Marketing situation analysis paper
Profit & Loss Projections
| Paithong Thai Cuisine | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Financial Projections for June 2017 - May 2018 | Key: | formula | enter as negative | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| PROJECTED PROFIT & LOSS STATEMENT and CASH FLOW | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | TOTAL | % Rev | |||||||||||||||
| Food Service | 9,600 | 6,000 | 6,000 | 7,000 | 8,000 | 9,000 | 10,000 | 11,000 | 11,000 | 12,000 | 11,000 | 10,000 | 110,600 | |||||||||||||||
| Non Alcoholic drinks | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 4,800 | |||||||||||||||
| Beer and wine | 200 | 400 | 800 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 15,800 | just started selling beer and wine in May 2017 | ||||||||||||||
| $10 | Average/ # tickets | 32 | 20 | 20 | 23 | 27 | 30 | 33 | 37 | 37 | 40 | 37 | 33 | |||||||||||||||
| Income, Sales, Revenue - Total or Gross | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Food Service | 9,600 | 6,000 | 6,000 | 7,000 | 8,000 | 9,000 | 10,000 | 11,000 | 11,000 | 12,000 | 11,000 | 10,000 | 110,600 | 84% | ||||||||||||||
| Non Alcoholic drinks | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 4,800 | 4% | ||||||||||||||
| Beer and wine | 200 | 400 | 800 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 1,600 | 15,800 | 12% | ||||||||||||||
| Total | 10,200 | 6,800 | 7,200 | 9,000 | 10,000 | 11,000 | 12,000 | 13,000 | 13,000 | 14,000 | 13,000 | 12,000 | 131,200 | 100% | 10,933.33 | |||||||||||||
| Cost of Goods Sold | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30% | Food Service | 2,880 | 1,800 | 1,800 | 2,100 | 2,400 | 2,700 | 3,000 | 3,300 | 3,300 | 3,600 | 3,300 | 3,000 | 33,180 | 25% | |||||||||||||
| 30% | Non Alcoholic drinks | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 120 | 1,440 | 1% | |||||||||||||
| 40% | Beer and wine | 80 | 160 | 320 | 640 | 640 | 640 | 640 | 640 | 640 | 640 | 640 | 640 | 6,320 | 5% | |||||||||||||
| Total | 3,080 | 2,080 | 2,240 | 2,860 | 3,160 | 3,460 | 3,760 | 4,060 | 4,060 | 4,360 | 4,060 | 3,760 | 40,940 | 31% | ||||||||||||||
| Gross Profit - Profit Margin | 7,120 | 4,720 | 4,960 | 6,140 | 6,840 | 7,540 | 8,240 | 8,940 | 8,940 | 9,640 | 8,940 | 8,240 | 90,260 | 69% | ||||||||||||||
| Operating Expenses / Overhead / Monthly | - 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Advertising & Promotion | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 780 | 1% | need a banner?? for happy hour, need flyers??, take out menus = $50/ month | |||||||||||||
| Bank Service Charges - for merchant services Bof A | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 456 | 0% | ||||||||||||||
| Business Insurance Expense | 338 | 338 | 338 | 338 | 1,352 | 1% | general liability | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Business Licenses and Permits | 745 | 15 | 200 | 960 | 1% | 695 for restaurant in Nov, 50 for DBA, food handlers card every 2 years not sure of month for $15 (Jan?), OLCC is 200 in April | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Events -Licenses and Permits | 270 | 135 | 135 | 135 | 150 | 135 | 960 | 1% | Cambodia New Year = 135 in April, Sunday Market license = 135 in May, Jade Night Market = 135 in June, Stark = 135, and 3 other events = 135*3 (Belmont in July, ? DMA in Aug, 1 more in Sept) | TOTAL SALES | 6000 | 7000 | 8000 | 9000 | 10000 | 11000 | ||||||||||||
| Events - Booth Fees | 955 | 290 | 290 | 290 | 140 | 1,965 | 1% | Cambodia New Year = 150 in April, Sunday Market = 35 every week (plus 15 the first week), Jade Night Market (pay in June) = 350 in July and 350 in Aug, Stark paid in June 100, and 3 more events for 150 each | % paid to Square | 3% | 180 | 210 | 240 | 270 | 300 | 330 | ||||||||||||
| Computer & Software Expenses | 500 | 500 | 0% | 500 for new computer in November | B of A COSTS | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dues and Subscriptions | 100 | 100 | 0% | Montavilla Neighborhood Association | Other fees | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | ? | |||||||||||||||||
| Internet, phone & Website | 65 | 65 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 250 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 1,730 | 1% | 100 for website in Dec., phone = $65/month, starting in Aug phone and internet is 150 | Total cost | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 4.50% | Merchant Account Fees | 90% | 413 | 275 | 292 | 365 | 405 | 446 | 486 | 527 | 527 | 567 | 527 | 486 | 5,314 | 4% | B of A averages 4.5%, Nancy is looking into a new system | |||||||||||
| Office Supplies | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 180 | 0% | 85 once per year for receipt paper | |||||||||||||
| Restaurant Supplies | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 1,200 | 1% | dishrags 50/ month, heavy duty dishwashing = 50/ year, hand dish wash soap = 15/ month, hand soap pptwls and toilet paper = 30/month | |||||||||||||
| Labor-Contractor | 200 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 4,600 | 4% | 50 for 4 hrs one day / week, in uly starts to be $50/ day*2 days/ week | |||||||||||||
| Labor-Payroll Wages | 0 | - 0 | 0% | all employees are IRCO or family receiving tips | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Labor-Payroll Taxes and Benefits | 0 | - 0 | 0% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Legal and Professional Fees | 300 | 300 | 0% | extended taxes in august for $300 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rent Expense | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 900 | 10,800 | 8% | ||||||||||||||
| 2000 | Repairs and Maintenance | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 167 | 2,000 | 2% | |||||||||||||
| Telephone | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 64 | 768 | 1% | one landline | |||||||||||||
| Utilities | 878 | 878 | 878 | 878 | 878 | 878 | 878 | 878 | 878 | 878 | 878 | 878 | 10,540 | 8% | electric about 300/ month, water 700/ 3 months, gas = 280/ month, trash = 65/ month | |||||||||||||
| Vehicle Expenses | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 3,500 | 3% | gas = 180/ month, 35/ 3 months for oil, 100/ month for repairs and maintenance | |||||||||||||
| Total Operating Expenses | 4,760 | 3,684 | 4,085 | 4,196 | 3,614 | 4,759 | 3,993 | 3,610 | 3,595 | 3,974 | 4,045 | 3,690 | 48,005 | 37% | 4,000.38 | |||||||||||||
| 0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Net Profit/Loss - Net Income | 2,360 | 1,036 | 875 | 1,944 | 3,226 | 2,781 | 4,247 | 5,330 | 5,345 | 5,666 | 4,895 | 4,550 | 42,255 | 32% | 3,521.28 | |||||||||||||
| Cash Flow | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beginning Cash | 6,000 Gavin D'Avanther: Gavin D'Avanther: enter Dec 31 end of day balance, business checking account | 5,810 | 4,196 | 1,140 | 633 | 1,410 | (645) | 1,153 | 4,032 | 2,451 | 5,667 | 8,112 | ||||||||||||||||
| Net Income | 2,360 | 1,036 | 875 | 1,944 | 3,226 | 2,781 | 4,247 | 5,330 | 5,345 | 5,666 | 4,895 | 4,550 | 42,255 | |||||||||||||||
| Add Loan Proceeds | - 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Less Capital Purchases | (100) | (200) | (200) | (500) | June stove from friend Nancy from burned store, includes degreaser and moving - anew one costs 1200-1600, may need a new icemake for $2,000 as of July 2017 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30% | Less Taxes | (1,281) | (2,385) | (4,477) | (4,533) | (12,677) | (1,056.39) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Less Loan Payment | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (1,450) | (17,400) | (1,450) | ||||||||||||||
| Less Owners Draw | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (1,000) | (12,000) | (1,000) | ||||||||||||||
| Net Cash Flow | (190) | (1,614) | (3,057) | (506) | 776 | (2,054) | 1,797 | 2,880 | (1,582) | 3,216 | 2,445 | (2,433) | ||||||||||||||||
| Ending Cash | 5,810 | 4,196 | 1,140 | 633 | 1,410 | (645) | 1,153 | 4,032 | 2,451 | 5,667 | 8,112 | 5,679 | 19800 | |||||||||||||||
| ASSUMPTIONS AND NOTES | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sheet2
Sheet3
Breakeven
| Your Name | |||||||||||
| BREAKEVEN ANALYSIS (Monthly) | |||||||||||
| AVERAGE MONTH | Notes | AVERAGE MONTH | Notes | AVERAGE MONTH | Notes | AVERAGE MONTH | Notes | ||||
| EXPENSES | |||||||||||
| Average Monthly expenses | 4,000.00 | 4,000.00 | 4,000.00 | 6,340.00 | add 40 hrs/wk at 11.25/ hr at 30% payroll | ||||||
| taxes | 1,100.00 | 1,100.00 | 1,100.00 | 1,100.00 | |||||||
| Loan Payments | 1,500.00 | to 3 banks | 1,500.00 | to 3 banks | 1,500.00 | to 3 banks | 1,500.00 | to 3 banks | |||
| Owners Draw | 1,000.00 | 1,000.00 | 2,000.00 | 1,000.00 | |||||||
| Savings | 500.00 | 500.00 | 500.00 | ||||||||
| TOTAL MONTHLY EXPENSES | 7,600.00 | 8,100.00 | 9,100.00 | 10,440.00 | |||||||
| MONTHLY GROSS PROFIT REQUIRED | 7,600.00 | 8,100.00 | 9,100.00 | 10,440.00 | |||||||
| COST OF GOODS SOLD % | 31% | 31% | 31% | 31% | |||||||
| GROSS MARGIN % | 69% | (100% - COGS) | 69% | (100% - COGS) | 69% | (100% - COGS) | 69% | (100% - COGS) | |||
| MONTHLY BREAKEVEN SALES | 11,014.49 | 11,739.13 | 13,188.41 | 15,130.43 | |||||||
| (Total expenses / Gross Margin %) | |||||||||||
| $10.50 | Average ticket price | $10.50 | Average ticket price | $10.50 | Average ticket price | $10.50 | Average ticket price | ||||
| 1049 | # tickets/ month | 1118 | # tickets/ month | 1256 | # tickets/ month | 1441 | # tickets/ month | ||||
| 35 | # tickets/ day | 37 | # tickets/ day | 42 | # tickets/ day | 48 | # tickets/ day |
Peanut Sauce tub
| COGS | ||||||||||||||
| Prices | COGS% | Profit | Profit | |||||||||||
| PEANUT Sauce | wholesale | $0.00 | ||||||||||||
| to make 30 6 oz containers | retail | $4.50 | 26% | 74% | $3.31 | (need to check) | ||||||||
| retail | $5.00 | 24% | 76% | $3.81 | bottles and caps | 500 | $ 1.20 | $ 600.00 | ||||||
| tub and lid | $ 0.14 | cap seal | 500 | $ 0.10 | $ 50.00 | |||||||||
| label | $ 0.55 | .55 when buying 250 | label | 500 | $ 0.40 | $ 200.00 | ||||||||
| ingredients | $ 0.50 | 1 | 5 | $ 3.81 | ingredients | 500 | $ 0.83 | $ 415.00 | ||||||
| labor hrs - cooking | 0.0666666667 | 2 | 4.5 | $ 6.62 | TOTAL | $ 1,265.00 | ||||||||
| pay/ hr | 0 | $ - 0 | 3 | 4 | $ 8.42 | |||||||||
| Profit | Prices | COGS% | Profit | BREAKEVEN SALES | # of bottles solds | Remaining to be sold | TOTAL Sales possible | Profit | ||||||
| Total Costs | $ 1.19 | wholesale | $0.00 | 0% | 100% | $ 1,265.00 | ERROR:#DIV/0! | ERROR:#DIV/0! | $0.00 | $0.00 | ||||
| 11.43 | retail | $4.50 | 26% | 74% | $ 1,720.83 | 382.4 | 117.6 | $2,250.00 | $1,654.00 | |||||
| coconut | 180 | oz | 6.62 | $ 1.19 | $3.31 | total product expenses batch 1 | $ 1,265 | |||||||
| sugar | 60 | oz | 18.05 | initial product buy batch 2 | $ 1,265 | |||||||||
| salt | 3 | oz | Could use for other things | $ (280) | ||||||||||
| tamarind | 20 | oz | # of months needed to sell 500 bottles | |||||||||||
| peanut | 50 | oz | Price per bottle | $4.50 | ||||||||||
| chili paste | 8 | oz | # of bottles per month | 60 | ||||||||||
| TOTAL | 321 | oz | # of bottles to sell | 500 | ||||||||||
| pre cooking | 9100.35 | grams | # of months needed to sell one batch | 8.33 | ||||||||||
| Average Sales/ month | $270.00 | |||||||||||||
| post cooking | 300 | oz | # of bottles/ batch | 18 | ||||||||||
| DOUBLE BATCH = 18 bottles | 8505 | grams | # of batches/ month | 3.3 | ||||||||||
| SINGLE BATCH = 9 bottles | ||||||||||||||
| pre cooking | 4550.1 | grams | ||||||||||||
| post cooking | 4252.43 | grams |
Peanut Sauce bottle
| COGS | ||||||||||||||
| Prices | COGS% | Profit | ||||||||||||
| PEANUT Sauce | wholesale | $5.00 | 51% | 49% | ||||||||||
| to make 18 bottles | retail | $7.00 | 36% | 64% | (need to check) | |||||||||
| bottles and caps | 500 | $ 1.20 | $ 600.00 | |||||||||||
| bottle and cap | $ 1.20 | cap seal | 500 | $ 0.10 | $ 50.00 | |||||||||
| cap seal | $ 0.10 | label | 500 | $ 0.40 | $ 200.00 | |||||||||
| label | $ 0.40 | ingredients | 500 | $ 0.83 | $ 415.00 | |||||||||
| ingredients | $ 0.83 | TOTAL | $ 1,265.00 | |||||||||||
| labor hrs - cooking | 0.1111111111 | |||||||||||||
| pay/ hr | 0 | $ - 0 | Prices | COGS% | Profit | BREAKEVEN SALES | # of bottles solds | Remaining to be sold | TOTAL Sales possible | Profit | ||||
| wholesale | $5.00 | 51% | 49% | $ 2,564.19 | 512.8 | -12.8 | $2,500.00 | $1,233.33 | ||||||
| Total Costs | $ 2.53 | retail | $7.00 | 36% | 64% | $ 1,982.46 | 283.2 | 216.8 | $3,500.00 | $2,233.33 | ||||
| $ 2.53 | $4.47 | total product expenses batch 1 | $ 1,265 | |||||||||||
| coconut | 180 | oz | initial product buy batch 2 | $ 1,265 | ||||||||||
| sugar | 60 | oz | Could use for other things | $ 970 | ||||||||||
| salt | 3 | oz | # of months needed to sell 500 bottles | |||||||||||
| tamarind | 20 | oz | Price per bottle | $7.00 | ||||||||||
| peanut | 50 | oz | # of bottles per month | 60 | ||||||||||
| chili paste | 8 | oz | # of bottles to sell | 500 | ||||||||||
| TOTAL | 321 | oz | # of months needed to sell one batch | 8.33 | ||||||||||
| pre cooking | 9100.35 | grams | Average Sales/ month | $420.00 | ||||||||||
| # of bottles/ batch | 18 | |||||||||||||
| post cooking | 300 | oz | # of batches/ month | 3.3 | ||||||||||
| DOUBLE BATCH = 18 bottles | 8505 | grams | ||||||||||||
| SINGLE BATCH = 9 bottles | ||||||||||||||
| pre cooking | 4550.1 | grams | ||||||||||||
| post cooking | 4252.43 | grams |
Sheet1
| (need to check) | ||||||||
| bottles and caps | 500 | $ 1.20 | $ 600.00 | |||||
| cap seal | 500 | $ 0.10 | $ 50.00 | |||||
| label | 500 | $ 0.40 | $ 200.00 | |||||
| ingredients | 500 | $ 0.83 | $ 415.00 | |||||
| TOTAL | $ 1,265.00 | |||||||
| Prices | COGS% | Profit | BREAKEVEN SALES | # of bottles solds | Remaining to be sold | TOTAL Sales possible | Profit | |
| wholesale | $5.50 | 46% | 54% | $ 2,345.22 | 426.4 | 73.6 | $2,750.00 | $1,483.33 |
| retail | $7.00 | 36% | 64% | $ 1,982.46 | 283.2 | 216.8 | $3,500.00 | $2,233.33 |
| $ 2.53 | $4.47 | total product expenses batch 1 | $ 1,265 | |||||
| initial product buy batch 2 | $ 1,265 | |||||||
| Could use for other things | $ 970 | |||||||
| # of months needed to sell 500 bottles | ||||||||
| Price per bottle | $7.00 | |||||||
| # of bottles per month | 60 | |||||||
| # of bottles to sell | 500 | |||||||
| # of months needed to sell one batch | 8.33 | |||||||
| Average Sales/ month | $420.00 | |||||||
| # of bottles/ batch | 18 | |||||||
| # of batches/ month | 3.3 |
DMA
| To go to Festival of Nations | ||||
| TO SELL | TO SAMPLE | |||
| Multnomah Permit | $ 140.00 | Multnomah Permit | $ - 0 | |
| booth | $ 120.00 | booth | $ 120.00 | |
| employee | $ 200.00 | employee | $ - 0 | |
| extra food | $ 400.00 | extra food | $ 100.00 | |
| Total cost (of goods) | $ 860.00 | Total cost (of goods) | $ 220.00 | |
| needs to sell | $ 810.00 | needs to sell | ||
| Profit | $ (50.00) | Profit | $ (220.00) | |
| one pad thai | $ 8.00 | one pad thai | ||
| 101.25 |
Clients
| Average/ day | Average/ month |
| $ 350 | $ 10,500 |
| Average ticket price | |
| $ 10 | |
| Average # of tickets | |
| 35 |
COGS
| COGS | Cost | lb | # orders/ lb | COST | Ideal price | |||||||||||
| Entres | Price | $ 11.95 | chicken | $ 1.45 | 1 | 4 | $ 0.36 | 30% | $ 1.20 | |||||||
| Item | COSTS | COGS | Gross Margin | Beef | $3.15 | 1 | 4 | $ 0.79 | 30% | $ 2.60 | ||||||
| Ingredients including meat | $ 8.00 | 67% | 33% | Shrimp | $ 3.15 | 1 | 4 | $ 0.79 | 30% | $ 2.60 | ||||||
| WHEN COGS ARE 30% of PRICE | 30% | |||||||||||||||
| Possible Prices | $2 | $5 | $6 | $7 | $8 | $9 | $10 | $11 | $12 | $13 | $14 | $15 | ||||
| Possible COGS | $0.60 | $1.50 | $1.80 | $2.10 | $2.40 | $2.70 | $3.00 | $3.30 | $3.60 | $3.90 | $4.20 | $4.50 | ||||
| WHEN COGS ARE 40% of PRICE | 40% | |||||||||||||||
| Possible Prices | $2 | $5 | $6 | $7 | $8 | $9 | $10 | $11 | $12 | $13 | $14 | $15 | ||||
| Possible COGS | $0.80 | $2.00 | $2.40 | $2.80 | $3.20 | $3.60 | $4.00 | $4.40 | $4.80 | $5.20 | $5.60 | $6.00 |