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U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey

Building a More Resilient Nation Building a More Resilient Nation

USGS Director Mark Myers National Earthquake Conference April 23, 2008

Last week’s magnitude-5.2 earthquake in Illinois

• Over 36,000 Did You Feel It? reports on the USGS web site

• Felt reports from 16 states plus Ontario, Canada

• Reminder that earthquakes are a national issue

Facing Tomorrow’s Challenges – USGS Science in the Decade 2007-2017

Understanding Ecosystems and Predicting Ecosystem Change

Climate Variability and Change

Energy and Minerals for America’s Future

A National Hazards, Risk, and Resilience Assessment Program

The Role of Environment and Wildlife in Human Health

A Water Census of the United States

Hazards in the USGS Science Strategy

• Robust monitoring infrastructure and technology for network communications

• Characterizing and assessing hazards

• Improved forecasting capability based on understanding physical processes

In all these areas, partnerships are vital for a coordinated hazard and risk program

Advanced National Seismic System (ANSS)

Backbone completion with support from NSF’s EarthScope

Northridge ShakeMap in Google Earth (KML Format)

ShakeMap now available as Google Earth transparent overlay

Wells, Nevada magnitude-6 earthquake Feb. 21, 2008

M. Çelebi

Structural Array in Atwood Building, Anchorage AK

ANSS monitoring of structures

National Volcano Early Warning System: Closing the monitoring gap

N V E W S T A R G E T S M O N IT O R IN G

G A P K ila u e a , H I 1 E R U P T IO N S t . H e le n s , W A 1 E R U P T IO N R a in ie r , W A 3 H o o d , O R 3 S h a s ta , C A 3 S o u th S is te r , O R 3 L a s s e n , C A 3 M a u n a L o a , H I 2 R e d o u b t , A K 2 M a k u s h in . A K 2 G la c ie r P e a k , W A 4 A k u ta n , A K 2 B a k e r , W A 3 S p u r r , A K 2 N e w b e r ry V o lc a n o ,O R 3 A u g u s t in e , A K 2 C ra te r L a k e , O R 4 In y o C ra te rs . , C A 3 A d a m s , W A , 2 V e n ia m in o f , A K 1 E R U P T IO N W ra n g e ll , A K 2 M o n o C ra te rs , C A 3 H u a la la i, H I 2 M e d ic in e L a k e , C A 3 P a g a n , C N M I 3 C h u rc h i ll , A K 3 A n a ta h a n , C N M I 2 E R U P T IO N C le a r L a k e , C A 3 A la m a g a n , C N M I 3 K a g u y a k , A K 2 D u t to n , A K 2 H a y e s , A K 3 E m m o n s L a k e , A K 2 S e g u a m , A K 3 C h ig in a g a k , A K 3

Mt. Rainier

Mt. St. Helens

Global Seismographic Network

• 32 stations upgraded

• Bandwidth expanded at 21 stations

• Telemetry added to 8 stations

9 new stations to support NOAA Caribbean tsunami warning system

PAGER

Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response

http://earthquake. usgs.gov/pager/

Integration of Earth Observation Systems

• Earth Observation • Sc ience

• Soc ietal Benefit

Seismic hazard assessments: National, regional, urban

Seattle urban hazard map

Uniform California Earthquake Rupture

Forecast

U.S. National Seismic Hazard Maps

Bainbridge Island WA

Puget Sound

Islandwood scarp

Toe Jam Hill scarp

Courtesy of M. Bevis, OSU

LIDAR: Revolutionizing hazard mapping in the Pacific Northwest and elsewhere

Land Use Portfolio Model used in Memphis

Scenarios: Making the hazard real

Southern California Earthquake Center: A collaboration with NSF and the university community

SCEC model of active faults in Southern California

Trenching the San Andreas Fault

• Approximately 25% of core program funds

• Gives flexibility and adds breadth of expertise to program

• Leverages support from other state and federal agencies, and universities

External grants and cooperative agreements: a key component of the Earthquake Hazards Program

USGS-funded research by Goldfinger et al. uses turbidites to determine precise ages for earthquakes on the Cascadia Subduction Zone

External advice – SESAC and NEPEC • Scientific Earthquake

Studies Advisory Committee – Mark Zoback, Chairman – Ralph Archuleta

(Chair, ANSS Steering Committee)

– James Dieterich – Art Lerner-Lam – Vicki McConnell – Stuart Nishenko – John Parrish – Ellen Rathje – Garry Rogers

• National Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council – Jim Dieterich, Chair – Dave Applegate*, Vice-chair – Ramon Arrowsmith – Göran Ekström – William Ellsworth* – David Jackson – Evelyn Roeloffs* – Barbara Romanowicz – Bruce Shaw – Wayne Thatcher* – Jeroen Tromp – Mary Lou Zoback

* USGS staff

• Focused on reducing losses in Southern California: a region subject to multiple hazards

• Integrate information from multiple hazards to improve usefulness

• Work closely with dozens of partner organizations to leverage resources and optimize performance

USGS initiated Multi-hazard Demonstration Project in 2007

The Great Southern California ShakeOut

• USGS and partners are creating complete “rupture-to- recovery scenario” for plausible worst-case earthquake

• Agreement with Office of Homeland Security to use this scenario for the 2008 “Golden Guardian Exercise”; includes school and business drills

Palm Springs

Los Angeles

Palmdale

• Exploring the structure and evolution of the North American continent • Understanding processes causing earthquakes and volcanic eruptions

USGS - a proud partner in NSF’s EarthScope

Drilling into the San Andreas Fault

Portable Seismometers

Permanent Seismometers

GPS Stations

Borehole Strainmeters

Long-baseline Laser Strainmeters

The mandate of the National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program

• Develop effective measures for earthquake loss reduction;

• Promote their adoption;

• Improve the understanding of earthquakes and their effects on communities, buildings, structures, and lifelines.

Northridge 1994

national earthquake

hazards reduction program

Draft NEHRP strategic plan available for public comment

• Identifies strategic priorities for NEHRP

• Comments accepted until May 9th

• Visit www.nehrp.gov