Stocks |
Generic Stocks |
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Less information risk |
More information risk |
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Higher quality of information |
Lower quality of information |
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Large sample of consensus estimates |
Small or no sample of consensus estimates |
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Monitoring service or fee |
No monitoring service or fee |
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Lower return |
Higher return |
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Higher price (premium) |
Lower price (discount) |
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Lower uncertainty |
Higher uncertainty |
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More consistency |
Less consistency |
Graphs
Supplemental information is provided in Figures 1 and 2. Figure 1 illustrates the price per share for PPMC common stock for the time period August 20, 2003 through September 27, 2004. The latter date represents the specific event when PPMC filed their 10QSB. Figure 2 compares the PPMC price per share with comparable index measures, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard and Poor’s 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000 indices, for the same period of time.
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FIGURE 1—The price per share for PPMC common stock, August 20, 2003 through September 27, 2004, when PPMC filed their 10QSB
FIGURE 2—Comparison of the PPMC price per share over comparable index measures, such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard and Poor’s 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000 indices, for the same time period
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PROJECT REQUIREMENTS
Substance versus Form and Critical Thinking
Step 1
In the infamous Enron bankruptcy case, the form of the financial statements prepared by the Enron Corporation and WorldCom was very professional; however, the substance was lacking, leading to audit and market failures and the eventual bankruptcy of both of these big-cap, or large- capitalization firms. PPMC represents a reverse case, in which the form of the data contained in the PPMC news release and corporate Web site was very poor.
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To begin, read the PPMC report, focusing on problems with the form of the report. There are many, including font changes that have been corrected for printing here. Prepare a typed, clearly communicated summary of all errors or weaknesses you find in the form of this report. There’s no magic number of errors that you must identify and different students will produce variations in their responses to this part of the assignment. Simply identify as many problems as you find, including spelling, punctuation, and usage errors. Although the PPMC report isn’t well-written, don’t attempt to correct or rewrite the report.
Here are a few examples of the kinds of errors you may find and how you’ll present them.
Summary of Errors in the Form of the PPMC Report
1. There are two sentence fragments, plus a spelling error, in the introductory paragraph, as follows:
Safe harbor statement under the private securities litigation act of 1995.
Changes in assumptions or changes in other factors effecting such statements.
2. The second sentence in the introductory para- graph refers to a “project” statement of net income (“This project statement of net income contains . . .”). It appears that the author of this report intended to refer to a “projected” statement of net income, although that’s not a conventional accounting term.
3. The third sentence in the introductory para- graph refers to “Corporate house,” in which the first word of what appears to be a firm’s name is capitalized and the second isn’t.
4. The last sentence in the introductory paragraph uses “risk” in the singular form when it requires the plural: “You should independently investi- gate and fully understand all risk before making investment decisions.”
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Next, reread the PPMC report, focusing on problems with the substance of the report. Identify the obvious errors or problems first by focusing on the addition or math errors. Prepare a typed, clearly communicated summary of all errors or weak- nesses you find in the substance of this PPMC report.
A few examples follow:
Summary of Errors in the Substance of the PPMC Report
1. The report refers to a “Projected Statement of Net Income” having been prepared in “accor- dance with generally accepted accounting principles.” I have never heard of this financial statement or any such GAAP requirement.
2. Note 6 of the report contains an apparent math error in the table. Specifically, there appears to be a transposition error for the 3rd quarter in the “15% commissions” column. The $5,382,000 amount should be $5,832,000.
Sometimes an issue may appear to represent both form and substance problems. In these cases, identify the problems with the form of the PPMC report first. After completing this requirement, build on these results by identifying substance problems with the PPMC report. This methodological approach will save you time and make it easier for you to organize your thoughts as you progress through these requirements.
Step 2
Below is a recommend framework for the analysis and computation of the PPMC break-even point in terms of carts and stores (Table 1). The PPMC Note column refers to the notes in the PPMC source document. In fact, the PPMC notes appear to be organized by cost behavior. You should follow this approach or framework as you compute the PPMC break-even point in terms of carts and stores. Begin with revenues, follow with variable costs (VCs), develop the contribution margin (CM; in aggregate), followed by fixed costs (FCs), and, finally, compute PPMC’s net operating income (NOI) and break-even point in terms of both carts and stores.
24
There’s some potential for variation in answers, but your conclusion should approximate a break-even point between 3,000 and 4,000 stores for the first year
of operations.
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Table 1 |
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PPMC |
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First year |
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Note |
J |
F |
M |
A |
M |
J |
J |
A |
S |
O |
N |
D |
Annual |
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Stores |
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Multiply by 200 carts |
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Total Carts |
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Multiply by revenue per cart |
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Total revenues |
1 |
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Variable costs (VC) |
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Amortization (2 year S/L) |
2 |
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Step 3
Now study Table 2, which presents a recommended framework for the analysis and computation of the amount of market share required to achieve break-even in stores for PPMC. The composition of the stores in the example will change over time. Using your own research skills and abilities, determine the number of grocery stores in the United States. For example, you could go to Yahoo!Finance to identify a stock for a publicly traded grocery retailer (e.g., KR for Kroger), then use the Yahoo!Finance feature that allows you to view stocks for competing firms in the same industry. Once you’ve done that, go to the Web site for each firm, where the vast majority list the number of retail outlets.
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Table 2 |
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Stock Ticker |
No. of Stores |
Firm Name |
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KR |
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Kroger |
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ABS |
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Albertson’s |
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Safeway |
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Ahold |
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SUPERVALU |
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Winn-Dixie Stores |
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Publix Super Markets |
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Great Atlantic & Pacific |
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Smart & Final |
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Ingles Markets |
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Blue Square-Israel |
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Pathmark |
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Ruddick |
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Whole Foods Market |
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Weis Markets |
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Marsh Supermarkets |
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Nash Finch |
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Fresh Brands |
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Wild Oats Markets |
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Spartan Stores |
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Eagle Food Centers |
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Gristede’s Foods |
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Village Super Market |
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Foodarama Supermarkets |
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Arden Group |
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Total |
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Case 2: Motomart
INTRODUCTION
The Motomart case is designed to supplement your managerial/ cost accounting textbook coverage of cost behavior and variable costing using real-world cost data and an auto-industry- accepted cost driver. Unlike textbook problems, this data is real. It won’t necessarily produce a clear solution when you attempt to analyze cost behavior and apply scatter-plot, high-low, and regression methods to separate mixed costs into their fixed and variable components. This case also illustrates that financial accounting decisions and methods can have an influence on cost accounting and managerial applications and decisions.
27
CASE BACKGROUND
This case is based on real financial data provided by a retail automobile dealership (Motomart) seeking to relocate closer to an existing retail dealership. You’ll examine the mixed cost data from Motomart and apply both high-low and regression to attempt to separate mixed costs into their fixed and variable components for break-even and contribution margin computations. You’ll find that the data is flawed because Motomart was a single observation in a larger database. Don’t attempt to correct the data (e.g., remove outliers or influential outliers). You’ll be producing a scatterplot and apply high-low and regression methods to the extent practicable and writing a summary report of the findings.
Motomart operates a retail automobile dealership. The manufacturer of Motomart products, like all automobile manufacturers, produces forecasts. It has long been an industry practice to use variable costing-based/break-even analyses as the foundation for these forecasts, to examine their cost behavior as it relates to the new retail vehicles sold (NRVS) cost driver. In preparing this financial information, a common financial statement format and accounting procedures manual is provided to each retail auto dealership.
The dealership is required to produce monthly financial statements using the guidelines provided by this common accounting procedures manual, and then furnish these financial statements to the manufacturer. General Motors, Ford, Nissan, and all other automobile manufacturers employ similar procedures manuals.
The use of a common format facilitates the development of composite financial statements that can be used to estimate costs and produce financial forecasts for future or proposed retail dealership sites (Cataldo and Kruck 1998). Zimmerman (2003) suggests that as many as 77 percent of manufacturers divide costs into variable and fixed components, and that managers arrive at these estimates by classifying individual accounts as being primarily fixed or primarily variable (67).
For this case, you’ll examine mixed costs as defined by the manufacturer. Using the scatterplot, high-low, and regression methods, separate these mixed costs into their fixed and
28
variable components. The data is problematic, and a clear solution won’t exist. Don’t attempt to correct the data by removing outliers, but make observations based on any pat- terns you observe. The case will expose you to actual data and require you to summarize your findings, including any conclusions you’re able to reach and why the financial data makes it impossible to separate the mixed costs into their fixed and variable components.
Motomart: A Litigation Support Engagement
The Motomart case evolved from a litigation support engagement. The lead author of this case was hired to analyze the data and provide expert testimony. His report and testimony was made available to the public (for a fee to cover reproduction costs). A broad description of the relevant points for the Motomart case follows.
Motomart wanted to move their retail automobile dealership, blaming their location for declining profits and increasing losses. They provided financial projections, using variable costing, to show that after relocation both Motomart and the existing dealership would be profitable. They created these financial projections using a database provided by the manufacturer, which included all North American retail automobile dealerships. Motomart was one of the observations or retail automobile dealerships included in the database used to create these financial projections. You’ll be examining portions of Motomart’s historical financial data.
The relocation site was quite close to the existing dealership (which we’ll refer to as Existing Dealer), and Existing Dealer felt that, if the relocation was permitted, one or both of the dealerships would fail to break even and eventually go bankrupt, leading to poor service, or what the industry refers to as “orphaned” owners of these automobiles.
Antitrust laws provided Existing Dealer with the means to block the relocation requested by Motomart, but only if it could prove that the relocation wasn’t in the best interest of the consuming public. Generally, the only way to prove this
29
is to prove that there’s simply not enough business for both retail automobile dealerships to break even (or generate a reasonable return on investment, given the risks associated with the industry). Again, the manufacturer, in support of the proposed Motomart relocation, supplied financial projections showing that both retail automobile dealerships would be profitable after the relocation.
The expert witness hired to investigate the merits of the relocation was given the Motomart data, but not the entire database that included the Motomart data. The Motomart data was in such poor form that it wasn’t possible to produce a financial forecast. An alternative forecast, not included in this case, was produced. This alternative forecast did not support the relocation of Motomart to a site closer to Existing Dealer.
The alternative forecast showed that the market simply couldn’t support two retail automobile dealerships. The implication was that, as the weaker of the two dealerships, Motomart was losing business to Existing Dealer. In conclusion, the relocation request by Motomart was denied.
Income and Expense Data
The following tables give you information such as income statements, semi-fixed expenses, and salaries for Motomart. Look for unusual entries or discrepancies in their records and, where you can, note the cause of the problems.
Table 3 summarizes financial and cost driver information produced by Motomart, where new retail vehicles sold (NRVS) is the cost driver. The account classification method has resulted in three cost behavior classifications: variable, semi-fixed, and fixed costs. Semi-fixed is the automobile industry-specific term used for mixed costs. We’ll assume that Motomart’s classifications of variable costs (VCs) and fixed costs (FCs) are correct, and focus our analysis on Motomart’s semi-fixed or mixed costs.
30
|
Table 3 |
|||||
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SElECTED HISTOrICAl INCOME STATEMENT AND rElATED MEASurES |
|||||
|
|
1984 |
1985 |
1986 |
1987 |
1988 |
|
Net Variable Revenues* |
2,885,969 |
3,828,255 |
4,086,667 |
3,940,799 |
4,298,748 |
|
Semi-Fixed (S-F) Expenses: |
|||||
|
Salaries |
613,006 |
968,789 |
1,211,464 |
1,289,758 |
1,360,489 |
|
Vacation |
600 |
26,705 |
19,468 |
19,059 |
18,268 |
|
Advertising & Training |
210,226 |
288,347 |
281,219 |
309,608 |
371,314 |
|
Supplies/Tools/Laundry |
31,473 |
46,141 |
75,468 |
65,935 |
81,252 |
|
Freight |
5,719 |
5,987 |
6,528 |
5,731 |
4,663 |
|
Vehicle |
22,913 |
23,718 |
23,664 |
20,370 |
19,483 |
|
Demonstrators |
10,465 |
4,969 |
–1,513 |
4,192 |
707 |
|
Floor-Planning |
278,531 |
301,113 |
276,201 |
156,129 |
305,044 |
|
Total S-F Expenses |
1,172,933 |
1,665,769 |
1,892,499 |
1,870,782 |
2,161,220 |
|
Fixed Expenses: |
|||||
|
Total Fixed Expenses |
1,449,208 |
2,050,172 |
2,290,867 |
2,164,362 |
2,653,620 |
|
Operating Profit/(Loss)** |
263,828 |
112,314 |
-96,699 |
-94,345 |
-516,092 |
|
New Retail Vehicles Sold |
1,798 |
1,977 |
1,674 |
1,450 |
1,897 |
|
Notes: * Revenues less variable costs equal Net Variable Revenues (or Contribution Margin, in aggregate). ** Net Variable Revenue less Total S-F Expenses less Total Fixed Expenses equals Operating Profit/(Loss). |
Table 4 provides five years of monthly data (N=60) for NRVS and the related semi-fixed or mixed cost measures. Semi- fixed costs were significant. Recall that they ranged from nearly $1.2 million for calendar and fiscal year (FY) 1984
to almost $2.2 million for FY 1988 (see Table 3).
Recall the cost function applying to the high-low and regression methods, which are provided in a variety of forms, depending on the texts you used in your previous math, economics, or accounting courses. Figure 3 is a brief outline of the high-low and regression methods.
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Table 4
SEMI-FIxED (MIxED) ExPENSES FOr THE 60-MONTH PErIOD (FY 1984 THrOuGH 1988)
|
Mo |
NRVS |
Salary |
Vacation |
Adv/Trng |
SplyTls/Lndry |
Freight |
Vehicles |
Demo's |
Floor-Plan |
Total |
|
1 |
197 |
$ 52,951 |
$ - |
$ 22,561 |
$ 1,118 |
$ 382 |
$ 2,052 |
$ 1,881 |
$ (78,173) |
$ 2,772 |
|
2 |
133 |
$ 47,054 |
$ - |
$ 19,040 |
$ 3,573 |
$ 409 |
$ 1,405 |
$ 695 |
$ 28,456 |
$100,632 |
|
3 |
132 |
$ 55,372 |
$ - |
$ 14,373 |
$ 1,388 |
$ 742 |
$ 1,380 |
$ 469 |
$ 34,423 |
$108,147 |
|
4 |
141 |
$ 46,114 |
$ - |
$ 15,022 |
$ 2,894 |
$ 675 |
$ 2,057 |
$ 125 |
$ 5,697 |
$ 72,584 |
|
5 |
182 |
$ 48,309 |
$ - |
$ 19,966 |
$ 1,896 |
$ 572 |
$ 1,603 |
$ 131 |
$ 34,599 |
$107,076 |
|
6 |
156 |
$ 49,643 |
$ - |
$ 12,019 |
$ 1,188 |
$ 407 |
$ 2,524 |
$ 1,229 |
$ 53,737 |
$120,747 |
|
7 |
196 |
$ 55,784 |
$ 300 |
$ 13,217 |
$ 3,912 |
$ 643 |
$ 2,348 |
$ 1,206 |
$ 5,507 |
$ 82,917 |
|
8 |
178 |
$ 47,957 |
$ - |
$ 17,303 |
$ 2,012 |
$ 605 |
$ 1,208 |
$ 436 |
$ 32,436 |
$101,957 |
|
9 |
159 |
$ 53,743 |
$ - |
$ 16,535 |
$ 2,717 |
$ 209 |
$ 2,400 |
$ 1,476 |
$ 28,950 |
$106,030 |
|
10 |
141 |
$ 53,109 |
$ - |
$ 23,821 |
$ 1,102 |
$ 184 |
$ 2,076 |
$ 1,168 |
$ 20,876 |
$102,336 |
|
11 |
152 |
$ 45,491 |
$ 300 |
$ 14,146 |
$ 2,630 |
$ 331 |
$ 1,677 |
$ 635 |
$ 45,278 |
$110,488 |
|
12 |
31 |
$ 57,479 |
$ - |
$ 22,223 |
$ 7,043 |
$ 560 |
$ 2,183 |
$ 1,014 |
$ 66,745 |
$157,247 |
|
13 |
280 |
$ 49,049 |
$ - |
$ 19,992 |
$ 1,999 |
$ 582 |
$ 1,927 |
$ (477) |
$ (30,104) |
$ 42,968 |
|
14 |
136 |
$ 46,698 |
$ 300 |
$ 20,251 |
$ 1,192 |
$ 603 |
$ 1,156 |
$ 1,839 |
$ 50,583 |
$122,622 |
|
15 |
174 |
$ 59,790 |
$ 200 |
$ 20,082 |
$ 1,336 |
$ 492 |
$ 1,898 |
$ 1,260 |
$ 18,803 |
$103,861 |
|
16 |
171 |
$ 80,773 |
$ 600 |
$ 26,716 |
$ 3,873 |
$ 559 |
$ 1,808 |
$ 510 |
$ 23,080 |
$137,919 |
|
17 |
167 |
$ 71,130 |
$ 9,212 |
$ 25,223 |
$ 5,560 |
$ 356 |
$ 1,816 |
$ 2,350 |
$ 18,774 |
$134,421 |
|
18 |
161 |
$ 82,490 |
$ 6,007 |
$ 21,106 |
$ 1,737 |
$ 439 |
$ 1,384 |
$ (288) |
$ 23,802 |
$136,677 |
|
19 |
173 |
$ 98,172 |
$ 500 |
$ 17,799 |
$ 1,847 |
$1,628 |
$ 1,962 |
$ 1,591 |
$ 33,848 |
$157,347 |
|
20 |
161 |
$ 90,685 |
$ 2,690 |
$ 28,038 |
$ 4,415 |
$ (12) |
$ 2,446 |
$ (3,308) |
$ 13,480 |
$138,434 |
|
21 |
167 |
$ 97,771 |
$ 600 |
$ 37,284 |
$ 2,827 |
$ 480 |
$ 2,296 |
$ 1,709 |
$ 22,965 |
$165,932 |
|
22 |
153 |
$ 87,129 |
$ 1,740 |
$ 24,236 |
$ 5,836 |
$ 79 |
$ 3,175 |
$ 798 |
$ 18,898 |
$141,891 |
|
23 |
201 |
$ 95,910 |
$ 2,074 |
$ 27,244 |
$ 3,387 |
$ 188 |
$ 1,287 |
$ (2,025) |
$ 38,699 |
$166,764 |
|
24 |
33 |
$109,192 |
$ 2,782 |
$ 20,376 |
$ 12,132 |
$ 593 |
$ 2,563 |
$ 1,010 |
$ 68,285 |
$216,933 |
|
25 |
227 |
$ 89,041 |
$ 1,880 |
$ 26,719 |
$ 4,383 |
$ 769 |
$ 2,205 |
$ 2,493 |
$ (44,140) |
$ 83,350 |
|
26 |
150 |
$ 92,165 |
$ 3,602 |
$ 14,727 |
$ 10,231 |
$ 593 |
$ 2,289 |
$ (2,051) |
$ 36,311 |
$157,867 |
|
27 |
142 |
$ 88,981 |
$ 744 |
$ 27,880 |
$ 7,734 |
$ 414 |
$ 1,891 |
$ 386 |
$ 19,865 |
$147,895 |
|
28 |
104 |
$ 95,898 |
$ 960 |
$ 21,872 |
$ (684) |
$ 425 |
$ 2,288 |
$ 178 |
$ 19,013 |
$139,950 |
|
29 |
121 |
$ 96,245 |
$ - |
$ 18,705 |
$ 8,329 |
$ 483 |
$ 2,223 |
$ (262) |
$ 16,228 |
$141,951 |
|
30 |
99 |
$106,364 |
$ - |
$ 23,835 |
$ 2,540 |
$ 417 |
$ 1,683 |
$ (1,356) |
$ 37,637 |
$171,120 |
|
31 |
150 |
$ 90,564 |
$ 1,950 |
$ 25,605 |
$ 5,862 |
$ 222 |
$ 1,586 |
$ 486 |
$ (1,121) |
$125,154 |
|
32 |
144 |
$ 98,418 |
$ 1,540 |
$ 17,763 |
$ 6,998 |
$ 49 |
$ 1,751 |
$ (1,924) |
$ 34,757 |
$159,352 |
|
33 |
154 |
$110,436 |
$ 2,693 |
$ 32,379 |
$ 8,131 |
$ 818 |
$ 2,082 |
$ 1,547 |
$ 26,419 |
$184,505 |
|
34 |
130 |
$102,042 |
$ 1,060 |
$ 19,324 |
$ 6,026 |
$1,015 |
$ 1,714 |
$ 132 |
$ 21,134 |
$152,447 |
|
35 |
202 |
$124,413 |
$ 3,519 |
$ 22,412 |
$ 9,120 |
$1,255 |
$ 2,173 |
$ (2,337) |
$ 18,578 |
$179,133 |
|
36 |
51 |
$116,897 |
$ 1,520 |
$ 29,998 |
$ 6,798 |
$ 68 |
$ 1,779 |
$ 1,195 |
$ 91,520 |
$249,775 |
|
37 |
148 |
$ 97,083 |
$ 1,080 |
$ 9,112 |
$ 6,627 |
$ 565 |
$ 1,324 |
$ 1,164 |
$ (73,753) |
$ 43,202 |
|
38 |
153 |
$104,727 |
$ 3,230 |
$ 38,616 |
$ 5,892 |
$ 369 |
$ 1,523 |
$ (1,839) |
$ 30,443 |
$182,961 |
|
39 |
83 |
$ 95,622 |
$ 953 |
$ 22,690 |
$ 3,450 |
$ (182) |
$ 2,087 |
$ 454 |
$ 17,725 |
$142,799 |
|
40 |
101 |
$ 96,438 |
$ 1,244 |
$ 14,703 |
$ 5,259 |
$ 709 |
$ 2,095 |
$ 868 |
$ 26,402 |
$147,718 |
|
41 |
140 |
$114,995 |
$ - |
$ 28,764 |
$ 2,294 |
$1,006 |
$ 1,304 |
$ (1,990) |
$ (3,789) |
$142,584 |
|
42 |
132 |
$105,337 |
$ 160 |
$ 27,253 |
$ 8,155 |
$ 521 |
$ 1,667 |
$ 1,869 |
$ 15,090 $160,052 |
|
|
43 |
112 |
$ 98,989 |
$ 2,480 |
$ 24,419 |
$ 1,621 |
$ 514 |
$ 1,040 |
$ 329 |
$ (945) $128,447 |
|
|
44 |
127 |
$124,352 |
$ 1,800 |
$ 26,011 |
$ 902 |
$ 917 |
$ 2,880 |
$ (1,897) |
$ 30,405 $185,370 |
|
|
45 |
139 |
$115,875 |
$ 1,417 |
$ 24,492 |
$ 5,158 |
$ (77) |
$ 1,281 |
$ 2,959 |
$ 14,781 $165,886 |
|
|
46 |
156 |
$113,035 |
$ 1,820 |
$ 31,158 |
$ 2,901 |
$ 450 |
$ 2,259 |
$ 417 |
$ 15,613 $167,653 |
|
|
47 |
126 |
$119,106 |
$ 3,338 |
$ 32,213 |
$ 14,426 |
$ 120 |
$ 1,394 |
$ (2,659) |
$ 40,968 $208,906 |
|
|
48 |
33 |
$104,199 |
$ 1,537 |
$ 30,177 |
$ 9,250 |
$ 819 |
$ 1,516 |
$ 4,517 |
$ 43,189 $195,204 |
|
|
49 |
209 |
$ 98,938 |
$ 1,866 |
$ 26,737 |
$ 1,694 |
$ 853 |
$ 1,657 |
$ 601 |
$ (20,127) $112,219 |
|
|
50 |
124 |
$108,606 |
$ 3,676 |
$ 31,084 |
$ 9,040 |
$ 498 |
$ 2,266 |
$ (284) |
$ 18,236 $173,122 |
|
|
51 |
131 |
$106,396 |
$ 1,197 |
$ 33,278 |
$ 2,099 |
$ 605 |
$ 1,952 |
$ 668 |
$ 15,176 $161,371 |
|
|
52 |
144 |
$106,778 |
$ 241 |
$ 32,657 |
$ 9,328 |
$ 483 |
$ 1,852 |
$ 1,409 |
$ 25,245 $177,993 |
|
|
53 |
93 |
$124,805 |
$ 500 |
$ 29,794 |
$ 4,268 |
$ 788 |
$ 1,704 |
$ (1,771) |
$ 6,493 $166,581 |
|
|
54 |
199 |
$110,153 |
$ 1,910 |
$ 38,431 |
$ 5,407 |
$ 529 |
$ 1,882 |
$ 453 |
$ 21,851 $180,616 |
|
|
55 |
170 |
$117,276 |
$ 800 |
$ 27,640 |
$ 9,305 |
$ (180) |
$ 977 |
$ 1,310 |
$ 7 $157,135 |
|
|
56 |
186 |
$112,055 |
$ 980 |
$ 28,657 |
$ 1,803 |
$ (242) |
$ 846 |
$ (2,844) |
$ 17,192 $158,447 |
|
|
57 |
200 |
$114,765 |
$ 1,695 |
$ 36,425 |
$ 8,839 |
$ 859 |
$ 2,856 |
$ 1,532 |
$ 14,864 $181,835 |
|
|
58 |
146 |
$128,007 |
$ 1,560 |
$ 27,720 |
$ 10,944 |
$ (492) |
$ 1,864 |
$ 1,400 |
$ 10,121 $181,124 |
|
|
59 |
222 |
$116,811 |
$ 2,249 |
$ 27,941 |
$ 5,775 |
$ 245 |
$ 1,141 |
$ (3,513) |
$ 7,946 $158,595 |
|
|
60 |
73 |
$115,899 |
$ 1,594 |
$ 30,950 |
$ 12,750 |
$ 717 |
$ 486 |
$ 1,746 |
$ 188,040 $352,182 |
32
FIGURE 3—For the high-low method to work, the $H and #H and the $L and #L measures must be from the same accounting period.
Preparing Graphs
The single cost driver and nonfinancial measure in Table 4 is new retail vehicles sold (NRVS or X in the above cost function). There are eight financial measures (salary; vacation; advertising and training; supplies, tools, and laundry; freight; vehicles; demonstrators; and floor-planning [also known in the auto- mobile retail industry as interest expense relating to new car inventory]), as well as a total (aggregate measure) provided for all eight financial measures (or the Y in the above cost function).
33
Using NRVS, the only available cost-driver, use Excel to prepare nine separate scatter plots and cost function-based trend lines and nine separate line graphs for each of the financial measures provided in Table 4. See Figure 4 and Figure 5 for a examples of completed graphs for salaries.
FIGURE 4—A Scatterplot Graph for Motomart Salaries
Now examine, on a preliminary basis, the pattern or trend (or lack thereof) for each of the “X” (NRVS) and “Y” (financial measure) data pairs and consider the following questions:
· You’re observing these data pairs for a 60-month period (i.e., five years); are any annual or other seasonal patterns or trends immediately apparent?
· Do the slopes of the trend lines (i.e., variable costs) make sense?
34
FIGURE 5—A Line Graph for Motomart Salaries
In the case of salaries (see Figures 4 and 5), there’s no apparent trend or pattern. It’s odd that salaries decrease as NRVS increases—in fact, this doesn’t make any sense. However, it’s consistent with the high-low results, which also didn’t make sense. But remember, since this data came from Motomart, the firm attempting to relocate, it’s real and from an actual litigation support engagement (not a textbook problem), so it won’t necessarily work out perfectly.
The cost equation in Table 5 shows fixed costs (FC) at
$106,866.00 and variable costs to be used to “reduce” total costs (TC) by $110.10 per NRVS. Compare the salary figures and coefficients (in bold type) to Figure 4. Notice that if you extended the trend line in Figure 4, it would hit the y-axis intercept at $106,866.00 (the fixed cost). Also notice that the R-squared (R-sq) measure in Table 5 equals 4.1 percent.
35
|
Table 5 |
|||||
|
SAlArY = $106,866.00 – $110.10 NrVS |
|||||
|
Predictor |
Coefficient |
Std Deviation |
t-statistic |
p-value |
|
|
Constant |
106,866.00 |
10,793.00 |
9.90 |
0.000 |
|
|
NRVS |
110.10 |
70.17 |
–1.57 |
0.122 |
|
|
s = 25300 r-sq = 4.1% |
|||||
|
Analysis of Variance |
|||||
|
SOurCE |
DF |
SS |
MS |
F-statistic |
p-value |
|
Regression |
1 |
261,795 |
261,795 |
0.10 |
0.754 |
|
Error |
58 |
152,801,120 |
2,634,502 |
|
|
|
Total |
59 |
153,062,912 |
|
|
|
Your math and statistics courses probably reviewed the use of the t-statistic, overall F-statistic, and related p-values, as well as some of the other measures presented here. Our application is a very simple one, so we’ll focus on only the R-squared measure. The other measures are provided in this example only for completeness.
Because the high-low technique didn’t work, it makes sense that the regression technique wouldn’t work well, either.
Therefore, the results for high-low and regression are consistent. The advantage of the regression technique is that it mathematically quantifies the level of the problem or difficulty with the data. In this case, one of simple regression, the R-squared measure tells the story. Still focusing on the salaries example in Figure 5, the R-squared measure tells us that only 4.1 percent of the total or mixed or semi-fixed cost is explained by NRVS. This means that that cost equation developed from this historical data isn’t helpful in predicting future costs, as nearly 96 percent of the cost behavior, through use of this equation, remains unexplained.
36
REQUIREMENTS
Operating Profits and Semi-Fixed Expenses
Step 1
First, using Tables 3–5, note the pattern of operating profits (or losses) over the five-year period. Then focus only on the semi-fixed expenses contained in Table 3. Do any amounts appear to be odd? Next, briefly comment on the five-year pattern or trend for operating profit/loss measures. You should be able to respond to this step in a few well-written sentences.
Step 2
Focus only on the detailed semi-fixed expense contained in Table 4. Are there any unusual or odd patterns you might note in this detailed financial data? There are eight expense items. About five of the eight should immediately catch your attention. You should be able to respond to this requirement in a few well-written sentences. Briefly comment on only the most obvious or apparent measures or patterns, by expense item.
Step 3
Identify the high and low measures in each column, just as you would in preparation for application of the high-low method or technique. For example, in Table 4 the high measure for the cost driver (NRVS) is 280 NRVS in month 13 and the low measure is 31 NRVS in month 12. Repeat this process for each of the eight separate semi-fixed expense columns and also for the total expense column. (You could transfer the figures to Excel to use the maximum and minimum functions to assist you in identifying the high and low measures [N=60] for each of the ten columns.)
37
After the high and low measures have been identified in each column, try to match each expense column’s high and low measure, separately, to the highs and lows identified in the NRVS column. They won’t match. Don’t try to correct the data, but comment on the potential for application of the high-low technique. What happens when the high and low activity level doesn’t match the high and low expense measure? Does this prevent you from correctly applying the high-low technique?
Don’t overanalyze this data, because there’s a problem with it and you don’t have sufficient information to correct it. Merely summarize your observations and unsuccessful attempts to match the high and low NRVS months (identified above), separately, with each of the high and low expense measure months. You should be able to do this in a very few well- written sentences.
Finally, summarize your findings with respect to the application of the high-low method to separate mixed costs into their fixed and variable components or the development of a cost equation.
Step 4
Use Table 6 to compute the cost equations and R-squared measures for each of the remaining eight expenses and total expenses. Notice that there’s a computed total requirement in the table. This just means that you must total these two columns and compare the computed totals to the Excel- generated measures in the row below. In effect, you’re being asked to comment on whether the separate cost formulas are “additive.”
38
|
Table 6 |
||||
|
Column |
Expense |
FC |
VC |
r-sq |
|
1 |
Salaries |
$106,866 |
–$110 |
4.10% |
|
2 |
Vacation |
|
|
|
|
3 |
Advertising and training |
|
|
|
|
4 |
Supplies/tools/laundry |
|
|
|
|
5 |
Freight |
|
|
|
|
6 |
Vehicles |
|
|
|
|
7 |
Demonstrators |
|
|
|
|
8 |
Floor planning |
|
|
|
|
|
Computed total |
|
|
|
|
9 |
Total |
|
|
|
Complete the cost equations for the table. Use the R-squared as the single measure of “goodness of fit.” Don’t attempt to improve your results with the elimination of “outliers” or “influential outliers.” As you complete Table 6, answer the following questions:
1. What problems did you encounter?
2. Are the R-squared measures high or low?
3. Are the slopes negative or positive?
4. Are your conclusions consistent with those from the high-low effort?
Step 5
Summarize your findings on a single page (250 words or less, double-spaced). Can the Motomart data be used to prepare
a reliable financial forecast? Why or why not? If Motomart is included in the very large database used to prepare the financial forecast that supports the relocation of Motomart
closer to Existing Dealer, what concerns might present them- selves with respect to the remainder of the database used for this forecast? Would you rely on this forecast?
39
It’s common for businesses to keep poor financial records most of the year, because many are trying to reduce the cost of financial record keeping (e.g., the salary of a CPA is higher than that of a bookkeeper). Then, at the year’s end, these businesses employ a CPA or accounting firm to make adjusting journal entries to correct data for the twelfth months of the year, only to reverse the adjusting journal entries immediately after the annual financials are prepared.
Examine your graphics to identify any seasonal (12-month) patterns. Do any exist? Is there evidence to suggest that the process described above was being employed by Motomart?
40
43