PADM530Wk3
Applying Behavioral Insights in Policy Analysis: Recent
Trends in the United States
Maithreyi Gopalan and Maureen A. Pirog
An understanding of human nature and of the motivations that drive human behavior have always
informed public policies. The use of behavioral research in public policy analysis, which flows largely
from social and cognitive psychology, behavioral economics, and other behavioral sciences, came into
sharp focus in the last decade. Since then, policy initiatives incorporating behavioral insights have
flourished, and thousands of research articles have been published on that topic. A lot of this research
has focused on how behavioral insights used by governments at all levels can improve the delivery of
governmental services and improve compliance and use of government services by the public. We
review recent trends in policy initiatives that specifically incorporate behavioral insights in the
United States and outline a framework for further integrating behavioral insights into the various
stages of policy analysis and policy design.
KEY WORDS: policy analysis, behavioral economics, nudges, policy evaluation
政策分析中行为研究的应用—近期美国趋势
对人类本性和促使人类行为发生的动机的理解一直影响着公共政策。最近十年里, 行为研
究在公共政策分析中的使用十分明显。这些政策分析大致包括社会和认知心理学, 行为经济学,
以及其他行为科学。从那时起, 包含行为研究的政策措施就开始兴起, 成千上万的相关文章也
对其进行了发表。许多这方面的研究聚焦于各级政府使用的行为研究如何能提高政府服务的
提供, 提高公众对该服务的认同和使用。本文检查了近期具体包含美国行为研究的政策措施走
向, 勾勒了一项框架,用于将行为研究进一步整合到政策分析和政策设计的不同阶段。
关键词: 政策分析, 行为经济学, 轻推, 政策评估
Introduction
An e-mail informed by behavioral insights, encouraging the U.S. Department of
Defense (DOD) service members to participate in a thrift savings plan, led to roughly
4,930 new enrollments and $1.3 million in savings in just one month (Social and
Behavioral Sciences Team [SBST], 2015). A series of eight personalized text messages
sent to low-income high school students reminding them to complete required pre-
matriculation tasks, led to a 5.7-percentage-point increase in college enrollment
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The Policy Studies Journal, Vol. 45, No. S1, 2017
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(Castleman & Page, 2015). While the above examples sound like marketing cam-
paigns executed by multinational corporations, they were in fact initiatives pilot-
tested by the U.S. federal government over the last few years ushering in what just
might be a new way by which a government engages with its citizens to improve
social welfare.
Governments have always tried to improve social welfare by introducing poli-
cies that often entail bringing about a change in citizen’s behavior. However, not
until recently has the behavioral paradigm permeated public policy in a more perva-
sive way. We define the behavioral paradigm as the incorporation of findings from
behavioral sciences—such as social and cognitive psychology, and behavioral eco-
nomics—into public policy. We observe such a trend both across countries as well as
in international organizations. For example, in 2015, the World Bank published its
flagship World Development Report titled “Mind, Society, and Behavior,” which
aimed to advance a new framework for development policy based on a “fuller con-
sideration of psychological and social influences.” Similarly, the European Commis-
sion (EC) recently released a report reviewing the use of behavioral insights in
policymaking across several different countries in Europe (Lourenço, Ciriolo,
Almeida, & Xavier, 2016). Simultaneously, several national governments have begun
to integrate the use of evidence-based research from the behavioral sciences in poli-
cymaking by establishing dedicated teams within the bureaucracy. The United King-
dom formed the Behavioral Insights Team (BIT) in 2010, a first-of-its-kind
government entity dedicated to the application of insights from the behavioral scien-
ces to public policy issues. Since then, countries such as Denmark, Sweden, Canada,
Australia, and the United States, have formed dedicated departments or “nudge uni-
ts” to develop and apply such behavioral insights to policymaking.
In September 2015, President Obama issued an executive order titled “Using
Behavioral Science Insights to Better Serve the American People,” and formally
established the SBST. This team, established under the National Science and Technol-
ogy Council in the United States, consists of behavioral scientists tasked with incor-
porating behavioral insights into federal policies and programs. In its first year, SBST
executed several proof-of-concept projects. These projects ranged from text-
messaging campaigns designed to increase college enrollment of low-income stu-
dents to projects intended to increase retirement savings among federal employees.
The growing influence of behavioral insights on public policy is thus undeniable. In
this article, following Chetty (2015), we argue that the incorporation of behavioral
factors should be seen as a “natural progression of (rather than a challenge to) neo-
classical economic tools.”
This article makes three contributions. First, we summarize the recent trends
in the U.S. policy initiatives that have begun to incorporate behavioral insights.
We will primarily focus our review on research of U.S. policy initiatives within
two substantive policy fields—social policy and education policy—defined
broadly, because they are at the forefront of testing and evaluating initiatives
embedded with a behavioral component. We include research published in peer-
reviewed academic journals, working papers, and reports from research think
tanks and government agencies (at the federal, state, and local level) between
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2010 and 2015 in our review. Second, we organize the research into a conceptual
framework by adapting the taxonomy used by the EC in its report (Lourenço
et al., 2016). Our article reviews research on policy initiatives embedded with a
behavioral component in the United States and should be viewed as a comple-
ment to the recent EC report. Finally, we identify emerging themes from these
policy initiatives with the specific aim of providing insights for policy design as
well as ex-ante and ex-post policy analyses.1
Our thematic review of research on policy initiatives that have incorporated
insights from behavioral sciences showcase the tremendous promise of this approach
to public policy analysis and policy design. Furthermore, we outline a framework for
incorporating such behavioral insights into all stages of policy analysis and effective
policy design.
Conceptual Framework
We adapt the taxonomy recently used by the EC in this article to classify
research on policy initiatives into three broad categories: behaviorally tested, behavioral-
ly informed, and behaviorally aligned. Figure 1 illustrates our framework for classifying
the research on various behaviorally embedded policy initiatives in this review.
Behaviorally tested policy analysis includes evaluation/analysis of those policy ini-
tiatives that have been rigorously tested in smaller experiments before scale-up or
large-scale implementation. For example, educational interventions aimed at improv-
ing students’ noncognitive outcomes, such as grit and growth mindset (the belief
that intelligence is not innate but can be developed with deliberate practice), were
tested in social psychology labs in universities before being scaled to several schools
(Paunesku et al., 2015). Behaviorally informed policy analysis includes evaluation/anal-
ysis of policy initiatives that have been designed based on previously available
Behaviorally tested policy analysis includes evalua�on/analysis of those ini�a�ves that
have been rigorously tested in smaller lab/field experiments before scale-up.
Behaviorally informed policy analysis includes evalua�on/analysis of those ini�a�ves that
have been designed based on previously available behavioral evidence
Behaviorally aligned policy analysis includes evalua�on/analysis of tradi�onal policy
ini�a�ves; however, the evalua�on/analysis of these policy ini�a�ves is aligned with a
behavioral insight when analyzed post-hoc a�er implementa�on
Behaviorally informed Policy Analysis
Behaviorally aligned Policy Analysis
Behaviorally tested Policy Analysis
Figure 1. Classification of Policy Analysis of Initiatives Embedded with Behavioral Insights.
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behavioral evidence; however, these initiatives are often not tested as rigorously as
the behaviorally tested initiatives before implementation. For example, based on past
evidence on reminder notices that improved people’s adherence to payment sched-
ules in domains such as savings and child support payments, SBST designed an
e-mail campaign reminding federal student loan borrowers about their repayments.
This policy initiative was not piloted before implementation, given the robust evi-
dence on other similarly tested initiatives. Last, behaviorally aligned policy analysis
includes evaluation/analysis of policy initiatives that are most often traditional poli-
cy tools such as taxes or subsidies that do not explicitly rely on any existing behav-
ioral evidence; however, the evaluation/analysis of these policy initiatives is aligned
with a behavioral insight when analyzed post hoc after implementation. For exam-
ple, Chetty, Friedman, and Saez (2013) observed that people in different states
responded differently to the variation in Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) policies.
They then used behavioral insights to explore those differences and found that dif-
ferences in people’s knowledge about the EITC’s incentive structure explained such
spatial variation. They showed how the neoclassical model that typically assumes
perfect information or knowledge about tax codes needed to be updated to under-
stand the complexities of human behavioral responses to even traditional policy
interventions, such as tax credits.
The subtle distinction we draw here in our classification of behaviorally embed-
ded policy analysis can help unpack the similarities and differences between how
various behavioral insights are embedded in policy analysis and help identify
emerging themes for more effective policy analysis and design. Finally, behavioral
insights have largely been synonymous with nudges. However, our framework recog-
nizes that policy initiatives that incorporate behavioral insights go well beyond nudg-
ing (Bhargava & Loewenstein, 2015; Lourenço et al., 2016).
For example, Thaler and Sunstein (2003) define a nudge as “any aspect of the
choice architecture that alters people’s behavior in a predictable way without forbid-
ding any options or significantly changing their economic incentives” (Thaler & Sun-
stein, 2008, p. 6). One of the nudge-type initiatives that they highlight relates to the
use of automatic defaults to increase retirement savings. The underlying behavioral
insight was that more people would enroll in a savings plan and likely save more if
the default option in a savings plan was to enroll everybody automatically and let
people “opt out” if they wanted to, rather than enrolling people only when they
“opt in.” Increases of as much as 50 percentage points in savings participation rates
were observed in some studies (Madrian & Shea, 2001). These results have also been
replicated in many subsequent studies on savings plan participation (Beshears, Choi,
Laibson, & Madrian, 2008) as well as in other domains such as organ donations that
have similar opt-in/opt-out structures (Johnson & Goldstein, 2003).
However, nudges are just a subset of the policy initiatives that embed an under-
lying behavioral insight about peoples’ response to a choice architecture. Behavioral
insights often go beyond merely altering choice architecture. For example, monetary
incentives that are tied to specific savings commitments that encourage savings
among low-income individuals have been tested recently and show great promise
(Jones & Mahajan, 2015). These interventions are also designed to encourage savings
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just like the automatic savings enrollment default nudges. However, they do so by
providing a new policy tool—commitment devices—that go beyond just changing
the choice architecture for potential savers. Similarly, reminder letters that prompt
action or the reframing of the content of the message in a reminder letter in terms of
gains rather than losses based on insights from loss aversion (Tversky & Kahneman,
1991) to encourage or discourage a behavior are somewhat different from just
nuanced design changes advocated specifically by nudges. We support the perspec-
tive of Lourenço et al. (2016) and review the literature using this broader view of
behavioral insights as applied to policy analyses and research. Thus, we include the
analysis/evaluation of nudge-type policy initiatives within our broader framework
depending on how a nudge-type policy initiative was evaluated. As illustrated in
Figure 1, we observe that most nudge-type policy initiatives were analyzed using
behaviorally tested or behaviorally informed approaches.
A systematic review of research on all policy initiatives that have incorporated a
behavioral insight in the United States is beyond the scope of this article; however,
we employed multiple search strategies to provide a snapshot of such research. First,
we identified appropriate studies in Google Scholar and Thomson Reuters Web of
Science using relevant keyword searches.2 Close to 80,000 published articles, books,
and book chapters emerged in that search within relevant Web of Science categories
between 2010 and 2015. We also conducted manual searches in a variety of relevant
peer-reviewed academic journals, working papers, and reports to sharpen the focus
of our search to include research on initiatives in the United States within the sub-
stantive fields of social and education policy, broadly. From these short-listed studies
(50), we identify key examples in each category (behaviorally tested, informed,
aligned) and use these to illustrate the application of behavioral insights for policy
analysis in the main text of this review. In the Appendix, we include Table A1 sum-
marizing results from the more extensive list of short-listed studies to provide an
easily accessible reference for scholarship in this burgeoning field of study.
Behaviorally Tested Policy Analysis
Behaviorally tested policy analysis includes the evaluation/analysis of policy ini-
tiatives that are piloted in labs or smaller field experiments before being scaled up.
These examples showcase how insights from basic research in the behavioral scien-
ces can be harnessed to inform policy.
Behavioral Insight: Provide Timely Information and Increase Saliency of Information
Evidence from behavioral sciences shows that the provision of timely infor-
mation and an increase in the salience of information presented can improve the
take-up of government services. The e-mail campaigns carried out by the SBST,
in collaboration with the DOD (mentioned in the introduction of this article) are
great examples of behaviorally tested policy analyses. While past evidence exists
on how timely, informational messages sent about the benefits of a program to
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potential beneficiaries result in higher uptake of the savings in other countries (Kar-
lan, McConnell, Mullainathan, & Zinman, 2016), the SBST wanted to ensure that
such informational messages would also work within the context of retirement sav-
ings for military service members in the United States. In one of the most successful
pilot-tests conducted by SBST, the DOD sent approximately 720,000 not-enrolled
service members one of nine e-mails, with messages incorporating various behavior-
al insights—framing the decision to enroll as a “Yes/No” choice, making the bene-
fits of enrollment more salient, clarifying the next steps needed to enroll in the plan,
and/or providing information about the projected financial benefits of retirement
security (SBST, 2015). The positive results ($1.3 million in savings increase in just a
month) from the most effective e-mail message have prompted the DOD to scale up
this intervention. The DOD will be sending periodic e-mails with embedded behav-
ioral framing of messages to service members going forward.
MDRC, a nonprofit education and social policy research organization, has led
several behaviorally tested policy analyses in collaboration with the U.S. Department
of Health and Human Services (U.S. DHHS). They have conducted about 15 random-
ized controlled trials that incorporated behavioral evidence on information provision
as well as information salience. One of MDRC’s most successful policy initiatives, car-
ried out in collaboration with the Texas Office of the Attorney General’s Child Sup-
port Division, provides an example. Several states, including Texas, allow child
support payments to be lowered for an incarcerated parent during his/her prison
term. However, the incarcerated parent has to apply for such an order modification.
Many prisoners fail to apply for a child support modification and accrue very high
child support arrears. To reduce the complexity in the process, MDRC sent a postcard
to a random set of incarcerated parents informing them about the order modification
program and a prefilled (with available personal information) application form. Those
who received the reminders and the simplified application were 11 percent more like-
ly to apply for the child support modification option (Richburg-Hayes et al., 2014).
Interventions that provided timely information have also shown positive effects
on students’ post-secondary outcomes. For example, text messaging campaigns that
reminded students to complete tasks needed for matriculation (Castleman & Page,
2015) improved college enrollment particularly among low-income students by 5.7
percentage points (as compared to the control group of low-income students who
did not receive text messages). Castleman and Page (2015) also evaluated the impact
of a peer mentoring intervention in which college student mentors reached out to a
randomized group of high school students via text messages to help them navigate
their transition to college. Peer mentoring increased college enrollment by 4.5 per-
centage points. Similarly, randomized control trials conducted by researchers in col-
laboration with a nonprofit research think tank, ideas42, included a text messaging
campaign that provided information about student loan borrowing costs to students
in a community college. Those students who received the text messages borrowed
less compared to the students who did not receive text messages, $2,218 compared
to $2,401 (ideas42, 2016). Online campaigns using smartphone apps that reminded
students about the priority deadline for applying for the Free Application for Federal
Student Aid (FAFSA) at a large public university also had a significant impact on
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FAFSA application completion rates as well as receipt of financial aid awards
(ideas42, 2016). Lavecchia, Liu, and Oreopoulos, (2014) review several other educa-
tional interventions that have incorporated insights from behavioral sciences, many
of which are behaviorally tested.
Interventions designed to provide effective information to aid decision making
have also been used in other social policy domains. The U.S. Department of Agricul-
ture Food and Nutrition Service (USDA FNS) pilot-tested four initiatives under the
Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program-Education (SNAP-Ed) project that pro-
vided information to low income children and women about the benefits of healthy
eating (USDA FNS, 2012). These initiatives that included direct and online education
(with substantial variations in program design and levels of exposure) were all rigor-
ously evaluated using randomized control trials and/or quasi-experimental meth-
ods. However, only one of those four educational interventions showed a
statistically significant positive effect on children’s eating behaviors and caregivers’
purchase and offering of healthy food items such as fruits and vegetables.
Interventions that go beyond just providing information or increasing the
salience of information have also been analyzed by several behaviorally tested policy
analyses. A central insight from behavioral sciences is that the framing of a message
and the affective response invoked by the message matters as much as, if not more
than, the specific contents of the message. We review a few behaviorally tested poli-
cy analyses that use such behavioral insights.
Behavioral Insight: Reframe the Information Content to Change the Emotional Affective
Response of Recipient
The DOD collaborated with the SBST to increase re-enrollment of service mem-
bers to the thrift savings plan after pilot-testing the use of another behaviorally
informed e-mail campaign. The e-mail included three behavioral components—a
personalized greeting that included the service member’s name, message emphasiz-
ing the timing (a new year) as an opportunity for service members to make a
renewed commitment with their finances, and clear information about the steps
needed to complete the re-enrollment process. The redesigned e-mail embedded
with behavioral insights led to a 5.2-percentage point increase (from 23.5 to 28.7 per-
cent) in re-enrollments in the first week (SBST, 2015). Based on this result, the DOD
scaled up the effective behavioral messaging for encouraging re-enrollment.
In another similar initiative, MDRC, in collaboration with Franklin County Child
Support Enforcement Agency in Ohio, carried out a randomized control trial to increase
overall collections of child support from noncustodial parents. The team designed
reminder notices that incorporated several behavioral insights that were sent to a ran-
dom group of noncustodial parents. The control group received no reminder notice.
The number of noncustodial parents who made a payment when sent a reminder was
statistically significantly larger (by 3 percentage points) than the number of noncustodi-
al parents in the control group. However, the reminder notice did not result in a statisti-
cally significant increase in total collections per person (Richburg-Hayes et al., 2014).
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Several other interventions implemented by MDRC resulted in treatment effect sizes
that ranged between 2 and 3 percentage points in comparison with the control group.
In another behaviorally tested policy analysis, MDRC evaluated a policy initia-
tive to increase the number of Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF)
recipients in Los Angeles County to sign up for services such as job search assistance,
community service, employment, education, and/or other specialized services as
part of their new welfare-to-work participation rules. MDRC used two different mes-
saging strategies that were embedded with behavioral insights regarding loss aver-
sion (Tversky & Kahneman, 1991). The message that highlighted the losses
participants might experience by not attending a required activity increased the like-
lihood of participation initially by 4 percentage points, although these results were
not sustained over time (Farrell, Smith, Reardon, & Obara, 2016).
Behavioral Insight: Reduce Complexity of Task
Low take-up of government support programs cannot always be improved
by informational messages or reframing of the messages, especially in certain
educational domains for vulnerable populations such as low-income students.
This insight became apparent as a result of another clever behaviorally tested pol-
icy analysis. The FAFSA that students have to fill out to access government aid
and other need-based institutional aid is infamous for its length and complexity.
Research shows that such complexity acts as a significant barrier to many stu-
dents accessing higher education and thereby exacerbates the enrollment gap
between high- and low-income students (Dynarski & Scott-Clayton, 2006).
Researchers, in collaboration with a tax-preparation software company, con-
ducted a randomized field experiment that went beyond informational nudges to
students and parents. Low-income families who were receiving tax preparation
help were offered personal assistance to complete the FAFSA. Due to the large
duplication of information between tax forms and FAFSA, the treated partici-
pants received largely prepopulated FAFSA forms in addition to extra guidance
for completing the rest of the application and automatic online submission.
Treated participants were also provided with personalized aid estimates and
comparisons with tuition costs for nearby colleges. The effects of the personal
assistance were large. High school seniors whose parents received the treatment
were 8 percentage points more likely to have completed two years of college
(going from 28 to 36 percent), during the first three years following the experi-
ment. Families who received aid information but no assistance with the FAFSA
did not experience improved outcomes (Bettinger, Terry Long, Oreopoulos, &
Sanbonmatsu, 2012).
Such heterogeneous, context-dependent effects of several educational interven-
tions highlight the need for designing, implementing, and evaluating several proof-
of-concept projects before scaling up a behaviorally inspired intervention. Social-
psychological interventions that have begun to show tremendous promise in educa-
tion in the United States recently follow such an approach (Yeager & Walton, 2011).
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Behavioral Insight: Target Students’ Subjective Experiences and Beliefs
These interventions use subtle reading and writing exercises to influence stu-
dents’ subjective experiences and beliefs to promote their educational and psychologi-
cal well-being. Social psychologists have traditionally used lab experiments as a first
step, where the independent variables of interest are manipulated in a controlled
experimental set-up, before implementing tweaked experiments in the field. For
example, Paunesku et al. (2015) show that interventions that target students’ beliefs
about their ability and motivation in school have significant effects on students’ aca-
demic outcomes. Such interventions were implemented to scale (1,500 students in 13
high schools in the United States) after rigorous testing in smaller lab and field
experiments (Aronson, Fried, & Good, 2002; Blackwell, Trzesniewski, & Dweck,
2007). Social-psychological interventions that target students’ feelings of belonging on
campus, especially during their transition to college, are tested in a variety of univer-
sity settings—such as large public universities and smaller selective universities
(Yeager et al., 2016) before being scaled to a variety of colleges. These interventions
were also tested in smaller lab settings (Walton & Cohen, 2011) before being pilot-
tested in the field. The central behavioral insight of such social psychological
interventions is that by precisely targeting students’ subjective experiences in school,
educators can positively impact students’ academic outcomes. Such precise psycho-
logical mechanisms, however, need to be drawn from basic laboratory research on
attitude change and persuasion, and customized to the different contexts in smaller
proof-of-concept studies before large-scale implementation (Yeager & Walton, 2011).
Behavioral Insight: Invoke Social Norms to Promote Desired Behavior
Finally, the above examples seem like most pilot-tested policy initiatives had the
intended effect; however, not all behaviorally tested policy analyses reveal such posi-
tive effects. We argue that reporting and understanding the causes of such null find-
ings are extremely important to move this research forward. For example, behavioral
insights from social psychology have shown that individuals are very sensitive to
social pressure and social norms. Smaller lab and field experiments on charitable giv-
ing have shown that social pressure—an individual’s fundamental dislike to say
“no”—can be used to increase an individual’s charitable giving (Dellavigna, List, &
Malmendier, 2012). Similarly, invoking social norms, that is, description of an indi-
vidual’s peer behavior to encourage/discourage one’s behavior, revealed positive
impacts in some settings; however, such insights might not translate to an alternative
policy domain as the below behaviorally tested policy analysis example reveals.
The SBST, in collaboration with the US DHHS’s Centers for Medicare and Med-
icaid Services (CMS), sent letters informed by behavioral insights to a randomized
group of medical providers with high prescription rates of controlled substances.
Based on past evidence that medical providers respond to normative messages that
provided feedback about the providers’ own vaccination rates compared to those of
their peers (Kiefe et al., 2001), the SBST letter included details about the medical
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providers’ prescription rates compared to that of their peers’ rates of controlled-
substance prescription. The control group did not receive any letter. In this case, no
significant impact was seen in the subsequent year (Sacarny, Yokum, Finkelstein, &
Agrawal, 2016). The null results spurred more analysis into the mechanisms of
behavior change. Subsequent randomized control trials using letters with revised
language based on more recent psychological evidence are currently under way.
Behaviorally Informed Policy Analysis
In contrast to behaviorally tested policy analyses, behaviorally informed policy
analyses include the evaluation/analysis of initiatives that are not explicitly tested
either as lab or field experiments before being implemented to scale. These initia-
tives, in most cases, are based on past behavioral evidence that has been rigorously
tested in another (often related) policy domain. For example, information provision
strategies that have been proven to work based on several other pilot tests in related
policy domains, have often been implemented to scale without additional tests. We
review a few behaviorally informed analyses of initiatives that were adapted to new
policy issues based on robust past evidence.
Behavioral Insight: Provide Timely Information and Increase Saliency of Information
Providing reminders to encourage people to follow through on a desired course
of action has shown huge promise in many domains such as personal savings (Kar-
lan et al., 2016) and child support payments (Richburg-Hayes et al., 2014). Based on
such evidence, the SBST designed an e-mail campaign reminding federal student
loan borrowers about their repayments. The SBST and the Department of Educa-
tion’s Office of Federal Student Aid (FSA) sent a reminder e-mail to over 100,000 bor-
rowers who had missed their first payment. The e-mail specified that the borrower
had missed a payment, and included additional salient information about the steps
needed for the borrower to complete payment including an easily accessible link to
the service provider’s payment system. The above policy initiative was evaluated
using a quasi-experimental pre-post design (i.e., the overall payment rates were com-
pared before and after the e-mail campaign). Although the SBST team did not use
the more rigorous experimental approach to this evaluation, their pre-post compari-
son suggests that the reminder e-mail led to a 29.6 percent increase in the fraction of
borrowers making a payment by the end of the first week after delivery of e-mail.
Overall, by the end of the first week after the e-mail reminder, student payment
amounts went up by 0.8 percentage points (SBST, 2015).
Similarly, based on past evidence on how timely notices increased the use of tax
credits, the SBST, in collaboration with the FSA, sent informational e-mails about
income-driven repayment (IDR) plans to approximately three million student bor-
rowers. The e-mail included information about the eligibility criteria for IDR plans,
the benefits of IDR, costs of not enrolling in IDR, and easily accessible online links to
reach the service provider. To evaluate the impact of this initiative, SBST varied the
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timing of sending these e-mails—e-mails were sent in two waves three weeks apart
from each other. The informational e-mail led to a substantial increase in applications
for IDR plans within 20 days of the e-mail being sent. Among the group that
received the e-mail, 4,327 applied for IDR as opposed to the 982 IDR applications
received from the comparison group who had not yet received the informational
e-mail. The SBST and the FSA were most concerned about the impact of the e-
mail campaign on the seriously delinquent (90–180 days), approximately 800,000
student loan borrowers. Based on the positive results of these initiatives, the FSA
has continued to collaborate with the SBST on initiatives designed to simplify
the use of IDR. The ongoing efforts range from revising the IDR application form
to innovative communication campaigns targeting struggling student borrowers
based on scientific evidence from other domains such as take-up of tax credits
postinformational notices (SBST, 2015). However, it is important to note that rig-
orous behaviorally informed policy evaluations of such initiatives described
above are exceptions rather than the rule.
Behavioral Insight: Increase Salience of Information to Mitigate Effects of Limited
Attention
The U.S. federal government has also implemented certain regulations in the
financial sector that have been evaluated in behaviorally informed policy analyses.
For example, the Credit Card Accountability Responsibility and Disclosure (CARD)
Act of 2009 mandated changes to credit card statements to protect consumers from
financial institutions that previously had taken advantage of consumers’ limited
attention by obfuscating the true costs of certain financial instruments. These legislat-
ed changes were based on past research on people’s cognitive biases such as limited
attention. The new law required financial institutions to disclose the length of time it
would take to pay off a credit card balance in full if borrowers only pay the mini-
mum monthly amount. This new law increased the salience of fees, and other costs
to consumers to mitigate the effects of limited attention. Additionally, credit card
companies had to disclose the minimummonthly payment needed to pay off the bal-
ance in three years. Agarwal, Chomsisengphet, Mahoney, and Stroebel (2015) evalu-
ate the effectiveness of the CARD act using a quasi-experimental research design
and find that the information disclosure requirements only had a negligible (but sta-
tistically significant) effect on borrowers’ repayment behavior. Account holders who
paid at a rate that would repay the balance within three years increased by less than
a percentage point (0.4 percentage points on a base of 5.3 percent). However, other
evaluations that tested the mechanism of information disclosure reducing consumer
indebtedness related to payday loans lends some support to such regulations. A
Jamal Poverty Action Lab led-study by Bertrand and Morse (2011) showed that inter-
ventions that provided in-depth information regarding the cost of payday loans to a
randomized group of low-income consumers significantly reduced their borrowing
frequency, and overall borrowing amounts.
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Behavioral Insight: Reduce Choice Overload
Similarly, psychological research has shown that many individuals suffer from
choice overload—the inability to meaningfully compare choices when too many
choices are provided at once. For example, in a series of classic experiments, Iyengar
and Lepper (2000) showed that an extensive-choice context not only increased the
burden on mental resources and the time and energy required to make a choice, but
also reduced their overall satisfaction. In some cases, the overwhelming number of
choices even paralyzed some individuals, preventing them from being able to make
any decision at all. A regulatory approach undertaken by the U.S. government to
facilitate better decision making that has been informed by research on choice over-
load is a mandate to standardize product attributes. For example, the federal govern-
ment mandated that the Medicare supplemental insurance plans (Medigap) for
senior citizens must conform to one of 10 standardized plan options (Medicare
Improvements for Patients and Providers Act 2008). These plans, denoted with let-
ters of the alphabet (as delineated by the CMS), are standardized across 47 states. For
example, the level of coverage (or benefits) under Plan A in Florida is the same as
that of Plan A in Indiana.
The number of product choices, or the outcomes of senior citizens who chose
these designated products were not explicitly tested using lab or field experiments;
however, such behaviorally informed regulatory approaches seem to provide a
promising avenue for incorporating insights based on evidence from basic psycho-
logical (and other behavioral sciences) research. However, we highlight the need to
evaluate such initiatives using behaviorally informed empirical analysis to under-
stand both the impact of the initiative on the outcome of interest and the mediating
mechanisms that the underlying behavioral insights presume. Such an evaluation is
particularly pertinent in light of a recent review of the literature on the impacts of
laws and regulations that require public information disclosure (Loewenstein, Sun-
stein, & Golman, 2014). The above review finds that while information disclosure, in
many cases, does not affect the behavior of the recipients of the information, it seems
to significantly affect the behavior of the providers of information.
Behaviorally Aligned Policy Analysis
Last, behaviorally aligned policy analysis includes evaluation/analysis of policy
initiatives that are most often traditional policy tools such as taxes or subsidies that
do not explicitly rely on any existing behavioral evidence; however, the evaluation/
analysis of these policy initiatives is aligned with a behavioral insight when analyzed
post hoc after implementation.
Behavioral Insight: Differential Awareness of Programmatic Components Affect Take-Up
For example, Chetty et al. (2013) show that the EITC, the largest anti-poverty
program in the United States, affects labor supply decisions of people differentially
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based on their knowledge of the tax code. They demonstrate how the neoclassical
model of labor supply that typically assumes perfect information about tax codes
needs to be updated to incorporate the effects of imperfect information on traditional
policy instruments such as tax credits.
Past research on the EITC had demonstrated the effect of the tax credit in
increasing the labor force participation of low-income workers. However, the evi-
dence on the intensive margin, that is, hours of work and earnings (conditional on
increased labor force participation) was mixed (Eissa & Hoynes, 2006). Chetty et al.
(2013) exploited the variation in the tax-credit top-up levels across states to identify
the effects of EITC on wage earning using detailed tax-return data, not previously
available. One of the researchers’ primary insights was that the claimants differed in
their responses to EITC (measured using the distribution of EITC claimants’ levels of
reported incomes right around the EITC refund-maximizing amounts) both within
and across the states. The researchers hypothesized that the differential response
might be driven by differences in peoples’ knowledge about the EITC’s incentive
structure and used empirical techniques to unpack those differences. This insight
helped explain the spatial variation in responses to EITC. The researchers also help
explain how information diffusion might drive such differential response across the
intensive and extensive margins uncovered by earlier research.
Behavioral Insight: Reframing the Timing and Mode of Delivery of Programmatic
Components Affect Take-Up
Another example of a behaviorally aligned policy analysis is conducted by
Richards and Sindelar (2013). They evaluate existing proposals to encourage healthy
food choices in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), one of the
largest food assistance programs in the United States, using behavioral principles.
For example, they evaluate the proposal of subsidizing purchases of healthy foods in
the SNAP using a behavioral lens. They recommend changes to the timing and
mode of delivery of subsidy that would increase the salience of the subsidy thereby
promoting healthy eating behavior. They also make innovative recommendations to
changes in the SNAP to promote healthy eating that includes the use of default
options to encourage healthy food choices and commitment devices that can be har-
nessed in addition to traditional price subsidies. We classify the above analysis as
behaviorally aligned policy analysis because the proposals evaluated by the authors
have not been implemented to date. However, the ex-ante evaluation of the proposed
reforms to SNAP using behavioral insights is an excellent example of how behavioral
insights can drive policy reforms. We also hope that such reforms are pilot tested
and evaluated using behaviorally tested/informed policy analyses in the future.
Behavioral Insight: Can Default Options Result in Crowd-Out Effects?
Another excellent example of a behaviorally aligned policy analysis is the use of
innovative empirical strategies and the use of “big data” to explicate the behavioral
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lever underlying a policy initiative, and/or the mechanisms of behavioral change.
For example, a primary concern regarding initiatives that boost savings using auto-
matic enrollment options (described earlier) has been that increases one observes in
savings produced by automatic enrollment in savings plans might in fact be offset
by reductions in savings (or increases in borrowing) in other savings accounts.
Chetty, Friedman, Leth-Petersen, Nielsen, and Olsen, (2014) explore such a hypothe-
sis empirically. They study the impacts of defaults on total savings of individuals by
exploiting variation in employers’ contributions to retirement savings accounts (i.e.,
for all practical purposes similar to an automatic enrollment default option) using a
rich panel data from Denmark. They analyze the savings behavior of employees who
switch jobs and experience variations in employer contributions to their retirement
savings account and find limited evidence for crowd-out effects. Specifically, they
find that employees who move to a firm with a more generous pension contribution
(at least 3 percentage points higher than the prior employer) on average reduce their
own savings contribution by just 0.56 percentage points with no change in their sav-
ings in any other taxable account.
In the same study, Chetty et al. (2014) also compare the effectiveness of tax subsi-
dies for pension contributions with the effects of automatic enrollment defaults into
employer pension program. The automated enrollment into pension savings has
huge impacts relative to tax subsidies. Essentially, a dollar of government expendi-
ture on tax subsidies for pensions increases total savings by only 1 cent whereas the
effect of an automatic enrollment default into pension savings is approximately 80
cents. The authors estimate that approximately 85 percent of individuals are “passive
savers” who are unresponsive to subsidies (and also unresponsive to changes in any
employer contribution amounts); 15 percent of individuals are “active savers” who
respond to tax subsidies and reallocate their savings to other tax-saving instruments.
Thus, automated defaults appear to work better than tax subsidies that require
actions on the part of savers. This study is consistent with others that lends increas-
ing confidence to the notion that automated defaults embedded in policy instru-
ments seem to work well. While the above studies are carried out using data from
Denmark, we include this example in our review to showcase the importance of
such behaviorally aligned policy analyses.
Behavioral Insight: Reduce Complexity of Task
Finally, behavioral insights that reveal that individuals suffer from choice over-
load can be used to inform behaviorally aligned policy analyses as well. Specifically,
the impacts of poverty on cognitive capacity (Mani, Mullainathan, Shafir, & Zhao,
2013), raises several concerns about the design and impact of several policy initiatives.
For example, Bhargava, Loewenstein, and Sydnor, (2015) find that, while everyone
struggles when choosing from a complex choice set, low-income households particu-
larly struggle more when making complex choices. They analyze the health plan
choices of employees at a large U.S. firm to examine the effects of choosing from a
complex choice set. As a consequence, when the government offers numerous and
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complex options to citizens, it can result in lower average welfare and also have
adverse distributional consequences. From a policy perspective, this is salient when
offering health insurance plans under health care exchanges as these plans vary
across parameters such as deductibles, copay rates, and out-of-pocket maximums.
Lessons for Policy Analysis and Design
As the above review demonstrates, behavioral insights have informed public
policy and continue to do so increasingly across several policy domains. While there
has been an overwhelming agreement about the usefulness of incorporating behav-
ioral insights into policy analysis, the exact approach for how to do so remains
unclear (Congdon, 2013). In this section, we provide some thoughts on how to apply
behavioral insights into the various stages of policy analysis—ex-ante policy analysis,
ex-post policy analysis, and future policy design. We distinguish between ex-post poli-
cy analysis—that occurs upon or after the policy has been implemented—and ex-ante
policy analysis—that occurs before the policy is implemented—to better delineate
the specific insights that can be gained from the incorporation of the behavioral per-
spective in each of those domains.
As Figure 2 illustrates, the thematic organization of the analyses of policy ini-
tiatives embedded with a behavioral element (i.e., behaviorally tested, behavioral-
ly informed, and behaviorally aligned initiatives) can be used to inform the
various stages of policy analysis and policy design. First, we illustrate how les-
sons from behaviorally informed and behaviorally tested policy analysis can inform
ex-ante policy analysis. For example, evidence from behavioral sciences can be
used to enhance our understanding of the underlying policy problem that a poli-
cy initiative is trying to solve. Specifically, we describe how a diagnosis of the
policy problem can reveal how peoples’ psychological impediments may interact
with traditionally defined policy problems such as market failures and govern-
ment delivery of services.
Figure 2. Framework for Applying Behavioral Insights in Policy Analysis and Policy Design.
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Second, we describe how lessons from the behaviorally tested policy analysis can
be effectively applied to future policy design. We show how behavioral insights can
provide a wider repertoire of policy tools at a government’s disposal to intervene
and influence behavior change. Furthermore, behavioral testing of policy initiatives
can also be used to study and understand the mechanisms of behavior change that
can act as building blocks for designing more effective future policies. We also high-
light how the government can combine traditional policy tools with newer behavior-
ally enhanced policy tools to intervene cost-effectively.
Third, we discuss how lessons from behaviorally aligned policy analysis can
inform ex-post policy analysis. We show how one can better evaluate the impact of
existing policies (that may use traditional policy tools such as taxes/subsidies) if we
incorporate the rich evidence available from behavioral sciences.
Finally, we show how a fuller incorporation of behavioral insights into the vari-
ous stages of policy analysis entails the need to view the policy process itself as cycli-
cal. Lessons from ex-post policy analysis should indeed inform ex-ante policy analysis
and future policy design. We describe such examples in the last section where past
behaviorally aligned ex-post policy analysis have provided new insights that have
driven the implementation and evaluation of new policy initiatives.
Lessons for Ex-Ante Policy Analysis
One of the primary steps in any ex-ante policy analysis is to understand the
underlying policy problem that a policy initiative is intending to solve, that is, a
rationale for government intervention in the first place. Traditional ex-ante policy
analysis, based primarily within the neoclassical welfare economics framework, has
focused broadly on two categories of situations that demand government interven-
tion—efficiency and equity. Inefficiency within the neoclassical framework has been
explored primarily in the form of various market failures and equity demands that
the government intervene to alleviate poverty and/or redistribute resources within a
society even in situations that do not necessarily promote efficiency.
The incorporation of behavioral insights into ex-ante policy analysis demands
that we reframe how we think about the underlying policy problem that the policy
initiative is trying to solve (Congdon, 2013). The primary taxonomy of market fail-
ures—public goods, externalities, natural monopolies (or other inefficient market
structures), and information asymmetry—can be enhanced with another category
that includes peoples’ psychological impediments such as imperfect optimization,
bounded self-control, and nonstandard preferences3 (Congdon, Kling, & Mullainathan,
2011, p. 20; Madrian, 2014). Psychological impediments can also be explored as an
underlying factor that may exacerbate or attenuate any of the existing categories of
market failure or effective delivery of government programs (Congdon et al., 2011).
We believe that a diagnosis of the policy problem that analyzes the interaction
between psychological impediments and the existing sources of market failure, and
the delivery of other governmental programs can be used to integrate behavioral
insights more comprehensively into policy analysis. Using a case study of a policy
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initiative that we reviewed earlier, we illustrate how a behavioral diagnosis of the
underlying policy problem can be incorporated into an ex-ante policy analysis.
Nonprofit research organizations such as ideas42 and MDRC have developed
systematic approaches to diagnose a policy problem in the delivery of government
programs by applying behavioral principles. This approach, referred to as
“behavioral diagnosis and design” (Richburg-Hayes et al., 2014), or “behavioral
mapping” (Hall, Galvez, & Sederbaum, 2014), includes a series of steps that aims to
methodically diagnose the psychological impediments that result in the deviation of
programmatic outcomes from a policy’s intended effects. Before MDRC sent out
reminder postcards to incarcerated parents in Texas, they carried out a diagnosis of
the decision-making environment of an incarcerated parent in the child support
order modification policy context in Texas. Researchers identified several psychologi-
cal impediments in the existing decision-making environment that an incarcerated
parent faced. For example, many parents avoided even opening the letter notifying
their eligibility for order modification due to a negative emotional response they had to
any communication from the child support office. Neither the content of the letter
nor the process of application for child support order modification was simple, add-
ing to the cognitive load that the parents already faced. The interventions that MDRC
designed included reminder postcards and effective reframing of the order modifica-
tion message to address each of these psychological impediments.
Such a diagnosis should also be carried out to understand how psychological
impediments may interact with market failures. For example, education provision in
the United States is a classic example of a public good (with some features of a posi-
tive externality). Traditional ex-ante policy analysis advocates government interven-
tion in education provision to mitigate the potential market failure that might result
in underconsumption of education. College education in the United States is thus
heavily subsidized by the government. However, college enrollment and completion
rates, especially for racial minority and first-generation students, are lower than that
of white and continuing-generation students (Ifill, Radford, Cataldi, Wilson, & Hill,
2016). Evidence from social psychology has shown how students’ sense of belonging,
particularly for racial minority students and first-generation students on campus, can
affect their engagement and performance in college (Walton & Cohen, 2011). Such
impediments to the psychological processes that affect students’ persistence and per-
formance in college further exacerbates the market failure of underconsumption of
education. Social psychological interventions that target and promote students’ sense
of belonging are being behaviorally tested across college campuses in the United
States (collegetransitioncollaborative.org) to mitigate such externalities. Such policy
initiatives can often complement the traditional policy tools that address the public
good/positive externality nature of education provision using subsidized loans.
Lessons for Policy Design
Having diagnosed the policy problem, behavioral insights can (and should) be
applied to effective policy design. First, behavioral insights can be used to enhance the
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policy toolkit—default options, e-mail reminders, and text campaigns are examples
of new policy tools that have been ushered in by evidence from behavioral sciences
research. Traditional policy design has predominantly focused on the use of price
incentives and regulations to change behavior—provide subsidies or tax credits to
encourage a particular behavior, tax those behaviors that need to be curtailed, or reg-
ulate markets to encourage/discourage behaviors. While price incentives are incredi-
bly powerful in many instances in changing behavior, there are limits to the impact
price incentives alone can have. The size of incentives, the structure of incentives, the
framing of the incentive message, and the salience of the message strongly influence
behavior change (Kamenica, 2012). Fryer, Levitt, List, and Sadoff (2012) analyze the
impact of reframing a teacher incentive program using principles of loss aversion in
nine schools in Chicago. They find that reframing the incentive structure using loss
aversion (i.e., teachers are paid in advance and asked to give back the money if their
students do not improve) had significant effects on students’ math test scores—stu-
dents whose teachers received the reframed incentive structure showed between 0.2
and 0.4 standard deviation gains in math test scores.
Second, behavioral insights can (and should) be applied to tweak the traditional
policy tools such as taxes and subsidies. For example, text/e-mail reminders can
enhance the effectiveness of existing policy tools such as the subsidized FAFSA student
loans.
Third, well-designed pilot studies can be used as a first stage before rolling out
policy initiatives across the state/country. The UK BIT team uses a “test, learn, adapt”
approach for policy design (Lourenço et al., 2016). The approach is based on three key
principles: “Test,” that is, the identification of various policy interventions that can be
evaluated and analyzed for their effectiveness; “learn” by measuring the results and
identifying “what works”; and “adapt” using findings from the above initiatives and
their effectiveness to adjust and design future policy intervention accordingly. We pro-
pose that an additional consideration about “how” it works is also crucial in the design
of new policies. The mediating mechanisms through which behavior change can be
influenced as well as the contexts with which these mediating mechanisms interact
and covary demands as much attention as “what works” to move this research
forward.
The main advantage of testing an intervention in a controlled experiment (in a
lab or in smaller field experiments) is that the underlying theory and mechanism of
change can be better understood (Mortensen & Cialdini, 2010). Recently, economists
have also argued for the use of such mechanism experiments as a precursor to larger
policy evaluations using randomized control trials (Ludwig, Kling, & Mullainathan,
2011). They argue that if a hypothesized causal mechanism is not effective in a con-
trolled experimental set-up, a policy evaluation using a larger randomized control
trial might be wasteful. Conversely, if the causal mechanism proves effective, espe-
cially under multiple contexts, a policy evaluation using a well-designed randomized
control trial targeting the causal mechanism of change is not only more cost-effective
but will also provide more insights into the efficacy of the intervention. Meta-
analysis of experimental studies and policy evaluations must also strive to under-
stand and review the candidate mediating mechanisms along with providing
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estimates of effect sizes across multiple trials and contexts as was the case with the
growth mindset studies (Burnette, Boyle, Vanepps, Pollack, & Finkel, 2013).
Lessons for Ex-Post Policy Analysis
Behavioral insights often enhance the evaluation of existing policy impacts when
incorporated meaningfully in an ex-post policy analysis. As discussed earlier, Chetty
et al. (2013) incorporate several behavioral insights to estimate the precise impacts of
the EITC on both the number of hours worked and wage earnings of individuals
across states.
A final lesson from behavioral sciences-inspired approach to public policy is an
appreciation for the cyclical nature of the policy process. For example, lessons from
behaviorally tested policy analyses—both positive and null findings—have been sub-
sequently used to design other policy initiatives. Chetty et al. (2013) found that peo-
ples’ differential knowledge about EITC across the different states resulted in
differential EITC take-up rates. That insight provided the input for other pilot-tests
that directly evaluated the mediating mechanism—knowledge about tax codes
(Bhargava & Manoli, 2015; Chetty & Saez, 2013). Chetty and Saez (2013) conducted
an experiment with 43,000 EITC clients of tax-preparation software company H&R
Block. Half of the tax filers were randomly selected to receive information from their
tax preparer about the marginal incentive structure of the EITC, while the other half
did not. They found that this informational intervention had no effect on individuals’
earnings in the subsequent year on average. However, in another experiment,
Figure 3. Stylistic Example of a Behaviorally Enhanced Policy Analysis. Note: The above figure is adapted from the figure 9.1 included in Weimer and Vining (2015, p. 205).
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Bhargava and Manoli (2015) mailed eligible individuals simplified information about
the EITC to 35,000 individuals who were eligible for the EITC but did not file the tax
forms needed to claim it. They found that such an informational mailing intervention
raised EITC filing rates significantly.
It is interesting to note that a potential reason why providing information about
EITC eligibility might have increased EITC take-up rates, but information about the
EITC tax code structure did not appear to havemuch impact on earnings, could indeed
be another behavioral lever—cognitive overload (Chetty, 2015). For example, individu-
als might have paid more attention to information that they have unclaimed benefits,
that is, money on the table, as compared to information that their marginal wage is dif-
ferent from what they mistakenly calculate it to be in the absence of EITC. The second
information needs additional mental processing and steps to realize immediate gains.
Such behavioral insights that can uncover heterogeneous treatment effects of the EITC
deserve muchmore attention and are fruitful lines of future research.
In all, we summarize the steps involved in a behaviorally enhanced policy analy-
sis using a stylistic example. Figure 3, an example adapted from Weimer and Vining
(2015),4 illustrates how a diagnosis of the policy problem that identifies psychological
impediments can enrich the standard neoclassical framework of linking the policy
problem (i.e., the rationale of government intervention) to various policy alternatives.
As Figure 3 illustrates, the first step in any policy analysis within the neoclassical
framework is the examination of the presence or potential for market failure that pro-
vides a rationale for government intervention. Our example starts with a similar pre-
mise. However, if there is evidence, or if theory suggests that there is a potential for
market failure, we further recommend that the policy analyst carry out a diagnosis to
identify the psychological impediments that might exacerbate or attenuate the market
failure. Such a diagnosis can result in the design and implementation of initiatives
that can be evaluated using behaviorally informed and tested policy analyses. In the
absence of any source of psychological impediment, we recommend the use of tradi-
tional policy tools such as taxes, subsidies, and/or regulations. However, we suggest
that the policy analyst explore an ex-post policy analysis of these traditional policy
tools using relevant behavioral levers, as evidenced from behaviorally aligned policy
analyses we reviewed earlier.
Similarly, even in the absence of a market failure, government intervention can
be justified on the grounds of equity, especially in the context of antipoverty pro-
grams. A diagnosis of the decision-making environment faced by the targets of such
policies will help shed light onto the policy alternatives that might be effective. The
take-up rates of such policy interventions and the effect on the outcome of interest
can (and should) be evaluated using the behavioral paradigm as shown in the stylis-
tic example of a behaviorally enhanced policy analysis.
Criticisms
The proliferation of behavioral sciences-inspired research for designing public
policies is not without its share of critics. Some critics contend that such an over-
reliance on low-cost interventions has distracted governments from implementing
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more ambitious policies that rely on traditional policy instruments. They argue that
while traditional policy instruments such as taxes and/or subsidies might be costlier
to implement and harder to receive bipartisan support, taxes and subsidies may
have a much larger potential to change behavior. For example, in a provocative edi-
torial article titled “Economics Behaving Badly,” George Loewenstein and Peter Ubel
(2010) argued that informational e-mails encouraging lower energy use show just a
modest impact on driving/household energy consuming behavior. However, a tradi-
tional price-based solution such as a well-calibrated carbon tax policy could unleash
a much larger impact by aligning energy prices that internalize the externality; how-
ever, such an effort lacks political will. Similarly, studies shows that information pro-
vision interventions such as laws mandating calorie labeling in restaurant menus
have shown just a modest impact on the provision and selection of healthy food
options (Elbel, Kersh, Brescoll, & Beth Dixon, 2009; Namba, Auchincloss, Leonberg,
& Wootan, 2013), thereby doing very little to combat a public health issue such as
obesity. Instead, Loewenstein and Ubel (2010) argue that the lack of political will to
end the corn subsidies that result in lower costs of high-fructose corn syrup and low-
priced unhealthy processed foods continue to exacerbate the obesity epidemic.
The small effect sizes of many behaviorally enhanced policy interventions have
been endlessly debated by both vehement critics and ardent defenders. Critics argue
that some of the problems that behaviorally embedded policy initiatives are trying to
solve are systemic, and can thus not be solved through just small and simplistic tweaks
to policy design features (Bhargava & Loewenstein, 2015). However, defenders main-
tain that such small interventions resulting in marginal changes have the potential to
add up to more than the sum of its parts. Indeed, the famous social psychologist that
many consider to be the pioneer of this line of applied behavioral science, Professor
Daniel Kahneman, has repeatedly communicated his optimism for incorporating
behavioral insights into the public policy process. He emphasizes that these initiatives
have the potential to achieve “medium-sized gains by nanosized investments” (Kahne-
man, 2013). By analyzing and explicating the relative costs and benefits of behaviorally
embedded policy initiatives, we hope that public policy researchers can move past
such polarized reactions. We believe that behavioral insights complement—and do not
replace—the need for traditional policy tools such as taxes and subsidies.
Finally, some critics have questioned the ethics behind nudge-type policy initia-
tives. The criticism rests on the claim that these policy initiatives might result in
policymakers manipulating citizens’ choices by relying on certain automatic psycho-
logical processes of citizens (Bovens, 2009). While Hansen and Jespersen (2013) con-
tend that not all nudges rely on automatic psychological processes, Thaler and
Sunstein (2008) have argued that most nudges are liberty preserving because they do
not alter the overall availability of choices to an individual. Hansen and Jespersen
(2013) also emphasize that it is important to distinguish between transparent and
nontransparent nudges when evaluating the ethicality of using such behaviorally
enhanced policy initiatives. Most recently, Steffel, Williams, and Pogacar (2016) show
how most nudges can be made completely transparent without reducing their bene-
fits. We encourage more research to explore the ethics and the ultimate welfare
implications of the use of this behavioral paradigm to policymaking. However, we
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argue that such research should be conducted within the larger context of evaluating
relative trade-offs and benefits to cost comparisons of alternative policy initiatives.
Conclusion
Insights from behavioral sciences hold tremendous promise for applied policy
analytic work. In less than a decade since the publication of Nudge (Thaler & Sun-
stein, 2008)—viewed by many as the beginning of behavioral insights permeating
the policy process—several key advances have been made to fully incorporate such
insights into policy. However, there is not much consensus about how these insights
can be fully incorporated into policy analysis. Our review aims to contribute toward
building such a coherent approach for applying behavioral insights into the various
stages of policy analysis and policy design.
First, behavioral insights should be integrated into ex-ante policy analysis more
thoroughly by incorporating a diagnosis of the underlying policy problem—be it an
analysis of a market failure or an antipoverty/equity concern that demands govern-
ment intervention. Specifically, the interaction of peoples’ psychological impedi-
ments that might exacerbate or attenuate the policy problem(s) needs to be explored
before policy tools are designed and implemented to resolve the policy problem.
Second, behavioral insights should be incorporated into policy design and
implementation. Automatic defaults, reminder e-mails, and text campaigns that
enhance take up of governmental programs and social psychological interventions
that help smooth psychological frictions for vulnerable populations such as students
and low-income households, enhance the policy toolkit at the disposal of the govern-
ment. Such behaviorally informed policy tools can also be used in combination with
existing tools such as taxes and subsidies to enhance the intended consequences of
government intervention. The behavioral revolution in public policy not only encour-
ages the use of rigorous pilot-testing of policy initiatives using randomized control
trials to increase the internal validity of causal impacts, but also to understand the
mechanism of change underlying the policy initiative.
Last, behavioral insights enhance ex-post policy analysis by providing better mod-
els for peoples’ behavioral responses to policy changes. By incorporating various
behavioral levers in empirical models that evaluate policy impacts, we gain a better
understanding of the expected and unexpected consequences of policies. Furthermore,
such an integration of behavioral insights highlights the need to view the various stages
of the policy process as a cyclical and reinforcing process. The lessons from one stage of
the policy process such as ex-post policy analysis should inform the design of the new
policy tools and the evaluation of policy alternatives in an ex-ante policy analysis.
As the field matures, and our understanding of human behavior continues to
improve, we see that some problems can be improved through minor tweaks to poli-
cy design features. However, some other policy problems need a fundamental
rethinking of the underlying assumptions of human nature. Classic social psycholo-
gy research of behavior change carried out by Kurt Lewin entailed the study of a ten-
sion system consisting of conflicting forces in the environment that simultaneously
push and pull an individual’s behavior. Lewin distinguished between two kinds of
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conflicting forces—restraining forces and driving forces—that form the basis for
behavior change. “Driving forces” are those that help promote behavior change. In
contrast, “restraining forces” are those that preclude behavior change. Kahneman
(2013) explains how the Lewinian approach for identifying the restraining forces
entails answering the question: “Why don’t people already do what I wish they do?”
Just as Lewin favored reducing the “restraining forces” over increasing the
“driving forces” for behavior change, the first decade of the nudges approach to poli-
cy making has followed a similar trend of targeting the “restraining forces.” Behav-
iorally informed and tested policy analyses of initiatives that involve changes in
framing, or tweaks to choice architecture can essentially be classified as the govern-
ment/change agent reducing the “restraining forces” that precludes human beings
from making choices that are in their best interest. However, we recommend that an
over-reliance on eliminating the “restraining forces” should not preclude a deeper
exploration of other “driving forces” that can be harnessed for behavior change. For
example, in a recent Huffington Post article, Lamberton and Castleman (2016) call
for Nudge 2.0—an expanded nudge toolkit especially in education that can go
beyond simplifying information or providing reminders that enable students to fol-
low through on their commitments. They call for additional interventions that pro-
vide professional assistance that can aid students’ decision making by specifically
incorporating their identity, beliefs, psychological biases, and emotions. We call for
further research to explore the impact of educational interventions based on basic
social psychological theory that can support rather than merely nudge students into
making decisions that enable them to achieve a high-quality educational experience.
Finally, we recommend the “pragmatic approach” advocated by economist Raj
Chetty (2015) for the incorporation of behavioral elements and factors in the policy
process. Rather than debating the validity of a behavioral approach as being in con-
trast to the neoclassical framework/assumptions, behavioral insights should be
judged by the usefulness of its predictions and empirical validity. Scholars and prac-
titioners carrying out policy analysis work must strive to incorporate behavioral
insights into policy design and all the stages of policy analysis.
Maithreyi Gopalan is a Ph.D. candidate at the School of Public and Environmental
Affairs at Indiana University, Bloomington. She has completed a doctoral minor in
Psychology and holds a Master’s in Economics. Her research interests lie in bring-
ing psychological insights to bear on social and education policy.
Maureen A. Pirog is Rudy Professor of Policy Analysis at the School of Public and
Environmental Affairs at Indiana University, Bloomington. She is also a distin-
guished visiting professor at the University of Johannesburg.
Notes
The authors thank two anonymous reviewers, Dave Warren, Shannon Lea Watkins, and Michael D. Per-
kins for their thoughtful and encouraging comments on earlier drafts of this manuscript. Any remaining
errors are our own.
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1. We adopt a broad definition of policy analysis in this article that includes Weimer and Vining’s (2015)
description of “policy analysis,” “policy research,” and “academic research.” Weimer and Vining
define “policy analysis” as a systematic assessment of alternative policy choices for policy problems
that is largely carried out by analysts in a variety of public organizational settings such as federal, state,
and local agencies. In contrast, they define “policy research” as pertaining to policy evaluations that
aim at predicting the impact of changes driven by policies or the impact of changes in outcomes that
can be “altered by public policy” (p. 26). Finally, they define “academic research” as empirical and the-
oretical analysis of public policy issues that aims to “contribute to a better understanding of society”
(p. 25) that are not always relevant to specific public policies. This includes analyses published more
traditionally in peer-reviewed academic journals. Given the blurring distinction between these catego-
ries, and how the empirical orientation and practice of policy analysts in governmental agencies have
also begun to resemble academic and policy research, we adopt a broad definition of policy analysis in
this review.
2. Key words used: nudges, behavioral economics, behavioral science, behavioral insights, interventions,
behavioral insights for social policy, behavioral insights for education policy, behavioral foundation of
public policy.
3. Imperfect optimization: category of psychological impediments that refers to errors people make when
choosing among alternatives; bounded self-control: category of psychological impediments that reflects
peoples’ general tendency to not take action that has future benefits even when they recognize such
benefits and would like to take action; nonstandard preferences: category of psychological impediments
that pertains to people having preferences that are different from standard model. In this case, people
are not making errors in choosing, or are not struck with the inability to take action even when they
intend to. Their preferences (accurately identified and executed) are usually assumed away in the stan-
dard economicmodels.
4. Weimer and Vining (2015) include an additional category—government failure—that explores situa-
tions in which government intervention might fail. In those cases, they advocate policy solutions such
as deregulation, legalization, and privatization. A burgeoning literature in political science and public
administration is incorporating behavioral insights to understand and solve some sources of govern-
ment failure. These problems most often pertain to problems of direct democracy and representative
government that essentially explore the cognitive biases in electoral processes as well as in bureaucra-
cy; however, a review and analysis of the insights from those studies to the policy process is beyond
the scope of this review.We thus focus just on how behavioral insights can enhance our understanding
of the sources of market failure and promote government delivery of antipoverty programs in the con-
text of policy analysis and evaluation.
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Appendix
Table A1. Overview of Short-Listed Policy Initiatives with Behavioral Insights
Study Results Citation
Behaviorally Tested Policy Analysis Examples
Increasing number of incarcerated noncustodial parents (NCP) who complete an application for modification of their child support order
Compared to control group, treated NCPs were 11 percentage points more likely to complete the order modification.
Richburg-Hayes et al. (2014)
Increasing enrollment of service members into thrift savings plan
Compared with no message, e-mails informed by behavioral insights led to roughly 4,930 new enrollments and $1.3 million in savings in a month.
SBST (2015)
Increasing collections of child support arrears from noncustodial parents through behaviorally informed reminders
Compared to no message, reminders increased number of NCPs making a payment by 2.9 percentage points.
Richburg-Hayes et al. (2014)
Increasing re-engagement of TANF in welfare-to-work initiatives
Compared to control group, members who took action and became positively engaged 30 days after their scheduled appointment increased by 3.6 percentage points, a 14 percent increase. However, after 60 days no sustained impact was found.
Farrell et al. (2016)
Educating SNAP recipients on benefits of healthy eating
In one out of four programs statistically significant effects found. Compared to control group, treated children increased consumption of fruits, vegetables, and low-fat milk.
USDA FNS (2012)
Reducing prescription rates of controlled-substances by invoking social comparisons
Intervention did not show any statistically significant effects on prescription rates of controlled substances.
Sacarny et al. (2016)
Increasing information disclosure about cost of payday loans
Modest, but statistically significant impacts of providing information about cost of payday loans (effects vary across treatment arms).
Bertrand and Morse (2011)
Increasing take up of EITCs through information provision
Compared to control group, decreasing complexity increased take up of EITC by 6 percentage points.
Bhargava and Manoli (2015)
Increasing earnings responses to EITC through intervention teaching the structure of tax code
Intervention did not show any statistically significant effects on wage earnings of treated individuals.
Chetty et al. (2013)
Aiding Federal Health Insurance marketplace enrollment through reminders
Compared to no message, those who were sent the most effective reminder were 0.53 percentage points more likely to enroll in health insurance plan.
SBST (2015)
Increase renewal of low-income households’ child care subsidies
Parents in treated child care centers that reminded the parents to renew their child care subsidy, increased on-time renewal rate by 2.4 percentage points.
Dechausay, Anzelone, and Reardon (2015)
Increasing engagement of low-income single workers receiving EITC supplements
Compared to control group, treated EITC supplement recipients were 7.1 percentage points more likely to attend meetings.
Dechausay et al. (2015)
Compared to control group, social pressure of turning down door-to-door
Dellavigna et al. (2012)
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Table A1. cont.
Study Results Citation
Increased charitable giving by invoking social norms (and social pressure)
charity raising campaign increases charitable giving among treated participants.
Increasing Healthy Food Choices in the Supplemental Nutritional Assistance Program (SNAP)
Compared to control group, treated participants who received 30 cents for every SNAP dollar spent on targeted fruits and vegetables, increased their consumption of fruits and vegetables by 26 percent.
USDA FNS (2014)
Encouraging optimal choice in Medicare drug plan selection through information provision
Compared to no information provision, intervention caused an average decline in predicted consumer cost of about $100 a year among letter recipients.
Kling, Mullainathan, Shafir, Vermeulen, and Wrobel (2012)
Increasing collections from individuals with outstanding nontax debt appealing to social norms
Compared to the standard collection letter, those who received showed no difference in payment rates.
SBST (2015)
Increasing labor force participation among older workers through provision of information about Social Security provisions
Compared to no information, intervention increased labor force participation one year later by 4 percentage points.
Liebman and Luttmer (2011)
Reducing debt among low-income consumers using reminder notices, peer support, and goal setting interventions
Intervention did not show any statistically significant effects on debt reduction.
Karlan and Zinman (2012)
Commitment devices and monetary incentives to reduce time-inconsistent preferences in savings among low-income tax filers
Effects vary across treatment arms. Compared to control group, treated low-income tax filers increase soft-commitment to save by 30–35 percentage points. Immediate incentive effect on savings is nearly twice as large as the delayed incentive effect.
Jones and Mahajan (2015)
Increasing college enrollment of low-income students using prefilled FAFSA forms
Compared to control group, high school seniors whose parents received the treatment were 8 percentage points more likely to have completed two years of college (going up from 28 to 36 percent).
Bettinger et al. (2012)
Increasing students’ growth mindset (ability to view intelligence as malleable) and a sense of purpose in schools
Compared to control group, at-risk students who received the growth mindset intervention received higher GPA and were 6.4 percentage points more likely to perform satisfactorily in core courses.
Paunesku et al. (2015)
Increasing students’ sense of belonging in college
Compared to control group, treated ethnic minority and first generation students received higher GPA and were less likely to drop out from college in the sophomore year (effects vary across three studies reported in the paper).
Yeager et al. (2016)
Text messaging campaign reminding students to complete pre-matriculation tasks
Compared to control group, students who received the text messages were 5.7 percentage points more likely to enroll in college.
Castleman and Page (2015)
Peer mentoring campaign to help high school seniors navigate transition to college
Effects vary across sites. In some sites, compared to control group, treated students were 4 percentage points more likely to enroll in colleges.
Castleman and Page (2015)
ideas42 (2016)
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Table A1. cont.
Study Results Citation
Text messaging campaign to reduce student loan borrowing costs in a community college
Compared to control group, those students who received the text messages borrowed less ($2,218 compared to $2,401).
Online intervention using smartphone app to increase FAFSA application completion rates
Compared to control group, incoming freshmen who received the reminders were 22 percent more likely to complete FAFSA applications.
ideas42 (2016)
Increasing students’ academic outcomes through parental engagement via calls and text
Compared to control group, students whose parents were eligible for treatment experienced a 0.23 standard deviation increase in GPA and improvement in classroom behavior by 6 percentage points. Treated parents were 7.9 percentage points more likely to attend parent-teacher conferences.
Bergman (n.d.)
Increasing students’ enrollment in STEM courses through parental engagement
Compared to control group parents who received no brochures about value of STEM courses, students of treated parents enrolled in nearly one more semester of STEM courses.
Harackiewicz, Rozek, Hulleman, and Hyde (2012)
Increasing college enrollment of disadvantaged youth using counseling and tutoring services
Compared to control group students, treated students were 30 percentage points more likely to apply to four-year colleges, submitted more college applications to selective colleges, and were 15 percentage points more likely to enroll in college.
Avery (2013)
Increasing parental engagement in subsidized preschool programs through behavioral tools
Compared to the control group parents, treated parents who received text reminders, goal-setting, and social rewards increased usage of reading application by one standard deviation.
Mayer, Kalil, Oreopoulos, and Gallegos (2015)
Increasing efficacy of teacher incentives framing using loss aversion
Students whose teachers received the reframed incentive structure using loss aversion (teachers are paid in advance and asked to give back the money if their students do not improve) sufficiently showed between 0.201 and 0.398 standard deviation gains in math test scores
Fryer et al. (2012)
Providing cognitive behavioral therapy to disadvantaged youth in Chicago
Compared to control group, participation in treatment increased math test scores by 0.65 standard deviation and expected graduation rates by 14 percentage points.
Cook et al. (2014)
Increasing student performance using cell phone, texts, and other phone-based reading activities
Students that received cellular phones prompting reading activities/ informational texts were 15 percentage points more likely to report feeling more focused or excited about doing well in school, but no detectable effect on attendance, suspensions, or test scores.
Fryer (2013)
Behaviorally Informed Policy Analysis Examples
Impact of regulations mandating information disclosure—CARD Act of 2009
Information disclosure requirements only had a negligible (but statistically significant) effect on borrowers’ repayment behavior. Account holders
Agarwal et al. (2015)
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Table A1. cont.
Study Results Citation
responding to information disclosed increased by less than a percentage point.
Regulations mandating standardization of Medigap insurance plans across the United States
To the best of our knowledge, we are not aware of any rigorous evaluation of the specific standardization policy. However, there is some evidence that a restriction on insurance plan differentiations might result in suboptimal consumer welfare.
Starc (2014)
Exploring informational interventions to help TANF recipients with disabilities who were also eligible for Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) recipients
Results vary across sites. Integrated Placement and Support model used by SSDI program showed promise for use by TANF recipients with disabilities.
Farrell, Baird, Barden, Fishman, and Pardoe (2013)
Increasing student loan payments using reminders
Reminder e-mail led to a 29.6 percent increase in the fraction of borrowers making a payment by the end of the first week after delivery of e-mail.
SBST (2015)
Informing student borrowers about IDR plans
The informational e-mail led to a substantial increase in applications for IDR plans within 20 days of the e-mail being sent. Among the group that received the e-mail, 4,327 applied for IDR as opposed to the 982 IDR applications received from the comparison group who had not yet received the informational e-mail.
SBST (2015)
Simplifying information about IDR plans
Ongoing evaluation SBST (2015)
College Scorecard: Provision of standardized information about colleges to improve postsecondary college choices
To the best of our knowledge, we are not aware of any rigorous evaluation of this initiative.
U.S. Department of Education (2013), hereafter USDOE
Financial Aid Shopping Sheet: Provision of standardized information about graduation rate, loan default rate across various colleges
Ongoing evaluation. Preliminary quasi-experimental results show a 2.6 percentage point decrease in the share of students borrowing federal loans in colleges that adopted the “shopping sheet”
USDOE (2013); Rosinger (2016)
Behaviorally Aligned Policy Analysis Examples
Identifying spatial variation in EITCs take-up rates across states in the United States
Spatial variation in take-up rates of EITC across states identified using behavioral insights about knowledge diffusion.
Chetty et al. (2013)
Identifying behaviorally informed proposals to encourage healthy food choices in the SNAP
Identify behaviorally aligned proposal reforms in the SNAP to encourage healthy eating.
Richards and Sindelar (2013)
Identifying crowd-out effects of automatic enrollment default options on total savings
Identity negligible crowd-out effects on (total savings) of automatic enrollment default options.
Chetty et al. (2014)
Understanding individuals’ choices of health insurance plans
Identify how low-income households make suboptimal health insurance plan choices when provided a complex choice set.
Bhargava et al. (2015)
Understanding the impact of Nutrition Labeling and Education
Limited impact of NLEA on attitudes and behavior of individuals, consistent with previous literature. Using
Patterson, Bhargava, and Loewenstein (2017)
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Table A1. cont.
Study Results Citation
Act (NLEA)1990 on consumer attitudes and behaviors
behavioral models in their analysis, authors illuminate the mechanisms resulting in limited impact of NLEA.
Identifying longer term effects of an EITC eligibility information provision intervention
Effects of information provision about EITC eligibility attenuates EITC take-up rates from 80 to 22 percent within a year.
Manoli and Turner (2016)
Understanding the impact of menu-labeling laws on availability of healthy food choices in low-income neighborhoods
Overall availability of healthy food choices remained low over the period. However, restaurants located in areas that implemented calorie labeling increased their healthier entr�ee options.
Namba et al. (2013)
Understanding the impact of increasing salience of university ranking system
Using a natural experiment, authors find that a one-rank improvement leads to a 1-percentage-point increase in the number of applications to that college.
Luca and Smith (2013)
Understanding the impact of free tutoring, group mentoring, and cash incentive to improve college choices
Eligibility to intervention components increases graduation rates from high school by 15 percentage points, college enrollments by 19 percentage points and test scores by 0.15 standard deviations.
Oreopoulos, Brown, and Lavecchia (2014)
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