Marketing situation analysis paper

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PaitongProjections9-10-18.xlsx

Profit & Loss Projections

Paithong Thai Cuisine
Financial Projections for June 2017 - May 2018 Key: formula enter as negative
PROJECTED PROFIT & LOSS STATEMENT and CASH FLOW
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May TOTAL % Rev
Food Service 9,600 6,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 11,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 110,600
Non Alcoholic drinks 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 4,800
Beer and wine 200 400 800 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 15,800 just started selling beer and wine in May 2017
$10 Average/ # tickets 32 20 20 23 27 30 33 37 37 40 37 33
Income, Sales, Revenue - Total or Gross
Food Service 9,600 6,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 11,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 110,600 84%
Non Alcoholic drinks 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 4,800 4%
Beer and wine 200 400 800 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 1,600 15,800 12%
Total 10,200 6,800 7,200 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 13,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 131,200 100% 10,933.33
Cost of Goods Sold
30% Food Service 2,880 1,800 1,800 2,100 2,400 2,700 3,000 3,300 3,300 3,600 3,300 3,000 33,180 25%
30% Non Alcoholic drinks 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 120 1,440 1%
40% Beer and wine 80 160 320 640 640 640 640 640 640 640 640 640 6,320 5%
Total 3,080 2,080 2,240 2,860 3,160 3,460 3,760 4,060 4,060 4,360 4,060 3,760 40,940 31%
Gross Profit - Profit Margin 7,120 4,720 4,960 6,140 6,840 7,540 8,240 8,940 8,940 9,640 8,940 8,240 90,260 69%
Operating Expenses / Overhead / Monthly - 0
Advertising & Promotion 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 780 1% need a banner?? for happy hour, need flyers??, take out menus = $50/ month
Bank Service Charges - for merchant services Bof A 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 38 456 0%
Business Insurance Expense 338 338 338 338 1,352 1% general liability
Business Licenses and Permits 745 15 200 960 1% 695 for restaurant in Nov, 50 for DBA, food handlers card every 2 years not sure of month for $15 (Jan?), OLCC is 200 in April
Events -Licenses and Permits 270 135 135 135 150 135 960 1% Cambodia New Year = 135 in April, Sunday Market license = 135 in May, Jade Night Market = 135 in June, Stark = 135, and 3 other events = 135*3 (Belmont in July, ? DMA in Aug, 1 more in Sept) TOTAL SALES 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000
Events - Booth Fees 955 290 290 290 140 1,965 1% Cambodia New Year = 150 in April, Sunday Market = 35 every week (plus 15 the first week), Jade Night Market (pay in June) = 350 in July and 350 in Aug, Stark paid in June 100, and 3 more events for 150 each % paid to Square 3% 180 210 240 270 300 330
Computer & Software Expenses 500 500 0% 500 for new computer in November B of A COSTS
Dues and Subscriptions 100 100 0% Montavilla Neighborhood Association Other fees ? ? ? ? ? ?
Internet, phone & Website 65 65 150 150 150 150 250 150 150 150 150 150 1,730 1% 100 for website in Dec., phone = $65/month, starting in Aug phone and internet is 150 Total cost 0 0 0 0 0 0
4.50% Merchant Account Fees 90% 413 275 292 365 405 446 486 527 527 567 527 486 5,314 4% B of A averages 4.5%, Nancy is looking into a new system
Office Supplies 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 180 0% 85 once per year for receipt paper
Restaurant Supplies 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1,200 1% dishrags 50/ month, heavy duty dishwashing = 50/ year, hand dish wash soap = 15/ month, hand soap pptwls and toilet paper = 30/month
Labor-Contractor 200 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 400 4,600 4% 50 for 4 hrs one day / week, in uly starts to be $50/ day*2 days/ week
Labor-Payroll Wages 0 - 0 0% all employees are IRCO or family receiving tips
Labor-Payroll Taxes and Benefits 0 - 0 0%
Legal and Professional Fees 300 300 0% extended taxes in august for $300
Rent Expense 900 900 900 900 900 900 900 900 900 900 900 900 10,800 8%
2000 Repairs and Maintenance 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 167 2,000 2%
Telephone 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 64 768 1% one landline
Utilities 878 878 878 878 878 878 878 878 878 878 878 878 10,540 8% electric about 300/ month, water 700/ 3 months, gas = 280/ month, trash = 65/ month
Vehicle Expenses 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 292 3,500 3% gas = 180/ month, 35/ 3 months for oil, 100/ month for repairs and maintenance
Total Operating Expenses 4,760 3,684 4,085 4,196 3,614 4,759 3,993 3,610 3,595 3,974 4,045 3,690 48,005 37% 4,000.38
0%
Net Profit/Loss - Net Income 2,360 1,036 875 1,944 3,226 2,781 4,247 5,330 5,345 5,666 4,895 4,550 42,255 32% 3,521.28
Cash Flow
Beginning Cash 6,000
Gavin D'Avanther: Gavin D'Avanther: enter Dec 31 end of day balance, business checking account
5,810 4,196 1,140 633 1,410 (645) 1,153 4,032 2,451 5,667 8,112
Net Income 2,360 1,036 875 1,944 3,226 2,781 4,247 5,330 5,345 5,666 4,895 4,550 42,255
Add Loan Proceeds - 0
Less Capital Purchases (100) (200) (200) (500) June stove from friend Nancy from burned store, includes degreaser and moving - anew one costs 1200-1600, may need a new icemake for $2,000 as of July 2017
30% Less Taxes (1,281) (2,385) (4,477) (4,533) (12,677) (1,056.39)
Less Loan Payment (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (1,450) (17,400) (1,450)
Less Owners Draw (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (12,000) (1,000)
Net Cash Flow (190) (1,614) (3,057) (506) 776 (2,054) 1,797 2,880 (1,582) 3,216 2,445 (2,433)
Ending Cash 5,810 4,196 1,140 633 1,410 (645) 1,153 4,032 2,451 5,667 8,112 5,679 19800
ASSUMPTIONS AND NOTES

Sheet2

Sheet3

Breakeven

Your Name
BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS (Monthly)
AVERAGE MONTH Notes AVERAGE MONTH Notes AVERAGE MONTH Notes AVERAGE MONTH Notes
EXPENSES
Average Monthly expenses 4,000.00 4,000.00 4,000.00 6,340.00 add 40 hrs/wk at 11.25/ hr at 30% payroll
taxes 1,100.00 1,100.00 1,100.00 1,100.00
Loan Payments 1,500.00 to 3 banks 1,500.00 to 3 banks 1,500.00 to 3 banks 1,500.00 to 3 banks
Owners Draw 1,000.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 1,000.00
Savings 500.00 500.00 500.00
TOTAL MONTHLY EXPENSES 7,600.00 8,100.00 9,100.00 10,440.00
MONTHLY GROSS PROFIT REQUIRED 7,600.00 8,100.00 9,100.00 10,440.00
COST OF GOODS SOLD % 31% 31% 31% 31%
GROSS MARGIN % 69% (100% - COGS) 69% (100% - COGS) 69% (100% - COGS) 69% (100% - COGS)
MONTHLY BREAKEVEN SALES 11,014.49 11,739.13 13,188.41 15,130.43
(Total expenses / Gross Margin %)
$10.50 Average ticket price $10.50 Average ticket price $10.50 Average ticket price $10.50 Average ticket price
1049 # tickets/ month 1118 # tickets/ month 1256 # tickets/ month 1441 # tickets/ month
35 # tickets/ day 37 # tickets/ day 42 # tickets/ day 48 # tickets/ day

Peanut Sauce tub

COGS
Prices COGS% Profit Profit
PEANUT Sauce wholesale $0.00
to make 30 6 oz containers retail $4.50 26% 74% $3.31 (need to check)
retail $5.00 24% 76% $3.81 bottles and caps 500 $ 1.20 $ 600.00
tub and lid $ 0.14 cap seal 500 $ 0.10 $ 50.00
label $ 0.55 .55 when buying 250 label 500 $ 0.40 $ 200.00
ingredients $ 0.50 1 5 $ 3.81 ingredients 500 $ 0.83 $ 415.00
labor hrs - cooking 0.0666666667 2 4.5 $ 6.62 TOTAL $ 1,265.00
pay/ hr 0 $ - 0 3 4 $ 8.42
Profit Prices COGS% Profit BREAKEVEN SALES # of bottles solds Remaining to be sold TOTAL Sales possible Profit
Total Costs $ 1.19 wholesale $0.00 0% 100% $ 1,265.00 ERROR:#DIV/0! ERROR:#DIV/0! $0.00 $0.00
11.43 retail $4.50 26% 74% $ 1,720.83 382.4 117.6 $2,250.00 $1,654.00
coconut 180 oz 6.62 $ 1.19 $3.31 total product expenses batch 1 $ 1,265
sugar 60 oz 18.05 initial product buy batch 2 $ 1,265
salt 3 oz Could use for other things $ (280)
tamarind 20 oz # of months needed to sell 500 bottles
peanut 50 oz Price per bottle $4.50
chili paste 8 oz # of bottles per month 60
TOTAL 321 oz # of bottles to sell 500
pre cooking 9100.35 grams # of months needed to sell one batch 8.33
Average Sales/ month $270.00
post cooking 300 oz # of bottles/ batch 18
DOUBLE BATCH = 18 bottles 8505 grams # of batches/ month 3.3
SINGLE BATCH = 9 bottles
pre cooking 4550.1 grams
post cooking 4252.43 grams

Peanut Sauce bottle

COGS
Prices COGS% Profit
PEANUT Sauce wholesale $5.00 51% 49%
to make 18 bottles retail $7.00 36% 64% (need to check)
bottles and caps 500 $ 1.20 $ 600.00
bottle and cap $ 1.20 cap seal 500 $ 0.10 $ 50.00
cap seal $ 0.10 label 500 $ 0.40 $ 200.00
label $ 0.40 ingredients 500 $ 0.83 $ 415.00
ingredients $ 0.83 TOTAL $ 1,265.00
labor hrs - cooking 0.1111111111
pay/ hr 0 $ - 0 Prices COGS% Profit BREAKEVEN SALES # of bottles solds Remaining to be sold TOTAL Sales possible Profit
wholesale $5.00 51% 49% $ 2,564.19 512.8 -12.8 $2,500.00 $1,233.33
Total Costs $ 2.53 retail $7.00 36% 64% $ 1,982.46 283.2 216.8 $3,500.00 $2,233.33
$ 2.53 $4.47 total product expenses batch 1 $ 1,265
coconut 180 oz initial product buy batch 2 $ 1,265
sugar 60 oz Could use for other things $ 970
salt 3 oz # of months needed to sell 500 bottles
tamarind 20 oz Price per bottle $7.00
peanut 50 oz # of bottles per month 60
chili paste 8 oz # of bottles to sell 500
TOTAL 321 oz # of months needed to sell one batch 8.33
pre cooking 9100.35 grams Average Sales/ month $420.00
# of bottles/ batch 18
post cooking 300 oz # of batches/ month 3.3
DOUBLE BATCH = 18 bottles 8505 grams
SINGLE BATCH = 9 bottles
pre cooking 4550.1 grams
post cooking 4252.43 grams

Sheet1

(need to check)
bottles and caps 500 $ 1.20 $ 600.00
cap seal 500 $ 0.10 $ 50.00
label 500 $ 0.40 $ 200.00
ingredients 500 $ 0.83 $ 415.00
TOTAL $ 1,265.00
Prices COGS% Profit BREAKEVEN SALES # of bottles solds Remaining to be sold TOTAL Sales possible Profit
wholesale $5.50 46% 54% $ 2,345.22 426.4 73.6 $2,750.00 $1,483.33
retail $7.00 36% 64% $ 1,982.46 283.2 216.8 $3,500.00 $2,233.33
$ 2.53 $4.47 total product expenses batch 1 $ 1,265
initial product buy batch 2 $ 1,265
Could use for other things $ 970
# of months needed to sell 500 bottles
Price per bottle $7.00
# of bottles per month 60
# of bottles to sell 500
# of months needed to sell one batch 8.33
Average Sales/ month $420.00
# of bottles/ batch 18
# of batches/ month 3.3

DMA

To go to Festival of Nations
TO SELL TO SAMPLE
Multnomah Permit $ 140.00 Multnomah Permit $ - 0
booth $ 120.00 booth $ 120.00
employee $ 200.00 employee $ - 0
extra food $ 400.00 extra food $ 100.00
Total cost (of goods) $ 860.00 Total cost (of goods) $ 220.00
needs to sell $ 810.00 needs to sell
Profit $ (50.00) Profit $ (220.00)
one pad thai $ 8.00 one pad thai
101.25

Clients

Average/ day Average/ month
$ 350 $ 10,500
Average ticket price
$ 10
Average # of tickets
35

COGS

COGS Cost lb # orders/ lb COST Ideal price
Entres Price $ 11.95 chicken $ 1.45 1 4 $ 0.36 30% $ 1.20
Item COSTS COGS Gross Margin Beef $3.15 1 4 $ 0.79 30% $ 2.60
Ingredients including meat $ 8.00 67% 33% Shrimp $ 3.15 1 4 $ 0.79 30% $ 2.60
WHEN COGS ARE 30% of PRICE 30%
Possible Prices $2 $5 $6 $7 $8 $9 $10 $11 $12 $13 $14 $15
Possible COGS $0.60 $1.50 $1.80 $2.10 $2.40 $2.70 $3.00 $3.30 $3.60 $3.90 $4.20 $4.50
WHEN COGS ARE 40% of PRICE 40%
Possible Prices $2 $5 $6 $7 $8 $9 $10 $11 $12 $13 $14 $15
Possible COGS $0.80 $2.00 $2.40 $2.80 $3.20 $3.60 $4.00 $4.40 $4.80 $5.20 $5.60 $6.00