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Operations Management, 6e
O P E R A T I O N S M A N A G E M E N T
A N I N T E G R A T E D A P P R O A C H
R . D A N R E I D • N A D A R . S A N D E R S
6th EDITION
Operations Management An Integrated Approach
6th EDITION R. DAN REID • NADA R. SANDERS
VICE PRESIDENT & DIRECTOR George Hoff man
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v
Preface
Today, companies are competing in a very different environment than they were only a few
years ago. Rapid changes such as global competition, e-business, the Internet, and advances
in technology have required businesses to adapt their standard practices. Operations
management (OM) is the critical function through which companies can succeed in this
competitive landscape.
Operations management concepts are not confined to one department. Rather, they
are far-reaching, affecting every functional aspect of the organization. Whether studying
accounting, finance, human resources, information technology, management, marketing, or
purchasing, students need to understand the critical impact operations management has
on any business.
We each have more than 25 years of teaching experience and understand the challenges
inherent in teaching and taking the introductory OM course. The vast majority of students
taking this course are not majoring in operations management. Rather, classes are typically
composed of students from various business disciplines or students who are undecided
about their major and have little knowledge of operations management. The challenge
is not only to teach the foundation of the field, but also to help students understand the
impact operations management has on the business as a whole and the close relationship of
operations management with other business functions.
We were motivated to write this book to help students understand operations manage-
ment and to make it easier for faculty to teach the introductory operations management
course. We continue to have three major goals for this book.
Goals of the Book 1. Provide a Solid Foundation of Operations
Management Our book provides a solid foundation of OM concepts and techniques, but also covers the
latest on emerging topics such as e-business, supply chain management, enterprise resource
planning (ERP), and information technology. We give equal time to strategic and tactical
decisions and provide coverage of both service and manufacturing organizations. We look
closely at some of the unique challenges faced by service operations.
2. Provide an Integrated Approach to Operations Management
While several excellent textbooks provide appropriate foundation coverage, we believe that
few provide sufficient motivation for students. We are aware that a major teaching chal-
lenge in OM is that students aren’t motivated to study OM because they don’t understand
its relevance to their majors. We think the course textbook can greatly support the pro-
fessor in this area; therefore, a chief goal of this book is to integrate coverage of why and
vi • Preface
how OM is integral to all organizations. Interfunctional coordination and decision mak-
ing have become the norm in today’s business environment. Throughout each chapter we
discuss information flow between business functions and the role of each function in the
organization.
The text also illustrates the linkages and integration between the various OM topics. Our
end-of-chapter feature entitled “Within OM: How It All Fits Together” describes how the
chapter topic is related to other OM decisions. It addresses the issue that OM topics are
linked and interdependent, not independent of one another.
As supply chain management (SCM) has taken on an increasingly important role, the
end-of-chapter section titled “The Supply Chain Link” explains the relationships between
the specific chapter topic covered and supply chain management.
3. Help Students to Understand the Concepts This course remains challenging for students to take and professors to teach. Students
often have no prior exposure to operations concepts and little real business experience.
They have a broad spectrum of quantitative sophistication and often find the math in the
course extremely challenging. Therefore, a chief goal of the text and supplement package is
to help students with these concepts. We begin each chapter with an example from every-
day life, often a consumer or personal example, to help students intuitively understand what
the chapter will be about. Then we explain each concept clearly and carefully, with enough
depth for non-majors. Sustainability in operations is highlighted at the end of each chapter.
The new edition is focused on helping students by offering problem-solving hints and
tips as part of the solution to most examples and solved problems throughout the entire
text. Two unique supplements support student comprehension. A “Quantitative Survival
Guide,” available as an optional supplement packaged with the text, provides “help with
the math” for all chapters. WileyPLUS Learning Space (available on-line via a password in an
optional package with the book) provides plenty of homework practice, feedback for stu-
dents, an e-book, and much more. In addition, algorithmic homework problems have been
designed for each chapter in order to provide unlimited practice opportunity.
Organization and Content of the Book We have arranged the topics in the book in progressive order from strategic to tactical. Early in
the book we cover operations topics that require a strategic perspective and a cultural change
within the organization, such as supply chain management, total quality management, and
just-in-time systems. Progressively we move to more tactical issues, such as work management,
inventory management, and scheduling concerns. We recognize that most faculty will select the
chapters relevant to their needs. To make it easier for students and faculty, each chapter can
stand alone. Any specific knowledge needed for a chapter is summarized at the beginning of
each chapter, with specific topic and page references for easy review.
Balanced Coverage of Quantitative and Qualitative Topics We have tried to find a balance between the quantitative and qualitative treatment and
coverage of OM topics. To meet students’ needs, this text presents the application of OM con-
cepts through the extensive use of practical and relevant business examples. We eliminated
from the printed book coverage of topics less frequently covered at the introductory level.
Preface • vii
However, complete supplementary chapters on spreadsheet modeling, optimization, mas-
ter production scheduling, rough-cut capacity planning, and waiting line models are avail-
able on the book’s Web site (www.wiley.com/college/reid).
Integrated Technology Perspective Advances in e-commerce and the Internet are transforming the business environment, and
we integrate these concepts in every chapter. We discuss a range of topics from enterprise
resource planning (ERP) and electronic data interchange (EDI) to quality issues of buying
goods on-line.
Changes to this Edition We have made a number of changes to this edition in order to make the text as current,
user-friendly, and relevant as possible. In particular we have updated company examples,
technology, big data analytics, and added some supply chain management issues.
Company Examples: Since our last edition we have observed many changes in organi- zations that we had used as examples. Some companies have gone out of business while
others, such as Amazon.com and Dell Computer Corporation, have changed their strate-
gies. In order to offer the most current text we have made updates in company examples
across all chapters.
Technology: One of the biggest changes we are witnessing relates to changes in technology. We have updated discussions with regard to the latest technologies that impact operations man-
agement. This includes discussions of 3D Printing, new generation robotics and automation,
and advancements in radio frequency identification (RFID) in Chapter 3.
Big Data Analytics: Big data analytics is having a tremendous impact on digitizing oper- ations. We have incorporated the latest on big data analytics in Chapters 1 and 3. In Chapter
8 we have added an entire section on predictive analytics and forecasting.
Supply Chain Management Issues: Since our last edition the proposed new shipping facil- ity in Mexico has been canceled, while the Panama Canal is currently being widened. We discuss
the ramifications on materials being shipped from Asia to the United States in Chapter 4.
In addition, several chapters have been reorganized to facilitate a better flow. During the
past five editions, we have added many new topics. This sixth edition better integrates
those topics into the chapters. We continue to emphasize inter-functional coordination and
decision making, and have updated a number of features as shown below.
Before You Begin. In order to help students when solving quantitative problems, the fea- ture called “Before You Begin,” placed immediately prior to the solution of most in-chapter
example problems and end-of-chapter solved problems. Emphasizing our focus on strong
pedagogy, this feature provides problem-solving tips and hints that the student should
consider before proceeding to solve the problem.
Supply Chain Link. To emphasize the increasingly important role of supply chain man- agement, there is a section on supply chain management and expanded coverage of supply
chain and services in every chapter.
Sustainability Link. In order to address the latest challenges facing business, we have included “The Sustainability Link” feature. This feature discusses how the subject of the
chapter directly ties to today’s sustainability concerns and challenges, providing specific
business examples that illustrate the issues.
viii • Preface
Problem Solving. While our goal is to provide balanced coverage of quantitative and qualitative topics, the new edition further emphasizes and integrates problem solving to
help students experience the course more successfully. We provide algorithmic homework
problems for every chapter of the text (via WileyPLUS Learning Space) for unlimited practice
opportunities, include problem-solving help in the book (“Before You Begin”) and on-line
via WileyPLUS Learning Space, and provide step-by-step solved problems in the book and
on-line. We also provide “help with math” as needed via WileyPLUS Learning Space. We
believe that these changes to the new edition greatly enhance student learning.
Features of the Book We have developed our pedagogical features to implement and reinforce the goals discussed
previously and address the many challenges in this course.
Pedagogy that Provides an Integrated Approach Chapter Opening Vignettes and Within OM: How It All Fits Together To help students intuitively under- stand the topic, each chapter begins with a description of
a personal problem that can be solved using the concepts
discussed in the chapter. Our objective is to attract the
attention of students by starting with a personal example
to which they can relate. We demonstrate that OM is not
just about operating a plant or a business, but that it is
relevant in everything that we do. An end-of-chapter sec-
tion titled “Within OM: How It All Fits Together” describes
how the chapter topic is related to other OM decisions.
It emphasizes the point that OM decisions are not made
independently of one another, but that they are linked
together and are dependent on one another.
Links to Practice Other OM texts have many boxes and sidebars, which make it difficult for students to
understand what they need to know. Furthermore, the
many examples frequently interrupt the flow of the text
and make a chapter difficult to read and assimilate.
We recognize the importance of including “real-world”
examples, but believe they should be integrated into
the stream of the text instead of interrupting the text.
Therefore, we have developed embedded boxes titled
“Links to Practice,” which provide brief examples from actual companies in every chapter.
Embedded by both content and design into the general text discussion, each provides a
concise and relevant example without interrupting the flow of the text.
Current textbooks typically do not use business examples to which students can relate.
The typical examples provided are from large corporations such as General Motors, IBM,
or Xerox. Primarily using these types of examples creates the impression for students that
this is a field that is either beyond their reach or irrelevant to their needs. We have found
that students understand the concepts better when these concepts are also presented in a
context that is smaller in scale. The examples chosen range from large multinational organi-
zations to small local businesses.
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E veryone has had experiences of poor quality when dealing with business
organizations. These experiences might involve an airline that has lost
a passenger’s luggage, a dry cleaner that has left clothes wrinkled or
stained, poor course offerings and scheduling at your college, a purchased product
that is damaged or broken, or a pizza delivery service that is often late or delivers
the wrong order. The experience of poor quality is exacerbated when employees of
the company either are not empowered to correct quality inadequacies or do not
seem willing to do so. We have all encountered service employees who do not seem
to care. The consequences of such an attitude are lost customers and opportunities
for competitors to take advantage of the market need.
Successful companies understand the powerful impact customer-defined
quality can have on business. For this reason, many competitive firms continually
increase their quality standards. For example, Ford Motor Company’s focus on qual-
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quality problems. Open discussion is promoted, and criticism is not allowed. Although the functioning of quality circles is friendly and casual, it is serious business. Quality circles are not mere “gab sessions.” Rather, they do important work for the company and have been very successful in many firms.
The importance of excep- tional quality is demonstrated by The Walt Disney Company in the operation of its theme parks. The focus of the parks is customer satisfaction. This is accomplished through metic- ulous attention to every detail, with particular focus on the role of employees in service delivery. Employees are viewed as the most important orga- nizational resource, and great
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Preface • ix
OM across the Organization and Cross-Func- tional Icons Unique to this book is an end-of-chap- ter summary titled “OM across the Organization” that
highlights the relationship between OM and key busi-
ness functions, such as accounting, finance, human
resources, information technology, management, mar-
keting, and purchasing. This section is designed to help
students understand the close relationship of opera-
tions management with other business functions and appreciate the critical impact OM has
on other business functions. In addition, a cross-functional icon is used throughout the text
to highlight sections in the text where the relationships between OM and other key business
functions are discussed.
Cases Each chapter ends with four cases that reinforce the issues and topics discussed in the chapter. The first two cases are within the text, while the other two are on-line cases.
The cases can provide the basis for group discussion or can be assigned as individual exer-
cises for students. Many cases conclude with a list of questions for students to answer.
In addition, each chapter offers a unique interactive learning exercise titled “Internet
Challenge” where students are provided with a short case and given specific Internet assignments.
Interactive Cases There are two Web-based cases for this edition. The first case features an Internet site
for a simulated cruise company that has hired a student
intern to help solve operations problems. The second
case features an Internet site for a simulated consult-
ing company that works in the medical industry that
has hired a student to help solve operations problems.
In both cases, the students are given assignments that
require them to use information provided at the book
Web site to develop solutions. These exercises offer students hands-on experience in the
areas of supply chain management, statistical quality control, forecasting, just-in-time,
aggregate planning, inventory management, scheduling, and project management, and help
tie all the topics in the book together in a service environment.
Pedagogy to Help Students Master the Course Learning Objectives At the beginning of each chapter, students are provided with a short statement of
what they need to either know or review from previous
chapters, referring students to specific topic information.
This enables students to review previous material neces-
sary to understand the topic being covered.
Before You Go On Sections strategically placed within every chapter summarize key material the stu-
dent should know before continuing. Often the material
in chapters can be overwhelming. We felt that breaking
up the chapter with a brief summary of key material is
highly beneficial in aiding learning and comprehension.
Key Terms and Definitions Key terms and concepts are highlighted in boldface when they are first explained in the text, are defined in the margin next to their discussion in the
text, and are listed at the end of the chapter with page references.
i t th iti l i t OM h
ments of the company. A company cannot achieve high quality if its accounting is inaccu rate or the marketing department is not working closely with customers. TQM requires the close cooperation of different functions in order to be successful. In this section we look at the involvement of these other functions in TQM.
Marketing plays a critical role in the TQM process by providing key inputs that make TQM a success. Recall that the goal of TQM is to satisfy customer needs by producing the exact product that customers want. Marketing’s role is to understand the changing needs and wants of customers by working closely with them. This requires a solid identification of target markets and an understanding of whom the product is intended for. Sometimes, apparently small differences in product features can result in large differences in customer appeal. Marketing needs to accurately pass customer information along to operations, and operations needs to include marketing in any planned product changes.
Finance is another major participant in the TQM process because of the great cost con- sequences of poor quality. General definitions of quality need to be translated into specific dollar terms. This serves as a baseline for monitoring the financial impact of quality efforts and can be a great motivator. Recall the four costs of quality discussed earlier. The first two costs, prevention and appraisal, are preventive costs; they are intended to prevent inter-
FIN
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Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Total Quality Management (TQM) at Cruis- ing International, Inc. For this assignment, you will work again with Meghan Willoughby, Chief Purser aboard the Friendly Seas I. You know the assignment has some- thing to do with quality, but you aren’t quite sure what. You meet Meghan aboard the ship. She greets you and says, “Let me tell you a bit about what you’ll be doing for us. We’ve been working on quality measures for sev- eral years, and now must focus on quality even more as our industry becomes more competitive. We need to make sure that our guests receive quality service from
beginning to end. We need your help in bringing ideas together on how to measure quality in a service organi- zation.” This assignment will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 5 of your textbook while pre- paring you for your future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Service Package and Processes at CII
www.wiley.com/college/reid
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to: 1 Explain the meaning of total
quality management (TQM).
2 Identify costs of quality
Today’s concept of quality, called total quality management (TQM), focuses on building quality into the process, as op- posed to simply inspecting for poor quality after production. TQM is customer driven and encompasses the entire compa- ny. Before you go on, you should know the four categories of quality costs. These are prevention and appraisal costs, which are costs that are incurred to prevent poor quality, and internal
and external failure costs, which are costs that the company hopes to prevent. You should understand the evolution of TQM and the notable individuals who have shaped our knowl- edge of quality. Last, you should know the seven concepts of the TQM philosophy: customer focus, continuous improve- ment, employee empowerment, use of quality tools, product design, process management, and managing supplier quality.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
x • Preface
Before You Begin Most example problems within the chapters, and end-of-chapter solved problems, have a feature called “Before You Begin.” The feature provides students
with problem-solving tips and hints they need to consider before solving the problem. The
purpose is to help students with their problem-solving ability.
Solved Problems Numerous solved problems are provided, complete with step-by-step explanations to
ensure students understand the process and why the
problem is solved in a particular way. Where appropri-
ate, we provide a series of steps for problem solving and
offer problem-solving tips.
Teaching and Learning Resources Our supporting material has been designed to make learning OM easier for students and
teaching OM easier for faculty.
Book Companion Site www.wiley.com/college/reid An extensive Web site has been developed in support of Operations Management. The site
is available at www.wiley.com/college/reid, and offers a range of information for instruc-
tors and students.
For Instructors • Instructor’s Manual: Includes a suggested course outline, teaching tips and strat-
egies, war stories, answers to all end-of-chapter material, brief description of the
additional resources referenced in the Interactive Learning box, additional in-class
exercises, and tips on integrating the theory of constraints.
• Solutions Manual: A complete set of detailed solutions is provided for all problems.
• Virtual Company Cases Instructor’s Materials: Include accompanying Instruc-
tor’s Manual with answers to exercises and Excel solutions.
· Test Bank: A comprehensive Test Bank comprised of approximately 1700 questions
that consist of multiple choice, true-false, essay questions, and open-ended problems
for each chapter. The Test Bank is also available in a computerized version that allows
instructors to customize their exams.
• PowerPoint Lecture Slides: PowerPoint Slides are available for use in class. Full-
color slides highlight key figures from the text as well as many additional lecture out-
lines, concepts, and diagrams. Together, these provide a versatile opportunity to add
high-quality visual support to lectures.
• Operations Management Video Series: The video package, including Wiley’s own
Student OM Videos, offers video selections that tie directly to the theme of operations
management and bring to life many of the examples used in the text. Videos can be
viewed within WileyPLUS Learning Space.
SS p
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PROBLEM 1
An office security system at Delco, Inc. has two compo- nent parts, both of which must work for the system to function. Part 1 has a reliability of 80 percent, and part 2 has a reliability of 98 percent. Compute the reliability of the system.
Before You Begin: Before you begin solving reliability problems, it is best to first draw a diagram of the compo-
t R b th t th t f t i d
Solution:
The reliability of the system is
Rs = R 1
X R 2
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.)
Part 1 Part 2
R 1 = 0.80 R
2 = 0.98
Preface • xi
For Students • Supplemental Chapters: The supplement chapters include Supplement A: Spread-
sheet Modeling: An Introduction; Supplement B: Introduction to Optimization; Sup-
plement C: Waiting Line Models; Supplement D: Master Scheduling and Rough-Cut
Capacity Planning.
• Excel Spreadsheets: Templates are provided so that students can model and solve
problems presented in the textbook. A spreadsheet icon appears next to those exam-
ples and problems in the textbook that have an accompanying Excel template avail-
able on the student Web site. Step-by-step directions are provided. Directions prompt
students as they work through each spreadsheet. Expected outcomes and questions
are also given.
WileyPlus Learning Space What is WileyPLUS Learning Space? It is a place where students can learn, collaborate, and
grow. Through a personalized experience, students create their own study guide while they
interact with course content and work on learning activities.
WileyPLUS Learning Space combines adaptive learning functionality with a dynamic new
e-textbook for your course—giving you tools to quickly organize learning activities, manage
student collaboration, and customize your course so that you have full control over content
as well as the amount of interactivity between students.
You can:
• Assign activities and add your own materials
• Guide students through what is important in the e-textbook by easily assigning specific
content
• Set up and monitor collaborative learning groups
• Assess student engagement
• Benefit from a sophisticated set of reporting and diagnostic tools that give greater
insight into class activity
Learn more at www.wileypluslearningspace.com. If you have questions, please con-
tact your Wiley representative.
Acknowledgments Operations Management, Sixth Edition, benefits from insights provided by a dedicated group
of operations management educators from around the globe who carefully read and cri-
tiqued draft chapters of this and previous editions. We are pleased to express our apprecia-
tion to the following colleagues for their contributions:
Charles Foley, Columbus State Community College; Nicholas C. Georgantzas, Fordham Uni-
versity Business Schools; Gregory A. Graman, Michigan Technological University; Roger Dean
lles, The University of Memphis; Tony R. Johns, Clarion University of Pennsylvania; Anita Lee-
Post, University of Kentucky; Douglas Schneiderheinze, Lewis and Clark Community College.
Yossi Aviv, Washington University in St. Louis; Kevin Caskey, SUNY New Paltz; Scott T. Crino,
United States Military Academy; Phillip C. Fry, Boise State University; Thomas F. Gattiker,
Boise State University; Christian Grandzol, Bloomsburg University; Samuel Hazen, Tar-
leton State University; James He, Fairfield University; John Jensen, University of Southern
Maine; Mark Kesh, University of Texas at El Paso; Anita Lee-Post, University of Kentucky;
xii • Preface
Winston T. Lin, SUNY Buffalo; Jaideep Motwani, Grand Valley State University; Fariborz
Y. Partovi, Drexel University; Tamara Reid, Seattle University; Dmitriy Shaltayev, Christo-
pher Newport University; Marilyn Smith, Winthrop University; Robert J. Vokurka, Texas A&M
University–Corpus Christi; Pamaela J. Zelbst, Sam Houston State University.
Dennis Agboh, Morgan State University; Karen Eboch, Bowling Green State University; Greg
Graman, Michigan Technological University; GG Hegde, University of Pittsburgh; Seung-Lae
Kim, Drexel University; John Kros, East Carolina University; Anita Lee-Post, University of
Kentucky; David Little, High Point University; Robert Vokurka, Texas A&M University; John
Wang, Montclair State University.
Ajay Aggarwal, Millsaps College; Nezih Altay, University of Richmond; Suad Alway, Chicago
State University; Robert Amundsen, New York Institute of Technology; Gordon Bagot, Califor-
nia State University, Los Angeles; Cliff Barber, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis
Obispo; Hooshang Beheshti, Radford University; Prashanth Bharadwaj, Indiana University of
Pennsylvania; Joe Biggs, California Polytechnic State University; Debra Bishop, Drake Univer-
sity; Vincent Calluzzo, Iona College; James Campbell, University of Missouri–St. Louis; Kevin
Caskey, SUNY New Paltz; Sohail Chaudhry, Villanova University; Chin-Sheng Chen, Florida
International University; Kathy Dhanda, University of Portland; Barb Downey, University of
Missouri–Columbia; Joe Felan, University of Arkansas at Little Rock; Wade Ferguson, Western
Kentucky University; Teresa Friel, Butler University; Daniel Heiser, DePaul University; Lewis
Hofmann, The College of New Jersey; Lisa Houts, California State University, Fullerton; Tony
Inman, Louisiana Tech University; Richard Insinga, SUNY Oneonta; Tim Ireland, Oklahoma
State University; Mehdi Kaighobadi, Florida Atlantic University; Hale Kaynak, The University of
Texas–Pan American; William Coty Keller, St. Josephs College; Robert Kenmore, Keller Grad-
uate School of Management; Jennifer Kohn, Montclair State University; Dennis Krumwiede,
Idaho State University; Kevin Lewis, University of Wyoming; Ardeshir Lohrasbi, University of
Illinois at Spring field; Chris McDermott, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute; John Miller, Mer-
cer University; Ajay Mishra, SUNY Binghamton; Ken Murphy, Florida International University;
Abraham Nahm, University of Wisconsin–Eau Claire; Len Nass, New Jersey City University;
Joao Neves, The College of New Jersey; Susan Norman, Northern Arizona University; Muham-
mad Obeidat, Southern Polytechnic State University; Barbara Osyk, The University of Akron;
Taeho Park, San Jose State University; Eddy Patuwo, Kent State University; Carl Poch, North-
ern Illinois University; Leonard Presby, William Paterson University; Will Price, University of
the Pacific; Randy Rosenberger, Juniata College; George Schneller, Baruch College–CUNY;
LW Schell, Nicholls State University; Kaushik Sengupta, Hofstra University; William Sherrard,
San Diego State University; Samia Siha, Kennesaw State University; Susan Slotnick, Cleveland
State University; Ramesh Soni, Indiana University of Pennsylvania; Ted Stafford, University
of Alabama in Huntsville; Peter Sutanto, Prairie View A&M University; Fataneh Taghabon-
i-Dutta, University of Michigan–Flint; Nabil Tamimi, University of Scranton; John Visich,
Bryant College; Tom Wilder, California State University, Chico; Peter Zhang, Georgia State
University; Faye X. Zhu, Rowan University.
David Alexander, Angelo State University; Stephen L. Allen, Truman State University; Jerry
Allison, University of Central Oklahoma; Suad Alwan, Chicago State University; Tony Arre-
ola-Risa, Texas A&M University; Gordon F. Bagot, California State University–Los Angeles;
Brent Bandy, University of Wisconsin–Oshkosh; Joseph R. Biggs, California Polytechnic State
University at San Luis Obispo; Jean-Marie Bourjolly, Concordia University; Ken Boyer, DePaul
University; Karen L. Brown, Southwest Missouri State University; Linda D. Brown, Middle Ten-
nessee State University; James F. Campbell, University of Missouri–St. Louis; Cem Canel, Uni-
versity of North Carolina at Wilmington; Chin-Sheng Chen, Florida International University;
Preface • xiii
Louis Chin, Bentley College; Sidhartha R. Das, George Mason University; Greg Dobson, Uni-
versity of Rochester; Ceasar Douglas, Grand Valley State University; Shad Dowlatshahi, Univer-
sity of Missouri– Kansas City; L. Paul Dreyfus, Athens State University; Lisa Ferguson, Hofstra
University; Mark Gershon, Temple University; William Giauque, Brigham Young University;
Greg Graman, Wright State University; Jatinder N.D. Gupta, Ball State University; Peter Haug,
Western Washington University; Daniel Heiser, DePaul University; Ted Helmer, F. Theodore
Helmer and Associates, Inc.; Lew Hofmann, The College of New Jersey; Lisa Houts, California
State University–Fresno; Tim C. Ireland, Oklahoma State University; Peter T. Ittig, University of
Massachusetts–Boston; Jayanth Jayaram, University of Oregon; Robert E. Johnson, University of
Connecticut; Mehdi Kaighobadi, Florida Atlantic University; Yunus Kathawala, Eastern Illinois
University; Basheer Khumawala, University of Houston; Thomas A. Kratzer, Malone College;
Ashok Kumar, Grand Valley State University; Cynthia Lawless, Baylor University; Raymond
P. Lutz, University of Texas at Dallas; Satish Mehra, University of Memphis; Brad C. Meyer,
Drake University; Abdel-Aziz M. Mohamed, California State University–Northridge; Charles
L. Munson, Washington State University; Kenneth E. Murphy, Florida International Univer-
sity; Jay Nathan, St. Johns University; Harvey N. Nye, University of Central Oklahoma; Susan E.
Pariseau, Merrimack College; Carl J. Poch, Northern Illinois University; Claudia H. Pragman,
Minnesota State University; Willard Price, University of the Pacific; Feraidoon Raafat, San
Diego State University; William D. Raffield, University of St. Thomas; Ranga Ramasesh, Texas
Christian University; Paul H. Randolph, Texas Tech University; Robert M. Saltzman, San Fran-
cisco State University; George O. Schneller IV, Baruch College– CUNY; A. Kimbrough Sher-
man, Loyola College in Maryland; William R. Sherrard, San Diego State University; Chwen
Sheu, Kansas State University; Sue Perrott Siferd, Arizona State University; Samia M. Siha,
Kennesaw State University; Natalie Simpson, SUNY Buffalo; Barbara Smith; Niagara College;
Victor E. Sower, Sam Houston State University; Linda L. Stanley, Our Lady of the Lake Univer-
sity; Donna H. Stewart, University of Wisconsin–Stout; Manouchehr Tabatabaei, University
of Tampa; Nabil Tamimi, University of Scranton; Larry Taube, University of North Carolina–
Greensboro; Giri K. Tayi, SUNY Albany; Charles J. Teplitz, University of San Diego; Timothy L.
Urban, The University of Tulsa; Michael L. Vineyard, Memphis State University; John Visich,
University of Houston; Robert Vokurka, Texas A&M University; George Walker, Sam Houston
State University; John Wang, Montclair State University; Theresa Wells, University of Wiscon-
sin–Eau Claire; T.J. Wharton, Oakland University; Barbara Withers, University of San Diego;
Steven A. Yourstone, University of New Mexico.
Special Thanks We would also like to personally thank and acknowledge the work of our supplements
authors, who worked diligently to create a variety of support materials for both instructors
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We would also like to express our appreciation to Mark Sullivan, AIA, NCARB, of Mark
Sullivan Architects, and Susan O’Hara, RN, MPH, of O’Hara HealthCare Consultants, who
generously contributed a simulation showing the before and after designs of an ambulatory
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of the renovated facility is available on the Web site.
We would like to offer special acknowledgment to the publishing team at Wiley for their
creativity, talent, and hard work. Their great personalities and team spirit have made work-
ing on the book a pleasure. Special thanks go to Lisé Johnson, Executive Editor; Jennifer
xiv • Preface
Manias, Sponsoring Editor; and Suzie Pfi ster, Senior Production Editor, for all their efforts.
We could not have done it without you.
Other Wiley staff who contributed to the text and media include: Allison Morris,
Product Design Manager ; Tom Nery, Senior Designer ; Billy Ray, Senior Photo Editor ; and
Amanda Dallas, Market Solutions Assistant.
xv
About the Authors
R. Dan Reid is Associate Professor Emeritus of Operations
Management at the Whittemore School of Business and Eco-
nomics at the University of New Hampshire. He holds a Ph.D.
in Operations Management from The Ohio State University,
an M.B.A. from Angelo State University, and a B.A. in Business
Management from the University of Maryland. During the
past twenty years, he has taught at The Ohio State University,
Ohio University, Bowling Green State University, Otterbein
College, and the University of New Hampshire.
Dr. Reid’s research publications have appeared in numer-
ous journals such as the Production and Inventory Man-
agement Journal, Mid-American Journal of Business, Cornell
Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly, Hospitality
Research and Education Journal, Target, and the OM Review.
His research interests include manufacturing planning and
control systems, quality in services, purchasing, and supply
chain management. He has worked for, or consulted with,
organizations in the telecommunications, consumer elec-
tronics, defense, hospitality, and capital equipment indus-
tries. Dr. Reid has served as Program Chair and President
of the Northeast Region of the Decision Sciences Institute
(NEDSI) and as Associate Program Chair and Proceedings
Editor of the First International DSI Conference, and held
numerous positions within DSI. He has been the Program
Chair and Chair of the Operations Management Division of
the Academy of Management. Dr. Reid has also served as
President of the Granite State Chapter of the American Pro-
duction and Inventory Control Society. He has been a board
member of the Operations Management Association and
the Manchester Manufacturing Management Center. Dr.
Reid is a past Editor of the OM Review.
Dr. Reid has designed and taught courses for undergrad-
uates, graduates, and executives on topics such as resource
management, manufacturing management, introduction
to operations management, purchasing management, and
manufacturing planning and control systems. In 2002 Dr.
Reid received a University of New Hampshire Excellence in
Teaching Award.
Nada R. Sanders is Distinguished Professor of Supply
Chain Management at the D’Amore-McKim School of Busi-
ness at Northeastern University. She holds a Ph.D. in Opera-
tions Management from The Ohio State University, an M.B.A.
from The Ohio State University, and a B.S. degree in Mechan-
ical Engineering from Franklin University. She has taught for
more than twenty-five years at a variety of academic insti-
tutions including The Ohio State University, Wright State
University, Texas Christian University, and Lehigh University,
in addition to lecturing to various industry groups. She has
designed and taught classes for undergraduates, graduates,
and executives on topics such as operations management,
operations strategy, forecasting, and supply chain manage-
ment. She has received a number of teaching awards and is a
Fellow of the Decision Sciences Institute.
Dr. Sanders has extensive research experience and
has published in numerous journals such as Decisions
Sciences, Journal of Operations Management, Sloan Man-
agement Review, Omega, Interfaces, Journal of Behavioral
Decision Making, Journal of Applied Business Research,
and Production & Inventory Management Journal. She has
authored chapters in books and encyclopedias such as
the Forecasting Principles Handbook (Kluwer Academic
Publishers), Encyclopedia of Production and Manufactur-
ing Management (Kluwer Academic Publishers), and the
Encyclopedia of Electrical and Electronics Engineering ( John
Wiley & Sons). Dr. Sanders has served as Vice President
of Decision Sciences Institute (DSI), President of the Mid-
west Decision Sciences Institute, and has held numerous
other positions within the Institute. In addition to DSI, Dr.
Sanders is active in the Production Operations Manage-
ment Society (POMS), APICS, INFORMS, Council of Supply
Chain Management Professions (CSCMP), and the Inter-
national Institute of Forecasters (IIF). She has served on
review boards and/or as a reviewer for numerous journals
including Decision Sciences, Journal of Business Logistics,
Production Operations Management, International Journal
of Production Research, Omega, and others. In addition, Dr.
Sanders has worked and/or consulted for companies in
the telecommunications, pharmaceutical, steel, automo-
tive, warehousing, retail, and publishing industries, and is
frequently called upon to serve as an expert witness.
Contents
Preface v
About the Authors xv
CHAPTER 1 Introduction to Operations Management 1
What is Operations Management? 2 Differences between Manufacturing and Service Organizations 5 Operations Management Decisions 6 Historical Development 10
Why OM? 10
Historical Milestones 10
The Industrial Revolution 10
Scientific Management 12
The Human Relations Movement 12
Management Science 13
The Computer Age 13
Just-in-Time 14
Total Quality Management 14
Business Process Reengineering 14
Flexibility 14
Time-Based Competition 15
Supply Chain Management 15
Global Marketplace 16
Sustainability and Green Operations 17
Electronic Commerce 17
Outsourcing and Flattening of the World 17
Big Data Analytics 18
Today’s OM Environment 18 Operations Management in Practice 19 Within OM: How It All Fits Together 20 OM Across the Organization 20
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 22
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 22 Chapter Highlights 23
Key Terms 23
Discussion Questions 24
CASE: Hightone Electronics, Inc. 24 CASE: Creature Care Animal Clinic (A) 25
INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 26 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Demonstrating Your Knowledge of OM 26
Selected Bibliography 26
CHAPTER 2 Operations Strategy and Competitiveness 28
The Role of Operations Strategy 29 The Importance of Operations
Strategy 30
Developing a Business Strategy 30 Mission 30
Environmental Scanning 31
Core Competencies 32
Putting It Together 33
Developing an Operations Strategy 34
Competitive Priorities 35
The Need for Trade-Offs 38
Order Winners and Qualifiers 38
Translating Competitive Priorities into Production
Requirements 39
Strategic Role of Technology 40 Types of Technologies 40
Technology as a Tool for Competitive
Advantage 41
Productivity 41 Measuring Productivity 41
Interpreting Productivity Measures 44
Productivity and Competitiveness 44
Productivity and the Service Sector 45
Operations Strategy Within OM: How it All Fits Together 45 Operations Strategy Across the Organization 46
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 46
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 47 Chapter Highlights 47
Key Terms 47
Formula Review 48
Solved Problems 48
Discussion Questions 49
Problems 49
CASE: Prime Bank of Massachusetts 50 CASE: Boseman Oil and Petroleum (BOP) 51
INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 52 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Understanding Strategic Diff erences 52
Selected Bibliography 53
Contents • xvii
CHAPTER 3 Product Design and Process Selection 54
Product Design 55 Design of Services versus Goods 55
The Product Design Process 56 Idea Development 56
Product Screening 58
Preliminary Design and Testing 59
Final Design 60
Factors Impacting Product Design 60 Design for Manufacture 60
Product Life Cycle 61
Concurrent Engineering 62
Remanufacturing 64
Process Selection 64 Types of Processes 64
Designing Processes 67 Process Performance Metrics 69 Linking Product Design and Process Selection 72
Product Design Decisions 72
Competitive Priorities 74
Facility Layout 74
Product and Service Strategy 76
Degree of Vertical Integration 76
Technology Decisions 77 Information Technology 77
Automation 78
E-manufacturing 80
Designing Services 82 How Are Services Different from
Manufacturing? 82
How Are Services Classified? 83
The Service Package 84
Differing Service Designs 84
Product Design and Process Selection Within OM: How It All Fits Together 86 Product Design and Process Selection Across the Organization 87
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 88
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 88 Chapter Highlights 88
Key Terms 89
Formula Review 89
Solved Problems 90
Discussion Questions 91
Problems 92
CASE: Biddy’s Bakery (BB) 94 CASE: Creature Care Animal Clinic (B) 95 INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 96 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Country Comfort Furniture 96
Selected Bibliography 96
CHAPTER 4 Supply Chain Management 98
Basic Supply Chains 99 Components of a Supply Chain for a
Manufacturer 100
A Supply Chain for a Service Organization 102
The Bullwhip Effect 104
Issues Affecting Supply Chain Management 106
E-commerce and Supply Chains 106
Consumer Expectations and Competition Resulting from
E-commerce 108
Globalization 110
Infrastructure Issues 111
Government Regulation and E-commerce 113
Green Supply Chain Management 113
The Role of Purchasing 116 Traditional Purchasing and E-purchasing 116
Sourcing Decisions 120 Insourcing versus Outsourcing Decisions 121
Developing Supplier Relationships 123
How Many Suppliers? 124
Developing Partnerships 125
Supplier Management Ethics 129
The Role of Warehouses 130 Crossdocking 132
Radio Frequency Identification Technology
(RFID) 134
Third-Party Service Providers 135
Implementing Supply Chain Management 135
Strategies for Leveraging Supply Chain
Management 136
Supply Chain Performance Metrics 137
Supply Chain Management Within OM: How It All Fits Together 139 SCM Across the Organization 140
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 140
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 140 Chapter Highlights 141
Key Terms 142
Formula Review 142
Solved Problems 142
Discussion Questions 144
Problems 144
CASE: Electronic Personal Heart Rate Monitors Supply Chain Management Game 145
CASE: Supply Chain Management At Durham International Manufacturing Company (DIMCO) 148
INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 148 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Global Shopping 149
Selected Bibliography 149
xviii • Contents
CHAPTER 5 Total Quality Management 151
Defining Quality 152 Differences between Manufacturing and Service
Organizations 153
Cost of Quality 154 The Evolution of Total Quality Management (TQM) 156
Quality Gurus 156
The Philosophy of TQM 160 Customer Focus 160
Continuous Improvement 160
Employee Empowerment 162
Use of Quality Tools 163 Product Design 166
Process Management 170
Managing Supplier Quality 171
Quality Awards and Standards 171 The Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award
(MBNQA) 171
The Deming Prize 172
ISO 9000 Standards 173
ISO Standards for Sustainability
Reporting 174
Why TQM Efforts Fail 174 Total Quality Management (TQM) Within OM: How It All Fits Together 175 Total Quality Management (TQM) Across the Organization 175
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 176
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 176 Chapter Highlights 177
Key Terms 177
Formula Review 178
Solved Problems 178
Discussion Questions 179
Problems 179
CASE: Gold Coast Advertising (GCA) 180
CASE: Delta Plastics, Inc. (A) 181 INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 182
INTERNET CHALLENGE: Snyder Bakeries 183
Selected Bibliography 183
CHAPTER 6 Statistical Quality Control 185
What Is Statistical Quality Control? 186 Sources of Variation: Common and Assignable Causes 187
Descriptive Statistics 187 The Mean 188
The Range and Standard Deviation 188
Distribution of Data 188
Statistical Process Control Methods 189 Developing Control Charts 189
Types of Control Charts 190
Control Charts for Variables 191 Mean (x-Bar) Charts 191
Range (R) Charts 194
Using Mean and Range Charts Together 196
Control Charts for Attributes 197 p-Charts 198
c-Charts 201
Process Capability 203 Measuring Process Capability 203
Six Sigma Quality 208 Acceptance Sampling 210
Sampling Plans 210
Operating Characteristic (OC) Curves 211
Developing OC Curves 213
Average Outgoing Quality 214
Implications for Managers 216 How Much and How Often to Inspect 216
Where to Inspect 217
Which Tools to Use 217
Statistical Quality Control in Services 217 Statistical Quality Control (SQC) Within OM: How It All Fits Together 219 Statistical Quality Control (SQC) Across the Organization 219
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 220
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 220 Chapter Highlights 221
Key Terms 221
Formula Review 222
Solved Problems 222
Discussion Questions 227
Problems 227
CASE: Scharadin Hotels 230 CASE: Delta Plastics, Inc. (B) 231 INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 232 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Safe-Air 232 Selected Bibliography 233
CHAPTER 7 Just-in-Time and Lean Systems 234
The Philosophy of JIT 235 Eliminate Waste 235
A Broad View of Operations 236
Simplicity 236
Continuous Improvement 236
Visibility 237
Flexibility 237
Elements of JIT 237 Just-in-Time Manufacturing 237
Total Quality Management (TQM) 239
Respect for People 240
Just-in-Time Manufacturing 241 The Pull System 241
Kanban Production 241
Variations of Kanban Production 243
Small Lot Sizes and Quick Setups 245
Uniform Plant Loading 246
Flexible Resources 246
Facility Layout 247
Total Quality Management 249 Product versus Process 249
Quality at the Source 250
Preventive Maintenance 250
Work Environment 251
Respect for People 251 The Role of Production
Employees 251
Lifetime Employment 252
The Role of Management 253
Supplier Relationships 254
Benefits of JIT 255 Implementing JIT 256 JIT in Services 258
Improved Quality 258
Uniform Facility Loading 258
Use of Multifunction Workers 258
Reductions in Cycle Time 258
Minimizing Setup Times and Parallel
Processing 258
Workplace Organization 259
JIT and Lean Systems Within OM: How It All Fits Together 259 JIT and Lean Systems Across the Organization 259
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 260
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 260 Chapter Highlights 261
Key Terms 261
Formula Review 262
Solved Problems 262
Discussion Questions 262
Problems 263
CASE: Katz Carpeting 263 CASE: Dixon Audio Systems 265 INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 265 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Truck-Fleet, Inc. 266
Selected Bibliography 266
CHAPTER 8 Forecasting 267
Principles of Forecasting 268 Steps in the Forecasting Process 268 Types of Forecasting Methods 269
Qualitative Methods 271
Quantitative Methods 272
Time Series Models 272 Forecasting Level or Horizontal
Pattern 275
Forecasting Trend 283
Forecasting Seasonality 286
Causal Models 289 Linear Regression 289
Multiple Regression 293
Measuring Forecast Accuracy 293 Forecast Accuracy Measures 293
Tracking Signal 295
Selecting the Right Forecasting Model 296
Forecasting Software 297
Predictive Analytics and Forecasting 298
Combining Forecasting 299
Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) 299 Forecasting Within OM: How It All Fits Together 300 Forecasting Across the Organization 301
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 301
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 302 Chapter Highlights 302
Key Terms 303
Formula Review 303
Solved Problems 304
Discussion Questions 308
Problems 308
CASE: Bram-Wear 312 CASE: Th e Emergency Room (Er) At Northwest General (A) 313
INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 314 INTERNET CHALLENGE: On-line Data Access 315
Selected Bibliography 315
CHAPTER 9 Capacity Planning and Facility Location 316
Capacity Planning 317 Why Is Capacity Planning Important? 317
Measuring Capacity 318
Capacity Considerations 320
Contents • xix
xx • Contents
Making Capacity Planning Decisions 323 Identify Capacity Requirements 324
Develop Capacity Alternatives 325
Evaluate Capacity Alternatives 325
Decision Trees 325 Location Analysis 328
What Is Facility Location? 328
Factors Affecting Location Decisions 329
Globalization 331
Making Location Decisions 332 Procedure for Making Location Decisions 332
Procedures for Evaluating Location Alternatives 333
Capacity Planning and Facility Location Within OM: How It All Fits Together 343 Capacity Planning and Facility Location Across the Organization 343
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 344
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 344 Chapter Highlights 344
Key Terms 345
Formula Review 345
Solved Problems 345
Discussion Questions 348
Problems 348
CASE: Data Tech, Inc. 351 CASE: Th e Emergency Room (ER) At Northwest General (B) 352
INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 353 INTERNET CHALLENGE: EDS Offi ce Supplies, Inc. 354 Selected Bibliography 354
CHAPTER 10 Facility Layout 355
What Is Layout Planning? 356 Types of Layouts 356
Process Layouts 356
Product Layouts 358
Hybrid Layouts 359
Fixed-Position Layouts 359
Designing Process Layouts 360 Step 1: Gather Information 360
Step 2: Develop a Block Plan 363
Step 3: Develop a Detailed Layout 366
Special Cases of Process Layout 366 Warehouse Layouts 366
Office Layouts 369
Designing Product Layouts 370 Step 1: Identify Tasks and Their Immediate Predecessors 370
Step 2: Determine Output Rate 372
Step 3: Determine Cycle Time 372
Step 4: Compute the Theoretical Minimum Number of
Stations 374
Step 5: Assign Tasks to Workstations
(Balance the Line) 374
Step 6: Compute Efficiency, Idle Time, and Balance
Delay 375
Other Considerations 376
Group Technology (Cell) Layouts 377 Facility Layout Within OM: How It All Fits Together 378 Facility Layout Across the Organization 378
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 379
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 379 Chapter Highlights 380
Key Terms 380
Formula Review 380
Solved Problems 381
Discussion Questions 383
Problems 384
CASE: Sawhill Athletic Club (A) 388 CASE: Sawhill Athletic Club (B) 389 INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 390
INTERNET CHALLENGE: DJ and Associates, Inc. 391
Selected Bibliography 391
CHAPTER 11 Work System Design 392
Work System Design 393 Job Design 393
Job Design 393
Machines or People? 395
Level of Labor Specialization 395
Eliminating Employee Boredom 396
Team Approaches to Job Design 397
The Alternative Workplace 398
The Work Environment 400
Methods Analysis 400
Work Measurement 402 Developing Standards 404
Developing a Standard Work
Sampling 411
Learning Curve Theory 414
Compensation 415 Group Incentive Plans 417
Incentive Plan Trends 417
Work System Design Within OM: How It All Fits Together 418 Work System Design Across the Organization 418
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 419
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 419 Chapter Highlights 420
Contents • xxi
Key Terms 421
Formula Review 421
Solved Problems 421
Discussion Questions 424
Problems 425
CASE: Th e Navigator III 428 CASE: Northeast State University 428 INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 429 INTERNET CHALLENGE: E-commerce Job Design 430 Selected Bibliography 430
CHAPTER 12 Inventory Management 432
Basic Inventory Principles 433 How Manufacturers Use Inventory 433
Inventory in Service Organizations 435
Inventory Management Objectives 436 Customer Service 436
Cost-Efficient Operations 437
Minimum Inventory Investment 438
Relevant Inventory Costs 440 ABC Inventory Classification 442 Inventory Record Accuracy 445 Determining Order Quantities 446
Non-mathematical Techniques for Determining Order
Quantity 447
Mathematical Models for Determining Order Quantity 448
The Single-Period Inventory Model 459
Why Companies Don’t Always Use the Optimal Order
Quantity 461
How a Company Justifies Smaller Order Quantities 462
Determining Safety Stock Levels 463 The Periodic Review System 466
Comparing Continuous Review Systems and Periodic Review
Systems 468
Inventory Management within OM: How It All Fits Together 468 Inventory Management across the Organization 469
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 469
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 470 Chapter Highlights 470
Key Terms 471
Formula Review 471
Solved Problems 472
Discussion Questions 476
Problems 476
CASE: Fabqual Ltd. 480 CASE: Kayaks!Incorporated 480 INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 481 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Community Fund-Raiser (A) 482
Selected Bibliography 482
CHAPTER 13 Aggregate Planning 483
Business Planning 484 Aggregate Planning Options 486
Demand-Based Options 487 Capacity-Based Options 488
Evaluating the Current Situation 489
Aggregate Plan Strategies 490 Level Aggregate Plan 490
Chase Aggregate Plan 491
Hybrid Aggregate Plan 492
Developing the Aggregate Plan 492 Aggregate Plans for Companies with Tangible Products 494
Aggregate Plans for Companies with Nontangible
Products 497
Aggregate Planning Within OM: How It All Fits Together 502 Aggregate Planning Across the Organization 502
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 503
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 503
Chapter Highlights 503 Key Terms 504
Solved Problems 504
Discussion Questions 510
Problems 511
CASE: Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (A) 513
CASE: JPC, Inc.: Kitchen Countertops Manufacturer 514
INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 515 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Cruising 515 Selected Bibliography 516
CHAPTER 14 Resource Planning 517
Enterprise Resource Planning 518 The Evolution of ERP Systems 520
The Benefits and Costs of ERP 522 The Benefits of ERP Systems 522
The Costs of ERP Systems 523
Material Planning Systems 524 An Overview of Material Planning Systems 524
Objectives of MRP 525
Types of Demand 525
The Operating Logic of MRP 527
How MRP Works 532 Action Notices 536
Comparing Different Lot Size Rules 536
Capacity Requirements Planning (CRP) 538 Resource Planning Within OM: How It All Fits Together 540
xxii • Contents
Resource Planning Across the Organization 540
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 541
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 541 Chapter Highlights 542
Key Terms 542
Formula Review 543
Solved Problems 543
Discussion Questions 546
Problems 547
CASE: Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (B) 549
CASE: Desserts By J.B. 551 INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 551 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Th e Gourmet Dinner 552
Selected Bibliography 552
CHAPTER 15 Scheduling 553
Basic Scheduling Concepts 554 Scheduling High-Volume Operations 554
Scheduling Low-Volume Operations 555
Shop Loading Methods 556
Developing a Schedule of Operations 560 Scheduling Performance Measures 561
Using Different Priority Rules 564
Sequencing Jobs through Two Work Centers 567
Optimized Production Technology 569 Scheduling Bottlenecks 569
Theory of Constraints 571
Scheduling Issues for Service Organizations 572
Scheduling Techniques for Service Organizations 572
Scheduling Employees 573
Developing a Workforce Schedule 574
Scheduling Within OM: Putting It All Together 576 Scheduling Across the Organization 576
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 577
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 577 Chapter Highlights 577
Key Terms 578
Formula Review 578
Solved Problems 578
Discussion Questions 582
Problems 583
CASE: Air Traffi c Controller School (ATCS) 586 CASE: Scheduling At Red, White, And Blue Fireworks Company 586
INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 587 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Batter Up 587 Selected Bibliography 588
CHAPTER 16 Project Management 589
The Project Life Cycle 590 Project Management Concepts 591
Step 1: Describe the Project 592
Step 2: Diagram the Network 593
Step 3: Estimate the Project’s Completion Time 595
Step 3 (a): Deterministic Time Estimates 595
Step 3 (b): Probabilistic Time Estimates 598
Step 4: Monitor the Project’s Progression 603
Estimating the Probability of Completion Dates 604 Reducing Project Completion Time 606
Crashing Projects 606
The Critical Chain Approach 609 Adding Safety Time 609
Wasting Safety Time 609
Project Management Within OM: How It All Fits Together 611 Project Management OM Across the Organization 611
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK 612
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK 612
Chapter Highlights 612 Key Terms 613
Formula Review 613
Solved Problems 614
Discussion Questions 618
Problems 618
CASE: Th e Research Offi ce Moves 621 CASE: Writing A Textbook 622 INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company 623 INTERNET CHALLENGE: Creating Memories 623 Selected Bibliography 624
Appendix A Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems 625
Appendix B The Standard Normal Distribution 647
Appendix C p-Chart 648
NAME INDEX 651
SUBJECT INDEX 654
Contents • xxiii
To view Supplemental Chapters A-D, please visit www. wiley.com/college/reid or your WileyPLUS Learning Space course.
SUPPLEMENT A Spreadsheet Modeling: An Introduction A1
What Are Models? A2 The Spreadsheet Modeling Process A3
Evaluating the Spreadsheet Model A4
Constructing the Model A6
Assessing Our Model A8
Using the Model for Analysis A10
Using Data Tables A13
Graphing the Model Results A16
Multiple-Criteria Decision Making A17 Relative and Absolute Cell Referencing A19
Entering Formulas in the Model A20
Useful Spreadsheet Tips A25 Important Excel Formulas A25 Spreadsheet Modeling Within OM: How It All Fits Together A27
Supplement Highlights A27
Key Terms A28
Discussion Questions A28
Problems A28
CASE: Diet Planning A30 Selected Bibliography A31
SUPPLEMENT B Introduction to Optimization B1
Optimization B2 Algebraic Formulation B3
Examining the Formulation B6
Spreadsheet Model Development B7 Testing the Model B8
Solver Basics B8
Setting Up and Running Solver B9
Solving the Problem B12
Interpreting the Solution B13 Solver Solution Reports B14
Outcomes of Linear Programming Problems B16
Optimization Within OM: How It All Fits Together B17
Supplement Highlights B18
Key Terms B18
Solved Problems B18
Discussion Questions B23
Problems B24
CASE: Exeter Enterprises B25 Selected Bibliography B26
SUPPLEMENT C Waiting Line Models C1
Elements of Waiting Lines C2 Links to Practice: Waiting for Fast Food C2
The Customer Population C3
The Service System C3
Arrival and Service Patterns C5
Waiting Line Priority Rules C5
Waiting Line Performance Measures C6 Single-Server Waiting Line Model C6
Multiserver Waiting Line Model C9
Changing Operational Characteristics C12 Larger-Scale Waiting Line Systems C13
Waiting Line Models Within OM: How It All Fits Together C14
Supplement Highlights C14
Key Terms C15
Formula Review C15
Solved Problems C15
Discussion Questions C18
Problems C18
CASE: Th e Copy Center Holdup C19 Selected Bibliography C19
SUPPLEMENT D Master Scheduling and Rough-Cut Capacity Planning D1
Master Production Scheduling D2 MPS as a Basis of Communication D2
Objectives of Master Scheduling D3
Developing an MPS D4 Rough-Cut Capacity Planning D5
Evaluating and Accepting the MPS D8
Using the MPS D9 Stabilizing the MPS D12 Master Production Scheduling and Rough-Cut Capacity Planning within OM: How It All Fits Together D14
Supplement Highlights D14
Key Terms D15
Formula Review D15
Solved Problems D15
Discussion Questions D20
Problems D20
CASE: Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (C) D22
1 Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Defi ne operations management. 2 Describe difference between
manufacturing and service organizations.
3 Describe decisions that operations managers make.
4 Identify major historical developments in operations management.
5 Identify current trends in operations management.
6 Describe the fl ow of information between operations management and other business functions.
Introduction to Operations Management
M any of you reading this book may think that you don’t know what operations management (OM) is or that it is not something you are interested in. However, after reading this chapter you will realize
that you already know quite a bit about operations management. You may even be working in an operations management capacity and have used certain operations management techniques. You will also realize that operations management is probably the most critical business function today. If you want to be on the frontier of business competition, you want to be in operations management.
Today companies are competing in a very different environment than they were only a few years ago. To survive, they must focus on quality, time-based competi- tion, efficiency, international perspectives, and customer relationships. Global com- petition, e-business, the Internet, and advances in technology require flexibility and responsiveness. Increased financial pressures require lean and agile organizations that are free of waste. This new focus has placed operations management in the business limelight because it is the function through which companies can achieve this type of competitiveness.
Consider some of today’s most successful companies, such as Wal-Mart, South- west Airlines, General Electric, Starbucks, Apple Computer, Toyota, FedEx, and Procter & Gamble. These companies have achieved world-class status in large part
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2 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
What is Operations Management? Every business is managed through three major functions: finance, marketing, and operations management. Figure 1.1 illustrates this by showing that the vice presidents of each of these functions report directly to the president or CEO of the company. Other business functions—such as accounting, purchasing, human resources, and engineering—support these three major functions. Finance is the function responsible for managing cash flow, current assets, and capital investments. Marketing is respon- sible for sales, generating customer demand, and understanding customer wants and needs. Most of us have some idea of what finance and marketing are about, but what does operations management do?
Operations management (OM) is the business function that plans, organizes, coor- dinates, and controls the resources needed to produce a company’s goods and services. Operations management is a management function. It involves managing people, equip- ment, technology, information, and many other resources. Operations management is the central core function of every company. This is true whether the company is large or small, provides a physical good or a service, is for-profit or not-for-profit. Every com- pany has an operations management function. Actually, all the other organizational func- tions are there primarily to support the operations function. Without operations, there
FINMKT
Operations management (OM) The business function responsible for planning, coordinating, and controlling the resources needed to produce a company’s goods and services.
due to a strong focus on operations management. In this book you will learn specific tools and techniques of operations management that have helped these and other companies achieve their success.
The purpose of this book is to help prepare you to be successful in this new business environ- ment. Operations management will give you an understanding of how to help your organization gain a competitive advantage in the marketplace. Regardless of whether your area of expertise is marketing, finance, MIS, or operations, the techniques and concepts in this book will help you in your business career. The material will teach you how your company can offer goods and services cheaper, better, and faster. You will also learn that operations management concepts are far-reaching, affecting every aspect of the organization and even everyday life. •
President or CEO
Operations V.P. of Operations
Manages: people, equipment, technology, materials, and information To produce: goods and/or services
Marketing V.P. of Marketing
Manages: customer demands Generates: sales for goods and services
Finance V.P. of Finance
Manages: cash flow, current assets, and capital investments
FIGURE 1.1 Organizational chart showing the three major business functions
What is Operations Management? • 3
would be no goods or services to sell. Consider a retailer such as The Gap, which sells casual apparel. The marketing function provides promotions for the merchandise, and the finance function provides the needed capital. It is the operations function, however, that plans and coordinates all the resources needed to design, produce, and deliver the merchandise to the various retail locations. Without operations, there would be no goods or services to sell to customers.
The role of operations management is to transform a company’s inputs into the finished goods or services. Inputs include human resources (such as workers and man- agers), facilities and processes (such as buildings and equipment), as well as materials, technology, and information. Outputs are the goods and services a company produces. Figure 1.2 shows this transformation process. At a factory the transformation is the phys- ical change of raw materials into products, such as transforming leather and rubber into sneakers, denim into jeans, or plastic into toys. At an airline it is the efficient movement of passengers and their luggage from one location to another. At a hospital it is organizing resources such as doctors, medical procedures, and medications to transform sick people into healthy ones.
Operations management is responsible for orchestrating all the resources needed to produce the final product. This includes designing the product; deciding what resources are needed; arranging schedules, equipment, and facilities; managing inventory; controlling quality; designing the jobs to make the product; and designing work methods. Basically, operations management is responsible for all aspects of the process of transforming inputs into outputs. Customer feedback and performance information are used to continually adjust the inputs, the transformation process, and the characteristics of the outputs. As shown in Figure 1.2, this transformation process is dynamic in order to adapt to changes in the environment.
Proper management of the operations function has led to success for many companies. For example, in 1994 Dell Computer Corporation was a second-rate computer maker that managed its operations similarly to others in the industry. Then Dell implemented a new business model that completely changed the role of its operations function. Dell developed new and innovative ways of managing the operations function that have become one of today’s best practices. These changes enabled Dell to provide rapid product delivery of customized products to customers at a lower cost. The company has since expanded this model to use an analytics driven system. This has enabled Dell to identify certain models so common they could be stocked in preconfigured inventory. Ordered today the customer can have them tomorrow. Dell’s model is one many have tried to emulate and is the key to its being an industry leader.
Role of operations management To transform organizational inputs into outputs.
FIGURE 1.2 The transformation process
Inputs
The Transformation
Process
Outputs
Performance Information
Customer Feedback
4 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
Just as proper management of operations can lead to company success, improper manage- ment of operations can lead to failure. This is illustrated by Kozmo.com, a Web-based home delivery company founded in 1997. Kozmo’s mission was to deliver products to customers— everything from the latest video to ice cream—in less than an hour. Kozmo was technology enabled and rapidly became a huge success. However, the initial success gave rise to overly fast expansion. The company found it difficult to manage the operations needed in order to deliver the promises made on its Web site. The consequences were too much inventory, poor deliveries, and losses in profits. The company rapidly tried to change its operations, but it was too late. It had to cease operations in April 2001.
The Web-based age has created a highly competitive world of on-line shopping that poses special chal- lenges for operations management. The Web can be used for on-line purchasing of everything from CDs, books, and groceries to prescription medications and automobiles. The Internet has given consumers flex- ibility; it has also created one of the biggest challenges for companies: delivering exactly what the cus-
tomer ordered at the time promised. As we saw with the example of Kozmo.com, making promises on a Web site is one thing; delivering on those promises is yet another. Ensuring that orders are delivered from “mouse to house” is the job of operations and is much more complicated than it might seem. In the 1990s many dot-com companies discovered just how difficult this is. They were not able to generate a profit and went out of business. To ensure meeting promises, companies must forecast what customers want and main- tain adequate inventories of goods, manage distribution centers and warehouses, operate fleets of trucks, and schedule deliveries while keeping costs low and customers satisfied. Many companies like Amazon.com manage almost all aspects of their operation. In fact, Amazon.com has been moving toward having its own delivery service. Other companies hire outside firms for certain functions, such as outsourcing the management of invento- ries and deliveries to UPS. Competition among e-tailers has become intense as customers demand increasingly shorter delivery times and highly customized products. Same-day service has become common in metropolitan areas. For example, Barnesandnoble.com provides same-day delivery in Manhattan, Los Angeles, and San Francisco. Amazon.com has significantly expanded same-day delivery locations. Understanding and managing the operations function of an on-line business has become essential in order to remain competitive.
For operations management to be successful, it must add value during the transforma- tion process. We use the term value added to describe the net increase between the final value of a product and the value of all the inputs. The greater the value added, the more productive a business is. An obvious way to add value is to reduce the cost of activities in the transformation process. Activities that do not add value are considered a waste; these include certain jobs, equipment, and processes. In addition to value added, operations must be efficient. Efficiency means being able to perform activities well and at the lowest pos- sible cost. An important role of operations is to analyze all activities, eliminate those that do not add value, and restructure processes and jobs to achieve greater efficiency. Because today’s business environment is more competitive than ever, the role of operations manage- ment has become the focal point of efforts to increase competitiveness by improving value added and efficiency.
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Value added The net increase created during the transformation of inputs into fi nal outputs.
Effi ciency Performing activities well and at the lowest possible cost.
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Differences between Manufacturing and Service Organizations • 5
Differences between Manufacturing and Service Organizations
Organizations can be divided into two broad categories: manufacturing organizations and service organizations, each posing unique challenges for the operations function. There are two primary distinctions between these categories. First, manufacturing organi- zations produce physical, tangible goods that can be stored in inventory before they are needed. By contrast, service organizations produce intangible products that cannot be produced ahead of time. Second, in manufacturing organizations most customers have no direct contact with the operation. Customer contact occurs through distributors and retailers. For example, a customer buying a car at a car dealership never comes into contact with the automobile factory. However, in service organizations the customers are typically present during the creation of the service. Hospitals, colleges, theaters, and barber shops are examples of service organizations in which the customer is present during the creation of the service.
The differences between manufacturing and service organizations are not as clear- cut as they might appear, and there is much overlap between them. Most manufacturers provide services as part of their business, and many service firms manufacture physi- cal goods that they deliver to their customers or consume during service delivery. For example, a manufacturer of furniture may also provide shipment of goods and assembly of furniture. A barber shop may sell its own line of hair care products. You might not know that General Motors’ greatest return on capital does not come from selling cars, but rather from postsales parts and service. Figure 1.3 shows the differences between manufacturing
Physical product
Low customer contact
Capital intensive
Long response time
Product can be inventoried
Intangible product
High customer contact
Short response time
Labor intensive
Product cannot be inventoried
DEGREE OF CUSTOMER CONTACT Low High
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Manufacturing Organization
FIGURE 1.3 Characteristics of manufacturing and service organizations
Manufacturing organizations Organizations that primarily produce a tangible product and typically have low customer contact.
Service organizations Organizations that primarily produce an intangible product, such as ideas, assistance, or information, and typically have high customer contact.
6 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
and services, focusing on the dimensions of product tangibility and the degree of cus- tomer contact. It shows the extremes of pure manufacturing and pure service, as well as the overlap between them.
Even in pure service companies some segments of the operation may have low customer contact while others have high customer contact. The former can be thought of as “back room” or “behind the scenes” segments. Think of a fast-food operation such as Wendy’s, for which customer service and customer contact are important parts of the business. How- ever, the kitchen segment of Wendy’s operation has no direct customer contact and can be managed like a manufacturing operation. Similarly, a hospital is a high-contact service operation, but the patient is not present in certain segments, such as the lab where speci- men analysis is done.
In addition to pure manufacturing and pure service, there are companies that have some characteristics of each type of organization. It is difficult to tell whether these companies are actually manufacturing or service organizations. Think of a post office, an automated warehouse, or a mail-order catalog business. They have low customer contact and are capital intensive, yet they provide a service. We call these companies quasi-manufacturing organizations.
The U.S. Postal Service is an example of a quasi-manufacturing type of company. It provides a service: speedy, reliable delivery of letters, documents, and packages. Its output is intangible and cannot be stored in inven- tory. Yet most operations management deci- sions made at the Postal Service are similar to those that occur in manufacturing. Customer contact is low, and at any one time there is a large amount of inventory. The Postal Service is capital intensive, having its own facilities and fleet of trucks and relying on scanners to
sort packages and track customer orders. Scheduling enough workers at peak processing times is a major concern, as is planning delivery schedules. Note that although the output of the U.S. Postal Service is a service, inputs include labor, technology, and equipment. The responsibility of OM is to manage the conversion of these inputs into the desired outputs. Proper management of the OM function is critical to the success of the U.S. Postal Service.
It is important to understand how to manage both service and manufacturing opera- tions. However, managing service operations is of especially high importance. The reason is that the service sector constitutes a dominant segment of our economy. Since the 1960s, the percentage of jobs in the service-producing industries of the U.S. economy has increased from less than 50 to over 80 percent of total nonfarm jobs. The remaining 20 percent are in the manufacturing and goods-producing industries. Figure 1.4 illustrates this large growth of the service sector.
Operations Management Decisions In this section we look at some of the specific decisions that operations managers have to make. The best way to do this is to think about decisions we would need to make if we started our own company—say, a company called Gourmet Wafers that produces praline–pecan cookies from an old family recipe. Think about the decisions that would have to be made to go from the initial idea to actual production of the product: that is operations management. Table 1.1 breaks these down into the generic decisions that would be appropriate for almost
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Operations Management Decisions • 7
any good or service, the specific decisions required for our example, and the formal terms for these decisions that are used in operations management.
Note in the Gourmet Wafers example that the first decisions made were very broad in scope (e.g., the unique features of our product). We needed to do this before we could focus on more specific decisions (e.g., worker schedules). Although our example is simple, this decision-making process is followed by every company, including IBM, General Motors, Lands’ End, and your local floral shop. Also note in our example that before we can think about specific day-to-day decisions, we need to make decisions for the whole company that are long-term in nature. Long-term decisions that set the direction for the entire organiza- tion are called strategic decisions. They are broad in scope and set the tone for other, more specific decisions. They address questions such as: What are the unique features of our product? What market do we plan to compete in? What do we believe will be the demand for our product?
Short-term decisions that focus on specific departments and tasks are called tactical deci- sions. Tactical decisions focus on more specific day-to-day issues, such as the quantities and timing of specific resources. Strategic decisions are made first and determine the direction of tactical decisions, which are made more frequently and routinely. Therefore, we have to start with strategic decisions and then move on to tactical decisions. This relationship is shown in Figure 1.5. Tactical decisions must be aligned with strategic decisions because they are the key to the company’s effectiveness in the long run. Tactical decisions provide feedback to strategic decisions, which can be modified accordingly.
Goods Producing (Manufacturing Construction)
Service Producing
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Strategic decisions Decisions that set the direction for the entire company; they are broad in scope and long-term in nature.
Tactical decisions Decisions that are specifi c and short-term in nature and are bound by strategic decisions.
FIGURE 1.4 U.S. employment by economic sector
8 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
TABLE 1.1 Operations Management Decisions for Gourmet Wafers
General Decisions to Be Made
Decision Specifi c for Cookie Production
Operations Management Term
What are the unique features of the business that will make it competitive?
The business offers freshly baked cookies “homemade” style, in a fast-food format.
Operations strategy
What are the unique features of the product?
The unique feature of the cookies is that they are loaded with extra-large and crunchy pecans and are fresh and moist.
Product design
What are the unique features of the process that give the product its unique characteristics?
A special convection oven is used to make the cookies in order to keep them fresh and moist. The dough is allowed to rise longer than usual to make the cookies extra light.
Process selection
What sources of supply should we use to ensure regular and timely receipt of the extract materials we need? How do we manage these sources of supply?
The key ingredients, pecans and syrup, will be purchased from only one supplier located in South Carolina because it offers the best products. A relationship is worked out in which the supplier sends the ingredients on the exact schedule that they are needed.
Supply chain management
How will managers ensure the quality of the product, measure quality, and identify quality problems?
A quality check is made at each stage of cookie production. The dough is checked for texture; the pecans are checked for size and freshness; the syrup is checked for consistency.
Quality management
What is the expected demand for the product?
Expected sales for each day of the week have been determined; for example, it is expected that more cookies will be sold on weekdays and most during the lunch hours. Expected cookie sales for each month and for the year have also been determined.
Forecasting
Where will the facility be located? After looking at locations of customers and location costs, it is decided that the facility will be located in a shopping mall.
Location analysis
How large should the facility be? The business needs to be able to produce 200 cookies per hour, or up to 2000 cookies per day.
Capacity planning
How should the facility be laid out? Where should the kitchen and ovens be located? Should there be seating for customers?
Decisions are made about where the kitchen will be located and how the working area will be arranged for maximum effi ciency. The business is competing on the basis of speed and quality; therefore, the facility should be arranged to promote these features. There will be a small seating area for customers and a large counter and display case for buying.
Facility layout
What jobs will be needed in the facility, who should do what task, and how will their performance be measured?
Two people will be needed in the kitchen during busy periods and one during slow periods. Their job duties are determined. One person will be needed for order taking at all times.
Job design and work measurement
How will the inventory of raw materials be monitored? When will orders be placed, and how much will be kept in stock?
A different policy is developed for common ingre- dients, such as fl our and sugar. These ingredients will be ordered every two weeks for a two-week supply. A special purchasing arrangement is worked out with the supplier of specialty ingredients.
Inventory management
Who will work on what schedule? Two people will work the counter in split shifts. One kitchen employee will work a full shift, with a second employee working part-time.
Scheduling
Operations Management Decisions • 9
You should understand that operations management (OM) is the business function responsible for planning, coordinating, and controlling the resources needed to produce a company’s goods and services. OM is directly responsible for managing the transformation of a company’s inputs (e.g., materials, tech- nology, and information) into fi nished products and services. OM requires a wide range of strategic and tactical decisions. Strategic decisions are long-range and very broad in scope
(e.g., unique features of the company’s product and process). They determine the direction of tactical decisions, which are more short-term and narrow in scope (e.g., policy for ordering raw materials). All organizations can be separated into manu- facturing and service operations, which differ based on prod- uct tangibility and degree of customer contact. Service and manufacturing organizations have very different operational requirements.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
You can see in the example of Gourmet Wafers how important OM decisions are. They are critical to all types of companies, large and small. In large companies these decisions are more complex because of the size and scope of the organization. Large companies typically produce a greater variety of products, have multiple location sites, and often use domestic and international suppliers. Managing OM decisions and coordinating efforts can be a com- plicated task, and the OM function is critical to the company’s success.
We can illustrate this point by looking at operations management decisions made by Texas Instruments (TI) in order to position itself for global collaboration with cus- tomers, distributors, and suppliers. TI realized its business was growing exponentially, with more than 120,000 monthly orders received and processed elec- tronically. The coordination effort encompassed 56 factories, including subcontractors, and the man- agement of over 45,000 products. To succeed, the company needed to develop a system to generate better forecasts, coordinate manufacturing of prod- ucts, manage orders, and track deliveries. Managing and coordinating global operations management functions was considered paramount to the compa- ny’s success. TI adopted a comprehensive software package called enterprise resource planning (ERP) that integrates information throughout the organization, manages forecasts, and coor- dinates factory operations. Designing and implementing the ERP system at TI required an understanding of all the strategic and tactical operations decisions; otherwise, it would not be effective. The system has proven to be a success and a major achieve- ment, enabling TI to consistently manage factory operations across the globe.
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STRATEGIC DECISIONS
What are the unique features of our product that make us competitive?
TACTICAL DECISIONS
Who will work the 2 shift tomorrow?
FIGURE 1.5 The relationship between strategic and tactical decisions
10 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
Historical Development Why OM? Business did not always recognize the importance of operations management. In fact, fol- lowing World War II the marketing and finance functions were predominant in American corporations. The United States had just emerged from the war as the undisputed global manufacturing leader due in large part to efficient operations. At the same time, Japan and Europe were in ruins, their businesses and factories destroyed. U.S. companies had these markets to themselves, and so the post–World War II period of the 1950s and 1960s represented the golden era for U.S. business. The primary opportunities were in the areas of marketing, to develop the large potential markets for new products, and in finance, to support the growth. Since there were no significant competitors, the operations func- tion became of secondary importance, because companies could sell what they produced. Even the distinguished economist John Kenneth Galbraith observed, “The production problem has been solved.”
Then in the 1970s and 1980s, things changed. American companies experienced large declines in productivity growth, and international competition began to be a challenge in many markets. In some markets such as the auto industry, American corporations were being pushed out. It appeared that U.S. firms had become lax due to the lack of competition in the 1950s and 1960s. They had forgotten about improving their methods and processes. In the meantime, foreign firms were rebuilding their facilities and designing new production methods. By the time foreign firms had recovered, many U.S. firms found themselves unable to compete. To regain their competitiveness, companies turned to operations management, a function they had overlooked and almost forgotten about.
The new focus on operations and competitiveness has been responsible for the recov- ery of many corporations, and U.S. businesses experienced a resurgence in the 1980s and 1990s. Operations became the core function of organizational competitiveness. Although U.S. firms have rebounded, they are fully aware of continued global competition, scarcity of resources, and increased financial pressure. Companies have learned that to achieve long- run success they must place much importance on their operations.
Historical Milestones When we think of what operations management does—namely, managing the transforma- tion of inputs into goods and services—we can see that as a function it is as old as time. Think of any great organizational effort, such as organizing the first Olympic games, build- ing the Great Wall of China, or erecting the Egyptian pyramids, and you will see operations management at work. Operations management did not emerge as a formal field of study, however, until the late 1950s and early 1960s, when scholars began to recognize that all production systems face a common set of problems and to stress the systems approach to viewing operations processes.
Many events helped shape operations management. We will describe some of the most significant of these historical milestones and explain their influence on the development of operations management. Later we will look at some current trends in operations manage- ment. These historical milestones and current trends are summarized in Table 1.2.
The Industrial Revolution The Industrial Revolution had a significant impact on the way goods are produced today. Before this time, products were made by hand by skilled craftspeople in their shops or
Industrial Revolution An industry movement that changed production by substituting machine power for labor power.
Historical Development • 11
TABLE 1.2 Historical Development of Operations Management
Concept Time Explanation
Industrial Revolution Late 1700s Brought in innovations that changed production by using machine power instead of human power.
Scientifi c management Early 1900s Brought the concepts of analysis and measurement of the technical aspects of work design and development of moving assembly lines and mass production.
Human relations movement 1930s to 1960s Focused on understanding human elements of job design, such as worker motivation and job satisfaction.
Management science 1940s to 1960s Focused on the development of quantitative techniques to solve operations problems.
Computer age 1960s Enabled processing of large amounts of data and allowed widespread use of quantitative procedures.
Environmental issues 1970s Considered waste reduction, the need for recycling, and product reuse.
Just-in-time systems (JIT) 1980s Designed to achieve high-volume production with minimal inventories.
Total quality management (TQM) 1980s Sought to eliminate causes of production defects.
Reengineering 1980s Required redesigning a company’s processes in order to provide greater effi ciency and cost reduction.
Global competition 1980s Designed operations to compete in the global market.
Flexibility 1990s Offered customization on a mass scale.
Time-based competition 1990s Based on time, such as speed of delivery.
Supply chain management 1990s Focused on reducing the overall cost of the system that manages the fl ow of materials and information from suppliers to fi nal customers.
Electronic commerce 2000s Uses the Internet and World Wide Web for conducting business activity.
Outsourcing and fl attening of the world
2000s Convergence of technology has enabled outsourcing of virtually any job imaginable from anywhere around the globe, therefore “fl attening” the world.
Big data analytics 2010s Applies math and statistics to large volumes of structured and unstructured data to gain unprecedented business insights.
homes. Each product was unique, painstakingly made by one person. The Industrial Revo- lution changed all that. It started in the 1770s with the development of a number of inven- tions that relied on machine power instead of human power. The most important of these was the steam engine, which was invented by James Watt in 1764. The steam engine pro- vided a new source of power that was used to replace human labor in textile mills, machine- making plants, and other facilities. The concept of the factory was emerging. In addition, the steam engine led to advances in transportation, such as railroads, that allowed for a wider distribution of goods.
12 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
About the same time, the concept of division of labor was introduced. First described by Adam Smith in 1776 in The Wealth of Nations, this concept would become one of the impor- tant ideas behind the development of the assembly line. Division of labor means that the production of a good is broken down into a series of small, elemental tasks, each of which is performed by a different worker. The repetition of the task allows the worker to become highly specialized in that task. Division of labor allowed higher volumes to be produced, which, coupled with the advances in transportation of steam-powered boats and railroads, opened up distant markets.
A few years later, in 1790, Eli Whitney introduced the concept of interchangeable parts. Prior to that time, every part used in a production process was unique. Interchangeable parts are standardized so that every item in a batch of items fits equally. This concept meant that we could move from one-at-a-time production to volume production, for example, in the manufacture of watches, clocks, and similar items.
Scientific Management Scientific management was an approach to management promoted by Frederick W. Taylor at the turn of the twentieth century. Taylor was an engineer with an eye for effi- ciency. Through scientific management he sought to increase worker productivity and organizational output. His concept had two key features. First, it assumed that workers are motivated only by money and are limited only by their physical ability. Taylor believed that worker productivity is governed by scientific laws and that it is up to management to discover these laws through measurement, analysis, and observation. Workers are to be paid in direct proportion to how much they produce. The second feature of this approach was the separation of the planning and doing functions in a company, which meant the separation of management and labor. Management is responsible for designing produc- tive systems and determining acceptable worker output. Workers have no input into this process—they are permitted only to work.
Many people did not like the scientific management approach, especially workers, who thought that management used these methods to unfairly increase output without paying them accordingly. Still, many companies adopted the scientific management approach. Today many view scientific management as a major influence in the field of operations management. For example, piece-rate incentives, in which workers are paid in direct pro- portion to their output, came out of this movement. Also, Taylor introduced a widely used method of work measurement, stopwatch time studies. In stopwatch time studies, observa- tions are made and recorded of a worker performing a task over many cycles. This informa- tion is then used to set a time standard for performing the particular task. This method is still used today to set a time standard for short, repetitive tasks.
The scientific management approach was popularized by Henry Ford, who used the techniques in his factories. Combining technology with scientific management, Ford introduced the moving assembly line to produce Ford cars. Ford also combined scientific management with the division of labor and interchangeable parts to develop the concept of mass production. These concepts and innovations helped him increase production and efficiency at his factories.
The Human Relations Movement The scientific management movement and its philosophy dominated in the early twenti- eth century. However, this changed with the publication of the results of the Hawthorne studies. The purpose of the Hawthorne studies, conducted at a Western Electric plant in Hawthorne, Illinois, in the 1930s, was to study the effects of environmental changes, such
Scientifi c management An approach to management that focused on improving output by redesigning jobs and determining acceptable levels of worker output.
Hawthorne studies The studies responsible for creating the human relations movement, which focused on giving more consideration to workers’ needs.
Historical Development • 13
as changes in lighting and room temperature, on the productivity of assembly-line workers. The findings from the study were unexpected: the productivity of the workers continued to increase regardless of the environmental changes made. Elton Mayo, a sociologist from Harvard, concluded that the workers were actually motivated by the attention they were given. The idea of workers responding to the attention they are given came to be known as the Hawthorne effect.
The study of these findings by many sociologists and psychologists led to the human relations movement, an entirely new philosophy based on the recognition that factors other than money can contribute to worker productivity. The impact of this new philoso- phy on the development of operations management has been tremendous. Its influence can be seen in the implementation of a number of concepts that motivate workers by making their jobs more interesting and meaning ful. For example, the Hawthorne studies showed that scientific management had made jobs too repetitive and boring. Job enlargement is an approach in which workers are given a larger portion of the total task to do. Another approach to giving more meaning to jobs is job enrichment, in which workers are given a greater role in planning.
Recent studies have shown that environmental factors in the workplace, such as ade- quate lighting and ventilation, can have a major impact on productivity. However, this does not contradict the principle that attention from management is a positive factor in motivation.
Management Science While some were focusing on the technical aspects of job design and others on the human aspects of operations management, a third approach, called management science, was developing that would make its own unique contribution. Management science focused on developing quantitative techniques for solving operations prob- lems. The first mathematical model for inventory management was developed by F. W. Harris in 1913. Shortly thereafter, statistical sampling theory and quality control proce- dures were developed.
World War II created an even greater need for the ability to quantitatively solve com- plex problems of logistics control, for weapons system design and deployment of missiles. Consequently, the techniques of management science grew more robust during the war and continued to develop after the war was over. Many quantitative tools emerged to solve problems in forecasting, inventory control, project management, and other areas. A mathematically oriented field, management science provides operations manage- ment with tools to assist in decision making. A popular example of such a tool is linear programming.
The Computer Age In the 1970s the use of computers in business became widespread. With computers, many of the quantitative models developed by management science could be employed on a larger scale. Data processing became easier, with important effects in areas such as forecasting, scheduling, and inventory management. A particularly important computer- ized system, material requirements planning (MRP), was developed for inventory control and scheduling. Material requirements planning was able to process huge amounts of data in order to compute inventory requirements and develop schedules for the produc- tion of thousands of items, processing that was impossible before the age of computers. Today the exponential growth in computing capability continues to impact operations management.
Management science A fi eld of study that focuses on the development of quantitative techniques to solve operations problems.
Human relations movement A philosophy based on the recognition that factors other than money can contribute to worker productivity.
14 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
Just-in-Time Just-in-time (JIT) is a major operations management philosophy, developed in Japan in the 1980s, that is designed to achieve high-volume production using minimal amounts of inventory. This is achieved through coordination of the flow of materials so that the right parts arrive at the right place in the right quantity ; hence the term just-in-time. However, JIT is much more than the coordinated movement of goods. It is an all-inclusive organiza- tional philosophy that employs teams of workers to achieve continuous improvement in processes and organizational efficiency by eliminating all organizational waste. Although JIT was first used in manufacturing, it has been implemented in the service sector, for example, in the food service industry. JIT has had a profound impact on the way compa- nies manage their operations. It is credited with helping turn many companies around and is used by companies such as Honda, Toyota, and General Motors. JIT promises to continue to transform businesses in the future.
Total Quality Management As customers demand ever higher quality in their products and services, companies have been forced to focus on improving quality in order to remain competitive. Total quality management (TQM) is a philosophy—promulgated by “quality gurus” such as W. Edwards Deming—that aggressively seeks to improve product quality by eliminat- ing causes of product defects and making quality an all-encompassing organizational philosophy. With TQM, everyone in the company is responsible for quality. Practiced by some companies in the 1980s, TQM became pervasive in the 1990s and is an area of operations management that no competitive company has been able to ignore. Its importance is demonstrated by the number of companies achieving ISO 9000 cer- tification. ISO 9000 is a set of quality standards developed for global manufacturers by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) to control trade into the then-emerging European Economic Community (EEC). Today ISO 9000 is a global set of standards, with many companies requiring their suppliers to meet the standards as a condition for obtaining contracts.
Business Process Reengineering Business process reengineering means redesigning a company’s processes to increase effi- ciency, improve quality, and reduce costs. In many companies things are done in a certain way that has been passed down over the years. Often managers say, “Well, we’ve always done it this way.” Reengineering requires asking why things are done in a certain way, ques- tioning assumptions, and then redesigning the processes. Operations management is a key player in a company’s reengineering efforts.
Flexibility Traditionally, companies competed by either mass-producing a standardized product or offering customized products in small volumes. One of the current competitive chal- lenges for companies is the need to offer to customers a greater variety of product choices of a traditionally standardized product. This is the challenge of flexibility. For example, Procter and Gamble offers 13 different product designs in the Pampers line of diapers. Although diapers are a standardized product, the product designs are customized to the different needs of customers, such as the age, sex, and stage of development of the child using the diaper.
Just-in-time (JIT) A philosophy designed to achieve high-volume production through elimination of waste and continuous improvement.
Total quality management (TQM) Philosophy that seeks to improve quality by eliminating causes of product defects and by making quality the responsibility of everyone in the organization.
Flexibility An organizational strategy in which the company attempts to offer a greater variety of product choices to its customers.
Reengineering Redesigning a company’s processes to make them more effi cient.
Historical Development • 15
One example of flexibility is mass customization, which is the ability of a firm to pro- duce highly customized goods and services and to do it at the high volumes of mass produc- tion. Mass customization requires designing flexible operations and using delayed product differentiation, also called postponement. This means keeping the product in generic form as long as possible and postponing completion of the product until specific customer pref- erences are known.
Time-Based Competition One of the most important trends within companies today is time-based competition— developing new products and services faster than the competition, reaching the market first, and meeting customer orders most quickly. For example, two companies may produce the same product, but if one is able to deliver it to the customer in two days and the other in five days, the first company will make the sale and win over the customers. Time-based competition requires specifically designing the operations function for speed.
Supply Chain Management Supply chain management (SCM) involves managing the flow of materials and infor- mation from suppliers and buyers of raw materials all the way to the final customer. The network of entities that is involved in producing and delivering a finished product to the final customer is called a supply chain. The objective is to have everyone in the chain work together to reduce overall cost and improve quality and service delivery. Supply chain management requires a team approach, with functions such as marketing, purchasing, operations, and engineering all working together. This approach has been shown to result in more satisfied customers, meaning that everyone in the chain profits. SCM has become possible with the development of information technology (IT) tools that enable collaborative planning and scheduling. The technologies allow synchro- nized supply chain execution and design collaboration, which enables companies to respond better and faster to changing market needs. Numerous companies, including Dell Computer, Wal-Mart, and Toyota, have achieved world-class status by effectively managing their supply chains.
SCM is as important in the ser- vice industry as it is in manufactur- ing, even in pure service industries such as the creative arts. Consider the publishing industry, which is responsible for delivering the creative art of literature to read- ers. The typical publishing supply chain, shown in Figure 1.6, consists of the author, the publisher, and the bookstore retailer. In the tradi- tional publishing supply chain, the publisher is typically responsible for all the functions involved in transforming the author’s literary creation into a tangible product to be placed on a bookshelf. This includes editing, printing, distribution, inventory management, and marketing.
Many writers have seen the traditional publishing supply chain as a setback to main- taining control and innovation over their art. Large publishing houses maintain control of many critical functions of the supply chain, resulting in the commoditization of the literary arts being sold in chain-type retailers. The net effect is often a homogenization of
Mass customization The ability of a fi rm to highly customize its goods and services at high volumes.
Time-based competition An organizational strategy focusing on efforts to develop new products and deliver them to customers faster than competitors.
Supply chain management (SCM) Management of the fl ow of materials from suppliers to customers in order to reduce overall cost and increase responsiveness to customers.
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16 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
titles and writers across stores, creating a best-seller list that does not necessarily reflect literary merit. This, in turn, creates a barrier for writers who have in fact created something highly personal.
Some writers have innovatively overcome the large supply chain barrier between author and bookshelf by forming their own publishing company. By doing this, they enable them- selves to maintain control of all aspects of their art, including retaining artisitic editorial prerogatives, such as choosing to print their writing in unique styles, rather than resorting to the same font and formatting dictated by a publishing house. This freedom is uniquely important to writers.
In addition to maintaining artistic freedom, this enables writers to retain full legal rights of their own work. This supply chain is shown in Figure 1.7.
Global Marketplace Today businesses must think in terms of a global marketplace in order to compete effec- tively. This includes the way they view their customers, competitors, and suppliers. Key issues are meeting customer needs and getting the right product to markets as diverse as the Far East, Europe, or Africa. Operations management is responsible for most of these decisions. OM decides whether to tailor products to different customer needs, where to locate facilities, how to manage suppliers, and how to meet local government standards. Also, global compe- tition has forced companies to reach higher levels of excellence in the products and services they offer. Regional trading agreements, such as the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the European Union (EU), and the global World Trade Organization (WTO), guaran- tee continued competition on the international level.
Global marketplace A trend in business focusing on customers, suppliers, and competitors from a global perspective.
Publisher RetailerAuthor
Literary creation
Editing Printing Distribution Book sales
FIGURE 1.6 The traditional publishing supply chain
Author Retailer
Literary creation
Editing Printing Distribution Book sales
FIGURE 1.7 Author-controlled publishing supply chain
Historical Development • 17
Sustainability and Green Operations There is increasing emphasis on the need to reduce waste, recycle, and reuse products and parts. This is known as sustainability or green operations. Society has placed great pressure on business to focus on air and water quality, waste disposal, global warming, and other envi- ronmental issues. Operations management plays a key role in redesigning processes and prod- ucts in order to meet and exceed environmental quality standards. The importance of this issue is demonstrated by a set of standards termed ISO 14000. Developed by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO), these standards provide guidelines and a certification program documenting a company’s environmentally responsible actions.
Electronic Commerce Electronic commerce (e-commerce) is the use of the Internet for conducting business activities, such as communication, business transactions, and data transfer. The Internet, developed from a government network called ARPANET created in 1969 by the U.S. Defense Department, has become an essential business medium since the late 1990s, enabling effi- cient communication between manufacturers, suppliers, distributors, and customers. It has allowed companies to reach more customers at a speed infinitely faster than ever before. It also has significantly cut costs, as it provides direct links between entities.
The electronic commerce that occurs between businesses, known as B2B (business-to- business) commerce, makes up the highest percentage of transactions. The most common B2B exchanges occur between companies and their suppliers, such as General Electric’s Trad- ing Process Network. A more familiar type of e-commerce occurs between businesses and their customers, known as B2C (business-to-customer) exchange, as engaged in by on-line retailers such as Amazon.com. E-commerce also occurs between customers, known as C2C (customer-to-customer) exchange, as on consumer auction sites such as eBay. E-commerce is creating virtual marketplaces that continue to change the way business functions.
Outsourcing and Flattening of the World Outsourcing is obtaining goods or services from an outside provider. This can range from out- sourcing of one aspect of the operation, such as shipping, to outsourcing an entire part of the manufacturing process. The practice has rapidly grown in recent years, as you can see in Fig- ure 1.8, although it has stabilized most recently. It has helped companies be more efficient by focusing on what they do best. Outsourcing has been touted as the enabling factor that helps companies achieve the needed speed and flexibility to be competitive. Management guru Tom Peters has been quoted as saying, “Do what you do best and outsource the rest.”
The convergence of technologies at the turn of this century has taken the concept of out- sourcing to a new level. Massive investments in technology, such as worldwide broadband connectivity, the increasing availability and lower cost of computers, and the development of software such as e-mail, search engines, and other software, allow individuals to work together in real time from anywhere in the world. This has enabled countries like India, China, and many others to become part of the global supply chain for goods and services and has created a “flattening” of the world. Such “flattening,” or leveling of the playing field, has enabled workers anywhere in the world to compete globally for intellectual work. The result has been the outsourcing of virtually any job imaginable. Manufacturers have out- sourced software development and product design to engineers in India; accounting firms have outsourced tax preparation to India; even some hospitals have outsourced the reading of CAT scans to doctors in India and Australia. The “flattening” of the world has created a whole new level of global competition that is more intense than ever before.
Business-to-business (B2B) Electronic commerce between businesses.
Sustainability A trend in business to consciously reduce waste, recycle, and reuse products and parts.
Business-to-customers (B2C) Electronic commerce between businesses and their customers.
Customer-to-customer (C2C) Electronic commerce between customers.
18 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
Big Data Analytics Big data analytics is applying mathematics and statistics to large volumes of structured and unstructured data to gain unprecedented business insights. Today’s world is awash in data that come in all forms. These data include point-of-sale (POS), radio frequency identifica- tion (RFID), and global positioning systems (GPS) data, or can be in the form of Twitter feeds, Facebook, call centers, or consumer blogs.
Today’s advanced analytical tools allow us to extract meaning from all types of data. Big data analytics enables converting this large amount of information into an unprece- dented amount of business intelligence. It allows companies to precisely understand what happened in the past and better predict the future. Just consider examples such as IBM’s Watson computer that uses an algorithm to predict best medical treatments and UPS that uses analytics to predict vehicle breakdowns. Big data analytics has enabled companies to gain huge business intelligence and has become a game changer for competitiveness.
Today’s OM Environment Today’s OM environment is very different from what it was just a few years ago. Customers demand better quality, greater speed, and lower costs. In order to succeed, companies have to be masters of the basics of operations management. To achieve this ability, many companies are implementing a concept called lean systems. Lean systems take a total system approach to creating an efficient operation and pull together best practice concepts, including just-in-time ( JIT), total quality management (TQM), continuous improvement, resource planning, and supply chain management (SCM). The need for efficiency has also led many
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FIGURE 1.8 U.S. market for outsourcing services 1996–2014
Lean systems A concept that takes a total system approach to creating effi cient operations.
Operations Management in Practice • 19
companies to implement large information systems called enterprise resource planning (ERP). ERP systems are large, sophisticated software programs for identifying and planning the enterprise-wide resources needed to coordinate all activities involved in producing and delivering products to customers.
Applying best practices to operations management is not enough to give a company a competitive advantage. The reason is that in today’s information age best practices are quickly passed to competitors. To gain an advantage over their competitors, companies are continually looking for ways to better respond to customers. This requires them to have a deep knowledge of their customers and to be able to anticipate their demands. The development of customer relationship management (CRM) has made it possible for companies to have this detailed knowledge. CRM encompasses software solutions that enable the firm to collect customer-specific data, information that can help the firm identify profiles of its most loyal customers and provide customer-specific solutions. Also, CRM software can be integrated with ERP software to connect customer requirements to the entire resource network of the company.
Another characteristic of today’s OM environment is the increased use of cross- functional decision making, which requires coordinated interaction and decision mak- ing among the different business functions of the organization. Until recently, employees of a company made decisions in isolated departments, called “functional silos.” Today many companies bring together experts from different departments into cross-functional teams to solve company problems. Employees from each function must interact and coordinate their decisions, which require employees to understand the roles of other business func- tions and the goals of the business as a whole, in addition to their own expertise.
Operations Management in Practice
Of all the business functions, operations is the most diverse in terms of the tasks performed. If you consider all the issues involved in managing a transformation process, you can see that operations managers are never bored. Who are operations managers and what do they do?
The head of the operations function in a company usually holds the title of vice presi- dent of operations, vice president of manufacturing, V.P., or director of supply chain oper- ations and generally reports directly to the president or chief operating officer. Below the vice president level are midlevel managers: manufacturing manager, operations manager, quality control manager, plant manager, and others. Below these managers are a variety of positions, such as quality specialist, production analyst, inventory analyst, and produc- tion supervisor. These people perform a variety of functions: analyzing production prob- lems, developing forecasts, making plans for new products, measuring quality, monitoring inventory, and developing employee schedules. Thus, there are many job opportunities in operations management at all levels of the company. In addition, operations jobs tend to offer high salaries, interesting work, and excellent opportunities for advancement. Many corporate CEOs today have come through the ranks of operations. For example, the third president and CEO of Wal-Mart from January 2000 to January 2009, H. Lee Scott, came from a background in operations and logistics. The former CEO of Wal-Mart, Michael Duke, cames from a background of international operations, as does the current CEO, Doug McMillon. Also from the operations background are the former CEO of Home Depot, Bob Nardelli, and the former CEO of Lowe’s, Robert Tillman.
As you can see, all business functions need information from operations management in order to perform their tasks. At the same time, operations managers are highly dependent on input from other areas. This process of information sharing is dynamic, requiring that managers work in teams and understand each other’s roles.
Customer relationship management (CRM) Software solutions that enable the fi rm to collect customer-specifi c data.
Cross-functional decision making The coordinated interaction and decision making that occur among the different functions of the organization.
Enterprise resource planning (ERP) Large, sophisticated software systems used for identifying and planning the enterprise- wide resources needed to coordinate all activities involved in producing and delivering products.
20 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
Within OM: How it all Fits Together Just as OM decisions are linked with those of other business functions, decisions within the OM function need to be linked together. We learned that OM is responsible for a wide range of strategic and tactical decisions. These decisions directly impact each other and need to be carefully linked together, following the company’s strategic direction. In the Gourmet Wafers example we observed that decisions on product design are directly tied to process selection (Chapter 3). The reason is that a company’s process needs to be capable of pro- ducing the desired product (Chapter 6). Similarly, the forecast of expected demand (Chapter 8) directly impacts functions such as capacity planning (Chapter 9), inventory management (Chapter 12), and scheduling (Chapter 15). These are just a few examples of linkages within the OM function.
Throughout this book we will study different OM functions and will learn how each impacts the other. You. will realize that OM decisions are not made in isolation. Rather, each decision is intertwined with other business functions and other OM decisions.
OM Across the Organization Now that we know the role of the operations management function and the decisions that operations managers make, let’s look at the relationship between operations and other business functions. As mentioned previously, most businesses are supported by three main functions: operations, marketing, and finance. Although these functions involve different activities, they must interact to achieve the goals of the organization. They must also follow the strategic direction developed at the top level of the organization. Figure 1.9 shows the flow of information from the top to each business function, as well as the flow between functions.
Many of the decisions made by operations managers are dependent on information from the other functions. At the same time, other functions cannot be carried out properly with- out information from operations. Figure 1.10 shows these relationships.
Sales and demand requirements
Organizational ability to meet
sales and demands
Financial status
Operations needs and financial requirements
Marketing V.P. of Marketing
Finance V.P. of Finance
President or CEO
Strategic Direction of Company
Operations V.P. of Operations
FIGURE 1.9 Organizational chart showing flow of information
Operations Management in Practice • 21
Marketing is not fully capable of meeting customer needs if marketing managers do not understand what operations can produce, what due dates it can and cannot meet, and what types of customization operations can deliver. The marketing department can develop an exciting marketing campaign, but if operations cannot produce the desired product, sales will not be made. In turn, operations managers need information about customer wants and expectations. It is up to them to design products with characteristics that customers find desirable, and they cannot do this without regular coordination with the marketing department.
Finance cannot realistically judge the need for capital investments, make-or-buy deci- sions, plant expansions, or relocation if finance managers do not understand operations concepts and needs. On the other hand, operations managers cannot make large financial expenditures without understanding financial constraints and methods of evaluating finan- cial investments. It is essential for these two functions to work together and understand each other’s constraints.
Information systems (IS) is a function that enables information to flow throughout the organization and allows OM to operate effectively. OM is highly dependent on information such as forecasts of demand, quality levels being achieved, inventory levels, supplier deliveries, and worker schedules. IS must understand the needs of OM in order to design an adequate information system. Usually, IS and OM work together to design an information network. This close relationship needs to be ongoing. IS must be capable of accommodating the needs of OM as they change in response to market demands. At the same time, it is up to IS to bring the latest capabilities in information technology to the organization to enhance the functioning of OM.
MKT
FIN
MIS
FIGURE 1.10 Information flow between operations and other business functions
Current operating capabilitiesCustomer demands
Technological capabilities
Information needs
Current performance measures
Operations capabilities
Design requirements
Product specs Labor requirements
Labor skills available
Capital investments planned Financial measures
Budgets
Stockholder requirements
Labor costsTechnological
trade-offs
Capital requirements
IS
Inventory levels
Operations Management
Finance
Accounting Engineering Human
Resources
Billing information
Process improvements
Output rates
Capacities
Customer feedback
Need for new products
Marketing
22 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
Human resource managers must understand job requirements and worker skills if they are to hire the right people for available jobs. To manage employees effectively, operations managers need to understand job market trends, hiring and layoff costs, and training costs.
Accounting needs to consider inventory management, capacity information, and labor standards in order to develop accurate cost data. In turn, operations managers must com- municate billing information and process improvements to accounting, and they depend heavily on accounting data for cost management decisions.
Engineering and other disciplines that are not in the business field are also tied to operations. Operations management provides engineering with the operations capa- bilities and design requirements, and engineering, in turn, provides valuable input on technological trade-offs and product specifications. These are essential for the product design process.
The coordinated interaction and decision making between all these functions and OM are needed for success in today’s competitive environment. It is also important to extend this coordination to organizations that make up a supply chain, such as suppliers, manufac- turers, and retailers. This is discussed in the following box.
HRM
ACC
Today’s companies understand that successfully manag-ing their own OM functions is not enough to maintain leadership in a highly competitive marketplace. The reason is that every company is dependent on other members of the supply chain to successfully deliver the right product to the fi nal customer in a timely and cost-effective manner. For example, a company is dependent on its suppliers for the delivery of raw materials and components in time to meet production needs. If these materials are delivered late or are of insuffi cient quality, production will be delayed. Simi- larly, a company depends on its distributors and retailers for the delivery of the product to the fi nal customer. If these are not delivered on time, are damaged in the transportation process, or are poorly displayed at the retail location, sales
will suffer. Also, if the OM function of other members of the supply chain is not managed properly, excess costs will re- sult, which will be passed down to other members of the supply chain in the form of higher prices. Therefore, each company in the supply chain must successfully manage its OM function. Also, the companies that comprise a supply chain need to coordinate and link their OM functions so that the entire chain is operating in a seamless and effi cient manner. Just consider the fact that most of the components Dell uses are warehoused within a 15-minute radius of its assembly plant and Dell is in constant communication with its suppliers. Dell considers this essential to its ability to produce and deliver components quickly. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Environmental concerns, including climate change, en-ergy use, environmental contamination, and resource depletion, are all part of the contemporary business land- scape. Emerging economies, such as that of India and China, are growing at double-digit rates, and continued growth of the world population has created shortages of many resources we used to take for granted. Companies are increasingly aware that they must design their operations functions, and their entire supply chains, for sustainability. This means designing their operations processes to better and more effi ciently use their resources, to use environmen-
tally friendly inputs, and create outputs that can be recycled and that do not contaminate the environment. It also means better use of human resources, from labor to suppliers.
The operations function, with its transformation role, is uniquely poised to help companies achieve their sustain- ability goals. One of the best examples of this is illustrated through the joint efforts of the National Resources Defense Council (NRDC) and Major League Baseball (MLB) to change baseball operations to reduce the environmental impact. The “operation” of a baseball game brings together numerous industries, such as the beverage and chemical industries, as
Key Terms • 23
well as automotive, plastics, steel, and agriculture. The NRDC and MLB have worked together to make MLB opera- tions more sustainable by working with industries that serve as suppliers for baseball games, and placing “green” re- quirements on their goods and services. MLB has changed everything—from its purchasing and transportation deci- sions to the way it manages its stadiums and arenas. For example, a “red carpet” event, planned for MLB, was de- signed to use a carpet made from only recycled fi bers, in a
factory that is LEED certifi ed1 and wind and solar powered, emitting less global-warming pollutants. Simple changes such as this resulted in a more sustainable operation. This has also resulted in savings of thousands of dollars on en- ergy, waste, and water bills. •
1LEED certifi cation is the recognized standard in the United States and other countries for measuring building sustainability; we will learn about LEED certifi cation later in the text.
Chapter Highlights 1 Operations management is the business function
that is responsible for managing and coordinating the resources needed to produce a company’s products and services. Without operations management there would be no products or services to sell.
2 Organizations can be divided into manufacturing and service operations, which differ in the tangibility of the product and the degree of customer contact. Manufac- turing and service operations have very different oper- ational requirements.
3 Operations management is responsible for a wide range of decisions, ranging from strategic decisions, such as designing the unique features of a product and process, to tactical decisions, such as planning worker schedules.
4 A number of historical milestones have shaped oper- ations management into what it is today. Some of the
more significant of these are the Industrial Revolution, scientific management, the human relations move- ment, management science, and the computer age.
5 OM is a highly important function in today’s dynamic business environment. Among the trends that have had a significant impact on business are just-in-time, total quality management, reengineering, flexibility, time-based competition, supply chain management, a global marketplace, and environmental issues.
6 Operations managers need to work closely with all other business functions in a team format. Marketing needs to provide information about customer expec- tations. Finance needs to provide information about budget constraints. In turn, OM must communicate its needs and capabilities to the other functions.
Key Terms
operations management (OM) 2
role of operations management 3
value added 4
effi ciency 4
manufacturing organizations 5
service organizations 5
strategic decisions 7
tactical decisions 7
Industrial Revolution 10
scientifi c management 12
Hawthorne studies 12
human relations movement 13
management science 13
just-in-time ( JIT) 14
total quality management (TQM) 14
reengineering 14
fl exibility 14
mass customization 15
time-based competition 15
supply chain management (SCM) 15
global marketplace 16
sustainability 17
business-to-business (B2B) 17
business-to-customers (B2C) 17
customer-to-customer (C2C) 17
lean systems 18
enterprise resource planning (ERP) 19
customer relationship management (CRM) 19
cross-functional decision making 19
24 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
Discussion Questions
1. Defi ne the term operations management.
2. Explain the decisions operations managers make and give three examples.
3. Describe the transformation process of a business. Give three examples. What constitutes the transformation pro- cess at an advertising agency, a bank, and a TV station?
4. What are the three major business functions, and how are they related to one another? Give specifi c examples.
5. What are the diff erences between strategic and tacti- cal decisions, and how are they related to each other?
6. Find an article that relates to operations management in either the Wall Street Journal, Fortune, or Business Week. Come to class prepared to share with others what you learned in the article.
7. Examine the list of Fortune magazine’s top 100 companies. Do most of these companies have anything in common? Are there industries that are most represented?
8. Identify the two major diff erences between service and manufacturing organizations. Find an example of
a service company and a manufacturing company and compare them.
9. What are the three historical milestones in operations management? How have they infl uenced management?
10. Identify three current trends in operations manage- ment and describe them. How do you think they will change the future of OM?
11. Defi ne the terms total quality management, just-in- time, and reengineering. What do these terms have in common?
12. Describe today’s OM environment. How diff erent is it from that of a few years ago? Identify specifi c features you think characterize today’s OM environment.
13. Describe the impact of e-commerce on operations management. Identify the challenges posed by e-commerce on operations management.
14. Find a company you are familiar with and explain how it uses its operations management function. Identify what the company is doing correctly. Do you have any suggestions for improvement?
Case: Hightone Electronics, Inc.
George Gonzales, operations director of Hightone Electronics, Inc. (HEI), sat quietly at the conference table overlooking the lobby of the corporate head- quarters offi ce in Palo Alto, California. He refl ected on the board meeting that had just adjourned and the challenge that lay ahead for him. Th e board had just announced their decision to start an Internet-based division of HEI. Web-based purchasing in the elec- tronics industry had been growing rapidly. Th e board felt that HEI needed to off er on-line purchasing to its customers in order to maintain its competitive posi- tion. Th e board looked to George to outline the key operations management decisions that needed to be addressed in creating a successful Internet-based business. Th e next board meeting was just a week away. He had his work cut out for him.
Hightone Electronics, Inc. was founded in Palo Alto, California, over 50 years ago. Originally, the company provided radio components to small repair shops. Prod- ucts were off ered for sale through a catalog that was mailed to prospective customers every four months.
Th e company built its reputation on high quality and service. As time passed, HEI began supplying more than just radio parts, adding items such as fuses, trans- formers, computers, and electrical testing equipment. Th e expansion of the product line had been coupled with an increase in the number and type of customers the company served. Although the traditional repair shops still remained a part of the company’s market, technical schools, universities, and well-known corpo- rations in the Silicon Valley were added to the list of customers.
Today HEI operates the Palo Alto facility with the same dedication to supplying quality products through catalog sales that it had when it was fi rst founded. Cus- tomer service remains the top priority. HEI stocks and sells over 22,000 diff erent items. Most customers receive their orders within 48 hours, and all components are warranted for a full year.
Expanding HEI to include Web-based purchasing seems to be a natural extension of catalog sales that the company already does successfully. George Gonzales
agrees that the company has no choice but to move in this competitive direction. However, George does not agree with the opinion of the board that this would be “business as usual.” He believes that there are many operations decisions that need to be identifi ed and addressed. As he stated in the meeting, “Having a slick Web site is one thing, but making sure the right product is delivered to the right location is another. Operations is the key to making this happen.” His challenge for the next board meeting was to identify the key operations decisions and persuade the board that these issues needed serious consideration.
Case Questions
1. Explain why operations management is critical to the success of a business. Why would developing an Internet-based business require diff erent operations considerations for HEI? Is George Gonzales correct in his assessment that this would not be “business as usual”?
2. Recall that HEI wishes to continue its reputation of high quality and service. Identify key operations man- agement decisions that need to be considered. How dif- ferent will these decisions be for the Internet business?
Case: Creature Care Animal Clinic (A)
It has been three years since Dr. Julia Barr opened Crea- ture Care Animal Clinic, a suburban veterinary clinic. Dr. Barr thought that by now she would be enjoying having her own practice. She had spent many years in college and worked to save money in order to start a business. Instead, she felt overwhelmed with business problems that were facing the clinic. She thought to herself: “I don’t produce anything. I just provide a service doing something I enjoy. How can this be so complicated?”
Company Background
Dr. Barr opened Creature Care Animal Clinic as a veteri- nary clinic specializing in the care of dogs and cats. Th e clinic was set to operate Monday through Friday during regular business hours, with half days on Saturday and extended hours on Wednesday evening. Dr. Barr hired another full-time veterinarian, Dr. Gene Yen, a staff of three nurses, an offi ce manager, and an offi ce assis- tant. Both doctors were to work during the week and rotate the shift for Wednesday evenings and Saturdays. A similar schedule was set up for the nurses. Th e offi ce manager worked during regular business hours, and the assistant worked on Wednesday evenings and Sat- urdays. Dr. Barr set up this schedule based on a clinic she had observed as a resident and thought it sounded reasonable.
Since the clinic was small, Dr. Barr did not have a formal system of inventory management. All physicians and nurses were allowed to place purchase orders based on need. Initially this system worked well, but after a few months problems started developing. Frequently,
there was excess inventory of certain items, and in many cases there were multiple brands of the same product. Sometimes medications passed their expiration dates and had to be thrown away. At the same time, the clinic often unexpectedly ran out of stock of certain supplies and rush orders had to be placed. On one occasion, the clinic ran so low on bandages that the assistant had to be sent to the local drugstore.
Dr. Barr continued to rotate with Dr. Yen for cover- age on Saturdays and Wednesday evenings. However, demand was increasing so rapidly on Saturdays that one doctor was not enough to provide needed cover- age. Also, the Friday afternoon schedule was usually so packed that the staff frequently had to stay late in the evening. At the same time, there was little demand on Wednesday evenings and Dr. Barr found herself work- ing on paperwork on those evenings, while the nurse and offi ce assistant performed menial offi ce tasks.
Case Questions
1. Identify the operations management problems that Dr. Barr is having at the clinic.
2. Th e schedule Dr. Barr set up worked well at the clinic where she was a resident. What are some of the rea- sons why it might not be working here?
3. Identify some of the reasons why the clinic is having inventory problems.
4. What should Dr. Barr have done diff erently to avoid some of the problems she is currently experiencing?
5. What suggestions would you make to Dr. Barr now?
Case: Creature Care Animal Clinic (A) • 25
26 CHAPTER 1 • Introduction to Operations Management
Internet Challenge: Demonstrating Your Knowledge of OM
Visit the Web sites of at least one service and one man- ufacturing company. For each company, identify at least fi ve characteristic OM decisions and show your results in a table. Which decisions are strategic and which are tactical? How do these decisions diff er between the two companies? Here are some Web sites to consider.
Select service company Web sites:
www.ritzcarlton.com (Ritz-Carlton Hotel)
www.sprint.com (Sprint Corporation)
www.yrcw.com (YRC Worldwide)
www.kmart.com (Kmart Corporation)
www.yahoo.com (Yahoo!)
Select manufacturing company Web sites:
www.saturn.com (Saturn Corporation)
www.alcoa.com (Alcoa Inc.)
www.milliken.com (Milliken & Company)
www.Intel.com (Intel Corporation)
www.ge.com (General Electric Company)
Selected Bibliography
Carter, P.J., R.M. Monczka, and J. Mossconi. “Looking at the Future of Supply Management,” Supply Chain Manage- ment Review, December 2005, 27–29.
Dennis, M.J., and A. Kambil. “Service Management: Build- ing Profi ts after the Sale,” Supply Chain Management Review, January–February 2003, 42–48.
Dischinger, J., D.J. Closs, E. McCulloch, C. Speier, W. Greno- ble, and D. Marshall. “Th e Emerging Supply Chain Man- agement Profession,” Supply Chain Management Review, January–February 2006, 62–68.
Friedman, T.L. Hot, Flat and crowded: Why We Need a Green Revolution—and How It Can Renew America 2.0. New
York: Picador, 2009.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Introduction to Cruise International, Inc. You will be an intern for Cruise International, Inc. (CII). Th e company competes in the cruise industry in the small-ship, medium-ship, and large-ship markets. Your internship begins in a few weeks. Bob Bristol, your immediate boss, has asked you to become famil- iar with the cruise industry and its basic markets prior to beginning any of your assignments. Th is assignment
will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chap- ter 1 of your textbook while preparing you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
On-line Case: Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Welcome to Kaizen Consulting Bob Reilly, head of Kaizen Consulting, Inc. just called to let you know that you have been accepted as an intern for his company. Kaizen handles many diff erent clients, but you will primarily be working with one of its healthcare clients, Valley Memorial Hospital. Your internship will start in a few weeks. Bob has advised you to get thor- oughly familiar with the company and its operations before you start working on the specifi c tasks that will be assigned to you. Th is assignment will enable you to
enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 1 while preparing you for a successful internship.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Welcome to Kaizen Consulting
www.wiley.com/college/reid
Friedman, T.L. Th e World Is Flat. New York: Farrar Straus and Giroux, 2005.
Fugate, B.S., and J.T. Mentzer. “Dell’s Suply Chain DNA,” Supply Chain Management Review, 2004, 20–24.
Galbraith, J.K. Th e Affl uent Society. Boston: Houghton Miffl in, 1958.
Klassen, R.D., and D.C. Whybark. “Environmental Man- agement in Operations: Th e Selection of Environmental Technologies,” Decision Sciences, 30, 3, 1999, 601–631.
Sanders, N.R. Supply Chain Management: A Global Perspective. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2012.
Sanders, N.R., and J.D. Wood. Fundamentals of Sustainable Business. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2014.
Skinner, W. “Manufacturing Strategy on the ‘S’ Curve,” Pro- duction and Operations Management, Spring 1996, 3–14.
Skinner, W. Manufacturing in the Corporate Strategy, New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1978.
Wu, J.C. “Anatomy of a Dot-Com,” Supply Chain Management Review, November–December 2001, 42–51.
Zacharia, Z.G., N.R. Sanders, and B. Fugate. “Th e Evolving Role of Disciplines in Supply Chain Management,” Journal of Supply Chain Management, 50, 1, 2014, 73–88.
Selected Bibliography • 27
28
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. The role of the OM function in organizations, Chapter 1.
2. Differences between strategic and tactical decisions, Chapter 1.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Explain the role of operations
strategy in the organization.
2 Explain how a business strategy is developed.
3 Describe how an operations strategy is developed.
4 Explain the strategic role of technology.
5 Defi ne productivity and identify productivity measures.
T o maintain a competitive position in the marketplace, a company must have a long-range plan. This plan needs to include the company’s long-term goals, an understanding of the marketplace, and a way to differentiate
the company from its competitors. All other decisions must support this long-range plan. Otherwise, each person in the company would pursue goals that he or she considered important, and the company would quickly fall apart.
The functioning of a football team on the field is similar to the function- ing of a business and pro- vides a good example of the importance of a plan or vision. Before the plays are made, the team prepares a game strategy. Each player on the team must perform a particular role to support this strategy. The strategy is a “game plan” designed so that the team can win. Imagine what would occur if individual players decided to do plays that they thought were appropriate. Cer- tainly the team’s chance of winning would not be very high. A successful football team is a unified group of players using their individual skills in support of a win- ning strategy. The same is true of a business.
The long-range plan of a business, designed to provide and sustain shareholder value, is called the business strategy. For a company to succeed, the business strategy must be supported by each of the individual business functions, such as operations, finance, and marketing. Operations strategy is a long-range plan for the operations function that specifies the design and use of resources to support the business strategy. Just as the players on a football team support the team’s strategy, the role of everyone in the company is to do his or her job in a way that supports the business strategy.
Let’s look at two companies operating in the same industry, but with very different business strategies. The first is Southwest Airlines, which has a strategy to compete on cost. Southwest offers low-cost services aimed at price-sensitive customers. To support this strategy, every aspect of Southwest’s operation is focused on cutting costs out of the system. Later in this chapter we will look at specific operations decisions that Southwest has made to achieve this. The second
2 Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
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The Role of Operations Strategy • 29
company is Singapore Airlines, which has a strategy to compete on service. To support this strategy, the airline offers free drinks, complimentary headsets, meals prepared by gourmet chefs, comfortable cabins, and even the biggest bed in business class, called the “spacebed.” Both airlines began as regional carriers, and each has grown to be a highly successful major airline. Although they are in the same industry, their operations decisions are different because of their different business strategies.
In today’s highly competitive, Internet-based, and global marketplace, it is important for compa- nies to have a clear plan for achieving their goals. In this chapter we discuss the role of operations strategy, its relationship to the business strategy, and ways in which the operations function can best support the business strategy. We conclude with a discussion of productivity, one measure of a company’s competitiveness. •
The Role of Operations Strategy The role of operations strategy is to provide a plan for the operations function so that it can make the best use of its resources. Operations strategy specifies the policies and plans for using the organization’s resources to support its long-term competitive strategy. Figure 2.1 shows this relationship.
Remember that the operations function is responsible for managing the resources needed to produce the company’s goods and services. Operations strategy is the plan that specifies the design and use of resources to support the business strategy. This includes the location, size, and type of facilities available; worker skills and talents required; use of technology, special processes needed, special equipment; and quality control methods. The operations strategy must be aligned with the company’s business strategy and enable the company to achieve its long-term plan. For example, the business strategy of FedEx, the world’s largest provider of expedited delivery services, is to compete on time and depend- ability of deliveries. The operations strategy of FedEx developed a plan for resources to support its business strategy. To provide speed of delivery, FedEx acquired its own fleet of airplanes. To provide dependability of deliveries, FedEx invested in a sophisticated bar-code technology to track all packages.
Operations strategy A long-range plan for the operations function that specifi es the design and use of resources to support the business strategy.
Business strategy A long- range plan for a business.
MISHRM
FIGURE 2.1 Relationship between the business strategy and the functional strategies
Defines long-range plan for company
Defines marketing plans to support the business
strategy
Business Strategy
Marketing Strategy
Develops financial plans to support the
business strategy
Finance Strategy
Develops a plan for the operations function to
support the business strategy
Operations Strategy
30 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
The Importance of Operations Strategy Operations strategy did not come to the forefront until the 1970s. Up to that time, U.S. companies emphasized mass production of standard product designs. There were no serious international competitors, and U.S. companies could pretty much sell anything they produced. However, that changed in the 1970s and 1980s. Japanese companies began offering products of superior quality at lower cost, and U.S. companies lost market share to their Japanese counterparts. In an attempt to survive, many U.S. companies copied Japanese approaches. Unfortunately, merely copying these approaches often proved unsuccessful; it took time to really understand the Japanese approaches. It became clear that Japanese companies were more competitive because of their operations strategy ; that is, all their resources were specifically designed to directly support the company’s overall strategic plan.
Harvard Business School professor Michael Porter says that companies often do not understand the differences between operational efficiency and strategy. Operational effi- ciency is performing operations tasks well, even better than competitors. Strategy, on the other hand, is a plan for competing in the marketplace. An analogy might be that of running a race efficiently, but the wrong race. Strategy is defining in what race you will win. Operational efficiency and strategy must be aligned; otherwise, you may be very effi- ciently performing the wrong task. The role of operations strategy is to make sure that all the tasks performed by the operations function are the right tasks. Consider a software company that recently invested millions of dollars in developing software with features not provided by competitors, only to discover that these were features customers did not particularly want.
Now that we know the meaning of business strategy and operations strategy and their importance, let’s look at how a company would go about developing a business strategy. Then we will see how an operations strategy would be developed to support the company’s business strategy.
Developing a Business Strategy A company’s business strategy is developed after its managers have considered many factors and have made some strategic decisions. These include developing an under- standing of what business the company is in (the company’s mission), analyzing and developing an understanding of the market (environmental scanning), and identifying the company’s strengths (core competencies). These three factors are critical to the development of the company’s long-range plan, or business strategy. In this section we describe each of these elements in detail and show how they are combined to formulate the business strategy.
Mission Every organization, from IBM to the Boy Scouts, has a mission. The mission is a statement that answers three overriding questions:
· What business will the company be in (“selling personal computers,” “operating an Italian restaurant”)?
· Who will the customers be, and what are the expected customer attributes (“home- owners,” “college graduates”)?
· How will the company’s basic beliefs defi ne the business (“gives the highest customer service,” “stresses family values”)?
Mission A statement defi ning what business an organization is in, who its customers are, and how its core beliefs shape its business.
Developing a Business Strategy • 31
Following is a list of some well-known companies and parts of their mission statements:
Dell Computer Corporation: “to be the most successful computer company in the world” Delta Air Lines: “worldwide airlines choice” IBM: “translate advanced technologies into values for our customers as the world’s
largest information service company” Lowe’s: “helping customers build, improve and enjoy their homes” Ryder: “off ers a wide array of logistics services, such as distribution management,
domestically and globally”
The mission defines the company. In order to develop a long-term plan for a business, you must first know exactly what business you are in, what customers you are serving, and what your company’s values are. If a company does not have a well-defined mission, it may pursue business opportunities about which it has no real knowledge or that are in conflict with its current pursuits, or it may miss opportunities altogether.
For example, Dell Computer Corporation has become a leader in the computer industry in part by following its mission. If it did not follow its mission, Dell might decide to pursue other opportunities, such as producing mobile telephones similar to those manufactured by Motorola and Nokia. Although there is a huge market for mobile telephones, it is not consis- tent with Dell’s mission of focusing on computers.
Environmental Scanning A second factor to consider is the external environment of the business. This includes trends in the market, in the economic and political environment, and in society. These trends must be analyzed to determine business opportunities and threats. Environmental scanning is the process of monitoring the external environment. To remain competitive, companies have to continuously monitor their environment and be prepared to change their business strategy, or long-range plan, in light of environmental changes.
What Does Environmental Scanning Tell Us? Environmental scanning allows a company to identify opportunities and threats. For example, through environmental scan- ning we could see gaps in what customers need and what competitors are doing to meet those needs. A study of these gaps could reveal an opportunity for our company, and we could design a plan to take advantage of it. On the other hand, our company may currently be a leader in its industry, but environmental scanning could reveal competitors that are meeting customer needs better—for example, by offering a wider array of services. In this case, environmental scanning would reveal a threat and we would have to change our strat- egy so as not to be left behind. Just because a company is an industry leader today does not mean it will continue to be a leader in the future. In the 1970s Sears, Roebuck and Company was a retail leader, but it fell behind the pack in the 1990s.
What Are Trends in the Environment? The external business environment is always changing. To stay ahead of the competition, a company must constantly look out for trends or changing patterns in the environment, such as marketplace trends. These might include changes in customer wants and expectations and ways in which competitors are meeting those expectations. For example, in the computer industry customers are demanding speed of delivery, high quality, and low price. Dell has become a leader in the industry because of its speed of delivery and low price. Other computer giants, such as Compaq, have tried to redesign their business and operations strategies to compete with Dell. For Compaq, over- taking Dell was a key priority, although the company was not successful at this. Compaq was ultimately acquired by Hewlett-Packard in 2002. It is through environmental scanning that companies can see trends in the market, analyze the competition, and recognize what
Environmental scanning Monitoring the external environment for changes and trends to determine business opportunities and threats.
MKT
32 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
they need to do to remain competitive. It is for this reason that Dell has changed its strategy numerous times.
There are many other types of trends in the marketplace. For example, we are seeing changes in the use of technology, such as point-of-sale scanners, automation, computer-assisted processing, electronic purchasing, and electronic order tracking. One rapidly growing trend is e-commerce. For retailers like The Gap, Eddie Bauer, Fruit of the Loom, Inc., Barnes & Noble, and others, e-commerce has become a significant part of their business. Victoria’s Secret has even used the Internet to conduct a fashion show in order to boost sales. Some companies began using e-commerce early in their development. Others, like Sears, Roebuck, and company, waited and then found themselves working hard to catch up to the competition.
In addition to market trends, environmental scanning looks at economic, political, and social trends that can affect the business. Economic trends include recession, inflation, interest rates, and general economic conditions. Suppose that a company is considering obtaining a loan in order to purchase a new facility. Environmental scanning could show that interest rates are particularly favorable and that this may be a good time to go ahead with the purchase.
Political trends include changes in the political climate—local, national, and international— that could affect a company. For example, the creation of the European Union has had a sig- nificant impact on strategic planning for such global companies as IBM, Hewlett-Packard, and PepsiCo. Similarly, changes in trade relations with China have opened opportunities that were not available earlier. There has been a change in how companies view their environment, a shift from a national to a global perspective. Companies seek customers and suppliers all over the globe. Many have changed their strategies in order to take advantage of global opportunities, such as forming partnerships with international firms, called strategic alliances. For example, companies like Motorola and Xerox want to take advantage of opportunities in China and are developing strategic alliances to help them break into that market.
Finally, social trends are changes in society that can have an impact on a business. An example is the awareness of the dangers of smoking, which has made smoking less socially acceptable. This trend has had a huge impact on the tobacco industry. In order to survive, many of these companies have changed their strategy to focus on customers overseas, where smoking is still socially acceptable, or have diversified into other product lines.
Core Competencies The third factor that helps define a business strategy is an understanding of the company’s strengths. These are called core competencies. In order to formulate a long-term plan, the company’s managers must know the competencies of their organization. Core competen- cies could include special skills of workers, such as expertise in providing customized ser- vices or knowledge of information technology. Another example might be flexible facilities that can handle the production of a wide array of products. To be successful, a company must compete in markets where its core competencies will have value. Table 2.1 shows a list of some core competencies that companies may have.
Highly successful firms develop a business strategy that takes advantage of their core competencies or strengths. To see why it is important to use core competencies, think of a student developing plans for a successful professional career. Let’s say that this student is particularly good at mathematics but not as good in verbal communication and persua- sion. Taking advantage of core competencies would mean developing a career strategy in which the student’s strengths could provide an advantage, such as engineering or computer science. On the other hand, pursuing a career in marketing would place the student at a disadvantage because of a relative lack of skills in persuasion.
Increased global competition has driven many companies to clearly identify their core competencies and outsource those activities considered noncore. Recall from Chapter 1
Core competencies The unique strengths of a business.
Developing a Business Strategy • 33
TABLE 2.1 Organizational Core Competencies
1. Workforce Highly trained Responsive in meeting customer needs Flexible in performing a variety of tasks Strong technical capability Creative in product design
2. Facilities Flexible in producing a variety of products Technologically advanced An effi cient distribution system
3. Market Understanding Skilled in understanding customer wants and predicting market trends
4. Financial Know-how Skilled in attracting and raising capital
5. Technology Use of latest production technology Use of information technology Quality control techniques
that outsourcing is obtaining goods or services from an outside provider. By outsourcing noncore activities, a company can focus on its core competencies. For example, Meijer, a grocery and general merchandise retailer, outsources the transportation of all its merchan- dise to a company called Total Logistics Control (TLC). TLC is responsible for all deliveries, route scheduling, and all activities involved in maintaining a fleet of trucks, allowing Meijer to focus on its core competencies.
Putting It Together Figure 2.2 shows how the mission, environmental scanning, and core competencies help in the formulation of the business strategy. This is an ongoing process that is constantly allowed to change. As environmental scanning reveals changes in the external environ- ment, the company may need to change its business strategy to remain competitive while taking advantage of its core competencies and staying within its mission.
Monitoring the business environment for
market trends, threats, and opportunities
Environmental Scanning
Statement that defines what is our business; who are our
clients; and how our values define our business
Mission
Defines the long-range plan for the company
Business Strategy
Unique strengths that can help us
win in the market
Core Competencies
FIGURE 2.2 Three inputs in developing a business strategy
34 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
Let’s look at how Dell Computer Corporation combined its mission, environmental scanning, and core competencies to develop a highly successful business strategy. Dell’s mission is to “be the most success- ful computer company in the world at delivering the best customer experience in markets we serve. In doing so, Dell will meet customer expectations of: highest quality,
leading technology, competitive pricing, individual and company accountability, best-in- class service and support, flexible customization capability, superior corporate citizenship, and financial stability.” The mission defined what business Dell is in: highest quality, leading technology, computer company. It also defined Dell’s customers: focus on markets served. Finally, it defined how Dell would do this: through competitive pricing, best-in-class service and support, and flexible customization capability. You can see how this mission defines Dell as a company.
An environmental scan revealed that competing computer manufacturers, such as IBM, used intermediate resellers to sell computers. This led to higher inventory, higher costs, and slower responsiveness to customer wants. Michael Dell’s idea was to sell directly to the cus- tomer and be able to put together exactly the system the customer wanted within a short time. Dell defined its core competencies as flexible manufacturing and the latest technolog- ical offering. Together, the mission, environmental scan, and core competencies were used to develop a competitive business strategy that provides customized computer solutions to customers within 36 hours at a highly competitive price.
Dell’s business strategy was to take advantage of an opportunity in the market. How- ever, to implement this strategy, the company needed to develop an operations strategy that arranged all the resources in ways that would support the business strategy. Operations strategy designs a plan for resources in order to take the business strategy from concept to reality. In the next section we look at how an operations strategy is developed.
Make sure that you understand the role of the business strategy in defi ning a company’s long-term plan. Without a business strategy the company would have no overriding plan. Such a plan acts like a compass, pointing the company in the right direction. To be effective, a long-range plan must be
supported by each of the business functions. The operations strategy looks at the business strategy and develops a long- range plan specifi cally for the operations function. In the next section we will see how the operations strategy is developed.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
LINKSTO PRACTICE
DELL COMPUTER CORPORATION www.dell.com
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Developing an Operations Strategy Once a business strategy has been developed, an operations strategy must be formulated. This will provide a plan for the design and management of the operations function in ways that support the business strategy. The operations strategy relates the business strategy to the operations function. The operations strategy focuses on specific capabilities of the operation that give the company a competitive edge. These capabilities are called competitive priorities. By excelling in one of these capabilities, a company can become a winner in its
Competitive priorities Capabilities that the operations function can develop in order to give a company a competitive advantage in its market.
Developing an Operations Strategy • 35
market. These competitive priorities and their relationship to the design of the operations function are shown in Figure 2.3. Each part of this figure is discussed next.
Competitive Priorities Operations managers must work closely with marketing in order to understand the com- petitive situation in the company’s market before they can determine which competitive priorities are important. There are four broad categories of competitive priorities:
1. Cost Competing based on cost means offering a product at a low price relative to the prices of competing products. The need for this type of competition emerges from the busi- ness strategy. The role of the operations strategy is to develop a plan for the use of resources to support this type of competition. Note that a low-cost strategy can result in a higher profit margin, even at a competitive price. Also, low cost does not imply low quality. Let’s look at some specific characteristics of the operations function we might find in a company competing on cost.
To develop this competitive priority, the operations function must focus primarily on cutting costs in the system, such as costs of labor, materials, and facilities. Companies that compete based on cost study their operations system carefully to eliminate all waste. They might offer extra training to employees to maximize their productivity and minimize scrap. Also, they might invest in automation in order to increase productivity. Generally, compa- nies that compete based on cost offer a narrow range of products and product features, allow for little customization, and have an operations process that is designed to be as effi- cient as possible.
Cost A competitive priority focusing on low cost.
Defines the long-range plans for the company
BUSINESS STRATEGY
Developed to focus on the identified competitive properties
DESIGN OF THE OPERATIONS FUNCTION
Structure: Facilities, flow of goods, technology
Infrastructure: Planning & control system, workers, pay, quality
Develops a plan for the operations function focusing on specific competitive priorities
in order to meet the long-range plan
OPERATIONS STRATEGY
Competitive Priorities:
FIGURE 2.3 Operations strategy and the design of the operations function
36 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
A company that successfully com- petes on cost is Southwest Airlines. Southwest’s entire operations func- tion is designed to support this strat- egy. Facilities are streamlined: only one type of aircraft is used, and flight routes are generally short. This serves to minimize costs of scheduling crew changes, maintenance, inventories of parts, and many administrative costs. Unnecessary costs are completely eliminated: there are no meals,
printed boarding passes, or seat assignments. Employees are trained to perform many functions and use a team approach to maximize customer service. Because of this strategy, Southwest has been a model for the airline industry for a number of years.
2. Quality Many companies claim that quality is their top priority, and many customers say that they look for quality in the products they buy. Yet quality has a subjective meaning; it depends on who is defining it. For example, to one person quality could mean that the product lasts a long time, such as with a Volvo, a car known for its longevity. To another person quality might mean high performance, such as a BMW. When companies focus on quality as a competitive priority, they are focusing on the dimensions of quality that are con- sidered important by their customers.
Quality as a competitive priority has two dimensions. The first is high-performance design. This means that the operations function will be designed to focus on aspects of quality such as superior features, close tolerances, high durability, and excellent customer service. The second dimension is goods and services consistency, which measures how often the goods or services meet the exact design specifications. A strong example of product consistency is McDonald’s, where we know we can get the same product every time at any location. Com- panies that compete on quality must deliver not only high-performance design but goods and services consistency as well.
A company that competes on this dimension needs to implement quality in every area of the organization. One of the first aspects that needs to be addressed is product design quality, which involves making sure the product meets the requirements of the customer. A second aspect is process quality, which deals with designing a process to produce error-free products. This includes focusing on equipment, workers, materials, and every other aspect of the operation to make sure it works the way it is supposed to. Companies that compete based on quality have to address both of these issues: the product must be designed to meet customer needs, and the process must produce the product exactly as it is designed.
To see why product and process quality are both important, let’s say that your favorite fast- food restaurant has designed a new sandwich called the “Big Yuck.” The restaurant could design a process that produces a perfect “Big Yuck” every single time. But if customers find the “Big Yuck” unappealing, they will not buy it. The same would be true if the restaurant designed a sandwich called the “Super Delicious” to meet the desires of its customers. Even if the “Super Delicious” were exactly what the customers wanted, if the process did not produce the sandwich the way it was designed, often making it soggy and cold instead, customers would not buy it. Remember that the product needs to be designed to meet cus- tomer wants and needs, and the process needs to be designed to produce the exact product that was intended, consistently without error.
3. Time Time or speed is one of the most important competitive priorities today. Com- panies in all industries are competing to deliver high-quality products in as short a time as
Quality A competitive priority focusing on the quality of goods and services.
LINKSTO PRACTICE
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES COMPANY www.southwest.com
Time A competitive priority focusing on speed and on- time delivery.
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Developing an Operations Strategy • 37
possible. Companies like FedEx, LensCrafters, United Parcel Service (UPS), and Dell com- pete based on time. Today’s customers don’t want to wait, and companies that can meet their need for fast service are becoming leaders in their industries.
Making time a competitive priority means competing based on all time-related issues, such as rapid delivery and on-time delivery. Rapid delivery refers to how quickly an order is received; on-time delivery refers to how often deliveries are made on time. Another time-competitive priority is development speed, which is the time needed to take an idea to the marketplace. This is especially critical in technology and computer software fields. When time is a competitive priority, the job of the operations function is to critically analyze the system and combine or eliminate processes in order to save time. Often companies use technology to speed up processes, rely on a flexible workforce to meet peak demand peri- ods, and eliminate unnecessary steps in the production process.
FedEx is an example of a com- pany that competes based on time. The company’s claim is to “abso- lutely, positively” deliver packages on time. To support this strategy, the operation function had to be designed to promote speed. Bar- code technology is used to speed up processing and handling, and the company uses its own fleet of airplanes. FedEx relies on a very flexible part-time workforce, such as college students who are willing to work a few hours at night. FedEx can call on this part- time workforce at a moment’s notice, providing the company with a great deal of flexibility. This allows FedEx to cover workforce requirements during peak periods without having to schedule full-time workers.
4. Flexibility As a company’s environment changes rapidly, including customer needs and expectations, the ability to readily accommodate these changes can be a winning strat- egy. This is flexibility. There are two dimensions of flexibility. One is the ability to offer a wide variety of goods or services and customize them to the unique needs of clients. This is called product flexibility. A flexible system can quickly add new products that may be important to customers or easily drop a product that is not doing well. Another aspect of flexibility is the ability to rapidly increase or decrease the amount produced in order to accommodate changes in the demand. This is called volume flexibility.
You can see the meaning of flexibility when you compare ordering a suit from a custom tailor to buying it off the rack at a retailer. Another example would be going to a fine restaurant and asking to have a meal made just for you, versus going to a fast-food restaurant and being limited to items on the menu. The custom tailor and the fine restaurant are examples of companies that are flexible and will accommodate customer wishes. Another example of flexibility is Empire West Inc., a company that makes a variety of products out of plastics, depending on what cus- tomers want. Empire West makes everything from plastic trays to body guards for cars.
Companies that compete based on flexibility often cannot compete based on speed because it generally requires more time to produce a customized product. Also, flexible companies typically do not compete based on cost because it may take more resources to customize the product. However, flexible companies often offer greater customer service and can meet unique customer requirements. To carry out this strategy, flexible companies tend to have more general-purpose equipment that can be used to make many different kinds of products. Also, workers in flexible companies tend to have higher skill levels and can often perform many different tasks in order to meet customer needs.
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38 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
The Need for Trade-Offs You may be wondering why the operations function needs to give special focus to some priorities but not all. Aren’t all the priorities important? As more resources are dedicated to one priority, fewer resources are left for others. The operations function must place emphasis on those priorities that directly support the business strategy. Therefore, it needs to make trade-offs between the different priorities. For example, consider a company that competes on using the highest quality component parts in its products. Due to the high quality of parts, the company may not be able to offer the final product at the lowest price. In this case, the company has made a trade-off between quality and price. Similarly, a company that competes on making each product individually based on customer specifications will likely not be able to compete on speed. Here, the trade-off has been made between flexibility and speed.
It is important to know that every business must achieve a basic level of each of the pri- orities, even though its primary focus is only on some. For example, even though a company is not competing on low price, it still cannot offer its products at such a high price that cus- tomers would not want to pay for them. Similarly, even though a company is not competing on time, it still has to produce its product within a reasonable amount of time; otherwise, customers will not be willing to wait for it.
One way that large facilities with multiple products can address the issue of trade- offs is using the concept of plant-within-a-plant (PWP), introduced by well-known Har- vard professor Wickham Skinner. The PWP concept suggests that different areas of a facility be dedicated to different products with different competitive priorities. These areas should be physically separated from one another and should even have their own separate workforce. As the term suggests, there are multiple plants within one plant, allowing a company to produce different products that compete on different priorities. For example, hospitals use PWP to achieve specialization or focus in a particular area, such as the cardiac unit, oncology, radiology, surgery, or pharmacy. Similarly, department stores use PWP to isolate departments, such as the Sears auto service department ver- sus its optometry center.
Order Winners and Qualifiers To help a company decide which competitive priorities to focus on, it is important to dis- tinguish between order winners and order qualifiers, which are concepts developed by Terry Hill, a professor at Oxford University. Order qualifiers are those competitive priorities that a company has to meet if it wants to do business in a particular market. Order winners, on the other hand, are the competitive priorities that help a company win orders in the market. Consider a simple restaurant that makes and delivers pizzas. Order qualifiers might be low price (say, less than $10.00) and quick delivery (say, under 15 minutes) because this is a stan- dard that has been set by competing pizza restaurants. The order winners may be “fresh ingredients” and “home-made taste.” These characteristics may differentiate the restaurant from all the other pizza restaurants. However, regardless of how good the pizza, the restau- rant will not succeed if it does not meet the minimum standard for order qualifiers. Know- ing the order winners and order qualifiers in a particular market is critical to focusing on the right competitive priorities.
It is important to understand that order winners and order qualifiers change over time. Often when one company in a market is successfully competing using a particular order winner, other companies follow suit over time. The result is that the order winner becomes an industry standard, or an order qualifier. To compete successfully, companies then have to change their order winners to differentiate themselves. An excellent example
Trade-off The need to focus more on one competitive priority than on others.
Order qualifi ers Competitive priorities that must be met for a company to qualify as a competitor in the marketplace.
Order winners Competitive priorities that win orders in the marketplace.
Developing an Operations Strategy • 39
of this occurred in the auto industry. Prior to the 1970s, the order-winning criterion in the American auto industry was price. Then the Japanese automobile manufacturers entered the market competing on quality at a reasonable price. The result was that quality became the new order winner and price became an order qualifier, or an expectation. Then by the 1980s American manufacturers were able to raise their level of quality to be competitive with the Japanese. Quality then became an order qualifier, as everyone had the same quality standard.
Translating Competitive Priorities into Production Requirements Operations strategy makes the needs of the business strategy specific to the operations function by focusing on the right competitive priorities. Once the competitive priorities have been identified, a plan is developed to support those priorities. The operations strategy will specify the design and use of the organization’s resources; that is, it will set forth specific operations requirements. These can be broken down into two categories.
1. Structure—Operations decisions related to the design of the production process, such as characteristics of facilities used, selection of appropriate technology, and fl ow of goods and services through the facility.
2. Infrastructure—Operations decisions related to the planning and control systems of the operation, such as organization of the operations function, skills and pay of workers, and quality control approaches.
Together, the structure and infrastructure of the production process determine the nature of the company’s operations function.
The structure and infrastructure of the production process must be aligned to enable the company to pursue its long-term plan. Suppose we determined that time or speed of deliv- ery is the order winner in the marketplace and the competitive priority we need to focus on. We would then design the production process to promote speedy product delivery. This might mean having a system that does not necessarily produce the product at the abso- lutely lowest cost, possibly because we need costlier or extra equipment to help us focus on speed. The important thing is that every aspect of production of a product or delivery of a service needs to focus on supporting the competitive priority. However, we cannot neglect the other competitive priorities. A certain level of order qualifiers must be achieved just to remain in the market. The issue is not one of focusing on one priority to the exclusion of the others. Rather, it is a matter of degree.
Let’s return to the example of Dell Computer Corporation. Earlier we explained how Dell used its mission, environmental scanning, and core competencies to develop its business strategy. But to make this business plan a reality, the company needed to develop an opera- tions strategy to create its structure and infrastructure. The focus was on customer service, cost, and speed. Dell set up a system in which customers could order computers directly from the company, without going through an intermediary, such as a retailer. An operations system was designed so that ordering of components and assembly of computers did not occur until an order was actually placed. This kept costs low because Dell did not have computers sitting in inventory. A warehousing system was designed so that when compo- nents were needed, suppliers would deliver them to the plant within 15 minutes; in con- trast, competitors like IBM and Compaq had to wait hours or even days to receive needed components. To further increase speed, Dell set up a shipping arrangement with United Parcel Service (UPS). With this structure and infrastructure, Dell was able to implement its business plan.
Structure Operations decisions related to the design of the production process, such as facilities, technology, and fl ow of goods and services through the facility.
Infrastructure Operations decisions related to the planning and control systems of the operation, such as organization of operations, skills and pay of workers, and quality measures.
40 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
Strategic Role of Technology Over the last decade we have seen an unprecedented growth in technological capability. Technology has enabled companies to share real-time information across the globe, to improve the speed and quality of their processes, and to design products in innovative ways. Companies can use technology to help them gain an advantage over their competitors. For this reason technology has become a critical factor for companies in achieving a competi- tive advantage. In fact, studies have shown that companies that invest in new technologies tend to improve their financial position over those that do not. However, the technologies a company acquires should not be decided on randomly, such as following the latest fad or industry trend. Rather, the selected technology needs to support the organization’s compet- itive priorities, as we learned in the example of FedEx. Also, technology needs to be selected to enhance the company’s core competencies and add to its competitive advantage.
Types of Technologies There are three primary types of technologies. They are differentiated based on their appli- cation, but all three areas of technology are important to operations managers. The first type is product technology, which is any new technology developed by a firm. An example of this would include Teflon®, the material used in no-stick fry pans. Teflon became an emerg- ing technology in the 1970s and is currently used in numerous applications. Other examples include CDs and flat-screened monitors, water-repellent material such as GORE-TEX®, or wearable technology such as Google Glass. Product technology is important as companies can use it for a competitive advantage, but it requires that they must regularly update their processes to produce the latest types of products.
A second type of technology is process technology. It is the technology used to improve the process of creating goods and services. Examples of this would include computer-aided design (CAD) and computer-aided manufacturing (CAM). These are technologies that use computers to assist engineers in the way they design and manufacture products. Another example is 3D Printing, a technology similar to ink-jet and laser-jet printers where a solid object is created from a software design. Process technologies are important to companies, as they enable tasks to be accomplished more efficiently. We will learn more about these technologies in Chapter 3.
The last type of technology is information technology, which enables communication, processing, and storage of information. Information technology has grown rapidly over recent years and has had a profound impact on business. Just consider the changes that have occurred due to the Internet and the web. The Internet has enabled electronic commerce and the creation of the virtual marketplace and has linked customers and buyers. Another example of information technology is enterprise resource planning (ERP), which functions
By now you should have a clear understanding of how an operations strategy is developed and its role in helping the organization decide which competitive priorities to focus on. There are four categories of competitive priorities: cost, qual- ity, time, and fl exibility. A company must make trade-offs in deciding which priorities to focus on. The operations strategy and the competitive priorities dictate the design and plan for
the operations function, which includes the structure and infrastructure of the operation. This is a dynamic process, and as the environment changes, the organization must be prepared to change accordingly. Operations strategy plays a key role in an organization’s ability to compete. In the next section we discuss a way to measure a company’s competitive capability.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
Productivity • 41
via large software programs used for planning and coordinating all resources throughout the entire enterprise. ERP systems have enabled companies to reduce costs and improve responsiveness but are highly expensive to purchase and implement. Consequently, as with any technology, investment in ERP needs to be a strategic decision.
Technology as a Tool for Competitive Advantage Technology can be acquired to improve processes and maintain up-to-date standards. Technology can also be used to gain a competitive advantage. For example, by acquiring technology a company can improve quality, reduce costs, and improve product delivery. This can provide an advantage over the competition and help gain market share. However, investing in technology can be costly and entails risks, such as overestimating the benefits of the technology or incurring the risk of obsolescence due to rapid new inventions.
Technology should be acquired to support the company’s chosen competitive priorities, not just to follow the latest market fad. Also, technology may require the company to rethink its strategy. For example, when the Internet became available, it was generally assumed that it would replace traditional ways of doing business. This has not turned out to be the case. In fact, for many companies the Internet has enhanced traditional methods. Physical activities such as shipping, warehousing, transportation, and even physical contact must still be performed. For example, pharmacy chains such as Walgreens and CVS have found that although customers place orders over the Internet, they prefer to pick them up in per- son. Similarly, the airlines have discovered that an easy-to-use Web site can increase airline bookings. However, successful use of a technology such as the Internet requires companies to develop strategies that integrate the technology. As you can see, acquiring technology is an important strategic decision for companies. Operations managers must consider many factors when making a purchase decision.
Productivity Sound business strategy and supporting operations strategy make an organization more competitive in the marketplace. But how does a company measure its competitiveness? One of the most common ways is by measuring productivity. In this section we will look at how to measure the productivity of each of a company’s resources as well as the entire organization.
Measuring Productivity Recall that operations management is responsible for managing the transformation of many inputs into outputs, such as goods or services. A measure of how efficiently inputs are being converted into outputs is called productivity. Productivity measures how well resources are used. It is computed as a ratio of outputs (goods and services) to inputs (e.g., labor and materials). The more efficiently a company uses its resources, the more productive it is:
Productivity = output
input
This equation can be used to measure the productivity of one worker or many, as well as the productivity of a machine, a department, the whole firm, or even a nation. The possibilities are shown in Table 2.2.
When we compute productivity for all inputs combined, such as labor, machines, and capital, we are measuring total productivity. For example, let’s say that the weekly dollar
Productivity A measure of how effi ciently an organization converts inputs into outputs.
Total productivity Productivity computed as a ratio of output to all organizational inputs.
42 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
value of a company’s output, such as finished goods and work in progress, is $10,200 and that the value of its inputs, such as labor, materials, and capital, is $8600. The company’s total weekly productivity would be computed as follows:
Total productivity = output
input =
$10,200
$8600 = 1.186
Often it is much more useful to measure the productivity of one input variable at a time in order to identify how efficiently each is being used. When we compute productivity as the ratio of output relative to a single input, we obtain a measure of partial productivity, also called single-factor productivity. Following are two examples of the calculation of partial productivity:
1. A bakery oven produces 346 pastries in 4 hours. What is its productivity?
Machine productivity = number of pastries�oven time
= 346 pastries
4 hours = 86.5 pastries�hour
2. Two workers paint tables in a furniture shop. If the workers paint 22 tables in 8 hours, what is their productivity?
Labor productivity = 22 tables
2 workers × 8 hours = 1.375 tables�hour
Examples of select partial productivity measures are shown in Table 2.3. Sometimes we need to compute productivity as the ratio of output relative to a group
of inputs, such as labor and materials. This is a measure of multifactor productivity. For example, let’s say that output is worth $382 and labor and materials costs are $168 and $98, respectively. A multifactor productivity measure of our use of labor and materials would be
Multifactor productivity = output
labor + materials
= $382
$168 + $98 = 1.436
Partial productivity Productivity computed as a ratio of output to only one input (e.g., labor, materials, machines).
Multifactor productivity Productivity computed as a ratio of output to several, but not all, inputs.
TABLE 2.2 Productivity Measures
Total Productivity Measure Output produced
All inputs used
Partial Productivity Measure Output
Labor or
Output
Machines or
Output
Materials or
Output
Capital
Multifactor Productivity Measure Output
Labor + machines or
Output
Labor + materials or
Output
Labor + capital + energy
Productivity • 43
EXAMPLE 2.1 Computing Productivity
Long Beach Bank employs three loan offi cers, each working eight hours per day. Each offi cer processes an average of fi ve loans per day. The bank’s payroll cost for the offi cers is $820 per day, and there is a daily overhead expense of $500. The bank has just purchased new computer software that should enable each offi cer to process eight loans per day, although the overhead expense will increase to $550. Evaluate the change in labor and multifactor productivity before and after implementation of the new computer software.
• Before You Begin: When solving productivity problems, make sure that the value of outputs and inputs is computed over the same time period, such as day, week, month, or year. Also, when evaluating a change in productivity, compute the productivity before and after the expected change and calculate the percentage difference.
• Solution:
Labor productivity (old) = 3 officers × 5 loans�day
24 labor-hours =
15 loans�day 24 labor-hours
= 0.625 loans per labor-hour
Labor productivity (new) = 3 officers × 8 loans�day
24 labor-hours =
24 loans�day 24 labor-hours
= 1.00 loan per labor-hour
Multifactor productivity (old) = 15 loans�day
$820�day + $500�day = 0.0113 loans�dollar
Multifactor productivity (new) = 24 loans�day
$820�day + $550�day = 0.0175 loans�dollar
The change in labor productivity is from 0.625 to 1.00 loans per labor-hour. This results in an increase of 1.00/0.625 = 1.6, or an increase of 60 percent. The change in multifactor productivity is from 0.0113 to 0.0175 loans per dollar. This results in an increase of 0.0175/0.0113 = 1.55, or an increase of 55 percent.
TABLE 2.3 Examples of Partial Productivity Measures
Business Type Productivity Measure
Restaurant Customers served Labor-hour
or Customers served
Square foot
Hospital Patients Hospital bed
or Patients
Nurse-hour
Amusement park Visitors Square foot
or Visitors
Attraction
Cattle ranch Cattle Pound of feed
or Cattle
Acre of land
Garment manufacturer Sweaters Pound of yarn
or Sweaters
Machine-hour
44 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
Interpreting Productivity Measures To interpret the meaning of a productivity measure, it must be compared with a similar productivity measure. For example, if one worker at a pizza shop produces 17 pizzas in two hours, the productivity of that worker is 8.5 pizzas per hour. This number by itself does not tell us very much. However, if we compare it to the productivity of two other workers, one who produces 7.2 pizzas per hour and another 6.8 pizzas per hour, it is much more mean- ingful. We can see that the first worker is much more productive than the other two work- ers. But how do we know whether the productivity of all three workers is reasonable? What we need is a standard. In Chapter 11 we will discuss ways to set standards and how those standards can help in evaluating the performance of our workers.
It is also helpful to measure and compare productivity over time. Let’s say that we want to measure the total productivity of our three pizza makers (our “labor”) and we compute a labor productivity measure of 7.5 pizzas per hour. This number does not tell us much about the workers’ performance. However, if we compare weekly productivity measures over time, perhaps over the last four weeks, we get much more information:
Week 1 2 3 4
Productivity (pizzas/labor-hour) 5.4 6.8 7.1 7.5
Now we see that the workers’ productivity is improving over time. In fact, productivity changed from 5.4 to 7.5 pizzas per labor-hour, resulting in an increase of 7.5/5.4 = 1.39, or an increase of 39 percent. But what if we find out that our main competitor, a pizzeria down the street, has a productivity of 9.5 pizzas per labor-hour? This productivity rate is 26.7 percent (9.5/7.5 = 1.267) higher than our productivity in week 4. Suddenly we know that even though our productivity is going up, it should be higher. We may have to analyze our processes and increase our productivity in order to be competitive. By comparing our productivity over time and against similar operations, we have a much better sense of how high our productivity really is.
When evaluating productivity and setting standards for performance, we also need to consider our strategy for competing in the marketplace—namely, our competitive priorities. A company that competes based on speed would probably measure productivity in units produced over time. However, a company that competes based on cost might measure pro- ductivity in terms of costs of inputs such as labor, materials, and overhead. The important thing is that our productivity measure provides information on how we are doing relative to the competitive priority that is most important to us.
Productivity and Competitiveness Productivity is essentially a scorecard of how efficiently resources are used and a measure of competitiveness. Productivity is measured on many levels and is of interest to a wide range of people. As we showed in earlier examples, productivity can be measured for individuals, departments, or organizations. It can track performance over time and help managers identify problems. Similarly, productivity can be measured for an entire industry and even a country.
The economic success of a nation and the quality of life of its citizens are related to its competitiveness in the global marketplace. Increases in productivity are directly related to increases in a nation’s standard of living. That is why business and government leaders con- tinuously monitor the productivity at the national level and by industry sectors.
Productivity in the United States had been increasing for over 100 years. Then in the 1970s and 1980s productivity dropped, even lagging behind that of other industrial nations. Fortunately, productivity rebounded in the mid- and late 1990s. Today, companies under- stand the importance of competitiveness and productivity in the United States. Changes in U.S. productivity can be seen in Figure 2.4.
Productivity • 45
Productivity and the Service Sector Service sector companies have a unique challenge when trying to measure productivity. The reason is that traditional productivity measures tend to focus on tangible outcomes, as seen with goods-producing activities. Services primarily produce intangible products, such as ideas and information, making it difficult to evaluate quality. Consequently, accurately mea- suring productivity improvements can be difficult. A good example of the difficulty in using traditional productivity measures in the service sector is the emergency room. Here inputs are the medical staff, yet outputs may not exist if no one needed treatment on that shift. In that case, by traditional measures, productivity would be zero! The real issue in this type of environment is the level of readiness, and the challenge is to adequately measure it.
As we discussed previously, employment in the service sector of the U.S. economy has grown rapidly. Unfortunately, productivity gains in this sector have been much lower than those of manufacturing. It is hoped that advancements in information technology will help standardize services and accelerate productivity in this sector.
Operations Strategy Within OM: How it all Fits Together
We have learned that the strategic decisions of a firm drive its tactical decisions. Opera- tions strategy decisions are critical in this process because they serve as a linkage between the business strategy and all the other operations decisions. Recall that operations strategy provides a plan for the OM function that supports the business strategy. In turn, decisions regarding operations strategy directly impact decisions on organizational structure and infrastructure of the company. This includes selection of the facilities (Chapter 10), type of process (Chapter 8), choice of technology (Chapter 3), quality control decisions (Chap- ters 5 and 6), skills and pay of workers (Chapter 11), and numerous other decisions. As in the example of Southwest Airlines, an operations strategy that focuses on cost competition would translate into specific operations decisions that eliminate all frills from the system.
YEAR
5
4
3
2
1
0 2000
A N
N U
A L
P E
R C
E N
TA G
E C
H A
N G
E
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 201495 96 97 98 99
FIGURE 2.4 Percentage change in U.S. business sector productivity (output per hour)
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
46 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
In subsequent chapters of this book, we will study specific decisions that pertain to orga- nizational structure and infrastructure. We will see that these decisions are governed by the firm’s operations strategy. We will also learn how these specific decisions impact each other.
Operations Strategy Across the Organization
The business strategy defines the long-range plan for the entire company and guides the actions of each of the company’s business functions. Those functions, in turn, develop plans to support the business strategy. However, in defining their individual strategies, it is impor- tant for the functions to work together and understand each other’s needs.
Marketing identifies target markets, studies competition, and communicates with cus- tomers. In developing its own strategy, marketing needs to fully understand the capabilities of the operations function, the types of resources being used, and the way those resources are utilized. Otherwise, marketing’s strategy could entail making promises that operations cannot deliver. In turn, marketing needs to communicate to operations all its observed and anticipated market changes.
Finance develops financial plans to support the business strategy. However, since it is the operations function that manages all the organization’s resources, the financial plans in effect support operations activities. Before it can develop its own strategy, finance needs to communicate with operations in order to understand the financial requirements of planned resources. In turn, operations managers cannot fully develop a strategy until they have a clear understanding of financial capabilities.
The strategies of all the business functions need to support each other in achieving the goals set by the business strategy and are best developed through a team approach.
MKT
FIN
The operations strategy of a fi rm directly impacts decisions on its structure and infrastructure, including its supply chain. This includes the design of the supply chain, such as its length, and the relationships the fi rm has with its supply chain partners. Together, the operations strategy and the fi rm’s supply chain must support the business strategy of the fi rm. This can be illustrated by the competitive priorities of the fi rm, which directly impact the type of supply chain a company has in place. For example, a company that competes on cost must have a highly effi cient supply chain with high integration of the OM function between supply chain partners. The reason is that the supply chain plays a critical role in keeping both production and delivery costs down. Therefore, a fi rm competing on cost might structure its supply chain so that the least expensive suppliers are used rather than those with the highest quality supplies.
In contrast, a company that competes on quality will likely have a different supply chain. Competing on quality means that a company’s products and services are known for their premium nature, such as product consistency and reliability. Many aspects
of the supply chain are altered when companies compete on quality versus another competitive priority, such as cost. The company will likely source its components from suppliers known for quality who have implemented total quality management throughout their production process. The concept of quality will also be embedded in other aspects of the supply chain, such as transportation, delivery, and packaging.
An excellent example of aligning operations strategy with the supply chain is illustrated by Wal-Mart. Sam Walton, Wal- Mart’s founder, was a strategic visionary who developed the low-cost retail strategy that is supported by its supply chain. Wal-Mart’s supply chain is designed to buy not from distribut- ors but directly from manufacturers in order to lower costs and offer a broad range of merchandise. In fact, Wal-Mart has had a legendary partnership with Procter & Gamble, where replen- ishment of inventories is done automatically. These supply chain actions were designed to help Wal-Mart meet its overall competitive strategy, which is to provide its customers with a wide product offering at a low price. This has helped Wal-Mart become the world’s largest retailer. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
Chapter Highlights 1 The role of operations strategy is to provide a long-
range plan for the use of the company’s resources in producing the company’s primary goods and services.
· A business strategy is a long-range plan and vision for a business. Each of the individual business func- tions needs to support the business strategy.
2 An organization develops its business strategy by doing environmental scanning and considering its mission and its core competencies.
· Th e role of business strategy is to serve as an overall guide for the development of the organization’s oper- ations strategy.
3 The operations strategy focuses on developing specific capabilities called competitive priorities. In designing
its operation, an organization is governed by the oper- ations strategy and the specific competitive priorities it has chosen to develop.
· Th ere are four categories of competitive priorities: cost, quality, time, and fl exibility.
4 Technology can be used by companies to gain a com- petitive advantage and should be acquired to support the company’s chosen competitive priorities.
5 Productivity is a measure that indicates how efficiently an organization is using its resources.
· Productivity is computed as the ratio of organiza- tional outputs divided by inputs.
Key Terms
operations strategy 29
business strategy 29
mission 30
environmental scanning 31
core competencies 32
competitive priorities 34
cost 35
quality 36
time 36
trade-off 38
order qualifi ers 38
order winners 38
structure 39
infrastructure 39
productivity 41
total productivity 41
partial productivity 42
multifactor productivity 42
Key Terms • 47
Governmental decision makers can require companies to adopt practices that are deemed environmentally safe and socially responsible, using laws and government regulations. Many companies, however, engage in voluntary compliance in sustainable practices. These provide benefi ts in the form of advertising—such as logos that appeal to the preferences of a growing number of environmentally conscious consumers— and group membership in certifi cation programs, which provide directory listings and other perks. Like other operations decisions, the decision to embrace sustainability practices, above and beyond those mandated by regulatory standards, must be driven by the business strategy.
The Brazilian company Aracruz Celulose offers a good example of sustainability decisions that are driven by the company’s business strategy. The company is responsible for 24 percent of the global supply of bleached eucalyptus pulp, used in the manufacture of paper. It has developed practices of sustainable operations and supply chain management that support its goal of being a recognized sustainability leader.
For example, Aracruz ensures environmental sustainability by preserving the natural ecosystems surrounding the eucalyptus plantations. The company created a forestry management program to preserve native tree populations and prevent over- harvesting, and has put in place strict environmental control technology to protect and monitor the impact of its operations on forests and rivers. In addition to the environment, Aracruz focuses on social sustainability by contributing to the communit- ies near its operation sites. The company also gives back to the local communities. In 2004, for example, Aracruz contributed $5 million to improve the education, health, and social welfare of local populations. All these efforts were put into place to sup- port the company’s business strategy of sustainability leader- ship. This has resulted in fi nancial benefi ts for the company that have come from ensuring a consistent supply of natural material and elimination of waste. Aracruz has also received brand re- cognition for its efforts. In 2008 Aracruz was highlighted as the company with the world’s best corporate sustainability practices by the Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI World). •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
48 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
Formula Review
Productivity = output
input
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Bluegill Furniture is a small furniture shop that focuses on making kitchen chairs. Th e weekly dollar value of its output, including fi nished goods and work in progress, is $14,280. Th e value of inputs, such as labor, materials, and capital, is approximately $16,528. Compute the total productivity measure for Bluegill Furniture.
Before You Begin: In this problem you are being asked for the total productivity. Recall that it is simply the ratio of total output over input.
Solution:
Total productivity = output
input =
$14,280
$16,528 = 0.864
PROBLEM 2
Bluegill has just purchased a new sanding machine that processes 17 chairs in 8 hours. What is the productivity of the sanding machine?
Before You Begin: In this problem you are being asked for machine productivity, which is a partial productivity measure.
PROBLEM 3
Bluegill has hired two new workers to paint chairs. Th ey have painted 10 chairs in 4 hours. What is their labor productivity?
Before You Begin: Remember that you should com- pute the labor productivity of both workers combined.
PROBLEM 4
On average, Bluegill produces 35 chairs per day. Labor costs average $480, material costs are typically $200, and overhead cost is $250. If Bluegill sells the chairs to a retailer for $70 each, determine the multifactor productivity.
Before You Begin: When computing multifactor pro- ductivity, remember to compute the total value of the inputs before taking the ratio.
Solution:
Machine productivity = number of chairs
processing time
= 17 chairs
8 hours
= 2.125 chairs�hour
Solution:
Labor productivity = 10 chairs
2 workers × 4 hours
= 1.25 chairs�hour
Solution:
= value of output
labor costs + material cost + overhead
= 35 chairs × $70�chair $480 + $200 + $250
= $2450
$930
= $2.63 of sales per dollar
Multifactor productivity
PROBLEM 5
Last week employees at Bluegill produced 46 chairs after working a total of 200 hours. Of the 46 chairs pro- duced, 12 were damaged due to a problem with the new sanding machine. Th e damaged chairs can be dis- counted and sold for $25 each. Th e undamaged chairs are sold to a department store retail chain for $70 each. What was the labor productivity ratio for last week? If labor productivity was $15 in sales per hour the previ- ous week, what was the change in labor productivity?
Before You Begin: To compute productivity you must include the total value of the output. Notice that in this problem there are diff erent quantities of products that have diff erent values (damaged and good chairs). You must compute the value of each type of chair and add them together to obtain the total value before taking the ratio.
Solution:
Value to output = (12 damaged chairs × $25�damaged chair) + (34 good chairs × $70�good chair)
= $2680 Labor-hours of input = 200 hours
Labor productivity = value of output
labor-hours of input
Labor productivity = $2680
200 hours
= $13.40 in sales per hour
Th e change in labor productivity was from $15 to $13.40 in sales per hour, or a reduction of 10.67 percent.
Discussion Questions
1. Explain the importance of a business strategy.
2. Explain the role of operations strategy in a business.
3. Describe how a business strategy is developed.
4. Describe how an operations strategy is formulated from the business strategy.
5. Explain what is meant by the term competitive priority and describe the four categories of competitive priorities discussed in the chapter.
6. Find an example of a company that makes quality its competitive priority. Find another company that
makes fl exibility its competitive priority. Compare these strategies.
7. What is meant by the terms order qualifi ers and order winners? Explain why they are important.
8. Describe the three types of technologies. Explain the strategic role of technology.
9. Describe the meaning of productivity. Why is it im- portant?
10. Explain the three types of productivity measures.
Problems
1. Two workers have the job of placing plastic labels on packages before the packages are shipped out. Th e fi rst worker can place 1000 labels in 30 minutes. Th e second worker can place 850 labels in 20 minutes. Which worker is more productive?
2. Last week a painter painted three houses in fi ve days. Th is week she painted two houses in four days. In which week was the painter more productive?
3. One type of bread-making machine can make six loaves of bread in fi ve hours. A new model of the ma- chine can make four loaves in two hours. Which model is more productive?
4. A company that makes kitchen chairs wants to com- pare productivity at two of its facilities. At facility #1, six workers produced 240 chairs. At facility #2, four workers produced 210 chairs during the same time period. Which facility was more productive?
5. A painter is considering using a new high-tech paint roller. Yesterday he was able to paint three walls in 45 minutes using his old method. Today he painted two walls of the same size in 20 minutes. Is the painter more productive using the new paint roller?
6. Aztec Furnishings makes hand-crafted furniture for sale in its retail stores. Th e furniture maker has recently
Problems • 49
50 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
installed a new assembly process, including a new sander and polisher. With this new system, produc- tion has increased to 90 pieces of furniture per day from the previous 60 pieces of furniture per day. Th e number of defective items produced has dropped from 10 pieces per day to 1 per day. Th e production facility operates strictly eight hours per day. Evaluate the change in productivity for Aztec using the new as- sembly process.
7. Howard Plastics produces plastic containers for use in the food packaging industry. Last year its aver- age monthly production included 20,000 containers produced using one shift fi ve days a week with an eight-hour-a-day operation. Of the items produced, 15 percent were deemed defective. Recently, Howard Plastics has implemented new production methods and a new quality improvement program. Its monthly production has increased to 25,000 containers with 9 percent defective. (a) Compute productivity ratios for the old and new
production system. (b) Compare the changes in productivity between the
two production systems. 8. Med-Tech labs is a facility that provides medical tests
and evaluations for patients, ranging from analyzing blood samples to performing magnetic resonance
imaging (MRI). Average cost to patients is $60 per pa- tient. Labor costs average $15 per patient, materials costs are $20 per patient, and overhead costs are aver- aged at $20 per patient. (a) What is the multifactor productivity ratio for Med-
Tech? What does your fi nding mean? (b) If the average lab worker spends three hours for
each patient, what is the labor productivity ratio? 9. Handy-Maid Cleaning Service operates fi ve crews with
three workers per crew. Diff erent crews clean a diff er- ent number of homes per week and spend a diff ering amount of hours. All the homes cleaned are about the same size. Th e manager of Handy-Maid is trying to evaluate the productivity of each of the crews. Th e fol- lowing data have been collected over the past week.
Work Crew Hours Homes Cleaned
Anna, Sue, and Tim 35 10
Jim, Jose, and Andy 45 15
Dan, Wendy, and Carry 56 18
Rosie, Chandra, and Seth 30 10
Sherry, Vicky, and Roger 42 18
Assuming the quality of cleaning was consistent between crews, which crew was most productive?
Case: Prime Bank of Massachusetts
Prime Bank of Massachusetts was started in 1964 with James Rogers as CEO, who is now chairman of the board. Prime Bank had been growing steadily since its beginning and has developed a loyal customer fol- lowing. Today there are 45 bank locations throughout Massachusetts, with corporate headquarters in New- bury, Massachusetts. Th e bank off ers a wide array of banking services to commercial and noncommercial customers.
Prime Bank has considered itself to be a conser- vative, yet innovative, organization. Its locations are open Monday–Friday 9–4 and Saturday 9–12. Most of the facilities are located adjacent to well-established shopping centers, with multiple ATM machines and at least three drive-through windows. However, Prime Bank’s growth has brought on certain problems. Having the right amount of tellers available in the bank as well as in the drive-through window has been a challenge. Some commercial customers had recently expressed
frustration due to long waiting time. Also, the parking lot has often become crowded during peak periods.
While Prime Bank was going through a growth period, the general banking industry had been experi- encing tougher competition. Competitors were increas- ingly off ering lower interest rates on loans and higher yields on savings accounts and certifi cates of deposit. Also, Prime Bank was experiencing growing pains, and something needed to be done soon or it would begin losing customers to competition.
Th e board, headed by James Rogers, decided to develop a more aggressive strategy for Prime Bank. While many of its competitors were competing on cost, the board decided that Prime Bank should focus on customer service in order to diff erentiate itself from the competition. Th e bank had already begun moving in that direction by off ering a 24-hour customer service department to answer customers’ banking questions. Yet, there were diffi culties with this eff ort, such as poor
staffi ng and not enough telephone lines. James Rogers wanted Prime Bank to aggressively solve all customer service issues, such as staffi ng, layout, and facilities. He also wanted greater creativity in adding improve- ments in customer service, such as on-line banking, and special services for large customers. He believed that improving most aspects of the bank’s operation would give Prime Bank a competitive advantage.
Th e board presented their new strategy to Victoria Chen, vice president of operations. Victoria had recently been promoted to the V.P. level and under- stood the importance of operations management. She was asked to identify all changes that should be made in the operation function that would support this new strategy and present them at the next board meeting. Victoria had been hoping for an opportunity to prove herself since she began with the bank. Th is was her chance.
Case Questions
1. Why is the operations function important in imple- menting the strategy of an organization? Explain why the changes put in place by Victoria Chen and her team could either hurt or help the bank.
2. Develop a list of changes for the operations func- tion that should be considered by the bank. Begin by identifying operations management decisions that would be involved in operating a bank, for example, layout of facility, staff , drive-through service. Th en identify ways that they can be improved at Prime Bank in order to support the strategy focused on customer service.
3. Th ink of the improvements identifi ed in answering question 2. How diff erent would these improve- ments be if the bank had a strategy of cutting cost rather than supporting customer service?
Case: Boseman Oil and Petroleum (BOP)
Boseman Oil and Petroleum (BOP) is one of many oil companies operating off shore petroleum platforms in the Gulf of Mexico. Th e company identifi es off shore sites for exploration drilling and constructs drilling platforms. Once exploration activities are successful, the platforms are converted to a production platform to extract crude oil and natural gas. BOP operates mul- tiple platforms and an onshore facility that serves as the primary interface between the platforms. Boats with specialized crews provide logistics services between the platforms and the onshore facility. Th e boats deliver fuel, water, equipment, and other needed supplies mul- tiple times a day to the platforms. Accurate and timely delivery of materials is absolutely necessary for suc- cessful platform operations.
BOP had traditionally focused on exploration and production activities, paying little attention to operat- ing costs. However, operating costs had been increasing rapidly. A particularly signifi cant cost was the operat- ing of boats and crews needed to provide logistics ser- vices between platforms and the onshore facility. Th e boats are highly specialized, with built-in storage tanks and unique cargo space designs. Th e boat crews are
specially trained, and operating the boats and crews is highly expensive. Although BOP is dependent on the boat deliveries, it does not use the boats at full capacity and they are often idle.
Jeff Kessinger, director of off shore operations for BOP, is now faced with the decision of how to reduce operating costs. One option is to outsource the logistics service to a company specializing in providing off shore logistics services. Logistics-Off shore Inc. is such a com- pany, owning and maintaining its own fl eet of boats and crews. Logistics-Off shore could be hired to perform this function. BOP could sell its boats and focus on oil exploration. Jeff is aware that outsourcing is an impor- tant strategic decision and there is much to consider. He is not sure where to begin.
Case Questions
1. Identify the potential strategic advantages and dis- advantages for BOP in outsourcing the boat logistics service to Logistics-Off shore. Explain the strategic implications of each.
2. Identify the type of information Jeff Kessinger needs to gather and evaluate in order to make his decision.
Case: Boseman Oil and Petroleum (BOP) • 51
52 CHAPTER 2 • Operations Strategy and Competitiveness
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Getting Acquainted with Cruise Interna- tional, Inc. After a few minutes on hold, you hear Bob Bristol begin speaking on the phone. “Hello,” he begins. “I understand that you wanted to let me know about your progress and needed some additional guidelines. My assistant, Shontelle, gave me the details of your work on the fi rst assignment. I am pleased that you are begin- ning to learn about CII and the cruising industry. Since you still have some time before starting at CII, I think it would be a good idea for you to get some broad insights into the industry and its competitive environment.
“You must look at the big picture and try to under- stand the company’s vision and its mission. I want to
identify the core vales that CII emphasizes and explain how a specifi c emphasis dictates its business practices.” Th is assignment will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 2 of your textbook while preparing you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Getting Acquainted with Cruise Interna- tional, Inc.
On-line Case: Operations Strategy at Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Getting Acquainted with Valley Memorial Hospital With a few more weeks before you join Kaizen and start working for its client Valley Memorial Hospi- tal, it is essential for you to get some broad insights into the company and its operations. Bob Reilly has given you a few preliminary research projects to work on in order to familiarize yourself with VMH and the healthcare industry. Th is assignment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter
2 while continuing to prepare you for a successful internship.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Getting Acquainted with Valley Memorial Hospital
www.wiley.com/college/reid
Internet Challenge: Understanding Strategic Differences
Select two companies in the same industry, either in ser- vice or in manufacturing. You can select industries such as fast-food, banking, healthcare, computer manufactur- ing, or auto manufacturing. Use the Internet to visit the selected companies’ Web sites and collect the following information: their mission statement, target market, and specifi cs of their product and service off erings. Explain the diff erences between the companies’ business strat- egies and target markets. How do their product and
service off erings diff er relative to their target markets and their overall strategies? Finally, how does their oper- ations function support their business strategies? Try to explain how operations utilizes specifi c organizational resources to support the business strategy.
Web sites to consider:
www.lufthansa-cargo.com (Lufthansa Cargo)
www.unitedcargo.com (United Airlines, United Cargo)
Selected Bibliography
Ahlstrom, P., and R. Westbrook. “Implications of Mass Customization for OM: An Exploratory Survey,” Interna- tional Journal of Operations and Production Management, 19, 3, 1999, 262–274.
Fine, C.H. Clock Speed, Winning Industry Control in the Age of Temporary Advantage. New York: Perseus Books, 1998.
Gordon, B.H. “Th e Changing Face of Th ird Party Logistics,” Supply Chain Management Review, March–April 2003, 50–57.
Grover, V., and M.K. Malhotra. “A Framework for Examin- ing the Interface between Operations and Information Systems: Implications for Research in the New Millen- nium,” Decision Sciences, 30, 4, 1999, 901–919.
Hayes, R.H., G. Pisano, D. Upton, and S.C. Wheelwright. Operations Strategy and Technology: Pursuing the Com-
petitive Edge. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2005.
Hayes, R.H., and S.C. Wheelwright. Restoring Our Compet- itive Edge: Competing through Manufacturing. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1984.
Hill, T. Manufacturing Strategy Text and Cases. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2000.
Mayer-Schönberger, M., and K. Cukier. Big Data, a Revolu- tion that Will Transform How We Live, Work and Th ink. New York: Houghton Miffl in Harcourt, 2014.
Ovans, A. “Sears Has Come Back from the Brink Before,” Harvard Business Review, November 2014.
Peters, T.J. In Search of Excellence: Lessons from America’s Best Run Companies. New York: Warner Books, 1984.
Porter, M. “Th e Five Competing Forces that Shape Strate- gies,” Harvard Business Review, January 2008.
Porter, M.E. “What Is Strategy?” Harvard Business Review 74 (November–December 1996), 61–78.
Robert, M. Strategy Pure and Simple II. New York: McGraw- Hill, 1998.
Rondeau, P.J., M.S. Vonderembse, and T.S. Raghunathan. “Exploring Work System Practices for Time-Based Man- ufacturers: Th eir Impact on Competitive Capabilities,” Journal of Operations Management, 18, 2000, 509–529.
Spring, M., and J.F. Dalrymple. “Product Customization and Manufacturing Strategy,” International Journal of Operations and Production Management, 20, 4, 2000, 441–467.
Ward, P.T., and R. Duray. “Manufacturing Strategy in Con- text: Environment, Competitive Strategy, and Manufac- turing Strategy,” Journal of Operations Management, 18, 2000, 123–138.
Selected Bibliography • 53
54
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. Differences between manufacturing and service organizations, Chapter 1.
2. Differences between strategic and tactical decisions, Chapter 1.
3. Competitive priorities, Chapter 2.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Defi ne product design and
explain its strategic impact on the organization.
2 Describe the steps used to develop a product design.
3 Use break-even analysis as a tool in deciding between alternative products.
4 Identify different types of processes and explain their characteristics.
5 Understand how to use a process fl owchart.
6 Understand how to use process performance metrics.
7 Understand the link between product design and process selection.
8 Understand current technological advancements and how they impact process and product design.
9 Understand issues of designing service operations.
H ave you ever been with a group of friends and decided to order pizzas? One person wants pizza from Pizza Hut because he likes the taste of stuffed-crust pizza made with cheese in the crust. Someone else wants
Donatos pizza because she likes the unique crispy-thin crust. A third wants pizza from Spagio’s because of the wood-grilled oven taste. Even a simple product like a pizza can have different features unique to its producer. Different customers have different tastes, preferences, and product needs. The variety of product designs on the market appeals to the preferences of a particular customer group. Also, the different product designs have different processing requirements. This is what product design and process selection are all about.
We can all relate to the product design of a pizza just from everyday life. Now consider the complexities involved in designing more sophisti- cated products.
For example, leading manufacturers of mobile devices, including Apple, Samsung, Microsoft, and LG, produce a wide array of product designs to meet the different needs of different customers. These products range from a variety of smart phones to tablet PCs of various sizes and capabilities, such as personal information management, wireless Internet access, and gaming capabilities. Some companies, such as Apple, have even moved to wearable devices. An example is Apple’s iWatch, a customizable smartwatch designed to work with the company’s iPhone to offer a comprehen- sive health and fitness device. These leading companies, however, not only have to decide on the best product features to include. They also have to consider the best processes that are able to produce the different types of devices.
These examples illustrate that a product design that meets customer needs, although challenging, can have a large impact on a company’s success. In fact,
Product Design and Process Selection3
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Product Design • 55
product design is so important that leading-edge companies routinely invest in product design well into the future. Just consider IBM Corporation, which is rethinking computer design alto- gether. The company is pouring $3 billion into computing and chip material redesign over the next five years as it prepares for a future that may involve silicon chips. The company’s computer design initiative could pave the way for functional quantum and cognitive computers that mimic brain functionality. This type of innovative product design can give a company a significant com- petitive advantage and is precisely why IBM is investing to be on the cutting edge. •
Product Design In this chapter we will learn about product design, which is the process of deciding on the unique characteristics and features of the company’s product. We will also learn about process selection, which is the development of the process necessary to produce the designed product. Product design and process selection decisions are typically made together. A company can have a highly innovative design for its product, but if it has not determined how to make the product in a cost-effective way, the product will stay a design forever.
Product design and process selection affect product quality, product cost, and customer satisfaction. If the product is not well designed or if the manufacturing process is not true to the product design, the quality of the product may suffer. Furthermore, the product has to be manufactured using materials, equipment, and labor skills that are efficient and affordable; otherwise, its cost will be too high for the market. We call this the product’s manufacturability—the ease with which the product can be made. Finally, if a product is to achieve customer satisfaction, it must have the combined characteristics of good design, competitive pricing, and the ability to fill a market need. This is true whether the product is pizzas or cars.
Most of us might think that the design of a product is not that interesting. After all, it probably involves materials, measurements, dimensions, and blueprints. When we think of design, we usually think of car design or computer design and envision engineers working on diagrams. However, product design is much more than that. Product design brings together marketing analysts, art directors, sales forecasters, engineers, finance experts, and other members of a company to think and plan strategically. It is exciting and creative, and it can spell success or disaster for a company.
Product design is the process of defining all the features and characteristics of just about anything you can think of, from Starbucks’ cafe latte or Jimmy Dean’s sausage to Toyota’s Prius or HP’s DeskJet printer. Product design also includes the design of services, such as those provided by Salazar’s Beauty Salon, La Petite Academy Day Care Center, or FedEx. Consumers respond to a product’s appearance, color, texture, and performance. All of its features, summed up, are the product’s design. Someone came up with the idea of what this product will look like, taste like, or feel like so that it will appeal to you. This is the purpose of product design. Product design defines a product’s characteristics, such as its appearance, the materials it is made of, its dimensions and tolerances, and its performance standards.
Design of Services versus Goods The design elements discussed are typical of industries such as manufacturing and retail in which the product is tangible. For service industries, where the product is intangible, the design elements are equally important, but they have an added dimension.
FINMKT
Manufacturability The ease with which a product can be made.
Product design The process of defi ning all of the product’s characteristics.
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56 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Service design is unique in that both the service and the entire service concept are being designed. As with a tangible product, the service concept is based on meeting customer needs. The service design, however, adds the aesthetic and psychological benefits of the product. These are the service elements of the operation, such as promptness and friendliness. They also include the ambiance, image, and “feel-good” elements of the service. Consider the differences in service design of a company like Canyon Ranch, which provides a pampering retreat for health-conscious but overworked professionals, versus Gold’s Gym, which caters to young athletes. As with a tangible product, the preference for a service is based on its product design. Service design defines the characteristics of a service, such as its physical elements, and the sensual and psychological benefits it provides.
The Product Design Process Certain steps are common to the development of most product designs: idea development, product screening, preliminary design and testing, and final design. These steps are shown in Figure 3.1. Notice that the arrows show a circular process. Product designs are never finished, but are always updated with new ideas. Let’s look at these steps in more detail.
Idea Development All product designs begin with an idea. The idea might come from a product manager who spends time with customers and has a sense of what customers want, from an engineer with a flare for inventions, or from anyone else in the company. To remain competitive, companies must be innovative and bring out new products regularly. In some industries, the cycle of new product development is predictable. We see this in the auto industry, where new car models come out every year, or the retail industry, where new fashion is designed for every season.
In other industries, new product releases are less predictable but just as important. The Body Shop, retailer of plant-based skin care products, periodically comes up with new ideas for its product lines. The timing often has to do with the market for a product and whether sales are declining or continuing to grow.
Service design The process of establishing all the characteristics of the service, including physical, sensual, and psychological benefi ts.
FIGURE 3.1 Steps in the product design process
Idea Development
Product idea developed; sources can be customers,
competitors, or suppliers
Product Screening
Product idea evaluated; need to
consider operations, marketing, and
financial requirements
Preliminary Design & Testing
Product prototypes built, tested, and
refined
Final Design
Final product specifications
completed
The Product Design Process • 57
Ideas from Customers, Competitors, and Suppliers The first source of ideas is cus- tomers, the driving force in the design of goods and services. Marketing is a vital link between customers and product design. Market researchers collect customer information by studying customer buying patterns and using tools such as customer surveys and focus groups. Man- agement may love an idea, but if market analysis shows that customers do not like it, the idea is not viable. Analyzing customer preferences is an ongoing process; customer preferences next year may be quite different from what they are today. For this reason, the related process of forecasting future consumer preferences is important, though difficult.
Competitors are another source of ideas. A company learns by observing its competitors’ products and their success rate. This includes looking at product design, pricing strategy, and other aspects of the operation. Studying the practices of companies considered “best- in-class” and comparing the performance of one’s own company against theirs is called benchmarking. We can benchmark against a company in a completely different line of business and still learn from some aspect of that company’s operation. For example, Lands’ End has historically been well known for its successful catalog business, and companies considering catalog sales often benchmark against Lands’ End. Similarly, American Express is a company known for its success at resolving complaints, and it, too, is used for benchmarking.
The importance of benchmarking can be seen by IBM’s efforts to improve its dis- tribution system. In 1997, IBM found its distribution costs increasing while cus- tomers were expecting decreasing times from factory to delivery. It appeared that IBM’s supply chain practices were not keeping up with those of its competitors. To evaluate and solve this problem, IBM hired Mercer Management Consultants, who performed a large benchmarking study. IBM’s practices were compared to those of market leaders in the personal com- puter (PC) industry, as well as to the best logistics practices outside the technology area. The objective was to evaluate IBM’s current performance, that of companies considered best-in-class, and identify the gaps. Through the study, IBM discovered which specific costs exceeded industry benchmarks and which parts of the cycle time were excessively long. It also uncovered ways to simplify and reorganize its processes to gain efficiency. Based on findings from the benchmarking effort, IBM made changes in its operations. The results were reduced costs, improved delivery, and improved relationships with sup- pliers. IBM found benchmarking so beneficial that it performs similar types of studies on an ongoing basis.
Reverse Engineering Another way of using competitors’ ideas is to buy a competitor’s new product and study its design features. Using a process called reverse engineering, a company’s engineers carefully disassemble the product and analyze its parts and features. Ford Motor Company used this approach to design its Taurus model. Ford engineers disas- sembled and studied many other car models, such as BMW and Toyota, and adapted and combined their best features. Product design ideas are also generated by a company’s R&D (research and development) department, whose role is to develop product and process innovation.
Suppliers are another source of product design ideas. To remain competitive, more com- panies are developing partnering relationships with their suppliers to jointly satisfy the end customer. Suppliers participate in a program called early supplier involvement (ESI), which involves them in the early stages of product design.
MKT
Benchmarking The process of studying the practices of companies considered “best-in-class” and comparing your company’s performance against theirs.
Reverse engineering The process of disassembling a product to analyze its design features.
Early supplier involvement (ESI) Involving suppliers in the early stages of product design.
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58 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Product Screening After a product idea has been developed, it is evaluated to determine its likelihood of success. This is called product screening. The company’s product screening team evaluates the product design idea according to the needs of the major business functions. In their evaluation, executives from each function area may explore issues such as the following:
• Operations What are the production needs of the proposed new product, and how do they match our existing resources? Will we need new facilities and equipment? Do we have the labor skills to make the product? Can the material for production be readily obtained?
• Marketing What is the potential size of the market for the proposed new product? How much eff ort will be needed to develop a market for the product, and what is the long-term product potential?
• Finance The production of a new product is a financial investment like any other. What is the proposed new product’s financial potential, cost, and return on investment?
Unfortunately, there is no magic formula for deciding whether or not to pursue a particular product idea. Managerial skill and experience, however, are key. Companies generate new product ideas all the time, whether for a new brand of cereal or a new design for a car door. Approximately 80 percent of ideas do not make it past the screening stage. Management analyzes operations, marketing, and financial factors and then makes the final decision. Fortunately, we have decision-making tools to help us evaluate new product ideas. A popular one is break-even analysis, which we look at next.
Break-Even Analysis: A Tool for Product Screening Break-even analysis is a tech- nique that can be useful when evaluating a new product. It computes the quantity of goods a company needs to sell just to cover its costs, or break even, called the “break-even” point. When evaluating an idea for a new product, it is helpful to compute its break-even quantity. An assessment can then be made as to how difficult or easy it will be to cover costs and make a profit. A product with a break-even quantity that is hard to attain may not be a good product choice to pursue. Next we look at how to compute the break-even quantity.
The total cost of producing a product or service is the sum of its fixed and variable costs. A company incurs fixed costs regardless of how much it produces. Fixed costs include overhead, taxes, and insurance. For example, a company must pay for overhead even if it produces nothing. Variable costs, on the other hand, are costs that vary directly with the amount of units produced and include items such as direct materials and labor. Together, fixed and variable costs add up to total cost:
Total cost = F + (VC)Q
where F = fi xed cost VC = variable cost per unit Q = number of units sold
Figure 3.2 shows a graphical representation of these costs as well as the break-even quantity. Fixed cost is represented by a horizontal line as this cost is the same regardless of how much is produced. Adding variable cost to fixed cost creates total cost, represented by the diagonal line above fixed cost. When Q = 0, total cost is only equal to fixed cost. As Q increases, total cost increases through the variable cost component. The blue diagonal in the figure is revenue, the amount of money brought in from sales:
Revenue = (SP)Q
where SP = selling price per unit
FINMKT
Break-even analysis A technique used to compute the amount of goods a company would need to sell to cover its costs.
Fixed costs Costs a company incurs regardless of how much it produces.
Variable costs Costs that vary directly with the amount of units produced.
The Product Design Process • 59
When Q = 0, revenue is zero. As sales increase, so does revenue. Remember, however, that to cover all costs we have to sell the break-even amount. This is the quantity Q
BE , where
revenue equals total cost. If we sell below the break-even point, we incur a loss, since costs exceed revenue. To make a profit, we have to sell above the break-even point. Since revenue equals total cost at the break-even point, we can use the previous equations to compute the value of the break-even quantity:
Total cost = total revenue F + (VC)Q = (SP)Q
Solving for Q, we get the following equation:
QBE = F
SP − VC
Note that we could also find the break-even point by drawing the graph and finding where the total cost and revenue lines cross.
Break-even analysis is useful for more than just deciding between different products. It can be used to make other decisions, such as evaluating different processes or deciding whether the company should make or buy a product.
Preliminary Design and Testing Once a product idea has passed the screening stage, it is time to begin preliminary design and testing. At this stage design engineers translate general performance specifications into technical specifications. Prototypes are built and tested. Changes are made based on test results, and the process of revising, rebuilding a prototype, and testing continues. For service companies this may entail testing the offering on a small scale and working with customers to refine the service offering. Fast-food restaurants are known for this type of testing, where a new menu item may be tested in only one particular geographic area. Product refinement
QUANTITY (IN UNITS)
D O
LL A
R S (
$ )
Fixed Costs
Break-even Quantity
Total Cost
Total Revenue
Loss
Profit
QBE
FIGURE 3.2 Graphical approach to break-even analysis
60 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
can be time-consuming, and the company may want to hurry through this phase to rush the product to market. However, rushing creates the risk that all the “bugs” have not been worked out, which can prove very costly.
Final Design Following extensive design testing, the product moves to the final design stage. This is where final product specifications are drawn up. The final specifications are then trans- lated into specific processing instructions to manufacture the product, which include selecting equipment, outlining jobs that need to be performed, identifying specific materials needed and suppliers that will be used, and all the other aspects of organizing the process of product production.
Factors Impacting Product Design Here are some additional factors that need to be considered during the product design stage.
Design for Manufacture When we think of product design, we generally first think of how to please the customer. However, we also need to consider how easy or difficult it is to manufacture the prod- uct. Otherwise, we might have a great idea that is difficult or too costly to manufacture.
EXAMPLE 3.1 Computing the Break-even Quantity
Fred Boulder, owner of Sports Feet Manufacturing, is considering whether to produce a new line of footwear. Fred has considered the processing needs for the new product as well as the market potential. He has also estimated that the variable cost for each product manufactured and sold is $9 and the fi xed cost per year is $52,000.
(a) If Fred offers the footwear at a selling price of $25, how many pairs must he sell to break even?
(b) If Fred sells 4000 pairs at the $25 price, what will be the contribution to profi t?
• Solution: (a) To compute the break-even quantity:
Q = F
SP − VC
= $52,000
$25 − $9 = 3250 pairs
The break-even quantity is 3250 pairs. This is how much Fred would have to sell to cover costs.
(b) To compute the contribution to profi t with sales of 4000 pairs, we can go back to the relationship between cost and revenue:
Profit = total revenue − total cost = (SP)Q − 3F + (VC)Q4
Profit = $25(4000) − 3$52,000 + $9(4000)4 = $12,000
The contribution to profi t is $12,000 if Fred can sell 4000 pairs from his new line of footwear.
Factors Impacting Product Design • 61
Design for manufacture (DFM) is a series of guidelines that we should follow to produce a product easily and profitably. DFM guidelines focus on two issues:
1. Design simplifi cation means reducing the number of parts and features of the product whenever possible. A simpler product is easier to make, costs less, and gives higher quality.
2. Design standardization refers to the use of common and interchangeable parts. By using interchangeable parts, we can make a greater variety of products with less inventory and signifi cantly lower cost and provide greater fl exibility. Table 3.1 shows guidelines for DFM.
An example of the benefits of applying these rules is seen in Figure 3.3. We can see the progression in the design of a toolbox using the DFM approach. All of the pictures show a toolbox. However, the first design shown requires 20 parts. Through simplification and use of modular design, the number of parts required has been reduced to 2. It would certainly be much easier to make the product with 2 parts versus 20 parts. This means fewer chances for error, better quality, and lower costs due to shorter assembly time.
Product Life Cycle Another factor in product design is the stage of the life cycle of the product. Most products go through a series of stages of changing product demand called the product life cycle. There are typically four stages of the product life cycle: introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. These are shown in Figure 3.4.
Design for manufacture (DFM) A series of guidelines to follow in order to produce a product easily and profi tably.
Product life cycle A series of stages that products pass through in their lifetime, characterized by changing product demands over time.
TABLE 3.1 Guidelines for DFM
DFM Guidelines
1. Minimize parts.
2. Design parts for different products.
3. Use modular design.
4. Avoid tools.
5. Simplify operations.
48 mm
FIGURE 3.3 Progressive design of a toolbox using DFM
62 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Products in the introductory stage are not well defined, and neither is their market. Often all the “bugs” have not been worked out, and customers are uncertain about the prod- uct. In the growth stage, the product takes hold and both product and market continue to be refined. The third stage is that of maturity, where demand levels off and there are usually no design changes: the product is predictable at this stage and so is its market. Many prod- ucts, such as toothpaste, can stay in this stage for many years. Finally, there is a decline in demand because of new technology, better product design, or market saturation.
The first two stages of the life cycle can collectively be called the early stages because the product is still being improved and refined and the market is still in the process of being developed. The last two stages of the life cycle can be referred to as the later stages because here both the product and market are well defined.
Understanding the stages of the product life cycle is important for product design pur- poses, such as knowing at which stage to focus on design changes. Also, when considering a new product, the expected length of the life cycle is critical in order to estimate future profitability relative to the initial investment. The product life cycle can be quite short for certain products, as seen in the computer industry. For other products it can be extremely long, as in the aircraft industry. A few products, such as paper, pencils, nails, milk, sugar, and flour, do not go through a life cycle. However, almost all products do, and some may spend a long time in one stage.
Concurrent Engineering Concurrent engineering is an approach that brings many people together in the early phase of product design in order to simultaneously design the product and the process. This type of approach has been found to achieve a smooth transition from the design stage to actual production in a shorter amount of development time with improved quality results.
The old approach to product and process design was to first have the designers of the idea come up with the exact product characteristics. Once their design was complete they would pass it on to operations, who would then design the production process needed to produce the product. This was called the “over-the-wall” approach because the designers would throw their design “over-the-wall” to operations, who then had to decide how to pro- duce the product.
Concurrent engineering An approach that brings together multifunction teams in the early phase of product design in order to simultaneously design the product and the process.
TIME
D E
M A
N D
Introduction
Growth
Early Stages of Product Life Cycle
Later Stages of Product Life Cycle
Maturity
Decline
FIGURE 3.4 Stages of the product life cycle
Factors Impacting Product Design • 63
There are many problems with the old approach. First, it is very inefficient and costly. For example, there may be certain aspects of the product that are not critical for product suc- cess but are costly or difficult to manufacture, such as a dye color that is difficult to achieve. Since manufacturing does not understand which features are not critical, it may develop an unnecessarily costly production process with costs passed down to the customers. Because the designers do not know the cost of the added feature, they may not have the opportu- nity to change their design or may do so much later in the process, incurring additional costs. Concurrent engineering allows everyone to work together so these problems do not occur. Figure 3.5 shows the difference between the “over-the-wall” approach and concurrent engineering.
A second problem is that the “over-the-wall” approach takes a longer amount of time than when product and process design are performed concurrently. As you can see in Figure 3.5, when product and process design are done together, much of the work is done in parallel rather than in sequence. In today’s markets, new product introductions are expected to occur faster than ever. Companies do not have the luxury of enough time to follow a sequential approach and then work the “bugs” out. They may eventually get a great product, but by then the market may not be there!
The third problem is that the old approach does not create a team atmosphere, which is important in today’s work environment. Rather, it creates an atmosphere where each function views its role separately in a type of “us versus them” mentality. With the old approach, when the designers were finished with the designs, they considered their job done. If there were problems, each group blamed the other. With concurrent engineer- ing, the team is responsible for designing and getting the product to market. Team mem- bers continue working together to resolve problems with the product and improve the process.
MKT
(a) Sequential design: Walls between functional areas
(b) Concurrent design: Walls broken down
Design team
Customers Marketing personnel
Design engineer
Manufacturing engineer
Production personnel
Product concept
Performance specs
Design specs
Manufacturing specs
FIGURE 3.5 The first illustration shows sequential design with walls between functional areas. The second illustration shows concurrent design with walls broken down.
64 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Concurrent engineering has been especially enhanced through the use of computerized technologies, big data analytics, and digital manufacturing. Their use has been prevalent in aerospace and the auto industry.
Remanufacturing Remanufacturing is a concept that has been gaining increasing importance as our soci- ety becomes more environmentally conscious and focuses on recycling and eliminating waste. Remanufacturing uses components of old products in the production of new ones. It requires the disassembly, repair, or replacement of worn-out or obsolete components and modules. In addition to the environmental benefits, there are significant cost benefits because remanufactured products can be a fraction of the price of their new counterparts. Remanufacturing has been quite popular in the production of computers, televisions, and automobiles.
Process Selection So far we have discussed issues involved in product design. Though product design is important for a company, it cannot be considered separately from the selection of the process. In this section we will look at issues involved in process design. Then we will show how product design and process selection issues are linked together.
Types of Processes When you look at different types of companies, ranging from a small coffee shop to IBM, it may seem like there are hundreds of different types of processes. Some locations are small, like your local Starbucks, and some are very large, like a Ford Motor Company plant. Some produce standardized “off-the-shelf ” products, like Pepperidge Farm’s frozen chocolate cake, and some work with customers to customize their product, like cakes made to order by a gourmet bakery. Though there seem to be large differences between the processes of companies, many have certain processing characteristics in common. In this section we will divide these processes into groups with similar characteristics, allowing us to understand problems inherent with each type of process.
All processes can be grouped into two broad categories: intermittent operations and repetitive operations. These two categories differ in almost every way. Once we understand these differences, we can easily identify organizations based on the category of process they use.
Intermittent Operations Intermittent operations are used to produce a variety of products with different processing requirements in lower volumes. Examples are an auto body shop, a tool and die shop, or a healthcare facility. Because different products have dif- ferent processing needs, there is no standard route that all products take through the facil- ity. Instead, resources are grouped by function and the product is routed to each resource as needed. Think about a healthcare facility. Each patient, “the product,” is routed to different departments as needed. One patient may need to get an X-ray, go to the lab for blood work, and then go to the examining room. Another patient may need to go to the examining room and then to physical therapy.
To be able to produce products with different processing requirements, intermittent operations tend to be labor intensive rather than capital intensive. Workers need to be able to perform different tasks, depending on the processing needs of the products produced. Often we see skilled and semiskilled workers in this environment, with a fair amount of
Remanufacturing The concept of using components of old products in the production of new ones.
Intermittent operations Processes used to produce a variety of products with different processing requirements in lower volumes.
Process Selection • 65
worker discretion in performing their jobs. Workers need to be flexible and able to perform different tasks as needed for the different products. Equipment in this type of environment is more general-purpose to satisfy different processing requirements. Automation tends to be less common because automation is typically product-specific. Given that many products are being produced with different processing requirements, it is usually not cost efficient to invest in automation for only one product type. Finally, the volume of goods produced is directly tied to the number of customer orders.
Repetitive Operations Repetitive operations are used to produce one or a few stan- dardized products in high volume. Examples are a typical assembly line, cafeteria, or automatic car wash. Resources are organized in a line flow to efficiently accommodate pro- duction of the product. Note that in this environment it is possible to arrange resources in a line because there is only one type of product. This is directly the opposite of what we find with intermittent operations.
To efficiently produce a large volume of one type of product, these operations tend to be capital intensive rather than labor intensive. An example is “mass-production” operations, which usually have much invested in their facilities and equipment to provide a high degree of product consistency. Often these facilities rely on automation and technology to improve efficiency and increase output rather than on labor skill. The volume produced is usually based on a forecast of future demands rather than on direct customer orders.
The most common differences between intermittent and repetitive operations relate to two dimensions: (1) the amount of product volume produced, and (2) the degree of product standardization. Product volume can range from making a unique product one at a time to producing a large number of products at the same time. Product standardization refers to a lack of variety in a particular product. Examples of standardized products are white under- shirts, calculators, toasters, and television sets. The type of operation used, including equip- ment and labor, is quite different if a company produces one product at a time to customer specifications instead of mass production of one standardized product. Specific differences between intermittent and repetitive operations are shown in Table 3.2.
Repetitive operations Processes used to produce one or a few standardized products in high volume.
TABLE 3.2 Differences between Intermittent and Repetitive Operations
Decision Intermittent Operations Repetitive Operations
Product variety Great Small
Degree of standardization Low High
Organization of resources Grouped by function Line fl ow to accommodate processing needs
Path of products through facility
In a varied pattern, depending on product needs
Line fl ow
Factor driving production Customer orders Forecast of future demands
Critical resource Labor-intensive operation (worker skills important)
Capital-intensive operation (equipment automation, technology important)
Type of equipment General-purpose Specialized
Degree of automation Low High
Throughput time Longer Shorter
Work-in-process inventory More Less
66 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
The Continuum of Process Types Dividing processes into two fundamental categories of operations is helpful in our understanding of their general characteristics. To be more detailed, we can further divide each category according to product volume and degree of product standardization, as follows. Intermittent operations can be divided into project processes and batch processes. Repetitive operations can be divided into line processes and continuous processes. Figure 3.6 shows a continuum of process types. Next we look at what makes these processes different from each other.
• Project processes are used to make one-of-a-kind products exactly to customer spec- ifi cations. Th ese processes are used when there is high customization and low prod- uct volume, because each product is diff erent. Examples can be seen in construction, shipbuilding, medical procedures, creation of artwork, custom tailoring, and interior design. With project processes the customer is usually involved in deciding on the design of the product. Th e artistic baker you hired to bake a wedding cake to your specifi cations uses a project process.
• Batch processes are used to produce small quantities of products in groups or batches based on customer orders or product specifi cations. Th ey are also known as job shops. Th e volumes of each product produced are still small, and there can still be a high degree of customization. Examples can be seen in bakeries, education, and printing shops. Th e classes you are taking at the university use a batch process.
• Line processes are designed to produce a large volume of a standardized product for mass production. Th ey are also known as fl ow shops, fl ow lines, or assembly lines. With line processes the product that is produced is made in high volume with little or no customization. Th ink of a typical assembly line that produces everything from cars, computers, television sets, shoes, candy bars, even food items.
Project process A type of process used to make a one-at-a-time product exactly to customer specifi cations.
Batch process A type of process used to produce a small quantity of products in groups or batches based on customer orders or specifi cations.
Line process A type of process used to produce a large volume of a standardized product.
Source: Adapted from Robert H. Hayes and Steven C. Wheelwright, “Link Manufacturing Process and Product Life Cycles,” Harvard Business Review, January–February 1979, 133–140.
Product Volume
1. Project Process
(Custom job shop; Customer tailoring; Construction)
2. Batch Process
(Education classes; Bakery; Printing shop)
3. Line Processes
(Assembly lines; Cafeteria)
4. Continuous Processes
(Oil refinery; Water treatment plant)
Repetitive Operations
Intermittent Operations
P ro
d u ct
S ta
n d
ar d
iz at
io n
Low
High
Low
High
FIGURE 3.6 Types of processes based on product volume and product standardization
Designing Processes • 67
• Continuous processes operate continually to produce a very high volume of a fully standardized product. Examples include oil refineries, water treatment plants, and certain paint facilities. The products produced by continuous processes are usually in continual rather than discrete units, such as liquid or gas. They usually have a single input and a limited number of outputs. Also, these facilities are usually highly capital intensive and automated.
Note that both project and batch processes have low product volumes and offer customization. The difference is in the volume and degree of customization. Project processes are more extreme cases of intermittent operations compared to batch processes. Also, note that both line and continuous processes primarily produce large volumes of standardized products. Again, the difference is in the volume and degree of standardization. Continuous processes are more extreme cases of high volume and product standardization than are line processes.
Figure 3.6 positions these four process types along the diagonal to show the best process strategies relative to product volume and product customization. Companies whose process strategies do not fall along this diagonal may not have made the best process decisions. Bear in mind, however, that not all companies fit into only one of these categories: a company may use both batch and project processing to good advantage. For example, a bakery that produces breads, cakes, and pastries in batches may also bake and decorate cakes to order.
Designing Processes Now that we know about different types of processes, let’s look at a technique that can help with process design.
Process flow analysis is a technique used for evaluating a process in terms of the sequence of steps from inputs to outputs with the goal of improving its design. One of the most important tools in process flow analysis is a process flowchart. A process flowchart is used for viewing the sequence of steps involved in producing the product and the flow of the product through the process. It is useful for seeing the totality of the operation and for identifying potential problem areas.
There is no exact format for designing a flowchart. It can be very simple or highly detailed. The typical symbols used are arrows to represent flows, triangles to represent deci- sion points, inverted triangles to represent storage of goods, and rectangles as tasks. Let’s begin by looking at some elements used in developing a flowchart, as shown in Figure 3.7. Shown first, in Figure 3.7(a), are flows between stages in a simple multistage process, which is a process with multiple activities (“stages”). You can see that the arrows indicate a simple flow of materials between the different stages.
Often, multiple stages have storage areas or “buffers” between them for placement of either partially completed (work-in-process) or fully completed ( finished goods) inventory, shown in Figure 3.7(b). This enables the two stages to operate independently of each other. Otherwise, the first stage would have to produce a product at the same exact rate as the second stage. For example, let’s say that the first stage of a multistage process produces one product in 40 seconds and the second stage in 60 seconds. That means that for every unit produced the first stage would have to stop and wait 20 seconds for the second stage to finish its work. Because the capacity of the second stage is holding up the speed of the pro- cess, it is called a bottleneck. Now let’s see what happens if the first stage takes 60 seconds to produce a product and the second stage 40 seconds. In this case the first stage becomes the bottleneck, and the second stage has to wait 20 seconds to receive a product. Obviously, the best is for both stages to produce at the same rate, though this is often not possible. Inventory is then placed between the stages to even out differences in production capacity.
Continuous process A type of process that operates continually to produce a high volume of a fully standardized product.
Process fl ow analysis A technique used for evaluating a process in terms of the sequence of steps from inputs to outputs with the goal of improving its design.
Process fl owchart A chart showing the sequence of steps in producing the product or service.
Bottleneck Longest task in the process.
68 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Often stages in the production process can be performed in parallel, as shown in Figure 3.7(c) and (d). The two stages can produce different products (c) or the same product (d). Notice that in the latter case this would mean that the capacity of the stage performed in parallel has effectively been doubled.
Now let’s look at an illustration of a flowchart using Antonio’s Pizzeria as an example. Let’s say that Antonio produces three different styles of pizzas to satisfy different types of customers. First are cheese pizzas made with standard ingredients and a standard crust. They are the most popular items, and Antonio makes them ahead of time to ensure that they are always available upon demand. This is called a make-to-stock strategy. Second are pizzas that use a standard crust prepared ahead of time but are assembled based on specific customer requests. This is called an assemble-to-order strategy. Last are pizzas made to order based on specific customer requirements, allowing choices of different types of crusts and toppings. This is called a make-to-order strategy. We will look at these product strategies more closely later in this chapter. For now, let’s look at the flowcharts for
Make-to-stock strategy Produces standard products and services for immediate sale or delivery.
Assemble-to-order strategy Produces standard components that can be combined to customer specifi cations.
Make-to-order strategy Produces products to customer specifi cations after an order has been received.
(a) Multistage process
(b) Multistage process with buffers
(c) Parallel stages producing different products
(d) Parallel stages producing the same product
Work-in-process inventory
Finished goods
#1
Finished goods
#2
Finished goods
Stage 1
Stage 1
Stage 1
Stage 1
Stage 2
Stage 2
Stage 2
Stage 2 Stage 3
FIGURE 3.7 Elements of flowchart development
Process Performance Metrics • 69
the three processes in Figure 3.8. Notice that although the flowcharts are similar, they show customer interaction at different points in the process.
Process flowcharts can also be used to map the flow of the customer through the process and to identify potential problem areas. Figure 3.9 shows a flowchart for Antonio’s Pizzeria that includes the steps involved in placing and processing a customer order. The points in the process for potential problems are indicated. Management can then monitor these problem areas. The chart could be even more detailed, including information such as frequency of errors or approximate time to complete a task. As you can see, process flow- charts are very useful tools when designing and evaluating processes.
Process Performance Metrics An important way of ensuring that a process is functioning properly is to regularly measure its performance. Process performance metrics are measurements of different process characteristics that tell us how a process is performing. Just as accountants and finance managers use financial metrics, operations managers use process performance metrics to determine how a process is performing and how it is changing over time. There are many process performance metrics that focus on different aspects of the process. In this section we will look at some common metrics used by operations managers. These are summarized in Table 3.3.
Process performance metrics Measurements of different process characteristics that tell how a process is performing.
Make Dough
Prepare Crust
Assemble Pizza
Bake
Assemble Pizzas
Bake
Delivery
Customer Order
Finished goods
inventory “pizza”
(a) Make-to-stock strategy
Make Dough
Prepare Crust
Bake
Customer Order(b) Assemble-to-order strategy
Delivery
Delivery
Assemble Pizza
Make Dough
Prepare Crust
Customer Order
(c) Make-to-order strategy
Ingredients
Ingredients
Ingredients
Work-in-progress inventory
of “crust”
FIGURE 3.8 Flowcharts for different product strategies at Antonio’s Pizzeria
70 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
A basic process performance metric is throughput time, which is the average amount of time it takes a product to move through the system. This includes the time someone is working on the product as well as the waiting time. A lower throughput time means that more products can move through the system. One goal of process improve- ment is to reduce throughput time. For example, think about the time spent at your last doctor’s appointment. The total amount of time you spent at the facility, regardless of whether you were waiting, talking with the physician, or having lab work performed, is throughput time.
Throughput time Average amount of time it takes a product to move through the system.
Begin
Customer Enters and Waits to Place Order
Customer Places Order
Waits for Order
Order Arrives
End
Lost Sale Keep Waiting?
Long Wait?
Possible Problem
Area
No Yes
Lost Sale
Lost Sale
Keep Waiting?
Wait for New Order?
Order Correct?
Long Wait?
Possible Problem
Area
Possible Problem
Area
No
No No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes No
No
Yes
FIGURE 3.9 Process flowchart of customer flow at Antonio’s Pizzeria
Process Performance Metrics • 71
Quite possibly much of the time at your last doctor’s appointment was spent waiting. An important metric that measures how much wasted time exists in a process is process velocity. Process velocity is computed as a ratio of throughput time to value-added time:
Process velocity = throughput time
value-added time
where value-added time is the time spent actually working on the product. Notice that the closer this ratio is to 1.00, the lower the amount of time the product spends on non-value-adding activities (e.g., waiting). Again recall your last doctor’s appointment. What was the value-added time? What was the throughput time? Can you estimate the process velocity?
Another important metric is productivity, which is the ratio of outputs over inputs. Pro- ductivity measures how well a company converts its inputs to outputs. Productivity was discussed in detail in Chapter 2, so we will not repeat its computation here. Also important is utilization, which is the ratio of the time a resource is actually used versus the time it is available for use. Unlike productivity, which tends to focus on financial measures (e.g., dollars of output), utilization measures the actual time that a resource (e.g., equipment or labor) is being used. Last, efficiency is a metric that measures actual output relative to some standard of output. It tells us whether we are performing at, above, or below standard.
Process velocity Ratio of throughput time to value- added time.
Productivity Ratio of outputs over inputs.
Utilization Ratio of time a resource is used to time it is available for use.
Effi ciency Ratio of actual output to standard output.
TABLE 3.3 Process Performance Metrics
Measure Defi nition
1. Throughput time Average amount of time product takes to move through the system
2. Process velocity = throughput time
value-added time
A measure of wasted time in the system
3. Productivity = output
input A measure of how well a company uses its resources
4. Utilization = time a resource used
time a resource available The proportion of time a resource is actually used
5. Effi ciency = actual output
standard output
Measures performance relative to a standard
EXAMPLE 3.2 Measuring Process Performance
Frantz Title Company is analyzing its operation in an effort to improve performance. The follow- ing data have been collected:
It takes an average of 4 hours to process and close a title, with value-added time estimated at 30 minutes per title.
Each title offi cer is on payroll for 8 hours per day, though working 6 hours per day on average, accounting for lunches and breaks. Industry standard for labor utilization is 80 percent.
The company closes on 8 titles per day, with an industry standard of 10 titles per day for a comparable facility.
Determine process velocity, labor utilization, and effi ciency for the company. Can you draw any conclusions?
72 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Linking Product Design and Process Selection
Decisions concerning product design and process selection are directly linked and can- not be made independently of one another. The type of product a company produces defines the type of operation needed. The type of operation needed, in turn, defines many other aspects of the organization. This includes how a company competes in the marketplace (competitive priorities), the type of equipment and its arrangement in the facility, the type of organizational structure, and future types of products that can be produced by the facility. Table 3.4 summarizes some key decisions and how they differ for intermittent and repetitive types of operations. Next we look at each of these decision areas.
Product Design Decisions Intermittent and repetitive operations typically focus on producing products in different stages of the product life cycle. Intermittent operations focus on products in the early stage of the life cycle because facilities are general-purpose and can be adapted to the needs of the product. Because products in the early stage of the life cycle are still being refined, intermit- tent operations are ideally suited to them. Also, demand volumes for these products are still
MKT
• Before You Begin: When computing process performance metrics, be careful to make sure you use consistent units in the numerator and denominator of the equation you are using.
• Solution:
Process velocity = throughput time
value-added time =
4 hours�title 1 2 hour�title
= 8
Labor utilization = 6 hours�day 8 hours�day
= 0.75 or 75%
Efficiency = 8 titles�day
10 titles�day = 0.80 or 80%
A process velocity of 8 indicates that the amount of time spent on non-value-added activities is 8 times that of value-added activities. Also, labor utilization and effi ciency are both below standard.
Make sure that you understand the key issues in product design. Be familiar with the different stages of the product life cycle. Recall that products in the early stages of the life cycle are still being refi ned based on the needs of the market. This includes product characteristics and features. At this stage the market for the product has not yet been fully developed, and product volumes have not reached their peak. By contrast, products in the later stages of their life cycle have well-developed charac- teristics, and demand volumes for them are fairly stable.
Review the different types of processes and their charac- teristics. Recall that intermittent processes are designed to produce products with different processing requirements in smaller volumes. Repetitive operations, on the other hand, are designed for one or a few types of products produced in high volumes.
Next we discuss how product design and process selection decisions are interrelated.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
Linking Product Design and Process Selection • 73
uncertain, and intermittent operations are designed to focus on producing lower volumes of products with differing characteristics.
Once a product reaches the later stages of the life cycle, both its product features and its demand volume are predictable. As volumes are typically larger at this stage, a facility that is dedicated to producing a large volume of one type of product is best from both efficiency and cost perspectives. This is what a repetitive operation provides. Recall that repetitive operations are capital intensive, with much automation dedicated to the efficient produc- tion of one type of product. It would not be a good decision to invest such a large amount of resources for a product that is uncertain relative to its features or market. However, once a product is well defined with a sizable market, repetitive types of operations are a better business alternative. This is why repetitive operations tend to focus on products in the later stages of their life cycle.
The product focus of both types of operations has significant implications for a com- pany’s future product choices. Once a company has an intermittent operation in place, designed to produce a variety of products in low volumes, it is a poor strategic decision to pursue production of a highly standardized product in the same facility. The same holds true for attempting to produce a newly introduced product in a repetitive operation.
The differences between the two types of operations are great, including the way they are managed. Not understanding their differences is a mistake often made by companies. A company may be very successful at managing a repetitive operation that produces a stan- dardized product. Management may then see an opportunity involving products in the early stage of the life cycle. Not understanding the differences in the operational requirements, management may decide to produce this new product by applying their “know-how.” The results can prove disastrous.
The problems that can arise when a company does not understand the differences between intermittent and repetitive operations are illustrated by the experience of The Babcock & Wilcox Company in the late 1960s. B & W was very successful at producing fossil-fuel boilers, a stan- dardized product made via repetitive operation. Then the company decided to pursue production of nuclear pres- sure vessels, a new product in the early stages of its life cycle that required an intermittent operation. B & W saw the nuclear pressure vessels as a wave of the future. Because it was successful at M
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TABLE 3.4 Differences in Key Organizational Decisions for Different Types of Operations
Decision Intermittent Operations Repetitive Operations
Product design Early stage of product life cycle Later stage of product life cycle
Competitive priorities Delivery, fl exibility, and quality Cost and quality
Facility layout Resources grouped by function Resources arranged in a line
Product strategy Make-to-order/assemble-to- order
Make-to-stock
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74 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
producing boilers, the company believed it could apply those same skills to production of the new product. B & W began managing the production of nuclear pressure vessels—an intermittent operation—as if it were a repetitive operation. The company focused primarily on cost rather than delivery, did not give enough time for product refinement, and did not invest in labor skills necessary for a new product. Consequently, the venture failed, and the company almost went out of business. It was saved by its success in the production of boil- ers, to which it was able to return.
Competitive Priorities The decision of how a company will compete in the marketplace—its competitive priorities—is largely affected by the type of operation it has in place. Intermittent operations are typically less competitive on cost than repetitive operations. The reason is that repetitive operations mass-produce a large volume of one product. The cost of the product is spread over a large volume, allowing the company to offer that product at a comparatively lower price.
Think about the cost difference you would incur if you decided to buy a business suit “off the rack” from your local department store (produced by a repetitive operation) versus having it custom made by a tailor (an intermittent operation). Certainly a custom-made suit would cost considerably more. The same product produced by a repetitive operation typi- cally costs less than one made by an intermittent operation. However, intermittent opera- tions have their own advantages. Having a custom-made suit allows you to choose precisely what you want in style, color, texture, and fit. Also, if you were not satisfied, you could easily return it for adjustments and alterations. Intermittent operations compete more on flexibil- ity and delivery compared to continuous operations.
Today all organizations understand the importance of quality. However, the elements of quality that a company focuses on may be different depending on the type of opera- tion used. Repetitive operations provide greater consistency among products. The first and last products made in the day are almost identical. Intermittent operations, on the other hand, offer greater variety of features and workmanship not available with mass production.
It is important that companies understand the competitive priorities best suited for the type of process that they use. It would not be a good strategic decision for an intermittent operation to try to compete primarily on cost, as it would not be very successful. Similarly, the primary competitive priority for a repetitive operation should not be variety of features because this would take away from the efficiency of the process design.
Facility Layout Facility layout, covered in Chapter 10, is concerned with the arrangement of resources in a facility to enhance the production process. If resources are not arranged properly, a com- pany will have inefficiency and waste. The type of process a company uses directly affects the facility layout and the inherent problems encountered.
Intermittent operations resources are grouped based on similar processes or functions. There is no one typical product that is produced; rather, a large variety of items is produced in low volumes, each with its own unique processing needs. Since no one product justifies the dedication of an entire facility, resources are grouped based on their function. Products are then moved from resource to resource, based on their processing needs. The challenge with intermittent operations is to arrange the location of resources to maximize efficiency and minimize waste of movement. If the intermittent operation has not been designed properly, many products will be moved long distances. This type of movement adds nothing
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to the value of the product and contributes to waste. Any two work centers that have much movement between them should be placed close to one another. However, this often means that another work center will have to be moved out of the way. This can make the problem fairly challenging.
Intermittent operations are less efficient and have longer production times due to the nature of the layout. Material handling costs tend to be high and resource schedul- ing is a challenge. Intermittent operations are common in practice. Examples include a doctor’s office or a hospital. Departments are grouped based on their function, with examining rooms in one area, lab in another, and X-rays in a third. Patients are moved from one department to another based on their needs. Another example is a bakery that makes custom cakes and pastries. The work centers are set up to perform different functions, such as making different types of dough, different types of fillings, and dif- ferent types of icing and decorations. The product is routed to different workstations depending on the product requirements. Some cakes have the filling in the center (e.g., Boston cream pie), others only on top (e.g., sheet cake), and some have no filling at all (e.g., pound cake).
Repetitive operations have resources arranged in sequence to allow for efficient produc- tion of a standardized product. Since only one product or a few highly similar products are being produced, all resources are arranged to efficiently meet production needs. Examples are seen on an assembly line, in a cafeteria, or even at a car wash. Numerous products, from breakfast cereals to computers, are made using repetitive operations.
Though repetitive operations have faster processing rates, lower material handling costs, and greater efficiency than intermittent operations, they also have their shortcomings. Resources are highly specialized and the operation is inflexible relative to the market. This type of operation cannot respond rapidly to changes in market needs for the products or to changes in demand volume. The challenge is to arrange workstations in sequence and des- ignate the jobs that will be performed by each to produce the product in the most efficient way possible. Figure 3.10 illustrates the differences in facility layout between intermittent and repetitive operations.
(a) Intermittent Operations (resources grouped by function)
(b) Repetitive Operations (resources arranged in sequence)
inbound Work- station
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FIGURE 3.10 Facility layouts for intermittent versus repetitive operations
76 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Product and Service Strategy The type of operation a company has in place is directly related to its product and service strategy. As we learned earlier in this chapter in the example of Antonio’s Pizzeria, product and service strategies can be classified as make-to-stock, assemble-to-order, and make-to- order. These strategies differ by the length of their delivery lead time, which is the amount of time from when the order is received to when the product is delivered. These strategies also differ by the degree of product customization. Figure 3.11 illustrates these differences.
Make-to-stock is a strategy that produces finished products for immediate sale or delivery, in anticipation of demand. Companies using this strategy produce a standardized product in larger volumes. Typically, this strategy is seen in repetitive operations. Delivery lead time is the shortest, but the customer has no involvement in product design. Examples include off-the- shelf retail apparel, soft drinks, standard automotive parts, or airline flights. A hamburger patty at a fast-food restaurant such as McDonald’s or Burger King is made-to-stock, as is a taco at Taco Bell. As a customer you gain speed of delivery but lose the ability to customize the product.
Assemble-to-order strategy, also known as build-to-order, produces standard compo- nents that can be combined to customer specifications. Delivery time is longer than in the make-to-stock strategy but allows for some customization. Examples include computer systems, prefabricated furniture with choices of fabric colors, or vacation packages with standard options.
Make-to-order is a strategy used to produce products to customer specifications after an order has been received. The delivery time is longest, and product volumes are low. Exam- ples are custom-made clothing, custom-built homes, and customized professional services. Ordering a hamburger to your liking in a sit-down restaurant is another example of this strategy. This strategy is best for an intermittent operation.
Degree of Vertical Integration The larger the number of processes performed by a company in the chain from raw materi- als to product delivery, the higher the vertical integration. Vertical integration is a stra- tegic decision that should support the future growth direction of the company. Vertical
Make-to-Stock Processing Assembly Shipping Product
Inventory
Processing Product
Inventory ShippingAssembly
Product Inventory
Processing ShippingAssembly
Assemble-to-Order
Make-to-Order
Delivery Time
Delivery Time
Delivery Time
FIGURE 3.11 Product and service strategy options
Technology Decisions • 77
integration is a good strategic option when there are high volumes of a small variety of input materials, as is the case with repetitive operations. The reason is that the high volume and narrow variety of input material allow task specialization and cost justification. An example is Dole Food Company, which owns and controls most of its canned pineapple production from pineapple farms to the processing plant. The company has chosen to be vertically inte- grated so as to have greater control of costs and product quality.
It is typically not a good strategic decision to vertically integrate into specialized pro- cesses that provide inputs in small volumes. This would be the case for intermittent oper- ations. For example, let’s consider a bakery that makes a variety of different types of cakes and pies. Maybe the bakery purchases different fillings from different sources, such as apple pie filling from one company, chocolate filling from another, and cream filling from a third. If the company were to purchase production of the apple filling, it would not gain much strategically because it still relies on other suppliers. In this case, outsourcing may be a bet- ter choice. However, if the bakery shifted its production to making only apple pies, then the vertical integration might be a good choice.
In summary, vertical integration is typically a better strategic decision for repetitive operations. For intermittent operations it is generally a poor strategic choice.
Technology Decisions Advancements in technology have had the greatest impact on process design decisions. Technological advances have enabled companies to produce products faster, with better quality, at a lower cost. Many processes that were not imaginable only a few years ago have been made possible through technology. In this section we look at some of the greatest impacts technology has had on process design.
Information Technology Information technology (IT) is technology that enables storage, processing, and commu- nication of information within and between firms. It is also used to organize information to help managers with decision making. One type of information technology we are all familiar with is the Internet, which has had the greatest impact on the way companies conduct busi- ness. The Internet has linked trading partners—customers, buyers, and suppliers—and has created electronic commerce and the virtual marketplace.
Enterprise software is another powerful information technology, such as enterprise resource planning (ERP). These are large software programs used for planning and coordinating all resources throughout the entire enterprise. They allow data sharing and communication within and outside of the firm, enabling collaborative decision making. We will learn more about ERP in Chapter 14.
Other examples of IT include wireless communication technologies. We are all familiar with smart phones in our own lives. These technologies can also significantly improve business operations. For example, wireless homing devices and wearable computers are being used in warehouses to quickly guide workers to locations of goods. Wireless technologies enhanced by satellite transmission can rapidly transmit information from one source to another. For example, Wal-Mart uses company-owned satellites to automatically transmit point-of-sale data to computers at replenishment warehouses.
Global positioning systems (GPS) comprise another type of wireless technology that uses satellite transmission to communicate exact locations. GPS was originally developed by the Department of Defense in 1978 in order to help coordinate U.S. mil- itary operations. Today GPS has numerous business and individual applications. Large
Information technology (IT) Technology that enables storage, processing, and communication of information within and between fi rms.
Global positioning systems (GPS) A type of wireless technology that uses satellite transmission to communicate exact locations.
78 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
trucking companies use GPS technology to identify the exact locations of their vehicles. Farmers use GPS while riding on tractors to identify their exact location and apply the proper mix of nutrients to the correct plot of land. GPS capability is also available for personal use in smart phones, that can identify the person’s location and plot a route to a destination.
GPS has even found its use in adver- tising. For example, Nielsen Media Research, the firm known for rating television shows, is using GPS to test billboard advertising. The company has recruited a sample of adults with known demographic characteristics and is using GPS to monitor their minute-by-minute movements. This information will then be used to deter- mine the best placement for particular billboard advertisements targeted to the particular demographic group.
Radio frequency identification (RFID) is another wireless technology that promises to dramatically change business operations. RFID uses memory chips equipped with tiny radio antennas that can be attached to objects to transmit streams of data about the object. For example, RFID can be used to identify any product movement, reveal a missing product’s location, or have a shipment of products “announce” its arrival. Empty store shelves can signal that it is time for replenishment using RFID, or low inventories can signal the vendor that it is time to ship more products. RFID can also be used in the service environment, enabling innovative applications in locating and tracking people and assets. In fact, RFID has the potential to become the backbone of an infrastructure that can identify and track billions of individual objects all over the world, in real time.
A big adopter of RFID is Wal-Mart, which is investing heavily in RFID tags for its ware- houses. Wal-Mart went live with RFID in January 2005 after pilot testing them at distri- bution centers in Dallas. The company has already seen a return on its investment. For example, out-of-stock items that are RFID tagged are replenished three times faster than before. The company is also experimenting with adding sensor tags to perishable items. This way, for example, it can track how long a crate of bananas has been in transit and how fresh it is. In 2010 Wal-Mart added removable RFID tags on individual garments from jeans to underwear in order to tightly monitor inventory. In 2013 the company used more than 1.35 billion tags.
Automation An important decision in designing processes is whether the firm should automate, to what degree, and the type of automation that should be used. Automation is the use of machinery able to perform work without human operators and can involve a single machine or an entire factory. Although there are tremendous advantages to automation, there are also disadvantages. Companies need to consider these carefully before making the final decision.
Automation has the advantage of product consistency and ability to efficiently produce large volumes of product. With automated equipment, the last part made in the day will be exactly like the first one made. Because automation brings consistency, quality tends to be higher and easier to monitor. Production can flow uninterrupted throughout the day, with- out breaks for lunch, and there is no fatigue factor.
Radio frequency identifi cation (RFID) A wireless technology that uses memory chips equipped with radio antennas attached to objects used to transmit streams of data.
Automation Using machinery to perform work without human operators.
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However, automation does have its disadvantages. First, automation is typically very costly. These costs can be justified only by a high volume of production. Second, automa- tion is typically not flexible in accommodating product and process changes. Therefore, automation would probably not be good for products in the early stages of their life cycle or for products with short life cycles. Automation needs to be viewed as another capital investment decision: financial payback is critical. For all these reasons automation is typ- ically less present in intermittent than in repetitive operations.
Automated Material Handling In the past, the primary method of moving products was the conveyor in the form of belts or chains. Today’s material handling devices can read bar codes that tell them which location to go to and which are capable of moving in many directions. One such device is an automated guided vehicle (AGV), a small bat- tery-driven truck that moves materials from one location to the other. The AGV is not operated by a human and takes its directions from either an onboard or central com- puter. Even AGVs have become more sophisticated over time. The older models followed a cable that was installed under the floor. The newer models follow optical paths and can go anywhere there is aisle space, even avoiding piles of inventory in their way. One of the biggest advantages of AGVs is that they can pretty much go anywhere, as compared to traditional conveyor belts. Managers can use them to move materials wherever they are needed.
Another type of automated material handling includes automated storage and retrieval systems (AS/RSs), which are basically automated warehouses. AS/RSs use AGVs to move material and also computer-controlled racks and storage bins. The storage bins can typ- ically rotate like a carousel, so that the desired storage bin is available for either storage or retrieval. All this is controlled by a computer that keeps track of the exact location and quantity of each item and controls how much will be stored or retrieved in a particular area. AS/RSs can have great advantages over traditional warehouses. Though they are much more costly to operate, they are also much more efficient and accurate.
Flexible Manufacturing Systems (FMS) A flexible manufacturing system (FMS) is a type of automation system that combines the flexibility of intermittent operations with the efficiency of repetitive operations. As you can see by the definition, this is a system of automated machines, not just a single machine. An FMS consists of groups of computer- controlled machines and/or robots; automated handling devices for moving, loading, and unloading; and a computer-control center.
Based on the instructions from the computer-control center, parts and materials are automatically moved to appropriate machines or robots. The machines perform their tasks and then the parts are moved to the next set of machines, where the parts automatically are loaded and unloaded. The routes taken by each product are determined with the goal of maximizing the efficiency of the operation. Also, the FMS “knows” when one machine is down due to maintenance or if there is a backlog of work on a machine, and it will automat- ically route the materials to an available machine.
Flexible manufacturing systems are still fairly limited in the variety of products that they handle. Usually they can only produce similar products from the same family. For this reason, and because of their high cost, flexible manufacturing systems are not very widespread. A decision to use an FMS needs to be long-term and strategic, requiring a sizable financial outlay.
Robotics A robot in manufacturing is usually nothing more than a mechanical arm with a power supply and a computer-control mechanism that controls the movements of the arm. The arm can be used for many tasks, such as painting, welding, assembly, and loading and unloading of machines. Robots are excellent for physically dangerous jobs such as working
Flexible manufacturing system (FMS) A type of automated system that combines the fl exibility of intermittent operations with the effi ciency of repetitive operations.
80 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
with radioactive or toxic materials. Also, robots can work 24 hours a day to produce a highly consistent product.
Robots vary in their degree of sophistication. Some robots are fairly simple and follow a repetitive set of instructions. Other robots follow complex instructions, and some can be programmed to recognize objects and even make simple decisions. One type of automation similar to simple robotics is the numerically controlled (NC) machine. NC machines are controlled by a computer and can do a variety of tasks such as drilling, boring, or turning parts of different sizes and shapes. Factories of the future will most likely be composed of a number of robots and NC machines working together.
The use of robots has not been very widespread in U.S. firms. However, this is an area that can provide a competitive advantage for a company. Cost justification should consider not only reduction in labor costs but also the increased flexibility of operation and improvement in quality. The cost of robots can vary greatly and depends on the robots’ size and capabil- ities. Generally, it is best for a company to consider purchasing multiple robots or forms of automation to spread the costs of maintenance and software support. Also, the decision to purchase automation such as robotics needs to be a long-term strategic one that considers the totality of the production process. Otherwise, the company may have one robot working 24 hours a day and piling up inventory while it waits for the other processes to catch up.
One emerging technology is a new generation of intelligent assembly robots. Past robotic systems required huge, complex installations. These typically started at around $250,000 per assembly station, well above the cost of what most manufacturers could afford. The new gen- eration of robots costs a fraction of that price—at around $25,000 per robot. These robots can also be installed in less than a day. Suddenly, efficient, effective manufacturing automation is within the reach of even small companies and has the potential to change manufacturing.
Robots can be used to improve operations of almost any business— even literal “operations.” Increas- ingly, robots have been used to perform certain medical surgeries. For example, at New York Univer- sity doctors use minimally invasive robotic surgery to repair human heart valves. To perform the sur- gery, doctors use a robot arm to cut a 6-cm incision between the ribs and to place an endoscope that allows the surgeons to see what
they are doing. The robot arm is controlled through a complex robotic surgical system. The doctors, seated at a workstation, manipulate conventional surgical instruments while the robotic surgical system mirrors these movements on an ultra-fine scale. The advan- tage of robots is that they can perform delicately fine, small motor movements, have con- sistent finger dexterity, and require only tiny incisions. The prediction is that robots will become involved in performing many surgeries, such as eye surgery, neurosurgery, and cosmetic surgery.
E-manufacturing Today’s Web-based environment has created numerous opportunities for business collaboration. This includes collaboration in product and process design, where customers, buyers, and designers can share information and jointly make decisions in real time. Let’s look at some of the computer systems that can aid e-manufacturing.
Numerically controlled (NC) machine A machine controlled by a computer that can perform a variety of tasks.
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Computer-Aided Design (CAD) Computer-aided design (CAD) is a system that uses computer graphics to design new products. Gone are the days of drafting designs by hand. Today’s powerful desktop computers combined with graphics software allow the designer to create drawings on the computer screen and then manipulate them geometrically to be viewed from any angle. With CAD the designer can rotate the object, split it to view the inside, and magnify certain sections for closer view.
CAD can also perform other functions. Engineering design calculations can be per- formed to test the reactions of the design to stress and to evaluate strength of materials. This is called computer-aided engineering (CAE). For example, the designer can test how dif- ferent dimensions, tolerances, and materials respond to different conditions such as rough handling or high temperatures. The designer can use the computer to compare alterna- tive designs and determine the best design for a given set of conditions. The designer can also perform cost analysis on the design, evaluating the advantages of different types of materials.
Another advantage of CAD is that it can be linked to manufacturing. We have already discussed the importance of linking product design to process selection. Through CAD this integration is made easy. Computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) is the process of controlling manufacturing through computers. Since the product designs are stored in the computer database, the equipment and tools needed can easily be simulated to match up with the processing needs. Efficiencies of various machine choices and different process alternatives can be computed.
CAD can dramatically increase the speed and flexibility of the design process. Designs can be made on the computer screen and printed out when desired. Electronic versions can be shared by many members of the organization for their input. Also, elec- tronic versions can be archived and compared to future versions. The designer can cat- alog features based on their characteristics—a very valuable feature. As future product designs are being considered, the designer can quickly retrieve certain features from past designs and test them for inclusion in the design being currently developed. Also, by using collaborative product commerce (CPC) software, sharing designs with suppliers is possible.
Computer-Integrated Manufacturing Computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM) is a term used to describe the integration of product design, process planning, and manufac- turing using an integrated computer system. Computer-integrated manufacturing systems vary greatly in their complexity. Simple systems might integrate computer-aided design (CAD) with some numerically controlled machines (NC machines). A complex system, on the other hand, might integrate purchasing, scheduling, inventory control, and distribution, in addition to the other areas of product design.
The key element of CIM is the integration of different parts of the operation process to achieve greater responsiveness and flexibility. The purpose of CIM is to improve how quickly the company can respond to customer needs in terms of product design and avail- ability, as well as quality and productivity, and to improve overall efficiency.
3D Printing 3D Printing is three-dimensional printing technology that is similar to ink-jet and laser-jet printers. It deposits materials like plastics and metals in thick layers one atop the other. The process gradually builds up one layer at a time until the object is produced. This literally means that a solid object can be created from a software design with just a click of a button. This technology makes desktop manufacturing possible, and it requires no economies of scale. Just a few years ago, three-dimensional printers were considered useful tools in prototype studios. Today they are rapidly becoming essential machine tools on the production line and changing manufacturing. Just consider what opportunities that offers in manufacturing flexibility.
Computer-aided design (CAD) A system that uses computer graphics to design new products.
Computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM) A term used to describe the integration of product design, process planning, and manufacturing using an integrated computer system.
3D Printing 3D Printing is three-dimensional printing technology that deposits materials like plastics and metals in thick layers one atop the other with the process gradually building up one layer at a time until the object is produced.
82 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Designing Services Most of the issues discussed in this chapter are as applicable to service organizations as they are to manufacturing. However, there are issues unique to services that pose special challenges for service design.
Most of us think we know what is needed to run a good service organization. After all, we encounter services almost every day, at banks, fast-food restaurants, doctor’s offices, barber shops, grocery stores, and even the university. We have all experienced poor service quality and would gladly offer advice as to how we think it could be better. However, there are some very important features of services you may not have thought about. Let’s see what they are.
How Are Services Different from Manufacturing? In Chapter 1 we learned about two basic features that make service organizations differ- ent from manufacturing. These are the intangibility of the product produced and the high degree of customer contact. Next we briefly review these and see how they impact service design.
Intangible Product Service organizations produce an intangible product, which cannot be touched or seen. It cannot be stored in inventory for later use or traded in for another model. The service produced is experienced by the customer. The design of the service needs to specify exactly what the customer is supposed to experience. For example, it may be relaxation, comfort, and pampering, such as offered by Canyon Ranch Spa. It may be efficiency and speed, such as offered by FedEx. Defining the customer experience is part of the service design. It requires identifying precisely what the customer is going to feel and think and consequently how he or she is going to behave. This is not always as easy as it might seem.
The experience of the customer is directly related to customer expectations. For services to be successful, the customer experience needs to meet or even exceed these expectations. However, customer expectations can greatly vary depending on the type of customer and customer demographic, including customer age, gender, background, and knowledge. The expectation is developed through product marketing to a particular mar- ket segment. It is highly important in designing the service to identify the target market the service is geared to and to create the correct expectation.
High Degree of Customer Contact Service organizations typically have a high degree of customer contact. The customer is often present while the service is being delivered, such as at a theater, restaurant, or bank. Also, the contact between the cus- tomer and service provider is often the service itself, such as what you experience at a doctor’s office. For a service to be successful, this contact needs to be a positive experi- ence for the customer, and this depends greatly on the service provider.
Unfortunately, since services often have multiple service providers, there can be great variation in the type of service delivered. We have all had experiences where the service of one organization varied greatly depending on the skills of the service provider. This could be a hairdresser at a hair salon, a food server at a restaurant, or a teller at a bank. We have all heard people say something similar to “I often have dinner at Aussie Steak Grill and I insist that Jenny be my server.” Similarly, someone might say, “I go to Olentangy Family Physicians, but I won’t see Dr. Jekyl because he is rude and unfriendly.” For a service to be successful, the service experience must be consistent at all times. This requires close quality management to ensure high consistency and reliability. Many of the procedures used in manufacturing to
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ensure high quality, such as standardization and simplification, are used in services as well. Fast-food restaurants such as McDonald’s and Wendy’s are known for their consistency. The same is true of hotel chains such as Holiday Inn and Embassy Suites.
To ensure that the service contact is a positive experience for the customer, employees of the service need to have training that encompasses a great array of skills that includes courtesy, friendliness, and overall disposition. The service company also needs to structure the proper incentive system to motivate employees.
How Are Services Classified? We can classify service organizations based on similar characteristics in order to understand them better. A common way to classify services is based on the degree of customer contact. This is illustrated in Figure 3.12.
Services with low customer contact are called “quasi-manufacturing.” These firms have a high degree of service standardization, have higher sales volumes, and are typically less labor intensive. These firms have almost no face-to-face contact with customers and are in many ways similar to manufacturing operations. Examples include warehouses, distribution centers, environmental testing laboratories, and back-office operations.
Services with high customer contact are called “pure services.” These firms have high face- to-face contact and are highly labor intensive. There is low product standardization, as each customer has unique requirements, and sales volumes tend to be low. Pure service firms have an environment of lowest system efficiency compared to other service firms. The reason is
Restaurants Healthcare facilities Schools
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Hospitals
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High Low
Low Degree of Customer Contact
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84 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
that the service is typically customized. As each customer has unique requirements, there is less predictability in managing the operating environment. Examples include hospitals, restaurants, barber shops, and beauty salons.
Services that combine elements of both of these extremes are called “mixed services.” Some parts of their operation have face-to-face customer contact, though others do not. They include offices, banks, and insurance firms.
It is important to understand that companies with different levels of customer contact need to be managed differently. These differences also apply to high-contact and low-contact areas of firms. For example, companies should specifically hire people-oriented workers for high-contact areas, whereas technical skills are more important in low-contact areas. Also, noncontact activities should be partitioned from the customer to avoid disruptions in the flow of work. Noncontact areas can be managed borrowing tools from manufacturing, whereas high-contact areas need to focus on accommodating the customer.
The Service Package The really successful service organizations do not happen spontaneously. They are carefully thought out and planned, down to every employee action. To design a successful service, we must first start with a service concept or idea, which needs to be very comprehensive. We have learned that when purchasing a service, customers actually buy a service package or service bundle. The service package is a grouping of features that are purchased together as part of the service. There are three elements of the service package: (1) the physical goods, (2) the sensual benefits, and (3) the psychological benefits. The physical goods of the service are the tangible aspects of the service that we receive, or are in contact with, during service delivery. In a fine-dining restaurant the physical goods are the food consumed, as well as facilities such as comfortable tables and chairs, tablecloths, and fine china. The sensual benefits are the sights, smell, and sounds of the experience—all the items we experience through our senses. Finally, the psychological benefits include the status, comfort, and well- being provided by the experience.
It is highly important that the design of the service specifically identify every aspect of the service package. When designing the service, we should not focus only on the tangible aspects; it is often the sensual and psychological benefits that are the deciding factors in the success of the service. The service package needs to be designed to precisely meet the expectations of the target customer group.
Once the service package is identified, it can then be translated into a design using a process that is not too different from the one used in manufacturing. Details of the service, such as quality standards and employee training, can later be defined in keeping with the service concept. The service providers—the individuals who come in direct contact with the customers—must be trained and motivated to precisely understand and satisfy customer expectations.
Imagine going to a fast-food restaurant and having the server take his time asking you how you want your hamburger cooked and precisely what condiments you would like to accompany it, then waiting a long time to receive your food. Similarly, imagine going to an expensive hair salon and having the staff rush you through the process. In both cases, you as the customer would not be satisfied because the service delivery did not meet your expectations. Next time you might choose to go somewhere else. These examples illustrate what happens when there is a mismatch between the service concept and the service delivery.
Differing Service Designs There is no one model of successful service design. The design selected should support the company’s service concept and provide the features of the service package that the target customers want. Different service designs have proved successful in different environments.
Service package A grouping of physical, sensual, and psychological benefi ts that are purchased together as part of the service.
MKT
Designing Services • 85
In this section we look at three very different service designs that have worked well for the companies that adopted them.
Substitute Technology for People Substituting technology for people is an approach to service design that was advocated some years ago by Theodore Levitt.1 Levitt argued that one way to reduce the uncertainty of service delivery is to use technology to develop a production-line approach to services. One of the most successful companies to use this approach is McDonald’s. Technology has been substituted wherever possible to provide product consistency and take the guesswork away from employees. Some examples of the use of technology include the following:
• Buzzers and lights are used to signal cooking time for frying perfect french fries.
• Th e size of the french fryer is designed to produce the correct amount of fries.
• Th e french fry scoop is the perfect size to fi ll an order.
• “Raw materials” are received in usable form (e.g., hamburger patties are premade; pickles and tomatoes are presliced; french fries are precut).
• Th ere are 49 steps for producing perfect french fries.
• Steps for producing the perfect hamburger are detailed and specifi c.
• Products have different-colored wrappings for easy identification.
In addition to the use of technology in the production of the product, there is consistency in facilities and a painstaking focus on cleanliness. For example, the production process at McDonald’s is not left to the discretion of the workers. Rather, their job is to follow the tech- nology and preset processes.
Today we are all accustomed to the product consistency, speed of delivery, and predict- ability that are a feature of most fast-food restaurants. However, this concept was very new in the early 1970s. It is this approach to services that has enabled McDonald’s to establish its global reputation.
Substituting technology for people is an approach we have seen over the years in many service industries. For example, almost all gas stations have reduced the num- ber of cashiers and attendants with the advent of credit cards at self-serve pumps. Also, many hospitals are using technology to monitor patient heart rate and blood pressure without relying exclusively on nurses. As technologies develop in different service indus- tries, we will continue to see an ever-increasing reliance on its use and an increase in the elimination of workers.
Get the Customer Involved A different approach to service design was proposed by C. H. Lovelock and R. F. Young.2 Their idea was to take advantage of the customer’s presence during the delivery of the service and have him or her become an active participant. This is different from traditional service designs where the customer passively waits for service employees to deliver the service. Lovelock and Young proposed that since the customers are already there, “get them involved.”
We have all seen a large increase in the self-serve areas of many service firms. Traditional salad bars have led to self-serve food buffets of every type. Many fast-food restaurants no longer fill customer drink orders, but have the customers serve themselves. Grocery stores allow customers to select and package baked goods on their own. Many hotels provide in-room coffee makers and prepackaged coffee, allowing customers to make coffee at their convenience.
1Th eodore Levitt, “Production Line Approach to Services,” Harvard Business Review, 50, 5 (September–October
1972), 41–52. 2C.H. Lovelock and R.F. Young, “Look to Customers to Increase Productivity,” Harvard Business Review, 57, 2,
168–178.
86 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
This type of approach has a number of advantages. First, it takes a large burden away from the service provider. The delivery of the service is made faster, and costs are reduced due to lowered staffing requirements. Second, this approach empowers customers and gives them a greater sense of control in terms of getting what they want, which provides a great deal of customer convenience and increases satisfaction. However, since different types of customers have different preferences, many facilities are finding that it is best to offer full-service and self-service options. For example, many breakfast bars still allow a request for eggs cooked and served to order, and most gas stations still offer some full- service pumps.
High Customer Attention Approach A third approach to service design is providing a high level of customer attention. This is in direct contrast to the first two approaches. The first approach discussed automates the service and makes it more like manufacturing. The second approach requires greater participation and responsibility from the customer. The third approach is different from the first two in that it does not standardize the service and does not get the customer involved. Rather, it is based on customizing the service to the needs unique to each customer and having the customer be the passive and pampered recipient of the service. This approach relies on developing a personal relationship with each customer and giving the customer precisely what he or she wants.
There are a number of examples of this type of approach. Nordstrom, Inc. department stores is recognized in the retail industry for its attention to customer service. Salespeople typically know their customers by name and keep a record of their preferences. Returns are handled without question, and the customer is always right. Another example of this is a midwestern grocer called Dorothy Lane Market. Dorothy Lane prides itself on its ability to provide unique cuts of specialty meats precisely to customer order. As at Nordstrom, a list is kept of primary customers and their preferences. Customers are notified of special pur- chases, such as unique wines, specialty chocolates, and special cuts of meat.
Whereas the first two approaches to service design result in lowered service costs, this third approach is geared toward customers who are prepared to pay a higher amount for the services they receive. As you can see, different approaches are meant to serve different types of customers. The design chosen needs to support the specific service concept of the company.
Product Design and Process Selection Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Product design decisions are strategic in nature. The features and characteristics of a prod- uct need to support the overall strategic direction of the company. In turn, product design decisions directly dictate the type of process selected. They determine the types of facilities that will be needed to produce the product, types of machines, worker skills, degree of auto- mation, and other decisions. Most companies continually design new products. The design of these new products has to take into account the type of processes the company has; oth- erwise facilities may not be available to produce the new product design. Therefore, product design and process selection decisions are directly tied to each other.
Product design and process selection decisions are further linked to all other areas of operations management. They are linked to decisions such as the level of capacity needed (Chapter 9), degree of quality (Chapters 5 and 6), layout (Chapter 10) and location of facilities (Chapter 9), types of workers (Chapter 11), and many others. As we go through this book, we will see how product design and process selection specifically impact other operations decisions.
Designing Services • 87
Product Design and Process Selection Across the Organization
The strategic and financial impact of product design and process selection mandates that operations work closely with other organizational functions to make these decisions. Oper- ations is an integral part of these decisions because it understands issues of production, ease of fabrication, productivity, and quality. Now let’s see how the other organizational functions are involved with product design and process selection.
Marketing is impacted by product design issues because they determine the types of products that will be produced and affect marketing’s ability to sell them. Marketing’s input is critical at this stage because marketing is the function that interfaces with customers and understands the types of product characteristics customers want. It is marketing that can provide operations with information on customer preferences, competition, and future trends.
Process selection decisions impact marketing as well. They typically require large capital outlays, and once made, they are typically difficult to change and are in place for a long time. Process decisions affect the types of future products that the company can produce. Because of this, marketing needs to be closely involved in ensuring that the process can meet market demands for many years to come.
Finance plays an integral role in product design and process selection issues because these decisions require large financial outlays. Finance needs to be a part of these deci- sions to evaluate the financial impact on the company. Process selection decisions should be viewed as any other financial investment, with risks and rewards. Finance must ensure that the trade-off between the risks and rewards is acceptable. Also, it is up to finance to provide the capital needed for this investment and to balance that against future capital requirements.
Information systems needs to be part of the process selection decisions. Operations deci- sions, such as forecasting, purchasing, scheduling, and inventory control, differ based on the type of operation the company has. Information systems will be quite different for intermittent versus repetitive operations. Therefore, the information system has to be developed to match the needs of the production process being planned.
Human resources provides important input to process selection decisions because it is the function directly responsible for hiring employees. If special labor skills are needed in the process of production, human resources needs to be able to provide information on the available labor pool. The two types of operations discussed, intermittent and repetitive, typi- cally require very different labor skills. Intermittent operations usually require higher-skilled labor than repetitive operations. Human resources needs to understand the specific skills that are needed.
Purchasing works closely with suppliers to get the needed parts and raw materials at a favorable price. It is aware of product and material availability, scarcity, and price. Often cer- tain materials or components can use less expensive substitutes if they are designed properly. For this reason it is important to have purchasing involved in product design issues from the very beginning.
Engineering needs to be an integral part of the product design and process selection decisions because this is the function that understands product measurement, tolerances, strength of materials, and specific equipment needs. There can be many product design ideas, but it is up to engineering to evaluate their manufacturability.
As you can see, product design and process selection issues involve many functions and affect the entire organization. For this reason, product design and process selection deci- sions need to be made using a team effort, with all these functions working closely together to come up with a product plan that is best for the company.
MKT
FIN
MIS
HRM
88 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Changes in product design can signifi cantly improve envi-ronmental and social sustainability performance. These changes can include the use of materials, sourcing, and dis- posal, as well as process modifi cations that can reduce pollu- tion. Sometimes these changes can be highly innovative. Other times they can be simple changes that the company simply overlooked. A good example is Nike Air basketball sneakers with their signature air bubble in the heel. The com- pany only recently became aware that the pocket of the sneak- ers contained a gas known as sulphur hexafl uoride, or SF6, which is actually a greenhouse gas. As part of Nike’s sustain- ability initiative, Nike replaced SF6 with nitrogen, which breaks up more readily upon release and is not a greenhouse gas. This small change did not alter consumer perception of the product, nor cost the company money, but it offered a signifi - cant environmental impact.
Companies can also work on product design changes that can be highly innovative and bring sustainability leadership to the fi rm. An excellent example is offered by PepsiCo, the world’s second largest food and beverage company. PepsiCo has worked to lower the environmental impact associated with petroleum-derived beverage bottles, which are composed of
nonrenewable fossil fuels and carry huge environmental costs. In fact, it is these plastic bottles that litter public spaces and contribute the fl oating “garbage patches” that plague the world’s oceans. First, the company lowered the amount of plastic used in its Aquafi na water bottles. It then developed a 100% recycled bottle for its Naked Juice line in 2009. Now, the company’s R&D team is working on designing and mass-producing recyclable bottles completely made from renew- able materials. The research team is working on developing bottles using wastes from its food businesses, including orange peels, potato peels, and oat hulls. They have already designed the material and have considered how it would match the cur- rent process design of PepsiCo, as changes in process design would require major capital investments. The plant-based bottles can be blown, fi lled, and labeled the same way as tradi- tional plastic ones, and would feel the same in the hands of the consumer. The company is continuing testing before mass- producing the bottles on a large scale and tracking the environ- mental impacts of the bottles to account for the environmental savings. Such a breakthrough innovation would also position PepsiCo as the leader in the entire plastic packaging industry and the premier environmentally responsible brand. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Chapter Highlights 1 Product design is the process of deciding on the
unique characteristics and features of a company’s product. Process selection, on the other hand, is the development of the process necessary to produce the product being designed. Product design is a big strate- gic decision for a company, because the design of the product defines who the company’s customers will be, as well as the company’s image, its competition, and its overall future growth.
2 Steps in product design include idea development, product screening, preliminary design and testing, and final design. A useful tool at the product-screening stage is break-even analysis.
3 Break-even analysis is a technique used to compute the amount of goods that have to be sold just to cover costs.
4 Production processes can be divided into two broad categories: intermittent and repetitive operations. Intermittent operations are used when products with
In today’s competitive environment, companies typically have a very short window of opportunity to enter the mar- ket with a new product design. Most companies are aware that they must get to the market early with an innovative product before their competitors. This requires the support of the entire supply chain, where suppliers must be involved in the product design process. We have already learned about the time-saving advantages of concurrent engineering and early supplier involvement. These require a carefully integrated supply chain that allows collaboration and simultaneous product design between suppliers and manufacturers.
Another important supply chain link relates to the technol- ogy decisions the fi rm makes. As companies acquire new tech- nologies, they must consider how these technologies will be aligned with the technologies used by their supply chain part- ners. When an entire supply chain uses technologies that are compatible, great strides can be made in the effi ciency of pro- duction and movement of goods. Consider that Wal-Mart has mandated that its top 300 suppliers must put RFID tags on all their shipping crates and pallets. Although RFID tags are expen- sive, this move has already incurred huge savings by increasing effi ciency, better tracking of products, and reducing inventory. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
Formula Review • 89
different characteristics are being produced in smaller volumes. These types of operations tend to organize their resources by grouping similar processes together and having the products routed through the facility based on their needs. Repetitive operations are used when one or a few similar products are produced in high volume. These operations arrange resources in sequence to allow for an efficient buildup of the product. Both intermittent and repetitive operations have their advantages and disadvantages. Intermit- tent operations provide great flexibility but have high material handling costs and challenge scheduling resources. Repetitive operations are highly efficient but inflexible.
5 A process flowchart is used for viewing the flow of the processes involved in producing the product. It is a very useful tool for seeing the totality of the operation and for identifying potential problem areas. There is no exact format for designing the chart. The flowchart can be very simple or very detailed.
6 Process performance metrics are measurements of different process characteristics that tell us how a pro- cess is performing and changing over time. There are many process performance metrics, each providing
different information about the process. Some of the most frequently used process performance metrics are throughput time, process velocity, productivity, utiliza- tion, and efficiency.
7 Product design and process selection decisions are linked. The type of operation a company has in place is defined by the product the company produces. The type of operation then affects other organizational decisions, such as competitive priorities, facility layout, and degree of vertical integration.
8 Different types of technologies can significantly enhance product and process design. These include automation, automated material handling devices, computer-aided design (CAD), numerically con- trolled (NC) equipment, flexible manufacturing sys- tems (FMS), and computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM).
9 Designing services has more complexities than manufacturing because services produce an intan- gible product and typically have a high degree of customer contact. Different service designs include substituting technology for people, getting the cus- tomer involved, and paying great attention to the customer.
Key Terms
Formula Review
manufacturability 55
product design 55
service design 56
benchmarking 57
reverse engineering 57
early supplier involvement (ESI) 57
break-even analysis 58
fi xed costs 58
variable costs 58
design for manufacture (DFM) 61
product life cycle 61
concurrent engineering 62
remanufacturing 64
intermittent operations 64
repetitive operations 65
project process 66
batch process 66
line process 66
continuous process 67
process fl ow analysis 67
process fl owchart 67
bottleneck 67
make-to-stock strategy 68
assemble-to-order strategy 68
make-to-order strategy 68
process performance metrics 69
throughput time 70
process velocity 71
productivity 71
utilization 71
effi ciency 71
information technology (IT) 77
global positioning systems (GPS) 77
radio frequency identifi cation (RFID) 78
automation 78
fl exible manufacturing system (FMS) 79
numerically controlled (NC) machine 80
computer-aided design (CAD) 81
computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM) 81
service package 84
1. Total cost = fixed cost + variable cost
2. Revenue = (SP)Q
3. F + (VC)Q = (SP)Q
4. QBE = F
SP − VC
90 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
5. Process velocity = throughput time
value-added time
6. Utilization = time a resource used
time a resource available
7. Efficiency = actual output
standard output
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Joe Jenkins, owner of Jenkins Manufacturing, is consid- ering whether to produce a new product. He has con- sidered the operations requirements for the product as well as the market potential. Joe estimates the fi xed costs per year to be $40,000 and variable costs for each unit produced to be $50.
(a) If Joe sells the product at a price of $70, how many units of product does he have to sell in order to break even? Use both the algebraic and graphical approaches.
(b) If Joe sells 3000 units at the product price of $70, what will be his contribution to profit?
Before You Begin: To solve this problem you must fi rst use the break-even formula. Th en to compute the contribution to profi t, recall that profi t is computed as
Profit = total revenue − total cost
Solution: (a) To compute the break-even quantity, we follow the
equation and substitute the appropriate numerical values:
Q = F
SP − VC =
$40,000
$70 − $50 = 2000 units
The break-even quantity is 2000 units. This is how much Joe would have to sell in order to cover costs.
Graphically, we can obtain the same result. Th is is shown in the fi gure.
Fixed Costs
Break-even Quantity
Total Cost
Total Revenue
Loss
2000
40,000
QBE QUANTITY (IN UNITS)
D O
LL A
R S (
$ )
(b) To compute the contribution to profit with sales of 3000 units:
Profit = total revenue − total cost = (SP)Q − 3F + (VC)Q4
Now we can substitute numerical values:
Profit = $70(3000) − 3$40,000 + $50(3000)4 = $20,000
The contribution to profit is $20,000 if Joe can sell 3000 units of product.
PROBLEM 2
Joe Jenkins, owner of Jenkins Manufacturing, has decided to produce the new product discussed in Problem 1. Th e product can be produced with the current equipment in place. However, Joe is considering the purchase of new equipment that would produce the product more effi ciently. Joe’s fi xed cost would be raised to $60,000 per year, but the variable cost would be reduced to $25 per unit. Joe still plans to sell the product at $70 per unit.
Should Joe produce the new product with the new or current equipment described in Problem 1? Specify the volume of demand for which you would choose each process.
Solution: As we mentioned in the chapter, break-even analysis can also be used to evaluate diff erent processes. Here we show how this can be done. To decide which
Discussion Questions • 91
process to use, we fi rst need to compute the point of indiff erence between the two processes. Th e point of indiff erence is where the cost of the two processes is equal. If we label the current equipment A and the new equipment B, the point of indiff erence occurs when the costs for each process are equal. Th is is shown as
Total costEquipment A = total costEquipment B
Again, total cost is the sum of fi xed and variable costs:
$40,000 + $50 Q = $60,000 + $25 Q $25 Q = 20,000
Q = 800 units produced
Q = 800 units is the point of indiff erence, that is, the point where the cost of either equipment is the same. If demand is expected to be less than 800 units, equip- ment A should be used given that it has a lower fi xed cost. If demand is expected to be greater than 800 units, equipment B should be used given that it has a lower variable cost. Th is is shown graphically.
PROBLEM 3
Zelle’s Dry Cleaners has collected the following data for its processing of dress shirts:
It takes an average of 3 1 2 hours to dry clean and press
a dress shirt, with value-added time estimated at 110 minutes per shirt.
Workers are paid for a 7-hour workday and work 5
1 2 hours per day on average, accounting for breaks
and lunch; labor utilization is 75 percent in the industry.
Th e dry cleaner completes 25 shirts per day, with an industry standard of 28 shirts per day for a comparable facility.
Determine process velocity, labor utilization, and effi - ciency for the company.
Before You Begin: When solving this problem, remem- ber to keep the units of measure consistent in the numerator and denominator of each equation.
0 500
Choose Equipment A
Choose Equipment B
Total Cost of Equipment
B
Total Cost of Equipment
A
D O
LL A
R S
1000 2000
800 units Point of indifference between
equipment A and equipment B.
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
1500
QUANTITY
Solution:
Process velocity = throughput time
value-added time
= 210 minutes�shirt 110 minutes�shirt
= 1.90
Labor utilization = 5
1 2 hours�day
7 hours�day = 0.786 or 78.6%
Efficiency = 25 shirts�day 28 shifts�day
= 0.89 or 89%
Process velocity shows room for process improvement, as throughput time is almost twice that of value-added time. Labor utilization is just above the industry stan- dard, though overall effi ciency is below.
Discussion Questions
1. Defi ne product design and explain its relationship to business strategy.
2. What are the diff erences between product and service design?
3. Explain the meanings of benchmarking and reverse engineering.
4. Explain the meaning of design for manufacture (DFM) and give some examples.
92 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
5. Describe the stages of the product life cycle. What are demand characteristics at each stage?
6. Explain the term concurrent engineering. Why is it important?
7. Identify the two general types of operations. What are their characteristics?
8. What is meant by the term vertical integration? What types of companies are more likely to become vertic- ally integrated?
9. What is a process fl owchart, and what is it used for?
10. Give some examples of automation. How has automa- tion changed the production process?
11. Discuss the benefi ts of computer-aided design (CAD).
12. What is meant by the term service package?
13. Name three service companies and describe their service package.
14. Give examples of services that have a good match between customer expectations and service delivery. Give examples of services that do not have a good match.
Problems
1. See-Clear Optics is considering producing a new line of eyewear. After considering the costs of raw materi- als and the cost of some new equipment, the company estimates fi xed costs to be $40,000 with a variable cost of $45 per unit produced. (a) If the selling price of each new product is set at
$100, how many units need to be produced and sold to break even? Use both the graphical and algebraic approaches.
(b) If the selling price of the product is set at $80 per unit, See-Clear expects to sell 2000 units. What would be the total contribution to profi t from this product at this price?
(c) See-Clear estimates that if it off ers the product at the original target price of $100 per unit, the company will sell about 1500 units. Will the pricing strategy of $100 per unit or $80 per unit yield a higher contribution to profi t?
2. Med-First is a medical facility that off ers outpatient medical services. Th e facility is considering off er- ing an additional service, mammography screening tests, on-site. Th e facility estimates the annual fi xed cost of the equipment and skills necessary for the service to be $120,000. Variable costs for each pa- tient processed are estimated at $35 per patient. If the clinic plans to charge $55 for each screening test, how many patients must it process a year in order to break even?
3. Tasty Ice Cream is a year-round take-out ice cream restaurant that is considering off ering an additional product, hot chocolate. Considering the additional machine it would need plus cups and ingredients, it estimates fi xed costs to be $200 per year and vari- able costs to be $0.20. If it charges $1.00 for each hot chocolate, how many hot chocolates does it need to sell in order to break even?
4. Slick Pads is a company that manufactures laptop notebook computers. Th e company is considering adding its own line of computer printers as well. It has considered the implications from the marketing and fi nancial perspectives and estimates fi xed costs to be $500,000. Variable costs are estimated at $200 per unit produced and sold. (a) If the company plans to off er the new printers at
a price of $350, how many printers does it have to sell to break even?
(b) Describe the types of operations considerations that the company needs to consider before making the fi nal decision.
5. Perfect Furniture is a manufacturer of kitchen tables and chairs. Th e company is currently deciding between two new methods for making kitchen tables. Th e fi rst process is estimated to have a fi xed cost of $80,000 and a variable cost of $75 per unit. Th e second process is estimated to have a fi xed cost of $100,000 and a vari- able cost of $60 per unit. (a) Graphically plot the total costs for both methods.
Identify which ranges of product volume are best for each method.
(b) If the company produces 500 tables a year, which method provides a lower total cost?
6. Harrison Hotels is considering adding a spa to its cur- rent facility in order to improve its list of amenities. Operating the spa would require a fi xed cost of $25,000 a year. Variable cost is estimated at $35 per customer. Th e hotel wants to break even if 12,000 customers use the spa facility. What should be the price of the spa services?
7. Kaizer Plastics produces a variety of plastic items for packaging and distribution. One item, container #145, has had a low contribution to profi ts. Last year, 20,000 units of container #145 were produced and sold.
Problems • 93
Th e selling price of the container was $20 per unit, with a variable cost of $18 per unit and a fi xed cost of $70,000 per year. (a) What is the break-even quantity for this product?
Use both graphic and algebraic methods to get your answer.
(b) Th e company is currently considering ways to improve profi tability by either stimulating sales volumes or reducing variable costs. Management believes that sales can be increased by 35 percent of their current level or that variable costs can be reduced to 90 percent of their current level. Assuming all other costs equal, identify which alternative would lead to a higher profi t contribution.
8. George Fine, owner of Fine Manufacturing, is consid- ering the introduction of a new product line. George has considered factors such as costs of raw materials, new equipment, and requirements of a new produc- tion process. He estimates that the variable costs of each unit produced would be $8 and fi xed costs would be $70,000. (a) If the selling price is set at $20 each, how many
units have to be produced and sold for Fine Manufacturing to break even? Use both graphical and algebraic approaches.
(b) If the selling price of the product is set at $18 per unit, Fine Manufacturing expects to sell 15,000 units. What would be the total contribution to profi t from this product at this price?
(c) Fine Manufacturing estimates that if it off ers the product at the original target price of $20 per unit, the company will sell about 12,000 units. Which pricing strategy—$18 per unit or $20 per unit— will yield a higher contribution to profi t?
(d) Identify additional factors that George Fine should consider in deciding whether to produce and sell the new product.
9. Handy-Maid Cleaning Service is considering off ering an additional line of services to include professional offi ce cleaning. Annual fi xed costs for this additional service are estimated to be $9000. Variable costs are es- timated at $50 per unit of service. If the price of the new service is set at $80 per unit of service, how many units of service are needed for Handy-Maid to break even?
10. Easy-Tech Software Corporation is evaluating the production of a new software product to compete with the popular word processing software cur- rently available. Annual fixed costs of producing the item are estimated at $150,000, and the variable cost is $10 per unit. The current selling price of the
item is $35 per unit, and the annual sales volume is estimated at 50,000 units. (a) Easy-Tech is considering adding new equipment
that would improve software quality. Th e negative aspect of this new equipment would be an increase in both fi xed and variable costs. Annual fi xed costs would increase by $50,000 and variable costs by $3. However, marketing expects the better-quality product to increase demand to 70,000 units. Should Easy-Tech purchase this new equipment and keep the price of its product the same? Explain your reasoning.
(b) Another option being considered by Easy-Tech is the increase in the selling price to $40 per unit to off set the additional equipment costs. However, this increase would result in a decrease in demand to 40,000 units. Should Easy-Tech increase its selling price if it purchases the new equipment? Explain your reasoning.
11. Zodiac Furniture is considering the production of a new line of metal offi ce chairs. Th e chairs can be pro- duced in-house using either process A or process B. Th e chairs can also be purchased from an outside supplier. Specify the levels of demand for each pro- cessing alternative given the costs in the table.
Fixed Cost Variable Cost
Process A $20,000 $30 Process B $30,000 $50 Outside Supplier $0 $50
12. Mop and Broom Manufacturing is evaluating whether to produce a new type of mop. Th e company is consid- ering the operations requirements for the mop as well as the market potential. Estimates of fi xed costs per year are $40,000, and the variable cost for each mop produced is $20. (a) If the company sells the product at a price of $25,
how many units of product have to be sold in order to break even? Use both the algebraic and graphical approaches.
(b) If the company sells 10,000 mops at the product price of $25, what will be the contribution to profi t?
13. Mop and Broom Manufacturing, from Problem 12, has decided to produce a new type of mop. Th e mop can be made with the current equipment in place. How- ever, the company is considering the purchase of new equipment that would produce the mop more effi - ciently. Th e fi xed cost would be raised to $50,000 per year, but the variable cost would be reduced to $15 per unit. Th e company still plans to sell the mops
94 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
at $25 per unit. Should Mop and Broom produce the mop with the new or current equipment described in Problem 12? Specify the volume of demand for which you would choose each process.
14. Jacob’s Baby Food Company must go through the following steps to make mashed carrots: (1) unload carrots from truck; (2) inspect carrots; (3) weigh carrots; (4) move to storage; (5) wait until needed; (6) move to washer; (7) boil in water; (8) mash carrots; (9) inspect. Draw a process fl ow diagram for these steps.
15. Draw a process flow diagram of your last doctor’s offi ce visit. Identify bottlenecks. Did any activities occur in parallel?
16. Oakwood Outpatient Clinic is analyzing its opera- tion in an eff ort to improve performance. Th e clinic
estimates that a patient spends on average 3 1 2 hours
at the facility. Th e amount of time the patient is in contact with staff (i.e., physicians, nurses, offi ce staff , lab technicians) is estimated at 40 minutes. On average the facility sees 42 patients per day. Th e standard has been 40 patients per day. Determine process velocity and effi ciency for the clinic.
17. Oakwood Outpatient Clinic rents a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) machine for 30 hours a month for use on its patients. Last month the machine was used 28 hours out of the month. What was machine utilization?
18. Mop and Broom Manufacturing estimates that it takes 4
1 2 hours for each broom to be produced, from raw ma-
terials to fi nal product. An evaluation of the process reveals that the amount of time spent working on the product is 3 hours. Determine process velocity.
Case: Biddy’s Bakery (BB)
Biddy’s Bakery was founded by Elizabeth McDoogle in 1984. Nicknamed “Biddy,” Elizabeth started the home- style bakery in Cincinnati, Ohio, as an alternative to commercially available baked goods. Th e mission of Biddy’s Bakery was to produce a variety of baked goods with old-fashioned style and taste. Th e goods produced included a variety of pies and cakes and were sold to the general public and local restaurants.
Th e operation was initially started as a hobby by Elizabeth and a group of her friends. Many of the recipes they used had been passed down for gener- ations in their families. Th e small production and sales facility was housed in a mixed commercial and residential area on the fi rst fl oor of “Biddy’s” home. Elizabeth (“Biddy”) and three of her friends worked in the facility from 6 a.m. to 2 p.m. making and selling the pies. Th e operation was arranged as a job shop with workstations set up to perform a variety of tasks as needed. Most of the customers placed advanced orders, and Biddy’s Bakery took pride in accept- ing special requests. Th e bakery’s specialty was the McDoogle pie, a rich chocolate confection in a cookie crust.
Meeting Capacity Needs
Initially sales were slow, and there were periods when the business operated at a loss. However, after a few years Biddy’s Bakery began to attract a loyal customer following. Sales continued to grow slowly but stead- ily. In 1994 a fi rst fl oor storage area was expanded to
accommodate the growing business. However, Biddy’s Bakery quickly outgrew its current capacity. In May of 2000 Elizabeth decided to purchase the adjacent build- ing and move the entire operation into the much larger facility. Th e new facility had considerably more capac- ity than needed, but the expectation was that business would continue to grow. Unfortunately, by the end of 2000 Elizabeth found that her sales expectations had not been met, and she was paying for a facility with unused space.
Getting Management Advice
Elizabeth knew that her operations methods, though traditional, were sound. A few years ago she had called upon a team of business students from a local univer- sity for advice as part of their course project. Th ey had off ered some suggestions but were most impressed with the effi cient manner with which she ran her oper- ation. Recalling this experience, she decided to contact the same university for another team of business stu- dents to help her with her predicament.
After considerable analysis the team of business students came up with their plan: Biddy’s Bakery should primarily focus on production of the McDoogle pie in large volumes, with major sales to go to a local grocery store. Th e team of business students dis- cussed this option with a local grocery store chain that was pleased with the prospect. Under the agree- ment Biddy’s Bakery would focus its production on the McDoogle pie, which would be delivered in set
Case: Creature Care Animal Clinic (B) • 95
quantities to one store location twice a week. Th e vol- ume of pies required would use up all of the current excess capacity and take away most of the capacity from production of other pies.
Elizabeth was confused. Th e alternative being off ered would solve her capacity problems, but it seemed that the business would be completely diff erent, though she did not understand how or why. For the fi rst time in managing her business she did not know what to do.
Case Questions
1. Explain the challenge Elizabeth faced in meeting her capacity needs. What should she have considered before moving into the larger facility?
2. What is wrong with the proposal made by the team of business students? Why?
3. What type of operation does Biddy’s Bakery cur- rently have in place? What type of operation is needed to meet the proposal made by the team of business students? Explain the diff erences between these two operations.
4. Elizabeth senses that the business would be dif- ferent if she were to accept the proposal but does not know how and why. Explain how it would be diff erent.
5. What would you advise Elizabeth?
Case: Creature Care Animal Clinic (B)
Company Background
Creature Care Animal Clinic is a suburban veterinary clinic specializing in the medical care of dogs and cats. Dr. Julia Barr opened the clinic three years ago, hiring another full-time veterinarian, a staff of three nurses, an offi ce manager, and an offi ce assistant. Th e clinic oper- ates Monday through Friday during regular business hours, with half days on Saturdays and extended hours on Wednesday evenings. Both doctors work during the week and take turns covering Wednesday evenings and Saturdays.
Dr. Barr opened the clinic with the intent of pro- viding outpatient animal care. Overnight services are provided for surgical patients only. No other special- ized services are off ered. Th e facility for the clinic was designed for this type of service, with a spacious waiting and reception area. Th e examining and surgical rooms are in the rear, just large enough to accommodate their initial purpose.
As time has passed, however, the number of patients requesting specialized services has increased. Initially the requests were few, so Dr. Barr tried to accommo- date them. As one of the nurses was also trained in grooming services, she began to alternate between her regular duties and pet grooming. Pet grooming was per- formed in the rear of the reception area, as it was spa- cious and there was no other room for this job. At fi rst this was not a problem. However, as the number of pets being groomed increased, the fl ow of work began to be interrupted. Customers waiting with their pets would comment to the groomer in the rear, who had diffi culty
focusing on the work. Th e receptionist was also dis- tracted, as were the animals.
Th e number of customers requesting grooming ser- vices was growing rapidly. Customers wanted to drop off their pets for a “package” of examining, grooming, and even minor surgical procedures requiring overnight stays. Th e space for grooming and overnight services was rapidly taking over room for other tasks. Also, most of the staff was not trained in providing the type of ser- vice customers were now requiring.
The Dilemma
Dr. Barr sat at her desk wondering how to handle the operations dilemma she was faced with. She started her business as a medical clinic but found that she was no longer sure what business she was in. She didn’t understand why it was so complicated given that she was only providing a service. She was not sure what to do.
Case Questions
1. Identify the operations management problems that Dr. Barr is having at the clinic.
2. How would you defi ne the “service bundle” currently being off ered? How is this diff erent from the initial purpose of the clinic?
3. Identify the high-contact and low-contact segments of the operation. How should each be managed?
4. What should Dr. Barr have done diff erently to avoid the problems she is currently experiencing? What should Dr. Barr do now?
96 CHAPTER 3 • Product Design and Process Selection
Internet Challenge: Country Comfort Furniture
You have just taken a position with Country Comfort Furniture, a furniture manufacturer known for its custom-designed country furniture. Th e primary focus of the company has been on kitchen and dining room furniture in the upper portion of the high-price range. Due to competitive pressures and changes in the mar- ket, Country Comfort is now considering production of prefabricated kitchen and dining room furniture in the medium-price range.
You have been asked to help Country Comfort eval- uate the new product design it is considering. Perform an Internet search to identify at least two major com- petitors that Country Comfort would have if it were to choose to pursue the new product line. Next, identify key product design features of each competitor’s prod- ucts, their target market, and price range. Based on your search, what are your recommendations to Country Comfort on product design and current competition?
Selected Bibliography
Boyer, K.K. “Evolutionary Patterns of Flexible Automation and Performance: A Longitudinal Study,” Management Science, 45, 6, 1999, 824–842.
Dennis, M.J., and A. Kambil. “Service Management: Building Profi ts after the Sale,” Supply Chain Management Review, January–February 2003, 42–49.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Service Package and Processes at Cruise International, Inc. Now that you have learned some- thing about the big picture at CII, you believe it is time to learn some specifi cs. You call Bob Bristol to report your progress and ask for the details of your next assignment.
“I am pleased with your progress in familiarizing yourself with CII and its operations. Now it is time for you to tackle a specific assignment under the direction of Leila Jensen, the hotel manager aboard the MS Friendly Dreams I. Specifically, you must develop a good understanding of the service pack- age currently offered by CII to its customers and the
service delivery process it uses. At the strategic level, the service package must be consistent with the company’s mission statement and the competitive priorities that it wants to emphasize.” This assign- ment will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 3 of your textbook while preparing you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Service Package and Processes at CII
On-line Case: Product Design and Process Selection at Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Service Package and Processes at Valley Memorial Hospital With just a couple of weeks left before you start working at Kaizen for its client Valley Memorial Hospital, it is essential for you to get some specifi c insights into the company’s operations. Th is assignment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 3 while continuing to prepare you for a successful internship. Bob Reilly suggests you learn more about the service package at VMH.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Service Package and Processes at Valley Memorial Hospital
www.wiley.com/college/reid
Selected Bibliography • 97
D’Souza, D.E., and F.P. Williams. “Toward a Taxonomy of Manufacturing Flexibility Dimensions,” Journal of Operations Management, 18, 2000, 577–593.
Fitzsimmons, J.A., and M.J. Fitzsimmons. Service Management: Operations, Strategy, and Information Technology, Fifth Edition. New York: Irwin McGraw-Hill, 2005.
Hayes, R.H., G. Pisano, D. Upton, and S.C. Wheelwright. Operations Strategy and Technology: Pursuing the
Competitive Edge. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2005.
Hayes, R.H., and S.C. Wheelwright. Restoring Our Competitive Edge: Competing through Manufacturing. New York: John Wiley & Sons Inc., 1984.
Hayes, R.H., and S.C. Wheelwright. “Link Manufacturing Process and Product Life Cycles,” Harvard Business Review, 57, January–February 1979, 133–140.
Hill, T. Manufacturing Strateg y : Text and Cases, Third Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2000.
Iansiti, M., and K.R. Lakhani. “Digital Ubiquity: How Connections, Sensors, and Data Are Revolutionizing Business,” Harvard Business Review, November 2014.
Pannirselvam, G.P., L.A. Ferguso, R.C. Ash, and S.P. Sifered. “Operations Management Research: An Update for the 1990’s,” Journal of Operations Management, 18, 1999, 95–112.
Porter, M., and E. Heppelmann. “How Smart, Connected Products Are Transforming Competition,” Harvard Business Review, November 2014.
Sanders, N.R. Big Data Driven Supply Chain Management. New York. FT Pearson, 2014.
Ward, P.C., T.K. McCreery, L.P. Ritzman, and D. Sharma. “Competitive Priorities in Operations Management,” Decision Science, 29, 4, 1998, 1035–1046.
98
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. The implications of competitive priorities, Chapter 2.
2. Product design considerations, Chapter 3.
3. Process selection considerations, Chapter 3.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Describe basic supply chains
and supply chain management.
2 Explain issues affecting supply chain management.
3 Explain the role of purchasing.
4 Illustrate how sourcing decisions are made.
5 Describe the role of warehousing.
6 Describe how supply chain management is implemented.
B uying a product used to mean browsing through mail-order catalogs or getting dressed, leaving home, and shopping at stores or malls until you found what you wanted. Today, most of us can go on-line anytime during
the day, seven days a week, and buy just about anything over the Internet. You can shop while sitting at your computer and never need to leave home. You can order food from a supermarket or a restaurant on-line or buy clothing and household goods. You can buy books, videos, CDs, or more expensive products like diamonds and cars, or even book your vacation—the Internet has revolutionized the way we do business by allowing us access to numerous suppli- ers around the world.
The Internet also has allowed companies to change the way they find the materials and supplies that are needed for their operations. Business-to- business (B2B) transactions are conducted between companies and their suppliers, distributors, and customers. Even though direct sales to the general public are more familiar, B2B transactions make up the majority of Internet transactions.
One of the most publicized examples is Covisint, a global business-to-business automotive supplier exchange site, begun in 2000 as an initiative by the U.S. auto- makers Ford Motor Company, General Motors, DaimlerChrysler, Nissan/Renault, and PSA Peugeot Citroën. Covisint became the largest industry-sponsored net marketplace. Covisint has over 300,000 users, representing 45,000 different com- panies, located in 96 different countries.
While Covisint began as the electronic marketplace for the auto industry, in 2004 the company was bought by Compuware Company. Since that time Covisint has expanded into healthcare, oil and gas, and other industries. Covisint, a pioneer in cloud computing, developed applications that help organizations connect, com- municate, and collaborate with members of their supply chain. Using AppCloud, a secure third-party application marketplace, Covisint enables access to soft- ware-as-a-service applications. •
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Supply Chain Management
Basic Supply Chains • 99
Basic Supply Chains
A supply chain is the network of activities that delivers a finished product or service to the customer. These include sourcing raw materials and parts, manufacturing and assembling the products, warehousing, order entry and tracking, distribution through the channels, and delivery to the customer. An organization’s supply chain is facilitated by an information system that allows relevant information such as sales data, sales forecasts, and promotions to be shared among members of the supply chain. Figure 4.1 shows a basic supply chain structure for a manufacturer.
At the beginning of the chain are the external suppliers who supply and transport raw materials and components to the manufacturers. Manufacturers transform these materi- als into finished products that are shipped either to the manufacturer’s own distribution centers or to wholesalers. Next, the product is shipped to retailers who sell the product to the customer. Goods flow from the beginning of the chain through the manufacturing process to the customer. Relevant information flows back and forth among members of the supply chain.
Supply chain management (SCM) is the vital business function that coordinates and manages all the activities of the supply chain linking suppliers, transporters, internal
Supply chain A network of all the activities involved in delivering a fi nished product or service to the customer.
MKT
Supply chain management (SCM) Management of the fl ow of materials from suppliers to customers in order to reduce overall cost and increase responsiveness to customers.
Consumers
Suppliers
Manufacturers
Wholesalers/ Warehousers
Retailers
G o
o d
s fl
o w
In fo
rm a ti
o n fl
o w
Raw materials component parts
Shipping schedules Items and quantities
Master production schedule Shipping schedule Daily production quotas
Inventory status Custom configurations
Point-of-sale data Promotional plans Inventory status Custom product req’s.
Basic finished goods
Customized products
FIGURE 4.1 Basic supply chain
100 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
departments, third-party companies, and information systems. Supply chain management for manufacturers entails
· Coordinating the movement of goods through the supply chain from suppliers to manufacturers to distributors to the fi nal customers
· Sharing relevant information such as sales forecasts, sales data, and promotional campaigns among members of the chain
A prime example of operations management (OM), supply chain management provides the company with a sustainable, competitive advantage, such as quick response time, low cost, state-of-the-art quality design, or operational flexibility.
Dell Computer Corporation is a good example of a company using its supply chain to achieve a sustainable competitive advantage. Quick delivery of customized computers at prices 10–15 percent lower than the industry standard is Dell’s competitive advantage. A customized Dell computer can be en route to the customer within 36 hours. This quick response allows Dell to reduce its inventory level to approximately 13 days of supply compared to the more common industry norm of 25 days of supply. Dell achieves this in part through its warehousing plan. Most of the components Dell uses are warehoused within 15 minutes travel time to an assembly plant. Dell does not order components at its Austin, Texas, facility; instead, suppliers restock warehouses as needed, and Dell is billed for items only after they are shipped. The result is better value for the customer.
Components of a Supply Chain for a Manufacturer A company’s supply chain structure has three components: external suppliers, internal functions of the company, and external distributors. Figure 4.2 shows a simplified supply chain for packaged dairy products, a manufacturing operation.
External suppliers include the dairy farmer, cardboard container manufacturer, label company, plastic container manufacturer, paper mill, chemical processing plant, lumber company, and chemical extraction plant. Internal functions include the processing of the raw milk into consumer dairy products and packaging and labeling dairy products for distribution to retail grocery outlets. The external distributors transport finished products from the manufacturer to retail grocers, where the products are sold to the customer. The supply chain includes every activity from collecting the raw milk, producing the consumer dairy products, packaging the dairy products, distributing the packaged dairy products to retail grocers, to selling the finished dairy products to the customer. Let’s look at each component of this supply chain in more detail.
External Suppliers External suppliers for a dairy products manufacturer are shown in Figure 4.2. The dairy products are packaged in either cardboard or plastic containers made by tier one suppliers. Note that any supplier that provides materials directly to the processing facility is designated as a tier one supplier (in this case, the dairy farm, the cardboard container manufacturer, the label company, and the plastic container manufacturer).
The paper mill and the chemical processing plant are tier two suppliers because they directly supply tier one suppliers but do not directly supply the packaging operation. The lumber company that provides wood to the paper mill is a tier three supplier, as is the chemical extraction plant that supplies raw materials to the chemical processing plant.
Companies put substantial effort into developing the external supplier portion of the supply chain because the cost of materials might represent 50–60 percent or even more of the cost of goods sold. A company is typically involved in a number of supply chains and often in different roles. In the supply chain for the plastic container manufacturer shown in Figure 4.2, for example, the chemical plant is now a tier one supplier and the chemical extraction facility is a tier two supplier. Even though the plastic container manufacturer was
External suppliers All suppliers providing materials or services to manufacturing or service organizations, including the suppliers’ suppliers.
Internal functions Activities performed by the fi nal product company, such as processing, purchasing, production planning and control, quality assurance, and shipping.
External distributors Transport product or service to appropriate locations for eventual sale to customers.
Tier one supplier Supplies materials or services directly to the processing facility.
Tier two supplier Directly supplies materials or services to a tier one supplier in the supply chain.
Tier three supplier Directly supplies materials or services to a tier two supplier in the supply chain.
Basic Supply Chains • 101
a tier one supplier to the milk processing facility, the plastic container manufacturer still has its own unique supply chain. Now consider the supply chain for a retail grocer: the tier one suppliers are providers of packaged consumer products, and the grocer has no external dis- tributors because the customers buy directly from the store. As you can see, supply chains come in all shapes and sizes.
Remember that tier one suppliers (the cardboard container manufacturer, dairy farm, label company, and plastic container manufacturer in Figure 4.2) directly supply the con- sumer product manufacturer (packaged dairy products), whereas tier two suppliers (paper mill and chemical processing plant) directly supply tier one suppliers. To summarize: supply chains are a series of linked suppliers and customers in which each customer is a supplier to another part of the chain until the product is delivered to the final customer.
Customers
Retail Grocers
Processing and Packaging
Facility
External distributors
External suppliers
Tier one suppliers
Tier two suppliers
Tier three suppliers
Material flow
Ra w
d ai
ry p
ro du
ct s
C ar
d b
o ar
d c
o n
ta in
e rs Plastic containers
Dairy farm
Cardboard
Wood
Label company
Plastic container
manufacturer
Lab e
ls
Cardboard container
manufacturer
Paper mill
Lumber company
Chemicals
Raw materials
Chemical plant
Chemical extraction plant
Information flow
Internal functions
FIGURE 4.2 Dairy products supply chain
102 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
Internal Functions Internal functions in, for example, a dairy products supply chain are as follows:
· Processing, which converts raw milk into dairy products and packages these products for distribution to retail grocery outlets.
· Purchasing, which selects appropriate suppliers, ensures that suppliers perform up to expectations, administers contracts, and develops and maintains good supplier relationships.
· Production planning and control, which schedules the processing of raw milk into dairy products.
· Quality assurance, which oversees the quality of the dairy products.
· Shipping, which selects external carriers and/or a private fl eet to transport the product from the manufacturing facility to its destination.
External Distributors External distributors transport finished products to the appropriate locations for eventual sale to customers. Logistics managers are responsible for managing the movement of products between locations. Logistics includes traffic management and distribution management. Traffic management is the selection and monitoring of external carriers (trucking companies, airlines, railroads, shipping companies, and couriers) or internal fleets of carriers. Distribution management is the packaging, storing, and han- dling of products at receiving docks, warehouses, and retail outlets.
A Supply Chain for a Service Organization Up till now, the discussion has focused on supply chains for manufacturing organizations rather than service organizations. However, service organizations can also benefit from supply chain management. A supply chain for a service organization is similar to that for manufacturing organizations since external suppliers, internal operations, and external distributors can be needed. In the case of an e-tailer, supply chain management can be used to integrate external suppliers (usually providing better demand forecast information to its suppliers, thus reducing uncertainty within the chain); it has internal operations with regard to order processing, order picking, and so on; and it can have external distribution done by a third-party provider (such as FedEx, UPS, or DHL).
Let’s look at an example of a supply chain for a full-service travel agency as shown in Figure 4.3. The agency arranges a wide variety of trips for its customers. The service can be as simple as making airline, train, hotel, cruise, car rental, or personal tour arrangements for the customer. A customer can require a single type of service or have a highly complicated travel request.
Internal Operations The internal operations at the travel agency are split into two parts: Travel Planning and Travel Payment.
Travel Planning begins with qualifying potential suppliers of travel services. The agency does not provide the actual travel but makes the arrangements. The agency must know the scope of services provided, as well as the quality of the services, the reliability of the provider, the safety of the service, the financial solvency, the language capability of the provider, and the like. As people travel throughout the world, it is critical to qualify any service providers used by the agency. The better the agency develops its external suppliers, the better it can match its customers with the right service providers.
The next step deals with the different forms of credit since no business transaction is completed without assuring the financing first. Providers in many developing nations don’t accept credit cards for payment, so it may be necessary to arrange bank transfers (possibly in the local currency) to finalize the service commitment. The agency must also clarify refund and cancellation policies.
MKT
Logistics Activities involved in obtaining, producing, and distributing materials and products in the proper place and in proper quantities.
Traffi c management Responsible for arranging the method of shipment for both incoming and outgoing products or materials.
Distribution management Responsible for movement of material from the manufacturer to the customer.
Basic Supply Chains • 103
Pricing deals with negotiation of terms for delivery of the service and price discounts. Group discounts may be available. Discounts may be offered for services booked during traditionally low seasons. The agency can use integrated cost data, including available discounts and other incentives, to influence customer decisions.
The last process of Travel Planning is assuring that any risk is minimized for the customer. This can be done by having integrated supplier performance files. The agency can evaluate past performance by the supplier and determine how to minimize any risk associ- ated with using the supplier (a backup provider, just in case) or travel insurance.
Travel Planning is about having a database of service providers that can be accessed instantly for use in arranging real-time travel for customers. Often the customer is sitting at the desk of a travel agent or is on the phone or Internet with the agent. The integrated database facilitates travel arrangements.
Travel Payment includes invoicing, dispute resolution, and payment to suppliers. The agency creates an integrated invoice for its customers. The agency can have both com- mercial and private accounts. Commercial clients can often receive a consolidated invoice monthly. Most private accounts are invoiced after the trip has been booked. It can include a payment required at time of booking, with the balance due prior to the actual travel. Providing a consolidated invoice reduces the number of transactions with the customer. Often systems for electronic payment are used.
The agency can be the focal point for all complaint resolution. This reduces the risk of miscommunications and provides a resolution process for both the customer and the ser- vice provider.
Payment of the invoice to the agency results in subsequent payment to the service pro- viders. Ideally, payments are processed by data transfer, thus reducing the time to cash for the service providers.
The External Distributors For the travel agency, the external distributors deliver the actual service to the customer. The external distributor is the service provider of the transportation or tour (the airline, the cruise company, the tour guides, the car rental agency, etc.). Although the agency makes all of the arrangements, the service provider is not part of the agency.
External Suppliers
Travel Planning Travel Payment Actual Providers
Internal Operations External Distributors
Airlines
Cruise lines
Trains
Tour operators
Hotels
Car rentals
Private guides
Delta, United
Celebrity Cruises
Orient Express
Shore Trips
Marriott, Hyatt
Hertz, Avis
Sourcing
Assuring
Financing
Pricing
Invoicing
Disputes
Payment
C u sto
m e rs
FIGURE 4.3 Supply chain for a travel agency
104 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
Services deal with many of the same issues that face manufacturers. The intent is to integrate the internal operations (arranging for the travel, billing the customer, paying the service suppliers, and tracking the services provided to the customer).
The Bullwhip Effect Sharing product demand information between members of a supply chain is critical. How- ever, inaccurate or distorted information can travel through the chain like a bullwhip uncoiling. The bullwhip effect, as this is called, causes erratic replenishment orders placed on different levels in the supply chain that have no apparent link to final product demand. The results are excessive inventory investment, poor customer service levels, ineffective transportation use, misused manufacturing capacity, and lost revenues. We will discuss the causes of the bullwhip effect, and how they send inaccurate or distorted information down the supply chain. First, however, let’s look at the traditional supply chain, shown in Figure 4.4, and follow the product demand information flow from the final seller back to the manufacturer of the product:
1. Th e fi nal seller periodically places replenishment orders with the next level of the supply chain, which could be a local distributor. Th e timing and order quantity—for example, monthly orders in varying amounts—are determined by the fi nal seller. Th e timing and quantity can be fi xed or variable.
2. Th e local distributor has many customers ( fi nal sellers) placing replenishment orders. Each fi nal seller uses it own product demand estimates and quantity rules. Based on these replenishment orders, the local distributor places replenishment orders with its supplier, which could be a regional distribution center (RDC).
3. As before, the customers (the local distributors) determine the timing and quantity of orders placed with the RDC. Each RDC periodically places orders based on demand at the RDC by ordering from the manufacturer of the fi nished good.
4. In turn, the manufacturer develops plans and schedules production orders based on orders from the RDCs. Th e manufacturer does not know what the demand is for the fi nished good by the fi nal customer but knows only what the RDCs order.
The greater the number of levels in the supply chain, the further away the manufacturer is from final customer demand. Since suppliers in the chain do not know what customer demand is or when a replenishment order might arrive, suppliers stockpile inventory.
MKT
Manufacturer
Demand information
is far removed from actual
customer demand
Regional Distributor
Regional distributor’s demand information flows to manufacturer
Local Distributor
Local distributor’s demand
information only flows to regional
distributor
Retailer Customers
Retailer’s demand information only flows
to local distributor
FIGURE 4.4 Traditional supply chain information flow
Bullwhip effect Inaccurate or distorted demand information created in the supply chain.
Basic Supply Chains • 105
Causes of the Bullwhip Effect The causes of the bullwhip effect are demand forecast updating, order batching, price fluctuations, and rationing and shortage gaming. Let’s look at each of these causes.
Each member in the supply chain, beginning with the retailers, does demand forecast updating with every inventory review. Based on actual demand, the retailers update their demand forecast. The retailers review their current inventory level and, based on their inventory policies, determine whether a replenishment order is needed. The wholesalers repeat the process. Note that the demand is from the retailers’ inventory replenishments and may not reflect actual customer demand at the retail level. The wholesalers update their demand forecast and place appropriate replenishment orders with the distribution centers. The distributors repeat the process, updating their demand forecasts based on demand from the wholesalers. The distributors review their inventory levels and place the appropriate orders with the manufacturer. These orders are determined by the inventory policies at the distributors. Orders placed with the manufacturer end up replenishing each level in the supply chain rather than being directly linked to end-customer demand.
A company does order batching when, instead of placing replenishment orders right after each unit is sold, it waits some period of time, sums up the number of units sold, and then places the order. This changes constant product demand to lumpy demand—a situation where certain levels in the supply chain experience periods of no demand. Order batching policies amplify variability in order timing and size.
Price fluctuations cause companies to buy products before they need them. Price fluc- tuations follow special promotions like price discounts, quantity discounts, coupons, and rebates. Each of these price fluctuations affects the replenishment orders placed in the supply system. When prices are lower, members of the supply chain tend to buy in larger quantities. When prices increase, order quantities decrease. Price fluctuations create more demand variability within the supply chain.
Rationing and shortage gaming result when demand exceeds supply and products are rationed to members of the supply chain. Knowing that the manufacturer will ration items, customers within the supply chain often exaggerate their needs. For example, if you know the company is supplying only 50 percent of the order quantity, you double the order size. If you really need 100 pieces, you order 200 so you are sure to get what you need. Such game-playing distorts true demand information in the system.
Counteracting the Bullwhip Effect Here are four ways of counteracting the bullwhip effect:
1. Change the way suppliers forecast product demand by making this information from the fi nal-seller level available to all levels of the supply chain. Th is allows all levels to use the same product demand information when making replenishment decisions. Companies can do this by collecting point-of-sale (POS) information, a function available on most cash registers.
2. Eliminate order batching. Companies typically use large order batches because of the relatively high cost of placing an order. Supply chain partners can reduce ordering costs by using electronic data interchange (EDI) to transmit information. Lower ordering costs eliminate the need for batch orders.
3. Stabilize prices. Manufacturers can eliminate incentives for retail forward buying by creating a uniform wholesale pricing policy. In the grocery industry, for example, major manufacturers use an everyday low-price policy or a value-pricing strategy to discourage forward buying.
4. Eliminate gaming. Instead of fi lling an order based on a set percentage, manufacturers can allocate products in proportion to past sales records. Customers then have no incentive to order a larger quantity to get the quantity they need.
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Issues Affecting Supply Chain Management
Information technology enablers for supply chain management include the Internet, the Web, EDI (electronic data interchange), intranets and extranets, bar-code scanners, and point-of-sale demand information. We begin by looking at the use of the Internet and the Web as a way of doing business.
E-commerce and Supply Chains E-commerce and e-business are defined as the use of the Internet and the Web to transact business. E-business refers to transactions and processes within an organization, such as a company’s on-line inventory control system, that support supply chain management. E-commerce includes B2B (business-to-business) and B2C (business-to-consumer) transactions. Let’s take a closer look at B2B e-commerce.
In business-to-business e-commerce, companies sell and buy products to and from other businesses. B2B represents the largest segment of e-commerce sales transactions. Prior to the Internet, B2B was relatively inefficient. It took time and resources for companies to search for products, to arrange for purchase and payment, to handle shipment, and finally to receive the items. Using the Internet allowed companies to automate at least parts of the procurement process. Significant dollars are saved by organizations due to effective elec- tronic purchasing research and reduced transaction costs. Let’s look at how B2B commerce has developed.
B2B commerce began in the 1970s with automated order entry systems that used telephone modems to send digital orders to suppliers. One company, Baxter Healthcare Corporation, placed telephone modems in a customer’s purchasing department to auto- mate reordering supplies from Baxter’s computerized inventory database. This technology changed in the 1980s to personal computers and in the 1990s to Internet workstations that access on-line catalogs. Automated order entry systems are seller-side solutions. They are owned by the supplier and only offer the supplier’s product line. The primary benefits to the customers are reduced inventory replenishment costs and supplier-paid system costs.
In the late 1970s, electronic data interchange (EDI) emerged. EDI is a form of com- puter-to-computer communication standardized for sharing business documents such as invoices, purchase orders, shipping bills, and product stocking numbers. Most large firms have EDI systems, and most inventory groups have industry standards for defin- ing the documents to be communicated. EDI systems are buyer-side solutions: they are designed to reduce the procurement costs for the buyer. EDI systems generally serve a specific industry.
In the mid-1990s, electronic storefronts emerged. Electronic storefronts are on-line catalogs of products made available to the general public by a single supplier. These store- fronts evolved from the automated order entry systems. They are far less expensive than their predecessors because (1) they use the Internet as the communication medium, and (2) the storefronts tend to carry products that serve a number of different industries.
Net marketplaces emerged in the late 1990s. A net marketplace is designed to bring hundreds or thousands of suppliers (each with electronic catalogs) together with a signifi- cant number of purchasing firms in a single Internet-based environment to conduct trade. Covisint (www.covisint.com) is an example of a successful net marketplace. Covisint was started in 1999 by a consortium of the following auto manufacturers: General Motors, Ford Motor Company, DaimlerChrysler, Nissan, and Renault. Its purpose was to address escalat- ing costs and gross inefficiencies within their industry. Covisint leveraged the power and
E-commerce Using the Internet and the Web to transact business.
Automated order entry system A method using telephone modems to send digital orders to suppliers.
Electronic data interchange (EDI) A form of computer-to- computer communications that enables sharing business documents.
Electronic storefronts On- line catalogs of products made available to the general public by a single supplier.
Net marketplaces Suppliers and buyers conduct trade in a single Internet-based environment.
Issues Affecting Supply Chain Management • 107
potential of the Internet to solve industry-specific business problems in real time. Its goal was to deliver a secure marketplace, portal, and application-sharing platform for the global automotive industry. Since being bought by Compuware in 2004, Covisint has expanded into the healthcare, aerospace, public sector, and financial services industries.
A net marketplace can also facilitate on-line auctions. Two types of auctions are forward auctions (where suppliers auction excess inventory and receive the market price for their sur- plus goods) and reverse auctions (where buyers post electronic requests for quotes [eRFQs] for goods and services and suppliers bid for business on-line).
A virtual private network (VPN) is a computer network in which some of the links between nodes are carried by open connections or virtual circuits on the Internet instead of by physical wires. An organization can have a VPN for use by its own employees as well as suppliers and customers. Through this network, buyers and suppliers can work together on product design and development, manage inventory replenishments, coordinate produc- tion schedules, and work as partners. Access to the VPN is typically password controlled. More than likely, your university has a VPN for your use.
The potential benefits from Internet-based B2B commerce include.
· Lower procurement administrative costs.
· Low-cost access to global suppliers.
· Lower inventory investment due to price transparency and quicker response times.
· Better product quality because of increased cooperation between buyers and sellers, especially during product design and development.
In business-to-consumer (B2C) e-commerce, on-line businesses try to reach individ- ual consumers. Let’s examine the different models that on-line businesses use to generate revenue. In the advertising revenue model, a Web site offers its users information on ser- vices and products, and provides an opportunity for providers to advertise. The company receives fees for the advertising. Yahoo.com derives its primary revenue from selling adver- tising such as banner ads.
In the subscription revenue model, a Web site that offers content and services charges a subscription fee for access to the site. One example is Consumer Reports Online (www. consumerreports.org), which provides access to its content only to subscribers at a rate of $3.95 per month. Companies using this model must offer content perceived to be of high value that is not readily available elsewhere on the Internet for free.
In the transaction fee model, a company receives a fee for executing a transaction. For example, Orbitz (www.orbitz.com) charges a small fee to the consumer when an airline res- ervation is made. Another example, E*Trade Financial Corporation, an on-line stockbroker (www.etrade.com), receives a transaction fee each time it executes a stock transaction.
In the sales revenue model, companies sell goods, information, or services directly to customers. Amazon.com, primarily a book and music seller, Travelocity.com, an airline and hotel reservations provider, and DoubleClick Inc. (www.doubleclick.net), a company that gathers information about on-line users and sells it to other companies, all use the sales revenue model.
In the affiliate revenue model, companies receive a referral fee for directing business to an “affiliate” or receive some percentage of the revenue resulting from a referred sale. For example, MyPoints.com receives money for connecting companies with potential custom- ers by offering special deals. When members take advantage of the deal, they earn points that can later be redeemed for goods.
In addition to the Internet, companies use other technology to help manage supply chains. For example, intranets are networks internal to an organization. Intranets allow a company to network groups of internal computers together to form more effective infor- mation systems. Typically, members of the organization communicate internally on the
Electronic request for quote (eRFQ) An electronic request for a quote on goods and services.
Virtual private network (VPN) A private Internet- based communications environment that is used by the company, its suppliers, and its customers for day-to- day activities.
Business-to-consumer (B2C) e-commerce On-line businesses sell to individual consumers.
Advertising revenue model Provides users with information on services and products and provides an opportunity for suppliers to advertise.
Subscription revenue model A Web site that charges a subscription fee for access to its contents and services.
Transaction fee model A company receives a fee for executing a transaction.
Sales revenue model A means of selling goods, information, or services directly to customers.
Affi liate revenue model Companies receive a referral fee for directing business to an affi liate.
Intranets Networks that are internal to an organization.
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intranet. Organizations can link intranet systems of the Internet to form extranets. The extranet can be expanded to include both a company’s suppliers and customers. Typically, real-time inventory status is available on the extranet as well as production schedules. Extranets allow suppliers and customers to “see” within the organization. The primary dif- ference between the Internet, intranets, and extranets is who has access to the system. The Internet is wide open, the intranet is open to members of an organization, and the extranet is open to members of the organization as well as to suppliers and customers.
The past few years have seen increased use of electronic marketplaces that bring thousands of suppliers together with thousands of buyers. The objectives of these net marketplaces are to have suppliers compete on price, to encourage automated low-cost transactions, and to reduce the price of industrial supplies.
E-distributors are the most common form of net marketplace. E-distributors provide electronic catalogs representing the products of thousands of suppliers. E-distributors are independently owned intermediaries that provide a single source for customers to make spot purchases. About 40 percent of a company’s items are purchased on a spot basis. E-distributors typically have fixed prices but do offer quantity discounts to large custom- ers (see Chapter 12). The primary benefits of e-distribution to the manufacturing company are lower product search costs, lower transaction costs, a wide selection of suppliers, rapid product delivery, and low prices.
E-purchasing companies connect on-line suppliers offering maintenance, repair parts, and operating supplies (MRO) to businesses that pay fees to join the market. E-procurement companies are typically used for long-term contractual purchasing and offer value chain management services to both buyers and sellers. Value chain management (VCM) auto- mates a firm’s purchasing or selling processes. VCM automates purchase orders, requisi- tions, product sourcing, invoicing, and payment. For suppliers, VCM automates order status, order tracking, invoicing, shipping, and order corrections.
On-line exchanges connect hundreds of suppliers to unlimited buyers. Exchanges create a marketplace focusing on spot requirements of large firms in a single industry, such as the auto- motive industry or electronics industry. Examples of exchanges include ProcureSteel.com (a market for steel products), travelindustryexchange.com (an exchange bringing together travel professionals and international travel suppliers), and printindustry.com (an exchange bringing together print buyers and on-line international print suppliers).
The last type of net marketplace is an industry consortium. Industry consortia are industry-owned markets that enable buyers to purchase direct inputs from a limited set of invited participants. The objective of an industry consortium is the unification of sup- ply chains within entire industries through a common network and computing platform. Examples of industry consortia include Covisint.com (automotive industry), Avendra.com (hospitality industry), and TomballForest.com (premium forest products). It is clear that net marketplaces will be a dominant factor in effective supply chain management now and in the future. Technology continues to bring suppliers, buyers, and distributors closer together so that supply chains can be managed effectively.
Consumer Expectations and Competition Resulting from E-commerce On-line retailing, or business-to-consumer e-commerce, has shifted the power from the suppliers to the consumers. This shift in power has occurred because the Internet greatly reduced search and transaction costs for the consumer. It was estimated as early as April 2001 that some 100 million people and over 80 percent of all individuals with Internet access had purchased something (either a product or a service) on-line. In addition, millions more customers researched products on-line and subsequently bought those items off-line. The
Extranets Intranets that are linked to the Internet so that suppliers and customers can be included in the system.
E-distributors Independently owned net marketplaces having catalogs representing thousands of suppliers and designed for spot purchases.
E-purchasing Companies that connect on-line MRO suppliers to businesses that pay fees to join the market, usually for long-term contractual purchasing.
Value chain management (VCM) Automation of a fi rm’s purchasing or selling processes.
Exchanges A marketplace that focuses on spot requirements of large fi rms in a single industry.
Industry consortia Industry- owned markets that enable buyers to purchase direct inputs from a limited set of invited suppliers.
Issues Affecting Supply Chain Management • 109
capability to quickly search, evaluate, compare, and purchase products gives the consumer considerable power. Examples of successful B2C businesses are Amazon.com, eBay, BMG Music Service, Barnesandnoble.com, Columbia House, Half.com, and JCPenney. E-tailers have penetrated significantly the following markets: computer hardware and software, books, travel, music and videos, collectibles and antiques, and event tickets.
Since customers have access to so many suppliers, it is important for suppliers to differ- entiate themselves by providing customers with excellent value. Dell Computer Corpora- tion, Gateway, Inc., L.L.Bean, Inc., Lands’ End, Inc., Amazon.com, UPS, and FedEx are good examples of companies that put a premium on values such as preferred customer service, short lead times, and/or quality guarantees. Dell differentiates itself with short lead times. The company does this by warehousing most of the components used to assemble its com- puters within 15 minutes of the assembly facility and building customized computers in an assemble-to-order strategy.
Consider how Lands’ End uses technology in its business. Lands’ End went on-line in 1995. The company sold only $160 worth of gear the first month. Today, Lands’ End is one of the nation’s largest apparel retailers on-line. The com- pany has a live chat room that allows customers to ask questions about merchandise. It also offers a “shopping with a friend” service that allows a customer, his or her friend or friends, and a customer service representative to be linked together. Lands’ End’s “virtual model” highlights how far technology has advanced. A few strokes on the keyboard and the shopper is able to produce an on-screen model with his or her body measurements. Even though this virtual model is not perfect, over 1 million shoppers have built their own models at the Lands’ End site.
An additional issue here is how companies handle the return of unwanted merchan- dise and provide for product exchanges or refunds. The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) reported that the “absence of a good return mechanism” was the second-highest reason shoppers cited for not shopping on the Web. There are methods for handling returns. An on-line company often first requires authorization to return an item, then the customer must pack up the item, pay to ship it back to the company, insure the item, and then wait for a credit to be made. Once the item is returned, the original seller must unpack the item, inspect the item, check the paperwork, and try to resell the item. Typically, neither the buyer nor seller is happy with the process.
Another approach allows the customer to drop the returned items at collection stations (sometimes the physical stores of the company, for example, Staples, Inc., Sears, Roebuck and Company, OfficeMax, Inc., etc.). The returned items can then be sold from the receiving store or picked up in bulk and returned to the distribution point. Another approach is to completely outsource returns. FedEx and UPS provide such services.
In addition to buying products on-line, consumers also buy on-line services. Finance, insurance, real estate services, business services, and health services are the largest on-line service industries. Business services include consulting, advertising and marketing, and information processing.
Service organizations are categorized as either those that do transaction brokering or those that provide a “hands-on” service. An example of transaction brokering is a company providing financial services that has stockbrokers acting as intermediaries between buyers
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and sellers of stock. An example of a “hands-on” service is a legal service that interacts directly with the consumer to create a legal document. In general, most service organiza- tions are knowledge- and information-intense. To provide value to consumers, these service companies must process considerable information (legal services or medical services) and employ a highly educated and skilled workforce (lawyers and doctors).
Globalization As globalization continues to increase, supply chains cover greater geographical distances, face greater uncertainty, and can end up being less efficient. Beginning in 2004, prices for steel, oil, copper, cement, and coal began rising at double-digit rates. These increases led buyers to look globally for lower-cost alternative suppliers. After purchasing items offshore, companies were challenged with moving the commodities over longer distances. This increase in volume resulted in a transportation capacity crunch and led to higher trans- portation rates. The lack of capacity slowed down supply chains, causing inventory levels to rise. In 2008, transportation rates went even higher due to the very high fuel costs. These higher costs have prompted companies to reexamine their offshore sourcing and to con- sider returning to onshore suppliers.
Ocean carriers have predicted that the volume of goods shipped from Asia to the United States will continue to have double-digit annual increases. Most of these inbound goods are shipped through U.S. West Coast ports. The higher trade volume has caused port conges- tion in California and Washington State. In an effort to ease port congestion, ocean carriers introduced larger ships for use on the transpacific routes. While it was hoped that these larger ships would add needed capacity and reduce operating costs, only a few U.S. ports are capable of handling the larger ships. The ships take longer to unload and reload, tying up the port for five to seven days rather than the normal two days. The longer port time has reduced terminal efficiency. Previously, importers were allowed more free time (the time cargo may occupy assigned space free of storage charges) for containers at U.S. port ter- minals. Container free time basically provided a cheap form of portable warehousing for importers. Because of the terminal inefficiency, container free time has been reduced and ports have increased storage capacity in an effort to turn equipment around faster.
As a result of the congestion in the ports located on the West Coast of the United States, companies sometimes use Mexican ports located in Lazaro Cardenas, Manzanillo, Veracruz, and Altamira, as alternatives for containers shipped from Asia. A large proportion of the goods received in Mexican ports are distributed domestically in Mexico. However, major retailers (such as Wal-Mart, Home Depot, and Target) routinely use these Mexican ports to expedite delivery of Asia-sourced goods for subsequent distribution in the United States. After the economic slowdown in 2008–2009, container traffic through the Los Angeles and the Long Beach ports is once again on the rise.
In hopes of providing an alternative to congested U.S. ports, Mexican port officials pro- mote the advantages of using Mexican ports. Mexican port officials emphasize the lower labor cost (about one-fourth of the wages in Los Angeles and Long Beach), a record of labor stability (over 85 years without a strike at Mexico’s ports), and improved speed to market. Prior to the slowing economy, Mexico proposed building a new deep sea port in Punta Colo- net (Baja California) and linking it with a proposed rail line to Yuma. This port location would be closer to the U.S. border than the other major Mexican ports, thus increasing the speed to market. The proposal was to be privately funded. In 2012, the Mexican government officially announced the cancellation of the project, citing a lack of interest given the cur- rent economic conditions.
One of the additional threats to the Los Angeles and Long Beach ports is a $5.25 billion project that deepens and widens the Panama Canal. This project allows ships from Asia to
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bypass the West Coast ports for deep water ports located on the U.S. Gulf Coast. A second threat to the Los Angeles and Long Beach ports is a recent $900 million project undertaken by APM Terminals (a part of Danish oil and shipping group A.P. Møller-Maersk). APM Terminals is converting the port at Lazaro Cardenas into a super port.
Because of pollution and endangered whale safety, shippers to California have agreed to reduce speeds to 12 knots or less when transiting the Santa Barbara Channel. The reduced speed reduces emissions of smog-forming air pollutants and can save the lives of whales by reducing collisions between ships and whales. Ship strikes play a role in the death of one to three whales annually. In return for slowing down, the company is paid for each ship’s tran- sit through the channel.
Another issue is border security. Since September 11, 2001, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) has implemented new requirements. Essentially, these programs result in additional processing time. The CBP has also increased inspections at ports of suspicious cargo, creating additional port delays.
In 2011, the U.S. and Mexican governments signed a memorandum of understanding on a new cross-border trucking program. With this new agreement, shippers will face fewer retaliatory tariffs on hundreds of products now being exported to Mexico. Shippers will need to be especially vigilant when they choose third-party logistics partners when engaged in cross-border trade.
As supply chains expand globally, they share some common logistical characteristics. For example, with ocean shipping, goods tend to arrive at a warehouse in very large quantities. Because of bulk arrivals, greater break-bulk activity is required. Break-bulk entails sorting the bulk shipments into smaller customer shipments. These global supply chains typically have higher inventory levels. Managing global supply chains in developing countries will be challenging in the near future.
Infrastructure Issues Global supply chains with members in developing countries can face substantial infrastruc- ture issues (such as inadequate transportation networks, limited telecommunication capa- bilities, uncertain power continuity, low worker skill, poor supply availability and quality, etc.). Each of these issues increases uncertainty in supply and demand for the supply chain, which results in higher costs and poorer service.
Inadequate transportation networks increase distribution lead times. Roads may be inadequate to transport heavy loads (necessitating the creation of smaller loads), rail travel may be unavailable or very limited in terms of frequency (once or twice a week), air service may be limited in frequency (one or two flights per day or less), and ocean shipping may be limited by the capabilities of the port. It is not unusual for an item to change hands four to eight times before reaching the final customer.
Poor telephone service can restrict the timely availability of supply and demand infor- mation. Because of this, a more extensive information system to keep track of items is often required. An unstable power supply can significantly affect the output of a supplier, in terms of both when the product can be produced and the effect on product quality caused by unstable power.
A lack of specific worker skills can limit the technology a firm uses. For example, numer- ically controlled (NC) machines use more easily trained machine setters and programmers rather than more highly skilled machinists. The increased use of NC machines in South America is a result of an inadequate number of skilled machinists.
A lack of available local materials and competent suppliers can force a firm to rede- sign its process, or even its product, to minimize or eliminate the use of scarce materials. Imported raw materials may be difficult to obtain due to import restrictions. In some cases,
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no local suppliers are available. A case in point is McDonald’s. When McDonald’s started operations in Russia, it had considerable problems developing high-quality Russian suppliers. McDonald’s used a vertically integrated strategy, developing its own plant and distribution facility for processing meat patties, producing french fries, preparing dairy products, and baking buns and apple pies. Initially, McDonald’s even grew its own potatoes.
Global competition forces firms to supply highly customized products and services to multiple national markets. Usually, a firm manufactures a basic product that is adaptable to many markets. The basic product contains most of the features and components of the finished product along with some market-specific add-on components. For example, com- puter products have country-specific power supplies to accommodate local voltage, fre- quency, and plug types. In addition, keyboards and manuals must match the local language. Such minor variations create a large number of unique finished-product configurations to be managed. Product proliferation further complicates accurate demand forecasting.
As supply chains cover greater distances, they experience greater uncertainty and gen- erally are less efficient. It is likely that supply chain velocity in these global chains will decrease. Practitioners have identified the following characteristics associated with lower- velocity supply chains: lumpy supply/demand (goods tend to arrive at the warehouse in large quantities and sometimes without notice), more break-bulk activity because of the larger quantities, slower long-distance moves as companies source offshore, and higher inventory levels in the pipeline due to longer transit times. These lower-velocity supply chains raise additional questions, such as distribution center location or a better under- standing of the economics of break-bulk and more emphasis on pipeline design.
The major trends driving innovative supply chain design are:
1. Globalization is accelerating. Supply chain volatility and uncertainty have permanently increased. Market transparency and greater price sensitivity have reduced customer loyalty. It is much harder now to diff erentiate one’s product. Future globalization will target product and technology development in addition to manufacturing and assembly.
2. Achieving growth requires truly global customer and supplier networks. Future market growth is expected to come from international customers and customized products. Reducing costs and penetrating new local markets are two key drivers of accelerated globalization. Despite average cost reductions of 17 percent per globalization initiative, many companies have not realized these savings. Th e gap between planned and actual benefi ts is caused by internal barriers that prevent full support of globalization eff orts and external network partners failing to achieve expected performance.
3. Major barriers to globalization include limited supply chain fl exibility and the lack of internal competency to manage partners.
4. Product quality and safety and supply chain delivery and security are the most critical concerns when expanding the supply chain globally.
5. China and India are major targets for globalization. Eastern Europe is catching up as a top off shoring option. Market dynamics require regional, cost-optimized supply chain confi gurations. Investments are designed to secure access to local markets.
6. Environmental sustainability is a major concern in developing future supply chain strategies. Currently, sustainability is mainly driven by regulatory compliance. It is not considered a strategic diff erentiator.
7. Existing supply chain organizations are not truly integrated and empowered. Th e supply chain must be treated as a single integrated organization.
The future of supply chain management seems focused on the development of sustainable, global supply chains.
Supply chain velocity The speed at which product moves through a pipeline from the manufacturer to the customer.
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Government Regulation and E-commerce The issue of government regulation of the Internet is still unresolved. Although early Inter- net users claimed the Internet could not be controlled given its decentralized design and its ability to cross borders, it is clear that the Internet can be controlled. In China, Malaysia, and Singapore, access to the Internet is controlled from government-owned centralized routers. This allows these countries to block access to U.S. or European Web sites. Search engines operating in these countries self-censor their Asian content by using only government- approved news sources. In other countries, freedom of expression has limited restrictions on the Internet. In order for leading Internet company Google to access China’s fast-growing market, it agreed to censor its search services. E-mail, chat room, and blogging services will also not be available because of concerns the government could demand users’ personal information. Google indicated that it would notify users when access had been restricted on certain search terms.
Another e-commerce issue is the collection of sales tax from customers purchasing items on the Internet. It has been described as both a states’ rights issue as well as a fairness issue. The U.S. Supreme Court has ruled that federal law prohibits states from collecting tax on Internet sales unless the company has a physical presence in the state. Because of this, billions of dollars in state sales taxes are lost. Supporters of an Internet sales tax include states that currently have no state sales tax. These states believe that it erodes their competitive advantage when consumers can go on-line and make pur- chases without paying a sales tax. These states have typically marketed the advantage of shopping in a sales-tax-free state. On-line retailers argue that collecting sales tax from consumers throughout the world will create an unreasonable burden as there are 9600 jurisdictions nationwide. Companies would have to make payments to each individual jurisdiction if a person from that jurisdiction made an on-line purchase. It is clear that this remains a major issue to be resolved.
Copyright infringement is also an issue. The U.S. copyright law protects original forms of expression such as writing (books, periodicals), art, drawings, photographs, music, motion pictures, performances, and computer programs from being copied by others for a mini- mum of 50 years. One exception to the U.S. copyright law is the doctrine of fair use. This doctrine allows teachers and writers to use materials without permission under certain circumstances. In response to copyright issues, the U.S. government enacted the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA) of 1998. The DMCA declares it illegal to make, distrib- ute, or use devices that circumvent technology-based protections of copyrighted materials and attaches stiff fines and prison sentences for violations.
Another issue concerns public safety and welfare. In the United States, e-commerce issues of safety and welfare center around the protection of children, strong antipornogra- phy sentiments, strong antigambling positions, and protection of public health by restricting sales of drugs and cigarettes. It is clear that many issues concerning government regulation of the Internet are yet to be determined.
Green Supply Chain Management Recently, green supply chain management has focused on the role of the supply chain with regard to its impact on the present natural environment as well as to the generation of any future environmental change. The intent is to be able to meet our present needs with- out compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. So, how do we green supply chains?
A number of organizations have introduced “greening” requirements for both their sup- pliers and distributors. These requirements can be purchasing clauses, specified supply chain goals (carbon emission footprint reduction, reduced energy consumption, reduced
Green supply chain management Focuses on the role of the supply chain with regard to its impact on the environment.
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inventory levels, reduced transportation costs, etc.), practices (the use of sustainable farm- ing, agreeing not to use specified materials, etc.), and use or nonuse of specific technologies. Some companies develop a corporate sustainability plan, which is then translated into a code of conduct. This code can be shared with both suppliers and distributors. Members of the supply chain are monitored for compliance. If violations of the code are found, correc- tive action is taken with the intent of building a better supply chain capability. In short, the organization is telling the members of its supply chain: “This is what you must do to be part of our supply chain. If you don’t, we fix it. If it doesn’t get fixed, we find a new member for our supply chain.” The debate centers around how many organizations have that much leverage with members of their supply chain. Clearly, an organization such as Wal-Mart has consid- erable leverage. In fact, it uses a packaging scorecard to evaluate packaging compliance by members of its supply chain.
For supply chains doing business globally, it is important that they understand the packaging restrictions. For example, within the European Union cardboard boxes must be removed from consumption sites and recycled. As a result, U.S. automobile parts producers ship products in reusable containers rather than disposable containers. Reusable packaging products are used to move, store, and distribute products within a single operation or an entire supply chain. Plastic reusable packaging, a form of reusable packaging, can be used to package anything from raw materials to finished goods. It can be used within reverse logistics to return empty containers or pallets for reuse or replenishment. Products include handheld containers, pallets, bulk containers, protective interiors, and custom-designed and engineered packaging.
Companies doing business globally must also focus on the final disposition of products and packaging. The Herman Miller Company uses a design for the environment approach in new product design. To eliminate confusion as to what is a sustainable product, Herman Miller uses the McDonough Braungart Design Chemistry certification process, which is a “cradle-to-cradle” protocol for designing products in such a way that they are better for the environment. For Herman Miller, the issues centered on chemicals used and ease of dis- assembly of recyclable parts. It is clear that for global supply chains it will be important to be green, not only in terms of the environment but also in terms of eliminating waste and allowing the supply chain to be financially solvent.
Other organizations perform supply chain carbon footprint analysis. Consider the following simple supply chain example shown in Figure 4.5. When looking at the supply chain for potato chips, the chain begins with the farmer growing the potatoes, moves to the manufacturing of the chips, then their packaging, the transporting of the chips to the customer, and finally the disposal of the empty packaging. If you mapped out the carbon footprint for this supply chain, you would find that 44 percent of the carbon foot- print occured at the farm, 30 percent in the manufacturing of the chips, 15 percent in the packaging process, 9 percent in transporting the chips to market, and only 2 percent in the disposal process. In this supply chain, it turns out that the farmer was overweighting the potatoes with water, since the manufacturer bought the potatoes based on weight. Because of how the potatoes were bought, they had too much water in them; this slowed down the manufacturing process, which needed to boil out excess water before process- ing the chips. When the manufacturer changed how potatoes were bought—based now on volume rather than on weight—the manufacturer required only half as much time to process the chips. This saved considerable energy and reduced the carbon footprint. Unfortunately, attention is often fixed on the disposal process, which can be a very small contributor to the overall carbon footprint. The gain in this example lies not only in reducing the footprint, but also in becoming a more efficient and effective supply chain by eliminating a waste-causing activity.
Issues Affecting Supply Chain Management • 115
In 2007, S.C. Johnson found a “greener” way to load trucks that reduced greenhouse gases via better truckload utilization. The company created a system that combines multiple customer orders and multiple products to optimize truckload capacity usage. After the first year, S.C. Johnson reported using 2098 fewer trucks, cut fuel usage by 168,000 gallons, and saved approximately $1.6 million. It also eliminated 1882 tons of greenhouse gases. To achieve these results, the company focused on consistently hitting a trailer’s maximum weight. S.C. Johnson also maximized its use of “day cabs” (truck cabs with no sleeping compartments). Day cabs are 3000 pounds lighter than a standard truck cab. This allows the company to increase the amount of product it loads into a trailer before reaching the vehicle’s maximum weight.
In 2011, Cardinal Logistics Management was recognized by Inbound Logistics as one of the Top 75 Green Supply Chain Partners. Cardinal’s green initiatives include developing technologies that reduce fuel consumption and emissions by reducing miles and monitor- ing its fleet for efficient performance; testing renewable fuels; training employees in proper maintenance, driving habits, and mile reduction; and providing backhaul support to cus- tomers. Cardinal Logistics, headquartered in Concord, North Carolina, is a leading trans- portation solution provider, working with clients to optimize their supply chains.
Potato farmer (44%)
Processing (30%)
Packaging (15%)
Transporting (9%)
Disposal (2%)
FIGURE 4.5 Carbon footprint of potato chip supply chain
116 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
The Role of Purchasing
A company’s purchasing department plays an important role in supply chain management decisions. Purchasing is typically responsible for selecting suppliers, negotiating and admin- istering long-term contracts, monitoring supplier performance, placing orders to suppli- ers, developing a responsive supplier base, and maintaining good supplier relations. Since material costs may represent at least 50–60 percent of the cost of goods sold, purchasing significantly affects profitability. Moreover, changes in product cost structure, with materi- als comprising the bulk of the cost of goods sold, have elevated the role of purchasing in many organizations.
Let’s look at how purchasing has been done traditionally and also look at e-purchasing.
Traditional Purchasing and E-purchasing Before companies introduced e-purchasing, purchases were made following a flow similar to that shown in Figure 4.6. Typically, the process began when a requisition request was cre- ated, often by a production planner, an inventory planner, or an administrative staff mem- ber. A requisition request is simply a form used to inform purchasing that an item or a material needs to be purchased. Before any action is taken on the request, it may need to be authorized, by either a supervisor or a manager. The level of authority needed is often based on the dollar amount of the requisition. The higher the amount, the higher the level of authority needed to okay the purchase. After the requisition has been authorized, it goes to purchasing and is given to the specific buyer responsible for making that type of purchase. The buyer contacts potential suppliers of the item to determine price and availability for the item being requested. After analyzing the information from the different suppliers, the buyer decides where to place the order. At this point it is time to release a purchase order confirming all the details of the purchase. A purchase order number is assigned to facilitate tracking the order through the system.
Then printed copies of the purchase order are distributed typically to the supplier, the initial requestor, accounts payable, the receiving dock, and the purchasing department. The purchase order is the company’s commitment to the supplier to buy the item. A copy goes to the initial requestor to let the person know the item has been ordered and to provide delivery date information. Accounts payable needs a copy to reconcile the actual bill received with the negotiated terms of the purchase order with regard to quantity and price. The receiving dock gets a copy so that it knows the item has been ordered and it is okay to accept delivery of the package. The purchasing department typically keeps a copy for its file on that specific supplier. This allows the department to rate the performance of the supplier in terms of on-time delivery performance, quality and quantity, and billing accuracy.
Requisition request Request indicating the need for an item.
Price and availability The current price of the item and whether the quantity is available when needed.
Purchase order A legal document committing the company to buy the goods and providing details of the purchase.
You need to understand the structure of a supply chain, the bullwhip effect, and the issues affecting supply chains. A supply chain structure has external suppliers, internal functions of the fi rm, and external distributors. Information technology enables supply chain management. E-commerce provides an effect- ive means for communications between an organization and its suppliers and customers. Demand data provided through
point-of-sale (POS) data help counteract the bullwhip effect and reduce distorted demand information throughout the supply chain. Service organizations also have supply chains, all of which face many major issues. Issues such as information technology, the Internet, demand uncertainty, government regulations, the need for greener supply chains, inadequate infrastructures, and product proliferation can affect all supply chains.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
The Role of Purchasing • 117
When the item arrives at the receiving dock, the copy of the purchase order is checked to confirm that the item was ordered by the company and should be accepted. The goods then might move to incoming inspection for quality verification. From incoming inspection they are taken to the storeroom and put into inventory until they are needed.
When the company receives the invoice for the goods, before authorizing payment of the invoice the accounts payable department verifies that the goods have been received and that the cost per unit matches the purchase order terms.
In the past, this process tended to be slow, was prone to errors, and clearly was in need of a better way. Many companies now do e-purchasing to reduce transaction costs and pro- vide an effective purchasing system.
E-purchasing is defined as the use of information and communications technology through electronic means to enhance external and internal purchasing and supply man- agement processes. It is not just automating the purchasing function, but requires that an organization have a well-defined purchasing and supply management strategy. It requires that an appropriate sourcing strategy be developed.
Let’s begin by looking at the e-purchasing process shown in Figure 4.7. From first glance, it is evident that the process has been streamlined and that some activities have
Incoming inspection Verifi es the quality of incoming goods.
Sourcing strategy A plan indicating suppliers to be used when making purchases.
Req. to buyer
Phone suppliers
PO number Details
Print PO & distribute
Copy to receiving
Receipt of goods
Copy to acct. pay.
Invoice match
Payment
Authorization
Paper requisition
FIGURE 4.6 Traditional purchasing process
118 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
been eliminated. The e-purchasing process begins with the initial requestor going to the approved supplier’s Web site or the appropriate net marketplace to place the order. The company may have preauthorized spending limits set for each of its individual requestors. Any order exceeding that limit would be routed to the necessary approving authority before being processed further. Once the order is in process, all the members of the organization who need to know about the transaction learn in real time all the details associated with the order. This is the same information that they previously learned from their copy of the purchase order. When the goods are received, this fact is inputted into the system so that receipt information is provided to the interested parties. Instead of preparing an invoice for each individual shipment, the supplier consolidates invoices over a period of time and sends a single invoice to the company. This reduces supplier transaction costs. Accounts payable verifies the information on the consolidated invoice and authorizes payment. One check or funds transfer is made for all the orders placed with the supplier rather than a sep- arate check or transfer for each individual order. This reduces the accounting transaction costs for the purchasing company. Key features of typical e-purchasing systems are shown in Table 4.1.
A summary of the expected benefits to the buyers from e-purchasing is shown in Table 4.2. Basic benefits are cost savings, fewer human errors, and a more efficient purchasing process.
Supplier Web site
Receipt of goods
Consolidate invoice Manage by exception
Payment
Authorization
Requester
FIGURE 4.7 The e-purchasing process
TABLE 4.1 Key Features of E-purchasing Systems
• Web-based purchase order approval
• Automatic routing of orders requiring additional authorization to appropriate recipient
• Automatic routing of completed purchase order copies to additional recipients
• Notifi cation of receipt to appropriate recipients
• Secure e-mail sending, using standard electronic signature
• Electronic archiving to facilitate supplier evaluation and analysis of purchasing trends
The Role of Purchasing • 119
TABLE 4.2 Benefits to the Buyers from E-purchasing Systems
• Reduced purchase order processing costs
• Reduced purchase order cycle times
• Less data entry, thus reduced order processing time
• Reduced paperwork
• More effi cient distribution of information throughout the system
• Reduced buyers’ research time with electronic catalogs and net marketplaces
• Fewer order processing errors leading to incorrect shipments
• Consolidated data to facilitate analysis of purchasing patterns and supplier performance
• Share performance measurement data, which encourages improved supplier performance
• Reduced inventory because of better supplier performance
TABLE 4.3 Benefits for Suppliers Engaged in an E-purchasing Environment
• Time savings since orders do not need to be reentered
• Fewer input errors
• Reduced transaction costs and reduced purchase order cycle times
• Less inventory as a result of more effi cient communications with customers
• Better forecasting information from customers
• Better supplier performance since supplier measurement information is shared
• Faster payment
• Improved information fl ow
To successfully use e-purchasing, there must also be benefits for the suppliers. Table 4.3 shows some of the expected benefits for suppliers.
Many organizations engaged in e-purchasing establish a Web site that potential sup- pliers can visit to determine what current opportunities are available. Typically, suppliers must register to access the site, and subsequent entry is controlled by a password. Shown in Table 4.4 is an example of a Web site used by a county government to interact with its suppliers. The Web site informs a potential supplier on how to register for the site and how to certify itself as a supplier, and it shows the current opportunities available for which quotes can be submitted. An example of such opportunities is shown in Table 4.5. Access to the Web site is limited by a password. Although this example shows a govern- ment organization’s Web site, similar Web sites are used by manufacturing and service organizations.
Regardless of whether an organization engages in traditional purchasing, e-purchasing, or a combination of both, an organization must decide which sources are used. Sourcing decisions are discussed next.
120 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
TABLE 4.4 Example of a Web Site Used by a Government Organization
Northeast County E-Purchasing E-Purchasing
Welcome to Northeast County’s E-Purchasing Web site! The Purchasing Division is responsible for the management and coordination of the acquisition of goods and services, including requisition processing, commodity code tracking, and bid specifi cations.
HOW TO DO BUSINESS WITH NORTHEAST COUNTY
Step 1 REGISTER WITH PURCHASING Persons or concerns desiring to be registered on the County’s Bidder List for
goods and/or services must complete and submit a completed Vendor Regis- tration Form.
Registration can be completed online or in person.
Step 2 CERTIFY WITH HUMAN RELATIONS FEP compliance is required for all contracts greater than $50,000 (supply/service)
and $100,000 (construction). Northeast County Certifi cation Categories:
• Fair Employment Practice (FEP) • Northeast County Based Enterprise (CBE) • Small Business Enterprise (SBE) • Targeted Growth Community Enterprise (TGCE) • Expanding Business Enterprise (EBE) • MBE/WBE (Declaration) • Disadvantaged Business Enterprise (DBE)
Step 3 QUOTES OPPORTUNITIES Quotes are published daily on this Web site.
Sourcing Decisions
Which products or services are provided in-house by the manufacturer, and which are pro- vided to the manufacturer by other members of the supply chain? Vertical integration is a measure of how much of the supply chain is owned or operated by the manufacturer. Products or services provided by the manufacturer are insourced. Products or services not provided by the manufacturer are outsourced. Outsourcing means that the manufacturer pays suppliers or third-party companies for their products or services, a practice that is on the rise. A recent survey reported that 35 percent of more than 1000 large companies have increased their outsourcing. Another survey of large companies reported that 86 percent outsourced at least some materials or services. The activity most frequently outsourced was manufacturing.
Backward integration is a company’s acquisition or control of sources of raw materials and component parts: the company acquires, controls, or owns the sources that were pre- viously external suppliers in the supply chain. Forward integration is a company’s acqui- sition or control of its channels of distribution—what used to be the external distributors in the supply chain.
Vertical integration A measure of how much of the supply chain is actually owned or operated by the manufacturing company.
Insource Processes or activities that are completed in-house.
Outsource Processes or activities that are completed by suppliers.
Backward integration Owning or controlling sources of raw materials and components.
Forward integration Owning or controlling the channels of distribution.
MKT
Sourcing Decisions • 121
TABLE 4.5 Example of a Web Site Showing Current Opportunities for Suppliers
INVITATION FOR BIDS
DUE DATE BID # COMMODITY/SERVICE ADDENDA BUYER
6/29/16 11-705 Fifth Street Utility Replacement and Streetscape Improvements: Phase II and IIA Drawings: Phase II: Set A Set B Phase IIA
Addendum No. 1
Bid Schedule (EXCEL)
RDR
DATE EXTENDED 7/28/16
12-711 2016 MUNICIPAL PAVING CONTRACT (SUMMER BID)
PAVING SUMMER 2016 ADDENDUM Addenda #2 Addenda #3
LMM
8/18/2016 12-715 Parkview Waterline Relocation Drawings
LMM
8/09/2016 12-716 (14) Light Duty Vehicles— Replacement
Addendum 1—7/29/16 Addendum 2—8/1/16
FRH
INVITATION FOR PROPOSALS
DUE DATE RFP # COMMODITY/SERVICE ADDENDA BUYER
7/16/16 11-707 Airport Engineering Svcs for Airfi eld Pavement and Apron Rehabilitation Work at Regional Airport
LMM
7/28/16 11-709 Juvenile Services Group Home Addendum No. 1 SRT
8/09/2016 12-713 Zoning Ordinance Diagnostic Consultant
Addendum No. 1 SRT
8/12/2016 10-587 Riverside Park Renovation, Phase 1 Addendum No. 1 SRT
A company bases its level of vertical integration on its objectives. The greater the ver- tical integration, the lower is the level of outsourcing. Conversely, the higher the level of outsourcing, the lower is the level of vertical integration. Some factors favor vertical integra- tion. For example, companies needing a high volume of a product or service can sometimes achieve economies of scale by providing the product or service in-house. Companies with special skills may find that it is cheaper to provide certain products or services in-house. Other factors encourage outsourcing. For example, companies with low volumes generally find it cheaper to outsource a product or service rather than provide it in-house. Sometimes a company can get a better-quality product or service from a supplier than it can provide itself.
Now let’s look at the financial calculations behind insourcing and outsourcing decisions.
Insourcing versus Outsourcing Decisions It may be easy to calculate the costs of insourcing versus outsourcing and make the right financial decision. But such decisions involve more than financial calculations. Is a partic- ular product or service critical to your company’s success? Is the product or service one of your company’s core competencies? Is it something your company must do to survive?
122 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
If the answer is yes to any of these questions, your company will provide the product or service in-house. If the product or service is not one of its core competencies, the company needs to decide whether it should make or buy the product or service. Other considerations are, for example, whether the products or services provided in-house are identical to those outsourced. Is product quality in-house comparable to product quality in the marketplace? Is product functionality comparable, or does one product have an advantage in terms of quality or functionality? Finally, does the company have the capital needed for any up-front costs to provide the product or service in-house?
Now let’s look at how a company might make the financial calculations. To make a finan- cial calculation, we look at the total costs involved in either producing the entire quantity in-house or buying the entire quantity from a supplier. The total cost of buying the item is any fixed annual cost associated with buying the product plus a variable cost for each item bought during the year, or
TCBuy = FCBuy + (VCBuy × Q)
where TC Buy
= total annual costs of buying the item from a supplier FC
Buy = fi xed annual costs associated with buying the item from the supplier
VC Buy
= variable costs per unit associated with buying the item from the supplier
Q = quantity of units bought
Similarly, we calculate the total cost of making the item in-house as
TCMake = FCMake + (VCMake × Q)
where TC Make
= total annual costs of making the item in-house FC
Make = fi xed annual costs associated with making the item in-house
VC Make
= variable costs per unit associated with making the item in-house Q = quantity of units made in-house
The first step in solving the make-or-buy decision is to determine at what quantity the total costs of the two alternatives are equal. To do this, we set the total annual cost of buying equal to the total annual cost of making:
FCBuy + (VCBuy × Q) = FCMake + (VCMake × Q)
Solving this tells us the indifference point—that is, how many units we must buy or produce when the total costs are equal. If we need this exact amount, we would be indifferent to whether we bought the item or produced it in-house. If we need less than this quantity, we choose the alternative with the lower fixed cost and the higher variable cost. If we need more than this quantity, we choose the alternative with the lower variable cost.
Let’s look at a numerical example. Remember that when the quantity needed exceeds the indifference point, use the alternative with the lower variable cost. If the usage quantity is below the indifference point, then choose the alternative with the lower fixed cost.
EXAMPLE 4.1 MS Bagel Shop: A Make-or-Buy Decision
Two recent college graduates, Mary and Sue, have decided to open a bagel shop. Their fi rst decision is whether they should make the bagels on-site or buy the bagels from a local bakery. They do some checking and learn the following:
• If they buy from the local bakery, they will need new airtight containers in which to store the bagels delivered from the bakery. The fi xed cost for buying and maintaining these containers is $1000 annually.
• The bakery has agreed to sell the bagels to Mary and Sue for $0.40 each.
Sourcing Decisions • 123
• If they make the bagels in-house, they will need a small kitchen with a fi xed cost of $15,000 annually and a variable cost per bagel of $0.15.
• They believe they will sell 60,000 bagels in the fi rst year of operation. (a) Should Mary and Sue make or buy the bagels? (b) If Mary and Sue are uncertain as to the demand for bagels next year, what is the indiffer-
ence point between making or buying the bagels?
• Before You Begin: To make their decision when demand is known, Mary and Sue need to calculate the total cost of making or buying 60,000 bagels. Determine the relevant data for these calculations. To fi nd the total annual cost of buying 60,000 bagels, you need both the annual fi xed costs ($1000) and the variable cost per bagel ($0.40). To calculate the total annual cost of making the 60,000 bagels, you need the annual fi xed costs ($15,000) and the variable cost per bagel ($0.15).
• Solution: (a) The total cost for buying 60,000 bagels is $25,000. That is $1000 in annual fi xed cost plus
60,000 bagels multiplied by the $0.40 unit variable cost. The total cost for making 60,000 bagels is $24,000. That is $15,000 in annual fi xed costs plus the 60,000 bagels multiplied by the $0.15 unit variable cost.
(b) If Mary and Sue don’t know the demand for bagels, they can fi nd the indifference point by setting the total annual costs of each option equal to the other, as shown below. Although in this problem we are comparing the options of making or buying, we could just as easily compare two different suppliers or two different internal processes.
Set the total annual costs equal to each other using the formula.
FCBuy + (VCBuy × Q) = FCMake + (VCMake × Q)
or
$1000 + ($0.40 × Q) = $15,000 + ($0.15 × Q)
Solving for Q, we have ($0.25Q) = $14,000, or Q = 56,000 bagels. Since the costs are equal at 56,000 bagels and Mary and Sue expect to use 60,000 bagels, they should make the bagels in-house rather than buy them from the local bakery. By making the bagels, the cost for each additional bagel above 56,000 is $0.15 instead of the $0.40 they would pay the local bakery for each bagel.
Outsourcing requires decisions about which supplier to contract with for products or services. These decisions in turn depend on the criticality and frequency of the product or service, and they determine the relationship the company forms with the supplier. For example, if the purchase is one-time only, the company does not need to develop a rela- tionship with the supplier. However, if the company wants a reliable supplier for a critical product or service, it needs to develop a long-term relationship with the supplier.
Developing Supplier Relationships A strong supplier base is essential to the success of many organizations. Choosing a supplier is like choosing where to shop for something you want to buy. The first thing you decide is which merchants have the product or service you want. Adequate quality for the product or service is usually a prerequisite for even considering a merchant. What else is important to you when choosing a merchant? Availability, perhaps size and color for clothing, freshness and appearance for produce, and physical proximity so you can see the product or try it on. Quick response time, such as overnight shipping or rapid alterations; price, of course; ease of doing business; reputation; and warranty or service agreements are all considerations.
What is important to you as an individual when choosing a merchant is also important for your company when choosing a supplier. In general, we want merchants or suppliers
124 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
who give us good value. Several studies report that the top three criteria for selecting sup- pliers are price, quality, and on-time delivery. Even more important, however, is that the choice of suppliers be consistent with a company’s mission. For example, if your company is competing on the basis of quick response time, your suppliers must offer minimal lead times and be able to respond quickly.
How Many Suppliers? Once your company has chosen its suppliers, the next question is: Should you give a single supplier all your business for a particular product or service? Or should you use multiple suppliers? Table 4.6 lists arguments in favor of a single supplier and multiple suppliers.
For some operations, like make-to-order products, it is easier to deal with a single sup- plier. This is especially true for scheduling deliveries, resolving problems, minimizing the cost of dies or tools, developing computer links, and so forth. In addition, using a single supplier can improve the quality of your finished product by ensuring the consistency of the input materials.
On the other hand, multiple suppliers reduce the risk of a disrupted supply—that is, if one supplier suffers a disaster, other suppliers can pick up the slack. Further, multiple sup- pliers can more easily support changing quantity requirements. For example, if you need a larger quantity than a single supplier can supply, the order can be split among multiple
TABLE 4.6 Arguments in Favor of One Supplier and of Multiple Suppliers
Pros of One Supplier Pros of Multiple Suppliers
• The supplier may be the exclusive owner of essential patents and/or processes and thus be the only possible source.
• Competition among suppliers may provide better service and price.
• By using one supplier, quantity discounts may be achieved.
• Probability of assured supply is better. Multiple suppliers spread the risks.
• The supplier will be more responsive if it has all of your business for the item.
• Eliminates a supplier’s dependence on the purchaser.
• Contractual agreements may prohibit the splitting of an order.
• Provides a greater fl exibility of volume.
• The supplier is so outstanding that no other supplier is a serious contender.
• No single supplier may have suffi cient capacity.
• Single sourcing is a prerequisite for partnering. • Allows for testing of new suppliers without jeopardizing the fl ow of materials.
• The order is too small to split between suppliers. • Government regulations may require multiple sources.
• When the purchase involves a die, tool, mold, or expensive setup, the cost of duplicating may be prohibitive.
• Deliveries can be scheduled more easily.
• Supports just-in-time manufacturing and EDI.
• Allows for better supplier relations.
• The just-in-time philosophy can be better utilized.
Sourcing Decisions • 125
suppliers. This is referred to as flexibility of volume. Finally, government regulations may require the use of multiple suppliers for some projects.
The answer to how many suppliers depends on your supply chain structure. If your company wants to integrate its supply chain, then partnering or using a single supplier makes sense.
Developing Partnerships One compelling argument in support of using single suppliers is that it is often a pre- requisite for developing a partnering relationship. Partnering with a supplier requires a commitment from both the company and the supplier. The goal is to establish an ongoing relationship in which both parties benefit from the arrangement—what is called a “win-win situation.”
The two kinds of partnerships are basic and expanded. A basic partnership is built on mutual respect, honesty, trust, open and frequent communications, and a shared under- standing of each partner’s role in helping the supply chain achieve its objectives. Expanded partnerships are reserved for a few key suppliers. These are long-term relationships built on mutual strategic goals. Expanded partners must be committed to helping each other succeed. They must place a high priority on maintaining the relationship and on sharing information, risks, opportunities, and technologies.
The Bama Companies is an innova- tor of wholesome bakery products and caters to the needs of many well-known restaurant chains. The company’s core product lines are hand held pies, biscuits, buns, pie shells, and pizza crust. Bama supplies innovative culinary and product development services and custom-made oven-ready products to customers in more than 20 countries. Bama is a past Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award (discussed in Chapter 5) winner. The key to Bama’s success has been focusing on quality relationships and products.
The old adage, treat others how you want to be treated, is the basis for the relationships Bama builds with its suppliers. Bama reduced the number of suppliers used and focused on developing long-term relationships. Now the company only deals with 50–60 key suppliers and most of these have been partners with Bama for at least 15 years. The company prefers to deal with a single supplier for an ingredient rather than multiple sources, thereby giving as much business as possible to that single supplier. This creates supplier loyalty and a com- mitment to the success of Bama.
The company’s founder, Peter Marshall, built the bakery business on handshake deals. While today’s suppliers go through a more formal process, the company still maintains the handshake mentality to strengthen supplier relationships. Ingredient suppliers undergo fre- quent audits from Bama to ensure ingredient integrity and manufacturing practices. While the company expects a lot from its supplier partnerships, it also rewards its suppliers for exceptional performance. Bama determines award winners on 10 factors: innovation, con- tinuous improvement, quality of products, service, fair pricing, cost containment, technical support, customer service support, shared philosophies and values, and the ability to bring new business to The Bama Companies. In 2005, Bama implemented its Six Sigma quality program (discussed in Chapter 5) into its supply chain. As a result, one of its flour suppliers, in a joint project with Bama, addressed suboptimal truck weights. As a result, the supplier
Partnering A process of developing a long-term relationship with a supplier based on mutual trust, shared vision, shared information, and shared risks.
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126 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
increased average weight per truckload by about 2,000 pounds and decreased truckload weight variation by 50 percent.
In recent years when sugar availability was limited because of bad hurricane seasons, Bama’s relationship with its sugar supplier has proven quite beneficial. Bama’s supplier maintained a consistent sugar supply during that period as well as honoring the original contract price.
A company evaluating potential partners looks at the following aspects of the potential partner’s business:
· History, sales volume, product lines, market share, number of employees, major customers, and major suppliers.
· Current management team in terms of past performance, stability, and strategic vision.
· Labor force in terms of skill, experience, commitment to quality, and relations with the supplier.
· Internal cost structure, process and technology capabilities, fi nancial stability, infor- mation system compatibility, supplier sourcing strategies, and long-term relationship potential.
The company reduces the selection pool to a few potential partners, identifies a single partner, and commits to the partnership. At this point, both parties agree on how to mea- sure the performance of the partnership. The partners set time frames for the frequency and methods of performance assessment and decide how problems will be resolved. When they reach agreement on these issues, the partners develop supply chain operating procedures and put the partnership into motion. Table 4.7 shows possible benefits from partnering.
Critical Factors in Successful Partnering Impact, intimacy, and vision are critical factors in successful partnering. Impact means attaining levels of productivity and com- petitiveness that are not possible through normal supplier relationships. Intimacy means the working relationship between partners. Vision means the mission or objectives of the partnership. Let’s look at each of these factors.
Impact comes through mutual change. The supplier and the customer must be willing to make changes. Studies suggest that the three sources of impact are reduction of duplication and waste, leveraging core competence, and creating new opportunities.
Duplication can involve any activity done by both the supplier and the customer. For example, suppliers count items before shipping, and customers count the same items after receipt. What value is added by having both parties count the same items?
TABLE 4.7 Possible Benefits from Partnering
Manufacturer’s Benefi ts Supplier’s Benefi ts
• Reduce costs • Increase sales volume
• Reduce duplication of effort • Increase customer loyalty
• Improve quality • Reduce costs
• Reduce lead time • Improve demand data
• Implement cost reduction program • Improve profi tability
• Involve suppliers earlier • Reduce inventory
• Reduce time to market
• Reduce inventory
Sourcing Decisions • 127
Waste reduction means eliminating any activity that does not add value. For example, moving items into and out of storage adds no value. It makes sense to have items delivered to and stored where they are used.
Duplication can also be eliminated in paperwork and administration. Solo Cup Company, formerly known as the Sweet- heart Cup Company, manufactures paper drinking cups. Sweetheart faced serious price-cutting demands from one of its major customers or another supplier would be used. To meet this challenge, Sweet- heart partnered with paperboard producer Georgia-Pacific. A shared electronic data interface reduced paperwork and adminis- tration and cut expensive inventory. Joint planning optimized production plans, giving Sweetheart a more consistent product from Georgia-Pacific at a better price. Sweet- heart can satisfy its high-volume customers, and Georgia-Pacific benefits through more business.
Leveraging core competence is about sharing knowledge. Different companies have differ- ent strengths or competencies. Instead of making the supplier or the customer reinvent the wheel, all partners can benefit from shared expertise. Following is an example.
Hillenbrand Industries, a manufacturer of hospital room equipment products, has six geographically dispersed manufacturing facilities. The company uses its own 400-truck fleet and both domestic and international carriers. Hillenbrand decided to partner with UPS to improve the cost, quality, and responsiveness of Hillenbrand’s overall logistics. For UPS, fleet management is a core competence; for Hillenbrand, fleet management is an expensive, non- core requirement. Hillenbrand does not want to incur the expense of building a world-class core competence in fleet management. By partnering with UPS, Hillenbrand can leverage and benefit from its partner’s expertise. Hillenbrand was able to create $1.5 million in cost improvements during the first year of the partnership. UPS revenues with Hillenbrand have grown by almost $2 million. Both the supplier and the customer have benefited.
Creating new opportunities means partners working together to produce something that neither could have achieved alone. Let’s look at an example involving a tier one supplier to an automobile manufacturer.
This supplier used to make daily truckload deliveries of a major subassembly to the auto assembly plant approximately 1200 miles away. Every day, four trucks left the supplier filled with subassemblies, and every day four of the supplier’s empty trucks left the auto assembly plant. The supplier was wasting significant transport capacity, with empty trucks returning to its facility. To remedy the problem, the supplier worked with the automobile manufacturer to develop a new truck trailer that carried subassemblies to the automaker and also hauled new autos back to a major metropolitan area. Thus, the auto manufacturer could send new cars to market and eliminate wasted transport capacity. Because the supplier transported the cars to market in an enclosed truck, protected from weather and road hazards, the cars arrived customer-ready. By using the empty trucks to haul the new autos to this market, the supplier eliminated the wasted transport capacity, provided a valuable service to the auto manufacturer, and generated cost savings for both partners. The partnership created a win- win situation that neither could have created alone.
Intimacy comes from the working relationship between partners. Because partners share confidential information, trust between them is critical. Intimacy means eliminating surprises: sharing daily information with partners prevents surprises. For example, a tier one supplier to the automotive industry needs to know how many autos are produced daily,
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any planned changes in production rates, and the current number of days of finished goods inventory. This information shows the supplier near-term demand and facilitates better customer service to the auto producer.
Intimacy is a result of sharing information. This information includes sales data col- lected at the point of sale; order change notices such as additional orders or cancellations; global inventory management, both quantity and location; and global sourcing opportu- nities so that supply chain members can improve purchase leveraging and component standardization.
The benefits of information sharing can be significant. When OSRAM GmbH bought GTE’s Sylvania lighting division, it initiated a supply chain integration program. Within six months, fill rates were at 95 percent and climbing; individual stock keeping unit (SKU) fore- cast accuracy had improved by 16 percent; obsolete inventory was down 10 percent; and the company had saved more than $300,000 on transportation costs.
Vision is the mission or objective of the partnership. The partners must articulate and share their vision. This shared vision provides the structure for the partnership and the role each partner plays in achieving success for the supply chain.
Successful partnering needs a substantial commitment by both partners. Many companies try to reduce the number of their suppliers and develop a smaller, highly focused supplier base. The emphasis is on finding viable suppliers and developing long-term partner relationships. Table 4.8 summarizes the different aspects of partner relationships.
Benefits of Partnering Early supplier involvement (ESI) is a natural result of part- nering relationships and is one way to create impact. Critical suppliers become part of a cross-functional, new-product design team. These suppliers provide technical exper- tise in the initial phases of product design. Early involvement by suppliers often short- ens new-product development time, improves competitiveness, and reduces costs. One example of early supplier involvement is Whirlpool Corporation’s partnership with Eaton, a supplier of gas valves and regulators. Whirlpool used Eaton’s design expertise to bring a new gas range to market several months sooner than it could have using Whirlpool’s in-house design skills.
Selecting the right mix of sourcing strategy (global sourcing, outsourcing, single sourcing, and partnering) eliminates supply redundancies and allows companies to low- ers costs, achieve higher margins, and bring improvements in quality and performance. Often there is a strong correlation between an increase in supply chain efficiency and an increase in supply interruption risk. Global sourcing can increase exposure to a new set of risks. Terrorist attacks, natural disasters, tariffs and trade agreements, political instability,
TABLE 4.8 Characteristics of Partnership Relations
• Have a long-term orientation
• Are strategic in nature
• Share information
• Share risks and opportunities
• Share a common vision
• Share short- and long-term plans
• Are driven by end-customer expectations
Sourcing Decisions • 129
and customs delays can impact the continuity of supply and affect supply lead time. Many products, processes, and/or services can be outsourced. The company must put processes, people, and controls in place to manage the risks of outsourcing and ensure successful results. Single sourcing can improve product or service quality and typically leads to a partnership with the company’s source. However, the greater the buying com- pany’s dependence on a single source, the greater the risk of supply interruption. It is very important the company understand and manage the risks inherent with its sourcing strategy.
Supplier Management Ethics A constant concern within purchasing departments is the issue of ethics in managing sup- pliers. Sales representatives from suppliers often offer buyers free lunches, free tickets to sporting or entertainment events, free weekend getaways, or valuable gifts. While suppliers may view these merely as promotional activities, at some point buyers need to consider how much is too much. Because buyers are in a position to influence or determine which supplier is awarded business, buyers must make certain that they avoid any appearance of unethical behavior or a conflict of interest.
Many companies have specific policies outlining what constitutes an acceptable gift or promotion. In some companies, buyers are not allowed to accept anything from a supplier, not even a pen. In other companies, there are dollar limits on what may be accepted. To guide purchasing employees, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) has approved a set of principles and standards, which are shown in Table 4.9.
A report by business ethicist Professor Kirk O. Hanson identifies the best ethical stan- dards for the group purchasing organizations (GPOs) that serve most of the nation’s hospi- tals. New best practices recommended in the report are:
· Require a standard administrative fee (a percentage of total purchases under the con- tract) for each category of product or service;
· Limit equity investments in contracting companies by GPO employees;
· Prohibit more strictly gifts and perks from seller companies;
· Adopt as standard for fi nancial disclosure the one used by not-for-profi t organizations.
At the center of the recommendations is concern for the ethical conflict of interest. These conflicts include the quality and the cost of goods used in medical care; unit price and cost-in-use; the benefits of standardization; the need to adopt superior technologies; multiyear contracting; and spot-market purchasing. The GPO’s first obligation is to serve its members, including the goals of good medical outcomes and cost containment. All types of organizations (manufacturing, healthcare, education, government, etc.) have a code of ethics concerning the fair treatment of suppliers. Most of these are available on the organi- zation’s Web site.
Given these many codes of ethics, purchasing is still questioned by its internal employ- ees about the ethics of the purchasing department. Consider the following circumstances that might suggest that members of the purchasing department behaved unethically. First, a purchasing member accepts a gift (even a small gift such as a pen) from a supplier. Second, a purchasing member has a personal or financial relationship with a supplier or an employee of a supplier (think of favoritism). Third, a purchasing team member owns its supplier’s stock. Fourth, a purchasing member mixes business and entertainment with a supplier (think about doing business on the golf course). Fifth, in a competitive bid- ding situation, information is provided to one supplier that was not supplied to other suppliers. Sixth, it is not transparent as to why a particular supplier was chosen. And seventh, selection criteria used were not consistent with criteria noted in the request for proposal. Any of the above situations can be done ethically ; however, it is important for
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the purchasing department to understand how each of these activities could suggest a potential conflict of interest.
The Role of Warehouses
Warehouses include plant, regional, and local warehouses. They can be owned or operated by the supplier or wholesaler, or they can be public warehouses. A further classification is general warehouse or distribution warehouse.
A general warehouse is used for storing goods for long periods with minimal handling. A distribution warehouse is used for moving and mixing goods. Within the supply chain, warehouses have three roles: transportation consolidation, product mixing or blending, and service. The business of a general warehouse is storage. The business of a distribution ware- house is movement and handling; therefore, the size of the facility is less important than its throughput. At a distribution warehouse, goods are received in large-volume lots and broken down into small individual orders.
General warehouse Used for long-term storage.
Distribution warehouse Used for short-term storage, consolidation, and product mixing.
TABLE 4.9 ISM Principles and Standards of Ethical Supply Management Conduct
Principles and Standards of Ethical Supply Management Conduct Integrity in Your Decisions and Actions
Value for Your Employer Loyalty to Your Profession
From these principles are derived the ISM (Institute for Supply Management) global standards of supply management conduct.
1. Impropriety. Prevent the intent and appearance of unethical or compromising conduct in relationships, actions, and communications.
2. Confl icts of Interest. Ensure that any personal, business, or other activity does not confl ict with the lawful interests of your employer.
3. Infl uence. Avoid behaviors or actions that may negatively infl uence, or appear to infl uence, supply management decisions.
4. Responsibilities to Your Employer. Uphold fi duciary and other responsibilities using reasonable care and granted authority to deliver value to your employer.
5. Promote positive supplier and customer relationships.
6. Sustainability and Social Responsibility. Champion social responsibility and sustainability practices in supply management.
7. Confi dential and Proprietary Information. Protect confi dential and proprietary information.
8. Reciprocity. Avoid improper reciprocal agreements.
9. Applicable Laws, Regulations, and Trade Agreements. Know and obey the letter and spirit of laws, regulations, and trade agreements applicable to supply management.
10. Professional Competence. Develop skills, expand knowledge, and conduct business that demonstrates competence and promotes the supply management profession.
Reprinted with permission from the publisher, the Institute for Supply Management™, Principles and Standards of Ethical Supply Management Conduct, adopted January 2012.
The Role of Warehouses • 131
A good example of the impor- tance of distribution warehous- ing in support of e-commerce is Fingerhut’s warehouse in St. Cloud, Minnesota. Employees rush through the warehouse on forklifts and cargo haulers filling orders for on-line retailers. Every item is encoded to speed packing. Red lasers scan each package as it rushes down the conveyor, ver- ifying the actual package weight against expected package weight. Packages that do not match are pushed aside for further inspection. The crew at this warehouse can process as many as 30,000 items per hour.
Transportation Consolidation occurs when warehouses consolidate less-than-truckload (LTL) quantities into truckload (TL) quantities. This consolidation can be both in supplier shipments to the manufacturer and in finished goods shipped to distant warehouses. The goal is to use TL shipments for as much of the distance as possible because TL shipments are cheaper than LTL shipments.
For inbound supplier shipments, a manufacturer can have small LTL deliveries from several suppliers consolidated at a convenient warehouse and then shipped to the man- ufacturer in TL shipments. For outbound shipments, the manufacturer can send TL deliveries to distant warehouses that break down the shipment for LTL delivery to local markets. Transportation consolidation is usually done to reduce transportation costs.
Product Mixing is a value-added service for customers. With product mixing, the cus- tomer places an order to the warehouse for a variety of products. The warehouse groups the items together and ships the mixture of items directly to the customer. Without product mixing, the customer would have to place individual orders for each item and pay shipping for each item. Instead, product mixing enables quicker customer service and reduces trans- portation costs.
Services offered by the warehouses can improve customer service by moving goods closer to the customer and thus reducing replenishment time. For example, a tier one automotive supplier can use a warehouse located near an automotive assembly plant to store instrument panels. The producer requires the supplier to provide these instrument panels in VIN (vehicle identification number) order sequence within an hour. That means the warehouse must load and deliver the parts in the correct sequence to match the pro- duction as it occurs on the line, that is, right color, right style, right identification number, and so on.
Warehouses can also be used to finish custom products. For example, when manufacturers use postponement in their product design process, almost-finished products are delivered to the warehouse. When actual customer orders are received, the warehouse finishes the product according to the specifications of the customer. For example, in the furniture indus- try products can be left unstained until the customer order is received. The stain is then applied and the customer receives a custom product in minimal time. In the electronics industry, a unit may need to have the appropriate power supply and cord attached based on the location of the customer. Using the warehouse in this manner allows a manufacturer to maintain flexibility with almost-finished products and also to quickly provide a custom product for the customer.
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Postponement A strategy that shifts production differentiation closer to the consumer by postponing fi nal confi guration.
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Crossdocking Crossdocking eliminates the storage and order-picking functions of a distribution warehouse while still performing its receiving and shipping functions. Trucks arrive at a crossdock with goods to be sorted, consolidated with other products, and loaded onto outbound trucks. Those trucks may be headed to a manufacturer, a retailer, or another crossdock. Shipments are transferred directly from inbound trailers to outbound trail- ers without any storage in between. Shipments should spend less than 24 hours in a crossdock.
What is the big difference between crossdocking and traditional distribution warehous- ing? In a traditional setting, the warehouse holds stock until a customer places an order; then the item is picked, packed, and shipped. The customer typically is not known before the items arrive at the warehouse. With crossdocking, the customer is known before the items arrive at the warehouse and there is no reason to move the items into storage.
Crossdocking has two major advantages. First, the retailer reduces inventory holding costs by replacing inventory with information and coordination. Second, crossdocking can consolidate shipments to achieve truckload quantities and significantly reduce a company’s inbound transportation costs.
Types of Crossdocking Manufacturing crossdocking is the receiving and con- solidating of inbound supplies to support just-in-time manufacturing. In this case, the warehouse might be near the manufacturing facility and used to prep subassemblies or consolidate kits of parts. Distributor crossdocking is the receiving and consolidating of inbound products from different vendors into a multistock-keeping unit pallet that is delivered once the last product is received. Transportation crossdocking is the consol- idating of shipments from LTL and small-package industries to gain economies of scale. Retail crossdocking is sorting product from multiple vendors onto outbound trucks headed for specific retail stores.
Home Depot, Inc., Wal-Mart, Costco Wholesale Corporation, and FedEx Freight are examples of companies using crossdocking. At FedEx Freight, pickup and delivery drivers are busy during the day picking up freight that must be delivered that night and making deliveries. Each evening, drivers return to the crossdock. Freight is unloaded, sorted, and placed onto outbound trucks. The trucks travel through the night to their destina-
tions, where the freight is unloaded and sorted onto local delivery trucks. FedEx Freight has achieved economies of scale that allow cost-effective transportation to areas with relatively little freight traffic.
Crossdocking Innovations Recent developments in information systems and software solutions have created more opportunities for crossdocking. Better supply chain visibil- ity and improved data sharing between members of the supply chain have resulted. Older crossdocking systems were able to do pure crossdocking. The software worked only if it was a perfect match going directly to an outbound truck. Now software allows orders and order lines to be split. The ability to split orders and ship partial orders immediately can avoid shortages on store shelves.
Crossdocking Eliminates the storage and order-picking functions of a distribution warehouse.
Manufacturing crossdocking The receiving and consolidating of inbound supplies and materials to support just-in-time manufacturing.
Distributor crossdocking The receiving and consolidating of inbound products from different vendors into a multi-SKU pallet.
Transportation crossdocking Consolidation of LTL shipments to gain economies of scale.
Retail crossdocking Sorting product from multiple vendors onto outbound trucks headed for specifi c stores.
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The Role of Warehouses • 133
By using Web-based portals, suppliers can create and transmit Advance Shipment Noti- fication (ASN) information to their retail customers. ASN is an electronic file transmitted from suppliers to retail customers providing advance notice of what products are being shipped to the retailer’s distribution center and their estimated time of arrival. Advance notice allows the retailer to allocate the product while it is still in transit. Basically, ASNs provide better visibility into the supply chain. In recent years, software providers also have been developing their products onto a single supply chain process platform. This reduces the problem of software compatibility.
In recent history equipment innovations have centered on conveyor sorting systems, print and apply mechanisms, and automatic identification technologies. The sliding shoe sorter pushes cartons off the conveyor to the appropriate conveyor lane. Parallel sorting enables smaller gaps between cartons. More densely packed conveyors allow the crossdock operators to reduce the speed of the conveyor and still maintain the same throughput as before. Slower conveyor speeds cause less wear and tear, less energy usage, and less maintenance.
Another issue is printing and applying labels to cartons. Print and apply systems allow crossdock operators the ability to deal with inadequately labeled cartons so that proper labels can be printed and applied on the cartons as they move along conveyors. This allows the item to be crossdocked. By attaching an RFID (discussed in more detail in the next sec- tion) tag on a pallet, the simple act of moving the pallet from a tractor trailer through a receiving portal acknowledges receipt of the item and downloads critical information so that automatic crossdock allocations can be made.
Crossdocking Implementation In concept, crossdocking looks simple. The inbound product arrives on one side of the dock and is transferred to waiting trucks on the other side of the dock. Crossdocking systems can include a number of distribution activities. One approach is simply in one door and directly out the other. However, crossdockers can also add value in the interval between receiving and shipping (printing and applying labels, releasing ASNs, etc.). An organization can expect the following from a successful crossdock- ing implementation:
· Reduction in capital investment in facilities and equipment (less space required)
· Reduction in inventory
· Reduction in personnel requirements
· Reduction in order cycle time
· Reduction in product damage (reduced touches)
· Reduction in freight costs
The primary reasons why implementations fail are:
· Poor facility layout
· Internal information systems are not integrated
· Low level of supply chain integration and collaboration
· Noncompliance by all supply chain members
· Th e wrong products are selected for crossdocking
· Unreliable suppliers in terms of accuracy and on-time deliveries
· Insuffi cient volume of activity
· Not understanding peak workload variations
Successful crossdock implementation requires visibility into what you will be receiving before receiving it. ASNs are the source of that information. Let’s look at how RFID technology is improving the collection of data needed to support successful crossdocking.
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Radio Frequency Identification Technology (RFID) Radio frequency identification (RFID) is an automated data collection technology. It uses radio frequency waves to transfer data between a reader and an RFID tag. The infor- mation is transmitted automatically so no one needs to unpack or scan individual bar code labels, yet it provides accurate data transmittal.
The RFID tags contain encoded information that identifies items at the case, pallet, or container level. Rolls-Royce now uses RFID technology to track components used in mili- tary transport and combat aircraft and helicopters. In states with toll highways, RFID tech- nology is used to collect tolls automatically. As a car with an RFID tag slowly passes through a collection lane, the RFID reader records the relevant vehicle data, and the appropriate toll charge is processed.
In a survey concerning RFID implementation, nearly half of consumer goods makers, a third of food and beverage makers, and a quarter of textile and apparel manufacturers indicated that they were implementing RFID technology because of a mandate from Wal- Mart. The survey further indicated that 59 percent of companies in the automotive industry would deploy RFID technology during the coming year. Worldwide, RFID is forecasted to surpass $2.5 billion by 2010. There is some potential controversy regarding personal privacy in some possible future uses of RFID technology.
New RFID applications have been developed for several industries. For example, in the hospitality industry, some hotels are now using RFID electronic locks. Instead of sliding a key through a card reader on the door, the guest merely holds the key card near the door lock and the RFID signal unlocks the door. The RFID electronic locks are more secure and not prone to cloning. Hotels also use RFID technology to track towels and linens. A wash- able RFID chip sewn into towels, robes, and bed sheets, allows hotels to track their linens. A hotel in Honolulu, using these RFID chips, reduced theft of its pool towels from 4000 a month to just 750, a savings of more than $16,000 a month.
A jewelry retailer in Texas uses passive RFID tags in its stores. As an item is received into inventory, an employee attaches a tag encoded with the product’s item number. Each morning after stocking the display cases, a clerk moves a handheld RFID reader over each tray. The RFID reader transmits the captured data into the company’s information system providing a master inventory list.
Hospitals spend nearly 30 percent of their total operational budgets on securing and managing consumable medical supplies. Since these items play a crucial role in patient care, medical facilities tend to overstock nursing stations. Combining the kanban philos- ophy (covered in Chapter 7) and passive RFID tags, a kanban-based resupply system was implemented. The RFID tag was embedded in each of the two baskets containing a specific item. For example, sutures may be contained in two baskets, each with 25 sets of sutures. The first container is placed in front of the second container. When a nurse removes the last set of sutures from the first container, it is removed from the shelf along with its RFID tag. The RFID tag is then clipped to a board designed for collecting the tags. At that point an RFID reader mounted behind the board collects the unique ID number encoded to the product’s tag and transports the data into the supply database. The software then automat- ically generates a resupply request. In 2011, the cardiovascular laboratory at a hospital in Kansas City deployed passive RFID tags and readers that have enabled the hospital to better manage its stock of pacemakers, coronary stents, and defibrillators. Doing this, the hospital was able to reduce its coronary device inventory by $500,000.
Many manufacturers also use RFID technology to manage the replenishment of items used during the manufacturing process. The John Deere Planter factory reported a 40 percent increase in efficiency in welding due to improvements in material replenishment and fewer material-related delays.
Radio frequency identifi cation (RFID) A wireless technology that uses memory chips equipped with radio antennas attached to objects used to transmit streams of data.
Implementing Supply Chain Management • 135
RFID technology for tracking individual participants is being used at the New York City marathon. RFID data combined with GPS data allow runners to view their own progress dur- ing the race and also enable friends, family members, and others to determine a particular runner’s location at any given time as well as where that participant is relative to spectators.
As you can see, RFID applications are numerous and expected to increase in the future as more companies understand how RFID technology can help better manage inventory and resupply processes.
Third-Party Service Providers The ease of developing an electronic storefront has allowed the discovery of suppliers from around the world. A good example is the success of artisans in Kenya, who by marketing over the Internet increased annual export earnings to $2 million from only $10,000. While smaller companies have benefited from these electronic storefronts, they often are not pre- pared to handle the logistics aspect. Many of these B2C companies outsource the delivery and return of products to companies such as FedEx and UPS. This works especially well when the consumer is paying for delivery.
A good example is Bike World, a company known for its high-quality bicycles, expert advice, and personalized service. After beginning Internet operations in 1996, Bike World found itself overwhelmed processing orders, manually shipping packages, and responding to customer inquiries regarding order status. Because of this, Bike World outsourced its order fulfillment to FedEx. FedEx offered reasonably priced delivery that exceeded customers’ expectations.
Even larger companies often outsource their logistics. Consider when over 5400 CVS stores unveiled Gillette’s Fusion, a new shaving product, all on the same day. Eight to ten weeks of planning was needed for this one-day event. The product was shipped to five of the CVS dis- tribution centers. At the distribution centers, CVS coordinated pick-and-pack activities and readied the product for shipping to the stores. CVS used expedited shipping through a third- party logistics provider, delivering razors to all stores by noon that day. It was the first chain to have the new product available, providing it with increased market share.
Implementing Supply Chain Management
Implementing a strategic, integrated supply chain requires considerable effort on the part of the initiating company. This change often is a result of external pressures faced by the com- pany, such as increased global competitors, an industry consolidation reducing the number of surviving companies in the industry, a switch to e-commerce (including e-purchasing and e-sourcing), or major technological changes within the industry.
Typically, a company begins by analyzing its current supply chain. A small cross-functional team leads the effort, examining all facets of the system to determine where improve- ments are possible and necessary. Most companies begin by looking at the parts of the supply chain, the internal dimension, in which they have the most control: manufacturing or service processes, distribution processes, and/or retail capacity and the time and costs of sourcing, producing, and distributing products or services. Improving performance in these areas has been the priority of many supply chain management initiatives. For a typical manufacturer, this means investing in automation and sales and operations planning tech- nologies. For distributors and retailers, the priority has focused on supplier relationships, warehouse management, and transportation management solutions.
Some companies also include product design and supply chain design in the internal dimension. Supply chain design includes determining the best locations for manufacturing and warehousing facilities, as well as for retail outlets, and how to design the store itself. In
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global supply chains, companies also must decide whether or not to adopt offshore pro- duction. This decision now considers the traditional cost factors, such as production costs, distribution, and inventory, but also takes into account the greater risk of product dam- age and delay resulting from offshore production. Product design includes quality function deployment (QFD), ease of manufacturing, design for the environment (DFE), and ease of distribution throughout the supply chain.
The external dimension is that part of the supply chain that the company does not con- trol. Predictable external factors include government regulations, mandates from trading partners, and environmental requirements. Often there is some advance notice of changes resulting from these factors. For example, a manufacturer can prepare itself to meet health, safety, or regulatory requirements such as the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) might apply to supply chains for food, drugs, and cosmetics. An example of a common trad- ing partner mandate in the auto industry is the use of electronic data interchange (EDI) and membership in the net marketplace Covisint. If you want to be a supplier to an auto indus- try manufacturer, you must comply with these mandates. When integrating the external supplier base, many companies develop supplier relationships.
The requirement to use radio frequency identification (RFID) technology is occurring in consumer goods and retail supply chains. Environmental considerations include restric- tions on the discharge of solid, liquid, and gaseous waste. The supply chain can accommo- date these predictable or expected external factors.
The external dimension also includes actions that are very difficult to predict and can devastate an organization. A sudden spike in fuel prices, worker strikes, delays in shipping due to customs noncompliance, port congestion, and major weather-related disasters can put considerable stress on the supply chain. Any problems that occur inside the supplier’s or the distributor’s supply chain also can lead to delays in sourcing, production, and move- ment of finished products, which threaten supply continuity and the quality of service to the final customer. To meet such challenges, companies need to improve their supply chain visibility so that real-time responses can be made to minimize the chance of disruption.
The customer dimension is where your company may have some influence but does not have total control. Ways to influence the customer include offering customers the features and functions they want, when they want them, and at an attractive price. Companies also can use promotional strategies to shape demand to better meet their business goals. Supply chains can typically provide better customer service when better product demand infor- mation is available to all members of the chain. This can be done using point-of-sale (POS) technology. Let’s look at some strategies to leverage your supply chain.
Strategies for Leveraging Supply Chain Management Although implementing supply chain management requires a set of actions that are unique to every company, the end goal is the same. Companies want a supply chain that makes it possi- ble to manage and adapt to all of the business dynamics affecting the company. This includes improving insight and control over your own internal operations; catering to, influencing, and responding faster to events beyond your control; and focusing on the customer and demand signals that affect your supply chain. You should consider each of the following actions.
1. You should regularly assess your supply chain network to make sure it is still suited for your business. Make sure that you are not making adjustments to a supply chain that is no longer suitable for meeting your current and future business needs. Many supply chains merely evolve over time or through acquisitions. Th ey are not designed but rather worked around. Take time to make sure your network fi ts your needs. Long- term profi tability depends on having the right capacity and the right location of your physical assets.
Implementing Supply Chain Management • 137
2. You should have a global view of demand. You need to anticipate demand and take opportunities to infl uence it to reach your fi nancial objectives. Using a collaborative demand planning solution (discussed in Chapter 8) is a good way to develop a global view of demand. You need visibility into customer buying patterns so that you can determine appropriate inventory, production, sourcing, and distribution plans.
3. You should decide how to get products to your customers. You decide what to make or buy; whether to build products in America, Europe, or elsewhere; which distribution center to provide the product to the customer; and how much inventory to hold and where.
4. You should improve asset productivity. For manufacturers, better demand visibility allows for eff ective planning and scheduling to maximize returns on critical assets, such as equipment, materials, and people. For logistics providers and retailers, the reduced uncertainty allows more eff ective use of warehousing and transportation assets.
5. You should expand your visibility. In global supply chains, product travels more miles, passes through more hands, and crosses more systems on its way to the fi nal customer. Th ere are numerous points where a disruption can occur. Th e use of RFID technology can provide real-time visibility into inventory status regardless of where it is and improve your ability to predict and plan for its arrival.
6. You need to know what happens, when it happens. For you to minimize the eff ect of an external event or to maximize the opportunity of new customer demand, you need to know about it as early as possible so that you can take the appropriate action. For example, if you learn immediately when a manufacturer has a major production problem, you can possibly allocate some production to another factory within the supply chain. If you learn immediately of increased customer demand in a specifi c region, you may be able to meet this demand by rerouting product as it moves through the supply chain.
7. You need to design to deliver. A holistic view of the supply chain must include the design of the product itself. Focus on ways to reduce development time and time to market. Consider whether it makes sense to use a third-party logistics provider for last-minute product customization. Th e postponement approach provides fl exibility, as well as removing costs from manufacturing. It often allows for delivery of the fi nal confi gured product within 24 hours to the customer. If a company wants to use a postponement approach, it must be considered during the product design.
8. You must track performance to allow for continuous improvement.
Implementing these strategies should result in benefits for members of the supply chain. You should reduce operations expenses. Having a clearer picture of end-customer demand allows companies to better plan for the appropriate mix of inventory, production, and transportation strategies. The companies should expect improved profitability as internal operations become more efficient and cost effective. Customer service should be improved since the companies have better visibility into final customer demand. Competitiveness and faster growth should improve as the company gains better insight into the internal, exter- nal, and customer dimension of its business.
Supply Chain Performance Metrics A company can use traditional financial measures such as return on investment (ROI), prof- itability, market share, and revenue growth, as well as traditional inventory performance measures such as customer service levels, inventory turns, weeks of supply, and inventory obsolescence (all discussed in Chapter 12).
138 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
Let’s look at how a large state university used several metrics to analyze how well its supply chain achieved the following initiatives. The first initiative was a spend analysis. This was a strategic review of spend data across all purchase and payment methods to increase compliance and identify new organization-specific contracting and cost containment opportunities. The university also evaluated its level of progress in strategic sourcing. The purpose of the supply base management initiatives was to leverage the university’s buying power and maximize the value of its strategic supplier business relationships. A third ini- tiative concerned contract management. This initiative concerned the development and implementation of a university-wide best-in-class contract pricing agreement that would assure the university the “least total cost” for products and services required from external suppliers. The fourth initiative evaluated the use of collaborative buying. This examined how well the university had used local, regional, and national collaborative buying business part- ners to further leverage buying power. The last initiative was concerned with compliance. It was designed to promote faculty and staff compliance with procurement and disbursement financial policies and to determine the level of compliance to university-authorized buy- ing methods and use of contract suppliers. To summarize, the university analyzed the fre- quency with which members of its supply chain were used, while simultaneously checking to see whether new suppliers should be added to its supply chain.
The university also used a number of key purchasing performance metrics. The financial metric measured ROI, the total cost containment versus the operating budget, the combi- nation of cost savings and supply chain revenue, the negotiated product and service cost savings, and purchasing revenue. The contracting metric looked at the number of new pre- ferred discount contracts, the level of spending done with contract suppliers, the amount of collaborative buying, the number of electronic competitive bidding events, and the number of strategic sources deactivated. The compliance metric also considered the level of pur- chase order buys and the level of buys through managed supplier relationships, the level of purchase activity at the university’s net marketplace and the use of marketplace suppliers, and the amount of green product and service purchases.
An analysis of the e-marketing summarized the number of unique visitors to the pur- chasing services Web site and to the supplier showcase. Operations were analyzed based on the percentage of customers very satisfied in a biannual survey. Economic inclusion mea- sured the amount of buys placed with local community-based suppliers. It also analyzed the amount of purchases made with all diversity-owned suppliers, as well as all African American–owned suppliers. The number of diversity suppliers in the university marketplace was also monitored. The university used purchasing cards (p-cards) for staff to place small purchases without the need for a purchase order. The level of use of p-cards was tracked to determine the level of noncompliance with commodity or supplier restrictions. Travel expenses were also monitored to determine compliance with negotiated travel service providers. And finally, the university measured accounts payable activities, such as the per- centage of electronic purchase order invoices, the effectiveness of the electronic invoice business process (EDI), the number of data errors causing rejections, the percentage of sup- plier invoices paid within terms, and the use of electronic fund transfers (EFT). Clearly, the number of specific metrics used by the university is quite significant. Other activities to analyze can include quality and on-time delivery of products and services.
Organizations also often measure the quality of their products or services. An organiza- tion can measure product or service quality by looking at warranty costs, products returned, and markdowns given to the customer due to poor quality or service. In Chapters 5 and 6, you will learn about different aspects of quality and methods for measuring quality levels. These techniques can easily track supply chain quality.
In Chapter 15, you will learn about scheduling performance measures that could be used to evaluate the company’s response time as well as to evaluate how well the company is
Implementing Supply Chain Management • 139
using its capacity. Excess capacity may enable much quicker response times, but the com- pany must assess the cost of low capacity utilization.
The company needs to determine what customer satisfaction means to its customers. Does it mean filling the entire order? Does it mean how quickly it can respond to customer requests? Or is it more important to have the product always arrive on time? Answering these questions identifies the activities that support the supply chain’s objectives. These are the activities that must be measured.
An example of manufacturing performance metrics was reported in a study of U.S.– Mexican maquiladora operations. Performance measurements included cycle-time reduction (response time), routing and scheduling performance (on-time delivery, response time, and capacity utilization), and outbound cross-border transportation. The bottom line is that companies must measure performance of the supply chain and the measurements must support behavior that is consistent with the supply chain objectives.
The Supply Chain Operations Reference (SCOR) model is an effort to standardize mea- surement of supply chain performance. The SCOR model examines four different opera- tional perspectives: reliability, flexibility, expenses, and assets/utilization. From a reliability perspective, the supply chain is measured on on-time delivery, order fulfillment lead time, and fill rate (the fraction of demand met from stock). In terms of flexibility, supply chain response time and production flexibility are measured. For expenses, supply chain man- agement cost, warranty cost as a percentage of revenue, and value added per employee are examined. In terms of assets/utilization, total inventory days of supply, cash-to-cash cycle time, and net asset turns can be measured.
Supply Chain Management Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Supply chain management (SCM) is directly linked to many OM activities. The degree of supply chain management is a strategic decision for the organization (Chapter 2) and deter- mines the level of vertical integration in the organization. SCM is concerned with external suppliers, internal operations, and external distributors.
Effective SCM requires supplier partnerships. Using the ISM Principles and Standards of Ethical Supply Management Conduct, purchasing develops partnerships with suppliers to assure a continuous supply of materials at a reasonable cost. Purchasing also works with suppliers to improve communications, to develop flexibility in meeting changes of demand, to improve quality of materials, and to assure on-time delivery. This assured, continuous supply of materials allows the production planners to effectively schedule jobs (Chapter 14) and to use equipment and personnel efficiently.
SCM also provides for streamlined communications between suppliers and the com- pany, thus reducing purchasing lead time. As we will learn when studying inventory man- agement in Chapter 12, reduced lead time results in lower inventory levels. The improved communications within the supply chain improve demand forecasting accuracy. This reduces demand uncertainty, allowing lower safety stock investment while still maintaining customer service levels. Improved demand forecast accuracy also contributes to the devel- opment of better staffing plans (Chapter 13), which can lead to lower personnel costs, lower inventory costs, and improved customer service.
SCM affects product and process design (Chapter 3) by specifying which items are done in-house and which items are outsourced. Good supply chain management provides timely, accurate information that is critical to successful operations management.
140 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
SCM Across the Organization Supply chain management changes the way companies do business. Consider how supply chain management affects different functional areas within the organization.
Accounting shares some of the benefits and responsibilities of supply chain manage- ment. As inventory levels decrease, customer service levels increase. Accounting is exposed to the risks of information sharing and involved in developing long-term partnerships. With information sharing comes the need for increased confidentiality and trust.
Marketing benefits by improved customer service levels achieved by POS data collec- tion. A shared database provides marketing with current demand trends and eliminates demand filtering between levels of the supply chain. POS data also facilitate quicker cus- tomer response time. Global supply chains facilitate access into local markets.
Information systems are critical for supply chain management. Information systems provide the means for collecting relevant demand data, developing a common database, and providing a means for transmitting order information. Information systems enable information sharing through POS data, EDI, RFID, the Internet, intranets, and extranets.
Purchasing has an important role in supply chain management. Purchasing is responsi- ble for sourcing materials and developing a strong global supplier base through long-term partnering agreements, using e-sourcing and e-purchasing concepts.
Operations uses timely demand information to more effectively plan production sched- ules and use manufacturing capacity. Operations responds more quickly to changing cus- tomer demand data, thus providing improved customer service levels.
Who is responsible for supply chain management within an organization? In a manu- facturing company, it is often the materials manager, since he or she is more familiar with external suppliers, internal functions, and external distributors. The person who does sup- ply chain management must see the “big picture” so that local priorities do not overshadow global priorities. In a service organization, the operations or office manager may be respon- sible for supply chain management.
ACC
MKT
MIS
OM
This chapter provides the framework for understanding sup-ply chain management. Supply chains consist of external suppliers, internal processes, and external distributors. Internal processes (purchasing, processing, production planning and control, quality assurance, and shipping) are integrated fi rst since the manufacturer has direct control over these activities. Integrating external suppliers into the supply chain begins with sourcing decisions and subsequent strategic partnership devel- opment by the purchasing function. Electronic net marketplaces
facilitate sourcing by bringing together thousands of suppliers and buyers to a common site. Distributors are usually the last segment of the chain to be integrated. Warehouses can be used for consolidation, product mixing, or fi nalizing products. Cross- docking can reduce transit time as well as reduce handling of goods. RFID helps track materials as they fl ow through the sup- ply chain. POS demand data are provided to all members of the supply chain to reduce uncertainty and to assure that all mem- bers of the supply chain work with common data. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
Supply chain management has tremendous opportunity to impact sustainability as it cuts across all enterprises in- volved in product creation and delivery. A sustainability change in the operations function of one member of the supply chain does not solve the problem if the other members of the supply chain continue to violate sustainability goals. A company, for
example, can develop production processes at its manufactur- ing facility with reduced emissions. However, not much has been accomplished if the materials it sources are produced or delivered in ways that pollute the environment. For changes to have impact, they must be made across the entire supply chain.
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Companies must ensure that sustainable changes are not made to just one operation in the supply chain, but to the en- tire system of sourcing, production, transportation, delivery, and all “operations” involved. For example, one important as- pect of supply chain sustainability is the movement and stor- age activities of the supply chain. These activities are among the most energy intensive. Carbon dioxide emissions from the transportation sector alone account for 33 percent of the
United States’ total CO 2 emissions. Judicious consideration of
modes of transportation and sourcing can dramatically impact sustainability. Think about the difference between energy con- sumed to ship a New Zealand lamb chop to a restaurant in New York City, versus procuring a lamb chop from a farm in upstate New York. The savings in product price or the benefi ts of product quality may be outweighed by the environmental costs of logistics across large distances. •
Chapter Highlights 1 Every organization is part of a supply chain, either
as a customer or as a supplier. All supply chains have external suppliers, internal functions, and external dis- tributors. An external supplier’s position in the supply chain is designated by its tier status. A tier one sup- plier directly supplies the manufacturer of the finished good. A tier two supplier directly supplies a tier one supplier, thus indirectly supplying the manufacturer. Internal functions include activities performed by the final product company, such as processing, purchasing, production planning and control, quality assurance, and shipping. External distributors transport the prod- uct or service to appropriate locations for eventual sale to customers. The bullwhip effect distorts product or service demand information passed between different levels of the supply chain. The more different levels that exist, the greater the distortion can be. Variabil- ity results from updating demand estimates at each level, order batching, price fluctuations, and ration- ing. Shared demand data help eliminate the bullwhip effect.
2 A number of issues affect supply chain management. E-commerce is the use of the Internet and the Web to transact business. E-commerce began with auto- mated order entry systems, evolved to electronic data interchange (EDI), to electronic store fronts, to net marketplaces, and to the development of intranets and extranets. All are designed to facilitate informa- tion sharing among members of the supply chain. Consumer expectations are high as they demand bet- ter service, better product quality, quicker response times, and reasonable prices. Global supply chains face greater uncertainty because of the shipping distances involved. Port congestion on the U.S. West Coast has generated considerable port activity in Mexico. Proj- ects to upgrade ports and the project to widen and deepen the Panama Canal offer alternative shipping routes from Asia to the United States Government regulations currently focus on the issue of sales tax on
Internet purchases. It is likely that a bill will be passed in the near future settling the issue. Green supply chain management focuses on the environment and how anything done in the supply chain affects the environ- ment. Supply chains try to reduce their carbon foot- print and become more environmentally friendly.
3 Purchasing has a major role in supply chain manage- ment. Purchasing makes sourcing decisions, develops strategic long-term partnerships, and maintains a sup- plier base capable of supporting the supply chain.
4 Sourcing decisions are critical in establishing a respon- sive supplier base. The use of net marketplaces allows companies to reduce supplier search costs and facil- itate the use of e-sourcing. Companies also make insourcing and outsourcing decisions. These make-or- buy decisions are based on financial and strategic cri- teria. Companies do not outsource activities that are part of their core competencies. Developing partner- ships requires sharing information, risks, technologies, and opportunities. Impact, intimacy, and vision are critical to successful partnering. Ethics in supply man- agement is an ongoing concern. Buyers are in a posi- tion to influence or award business, so it is imperative that they avoid any appearance of unethical behavior or conflict of interest. The Institute for Supply Manage- ment has established a set of principles and standards to guide buyers.
5 Supply chain distribution requires effective warehous- ing operations. Warehouses allow transportation con- solidation, product mixing, and service. Warehouses consolidate less-than-truckload (LTL) quantities into truckload (TL) quantities. Product mixing adds value by grouping items and shipping those items directly to the customer. Warehouses improve customer ser- vice by placing goods closer to the customer to reduce response times. Crossdocking takes goods from inbound trucks and quickly loads the material onto outbound trucks. This action eliminates the need to enter goods into warehouse inventory. Typically the
Chapter Highlights • 141
142 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
goods are on the crossdock for less than 24 hours. RFID accurately tracks shipments. As more new small com- panies establish an e-commerce presence, the need for third-party logistics providers increases.
6 Implementing supply chain management usually begins with a manufacturer or service provider inte- grating its internal functions. Then the company works on integrating the external suppliers. Net marketplaces simplify developing a company’s supplier base and
facilitate the integration process. The final step is inte- grating the external distributors. A company needs metrics to evaluate supply chain performance. Regular performance metrics (ROI, profitability, market share, customer services levels, etc.) and other measures that reflect the objectives of the supply chain are used. The company can use the Supply Chain Operations Ref- erence (SCOR) model to standardize its supply chain performance.
Key Terms
supply chain 99
supply chain management (SCM) 99
external suppliers 100
internal functions 100
external distributors 100
tier one supplier 100
tier two supplier 100
tier three supplier 100
logistics 102
traffi c management 102
distribution management 102
bullwhip eff ect 104
e-commerce 106
automated order entry system 106
electronic data interchange (EDI) 106
electronic storefronts 106
net marketplaces 106
electronic request for quote (eRFQ) 107
virtual private network (VPN) 107
business-to-consumer (B2C) e-commerce 107
advertising revenue model 107
subscription revenue model 107
transaction fee model 107
sales revenue model 107
affi liate revenue model 107
intranets 107
extranets 108
e-distributors 108
e-purchasing 108
value chain management (VCM) 108
exchanges 108
industry consortia 108
supply chain velocity 112
green supply chain management 113
requisition request 116
price and availability 116
purchase order 116
incoming inspection 117
sourcing strategy 117
vertical integration 120
insource 120
outsource 120
backward integration 120
forward integration 120
partnering 125
general warehouse 130
distribution warehouse 130
postponement 131
crossdocking 132
manufacturing crossdocking 132
distributor crossdocking 132
transportation crossdocking 132
retail crossdocking 132
radio frequency identifi cation (RFID) 134
Formula Review For insourcing or outsourcing:
FCBuy + (VCBuy × Q) = FCMake + (VCMake × Q)
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Jack Smith, owner of Jack’s Auto Sales, is deciding whether his company should process its own auto loan applications or outsource the process to Loans Etc. If Jack processes the auto loan applications internally, he
faces an annual fi xed cost of $2500 for membership fees, allowing him access to the TopNotch credit company, and a variable cost of $25 each time he processes a loan application. Loans Etc. will process the loans for $35 per
application, but Jack must lease equipment from Loans Etc. at a fi xed annual cost of $1000. Jack estimates processing 125 loan applications per year. What do you think Jack should do?
(a) Should Jack process the loans internally or outsource the loans if demand is expected to be 125 loan applications?
(b) Is Jack indifferent to internal processing and out- sourcing at one level of loan applications?
Before You Begin: To make his decision when demand is known, Jack needs to calculate the total cost of processing the auto loans in-house and compare it to the total cost of outsourcing the loan processing. You need to identify the relevant costs. If Jack processes the loans internally, he has an annual fi xed cost of $2500 plus a per loan variable cost of $25. If the loan processing is outsourced, Jack has a fi xed annual cost of $1000 and a per loan variable cost of $35.
PROBLEM 2
Big State University (BSU) is considering whether or not it should outsource its housekeeping service. Currently, BSU employs 400 housekeepers at an average annual wage of $23,000 plus another 39 percent for fringe benefi ts. Annual fi xed costs associated with housekeeping are $1,278,800.
Eric’s Effi cient Cleaners (EEC) will provide similar housekeeping for a fi xed annual cost of $7,500,000 plus a variable cost of $20,000 per housekeeper required. Because Eric uses state-of-the-art equipment and well-trained employees, his company would need only 80 percent of the current BSU housekeeper staff (or 320 housekeepers).
(a) Calculate the annual cost of BSU using its current housekeeping staff.
(b) Calculate the annual cost if BSU lets EEC do the housekeeping.
(c) Find the indifference point for the two alternatives.
Before You Begin: Identify the relevant costs. You need to know the cost to BSU for using its own house- keeping staff . Th e average annual salary per house- keeper is $23,000 plus fringe benefi ts (39 percent of the average annual salary). Th e annual fi xed cost associ- ated with housekeeping is $1,278,800. If housekeeping is outsourced, BSU doesn’t need to pay fringe benefi ts. EEC will provide similar service for a fi xed annual cost of $7,500,000 plus a variable cost of $20,000 per house- keeper. Remember that EEC only needs 320 house- keepers for the job.
Solution:
(a) The total cost for processing 125 loan applications internally is $5625. That is $2500 in annual fixed costs plus 125 loan applications multiplied by the $25 per application variable cost. The total cost for outsourcing the applications is $5375. That is $1000 in annual fixed costs plus 125 loan applica- tions multiplied by the $35 per application variable cost. At 125 loan applications, it is cheaper for Jack to outsource the loan application processing.
(b) When demand is not known, set the total costs of each alternative equal to each other, or $1000 + ($35 * Q) = $2500 + ($25 * Q). Solving for Q, we have 10Q = $1500, or Q = 150 loan applications. Since the costs are equal at 150 loan applications and Jack expects to need 125 applications pro- cessed, he is better off outsourcing the loan appli- cations to Loans Etc.
Solution:
(a) If BSU does its housekeeping with its current staff, the cost is $14,066,800.
Cost per housekeeper ($23,000 + 39% fringe benefits) = $31,970
Cost for 400 housekeepers (400 × $31,970) = $12,788,800
Annual fixed costs = ˚1,278,000
Total annual costs $14,066,800
(b) If BSU has EEC do the housekeeping, the cost is $13,900,000.
Cost for 320 housekeepers (320 × 20,000) = 6,400,000
Annual fixed costs = ˚7,500,000
Total annual costs $13,900,000
(c) The indifference point is found by setting the two cost functions equal to each other. Since EEC only needs 80% as many employees as BSU, we need to adjust the cost functions.
$1,278,800 + $31,970(Q) = $7,500,000 + (0.8Q)($20,000) Q = 389.55, or 390 employees. Th erefore, if the school needs fewer than 390 in-house housekeepers, it should do the housekeeping rather than outsource it. If BSU needs more than 390 housekeepers, it should outsource with EEC.
Solved Problems • 143
144 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
Discussion Questions
1. Discuss the diff erent types of e-commerce.
2. Explain the diff erent revenue models used in e-commerce.
3. Give two examples from the Internet for each of the diff erent revenue models used in e-commerce.
4. Describe the evolution of business-to-business (B2B) e-commerce.
5. For the next item you buy, determine its supply chain.
6. How do supply chains for service organizations diff er from supply chains for manufacturing organizations?
7. How can companies satisfy increasing customer ex- pectations?
8. Describe the additional factors that aff ect global supply chains.
9. Th ink of your last major purchase. What criteria did you use to select the supplier?
10. Explain the concept of partnering, including advantages and disadvantages.
11. Explain the benefi ts of using a single supplier as opposed to multiple suppliers.
12. Describe the kinds of information that are necessary in a supply chain.
13. Describe the role of warehouses in a supply chain.
14. Describe radio frequency identifi cation (RFID) and how it could be used by an organization.
15. Describe the current trends in e-commerce and how they aff ect supply chain management.
Problems
1. Gabriela Manufacturing must decide whether to in- source or outsource a new toxic-free miracle carpet cleaner that works with its Miracle Carpet Cleaning Machine. If it decides to insource the product, the process would incur $300,000 of annual fi xed costs and $1.50 per unit of variable costs. If it is outsourced, a supplier has off ered to make it for an annual fi xed cost of $120,000 and a variable cost of $2.25 per unit in variable costs. (a) Given these two alternatives, determine the
indiff erence point (where total costs are equal). (b) If the expected demand for the new miracle cleaner
is 300,000 units, what would you recommend that Gabriela Manufacturing do?
2. Gabriela Manufacturing was able to fi nd a new sup- plier that would provide the item for $1.80 per unit with an annual fi xed cost of $200,000. Should Gabriela Manufacturing insource or outsource the item?
3. Downhill Boards (DB), a producer of snow boards, is evaluating a new process for applying the fi nish to its snow boards. Durable Finish Company (DFC) has off ered to apply the fi nish for $170,000 in fi xed costs and a unit variable cost of $0.65. Downhill Boards cur- rently incurs a fi xed annual cost of $125,000 and has a variable cost of $0.90 per unit. Annual demand for the snow boards is 160,000. (a) Calculate the annual cost of the current process
used at Downhill Boards. (b) Calculate the annual cost if Durable Finish
Company applies the fi nish.
(c) Find the indifference point for these two alternatives.
(d) How much of a change in demand is needed to justify outsourcing the process?
4. Fast Finish, Inc. (FFI) has made a technological break- through in snow board fi nish application. FFI will ap- ply the fi nish for $0.23 per unit in variable costs plus a fi xed annual cost of $230,000. Use the cost and demand information given in Problem 3 for Downhill Boards to evaluate this proposal. (a) What will it cost Downhill Boards to outsource
the fi nishing process? (b) At what demand level does it make sense
economically to outsource the fi nishing process? (c) What additional factors should be considered
when making this outsourcing decision? 5. Henri of Henri’s French Cuisine (HFC), a chain of 12 res-
taurants, is trying to decide whether it makes sense to outsource the purchasing function. Currently, Henri em- ploys two buyers at an annual fi xed cost of $85,000. Henri estimates that the variable cost of each purchase order placed is $15. Value-Buy (VB), a group of purchasing spe- cialists, will perform the purchasing function for a fi xed annual fee of $100,000 plus $5 for each purchase order placed. Last year, HFC placed 1450 purchase orders. (a) What was the cost last year to HFC when doing
the purchasing in-house? (b) What would the cost have been last year had HFC
used Value-Buy?
(c) What is the indiff erence point for the two alternatives?
(d) If HFC estimates it will place 1600 purchase orders next year, should it use VB?
(e) What additional factors should be considered by HFC?
6. Cal’s Carpentry is considering outsourcing its accounts receivable function. Currently, Cal employs two full-time clerks and one part-time clerk to manage accounts receivable. Each full-time clerk has an annual salary of $36,000 plus fringe benefi ts costing 30 percent of the salary. Th e part-time clerk makes $18,000 per year but has no fringe benefi ts. Total salary plus fringe cost is $111,600. Cal estimates that each account receiv- able incurs a $10 variable cost. Th e Small Business Accounts Receivables Group (SBARG) specializes in handling accounts receivable for small- to medium-size
companies. Doris Roberts from SBARG has off ered to do the accounts receivable for Cal’s Carpentry at a fi xed cost of $75,000 per year plus $30 per account re- ceivable. Next year, Cal expects to have 2000 accounts receivable. (a) Calculate the cost for Cal’s Carpentry to continue
doing accounts receivable in-house. (b) Calculate the cost for Cal’s Carpentry to use
SBARG to handle the accounts receivable. (c) If the fi xed annual cost off ered by SBARG is non-
negotiable but it is willing to negotiate the variable cost, what variable cost from SBARG would make Cal indiff erent to the two options?
(d) What other alternatives might Cal consider in terms of his current staffi ng for accounts receivable?
(e) What additional criteria should Cal consider before outsourcing the accounts receivable?
Case: Electronic Personal Heart Rate Monitors Supply Chain Management Game
In this supply chain game, retailers sell electronic heart rate monitors to their customers and place replenish- ment orders to their wholesaler. Th e wholesaler sells the heart rate monitors to the retailers and orders the monitors from a distributor. Th e distributor sells the heart rate monitors to the wholesalers and orders mon- itors directly from the factory. Th e distribution system is shown in the fi gure. For each period the game is played, participants must follow the same sequence: 1. Receive any shipments into inventory.
2. Ship monitors to satisfy both new customer demand and any back orders, as long as suffi cient product is available.
3. Determine the ending inventory (a negative value indicates back orders exist).
4. Determine the inventory position (ending inventory plus any quantity already ordered).
5. Place replenishment orders.
For this game, inventory holding costs will be $10 per case per week and back order costs will be $15 per case per week.
Each person must keep track of his or her own costs. Th e weekly demand at the retailers will be provided by your professor. Once the demand is known by the retailers, the retailers place the appropriate replen- ishment orders with the wholesalers. Th e wholesalers update their inventory records and place the necessary
orders with the distributor. At this point, the distribu- tor updates its inventory records and places the appro- priate replenishment order with the factory. Lead time throughout the supply chain is two weeks. For example, once the factory releases an order to be manufactured, it is two weeks before it is available; when the distribu- tor orders heart rate monitors from the factory, it is two weeks before they arrive.
Factory (1)
Distributors (3)
Wholesalers (6)
Retailers (12)
Customers
Electronic heart rate monitor supply chain
Case: Electronic Personal Heart Rate Monitors Supply Chain Management Game • 145
146 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
A number of participants are needed in this game (see the fi gure). One person manages the factory (1). Th ere are three distribution centers, each needing a manager (3). Each distribution center supplies two dif- ferent wholesalers (6), and each wholesaler supplies two unique retailers (12). In some cases, a location may have co-managers to speed up the transactions. Th e accompanying table provides information regarding each location in the supply chain.
For each period of the game, retailers follow these procedures:
1. Th e retailer accepts into stock any orders due to arrive during the current period. Th e beginning inventory plus the arriving order determine how much inventory the location has available to satisfy demand during that period.
2. Next, your professor provides each retailer with actual demand data for that period. Th e demand is given to the retailer on a paper order form. Th e data are not shown to other members of the supply chain but are treated as confi dential information.
3. Retailers fi ll orders as long as suffi cient inventory (calculated in Step 1) is available.
4. Retailers calculate their ending inventory level. If suffi cient inventory is available, ending inventory is beginning inventory minus that period’s actual demand. If there is not suffi cient inventory, then back orders occur. When a back order occurs, your ending inventory value is negative. For example, if you only have 30 units available and demand is 32 units, your inventory balance is −2 units.
Individual Location Information
Replenishment Order Quantity
(cases) Recorder point
(cases) Beginning
Inventory (cases) Average Weekly Demand (cases)
Factory 350 190 277 175
Distributor A 120 125 185 60
Distributor B 180 190 280 90
Distributor C 100 52 77 25
Wholesaler A1 90 95 140 45
Wholesaler A2 60 31 46 15
Wholesaler B1 105 110 163 52.5
Wholesaler B2 75 80 118 37.5
Wholesaler C1 60 31 46 15
Wholesaler C2 40 21 31 10
Retailer A11 60 62 92 30
Retailer A12 30 31 46 15
Retailer A21 45 24 35 11.25
Retailer A22 15 8 13 3.75
Retailer B11 75 78 116 37.5
Retailer B12 60 31 46 15
Retailer B21 40 42 62 20
Retailer B22 35 37 55 17.5
Retailer C11 40 21 31 10
Retailer C12 20 11 16 5
Retailer C21 20 12 18 5.5
Retailer C22 20 10 15 4.5
5. Retailers calculate their inventory position. Inven- tory position is the ending inventory plus any quan- tity already ordered that has not yet arrived. For example, if your ending inventory is −2 but you have placed an order for 90 additional cases, your inven- tory position is 88 cases (−2 + 90).
6. If the retailer’s inventory position is at or below its reorder point, the retailer places an order with its wholesaler. Retailers A11 and A12 order from wholesaler A1, retailers A21 and A22 order from wholesaler A2, and so on. Th ese orders are made in writing and delivered to the appropriate wholesaler. No other communication is permitted.
For the wholesalers, the procedure each period is the following:
1. Th e wholesaler accepts into stock any orders due to arrive during the current period. Th e beginning inventory plus the arriving order determine how much inventory the location has available to satisfy demand during that period.
2. Next, the wholesalers look at the replenishment orders from the retailers for that period. Th ese data are not shown to other members of the supply chain but are treated as confi dential information.
3. Wholesalers fi ll orders as long as suffi cient inven- tory (calculated in Step 1) is available.
4. Wholesalers calculate their ending inventory level. If suffi cient inventory is available, ending inventory is beginning inventory minus that period’s actual demand. If there is not suffi cient inventory, then back orders occur. When a back order occurs, your ending inventory value is negative.
5. Wholesalers calculate their inventory position. Inventory position is the ending inventory plus any quantity already ordered that has not yet arrived.
6. If the wholesaler’s inventory position is at or below its reorder point, the wholesaler places an order with its distributor. Wholesalers A1 and A2 order from distributor A, wholesalers B1 and B2 order from dis- tributor B, and so on. Th ese orders are in writing and delivered to the appropriate distributor. No other communication is permitted.
For the distributors, the procedure followed each period is the following:
1. Th e distributor accepts into stock any orders due to arrive during the current period. Th e beginning inventory plus the arriving order determine how
much inventory the location has available to satisfy demand during that period.
2. Next, the distributor looks at the replenishment orders from its wholesalers for that period. Th ese data are not shown to other members of the supply chain but are treated as confi dential information.
3. Distributors fi ll orders as long as suffi cient inventory (calculated in Step 1) is available.
4. Distributors calculate their ending inventory level. If suf- fi cient inventory is available, ending inventory is begin- ning inventory minus that period’s actual demand. If there is not suffi cient inventory then back orders occur.
5. Distributors calculate their inventory position. Inventory position is the ending inventory plus any quantity already ordered that has not yet arrived.
6. If the distributor’s inventory position is at or below its reorder point, the distributor places an order with the factory. Th ese orders are in writing and delivered to the appropriate distributor. No other communica- tion is permitted.
Th e factory follows these procedures each period:
1. Th e factory accepts into stock any manufacturing orders completed for the current period. Th e begin- ning inventory plus the arriving order determine how much inventory the location has available to satisfy demand during that period.
2. Next, the factory looks at the replenishment orders from the distributors for that period.
3. Th e factory fi lls orders as long as suffi cient inventory (calculated in Step 1) is available.
4. Th e factory calculates its ending inventory level. If suffi cient inventory is available, ending inventory is beginning inventory minus that period’s actual demand. If there is not suffi cient inventory, then back orders occur. When a back order occurs, your ending inventory value is negative.
5. Th e factory calculates its inventory position. Inven- tory position is the ending inventory plus any quan- tity already ordered that has not yet arrived.
6. If the factory’s inventory position is at or below its reorder point, the factory releases an order to manufacturing.
Procedures for all locations include the following:
1. At the end of each period, record the amount of actual inventory you have left, the actual number of back orders, the cost of holding the inventory, the cost of the back orders, and the total cost.
Case: Electronic Personal Heart Rate Monitors Supply Chain Management Game • 147
148 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
2. Update your total statistics, that is, keep a running total of the cases of inventory, the number of back orders, and the cumulative holding costs, cumulative back order costs, and total costs.
End of Game Discussion Questions
1. How well does the distribution system seem to work? Talk about it in terms of customer service, costs, eff ec- tive use of inventory, and information fl ows.
2. Given the amount of inventory in the system, why did back orders occur?
3. In this distribution chain, what happened to customer demand data?
4. How should customer demand data be communi- cated through the system?
5. What would you recommend be done diff erently?
Case: Supply Chain Management at Durham International Manufacturing Company (DIMCO)
Lucille Jenkins, the CEO for the Durham International Manufacturing Company (DIMCO), believes that the company can signifi cantly increase its operating profi t by implementing supply chain management. DIMCO manufactures a variety of consumer electronic prod- ucts, from hair dryers to humidifi ers to massagers, for the world market.
Lucille believes that DIMCO has already integrated its internal processes and is ready to proceed with exter- nal integration. However, she is uncertain as to which direction to take. Should the company work on inte- grating the suppliers or the distributors fi rst? Currently, DIMCO uses approximately 1350 diff erent components and/or raw materials in manufacturing its product line. Th ose components and raw materials are purchased from approximately 375 diff erent suppliers around the world. In terms of distribution, DIMCO currently sends its fi nished products to a central warehouse that
supplies 10 regional distribution centers (RDC); 6 are domestic and 4 are located outside of the United States. Each RDC supplies an average of 12 local distributors that each supply an average of 35 retailers.
Lucille is looking for some advice.
1. Briefl y describe DIMCO’s supply chain.
2. What are the advantages that DIMCO can gain by implementing supply chain management?
3. What would you recommend DIMCO attempt next? Should it work on integrating the suppliers or the distributors fi rst? Or should it work on both simultaneously?
4. What are your recommendations with regard to the external suppliers?
5. What are your recommendations with regard to the external distributors?
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Supply Chain Management at Cruise Inter- national, Inc. Bob Bristol, your boss at CII, just called to tell you that he was impressed with your progress thus far in familiarizing yourself with operations at CII—both the strategic details pertaining to its mission, competi- tive priorities, and so on, and the specifi c details con- cerning its services and processes. He tells you that with all the buzz about supply chain management (SCM) that you hear these days, CII is actively interested in explor- ing how diff erent SCM concepts and techniques could
be used in its operations. Providing an adequate, assured supply of a variety of mechanical equipment, entertain- ment equipment, retail merchandise, food products, and supplies for maintaining the ship is critical to CII. Meghan Willoughby, Chief Purser aboard the Friendly Seas I, has a couple of specifi c assignments that you will work on later. But for now, Meghan would like a concise research report for the top management team addressing SCM issues relevant to CII. Th is assignment will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 4 of your text- book while preparing you for future assignments.
www.wiley.com/college/reid
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Supply Chain Management at CII
On-line Case: Supply Chain Management at Valley Memorial Hospital
Bob Reilly, head of Kaizen, just called you to say that he was impressed with your progress in familiarizing yourself with the operations at VMH—both the stra- tegic details pertaining to its mission and competitive priorities and the specifi c details concerning its prod- ucts and processes. He tells you that with all the buzz about supply chain management (SCM) that you hear these days, VMH is actively interested in exploring how SCM concepts and techniques could be adopted in its operations. Maintaining an adequate and timely supply of a variety of laboratory equipment, surgical instru- ments, and supplies is critical to VMH. Meg Willoughby, the head of materials management at VMH, has a cou- ple of specifi c assignments that you will work on later.
For now, Meg has suggested that you prepare a concise research report for top management addressing SCM issues relevant to VMH. She has also put together a few specifi c questions for you to address. Th is assign- ment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material covered in Chapter 4.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site.
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Supply Chain Management at Valley Memorial Hospital
Internet Challenge: Global Shopping
Since the Internet provides access to products around the world, your challenge involves some global shop- ping. Th is year you have been given a budget of $10,000 to furnish and decorate your off -campus apartment. You have chosen a global theme. Your job is to fi nd items from as many diff erent parts of the world as you can to use in your apartment. You can spend up to $10,000 but you cannot exceed your budget. Do not for- get that shipping must be included in your budget. You can choose more than a single item from any country.
(a) Visit the Internet to fi nd products for your apart- ment. You need to furnish a one-bedroom apartment.
You do not need to worry about major appliances (computer, television, stereo, oven, refrigerator, dish- washer, etc.), but you do need everything else. Since you plan to host a major party in your new apart- ment, everything you buy must be delivered within six weeks.
(b) Provide a list of all of the items you would buy, the cost of each item, and the total money spent. Orga- nize your list by the room the item is intended for. Be sure to identify the country of origin for each item. Have fun shopping!
Selected Bibliography
Atkinson, W. “Th e Big Trends in Sourcing and Procure- ment,” Supply Chain Management Review, May 1, 2008.
“Champion of Green: An Interview with Drew Schramm.” Supply Chain Management Review, July 1, 2008.
“City of Lynchburg: Current Solicitations.” http://www/ lynchburgva.gov/current-solicitations.
“City of Lynchburg: Purchasing Code and Ethics.” http:// www.lynchburgva.gov/procurement.
Frei, W. “Online Sales Tax Bill Sees New Life in the Senate.” http://www.avalara.com/blog/2014/07/17/online-sales- tax-bill-sees-new-life-senate/. July 17, 2014.
Selected Bibliography • 149
150 CHAPTER 4 • Supply Chain Management
“Governors Want Action on Internet Sales Tax Bill.” http:// www.theleafchronicle.com/story/opinion/editorials/2014/ 07/25/governors-want-action-internet-sales-tax-bill/ 13118465/. July 25, 2014.
Howton, J. “Crossdocking: A New Vision for an Old Idea.” http://inboundlogistics.com/cms/article/crossdocking- a-new-vision-for-an-old-idea/. April 2010.
LaLonde, B. “As the World Goes Global, Supply Chain Velocity Will Actually Decrease in Many Instances. Th e Key Is How You Respond,” Supply Chain Management Review, January 1, 2006.
LaLonde, B. “Crunch Time in the Supply Chain—Huge Domestic and Global Developments Could Radically Change the Way We Th ink about Supply Chain Man- agement,” Supply Chain Management Review, March 1, 2005.
“Mexico’s New $900 Million Mega-Container Port.” http:// gcaptain.com/mexicos-900-million-mega-container/. September 5, 2012.
Murfee, A. “Cross Docking.” http://ezinearticles.com/? Cross-Docking&id=7219340. August 8, 2012.
Napolitano, M. “Crossdocking: Th e Latest and Greatest.” http://www.mmh.com/article/crossdocking_the_latest_ and_greatest/. April 1, 2010.
“New Dimensions in Supply Chain Management: Eight Strategies for Improving Performance from Concept to Customer.” Infor SCM Whitepater. Infor Corporate Headquarters, Alpharetta, Ga. Copyright 2007.
“Pollution, Whales Prompt Shipping Slow-down in California.” http://news.msn.com/us/pollution-whales-prompt- shipping-slow-down-in-California. August 12, 1014.
“Punta Colonet Project on Hold by Mexico.” http://www. longshoreshippingnews.com/tag/punta-colonet/.
Sills, J. “Applying Green Principles to Supply Chain Man- agement.” http://ezinearticles.com/?AppIying-Green- Principles-to-Supply-Chain-Management. Copyright 2011.
Simpson, D., and D. Samson. “Developing Strategies for Green Supply Chain Management,” Decision Line, July 2008.
“Supply Chain Business Strategies.” http://www.purchasing. upenn.edu/supply-chain/core.php.
Sutherland, J., and B. Bennett. “Th e Seven Deadly Supply Chain Wastes,” Supply Chain Management Review, July 1, 2008.
151
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. Trends in total quality management (TQM), Chapter 1.
2. Quality as a competitive priority, Chapter 2.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Explain the meaning of total
quality management (TQM). 2 Identify costs of quality. 3 Describe the evolution of TQM. 4 Identify features of the TQM
philosophy. 5 Describe quality awards and
quality certifi cations. 6 Understand why and how TQM
efforts fail.
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E veryone has had experiences of poor quality when dealing with busi- ness organizations. These experiences might involve an airline that has lost a passenger’s luggage, a dry cleaner that has left clothes wrinkled or
stained, poor course offerings and scheduling at your college, a purchased product that is damaged or broken, or a pizza delivery service that is often late or delivers the wrong order. The experience of poor quality is exacerbated when employees of the company either are not empowered to correct quality inadequacies or do not seem willing to do so. We have all encountered service employees who do not seem to care. The consequences of such an attitude are lost customers and oppor- tunities for competitors to take advantage of the market need.
Successful companies understand the powerful impact customer-defined quality can have on business. For this reason, many competitive firms continually
increase their quality stan- dards. For example, Ford Motor Company’s focus on quality improvements has led to new levels of customer sat- isfaction with vehicle quality. Ford focused on tightening already strict standards in its production process and implementing a quality pro- gram called Six Sigma. This enabled Ford to be tied with Toyota as the industry leader
in 2009. By 2014 Ford had been the recipient of multiple quality awards as noted by J.D. Power.
In this chapter you will learn that making quality a priority means putting cus- tomer needs first. It means meeting and exceeding customer expectations by involving everyone in the organization through an integrated effort. Total quality management (TQM) is an integrated organizational effort designed to improve quality at every level. In this chapter you will learn about the philosophy of TQM, its impact on organizations, and its impact on your life. You will learn that TQM is about meeting quality expectations as defined by the customer; this is called customer-defined quality. However, defining quality is not as easy as it may seem, because different people have different ideas of what constitutes high quality. Let’s begin by looking at different ways in which quality can be defined. •
152 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
Defining Quality The definition of quality depends on the point of view of the people defining it. Most consumers have a difficult time defining quality, but they know it when they see it. For example, although you probably have an opinion as to which manufacturer of athletic shoes provides the highest quality, it would probably be difficult for you to define your quality standard in precise terms. Also, your friends may have different opinions regarding which athletic shoes are of highest quality. The difficulty in defining quality exists regardless of product, and this is true for both manufacturing and service organizations. Think about how difficult it may be to define quality for products such as airline services, child day-care facilities, college classes, or even OM text- books. Further complicating the issue is that the meaning of quality has changed over time.
Today, there is no single, universal definition of quality. Some people view quality as “per- formance to standards.” Others view it as “meeting the customer’s needs” or “satisfying the customer.” Let’s look at some of the more common definitions of quality.
· Conformance to specifi cations measures how well the product or service meets the targets and tolerances determined by its designers. For example, the dimensions of a machine part may be specifi ed by its design engineers as 3 ± 0.05 inches. Th is would mean that the target dimension is 3 inches, but the dimensions can vary between 2.95 and 3.05 inches. Similarly, the wait for hotel room service may be specifi ed as 20 minutes, but there may be an acceptable delay of an additional 10 minutes. Also, consider the amount of light delivered by a 60-watt light bulb. If the bulb delivers 50 watts, it does not conform to specifi cations. As these examples illustrate, conformance to specifi ca- tions is directly measurable, though it may not be directly related to the consumer’s idea of quality.
· Fitness for use focuses on how well the product performs its intended function or use. For example, a Mercedes-Benz and a Jeep Cherokee both meet a fi tness for use defi nition if one considers transportation as the intended function. However, if the defi nition becomes more specifi c and assumes that the intended use is for transpor- tation on mountain roads and carrying fi shing gear, the Jeep Cherokee has a greater fi tness for use. You can also see that fi tness for use is a user-based defi nition in that it is intended to meet the needs of a specifi c user group.
· Value for price paid is a defi nition of quality that consumers often use for product or service usefulness. Th is is the only defi nition that combines economics with con- sumer criteria; it assumes that the defi nition of quality is price sensitive. For example, suppose that you wish to sign up for a personal fi nance seminar and discover that the same class is being taught at two diff erent colleges at signifi cantly diff erent tuition rates. If you take the less expensive seminar, you will feel that you have received greater value for the price.
· Support services provided are often how the quality of a product or service is judged. Quality does not apply only to the product or service itself; it also applies to the people, processes, and organizational environment associated with it. For example, the quality of a university is judged not only by the quality of staff and course off erings but also by the effi ciency and accuracy of processing paperwork.
· Psychological criteria is a subjective defi nition that focuses on the judgmental eval- uation of what constitutes product or service quality. Diff erent factors contribute to the evaluation, such as the atmosphere of the environment or the perceived prestige of the product. For example, a hospital patient may receive average healthcare, but a very friendly staff may leave the impression of high quality. Similarly, we commonly associate certain products with excellence because of their reputation; Rolex watches and Mercedes-Benz automobiles are examples.
Conformance to specifi cations How well a product or service meets the targets and tolerances determined by its designers.
Fitness for use A defi nition of quality that evaluates how well the product performs for its intended use.
Value for price paid Quality defi ned in terms of product or service usefulness for the price paid.
Support services Quality defi ned in terms of the support provided after the product or service is purchased.
Psychological criteria A way of defi ning quality that focuses on judgmental evaluations of what constitutes product or service excellence.
Defi ning Quality • 153
Differences between Manufacturing and Service Organizations Defining quality in manufacturing organizations is often different than it is for service organi- zations. Manufacturing organizations produce a tangible product that can be seen, touched, and directly measured. Examples include cars, CD players, clothes, computers, and food items. Therefore, quality definitions in manufacturing usually focus on tangible product features.
The most common quality definition in manufacturing is conformance, which is the degree to which a product characteristic meets preset standards. Other common definitions of quality in manufacturing include performance, such as acceleration of a vehicle; reliability, meaning that the product will function as expected without failure; features, the extras that are included beyond the basic characteristics; durability, the expected operational life of the product; and serviceability, how readily a product can be repaired. The relative importance of these defini- tions is based on the preferences of each individual customer. It is easy to see how different customers can have different definitions in mind when they speak of high product quality.
In contrast to manufacturing, service organizations produce a product that is intangible. Usually, the complete product cannot be seen or touched. Rather, it is experienced. Examples include delivery of healthcare, the experience of staying at a vacation resort, and learning at a university. The intangible nature of the product makes defining quality difficult. Also, since a service is experienced, perceptions can be highly subjective. In addition to tangible factors, quality of services is often defined by perceptual factors. These include responsive- ness to customer needs, courtesy and friendliness of staff, promptness in resolving complaints, and atmosphere. Other definitions of quality in services include time, the amount of time a customer has to wait for the service; and consistency, the degree to which the service is the same each time. For these rea- sons, defining quality in services can be especially challenging. Dimensions of quality for man- ufacturing versus service orga- nizations are shown in Table 5.1.
Today’s customers demand and expect high quality. Com- panies that do not make quality a priority risk long-run survival. World-class organizations such as General Electric and Moto- rola attribute their success to
LINKSTO PRACTICE
GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY www.ge.com
MOTOROLA, INC. www.motorola.com
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TABLE 5.1 Dimensions of Quality for Manufacturing versus Service Organizations
Manufacturing Organizations Service Organizations
Conformance to specifi cations Intangible factors
Performance Consistency
Reliability Responsiveness to customer needs
Features Courtesy/friendliness
Durability Timeliness/promptness
Serviceability Atmosphere
154 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
having one of the best quality management programs in the world. These companies were some of the first to implement a quality program called Six Sigma, where the level of defects is reduced to approximately 3.4 parts per million. To achieve this level, everyone in the com- pany is trained in quality. For example, individuals highly trained in quality improvement principles and techniques receive a designation called “Black Belt.” The full-time job of Black Belts is to identify and solve quality problems. In fact, Motorola was one of the first compa- nies to win the prestigious Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award in 1988 due to its high focus on quality. Both GE and Motorola have had a primary goal of achieving total customer satisfaction. To this end, the efforts of these organizations have included eliminating almost all defects from products, processes, and transactions. Both companies consider quality to be the critical factor that has resulted in significant increases in sales and market share, as well as cost savings in the range of millions of dollars.
Cost of Quality The reason quality has gained such prominence is that organizations have gained an understanding of the high cost of poor quality. Quality affects all aspects of the organi- zation and has dramatic cost implications. The most obvious consequence occurs when poor quality creates dissatisfied customers and eventually leads to loss of business. How- ever, quality has many other costs, which can be divided into two categories. The first category consists of costs necessary for achieving high quality, which are called quality control costs. These are of two types: prevention costs and appraisal costs. The second cat- egory consists of the cost consequences of poor quality, which are called quality failure costs. These include external failure costs and internal failure costs. These costs of quality are shown in Figure 5.1. The first two costs are incurred in the hope of preventing the second two.
Prevention costs are all costs incurred in the process of preventing poor quality from occurring. They include quality planning costs, such as the costs of developing and implementing a quality plan. Also included are the costs of product and process design, from collecting customer information to designing processes that achieve con- formance to specifications. Employee training in quality measurement is included as part of this cost, as well as the costs of maintaining records of information and data related to quality.
Appraisal costs are incurred in the process of uncovering defects. They include the cost of quality inspections, product testing, and performing audits to make sure that quality
Prevention costs Costs incurred in the process of preventing poor quality from occurring.
Appraisal costs Costs incurred in the process of uncovering defects.
FIGURE 5.1 Cost of quality
Prevention costs. Costs of preparing and implementing a quality plan.
Appraisal costs. Costs of testing, evaluating, and inspecting quality.
Internal failure costs. Costs of scrap, rework, and material losses.
External failure costs. Costs of failure at customer site, including returns, repairs, and recalls.
Cost of Quality • 155
standards are being met. Also included in this category are the costs of worker time spent measuring quality and the cost of equipment used for quality appraisal.
Internal failure costs are associated with discovering poor product quality before the product reaches the customer site. One type of internal failure cost is rework, which is the cost of correcting the defective item. Sometimes the item is so defective that it cannot be corrected and must be thrown away. This is called scrap, and its costs include all the material, labor, and machine cost spent in producing the defective product. Other types of internal failure costs include the cost of machine downtime due to failures in the process and the costs of discounting defective items for salvage value.
External failure costs are associated with quality problems that occur at the cus- tomer site. These costs can be particularly damaging because customer faith and loyalty can be difficult to regain. They include everything from customer complaints, product returns, and repairs to warranty claims, recalls, and even litigation costs resulting from product liability issues. A final component of this cost is lost sales and lost customers. For example, manufacturers of lunch meats and hot dogs whose products have been recalled due to bacterial contamination have had to struggle to regain consumer confidence. Other examples include auto manufacturers whose products have been recalled due to major malfunctions such as problematic braking systems and airlines that have experi- enced a crash with many fatalities. External failure can sometimes put a company out of business almost overnight.
Companies that consider quality important invest heavily in prevention and appraisal costs in order to prevent internal and external failure costs. The earlier defects are found, the less costly they are to correct. For example, detecting and correcting defects during product design and product production is considerably less expensive than when the defects are found at the customer site. This is shown in Figure 5.2.
External failure costs tend to be particularly high for service organizations. The reason is that with a service the customer spends much time in the service delivery system, and there are fewer opportunities to correct defects than there are in manufacturing. Examples of external failure in services include overbooking airline flights, long delays in airline service, and lost luggage.
Internal failure costs Costs associated with discovering poor product quality before the product reaches the customer.
External failure costs Costs associated with quality problems that occur at the customer site.
FIGURE 5.2 Cost of defects
LOCATION OF DEFECT
C O
S T O
F D
E F E
C T
Product Design
Product Production
Customer Site
156 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
The Evolution of Total Quality Management (TQM)
The concept of quality has existed for many years, though its meaning has changed and evolved over time. In the early twentieth century, quality management meant inspecting products to ensure that they met specifications. In the 1940s, during World War II, quality became more statistical in nature. Statistical sampling techniques were used to evaluate quality, and quality control charts were used to monitor the production process. In the 1960s, with the help of so-called quality gurus, the concept took on a broader meaning. Quality began to be viewed as something that encompassed the entire organization, not only the production process. Since all functions were responsible for product quality and all shared the costs of poor quality, quality was seen as a concept that affected the entire organization.
The meaning of quality for businesses changed dramatically in the late 1970s. Before then quality was still viewed as something that needed to be inspected and corrected. How- ever, in the 1970s and 1980s, many U.S. industries lost market share to foreign competition. In the auto industry, manufacturers such as Toyota and Honda became major players. In the consumer goods market, companies such as Toshiba and Sony led the way. These foreign competitors were producing lower-priced products with considerably higher quality.
To survive, companies had to make major changes in their quality programs. Many hired consultants and instituted quality training programs for their employees. A new concept of quality was emerging. One result was that quality began to have a strategic meaning. Today, successful companies understand that quality provides a competitive advantage. They put the customer first and define quality as meeting or exceeding customer expectations.
Since the 1970s, competition based on quality has grown in importance and has generated tremendous interest, concern, and enthusiasm. Companies in every line of business are focus- ing on improving quality in order to be more competitive. In many industries quality excel- lence has become a standard for doing business. Companies that do not meet this standard simply will not survive. As you will see later in the chapter, the importance of quality is demon- strated by national quality awards and quality certifications that are coveted by businesses.
The term used for today’s new concept of quality is total quality management or TQM. Figure 5.3 presents a time line of the old and new concepts of quality. You can see that the old concept is reactive, designed to correct quality problems after they occur. The new con- cept is proactive, designed to build quality into the product and process design. Next, we look at the individuals who have shaped our understanding of quality.
Quality Gurus To fully understand the TQM movement, we need to look at the philosophies of notable individuals who have shaped the evolution of TQM. Their philosophies and teachings have
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Total quality management (TQM) Philosophy that seeks to improve quality by eliminating causes of product defects and by making quality the responsibility of everyone in the organization.
TIME: Early 1900s 1940s 1960s 1980s and Beyond
FOCUS: Inspection Statistical sampling
Organizational quality focus
Customer-driven quality
Old Concept of Quality: Inspect for quality after production.
New Concept of Quality: Build quality into the process. Identify and correct causes of
quality problems.
FIGURE 5.3 Time line showing the differences between old and new concepts of quality
The Evolution of Total Quality Management (TQM) • 157
contributed to our knowledge and understanding of quality today. Table 5.2 summarizes their individual contributions.
Walter A. Shewhart Walter A. Shewhart was a statistician at Bell Labs during the 1920s and 1930s. Shewhart studied randomness and recognized that variability existed in all man- ufacturing processes. He developed quality control charts that are used to identify whether the variability in the process is random or due to an assignable cause, such as poor workers or miscalibrated machinery. He stressed that eliminating variability improves quality. His work created the foundation for today’s statistical process control, and he is often referred to as the “grandfather of quality control.”
W. Edwards Deming W. Edwards Deming is often referred to as the “father of quality control.” He was a statistics professor at New York University in the 1940s. After World War II, he assisted many Japanese companies in improving quality. The Japanese regarded him so highly that in 1951 they established the Deming Prize, an annual award given to firms that demonstrate outstanding quality. It was almost 30 years before American businesses began adopting Deming’s philosophy.
A number of elements of Deming’s philosophy depart from traditional notions of quality. The first is the role management should play in a company’s quality improvement effort. Historically, poor quality was blamed on workers—on their lack of productivity, laziness, or carelessness. However, Deming pointed out that only 15 percent of quality problems are actually due to worker error. The remaining 85 percent are caused by processes and sys- tems, including poor management. Deming said that it is up to management to correct system problems and create an environment that promotes quality and enables workers to achieve their full potential. He believed that managers should drive out any fear employees have of identifying quality problems and that numerical quotas should be eliminated. Proper methods should be taught, and detecting and eliminating poor quality should be everyone’s responsibility.
Deming outlined his philosophy on quality in his famous “14 Points.” These points are principles that help guide companies in achieving quality improvement. The principles are founded on the idea that upper management must develop a commitment to quality and provide a system to support this commitment that involves all employees and suppliers.
TABLE 5.2 Quality Gurus and Their Contributions
Quality Guru Main Contribution
Walter A. Shewhart –Contributed to understanding of process variability. –Developed concept of statistical control charts.
W. Edwards Deming –Stressed management’s responsibility for quality. – Developed “14 Points” to guide companies in quality improvement.
Joseph M. Juran –Defi ned quality as “fi tness for use.” –Developed concept of cost of quality.
Armand V. Feigenbaum –Introduced concept of total quality control.
Philip B. Crosby –Coined phrase “quality is free.” –Introduced concept of zero defects.
Kaoru Ishikawa –Developed cause-and-effect diagrams. –Identifi ed concept of “internal customer.”
Genichi Taguchi –Focused on product design quality. –Developed Taguchi loss function.
158 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
Deming stressed that quality improvements cannot happen without the organizational change that comes from upper management.
Joseph M. Juran After W. Edwards Deming, Dr. Joseph M. Juran is considered to have had the greatest impact on quality management. Juran originally worked in the quality pro- gram at Western Electric, a former equipment division of AT&T. He became better known in 1951 after the publication of his book Quality Control Handbook. In 1954, he went to Japan to work with manufacturers and teach classes on quality. Though his philosophy is similar to Deming’s, there are some differences. Whereas Deming stressed the need for an organizational “transformation,” Juran believed that implementing quality initiatives should not require such a dramatic change and that quality management should be embedded in the organization.
One of Juran’s significant contributions was his focus on the definition of quality and the cost of quality. Juran is credited with defining quality as fitness for use rather than simply con- formance to specifications. As we have learned in this chapter, defining quality as fitness for use takes into account customer intentions for use of the product, instead of focusing only on tech- nical specifications. Juran is also credited with developing the concept of cost of quality, which allows us to measure quality in dollar terms rather than on the basis of subjective evaluations.
Juran is well known for originating the idea of the quality trilogy: quality planning, quality control, and quality improvement. The first part of the trilogy, quality planning, is necessary so that companies identify their customers, product requirements, and overriding business goals. Processes should be set up to ensure that the quality standards can be met. The sec- ond part of the trilogy, quality control, stresses the regular use of statistical control methods to ensure that quality standards are met and to identify variations from the standards. The third part of the quality trilogy is quality improvement. According to Juran, quality improve- ments should not be just breakthroughs, but continuous as well. Together with Deming, Juran stressed that to implement continuous improvement, workers need to have training in proper methods on a regular basis.
Armand V. Feigenbaum Another quality leader is Armand V. Feigenbaum, who intro- duced the concept of total quality control. In his 1961 book Total Quality Control, he out- lined his quality principles in 40 steps. Feigenbaum took a total system approach to quality. He promoted the idea of a work environment where quality developments are integrated throughout the entire organization, where management and employees have a total com- mitment to improve quality, and where people learn from each other’s successes. This phi- losophy was adapted by the Japanese and termed “company-wide quality control.”
Philip B. Crosby Philip B. Crosby is another recognized guru of TQM. He worked in the area of quality for many years, first at Martin Marietta and then, in the 1970s, as the vice president for quality at ITT. He developed the phrase “Do it right the first time” and the notion of zero defects, arguing that no amount of defects should be considered acceptable. He scorned the idea that a small number of defects is a normal part of the operating process because systems and workers are imperfect. Instead, he stressed the idea of prevention.
To promote his concepts, Crosby wrote a book titled Quality Is Free, which was published in 1979. He became famous for coining the phrase “quality is free” and for pointing out the many costs of quality, which include not only the costs of wasted labor, equipment time, scrap, rework, and lost sales but also organizational costs that are hard to quantify. Crosby stressed that efforts to improve quality more than pay for themselves because these costs are prevented. Therefore, quality is free. Like Deming and Juran, Crosby stressed the role of management in the quality improvement effort and the use of statistical control tools in measuring and monitoring quality.
Kaoru Ishikawa Kaoru Ishikawa is best known for the development of quality tools called cause-and-effect diagrams, also called fishbone or Ishikawa diagrams. These diagrams are used for quality problem solving, and we will look at them in detail later in the chapter.
The Evolution of Total Quality Management (TQM) • 159
He was the first quality guru to emphasize the importance of the “internal customer,” the next person in the production process. He was also one of the first to stress the importance of total company quality control, rather than just focusing on products and services.
Dr. Ishikawa believed that everyone in the company needed to be united with a shared vision and a common goal. He stressed that quality initiatives should be pursued at every level of the organization and that all employees should be involved. Dr. Ishikawa was a pro- ponent of implementation of quality circles, which are small teams of employees who volun- teer to solve quality problems.
Genichi Taguchi Dr. Genichi Taguchi is a Japanese quality expert known for his work in the area of product design. He estimates that as much as 80 percent of all defective items are caused by poor product design. Taguchi stresses that companies should focus their quality efforts on the design stage, as it is much cheaper and easier to make changes during the product design stage than later during the production process.
Taguchi is known for applying a concept called design of experiment to product design. This method is an engineering approach based on developing robust design, a design that results in products that can perform over a wide range of conditions. The idea is that it is easier to design a product that can perform over a wide range of environmental conditions than it is to control the environmental conditions.
Taguchi has also had a large impact on today’s view of the costs of quality. He pointed out that the traditional view of costs of conformance to specifications is incorrect and proposed a different way to look at these costs. Let’s briefly look at Dr. Taguchi’s view of quality costs.
Recall that conformance to specification specifies a target value for the product with specified tolerances, say 5.00 ± 0.20. According to the traditional view of conformance to specifications, losses in terms of cost occur if the product dimensions fall outside of the specified limits. This is shown in Figure 5.4. However, Dr. Taguchi noted that from the cus- tomer’s view there is little difference whether a product falls just outside or just inside the control limits. He pointed out that there is a much greater difference in the quality of the product between making the target and being near the control limit. He also stated that the smaller the variation around the target, the better the quality. Based on this, he pro- posed the following: as conformance values move away from the target, loss increases as a quadratic function. The Taguchi loss function is shown in Figure 5.5. According to the
Robust design A design that results in a product that can perform over a wide range of conditions.
Taguchi loss function Costs of quality increase as a quadratic function as conformance values move away from the target.
Target 5.00
tolerances
Cost
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FIGURE 5.4 Traditional view of the cost of nonconformance
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FIGURE 5.5 Taguchi view of the cost of non- conformance—the Taguchi loss function
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function, smaller differences from the target result in smaller costs: the larger the differ- ences, the larger the cost. The Taguchi loss function has had a significant impact on chang- ing views of quality cost.
The Philosophy of TQM What characterizes TQM is the focus on identifying root causes of quality problems and correcting them at the source, as opposed to inspecting the product after it has been made. Not only does TQM encompass the entire organization but it stresses that quality is cus- tomer driven. TQM attempts to embed quality in every aspect of the organization. It is con- cerned with the technical aspects of quality as well as the involvement of people in quality, such as customers, company employees, and suppliers. Here we look at the specific con- cepts that make up the philosophy of TQM. These concepts and their main ideas are sum- marized in Table 5.3.
Customer Focus The first, and overriding, feature of TQM is the company’s focus on its customers. Quality is defined as meeting or exceeding customer expectations. The goal is to first identify and then meet customer needs. TQM recognizes that a perfectly produced product has little value if it is not what the customer wants. Therefore, we can say that quality is customer driven. However, it is not always easy to determine what the customer wants because tastes and preferences change. Also, customer expectations often vary from one customer to the next. For example, in the auto industry trends change relatively quickly, from small cars to sports utility vehicles and back to small cars. The same is true in the retail industry, where styles and fashion are short-lived. Companies need to continually gather information by means of focus groups, market surveys, and customer interviews in order to stay in tune with what customers want. They must always remember that they would not be in business if it were not for their customers.
Continuous Improvement Another concept of the TQM philosophy is the focus on continuous improvement. Tradi- tional systems operated on the assumption that once a company achieved a certain level of
HRMMKT
Continuous improvement A philosophy of never- ending improvement.
TABLE 5.3 Concepts of the TQM Philosophy
Concept Main Idea
Customer focus Goal is to identify and meet customer needs.
Continuous improvement A philosophy of never-ending improvement.
Employee empowerment Employees are expected to seek out, identify, and correct quality problems.
Use of quality tools Ongoing employee training in the use of quality tools.
Product design Products need to be designed to meet customer expectations.
Process management Quality should be built into the process; sources of quality problems should be identifi ed and corrected.
Managing supplier quality Quality concepts must extend to a company’s suppliers.
The Philosophy of TQM • 161
quality, it was successful and needed to make no further improvements. We tend to think of improvement in terms of plateaus that are to be achieved, such as passing a certifica- tion test or reducing the number of defects to a certain level. Traditionally, for American managers change involves large magnitudes, such as major organizational restructuring. The Japanese, on the other hand, believe that the best and most lasting changes come from gradual improvements. To use an analogy, they believe that it is better to take frequent small doses of medicine than to take one large dose. Continuous improvement, called kaizen by the Japanese, requires that the company continually strive to be better through learning and problem solving. Because we can never achieve perfection, we must always evaluate our performance and take measures to improve it.
Now let’s look at two approaches that can help companies with continuous improve- ment: the plan–do–study–act (PDSA) cycle and benchmarking.
The Plan–Do–Study–Act Cycle The plan–do–study–act (PDSA) cycle describes the activities a company needs to perform in order to incorporate continuous improvement in its operation. This cycle, shown in Figure 5.6, is also referred to as the Shewhart cycle or the Deming wheel. The circular nature of this cycle shows that continuous improvement is a never-ending process. Let’s look at the specific steps in the cycle.
· Plan Th e fi rst step in the PDSA cycle is to plan. Managers must evaluate the current process and make plans based on any problems they fi nd. Th ey need to document all current procedures, collect data, and identify problems. Th is information should then be studied and used to develop a plan for improvement as well as specifi c measures to evaluate performance.
· Do Th e next step in the cycle is implementing the plan (do). During the implemen- tation process managers should document all changes made and collect data for evaluation.
· Study Th e third step is to study the data collected in the previous phase. Th e data are evaluated to see whether the plan is achieving the goals established in the plan phase.
· Act The last phase of the cycle is to act on the basis of the results of the first three phases. The best way to accomplish this is to communicate the results to other mem- bers of the company and then implement the new procedure if it has been successful. Note that this is a cycle; the next step is to plan again. After we have acted, we need to continue evaluating the process, planning, and repeating the cycle again.
Benchmarking Another way companies implement continuous improvement is by study- ing business practices of companies considered “best in class.” This is called benchmarking. The ability to learn and study how others do things is an important part of continuous improvement. The benchmark company does not have to be in the same business as long as it excels at something that the company doing the study wishes to emulate. For example, many companies have used Lands’ End to benchmark catalog distribution and order filling
Kaizen A Japanese term that describes the notion of a company continually striving to be better through learning and problem solving.
Plan–do–study–act (PDSA) cycle A diagram that describes the activities that need to be performed to incorporate continuous improvement into the operation.
Benchmarking The process of studying the practices of companies considered “best-in-class” and comparing your company’s performance against theirs.
Plan
Study
Act Do
FIGURE 5.6 The plan–do–study–act cycle
162 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
because Lands’ End is considered a leader in this area. Similarly, many companies have used American Express to benchmark conflict resolution.
Employee Empowerment Part of the TQM philosophy is to empower all employees to seek out quality problems and correct them. Under the old concept of quality, employees were afraid to identify problems for fear that they would be reprimanded. Often, poor quality was passed on to someone else in order to make it “someone else’s problem.” The new concept of quality, TQM, provides incentives for employees to identify quality problems. Employees are rewarded for uncover- ing quality problems, not punished.
In TQM, the role of employees is very different from what it was in traditional systems. Workers are empowered to make decisions relative to quality in the production process. They are considered a vital element of the effort to achieve high quality. Their contributions are highly valued, and their suggestions are implemented. In order to perform this function, employees are given continual and extensive training in quality measurement tools.
To further stress the role of employees in quality, TQM differentiates between external and internal customers. External customers are those that purchase the company’s goods and services. Internal customers are employees of the organization who receive goods or services from others in the company. For example, the packaging department of an organization is an internal customer of the assembly department. Just as a defective item would not be passed to an external customer, a defective item should not be passed to an internal customer.
Team Approach TQM stresses that quality is an organizational effort. To facilitate the solving of quality problems, it places great emphasis on teamwork. The use of teams is based on the old adage that “two heads are better than one.” Using techniques such as brain- storming, discussion, and quality control tools, teams work regularly to correct problems. The contributions of teams are considered vital to the success of the company. For this rea- son, companies set aside time in the workday for team meetings.
Teams vary in their degree of structure and formality, and different types of teams solve different types of problems. One of the most common types of teams is the quality circle, a team of volunteer production employees and their supervisors whose purpose is to solve quality problems. The circle is usually composed of eight to ten members, and decisions are made through group consensus. The teams usually meet weekly during work hours in a place designated for this purpose. They follow a preset process for analyzing and solving quality problems. Open discussion is promoted, and criticism is not allowed. Although the functioning of quality circles is friendly and casual, it is serious business. Quality circles are not mere “gab sessions.” Rather, they do important work for the company and have been very successful in many firms.
The importance of excep- tional quality is demonstrated by The Walt Disney Company in the operation of its theme parks. The focus of the parks is customer satisfaction. This is accomplished through metic- ulous attention to every detail, with particular focus on the role of employees in service delivery. Employees are viewed as the most important orga- nizational resource, and great
Quality circle A team of volunteer production employees and their supervisors who meet regularly to solve quality problems.
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care is taken in employee hiring and training. All employees are called “cast members,” regard- less of whether they are janitors or performers. They are extensively trained in customer ser- vice, communication, and quality awareness. Continual monitoring of quality is considered important, and employees meet regularly in teams to evaluate their effectiveness. All employ- ees are shown how the quality of their individual jobs contributes to the success of the park.
Use of Quality Tools You can see that TQM places a great deal of responsibility on all workers. If employees are to identify and correct quality problems, they need proper training. They need to under- stand how to assess quality by using a variety of quality control tools, how to interpret find- ings, and how to correct problems. In this section we look at seven different quality tools, often called the seven tools of quality control (Figure 5.7). They are easy to understand, yet
Suppliers
Environment
Workers
Processes
Machines
Materials
Quality Problems
1. Cause-and-Effect Diagram 4. Control Chart
5. Scatter Diagram
6. Pareto Chart
2. Flowchart
3. Checklist
Defect Type
Broken zipper Ripped material Missing buttons Faded color
3 7 3 2
No. of Defects Total
UCL
LCL
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A B C D E
%
7. Histogram
A B C D E
Frequency
F re
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FIGURE 5.7 The seven tools of quality control
164 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
extremely useful in identifying and analyzing quality problems. Sometimes workers use only one tool at a time, but often a combination of tools is most helpful.
Cause-and-Effect Diagrams Cause-and-effect diagrams identify potential causes of particular quality problems. They are often called fishbone diagrams because they look like the bones of a fish (Figure 5.8). The “head” of the fish is the quality problem, such as damaged zippers on a garment or broken valves on a tire. The diagram is drawn so that the “spine” of the fish connects the “head” to the possible cause of the problem. These causes could be related to the machines, workers, measurement, suppliers, materials, and many other aspects of the production process. Each of these possible causes can then have smaller “bones” addressing specific issues that relate to each cause. For example, a problem with machines could be due to a need for adjustment, old equipment, or tooling problems. Similarly, a problem with workers could be related to lack of training, poor supervision, or fatigue.
Cause-and-effect diagrams are problem-solving tools commonly used by quality con- trol teams. Specific causes of problems can be explored through brainstorming. The devel- opment of a cause-and-effect diagram requires the team to think through all the possible causes of poor quality.
Flowcharts A flowchart is a schematic diagram of the sequence of steps involved in an operation or process. It provides a visual tool that is easy to use and understand. By seeing the steps involved in an operation or process, everyone develops a clear picture of how the operation works and where problems could arise.
Checklists A checklist is a list of common defects and the number of observed occur- rences of these defects. It is a simple yet effective fact-finding tool that allows the worker to collect specific information regarding the defects observed. The checklist in Figure 5.7 shows four defects and the number of times they have been observed. It is clear that the biggest problem is ripped material. This means that the plant needs to focus on this spe- cific problem—for example, by going to the source of supply or seeing whether the material rips during a particular production process. A checklist can also be used to focus on other
Cause-and-effect diagram A chart that identifi es potential causes of particular quality problems.
Flowchart A schematic of the sequence of steps involved in an operation or process.
Checklist A list of common defects and the number of observed occurrences of these defects.
Environment Processes Materials
Suppliers
late deliveries
Quality Problem
training
ability
supervision
experience
maintenance
calibration
type
age
temperature process design
material grade
type
poor quality management
out of specification
poor product design dust
lighting
ventilation
out of spec material
defects
Workers Machines
FIGURE 5.8 A general cause-and-effect (fishbone) diagram
The Philosophy of TQM • 165
dimensions, such as location or time. For example, if a defect is being observed frequently, a checklist can be developed that measures the number of occurrences per shift, per machine, or per operator. In this fashion we can isolate the location of the particular defect and then focus on correcting the problem.
Control Charts Control charts are a very important quality control tool. We will study the use of control charts at great length in the next chapter. These charts are used to eval- uate whether a process is operating within expectations relative to some measured value such as weight, width, or volume. For example, we could measure the weight of a sack of flour, the width of a tire, or the volume of a bottle of soft drink. When the production process is operating within expectations, we say that it is “in control.”
To evaluate whether or not a process is in control, we regularly measure the variable of interest and plot it on a control chart. The chart has a line across the center representing the average value of the variable we are measuring. Above and below the center line are two lines, called the upper control limit (UCL) and the lower control limit (LCL). As long as the observed values fall within the upper and lower control limits, the process is in control and there is no problem with quality. When a measured observation falls outside of these limits, there is a problem.
Scatter Diagrams Scatter diagrams are graphs that show how two variables are related to one another. They are particularly useful in detecting the amount of correlation, or the degree of linear relationship, between two variables. For example, increased production speed and number of defects could be correlated positively; as production speed increases, so does the number of defects. Two variables could also be correlated negatively, so that an increase in one of the variables is associated with a decrease in the other. For example, increased worker training might be associated with a decrease in the number of defects observed.
The greater the degree of correlation, the more linear are the observations in the scatter diagram. On the other hand, the more scattered the observations in the diagram, the less correlation exists between the variables. Of course, other types of relationships can also be observed on a scatter diagram, such as an inverted ∪. This may be the case when one is observing the relationship between two variables such as oven temperature and number of defects, since temperatures below and above the ideal could lead to defects.
Pareto Analysis Pareto analysis is a technique used to identify quality problems based on their degree of importance. The logic behind Pareto analysis is that only a few quality problems are important, whereas many others are not critical. The technique was named after Vilfredo Pareto, a nineteenth-century Italian economist who determined that only a small percentage of people controlled most of the wealth. This concept has often been called the 80–20 rule and has been extended to many areas. In quality management the logic behind Pareto’s principle is that most quality problems are a result of only a few causes. The trick is to identify these causes.
One way to use Pareto analysis is to develop a chart that ranks the causes of poor quality in decreasing order based on the percentage of defects each has caused. For example, a tally can be made of the number of defects that result from different causes, such as opera- tor error, defective parts, or inaccurate machine calibrations. Percentages of defects can be computed from the tally and placed in a chart like the one shown in Figure 5.7. We generally tend to find that a few causes account for most of the defects.
Histograms A histogram is a chart that shows the frequency distribution of observed values of a variable. We can see from the plot what type of distribution a particular vari- able displays, such as whether it has a normal distribution and whether the distribution is symmetrical.
Control charts Charts used to evaluate whether a process is operating within set expectations.
Scatter diagrams Graphs that show how two variables are related to each other.
Pareto analysis A technique used to identify quality problems based on their degree of importance.
Histogram A chart that shows the frequency distribution of observed values of a variable.
166 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
In the food service industry the use of quality control tools is important in identifying quality problems. Grocery store chains, such as Kroger and Meijer, must record and monitor the quality of incoming produce, such as tomatoes and lettuce. Quality tools can be used to eval- uate the acceptability of product qual- ity and to monitor product quality from individual suppliers. They can also be used to evaluate causes of quality prob-
lems, such as long transit time or poor refrigeration. Similarly, restaurants use quality con- trol tools to evaluate and monitor the quality of delivered goods, such as meats, produce, or baked goods.
Product Design Quality Function Deployment A critical aspect of building quality into a product is to ensure that the product design meets customer expectations. This typically is not as easy as it seems. Customers often speak in everyday language. For example, a product can be described as “attractive,” “strong,” or “safe.” However, these terms can have very different meaning to dif- ferent customers. What one person considers to be strong, another may not. To produce a product that customers want, we need to translate customers’ everyday language into specific technical requirements. However, this can often be difficult. A useful tool for translating the voice of the customer into specific technical requirements is quality function deployment (QFD). Quality function deployment is also useful in enhancing communication between dif- ferent functions, such as marketing, operations, and engineering.
QFD enables us to view the relationships among the variables involved in the design of a product, such as technical versus customer requirements. This can help us analyze the big picture—for example, by running tests to see how changes in certain technical require- ments of the product affect customer requirements. An example is an automobile manufac- turer evaluating how changes in materials affect customer safety requirements. This type of analysis can be very beneficial in developing a product design that meets customer needs, yet does not create unnecessary technical requirements for production.
QFD begins by identifying important customer requirements, which typically come from the marketing department. These requirements are numerically scored based on their importance, and scores are translated into specific product characteristics. Evaluations are then made of how the product compares with its main competitors relative to the identified characteristics. Finally, specific goals are set to address the identified problems. The result- ing matrix looks like a picture of a house and is often called the house of quality.
We will consider the example of manufacturing a backpack to show how we would use QFD. We will start with a relationship matrix that ties customer requirements to product characteristics, shown in Figure 5.9.
· Customer Requirements Remember that our goal is to make a product that the cus- tomer wants. Th erefore, the fi rst thing we need to do is survey our customers to fi nd out specifi cally what they would be looking for in a product—in this case, a backpack for students. To fi nd out precisely what features students would like in a backpack, the marketing department might send representatives to talk to students on campus, con- duct telephone interviews, and maybe conduct focus groups. Let’s say that students have identifi ed fi ve desirable features: the backpack should be durable, lightweight, and roomy; look nice; and not cost very much (Figure 5.10). Th e importance customers
Quality function deployment (QFD) A tool used to translate the preferences of the customer into specifi c technical requirements.
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attach to each of these requirements is also determined and shown in Figure 5.10. Th is part of the fi gure looks like the chimney of the “house.” You can see that durability and roominess are given the greatest importance.
· Competitive Evaluation On the far right of our relationship matrix is an evaluation of how our product compares to those of competitors. In this example there are two competitors, A and B. Th e evaluation scale is from 1 to 5—the higher the rating, the better. Th e important thing here is to identify which customer requirements we should pursue and how we fare relative to our competitors. For example, you can see that our product excels in durability relative to competitors, yet it does not look as nice. Th is means that we could gain a competitive advantage by focusing our design eff orts on a more appealing product.
· Product Characteristics Specifi c product characteristics are on top of the relation- ship matrix. Th ese are technical measures. In our example they include the number of zippers and compartments, the weight of the backpack, the strength of the backpack, the grade of the dye color, and the cost of materials.
· Th e Relationship Matrix Th e strength of the relationship between customer require- ments and product characteristics is shown in the relationship matrix. For example, you can see that the number of zippers and compartments is negatively related to the weight of the backpack. A negative relationship means that as we increase the desirability of one variable, we decrease the desirability of the other. At the same time, roominess is positively related to the number of zippers and compartments, as is appearance. A positive relationship means that an increase in desirability of one
Customer Requirements
Durable
Lightweight
Roomy
Looks Nice
Low Cost
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Relationship
Strong Positive
Positive
Negative
Strong NegativeX
US = Our Backpack A = Competitor A B = Competitor B
TOTAL 100
FIGURE 5.9 Relationship matrix
168 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
variable is related to an increase in the desirability of another. Th is type of information is very important in coordinating the product design.
· Th e Trade-off Matrix You can see how the relationship matrix is beginning to look like a house. Figure 5.10 shows the complete house of quality. Th e next step in our building process is to put the “roof ” on the house. Th is is done through a trade-off matrix, which shows how each product characteristic is related to the others and thus allows us to see what trade-off s we need to make. For example, the number of zippers is negatively related to the weight of the backpack.
· Setting Targets Th e last step in constructing the house of quality is to evaluate com- petitors’ products relative to the specifi c product characteristics and to set targets for our own product. Th e bottom row of the house is the output of quality function
Customer Requirements
Durable
Lightweight
Roomy
Looks Nice
Low Cost
TOTAL
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A US/B
1 2 3 4 5
1 2 3 4 5
1 2 3 4 5
1 2 3 4 5
B AUS 1 2 3 4 5
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X
X
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US = Our Backpack A = Competitor A B = Competitor B
A GradeB
B
Competitive Evaluation
OUR TARGETS
2
3
4
$8
$10
$8
1.2 lbs.
14 lbs.
Grade A
0.8 lbs.
10 lbs.
Grade A
0.5 lbs.
16 lbs.
Product Characteristics
X
FIGURE 5.10 House of quality
The Philosophy of TQM • 169
deployment. Th ese are specifi c, measurable product characteristics that have been formulated from general customer requirements.
The house of quality has been very useful. You can see how it translates everyday terms like “lightweight,” “roominess,” and “nice looking” into specific product characteristics that can be used in manufacturing the product. Note also how the house of quality can help in the communication between marketing, operations, and design engineering.
Reliability An important dimension of product design is that the product functions as expected. This is called reliability, the probability that a product, service, or part will perform as intended for a specified period of time under normal conditions. We are all familiar with product reliability in the form of product warranties. We also know that no product is guaranteed with 100 percent certainty to function properly. However, companies know that high reliability is an important part of customer-oriented quality and try to build this into their product design.
Reliability is a probability, a likelihood, or a chance. For example, a product with a 90 percent reliability has a 90 percent chance of functioning as intended. Another way to look at it is that the probability the product will fail is 1 − 0.90 = 0.10, or 10 percent. This also means that 1 out of 10 products will not function as expected.
The reliability of a product is a direct function of the reliability of its component parts. If all the parts in a product must work for the product to function, then the reliability of the system is computed as the product of the reliabilities of the individual components:
Rs = (R1)(R2)(R3) . . . (Rn)
where Rs = reliability of the product or system R1...n = reliability of components 1 through n
Reliability The probability that a product, service, or part will perform as intended.
EXAMPLE 5.1 Computing Product Reliability
Assume that a product has two parts, both of which must work for the product to function. Part 1 has a reliability of 80 percent and part 2 has a reliability of 90 percent. Compute the reliability of the product.
• Before You Begin: Remember that the reliability of the system is simply the product of the individual reliabilities.
• Solution: The reliability of the product is
R = (0.80) (0.90) = 0.72
Part 1 Part 2
0.80 0.90
Notice in the example that the reliability of the “system” is lower than that of individual components. The reason is that all the components in a series, as in the example, must function for the product to work. If only one component doesn’t work, the entire product doesn’t work. The more components a product has, the lower its reliability. For example, a system with five components in series, each with a reliability of 0.90, has a reliability of only (0.90)(0.90)(0.90)(0.90)(0.90) = (0.90)5 = 0.59.
The failure of certain products can be very critical. One way to increase product reli- ability is to build redundancy into the product design in the form of backup parts. Consider the blackout during the summer of 2003, when most of the northeastern part of the United States was out of power for days. Critical facilities, such as hospitals, immediately switched
170 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
to backup power generators that are available when the main systems fail. Consider other critical systems, such as the navigation system of an aircraft, systems that operate nuclear power plants, the space shuttle, or even the braking system of your car. What gives these systems such high reliability is the redundancy built into the product design that serves to increase reliability.
Redundancy is built into the system by placing components in parallel so that when one component fails the other component takes over. In this case, the reliability of the system is computed by adding the reliability of the first component to the reliability of the second (backup) component, multiplied by the probability of needing the backup. The equation is as follows:
R s
= 3Reliabilit yof 1stcomponent4 + 53Reliabilit yof 2ndcomponent4 × 3Probabilityof needing2nd component46 Notice that if the reliability of the first component is 0.90, the probability of needing a sec- ond component is equal to the first component failing, which is (1 − 0.90) = 0.10. Now let’s look at an example.
Process Management According to TQM, a quality product comes from a quality process. This means that quality should be built into the process. Quality at the source is the belief that it is far better to uncover the source of quality problems and correct it than to discard defective items after production. If the source of the problem is not corrected, the problem will continue. For example, if you are baking cookies you might find that some of the cookies are burned. Simply throwing away the burned cookies will not correct the problem. You will continue to have burned cookies and will lose money when you throw them away. It will be far more effective to see where the problem is and correct it. For example, the temperature setting
Quality at the source The belief that it is best to uncover the source of quality problems and eliminate it.
EXAMPLE 5.2 Computing Product Reliability with Redundancy
Two power generators, the main and backup, provide electricity to a facility. The main generator has a reliability of 0.95 and the backup a reliability of 0.90. What is the reliability of the system?
• Before You Begin: Notice in this problem that redundancy has been added to the system in the form of a backup component. Remember to draw the backup in parallel to the original component and compute the total reliability accordingly.
• Solution: The system can be represented in the following way
Original
Backup
0.95
0.90
The reliability of the system is
Rs = 0.95 + [(0.90) × (1 − 0.95)] = 0.995
Quality Awards and Standards • 171
Today’s concept of quality, called total quality management (TQM), focuses on building quality into the process, as opposed to simply inspecting for poor quality after production. TQM is customer driven and encompasses the entire company. Before you go on, you should know the four categories of quality costs. These are prevention and appraisal costs, which are costs that are incurred to prevent poor quality, and internal and external
failure costs, which are costs that the company hopes to pre- vent. You should understand the evolution of TQM and the notable individuals who have shaped our knowledge of quality. Last, you should know the seven concepts of the TQM philo- sophy: customer focus, continuous improvement, employee empowerment, use of quality tools, product design, process management, and managing supplier quality.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
may be too high; the pan may be curved, placing some cookies closer to the heating ele- ment; or the oven may not be distributing heat evenly.
Quality at the source exemplifies the difference between the old and new concepts of quality. The old concept focused on inspecting goods after they were produced or after a particular stage of production. If an inspection revealed defects, the defective products were either discarded or sent back for reworking. All this cost the company money, and these costs were passed on to the customer. The new concept of quality focuses on identifying quality problems at the source and correcting them.
In Chapter 6 we will learn how to monitor process quality using quality tools, such as control charts.
Managing Supplier Quality TQM extends the concept of quality to a company’s suppliers. Traditionally, companies tended to have numerous suppliers who engaged in competitive price bidding. When materials arrived, they were inspected for quality. TQM views this practice as contributing to poor quality and wasted time and cost. The philosophy of TQM extends the concept of quality to suppliers and ensures that they engage in the same quality practices. If suppliers meet preset quality standards, materials do not have to be inspected upon arrival. Today, many companies have a representative residing at their supplier’s location, thereby involv- ing the supplier in every stage from product design to final production.
Quality Awards and Standards The Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award (MBNQA) The Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award was established in 1987 when Congress passed the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Improvement Act. The award is named after the former Secretary of Commerce Malcolm Baldrige, and is intended to reward and stim- ulate quality initiatives. It is designed to recognize companies that establish and demon- strate high-quality standards and is given to no more than two companies in each of three categories: manufacturing, service, and small business. Past winners include Motorola Cor- poration, Xerox, FedEx, 3M, IBM, and the Ritz-Carlton.
To compete for the Baldrige Award, companies must submit a lengthy application, which is followed by an initial screening. Companies that pass this screening move to the next step, in which they undergo a rigorous evaluation process conducted by certified Baldrige examiners. The examiners conduct site visits and examine numerous company documents. They base their evaluation on seven categories, which are shown in Figure 5.11. Let’s look at each category in more detail.
Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award An award given annually to companies that demonstrate quality excellence and establish best practice standards in industry.
172 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
1 Leadership
2 Strategic Planning
3 Customer and Market Focus
4 Information and Analysis
5 Human Resource Focus
6 Process Management
7 Business Results
TOTAL POINTS
Categories
120
85
85
90
85
85
450
1000
Points
FIGURE 5.11 Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award criteria
The first category is leadership. Examiners consider commitment by top management, their effort to create an organizational climate devoted to quality, and their active involve- ment in promoting quality. They also consider the firm’s orientation toward meeting cus- tomer needs and desires, as well as those of the community and society as a whole.
The second category is strategic planning. The examiners look for a strategic plan that has high-quality goals and specific methods for implementation. The next category, customer and market focus, addresses how the company collects market and customer information. Successful companies should use a variety of tools toward this end, such as market surveys and focus groups. The company then needs to demonstrate how it acts on this information.
The fourth category is information and analysis. Examiners evaluate how the company obtains data and how it acts on the information. The company needs to demonstrate how the information is shared within the company as well as with other parties, such as suppli- ers and customers.
The fifth and sixth categories deal with management of human resources and manage- ment of processes, respectively. These two categories together address the issues of peo- ple and process. Human resource focus addresses issues of employee involvement. This entails continuous improvement programs, employee training, and functioning of teams. Employee involvement is considered a critical element of quality. Similarly, process man- agement involves documentation of processes; use of tools for quality improvement, such as statistical process control; and the degree of process integration within the organization.
The last Baldrige category receives the highest points and deals with business results. Numerous measures of performance are considered, from percentage of defective items to financial and marketing measures. Companies need to demonstrate progressive improve- ment in these measures over time, not just a one-time improvement.
The Baldrige criteria have evolved from simple award criteria to a general framework for quality evaluation. Many companies use these criteria to evaluate their own performance and set quality targets even if they are not planning to formally compete for the award.
The Deming Prize The Deming Prize is a Japanese award given to companies to recognize their efforts in quality improvement. The award is named after W. Edwards Deming, who visited Japan after World War II upon the request of Japanese industrial leaders and engineers. While
HRM
Deming Prize A Japanese award given to companies to recognize efforts in quality improvement.
Quality Awards and Standards • 173
there, he gave a series of lectures on quality. The Japanese considered him such an impor- tant quality guru that they named the quality award after him.
The award has been given by the Union of Japanese Scientists and Engineers ( JUSE) since 1951. Competition for the Deming Prize was opened to foreign companies in 1984. In 1989, Florida Power & Light was the first U.S. company to receive the award.
ISO 9000 Standards Increases in international trade during the 1980s led to the development of universal stan- dards of quality. Universal standards were seen as necessary in order for companies to be able to objectively document their quality practices around the world. Then in 1987 the International Organization for Standardization published its first set of standards for qual- ity management, called ISO 9000. The purpose of the International Organization for Stan- dardization (ISO) is to establish agreement on international quality standards. It currently has members from 164 countries, including the United States. It created ISO 9000 to develop and promote international quality standards. ISO 9000 consists of a set of standards and a certification process for companies. ISO 9000 certification demonstrates that companies have met the standards. The standards are applicable to all types of companies and have gained global acceptance. In many industries ISO certification has become a requirement for doing business. Also, ISO 9000 standards have been adopted by the European Commu- nity as a standard for companies doing business in Europe.
In December 2000 the first major changes to ISO 9000 were made, and then clarified in 2008, introducing the following three new standards:
· ISO 9000:2008, Quality Management Systems—Fundamentals and Standards: Provides the terminology and defi nitions used in the standards. It is the starting point for understanding the system of standards.
· ISO 9001:2008, Quality Management Systems—Requirements: Th is is the standard for the certifi cation of a fi rm’s quality management system. It is used to demonstrate the conformity of quality management systems to meet customer requirements.
· ISO 9004:2008, Quality Management Systems—Guidelines for Performance: Provides guidelines for establishing a quality management system. It focuses not only on meet- ing customer requirements but also on improving performance.
These three standards are the most widely used and apply to the majority of companies. However, many more published standards and guidelines exist as part of the ISO 9000 family of standards.
To receive ISO certification, a company must provide extensive documentation of its quality processes. This includes methods used to monitor quality, methods and frequency of worker training, job descriptions, inspection programs, and statistical process control tools used. High-quality documentation of all processes is critical. The company is then audited by an ISO 9000 registrar, who visits the facility to make sure the company has a well- documented quality management system and that the process meets the standards. If the registrar finds that all is in order, certification is received. Once a company is certified, it is registered in an ISO directory that lists certified companies. The entire process can take 18 to 24 months and can cost anywhere from $10,000 to $50,000. Companies have to be recer- tified by ISO every three years.
One of the shortcomings of ISO certification is that it focuses only on the process used and conformance to specifications. In contrast to the Baldrige criteria, ISO certification does not address questions about the product itself and whether it meets customer and market requirements. Today there are over 40,000 companies that are ISO certified. In fact, certification has become a requirement for conducting business in many industries.
ISO 9000 A set of international quality standards and a certifi cation demonstrating that companies have met all the standards specifi ed.
174 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
ISO Standards for Sustainability Reporting The International Organization for Standardization (ISO) now offers managerial and organizational guidance in the form of frameworks that organizations of any size and industry can use to promote social responsibility and continuously improve environmen- tal management.
The ISO 26000 series, Guidance on Social Responsibility, emphasizes a process to ensure business decisions affecting society or the environment are made ethi- cally and transparently. The ISO 26000 addresses issues ranging from human rights and labor practices, to environmental issues of pollution prevention and sustainable resource use.
The ISO 14000 series provides tools to identify and report on the adverse impacts of business, including environmental management systems that track energy use and water consumption at specific facilities; life cycle impact analysis of products in development; methods of communicating about sustainability; and auditing protocols. Businesses use these standards to reduce waste management costs, reduce material and resource con- sumption, reduce the costs of distribution, and improve reputation among government offi- cials and their clients.
ISO even publishes sustainability checklists for small and mid-size enterprises. These standards can guide the selection of new technology; identify opportunities to reduce cost, waste, and pollution; and ensure operations are socially responsible through trans- parency. ISO standards can be introduced voluntarily or a company’s supplier may request compliance.
Why TQM Efforts Fail In this chapter we have discussed the meaning of TQM and the great benefits that can be attained through its implementation. Yet there are still many companies that attempt a variety of quality improvement efforts and find that they have not achieved any or most of the expected outcomes. The most important factor in the success or failure of TQM efforts is the genuineness of the organization’s commitment. Often, companies look at TQM as another business change that must be implemented due to market pressure without really changing the values of their organization. Recall that TQM is a complete philosophy that has to be embraced with true belief, not mere lip service. Looking at TQM as a short-term financial investment is a sure recipe for failure.
Another mistake is the view that the responsibility for quality and elimination of waste lies with employees other than top management. It is a “let the workers do it” mentality. A third common mistake is over- or underreliance on statistical process control (SPC) meth- ods. SPC is not a substitute for continuous improvement, teamwork, and a change in the organization’s belief system. However, SPC is a necessary tool for identifying quality prob- lems. Some common causes for TQM failure are
· Lack of a genuine quality culture
· Lack of top management support and commitment
· Over- and underreliance on statistical process control (SPC) methods
Companies that have attained the benefits of TQM have created a quality culture. These companies have developed processes for identifying customer-defined quality. In addi- tion, they have a systematic method for listening to their customers, collecting and ana- lyzing data pertaining to customer problems, and making changes based on customer feedback. You can see that in these companies there is a systematic process for prioritizing customer needs that encompasses the entire organization.
ISO 26000 A set of international standards developed to help organizations evaluate and address their social responsibility.
ISO 14000 A set of international standards and a certifi cation focusing on a company’s environmental responsibility.
Customer-defi ned quality The meaning of quality as defi ned by the customer.
Why TQM Efforts Fail • 175
Total Quality Management (TQM) Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Implementing total quality management requires broad and sweeping changes throughout a company. It also affects all other decisions within operations management. The decision to implement total quality management concepts throughout the company is strategic in nature. It sets the direction for the firm and the level of commitment. For example, some companies may choose to directly compete on quality, whereas others may just want to be as good as the competition. It is operations strategy that then dictates how all other areas of operations management will support this commitment.
The decision to implement TQM affects areas such as product design (Chapter 3), which needs to incorporate customer-defined quality. Processes are then redesigned in order to produce products with higher quality standards. Job design (Chapter 11) is affected, as workers need to be trained in quality tools and become responsible for rooting out quality problems. Also, supply chain management (Chapter 4) is affected as the commitment to quality translates into partnering with suppliers. As you can see, virtually every aspect of the operations function must change to support the commitment to total quality management.
Total Quality Management (TQM) Across the Organization
As we have seen, total quality management impacts every aspect of the organization. Every person and every function is responsible for quality and is affected by poor quality. For example, recall that Motorola implemented its Six Sigma concept not only in the production process but also in the accounting, finance, and administrative areas. Similarly, ISO stan- dards do not apply only to the production process—they apply equally to all departments of the company. A company cannot achieve high quality if its accounting is inaccurate or the marketing department is not working closely with customers. TQM requires the close cooperation of different functions in order to be successful. In this section we look at the involvement of these other functions in TQM.
Marketing plays a critical role in the TQM process by providing key inputs that make TQM a success. Recall that the goal of TQM is to satisfy customer needs by producing the exact product that customers want. Marketing’s role is to understand the changing needs and wants of customers by working closely with them. This requires a solid identification of target markets and an understanding of whom the product is intended for. Sometimes, apparently small differences in product features can result in large differences in customer appeal. Marketing needs to accurately pass customer information along to operations, and operations needs to include marketing in any planned product changes.
Finance is another major participant in the TQM process because of the great cost con- sequences of poor quality. General definitions of quality need to be translated into specific dollar terms. This serves as a baseline for monitoring the financial impact of quality efforts and can be a great motivator. Recall the four costs of quality discussed earlier. The first two costs, prevention and appraisal, are preventive costs; they are intended to prevent inter- nal and external failure costs. Not investing enough in preventive costs can result in failure costs, which can hurt the company. On the other hand, investing too much in preventive costs may not yield added benefits. Financial analysis of these costs is critical. You can see that finance plays a large role in evaluating and monitoring the financial impact of manag- ing the quality process. This includes costs related to preventing and eliminating defects, training employees, reviewing new products, and all other quality efforts.
MKT
FIN
176 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
Accounting is important in the TQM process because of the need for exact costing. TQM efforts cannot be accurately monitored and their financial contribution assessed if the company does not have accurate costing methods.
Engineering efforts are critical in TQM because of the need to properly translate cus- tomer requirements into specific engineering terms. Recall the process we followed in developing quality function deployment (QFD). It was not easy to translate a customer requirement such as “a good-looking backpack” into specific terms such as materials, weight, color grade, size, and number of zippers. We depend on engineering to use general customer requirements in developing technical specifications, identifying specific parts and materials needed, and identifying equipment that should be used.
Purchasing is another important part of the TQM process. Whereas marketing is busy identifying what the customers want and engineering is busy translating that information into technical specifications, purchasing is responsible for acquiring the materials needed to make the product. Purchasing must locate sources of supply, ensure that the parts and materials needed are of sufficiently high quality, and negotiate a purchase price that meets the company’s budget as identified by finance.
Human resources is critical to the effort to hire employees with the skills necessary to work in a TQM environment. That environment includes a high degree of teamwork, cooperation, dedication, and customer commitment. Human resources is also faced with challenges relating to reward and incentive systems. In TQM, rewards and incentives are different from those found in traditional environments that focus on rewarding individuals rather than teams.
Information systems (IS) is highly important in TQM because of the increased need for information accessible to teams throughout the organization. IS should work closely with a company’s TQM development program in order to understand exactly the type of informa- tion system best suited for the firm, including the form of the data, the summary statistics available, and the frequency of updating.
ACC
HRM
MIS
The ultimate goal of TQM is to produce and deliver a good or service that provides value to the fi nal customer. This can only be achieved if the concepts of TQM are adopted by all members of the supply chain. The reason is that the supply chain is a system of organizations that are linked together and that are dependent on each other’s performance. If just one member of the chain produces poor quality, the entire chain will suffer, as the defective product will be passed down the chain until the defect is fi nally discovered. This will result in higher cost
for all chain members and possibly the loss of customers. That is why one of the main ideas of TQM is to extend quality concepts to a company’s suppliers. In the chapter we discussed the differ- ences between the external and internal customer, stressing that no one in the company should pass a defective item on to the internal customer. Just as all the internal functions of an or- ganization are dependent on one another, so are the members of a supply chain. For this reason, the concepts of TQM must be extended to everyone in the chain. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
J ust as TQM must be extended to everyone in the supply chain, so must sustainability standards for them to have a meaningful impact. Today companies are under increasing pressure from consumers and governmental agencies to be sustainable. As a result they are making numerous claims about their performance. So, how can we as consumers know that these claims are true? Being able to objectively
verify these claims is critical. For example ISO Standards for Sustainability Reporting help with this verifi cation. Recall from the chapter that ISO 14000 is a set of international standards and a certifi cation focusing on a company’s envir- onmental responsibility. As with other quality measures, set- ting measurable standards for sustainability is critical. ISO 14000 is designed to provide customers with reasonable
assurance that the environmental performance claims of a company are correct. It is important to note, however, that the ISO 14000 standards do not themselves specify environ- mental performance goals. ISO 14000 is similar to ISO 9000 and ISO 26000 as they all pertain to the process of how the product is produced, rather than the characteristics of the product itself.
When it comes to standards for product characteristics, it is up to the customers and other stakeholders to hold compan- ies accountable. For that reason, there have been numerous other standards that have been developed by the government and various nonprofi t agencies. For example, in the area of materials three sustainability standards have been developed. The fi rst is Global Organic Textile Standards (GOTS), the lead- ing process standard for organic fi ber textiles that provides textile processors and manufacturers with one organic textile
certifi cation. Another is the Green Seal certifi cation that certi- fi es offi ce paper, paper towels, cleaning products, food pack- aging, and household products. There is also Cradle to Cradle, which certifi es paper and packaging, personal care products, textiles and fabrics, and many other products. Certifi cations have also been developed in the areas of building, construc- tion, and energy. The U.S. Green Building Council’s LEED cer- tifi cation is the most widely recognized green building stand- ard in the United States, providing certifi cation for multiple building types. Similarly, Energy Star is the EPA’s certifi cation for new and upgraded energy-effi cient homes and offi ce buildings. These certifi cations are important as they provide measurement, a baseline of performance, and validation of company claims. As sustainability continues to evolve we will continue to see more standards emerge that will help guide consumers and corporations. •
Chapter Highlights 1 Total quality management (TQM) is different from
the old concept of quality because its focus is on serving customers, identifying the causes of quality problems, and building quality into the production process.
2 There are four categories of quality costs. The first two are prevention and appraisal costs, which are incurred by a company in attempting to improve quality. The last two costs are internal and external failure costs, which are the costs of quality failures that the com- pany wishes to prevent.
3 The concept of quality has been around for decades but has changed over the years. Today’s concept means building quality into the process rather than the old concept of checking for defects after production.
4 Seven features of TQM combine to create the TQM philosophy: customer focus, continuous improvement, employee empowerment, use of quality tools, product design, process management, and managing supplier quality.
· Quality function deployment (QFD) is a tool used to translate customer needs into specifi c engineering requirements. Seven problem-solving tools are used in managing quality. Often called the seven tools of quality control, they are cause-and-eff ect diagrams, fl owcharts, checklists, scatter diagrams, Pareto analy- sis, control charts, and histograms.
5 The Malcolm Baldrige Award is given to companies to recognize excellence in quality management. Com- panies are evaluated in seven areas, including quality leadership and performance results. These criteria have become a standard for many companies that seek to improve quality. ISO 9000 is a certification based on a set of quality standards established by the International Organization for Standardization. Its goal is to ensure that quality is built into produc- tion processes. ISO 9000 focuses mainly on quality of conformance.
6 The most important factor in the success of TQM is the genuineness of the organization’s commitment.
Key Terms
conformance to specifi cations 152
fi tness for use 152
value for price paid 152
support services 152
psychological criteria 152
prevention costs 154
appraisal costs 154
internal failure costs 155
external failure costs 155
total quality management (TQM) 156
Walter A. Shewhart 157
W. Edwards Deming 157
Joseph M. Juran 158
Armand V. Feigenbaum 158
Philip B. Crosby 158
Key Terms • 177
178 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
Kaoru Ishikawa 158
Genichi Taguchi 159
robust design 159
Taguchi loss function 159
continuous improvement 160
kaizen 161
plan–do–study–act (PDSA) cycle 161
benchmarking 161
quality circle 162
cause-and-eff ect diagram 164
fl owchart 164
checklist 164
control charts 165
scatter diagrams 165
Pareto analysis 165
histogram 165
quality function deployment (QFD) 166
reliability 169
quality at the source 170
Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award 171
Deming Prize 172
ISO 9000 173
ISO 26000 174
ISO 14000 174
customer-defi ned quality 174
Formula Review 1. Reliability of parts in series:
Rs = (R1) (R2) . . . . (Rn)
2. Reliability of parts with redundancy (in parallel):
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
An offi ce security system at Delco, Inc. has two compo- nent parts, both of which must work for the system to function. Part 1 has a reliability of 80 percent, and part 2 has a reliability of 98 percent. Compute the reliability of the system.
Before You Begin: Before you begin solving reliability problems, it is best to fi rst draw a diagram of the com- ponents. Remember that the system of components is drawn in series, except when there is redundancy built into the system through a backup component. In that case, the backup component is drawn in par- allel. Always read the problem carefully to determine whether redundancy is built into the system.
Solution:
Part 1 Part 2
R1 = 0.80 R2 = 0.98
Th e reliability of the system is
Rs = R1 × R2
Rs = (0.80)(0.98) = 0.784
PROBLEM 2
Delco, Inc., from Problem 1, is not happy with the reli- ability of its security system and has decided to improve it. Th e company will add a backup component to part 1 of its security system. Th e backup component will also have a reliability of 0.80. What is the reliability of the improved security system?
Before You Begin: Notice that in this problem there is redundancy in the form of a backup component for part 1. Th is means that when drawing the diagram you should place the two components for part 1 in paral- lel. Proceed by computing the reliability for part 1 and then the entire system.
R s
= 3Reliabilit yof 1stcomponent4 + 53Reliabilit yof 2ndcomponent4 × 3Probabilityof needing2nd component46
Solution: Th e system for Delco, Inc. now looks like this:
Part 1 Part 2
0.80 0.98
0.80
Th is system can then be reduced to the following two components:
Part 1 Part 2
R1 = 0.80 R2 = 0.98
R1 = 0.80 + 0.80(1 − 0.80) = 0.96 R2 = 0.98 (from Solved Problem 1) Rs = R1 × R2
Th e reliability of the improved system is:
Rs = 0.96 × 0.98 = 0.94
Discussion Questions
1. Defi ne quality for the following products: a university, an exercise facility, spaghetti sauce, and toothpaste. Compare your defi nitions with those of others in your class.
2. Describe the TQM philosophy and identify its major characteristics.
3. Explain how TQM is diff erent from the traditional no- tions of quality. Also, explain the diff erences between traditional organizations and those that have imple- mented TQM.
4. Find three local companies that you believe exhibit high quality. Next, fi nd three national or interna- tional companies that are recognized for their quality achievements.
5. Describe the four dimensions of quality. Which do you think is most important?
6. Describe each of the four costs of quality: prevention, appraisal, internal failure, and external failure. Next, describe how each type of cost would change (in- crease, decrease, or remain the same) if we designed a higher-quality product that was easier to manufacture.
7. Th ink again about the four costs of quality. Describe how each would change if we hired more inspectors without changing any other aspects of quality.
8. Explain the meaning of the plan–do–study–act cycle. Why is it described as a cycle?
9. Describe the use of quality function deployment (QFD). Can you fi nd examples in which the voice of the customer was not translated properly into tech- nical requirements?
10. Describe the seven tools of quality control. Are some more important than others? Would you use these tools separately or together? Give some examples of tools that could be used together.
11. What is the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award? Why is this award important, and what companies have received it in the past?
12. What are ISO 9000 standards? Who were they set by and why? Can you describe other certifi cations based on the ISO 9000 certifi cation?
13. Who are the seven “gurus” of quality? Name at least one contribution made by at least three of them.
Problems
1. A CD player has fi ve components that all must func- tion for the player to work. Th e average reliability of each component is 0.90. What is the reliability of the CD player?
2. A jet engine has 10 components in series. Th e average reliability of each component is 0.998. What is the reli- ability of the engine?
3. An offi ce copier has four main components in a series with the following reliabilities: 0.89, 0.95, 0.90, and 0.90. Determine the reliability of the copier.
4. An engine system consists of three main components in a series, all having the same reliability. Determine the level of reliability required for each of the compon- ents if the engine is to have a reliability of 0.998.
Problems • 179
180 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
5. A bank loan processing system has three components with individual reliabilities as shown:
R1 = 0.90 R2 = 0.89 R3 = 0.95
What is the reliability of the bank loan processing system?
6. What would be the reliability of the bank system above if each of the three components had a backup with a reliability of 0.80? How would the total reliability be diff erent?
7. An LCD projector in an offi ce has a main light bulb with a reliability of 0.90 and a backup bulb, the reliabil- ity of which is 0.80. Th e system looks as follows:
0.80
0.90
What is the reliability of the system?
8. A university Web server has fi ve main components, each with the same reliability. All fi ve components must work for the server to function as intended. If the university wants to have a 95 percent reliability, what must be the reliability of each of the components?
9. BioTech Research Center is working to develop a new vaccine for the West Nile Virus. Th e project is so im- portant that the fi rm has created three teams of ex- perts to work on the project from diff erent perspect- ives. Team 1 has a 90 percent chance of success, team 2 an 85 percent chance of success, and team 3 a 70 percent chance. What is the probability that BioTech will develop the vaccine?
10. Th e following system of components has been pro- posed for a new product. Determine the reliability of the system.
R = 0.90 R = 0.85 R = 0.90 R = 0.95
R = 0.85 R = 0.90
Case: Gold Coast Advertising (GCA)
George Stein sat in his large offi ce overlooking Chicago’s Michigan Avenue. As CEO of Gold Coast Advertising, he seemed to always be confronted with one problem or another. Today was no exception. George had just come out of a long meeting with Jim Gerard, head of the board for the small advertising agency. Jim was concerned about a growing problem with lowered sales expectations and a decreasing customer base. Jim warned George that something had to be done quickly or Jim would have to go to the board for action. George acknowledged that sales were down but attributed this to general economic conditions. He assured Jim that the problems would be addressed immediately.
As George pondered his next course of action, he admitted to himself that the customer base of GCA was slowly decreasing. Th e agency did not quite understand the reason for this decrease. Many regular customers were not coming back, and the rate of new custom- ers seemed to be slowly declining. GCA’s competitors seemed to be doing well. George did not understand the problem.
What Do Customers Want?
GCA was a Chicago-based advertising agency that developed campaigns and promotions for small and medium-sized fi rms. Its expertise was in the retail area, but it worked with a wide range of fi rms from the food service industry to the medical fi eld. GCA competed on price and speed of product development. Advertising in the retail area was competitive, and price had always been important. Also, since retail fashions change rap- idly, speed in advertising development was thought to be critical.
George reminded himself that price and speed had always been what customers wanted. Now he felt con- fused that he really didn’t know his customers. Th is was just another crisis that would pass, he told himself. But he needed to deal with it immediately.
Case Questions
1. What is wrong with how Gold Coast Advertising measures its quality? Explain why Gold Coast should ask its customers about how they defi ne quality.
2. Off er suggestions to George Stein on ways of identi- fying quality dimensions GCA’s customers consider important.
3. Develop a short questionnaire to be fi lled out by GCA’s customers that evaluates how customers defi ne quality.
Case: Delta Plastics, Inc. (A)
Company Background
Delta Plastics, Inc. specialized in the design and manu- facture of plastic containers, primarily for kitchen and household use. Its products were sold through mer- chandise retailers and were recognized for high quality. Delta also had an active R&D group that was contin- uously working to develop new plastic materials and new product designs. Delta was a recognized industry leader and was aggressively looking to increase brand recognition and market share.
Delta’s R&D group had recently developed a new plastic material that tolerates rapid changes in tem- perature, from heating to deep cooling. Th is material could be used to make containers for kitchen use that could immediately be moved from the oven to the refrigerator. Unlike glass containers with this capa- bility, the plastic containers would not break or chip. Delta’s marketing group was eager to promote sales of containers made with the new material. Market- ing believed the new material could revolutionize the industry, so it pushed for rapid production, arguing that the sooner the new products were available to
customers, the sooner the company could corner the market.
The Decision
Th e decision whether to initiate production or con- tinue with material testing was made during a heated meeting on April 28. Isabelle Harrison, director of R&D, stated that more product testing was needed in order to fi ne-tune the characteristics of the new material. Although there was no question regarding product safety, she wanted to refi ne the material to make sure that no unexpected defects occurred during production. Jose De Costa, director of manufacturing, supported this posi- tion, stating that the new material might be suscepti- ble to cracking. However, George Chadwick, director of marketing, countered that millions of dollars had already been spent on design and testing. He argued that produc- tion needed to be as rapid as possible before a competi- tor came out with a similar design. At one point George looked at Isabelle and asked: “Are you certain that the product is safe?” She replied that it was. “Th en,” he said, “conducting more testing is unnecessary.”
QUALITY REPORT I STANDARD MATERIAL
Week 1 Week 2
Defect Type M T W Th F M T W Th F
1. Uneven edges 1 2 2 3 2 3 1 1 2 0 2. Cracks 2 3 2 3 0 3 2 2 1 3 3. Scratches 3 1 2 3 4 2 1 0 2 3 4. Air bubbles 4 2 2 3 4 4 3 2 4 3 5. Thickness variation 1 0 4 0 2 0 1 1 2 0
Week 3 Week 4
Defect Type M T W Th F M T W Th F
1. Uneven edges 2 2 1 3 2 3 1 1 2 2 2. Cracks 3 2 2 0 2 1 2 2 3 3 3. Scratches 3 1 0 1 3 3 1 0 1 3 4. Air bubbles 3 1 2 2 4 2 3 2 4 1 5. Thickness variation 1 1 3 0 2 2 1 1 2 0
Case: Delta Plastics, Inc. (A) • 181
182 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
Th e fi nal decision came from Jonathan Fine, Delta’s CEO. He agreed with George. “If product safety is guar- anteed, small problems in production should not be a big deal. Let’s initiate production as soon as possible.”
The Problem
On June 15, exactly one month after production began, Jose De Costa sat at his desk looking at the latest production quality report. The report showed weekly defects for products made with the new material (dubbed by marketing as “super plastic”) versus the standard material. Jose knew he needed to conduct a better analysis of the data to see whether there were indeed differences in defects between the two materials. Jose was nervous. Even if there were
differences in quality, he was not sure what actions to take.
Case Questions
1. Identify the diff erent costs of quality described in the case. Explain the trade-off s between the costs of quality that Delta made in its decision. Was George Chadwick correct that conducting more tests was unnecessary?
2. Use one of the quality tools described in the chapter to analyze the defects in the case. How do the qual- ity dimensions diff er between the two materials? Are there more defects associated with the super plastic versus the standard material?
3. Given your fi ndings, what should Jose do?
II SUPER PLASTIC (NEW MATERIAL) Week 1 Week 2
Defect Type M T W Th F M T W Th F
1. Uneven edges 2 2 3 2 0 3 1 1 2 3 2. Cracks 6 6 4 3 7 4 4 4 3 3 3. Scratches 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 4. Air bubbles 2 0 2 1 3 4 3 2 4 3 5. Thickness variation 1 0 2 1 2 0 1 2 2 0
Week 3 Week 4
Defect Type M T W Th F M T W Th F
1. Uneven edges 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 0 2. Cracks 4 6 4 4 3 5 7 6 3 7 3. Scratches 0 1 2 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 4. Air bubbles 4 5 5 5 3 6 5 4 6 5 5. Thickness variation 1 0 4 0 1 0 1 1 2 0
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Total Quality Management (TQM) at Cruise International, Inc. For this assignment, you will work again with Meghan Willoughby, Chief Purser aboard the Friendly Seas I. You know the assignment has some- thing to do with quality, but you aren’t quite sure what. You meet Meghan aboard the ship. She greets you and says, “Let me tell you a bit about what you’ll be doing for us. We’ve been working on quality measures for
several years, and now must focus on quality even more as our industry becomes more competitive. We need to make sure that our guests receive quality service from beginning to end. We need your help in bringing ideas together on how to measure quality in a service organi- zation.” Th is assignment will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 5 of your textbook while pre- paring you for your future assignments.
www.wiley.com/college/reid
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Service Package and Processes at CII
On-line Case: Product Design and Process Selection at Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Total Quality Management. For this assign- ment, you’ll be working with Jane Starr of Valley Memo- rial Hospital’s Risk Management Department. You know the assignment has something to do with quality, but you’re wondering how quality applies to health care. At the hospital, you fi nd Jane Starr’s offi ce. She greets you and says, “Let me tell you a bit about what you’ll be doing for us. We’ve been working on quality measures for several years, and now we have to focus on quality even more. Th e Joint Commission for Accreditation of Healthcare Organizations is currently looking hard at
quality when it visits hospitals and-decides whether to accredit them. We need your help in bringing ideas together on how to measure quality in a service organization.”
To access the Website: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Total Quality Management at Valley Memorial Hospital
Internet Challenge: Snyder Bakeries
You have recently taken a position with Snyder Bakeries, a producer of a variety of diff erent types of baked goods that are packaged and sold directly to grocery chains. Snyder Bakeries has been in business since 1978. It is a small company with 95 employees, earning roughly $2.5 million annually. Competition in the baked goods market has been increasing steadily, and Snyder Baker- ies is being forced to look at its operations. In addition, turnover and dissatisfaction among Snyder employees have been high. Mr. Lowell Snyder, President of Snyder Bakeries, is looking to you for help in redesigning the company’s quality program. He would like you to focus on helping Snyder Bakeries develop a team approach
among its employees as part of the implementing prin- ciples of total quality management.
To help Mr. Snyder, use the Internet as a source of information. Perform an Internet search to iden- tify at least two companies that Snyder Bakeries can use as a benchmark for developing a team approach among employees. Explain how each of these compet- itors uses teams, how the teams are developed, how incentives are provided, and how employees are moti- vated. Also identify the benefi ts these companies have gained from using the team approach. Finally, outline a plan for Mr. Snyder based on the information you have gathered.
Selected Bibliography
Crosby, P. Quality without Tears: Th e Art of Hassle-Free Man- agement. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1984.
Crosby, P.B. Quality Is Free. New York: New American Library, 1979.
Deming, W.E. Out of Crisis. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Center for Advanced Engineering Study, 1986.
“Discovering ISO 26000: Social Responsibility.” http://www. iso.org/iso/discovering_iso_26000.pdf
Evans, J.R., and W.M. Lindsay. Th e Management and Control of Quality, Fourth Edition. Cincinnati: South-Western, 1999.
Garvin, D.A. Managing Quality. New York: Free Press, 1988.
Garvin, D.A. “Competing on the Eight Dimensions of Qual- ity,” Harvard Business Review, November–December 1987, 101–110.
Goetsch, D.L., and S. Davis. Implementing Total Quality. Upper Saddle River, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1995.
Selected Bibliography • 183
184 CHAPTER 5 • Total Quality Management
Hall, R. Attaining Manufacturing Excellence. Burr Ridge, Ill.: Dow-Jones Irwin, 1987.
“ISO 14000: Environmental Management.” http://www. iso.org/iso/home/standards/management-standards/ iso14000.htm.
Juran, J.M. Juran on Planning for Quality. New York: Free Press, 1988.
Juran, J.M. Quality Control Handbook, Fourth Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1988.
Juran, J.M. “Th e Quality Trilogy,” Quality Progress, 10, 8, 1986, 19–24.
Kitazawa, S., and J. Sarkis. “Th e Relationship between ISO 14001 and Continuous Source Reduction Programs,”
International Journal of Operations and Production Man-
agement, 20, 2, 2000, 225–248.
Medori, D., and D. Steeple. “A Framework for Auditing and Enhancing Performance Measurement Systems,” Interna- tional Journal of Operations and Production Management, 20, 5, 2000, 520–533.
Oakland, J.S. Total Quality Management and Operations Excellence: Text and Cases. New York: Routledge, 2014.
Orsini, J.N. The Essential Deming: Leadership Principles from the Father of Quality. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2013.
6 Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. Quality as a competitive priority, Chapter 2.
2. Total quality management (TQM) concepts, Chapter 5.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Describe categories of
statistical quality control (SQC). 2 Identify and describe causes of
variation. 3 Explain the use of descriptive
statistics in measuring quality characteristics.
4 Describe the use of control charts.
5 Identify the differences between x-bar and R-charts.
6 Identify the differences between p- and c-charts.
7 Explain the meaning of process capability and the process capability index.
8 Explain the concept Six Sigma. 9 Explain the process of
acceptance sampling and describe the use of operating characteristic (OC) curves.
10 Identify decisions that managers must make when implementing SPC.
11 Describe the challenges inherent in measuring quality in service organizations.
Statistical Quality Control
W e have all had the experience of purchasing a product only to discover that it is defective in some way or does not function the way it was designed to. This could be a new backpack with a broken zipper or
an “out of the box” malfunctioning computer printer. Many of us have struggled to assemble a product the manufacturer has indicated would need only “minor” assembly, only to find that a piece of the product is missing or defective. As con- sumers, we expect the products we purchase to function as intended. However, producers of products know that it is not always possible to inspect every product and every aspect of the production process at all times. The challenge is to design ways to maximize the ability to monitor the quality of products being produced and eliminate defects.
One way to ensure a quality product is to build quality into the process. Con- sider Steinway & Sons, the maker of premier pianos used in concert halls all over
the world. Steinway has been making pianos since the 1880s. Since that time, the company’s manufacturing process has not changed significantly. It takes the company nine months to a year to produce a piano by fashioning some 12,000 hand- crafted parts, carefully mea- suring and monitoring every part of the process. Although many of Steinway’s competi-
tors have moved to mass production, where pianos can be assembled in 20 days, Steinway has maintained a strategy of quality defined by skill and craftsman- ship. Steinway’s production process is focused on meticulous process precision and extremely high product consistency. This has contributed to making its name synonymous with top quality. •
185
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186 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
What Is Statistical Quality Control? In Chapter 5 we learned that total quality management (TQM) addresses organizational qual- ity from managerial and philosophical viewpoints. TQM focuses on customer-driven quality standards, managerial leadership, continuous improvement, quality built into product and process design, identifying quality problems at the source, and making quality everyone’s responsibility. However, talking about solving quality problems is not enough. We need spe- cific tools that can help us make the right quality decisions. These tools come from the field of statistics and are used to help identify quality problems in the production process as well as in the product itself. Statistical quality control is the subject of this chapter.
Statistical quality control (SQC) is the term used to describe the set of statistical tools used by quality professionals. Statistical quality control can be divided into three broad categories:
1. Descriptive statistics are used to describe quality characteristics and relationships. Included are statistics such as the mean, the standard deviation, the range, and a measure of the distribution of data.
2. Statistical process control (SPC) involves inspecting a random sample of the output from a process and deciding whether the process is producing products with characteristics that fall within a predetermined range. SPC answers the question of whether or not the process is functioning properly.
3. Acceptance sampling is the process of randomly inspecting a sample of goods and deciding whether to accept the entire lot based on the results. Acceptance sampling determines whether a batch of goods should be accepted or rejected.
The tools in each of these categories provide different types of information for use in analyzing quality. Descriptive statistics are used to describe certain quality characteristics, such as the central tendency and variability of observed data. Although descriptions of certain characteristics are helpful, they are not enough to help us evaluate whether there is a problem with quality. Acceptance sampling can help us do this. It helps us decide whether desirable quality has been achieved for a batch of products and whether to accept or reject the items produced. Although this information is helpful in making the quality acceptance decision after the product has been produced, it does not help us identify and catch a qual- ity problem during the production process. For this we need tools in the statistical process control (SPC) category.
All three of these statistical quality control categories are helpful in measuring and eval- uating the quality of products or services. However, statistical process control (SPC) tools are used most frequently because they identify quality problems during the production
process. For this reason, we will devote most of the chapter to this category of tools. The quality con- trol tools we will be learning about do not only measure the value of a quality characteristic; they also help us identify a change or varia- tion in some quality characteristic of the product or process. We will first see what types of variation we can observe when measuring quality. Then we will be able to identify the specific tools to use for measuring this variation.
Statistical quality control (SQC) The general category of statistical tools used to evaluate organizational quality.
Descriptive statistics Statistics used to describe quality characteristics and relationships.
Statistical process control (SPC) A statistical tool that involves inspecting a random sample of the output from a process and deciding whether the process is producing products with characteristics that fall within a predetermined range.
Acceptance sampling The process of randomly inspecting a sample of goods and deciding whether to accept the entire lot based on the results.
LINKSTO PRACTICE
INTEL CORPORATION www.intel.com
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Descriptive Statistics • 187
Variation in the production process leads to quality defects and lack of product consistency. The Intel Corporation, the world’s largest and most profitable manufacturer of microproces- sors, understands this. Therefore, Intel has implemented a program it calls “copy-exactly” at all its manufacturing facilities. The idea is that regardless of whether the chips are made in Arizona, New Mexico, Ireland, or any of its other plants, they are made in exactly the same way. This means using the same equipment, the same exact materials, and performing the same tasks in the exact same order. The level of detail to which the “copy-exactly” concept goes is meticulous. For example, when a chipmaking machine was found to be a few feet longer at one facility than another, Intel made them match. When water quality was found to be different at one facility, Intel instituted a purification system to eliminate any differences. Even when a worker was found polishing equipment in one direction, he was asked to do it in the approved circular pattern. Why such attention to exactness of detail? The reason is to minimize all variation. Now let’s look at the different types of variation that exist.
Sources of Variation: Common and Assignable Causes
If you look at bottles of a soft drink in a grocery store, you will notice that no two bottles are filled to exactly the same level. Some are filled slightly higher and some slightly lower. Similarly, if you look at blueberry muffins in a bakery, you will notice that some are slightly larger than others and some have more blueberries than others. These types of differences are completely normal. No two products are exactly alike because of slight differences in materials, workers, machines, tools, and other factors. These are called common, or random, causes of varia- tion. Common causes of variation are based on random causes that we cannot identify. These types of variation are unavoidable and are due to slight differences in processing.
An important task in quality control is to find out the range of natural random variation in a process. For example, if the average bottle of a soft drink called Cocoa Fizz contains 16 ounces of liquid, we may determine that the amount of natural variation is between 15.8 and 16.2 ounces. If this were the case, we would monitor the production process to make sure that the amount stays within this range. If production goes out of this range—bottles are found to contain on average 15.6 ounces—this would lead us to believe that there is a prob- lem with the process because the variation is greater than the natural random variation.
The second type of variation that can be observed involves those where the causes can be precisely identified and eliminated. These are called assignable causes of variation. Exam- ples of this type of variation are poor quality in raw materials, an employee who needs more training, or a machine in need of repair. In each of these examples, the problem can be iden- tified and corrected. If the variation is allowed to persist, it will continue to create a problem in the quality of the product. In the example of the soft-drink bottling operation, bottles filled with 15.6 ounces of liquid would signal a problem. The machine may need to be readjusted, an assignable cause of variation. We can assign the variation to a particular cause (machine needs to be readjusted) and we can correct the problem (readjust the machine).
Descriptive Statistics Descriptive statistics can be helpful in describing certain characteristics of a product and a process. The most important descriptive statistics are measures of central tendency such as the mean, measures of variability such as the standard deviation and range, and measures of the distribution of data. We first review these descriptive statistics and then see how we use them to measure changes in product and process characteristics.
Common causes of variation Random causes that cannot be identifi ed.
Assignable causes of variation Causes that can be identifi ed and eliminated.
188 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
The Mean In the soft-drink bottling example, we stated that the average bottle is filled with 16 ounces of liquid. The arithmetic average, or the mean, is a statistic that measures the central ten- dency of a set of data. Knowing the central point of a set of data is highly important. Just think how important that number is when you receive test scores!
To compute the mean, we simply sum all the observations and divide by the total number of observations. The equation for computing the mean is
x = a
n
i = 1 xi
n
where x = the mean xi = observation i, i = 1, . . . , n n = number of observations
The Range and Standard Deviation In the bottling example, we also stated that the amount of natural variation in the bottling process is between 15.8 and 16.2 ounces. This information provides us with the amount of variability of the data. It tells us how spread out the data are around the mean. There are two measures that can be used to determine the amount of variation in the data. The first measure is the range, which is the difference between the largest and smallest observations. In our example, the range for natural variation is 0.4 ounce.
Another measure of variation is the standard deviation. The equation for computing the standard deviation is
σ = R a
n
i = 1 (xi − x)
2
n − 1
where σ = standard deviation of a sample x = the mean xi = observation i, i = 1, . . . , n n = the number of observations in the sample
Small values of the range and standard deviation mean that the observations are closely clustered around the mean. Large values of the range and standard deviation mean that the observations are spread out around the mean. Figure 6.1 illustrates the differences between a small and a large standard deviation for our bottling operation. You can see that the figure shows two distributions, both with a mean of 16 ounces. However, in the first distribution the standard deviation is large and the data are spread out far around the mean. In the second distribution the standard deviation is small and the data are clustered close to the mean.
Distribution of Data A third descriptive statistic used to measure quality characteristics is the shape of the distribution of the observed data. When a distribution is symmetric, there are the same number of observations below and above the mean. This is what we commonly find when only normal variation is present in the data. When a disproportionate number of observa- tions are either above or below the mean, we say that the data have a skewed distribution. Figure 6.2 shows symmetric and skewed distributions for the bottling operation.
Mean (average) A statistic that measures the central tendency of a set of data.
Range The difference between the largest and smallest observations in a set of data.
Standard deviation A statistic that measures the amount of data dispersion around the mean.
Statistical Process Control Methods • 189
Statistical Process Control Methods Statistical process control methods employ descriptive statistics to monitor the quality of the product and process. As we have learned so far, there are common and assignable causes of variation in the production of every product. Using statistical process control, we want to determine the amount of variation that is common or normal. Then we monitor the production process to make sure production stays within this normal range. That is, we want to make sure the process is in a state of control. The most commonly used tool for monitoring the production process is a control chart. Different types of control charts are used to monitor different aspects of the production process. In this section we will learn how to develop and use control charts.
Developing Control Charts A control chart (also called process chart or quality control chart) is a graph that shows whether a sample of data falls within the common or normal range of variation. A control chart has upper and lower control limits that separate common from assignable causes of variation. The common range of variation is defined by the use of control chart limits. We say that a process is out of control when a plot of data reveals that one or more samples fall outside the control limits.
Figure 6.3 shows a control chart for the Cocoa Fizz bottling operation. The x axis rep- resents samples (#1, #2, #3, etc.) taken from the process over time. The y axis represents the quality characteristic that is being monitored (ounces of liquid). The center line (CL) of the control chart is the mean, or average, of the quality characteristic that is being mea- sured. In Figure 6.3 the mean is 16 ounces. The upper control limit (UCL) is the maximum acceptable variation from the mean for a process that is in a state of control. Similarly, the lower control limit (LCL) is the minimum acceptable variation from the mean for a process that is in a state of control. In our example, the upper and lower control limits are 16.2 and 15.8 ounces, respectively. You can see that if a sample of observations falls outside the control limits, we need to look for assignable causes.
The upper and lower control limits on a control chart are usually set at 63 standard deviations from the mean. If we assume that the data exhibit a normal distribution, these control limits will capture 99.74 percent of the normal variation. Control limits can be set at ±2 standard deviations from the mean. In that case, control limits would capture 95.44
Out of control The situation in which a plot of data falls outside preset control limits.
15.7
Small standard deviation Large standard deviation
15.8 15.9 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3
MEAN
FIGURE 6.1 Normal distributions with varying standard deviations
15.7 15.8 15.9 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3
MEAN
Symmetric distribution Skewed distribution
FIGURE 6.2 Differences between symmetric and skewed distributions
190 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
percent of the values. Figure 6.4 shows the percentage of values that fall within a particular range of standard deviation.
Looking at Figure 6.4, we can conclude that observations falling outside the set range represent assignable causes of variation. However, there is a small probability that a value that falls outside the limits is still due to normal variation. This is called Type I error, with the error being the chance of concluding that there are assignable causes of variation when only normal variation exists. Another name for this is alpha (a) risk, where alpha refers to the sum of the probabilities in both tails of the distribution that fall outside the confidence limits. The chance of this happening is given by the percentage or probability represented by the shaded areas of Figure 6.5. For limits of ±3 standard deviations from the mean, the probability of a Type I error is 0.26 percent (100% − 99.74%), whereas for limits of ±2 standard deviations it is 4.56 percent (100% − 95.44%).
Types of Control Charts Control charts are one of the most commonly used tools in statistical process control. They can be used to measure any characteristic of a product, such as the weight of a cereal box, the number of chocolates in a box, or the volume of bottled water. The different charac- teristics that can be measured by control charts can be divided into two groups: variables and attributes. A control chart for variables is used to monitor characteristics that can be
Variable A product characteristic that can be measured and has a continuum of values (e.g., height, weight, or volume).
Attribute A product characteristic that has a discrete value and can be counted.
FIGURE 6.3 Quality control chart for Cocoa Fizz
Variation due to assignable causes
Observation out of control
Variation due to assignable causes
Variation due to normal causes
#1 #2
UCL = (16.2)
LCL = (15.8)
CL = (16.0)
#3 #4 #5 #6
SAMPLE NUMBERV O
LU M
E I N
O U
N C
E S
23𝜎 22𝜎 12𝜎 13𝜎MEAN 95.44%
99.74%
FIGURE 6.4 Chance of Type I error for ±3σ (sigma-standard deviations)
23𝜎 22𝜎 12𝜎 13𝜎MEAN
99.74%
Type 1 error is .26%
FIGURE 6.5 Percentage of values captured by different ranges of standard deviation
Control Charts for Variables • 191
measured and have a continuum of values, such as height, weight, or volume. A soft-drink bottling operation is an example of a variable measure, since the amount of liquid in the bot- tles can be measured and can take on a number of different values. Other examples are the weight of a bag of sugar, the temperature of a baking oven, or the diameter of plastic tubing.
A control chart for attributes, on the other hand, is used to monitor characteristics that have discrete values and can be counted. Often they can be evaluated with a simple yes- or-no decision. Examples include color, taste, or smell. The monitoring of attributes usually takes less time than for variables because a variable needs to be measured (e.g., the bottle of soft drink contains 15.9 ounces of liquid). An attribute requires only a single decision, such as yes or no, good or bad, acceptable or unacceptable (e.g., the apple is good or rotten, the meat is good or stale, the shoes have a defect or do not have a defect, the light bulb works or it does not work), or counting the number of defects (e.g., the number of broken cookies in the box, the number of dents in the car, the number of barnacles on the bottom of a boat).
Statistical process control is used to monitor many different types of variables and attributes. In the next two sections we look at how to develop control charts for variables and control charts for attributes.
Control Charts for Variables Control charts for variables monitor characteristics that can be measured and have a con- tinuous scale, such as height, weight, volume, or width. When an item is inspected, the vari- able being monitored is measured and recorded. For example, if we were producing candles, height might be an important variable, so we could take samples of candles and measure their heights. Two of the most commonly used control charts for variables monitor both the central tendency of the data (the mean) and the variability of the data (either the standard deviation or the range). Note that each chart monitors a different type of information. When observed values go outside the control limits, the process is assumed not to be in control. Production is stopped, and employees attempt to identify the cause of the problem and correct it. Next we look at how these charts are developed.
Mean (x-Bar) Charts A mean control chart is often referred to as an x-bar chart. It is used to monitor changes in the mean of a process. To construct a mean chart, we first need to construct the center line of the chart. To do this we take multiple samples and compute their means. Usually these samples are small, with about four or five observations. Each sample has its own mean, x. The center line of the chart is then computed as the mean of all k sample means, where k is the number of samples:
x = x1 + x 2 + p + xk
k
To construct the upper and lower control limits of the chart, we use the following formulas:
Upper control limit (UCL) = x + zσ x
Lower control limit (LCL) = x − zσ x
where x = the average of the sample means z = standard normal variable (2 for 95.44% confi dence, 3 for 99.74% confi dence) σ
x = standard deviation of the distribution of sample means, computed as σ�1n
σ = population (process) standard deviation n = sample size (number of observations per sample)
Example 6.1 shows the construction of a mean (x-bar) chart.
x-bar chart A control chart used to monitor changes in the mean value of a process.
192 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
EXAMPLE 6.1 Constructing a Mean (x-Bar) Chart
A quality control inspector at the Cocoa Fizz soft-drink company has taken 25 samples with 4 observations each of the volume of bottles fi lled. The data and the computed means are shown in the table. If the standard deviation of the bottling operation is 0.14 ounce, use this information to develop control limits of 3 standard deviations for the bottling operation.
Sample Number
Observations (bottle volume in ounces)
1 2 3 4
Average
X
Range
R
1 15.85 16.02 15.83 15.93 15.91 0.19
2 16.12 16.00 15.85 16.01 15.99 0.27
3 16.00 15.91 15.94 15.83 15.92 0.17
4 16.20 15.85 15.74 15.93 15.93 0.46
5 15.74 15.86 16.21 16.10 15.98 0.47
6 15.94 16.01 16.14 16.03 16.03 0.20
7 15.75 16.21 16.01 15.86 15.96 0.46
8 15.82 15.94 16.02 15.94 15.93 0.20
9 16.04 15.98 15.83 15.98 15.96 0.21
10 15.64 15.86 15.94 15.89 15.83 0.30
11 16.11 16.00 16.01 15.82 15.99 0.29
12 15.72 15.85 16.12 16.15 15.96 0.43
13 15.85 15.76 15.74 15.98 15.83 0.24
14 15.73 15.84 15.96 16.10 15.91 0.37
15 16.20 16.01 16.10 15.89 16.05 0.31
16 16.12 16.08 15.83 15.94 15.99 0.29
17 16.01 15.93 15.81 15.68 15.86 0.33
18 15.78 16.04 16.11 16.12 16.01 0.34
19 15.84 15.92 16.05 16.12 15.98 0.28
20 15.92 16.09 16.12 15.93 16.02 0.20
21 16.11 16.02 16.00 15.88 16.00 0.23
22 15.98 15.82 15.89 15.89 15.90 0.16
23 16.05 15.73 15.73 15.93 15.86 0.32
24 16.01 16.01 15.89 15.86 15.94 0.15
25 16.08 15.78 15.92 15.98 15.94 0.30
Total 398.75 7.17
• Before You Begin: Before developing control limits and constructing the chart, calculate the mean of all 25 samples. This will be the center line of the control data. Then compute the upper and lower control limits. To complete the control chart, notice that you actually plot sample means, not individual samples.
• Solution: The center line of the control data is the average of the samples:
x = 398.75
25
x = 15.95
Control Charts for Variables • 193
The control limits are
UCL = x + zσ x = 15.95 + 3 a0.1414 b = 16.16
LCL = x − zσ x = 15.95 − 3 a0.1414 b = 15.74
The resulting control chart is
O U
N C
E S
15.60 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
15.70
15.80
15.90
16.00
16.10
16.20
LCL CL UCL Sample Mean
This can also be computed using a spreadsheet, as shown here.
1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
A
Sample Num 15.85 16.12 16.00 16.20 15.74 15.94 15.75 15.82 16.04 15.64 16.11 15.72 15.85 15.73 16.20 16.12 16.01 15.78 15.84 15.92 16.11 15.98 16.05 16.01 16.08
Obs 1
F7: =AVERAGE(B7:E7)
F32: =AVERAGE(F7:F31)
Number of Samples Number of Observations per Sample
G32: =AVERAGE(G7:G31)
G7: =MAX(B7:E7)-MIN(B7:E7)
Bottle Volume in Ounces
0.19 0.27 0.17 0.46 0.47 0.20 0.46 0.20 0.21 0.30 0.29 0.43 0.24 0.37 0.31 0.29 0.33 0.34 0.28 0.20 0.23 0.16 0.32 0.15 0.30 0.29
R-bar
Range 15.91 16.00 15.92 15.93 15.98 16.03 15.96 15.93 15.96 15.83 15.99 15.96 15.83 15.91 16.05 15.99 15.86 16.01 15.98 16.02 16.00 15.90 15.86 15.94 15.94 15.95
Xbar-bar
Average 15.93 16.01 15.83 15.93 16.10 16.03 15.86 15.94 15.98 15.89 15.82 16.15 15.98 16.10 15.89 15.94 15.68 16.12 16.12 15.93 15.88 15.89 15.93 15.86 15.98
Obs 4 15.83 15.85 15.94 15.74 16.21 16.14 16.01 16.02 15.83 15.94 16.01 16.12 15.74 15.96 16.10 15.83 15.81 16.11 16.05 16.12 16.00 15.89 15.73 15.89 15.92
Obs 3 16.02 16.00 15.91 15.85 15.86 16.01 16.21 15.94 15.98 15.86 16.00 15.85 15.76 15.84 16.01 16.08 15.93 16.04 15.92 16.09 16.02 15.82 15.73 16.01 15.78
Obs 2
B C D E F G
x-Bar Chart: Cocoa Fizz
25 4
194 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
Another way to construct the control limits is to use the sample range as an estimate of the variability of the process. Remember that the range is simply the difference between the largest and smallest values in the sample. The spread of the range can tell us about the variability of the data. In this case, control limits would be constructed as follows:
Upper control limit (UCL) = x + A2R
Lower control limit (LCL) = x − A2R
where x = average of the sample means R = average range of the samples A2 = factor obtained from Table 6.1
Notice that A2 is a factor that includes 3 standard deviations of ranges and is dependent on the sample size being considered.
Range (R) Charts Range (R) charts are another type of control chart for variables. Whereas x-bar charts mea- sure a shift in the central tendency of the process, range charts monitor the dispersion or variability of the process. The method for developing and using R-charts is the same as that
Range (R) chart A control chart that monitors changes in the dispersion or variability of a process.
EXAMPLE 6.2 Constructing a Mean (x-Bar) Chart from the Sample Range
A quality control inspector at Cocoa Fizz is using the data from Example 6.1 to develop control limits. If the average range (R) for the 25 samples is 0.29 ounce (computed as 7.1725 ) and the average mean (x) of the observations is 15.95 ounces, develop 3-sigma control limits for the bottling operation.
• Before You Begin: To compute control limits from the sample range, remember that you need to look up the value of factor A2 from Table 6.1.
• Solution: x = 15.95 ounces R = 0.29
The value of A2 is obtained from Table 6.1. For n = 4, A2 = 0.73. This leads to the following limits:
The center of the control chart = CL = 15.95 ounces
UCL = x + A2R = 15.95 + (0.73) (0.29) = 16.16
LCL = x − A2R = 15.95 − (0.73) (0.29) = 15.74
39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47
Overall Mean (Xbar-bar) = Sigma for Process =
Standard Error of the Mean = Z-value for control charts =
CL: Center Line = LCL: Lower Control Limit =
UCL: Upper Control Limit =
A B C D E F G Computations for X-Bar Chart
15.95 0.14 0.07
3
15.95 15.74 16.16
ounces
D40: =F32
D45: =D40
D46: =D40-D43*D42 D47: =D40+D43*D42
D42: =D41/SQRT(D34)
Control Charts for Variables • 195
TABLE 6.1 Factors for 3-sigma control limits of x- and R-charts
Sample Size n
Factor for x -Chart
A2
Factor for R-Chart
D3 D4
2 1.88 0 3.27
3 1.02 0 2.57
4 0.73 0 2.28
5 0.58 0 2.11
6 0.48 0 2.00
7 0.42 0.08 1.92
8 0.37 0.14 1.86
9 0.34 0.18 1.82
10 0.31 0.22 1.78
11 0.29 0.26 1.74
12 0.27 0.28 1.72
13 0.25 0.31 1.69
14 0.24 0.33 1.67
15 0.22 0.35 1.65
16 0.21 0.36 1.64
17 0.20 0.38 1.62
18 0.19 0.39 1.61
19 0.19 0.40 1.60
20 0.18 0.41 1.59
21 0.17 0.43 1.58
22 0.17 0.43 1.57
23 0.16 0.44 1.56
24 0.16 0.45 1.55
25 0.15 0.46 1.54
for x-bar charts. The center line of the control chart is the average range, and the upper and lower control limits are computed as follows:
CL = R
UCL = D4 R
LCL = D3 R
where values for D4 and D3 are obtained from Table 6.1.
Source: Factors adapted from the ASTM Manual on Quality Control of Materials.
196 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
Using Mean and Range Charts Together You can see that mean and range charts are used to monitor different variables. The mean or x-bar chart measures the central tendency of the process, whereas the range chart mea- sures the dispersion or variance of the process. Since both variables are important, it makes sense to monitor a process using both mean and range charts. It is possible to have a shift in the mean of the product but not a change in the dispersion. For example, at the Cocoa Fizz
EXAMPLE 6.3 Constructing a Range (R) Chart
The quality control inspector at Cocoa Fizz would like to develop a range (R) chart in order to monitor volume dispersion in the bottling process. Use the data from Example 6.1 to develop control limits for the sample range.
• Before You Begin: To develop control limits for the sample range, fi rst compute the average range of all 25 samples. Then use Table 6.1 to develop upper and lower control limits. To complete the control chart, you plot the sample ranges.
• Solution:
From the data in Example 6.1 you can see that the average sample range is
R = 7.17 25
R = 0.29 n = 4
From Table 6.1 for n = 4: D4 = 2.28
D3 = 0
UCL = D4R = 2.28(0.29) = 0.6612
LCL = D3R = 0(0.29) = 0
The resulting control chart is
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
LCL Sample MeanCL UCL
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
O U
N C
E S
Control Charts for Attributes • 197
bottling plant the machine setting can shift so that the average bottle filled contains not 16.0 ounces but 15.9 ounces of liquid. The dispersion could be the same, and this shift would be detected by an x-bar chart but not by a range chart. This is shown in part (a) of Figure 6.6. On the other hand, there could be a shift in the dispersion of the product without a change in the mean. Cocoa Fizz may still be producing bottles with an average fill of 16.0 ounces. However, the dispersion of the product may have increased, as shown in part (b) of Figure 6.6. This condition would be detected by a range chart but not by an x-bar chart. Because a shift in either the mean or the range means that the process is out of control, it is important to use both charts to monitor the process.
Control Charts for Attributes Control charts for attributes are used for quality characteristics that are counted rather than measured. Attributes are discrete in nature and entail simple yes-or-no decisions, for example, the number of nonfunctioning light bulbs, the proportion of broken eggs in a car- ton, the number of rotten apples, the number of scratches on a tile, or the number of com- plaints received. Two of the most common types of control charts for attributes are p-charts and c-charts.
P-charts are used to measure the proportion of items in a sample that are defective. Examples are the proportion of broken cookies in a batch and the proportion of cars produced with a misaligned fender. P-charts are appropriate when both the number of
FIGURE 6.6 Process shifts captured by x-charts and R-charts
15.8 15.9 16.0 16.1 16.2
MEAN 15.8 15.9 16.0 16.1 16.2
MEAN UCL
LCL x-chart
UCL
LCL R-chart
15.8 15.9
UCL
LCL
UCL
LCL
16.0 16.1 16.2 15.8 15.9 16.0 16.1 16.2
MEAN MEAN
x-chart R-chart
(a) Shift in mean detected by x-chart but not by R-chart
(b) Shift in dispersion detected by R-chart but not by x-chart
198 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
defectives measured and the size of the total sample can be counted. A proportion can then be computed and used as the statistic of measurement.
C-charts count the actual number of defects. For example, we can count the number of complaints from customers in a month, the number of bacteria in a petri dish, or the num- ber of barnacles on the bottom of a boat. However, we cannot compute the proportion of complaints from customers, the proportion of bacteria in a petri dish, or the proportion of barnacles on the bottom of a boat. To summarize:
P-charts: Used when observations are placed in either of two groups.
Examples:
· Defective or not defective
· Good or bad
· Broken or not broken
C-charts: Used when defects can be counted per unit of measure.
Examples:
· Number of dents per item
· Number of complaints per unit of time (e.g., hour, month, year)
· Number of tears per unit of area (e.g., square foot, square meter)
Problem-Solving Tip The primary difference between using a p-chart and a c-chart is as follows. A p-chart is
used when both the total sample size and the number of defects can be computed. A c-chart is used when we can
compute only the number of defects but cannot compute the proportion that is defective.
p-Charts P-charts are used to measure the proportion that is defective in a sample. The compu- tation of the center line as well as the upper and lower control limits is similar to the computation for the other kinds of control charts. The center line is computed as the average proportion defective in the population, p. This is obtained by taking a num- ber of sample observations at random and computing the average value of p across all samples.
To construct the upper and lower control limits for a p-chart, we use the following formulas:
UCL = p + zσ p LCL = p − zσ p
where z = standard normal variable p = the sample proportion defective σ p = the standard deviation of the average proportion defective
As with the other charts, z is selected to be either 2 or 3 standard deviations, depending on the amount of data we wish to capture in our control limits. Usually, however, the deviations are set at 3.
The sample standard deviation is computed as follows:
σ p = Bp(1 − p)n where n is the sample size.
p-chart A control chart that monitors the proportion of defects in a sample.
Control Charts for Attributes • 199
EXAMPLE 6.4 Constructing a p-Chart
A production manager at a tire manufacturing plant has inspected the number of defective tires in 20 random samples with 20 observations each. Following are the number of defective tires found in each sample:
Sample Number
Number of Defective
Tires
Number of Observations
Sampled Fraction
Defective
1 3 20 0.15
2 2 20 0.10
3 1 20 0.05
4 2 20 0.10
5 1 20 0.05
6 3 20 0.15
7 3 20 0.15
8 2 20 0.10
9 1 20 0.05
10 2 20 0.10
11 3 20 0.15
12 2 20 0.10
13 2 20 0.10
14 1 20 0.05
15 1 20 0.05
16 2 20 0.10
17 4 20 0.20
18 3 20 0.15
19 1 20 0.05
20 1 20 0.05
Total 40 400
Construct a 3-sigma control chart (z = 3) with this information.
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, you should use a p-chart because both the total sample size and the number of defects are provided.
• Solution:
The center line of the chart is
CL = p = total number of defective tires total number of observations
= 40
400 = 0.10
σ p = Bp(1 − p)n = B (0.10) (0.90)20 = 0.067 UCL = p + z(σ p) = 0.10 + 3(0.067) = 0.301
LCL = p − z(σ p) = 0.10 − 3(0.067) = −0.101 S 0
In this example the lower control limit is negative, which sometimes occurs because the computation is an approximation of the binomial distribution. When this occurs, the LCL is rounded up to zero because we cannot have a negative control limit.
200 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
The resulting control chart is as follows:
This can also be computed using a spreadsheet, as shown here.
1
2
3
A B C D
C8: =B8/C$4
4
5
20
20
Size of Each Sample
Number Samples
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
Sample #
Constructing a p-Chart
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
# Defective Tires
3
2
1
2
1
3
3
2
1
2
3
2
2
1
1
2
4
3
1
1
Fraction Defective
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.10
0.05
0.15
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.10
0.15
0.10
0.10
0.05
0.05
0.10
0.20
0.15
0.05
0.05
0.35
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
LCL pCL UCL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
F R
A C
T IO
N D
E F E
C T IV
E (
p )
SAMPLE NUMBER
Control Charts for Attributes • 201
A B C D E F
Computations for p-Chart p bar =
Sigma_p =
Z-value for control charts =
CL: Center Line =
LCL: Lower Control Limit =
UCL: Upper Control Limit =
0.100
0.067
3
0.100
0.000
0.301
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
C30: =SUM(B8:B27)/(C4*C5)
C34 = C30
C35 = MAX(C$30-C$32*C$31,0)
C36 = C$30+C$32*C$31
C31: =SQRT((C29*(1-C29))/C4)
c -Charts C-charts are used to monitor the number of defects per unit. Examples are the number of returned meals in a restaurant, the number of trucks that exceed their weight limit in a month, the number of discolorations on a square foot of carpet, and the number of bacteria in a milliliter of water. Note that the types of units of measurement we are considering are a period of time, a surface area, or a volume of liquid.
The average number of defects, c, is the center line of the control chart. The upper and lower control limits are computed as follows:
UCL = c + z3c LCL = c − z3c
c-chart A control chart used to monitor the number of defects per unit.
EXAMPLE 6.5 Computing a c-Chart
The number of weekly customer complaints are monitored at a large hotel using a c-chart. Complaints have been recorded over the past 20 weeks. Develop 3-sigma control limits using the following data:
Total
Week No. of Complaints
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
3 2 3 1 3 3 2 1 3 1 3 4 2 1 1 1 3 2 2 3 44
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, you should use a c-chart because only the number of defects (complaints) is provided and you cannot compute the proportion defective.
• Solution:
The average number of complaints per week is 44 20
= 2.2. Therefore, c = 2.2.
UCL = c + z3c = 2.2 + 332.2 = 6.65 LCL = c − z3c = 2.2 − 332.2 = −2.25 S 0
As in the previous example, the LCL is negative and should be rounded up to zero. Following is the control chart for this example:
202 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
WEEK
C O
M P
LA IN
T S P
E R
W E
E K
LCL pCL UCL
This can also be computed using a spreadsheet, as shown here.
1
2
A B
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
Week
Computing a c-Chart
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Number of Complaints
3
2
3
1
3
3
2
1
3
1
3
4
2
1
1
1
3
2
2
3
A B C D E F G
Computations for a c-Chart c bar =
Z-value for control charts =
Sigma_c = 1.4832397
CL: Center Line =
LCL: Lower Control Limit =
2.2
3
2.20 0.00
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
UCL: Upper Control Limit = 6.6534
C27: =AVERAGE(B5:B24)
C32: =C27
C33: =MAX(C$27-C$28*C$30,0)
C34: =C$27+C$28*C$30
C30: =SQRT(C27)
Process Capability • 203
We have discussed several types of statistical quality control (SQC) techniques. One category of SQC techniques consists of descriptive statistics such as the mean, range, and standard deviation. These tools are used to describe quality character- istics and relationships. Another category of SQC techniques consists of statistical process control (SPC) methods that are used to monitor changes in the production process. To understand SPC methods you must understand the differ- ences between common and assignable causes of variation. Common causes of variation are random causes that cannot be identifi ed. A certain amount of common or normal variation
occurs in every process due to differences in materials, work- ers, machines, and other factors. Assignable causes of vari- ation, on the other hand, are variations that can be identifi ed and eliminated. An important part of statistical process control (SPC) is monitoring the production process to make sure that the only variations in the process are those due to common or normal causes. Under these conditions, we say that a produc- tion process is in a state of control.
You should also understand the different types of quality control charts that are used to monitor the production process: x-bar charts, R (range) charts, p-charts, and c-charts.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
Process Capability So far, we have discussed ways of monitoring the production process to ensure that it is in a state of control and that there are no assignable causes of variation. A critical aspect of statistical quality control is evaluating the ability of a production process to meet or exceed preset specifications. This is called process capability. To understand exactly what this means, let’s look more closely at the term specification. Product specifications, often called tolerances, are preset ranges of acceptable quality characteristics, such as product dimen- sions. For a product to be considered acceptable, its characteristics must fall within this preset range. Otherwise, the product is not acceptable. Product specifications, or tolerance limits, are usually established by design engineers or product design specialists.
For example, the specifications for the width of a machine part may be specified as 15 inches ±0.3. This means that the width of the part should be 15 inches, though it is acceptable if it falls within the limits of 14.7 inches and 15.3 inches. Similarly, for Cocoa Fizz, the average bottle fill may be 16 ounces with tolerances of ±0.2 ounce. Although the bottles should be filled with 16 ounces of liquid, the amount can be as low as 15.8 or as high as 16.2 ounces.
Specifications for a product are preset on the basis of how the product is going to be used or what customer expectations are. As we have learned, any production process has a certain amount of natural variation associated with it. To be capable of producing an acceptable product, the process variation cannot exceed the preset specifications. Process capability thus involves evaluating process variability relative to preset product specifi- cations in order to determine whether the process is capable of producing an acceptable product. In this section we will learn how to measure process capability.
Measuring Process Capability Simply setting up control charts to monitor whether a process is in control does not guar- antee process capability. To produce an acceptable product, the process must be capable and in control before production begins. Let’s look at three examples of process variation relative to design specifications for the Cocoa Fizz soft-drink company. Let’s say that the specification for the acceptable volume of liquid is preset at 16 ounces ±0.2 ounce, which is 15.8 and 16.2 ounces. In part (a) of Figure 6.7 the process produces 99.74 percent (3 sigma) of the product with volumes between 15.8 and 16.2 ounces. You can see that the process variability closely matches the preset specifications. Almost all the output falls within the preset specification range.
Process capability The ability of a production process to meet or exceed preset specifi cations.
Product specifi cations Preset ranges of acceptable quality characteristics.
204 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
In part (b) of Figure 6.7, however, the process produces 99.74 percent (3 sigma) of the product with volumes between 15.7 and 16.3 ounces. The process variability is outside the preset specifications, and a large percentage of the product will fall outside the specified limits. This means that the process is not capable of producing the product within the preset specifications.
Part (c) of Figure 6.7 shows that the production process produces 99.74 percent (3 sigma) of the product with volumes between 15.9 and 16.1 ounces. In this case, the process variability is within specifications and the process exceeds the minimum capability.
Process capability is measured by the process capability index, Cp, which is computed as the ratio of the specification width to the width of the process variability:
Cp = specification width
process width =
USL − LSL 6s
where the specification width is the difference between the upper specification limit (USL) and the lower specification limit (LSL) of the process. The process width is computed as 6 standard deviations (6σ) of the process being monitored. The reason we use 6σ is that most
Process capability index An index used to measure process capability.
FIGURE 6.7 Relationship between process variability and specification width
Specification Width Specification Width LSL
15.7
(a) Process variability meets specification width (b) Process variability outside specification width
15.8 15.9 16.0
MEAN 16.1 16.2 16.3 15.7 15.8 15.9 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3
USL
Process Variability ±3𝜎 Process Variability ±3𝜎
LSL USL
(c) Process variability within specification width
15.7 15.8 15.9 16.0
MEAN 16.1 16.2 16.3
Process Variability
±3𝜎
Specification Width LSL USL
Process Capability • 205
of the process measurement (99.74 percent) falls within ±3 standard deviations, which is a total of 6 standard deviations.
There are three possible ranges of values for Cp that also help us interpret its value:
Cp = 1: A value of Cp equal to 1 means that the process variability just meets spec- ifications, as in Figure 6.7(a). We would then say that the process is minimally capable.
Cp < 1: A value of Cp below 1 means that the process variability is outside the range of specification, as in Figure 6.7(b). This means that the process is not capable of pro- ducing within specification and must be improved.
Cp > 1: A value of Cp above 1 means that the process variability is tighter than specifica- tions and the process exceeds minimal capability, as in Figure 6.7(c).
A Cp value of 1 means that 99.74 percent of the products produced will fall within the specification limits. This also means that 0.26 percent (100% − 99.74%) of the prod- ucts will not be acceptable. Although this percentage sounds very small, when we think of it in terms of parts per million (ppm), we can see that it can still result in a lot of defects. The number 0.26 percent corresponds to 2600 parts per million (ppm) defec- tive (0.0026 × 1,000,000). That number can seem very high if we think of it in terms of 2600 wrong prescriptions out of a million, or 2600 incorrect medical procedures out of a million, or even 2600 malfunctioning aircraft out of a million. You can see that this number of defects is still high. The way to reduce the ppm defective is to increase proc- ess capability.
EXAMPLE 6.6 Computing the Cp Value at Cocoa Fizz
Three bottling machines at Cocoa Fizz are being evaluated for their capability:
Bottling Machine Standard Deviation
A 0.05
B 0.1
C 0.2
If specifi cations are set between 15.8 and 16.2 ounces, determine which of the machines are capable of producing within specifi cations.
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, you need to compute the process capability index, Cp, for each machine. The machine with a Cp value at or above 1 is capable of producing within specifi cations.
• Solution:
To determine the capability of each machine, we need to divide the specifi cation width (USL − LSL = 16.2 − 15.8 = 0.4) by 6σ for each machine:
Bottling Machine
σ USL − LSL 6σ Cp =
USL − LSL 6σ
A 0.05 0.4 0.3 1.33
B 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.67
C 0.2 0.4 1.2 0.33
Looking at the Cp values, only machine A is capable of fi lling bottles within specifi cations because it is the only machine that has a Cp value at or above 1.
206 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
Cp is valuable in measuring process capability. However, it has one shortcoming: it assumes that process variability is centered on the specification range. Unfortunately, this is not always the case. Figure 6.8 shows data from the Cocoa Fizz example. In the figure the specification limits are set between 15.8 and 16.2 ounces, with a mean of 16.0 ounces. How- ever, the process variation is not centered; it has a mean of 15.9 ounces. Because of this, a certain proportion of products will fall outside the specification range.
The problem illustrated in Figure 6.8 is not uncommon, and it can lead to mistakes in the computation of the Cp measure. Because of this, another measure for process capability is used more frequently:
Cpk = minaUSL − m 3s
, m − LSL
3s b
where μ = the mean of the process σ = the standard deviation of the process
This measure of process capability helps us address a possible lack of centering of the proc- ess over the specification range. To use this measure, the process capability of each half of the normal distribution is computed and the minimum of the two is used.
Looking at Figure 6.8, we can see that the computed Cp is 1:
Process mean μ = 15.9 Process standard deviation σ = 0.067 LSL = 15.8
USL = 16.2
Cp = 0.4
6(0.067) = 1
The Cp value of 1.00 leads us to conclude that the process is capable. However, from the graph you can see that the process is not centered on the specification range and is producing out-of-spec products. Using only the Cp measure would lead to an incorrect
FIGURE 6.8 Process variability not centered across specification width
Specification Width
15.7 15.8 15.9 16.0
MEAN 16.1 16.2 16.3
LSL USL
Process Variability ±3𝜎
Process Capability • 207
conclusion in this case. Computing Cpk gives us a different answer and leads us to a dif- ferent conclusion:
Cpk = minaUSL − m 3s
, m − LSL
3s b
Cpk = mina16.2 − 15.9 3(0.067)
, 15.9 − 15.8
3(0.067) b
Cpk = min(1.49, .45)
Cpk = .45
The computed Cpk value is less than 1, revealing that the process is not capable.
EXAMPLE 6.7 Computing the Cpk Value
Compute the Cpk measure of process capability for the following machine and interpret the fi ndings. What value would you have obtained with the Cp measure?
Machine data: USL = 110
LSL = 50
Process σ = 10
Process μ = 60
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, you should compute both the Cpk and Cp measures and compare the fi ndings. Remember that each measure needs to be at or above 1 for the process to be considered capable.
• Solution:
Compute the Cpk measure of process capability:
Cpk = minaUSL − μ3σ , μ − LSL
3σ b
= mina110 − 60 3(10)
, 60 − 50
3(10) b
= min(1.67, 0.33)
= 0.33
This means that the process is not capable. The Cp measure of process capability gives us the following measure:
Cp = 60
6(10) = 1
leading us to believe that the process is capable. The reason for the difference in the measures is that the process is not centered on the specifi cation range, as shown in Figure 6.9.
208 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
Six Sigma Quality The term Six Sigma® was coined by the Motorola Corporation in the 1980s to describe the high level of quality the company was striving to achieve. Sigma (σ) stands for the number of standard deviations of the process. Recall that ±3 sigma (σ) means that 2600 ppm are defective. The level of defects associated with Six Sigma is approximately 3.4 ppm. Figure 6.10 shows a process distribution with quality levels of ±3 sigma (σ) and ±6 sigma (σ). You can see the difference in the number of defects produced.
To achieve the goal of Six Sigma, Motorola has instituted a quality focus in every aspect of its organization. Before a product is designed, marketing ensures that product characteristics are exactly what customers want. Operations ensures that exact product
Six Sigma quality A high level of quality associated with approximately 3.4 defective parts per million.
LSL Number of defects
2600 ppm
USL
MEAN ±3𝜎
±6𝜎
3.4 ppm
FIGURE 6.10 PPM defective for ±3σ versus ±6σ quality (not to scale)
Specification Width
30 50 60 75 90 110
LSL USL
Process Variability
FIGURE 6.9 Process variability not centered across specification width for Example 6.7
Six Sigma Quality • 209
characteristics can be achieved through product design, the manufacturing process, and the materials used. The Six Sigma concept is an integral part of other functions as well. It is used in the finance and account- ing departments to reduce costing errors and the time required to close the books at the end of the month. Numerous other companies, such as General Electric, Lockheed Martin, Boeing, American Express, and Texas Instruments, have followed Motorola’s leadership and have also instituted the Six Sigma concept. In fact, the Six Sigma quality standard has become a benchmark in many industries.
There are two aspects to implementing the Six Sigma concept. The first is the use of technical tools to identify and eliminate causes of quality problems. In fact, Six Sigma relies heavily on quantitative and data-driven technical tools. These technical tools include the statistical quality control tools discussed in this chapter and also the problem-solving tools discussed in Chapter 5, such as cause-and-effect diagrams, flowcharts, and Pareto analysis. In Six Sigma programs, the use of these technical tools is integrated throughout the entire organizational system.
The second aspect of Six Sigma implementation is people involvement. In Six Sigma, all employees have the training to use technical tools and are responsible for rooting out quality problems. Employees are given martial arts titles that reflect their skills in the Six Sigma process. Black belts and master black belts are individuals who have extensive train- ing in the use of technical tools and are responsible for carrying out the implementation of Six Sigma. They are experienced individuals who oversee the measuring, analyzing, process controlling, and improving. They achieve this by acting as coaches, team lead- ers, and facilitators of the process of continuous improvement. Green belts are individuals who have sufficient training in technical tools to serve on teams or on small, individual projects.
The Six Sigma approach is organized around a five-step plan known as DMAIC, which stands for Define, Measure, Analyze, Improve, and Control:
STEP 1: Define the quality problem of the process.
STEP 2: Measure the current performance of the process.
STEP 3: Analyze the process to identify the root causes of the quality problem.
STEP 4: Improve the process by eliminating the root causes of the problem.
STEP 5: Control the process to ensure the improvements continue.
The first three steps provide a study of the existing process, whereas the last two steps are involved in process change. All steps extensively utilize quantitative tools, such as measuring the current performance and analyzing the process for root causes of prob- lems. You can also see that like the PDSA cycle described in Chapter 5, this is a circular process that is ongoing and never ends. Part of Six Sigma is to continuously search for quality problems and improve upon them. In organizations, this effort is led by the black belts.
Successful Six Sigma implementation requires commitment from top company leaders. These individuals must promote the process, eliminate barriers to implementation, and ensure that proper resources are available. A key individual is a champion of Six Sigma. This
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is a person who comes from the top ranks of the organization and is responsible for provid- ing direction and overseeing all aspects of the process.
Acceptance Sampling
Acceptance sampling, the third branch of statistical quality control, refers to the process of randomly inspecting a certain number of items from a lot or batch in order to decide whether to accept or reject the entire batch. What makes acceptance sampling different from statistical process control is that acceptance sampling is performed either before or after the process, rather than during the process. Acceptance sampling before the process involves sampling materials received from a supplier, such as randomly inspecting crates of fruit that will be used in a restaurant, boxes of glass dishes that will be sold in a department store, or metal castings that will be used in a machine shop. Sampling after the process involves sampling finished items that are to be shipped either to a customer or to a dis- tribution center. Examples include randomly testing a certain number of computers from a batch to make sure they meet operational requirements and randomly inspecting snow boards to make sure that they are not defective.
You may be wondering why we would inspect only some items in the lot and not the entire lot. Acceptance sampling is used when inspecting every item is not physically possi- ble or would be overly expensive or when inspecting a large number of items would lead to errors due to worker fatigue. This last concern is especially important when a large num- ber of items are processed in a short period of time. Another example of when acceptance sampling would be used is in destructive testing, such as testing eggs for salmonella or crash-testing vehicles. Obviously, in these cases it would not be helpful to test every item! However, 100 percent inspection does make sense if the cost of inspecting an item is less than the cost of passing on a defective item.
As you will see in this section, the goal of acceptance sampling is to determine the cri- teria for acceptance or rejection based on the size of the lot, the size of the sample, and the level of confidence we wish to attain. Acceptance sampling can be used in both attribute and variable measures, though it is most commonly used for attributes. In this section we will look at the different types of sampling plans and at ways to evaluate how well sampling plans discriminate between good and bad lots.
Sampling Plans A sampling plan is a plan for acceptance sampling that precisely specifies the param- eters of the sampling process and the acceptance/rejection criteria. The variables to be specified include the size of the lot (N), the size of the sample inspected from the lot (n), the number of defects above which a lot is rejected (c), and the number of samples that will be taken.
There are different types of sampling plans. Some call for single sampling, in which a ran- dom sample is drawn from every lot. Each item in the sample is examined and is labeled as either “good” or “bad.” Depending on the number of defects or “bad” items found, the entire lot is either accepted or rejected. For example, a lot size of 50 cookies is evaluated for acceptance by randomly inspecting 10 cookies from the lot. The cookies may be inspected to make sure they are not broken or burned. If 4 or more of the 10 cookies inspected are bad, the entire lot is rejected. In this example, the lot size is N = 50, the sample size is n = 10, and the maximum number of defects at which a lot is accepted is c = 4. These parameters define the acceptance sampling plan.
Another type of acceptance sampling is called double sampling. This provides an oppor- tunity to sample the lot a second time if the results of the first sample are inconclusive.
Sampling plan A plan for acceptance sampling that precisely specifi es the parameters of the sampling process and the acceptance/ rejection criteria.
Acceptance Sampling • 211
In double sampling we first sample a lot of goods according to preset criteria for definite acceptance or rejection. However, if the results fall in the middle range, they are consid- ered inconclusive and a second sample is taken. For example, a water treatment plant may sample the quality of the water ten times in random intervals throughout the day. Criteria may be set for acceptable or unacceptable water quality, such as 0.05 percent chlorine and 0.1 percent chlorine. However, a sample of water containing between .05 percent and 0.1 percent chlorine is inconclusive and calls for a second sample of water.
In addition to single- and double-sampling plans, there are multiple-sampling plans. Multiple-sampling plans are similar to double-sampling plans except that criteria are set for more than two samples. The decision as to which sampling plan to select has a great deal to do with the cost involved in sampling, the time consumed by sampling, and the cost of passing on a defective item. In general, if the cost of collecting a sample is relatively high, single sampling is preferred. An extreme example is collecting a biopsy from a hospital patient. Because the actual cost of getting the sample is high, we want to get a large sample and sample only once. The opposite is true when the cost of collecting the sample is low but the actual cost of testing is high. This may be the case at a water treatment plant, where col- lecting the water is inexpensive but the chemical analysis is costly. In this section we focus primarily on single-sampling plans.
Operating Characteristic (OC) Curves As we have seen, different sampling plans have different capabilities for discriminating between good and bad lots. At one extreme is 100 percent inspection, which has perfect discriminating power. However, as the size of the sample inspected decreases, so does the chance of accepting a defective lot. We can show the discriminating power of a sampling plan on a graph by means of an operating characteristic (OC) curve. This curve shows the probability or chance of accepting a lot given various proportions of defects in the lot.
Figure 6.11 shows a typical OC curve. The x axis shows the percentage of items that are defective in a lot. This is called “lot quality.” The y axis shows the probability or chance of
Operating characteristic (OC) curve A graph that shows the probability or chance of accepting a lot given various proportions of defects in the lot.
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10% probability of accepting a lot with 24% defective items
.25 .30 .35.15
FIGURE 6.11 Example of an operating characteristic (OC) curve
212 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
accepting a lot. You can see that if we use 100 percent inspection, we are certain of accept- ing only lots with zero defects. However, as the proportion of defects in the lot increases, our chance of accepting the lot decreases. For example, we have a 90 percent probability of accepting a lot with 5 percent defects and an 80 percent probability of accepting a lot with 8 percent defects.
Regardless of which sampling plan we have selected, the plan is not perfect. That is, there is still a chance of accepting lots that are “ bad” and rejecting “good” lots. The steeper the OC curve, the better our sampling plan is for discriminating between “good” and “ bad.” Figure 6.12 shows three different OC curves, A, B, and C. Curve A is the most discriminating and curve C the least. You can see that the steeper the slope of the curve, the more discriminating is the sampling plan. When 100 percent inspection is not pos- sible, there is a certain amount of risk for consumers in accepting defective lots and a certain amount of risk for producers in rejecting good lots.
There is a small percentage of defects that consumers are willing to accept. This is called the acceptable quality level (AQL) and is generally on the order of 1–2 percent. However, sometimes the percentage of defects that passes through is higher than the AQL. Consum- ers will usually tolerate a few more defects, but at some point the number of defects reaches a threshold level beyond which consumers will not tolerate them. This threshold level is called the lot tolerance percent defective (LTPD). The LTPD is the upper limit of the per- centage of defective items consumers are willing to tolerate.
Consumer’s risk is the chance or probability that a lot will be accepted that contains a greater number of defects than the LTPD limit. This is the probability of making a Type II error—that is, accepting a lot that is truly “bad.” Consumer’s risk or Type II error is generally denoted by beta (β). The relationships among AQL, LTPD, and β are shown in Figure 6.13. Producer’s risk is the chance or probability that a lot containing an accept- able quality level will be rejected. This is the probability of making a Type I error—that is, rejecting a lot that is “good.” It is generally denoted by alpha (α). Producer’s risk is also shown in Figure 6.13.
Acceptable quality level (AQL) The small percentage of defects that consumers are willing to accept.
Lot tolerance percent defective (LTPD) The upper limit of the percentage of defective items consumers are willing to tolerate.
Consumer’s risk The chance of accepting a lot that contains a greater number of defects than the LTPD limit.
Producer’s risk The chance that a lot containing an acceptable quality level will be rejected.
Curve A: Highest Discrimination between “Good” and “Bad” Lots
Curve B: Less Discrimination between “Good” and “Bad” Lots
Curve C: Least Discrimination between “Good” and “Bad” Lots
.05 PROPORTION OF DEFECTIVE ITEMS
IN LOT (LOT QUALITY)
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FIGURE 6.12 OC curves with different steepness levels and different levels of discrimination
Acceptance Sampling • 213
Probability of rejecting a “good” lot (producer’s risk α)
Probability of accepting a “bad” lot (consumer’s risk β )
AQL LTPD
.05 .10 .20
Good Lots
Poor Quality Tolerated
Lot Quality Bad Quality Not Tolerated
.25 .30 .35.15
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FIGURE 6.13 An OC curve showing producer’s risk (α) and consumer’s risk ( β)
TABLE 6.2 Partial Cumulative Binomial Probability Table
Proportion of Items Defective (p)
.05 .10 .15 .20 .25 .30 .35 .40 .45 .50
n x
5 0 .7738 .5905 .4437 .3277 .2373 .1681 .1160 .0778 .0503 .0313
1 .9974 .9185 .8352 .7373 .6328 .5282 .4284 .3370 .2562 .1875
2 .9988 .9914 .9734 .9421 .8965 .8369 .7648 .6826 .5931 .5000
1For n ≥ 20 and p ≤ 0.05, a Poisson distribution is generally used.
We can determine from an OC curve what the consumer’s and producer’s risks are. How- ever, these values should not be left to chance. Rather, sampling plans are usually designed to meet specific levels of consumer’s and producer’s risk. For example, one common com- bination is to have a consumer’s risk (β) of 10 percent and a producer’s risk (α) of 5 percent, though many other combinations are possible.
Developing OC Curves An OC curve graphically depicts the discriminating power of a sampling plan. To draw an OC curve, we typically use a cumulative binomial distribution to obtain probabilities of accepting a lot given varying levels of lot defects.1 The cumulative binomial table is found in Appendix C, and a small part is reproduced in Table 6.2. The top of the table shows
214 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
values of p, which represents the proportion of defective items in a lot (5 percent, 10 per- cent, 20 percent, etc.). The left-hand column shows values of n, which represents the sam- ple size being considered, and x represents the cumulative number of defects found. Let’s use an example to illustrate how to develop an OC curve for a specific sampling plan using the information from Table 6.2.
Average Outgoing Quality As we observed with the OC curves, the higher the quality of the lot, the higher the chance that it will be accepted. Conversely, the lower the quality of the lot, the greater the chance
EXAMPLE 6.8 Constructing an OC Curve
Let’s say that we want to develop an OC curve for a sampling plan in which a sample of n = 5 items is drawn from lots of N = 1000 items. The accept/reject criteria are set up in such a way that we accept a lot if no more than one defect (c = 1) is found.
• Solution: Let’s look at the partial binomial distribution in Table 6.2. Since our criteria require us to sample n = 5, we will go to the row where n equals 5 in the left-hand column. The “x” column tells us the cumulative number of defects found at which we reject the lot. Since we are not allowing more than one defect, we look for an x value that corresponds to 1. The row corres- ponding to n = 5 and x = 1 tells us our chance or probability of accepting lots with various proportions of defects using this sampling plan. For example, with this sampling plan we have a 99.74 percent chance of accepting a lot with 5 percent defects. If we move down the row, we can see that we have a 91.85 percent chance of accepting a lot with 10 percent defects, an 83.52 percent chance of accepting a lot with 15 percent defects, and a 73.73 percent chance of accepting a lot with 20 percent defects. Using these values and those remaining in the row, we can construct an OC chart for n = 5 and c = 1. This is shown in Figure 6.14.
FIGURE 6.14 OC curve with n = 5 and c = 1
.9974 OC Curve with n = 5, c = 1 .9185
.8352
.7373
.6328
.5282
.4284
.3370
.2562
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PROPORTION OF DEFECTIVE ITEMS IN LOT (LOT QUALITY)
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Acceptance Sampling • 215
EXAMPLE 6.9 Constructing an AOQ Curve
Let’s go back to our initial example, in which we sampled fi ve items (n = 5) from a lot of 1000 (n = 1000) with an acceptance range of no more than 1 (c = 1) defect. Here we will construct an AOQ curve for this sampling plan and interpret its meaning.
• Solution: For the parameters N = 1000, n = 5, and c = 1, we can read the probabilities of Pac from Fig- ure 6.14. Then we can compute the value of AOQ as AOQ = (Pac)p.
p .05 .10 .15 .20 .25 .30 .35 .40 .45 .50
Pac .9974 .9185 .8352 .7373 .6328 .5282 .4284 .3370 .2562 .1875
AOQ .0499 .0919 .1253 .1475 .1582 .1585 .1499 .1348 .1153 .0938
Figure 6.15 shows a graphical representation of the AOQ values. The AOQ varies, depending on the proportion of defective items in the lot. The largest value of AOQ, called the average outgoing quality limit (AOQL), is around 15.85 percent. You can see from Figure 6.15 that the average outgoing quality will be high for lots that are either very good or very bad. For lots that have close to 30 percent of defective items, the AOQ is the highest. Managers can use this information to compute the worst possible value of their average outgoing quality given the proportion of defective items (p). Then this information can be used to develop a sampling plan with appropriate levels of discrimination.
that it will be rejected. Given that some lots are accepted and some rejected, it is useful to compute the average outgoing quality (AOQ) of lots to get a sense of the overall outgoing quality of the product. Assuming that all lots have the same proportion of defective items, the average outgoing quality can be computed as follows:
AOQ = (Pac)p aN − n N b
where Pac = probability of accepting a given lot p = proportion of defective items in a lot N = the size of the lot n = the sample size chosen for inspection
Average outgoing quality (AOQ) The expected proportion of defective items that will be passed to the customer under the sampling plan.
FIGURE 6.15 The AOQ for n = 5 and c = 1
PROPORTION OF DEFECTIVE ITEMS (p)
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Q
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216 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
Usually, we assume the fraction in the previous equation to equal 1 and simplify the equa- tion to the following form:
AOQ = (Pac)
We can then use the information from Figure 6.14 to construct an AOQ curve for different levels of probabilities of acceptance and different proportions of defects in a lot. As we will see, an AOQ curve is similar to an OC curve.
Implications for Managers
In this chapter we have learned about a variety of different statistical quality control (SQC) tools that help managers make decisions about product and process quality. However, to use these tools properly managers must make a number of decisions. In this section we discuss some of the most important decisions that must be made when implementing SPC.
How Much and How Often to Inspect Consider Product Cost and Product Volume As you know, 100 percent inspection is rarely possible. The question then becomes one of how often to inspect in order to minimize the chances of passing on defects and still keep inspection costs manageable. This decision should be related to the product cost and product volume of what is being produced. At one extreme are high-volume, low-cost items, such as paper, pencils, nuts and bolts, for which the cost of 100 percent inspection would not be justified. Also, with such a large volume, 100 percent inspection would not be possible because worker fatigue sets in and defects are often passed on. At the other extreme are low-volume, high-cost items, such as parts that will go into a space shuttle or be used in a medical procedure, that require 100 percent inspection.
Most items fall somewhere between the two extremes just described. For these items, frequency of inspection should be designed to consider the trade-off between the cost of inspection and the cost of passing on a defective item. Historically, inspections were set up to minimize these two costs. Today, it is believed that defects of any type should not be tolerated and that eliminating them helps reduce organizational costs. Still, the inspection process should be set up to consider issues of product cost and vol- ume. For example, one company will probably have different frequencies of inspection for different products.
Consider Process Stability Another issue to consider when deciding how much to inspect is the stability of the process. Stable processes that do not change frequently do not need to be inspected often. On the other hand, processes that are unstable and change often should be inspected frequently. For example, if it has been observed that a particular type of drilling machine in a machine shop often goes out of tolerance, that machine should be inspected frequently. Obviously, such decisions cannot be made without historical data on process stability.
Consider Lot Size The size of the lot or batch being produced is another factor to con- sider in determining the amount of inspection. A company that produces a small number of large lots will have a smaller number of inspections than a company that produces a large number of small lots. The reason is that every lot should have some inspection, and when lots are large, there are fewer lots to inspect.
Statistical Quality Control in Services • 217
Where to Inspect Since we cannot inspect every aspect of a process all the time, another important decision is where to inspect. Some areas are less critical than others. Following are some points that are typically considered most important for inspection.
Inbound Materials Materials that are coming into a facility from a supplier or distribu- tion center should be inspected before they enter the production process. It is important to check the quality of materials before labor is added to them. For example, it would be wasteful for a seafood restaurant not to inspect the quality of incoming lobsters only to later discover that its lobster bisque is bad. Another reason for checking inbound materials is to check the quality of sources of supply. Consistently poor quality in materials from a particu- lar supplier indicates a problem that needs to be addressed.
Finished Products Products that have been completed and are ready for shipment to customers should also be inspected. This is the last point at which the product is in the production facility. The quality of the product represents the company’s overall quality. The final quality level is what will be experienced by the customer, and an inspection at this point is necessary to ensure high quality in such aspects as fitness for use, packaging, and presentation.
Prior to Costly Processing During the production process it makes sense to check qual- ity before performing a costly process on the product. If quality is poor at that point and the product will ultimately be discarded, adding a costly process will simply lead to waste. For example, in the production of leather armchairs in a furniture factory, chair frames should be inspected for cracks before the leather covering is added. Otherwise, if the frame is defec- tive, the cost of the leather upholstery and workmanship may be wasted.
Which Tools to Use In addition to where and how much to inspect, managers must decide which tools to use in the process of inspection. As we have seen, tools such as control charts are best used at various points in the production process. Acceptance sampling is best used for inbound and outbound materials. It is also the easiest method to use for attribute measures, whereas control charts are easier to use for variable measures. Surveys of industry practices show that most companies use control charts, especially x-bar and R-charts, because they require less data collection than p-charts.
Statistical Quality Control in Services
Statistical quality control (SQC) tools have been widely used in manufacturing organiza- tions for quite some time. Manufacturers such as Motorola, General Electric, Toyota, and others have shown leadership in SQC for many years. Unfortunately, service organizations have lagged behind manufacturing firms in their use of SQC. The primary reason is that statistical quality control requires measurement, and it is difficult to measure the quality of a service. Remember that services often provide an intangible product and that per- ceptions of quality are often highly subjective. For example, the quality of a service is often judged by such factors as friendliness and courtesy of the staff and promptness in resolving complaints.
A way to measure the quality of services is to devise quantifiable measurements of the important dimensions of a particular service. For example, the number of complaints
218 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
received per month, the number of telephone rings after which a response is received, or customer waiting time can be quantified. These types of measurements are not subjective or subject to interpretation. Rather, they can be measured and recorded. As in manufactur- ing, acceptable control limits should be developed and the variable in question should be measured periodically.
Another issue that complicates quality control in service organizations is that the ser- vice is often consumed during the production process. The customer is often present during service delivery, and there is little time to improve quality. The workforce that interfaces with customers is part of the service delivery. The way to manage this issue is to provide a high level of workforce training and to empower workers to make decisions that will satisfy customers.
One service organization that has demonstrated quality leadership is The Ritz-Carlton Hotel Company. This luxury hotel chain caters to travel- ers who seek high levels of customer service. The goal of the chain is to be recognized for outstanding service quality. To this end, computer records are kept of regular clients’ preferences. To keep customers happy, employ- ees are empowered to spend up to $2000 on the spot to correct any cus- tomer complaint. Consequently, The
Ritz-Carlton has received a number of quality awards, including winning the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award twice. It is the only company in the service category to do so.
Another leader in service quality that uses the strategy of high levels of employee train- ing and empowerment is Nordstrom Department Stores. Outstanding customer service is the goal of this department store chain. Its organizational chart places the customer at the head of the organization. Records are kept of regular clients’ preferences, and employees are empowered to make decisions on the spot to satisfy customer wants. The customer is considered to always be right.
Service organizations must also use statistical tools to measure their processes and monitor performance. For example, the Marriott is known for regularly collecting data in
the form of guest surveys. The company randomly surveys as many as a million guests each year. The collected data are stored in a large database and continu- ally examined for patterns, such as trends and changes in customer preferences. Statistical techniques are used to analyze the data and provide important informa- tion, such as identifying areas that have the highest impact on performance and those areas that need improvement. This information allows Marriott to provide a superior level of customer service, antic- ipate customer demands, and allocate resources to service features most impor- tant to customers.
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THE RITZ-CARLTON HOTEL COMPANY, L.L.C. www.ritzcarlton.com
NORDSTROM, INC. www.nordstrom.com
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Statistical Quality Control in Services • 219
Statistical Quality Control (SQC) Within OM: How it all Fits Together
The decision to increase the level of quality and reduce the number of product defects requires support from every function within operations management. Two areas of operations management that are particularly affected are product and process design (Chapter 3). Process design needs to be modified to incorporate customer-defined quality and simplification of design. Processes need to be continuously monitored and changed to build quality into the process and reduce variation. Other areas that are affected are job design (Chapter 11), as the role of employees is expanded to become responsible for monitoring quality levels and to use statistical quality control tools. Supply chain management and inventory control (Chapter 12) are also affected as qual- ity standard requirements from suppliers are increased and changes are made on the materials used. All areas of operations management are involved when increasing the quality standard of a firm.
Statistical Quality Control (SQC) Across the Organization
It is easy to see how operations managers can use the tools of SQC to monitor product and process quality. However, you may not readily see how these statistical techniques affect other functions of the organization. In fact, SQC tools require input from other functions, influence their success, and are actually used in designing and evaluating their tasks.
Marketing plays a critical role in setting up product and service quality standards. It is up to marketing to provide information on current and future quality standards required by customers and those being offered by competitors. Operations managers can incorporate this information into product and process design. Consultation with marketing managers is essential to ensure that quality standards are being met. At the same time, meeting quality standards is essential to the marketing department, since sales of products are dependent on the standards being met.
Finance is an integral part of the statistical quality control process because it is respon- sible for placing financial values on SQC efforts. For example, the finance department evaluates the dollar costs of defects, measures financial improvements that result from tightening of quality standards, and is actively involved in approving investments in quality improvement efforts.
Human resources becomes even more important with the implementation of TQM and SQC methods, as the role of workers changes. To understand and utilize SQC tools, workers need ongoing training and the ability to work in teams, take pride in their work, and assume higher levels of responsibility. The human resources department is responsible for hiring workers with the right skills and setting proper compensation levels.
Information systems is a function that makes much of the information needed for SQC accessible to all who need it. Information systems managers need to work closely with other functions during the implementation of SQC so that they understand exactly what types of information are needed and in what form. As we have seen, SQC tools are dependent on information, and it is up to information systems managers to make that information available. As a company develops ways of using TQM and SQC tools, information systems managers must be part of this ongoing evolution to ensure that the company’s information needs are being met.
MKT
FIN
HRM
MIS
220 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
The theme of this chapter has been measuring variation of key quality characteristics of the product or process in or- der to ensure a high level of quality. We learned that variation in the production process leads to quality defects and contributes to product inconsistency. We also learned how leading compan- ies, such as Intel, make minimizing product variation a priority. For this reason, Intel has implemented the “copy-exactly” pro- gram, where the production process must be the same at every facility. This concept of minimizing product variation also has to extend to other members of the supply chain who are respons- ible for supplying component parts or delivering the product to the fi nal customer. A product is only as good as the quality of its component parts. Just as variation between production facilities
contributes to product inconsistency, so does variation between suppliers, retailers, or distributors. To minimize product vari- ation, precise standards of quality control must be implemented and SQC tools used by others in the supply chain. These stand- ards must be consistent across the supply chain. To help achieve this, many companies today are using ISO 9000 and ISO 14000 certifi cation as part of the supplier selection process. This helps to determine process capability up front and avoid long-term acceptance sampling needs. These standards are especially im- portant in today’s environment, where companies fi nd sources of supply all around the globe and need a way to ensure sup- plier quality. Otherwise, the consequences will be unreliable product quality. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
All functions need to work closely together in the implementation of statistical process control. Everyone benefits from this collaborative relationship: operations is able to pro- duce the right product efficiently; marketing has the exact product customers are looking for; and finance can boast of an improved financial picture for the organization.
SQC also affects various organizational functions through its direct application in eval- uating quality performance in all areas of the organization. SQC tools are not used only to monitor the production process and ensure that the product being produced is within specifications. As we have seen in the Motorola Six Sigma example, these tools can be used to monitor both quality levels and defects in accounting procedures, financial record keep- ing, sales and marketing, office administration, and other functions. Having high quality standards in operations does not guarantee high quality in the organization as a whole. The same stringent standards and quality evaluation procedures should be used in setting stan- dards and evaluating the performance of all organizational functions.
Setting standards of performance is a key aspect of redu-cing and measuring variation. Just as we need to measure quality performance and compare it against a standard we need to measure sustainability performance. We also need standards against which to base performance. Standards and metrics are essential to managing environmental outcomes and verifying claims of performance. Otherwise, claims can be seen as just unsubstantiated advertising. The same processes of statistical control can be applied here. However, instead of a quality metric, we would use a sustainability metric. The im- portant issue is developing these metrics and many can be highly industry specifi c.
For sustainability metrics to be effective, they often need to be industry specifi c. Industry-specifi c scoring and measure- ment systems are being developed in a wide range of indus- tries. For example, in the trucking industry companies are
working with the newly expanded Safety Management System from the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration. A de- tailed scoring system shows how trucking fi rms compare along metrics such as emission controls, vehicle maintenance, driver fi tness, and crash history. Companies are using this scoring sys- tem to compare track records, assess who is really performing in terms of specifi c metrics, and using that information to choose logistics partners. High scorers such as Ryder Logistics, a company that has consistently ranked in the top 10 percent in safety categories, have found their business growing as cus- tomers read the comparison chart and choose to partner with the high scorers. This system has provided standards of per- formance and objective comparison against standards. We will be seeing more of these types of scoring systems in a wide range of industries. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Chapter Highlights 1 Statistical quality control (SQC) refers to statistical
tools that can be used by quality professionals. Statis- tical quality control can be divided into three broad categories: descriptive statistics, acceptance sampling, and statistical process control (SPC).
2 There are two causes of variation in the quality of a product or process: common causes and assignable causes. Common causes of variation are random causes that we cannot identify. Assignable causes of variation are those that can be identified and eliminated.
3 Descriptive statistics are used to describe quality characteristics, such as the mean, range, and vari- ance. Acceptance sampling is the process of randomly inspecting a sample of goods and deciding whether to accept or reject the entire lot. Statistical process con- trol (SPC) involves inspecting a random sample of out- put from a process and deciding whether the process is producing products with characteristics that fall within preset specifications.
4 A control chart is a graph used in statistical process control that shows whether a sample of data falls within the normal range of variation. A control chart has upper and lower control limits that separate com- mon from assignable causes of variation. Control charts for variables monitor characteristics that can be measured and have a continuum of values, such as height, weight, or volume. Control charts for attributes are used to monitor characteristics that have discrete values and can be counted.
5 Control charts for variables include x-bar charts and R-charts. X-bar charts monitor the mean or average value of a product characteristic. R-charts moni- tor the range or dispersion of the values of a product characteristic.
6 Control charts for attributes include p-charts and c-charts. P-charts are used to monitor the proportion of defects in a sample. C-charts are used to monitor the actual number of defects in a sample.
7 Process capability is the ability of the production process to meet or exceed preset specifications. It is measured by the process capability index, Cp, which is computed as the ratio of the specification width to the width of the process variability.
8 The term Six Sigma indicates a level of quality in which the number of defects is no more than 3.4 parts per million.
9 The goal of acceptance sampling is to determine crite- ria for acceptance or rejection based on lot size, sam- ple size, and the desired level of confidence. Operating characteristic (OC) curves are graphs that show the discriminating power of a sampling plan.
10 There are three important decisions managers must make when implementing SPC. The first is deciding how much and how often to inspect. The second is where to inspect, and the third is deciding which tools to use to inspect.
11 It is more difficult to measure quality in services than in manufacturing. The key is to devise quantifiable measurements for important service dimensions.
Key Terms
statistical quality control (SQC) 186
descriptive statistics 186
statistical process control (SPC) 186
acceptance sampling 186
common causes of variation 187
assignable causes of variation 187
mean (average) 188
range 188
standard deviation 188
out of control 189
variable 190
attribute 190
x-bar chart 191
range (R) chart 194
p-chart 198
c-chart 201
process capability 203
product specifi cations 203
process capability index 204
Six Sigma quality 208
sampling plan 210
operating characteristic (OC) curve 211
acceptable quality level (AQL) 212
lot tolerance percent defective (LTPD) 212
consumer’s risk 212
producer’s risk 212
average outgoing quality (AOQ) 215
Key Terms • 221
222 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
A quality control inspector at the Crunchy Potato Chip Company has taken ten samples with four observations each of the volume of bags fi lled. Th e data and the com- puted means are shown in the following table:
Sample of Potato Chip Bag Volume in Ounces
Sample Number
Observations 1 2 3 4
Average x
1 12.5 12.3 12.6 12.7 12.525
2 12.8 12.4 12.4 12.8 12.6
3 12.1 12.6 12.5 12.4 12.4
4 12.2 12.6 12.5 12.3 12.4
5 12.4 12.5 12.5 12.5 12.475
6 12.3 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.475
7 12.6 12.7 12.5 12.8 12.65
8 12.4 12.3 12.6 12.5 12.45
9 12.6 12.5 12.3 12.6 12.5
10 12.1 12.7 12.5 12.8 12.525
Total 125.0
If the standard deviation of the bagging operation is 0.2 ounce, use the information in the table to develop control limits of 3 standard deviations for the bagging operation.
Before You Begin: To compute the control limits, you must fi rst calculate the mean of the four samples and then use the UCL and LCL formulas.
Solution: Th e center line of the control data is the aver- age of the samples:
x = 125.0
10 = 12.5 ounces
Th e control limits are:
UCL = x + zσ x = 12.5 + 3 a 0.214b = 12.80
LCL = x − zσ x = 12.5 − 3 a 0.214b = 12.20
Formula Review
1. Mean: x = a
n
i = 1 xi
n
2. Standard deviation: s = R a
n
i = 1 (xi − x)
2
n − 1 3. Control limits for x-bar charts: Upper control limit
(ULC) = x + zσx Lower control limit
(LCL) = x − zσx
sx = s1n
4. Control limits for x-bar charts using sample range as an estimate of variability:
Upper control limit
(UCL) = x − A2R
Lower control limit
(LCL) = x − A2R
5. Control limits for R-charts: UCL = D4R
LCL = D3R
6. Control limits for p-charts: UCL = p + z(σp )
LCL = p − z(σp )
7. Control limits for c-charts: UCL = c + z3c LCL = c − z3c 8. Measures for process capability:
Cp = specification width
process width =
USL − LSL 6σ
Cpk = min aUSL − m 3s
, m − LSL
3s b
9. Average outgoing quality: AOQ = (Pac)p
Following is the associated control chart:
Th e problem can also be solved using a spreadsheet.
12.00
12.10
12.20
12.30
12.40
12.50
12.60
12.70
12.80
12.90
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
LCL Sample MeanCL UCL
x-Bar Chart (Based on Known Sigma)
O U
N C
E S
A B C D E F G
1
Crunchy Potato Chip Company2 3
4
5 Bag Volume in Ounces Sample Num6 Obs 1 Obs 2 Obs 3 Obs 4 Average
17 12.50 12.30 12.60 12.70 12.53
28 12.80 12.40 12.40 12.80 12.60
39 12.10 12.60 12.50 12.40 12.40
410 12.20 12.60 12.50 12.30 12.40
511 12.40 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.48
612 12.30 12.40 12.60 12.60 12.48
713 12.60 12.70 12.50 12.80 12.65
814 12.40 12.30 12.60 12.50 12.45
915 12.60 12.50 12.30 12.60 12.50
1016 12.10 12.70 12.50 12.80 12.53
17 12.50
18 Number of Samples 10 Xbar-bar
19 Number of Observations per Sample 4
20
21
22 Computations for X-Bar Chart 23 Overall Mean (Xbar-bar) = 12.50
24 Sigma for Process = ounces0.2
25 Standard Error of the Mean = 0.1
26 Z-value for control charts = 3
27
28 CL: Center Line = 12.50 29 LCL: Lower Control Limit = 12.20 30 UCL: Upper Control Limit = 12.80
F7: =AVERAGE(B7:E7)
F17: =AVERAGE(F7:F16)
D28: =D23
D23: =F17
D29: =D23-D26*D25
D30: =D23+D26*D25
D25: =D24/SQRT(D19)
Solved Problems • 223
224 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
PROBLEM 2
Use of the sample range to estimate variability can also be applied to the Crunchy Potato Chip operation. A quality control inspector has taken four samples with fi ve obser- vations each, measuring the volume of chips per bag. If the average range for the four samples is 0.2 ounce and the average mean of the observations is 12.5 ounces, develop 3-sigma control limits for the bagging operation.
Before You Begin: Recall that to compute control limits from the sample range you need to look up the value of factor A2 from Table 6.1 for the appropriate value of n. In this problem n = 5.
PROBLEM 3
Ten samples with fi ve observations each have been taken from the Crunchy Potato Chip Company plant in order to test for volume dispersion in the bagging process. Th e average sample range was found to be 0.3 ounce. Develop control limits for the sample range.
Before You Begin: To compute the control limits for the sample range, remember to look up the values for D4 and D3 from Table 6.1 for the appropriate value of n. In this problem n = 5.
PROBLEM 4
A production manager at a light bulb plant has inspected the number of defective light bulbs in 10 random samples with 30 observations each. Following are the numbers of defective light bulbs found:
Sample Number
Number of Observations
in Sample
1 1 30
2 3 30
3 3 30
4 1 30
5 0 30
6 5 30
7 1 30
8 1 30
9 1 30
10 1 30
Total 17 300
Solution:
x = 12.5 ounce
R = 0.2 Th e value of A2 is obtained from Table 6.1. For n = 5, A2 = 0.58. Th is leads to the following limits:
Th e center of the control chart is CL = 12.5 ounces.
UCL = x + A2R = 12.5 + (0.58) (0.2) = 12.62
LCL = x − A2R = 12.5 − (0.58) (0.2) = 12.38
Solution:
R = 0.3 ounce n = 5
From Table 6.1 for n = 5: D4 = 2.11
D3 = 0 Th erefore,
UCL = D4R = 2.11(0.3) = 0.633 LCL = D3R = 0(0.3) = 0
Construct a 3-sigma control chart (z = 3) with this information.
Before You Begin: To solve this problem, you should use a p-chart because both the total sample size and the number of defects are provided.
Solution: Th e center line of the chart is:
CL = p = number defective
number of observations =
17
300 = 0.057
sp = Bp(1 − p)n = B (0.057) (0.943)30 = 0.042 UCL = p + z(sp ) = 0.057 + 3(0.042) = 0.183
LCL = p − z(sp ) = 0.057 − 3(0.042) = −0.069 S 0
2
UCL = .183
LCL = 0
CL = .057
4 6 8 10
P R
O P
O R
T IO
N D
E F E
C T IV
E
SAMPLE NUMBER
Th is is also solved using a spreadsheet.
A B C D E F G
1
p-Chart for Light Bulb Quality2 3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Sample # # Defectives p
Sample Size 30
Number Samples 10
1 1 0.03333333
2 3 0.1
3 3 0.1
4 1 0.03333333
5 0 0
6 5 0.16666667
7 1 0.03333333
8 1 0.03333333
9 1 0.03333333
10 1 0.0333333317
18
p bar = 0.0566666719
Sigma_p = 0.04221199
3
20
21
22
23
24
25
0.05666667 0
0.18330263
Z-value for control charts =
CL: Center Line =
LCL: Lower Control Limit =
UCL: Upper Control Limit =
C23: =C19
C8: =B8/C$4
C24: =MAX(C$19-C$21*C$20,0)
C19: =SUM(B8:B17)/(C4*C5)
C20: =SQRT((C19*(1-C19))/C4)
C25: =C$19+C$21*C$20
PROBLEM 5
Kinder Land Child Care uses a c-chart to monitor the number of customer complaints per week. Complaints have been recorded over the past 20 weeks. Develop a control chart with 3-sigma control limits using the fol- lowing data:
Week Number of Complaints Week
Number of Complaints
1 0 11 4
2 3 12 3
3 4 13 1
4 1 14 1
5 0 15 1
6 0 16 0
7 3 17 2
8 1 18 1
9 1 19 2
10 0 20 2
Total 30
Before You Begin: Notice that in this problem only the number of defects (complaints) has been collected over time. Th is means that you cannot compute the proportion that is defective and therefore you should use a c-chart.
Solution: Th e average weekly number of complaints is 30
20 = 1.5. Th erefore,
UCL = c + z3c = 1.5 + 331.5 = 5.17 LCL = c − z3c = 1.5 − 331.5 = − 2.17 S 0
Solved Problems • 225
226 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
Th e resulting control chart is shown below.
WEEK
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
C O
M P
LA IN
T S P
E R
W E
E K
LCL pCL UCL
PROBLEM 6
Th ree bagging machines at the Crunchy Potato Chip Company are being evaluated for their capability. Th e following data are recorded:
Bagging Machine Standard Deviation
A 0.2
B 0.3
C 0.05
If specifi cations are set between 12.35 and 12.65 ounces, determine which of the machines are capable of pro- ducing within specifi cation.
Before You Begin: To solve this problem, you need to compute the process capability index, Cp, for each of the three bagging machines. Th e machine that has a Cp ⩾ 1 is capable of producing within specifi cation.
PROBLEM 7
Compute the Cpk measure of process capability for the following machine and interpret the fi ndings. What value would you have obtained with the Cp measure?
Solution: To determine the capability of each machine, we need to divide the specifi cation width (USL − LSL = 12.65 − 12.35 = 0.3) by 6𝜎 for each machine:
Bagging Machine σ USL − LSL 6σ Cp =
USL − LSL 6σ
A 0.2 0.3 1.2 0.25
B 0.3 0.3 1.8 0.17
C 0.05 0.3 0.3 1.00
Looking at the Cp values, only machine C is capable of bagging the potato chips within specifications be- cause it is the only machine that has a Cp value at or above 1.
Before You Begin: In this problem you should com- pute both the Cp and Cpk measures following the formu- las from the text. For each measure, a numerical value at or above 1 indicates that the process is capable.
Machine data: USL = 80 LSL = 50 Process s = 5 Process m = 60
Solution: To compute the Cpk measure of process capability:
Cpk = min aUSL − m 3s
, m − LSL
3s b
= mina80 − 60 3(5)
, 60 − 50
3(5) b
= min(1.33, 0.67)
= 0.67 Th is means that the process is not capable. Th e Cp mea- sure of process capability gives us the following measure:
Cp = 30
6(5) = 1.0
which leads us to believe that the process is capable.
Discussion Questions
1. Explain the three categories of statistical quality con- trol (SQC). How are they diff erent, what diff erent in- formation do they provide, and how can they be used together?
2. Describe three recent situations in which you were directly aff ected by poor product or service quality.
3. Discuss the key differences between common and assignable causes of variation. Give examples.
4. Describe a quality control chart and how it can be used. What are upper and lower control limits? What does it mean if an observation falls outside the control limits?
5. Explain the diff erences between x-bar and R-charts. How can they be used together and why would it be im- portant to use them together?
6. Explain the use of p-charts and c-charts. When would you use one rather than the other? Give examples of measurements for both p-charts and c-charts.
7. Explain what is meant by process capability. Why is it important? What does it tell us? How can it be meas- ured?
8. Describe the process of acceptance sampling. What types of sampling plans are there? What is acceptance sampling used for?
9. Describe the concept of Six Sigma quality. Why is such a high quality level important?
Problems
1. A quality control manager at a manufacturing facility has taken four samples with four observations each of the diameter of a part. (a) Compute the mean of each sample. (b) Compute an estimate of the mean and standard
deviation of the sampling distribution. (c) Develop control limits for 3 standard deviations of
the product diameter.
Samples of Part Diameter in Inches
1 2 3 4 5.8 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9 6.0 5.9 5.9 6.0 5.9 6.0 5.9 6.1 5.9 5.8 6.1
2. A quality control inspector at the Beautiful Shampoo Company has taken three samples with four obser- vations each of the volume of shampoo bottles fi lled.
Th e data collected by the inspector and the computed means are shown here:
Samples of Shampoo Bottle Volume in Ounces
Observation 1 2 3 1 19.7 19.7 19.7 2 20.6 20.2 18.7 3 18.9 18.9 21.6 4 20.8 20.7 20.0
Mean 20.0 19.875 20.0
If the standard deviation of the shampoo bottle- fi lling operation is 0.2 ounce, use the information in the table to develop control limits of 3 standard devi- ations for the operation.
3. A quality control inspector has taken four samples with fi ve observations each at the Beautiful Sham- poo Company, measuring the volume of shampoo
Problems • 227
228 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
per bottle. If the average range for the four samples is 0.4 ounce and the average mean of the observations is 19.8 ounces, develop 3-sigma control limits for the bottling operation.
4. A production manager at Ultra Clean Dishwashing Company is monitoring the quality of the company’s production process. Th ere has been concern relative to the quality of the operation in accurately fi lling the 16 ounces of dishwashing liquid. Th e product is designed for a fi ll level of 16.00 ± 0.30. Th e company collected the following sample data on the production process:
Observations
Sample 1 2 3 4 1 16.40 16.11 15.90 15.78 2 15.97 16.10 16.20 15.81 3 15.91 16.00 16.04 15.92 4 16.20 16.21 15.93 15.95 5 15.87 16.21 16.34 16.43 6 15.43 15.49 15.55 15.92 7 16.43 16.21 15.99 16.00 8 15.50 15.92 16.12 16.02 9 16.13 16.21 16.05 16.01 10 15.68 16.43 16.20 15.97
(a) Are the process mean and range in statistical control?
(b) Do you think this process is capable of meeting the design standard?
5. Ten samples with fi ve observations each have been taken from the Beautiful Shampoo Company plant in order to test for volume dispersion in the shampoo bottle-fi lling process. Th e average sample range was found to be 0.3 ounce. Develop control limits for the sample range.
6. Th e Awake Coff ee Company produces gourmet instant coff ee. Th e company wants to be sure that the average fi ll of coff ee containers is 12.0 ounces. To make sure the process is in control, a worker periodically selects at random a box of six containers of coff ee and measures their weight. When the process is in control, the range of the weight of coff ee samples averages 0.6 ounce.
(a) Develop an R-chart and an x -chart for this process. (b) Th e measurements of weight from the last fi ve
samples taken of the six containers follow :
Sample X R
1 12.1 0.7 2 11.8 0.4 3 12.3 0.6 4 11.5 0.4 5 11.6 0.9
Is the process in control? Explain your answer.
7. A production manager at a Contour Manufacturing plant has inspected the number of defective plastic molds in 5 random samples of 20 observations each. Following are the number of defective molds found in each sample:
Sample Number of
Defects
Number of Observations
in Sample 1 1 20 2 2 20 3 2 20 4 1 20 5 0 20
Total 6 100
Construct a 3-sigma control chart (z = 3) with this information.
8. A tire manufacturer has been concerned about the number of defective tires found recently. In order to evaluate the true magnitude of the problem, a produc- tion manager selected 10 random samples of 20 units each for inspection. Th e number of defective tires found in each sample are as follows:
Sample Number Defective 1 1 2 3 3 2 4 1 5 4 6 1 7 2 8 0 9 3 10 1
(a) Develop a p-chart with a z = 3. (b) Suppose that the next four samples selected had 6,
3, 3, and 4 defects. What conclusion can you make? 9. U-learn University uses a c-chart to monitor student
complaints per week. Complaints have been recorded over the past ten weeks. Develop 3-sigma control lim- its using the following data:
Week Number of Complaints 1 0 2 3 3 1 4 1 5 0 6 0 7 3 8 1 9 1 10 2
10. University Hospital has been concerned with the num- ber of errors found in its billing statements to patients. An audit of 100 bills per week over the past 12 weeks revealed the following number of errors:
Week Number of Errors 1 4 2 5 3 6 4 6 5 3 6 2 7 6 8 7 9 3 10 4 11 3 12 4
(a) Develop control charts with z = 3. (b) Is the process in control?
11. Th ree ice-cream packing machines at the Creamy Treat Company are being evaluated for their capabil- ity. Th e following data are recorded:
Packing Machine Standard Deviation A 0.2 B 0.3 C 0.05
If specifi cations are set between 15.8 and 16.2 ounces, determine which of the machines are capable of producing within specifi cations.
12. Compute the Cpk measure of process capability for the following machine and interpret the fi ndings. What value would you have obtained with the Cp measure?
Machine data: USL = 100
LSL = 70
Process s = 5
Process m = 80
13. Develop an OC curve for a sampling plan in which a sample of n = 5 items is drawn from lots of N = 1000 items. Th e accept/reject criteria are set up in such a way that we ac- cept a lot if no more than one defect (c = 1) is found.
14. Quality Style manufactures self-assembling furniture. To reduce the cost of returned orders, the manager of its quality control department inspects the fi nal pack- ages each day using randomly selected samples. Th e defects include wrong parts, missing connection parts, parts with apparent painting problems, and parts with rough surfaces. Th e average defect rate is three per day.
(a) Which type of control chart should be used? Construct a control chart with 3-sigma control limits.
(b) Today the manager discovered nine defects. What does this mean?
15. Develop an OC curve for a sampling plan in which a sample of n = 10 items is drawn from lots of N = 1000. Th e accept/reject criteria are set up in such a way that we accept a lot if no more than one defect (c = 1) is found.
16. Th e Fresh Pie Company purchases apples from a local farm to be used in preparing the fi lling for its apple pies. Sometimes the apples are fresh and ripe. Other times they can be spoiled or not ripe enough. Th e company has decided that it needs an acceptance sampling plan for the purchased apples. Fresh Pie has decided that the acceptable quality level is 2 defective apples per 100, and the lot tolerance proportion de- fective is 5 percent. Producer’s risk should be no more than 5 percent and consumer’s risk 10 percent or less.
(a) Develop a plan that satisfi es the above requirements.
(b) Determine the AOQL for your plan, assuming that the lot size is 1000 apples.
17. A computer manufacturer purchases microchips from a world-class supplier. Th e buyer has a lot tolerance pro- portion defective of 10 parts in 5000, with a consumer’s risk of 15 percent. If the computer manufacturer de- cides to sample 2000 of the microchips received in each shipment, what acceptance number, c, would it want?
18. Joshua Simms has recently been placed in charge of purchasing at the Med-Tech Labs, a medical testing laboratory. His job is to purchase testing equipment and supplies. Med-Tech currently has a contract with a reput- able supplier in the industry. Joshua’s job is to design an appropriate acceptance sampling plan for Med-Tech. Th e contract with the supplier states that the acceptable quality level is 1 percent defective. Also, the lot tolerance proportion defective is 4 percent, the producer’s risk is 5 percent, and the consumer’s risk is 10 percent.
(a) Develop an acceptance sampling plan for Joshua that meets the stated criteria.
(b) Draw the OC curve for the plan you developed. (c) What is the AOQL of your plan, assuming a lot size
of 1000? 19. Breeze Toothpaste Company makes tubes of toothpaste.
Th e product is produced and then pumped into tubes and capped. Th e production manager is concerned whether the fi lling process for the tubes of toothpaste is in statistical control. Th e process should be centered on 6 ounces per tube. Six samples of fi ve tubes were taken and each tube was weighed. Th e weights are:
Problems • 229
230 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
Ounces of Toothpaste per Tube
Sample 1 2 3 4 5 1 5.78 6.34 6.24 5.23 6.12 2 5.89 5.87 6.12 6.21 5.99 3 6.22 5.78 5.76 6.02 6.10 4 6.02 5.56 6.21 6.23 6.00 5 5.77 5.76 5.87 5.78 6.03 6 6.00 5.89 6.02 5.98 5.78
(a) Develop a control chart for the mean and range for the available toothpaste data.
(b) Plot the observations on the control chart and comment on your fi ndings.
20. Breeze Toothpaste Company has been having a problem with some of the tubes of toothpaste leaking. Th e tubes are packed in containers with 100 tubes each. Ten con- tainers of toothpaste have been sampled. Th e following number of toothpaste tubes were found to have leaks:
Sample Number of
Leaky Tubes Sample Number of
Leaky Tubes 1 4 6 6 2 8 7 10 3 12 8 9 4 11 9 5 5 12 10 8
Total 85
Develop a p-chart with 3-sigma control limits and evaluate whether the process is in statistical control.
21. Th e Crunchy Potato Chip Company packages potato chips in a process designed for 10.0 ounces of chips with an upper specifi cation limit of 10.5 ounces and a lower specifi cation limit of 9.5 ounces. Th e packaging process results in bags with an average net weight of 9.8 ounces and a standard deviation of 0.12 ounce. Th e company wants to determine whether the process is capable of meeting design specifi cations.
22. The Crunchy Potato Chip Company sells chips in boxes with a net weight of 30 ounces per box (850 grams). Each box contains ten individual 3-ounce packets of chips. Product design specifications call for the packet-filling process average to be set at 86.0 grams so that the average net weight per box will be 860 grams. Specification width is set for the box to weigh 850 ± 12 grams. Th e standard deviation of the packet-filling process is 8.0 grams per box. The target process capability ratio is 1:33. The production manager has just learned that the packet-filling process average weight has dropped down to 85.0 grams. Is the packaging process cap- able? Is an adjustment needed?
Case: Scharadin Hotels
Scharadin Hotels is a national hotel chain started in 1957 by Milo Scharadin. What started as one upscale hotel in New York City turned into a highly reputable national hotel chain. Today, Scharadin Hotels serves over 100 1ocations and is recognized for its customer service and quality. Scharadin Hotels are typically located in large metropolitan areas close to convention centers and centers of commerce. Th ey cater to both business and nonbusiness customers and off er a wide array of services. Maintaining high customer service has been considered a priority for the hotel chain.
A Problem with Quality
Th e Scharadin Hotel in San Antonio, Texas, had recently been experiencing a large number of guest complaints due to billing errors. Th e complaints seemed to center around guests disputing charges on their fi nal hotel bill. Guest complaints ranged from extra charges, such as meals or services that were not purchased, to confusion for not being charged at all. Most hotel guests use express check- out on their day of departure. With express checkout, the
hotel bill is left under the guest’s door in the early morning hours and, if all is in order, does not require any additional action on the guest’s part. Express checkout is a service welcomed by busy travelers who are free to depart the hotel at their convenience. However, the increased num- ber of billing errors began creating unnecessary delays and frustration for the guests who unexpectedly needed to settle their bill with the front desk. Th e hotel staff often had to calm frustrated guests who were rushing to the air- port and were aggravated that they were getting charged for items they had not purchased.
Identifying the Source of the Problem
Larraine Scharadin, Milo Scharadin’s niece, had recently been appointed to run the San Antonio hotel. A recent business school graduate, Larraine had grown up in the hotel business. She was poised and confi dent and understood the importance of high quality for the hotel. When she became aware of the billing problem, she immediately called a staff meeting to uncover the source of the problem.
During the staff meeting, discussion quickly turned to problems with the new computer system and soft- ware that had been put in place. Tim Coleman, head of MIS, defended the system, stating that it was sound and the problems were exaggerated. Tim claimed that a few hotel guests made an issue of a few random problems. Scott Schultz, head of operations, was not so sure. Scott said that he noticed that the number of complaints seemed to have signifi cantly increased since the new system was installed. He said that he had asked his team to perform an audit of 50 random bills per day over the past 30 days. Scott showed the following num- bers to Larraine, Tim, and the other staff members.
Day
Number of Incorrect
Bills Day
Number of Incorrect
Bills Day
Number of Incorrect
Bills
1 2 11 1 21 3
2 2 12 2 22 3
3 1 13 3 23 3
4 2 14 3 24 4
5 2 15 2 25 5
6 3 16 3 26 5
7 2 17 2 27 6
8 2 18 2 28 5
9 1 19 1 29 5
10 2 20 3 30 5
Everyone looked at the data that had been presented. Th en Tim exclaimed, “Notice that the number of errors increases in the last third of the month. Th e computer system had been in place for the entire month, so that can’t be the problem. Scott, it is probably the new employees you have on staff that are not entering the data properly.” Scott quickly retaliated, “Th e employees are trained properly! Everyone knows the problem is the computer system!”
Th e argument between Tim and Scott became heated, and Larraine decided to step in. She said, “Scott, I think it is best if you perform some statisti- cal analysis of that data and send us your fi ndings. You know that we want a high quality standard. We can’t be Motorola with Six Sigma quality, but let’s try for 3 sigma. Would you develop some control charts with the data and let us know whether you think the process is in control?”
Case Questions
1. Set up 3-sigma control limits with the given data.
2. Is the process in control? Why?
3. Based on your analysis, do you think the problem is the new computer system or something else?
4. What advice would you give to Larraine based on the information that you have?
Case: Delta Plastics, Inc. (B)
Jose De Costa, director of manufacturing at Delta Plas- tics, sat at his desk looking at the latest production quality report, showing the number and type of prod- uct defects per week (see the quality report in Delta Plastics, Inc. Case A, Chapter 5). He was faced with the task of evaluating production quality for products made with two diff erent materials. One of the materials was new and called “super plastic” due to its ability to sus- tain large temperature changes. Th e other material was the standard plastic that had been successfully used by Delta for many years.
Th e company had started producing products with the new “super plastic” material only a month earlier. Jose suspected that the new material could result in more defects during the production process than the standard material they had been using. Jose had been
opposed to starting production until R&D had fully completed testing and refi ning the new material. How- ever, the CEO of Delta had ordered production despite objections from manufacturing and R&D. Jose carefully looked at the report in front of him and prepared to analyze the results.
Case Questions
1. Prepare a 3-sigma control chart for both produc- tion processes, using the new and standard material (use the quality report in Delta Plastics, Inc. Case A, Chapter 5). Are both processes in control? What can you conclude?
2. Are both materials equally subject to the defects?
3. Given your fi ndings, what advice would you give Jose?
Case: Delta Plastics, Inc. (B) • 231
232 CHAPTER 6 • Statistical Quality Control
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Statistical Process Control at Cruise Inter- national, Inc. For this assignment, you will work again with Meghan Willoughby, Chief Purser. Th is assign- ment involves analyzing some of the data collected through our Quality Improvement Teams. While CII is concerned about quality in all aspects of its operations, there are six areas that seem to be critical in terms of customer satisfaction. Customers quickly become dissatisfi ed as a result of (1) mistakes made in their onboard accounts, (2) housekeeping issues (3) qual- ity problems in the restaurants and bars, (4) problems associated with shore excursions, (5) problems with
the entertainment, and (6) problems with the onboard shops. You will be using statistical process control tech- niques to analyze some data collected by the Quality Improvement Teams. Th is assignment will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 6 of your textbook while preparing you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Statistical Process Control at CII
On-line Case: Statistical Quality Control at Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Statistical Quality Control Th is assignment involves controlling nursing hours at Valley Memorial Hospital. Lee Jordan, director of the hospital’s Medical/ Surgical Nursing Unit, has already told you that VMH employs more than 500 nurses, with an annual nurs- ing budget of $5,000,000. “We’re trying for a 5 percent reduction in nursing FTEs—full-time equivalents,” he says. “I’ve been personally recording the nursing hours per patient per day for over three months in Med/Surg.
I would like you to look at the numbers and see whether you can tell me how to meet our goals.”
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Statistical Quality Control
www.wiley.com/college/reid
Internet Challenge: Safe-Air
To gain business experience, you have volunteered to work at Safe-Air, a nonprofi t agency that monitors airline safety records and customer service. Your fi rst assignment is to compare three airlines based on their on-time arrivals and departures. Your manager has asked you to get your information from the Internet. Select any three airlines. For an entire week check the daily arrival and departure schedules of the three air- lines from your city or closest airport. Remember that it is important to compare the arrivals and departures from the same location and during the same time period to account for factors such as the weather. Record the data that you collect for each airline. Th en decide which
types of statistical quality control tools you are going to use to evaluate the airlines’ performances. Based on your fi ndings, draw a conclusion regarding the on-time arrivals and departures of each of the airlines. Which is best and which is worst? Are there large diff erences in performance among the airlines? Also describe the statistical quality control tools you have decided to use to monitor performance. If you have chosen to use more than one tool, are you fi nding the tools equally useful or is one better at capturing diff erences in per- formance? Finally, based on what you have learned so far, how would you perform this analysis diff erently in the future?
Selected Bibliography
Defeo, J., and J.M. Juran. Juran’s Quality Handbook: Th e Com- plete Guide to Performance Excellence, Sixth Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill, 2010.
Feigenbaum, A.V. Total Quality Control. New York: McGraw- Hill, 1991.
Gitlow, H.S., and D.M. Levine. Six Sigma for Green Belts and Champions: Foundation, DMAIC, Tools, Cases
and Certification. Upper Saddle River, N. J.: FT Press, 2014.
Grant, E.L., and R.S. Leavenworth. Statistical Quality Control, Sixth Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1998.
Juran, J.M., and F.M. Gryna. Quality Planning and Analysis, Second Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1980.
Kubiak, T.M., and D.W. Benbow. Th e Certifi ed Six Sigma Black Belt Handbook, Second Edition. Milwaukee: Amer- ican Society for Quality, 2009.
Montgomery, D.C. Statistical Quality Control. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2013.
Pyzdek, T., and P. Keller. Th e Six Sigma Handbook, Fourth Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill Education, 2014.
Spector, Robert E. “How Constraint Management Enhances Lean and Six Sigma,” Supply Chain Management Review, January–February 2006, 42–47.
Wadsworth, H.M., K.S. Stephens, and A.B. Godfrey. Modern Methods for Quality Control and Improvement. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1986.
Selected Bibliography • 233
234
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. JIT as a trend in OM, Chapter 1. 2. Time as a competitive priority,
Chapter 2.
3. Total quality management concepts, Chapter 5.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Explain the core beliefs of the
just-in-time (JIT) philosophy. 2 Describe the elements of JIT. 3 Explain the key elements of JIT
manufacturing. 4 Explain the elements of total
quality management (TGM) and their role in JIT.
5 Describe the role of people in JIT and why respect for people is so important.
6 Describe the benefi ts of JIT. 7 Discuss the implementation
process of a successful JIT system.
8 Describe the impact of JIT on service and manufacturing organizations.
Just-in-Time and Lean Systems7
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H ow many times have you looked frantically for a school paper or note- book, only to find it much later in the most unexpected place? Have you ever wasted time looking for a personal item—say, a particular shirt
or shoes or maybe a bill you needed to pay—and wondered how much easier life would be if everything was in its place? Have you ever purchased extra amounts of an item, maybe paper towels or laundry detergent, and then found that they were taking up space and getting in the way? Wouldn’t life be much simpler if you could somehow receive the items that you need exactly when you need them, without having to keep extra quantities in storage?
We have all experienced these situations. They illustrate the problem of waste: wasted time looking for things we misplaced, wasted space and cost of keeping extra items, and wasted energy because of the frustration of not finding things when we need them. These are the types of problems that just-in-time systems (JIT) seek to eliminate.
Waste has a large nega- tive impact on the function- ing of a business, resulting in high cost and lost cus- tomers. To eliminate these problems, many companies have turned to JIT. In fact, today the entire auto indus- try uses JIT as a standard of operations. Ford Motor Company’s plants use JIT principles to keep low levels of inventories of raw materials and parts. Toyota relies on JIT principles to keep a uniform flow of parts from its suppliers. BMW is using JIT principles to create an easy vehicle-ordering system for customers and a flexible operation that can rapidly respond to customer demands. However, JIT principles are not just used in manu- facturing. They are equally applicable in services and are seen in companies such as McDonald’s, Wendy’s, Pizza Hut, and FedEx. •
The Philosophy of JIT • 235
The Philosophy of JIT The just-in-time ( JIT) philosophy in the simplest form means getting the right quantity of goods at the right place and at the right time. The goods arrive just-in-time, which is where the term JIT comes from. Although many people think that JIT is an inventory reduc- tion program or another type of manufacturing process, it is far more than that. JIT is an all-encompassing philosophy that is founded on the concept of eliminating waste. The word waste might make you think of garbage, or paper, or inventory. But JIT considers waste any- thing that does not add value—anything.
The broad view of JIT is now often termed lean production or lean systems. Its imple- mentation has contributed to the success of many organizations and is used by compa- nies worldwide. The benefits that can be obtained through JIT are so impressive that JIT has become a standard of operations in many industries, including the auto and computer industries. However, JIT is applicable to service organizations as well as to manufacturing and can even be used in your everyday life. JIT is not about any one factor, such as quality or inventory or efficiency. It is an entirely different way of looking at things. As we will see, JIT is a philosophy that overrides all aspects of the organization, from administrative issues to manufacturing, worker management, supplier management, and even housekeeping. It has contributed to the success of companies like Toyota (called the Toyota Production System or “TPS”) and Honda (called “the Honda Way”), and it can even contribute to success in your own life.
The philosophy of JIT originated in Japan. After World War II, the Japanese set them- selves the goal of strengthening their industrial base, which included full employment and a healthy trade balance. Just-in-time ( JIT) developed out of the nation’s need to survive after the devastation caused by the war. Although many authors say that the origins of JIT can be traced back to the early 1900s, no one can argue that the philoso- phy gained worldwide prominence in the 1970s. It was developed at the Toyota Motor Company, and the person most often credited with its development is Taiichi Ohno, a vice president of the company. JIT helped propel Toyota into a leadership position in the areas of quality and delivery. Since then, JIT has been widely adopted in all types of industries and has been credited with impressive benefits, including significant reduc- tions in operating costs, improved quality, and increased customer responsiveness. Companies such as Honda, GE, Ford, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Hewlett-Packard, and IBM are among those that have made JIT part of their operations. Even the retailer Zara relies on JIT.
The central belief of the JIT philosophy is elimination of waste, but there are other beliefs that help define JIT philosophy. These include a broad view of operations, simplicity, continuous improvement, visibility, and flexibility. Next we look more closely at each of these beliefs.
Eliminate Waste The underlying premise of JIT is that all waste must be eliminated. Many think that the roots of the philosophy can be traced to the Japanese environment, which lacks space and natural resources. As a result, the Japanese have been forced to learn to use all their resources very efficiently, and waste of any kind is not tolerated. In JIT waste is anything that does not add value. Types of waste can include material, such as excess inventory to protect against uncertain deliveries by suppliers or poor quality. Waste can be equipment that is used as a backup because regular equipment is not maintained properly. Other types of waste include time, energy, space, or human activity that does not contribute to the value of the product or service being produced.
Just-in-time (JIT) philosophy Getting the right quantity of goods at the right place at the right time.
Waste Anything that does not add value.
A broad view of JIT A philosophy that encompasses the entire organization.
Defi ning beliefs of JIT Broad view of operations, simplicity, continuous improvement, visibility, and fl exibility.
Types of waste Material, energy, time, and space.
236 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
The concept of waste addresses every aspect of the organization and has a far-reaching impact. For example, waste can be found in the production process itself, and JIT requires perfect synchronization in order to eliminate waiting and excess stock. Waste is also found in improper layout that necessitates the transportation of goods from one part of the facility to another. JIT requires a streamlined layout design so that resources are in close proximity to one another and material handling is kept to a minimum. Also, JIT requires compact layouts and increased visibility so that everyone can see what everyone else is doing. Waste can also take the form of poor quality, because scrap and rework cost money and add no value. Total quality management (TQM) programs thus are an integral part of JIT. Waste is also found in unnecessary motion, and JIT requires studying processes to eliminate unnecessary steps.
A Broad View of Operations Part of the philosophy of JIT is that everyone in the organization should have a broad view of the organization and work toward the same goal, which is serving the customer. In tradi- tional organizations, it is very easy for employees to focus exclusively on their own jobs and have a narrow view of the organization that includes only their assigned tasks. Companies whose employees have a narrow view become production-oriented, forgetting that individual tasks and procedures are important only if they meet the overall goals of the company. One example is an employee who will not help a customer with a problem, saying, “It’s not my job.” This might occur at a grocery store when a customer asks for the location of an item from an employee who is “only responsible for stocking shelves.” A broad view of operations involves understanding that all employees are ultimately responsible for serving the customer.
Simplicity JIT is built on simplicity—the simpler the better. JIT encourages employees to think about problems and come up with simple solutions. Although this may seem easy and crude, it is actually quite difficult. It is often tempting to solve an organizational problem using a complex and perhaps expensive method. It is far more difficult to think of a sim- ple solution that goes directly to the root of the problem. The value of simple solutions is demonstrated by a company whose delivery truck was lodged in a passageway because it was too high to pass through. Many costly and complex solutions were being consid- ered, such as getting a smaller truck or expanding the height of the doorway. After a bit of thought, an employee came up with a simple solution: reduce the air in the tires to bring down the height of the truck. The solution worked.
Continuous Improvement A major aspect of the JIT philosophy is an emphasis on quality. Continuous improve- ment, called kaizen by the Japanese, in every aspect of the operation is a cornerstone of this philosophy. Continuous improvement applies to everything from reducing costs to improving quality to eliminating waste.
To understand the full impact of continuous improvement, try answering this question: When has JIT been implemented fully? The answer: Never. The reason is that an organiza- tion is never perfect and can always be improved in some way.
A number of companies are utilizing a powerful JIT approach called the “kaizen blitz.” This is an improvement tool that utilizes cross-functional teams to plan and deliver improvements to specific processes during two- or three-day marathon sessions. This pro- cess allows a small group of people to concentrate on a bite-size chunk of the problem for a short period of time. Companies find that a kaizen blitz can quickly deliver dramatic and low-cost improvements to processes.
Broad view of the organization Tasks and procedures are important only if they meet the company’s overall goals.
Simplicity The simpler a solution, the better it is.
Continuous improvement (kaizen) A philosophy of never-ending improvement.
MKT HRM
Elements of JIT • 237
Visibility Part of the JIT philosophy is to make all waste visible. Waste can be eliminated only when it is seen and identified. Also, if we see waste we can come up with simple solutions to elimi- nate it. When waste is hidden we forget about it, which creates problems.
Think about the closets in your home. Because the closet doors are closed, we often for- get the clutter and junk we have inside. Now imagine that the closet doors were open and the inside was visible to us and everyone else. Certainly it would remind us that we need to eliminate the clutter.
JIT facilities are open and clean, with plenty of floor space. There is no clutter, and every- one can see what everyone else is doing. No one can hide extra inventory in a corner of his or her office or take a short nap in the afternoon. Also, part of the JIT philosophy is that a cluttered environment creates confusion and disrespect toward the workplace. By con- trast, a clean and orderly environment creates calm and clear thoughts. Just because space is available, it should not automatically be filled. Visibility allows us to readily see waste. We can then eliminate it.
Flexibility JIT was based on the need for survival, and survival means being flexible in order to adapt to changes in the environment. A company can be flexible in many ways. First, flexibility can mean being able to make changes in the volume of a product produced. JIT accomplishes this by keeping the costs of facilities, equipment, and operations at such a low level that breaking even typically is not a problem.
A second way in which a company can be flexible is by being able to produce a wide variety of products. Although this is difficult to achieve, JIT systems are designed with the ability to produce different product models with different features through a manufacturing process that can easily switch from one product type to another by flexible workers who can perform many different tasks. Part of the JIT philosophy is to design operations that are highly efficient but flexible in order to accommodate changing customer demands.
Elements of JIT Now that you understand the core beliefs that define the philosophy of JIT, let’s look at the major elements that make up a JIT system. Three basic elements work together to com- plete a JIT system: just-in-time manufacturing, total quality management, and respect for peo- ple. These are shown in Figure 7.1 as overlapping circles. Often, it is assumed that JIT refers only to just-in-time manufacturing. However, this is only one element of JIT. Each of the three elements is dependent on the others to create a true JIT system.
Just-in-Time Manufacturing JIT is a philosophy based on elimination of waste. Another way to view JIT is to think of it as a philosophy of value-added manufacturing. By focusing on value-added processes, JIT is able to achieve high-volume production of high-quality, low-cost products while meeting precise customer needs. Just-in-time manufacturing is the element of JIT that focuses directly on the production system to make this possible. Many aspects of JIT manufacturing combine to provide a performance advantage. Later in the chapter we will look at some aspects of JIT manufacturing in more detail. First, let’s take an overall view.
The manufacturing process in JIT starts with the final assembly schedule, often called the master production schedule, which is a statement of which products and quantities will
Visibility Problems must be visible to be identifi ed and solved.
Flexibility An organizational strategy in which the company attempts to offer a greater variety of product choices to its customers.
JIT system The three elements are just-in-time manufacturing, total quality management, and respect for people.
Just-in-time manufacturing The element of JIT that focuses on the production system to achieve value- added manufacturing.
238 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
be made in specific time periods. The master production schedule is usually fixed for a few months into the future to allow all work centers and suppliers to plan their schedules. For the current month, the schedule is “leveled,” or developed so that the same amount of each product is produced in the same order every day. Note that with this arrangement there is repetition in the schedule from day to day, which places a constant demand on suppliers and work centers. Also, some quantity of every item is produced every day in accordance with what is needed. This is very different from traditional operations, which typically pro- duce a large quantity of one product on one day. Since this quantity is usually more than what is immediately needed, the goods are stored in inventory. On a second day a large quantity of another product is produced, and it, too, is stored in inventory, resulting in high inventory costs.
JIT relies on a coordination system that withdraws parts from a previous work center and moves them to the next. The system typically relies on cards, called kanban, to pull the needed products through the production system. For this reason, JIT is often referred to as a pull system. The kanban specifies what is needed. There is no excess production because the only products and quantities produced are those specified by the kanban. Traditional manufacturing systems, in contrast, are push systems: they push products through the pro- duction system by producing an amount that has been set by a forecast of future demand. This type of production results in a higher level of inventory, which is stored for future con- sumption. Later in the chapter we will look in detail at how the kanban system works.
The reason traditional systems produce large quantities of one type of product before switching to production of another is high setup cost. This is the cost incurred when equip- ment is set up for a new production run. Setup includes activities such as recalibrating and cleaning equipment, changing blades, and readjusting equipment settings. Because setup costs are high in traditional systems, the objective is to produce as many units of a product as possible before having to incur the setup cost again. Of course, that means incurring a high inventory cost because of the extra goods that are kept in storage. JIT systems have been very efficient at reducing setup costs, which is a key to the success of JIT manufactur- ing. Setup times have been reduced from hours to mere seconds, and the goal is to reduce them to zero. Low setup times mean that small lot sizes of products can be produced as needed and that production lead times will be shorter. The ultimate goal of JIT is to produce products in a lot size of 1.
A major aspect of JIT manufacturing is its view of inventory. JIT manufacturing views inventory as a waste that needs to be eliminated. According to JIT, inventory is carried to
Setup cost Cost incurred when setting up equipment for a production run.
FIGURE 7.1 The three elements of JIT
Just-in-Time Manufacturing
Total Quality Management
Respect for People
Elements of JIT • 239
cover up a wide variety of problems, such as poor quality, slow delivery, inefficiency, lack of coordination, and demand uncertainty. Inventory costs money and provides no value. Inventory also hurts the organization in another way: it does not allow us to see problems. According to JIT, by eliminating inventory we can clearly identify problems and work to eliminate them. An analogy that is often used to describe JIT’s view of inventory is that of a stream, as shown in Figure 7.2. The rocks in the stream represent problems. When the water in the stream covers the rocks, we cannot see what they are. By reducing the amount of water in the stream (by reducing inventory), we can finally identify the problems. However, identifying the problems is not enough—we have to solve them.
In sum, JIT manufacturing is an efficiently coordinated production system that makes it possible to deliver the right quantities of products to the place they are needed just in time.
Total Quality Management (TQM) The second major element of JIT is total quality management (TQM), which is integrated into all functions and levels of the organization. The foundation of JIT is to produce the exact product that the customer wants. Quality is defined by the customer, and an effort is made by the whole company to meet the customer’s expectations.
Quality is an integral part of the organization; it permeates every activity and function. The benefits of JIT cannot occur if the company is not working toward eliminating scrap and rework. Traditional quality control systems use the concept of acceptable quality level (AQL) to indicate the acceptable number of defective parts. In JIT there is no such measure— no level of defects other than zero is acceptable.
Poor quality is considered a waste in JIT. Quality defects lead to scrap, rework, servicing returned parts, and customer dissatisfaction. Quality defects cost money and can lead to lost customers. In JIT the entire organization is responsible for quality. Rather than hide poor quality or blame it on others, it is everyone’s goal to uncover and correct quality problems.
The concept of quality at the source is part of JIT. The objective is not only to identify a quality problem but to uncover its root cause. Simply identifying and removing a defec- tive product does not solve the problem. If the cause of the problem is not identified, the
Total quality management (TQM) Philosophy that seeks to improve quality by eliminating causes of product defects and by making quality the responsibility of everyone in the organization.
Quality at the source The belief that it is best to uncover the source of quality problems and eliminate it.
FIGURE 7.2 Inventory hides problems
Machine Breakdowns
Machine Breakdowns
Poor Vendors
Poor Vendors
Poor Design
Poor Design
Poor Quality
Poor Quality
Insufficient Layout
Insufficient Layout
(a) Inventory hides problems (b) Reducing inventory exposes problems
In ve
n to
ry
In ve
n to
ryLong Setups
Long Setups
240 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
problem will keep repeating itself. For example, a quality control check in a bakery might reveal that pies are overcooked and burned. Quality at the source tells us to identify the cause of the problem, such as an incorrect temperature setting or too long a baking time. Simply removing the burned pies does not eliminate the cause of the problem; overcooking will continue to occur.
The concept of continuous improvement is embedded in quality, which means that the company must continuously and actively work to improve. In JIT continuous improvement governs everything, from reducing the number of defects to lowering setup costs and lot sizes. For example, when implementing a JIT program, we cannot expect to eliminate inven- tories immediately. Continuous improvement tells us that we must do it gradually, slowly identifying and solving problems and then reducing inventory appropriately. However, con- tinuous improvement goes beyond JIT manufacturing. It includes improvement of worker skills, supplier quality and relationships, and even the performance of management.
Respect for People The third element of JIT is respect for people. Often, the study of JIT focuses exclusively on JIT manufacturing. However, the involvement of workers is central to the JIT philoso- phy. None of the improvements developed by JIT could be possible without respect for peo- ple. JIT requires total organizational reform and participation by everyone in the company. Everyone is equally important and equally involved. In a JIT system all functions of the com- pany must work together to meet customer needs. Managers are not isolated in an admin- istrative wing but spend time on the production floor.
Employees in JIT organizations are expected to be active participants in meeting cus- tomer needs, from developing improvements in the production process to making sure quality standards are met at every level. JIT also relies on workers to perform multiple tasks and to work in teams, including management, labor, staff, and even suppliers.
JIT considers people to be a company’s most precious resource. The JIT philosophy believes in treating all employees with respect, providing job security, and offering signifi- cant rewards for well-performed tasks. Respect for people extends to suppliers. JIT believes in developing long-term relationships with suppliers in a partnership format.
Numerous companies, such as Texas Instruments, Boeing, AT&T, and the Saturn Cor- poration, provide excellent examples of the success that can be achieved by respecting and
empowering people. These companies have also become models for successful use of self-managed teams. Self-managed teams are groups of workers that have no supervisors, inspectors, time clocks, or union stewards. Each team is responsible for every aspect of its business, such as productivity, quality, cost, production, and people. The crux of self-managed teams is respect for employees and their ability to be in charge of their own work. Peo- ple are empowered to make decisions, and every- one is involved in the decision-making process. Workers are motivated through a system that directly rewards them for achieving their goals. The workforce is viewed as a long-term asset, pro- viding ongoing training and encouraging a sense of security and organizational belonging. These companies demonstrate the success that can be attained when an organization respects its people.
Respect for people An element of JIT that considers human resources as an essential part of the JIT philosophy.
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Just-in-Time Manufacturing • 241
Just-in-Time Manufacturing The Pull System Traditional manufacturing operations are push-type systems. They are based on the assumption that it is better to anticipate future production requirements and plan for them. Traditional systems produce goods in advance in order to have products in place when demand occurs. Products are pushed through the system and are stored in anticipation of demand, which often results in overproduction because anticipated demand may not materialize. Also, there are costs associated with having inventories of products sitting in storage and waiting for consumption.
As noted earlier, JIT uses a pull system rather than a push system to move products through the facility. Communication in JIT starts either with the last workstation in the pro- duction line or with the customer and works backward through the system. Each station requests the precise amount of products that is needed from the previous workstation. If products are not requested, they are not produced. In this manner, no excess inventory is generated.
To see the difference between a push and a pull system, suppose that you have decided to have a backyard cookout for your friends. You have invited 20 people and are anticipating that each one will eat at least one hamburger and one hot dog. When your friends arrive, you decide to cook all the meat as quickly as you can process it on your grill, given your anticipation of demand for food. Your goal is to make it available for your guests. At the end of the party, however, you find that you are left with some hamburgers and quite a few hot dogs. Some people didn’t want both a hamburger and a hot dog, some people didn’t like one or the other, and some were vegetarian and didn’t want either one. As a result, after the party you are left with some cold, dried-out meat. This is the problem with a push system that produces large quantities in anticipation of demand that may or may not materialize.
Another way you could handle the cookout would be to grill a smaller quantity of meat— say, three hamburgers and three hot dogs, an amount that will fit on a serving tray. When the serving tray becomes empty, you could fill it with the meat on the grill, again enough to fill the tray. When the meat that was on the grill is removed, you can put fresh meat on the grill, again in a small quantity. No additional meat is placed on the grill until the cooked meat on the grill is removed. In this example, consumption of the food is pulling the meat through the system in small quantities. By “producing” the food in this manner, you will not end up with large amounts of “inventory” at the end of the cookout.
Kanban Production You can see that for the pull system to work, there must be good communication between the work centers. This communication is made possible by the use of a device called a
Pull system JIT is based on a “pull” system rather than a “push” system.
You should know that JIT is an all-encompassing philosophy that affects every level and function of the organization. The beliefs that make up the JIT philosophy include the follow- ing: (1) elimination of waste, (2) a broad view of operations, (3) simplicity, (4) continuous improvement, (5) visibility, and (6) fl exibility. The philosophy of JIT is founded on these beliefs,
and they govern all aspects of the organization. These beliefs are embodied in three specifi c elements: (1) JIT manufactur- ing, (2) total quality management, and (3) respect for people. In the next section we look at specifi c features of each of these elements.
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242 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
kanban card; kanban means “signal” or “card” in Japanese. Most often a kanban card has such information on it as the product name, the part number, and the quantity that needs to be produced. The kanban is attached to a container. When workers need products from a preceding workstation, they pass the kanban and the empty container to that station. The kanban authorizes the worker at the preceding station to produce the amount of goods specified on the kanban. In effect, the kanban is a production authorization record. In our cookout example, the tray size served the purpose of the container. Now imagine that you had a card attached to the tray that specified three hamburgers and three hot dogs and that you could not produce any more or less than that amount. This procedure is similar to the way a kanban card works.
To make the system work smoothly and control the movement of empty and full con- tainers, there are actually two types of kanban cards: production cards that authorize pro- duction and withdrawal cards that authorize withdrawal of materials. Figure 7.3 shows a diagram of how a pull system with two kanban cards works.
Let’s look at the steps involved in this process.
STEP 1: The worker at workstation B received an empty container to which a production kanban is attached. This means that the worker must produce enough of the requested material to fill the empty container.
STEP 2: To fill the requirement of the production kanban, the worker at workstation B takes a full container of material from its input area.
STEP 3: To replenish the material just taken, the worker at workstation B generates a request for more input from workstation A by sending a withdrawal kanban to the out- put area of process A.
STEP 4: Notice that workstation A already has some parts available in its output area. The worker at workstation A attaches the withdrawal kanban to the full container and sends it immediately to workstation B.
Kanban card A card that specifi es the exact quantity of product that needs to be produced.
Production card A kanban card that authorizes production of material.
Withdrawal card A kanban card that authorizes withdrawal of material.
FIGURE 7.3 The pull system with two kanban cards
Supplying Work Center
Input Area
Container with withdrawal kanban Material flow
Kanban flow Container with production kanban
Step 5
P W P
P
W
Step 3 Step 1
Step 2Step 4Step 6
Workstation A
Workstation B
Input AreaOutput Area Output Area
Withdrawing Work Center
Just-in-Time Manufacturing • 243
STEP 5: The worker at workstation B takes the production kanban that was originally attached to the full container and places it on an empty container, generating produc- tion at workstation A.
STEP 6: The worker at workstation A removes a container of materials from its input area. The same sequence of steps is then repeated between all the workstations.
When this process is used, the amount produced at any one time is the amount in one container. Production cannot take place unless a container is empty and a production card has authorized production. A full container cannot be withdrawn unless a withdrawal kanban authorizes it. It is the kanban cards that coordinate the pull production system. Without kanbans, the withdrawal and production of materials cannot take place. Another advantage of the kanban is that it is visual. Kanban cards and containers are all placed in clearly visible areas for everyone to see.
There are as many kanban cards in the system as there are containers. If there are too many kanbans in the production system, there may be too much production and too much inventory. On the other hand, if there are not enough kanbans, the system may not be producing quickly enough. Sometimes the production manager may decide to add to or subtract from the number of kanbans to bring the system into balance. Remember, however, that the goal is to continually improve the efficiency of the sys- tem. This means striving to reduce the number of kanbans and the amount of inventory in the system.
The number of kanbans and, therefore, the number of containers in the system is a very important decision. The formula to compute the number of kanbans needed to control the production of a particular product is as follows:
N = DT + S
C
where N = total number of kanbans or containers (one card per container) D = demand rate at a using workstation T = the time it takes to receive an order from the previous workstation (also
called the lead time) C = size of container S = safety stock to protect against variability or uncertainty in the system
(usually given as a percentage of demand during lead time)
Problem-Solving Tip The demand (D) and lead time (T ) have to be in the same time units.
You can see from this equation that the number of containers needed at a worksta- tion is dependent on four things: the demand rate, the size of the container, the lead time, and the safety stock level. To control the amount of inventory, the size of contain- ers used is typically much smaller than the demand. For example, the containers gener- ally do not hold more than 10 percent of the daily demand. The number of kanbans in the system can be reduced as efficiency improves. Let’s look at an example to see how this would work.
Variations of Kanban Production In many facilities the kanban system has been modified so that actual cards do not exist but some other type of signal is used to pull the goods through. This may be as simple as an empty place on the floor that identifies where the material should be stored. This is called
244 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
a kanban square and is shown in Figure 7.4. An empty square indicates that it is time for the supplying operation to produce more goods. A full square indicates that no parts are needed.
Another type of signal might be some type of flag, as shown in Figure 7.5, that is used to indicate it is time to produce the next container of goods. This is called a signal kanban and is often used when inventory between workstations is necessary. When the inventory level is reduced to the point of reaching the signal, the signal is removed and placed on an order post, indicating that it is time for production.
The system of kanbans can also be used to coordinate delivery of goods by suppliers. These are called supplier kanbans. The suppliers bring the filled containers to the point of usage in the factory and at the same time pick up an empty container with a kanban to be filled later. Since a manufacturer may have multiple suppliers, “mailboxes” can be set up
EXAMPLE 7.1 Computing the Number of Kanbans
Jordan Tucker works for a production facility that makes aspirin. His job is to fi ll the bottles of aspirin, and he is expected to process 200 bottles of aspirin an hour. The facility where Jordan works uses a kanban production system in which each container holds 25 bottles. It takes 30 minutes for Jordan to receive the bottles he needs from the previous workstation. The factory sets safety stock at 10 percent of demand during lead time. How many kanbans are needed for the fi lling process?
• Solution:
D = 200 bottles per hour
T = 30 minutes = 1 2
hour
C = 25 bottles per container
S = 0.10 a200 × 1 2 b = 10 bottles
N = DT + S
C
= (200 bottles�hour)a1
2 hourb + 10
25 bottles = 4.4 kanbans and containers
The number of containers can be rounded up or down. Notice that rounding down to four containers would force us to make improvements in the operation. Rounding up to fi ve would provide additional slack.
FIGURE 7.4 A kanban square
Just-in-Time Manufacturing • 245
FIGURE 7.5 A signal kanban
Signal kanbans on boxes
Signal kanban shows that more of part C needs to be produced.
A
B
C
A
B
C
at the factory for each supplier. The suppliers can check their “mailboxes” to pick up their orders. Kanbans are usually made of plastic or metal, but there are also bar-coded kanbans and electronic kanbans that further ease communication with suppliers.
Small Lot Sizes and Quick Setups A principal way of eliminating inventory and excess processing while increasing flexibility is through small-lot production, which means that the amount of products produced at any one time is small—say, 10 versus 1000. This allows the manufacturer to produce many lots of different types of products. It also shortens the manufacturing lead time, the actual time it takes to produce a product, since it takes less time to produce 10 units than to pro- duce 1000. Shorter lead time means that customers receive the specific products they want faster. The ultimate goal of JIT is to be able to economically produce one item at a time as the customer wants it.
Small-lot production gives a company a tremendous amount of flexibility and allows it to respond to customer demands more quickly. However, to be able to achieve small-lot pro- duction, companies have to reduce setup time. Recall that setup time is the time it takes to set up equipment for a production run. This includes cleaning and recalibrating equipment, changing blades and other tools, and all other activities necessary to switch production from one product to another.
To see the impact of setup time, let’s pretend that we are a producer of ice cream and that we make two different flavors—chocolate and vanilla—on the same production line. The sys- tem works by first producing a certain amount of chocolate ice cream. The equipment is then cleaned and the machines are reset for the proper ingredients (this is setup time) in order to switch production to vanilla ice cream. A traditional manufacturing approach would be to produce as much chocolate ice cream as possible, since everything is already set up for this product. Then we would set up the machines for production of vanilla ice cream and make as much of it as possible before we have to clean the equipment again. The problem with this approach is that we end up producing extra amounts of ice cream. The extra ice cream is inventory. It costs money and requires storage space, and some of it will probably go to waste.
Small-lot production The ability to produce small quantities of products.
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A more effective approach would be to lower the time it takes to change from produc- tion of one flavor of ice cream to another. Then we can produce only what we need and no more. We would not have the cost of extra inventory. This approach would also allow us to respond quickly to changes in demand. For example, if a customer needed extra chocolate ice cream, producing it would not be a problem. This has been the approach used by JIT. Many large manufacturers have been able to reduce setup times from many hours to only a few minutes, which has resulted in tremendous flexibility.
To produce economically in small-lot sizes, JIT has found ways to reduce setup times. The goal is to achieve single setups, or setup times in single digits of minutes. There are a number of ways to achieve these low setup times. One approach is to separate setup into two components: internal setups and external setups. Internal setups require the machine to be stopped for the setup to be performed. External setups can be performed while the machine is still running. Almost all setups in traditional manufacturing systems are inter- nal. With JIT, much of the setup process has been converted to external setups. This requires engineering ingenuity and cleverly designed fixtures and tools. In a number of companies, the workers even practice the setup process and try to increase their speed.
Uniform Plant Loading Demand for a product can show sudden increases or decreases, which can mean disruptive changes in production schedules. These demand changes are typically magnified through- out the production line and the supply chain. They contribute to inefficiency and create waste. The JIT philosophy is to eliminate the problem by making adjustments as small as possible and setting a production plan that is frozen for the month. This is called uniform plant loading or “leveling” the production schedule. The term leveling comes from the fact that the schedule is uniform or constant throughout the planning horizon.
To meet demand and keep inventories low, a “level” schedule is developed so that the same mix of products is made every day in small quantities. This is in contrast to tradi- tional systems, which produce large quantities of one product on one day and of another product on the next day, causing large buildups of inventory. Table 7.1 shows how a level production system works in contrast to a traditional production system. In the table, a company produces five products: A, B, C, D, and E. The weekly production requirements for all products are met with both types of system. However, with the JIT system there is day-to-day repetition in the schedule, which prevents the company from having to carry large amounts of inventory and places predictable demands on all work centers and suppliers.
Flexible Resources A key element of JIT is having flexible resources in order to meet customer demands and produce small lots. One aspect of flexibility is relying on general-purpose equipment capa- ble of performing a number of different functions. For example, a general-purpose drilling machine may be able to drill holes in an engine block and also perform some milling and threading operations. This is very different from having specialized equipment that can perform only one task. General-purpose equipment provides flexibility of operations and eliminates waste of space, movement from one machine to another, and setup of other machines. You can see how this concept works in your own life. Isn’t it easier to have one machine that is a printer, copier, and fax machine all in one, rather than have three different machines? With the press of a button you can print a copy and then fax it, rather than walk from one machine to the other, setting up each machine, not to mention solving the space requirements of three machines.
Internal setup Requires the machine to be stopped in order to be performed.
External setup Can be performed while the machine is still running.
Uniform plant loading A constant production plan for a facility with a given planning horizon.
Just-in-Time Manufacturing • 247
Another element of flexibility is the use of multifunction workers who can perform more than one job—an essential aspect of JIT. To meet changing production requirements, workers in JIT are trained to operate and set up different machines. This provides flexibility in the schedule because workers can be moved around as needed. Also, workers in JIT are responsible for performing simple maintenance on their machines and are trained to per- form quality control procedures. As we will see later in the chapter, workers in JIT have con- siderable responsibility and perform many duties. Their many abilities give a tremendous amount of flexibility to JIT.
The flexibilities of workers and machines combine to produce great advantages. Note that the operating time of a machine is usually different from that of a worker because there is a period of time while the machine is running and the worker has nothing to do. A multi- function worker can operate more than one machine at a time.
Facility Layout Proper arrangement and layout of work centers and equipment is critical to JIT manufac- turing, a topic that is covered in detail in Chapter 10. Physical proximity and easy access contribute to the efficiency of the production process. Streamlined production is an impor- tant part of JIT; it relies heavily on assembly lines, dedicated to the production of a family of products.
JIT also relies on cell manufacturing, the placement of dissimilar machines and equip- ment together in order to produce a family of products with similar processing require- ments. These machines create a small assembly line, and their grouping is usually called a cell. The machines in one grouping can be those needed to manufacture a set of parts belonging to the same family of products. The equipment in a work cell is usually arranged in a ∪ shape, with the worker placed in the center of the ∪. This arrangement has a number of advantages. First, the use of cells provides production efficiency with the flexibility to
Multifunction workers Capable of performing more than one job.
Cell manufacturing Placement of dissimilar machines and equipment together to produce a family of products with similar processing requirements.
TABLE 7.1 Contrasting Level versus Traditional Production
Weekly Production Requirements by Product
A: 10 units/week B: 20 units/week C: 5 units/week D: 5 units/week E: 10 units/week
Traditional Production Plan
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
A A A A A B B B B B B B B B B D D D D D E E E E E
A A A A A B B B B B B B B B B C C C C C E E E E E
JIT Production with Level Scheduling
Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
A A B B B B A A B B B B A A B B B B A A B B B B A A B B B B
C D E E C D E E C D E E C D E E C D E E
Time
248 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
produce a variety of different products. Second, the ∪ shape allows workers to have easy reach and flexibility. No special material handling is needed because everything is within reach. Finally, worker satisfaction is higher because of the ability to perform a variety of tasks.
Each cell produces similar items, so setup times within cells are low and lot sizes and inventories can be kept small. Figure 7.6 compares traditional production with cell manufacturing.
Companies such as Whirlpool, Xerox, and Target Stores have adopted JIT as a way of doing business. To achieve their goals, these companies need just-in- time deliveries. For this they use Ryder Integrated Logistics, a global and domestic provider of transportation and distribution management services that offers just-in-time pickup and deliv- ery of goods from suppliers. Ryder
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FIGURE 7.6 Traditional versus cell manufacturing
(b) JIT with cell manufacturing
Supplier A
Cell 1
Cell 2
Painting
Painting
Shipping
Milling
Grinding
Lathing
Drilling
Assembly
AssemblySupplier B
Outbound Transportation
(a) Traditional layout
Supplier A
Work Centers
Painting
Shipping & Receiving
Painting
Milling
Grinding
Lathing
DrillingAssembly
Assembly
Supplier B
Outbound Transportation
Total Quality Management • 249
ensures that materials flow smoothly into assembly or manufacturing plants with prop- erly sequenced deliveries. It uses a dedicated fleet of vehicles, onboard computers, and satellite/cellular communications as well as a sophisticated distribution system that enables it to support multiple suppliers. Also, to reduce cycle time, Ryder uses bar-code technology, EDI, and special software to enable the consolidation and distribution of goods in and out of facilities. All this adds up to an organization dedicated to meeting the challenge of JIT.
Total Quality Management Quality is a difficult term to define because it means different things to different people. A narrow viewpoint, typically used by traditional manufacturers, is to define quality as meeting specified target quality standards. This would mean producing a product within specified tolerances set by engineers and not exceeding the specified acceptable defect rate. However, today’s definition of quality takes a much broader view : quality is defined as meet- ing or exceeding customer expectations.
As customer needs and standards drive the production system, the company must define quality as it is seen by users of the product. The customer’s definition of quality then must be interpreted by engineers and production managers. This process is not always easy; customers are not always sure what they want or may not be able to articulate their needs effectively. However, once quality has been defined in measurable terms, it needs to be monitored on an ongoing basis. Targets for improvement need to be set and systematic methods for improvement developed. These methods include continual training of workers so they can identify and correct quality problems. Together, this process outlines a strategy for quality improvement in JIT, as shown in Table 7.2. Note that the steps in Table 7.2 show an ongoing, dynamic process. Customers’ quality definitions must be monitored continu- ously as customers’ expectations and needs change over time.
Product versus Process The costs of poor quality can be quite high when one includes product redesign, rework, scrap, servicing returned products, or even losing customers. All this represents waste. Phil Crosby, a leading quality “guru,” pointed out that “quality is free.” It is poor quality that is costly. For these reasons, JIT does not tolerate poor quality.
In JIT the quality of the product is distinguished from the quality of the process used to produce the product. The idea is that a faulty product is a result of a faulty process. We may be able to repair a faulty product, but if we do not correct the process, we are not addressing the root cause of the problem and will continue to produce faulty products. Quality in JIT is centered on building quality into the process. A production process that is well within the set quality control limits should not produce a defective product.
TABLE 7.2 Strategy for Quality Improvement
Step 1: Defi ne quality as seen by the customer.
Step 2: Translate customer needs into measurable terms.
Step 3: Measure quality on an ongoing basis.
Step 4: Set improvement targets and deadlines.
Step 5: Develop a systematic method for improvement.
250 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
Quality at the Source The notion of quality at the source means that the root cause of quality problems needs to be identified. This could be a problem with the design, suppliers, the process, or any other area. We know that it is much easier and less costly to build quality into a process than to try to correct problems after they occur.
Quality problems can come from many sources. Some examples of sources of quality problems are the following:
Product design. In the design process, customer needs may be misunderstood and not incorporated into the product design.
Process design. Management and equipment problems may stem from the design of the production process. Operator error actually contributes to only about 15 percent of quality problems.
Suppliers. Quality problems caused by suppliers include low-quality materials and are often due to misunderstandings between manufacturer and supplier.
Monitoring quality is the responsibility of everyone in the organization. Workers are given the authority to stop the production line if quality problems are encountered; this is called jidoka. To perform jidoka, each worker can use a switch above his or her workstation to turn on a call light or stop production. A green light means that production is flowing nor- mally; a yellow light is a signal for help; and a red light means that the line is stopped. When a red light goes on, all personnel rush to the troubled spot to determine what the problem is. In JIT environments, stopping the line is not only allowed but expected. At JIT facilities, if a certain amount of time has passed without a line stoppage, personnel become concerned that quality problems are passing undetected.
You can see that workers have much responsibility in a JIT system. Analyzing production problems is considered a serious business and is performed as part of the regular workday, not in one’s spare time. For this reason, JIT systems usually operate with seven hours of production and one hour of problem solving and working with teams. Called undercapacity scheduling, it is necessary in order to leave ample time for problem-solving activities.
To help workers identify quality problems, JIT relies on visual signals. One such signal is kanban control. Others include color coding, bulletin boards, lights, process control charts, and other visual displays. For example, color-coding tools and bins helps workers know which tools belong in which bins. Color-coding different sections of the work area helps workers identify stocking points and different processing sections. Material handling routes are clearly marked in different colors. Instructional photographs located near equipment provide visual explanations of machine usage. Another type of visual signal is poka-yoke. The term means “foolproof ” and refers to a device or mechanism that prevents defects from occurring. The device could be a clamp that can be placed only in a certain way or a lid that can be turned in only one direction.
Preventive Maintenance An important aspect of quality management in JIT is preventive maintenance. Not only do machines rarely break down at convenient times but breakdowns are costly in terms of lost production, unmet deadlines, disruption of work schedules, and unhappy customers—all considered wastes in JIT. To avoid unexpected machine stoppages, a company invests in preventive maintenance, which is regular inspections and maintenance designed to keep machines operational. Although preventive maintenance is costly, the costs are signifi- cantly smaller than the cost of an unexpected machine breakdown. You know from your own experience how important preventive maintenance is, such as taking your car for a tune-up and oil change or going to the dentist for regular cleaning and checkups. Neither is
Jidoka Authority given to workers to stop the production line if a quality problem is detected.
Poka-yoke Foolproof devices or mechanisms that prevent defects from occurring.
Respect for People • 251
fun and both are costly, but we do these things because we know that the alternatives could be much costlier.
According to JIT, workers should perform routine preventive maintenance activities, including cleaning, lubricating, recalibrating, and making other adjustments to equipment. These duties are viewed as part of the worker’s job. JIT also places a great deal of importance on care of equipment and in training workers to operate and maintain machines properly. Included are designing products so they can be easily produced on current machines that can be easily operated and maintained.
Work Environment Another important element of quality management is the overall work environment. Order and simplicity are considered highly important. According to JIT, an orderly environment creates a calm, clear mind, whereas a disorganized environment creates disorganized thoughts. Also, an orderly environment encourages respect for the workplace. It is much easier to hide waste in a cluttered room. When there is plenty of empty space and every- thing is in its place, it is easy to see if something is out of order. When entering a JIT facil- ity, the first thing one notices is that it is very clean and orderly, with ample space and no clutter. Keeping the facility clean is the workers’ responsibility. Every worker is responsible for cleaning equipment and tools after using them and putting them back in their place. Everyone is responsible, so no one can blame anyone else if something is misplaced. All this creates a positive work environment, which is considered essential to the quality of work life and contributes to employee satisfaction.
Respect for People Respect for people is considered central to the JIT philosophy. Of all the issues discussed in this chapter, none departs more from traditional systems than the role of employees in a firm. According to JIT, genuine and meaning ful respect for employees must exist for a com- pany to get the best from its workers. Employees perform a great many functions in JIT, and for true JIT to exist they must be genuinely respected and appreciated. Their inputs must be valued, and they must feel secure. The key words here are genuine and meaning ful. Achiev- ing this state is sometimes difficult in environments with a history of adversarial relation- ships, particularly between labor and management. Managers cannot mandate genuine and meaningful respect. They cannot send out a memo on a Friday saying, “On Monday there will be genuine and meaning ful respect for people!” This is something that requires a com- plete change in organizational culture. Often it takes much effort and time.
JIT organizations rely on all employees to work together, including management and labor. The organizational hierarchy is generally flatter in JIT than in traditional organiza- tions, and organizational layers are not strictly defined. Great responsibility and autonomy are given to ordinary workers. All levels of employees often work in teams, and in many JIT organizations all dress the same way regardless of level, which helps break down traditional barriers and makes it easier for people to work together. In this section we look at some specific issues that relate to respect for people in JIT.
The Role of Production Employees In traditional systems, production employees often perform their jobs in an automatic fashion. In JIT, the role of production employees is just the opposite: workers are actively engaged in pursuing the goals of the company. JIT relies on cross-functional worker skills,
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meaning the ability of workers to perform many different tasks on many different machines. Part of workers’ duties is to be actively engaged in improving the production process, mon- itoring quality, and correcting quality problems. Continuous improvement relies heavily on the knowledge and skills of the workers closest to the operation. They are the ones best suited to make improvements in their jobs.
Production workers are required to continually check and monitor the quality of the pro- duction process. This includes inspecting their own work as well as the materials received from previous operations. This is necessary in order to detect quality problems before a defective part can proceed to additional processing. For this system to succeed, workers need to have a very different attitude toward poor quality than in traditional systems. In JIT, discovering quality problems is a goal, not something that should be covered up or blamed on someone else. As we have learned, quality at the source means that all employees are responsible for getting to the root cause of quality problems.
Another part of a worker’s responsibility is recording data, such as the number of set- ups completed, the number of units produced, the number of defects and scrap, quality process control data, equipment malfunctions, and hours worked. It is up to the worker to understand how to use the data. One way to motivate workers is to use visible displays of data, such as performance measures, on a flip chart or chalk board near each worksta- tion. Information such as quality problems or stoppages can be recorded on the chart for everyone to see.
However, merely recording data is not enough. Record keeping and posting results also serve to remind workers that they need to act on the information. The real task of produc- tion employees is to search for causes of problems in quality and production. Time needs to be set aside at the end of a shift for data analysis. Once data have been analyzed, problem-solving activities usually take place, using the team approach in group meetings. When workers become used to their new level of responsibility and respect, they develop the initiative to solve many problems on their own. The key in problem solving is to give workers the authority and incentive to solve problems rather than view problem solving as someone else’s responsibility.
Participation by all employees is vital to the success of JIT. For this reason, JIT uses a style of management called bottom-round management, which means consensus man- agement by committees or teams. When a decision needs to be made, it is discussed at all levels, starting at the bottom, so that everyone in the company contributes to the decision. This decision-making process is very slow, but it achieves consensus among all involved. In JIT, top management is usually concerned with strategic issues and leaves other decisions to employees.
Because everyone needs to work together, teams are an integral part of JIT. One of the most popular types of team is the quality circle. Quality circles are groups of about five to twelve employees who volunteer to solve quality problems in their area. Although participa- tion is usually voluntary, the meetings take place during regular work hours. Quality circles usually meet weekly and attempt to develop solutions to problems and share them with management. Usually these work groups are led by a supervisor or a production employee and are made up of employees from the particular areas involved.
You can see that in JIT the role of production employees is very different from their role in traditional organizations. Employees have much more responsibility and autonomy. Table 7.3 summarizes some of the key elements of the role of production employees in JIT.
Lifetime Employment Japanese companies have traditionally provided lifetime employment for most of their per- manent employees. Employees must feel secure if they are to work in teams, feel free to
Bottom-round management Consensus management by committees or teams.
Quality circles A team of volunteer production employees and their supervisors who meet regularly to solve quality problems.
Respect for People • 253
say what they think, and act on their ideas. Today, lifetime employment covers a relatively small percentage of the total workforce. Even though lifetime employment is rarely possi- ble, a company must do certain things to reduce employee insecurity and encourage trust and openness. One answer is to commit to a policy of making no layoffs as a result of pro- ductivity improvements. This helps alleviate fears that productivity improvements made by employees will result in job loss.
Most JIT facilities have company unions that work to build cooperative relationships between management and labor. It is understood that if the company performs well, the workers will share in the rewards through bonuses. This policy encourages workers to work harder.
The Role of Management Just as the role of production employees is different under JIT, so is the role of management. Actually, it can often be difficult for management to truly accept the new role of production employees as being responsible for duties that traditionally were performed exclusively by management. However, in successful JIT environments managers realize that all employees are on the same team and that a higher level of worker responsibility means more success for the firm as a whole.
The role of management is to create the cultural change necessary for JIT to succeed. This is one of the most difficult tasks of JIT. It involves creating an organizational culture that provides an atmosphere of close cooperation and mutual trust. Remember that JIT relies on ordinary workers to independently solve production problems and take on many tasks. To be able to do this, employees must be problem solvers and be empowered to take action based on their ideas. Workers must feel secure in their jobs and know that they will not be reprimanded or lose their jobs for being proactive. They must also feel comfortable enough to discuss their ideas openly. It is up to management to develop an incentive system for employees that rewards this type of behavior.
In the JIT environment, the role of managers becomes more of a supporting func- tion. Managers are seen as facilitators and coaches rather than “bosses.” Their job is to help develop the capabilities of employees, to teach, make corrections, help individuals develop their skills, and serve as motivators. They assist with teamwork and problem solving. Managers are also responsible for providing motivation and necessary recogni- tion to employees. Their job also includes sharing information such as profitability and performance results, as well as making sure ample time is scheduled for all the activities
TABLE 7.3 Role of Production Employees in JIT
• Workers have cross-functional skills.
• Workers are actively engaged in solving production and quality problems.
• Workers are empowered to make production and quality decisions.
• Quality is everyone’s responsibility.
• Workers are responsible for recording and visually displaying performance data.
• Workers work in teams to solve problems.
• Decisions are made through bottom-round management.
• Workers are responsible for preventive maintenance.
254 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
employees must perform. Remember that the additional activities, such as quality control charting, maintenance, and working in teams, are not done during “free time” but during regular work hours. The role of management, summarized in Table 7.4, is highly impor- tant for JIT to succeed.
Supplier Relationships JIT’s respect for people also extends to suppliers. With JIT, a company respects suppli- ers and focuses on building long-term supplier relationships. The traditional approach of competitive bidding and buying parts from the cheapest supplier runs counter to the JIT philosophy. JIT companies understand that they are in a partnership with their suppliers, who are viewed as the external factory. The number of suppliers is typically much smaller than in traditional systems, and the goal is to shift to single-source suppliers that pro- vide an entire family of parts for one manufacturer.
The benefits of a long-term relationship with a small number of suppliers are many. Together the supplier and manufacturer focus on improving process quality controls. There are fewer contacts by buyers, and there is a focused effort on developing a personal relation- ship. There is also greater accountability for quality, delivery, or service problems. Having few suppliers makes it easier to develop stable and repetitive delivery schedules and elimi- nate paperwork.
With a long-term relationship, a supplier can act as a service provider rather than a one- time seller. Part of such a relationship is cost and information sharing. The manufacturer shares information about forecasts and production schedules, allowing the supplier to “see” what is going to be ordered. The supplier, in turn, shares cost information and cost-cutting efforts with the manufacturer. Both parties help each other and together reap the bene- fits. Also, long-term relationships provide greater incentive for continuous quality improve- ment. Finally, with a long-term relationship suppliers are better able to plan capacity and production mix requirements, resulting in lower costs.
To provide JIT service to manufacturers, suppliers often locate near their customers. Good examples are the Nissan plant in the Tennessee Valley and the Honda plant in Marysville, Ohio. These plants are surrounded by their suppliers. If close proximity is not possible, many suppliers have small warehouses near the manufacturing plant, which can be used for housing frequently delivered items. Because JIT suppliers are extensions of the manufactur- ing facility, the “pull system” concept applies to them as well. JIT suppliers use standardized containers and make deliveries according to a preset schedule. As companies advance in JIT, they expect progressively shorter delivery cycles from their suppliers and will often fine them for not meeting the schedule. Often, a few suppliers will join together to help each other make small deliveries.
Single-source suppliers Suppliers that supply an entire family of parts for one manufacturer.
TABLE 7.4 Role of Management in JIT
• Be responsible for creating a JIT culture.
• Serve as coaches and facilitators, not “bosses.”
• Develop an incentive system that rewards workers for their efforts.
• Develop employee skills necessary to function in a JIT environment.
• Ensure that workers receive multifunctional training.
• Facilitate teamwork.
Benefi ts of JIT • 255
Many suppliers have become JIT certified, which means that they have received one or more designations that indicate they meet certain high-quality standards. Once a supplier has been certified, fewer quality checks are needed since quality standards are built into the certification process. A certified JIT supplier with a long-term agreement also has the advantage of receiving payment at regular intervals rather than on delivery of goods. Paper- work is eliminated, and electronic linkages can be set up between manufacturer and sup- plier. These result in direct savings for both the supplier and the manufacturer. For example, suppliers to Otis Elevator of North America provide over 40 percent of the total material or component requirements directly to the production line. Replenishment is triggered by a visual kanban system and by a direct link from the Otis receiving dock to the supplier’s computer system.
As you can see, supplier relationships in JIT are another fundamental departure from tra- ditional systems. Companies have learned much from JIT, and the new way of dealing with suppliers is the wave of the future, even for firms that do not fully implement JIT. Table 7.5 shows some of the key aspects of JIT supplier relationships.
Benefits of JIT The benefits of JIT are very impressive. For this reason, many companies rush to adopt JIT without realizing all that is involved. Many of these companies do not reap the ben- efits because they do not take the time to implement the culture necessary for JIT to succeed. A recent study of JIT benefits has found that over a five-year period compa- nies using JIT have experienced an 80–90 percent reduction in inventory investment, an 80–90 percent reduction in lead time, a 75 percent reduction in rework and setup, a 50 percent reduction in space requirements, and a 50 percent reduction in material handling equipment.
The first implementation of JIT took place at the Toyota Motor Company in Japan in the early 1970s. Thus, much of what we have learned about JIT comes from Toyota’s experi- ence. Since then, hundreds of companies have successfully implemented JIT, including Ford, General Electric, IBM, 3M, Renault/Nissan, and many others. Even for companies that do not achieve the dramatic benefits of a full JIT implementation, JIT provides many benefits. Table 7.6 lists key benefits of JIT.
One of the greatest benefits of JIT is that it has changed the attitude of many firms toward eliminating waste, improving responsiveness, and competing based on time. Time- based competition is one of the primary ways in which companies operate today, and JIT is what makes it possible. Even companies that have not implemented JIT have had to make some changes in order to compete in a world that has left behind many traditional ways of doing business.
TABLE 7.5 Key Elements of JIT Suppier Relationships
• Suppliers viewed as external factory.
• Use of single-source suppliers.
• Long-term supplier relationships developed.
• Suppliers locate near customer.
• Stable delivery schedules.
• Cost and information sharing.
256 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
The large benefits JIT can bring to a company are demonstrated by the success achieved by Alcoa, a leader in the aluminum industry. Alcoa’s accomplishments included reducing inventories by more than a quarter of a billion dollars in 1999 while increasing sales by almost $1 billion. This was a direct benefit of implementing Toyota’s JIT system just a year earlier. In 1998, Alcoa found itself ill-prepared to meet customer needs. It was
piling up inventory, yet not providing what the customer wanted. Alcoa turned to a full JIT “pull” manufacturing system. Benefits quickly began to appear at facilities all over the country. For example, an extrusion plant in Mississippi lost money in 1998 but within a year was capable of delivering customer orders in two days. Today Alcoa continues to rely on JIT principles across every aspect of its operations, such as working toward zero work-related injuries at all locations and leading in implementation of sustainability principles.
Implementing JIT We have seen that JIT affects every aspect of the organization. Therefore, the implementa- tion of a true JIT system requires a complete cultural change for the organization. To imple- ment JIT successfully, a company does not need sophisticated systems. What is needed are correct attitude, employee involvement, and continuous improvement. A change of such profound magnitude needs to be driven by top management. JIT implementation cannot succeed if it is done only by middle or lower management.
Implementation needs to start with a shared vision of where the company is and where it wants to go. This vision needs to consider everyone who has a stake in the company, including customers, employees, suppliers, stockholders, and even the community in which the company is located.
Once the vision has been developed, it is up to top management to create the right atmo- sphere. Managers need to involve workers in a meaning ful way and not merely give lip ser- vice to the concept. Part of the change in atmosphere should consist of breaking down the barriers between departments and instilling “we” thinking in place of an “us-versus-them” attitude. Reward systems should be put in place to reward ideas and team cooperation.
TABLE 7.6 Benefits of JIT
• Reduction in inventory
• Improved quality
• Reduced space requirements
• Shorter lead times
• Lower production costs
• Increased productivity
• Increased machine utilization
• Greater fl exibility
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Implementing JIT • 257
A “champion” for JIT implementation must be designated, whether it is a plant manager, the CEO, or a steering committee. The purpose is to have a person or group oversee all the steps necessary in implementing such a large change. This person or group will be respon- sible for reviewing progress, addressing any problems that may develop, making sure ample resources are available, and ensuring that a proper reward system is in place. Another job of the JIT champion is sharing results with everyone in the company. Such information is not shared with production workers in traditional systems. However, in JIT, sharing of this type of information with everyone in the company is considered a key to success and is done frequently and regularly. Financial information cannot be kept secret if everyone is to work together and share in the benefits.
In making specific changes in JIT manufacturing, some changes need to be implemented before others. Not all things can or should be changed at once. Following is a sequence of steps that should be followed in the implementation process:
1. Make quality improvements. Usually it is best to start the implementation process by improving quality. Th e reason is that quality is pervasive and all the JIT objectives are dependent on quality improvement.
2. Reorganize workplace. Reorganizing the workplace is the next step. Th is means proper facility layout, cleaning and organizing the work environment, designating storage spaces for everything, and removing clutter.
3. Reduce setup times. Th e next step is to focus on reducing setup times, which will involve manufacturing and industrial engineering. It will require analysis of current setup procedures, elimination of unneeded steps, and streamlining of motions. Workers will need to be trained in the proper setup procedures.
4. Reduce lot sizes and lead times. Once setup times have been reduced, the focus is on reducing lot sizes and lead times. Th is in turn will reduce the inventory between workstations and free up space. Th e empty space will contribute to visibility.
5. Implement layout changes. Th e next step is to arrange equipment and workstations in close proximity to one another and to form work cells.
6. Switch to pull production. After the preceding changes have been implemented, it is time to switch to pull production. Changing from a push system to a pull system, including worker training, needs to be planned very carefully. However, the change needs to be made at once because a production facility cannot use a push and a pull system at the same time.
7. Develop relationship with suppliers. Changes in relationships with suppliers should be among the last steps implemented. Demands for smaller and more frequent deliveries should be instituted gradually.
By now you should understand that JIT is made up of many ideas that define its phi- losophy. Because of that, implementation of JIT is complicated. Most companies are so eager to receive the benefits of JIT that they jump in and begin making changes without thinking them through. Often, company executives will learn that for JIT implementation to succeed inventory needs to be eliminated, so they begin ordering reductions in inventory. This unplanned approach can have disastrous effects. Inventory is there to cover up prob- lems. Unless the problems are solved first, simply reducing inventory can completely halt production.
Finally, when it comes to implementation, remember that the concept of continuous improvement is an integral part of JIT. This means that the implementation process will not start and end in definite time periods. Rather, it will be a gradual process. Reductions in inventory have to be preceded by improvements in quality, changes in layout, reductions in setup times, and worker training. As improvements are made, inventory can be reduced. As new problems become visible, they must be solved before further reductions in inventory
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are made. This is an ongoing, gradual process. Implementation is never complete because improving performance is a never-ending task.
JIT in Services People who think of JIT as applying only to manufacturing may not see how JIT could be applicable to service organizations. However, we have seen in this chapter that JIT is an all-encompassing philosophy that includes eliminating waste, improving quality, continu- ous improvement, increased responsiveness to customers, and increased speed of delivery. That philosophy is equally applicable to any organization, service or manufacturing.
Following are examples of JIT concepts seen in service firms.
Improved Quality Service quality is often measured by intangible factors such as timeliness, service consis- tency, and courtesy. Building quality into the process of service delivery and implementing concepts such as quality at the source can significantly improve service quality dimensions. For example, McDonald’s has become famous by building quality into the process and stan- dardizing the service delivery system. Regardless of location, McDonald’s customers receive the same product and service consistency.
Uniform Facility Loading The challenge for service operations is synchronizing their production with demand. Many service firms have developed unique ways to level customer demand in order to provide better service responsiveness. For example, hotels and restaurants use reservation systems. Differential pricing systems can also be used to even out demand, such as airlines requiring a Saturday night stay for lower fares or the post office charging more for next-day delivery.
Use of Multifunction Workers The use of multifunction workers in service organizations helps improve quality and cus- tomer responsiveness. An example of this is seen in department stores, where workers make sales, clean sales areas, and arrange displays.
Reductions in Cycle Time Competition based on speed is common in services, as can be seen in such companies as McDonald’s, Wendy’s, FedEx, and LensCrafters. These companies have used JIT concepts to reduce their cycle time and, consequently, increase their speed. One strategy is to eliminate unnecessary activities. For example, any processing step that does not add value is elimi- nated. Processing steps that add some value are reanalyzed and reengineered to improve their efficiency and reduce processing time.
Minimizing Setup Times and Parallel Processing The concept of setup time minimization and parallel processing can be seen in cleaning companies. Merry Maids is a cleaning company that uses teams of workers to clean homes. Each member of the team is designated to carry out a specific category of cleaning tasks. For example, one worker may be responsible for all the dusting, another for all the bathrooms,
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JIT in Services • 259
and another for the vacuuming. This minimizes setup time, and parallel processing reduces the cycle time.
Workplace Organization Improved housekeeping has become a priority for many service organizations, particularly since the customer is present during part of the production process. Service companies like Disney and McDonald’s pride themselves on the cleanliness of their facilities.
JIT and Lean Systems Within OM: How it all Fits Together
As you have seen, JIT is about eliminating waste of every kind in order to be more efficient. As JIT is an overriding philosophy, it affects all other operations decisions. For example, JIT is directly linked to quality improvements within the operation (Chapters 5 and 6), partner- ing with suppliers as in supply chain management (Chapter 4), and changing job designs (Chapter 11) of production employees and management. JIT decisions also impact facility layout (Chapter 10) since they require rearrangements of the flow of materials, changes in the production process (Chapter 3) to a pull system with small lot sizes and uniform facility loading, and changes in inventory levels (Chapter 12). Virtually all operations decisions are linked to the implementation of JIT and lean systems.
JIT and Lean Systems Across the Organization
Implementing a philosophy such as JIT will inevitably have consequences for every aspect of the organization. The entire organization is affected by JIT, primarily because organiza- tional barriers are eliminated. Functions that have not had much communication with each other in the past must now work together. Included are functions such as marketing, man- ufacturing, and engineering, which in traditional systems have separate agendas but now need to work together to achieve the goals of the organization as a whole. Let’s see how some of these functions are affected.
Accounting is strongly affected by JIT. Traditional accounting systems generally allocate overhead on the basis of direct labor hours. The problem with this method is that it does not accurately describe the actual use of overhead by different jobs. For example, jobs that are labor intensive in nature may be assigned a disproportionately high share of overhead. These numbers may lead management to make inappropriate decisions. JIT relies on activity- based costing to allocate overhead. In activity-based costing, specific costs are identified and then assigned to various types of activities, such as inspection, movement of goods, and machine processing. Overhead costs are then assigned to jobs depending on how many activities a particular job takes up.
Marketing plays a large role in JIT, as the interface with customers becomes more important. JIT focuses on customer-driven quality, not quality as defined by the producer. Marketing managers must understand customer needs and ensure that this information is passed on to operations managers for proper design, production, and delivery of the prod- uct or service.
Finance is responsible for approving and evaluating financial investments. Switch- ing to a JIT system proves financially beneficial in the long run but generally requires an
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investment in resources. Included are hiring consultants, training workers, purchasing or modifying equipment, more record keeping, and rearrangement of facilities. Finance must evaluate these investments and measure their performance, which requires an understand- ing of JIT.
Engineering plays a major role in JIT. As we have seen in this chapter, reduction of setup time is critical to the success of JIT. It is up to engineering to design machines so as to reduce setup time and to design poka-yoke, or foolproof devices, that prevent defects from occurring. Engineering is largely responsible for designing the mechanisms that enable JIT to function as desired. Without engineering, true JIT could not exist.
Information systems (IS) create the network of information necessary for JIT to func- tion. JIT is based on the assumption that information about quality, inventory levels, order status, and product returns is available to everyone in the organization. This type of infor- mation needs to be readily available and up-to-date. Otherwise, a JIT system would come to a halt. Communication with suppliers is another prerequisite of JIT that requires a high- level information system. JIT cannot function without the ongoing involvement of IS. In turn, IS needs to understand JIT functioning and information requirements.
MIS
The concept of JIT naturally extends itself to the entire sup-ply chain. The philosophy of JIT teaches us that waste anywhere in the system hinders effi ciency, doesn’t provide value to the customer, and ultimately increases cost. Every organization is just one element of an entire supply chain sys- tem. As such, waste anywhere in the supply chain is ultimately passed down to other members of the chain and the fi nal customer. Also recall that JIT views a company’s suppliers as the external factory, focuses on building long-term relation- ships with suppliers, and promotes sharing data along the supply chain. In fact, a company’s pull system cannot work properly unless its suppliers are also using it. Otherwise, the JIT system of the company would not be able to function properly, as there would be no guarantee of stable deliveries. Therefore, the principles of JIT need to be adopted by all
members of a supply chain in order to have a full impact. This is often referred to as a lean supply chain.
Dell provides a good example of the impact JIT can have when it is implemented along the supply chain. The company has a build-to-order model that produces computers only when there is actual customer demand. Dell has implemen- ted a JIT system throughout its supply chain and shares de- mand information with its suppliers. As a result, Dell is able to introduce new technologies in its computers much quicker than competitors because they are seamlessly available in the supply chain. Dell also works closely with its suppliers to reduce inventories, align processes, and eliminate waste across the supply chain. The result has been high responsive- ness at a competitive price. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
J IT and lean systems are about eliminating waste—a philosophy that is fully compatible with environmental- ism and sustainability. Squeezed by high costs, companies have zero tolerance for unnecessary waste, and consumers and regulators are demanding eco-friendly practices every- where, from forest to factory to display case. The pressure has increased to drive fewer miles, use low-emission and natural-gas-powered trucks, have well-engineered warehouses, design lower-emission factories, and maximize effi ciency. In fact, concerns about water usage and disposal practices are just two of the factors that led Coca-Cola to name a Vice President for Sustainability. The sustainability pressure for
companies is to fi gure out ways to do more with less, which is the basis of JIT and lean systems, and relies on lessons dis- cussed in this chapter. Minimizing waste is an essential part of sustainability and it requires expanding the notion of waste to elements of the operation that impact the environment.
Companies are increasingly applying JIT and lean systems principles to move beyond recycling and set their sights on a higher standard, called the “zero waste” business model. This model builds on the traditional concepts of JIT and Lean by calling on companies to reduce as much waste as possible during production, then reuse and recycle what can’t be avoided until waste is eliminated altogether. The “zero
Key Terms • 261
waste” model addresses every aspect of waste, including wasted water and energy, in order to maximize production effi ciency as well as eliminate pollution and toxins. It is ap- plication of the principle of continuous improvement, know- ing that zero waste may never be achieved but continuing to work toward that goal through constant innovation.
A successful example of applying principles of zero waste is offered by The Taylor Companies, a furniture manufacturer from Ohio. The company saved over $20,000 a year at its Bed- ford facility by identifying ways to successfully use its “waste.” For example, the company needed to dispose of large
amounts of sawdust, and found out that local horse farms needed sawdust as a raw material for composting. They con- nected with local farmers, who not only hauled away the com- pany’s “waste,” but also paid them for it. Through continuous improvement efforts the company then began reusing scrap materials and partnered with a leather goods company willing to pay $900 a year for leather scraps. As a result, the zero waste effort has not only eliminated waste for the company but has made the company more sustainable and has created new ways of generating revenue. •
Chapter Highlights 1 JIT is a philosophy that was developed by the Toyota
Motor Company in the mid-1970s. It has since become the standard of operation for many industries. It focuses on simplicity, eliminating waste, taking a broad view of operations, visibility, and flexibility.
· JIT views waste as anything that does not add value, such as unnecessary space, energy, time, or motion.
2 Three key elements of this philosophy are JIT manu- facturing, total quality management, and respect for people.
3 Traditional manufacturing systems use “push” produc- tion, whereas JIT uses “pull” production. Push systems anticipate future demand and produce in advance in order to have products in place when demand occurs. This system usually results in excess inventory. Pull systems work backwards. The last workstation in the production line (or the customer) requests the precise amounts of materials required.
· JIT manufacturing is a coordinated production system that enables the right quantities of parts to arrive when they are needed precisely where they are needed. Key elements of JIT manufacturing are the pull system and kanban production, small lot sizes and quick setups, uniform plant loading, fl exible resources, and streamlined layout.
4 Total quality management (TQM) creates an orga- nizational culture that defines quality as seen by the
customer. The concepts of continuous improvement and quality at the source are integral to allowing for continual growth and the goal of identifying the causes of quality problems.
5 JIT considers people to be the organization’s most important resource. All employees are highly valued members of the organization. Workers are empowered to make decisions and are rewarded for their efforts. Team efforts make possible cross-functional and mul- tilayer coordination.
6 Implementing JIT can bring numerous benefits to companies. They include reductions in inventory, improvements in quality, reducing space requirements, shorter lead times, lower production costs, increases in productivity, better machine utilization, and greater flexibility.
7 JIT success is dependent on interfunctional coordi- nation and effort. Marketing must work closely with customers to define customer-driven quality. IS must design a powerful information system. Engineering must develop equipment with low setup time and design jobs with foolproof devices. Finance must mon- itor financial improvements with realistic expecta- tions. Accounting must develop appropriate costing mechanisms.
8 JIT is equally applicable in service organizations, par- ticularly with the push toward time-based competition and the need to cut costs.
Key Terms
just-in-time ( JIT) philosophy 235
waste 235
a broad view of JIT 235
defi ning beliefs of JIT 235
types of waste 235
broad view of the organization 236
simplicity 236
continuous improvement (kaizen) 236
visibility 237
fl exibility 237
JIT system 237
just-in-time manufacturing 237
262 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
setup cost 238
total quality management (TQM) 239
quality at the source 239
respect for people 240
pull system 241
kanban card 242
production card 242
withdrawal card 242
small-lot production 245
internal setup 246
external setup 246
uniform plant loading 246
multifunction workers 247
cell manufacturing 247
jidoka 250
poka-yoke 250
bottom-round management 252
quality circles 252
single-source suppliers 254
Formula Review Determining the number of kanbans:
N = DT + S
C
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Suzie Sizewick works for a manufacturer of ballpoint pens, which come in packages of fi ve pens each. Her job is to fi ll the packages with pens, and she is expected to process 100 packages an hour. Th e facility where Suzie works uses a kanban production system in which each container holds 10 pen packages. It takes 15 minutes to receive the packages she needs from the previous work- station. Th e facility uses a safety stock of 12 percent. How many kanbans are needed for the fi lling process?
Before You Begin: Remember to always check your units and make sure that demand (D) and lead time (T ) are over the same time period.
Solution: D = 100 packages per hour
T = 15 minutes = 1
4 hour
C = 10 packages per container
S = 0.12 a100 × 1 4 b = 3 packages
Step 1
N = DT + S
C
Step 2
N = (100 packages�hour) ( 14 hour) + 3
10 packages
= 2.8 kanbans and containers
Discussion Questions
1. Describe the core beliefs of the JIT philosophy.
2. Identify the three major elements of JIT.
3. Explain how JIT manufacturing works and its key elements.
4. Find an example of successful JIT manufacturing.
5. Explain the importance of total quality management in JIT.
6. Find an example of successful TQM implementation.
7. Explain the importance of respect for people in JIT.
8. Find an example of a company that has high respect for people.
9. Describe the JIT implementation process. Why should some things be changed before others?
10. Find examples of JIT in services. Which aspects of JIT are easiest to apply in services?
11. Explain how you could use JIT to make your life more effi cient.
Case: Katz Carpeting • 263
Problems
1. Jason Carter works for a producer of soaps that come in packages of 6 each. His job is to fi ll the packages with soap, and he is expected to process 30 packages an hour. Th e facility where Jason works uses a kanban production system in which each container holds 5 packages of soap. It takes 20 minutes to receive the packages he needs from the previous workstation. How many kanbans are needed for the fi lling process?
2. A manufacturer of thermostats uses a kanban system to control the fl ow of materials. Th e packaging center processes 10 thermostats an hour and receives com- pleted thermostats every 30 minutes. Containers hold 5 thermostats each. (a) How many kanbans are needed for the packaging
center? (b) If management decides to keep two thermostats
as safety stock, how many kanbans will be needed? 3. A production cell at Canderberry Candle facility op-
erates 5 hours per day and uses a pull method to sup- ply wicks to the assembly line. Th e wicks are used at a rate of 300 per day. Each container holds 20 wicks and usually waits 20 minutes in the production cell. Man- agement wants a safety stock of 10 percent. How many containers should be used at the Canderberry Candle facility for purposes of pull production?
4. Carlos Gonzales is production manager at an assembly plant that manufactures cordless telephones. Th e com- pany is planning to install a pull system. Th e process is being planned to have a usage rate of 50 pieces per hour. Each container is designed to hold 10 pieces. It takes an average of 30 minutes to complete a cycle. (a) How many containers will be needed? (b) How will the number of needed containers change
as the system improves?
5. A dye cell at the Acme Clothing Factory uses 500 pounds of dye each day. Th e dye is moved in vats at a rate of approximately one per hour. Each vat holds 10 pounds of dye. Management has set safety stock at 10 percent. Th e facility operates 8 hours per day. How many vats should be used?
6. Anna works on an assembly line where it takes her 30 minutes to produce 20 units of a product needed to fi ll a container. It takes her an additional 5 minutes to transport the container to Josh, who works at the next station. Th e company uses a safety stock of 20 percent. Th e current assembly line uses fi ve kanbans between Anna’s and Josh’s stations. Compute the demand for the product.
7. Robert produces 300 units of a product per hour and 30 units are needed to fi ll a container. It takes 15 minutes to receive the materials needed from the previous workstation. Th e company currently uses a safety stock of 10 percent. Determine the number of kanbans needed between Robert’s station and the pre- vious process.
8. Consider the information from Problem 7. Determine how the number of kanbans and the inventory level will be aff ected if the time required for Robert to re- ceive the material increases to 30 minutes.
9. Consider the information from Problem 7. Determine how the number of kanbans and the inventory level will be aff ected if: (a) Th e container size is decreased to 15 units. (b) Th e container size is increased to 40 units. (c) Th e safety stock is increased to 20 percent.
Case: Katz Carpeting
Josh Wallace, president of Katz Carpeting, had much on his mind. Th e end-of-year performance numbers for the carpet manufacturer were below expectations. Inventories of carpets were high, yet the company had frequently been out of stock of items customers wanted. It seemed that the plant was producing a lot of what it already had, yet not enough of what was needed. Quality was also becoming a problem, with customers frequently returning carpeting for rips or incorrect dye color. It seemed to Josh that oper- ations was not doing its job. Something had to be done.
Background
Katz Carpeting is a manufacturer of high-end com- mercial and residential carpeting. Katz produces two product lines of carpeting. Th e fi rst line, a group of standardized products called “standards,” is sold through catalogs and samples available at retail sites. Th e second line is “specials,” carpet products made to customer specifi cations of color and pattern. Currently, the volume of business is approximately evenly divided between standards and specials.
264 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
At Katz, standards and specials are made using a line operation and sharing the same facilities (see Figure 7.7). Production of standards is made in a predictable and easily timed manner. Th e process begins with making the dye in large vats and dying the yarn. Th e yarn is then rolled, bonded, and added to a backing. Th e product is then cut and sent to shipping.
Production of specials is not as simple. Th e dying and weaving processes of specials are considerably more diffi cult due to the time necessary to ensure the dyes are correct. Colors of standards are well estab- lished. However, colors of specials require an initial trial dying before full dying can begin. Also, patterns are fre- quently requested in special orders, and each pattern is typically unique. Because of the customized nature of producing specials, the time required for production is much longer, as is the cost involved.
At Katz, the marketing department is responsible for generating forecasts, taking orders, and establishing due dates. Th is information is passed on to operations on a weekly basis, and a production schedule is made. Information on special “rush” orders is passed on daily, and requests are frequent. Operations tries to meet all the orders and produce extra inventories of standards to be prepared for unexpected demand.
Considering JIT
Josh Wallace called a meeting with Evelyn Jones, newly hired head of operations. He explained the problems
Katz was facing. Evelyn agreed that there were prob- lems with inventory and customer service but noted that these were just symptoms of a problem. “One big problem is the setup and changeover time between the two product lines,” she explained. “Th e changeover from one standard product to another is approximately 15 minutes, enough time for the new dye color to be loaded onto the machine. However, the changeover from one standard product to a special can be as much as hours. As both products are made on the same line, production of the specials holds up production of the standards. Also, operations frequently stops planned production to meet special rush orders.”
Evelyn then explained that the facility needed to move toward just-in-time production. “Yes, I have heard of that. Th at is a manufacturing process based on zero inventory,” said Josh. “I have even heard that workers are paid to sit around and discuss quality problems. Well, not here. Here they need to get rid of that inventory!”
Under the circumstances, Evelyn suggested that a consultant be brought in to guide Katz through the process of switching to JIT production. Josh reluctantly agreed.
Case Questions
1. What suggestions do you have for implementing JIT at Katz? Should specials and standards be pro- duced on the same line? (Hint: Do they require the same type of operation?)
(a) Production of standard Setup time: 15 minutes
(b) Production of specials Setup time: 2½ hours
order Prepare Dye
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Rolling Bonding Backing Cutting Shipping received
Shipping
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FIGURE 7.7 Production process at Katz Carpeting
Interactive Case: Virtual Company • 265
2. If production of standards and specials is separated, how diff erent will JIT implementation be for produc- tion of the diff erent products? Explain what would be needed in JIT implementation for both products.
3. What suggestions do you have for improving the way the production schedule is currently made?
4. How would you characterize Josh’s view of JIT? What challenges do you think a consultant will face in implementing JIT at Katz? If you were a consul- tant, how would you approach these problems?
Case: Dixon Audio Systems
Dixon Audio Systems had developed a reputation as a leading producer of speakers, audio systems, and car stereos. Dixon accomplished this through creating strict organizational quality standards and demanding these same standards of its suppliers. Meeting quality stan- dards was critical, particularly of plastic component parts. Th ese parts were sourced from a number of ven- dors and required considerable experience and skill to make. However, as Dixon’s quality standards increased, the number of defective components returned to ven- dors increased too. Th is was increasingly holding up production and costing the company in excess inven- tory and unmet orders.
Dixon’s director of purchasing proposed a new approach to dealing with the vendor quality problem. She proposed that Dixon develop a new arrangement with its top vendor of plastic components, D&S Plastics. Under the relationship, D&S Plastics would become Dixon’s JIT supplier. Th e arrangement would require D&S to station a full-time representative at Dixon’s headquarters. Th e representative would be paid by D&S but would work as a plastics buyer for Dixon, placing orders to D&S. Th e representative would also monitor material requirements on plastic components that D&S
supplied to Dixon and become involved in manufac- turing planning at Dixon. Th e plan would provide the D&S representative full access to Dixon’s facilities, per- sonnel, and computer systems. D&S Plastics would be a sole supplier to Dixon and was guaranteed business, provided it maintained the quality and delivery require- ments. Dixon was assured a reliable supply of plastic component parts.
Th e proposed arrangement would completely change the way in which the two companies worked together and had a number of risks. Dixon’s managers worried that the company would lose control of its pro- curement process. Although Dixon was one of D&S’s biggest accounts, D&S worried that it would lose con- trol of its operations. Many factors had to be considered before embarking on this type of arrangement.
Case Questions
1. Identify the pros and cons of a JIT relationship from a supplier’s point of view.
2. Identify the pros and cons of a JIT relationship from a buyer’s point of view.
3. What factors should Dixon and D&S consider before making a decision on this relationship?
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Virtual Company
Assignment: Just-in-Time at Cruise International, Inc. Bob Bristol just called to congratulate you on your sup- ply chain management report. It was very well received by the CII management team. Meghan Willoughby, Chief Purser aboard the Friendly Seas I, was especially impressed with your ideas on supplier partnering. She would like you to prepare a similar report address- ing just-in-time issues relevant for the Friendly Seas I. While the management team has heard a great deal about JIT, many wonder just how JIT concepts would
apply. Bob suggested you meet with Meghan for more details. Th is assignment will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 7 of your textbook while pre- paring you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Just-In-Time at CII
www.wiley.com/college/reid
266 CHAPTER 7 • Just-in-Time and Lean Systems
Internet Challenge: Truck-Fleet, Inc.
Truck-Fleet, Inc. is a small company that off ers domestic logistics services such as distribution management and transportation management. Truck-Fleet owns a small fl eet of trucks and off ers movement, tracking, and han- dling of inventory for clients. Although Truck-Fleet is relatively small, with revenues of $500 million annually, it is growing rapidly as companies place greater empha- sis on fast transportation. Truck-Fleet utilizes technol- ogy such as bar coding to facilitate consolidation and distribution of products. Its strength lies in its dedicated employees, such as drivers with excellent driving and safety records and a good management staff .
Truck-Fleet needs to become a JIT service provider to remain competitive. You have just been hired to help direct its growth. Use the Internet to identify Truck- Fleet’s main competitors and their capabilities. Identify specifi c companies that off er just-in-time pickup and delivery against which Truck-Fleet can benchmark. Th en, identify the characteristics of main competi- tors that enable them to provide just-in-time services. Finally, establish specifi c guidelines for Truck-Fleet to follow in becoming a JIT service provider. Problem- Solving Tip: One potential competitor is Ryder (www. ryder.com).
Selected Bibliography
Charron, R., H.J. Harrington, F. Voehl, and H. Wiggin. Th e Lean Management Systems Handbook. Boca Raton, Fla.: Taylor and Frances Group, 2015.
Hall, R.W. Attaining Manufacturing Excellence. Burr Ridge, Ill.: Irwin Professional Publishing, 1987.
Hanna, M.D., W.R. Newman, and P. Johnson. “Link- ing Operational and Environmental Improvement through Employee Involvement,” International Journal of Operations and Production Management, 20, 2, 2000, 148–165.
Koste, L.L., and M.K. Malhotra. “Trade-off s among the Ele- ments of Flexibility: A Comparison from the Automotive Industry,” Omega, 28, 2000, 693–710.
Monden, Y. Th e Toyota Management System: Linking the Seven Key Functional Areas. Cambridge, Mass.: Productivity Press, 1993.
Ohno, T. Toyota Production System: Beyond Large-Scale Production. Cambridge, Mass.: Productivity Press, 1988. (Original Japanese version published 1978.)
Pun, K., and K.H. Wong. “Implementing JIT/MRP in a PCB Manufacturer,” Production and Inventory Management Journal, First Quarter, 1998, 10–16.
Shingo, S. Modern Approaches to Manufacturing Improve- ment. Cambridge, Mass.: Productivity Press, 1990.
Vergin, R.C. “An Examination of Inventory Turnover in the Fortune 500 Industrial Companies,” Production and Inven- tory Management Journal, First Quarter, 1998, 51–56.
Vitasek, K., K.B. Manrodt, and J. Abbott. “What Makes a Lean Supply Chain?” Supply Chain Management Review, October 2005, 39–45.
Womack, J.P., D.T. Jones, and D. Roos. Th e Machine Th at Changed the World. New York: Macmillan, 1990.
On-line Case: JIT and Lean Systems at Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Just-in-Time at VMH Bob Reilly just called to congratulate you on your report on supply chain man- agement. It was very well received by the managers at VMH. Meg Willoughby, head of materials management at VMH, was especially impressed with your ideas on partnering with suppliers and purchasing supplies and equipment. She has now suggested that you prepare a concise research report for top management address- ing just-in-time ( JIT) issues relevant to VMH. Manag- ers at VMH have heard a great deal about JIT, but many
wonder how JIT concepts could be applied at VMH. Th ey have put together a few specifi c questions for you to address in your report. Th is assignment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 7.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Just-in-Time at Valley Memorial Hospital
8 Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
The role of forecasting in operations management decisions, Chapter 1.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Identify principles of
forecasting. 2 Explain the steps involved in
the forecasting process. 3 Identify types of forecasting
methods and their characteristics.
4 Describe time series models. 5 Describe causal modeling using
linear regression. 6 Compute forecast accuracy. 7 Explain the factors that should
be considered when selecting a forecasting model.
8 Explain the nine-step process of CPFR.
Forecasting
H ave you ever gone to a restaurant and been told that it has sold out of its “specials,” or gone to the university bookstore and found that the texts for your course are on back order? Have you ever had a party at
your home only to realize that you don’t have enough food for everyone invited? Just like getting caught unprepared in the rain, these situations show the con- sequences of poor forecasting. Planning for any event requires a forecast of the future. Whether in business or in our own lives, we make forecasts of future events. Based on those forecasts, we make plans and take action.
Forecasting is one of the most important business functions because all other business decisions are based on a forecast of the future. Decisions such as which markets to pursue, which products to produce, how much inventory to carry, and how many people to hire all require a forecast. Poor forecasting results in incorrect business decisions and leaves the company unprepared to meet future demands. The consequences can be very costly in terms of lost sales and can even force a company out of business.
Forecasts are so important that companies are investing billions of dollars in technologies that can help them better plan for the future. For example, the ice- cream giant Ben & Jerry’s has invested in business intelligence software that tracks the life of each pint of ice cream, from ingredients to sale. Each pint is stamped with a tracking num- ber that is stored in an Oracle database. Then the company uses the information to track trends, problems, and new busi- ness opportunities. Ben & Jerry’s can track such things as seeing whether the ice-cream flavor Chocolate Chip Cookie Dough is gaining on Cherry Garcia for the top sales spot, product sales by location, and rates of change. This information is then used to more accurately forecast product sales. Numerous other
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268 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
Principles of Forecasting There are many types of forecasting models. They differ in their degree of complexity, the amount of data they use, and the way they generate the forecast. However, some features are common to all forecasting models. They include the following:
1. Forecasts are rarely perfect. Forecasting the future involves uncertainty. Th erefore, it is almost impossible to make a perfect prediction. Forecasters know that they have to live with a certain amount of error, which is the diff erence between what is forecast and what actually happens. Th e goal of forecasting is to generate good forecasts on the average over time and to keep forecast errors as low as possible.
2. Forecasts are more accurate for groups or families of items rather than for individual items. When items are grouped together, their individual high and low values can cancel each other out. Th e data for a group of items can be stable even when individual items in the group are very unstable. Consequently, one can obtain a higher degree of accuracy when forecasting for a group of items rather than for individual items. For example, you cannot expect the same degree of accuracy if you are forecasting sales of long-sleeved hunter green polo shirts that you can expect when forecasting sales of all polo shirts.
3. Forecasts are more accurate for shorter than longer time horizons. Th e shorter the time horizon of the forecast, the lower the degree of uncertainty. Data do not change very much in the short run. As the time horizon increases, however, there is a much greater likelihood that changes in established patterns and relationships will occur. Because of that, forecasters cannot expect the same degree of forecast accuracy for a long-range forecast as for a short-range forecast. For example, it is much harder to predict sales of a product two years from now than to predict sales two weeks from now.
Steps in the Forecasting Process Regardless of what forecasting method is used, there are some basic steps that should be followed when making a forecast:
1. Decide what to forecast. Remember that forecasts are made in order to plan for the future. To do so, we have to decide what forecasts are actually needed. Th is is not as simple as it sounds. For example, do we need to forecast sales or demand? Th ese are two diff erent things, and sales do not necessarily equal the total amount of demand for the product. Both pieces of information are usually valuable.
An important part of this decision is the level of detail required for the forecast (e.g., by product or product group), the units of the forecast (e.g., product units, boxes, or dollars), and the time horizon (e.g., monthly or quarterly).
2. Evaluate and analyze appropriate data. Th is step involves identifying what data are needed and what data are available. Th is will have a big impact on the selection of
Forecasting Predicting future events.
companies, such as Procter & Gamble, General Electric, Lands’ End, Sears, Roebuck and Company, and Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, are investing in the same type of software in order to improve forecast accuracy.
In this chapter you will learn about forecasting, the different types of forecasting methods available, and how to select and use the proper techniques. You will also learn about the latest available software that can help managers analyze and process data to generate forecasts. •
Types of Forecasting Methods • 269
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a forecasting model. For example, if you are predicting sales for a new product, you may not have historical sales information, which would limit your use of forecasting models that require quantitative data.
We will also see in this chapter that diff erent types of patterns can be observed in the data. It is important to identify these patterns in order to select the correct forecasting model. For example, if a company was experiencing a high increase in product sales for the past year, it would be important to identify this growth in order to forecast correctly.
3. Select and test the forecasting model. Once the data have been evaluated, the next step is to select an appropriate forecasting model. As we will see, there are many models to choose from. Usually we consider factors like cost and ease of use in selecting a model. Another very important factor is accuracy. A common procedure is to narrow the choices to two or three diff erent models and then test them on historical data to see which one is most accurate.
4. Generate the forecast. Once we have selected a model, we use it to generate the forecast. But we are not fi nished, as you will see in the next step.
5. Monitor forecast accuracy. Forecasting is an ongoing process. After we have made a forecast, we should record what actually happened. We can then use that information to monitor our forecast accuracy. This process should be carried out continuously because environments and conditions often change. What was a good forecasting model in the past might not provide good results for the future. We have to constantly be prepared to revise our forecasting model as our data change.
The rapid growth of information technology (IT) has created a forecasting challenge for manufactur- ers of industry components such as microchips and semiconductors. Companies like Intel have had dif- ficulty in forecasting demand for information tech- nology used in internal applications. Forecasts are critical in order to plan production and have enough product to meet demand. However, overforecasting means having too much of an expensive product that will quickly become obsolete. The exponential growth in requirements and a short product life cycle have added much uncertainty to the forecasting process. Intel has had to consider many factors when generating its forecasts, such as key technology trends that are driving the information revolution and future directions in the use of IT.
Types of Forecasting Methods Forecasting methods can be classified into two groups: qualitative and quantitative. Table 8.1 shows these two categories and their characteristics.
Qualitative forecasting methods, often called judgmental methods, are methods in which the forecast is made subjectively by the forecaster. They are educated guesses by fore- casters or experts based on intuition, knowledge, and experience. When you decide, based on your intuition, that a particular team is going to win a baseball game, you are making a qualitative forecast. Because qualitative methods are made by people, they are often biased. These biases can be related to personal motivation (“They are going to set my budget based on my forecast, so I’d better predict high.”), mood (“I feel lucky today!”), or conviction (“That pitcher can strike anybody out!”).
Qualitative forecasting methods Forecast is made subjectively by the forecaster.
270 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
Quantitative forecasting methods, on the other hand, are based on mathematical modeling. Because they are mathematical, these methods are consistent. The same model will generate the exact same forecast from the same set of data every time. These meth- ods are also objective. They do not suffer from the biases found in qualitative forecasting. Finally, these methods can consider a lot of information at one time. Because people have limited information-processing abilities and can easily experience information overload, they cannot compete with mathematically generated forecasts in this area.
Both qualitative and quantitative forecasting methods have strengths and weaknesses. Although quantitative methods are objective and consistent, they require data in quanti- fiable form in order to generate a forecast. Often, we do not have such data, for example, if we are making a strategic forecast or if we are forecasting sales of a new product. Also, quantitative methods are only as good as the data on which they are based. Qualitative methods, on the other hand, have the advantage of being able to incorporate last-minute “inside information” in the forecast, such as an advertising campaign by a competitor, a snowstorm delaying a shipment, or a heat wave increasing sales of ice cream. Each method has its place, and a good forecaster learns to rely on both.
Inaccurate forecasts can cost com- panies billions of dollars in missed sales or excess inventory. One factor that can significantly impact sales is the weather. In the past, there was little companies could do to plan for weather problems. However, new businesses have sprung up to help companies use weather data to pre- dict consumer behavior and manage weather risk. It could be as simple as predicting a hot summer, a cold win-
ter, or an early spring. This type of information can help companies move the right invento- ries to areas where consumers will be more likely to buy them.
Planalytics Inc. is a company that helps businesses use weather data to make their business plans. Its clients include Gillette’s Duracell® Batteries, Home Depot, and Wal- Mart. In one example, Planalytics helped Duracell move a large number of batteries to areas expecting to be hit by hurricanes during the hurricane season. Although using weather data does not replace traditional forecasting methods, it is one additional tool that can help companies improve their forecasting and planning.
Quantitative forecasting methods Forecast is based on mathematical modeling.
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TABLE 8.1 Types of Forecasting Methods
Qualitative Methods Quantitative Methods
1. Characteristics Based on human judgment, opinions; subjective and nonmathematical.
Based on mathematics; quantitative in nature.
2. Strengths Can incorporate latest changes in the environment and “inside information.”
Consistent and objective; able to consider much inform- ation and data at one time.
3. Weaknesses Can bias the forecast and reduce forecast accuracy.
Often quantifi able data are not available. Only as good as the data on which they are based.
Types of Forecasting Methods • 271
TABLE 8.2 Qualitative Forecasting Methods
Type Characteristics Strengths Weaknesses
Executive opinion
A group of man- agers meet and come up with a forecast.
Good for strategic or new-product forecasting.
One person’s opinion can dominate the forecast.
Market research
Uses surveys and interviews to identify customer preferences.
Good determinant of customer preferences.
It can be diffi cult to develop a good questionnaire.
Delphi method
Seeks to develop a consensus among a group of experts.
Excellent for fore- casting long-term product demand, technological changes, and scientifi c advances.
Time-consuming to develop.
Qualitative Methods There are many types of qualitative forecasting methods, some informal and some struc- tured. Regardless of how structured the process is, however, remember that these models are based on subjective opinion and are not mathematical in nature. Some common quali- tative methods are shown in Table 8.2 and are described in this section.
Executive Opinion Executive opinion is a forecasting method in which a group of man- agers meet and collectively develop a forecast. This method is often used for strategic fore- casting or forecasting the success of a new product or service. Sometimes it can be used to change an existing forecast to account for unusual events, such as an unusual business cycle or unexpected competition.
Although managers can bring good insights to the forecast, this method has a number of disadvantages. Often the opinion of one person can dominate the forecast if that person has more power than the other members of the group or is very domineering. Think about times when you were part of a group for a course or for your job. Chances are that you expe- rienced situations in which one person’s views dominated.
Market Research Market research is an approach that uses surveys and interviews to determine customer likes, dislikes, and preferences and to identify new-product ideas. Usu- ally, the company hires an outside marketing firm to conduct a market research study. There is a good chance that you were a participant in such a study if someone called you and asked about your product preferences.
Market research can be a good determinant of customer preferences. However, it has a number of shortcomings. One of the most common has to do with how the survey ques- tions are designed. For example, a market research firm may call and ask you to identify which of the following is your favorite hobby: gardening, working on cars, cooking, or play- ing sports. But maybe none of these is your favorite because you prefer playing the piano or fishing, and these options are not included. This question is poorly designed because it forces you to pick a category that you really don’t fit in, which can lead to misinterpretation of the survey results.
The Delphi Method The Delphi method is a forecasting method in which the objective is to reach a consensus among a group of experts while maintaining their anonymity. The
Executive opinion Forecasting method in which a group of managers collectively develop a forecast.
Market research Approach to forecasting that relies on surveys and interviews to determine customer preferences.
Delphi method Approach to forecasting in which a forecast is the product of a consensus among a group of experts.
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researcher puts together a panel of experts in the chosen field. These experts do not have to be in the same facility or even in the same country. They do not know who the other pan- elists are. The process involves sending questionnaires to the panelists, then summarizing the findings and sending them an updated questionnaire incorporating the findings. This process continues until a consensus is reached.
The idea behind the Delphi method is that a panel of experts in a particular field might not agree on certain things, but what they do agree on will probably happen. The researcher’s job is to identify what the experts agree on and use that as the forecast. This method has the advantage of not allowing anyone to dominate the consensus, and it has been shown to work very well. Although it takes a large amount of time, it has been shown to be an excel- lent method for forecasting long-range product demand, technological change, and scien- tific advances in medicine. For example, if you wished to predict the timing for an AIDS vaccine or a cure for cancer, you would probably use this technique.
Quantitative Methods Quantitative methods are different from qualitative ones because they are based on math- ematics. Quantitative methods can also be divided into two categories: time series mod- els and causal models. Although both are mathematical, the two categories differ in their assumptions and in the manner in which a forecast is generated. In this section we will study some common quantitative models, which are summarized in Table 8.3.
Time series models assume that all the information needed to generate a forecast is contained in the time series of data. A time series is a series of observations taken at regu- lar intervals over a specified period of time. For example, if you were forecasting quarterly corporate sales and had collected five years of quarterly sales data, you would have a time series. Time series analysis assumes that we can generate a forecast based on patterns in the data. As a forecaster, you would look for patterns such as trend, seasonality, and cycle and use that information to generate a forecast.
Causal models, sometimes called associative models, use a very different logic to generate a forecast. They assume that the variable we wish to forecast is somehow related to other variables in the environment. The forecaster’s job is to discover how these variables are related in mathe- matical terms and use that information to forecast the future. For example, we might decide that sales are related to advertising dollars and GNP. From historical data we would build a model that explains the relationship of these variables and use it to forecast corporate sales.
Time series models are generally easier to use than causal models. Causal models can be very complex, especially if they consider relationships among many variables. However, time series models can often be just as accurate and have the advantage of simplicity. They are easy to use and can generate a forecast more quickly than causal models, which require model building. Each of these models is used for forcasting in operations management and will be described in the next section.
Time Series Models Remember that time series analysis assumes that all the information needed to generate a forecast is contained in the time series of the data. The forecaster looks for patterns in the data and tries to obtain a forecast by projecting that pattern into the future. The easiest way to identify patterns is to plot the data and examine the resulting graphs. If we did that, what could we observe? There are four basic patterns, which are shown in Figure 8.1. Any of these patterns, or a combination of them, can be present in a time series of data:
1. Level or horizontal. A level or horizontal pattern exists when data values fl uctuate around a constant mean. Th is is the simplest pattern and the easiest to predict. An
Time series models Based on the assumption that a forecast can be generated from the information contained in a time series of data.
Time series A series of observations taken over time.
Causal models Based on the assumption that the variable being forecast is related to other variables in the environment.
Level or horizontal pattern Pattern in which data values fl uctuate around a constant mean.
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TABLE 8.3 Quantitative Forecasting Models
Type Description Strengths Weaknesses
Time Series Models
Naïve Uses last period’s actual value as a forecast.
Simple and easy to use. Only good if data change little from period to period.
Simple Mean
Uses an average of past data as a forecast.
Good for level pattern. Requires carrying a lot of data.
Simple Moving Average
A forecasting method in which only n of the most recent observations are averaged.
Only good for level pattern. Important to select the proper moving average.
Weighted Moving Average
A forecasting method where n of the most recent observations are averaged and past observations may have different weights.
Good for level pattern; allows placing different weights on past demands.
Selection of weights requires good judgment.
Exponential Smoothing
A weighted average procedure with weights declining exponentially as data become older.
Provides excellent forecast results for short- to medium-length forecasts.
Choice of alpha is critical.
Trend- Adjusted Exponential Smoothing
An exponential smoothing model with separate equa- tions for forecasting the level and trend.
Provides good results for trend data.
Should only be used for data with trend.
Linear Trend Line
Technique uses the least- squares method to fi t a straight line to past data over time.
Easy to use and understand.
Data should display a clear trend over time.
Seasonal Indexes
Computes the percentage amount by which data for each season are above or below the mean.
Simple and logical procedure for computing seasonality.
Make sure seasonality is actually present.
Causal (Associative) Models
Linear Regression
Uses the least-squares method to model a linear relationship between two variables.
Easy to understand; provides good forecast accuracy.
Make sure a linear relationship is present.
Multiple Regression
Similar to linear regression, but models the relationship of multiple variables with the variable being forecast.
A powerful tool in forecast- ing when multiple variables are being considered.
Signifi cantly increases data and computational requirements.
274 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
example is sales of a product that do not increase or decrease over time. Th is type of pattern is common for products in the mature stage of their life cycle, in which demand is steady and predictable.
2. Trend. When data exhibit an increasing or decreasing pattern over time, we say that they exhibit a trend. Th e trend can be upward or downward. Th e simplest type of trend is a straight line, or linear trend.
3. Seasonality. A seasonal pattern is any pattern that regularly repeats itself and is of a constant length. Such seasonality exists when the variable we are trying to forecast is infl uenced by seasonal factors such as the quarter or month of the year or day of the week. Examples are a retail operation with high sales during November and December or a restaurant with peak sales on Fridays and Saturdays.
4. Cycles. Patterns that are created by economic fl uctuations such as those associated with the business cycle are called cycles. Th ese could be recessions, infl ation, or even the life cycle of a product. Th e major distinction between a seasonal pattern and a cyclical pattern is that a cyclical pattern varies in length and magnitude and therefore is much more diffi cult to forecast than other patterns.
Trend Pattern in which data exhibit increasing or decreasing values over time.
Seasonality Any pattern that regularly repeats itself and is constant in length.
Cycles Data patterns created by economic fl uctuations.
FIGURE 8.1 Types of data patterns
Q U
A N
T IT
Y
Q U
A N
T IT
Y
Q U
A N
T IT
Y
Q U
A N
T IT
Y
TIMETIME
TIME (QUARTERS)
(a) Level or Horizontal Pattern: Data follow a horizontal pattern around the mean
(b) Trend Pattern: Data are progressively increasing (shown) or decreasing
(c) Seasonal Pattern: Data exhibit a regularly repeating pattern
(d) Cycle: Data increase or decrease over time
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
TIME (QUARTERS) 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
Time Series Models • 275
Random variation is unexplained variation that cannot be predicted. So if we look at any time series, we can see that it is composed of the following:
Data
Data =
level + trend + seasonality + cycles + random variation
+ random variationpattern
=
The first four components of the data are part of a pattern that we try to forecast. Random variation cannot be predicted. Some data have a lot of random variation and some have little. The more random variation a data set has, the harder it is to forecast accurately. As we will see, many forecasting models try to eliminate as much of the random variation as possible.
Forecasting Level or Horizontal Pattern The simplest pattern is the level or horizontal pattern. In this section we look at some fore- casting models that can be used to forecast the level of a time series.
The Naïve Method The naïve method is one of the simplest forecasting models. It assumes that the next period’s forecast is equal to the current period’s actual. For exam- ple, if your sales were 500 units in January, the naïve method would forecast 500 units for February. It is assumed that there is little change from period to period. Mathematically, we could put this in the following form:
Ft + 1 = At
where Ft + 1 = forecast for next period, t + 1 At = actual value for current period, t t = current time period
The naïve method can be modified to take trend into account. If we see that our trend is increasing by 10 percent and the current period’s sales are 100 units, a naïve method with
Random variation Unexplained variation that cannot be predicted.
Naïve method Forecasting method that assumes next period’s forecast is equal to the current period’s actual value.
EXAMPLE 8.1 Forecasting with the Naïve Method
A restaurant is forecasting sales of chicken dinners for the month of April. Total sales of chicken dinners for March were 320. If management uses the naïve method to forecast, what is their forecast of chicken dinners for the month of April?
• Before You Begin: Remember that with the naïve method the forecast for next period (April) is equal to the current period’s actual value, which is 320 dinners for the month of March.
• Solution: Our equation is
Ft + 1 = At
Adding the appropriate time period:
FApril = AMarch
FApril = 320 dinners
276 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
trend would give us current period’s sales plus 10 percent, which is a forecast of 110 units for the next period. The naïve method can also be used for seasonal data. For example, suppose that we have monthly seasonality and know that sales for last January were 230 units. Using the naïve method, we would forecast sales of 230 units for next January.
One advantage of the naïve method is that it is very simple. It works well when there is little variation from one period to the next. Most of the time we use this method to evaluate the forecast performance of other, more complicated forecasting models. Because the naïve method is simple and effortless, we expect the forecasting model that we are using to per- form better than naïve.
Simple Mean or Average One of the simplest averaging models is the simple mean or average. Here the forecast is made by simply taking an average of all data:
Ft + 1 = ©At
n =
At + At − 1 + p + At − n n
where Ft+1 = forecast of demand for next period, t + 1 At = actual value for current period, t n = number of periods or data points to be averaged
This model is only good for a level data pattern. As the average becomes based on a larger and larger data set, the random variation and the forecasts become more stable. One of the advantages of this model is that only two historical pieces of information need to be carried: the mean itself and the number of observations on which the mean was based.
Simple mean or average The average of a set of data.
EXAMPLE 8.2 Forecasting with the Mean
New Tools Corporation is forecasting sales for its classic product, Handy-Wrench. Handy-Wrench sales have been steady, and the company uses a simple mean to forecast. Weekly sales over the past fi ve weeks are available. Use the mean to make a forecast for week 6.
Time Period (in weeks) Actual Sales Forecast
1 51
2 53
3 48
4 52
5 50
6 — 50.8
• Before You Begin: Remember that using the mean requires the averaging of all the available data.
• Solution: The basic equation for the mean is
Ft + 1 = ©At
n
F6 = 51 + 53 + 48 + 52 + 50
5
F6 = 50.8
Time Series Models • 277
EXAMPLE 8.3 Forecasting with the Simple Moving Average (Three-Period MA)
Sales forecasts for a product are made using a three-period moving average. Given the follow- ing sales fi gures for January, February, and March, make a forecast for April.
Month Actual Sales
January 200
February 300
March 200
• Before You Begin: Remember that to use a three-period moving average, you have to compute the average of the latest three observations. As new data become available, you drop off the oldest data, always averaging the latest three observations.
• Solution: To fi nd the forecast for April, we take an average of the last three observations:
Ft + 1 = ©At
n
FApril = AJanuary + AFebruary + AMarch
3 =
200 + 300 + 200 3
= 233.3
If the actual sales for April turn out to be 300, let’s make a forecast for May. Using a three- period moving average, we take an average of the latest three observations. Since we are now able to include actual sales for April, we drop the sales for January:
FMay = AFebruary + AMarch + AApril
3 =
300 + 200 + 300 3
= 266.9
Similarly, if the actual sales for May turn out to be 400, we can make a forecast for June:
FJune = AMarch + AApril + AMay
3 =
200 + 300 + 400 3
= 300.0
Then, if the actual sales for June turn out to be 500, the forecast for July is computed as
FJuly = AApril + AMay + AJune
3 =
300 + 400 + 500 3
= 400.0
Simple Moving Average The simple moving average (SMA) is similar to the simple average except that we are not taking an average of all the data, but are including only n of the most recent periods in the average. As new data become available, the oldest are dropped; the number of observations used to compute the average is kept constant. In this manner, the simple moving average “moves” through time. Like the simple mean, this model is good only for forecasting level data. The formula is as follows:
Ft + 1 = ©At
n =
At + At − 1 + p + At − n n
where Ft + 1 = forecast of demand for the next period, t + 1 At = actual value for current period, t n = number of periods or data points used in the moving average
The formula for the moving average is the same as that for the simple average, except that we use only a small portion of the data to compute the average. For example, if we used a moving average of n = 3, we would be averaging only the latest three periods. If we were using a moving average of n = 5, we would be averaging only the latest five periods.
Simple moving average (SMA) A forecasting method in which only n of the most recent observations are averaged.
278 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
Just like the mean, the moving average is good only for a level pattern. You can see this in Example 8.3. The data shown in the example are level in the first four periods. However, after the fourth period the data begin to show a trend. You can see that the forecasts made with the moving average also begin to show an upward trend. Do you see a problem with the forecasts?
The problem is that the forecasts are trailing behind the actual data. We say that they are “lagging” the data. This is what happens when you apply a model that is good only for a level pattern to data that have a trend. You will not obtain a good forecast.
EXAMPLE 8.4 Forecasts with the Simple Moving Average (Five-Period MA)
Using data from Example 8.3, make forecasts for the months of June, July, August, and September using a fi ve-period moving average.
• Before You Begin: In this problem we are going to compute the average of the last fi ve available observations. As we move through time and new data become available, we will drop the oldest data and add the most recent, always averaging the latest fi ve observations.
• Solution: Notice that we are now going to average the last fi ve available observations. Using a fi ve- period moving average, the forecasts for June, July, August, and September are computed as follows:
FJune = AJanuary + AFebruary + AMarch + AApril + AMay
5 =
200 + 300 + 200 + 300 + 400 5
FJune = 280
FJuly = AFebruary + AMarch + AApril + AMay + AJune
5 =
300 + 200 + 300 + 400 + 500 5
FJuly = 340
The other forecasts follow in a similar fashion. If actual sales for July and August turn out to be 600 and 650, respectively, then the respective forecasts for August and September are
FAugust = AMay + AJune + AJuly
3 =
400 + 500 + 600 3
= 500.0
FSeptember = AJune + AJuly + AAugust
3 =
500 + 600 + 650 3
= 583.3
Here is a summary of the forecasts we have made and the actual sales values:
Forecast Three-Period Month Actual Sales Moving Average
January 200 — February 300 — March 200 — April 300 233.3 May 400 266.9 June 500 300.0 July 600 400.0 August 650 500.0 September — 583.3
Time Series Models • 279
Comparing the three-period and five-period moving average forecasts, we can see that the three-period moving average forecasts are more responsive to the period-to-period changes in the actual data—they follow the data more closely. The reason is that the smaller the number of observations in the moving average, the more responsive the forecast is to changes in demand. However, the forecast is also more subject to the random changes in the data. If the data contain a lot of randomness, high responsiveness could lead to greater errors. On the other hand, the larger the number of observations in the moving average, the less responsive the forecast is to changes in the demand, but also to the randomness. These
FAugust = AMarch + AApril + AMay + AJune + AJuly
5 =
200 + 300 + 400 + 500 + 600 5
FAugust = 400
FSeptember = AApril + AMay + AJune + AJuly + AAugust
5 =
300 + 400 + 500 + 600 + 650 5
FSeptember = 490
Following is a summary of the forecasts and the actual sales values:
Forecast Five-Period Month Actual Sales Moving Average
January 200 February 300 March 200 April 300 May 400 June 500 280 July 600 340 August 650 400 September — 490
Examples 8.3, 8.4 Forecasting with Simple Moving Averages
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Ja nu
ar y
Fe br
ua ry
M ar
ch Ap
ril M
ay Ju
ne Ju ly
Au gu
st
Se pt
em be
r
S A
LE S V
O LU
M E
Actual 3-Period MA 5-Period MA
5-Period MA
3-Period MA
Actual Values
280 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
forecasts are more stable. One is not better than the other. Selection of the number of obser- vations in the moving average should be based on the characteristics of the data.
Weighted Moving Average In the simple moving average each observation is weighted equally. For example, in a three-period moving average each observation is weighted one- third. In a five-period moving average each observation is weighted one-fifth. Sometimes a manager wants to use a moving average but gives higher or lower weights to some obser- vations based on knowledge of the industry. This is called a weighted moving average. In a weighted moving average, each observation can be weighted differently provided that all the weights add up to 1.
Ft + 1 = ©Ct At = C1A1 + C2A2 + p + Ct At
where Ft + 1 = next period’s forecast Ct = weight placed on the actual value in period t
At = actual value in period t
Exponential Smoothing The exponential smoothing model is a forecasting model that uses a sophisticated weighted average procedure to obtain a forecast. Even though it is sophisticated in the way it works, it is easy to use and understand. To make a forecast for the next time period, you need three pieces of information:
1. Th e current period’s forecast,
2. Th e current period’s actual value
3. Th e value of a smoothing coeffi cient, α, which varies between 0 and 1 The equation for the forecast is quite simple:
Next period’s forecast = α (current period’s actual) + (1 − α) (current period’s forecast)
Weighted moving average A forecasting method in which n of the most recent observations are averaged and past observations may be weighted differently.
Exponential smoothing model Uses a sophisticated weighted average procedure to generate a forecast.
EXAMPLE 8.5 Forecasting with a Weighted Moving Average
A manager at Fit Well department store wants to forecast sales of swimsuits for August using a three-period weighted moving average. Sales for May, June, and July are as follows:
Month Actual Sales Forecast
May 400
June 500
July 600
The manager has decided to weight May (0.25), June (0.25), and July (0.50).
• Before You Begin: Remember that to compute a weighted moving average you need to multiply each observation by its corresponding weight. These values are then summed in order to get a weighted average.
• Solution: The forecast for August is computed as follows:
Ft + 1 = ©CtAt FAugust = (0.25) AMay + (0.25) AJune + (0.50) AJuly
= (0.25) 400 + (0.25) 500 + (0.50) 600
= 525
Time Series Models • 281
In mathematical terms:
Ft + 1 = αAt + (1 − α)Ft
where Ft + 1 = forecast of demand for next period, t + 1 At = actual value for current period, t Ft = forecast for current period, t α = smoothing coeffi cient
Exponential smoothing models are the most frequently used forecasting tech- niques and are available on almost all computerized forecasting software. These mod- els are widely used, particularly in operations management. They have been shown to produce accurate forecasts under many conditions, yet are relatively easy to use and understand.
Selecting α Note that depending on which value you select for α, you can place more weight on either the current period’s actual or the current period’s forecast. In this manner the forecast can depend more heavily either on what happened most recently or on the cur- rent period’s forecast. Values of α that are low—say, 0.1 or 0.2—generate forecasts that are very stable because the model does not place much weight on the current period’s actual demand. Values of α that are high, such as 0.7 or 0.8, place a lot of weight on the current period’s actual demand and can be influenced by random variations in the data. Thus, how α is selected is very important in getting a good forecast.
Starting the Forecasting Process with Exponential Smoothing One thing you may notice with exponential smoothing is that you need the current period’s actual and current period’s forecast to make a forecast for the next period. However, what if you are just starting the forecasting process and do not have a value for the current period’s forecast? There are many ways to handle this problem, but the most common is to use the naïve method to generate an initial forecast. Another option is to average the last few periods— say, the last three or four—just to get a starting point.
EXAMPLE 8.6 Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing
The Hot Tamale Mexican restaurant uses exponential smoothing to forecast monthly us- age of tabasco sauce. Its forecast for September was 200 bottles, whereas actual usage in September was 300 bottles. If the restaurant’s managers use an α of 0.70, what is their forecast for October?
• Before You Begin: In this problem you are to use the exponential smoothing equation to get a forecast. You have been given the three pieces of information you need: the current period’s forecast (200 bottles), the current period’s actual value (300 bottles), and the value for the smoothing coeffi cient α, 0.70.
• Solution: The general equation for exponential smoothing is
Ft + 1 = αAt + (1 − α)Ft FOctober = αASeptember + (1 − α)FSeptember
= (0.70) (300) + (0.30) 200
= 270 bottles
282 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
EXAMPLE 8.7 Comparing Forecasts with Different Values of α
To illustrate the differences between different values of α, let’s consider two series of forecasts for a data set. One set of forecasts was developed using exponential smoothing with α = 0.10, another with an α = 0.60.
Exponential Smoothing Forecasts
Time Period (t) Actual Demand α = 0.10 α = 0.60
1 50 — — 2 46 50 50 3 52 49.60 47.60 4 51 49.84 50.24 5 48 49.96 50.70 6 45 49.77 49.08 7 52 49.29 46.63 8 46 49.56 49.85 9 51 49.20 47.54 10 48 49.38 49.62
• Before You Begin: When using the exponential smoothing equation, always make sure you have the three pieces of information needed: the current period’s forecast, the current period’s actual value, and a value for the smoothing coeffi cient, α. This problem illustrates how you can begin the exponential smoothing process when you do not have initial forecast values.
• Solution: Notice that we used the naïve method to derive initial values of forecasts for period 2. Then to obtain forecasts for period 3, we used the exponential smoothing equation with different values of α. For an α = 0.10, the forecast for period 3 is computed as
F3 = (0.10)(46) + (0.90)(50) = 49.6
S A
LE S V
O LU
M E
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Actual Forecast with Alpha = 0.10 Forecast with Alpha = 0.60
TIME PERIOD
For an α = 0.60, the forecast for period 3 is computed as:
F3 = (0.60)(46) + (0.40)(50) = 47.6
The remaining forecasts are computed in the same manner. We can see from the graph that the forecasts with a lower value of α (0.10) have less variation than those with the higher value of α (0.60), indicating that they are more stable.
Time Series Models • 283
Forecasting Trend There are many ways to forecast trend patterns in data. Most of the models used for fore- casting trend are the same models used to forecast the level patterns, with an additional feature added to compensate for the lagging that would otherwise occur. Here we will look at two of the most common trend models.
Trend-Adjusted Exponential Smoothing Trend-adjusted exponential smoothing uses three equations. The first smooths out the level of the series, the second smooths out the trend, and the third generates a forecast by adding up the findings from the first two equations. Because we are using a second exponential smoothing equation to compute trend, we have two smoothing coefficients. In addition to α, which is used to smooth out the level of the series, we have a second coefficient, β, which is used to smooth out the trend of the series. Like α, β can theoretically vary between 0 and 1, though we tend to keep the value conservatively low, around 0.1 or 0.2.
Three steps must be followed to generate a forecast with trend:
STEP 1: Smoothing the Level of the Series
St = αAt + (1 − α) (St − 1 + Tt − 1 )
STEP 2: Smoothing the Trend
Tt = β(St − St − 1 ) + (1 − β)Tt − 1
STEP 3: Forecast Including Trend
FITt + 1 = St + Tt
where FITt + 1 = forecast including trend for next period, t + 1 St = exponentially smoothed average of the time series in period t Tt = exponentially smoothed trend of the time series in period t α = smoothing coeffi cient of the level β = smoothing coeffi cient of the trend
Note that the last step simply adds up the findings from the first two steps. Next we will look at an example of how this works.
Linear Trend Line Linear trend line is a time series technique that computes a forecast with trend by drawing a straight line through a set of data. This approach is a version of the linear regression technique, covered later in this chapter, and is useful for computing a
Trend-adjusted exponential smoothing Exponential smoothing model that is suited to data that exhibit a trend.
We have discussed the principles of forecasting, how to fore- cast, and different types of qualitative and quantitative fore- casting models. We have also learned about different types of patterns present in the data. You should understand that to obtain a good forecast the forecasting model should be matched to the patterns in the available data. Our example of the moving average shows what happens when the data show
a trend but the model selected is useful only for forecasting a level pattern.
All the quantitative models discussed so far are meant only for level data patterns. In the next section we turn to quantit- ative models that can be used for other data patterns, such as trend and seasonality. However, remember that the models already discussed are the foundation of forecasting.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
284 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
EXAMPLE 8.8 Forecasting with Trend-Adjusted Exponential Smoothing
Green Grow is a lawn care company that uses exponential smoothing with trend to forecast monthly usage of its lawn care products. At the end of July the company wishes to forecast sales for August. The trend through June has been 15 additional gallons of product sold per month. Average sales have been 57 gallons per month. The demand for July was 62 gallons. The company uses α = 0.20 and β = 0.10. Make a forecast including trend for the month of August.
• Before You Begin: When solving this type of problem, always begin by identifying the information that is given in the problem.
The information we have is
SJune = 57 gallons�month
TJune = 15 gallons�month
AJuly = 62 gallons
α = 0.20 β = 0.10
Next, use the three equations needed to generate a forecast including trend. For each equation we will substitute the appropriate values.
• Solution:
STEP 1: Smoothing the Level of the Series
St = αAt + (1 − α)(St − 1 + Tt − 1) SJuly = αAJuly + (1 − α)(SJune + TJune)
= (0.20)(62) + (0.80)(57 + 15)
= 70
STEP 2: Smoothing the Trend
Tt = β(St − St − 1) + (1 − β)Tt − 1 TJuly = β(SJuly − SJune) + (1 − β)TJune
= (0.1)(70 − 57) + (0.90)15
= 14.8
STEP 3: Forecast Including Trend
FITt + 1 = St + Tt FITAugust = SJuly + TJuly
= 70 + 14.8
84.8 gallons
forecast when data display a clear trend over time. The method is simple, easy to use, and easy to understand.
A linear trend line uses the following equation to generate a forecast:
Y = a + bX
where Y = forecast for period X X = the number of time periods from X = 0 a = value of Y at X = 0 (Y intercept) b = slope of the line
Time Series Models • 285
EXAMPLE 8.9 Forecasting with a Linear Trend Line
A manufacturer has plotted product sales over the past four weeks. Use a linear trend line to generate a forecast for week 5.
• Before You Begin: Remember to follow the four steps given in the text for generating a forecast using a linear trend line.
• Solution:
Weeks Sales X Y X2 XY
1 2,300 1 2,300
2 2,400 4 4,800
3 2,300 9 6,900
4 2,500 16 10,000
Totals 10 9,500 30 24,000
Y = 2375 X = 2.5
STEP 1: Compute parameter b:
b = ©XY − nXY ©X 2 − nX 2
= 24,000 − 4(2.5) (2375)
30 − 4(2.5)2 =
250 5
= 50
STEP 2: Compute parameter a:
a = Y − bX = 2375 − (50) (2.5) = 2250
STEP 3: Compute the linear trend line:
Y = a + bX
= 2250 + 50X
STEP 4: For the fifth week, the value of sales would be
Y = 2250 + 50(5) = 2500
The coefficients a and b are computed using the least-squares method, which minimizes the sum of the squared errors. Developing the equations for a and b can be complicated, so we will only provide the equations needed for computation. The steps for computing the forecast using a linear trend line are as follows:
STEP 1: Compute parameter b:
b = ©XY − nXY ©X 2 − nX 2
STEP 2: Compute parameter a:
a = Y − bX
STEP 3: Generate the linear trend line:
Y = a + bX
STEP 4: Generate a forecast (Y ) for the appropriate value of time (X )
286 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
4 5 6 7 8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34
A B C D E F G H Weeks (X) Sales (Y)
1 2300 2 2400 3 2300 4 2500
Slope Coefficient (b) 50.00 Intercept Coefficient (a) 2250.00
y = 50x + 2250
2200
2250
2300
2350
2400
2450
2500
2550
1 2 3 4 WEEK
S A
LE S (
$ T
H O
U S A
N D
S )
Actual Sales Linear Trend Line
B10 : =SLOPE(B5:B8,A5:A8)
B11 : =INTERCEPT(B5:B8,A5:A8)
Example 8.9 Linear Regression with Time as an Independent Variable
Forecasting Seasonality Recall that any regularly repeating pattern is a seasonal pattern. We are all familiar with quarterly and monthly seasonal patterns. Whether your university is on a quarter or semes- ter plan, you can see that enrollment varies between quarters or semesters in a fairly pre- dictable way. For example, enrollment is usually much higher in the fall than in the summer. Other examples of seasonality include sales of turkeys before Thanksgiving or ham before Easter, sales of greeting cards, hotel registrations, and sales of gardening tools.
The amount of seasonality is the extent to which actual values deviate from the aver- age or mean of the data. Here we will consider only multiplicative seasonality, in which the seasonality is expressed as a percentage of the average. The percentage by which the value for each season is above or below the mean is a seasonal index. For example, if enrollment for the fall semester at your university is 1.30 of the mean, the fall enrollment is 30 percent above the average. Similarly, if enrollment for the summer semester is 0.70 of the mean, then summer enrollment is 70 percent of the average.
Here we will show only the procedure for computing quarterly seasonality that lasts a year, though the same procedure can be used for any other type of seasonality. The proce- dure consists of the following steps:
STEP 1: Calculate the Average Demand for Each Quarter or “Season.” This is done by dividing the total annual demand by 4 (the number of seasons per year).
STEP 2: Compute a Seasonal Index for Every Season of Every Year for Which You Have Data. This is done by dividing the actual demand for each season by the average demand per season (computed in Step 1).
STEP 3: Calculate the Average Seasonal Index for Each Season. For each season, compute the average seasonal index by adding up the seasonal index values for that sea- son and dividing by the number of years.
Seasonal index Percentage amount by which data for each season are above or below the mean.
Time Series Models • 287
EXAMPLE 8.10 Forecasting Seasonality
U-R-Smart University wants to develop forecasts for next year’s quarterly enrollment. It has col- lected quarterly enrollments for the past two years. It has also forecast total annual enrollment for next year to be 90,000 students. What is the forecast for each quarter of next year?
Enrollment (in thousands)
Quarter Year 1 Year 2
Fall 24 26
Winter 23 22
Spring 19 19
Summer 14 17
Total 80 84
• Before You Begin: You can see that the data exhibit a seasonal pattern, with each quarter representing a “season.” To compute the forecast for each quarter of next year, follow the fi ve steps given in the text on forecasting with seasonality.
• Solution:
STEP 1: Calculate the Average Demand for Each Quarter or “Season.” We do this by dividing the total annual demand for each year by 4:
Year 1: 80�4 = 20
Year 2: 84�4 = 21
STEP 2: Compute a Seasonal Index for Every Season of Every Year for Which You Have Data. To do this we divide the actual demand for each season by the average demand per season.
Enrollment (in thousands)
Quarter Year 1 Year 2
Fall 24/20 = 1.20 26/21 = 1.238 Winter 23/20 = 1.15 22/21 = 1.048 Spring 19/20 = 0.95 19/21 = 0.905 Summer 14/20 = 0.70 17/21 = 0.810
STEP 3: Calculate the Average Seasonal Index for Each Season. You can see that the seasonal indexes vary from year to year for the same season. The simplest way to handle this is to compute an average index, as follows:
Quarter Average Seasonal Index
Fall (1.2 + 1.238)/2 = 1.219 Winter (1.15 + 1.048)/2 = 1.099 Spring (0.95 + 0.905)/2 = 0.928 Summer (0.70 + 0.810)/2 = 0.755
STEP 4: Calculate the Average Demand per Season for Next Year. We are told that the university forecast annual enrollment for the next year to be 90,000 students. The average demand per season, or quarter, is
90,000�4 = 22,500
STEP 4: Calculate the Average Demand per Season for Next Year. This could be done by using any of the methods used to compute annual demand. Then we would divide that by the number of seasons to determine the average demand per season for next year.
STEP 5: Multiply Next Year’s Average Seasonal Demand by Each Seasonal Index. This will produce a forecast for each season of next year.
288 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
STEP 5: Multiply Next Year’s Average Seasonal Demand by Each Seasonal Index. This last step will give us the forecast for each quarter of next year:
Quarter Forecast (Students)
Fall 22,500(1.219) = 27,428 Winter 22,500(1.099) = 24,728 Spring 22,500(0.928) = 20,880 Summer 22,500(0.755) = 16,988
This can also be computed using a spreadsheet, as shown below. Notice slight differences in fi nal numbers due to rounding.
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
A B C D E F
Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Fall 24 26
Winter 23 22 Spring 19 19
Summer 14 17 Total Demand 80 84
Average Demand per Quarter 20 21
Calculate Seasonal Indices
Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Average Fall 1.200 1.238 1.219
Winter 1.150 1.048 1.099 Spring 0.950 0.905 0.927
Summer 0.700 0.810 0.755
Calculate Forecast for Next Year Estimated annual enrollment 90000 Average per Quarter 22500
Expected Quarterly Enrollment, Based on Historical Seasonal Indices Quarter Forecast
Fall 27429 Winter 24723 Spring 20866
Summer 16982
Enrollment (thousands)
Individual
B16: =B6/B$11 (copied down)
C16: =C6/C$11 (copied down)
D16: =(B16+C16)/2 (copied down)
C10: =SUM(C6:C9)
C11: =C10/4
B23: =B22/4
B27: =B$23*D16 (copied down)
LINKSTO PRACTICE
THE SKI INDUSTRY FORECAST
S e
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Forecasting demand at ski resorts such as Snowshoe, Holiday Valley, and Seven Springs can be very challenging because data are highly seasonal. Multiple seasonal factors need to be considered, including the month of the year, day of the week, and ho1idays and long weekends, in addition to considering the weather forecast. Historical data are used to develop the indexes for these seasons. In addition, the ski industry has been experienc- ing an upward trend over the past years, par- ticularly with the growth of snow boarding. A
simple way to make forecasts in this industry is to forecast the trend and then make adjust- ments based on developed seasonal indexes.
Causal Models • 289
Causal Models Recall that causal, or associative, models assume that the variable we are trying to forecast is somehow related to other variables in the environment. The forecasting challenge is to discover the relationships between the variable of interest and these other variables. These relationships, which can be very complex, take the form of a mathematical model, which is used to forecast future values of the variable of interest. Some of the best-known causal models are regression models. In this section we look at linear and multiple regression and how they are used in forecasting.
Linear Regression In linear regression the variable being forecast, called the dependent variable, is related to some other variable, called the independent variable, in a linear (or straight-line) way. Figure 8.2 shows how a linear regression line relates to the data. You can see that the dependent variable is linearly related to the independent variable. The relationship between two variables is the equation of a straight line:
Y = a + bX
where Y = dependent variable X = independent variable a = Y intercept of the line b = slope of the line
Many straight lines could be drawn through the data. Linear regression selects param- eters a and b, which define a straight line that minimizes the sum of the squared errors, or deviations from the line. This is called the least-squares straight line. Developing the values for a and b can be complicated, so we simply give their computation here. You can assume that computing a and b in this way will produce a straight line through the data
Linear regression Procedure that models a straight-line relationship between two variables.
FIGURE 8.2 Linear regression line fit to historical data
}
Linear Regression Equation: Y = a + bX
Actual Values
Error (difference between actual value and regression equation)
D e
p e
n d
e n
t V
a ri
a b
le Y
Independent Variable X
290 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
that minimizes the sum of the squared errors. The steps in computing the linear regression equation are as follows:
STEP 1: Compute parameter b:
b = ©XY − nXY ©X 2 − nX 2
where Y = average of the Y values X = average of the X values n = number of data points
We compute parameter b first because that calculation is needed to compute para- meter a.
STEP 2: Compute parameter a:
a = Y − bX
STEP 3: Substitute these values to obtain the linear regression equation:
Y = a + bX
STEP 4: To make a forecast for the dependent variable (Y), substitute the appropriate value for the independent variable (X).
EXAMPLE 8.11 Forecasting with Linear Regression
A maker of personalized golf shirts has been tracking the relationship between sales and advert- ising dollars over the past four years. The results are as follows:
Sales Dollars Advertising Dollars (in thousands) (in thousands)
130 32
151 52
150 50
158 55
Use linear regression to fi nd out what sales would be if the company invested $53,000 in advertising for next year.
• Before You Begin: When using linear regression, always identify the independent and dependent variables. Remember that the dependent variable is the one you are trying to forecast.
• Solution: In this example sales are the dependent variable (Y ) and advertising dollars are the independent variable (X ). We assume that there is a relationship between these two variables. To compute the linear regression equation, we set up the following table of information:
Y X XY X2 Y2
130 32 4160 1024 16,900
151 52 7852 2704 22,801
150 50 7500 2500 22,500
158 55 8690 3025 24,964
Total 589 189 28,202 9,253 87,165
Causal Models • 291
X = 47.25 Y = 147.25
Now let’s follow the steps necessary for computing a linear regression equation:
STEP 1: Compute parameter b:
b = ©XY − nXY ©X 2 − nX 2
= 28,202 − 4(47.25) (147.25)
9,253 − 4(47.25)2 =
371.75 322.75
= 1.15
STEP 2: Compute parameter a:
a = Y − bX = 147.25 − (1.15) (47.25) = 92.83
STEP 3: Compute the linear regression equation:
Y = a + bX
= 92.83 + 1.15X
STEP 4: Now that we have the equation, we can compute the value of Y for any value of X. To compute the value of sales when advertising dollars are $53,000, we can substitute that number for X:
Y = 92.83 + 1.15(53) = $153.87 (in thousands)
This can also be computed using a spreadsheet, as shown here.
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33
A B C D E F G H
Year
Advertising Dollars
(thousands) Sales
(thousands) 1 32 130 2 52 151 3 50 150 4 55 158
Average 47.25 147.25
Slope Coefficient (b) 1.15 Intercept Coefficient (a) 92.83
y = 1.15 x + 92.83
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
30 40 50 60
ADVERTISING DOLLARS ($ THOUSANDS)
C9: =AVERAGE(C5:C8)
C11 : =SLOPE(C5:C8,B5:B8)
C12 : =INTERCEPT(C5:C8,B5:B8)
S A
LE S (
$ T
H O
U S A
N D
S )
Example 8.11 Sales (thousands) vs Advertising (thousands)
292 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
Correlation Coefficient When performing linear regression, it is helpful to compute the correlation coefficient, which measures the direction and strength of the linear relation- ship between the independent and dependent variables. The correlation coefficient is com- puted using the following equation:
r = n(©XY ) − (©X ) (©Y )
3[n(©X 2 ) − (©X) 2] ∙ 33n(©Y 2 ) − (©Y ) 24 Although the equation seems complicated, it is easy to compute and the values of r can be easily interpreted. Values of r range between −1 and +1 and have the following meanings:
r = +1: There is a perfect positive linear relationship between the two variables. For every 1-unit increase in the independent variable, there is a 1-unit increase in the dependent variable.
r = −1: There is a perfect negative linear relationship between the two variables. Just because the relationship is negative does not mean that there is no relationship. It is still a linear relationship except that it is negative; the two variables move in opposite directions. A unit increase in the independent variable is accompanied by a unit decrease in the dependent variable.
r = 0: There is no linear relationship between the variables.
Obviously, the closer the value of r is to 1.00 or −1.00, the stronger is the linear rela- tionship between the two variables. If we square the correlation coefficient, r 2, we can determine how well the independent variable explains changes in the dependent vari- able. This statistic shows how well the regression line “fits” the data. The higher the r, the better. A high r 2—say, 0.80 or higher—would indicate that the independent variable can be used effectively as a predictor of the dependent variable.
Correlation coeffi cient Statistic that measures the direction and strength of the linear relationship between two variables.
EXAMPLE 8.12 Computing the Correlation Coefficient
Using the information from Example 8.11, compute the correlation coeffi cient and evaluate the strength of the linear relationship between sales and advertising dollars.
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, compute the correlation coeffi cient using the formula from the text. Remember that the closer the computed value is to 1, the stronger the relationship between the two variables.
• Solution: Given our information, we can compute the correlation coeffi cient as follows:
r = n(©XY ) − (©X) (©Y )
3[n(©X 2) − (©X )2] ∙ 3[n(©Y 2) − (©Y )2] =
4(28,202) − (189) (589)
3[4(9253) − (189)2] ∙ 3[4(87,165) − (589)2] = 0.992 The computed correlation coefficient is close to 1, which means that there is a strong positive linear relationship between the two variables. Also, if we compute r 2, we get 0.984, which means that 98.4 percent of the variability in sales is explained by advert- ising dollars.
Measuring Forecast Accuracy • 293
Multiple Regression Multiple regression is an extension of linear regression. However, unlike in linear regression where the dependent variable is related to one independent variable, multiple regression develops a relationship between a dependent variable and multiple independent variables. The general formula for multiple regression is as follows:
Y = B0 + B1X1 + B2X2 + p + BKXK where Y = dependent variable
B0 = the Y intercept B1 . . . BK = coeffi cients that represent the infl uence of the independent variables on the
dependent variable X1 . . . XK = independent variables
For example, the dependent variable might be sales and the independent variables might be number of sales representatives, number of store locations, area population, and per capita income.
Multiple regression is a powerful tool for forecasting and should be used when multi- ple factors influence the variable that is being forecast. However, multiple regression does significantly increase data and computational requirements needed for forecasting. Fortu- nately, most standard statistical software programs have multiple regression capabilities.
Measuring Forecast Accuracy One of the basic principles of forecasting is that forecasts are rarely perfect. However, how does a manager know how much a forecast can be off the mark and still be reasonable? One of the most important criteria for choosing a forecasting model is its accuracy. Also, data can change over time, and a model that once provided good results may no longer be adequate. The model’s accuracy can be assessed only if forecast performance is measured over time. For all these reasons it is important to track model performance over time, which involves monitoring forecast errors.
Forecast Accuracy Measures Forecast error is the difference between the forecast and actual value for a given period, or
Et = At − Ft
where Et = forecast error for period t At = actual value for period t Ft = forecast for period t
However, error for one time period does not tell us very much. We need to measure forecast accuracy over time. Two of the most commonly used error measures are the mean absolute deviation (MAD) and the mean squared error (MSE). MAD is the average of the sum of the absolute errors:
MAD = ©|actual − forecast|
n
MSE is the average of the squared error:
MSE = ©(actual − forecast)2
n
Forecast error Difference between forecast and actual value for a given period.
Mean absolute deviation (MAD) Measure of forecast error that computes error as the average of the sum of the absolute errors.
Mean squared error (MSE) Measure of forecast error that computes error as the average of the squared error.
294 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
One of the advantages of MAD is that it is based on absolute values. Consequently, the errors of opposite signs do not cancel each other out when they are added. We sum the errors regardless of sign and obtain a measure of the average error. If we are com- paring different forecasting methods, we can then select the method with the lowest MAD.
MSE has an additional advantage: due to the squaring of the error term, large errors tend to be magnified. Consequently, MSE places a higher penalty on large errors. This can be a useful error measure in environments in which large errors are particularly destructive. For example, a blood bank forecasts the demand for blood. Because forecasts are rarely perfect, there will be errors. However, in this environment a large error could be very damaging. Using MSE as an error measure would highlight any large errors in the blood bank’s forecast. As with MAD, when comparing the forecast performance of different methods we would select the method with the lowest MSE.
To evaluate forecast performance, you need to use only one forecast error measure. How- ever, a good forecaster learns to rely on multiple methods to evaluate forecast performance. Example 8.13 illustrates the use of MAD and MSE.
EXAMPLE 8.13 Measuring Forecast Accuracy
Standard Parts Corporation is comparing the accuracy of two methods that it has used to fore- cast sales of its popular valve. Forecasts using method A and method B are shown against the actual values for January through May. Which method provided better forecast accuracy?
• Before You Begin: In this problem you are to compare the forecast accuracy of two forecasting methods. Since a good forecaster relies on multiple error measures, compute both the MAD and MSE using the formulas given in the text. The method that gives the lowest MAD and MSE provides the better accuracy.
• Solution:
Actual Method A Method B Month Sales Forecast Error Error Error2 Forecast Error Error Error2
January 30 28 2 2 4 30 0 0 0
February 26 25 1 1 1 28 −2 2 4 March 32 32 0 0 0 36 −4 4 16 April 29 30 −1 1 1 30 −1 1 1 May 31 30 1 1 1 28 3 3 9
Total 3 5 7 −4 10 30
Accuracy for method A:
MAD = ©|actual − forecast|
n =
5 5
= 1
MSE = ©(actual − forecast)2
n =
7 5
= 1.4
Accuracy for method B:
MAD = ©|actual − forecast|
n =
10 5
= 2
MSE = ©(actual − forecast)2
n =
30 5
= 6
Measuring Forecast Accuracy • 295
Tracking Signal When there is a difference between forecast and actual values, one problem is to iden- tify whether the difference is caused by random variation or is due to a bias in the forecast. Forecast bias is a persistent tendency for a forecast to be over or under the actual value of the data. We cannot do anything about random variation, but bias can be corrected.
One way to control for forecast bias is to use a tracking signal. A tracking signal is a tool used to monitor the quality of the forecast. It is computed as the ratio of the algebraic sum of the forecast errors divided by MAD:
Tracking signal = algebraic sum of forecast errors
MAD
or
Tracking signal = ©(actual − forecast)
MAD
As the forecast errors are summed over time, they can indicate whether there is a bias in the forecast. To monitor forecast accuracy, the values of the tracking signal are compared against predetermined limits. These limits are usually based on judgment and experience and can range from ±3 to ±8. In this chapter we will use the limits of ±4, which compare to limits of 3 standard deviations. If errors fall outside these limits, the forecast should be reviewed.
Forecast bias A persistent tendency for a forecast to be over or under the actual value of the data.
Tracking signal Tool used to monitor the quality of a forecast.
Of the two methods, method A produced a lower MAD and a lower MSE, which means that it provides better forecast accuracy. Note that the magnitude of difference in values is greater for MSE than for MAD. Recall that MSE magnifi es large errors through the squaring process. For the month of March, method B had a magnitude of error that was much larger than for other periods, causing MSE to be high. This can also be computed using a spread- sheet, as shown next.
4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
A B C D E F G H I J
Month Actual Sales Forecast Error
Absolute Error Error2 Forecast Error
Absolute Error Error2
January 30 28 2 2 4 30 0 0 0 February 26 25 1 1 1 28 –2 2 4 March 32 32 0 0 0 36 –4 4 16 April 29 30 –1 1 1 30 –1 1 1 May 31 30 1 1 1 28 3 3 9 Totals 3 5 7 –4 10 30
MAD = 1.0 MAD = 2.0 MSE = 1.4 MSE = 6.0
Key Formulas (similar formulas for method B) D6 =$B6-C6 (copied down) E6 =ABS(D6) (copied down) F6 =D6^2 (copied down) E13 =AVERAGE(E6:E10) E14 =AVERAGE(F6:F10)
Method A Method B
296 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
Selecting The Right Forecasting Model A number of factors influence the selection of a forecasting model. They include the following:
1. Amount and type of available data. Quantitative forecasting models require certain types of data. If there are not enough data in quantifi able form, it may be necessary to use a qualitative forecasting model. Also, diff erent quantitative models require diff erent amounts of data. Exponential smoothing requires a small amount of historical data, whereas linear regression requires considerably more. Th e amount and type of data available play a large role in the type of model that can be considered.
2. Degree of accuracy required. Th e type of model selected is related to the degree of accuracy required. Some situations require only rough forecast estimates, whereas others require precise accuracy. Often, the greater the degree of accuracy required, the higher is the cost of the forecasting process. Th is is because increasing accuracy means increasing the costs of collecting and processing data, as well as the cost of the computer software required. A simpler and less costly forecasting model may be better overall than one that is very sophisticated but expensive.
3. Length of forecast horizon. Some forecasting models are better suited to short forecast horizons, whereas others are better for long horizons. It is very important to select the correct model for the forecast horizon being used. For example, a manufacturer
EXAMPLE 8.14 Developing a Tracking Signal
A company uses a tracking signal with limits of ±4 to decide whether a forecast should be reviewed. Compute the tracking signal given the following historical information and decide when the forecast should be reviewed. The MAD for this item was computed as 2.
Cumulative Tracking Weeks Actual Forecast Deviation Deviation Signal
4 2
1 8 10
2 11 10
3 12 10
4 14 10
• Before You Begin: In this problem you have to compute the tracking signal for weeks 1 through 4 and determine whether it exceeds the set limit of ±4. Remember that the tracking signal is the sum of the forecast errors (the cumulative deviation) divided by the MAD. In this problem MAD has been computed as 2. You need to compute the cumulative deviation for each period and divide by the MAD.
• Solution: Cumulative Tracking Weeks Actual Forecast Deviation Deviation Signal
4 2
1 8 10 –2 2 1
2 11 10 1 3 1.5
3 12 10 2 5 2.5
4 14 10 4 9 4.5
The forecast should be reviewed in week 4 because the tracking signal has exceeded +4.
Selecting The Right Forecasting Model • 297
that wishes to forecast sales of a product for the next three months will use a very diff erent forecasting model than an electric utility that wishes to forecast demand for electricity over the next twenty-fi ve years.
4. Data patterns present. It is very important to identify the patterns in the data and select the appropriate model. For example, lagging can occur when a forecasting model meant for a level pattern is applied to data with a trend.
Forecasting Software Today much commercial forecasting is performed using computer software. Many software packages can be used for forecasting. Some can handle thousands of variables and manip- ulate huge databases. Others specialize in one forecasting model. Consequently, it may be difficult to select the right forecasting software. Most forecasting software packages fall into one of three categories: (1) spreadsheets, (2) statistical packages, and (3) specialty forecast- ing packages. In this section we look at the differences among these categories. Then we present some guidelines for selecting a software package for forecasting.
Spreadsheets Spreadsheets such as Microsoft Excel® are prevalent in business, and most people are familiar with them. They provide basic forecast capability, such as simple expo- nential smoothing and regression. Also, simple forecasting programs can be written very quickly for most spreadsheet programs. However, the disadvantage of using spreadsheets for forecasting is that they do not have the capability for statistical analysis of forecast data. As we have seen, proper forecasting requires much data analysis. This involves analyzing the data for patterns, studying relationships among variables, monitoring forecast errors, and evaluating the performance of different forecasting models. Unfortunately, spreadsheets do not offer this capability as readily as packages designed specifically for forecasting.
Statistical Packages Statistical software includes packages designed primarily for statis- tical analysis, such as SPSS, SAS, NCSS, and Minitab. Almost all of these packages also offer forecasting capabilities, as well as extensive data analysis capability. There are large differ- ences among statistical packages, particularly between those versions for mainframe versus those for microcomputers. Overall, these packages offer large capability and a variety of options. However, their many features can be overwhelming for someone interested only in forecasting. Statistical software packages are best for a user who seeks many statistical and graphical capabilities in addition to forecasting features.
Specialty Forecasting Packages Specialized forecasting software is specifically intended for forecasting use. These packages often provide an extensive range of forecasting capability, though they may not offer large statistical analysis capability. Also, some special- ize in forecasting in a particular industry segment, such as retail or healthcare or manufac- turing, offering features unique to that industry. Some of these packages offer a wide range of forecasting models, whereas others specialize in a particular model category. Forecasters who need extensive statistical analysis capability may need to use a statistical package in addition to the forecasting package.
Guidelines for Selecting Forecasting Software There are many forecasting soft- ware packages to choose from, and the process can be overwhelming. Following are some guidelines for selecting the right package:1
1. Does the package have the facilities you want? Th e fi rst question to ask is whether the forecasting methods you are considering using are available in the package. Other
1S. Makridakis, S. Wheelwright, and R. Hyndman, Forecasting Methods and Applications, 3rd ed. (New York:
John Wiley & Sons, 1998).
298 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
issues to consider are the software’s graphics capabilities, data management, and reporting facilities. You need to consider how important these are given the purpose of the forecasts you will be generating.
2. What platform is the package available for? You obviously need to make sure that the software is available for the platform you are using. Also, it may be necessary to consider the availability for multiple platforms, depending on who will use the software and whether there will be transferring of fi les.
3. How easy is the package to learn and use? Some packages off er many capabilities but may be hard to use. Generally, the more comprehensive the array of capabilities, the more diffi cult the package is to use. Make sure that you can master the software. Also check the ease of importing and exporting data.
4. Is it possible to implement new methods? Often forecasters prefer to modify existing methods to fit their particular needs. Many forecasting packages allow the addition of new models or the modification of existing ones through a programming language.
5. Do you require interactive or repetitive forecasting? In many operations management situations we need to make forecasts for hundreds of items on a regular basis, such as monthly or quarterly. For these situations it is very useful to have a “batch” forecasting capability. Th is is not necessary, however, for forecasts that are generated interactively with the forecaster.
6. Do you have very large data sets? Almost all packages have a limit on how many variables and how many observations can be processed. Sometimes very powerful forecasting packages can handle only relatively small data sets. Make sure the package you purchase is capable of processing the data you need.
7. Is there any local support? Make sure there is ample documentation and good technical support, and check for any other local support that may be available. Remember that all packages can encounter glitches. A number of forecasting vendors off er seminars, and there are often courses that can be taken for the more popular methods, such as SAS and SPSS.
8. Does the package give the right answers? Most people assume that a computer package will generate correct results. However, this is not always the case. Th ere are small diff erences in output between diff erent packages due to diff erences in the algorithms used for computing. Some diff erences can result from actual errors in the programs, especially when large data sets are used. One recommendation is to compare output from the software against published results or against output from another package.
Another factor to consider is the cost of the package relative to the importance of its use. Some packages are very expensive and comprehensive, while others are less expen- sive. Evaluate the use of the forecasts generated and their importance in the manage- rial situation before purchasing a highly expensive package. Finally, you need to consider compatibility with existing software, especially for other operations management applica- tions such as scheduling and inventory control. The output from forecasting usually feeds into these systems, so you need to make sure these systems can communicate with one another.
Predictive Analytics and Forecasting A new approach to forecasting is called predictive analytics. Predictive analytics uses a variety of techniques—such as statistics, modeling, and data mining—to analyze cur- rent and historical facts to make predictions about the future. This is one of the most significant aspects of the use of big data—a development we discussed in Chapter 1. It
Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) • 299
is the ability to foresee events before they happen by sensing small changes over time. For example, IBM’s Watson computer uses an algorithm to predict best medical treat- ments. Similarly, UPS uses analytics to predict vehicle breakdowns. By placing sensors on machinery, motors, or infrastructure like bridges, companies can monitor the data pat- terns they give off, such as heat, vibration, stress, and sound. With today’s large amounts of data, these sensors can detect changes that may indicate looming problems ahead— essentially forecasting a problem.
Things do not break down all at once. There is gradual wear and tear over time. In the past, our technology, sensors, and analytics were not sophisticated enough to detect these changes. Today, armed with sensor data, correlation analysis, and similar meth- ods, companies can identify the specific patterns that typically crop up before something breaks. This may be the sound of a motor, excessive heat from an engine, or vibration from a bridge. In health care, it may be changes in a patient’s vitals before the onset of disease. Google is famous for identifying location and propagation of the flu by simply tracking the volume and type of queries in its search engines. By applying the very same methods we discussed in this chapter on large data sets, companies can now gain new predictive capabilities.
Combining Forecasting One approach to forecasting that has been shown to result in improved forecast accuracy is to combine forecasts from two or more different forecasting methods. Studies have shown that combining forecasts can lead to forecast accuracy that is better than that of the individ- ual forecasts. The forecasting methods that are combined should be different and can even be based on different information or data.
One of the simplest ways to combine is to use a simple average of the individual fore- casts. Even though there are more sophisticated ways of combining, a simple average has been shown to be very effective in improving forecast accuracy.
The idea of relying on different types of forecasting methods and com- bining their results to get a final fore- cast has even been used by weather forecasters. Weather forecasting can be challenging, and many factors need to be considered, such as long-range trends and current weather fronts. Weather forecasters have been able to improve their forecast accuracy by combining the results of forecasts made at different time intervals. For example, a weather forecast for the upcoming weekend may be formulated by combining computer-generated forecasts made on the preceding Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday. This method is called “ensemble forecasting” and has proven to be very successful.
Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR)
Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) is a collaborative process between two trading partners that establishes formal guidelines for joint forecasting and planning. The premise behind CPFR is that companies can be more successful if they join
LINKSTO PRACTICE
COMBINING METHODS IN WEATHER FORECASTING
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300 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
forces to bring value to their customers, share risks of the marketplace, and improve their performances.
In previous chapters we learned about the benefits that can be attained by sharing infor- mation with suppliers and developing long-term relationships. CPFR is a formal way of achieving this. By implementing CPFR, trading partners jointly set forecasts, plan produc- tion, replenish inventories, and evaluate their success in the marketplace. The most com- plete form of CPFR utilizes a nine-step process:
1. Establish collaborative relationships. Buyers and sellers formally establish their relationship, including expectations and performance measures. Th is is usually reevaluated annually.
2. Create a joint business plan. Buyers and sellers develop a joint business plan.
3. Create a sales forecast. Sales forecasts are generated based on available data. Th is is usually done monthly or weekly.
4. Identify exceptions for sales forecasts. Items that are exceptions to the sales forecast are identifi ed.
5. Resolve/collaborate on exceptions to sales forecasts. Buyers and sellers jointly investigate exceptions by analyzing shared data.
6. Create order forecast. An order forecast is generated that supports the shared sales forecast and joint business plan.
7. Identify exceptions for order forecast. Buyers and sellers jointly identify which items are exceptions to the order forecast.
8. Resolve/collaborate on exceptions to order forecast. Exceptions are identifi ed and resolved by analyzing shared data.
9. Generate order. Usually performed weekly or daily.
Most of the outlined steps are performed on a weekly or monthly basis, and the agree- ment between parties is evaluated annually. You can see that a large amount of time is spent jointly identifying and reconciling exceptions, with the focus on supporting the jointly set business plan. Also, note that CPFR is an iterative process. That means that it is done over and over again.
CPFR has contributed to the success of many companies, including Wal-Mart, Target, Black & Decker, and Ace Hardware. The German-based manufacturer of household cleaners and home care products, Henkel AG & Co. KgaA, was able to significantly improve sales forecasts and reduce error rates in just six months by implementing CPFR.
Forecasting Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Forecasts impact not only other business functions but all other operations decisions. Operations managers make many forecasts, such as the expected demand for a com- pany’s products. These forecasts are then used to determine product designs that are expected to sell (Chapter 2), the quantity of product to produce (Chapters 5 and 6), and the amount of supplies and materials that are needed (Chapter 12). Also, a company uses forecasts to determine future space requirements (Chapter 10), capacity and location needs (Chapter 9), and the amount of labor needed (Chapter 11). Forecasts drive strate- gic operations decisions, such as choice of competitive priorities, changes in processes, and large technology purchases (Chapter 3). Forecast decisions also serve as the basis for
tactical planning, such as developing worker schedules (Chapter 11). Virtually all opera- tions management decisions are based on a forecast of the future.
Forecasting Across the Organization Forecasting is an excellent example of an activity that is critical to the management of all functional areas within a company. In business organizations, forecasts are made in virtually every function and at every organizational level. Budgets are set, resources allocated, and schedules made based on forecasts. Without a forecast of the future, a company would not be able to make any plans, including day-to-day and long-range plans. In this section we look at how forecasting affects some of the other functions of an organization.
Marketing relies heavily on forecasting tools to generate forecasts of demand and future sales. However, the marketing department also needs to forecast sizes of markets, new com- petition, future trends, and changes in consumer preferences. Most of the forecasting meth- ods discussed in this chapter are used by marketing. Marketing often works in conjunction with operations to assess future demands.
Finance uses the tools of forecasting to predict stock prices, financial performance, cap- ital investment needs, and investment portfolio returns. The accuracy of demand forecasts, in turn, affects the ability of finance to plan future cash flow and financial needs.
Information systems play an important role in the forecasting process. Today’s fore- casting requires sharing of information and databases not only within a business but also between business entities. Often companies share their forecasts or demand information with their suppliers. These capabilities would not be possible without an up-to-date infor- mation system.
Human resources relies on forecasting to determine future hiring requirements. In addition, forecasts are made of the job market, labor skill availability, future wages and com- pensation, hiring and layoff costs, and training costs. In order to recruit proper talent, it is necessary to forecast labor needs and availability.
Economics relies on forecasting to predict the duration of business cycles, economic turning points, and general economic conditions that affect business. Whenever a plan of action is required, that plan is based on some anticipation of the future—a forecast. Whether in business, industry, government, or in other fields such as medicine, engineering, and science, proper planning for the future starts with a good forecast.
MKT
FIN
MIS
HRM
A ll entities of a supply chain are working to fulfi ll fi nal cus-tomer demands. The forecast of demand is critical, as it affects all the plans made by each company in the supply chain. When entities of the supply chain make their forecasts independent of one another, they each have their own separ- ate forecast of demand. The consequences of this are a mis- match between supply and demand because each company is working to fulfi ll a different level of demand. Consider that Dell starts its planning process with a forecast of future demand to determine the amount of components it needs to order. At the
same time, Intel, which supplies Dell with microprocessors, needs to determine its production and inventory schedules. If Dell and Intel made their forecasts separately, their forecasts would be different and Intel would not be able to supply the exact amounts Dell needs. In contrast, when there is collabor- ation between suppliers and manufacturers in generating the forecast, all entities are responding to the same level tof de- mand. A good example of this is the implementation of Col- laborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR), which we discussed earlier in the chapter •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) • 301
302 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
P lanning for any event requires a forecast of the future. In sustainability, this includes forecasting future availability of scarce resources, pollution trends and future levels of pollut- ants, catastrophic global events, innovations that will impact sustainability practices, even issues of climate change. For example, numerous forecasting techniques are used to scientifi cally predict the effects of climate change. These forecasts impact the plans that are made by policymakers and organizations, and how money and resources are allocated to mitigate risks. These forecasts can have an enormous impact on prepared- ness in case these events materialize. When these events do occur, such as the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, forecasts are needed to estimate the resources needed to be brought to the site to effectively address the problem, the duration of the problem, and the impact on the affected region. These plans are all based on forecasts and they require decisions regarding how best to manage resources in their respective supply chains.
Consider breakthrough innovations in sustainability that can change the way we do business. An example might be
PepsiCo’s development of a plastic bottle made exclusively from recycled material. We may want to forecast the likelihood of success for this new product and the timing of it reaching the market, as this would signifi cantly alter sustainability prac- tices. Companies in the plastics industry would be interested in that forecast to prepare for such a change.
Similarly, consider pending legislation that may change emission standards in an industry. Forecasting the new stand- ard and the likelihood of it passing would be critical for mem- bers in that industry, as it would enable them to prepare and design new products accordingly.
As you can see, forecasting is critical to sustainability, as it lets us peek into the future. It is especially important in pre- dicting energy trends, availability of resources, technological innovation, population growth and the economy, and identi- fying driving forces that will shape change. Forecasting these issues of sustainability, using the very techniques we discuss in this chapter, enables companies to be better prepared for the future. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Chapter Highlights 1 Three basic principles of forecasting are: forecasts are rarely
perfect; forecasts are more accurate for groups or families of items rather than for individual items; and forecasts are more accurate for shorter than longer time horizons.
2 The forecasting process involves five steps: decide what to forecast; evaluate and analyze appropriate data; select and test a forecasting model; generate the forecast; and monitor forecast accuracy.
3 Forecasting methods can be classified into two groups: qualitative and quantitative. Qualitative forecasting meth- ods generate a forecast based on the subjective opinion of the forecaster. Some examples of qualitative methods include executive opinion, market research, and the Delphi method. Quantitative forecasting methods are based on mathematical modeling. They can be divided into two categories: time series models and causal models.
4 Time series models are based on the assumption that all the information needed for forecasting is contained in the time series of data.
· Th ere are four basic patterns of data: level or horizon- tal, trend, seasonality, and cycles. In addition, data usually contain random variation. Some forecast- ing models that can be used to forecast the level of a time series are naïve, simple mean, simple moving average, weighted moving average, and exponential smoothing. Separate models are used to forecast
trend, such as trend-adjusted exponential smooth- ing. Forecasting seasonality requires a procedure in which we compute a seasonal index, the percentage by which each season is above or below the mean.
5 Causal models assume that the variable being forecast is related to other variables in the environment.
· A simple causal model is linear regression, in which a straight-line relationship is modeled between the variable we are forecasting and another variable in the environment. Th e correlation coeffi cient is used to measure the strength of the linear relationship between these two variables. An extension of linear regression is multiple regression where a model is developed between the variable we are forecasting and multiple independent variables.
6 Three useful measures of forecast accuracy are mean absolute deviation (MAD), mean squared error (MSE), and a tracking signal.
7 There are four factors to consider when selecting a forecasting model: the amount and type of data avail- able, the degree of accuracy required, the length of forecast horizon, and patterns present in the data.
8 Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenish- ment (CPFR) is a collaborative process between trad- ing partners that establishes formal guidelines for joint forecasting, replenishment, and planning.
Formula Review • 303
Key Terms
forecasting 268
qualitative forecasting methods 269
quantitative forecasting methods 270
executive opinion 271
market research 271
Delphi method 271
time series models 272
time series 272
causal models 272
level or horizontal pattern 272
trend 274
seasonality 274
cycles 274
random variation 275
naïve method 275
simple mean or average 276
simple moving average (SMA) 277
weighted moving average 280
exponential smoothing model 280
trend-adjusted exponential smoothing 283
seasonal index 286
linear regression 289
correlation coeffi cient 292
forecast error 293
mean absolute deviation (MAD) 293
mean squared error (MSE) 293
forecast bias 295
tracking signal 295
Formula Review Name Formula
1. Naïve Ft + 1 = At
2. Simple mean Ft + 1 = ©At
n
3. Simple moving average Ft + 1 = ©At
n 4. Weighted moving average Ft + 1 = ©Ct At 5. Exponential smoothing Ft + 1 = αAt + (1 − α)Ft 6. Trend-adjusted exponential smoothing STEP 1: Smoothing the level of the series:
St = αAt + (1 − α) (St − 1 + Tt − 1 ) STEP 2: Smoothing the trend:
Tt = β(St − St − 1 ) + (1 − β)Tt − 1 STEP 3: Forecast including trend:
FITt + 1 = St + Tt 7. Seasonality STEP 1: Calculate the average demand for each season.
STEP 2: Compute a seasonal index for every season of every year for which you have data.
8. Linear trend line/linear regression STEP 1: Compute parameter b:
b = ©XY − nXY ©X 2 − nX 2
STEP 2: Compute parameter a:
a = Y − bX STEP 3: Obtain equation:
Y = a + bX
9. Correlation coefficient r = n(©XY ) − (©X ) × (©Y )
3[n(©X 2 ) − (©X)2] ∙ 3[n(©Y 2 ) − (©Y ) 2]
304 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
10. Forecast error Et = At − Ft
11. Mean absolute deviation MAD = ©|actual − forecast|
n
12. Mean squared error MSE = ©(actual − forecast)2
n
13. Tracking signal Tracking signal = ©(actual − forecast)
MAD
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Given the following data, calculate forecasts for months 4, 5, 6, and 7 using a three-month moving average and an exponential smoothing forecast with an alpha of 0.3. Assume a forecast of 61 for month 3:
Actual Forecast 3-Month Forecast Exponential Month Sales Moving Average Smoothing
1 56 2 76 3 58 4 67 5 75 6 76 7
Before You Begin: To use a three-period moving aver- age, remember that you always have to compute the average of the latest three observations. As new data become available, drop off the oldest data. For the exponential smoothing part of this problem, before you begin make sure that you have the three pieces of infor- mation you need: the current period’s forecast (61 for month 3), the current period’s actual value (58), and a value for the smoothing coeffi cient (α = 0.3).
Solution:
Actual Forecast 3-Month Forecast Exponential Month Sales Moving Average Smoothing
1 56 2 76 3 58 4 67 63.33 60.1 5 75 67.00 62.17 6 76 66.66 66.02 7 72.66 69.01
To compute the moving average forecasts:
Ft + 1 = ©At
n
F4 = A1 + A2 + A3
3 =
56 + 76 + 58 3
= 63.33
F5 = A2 + A3 + A4
3 =
76 + 58 + 67 3
= 67.00
F6 = A3 + A4 + A5
3 =
58 + 67 + 75 3
= 66.66
F7 = A4 + A5 + A6
3 =
67 + 75 + 76 3
= 72.66
To compute the exponential smoothing forecasts:
Ft + 1 = αAt + (1 − α)Ft F4 = αA3 + (1 − α)F3 F4 = (0.30) (58) + (0.70)61 = 60.1
F5 = (0.30) (67) + (0.70)60.1 = 62.17
F6 = (0.30) (75) + (0.70)62.17 = 66.02
F7 = (0.30) (76) + (0.70)66.02 = 69.01
Solved Problems • 305
Th is can also be computed using a spreadsheet, as shown here.
4 5 6
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
A B C D E F G H I alpha = 0.30
Month Actual Sales
3-month Moving Avg
Exponential Smoothing
1 56 2 76 3 58 61 61 4 67 63.33 60.10 5 75 67.00 62.17 6 76 66.67 66.02 7 72.67 69.01
Forecasts
C11 : =AVERAGE(B8:B10) (copied down)
D11: =D$4*B10+(1-D$4)*D10 (copied down)
Solved Problem 8.1 Moving Average and Exponential Smoothing Forecasts
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
MONTH
S A
LE S
Actual Sales 3-month Moving Avg Exponential Smoothing
PROBLEM 2
True Beauty is a cosmetics company that uses expo- nential smoothing with trend to forecast monthly sales of its special face cream. At the end of November, the company wants to forecast sales for December. Th e trend through October has been 10 additional boxes sold per month. Average sales have been 60 boxes per month. Th e demand for November was 68 boxes. Th e company uses α = 0.20 and β = 0.10. Make a forecast including trend for the month of December.
Before You Begin: Before you begin solving this type of problem, fi rst identify the information given in the problem.
Th e information we have is:
SOct = 60 boxes�month
TOct = 10 boxes�month
ANov = 68 boxes
α = 0.20
β = 0.10
Now we can follow the three steps in the chapter for trend-adjusted exponential smoothing.
306 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
PROBLEM 3
A gardener wants to develop a forecast for next year’s quarterly sales of cactus trees. He has collected quarterly sales for the past two years and expects total sales for next year to be 500 cactus trees. Th e data clearly exhibit seasonality. How much can he expect to sell during each quarter of next year accounting for seasonality?
Cactus Trees Sold
Season Year 1 Year 2
Fall 100 110 Winter 82 95 Spring 180 173 Summer 110 110
Total 472 488
Before You Begin: To solve this problem, follow the fi ve steps given in the chapter for forecasting seasonality.
Solution: We follow the steps used in developing seasonal indexes:
STEP 1: Calculate the average demand for each season:
Year 1: 472�4 = 118 Year 2: 488�4 = 122
STEP 2: Compute a seasonal index for every season of every year for which there are data.
Cactus Trees Sold
Season Year 1 Year 2
Fall 100/118 = 0.847 110/122 = 0.902 Winter 82/118 = 0.695 95/122 = 0.778 Spring 180/118 = 1.53 173/122 = 1.42 Summer 110/118 = 0.932 110/122 = 0.902
Solution: We need to use three equations to generate a forecast including trend. For each equation we substitute the appropriate values:
STEP 1: Smoothing the level of the series:
St = αAt + (1 − α) (St − 1 + Tt − 1 )
SNov = αANov + (1 − α) (SOct + TOct)
= (0.20) (68) + (0.80) (60 + 10)
= 69.6
STEP 2: Smoothing the trend:
Tt = β(St − St − 1 ) + (1 − β)Tt − 1 TNov = β(SNov − SOct) + (1 − β)TOct
= (0.1) (69.6 − 60) + (0.90) (10)
= 9.96 STEP 3: Forecast including trend:
FITt + 1 = St + Tt FITDec = SNov + TNov
= 69.6 + 9.96 = 79.56 boxes
STEP 3: Calculate the average seasonal index for each season.
Season Average Seasonal Index
Fall (0.847 + 0.902)/2 = 0.875 Winter (0.695 + 0.778)/2 = 0.737 Spring (1.53 + 1.42)/2 = 1.48 Summer (0.932 + 0.902)/2 = 0.917
STEP 4: Calculate the average demand per season for next year.
We are told that the sales forecast for next year is 500 cactus trees. Th e average demand per season, or quarter, is
500�4 = 125
STEP 5: Multiply next year’s average seasonal demand by each seasonal index.
Season Forecast (Cactus Trees) Fall 125(0.875) = 109.4 Winter 125(0.737) = 92.13 Spring 125(1.48) = 185.0 Summer 125(0.917) = 114.4
Solved Problems • 307
PROBLEM 4
A sneaker manufacturer has plotted sales of its most pop- ular brand of sneakers over the past four months. Use a linear trend line to compute sales of sneakers for month 5.
Before You Begin: To solve this problem, follow the four steps given in the chapter for fi nding a linear trend line.
Solution: Month Sales
X Y X2 XY 1 100 1 100 2 120 4 240 3 118 9 354 4 125 16 500
Total 10 463 30 1194
Y = 115.75 X = 2.5
PROBLEM 5
A retailer of household appliances has collected data on the relationship between the company’s sales and dis- posable household income. For the presented data:
(a) Obtain a linear regression equation for the data. (b) Compute a correlation coeffi cient and determine
the strength of the linear relationship. (c) Use the linear regression equation to develop a fore-
cast of sales if disposable household income is $37,800.
Before You Begin: To solve this problem follow the four steps given in the chapter for generating a forecast using lin- ear regression. Make sure to clearly identify the independent and dependent variables. As you proceed, remember that you fi rst compute parameter b, then parameter a, then develop the regression equation, and fi nally generate the forecast.
Solution:
(a) STEP 1: Compute parameter b:
b = (©XY ) − nXY ©X 2 − nX 2
= 13,442.0 − (10) (27.3) (46.8)
8,013.5 − (10) (27.3) 2
= 1.19
STEP 2: Computer parameter a:
a = Y − bX = 46.8 − (1.19) (27.3) = 14.31
STEP 3: Compute the linear regression line:
Y = a + bX
Y = 14.31 + 1.19X
(b) Computing the correlation coeffi cient:
Disposable Household Sales Income (in 000s of $) (in 000s of $) Y X XY X2 Y2
29.8 16.8 500.6 282.2 888.0 35.9 18.4 660.6 338.6 1,228.8 38.8 20.4 791.5 416.2 1,505.4 46.8 22.9 998.4 524.4 1,900.9 46.8 25.7 1,202.8 660.5 2,190.2 49.5 27.3 1,351.4 745.3 2,450.3 52.3 32.1 1,678.8 1,030.4 2,735.3 55.2 35.2 1,943.0 1,239.0 3,047.0 57.2 36.3 2,076.4 1,317.7 3,271.8 58.6 38.2 2,238.5 1,459.2 3,433.9
Total 467.7 273.3 13,442.0 8,013.5 22,711.6
X = 27.3 Y = 46.8
STEP 1: Compute parameter b:
b = (©XY ) − nXY ©X 2 − nX 2
= 1194 − 4(2.5) (115.75)
30 − 4(2.5) 2 =
36.5
5 = 7.3
STEP 2: Compute parameter a:
a = Y − bX = 115.75 − (7.3) (2.5) = 97.5 STEP 3: Compute the linear trend line.
Y = a + bX Y = 97.5 + 7.3X
STEP 4: For the fi fth month, the value of sales would be
Y = 97.5 + 7.3(5) = 134 sneakers
r = n(©XY ) − (©X ) (©Y )
3n(©X 2 ) − (©X ) 2 ∙ 3n(©Y 2 ) − (©Y ) 2 r =
10(13,442) − (273.3) (467.7)
310(8,013.5) − (273.3)2 ∙ 310(22,711.6) − 467.7)2 r = 0.977
Th e correlation coeffi cient is close to 1.00, indicat- ing a strong positive linear relationship.
(c) Y = 14.31 + 1.19 (37.8) = 59.29 Th is means that if disposable household income is $37,800, the company’s sales are expected to be $59,290.
308 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
PROBLEM 6
A company is comparing the accuracy of two diff erent forecasting methods. Use MAD to compare the accura- cies of these methods for the past fi ve weeks of sales. Which method provides greater forecast accuracy?
Solution:
Before You Begin: Remember that MAD is the average of the sum of the absolute errors and that a lower MAD indicates better forecast accuracy.
Accuracy for method A:
MAD = ©|actual − forecast|
n =
16
5 = 3.2
Accuracy for method B:
MAD = ©|actual − forecast|
n =
12
5 = 2.4
Of the two methods, method B produced a lower MAD, which means that it provides greater forecast accuracy. Note, however, that the sum of the errors was actually 0 for method A, which shows how this error measure can be misleading.
Week Actual Sales
Method A Forecast Error IErrorl
Method B Forecast Error IErrorl
1 25 30 –5 5 30 –5 5
2 18 20 –2 2 16 2 2
3 26 23 3 3 25 1 1
4 28 29 –1 1 30 –2 2
5 30 25 5 5 28 2 2
Total 0 16 –2 12
Discussion Questions
1. Give three examples showing why a business needs to forecast.
2. Give three examples from your life in which you may forecast the future.
3. Describe the steps involved in forecasting.
4. Identify the key diff erences between qualitative and quantitative forecasting methods. Which is better in your opinion and why?
5. What are the main types of data patterns? Give ex- amples of each type.
6. Describe the diff erent assumptions of time series and causal models.
7. What are the diff erences among models that forecast the level, trend, and seasonality?
8. Explain why it is important to monitor forecast errors.
9. Explain some of the factors to be considered in select- ing a forecasting model.
Problems
1. Sales for a product for the past three months have been 200, 350, and 287. Use a three-month moving average to calculate a forecast for the fourth month.
If the actual demand for month 4 turns out to be 300, calculate the forecast for month 5.
Problems • 309
2. Lauren’s Beauty Boutique has experienced the follow- ing weekly sales:
Week Sales 1 432 2 396 3 415 4 458 5 460
Forecast sales for week 6 using the naïve method, a simple average, and a three-period moving average.
3. Hospitality Hotels forecasts monthly labor needs. (a) Given the following monthly labor fi gures, make
a forecast for June using a three-period moving average and a fi ve-period moving average.
Month Actual Values January 32 February 41 March 38 April 39 May 43
(b) What would be the forecast for June using the naïve method?
(c) If the actual labor fi gure for June turns out to be 41, what would be the forecast for July using each of these models?
(d) Compare the accuracy of these models using the mean absolute deviation (MAD).
(e) Compare the accuracy of these models using the mean squared error (MSE).
4. Th e following data are monthly sales of jeans at a local department store. Th e buyer would like to forecast sales of jeans for the next month, July.
(a) Forecast sales of jeans for March through June using the naïve method, a two-period moving average, and exponential smoothing with an α = 0.2. (Hint: Use naïve to start the exponential smoothing process.)
(b) Compare the forecasts using MAD and decide which is best.
(c) Using your method of choice, make a forecast for the month of July.
Month Sales January 45 February 30 March 40 April 50 May 55 June 47
5. Th e manager of a small health clinic would like to use exponential smoothing to forecast demand for laboratory services in the facility. However, she is not sure whether to use a high or low value of α. To make her decision, she would like to compare the forecast accuracy of a high and low α on historical data. She has decided to use an α = 0.7 for the high value and α = 0.1 for the low value. Given the following historical data, which do you think would be better to use?
Week Demand
(lab requirements) 1 330 2 350 3 320 4 370 5 368 6 343
6. Th e manager of the health clinic in Problem 5 would also like to use exponential smoothing to forecast demand for emergency services in the facility. As in Problem 5, she is not sure whether to use a high or low value of α. To make her decision, she would like to compare the forecast accuracy of a high and low α on historical data. Again, she has decided to use an α = 0.7 for the high value and α = 0.1 for the low value. (a) Given the following historical data, which value of
α do you think would be better to use? (b) Is your answer the same as in Problem 5? Why or
why not?
Week Demand
(in patients serviced) 1 430 2 289 3 367 4 470 5 468 6 365
7. Th e following historical data have been collected rep- resenting sales of a product. Compare forecasts using a three-period moving average, exponential smooth- ing with an α = 0.2, and linear regression. Using MAD and MSE, which forecasting model is best? Are your results the same using the two error measures?
Week Demand 1 20 2 31 3 36 4 38 5 42 6 40
310 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
8. A manufacturer of printed circuit boards uses expo- nential smoothing with trend to forecast monthly demand of its product. At the end of December, the company wishes to forecast sales for January. Th e estimate of trend through November has been 200 additional boards sold per month. Average sales have been around 1000 units per month. Th e demand for December was 1100 units. Th e company uses α = 0.20 and β = 0.10. Make a forecast including trend for the month of January.
9. Demand at Nature Trails Ski Resort has a seasonal pattern. Demand is highest during the winter, as this is the peak ski season. However, there is some ski de- mand in the spring and even fall months. Th e summer months can also be busy as visitors often come for summer vacation to go hiking on the mountain trails. Th e owner of Nature Trails would like to make a fore- cast for each season of the next year. Total annual de- mand has been estimated at 4000 visitors. Given the last two years of historical data, what is the forecast for each season of the next year?
Visitors Season Year 1 Year 2 Fall 200 230
Winter 1400 1600
Spring 520 580
Summer 720 831
10. Rosa’s Italian restaurant wants to develop forecasts of daily demand for the next week. Th e restaurant is closed on Mondays and experiences a seasonal pattern for the other six days of the week. Mario, the manager, has collected information on the number of custom- ers served each day for the past two weeks. If Mario expects total demand for next week to be around 350, what is the forecast for each day of next week?
Number of Customers
Day Week 1 Week 2
Tuesday 52 48
Wednesday 36 32
Thursday 35 30
Friday 89 97
Saturday 98 99
Sunday 65 69
11. Th e president of a company was interested in determ- ining whether there is a correlation between sales made by diff erent sales teams and hours spent on employee training. Th ese fi gures are shown.
Sales (in thousands) Training Hours 25 10 40 12 36 12 50 15 11 6
(a) Compute the correlation coeffi cient for the data. What is your interpretation of this value?
(b) Using the data, what would you expect sales to be if training was increased to 18 hours?
12. Th e number of students enrolled at Spring Valley Ele- mentary has been steadily increasing over the past fi ve years. Th e school board would like to forecast en- rollment for years 6 and 7 in order to better plan ca- pacity. Use a linear trend line to forecast enrollment for years 6 and 7.
Year Enrollment 1 220 2 245 3 256 4 289 5 310
13. Happy Lodge Ski Resorts tries to forecast monthly attendance. Th e management has noticed a direct re- lationship between the average monthly temperature and attendance. (a) Given fi ve months of average monthly temper-
atures and corresponding monthly attendance, compute a linear regression equation of the relationship between the two. If next month’s average temperature is forecast to be 45 degrees, use your linear regression equation to develop a forecast.
Month Average
Temperature Resort Attendance
(in thousands) 1 24 43 2 41 31 3 32 39 4 30 38 5 38 35
(b) Compute a correlation coeffi cient for the data and determine the strength of the linear relationship between average temperature and attendance. How good a predictor is temperature for attendance?
14. Small Wonder, an amusement park, experiences seasonal attendance. It has collected two years of quarterly attendance data and made a forecast of annual attendance for the coming year. Compute the
seasonal indexes for the four quarters and generate quarterly forecasts for the coming year, assuming an- nual attendance for the coming year to be 1525.
Park Attendance (in thousands)
Quarter Year 1 Year 2 Fall 352 391 Winter 156 212 Spring 489 518 Summer 314 352
15. Burger Lover Restaurant forecasts weekly sales of cheese- burgers. Based on historical observations over the past fi ve weeks, make a forecast for the next period using the following methods: simple average, three-period moving average, and exponential smoothing with α = 0.3, given a forecast of 328 cheeseburgers for the fi rst week.
Week Cheeseburger Sales
1 354 2 345 3 367 4 322 5 356
If actual sales for week 6 turn out to be 368, compare the three forecasts using MAD. Which method per- formed best?
16. A company uses exponential smoothing with trend to forecast monthly sales of its product, which show a trend pattern. At the end of week 5, the company wants to forecast sales for week 6. Th e trend through week 4 has been 20 additional cases sold per week. Average sales have been 85 cases per week. Th e demand for week 5 was 90 cases. Th e company uses α = 0.20 and β = 0.10. Make a forecast including trend for week 6.
17. Th e number of patients coming to the Healthy Start maternity clinic has been increasing steadily over the past eight months. Given the following data, use a linear trend line to forecast attendance for months 9 and 10.
Month Clinic Attendance
(in thousands) 1 3.4 2 3.9 3 4.5 4 5.0 5 5.8 6 5.9 7 6.5 8 6.7
18. Given the following data, use exponential smoothing with α = 0.2 and α = 0.5 to generate forecasts for peri- ods 2 through 6. Use MAD and MSE to decide which of the two models produced a better forecast.
Period Actual Forecast 1 15 17 2 18 3 14 4 16 5 13 6 16
19. Pumpkin Pies Galore is trying to forecast sales of pies for the month of December. Demand for pies in September, October, and November has been 230, 304, and 415, respectively. Edith, the company’s owner, uses a three-period weighted moving average to forecast sales. Based on her experience, she chooses to weight September as 0.1, October as 0.3, and November as 0.6. (a) What would Edith’s forecast for December be? (b) What would her forecast be using the naïve method? (c) If actual sales for December turned out to be 420
pies, which method was better (use MAD)? 20. A company has used three diff erent methods to fore-
cast sales for the past fi ve months. Use MAD and MSE to evaluate the performance of the three methods. (a) Which forecasting method performed best? Do
MAD and MSE give the same results?
Period Actual Method
A Method
B Method
C
1 10 10 9 8 2 8 11 10 11 3 12 12 8 10 4 11 13 12 11 5 12 14 11 12
(b) Which of these is actually the naïve method? 21. Two different forecasting models were used to fore-
cast sales of a popular soda on a college campus. Actual demand and the two sets of forecasts are shown. Use MAD to explain which method provided a better forecast.
Period Actual
Demand Forecast 1 Forecast 2 1 90 78 87 2 87 85 88 3 92 84 90 4 95 92 97 5 98 100 102 6 98 102 101
Problems • 311
312 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
22. A producer of picture frames uses a tracking signal with limits of ±4 to decide whether a forecast should be reviewed. Given historical information for the past four weeks, compute the tracking signal and decide whether the forecast should be reviewed. Th e MAD for this item was computed as 2.
Weeks Actual Sales Forecast Deviation
Cumulative Deviation
Tracking Signal
6 3 1 12 11 2 14 13 3 14 14 4 16 14
23. Mop and Broom Manufacturing has tracked the num- ber of units sold of its most popular mop over the past 24 months. Th is is shown.
Month Sales Month Sales Month Sales 1 239 9 310 17 369 2 248 10 335 18 378 3 256 11 348 19 367 4 260 12 353 20 383 5 271 13 355 21 394 6 280 14 368 22 393 7 295 15 379 23 405 8 305 16 358 24 412
(a) Develop a linear trend line for the data. (b) Compute a correlation coeffi cient for the data and
evaluate the strength of the linear relationship.
(c) Using the linear trend line equation, develop a forecast for the next period, month 25.
24. Given the sales data from Problem 23, generate fore- casts for months 7–24 using a six-period and a three- period moving average. Use MAD to compare the fore- casts. Which forecast is more stable? Which is more responsive and why?
25. Th e following data were collected on the study of the relationship between a company’s retail sales and ad- vertising dollars:
Retails Sales ($) Advertising ($) 29,789 16,893
35,434 18,398
38,732 20,376
43,585 22,982
46,821 25,732
49,283 27,281
52,271 32,182
55,289 35,298
57,298 36,281
58,293 38,178
(a) Obtain a linear regression line for the data. (b) Compute a correlation coeffi cient and determine
the strength of the linear relationship. (c) Using the linear regression equation, develop a
forecast of retail sales for advertising dollars of $40,000.
Case: Bram-Wear
Lenny Bram, owner and manager of Bram-Wear, was analyzing performance data for the men’s clothing retailer. He was concerned that inventories were high for certain clothing items, meaning that the company would potentially incur losses due to the need for sig- nifi cant markdowns. At the same time, it had run out of stock for other items early in the season. Some custom- ers appeared frustrated by not fi nding the items they were looking for and needed to go elsewhere. Lenny knew that the problem, though not yet serious, needed to be addressed immediately.
Background
Bram-Wear was a retailer that sold clothing catering to young, urban, professional men. It primarily carried upscale, casual attire, as well as a small quantity of
outerwear and footwear. Its success did not come from carrying a large product variety, but from a very focused style with an abundance of sizes and colors.
Bram-Wear had extremely good fi nancial perfor- mance over the past fi ve years. Lenny had attributed the company’s success to a group of excellent buyers. Th e buyers seemed able to accurately target the style preferences of their customers and correctly forecast product quantities. One challenge was keeping up with customer buying patterns and trends.
The Data
To determine the source of the problem, Lenny had requested forecast and sales data by product category. Looking at the sheets of data, it appeared that the prob- lem was not with the specifi c styles or items carried
Case: The Emergency Room (ER) at Northwest General (A) • 313
in stock; rather, the problem appeared to be with the quantities ordered by the buyers. Specifi cally, the prob- lem centered on two items: an athletic shoe called Urban Run and the fi ve-pocket cargo jeans.
Demand for Urban Run Athletic Shoe
Quarter Year 1
Demand Year 2
Demand Year 3
Demand Year 4
Demand
I 10 14 20 30 II 29 31 26 31 III 26 29 28 33 IV 15 18 30 35
Urban Run was a popular athletic shoe that had been carried by Bram-Wear for the past four years. Quarterly data for the past four years are shown in the table. Th e company seemed to always be out of stock of this ath- letic shoe. Th e model used by buyers to forecast sales for this item had been seasonal exponential smoothing. Looking at the data, Lenny wondered whether this was the best method to use. It seemed to work well in the beginning, but now he was not so sure.
Th e data for the fi ve-pocket cargo jean seemed also to point to a forecasting problem. When the product was introduced last year, it was expected to have a large upward trend. Th e buyers believed the trend would continue and used an exponential smoothing model with trend to forecast sales. However, they seemed to have too much inventory of this product. As with the Urban Run athletic shoe, Lenny wondered whether the right forecasting model was being applied to the data. It seemed he would have to dig out his old operations management text to solve this problem.
Demand for 5-Pocket Cargo Jeans
Month Year 1
Demand Year 2
Demand January 36 98 February 42 101 March 56 97 April 75 99 May 85 100 June 94 95 July 101 107 August 108 104 September 105 98 October 114 104 November 111 100 December 110 102
Case Questions
1. Is seasonal exponential smoothing the best model for forecasting Urban Run athletic wear? Why?
2. Explain what has happened to the data for Urban Run. What are the consequences of continuing to use seasonal exponential smoothing? What model would you use? Generate a forecast for the four quar- ters of the fourth year using your model. Determine your forecast error and the inventory consequences.
3. Is exponential smoothing with trend the best model for forecasting fi ve-pocket cargo jeans? Why?
4. What method would you use to forecast monthly cargo jean demand for the second year given the previous year’s monthly demand? Explain why you selected your approach. Generate the forecasts for each month of the second year with your method. Determine your forecast error and the inventory consequences.
Case: The Emergency Room (ER) at Northwest General (A)
Jenn Kostich is the new department director for emer- gency services at Northwest General Hospital. One of her responsibilities is to ensure proper staffi ng in the emergency room (ER) by scheduling nurses to appro- priate shifts. Th is has historically been a problem for the ER. Th e former director did not base nurse schedules on forecasts, but used the same fi xed schedule week after week.
Jenn had recently received her degree in operations management. She knew that schedules needed to be based on forecasts of demand. She needed to start by analyzing historical data in order to determine the best
forecasting method to use. Jenn’s assistant provided her with information on patient arrivals in the ER by hour and day of the week for the previous month, October. October was considered a typical month for the ER, and Jenn thought it was a good starting point. Jenn reviewed the information (shown in the chart) that she had requested and wondered where to begin.
Case Questions
1. What is your opinion of the level at which the data are being collected? What are some of the advan- tages of collecting data at this level?
314 CHAPTER 8 • Forecasting
2. Aggregate the original data for October as you see appropriate (e.g., sum up by day of week, time of day, week of the month, etc.). Th is will give you a new data set to work with. Analyze your data for pat- terns. Can you fi nd any?
3. Use at least two diff erent forecasting models on the new data set you developed in question 2 by aggre- gating the original data. Compare their forecast per- formance and provide an evaluation.
Hourly Patient Arrivals in the ER
Day of Week W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F
Day of Month Time (hr)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
01 1 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 2 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0
02 0 1 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 2 0 1 2 1 2 1 2 0 1 3 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 1 0
03 4 2 1 3 1 1 0 3 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 3 2 0 1 2 1 2
04 2 4 3 3 3 1 1 3 4 0 3 3 1 1 3 3 0 3 3 2 3 2 1 0 3 3 0 2 3 1 2
05 0 2 1 3 3 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 1 1 3 2 4 3 4 0 2 3 1 4 2 4 2 3 3 1 4
06 1 2 2 3 2 0 1 1 1 4 3 2 1 0 0 2 2 2 3 1 2 1 3 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0
07 1 0 0 0 2 3 2 0 1 2 1 3 2 3 2 1 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 1
08 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 0 2 3 1 3 0 0 4 1 4 0 2 2 2 2 3 1 0 2 1 2
09 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 4 1 2 2 1 2 3 2 1 0 3 0 1 3 1 2 4 3 1 1 4 3 2
10 3 2 4 3 5 0 1 3 3 4 3 1 1 0 4 2 5 4 4 1 1 4 0 3 4 4 4 2 3 0 3
11 2 4 5 6 4 2 3 2 3 5 5 4 1 2 1 3 4 6 5 2 3 2 3 5 2 4 0 4 3 2 4
12 3 3 4 5 5 1 4 2 2 3 6 3 0 3 2 4 4 6 4 0 4 2 2 5 4 5 2 3 2 3 5
13 5 6 4 3 5 4 3 4 2 4 4 6 3 4 3 5 5 2 6 4 5 3 4 4 5 6 4 3 2 4 5
14 5 4 6 4 6 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 5 4 6 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 3 4 5 3 5
15 4 4 5 5 5 3 4 5 3 2 6 5 3 5 5 4 6 5 4 3 4 5 3 6 6 4 3 5 5 5 6
16 2 3 5 4 5 3 3 3 2 4 4 5 3 2 3 4 5 4 5 3 3 3 3 0 0 1 2 2 0 2 2
17 0 1 4 4 5 3 2 0 2 5 4 4 3 3 2 0 5 4 5 3 2 3 2 2 1 1 3 1 1 3 0
18 2 3 2 2 2 2 1 3 1 4 3 2 3 2 1 3 0 2 3 2 3 0 2 3 2 3 2 0 2 3 3
19 1 2 2 0 0 0 1 2 4 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 0 5 4 5 2 3 3 1 5
20 3 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 3 3 3 1 1 0 2 1 3 1 1 2 0 2 1 5 4 5 1 3 3 0 5
21 4 5 4 5 3 3 1 5 1 4 0 2 2 2 5 4 3 4 0 0 1 5 2 2 4 0 2 0 3 4 1
22 3 2 4 6 5 2 0 4 0 3 5 5 2 3 3 3 6 6 5 2 0 3 4 3 4 5 3 0 5 3 3
23 4 1 5 6 5 3 3 3 3 5 4 4 2 4 2 2 6 6 6 3 2 3 3 6 6 5 0 1 3 2 6
24 4 0 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 5 6 4 0 2 0 2 4 5 3 0 1 0 6 6 6 3 2 1 0 6
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Forecasting at Cruising Inernational, Inc. In this assignment you will focus on forecasting demand for cruises in diff erent geographical regions. CII is trying to determine which regions have fast- er-growing demand so that they can be sure to have suffi cient cruises available in each specifi c region. You are to meet with Jean Burkette, Director of Demand Management, at CII corporate. Your meeting ends with Jean saying, “I need you to develop a forecast for the upcoming cruising season … using any method that
you believe provides a reliable forecast.” Th is assign- ment will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 8 of your textbook while preparing you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Forecasting at CII
www.wiley.com/college/reid
Selected Bibliography • 315
On-line Case: Forecasting at Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Forecasting Today, your assignment has taken you out to City Central Airfi eld. You’ll be meet- ing with Jean Burger, director of the Valley Memorial Helicopter Service (VMHS), the air transportation arm of the medical center. She’s asked you to meet her at the VMHS hangar. As you drive up, she comes out to greet you. “We have a forecasting problem for you. For the past fi ve years or so, we’ve had three helicopters. As they age, they need more maintenance, which means
more downtime and more missed fl ights. We proba- bly need to add another helicopter or, at a minimum, replace the oldest one—or maybe even both.”
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Forecasting
Internet Challenge: On-line Data Access
You have been hired by a government agency to collect and analyze economic data and generate economic forecasts. Since you do not have much experience in this area, your manager, Ms. Hernandez, has decided to give you a chance to practice your skills. Ms. Hernandez believes that it would be a good idea for you to use the Internet to collect and monitor a sample of economic data. She has given you a list of Web sites to access. Your fi rst assignment is to collect a sample of local,
national, or international economic data from one of these sites. Next, try to analyze the data you have col- lected and identify any patterns. Th en, using one of the techniques discussed in the chapter, generate a forecast for the future. Finally, as new data are posted, evaluate your performance using the error measures discussed in the chapter. How did you do, and what have you learned about the data you collected?
Selected Bibliography
Andraski, J.C., and J. Haedicke. “CPFR: Time for the Break- through?” Supply Chain Management Review, May–June 2003, 54–60.
Armstrong, J.S. “Evaluating and Selecting Forecasting Methods.” In J.S. Armstrong (ed.), Principles of Forecast- ing: A Handbook for Researchers and Practitioners. Norwell, Mass.: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2001.
Armstrong, J.S. Long-Range Forecasting from Crystal Ball to Computer, Second Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1985.
Clements, M.P., and D.F. Hendry. Forecasting Economic Time Series. Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press, 1998.
Fischer, I., and N. Harvey. “Combining Forecasts: What Information Do Judges Need to Outperform the Simple Average?” International Journal of Forecasting, 15, 3, 1999, 227–246.
Lawrence, M., and M. O’Connor. “Sales Forecasting Updates: How Good Are Th ey in Practice?” International Journal of Forecasting, 16, 3, 2000, 369–383.
Makridakis, S., S. Wheelwright, and R. Hyndman. Forecast- ing Methods and Applications, Th ird Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1998.
McCullough, B.D. “Is It Safe to Assume Th at Software Is Accurate?” International Journal of Forecasting, 16, 3, 2000, 349–358.
Ord, K., and R. Fildes. Principles of Business Forecasting. New York: Cengage Learning, 2012.
Pearson, R. “Increasing the Credibility of Your Forecasts: 7 Suggestions,” FORESIGHT, 3, February 2006, 27–32.
Sanders, N.R. Big Data Driven Supply Chain Management. New York: FT Pearson, 2014.
316
H ave you ever signed up for a course at your college or university only to find out that it is closed? Have you ever attended a class that was held in a remote location and found that the room was over-
crowded? Most of us have had these experiences as students. These examples illustrate problems of poor capacity planning and location—problems that can greatly affect the success of a business. Students have been known to drop out of a course that is uncomfortable to sit in, difficult to get to, or even to leave a program in which courses are frequently closed. Similarly, businesses can lose customers by not being able to produce enough goods or by being in an incon- venient location.
Matching the capacity of a business with customer demand can be a challenge. Having too much capacity is just as problematic as not having enough capacity. The first leads to excess cost from having idle facilities, workers, and equipment. The second leads to lost sales as the com- pany cannot satisfy customer demands.
After the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, many firms in the hospitality industry found themselves with excess capacity. This included such businesses as hotels, airlines, cruise ships, and amusement parks. Many of these companies, such as the Marriott Corporation, Walt Disney Company, and Carnival Cruises, offered promotional incentives to increase customer demand. Similarly, after the SARS epi- demic in 2003 many international airlines offered large discounts on fares as they found themselves with excess capacity in the form of idle aircraft.
Capacity planning and location analysis are actually two separate decisions. Capacity planning deals with the maximum output rate that a facility can have, determined by the size of facilities and equipment. Location analysis, on the other hand, deals with the best location for a facility. You can probably see why these two decisions are usually made simultaneously. When a company decides to open a new facility, it must also decide on both the size of the facility and its location. The size of the facility may also be affected by the location.
9 Capacity Planning and Facility Location
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. Globalization, Chapter 1. 2. Differences between strategic
and tactical decisions, Chapter 1.
3. Break-even analysis, Chapter 3. 4. Qualitative forecasting methods,
Chapter 8.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Defi ne capacity planning. 2 Explain the steps involved in
capacity planning and location analysis.
3 Explain the usefulness of decision trees in decision making.
4 Identify key factors in location analysis.
5 Describe the decision-support tools used in location analysis.
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Capacity Planning • 317
In this chapter we will learn about both capacity planning and location analysis. We will see how companies make both kinds of decisions. We will also see how both of these issues can affect not only the success of a company but your everyday life as well. •
Capacity Planning Capacity can be defined as the maximum output rate that can be achieved by a facility. The facility may be an entire organization, a division, or only one machine. Planning for capacity in a company is usually performed at two levels, each corresponding to either strategic or tactical decisions, as discussed in Chapter 2. The first level of capacity decisions is strategic and long-term in nature. This is where a company decides what investments in new facil- ities and equipment it should make. Because these decisions are strategic in nature, the company will have to live with them for a long time. Also, they require large capital expen- ditures and will have a great impact on the company’s ability to conduct business. The sec- ond level of capacity decisions is more tactical in nature, focusing on short-term issues that include planning of workforce, inventories, and day-to-day use of machines. In this chapter we focus on long-term, strategic capacity decisions. Short-term capacity decisions are dis- cussed in Chapter 13.
Why Is Capacity Planning Important? Capacity planning is the process of establishing the output rate that can be achieved by a facility. If a company does not plan its capacity correctly, it may find that it either does not have enough output capability to meet customer demands or has too much capacity sitting idle. In our university example, that would mean either not being able to offer enough courses to accommodate all students or having too few students in the classrooms. Both cases are costly to the university. Another example is a bakery. Not having enough capac- ity would mean not being able to produce enough baked goods to meet sales. The bakery would often run out of stock, and customers might start going somewhere else. Also, the bakery would not be able to take advantage of the true demand available. On the other hand, if there is too much capacity, the bakery would incur the cost of an unnecessarily large facility that is not being used, as well as much higher operating costs than necessary.
A hospital emergency room (ER) exemplifies the challenges of capacity planning. The problems of over- or underca- pacity we just discussed also occur in the ER, only with potentially dire consequences. A number of factors contrib- ute to the capacity of the ER. One is the number of beds and the amount of space available. If there are not enough beds, patients may have to wait long periods of time to be examined. Too many empty beds, on the other hand, result in wasted space.
Another factor affecting the ER’s capacity is the number of nurses and doctors scheduled to work on a shift. If not enough staff is available, patients may not have anyone to treat
Capacity The maximum output rate that can be achieved by a facility.
FIN
Capacity planning The process of establishing the output rate that can be achieved by a facility.
LINKSTO PRACTICE
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318 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
them. The consequences of not having enough capacity can be grave. However, scheduling more staff than needed results in excess capacity in the form of highly paid professionals not having anything to do.
Capacity planning problems are notorious in the ER, partly due to the high fluctua- tions in demand and the high costs of insufficient capacity. In fact, the American College of Emergency Physicians estimates that 62 percent of U.S. emergency rooms are at or above capacity. Particularly troubling are long patient waiting times that average over 47 minutes before a doctor is seen but can be as long as many hours. Many ERs are looking at ways to address this problem. One alternative being implemented is to immediately screen patients and identify those with minor ailments. These patients are then put into a “fast-track” cat- egory to be quickly treated and released. This technique serves to free up capacity for those patients that need it.
Planning for capacity is important if a company wants to grow and take full advantage of demand. At the same time, capacity decisions are complicated because they require long- term commitments of expensive resources, such as large facilities. Once these commit- ments have been made, it is costly to change them. Think about a business that purchases a larger facility in anticipation of an increase in demand, only to find that the demand increase does not occur. It is then left with a huge expense, no return on its investment, and the need to decide how to use a partially empty facility. Recall from Chapter 8 that forecast- ing future demands entails a great deal of uncertainty and risk; this makes long-term facility purchases inherently risky.
Another issue that complicates capacity planning is the fact that capacity is usually purchased in “chunks” rather than in smooth increments. Facilities, such as buildings and equipment, are acquired in large sizes, and it is virtually impossible to achieve an exact match between current needs and needs based on future demand. You can see this in the classroom example. If a university anticipates a large demand for a particular course, it may offer multiple sections. Each additional section adds capacity in chunks equal to one class size. If one class can hold a maximum of 45 students, opening up another class means adding capacity for up to an additional 45 students. The university must consider its forecast of the additional demand for the course. If the forecast for additional demand is only 4 additional students, the university will probably not open up another section. The reason is that the cost for each section takes the form of chunks that include the room, the instructor, and utilities. This cost is the same whether 1 stu- dent or 45 students attend.
Because of the uncertainty of future demand, the overriding capacity planning deci- sion becomes one of whether to purchase a larger facility in anticipation of greater demand or to expand in slightly smaller but less efficient increments. Each strategy has its advantages and disadvantages. Think about a young married couple who want to purchase a home. They can purchase a very small home that would be more affordable, knowing that if they have children they eventually will need to face the disruption and cost of moving. On the other hand, if they purchase a larger home now they will be bet- ter prepared for the future but will be paying for additional space that they currently do not need.
Measuring Capacity Although our definition of capacity seems simple, there is no one way to measure it. Dif- ferent people have different interpretations of what capacity means, and the units of mea- surement are often very different. Table 9.1 shows some examples of how capacity might be measured by different organizations.
Capacity Planning • 319
Note that each business can measure capacity in different ways and that capacity can be measured using either inputs or outputs. Output measures, such as the number of cars per shift, are easier to understand. However, they do not work well when a com- pany produces many different kinds of products. For example, if we operated a bakery that bakes only pumpkin pies, then a measure such as pies per day would work well. However, if we made many different kinds of pies and varied the combination from one day to the next, then simply using pies per day as our measure would not work as well, especially if some pies took longer to make than others. Suppose that pecan pies take twice as long to make as pumpkin pies. If one day we made 20 pumpkin pies and the next day we made 10 pecan pies, using pies per day as our measure would make it seem as if our capacity was underutilized on the second day, even though it was equally utilized on both days. When a company produces many different kinds of products, input measures work better.
When discussing the capacity of a facility, we need two types of information. The first is the amount of available capacity, which will help us understand how much capacity our facil- ity has. The second is effectiveness of capacity use, which will tell us how effectively we are using our available capacity. Next we look at how to quantify and interpret this information.
Measuring Available Capacity Let’s return to our bakery example for a moment. Sup- pose that on the average we can make 20 pies per day. However, if we are really pushed, such as during holidays, maybe we can make 30 pies per day. Which of these is our true capacity? We can make 30 pies per day at a maximum, but we cannot keep up that pace for long. Saying that 30 per day is our capacity would be misleading. On the other hand, saying that 20 pies per day is our capacity does not reflect the fact that we can, if necessary, push our production to 30 pies.
Through this example you can see that different measures of capacity are useful because they provide different kinds of information. Following are two of the most common mea- sures of capacity:
Design capacity is the maximum output rate that can be achieved by a facility under ideal conditions. In our example, this is 30 pies per day. Design capacity can be sustained only for a relatively short period of time. A company achieves this output rate by using many temporary measures, such as overtime, overstaffing, maximum use of equipment, and subcontracting.
Design capacity The maximum output rate that can be achieved by a facility under ideal conditions.
TABLE 9.1 Examples of Different Capacity Measures
Type of Business Input Measures of Capacity
Output Measures of Capacity
Car manufacturer Labor-hours Cars per shift
Hospital Available beds per month Number of patients per month
Pizza parlor Worker hours per day Number of pizzas per day
Ice-cream manufacturer Operational hours per day Gallons of ice cream per day
Retail store Floor space in square feet Revenues per day
320 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
Effective capacity is the maximum output rate that can be sustained under normal conditions. These conditions include realistic work schedules and breaks, regular staff levels, scheduled machine maintenance, and none of the temporary measures that are used to achieve design capacity. Note that effective capacity is usually lower than design capacity. In our example, effective capacity is 20 pies per day.
Measuring Effectiveness of Capacity Use Regardless of how much capacity we have, we also need to measure how well we are utilizing it. Capacity utilization simply tells us how much of our capacity we are actually using. Certainly there would be a big difference if we were using 50 percent of our capacity, meaning our facilities, space, labor, and equip- ment, rather than 90 percent. Capacity utilization can simply be computed as the ratio of actual output over capacity:
Utilization = actual output rate
capacity (100% )
However, since we have two capacity measures, we can measure utilization relative to either design or effective capacity:
Utilizationeffective = actual output
effective capacity (100% )
Utilizationdesign = actual output
design capacity (100% )
Capacity Considerations We have seen that changing capacity is not as simple as acquiring the right amount of capacity to exactly match our needs. The reason is that capacity is purchased in discrete chunks. Also, capacity decisions are long-term and strategic in nature. Acquiring antic- ipated capacity ahead of time can save cost and disruption in the long run. Later, when demand increases, output can be increased without incurring additional fixed cost. Extra
Effective capacity The maximum output rate that can be sustained under normal conditions.
Capacity utilization Percentage measure of how well available capacity is being used.
EXAMPLE 9.1 Computing Capacity Utilization
In the bakery example, we have established that design capacity is 30 pies per day and effective capacity is 20 pies per day. Currently, the bakery is producing 27 pies per day. What is the bakery’s capacity utilization relative to both design and effective capacity?
• Before You Begin: To compute capacity utilization, you need to calculate the ratio of actual output (27 pies per day) over capacity. The difference between the two capacity measures is that one uses effective capacity (20 pies per day) and the other uses design capacity (30 pies per day).
• Solution:
Utilizationeffective = actual output
effective capacity (100% ) =
27 20
(100% ) = 135%
Utilizationdesign = actual output
design capacity (100% ) =
27 30
(100% ) = 90%
The utilization rates show that the bakery’s current output is only slightly below its design capacity and output is considerably higher than its effective capacity. The bakery can probably operate at this level for only a short time.
Capacity Planning • 321
capacity can also serve to intimidate and preempt competitors from entering the market. Important implications of capacity that a company needs to consider when changing its capacity are discussed in this section.
Economies of Scale Every production facility has a volume of output that results in the lowest average unit cost. This is called the facility’s best operating level. Figure 9.1 illus- trates how the average unit cost of output is affected by the volume produced. You can see that as the number of units produced is increased, the average cost per unit drops. The reason is that when a large amount of goods is produced, the costs of production are spread over that large volume. These costs include the fixed costs of buildings and facilities, the costs of materials, and processing costs. The more units are produced, the larger the num- ber of units over which costs can be spread—that is, the greater the economies of scale. The concept of economies of scale is very well known. It basically states that the average cost of a unit produced is reduced when the amount of output is increased.
You use the concept of economies of scale in your daily life, whether or not you are aware of it. Suppose you decide to make cookies in your kitchen. Think about the cost per cookie if you make only five cookies. There would be a great deal of effort—getting the ingredients, mixing the dough, shaping the cookies—all for only five cookies. If you had everything set up, making five additional cookies would not cost much more. Perhaps making even ten more cookies would cost only slightly more because you had already set up all the materials. This lower cost is due to economies of scale.
Diseconomies of Scale What if you continued to increase the number of cookies you chose to produce? For a while, making a few more cookies would not require much additional effort. However, after a certain point there would be so much material that the kitchen would become congested. You might have to get someone to help because there was more work than one person could handle. You might have to make cookies longer than expected, and the cleanup job might be much more difficult. You would be experiencing diseconomies of scale. Diseconomies of scale occur at a point beyond the best operating level, when the cost of each additional unit made increases. Diseconomies of scale are also illustrated in Figure 9.1.
Operating a facility close to its best operating level is clearly important because of the impact on costs. However, we have to keep in mind that different facility sizes have differ- ent best operating levels. In our cookie example, we can see that the number of cookies
Best operating level The volume of output that results in the lowest average unit cost.
Economies of scale A condition in which the average cost of a unit produced is reduced as the amount of output is increased.
Diseconomies of scale A condition in which the cost of each additional unit made increases.
FIGURE 9.1 Different operating levels of a facility
Best Operating Level
of s ca
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Disec on
om
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of scale
OUTPUT PRODUCED IN UNITS
A V
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322 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
comfortably produced by one person in a small kitchen would be much lower than the number produced by three friends in a large kitchen. Figure 9.2 shows how best operating level varies between facilities of different sizes.
You can see that each facility experiences both economies and diseconomies of scale. However, their best operating levels are different. This is a very important consideration when changing capacity levels. The capacity of a business can be changed by either expand- ing or reducing the amount of capacity. Although both decisions are important, expansion is typically a costlier and more critical event.
When expanding capacity, management has to choose between one of the following two alternatives:
Alternative 1: Purchase one large facility, requiring one large initial investment. Alternative 2: Add capacity incrementally in smaller chunks as needed.
The first alternative means that we would have a large amount of excess capacity in the beginning and that our initial costs would be high. We would also run the risk that demand might not materialize and we would be left with unused overcapacity. On the other hand, this alternative allows us to be prepared for higher demand in the future. Our best operat- ing level is much higher with this alternative, enabling us to operate more efficiently when meeting higher demand. Our costs would be lower in the long run, since one large construc- tion project typically costs more than many smaller construction projects due to startup costs. Thus, alternative 1 provides greater rewards but is more risky. Alternative 2 is less risky but does not offer the same opportunities and flexibility. It is up to management to weigh the risks versus the rewards in selecting an alternative.
Focused Factories Facilities can respond more efficiently to demand if they are small, specialized, and focused on a narrow set of objectives; this concept is referred to as focused factories. We encountered this concept in Chapter 7 when we studied just-in-time ( JIT) systems. Focused factories are only one of many factors that contribute to the success of JIT, but the concept is applicable to any facility.
The idea that large facilities are necessary for success because they bring economies of scale is rather dated. Today’s facilities must succeed in a business environment that has short product and technology life cycles and in which flexibility is more important than
Focused factories Facilities that are small, specialized, and focused on a narrow set of objectives.
FIGURE 9.2 Best operating levels as functions of facility size
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Making Capacity Planning Decisions • 323
ever before. Large facilities tend to be less flexible because they generally contain larger machines or process technology that is costly to change in order to make other goods and services. Many companies have realized that to be more agile they need to be focused. A smaller, specialized facility can be more efficient because it can focus on a smaller number of tasks and fewer goals.
Even a large facility can benefit from the concept of the focused factory by creating what is known as a plant within a plant, or PWP. A PWP is a large facility divided into smaller, more specialized facilities that have separate operations, competitive priorities, technology, and workforce. They can be physically separated with a wall or barrier and kept independent from one another. In this manner, unnecessary layers of bureaucracy are eliminated, and each “plant” is free to focus on its own objectives. PWP was discussed in detail in Chapter 2.
Recent trends in the retail industry provide an excel- lent example of factory focus. In the 1980s, retail sales were dominated by large department stores such as Sears, JC Penney’s, and Federated Department Stores. However, in the 1990s, gains in sales were made by spe- cialty stores such as the Gap, The Limited, and Ann Tay- lor, while large department stores faltered. The reason is that consumer preferences change very rapidly, and each small specialty store can focus precisely on the needs of its customer group. Specialty stores are able to focus on a specific set of customers and respond to their unique needs. The Limited and the Gap are excellent examples of factory focus, with specialty stores such as Abercrombie & Fitch, Baby Gap, and Gap Kids.
Subcontractor Networks Another alternative to having a large production facility is to develop a large network of subcontractors and suppliers who perform a number of tasks. This is one of the fastest-growing trends today. Companies are realizing that to be successful in today’s market, they need to focus on their core capabili- ties—for example, by hiring third parties or subcontractors to take over tasks that the com- pany does not need to perform itself. Companies such as American Airlines and Procter & Gamble have hired outside firms to manage noncritical inventories. Also, many compa- nies are contracting with suppliers to perform tasks that they used to perform themselves. A good example is in the area of quality management. Historically, companies performed quality checks on goods received from suppliers. Today, suppliers and manufacturers work together to achieve the same quality standards, and much of the quality checking of incom- ing materials is performed at the supplier’s site. Another example can be seen in the auto industry, where manufacturers are placing more responsibility on suppliers to perform tasks such as design of packaging and transportation of goods. By placing more responsibility on subcontractors and suppliers, a manufacturer can focus on tasks that are critical to its suc- cess, such as product development and design.
Making Capacity Planning Decisions The three-step procedure for making capacity planning decisions is as follows:
STEP 1: Identify Capacity Requirements The first step is to identify the levels of capacity needed by the company now, as well as in the future. A company cannot decide
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whether to purchase a new facility without knowing exactly how much capacity it will need in the future. It also needs to identify the gap between available capacity and future requirements.
STEP 2: Develop Capacity Alternatives Once capacity requirements have been iden- tified, the company needs to develop a set of alternatives that would enable it to meet future capacity needs.
STEP 3: Evaluate Capacity Alternatives The last step in the procedure is to evaluate the capacity alternatives and select the one alternative that will best meet the company’s requirements.
Let’s look at these steps in a little more detail.
Identify Capacity Requirements Long-term capacity requirements are identified on the basis of forecasts of future demand. Certainly, companies look for long-term patterns such as trends when making forecasts. However, long-term patterns are not enough at this stage. Planning, building, and starting up a new facility can take well over five years. Much can happen during that time. When the facilities are operational, they are expected to be utilized for many years into the future. During this time frame numerous changes can occur in the economy, consumer base, com- petition, technology, and demographic factors, as well as in government regulation and political events.
Forecasting Capacity Capacity requirements are identified on the basis of forecasts of future demand. Forecasting at this level is performed using qualitative forecasting meth- ods, some of which are discussed in Chapter 8. Qualitative forecasting methods, such as executive opinion and the Delphi method, use subjective opinions of experts. These experts may consider inputs from quantitative forecasting models that can numerically compute patterns such as trends. However, because so many variables can influence demand at this level, the experts use their judgment to validate the quantitative forecast or modify it based on their own knowledge.
One way to proceed with long-range demand forecasting at this stage is to first fore- cast overall market demand. For example, experts might forecast the total market for overnight delivery to be $30 billion in five years. Then the company can estimate its mar- ket share as a percentage of the total. For example, our market share may be 15 percent. From that we can compute an estimate of demand for our company in five years by mul- tiplying the overall market demand with the percentage held by our company (0.15 × $30 billion = $4.5 billion). That forecast of demand can then be translated into specific facility requirements.
Capacity Cushions Companies often add capacity cushions to their regular capacity requirements. A capacity cushion is an amount of capacity added to the needed capacity in order to provide greater flexibility. Capacity cushions can be helpful if demand is greater than expected. Also, cushions can help the ability of a business to respond to customer needs for different products or different volumes. Finally, businesses that operate too close to their maximum capacity experience many costs due to diseconomies of scale and may also experience deteriorating quality.
Strategic Implications Finally, a company needs to consider how much capacity its competitors are likely to have. Capacity is a strategic decision, and the position of a com- pany in the market relative to its competitors is very much determined by its capacity. At the same time, plans by all major competitors to increase capacity may signal the potential
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Capacity cushion Additional capacity added to regular capacity requirements to provide greater fl exibility.
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Decision Trees • 325
for overcapacity in the industry. Therefore, the decision as to how much capacity to add should be made carefully.
Develop Capacity Alternatives Once a company has identified its capacity requirements for the future, the next step is to develop alternative ways to modify its capacity. One alternative is to do nothing and reevaluate the situation in the future. With this alternative, the company would not be able to meet any demands that exceed current capacity levels. Choosing this alternative and the time to reevaluate the company’s needs is a strategic decision. The other alternatives require deciding whether to purchase one large facility now or add capacity incrementally, as discussed earlier in the chapter.
Capacity Alternatives: 1. Do nothing 2. Expand large now 3. Expand small now, with option to add later
Evaluate Capacity Alternatives There are a number of tools that we can use to evaluate our capacity alternatives. Recall that these tools are only decision-support aids. Ultimately, managers have to use many different inputs, as well as their judgment, in making the final decision. One of the most popular of these tools is the decision tree. In the next section we look more closely at how decision trees can be helpful to managers at this stage.
Decision Trees Decision trees are useful whenever we have to evaluate interdependent decisions that must be made in sequence and when there is uncertainty about events. For that reason, they are especially useful for evaluating capacity expansion alternatives given that future demand is uncertain. Remember that our main decision is whether to purchase a large facility or a small one with the possibility of expansion later. You can see that the decision to expand later is dependent on choosing a small facility now. Which alternative ends up being best will depend on whether demand turns out to be high or low. Unfortunately, we can only forecast future demand and have to incur some risks.
A decision tree is a diagram that models the alternatives being considered and the pos- sible outcomes. Decision trees help by giving structure to a series of decisions and providing an objective way of evaluating alternatives. Decision trees contain the following information:
· Decision points. Th ese are the points in time when decisions, such as whether or not to expand, are made. Th ey are represented by squares, called “nodes.”
· Decision alternatives. Buying a large facility and buying a small facility are two decision alternatives. Th ey are represented by “branches” or arrows leaving a decision point.
· Chance events. Th ese are events that could aff ect the value of a decision. For example, demand could be high or low. Each chance event has a probability or likelihood of occur- ring. For example, there may be a 60 percent chance of high demand and a 40 percent chance of low demand. Remember that the sum of the probabilities of all chances must add up to 100 percent. Chance events are “branches” or arrows leaving circular nodes.
· Outcomes. For each possible alternative an outcome is listed. In our example, that may be expected profit for each alternative (expand now or later) given each chance event (high demand or low demand).
Decision tree Modeling tool used to evaluate independent decisions that must be made in sequence.
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These diagrams are called decision trees because the diagram of the decisions resembles a tree. Simple decision trees are not hard to understand. Next we look at an example to see how a decision tree might be used to solve a capacity alternative problem.
A decision tree is shown in Figure 9.3. We read the diagram from left to right, with node 1 representing the first decision point. The two alternatives at that decision point are pre- sented as branches. They are labeled with the two alternatives “Expand Small” and “Expand Large.” Regardless of which alternative is followed, some chance events will take place. In our example the chance events are the occurrence of either high or low demand. The circu- lar node represents the chance events, with the branches providing the label and the prob- ability of the event. For example, the chance of high demand is 0.70 and the chance of low demand is 0.30.
If we start with a small expansion and high demand occurs, we will have to decide whether or not to expand further. This second decision point is represented by node 2. The dollar amounts at the end of each alternative are the estimated profits. Now that we have
EXAMPLE 9.2 Using Decision Trees
Anna, the owner of Anna’s Greek Restaurant, has determined that she needs to expand her facility. The decision is whether to expand now with a large facility, incurring additional costs and taking the risk that demand will not materialize, or expand now on a smaller scale, knowing that she will have to consider expanding again in three years. She has estimated the following chances for demand:
• The likelihood of demand being high is 0.70. • The likelihood of demand being low is 0.30.
She has also estimated profi ts for each alternative:
• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either $300,000 or $50,000, depending on whether demand turns out to be high or low.
• Small expansion has a profi tability of $80,000, assuming that demand is low. • Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to
expand further. If she expands at that point, her profi tability is expected to be $200,000. If she does not expand further, profi tability is expected to be $150,000.
Next we develop a decision tree to solve Anna’s problem.
• Before You Begin: Remember that before you begin a decision tree problem, you should fi rst draw a decision tree diagram. Then add the given information to the diagram and proceed to evaluate it.
• Solution: To solve this problem we fi rst need to draw the decision tree. Table 9.2 shows steps in drawing a decision tree.
TABLE 9.2 Procedure for Drawing a Decision Tree
1. Draw a decision tree from left to right. Use squares to indicate decisions and circles to indicate chance events.
2. Write the probability of each chance event in parentheses.
3. Write out the outcome for each alternative in the right margin.
Decision Trees • 327
drawn the decision tree, let’s see how we can solve it. The procedure for solving a decision tree is outlined in Table 9.3.
We drew the decision tree from left to right. To evaluate it, we work backward, from right to left, to determine the expected value. The expected value (EV ) is a weighted average of the chance events, where each chance event is given a probability of occurrence. We start with the profitability of each alternative, working backward and selecting the most profit- able alternative. For example, at node 2 we should decide to expand further, because the profits from that decision are higher ($200,000 versus $150,000). If we come to that point, that is the decision we should make. The expected value (EV ) of profits at that point is written below node 2. This is the expected value if we decide on a small expansion and high demand occurs.
To compute the expected value (EV ) of the small expansion, we evaluate it as a weighted average of estimated profits given the probability of occurrence of each chance event:
EVsmall expansion = 0.30($80,000) + 0.70($200,000) = $164,000
EVlarge expansion = 0.30($50,000) + 0.70($300,000) = $225,000
The large expansion gives the higher expected value. This means that Anna should pursue a large expansion now.
Expected value (EV ) A weighted average of chance events, where each chance event is given a probability of occurrence.
Expand $200,000
Don’t expand $150,000
Low demand (0.30) $80,000
Low demand (0.30) $50,000
High demand (0.70) $300,000
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FIGURE 9.3 Decision tree for Anna’s restaurant
TABLE 9.3 Procedure for Solving a Decision Tree
1. To solve a decision tree, work from right to left. At each circle representing chance events, compute the expected value (EV ).
2. Write the EV below each circle.
3. Select the alternative with the highest EV.
328 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
Location Analysis You might have heard the old real estate adage: the three most important factors in the value of a property are location, location, location. Have you ever left a service provider that you liked—say, a doctor, barber, or tailor—because they were in a location that was difficult to get to or too far away? Look at the business locations in your own neighborhood. We have all seen facilities in certain locations that have a high turnover of businesses and owners. The types of businesses and owners may be completely different, yet something about the location does not make it successful. Why do most fast-food restaurants locate near one another? In order to draw customers to one location. Why are the large automakers cen- tered in Michigan? To draw suppliers to one area. Why do many medical facilities locate near hospitals? To be accessible to patients. Why do retail stores typically locate near each other? To attract a higher volume of customers.
These examples illustrate the strategic importance of location decisions. All other aspects of a business can be designed efficiently, but if the location is selected poorly, the business will have a harder time being successful. Different types of businesses emphasize different factors when making location decisions. Service organizations such as restaurants, movie theaters, and banks focus on locating near their customers. Manufacturing organiza- tions seek to be close to sources of transportation, suppliers, and abundant resources such as labor. However, many other factors need to be considered.
What Is Facility Location? Facility location is determining the best geographic location for a company’s facility. Facil- ity location decisions are particularly important for two reasons. First, they require long- term commitments in buildings and facilities, which means that mistakes can be difficult to correct. Second, these decisions require sizable financial investment and can have a large impact on operating costs and revenues. Poor location can result in high transportation costs, inadequate supplies of raw materials and labor, loss of competitive advantage, and financial loss. Businesses therefore have to think long and hard about where to locate a new facility.
In most cases, there is no one best location for a facility. Rather, there are a number of acceptable locations. One location may satisfy some factors whereas another location may be better for others. If a new location is being considered in order to provide more capacity, the company needs to consider options such as expanding the current facility if the current location is satisfactory. Another option might be to add a new facility but also keep the cur- rent one. As you can see, there is a lot to consider.
Location analysis Techniques for determining location decisions.
Up to this point we have focused exclusively on capacity plan- ning. By now you should understand that capacity is the max- imum output rate of a facility. Capacity is defi ned in different ways, depending on the nature of the business. You should understand the basic trade-off made in choosing between capacity planning alternatives and the procedure used to evalu- ate alternatives. Finally, make sure you understand the relation- ship between capacity planning and location analysis. In the next
section we discuss location analysis, which is another decision area for operations managers. Note, however, that location analysis is usually made in conjunction with capacity planning. Because the size of a facility is typically tied to its location, these decisions are made together. Make sure you understand the relationship between these decisions and their strategic implications for the fi rm.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
Location Analysis • 329
Factors Affecting Location Decisions Many factors can affect location decisions, including proximity to customers, transporta- tion, source of labor, community attitude, proximity to suppliers, and many other factors. The nature of the firm’s business will determine which factors should dominate the location decision. As already mentioned, service and manufacturing firms will focus on different fac- tors. Profit-making and nonprofit organizations will also focus on different factors. Profit- making firms tend to locate near the markets they serve, whereas nonprofit organizations generally focus on other criteria.
It is important to identify factors that have a critical impact on the company’s strategic goals. For example, even though proximity to customers is typically a critical factor for ser- vice firms, if the firm provides an in-home service (say, carpet cleaning), this may not be a critical issue. Also, while profit-making firms might locate near the markets they serve, non- profit firms might choose to be near their major benefactors. Managers should also elim- inate factors that are satisfied by every location alternative. Next we look more closely at some factors that affect location decisions.
Proximity to Sources of Supply Many firms need to locate close to sources of supply. The reasons for this can vary. In some cases, the firm has no choice, such as in farming, forestry, or mining operations, where proximity to natural resources is necessary. In other cases, the location may be determined by the perishable nature of goods, such as in prepar- ing and processing perishable food items. Dole Pineapple has its pineapple farm and plant in Hawaii for both these purposes. Similarly, Tropicana has its processing plant in Florida, near the orange-growing orchards.
Another reason to locate close to sources of supply is to avoid high transportation costs—for example, if a firm’s raw materials are much bulkier and costlier to move than the finished product. Transporting the finished product outbound is less costly than transport- ing the raw materials inbound, and the firm should locate closer to the source of supply. A paper mill is an example. Transporting lumber would be much more costly than transport- ing the paper produced.
The importance of location decisions can be seen in the case of Internet companies dur- ing the boom of the dot-coms. Locating in Silicon Valley or San Francisco had become a major priority in the 1990s for close proximity to highly skilled tal- ent. Dot-coms were seeking over 4 million square feet of space in San Francisco, where only 1 million square feet was avail- able. Consequently, the cost of locating there, including rent and leasing requirements, had become increasingly expensive. Tenants were paying $60 per square foot, an increase from the $40 per square foot paid just six months earlier. Landlords had also become picky about their tenants, and some were making unusual demands. Many were requiring as much as two years’ rent in advance. Others were even asking for equity in the company.
Then came the fall of the dot-coms. Space became abundant as many companies went out of business, and the cost of space dropped. Other companies, in an effort to remain financially viable, sought less costly locations. Almost overnight the importance of locating in Silicon Valley diminished.
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Proximity to Customers Locating near the market they serve is often critical for many organizations, particularly service firms. To capture their share of the business, service firms need to be accessible to their customers. For this reason, service firms typically locate in high-population areas that offer convenient access. Examples include retail stores, fast-food restaurants, gas stations, grocery stores, dry cleaners, and flower shops. Large retail firms often locate in a central area of the market they serve. Smaller service firms usually follow the larger retailers because of the large number of the customers they attract. The smaller firms can usually count on getting some of the business.
Other reasons for locating close to customers may include the perishable nature of the company’s products or high costs of transportation to the customer site. Food items such as groceries and baked goods, fresh flowers, and medications are perishable and need to be offered close to the market. Also, items such as heavy metal sheets, pipes, and cement need to be produced close to the market because the costs of transporting these materi- als are high.
Proximity to Source of Labor Proximity to an ample supply of qualified labor is important in many businesses, especially those that are labor intensive. The company needs to consider the availability of a particular type of labor and whether special skills are required. Some companies, such as those looking for assembly-line workers, want to be near a supply of blue-collar labor. Other companies may be looking for computer or technical skills and should consider locating in areas with a concentration of those types of workers.
Other factors that should be considered are local wage rates, the presence of local unions, and attitudes of local workers. Work ethics and attitudes toward work can vary greatly in different parts of the country and between urban and rural workers. Attitudes toward factors such as absenteeism, tardiness, and turnover can greatly affect a company’s productivity.
Community Considerations The success of a company at a particular location can be affected by the extent to which it is accepted by the local community. Many communities welcome new businesses, viewing them as providing sources of tax revenues and oppor- tunities for jobs, and as contributing to the overall well-being of the community. However, communities do not want businesses that bring pollution, noise, and traffic and that lower the quality of life. Extreme examples are a nuclear facility, a trash dump site, and an air- port. Less extreme examples are companies like Wal-Mart, which often are not accepted by smaller communities, which may view such large merchants as a threat to their way of life and thus actively work to discourage them from locating there.
Site Considerations Site considerations for a particular location include factors such as utility costs, taxes, zoning restrictions, soil conditions, and even climate. These factors are not too different from those one would consider when purchasing a home or a lot to build on. Just as most homeowners consider their purchase to be an investment, so does a business. Inspectors should be hired to perform a thorough evaluation of the grounds, such as checking for adequate drainage. Site-related factors can also limit access roads for trucks and make it difficult for customers to reach the site.
Quality-of-Life Issues Another important factor in location decisions is the quality of life a particular location offers the company’s employees. This factor can also become important in the future when the business is recruiting high-caliber employees. Quality of life includes factors such as climate, a desirable lifestyle, good schools, and a low crime rate. Certainly, quality of life would not be considered the most critical factor in selecting a loca- tion. However, when other factors do not differ much from one location to another, quality of life can be the decisive factor.
Location Analysis • 331
Other Considerations In addition to the factors discussed so far, there are others that companies need to consider. They include room for customer parking, visibility, customer and transportation access, as well as room for expansion. Room for expansion may be par- ticularly important if the company has decided to expand now and possibly expand further at a later date. Other factors include construction costs, insurance, local competition, local traffic and road congestion, and local ordinances.
Globalization In addition to considering the specific factors affecting site location in the United States, companies need to consider how they will be affected by a major trend in business today: globalization. Globalization is the process of locating facilities around the world. Over the past decades it has become not only a trend but a matter-of-fact way of conducting business. Technology such as faxes, e-mails, video conferencing, and overnight delivery has made dis- tance less relevant than ever before. Markets and competition are increasingly global. To compete effectively based on cost, many companies have had to expand their operations to include global sources of supply. Factors other than mere distance have become critical in selecting a geographic location.
Deciding to expand an operation globally is not a simple decision. There are many things to consider, and the problems must be weighed along with the benefits. In this section we look at both advantages and disadvantages of global operations. We also look at some addi- tional implications of global operations that managers need to consider.
Advantages of Globalization There are many reasons why companies choose to expand their operations globally. The main one, however, is to take advantage of foreign markets. The demand for imported goods has grown tremendously, and these markets offer a new arena for competition. Also, locating production facilities in foreign countries reduces the stigma associated with buying imports. This concept works not only for U.S. companies abroad but for foreign companies in the United States as well. For example, Japanese automobile manufacturers have located in the United States and employed Amer- ican workers, which has gone a long way toward eliminating negative attitudes about buy- ing Japanese cars. Being in the United States has also reduced their exposure to currency variations between the dollar and yen.
Another advantage of global locations is reduction of trade barriers. By producing goods in the country where customers are located, a company can avoid import quo- tas. Trade barriers have also been reduced through the creation of trading blocs such as the European Union and trade agreements such as NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement). We discussed the contribution of these agreements to globalization in Chapter 1.
Cheap labor in countries such as Korea, Taiwan, and China has also attracted firms to locate there. Often it is cheaper to send raw materials to these countries for fabrication and assembly and then ship them elsewhere for final consumption than it is to keep the process in this country. The cost of labor can be so low that it more than offsets the additional trans- portation costs.
An area that has further encouraged globalization is the growth of just-in-time manu- facturing, which encourages suppliers and manufacturers to be in close proximity to one another. Many suppliers have moved closer to the manufacturers they supply, and some manufacturers have moved closer to their suppliers.
Disadvantages of Globalization Although there are advantages to globalization, there are also a number of disadvantages that companies should consider. Political risks can be large, particularly in countries with unstable governments. For example, during a period of
Globalization The process of locating facilities around the world.
332 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
political unrest a company may have its technology confiscated. Foreign governments may also impose restrictions, tariffs on particular industries, and local ordinances that must be obeyed.
Using offshore suppliers might mean that a company may need to share some of its pro- prietary technology. Today’s age of total quality management encourages the sharing of this type of information between manufacturers and suppliers to the advantage of both parties. A manufacturer may want to think carefully before sharing, however.
Another issue is whether to use local employees. Companies are often attracted to cheap foreign labor. However, the company might find that worker attitudes toward tardiness and absenteeism are different. Also, worker skills and productivity may be considerably lower, offsetting the benefits of lower wages.
The local infrastructure is another important issue. Many foreign countries do not have the developed infrastructure necessary for companies to operate in the manner that they do in their home country. Infrastructure includes everything from roads to utilities as well as other support services. It is for this reason that many companies are bringing their oper- ations back home, called “reshoring” or “backsourcing.”
Issues to Consider in Locating Globally Firms are attracted to foreign locations in order to take advantage of foreign markets; cheaper suppliers or labor ; and natural resources such as copper, aluminum, and timber. However, there are many issues to con- sider when locating globally. One such issue is the effect of a different culture. Each culture has a different set of values, norms, ethics, and standards. For example, in France it is con- sidered polite to be slightly late for an appointment, and such lateness is quite customary. The British, on the other hand, consider punctuality highly important and tardiness very rude. You can see how misunderstandings can develop even through simple differences like this one.
Language barriers are another potential problem. Employees need to be able to communicate easily in their work environment. Engaging in discussions, following instructions, and understanding exactly what is being said can become difficult when employees speak different languages. Even when one language is translated into another, the translation may have lost very essential parts of the meaning, resulting in damaging misunderstanding.
Different laws and regulations—including everything from pollution regulations to labor laws—may require changes in business practices. Also, what is acceptable in one culture may be completely unacceptable or even illegal in another. For example, in some countries offering a bribe may be an acceptable part of doing business, whereas in others it may land a person in jail.
Although it is important to know the factors affecting facility location, it is not enough for making good location decisions. In the next section we look at specific tools that can help managers with facility location decisions.
Making Location Decisions
Procedure for Making Location Decisions As with capacity planning, managers need to follow a three-step procedure when making facility location decisions. These steps are as follows:
STEP 1: Identify Dominant Location Factors. In this step managers identify the loca- tion factors that are dominant for the business. This requires managerial judgment and knowledge.
Making Location Decisions • 333
STEP 2: Develop Location Alternatives. Once managers know what factors are domi- nant, they can identify location alternatives that satisfy the selected factors.
STEP 3: Evaluate Location Alternatives. After a set of location alternatives has been identified, managers evaluate the alternatives and make a final selection. This is not easy because one location may be preferred based on one set of factors, whereas another may be better based on a second set of factors.
Procedures for Evaluating Location Alternatives A number of procedures can help in evaluating location alternatives. These are decision- support tools that help structure the decision-making process. Some of them help with qualitative factors that are subjective, such as quality of life. Others help with quantitative factors that can be measured, such as distance. A manager may choose to use multiple procedures to evaluate alternatives and come up with a final decision. Remember that the location decision is one that a company will have to live with for a long time. It is highly important that managers make the right decision.
Factor Rating You have seen by now that many of the factors that managers need to consider when evaluating location alternatives are qualitative in nature. Their impor- tance is also highly subjective, based on the opinion of who is evaluating them. An excellent procedure that can be used to give structure to this process is called factor rating. Factor rating can be used to evaluate multiple alternatives based on a number of selected factors. It is valuable because it helps decision makers structure their opinions relative to the factors identified as important. The following steps are used to develop a factor rating:
STEP 1: Identify dominant factors (e.g., proximity to market, access, competition, quality of life).
STEP 2: Assign weights to factors reflecting the importance of each factor relative to the other factors. The sum of these weights must be 100.
STEP 3: Select a scale by which to evaluate each location relative to each factor. A com- monly used scale is a five-point scale, with 1 being poor and 5 excellent.
STEP 4: Evaluate each alternative relative to each factor, using the scale selected in Step 3. For example, if you chose to use a five-point scale, a location that was excellent based on quality of life might get a 5 for that factor.
STEP 5: For each factor and each location, multiply the weight of the factor by the score for that factor and sum the results for each alternative. This will give you a score for each alternative based on how you have rated the factors and how you have weighted each of the factors at each location.
STEP 6: Select the alternative with the highest score.
Let’s look at an example to see how this procedure is used.
Factor rating A procedure that can be used to evaluate multiple alternative locations based on a number of selected factors.
EXAMPLE 9.3 Using Factor Rating
Antonio is evaluating three different locations for his new Italian restaurant. Costs are comparable at all three locations. He has identifi ed seven factors that he considers important and has decided to use factor rating to evaluate his three location alternatives based on a fi ve-point scale, with 1 being poor and 5 excellent. Table 9.4 shows Antonio’s factors, the weight he has assigned to each factor, as well as the factor score for each factor at each location.
334 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
TABLE 9.4 Factor Rating for Antonio’s Italian Restaurant
Factor Weight
Factor Score at Each Location Weighted Score for Each Location
(Factor Weight × Factor Score)
Factor Location 1 Location 2 Location 3 Location 1 Location 2 Location 3
Appearance 20 5 3 2 100 60 40
Ease of expansion 10 4 4 2 40 40 20
Proximity to market 20 2 3 5 40 60 100
Customer parking 15 5 3 3 75 45 45
Access 15 5 2 3 75 30 45
Competition 10 2 4 5 20 40 50
Labor supply I0 3 3 4 30 30 40
Total 100 380 305 340
From Table 9.4 it is clear that Antonio considers facility appearance and proximity to market the two most important factors, because he has rated each of these with a 20. Other factors are slightly less important. Note that Antonio selected the factors fi rst. Then he decided to weight them based on his perception of their importance. He then computed a factor score for each factor at each location. Looking at the factor scores he selected, it appears that location 1 is excellent based on appearance, parking, and access, but poor based on closeness to the market. Location 3 is just the opposite, being excellent based on closeness to the market but poor based on facility appearance. Location 2 appears to be somewhere in the middle. To evaluate which location alternative is best, Antonio needed to multiply the factor weight by the factor score for each factor at each location and then sum them. The best location alternative is that with the highest factor rating score. In Antonio’s case, it is location 1. This problem can also be solved with a spreadsheet as shown:
1
2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
A B C D E F G
Factor Rating for Antonio's Italian Restaurant
Factor Location
1 Location
2 Location
3 Factor Weight
Appearance 5 3 2 20 Ease of expansion 4 4 2 10 Proximity to market 2 3 5 20 Customer parking 5 3 3 15 Access 5 2 3 15 Competition 2 4 5 10 Labor supply 3 3 4 10
Total 100
Compute Weighted Factor Scores and Overall Scores for Each Location
Factor Location
1 Location
2 Location
3 Appearance 100 60 40 Ease of expansion 40 40 20 Proximity to market 40 60 100 Customer parking 75 45 45 Access 75 30 45 Competition 20 40 50 Labor supply 30 30 40 Totals 380 305 340
Best Total Score 380 Best Location Location 1
Factor Scores (1-5 scale)
Weighted Factor Scores
E13: =SUM(E6:E12)
B18: =B6*$E6 (copied to B18:D24)
B25: =SUM(B18:B24) (copied right)
B27: =MAX(B25:D25)
B28: =INDEX(B17:D17,MATCH(B27,B25:D25,0))
Making Location Decisions • 335
The Load–Distance Model The load–distance model is a procedure for evaluating location alternatives based on distance. The distance to be measured could be proximity to markets, proximity to suppliers or other resources, or proximity to any other facility that is considered important. The objective of the model is to select a location that mini- mizes the total amount of loads moved weighted by the distance traveled. What is a load? A load represents the goods moved in or out of a facility or the number of movements between facilities. For example, if 200 boxes of Kellogg’s cereal are shipped between the local warehouse and a grocery store, that is the load between the warehouse and grocery store. The idea is to reduce the amount of distance between facilities that have a high load between them.
The model is shown in Table 9.5. Relative locations are compared by computing the load– distance, or ld, score for each location. The ld score for a particular location is obtained by multiplying the load (denoted by l) for each location by the distance traveled (denoted by d) and then summing over all the locations. This score is a surrogate measure for movement of goods, material handling, or even communication. Our goal is to make the ld score as low as possible by reducing the distance the large loads have to travel.
Next we look at the steps in developing the load–distance model.
STEP 1: Identify Distances. The first step is to identify the distances between location sites. It is certainly possible to use the actual mileage between locations. However, it is much quicker, and just as effective, to use simpler measures of dis- tance. A frequently used measure of distance is rectilinear distance, the shortest distance between two points measured by using only north–south and east–west movements. To measure rectilinear distance, we place grid coordinates on a map and use them to measure the distance between two locations. Figure 9.4 presents an example of how the distance between locations A and B could be measured using rectilinear distance.
The rectilinear distance between two locations, A and B, is computed by summing the absolute differences between the x coordinates and the absolute differences between the y coordinates. The equation is as follows:
dAB = |xA − xB| + | yA − yB|
In our example, the coordinates for location A are (30, 40). The coordinates for location B are (10, 15). Therefore, the rectilinear distance between these two points is
dAB = |30 − 10| + |40 − 15| = 45 miles
STEP 2: Identify Loads. The next step is to identify the loads between different loca- tions. The notation lij is used to indicate the load between locations i and j.
STEP 3: Calculate the Load–Distance Score for Each Location. Next we calculate the load–distance score for each location by multiplying the load, lij, by the distance, dij. We compute the sum of lijdij to get the ld score. Finally, we select the site with the lowest load–distance score.
Next we look at an example to see how to use the model.
Load–distance model A procedure for evaluating location alternatives based on distance.
Rectilinear distance The shortest distance between two points measured by using only north–south and east–west movements.
TABLE 9.5 The Load–Distance Model
ld score for a location = Σ lijdij where lij = load between locations i and j dij = distance between locations i and j
336 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
FIGURE 9.4 Rectilinear distance between points A and B
x (MILES)
y (M
IL E
S )
20 30 4010
40
10
20
30
A(30, 40)
B(10, 15)
EXAMPLE 9.4 Using the Load–Distance Model
Matrix Manufacturing Corporation is considering where to locate its warehouse in order to ser- vice its four stores located in four Ohio cities: Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati, and Dayton. Two possible sites for the warehouse are being considered. One is in Mansfi eld, Ohio, and the other is in Springfi eld, Ohio. Let’s follow the steps of the load–distance model to select the best location for the warehouse.
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, follow the three steps given in the text for selecting a location with the load–distance model.
• Solution:
STEP 1: Identify Distances. The distances between the locations can be seen in Figure 9.5, which shows a map of the cities with grid coordinates. The coordinates allow us to compute the distances between the cities. To compute the specific distances, we use the rectilinear distance measure.
x (MILES)
y (M
IL E
S )
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cleveland (11, 22)
Mansfield (11, 14)
Springfield (6, 6.5)Dayton (3, 6)
Cincinnati (4, 1)
Columbus (10, 7)
FIGURE 9.5 Location map for Matrix Manufacturing
Making Location Decisions • 337
From Figure 9.5 we can compute the distances between the four cities and the Springfi eld site as follows:
City Distance to Springfi eld
Cleveland |11 − 6| + |22 − 6.5| = 20.5 Columbus |10 − 6| + |7 − 6.5| = 4.5 Cincinnati |4 − 6| + |1 − 6.5| = 7.5 Dayton |3 − 6| + |6 − 6.5| = 3.5
Similarly, we can compute the distances between the four cities and the Mansfi eld site as follows:
City Distance to Mansfi eld
Cleveland |11 − 11| + |22 − 14| = 8 Columbus |10 − 11| + |7 − 14| = 8 Cincinnati |4 − 11| + |1 − 14| = 20 Dayton |3 − 11| + |6 − 14| = 16
STEP 2: Identify Loads. The next step is to identify the loads between the four cities and the warehouse. Remember that these loads will be the same regardless of where the warehouse is located. For this reason, we want to locate the warehouse at a place that will minimize the amount of distance large loads will have to travel.
City Load between City
and Warehouse
Cleveland 15 Columbus 10 Cincinnati 12 Dayton 4
STEP 3: Calculate the Load–Distance Score for Each Location. The final step is to calculate the load–distance score for each location. The computation for Springfield is shown in Table 9.6.
TABLE 9.6 Computing the Load–Distance Score for Springfield
City Load (lij) Distance (dij) lij dij
Cleveland 15 20.5 307.5 Columbus 10 4.5 45 Cincinnati 12 7.5 90 Dayton 4 3.5 14
Total Load–Distance Score: (456.5)
The load–distance score computed for Springfi eld does not tell us very much by itself. This number is useful only when comparing relative locations—that is, when we compare it to another load–distance score. The load–distance score for Mansfi eld is shown in Table 9.7.
TABLE 9.7 Computing the Load–Distance Score for Mansfield
City Load (lij) Distance (dij) lij dij
Cleveland 15 8 120 Columbus 10 8 80 Cincinnati 12 20 240 Dayton 4 16 64
Total Load–Distance Score: (504)
338 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
The Center of Gravity Approach When we used the load–distance model, we com- pared only two location alternatives. The load–distance was lower for Spring field than for Mansfield. However, we can also use the model to find other locations that may give an even lower load–distance score than Spring field. An easy way to do this is to start by testing the location at the center of gravity of the target area. The X and Y coordinates that give us the center of gravity for a particular area are computed in the following way:
Xc.g. = © li xi © li
Yc.g. = © li yi © li
c.g. = center of gravity
The X coordinate for the center of gravity is computed by taking the X coordinate for each point and multiplying it by its load. These are then summed and divided by the sum of the loads. The same procedure is used to compute the Y coordinate.
The load–distance score for Mansfi eld is higher than the score for Springfi eld. Therefore, Matrix Manufacturing should locate its warehouse in Springfi eld. Note in the computation for the load–distance score for Mansfi eld that the load between the city and the warehouse did not change. What changed was the distance. Through the load–distance model we select a location that will minimize the distance large loads travel. This can also be computed using a spreadsheet, as shown.
1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
A B C D E F G H I
Load-Distance Model for Matrix Manufacturing
Coordinates of Stores (miles) X Y
Cincinnati 4 1 Cleveland 11 22 Columbus 10 7 Dayton 3 6
Coordinates of Warehouses (miles) Mansfield 11 14 Springfield 6 6.5
Distances (rectilinear, in miles) Cincinnati Cleveland Columbus Dayton
Mansfield 20 8 8 16 Springfield 7.5 20.5 4.5 3.5
Load between Warehouse and Store Cincinnati Cleveland Columbus Dayton
Load 12 15 10 4
Load-Distance Calculations Cincinnati Cleveland Columbus Dayton Total
Mansfield 240 120 80 64 504 Springfield 90 307.5 45 14 456.5
Minimum Load-Distance: 456.5 Best Location: Springfield
Locations of Cities and Possible Warehouses
Cleveland (11,22)
Columbus (10,7)
Cincinnati (4,1)
Dayton (3,6)
Mansfield (11,14)
Springfield (6,6.5)
0 4 8
12 16 20 24
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
B18 : =ABS($B12-$B$6)+ABS($C12-$C$6) (copied to B18:E19)
B27 : =B$23*B18 (copied down and right)
F27 : =SUM(B27:E27) (copied down)
C30 : =MIN(F27:F28)
C31 : =INDEX(A27:A28,MATCH(C30,F27:F28,0))
X (MILES)
Y ( M
IL E
S )
Making Location Decisions • 339
The location identified with the center of gravity puts a larger penalty on long distances. This can have practical value given that longer distances impose more costs on the orga- nization. However, the location identified may not be a feasible site because of geographic restrictions. For example, the center of gravity might turn out to be in the middle of Lake Michigan. However, the center of gravity provides an excellent starting point. We can use it to test the load–distance score of other locations in the area.
Break-Even Analysis Break-even analysis is a technique used to compute the amount of goods that must be sold just to cover costs. The break-even point is precisely the quantity of goods a company needs to sell to break even. Whatever is sold above that point will bring a profit. Below that point the company will incur a loss. We discussed break-even analysis in Chapter 3 as a technique for evaluating the success of different products. In this chapter we use break-even analysis to evaluate different location alternatives. Remember that break- even analysis works with costs, such as fixed and variable costs. It can be an excellent tech- nique when the factors under consideration can be expressed in terms of costs. Let’s briefly review the basic break-even equations:
Total cost = F + cQ
Total revenue = pQ
where F = fi xed cost c = variable cost per unit Q = number of units sold p = price per unit
At the break-even point, total cost and total revenue are equal. We can use those equations to solve for Q, which is the break-even quantity:
Q = F
p − c
Break-even analysis The process of studying the practices of companies considered “best-in-class” and comparing your company’s performance against theirs.
EXAMPLE 9.5 Computing the Center of Gravity
Find the center of gravity for the Matrix Manufacturing problem.
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, use the center of gravity equations. Remember that you need to fi nd both the X and Y coordinates.
• Solution:
Location Coordinates (X, Y ) Load (li ) li xi li yi
Cleveland (11, 22) 15 165 330 Columbus (10, 7) 10 100 70 Cincinnati (4, 1) 12 48 12 Dayton (3, 6) 4 12 24
Total 41 325 436
Now we need to fi nd the coordinates for the center of gravity:
Xc.g. = © li xi © li
= 325 41
= 7.9
Yc.g. = © li yi © li
= 436 41
= 10.6
340 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
As we saw in Chapter 3, these quantities can be obtained graphically. Now let’s look at the basic steps in using break-even analysis for location selection.
STEP 1: For Each Location, Determine Fixed and Variable Costs. Recall from Chap- ter 3 that fixed costs are incurred regardless of how many units are produced and include items such as overhead, taxes, and insurance. Variable costs are costs that vary directly with the number of units produced and include items such as materials and labor. Total cost is the sum of fixed and variable costs.
STEP 2: Plot the Total Costs for Each Location on One Graph. To plot any straight line we need two points. One point is Q = 0, which is the y intercept. Another point can be selected arbitrarily, but it is best to use the expected volume of sales in the future.
STEP 3: Identify Ranges of Output for Which Each Location Has the Lowest Total Cost.
STEP 4: Solve Algebraically for the Break-even Points over the Identified Ranges. Select the location that gives the lowest cost for the range of output required by the new facility.
The Transportation Method The transportation method of linear programming is a useful technique for solving specific location problems; it is discussed in detail in Supple- ment B for this text. The method relies on a specific algorithm to evaluate the cost impact of adding potential location sites to the network of existing facilities. For example, an existing network of facilities may consist of multiple sending and receiving sites. Our task might be to evaluate adding a new location site to this network, either a receiving site or a sending site. We might also wish to evaluate adding multiple new sites or completely redesigning the network. The transportation method can efficiently analyze all these situations and pro- vide the lowest cost for each configuration considered.
EXAMPLE 9.6 Using Break-even Analysis
Clean-Clothes Cleaners is a dry cleaning business that is considering four possible sites for its new operation. The annual fi xed and variable costs for each site have been estimated as follows:
Location Fixed Costs Variable Costs
A $350,000 $ 5/Unit
B $170,000 $25/Unit
C $100,000 $40/Unit
D $250,000 $20/Unit
(a) Plot the total cost curves for each location on the same graph and identify the range of out- put for which each location provides the lowest total cost.
(b) If demand is expected to be 10,000 units per year, which is the best location?
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, follow the four steps given in the text for using break-even analysis in location selection.
• Solution:
(a) Step 1 in the break-even procedure has already been completed; that is, we have identifi ed the fi xed and variable costs. The next step is to plot the total costs of each location on a graph. For each line that we have to plot, we need two points. The fi rst
Making Location Decisions • 341
point can be Q = 0. We can compute the second point using expected demand, which is Q = 10,000 units. For Q = 10,000 units we compute the following total costs for each location:
Location Fixed Cost Variable Cost Total Cost
A $350,000 $ 5 (10,000) $400,000
B $170,000 $25 (10,000) $420,000
C $100,000 $40 (10,000) $500,000
D $250,000 $20 (10,000) $450,000
The plots of these graphs are shown in Figure 9.6. You can see that depending on the range of output, locations C, B, and A are best. Location D is never a best option.
A
B
C
D
B Best
C Best
A Best
2 4 6 8 10
800
600
400
200
QUANTITY (000’s OF UNITS)
T O
TA L
C O
S T (
0 0
0 ’s
O F $
)
FIGURE 9.6 Break-even graph for Clean-Clothes Cleaners
(b) We can see the approximate ranges for each location in Figure 9.6. We can compute the exact ranges for each output location by fi nding the exact output level for which locations C and B are equal and for which locations B and A are equal. We can do this by computing the output levels at which the total cost equations for these locations are equal:
Total cost equation for C = Total cost equation for B
100,000 + $40 Q = 170,000 + $25 Q
Q = 4666.7 units
Thus, the point between C and B is 4666.7, or roughly 4667 units.
Total cost equation for B = Total cost equation for A
170,000 + $25 Q = 350,000 + $5 Q
Q = 9000 units
The breaking point between B and A is 9000 units, which means that location A would provide the lowest cost if we produce 9000 units or more. If we plan to meet a demand of 10,000 units, we should select location A. This problem can also be solved using a spread- sheet, as shown.
342 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70
A B C D E F G H I J K
Break-even Point Analysis for Clean-Clothes Cleaners
Location Fixed Cost Variable Cost A $350,000 $5 B $170,000 $25 C $100,000 $40 D $250,000 $20
Calculation of Exact Break-even Points Quantity
Between B and C 4,666.67 Between A and B 9,000.00
Enter any quantity The Total Costs are computed, showing the best location for that quantity.
Quantity 4000 Location 0 Minimum Cost $260,000 A $370,000 Best Location C B $270,000
C $260,000 D $330,000
Data Table to Compare Locations (highlighting shows best choice for each quantity) Quantity A B C D Best Best Loc
$370,000 $270,000 $260,000 $330,000 $260,000 C 0 $350,000 $170,000 $100,000 $250,000 $100,000 C
1000 $355,000 $195,000 $140,000 $270,000 $140,000 C 2000 $360,000 $220,000 $180,000 $290,000 $180,000 C 3000 $365,000 $245,000 $220,000 $310,000 $220,000 C 4000 $370,000 $270,000 $260,000 $330,000 $260,000 C 5000 $375,000 $295,000 $300,000 $350,000 $295,000 B 6000 $380,000 $320,000 $340,000 $370,000 $320,000 B 7000 $385,000 $345,000 $380,000 $390,000 $345,000 B 8000 $390,000 $370,000 $420,000 $410,000 $370,000 B 9000 $395,000 $395,000 $460,000 $430,000 $395,000 A
10000 $400,000 $420,000 $500,000 $450,000 $400,000 A 11000 $405,000 $445,000 $540,000 $470,000 $405,000 A 12000 $410,000 $470,000 $580,000 $490,000 $410,000 A 13000 $415,000 $495,000 $620,000 $510,000 $415,000 A 14000 $420,000 $520,000 $660,000 $530,000 $420,000 A 15000 $425,000 $545,000 $700,000 $550,000 $425,000 A
AAAAAAA B
B B
B C
C C
C C
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 QUANTITY (UNITS)
A B C D Best
B12 : =(B6-B7)/(C7-C6)
B13 : =(B5-B6)/(C6-C5)
B18 : =MIN(E18:E21)
B19 : =INDEX(A5:A8,MATCH(B18,E18:E21,0))
E18 : =B5+C5*B$17 (copied down)
Example 9.6 Break-even Analysis for Alternate Locations (black line shows best cost and location)
Making Location Decisions • 343
Capacity Planning and Facility Location Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Decisions about capacity and location are highly dependent on forecasts of demand (Chapter 8). Forecasts determine the size of current and future capacity needs. Incor- rect forecasts, where capacity is either over- or underestimated, can have a devastat- ing effect on the capacity decision. Capacity is also affected by operations strategy (Chapter 2), as size of capacity is a key element of organizational structure. For exam- ple, the decision whether to expand now or later can be an important strategic choice. The former can preempt competition by enabling the company to be ready to meet demand. The latter can provide flexibility. Other operations decisions that are affected by capacity and location are issues of job design and labor skills (Chapter 11), choice on the mix of labor and technology, as well as choices on technology and automation (Chapter 3).
Capacity Planning and Facility Location Across the Organization
By now it should be clear how capacity planning and location analysis affect operations management. However, these decisions are also important to many other functions in the company. In particular, finance and marketing have a great stake in capacity planning and location decisions.
Finance must be actively involved in the organization’s capacity planning decisions. At the same time, operations managers need input from finance in order to finalize their capacity decisions. The reason should be clear. Capacity planning requires large financial expenditures. Building a large facility now would mean that funds would be tied up in excess capacity from which no financial return would be obtained for several years. At the same time, expanding capacity in increments could prove to be a greater financial drain due to poor planning. Location analysis, which is tied to the capacity planning decision, is basically a financial investment. Certain locations may be cheaper but may prove to be a poorer business investment. Finance needs to be an active participant in both the capacity planning and location analysis decisions.
Marketing is another function that is highly affected by capacity planning and loca- tion decisions. The amount of current and future capacity restricts the ability to meet demand. Building a large facility that enables the company to capture future demand and position itself in the marketplace could be advantageous from a marketing perspec- tive. On the other hand, given future demands and competition this may not be a critical issue. Marketing is the function that has this information. Also, locating near customers can be critical for certain businesses, particularly service organizations. Marketing man- agers are in the best position to understand which location factors are most important to customers.
Capacity planning and location analysis are excellent examples of decisions that must be made by operations, finance, and marketing working together. As you can see, each of these functional areas has its domain of expertise and provides information that the others do not have. Together, they must arrive at capacity and location decisions that are best for the company in the long run.
FIN
MKT
344 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
Capacity planning and location decisions have a critical impact on sustainability. The most obvious is increased travel distance to suppliers and customers, which not only in- creases transportation costs but also increases measures of environmental impact, such as the company’s carbon foot- print. However, poorly made decisions in this area have other consequences. Just consider the negative consequences in- volved with facilities being located on natural habitats (eco- systems) and the resulting habitat destruction that could po- tentially occur. Also consider the negative effect of poor location on humans and animals, from increased noise pollu- tion and energy consumption to the potential contamination of air and water. Capacity planning and location decisions made with sustainability in mind would involve minimizing total material and personnel travel distances to and from the facility. They would avoid runoff from construction activity,
abate noise pollution, and consider air pollution effects on the community.
To provide a simple illustration of what a sustainability analysis would include, consider the decision of determining a location for a chemical processing facility. Initially, the choice of loca- tion would be determined by considering economic factors, such as real estate cost or transportation, as discussed in the chapter. However, sustainability requires an analysis of environ- mental and social factors that go well beyond these basic eco- nomic considerations. A chemical factory may affect nearby plant and animal populations as well as local human health by introducing air, water, and noise pollution. Furthermore, the choice of location may implicate job availability and commuter behavior, while requiring decisions about wages for local employees. In considering sustainability, a company would need to consider these broader factors in their decision. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Chapter Highlights 1 Capacity planning is deciding on the maximum output
rate of a facility.
· Location analysis is deciding on the best location for a facility.
· Capacity planning and location analysis decisions are often made simultaneously because the location of a facility is usually related to its capacity. When a business decides to expand, it usually also addresses the issue of where to locate. Th ese decisions are very important because they require long-term invest- ments in buildings and facilities, as well as a sizable fi nancial outlay. Also, if capacity planning and loca- tion analysis are not done properly, a business will not be able to meet customer demands or may fi nd
that it is losing customers due to lack of proximity to the market.
2 In both capacity planning and location analysis, man- agers must follow a three-step process to make a good decision. The steps are assessing needs, developing alternatives, and evaluating alternatives.
3 To choose between capacity planning alternatives managers may use decision trees, which are a mod- eling tool for evaluating independent decisions that must be made in sequence.
4 Key factors in location analysis include proximity to customers, transportation, source of labor, com- munity attitude, and proximity to supplies. Service and manufacturing firms focus on different factors.
Think of a supply chain as a pipeline that supplies a certain level of customer demand. In order for the pipeline to sat- isfy this demand, the pipeline must fl ow smoothly without dis- ruption. This can only happen if capacity is uniform throughout the entire supply chain and is matched between entities. For example, a manufacturer must make sure that the capacity of its suppliers is suffi cient to meet its own capacity needs and that there is no gap in product delivery.
The link to supply chains also ties to the location de- cision. Many fi rms locate close to their source of supply or require their suppliers to locate in close proximity to them. Recall that Dell requires its suppliers to be located within a 15-minute radius of its production facility. Without close proximity and a match in capacity between supply chain en- tities, smooth fl ow throughout the supply chain would not be possible. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
Solved Problems • 345
Profit-making and nonprofit organizations also focus on different factors.
5 Several tools can be used to facilitate location analy- sis. Factor rating is a tool that helps managers evaluate qualitative factors. The load–distance model and cen- ter of gravity approach evaluate the location decision
based on distance. Break-even analysis is used to evaluate location decisions based on cost values. The transportation method is an excellent tool for evalu- ating the cost impact of adding sites to the network of current facilities.
Key Terms
capacity 317
capacity planning 317
design capacity 319
eff ective capacity 320
capacity utilization 320
best operating level 321
economies of scale 321
diseconomies of scale 321
focused factories 322
capacity cushion 324
decision tree 325
expected value (EV ) 327
location analysis 328
globalization 331
factor rating 333
load–distance model 335
rectilinear distance 335
break-even analysis 339
Formula Review 1. ld = © lijdij
2. Utilizationeffective = actual output
effective capacity (100% )
3. Utilizationdesign = actual output
design capacity (100% )
4. Xc.g. = © li xi © li
Yc.g. = © li yi © li
5. Q = F
p − c
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
A manufacturer of ballet shoes has determined that its production facility has a design capacity of 300 shoes per week. Th e eff ective capacity, however, is 230 shoes per week. What is the manufacturer’s capacity utiliza- tion relative to both design and eff ective capacity if out- put is 200 shoes per week?
Before You Begin: Remember that utilization is com- puted as the ratio of actual output over capacity. Th e dif- ference between the two capacity measures is that one uses eff ective capacity and the other uses design capacity.
Solution:
Utilizationeffective = actual output
effective capacity (100% )
= 200
230 (100% ) = 86.9%
Utilizationdesign = actual output
design capacity (100% )
= 200
300 (100% ) = 66.7%
Th e utilization rates computed show that the facility’s current output is comfortably below its design capac- ity. It is also slightly below eff ective utilization, which means that the manufacturer is not using capacity to its fullest extent.
346 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
PROBLEM 2
EKG Software Development Corporation has deter- mined that it needs to expand its current capacity. Th e decision has come down to whether to expand now with a large facility, incurring additional costs and tak- ing the risk that the demand will not materialize, or to undertake a small expansion, knowing that the decision will have to be reconsidered in fi ve years. Management has estimated the following chances for demand:
• Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.60.
• Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.40.
Profi ts for each alternative have been estimated:
• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either $1,000,000 or $600,000, depending on whether demand turns out to be high or low.
• Small expansion has a profi tability of $500,000, assuming that demand is low.
• Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to expand further. If the company expands at that point, the profi tability is expected to be $700,000. If it does not expand further, the profi tability is expected to be $500,000.
Before You Begin: Always begin a decision tree problem by drawing a decision tree diagram and adding the infor- mation that you are given. Th en you can proceed to eval- uate it.
Solution: To solve this problem we need to draw the decision tree and evaluate it. A decision tree for this prob- lem is shown in Figure 9.7. We read the diagram from left to right, with node 1 representing the fi rst decision point: expanding with a large facility or expanding small. Following each decision are chance events, which are the occurrence of either high or low demand. Th e probabil- ities for each event are shown on each branch. Notice that decision point 2 is where we may have to make our second decision, but only if we expand small now and demand turns out to be high. Th en in fi ve years we would decide whether to expand further. Th e estimated profi ts are shown in the right margins. We can see that at node 2 we should decide to expand further because the profi ts from that decision are higher ($700,000 versus $500,000). Th e expected value (EV ) of profi ts at that point is writ- ten below node 2. Th e dollar amounts at the end of each alternative are the estimated profi ts.
Expand $700,000
Do not expand $500,000
Low demand (0.40) $500,000
Low demand (0.40) $600,000
High demand (0.60) $1,000,000
High demand (0.60) ($700,000)
($620,000)
($840,000)
1
2
Sm all
ex pa
ns ion
Large expansion
FIGURE 9.7 Decision tree for EKG Corporation
Solved Problems • 347
PROBLEM 3
As a recent business school graduate, you are consider- ing two job opportunities that both require relocation. Th e two jobs are identical and have the same career potential. Th erefore, your decision will be based on an evaluation of the two locations. You have decided to use factor rating to make your decision and have iden- tifi ed the most important factors. You have also placed a weight on each factor that refl ects its importance and have developed a factor score for each location based on a fi ve-point scale. Th is information is shown in the table. Using the procedure for factor rating, complete the table.
Before You Begin: To solve this problem, for each loca- tion multiply the weight of the factor by the score for that
Now that we have drawn the decision tree, let’s see how we can solve it. We do this by computing the expected value (EV ) of the small and large expansions:
EVsmall expansion = 0.60 ($700,000) + 0.40 ($500,000)
= $620,000
factor and sum the results for each alternative. Th en select the alternative with the highest score.
Solution: Th e completed factor rating spreadsheet is shown on the next page.
Factor Factor Weight
Factor Score at Each Location Location
1 Location
2 Cost of living 10 5 2 Proximity to family 20 4 2 Climate 30 2 5 Transportation system 10 5 3 Quality of life 30 3 5
EVlarge expansion = 0.60 ($1,000,000) + 0.40 ($600,000)
= $840,000
A large expansion now gives us a higher expected value.
1
2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
A B C D E F
Job Opportunity Location Analysis
Factor Location 1 Location 2 Factor Weight
Cost of Living 5 2 10 Proximity to Family 4 2 20 Climate 2 5 30 Transportation System 5 3 10 Quality of Life 3 5 30
Total 100
Compute Weighted Factor Scores and Overall Scores for Each Location
Factor Location 1 Location 2 Cost of Living 50 20 Proximity to Family 80 40 Climate 60 150 Transportation System 50 30 Quality of Life 90 150 Totals 330 390
Best Total Score 390 Best Location Location 2
Factor Scores (1-5 scale)
Weighted Factor Scores
D11: =SUM(D6:D10)
B16: =B6*$D6 (copied to B16:C20)
B21: =SUM(B16:B20) (copy right)
B23: =MAX(B21:C21)
B24: =INDEX(B15:C15,MATCH(B23,B21:C21,0))
Based on these results, you should move to location 2.
348 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
PROBLEM 4
Shoeless Joe is a specialty retailer that is deciding where to locate its new facility. Th e annual fi xed and variable costs for each site under consideration have been esti- mated as follows:
Location Fixed Costs Variable Costs
A $70,000 $1/unit
B $34,000 $5/unit
C $20,000 $8/unit
D $50,000 $4/unit
If demand is expected to be 2000 units, which location is best?
Before You Begin: To solve this problem, you must fi rst determine fi xed and variable costs and add them to
compute total cost. Th en select the location with the low- est total cost.
Solution: For Q = 2000 units, we compute the follow- ing total costs for each location:
Location Fixed Costs Variable Costs Total Cost
A $70,000 $1 (2000) $72,000
B $34,000 $5 (2000) $44,000
C $20,000 $8 (2000) $36,000
D $50,000 $4 (2000) $58,000
Shoeless Joe should locate at location C because it pro- vides the lowest total cost for the expected demand of 2000 units.
Discussion Questions
1. Explain why capacity planning is important to a business.
2. Explain the diff erences between design capacity and eff ective capacity.
3. How is capacity utilization computed, and what does it tell us?
4. What are the steps in capacity planning?
5. What are decision trees, and how do they help us make better decisions?
6. Find and discuss business examples of overcapacity and undercapacity.
7. Explain the consequences of poor location decisions for a business.
8. Find examples of good and bad location decisions.
9. Describe three advantages and three disadvantages of globalization.
10. Describe the steps used to make location decisions.
11. Describe fi ve factors that should be considered in the location decision.
12. Explain the diff erences among factor rating, the load– distance model, and break-even analysis. What criteria does each method use to make the location decision?
Problems 1. Joe’s Tasty Burger has determined that its production
facility has a design capacity of 400 hamburgers per day. Th e eff ective capacity, however, is 250 hamburgers per day. Lately Joe has noticed that output has been 300 hamburgers per day. Compute both design and eff ective capacity utilization measures. What can you conclude?
2. A manufacturer of printed circuit boards has a design capacity of 1000 boards per day. Th e eff ective capacity, however, is 700 boards per day. Recently, the produc- tion facility has been producing 950 boards per day. Compute the design and eff ective capacity utilization measures. What do they tell you?
3. Beth’s Bakery can comfortably produce 60 brownies in one day. If Beth takes some unusual measures, such as hiring her two aunts to help in the kitchen and work overtime, she can produce up to 100 brownies in one day. (a) What are the design and eff ective capacities for
Beth’s Bakery? (b) If Beth is currently producing 64 brownies,
compute the capacity utilization for both measures. What can you conclude?
4. Th e town barber shop can accommodate 35 customers per day. Th e manager has determined that if two ad- ditional barbers are hired, the shop can accommodate
Problems • 349
80 customers per day. What are the design and eff ective capacities for the barber shop?
5. Th e design and eff ective capacities for a local paper manufacturer are 1000 and 600 pounds of paper per day, respectively. At present, the manufacturer is pro- ducing 500 pounds per day. Compute capacity utiliza- tion for both measures. What can you conclude?
6. Th e design and eff ective capacities for a local emergency facility are 300 and 260 patients per day, respectively. Currently, the emergency room processes 250 patients per day. What can you conclude from these fi gures?
7. Th e Steiner-Wallace Corporation has determined that it needs to expand in order to accommodate grow- ing demand for its laptop computers and tablets. Th e decision has come down to either expanding now with a large facility, incurring additional costs and taking the risk that the demand will not materialize, or ex- panding small, knowing that in three years manage- ment will need to reconsider the question.
Management has estimated the following chances for demand:
• Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.60.
• Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.40.
Profi ts for each alternative have been estimated as follows:
• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either $100,000 or $60,000, depending on whether demand turns out to be high or low.
• Small expansion has a profi tability of $50,000, assuming that demand is low.
• Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to expand further. If the company expands at that point, the profi tability is expected to be $70,000. If it does not expand further, the profi tability is expected to be $45,000.
(a) Draw a decision tree showing the decisions, chance events, and their probabilities, as well as the profi tability of outcomes.
(b) Solve the decision tree and decide what Steiner- Wallace should do.
8. Th e owners of Sweet-Tooth Bakery have determined that they need to expand their facility in order to meet their increased demand for baked goods. Th e decision is whether to expand now with a large facility or expand small with the possibility of having to expand again in fi ve years.
Th e owners have estimated the following chances for demand:
• Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.70.
• Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.30.
Profi ts for each alternative have been estimated as follows:
• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either $80,000 or $50,000, depending on whether de- mand turns out to be high or low.
• Small expansion has a profi tability of $40,000, as- suming demand is low.
• Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to expand fur- ther. If the bakery expands at this point, the profi t- ability is to be $50,000.
(a) Draw a decision tree showing the decisions, chance events, and their probabilities, as well as the profi tability of outcomes.
(b) Solve the decision tree and decide what the bakery should do.
9. Demand has grown at Dairy May Farms, and it is considering expanding. One option is to expand by purchasing a very large farm that will be able to meet expected future demand. Another option is to expand the current facility by a small amount now and take a wait-and-see attitude, with the possibility of a larger expansion in two years.
Management has estimated the following chances for demand:
• Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.70.
• Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.30.
Profi ts for each alternative have been estimated as follows:
• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either $40,000 or $20,000, depending on whether de- mand turns out to be high or low.
• Small expansion has a profi tability of $15,000, as- suming that demand is low.
• Small expansion with an occurrence of high de- mand would require considering whether to expand further. If the company expands at that point, the profi tability is expected to be $35,000. If it does not expand further, the profi tability is expected to be $12,000.
(a) Draw a decision tree diagram for Dairy May Farms. (b) Solve the decision tree you developed. What
should Dairy May Farms do? 10. Spectrum Hair Salon is considering expanding its busi-
ness, as it is experiencing a large growth. Th e question is whether it should expand with a bigger facility than needed, hoping that demand will catch up, or with a small facility, knowing that it will need to reconsider expanding in three years.
350 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
Th e management at Spectrum has estimated the following chances for demand:
• Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.70.
• Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.30.
Estimated profi ts for each alternative are as follows:
• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either $100,000 or $70,000, depending on whether demand turns out to be high or low.
• Small expansion has a profi tability of $50,000, as- suming that demand is low.
• Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to expand fur- ther. If the business expands at this point, the profi t- ability is expected to be $90,000. If it does not expand further, the profi tability is expected to be $60,000.
Draw a decision tree and solve the problem. What should Spectrum do?
11. Jody of Jody’s Custom Tailoring is considering expand- ing her growing business. Th e question is whether to expand with a bigger facility than she needs or with a small facility, knowing that she will have to reconsider expanding in three years.
Jody has estimated the following chances for demand:
• Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.50.
• Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.50.
She has also estimated profi ts for each alternative:
• Large expansion has an estimated profi tability of either $200,000 or $100,000, depending on whether demand turns out to be high or low.
• Small expansion has a profi tability of $80,000, as- suming that demand is low.
• Small expansion with an occurrence of high demand would require considering whether to expand further. If the business expands at that point, the profi tability is expected to be $120,000. If it does not expand fur- ther, the profi tability is expected to be $70,000.
Draw a decision tree and solve it. What should Jody’s Custom Tailoring do?
12. Th e owners of Speedy Logistics, a company that provides overnight delivery of documents, are consid- ering where to locate their new facility in the Midwest. Th ey have narrowed their search down to two loca- tions and have decided to use factor rating to make their decision. Th ey have listed the factors they con- sider important and assigned a factor score to each location based on a fi ve-point scale. Th e information is shown here. Using the procedure for factor rating, decide on the better location.
Factor Factor Weight
Factor Score at Each Location
Location 1 Location 2
Proximity to airport 40 5 3 Proximity to road access
30 4 1
Proximity to labor source
10 3 5
Size of facility 20 2 4
13. Sue and Joe are a young married couple who are consid- ering purchasing a new home. Th eir search has been re- duced to two homes that they both like at diff erent loca- tions. Th ey have decided to use factor rating to help them make their decision. Th ey have listed the factors they consider important and assigned a factor score to each location based on a fi ve-point scale. Th e information is shown here. Using the procedure for factor rating, com- plete the table and help Sue and Joe make their decision.
Factor Factor Weight
Factor Score at Each Location
Location 1 Location 2
Proximity to work 10 5 2 Proximity to family 20 4 2 Size of home 30 2 5 Transportation system
10 5 3
Neighborhood 30 3 5
14. Th e Bakers Dozen Restaurant is considering opening a new location. It has considered many factors and identifi ed the ones that are most important. Two loca- tions are being evaluated based on these factors, using factor rating. Each location has been evaluated relat- ive to the factors on a fi ve-point scale. Th ese numbers are shown here. Use factor rating to help the restaur- ant decide on the better location.
Factor Factor Weight
Factor Score at Each Location
Location 1 Location 2
Proximity to customers
30 5 2
Proximity to competition
10 4 2
Proximity to labor supply
30 2 5
Transportation system
20 5 3
Quality of life 10 3 5
Case: Data Tech, Inc. • 351
15. Joe’s Sports Supplies Corporation is considering where to locate its warehouse in order to service its four stores in four towns: A, B, C, and D. Two possible sites for the warehouse are being considered, one in Jasper and the other in Longboat. Th e following table shows the distances between the two locations being con- sidered and the four store locations. Also shown are the loads between the warehouse and the four stores. Use the load–distance model to determine whether the warehouse should be located in Jasper or in Longboat.
Town Distance to Jasper
Distance to Longboat
Load between City and
Warehouse
A 30 12 15 B 6 12 10 C 10.5 30 12 D 4.5 24 8
16. Given here are the coordinates for each of the four towns to be serviced by the warehouse in Problem 15. Use the information from Problem 15 and the center of gravity method to determine coordinates for the warehouse.
Town Coordinates (X, Y )
A (4, 18) B (12, 2) C (10, 8) D (8, 15)
17. Shoeless Joe is a specialty retailer that is deciding where to locate a new facility. Th e annual fi xed and variable costs for each possible site have been estim- ated as follows:
Location Fixed Costs Variable Costs
A $70,000 $1/unit
B $34,000 $5/unit
C $20,000 $8/unit
D $50,000 $4/unit
If demand is expected to be 2000 units, which location is best?
18. Th e Quick Copy center for document copying is decid- ing where to locate a new facility. Th e annual fi xed and variable costs for each site it is considering have been estimated as follows:
Location Fixed Costs Variable Costs
A $85,000 $2/unit
B $49,000 $7/unit
C $35,000 $10/unit
D $65,000 $6/unit
If demand is expected to be 3000 units, which location is best?
Case: Data Tech, Inc.
Data Tech, Inc. is a small but growing company started by Jeff Styles. Data Tech is a business that transfers hard copies of documents, such as invoices, bills, or mailing lists, onto CDs. As more companies move to a paper- less environment, placing data on CDs is the wave of the future. Jeff had started the company in his two-car garage three years earlier by purchasing the necessary software and signing two large corporations as his fi rst customers. Now he was about to sign on two additional corporate customers. Suddenly what was a small garage operation was turning into a major business.
The Business
Th e operations function of Data Tech seems deceptively simple. Every day Data Tech receives packages of mail from corporate customers containing documents they want transferred to disc. Data Tech usually receives
anywhere from 10,000 to 30,000 pieces of mail per day that need to be processed. Th e fi rst step requires work- ers to unpack and sort the mail received. Next, workers scan each item through one of two scanning machines that transfer content to disc. An accuracy check is then made to ensure that information was transferred cor- rectly. Th is stage is particularly important as many of the documents contain important private information. Finally, the discs and the documents are packaged and sent back to the customer, with Data Tech keeping a backup disc for its records.
The Need for Capacity and Relocation
Running a full-time business out of his two-car garage is a challenge for Jeff Styles. Jeff has spent a great deal of time ensuring that the operation of Data Tech runs smoothly without any bottlenecks. He has been
352 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
successful, and his two original customers have just signed long-term contracts with him. In addition, he has acquired two additional customers. Th is means that Data Tech needs to move to a larger facility that could accommodate the larger size of the business.
Jeff has narrowed his search to three potential loca- tions. He has identifi ed the factors that are important to him and rated each location considering a number of criteria. Some factors are especially important, such as proximity to the postal service that delivers the daily packages. Another is closeness to the airport, as Jeff fre- quently travels to customer locations.
A factor that is particularly troubling for Jeff is the issue of capacity. Two of the locations he is consider- ing are larger than he currently needs and off er excess growth capacity. Th e third location would meet cur- rent capacity needs but would not off er ample room for expansion. He doesn’t know which is a better strategy. In his list of factor weights Jeff has made spaces for both capacity options, giving himself some time to think about the issues.
Th e information that Jeff has compiled is shown in the table.
Factor Factor Weight
Factor Score at Each Location
#1 #2 #3
Proximity to airport
20 3 4 4
Proximity to postal service
30 4 2 5
Facility with excess capacity
? 4 5 0
Facility with potential for expansion
? 0 1 5
Close to business community
10 5 4 4
Pleasant environment
10 3 4 4
To Expand Large or Small
Jeff is not sure how to evaluate whether he should focus on moving into a larger facility now or moving into a smaller facility with potential for expansion. He has estimated the following chances for demand: • Th e likelihood of demand being high is 0.70. • Th e likelihood of demand being low is 0.30. He also estimated profi tability for each alternative: • Moving into a large facility has a profi tability of
either $1,000,000 or $600,000, depending on whether demand turns out to be high or low.
• Moving into a small facility has a profi tability of $500,000, assuming that demand is low.
• Moving into a small facility would require consider- ing expanding if demand turned high. If Data Tech decided to expand at that point, profi tability would be $800,000. If it did not expand further, the profi tabil- ity would be $500,000.
Case Questions
1. Help Jeff decide whether he should give greater prior- ity to a smaller facility with possibility for expansion or move into a larger facility immediately. Decide on which is the best alternative and choose weights for the two capacity factors based on your fi ndings.
2. Once you have selected the factors for the two capacity alternatives, use factor rating to select a new location for Data Tech.
3. How would your factor analysis be diff erent if you had selected a diff erent capacity alternative?
Case: The Emergency Room (ER) at Northwest General (B)
Jenn Kostich, director of emergency services at North- west General Hospital, is faced with a decision on how to respond to a recent memo. Her response could aff ect the entire ER operation, and she wants to make sure it is prepared correctly.
The Problem
Jenn has just learned that the board of Northwest Gen- eral has approved plans for a large remodeling and expansion project. All department directors of the
hospital have been asked to provide an assessment of their capacity needs if they were requesting an increase in their departmental space. Th e directors were told to specify the amount of increase they required and provide justifi cation for the request. Th ey were also directed to base their requests on the average of their departments’ demand requirements.
Th e ER desperately needs more space, and Jenn is easily able to provide the needed documentation.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company • 353
However, she is not sure whether it is reasonable to base capacity requirements for the ER on average demand.
Background
Northwest General is the only major hospital in the area between Seattle and Vancouver. Its ER is always busy, since it is the only hospital servicing the local popula- tion and visitors during the long tourist season.
Th e area has been stable in population growth over the past 10 years. Th e area is also a signifi cant tourist destination for campers, hikers, and nature lovers. Dur- ing the tourist season—consisting of summer months ( June, July, and August), winter holidays (December), and spring break (March and April)—the population swells by as much as 30 percent.
Th e ER has been able to meet demand adequately during the nontourist season. However, it does not have suffi cient capacity to meet demand when tour- ists arrive. Th ese peak periods, amounting to 6 out of
12 months, have been extremely diffi cult for the ER staff . Th e ER does not have enough space capacity for the large number of patients during these periods. Frequently, the ER has to resort to using hallways and closets for patient space. Th e staff feel that this is unac- ceptable, not to mention unsafe.
Th e capacity problems occur only during the busy tourist season. Computing the average of the capacity requirements does not reveal this problem, as the peak demands are averaged with the lower demands during the nontourist season.
Case Questions
1. Discuss the pros and cons of using average demand to assess capacity requirements. Is this a reasonable approach for the ER?
2. Make a recommendation for Jenn as to what she should do and the information that she should pro- vide in her request.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Capacity Analysis at Cruise International, Inc. Bob Bristol just called to congratulate you on your excellent work on the various assignments at CII. He now wants you to do some capacity analysis for Meghan Willoughby, the Chief Purser. Meghan is con- cerned about the capacity needed for the embarkation process. If there is too much capacity, it is an unneces- sary expense. However, if there is insuffi cient capacity, passengers are forced to wait in line for too long and their vacation starts with a negative experience. Th e amount of capacity is fl exible as Meghan negotiates
arrangements with the owners of the pier used, in terms of both square footage and the amount of time. Th is assignment will enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 9 of your textbook while preparing you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Capacity Analysis at CII
On-line Case: Capacity Planning at Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Capacity Analysis at Valley Memorial Hos- pital Bob Reilly just called to congratulate you on your excellent work on the various assignments at VMH. He now wants you to do some capacity analysis for Lee Jordan, director of the Medical/Surgical Nursing Unit. Lee has been concerned about the capacity of the beds in the maternity ward to meet the projected patient demand next year and wants some quick analysis done prior to exploring options for capacity expansion. Th e maternity ward currently has 80 beds and expects to admit about 9125 patients next year. On average, a
patient stays for three days. Lee wants you to address a few specifi c questions. Th is assignment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material in this chapter.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Capacity Analysis at Valley Memorial Hospital
www.wiley.com/college/reid
354 CHAPTER 9 • Capacity Planning and Facility Location
Internet Challenge: EDS Office Supplies, Inc.
EDS is a national distributor of offi ce supplies that delivers goods to department and specialty stores. It is planning to build a large distribution center in your state and is analyzing diff erent location sites. You have been assigned the task of selecting the major city in your state that you think should be the site of the new distri- bution center. Here are some facts to consider. At pres- ent EDS has no other distribution center in your state. Th e goal is to locate in a major city that has easy access
to major roadways; this will enable EDS to reach other destinations in the state. Although your decision will be subjective, be prepared to justify it. Go to the Internet to fi nd a map of your state. Analyze roadways, distances, and access to other locations. Th en use the Internet to get other information, such as traffi c patterns, popula- tions, and other geographic factors. Decide on the best location for the EDS distribution center and explain your decision.
Selected Bibliography
Berry, W.L., and T. Hill. “Linking Systems to Strategy,” Inter- national Journal of Operations and Production Manage-
ment, 12, 10, 1992, 3–15.
Drezner, Z. Facility Location: A Survey of Applications and Methods. New York: Springer, 2011.
Florida, R. “Lean and Green: Th e Move to Environmen- tally Conscious Manufacturing,” California Management Review, 39, 1, 1996, 80–105.
Francis, R.L., J.A. White, and L. McGinniss. Facility Layout and Location: An Analytical Approach, Second Edition. Englewood Cliff s, N.J.: Prentice Hall, 1991.
Meijboom, B., and B. Vos. “International Manufacturing and Location Decisions: Balancing Confi guration and Coordination Aspects,” International Journal of Opera- tions and Production Management, 17, 8, 1997, 790–805.
Pagell, M., and D.R. Krause. “A Multiple Method Study of Environmental Uncertainty and Manufacturing
Flexibility,” Journal of Operations Management, 17, 1999, 307–325.
Swink, M., and W.J. Hegarty. “Core Manufacturing Capabil- ities and Th eir Link to Product Diff erentiation,” Interna- tional Journal of Operations and Production Management, 18, 4, 1998, 374–396.
Upton, D.M. “Flexibility as Process Mobility: Th e Manage- ment of Plant Capabilites for Quick Response Manu- facturing,” Journal of Operations Management, 12, 1995, 205–224.
Ward, P.T., R. Duray, G.K. Leong, and C.C. Sum. “Business Environment, Operations Strategy and Performance: An Empirical Study of Singapore Manufacturers,” Journal of Operations Management, 13, 2, 1995, 99–115.
Wysocki, B. Jr. “Hospitals Cut ER Waits,” Wall Street Journal, July 3, 2002.
10 Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. The Hawthorne studies and human relations movement, Chapter 1.
2. Types of operations and their characteristics, Chapter 3.
3. The load–distance model for location planning, Chapter 9.
4. Measuring rectilinear distance, Chapter 9.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Defi ne layout planning and
explain its importance.
2 Identify and describe different types of layouts.
3 Describe the steps involved in designing a process layout.
4 Describe the two special cases of process layout.
5 Describe the steps involved in designing a product layout.
6 Explain the meaning of group technology (cell) layouts.
Facility Layout
W ouldn’t it be frustrating if every time you wanted to get a cup of coffee you had to go to one end of the kitchen to get a cup, then to another end to get the coffee, and then to a third end to get a spoon? What if
when you wanted to study you had to go to one room to get your backpack, then to another room to get your books, and then to a third room to get your writing material? What if when you went to your college cafeteria for lunch you had to go to one area of the cafeteria for a tray, then to another area for the plates, and then to yet another area for the utensils? You would be experiencing wasted energy and time, as well as disorganization due to poor layout planning. As you can see from these examples, your experience would be frustrating. Now imagine the same kinds
of problems in a company and you will appreciate the consequences of poor layout planning.
Proper layout plan- ning cuts costs by elimi- nating unnecessary steps and increasing efficiency. However, a good layout plan can do much more for a company by improv- ing worker attitude and creating a positive orga- nizational climate. Con- sider the SAS Institute, a software company known for having its facilities arranged for comfort and
enjoyment of its employees. The company has on-site child care facilities, a cafeteria with a pianist, a gym with a swimming pool, horseback riding, and a health clinic. The facility layout was designed to be aesthetically pleasing to the employees. The con- sequences have been high productivity and very low turnover. For this reason, SAS is regularly on Fortune magazine’s list of top companies to work for.
In this chapter you will learn why layout planning is important. You will also learn about different types of layouts and how to design them so as to maximize efficiency. •
355
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356 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
What Is Layout Planning? Layout planning is deciding on the best physical arrangement of all resources that consume space within a facility. These resources might include a desk, a work center, a cabinet, a per- son, an entire office, or even a department. Decisions about the arrangement of resources in a business are not made only when a new facility is being designed; they are made any time there is a change in the arrangement of resources, such as a new worker being added, a machine being moved, or a change in procedure being implemented. Also, layout planning is performed any time there is an expansion in the facility or a space reduction.
The arrangement of resources in a facility can significantly affect the productivity of a business. As you saw in the opening examples, a lot of wasted time, energy, and confusion can result from a poor layout. There are also other reasons layout planning is important. In many work environments, such as office settings, face-to-face interaction between workers is important. Proper layout planning can be critical in building good working relationships, increasing the flow of information, and improving communication. Similarly, in retail orga- nizations layout can affect sales by promoting visibility of key items and contributing to customer satisfaction and convenience. As you can see, layout planning affects many areas of a business, and its importance should not be underestimated.
In Chapter 3 we learned about different types of operations based on degree of prod- uct standardization and volume of output. We learned that there are two broad categories of operations: intermittent and repetitive processing systems. Intermittent processing systems are seen in organizations that produce a large variety of different products, each in low volume. An example is a typical job shop. On the other hand, repetitive processing systems are used to produce a small variety of standardized products in high volume. An example is an assembly line. As we will see in this chapter, the nature of a company’s opera- tions is directly related to the type of layout it uses.
Types of Layouts There are four basic layout types: process, product, hybrid, and fixed position. In this section we look at the basic characteristics of each of these types. Then we examine the details of designing some of the main types.
Process Layouts Process layouts are layouts that group resources based on similar processes or functions. This type of layout is seen in companies with intermittent processing systems. You would see a process layout in environments in which a large variety of items are produced in a low volume. Since many different items are produced, each with unique processing require- ments, it is not possible to dedicate an entire facility to each item. It is more efficient to group resources based on their function. The products are then moved from one resource to another, based on their unique needs.
The challenge in process layouts is to arrange resources to maximize efficiency and min- imize waste of movement. If the process layout has not been designed properly, many prod- ucts will have to be moved long distances, often on a daily basis. This type of movement adds nothing to the value of the product and contributes to waste. Any pair of work centers that have a large number of goods moved between them should be placed in close proximity to each other. However, this often means that some other work center will have to be moved out of the way. The process layout problem thus can become quite complex, since we are not only looking at the relationship of two resources at one time but at all our resources simultaneously.
Layout planning Deciding on the best physical arrangement of all resources that consume space within a facility.
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Intermittent processing systems Systems used to produce low volumes of many different products.
Repetitive processing systems Systems used to produce high volumes of a few standardized products.
Process layouts Layouts that group resources based on similar processes or functions.
Types of Layouts • 357
Process layouts are very common. A hospital is an example of process layout. Depart- ments are grouped based on their function, such as cardiology, radiology, laboratory, oncol- ogy, and pediatrics. The patient, the product in this case, is moved between departments based on his or her individual needs. A university is another example. Colleges and depart- ments are grouped based on their function. You, the student, move between departments based on the unique program you have chosen. Another example is a metalworking shop, where resources such as drills, welding, grinding, and painting are each grouped based on the function they perform. Other examples include a printing facility that prints books, magazines, and newspapers, or a bakery that makes many different baked goods.
Recall that process layouts are designed to produce many different items, often to cus- tomer specifications. To achieve this goal they have certain unique characteristics:
1. Resources used are general-purpose. Th e resources in a process layout need to be capable of producing many diff erent products.
2. Facilities are less capital intensive. Process layouts have less automation, which is typically devoted to the production of one product.
3. Facilities are more labor intensive. Process layouts typically rely on higher-skilled workers who can perform diff erent functions.
4. Resources have greater fl exibility. Process layouts need to have the ability to easily add or delete products from their existing product line, depending on market demands.
5. Processing rates are slower. Process layouts produce many diff erent products, and there is greater movement between workstations. Consequently, it takes longer to produce a product.
6. Material handling costs are higher. It costs more to move goods from one process to another.
7. Scheduling resources is more challenging. Scheduling equipment and machines is particularly important in this environment. If it is not done properly, long waiting lines can form in front of some work centers while others remain idle.
8. Space requirements are higher. Th is type of layout needs more space due to higher inventory storage needs.
Improper design of process layouts can result in costly inefficiencies, such as high material handling costs. A good design can help bring order to an environment that might otherwise be very chaotic.
The importance of a good process layout is illustrated by Wal-Mart, a company that has revolutionized retailing. A great deal of thought and analysis went into designing the layout of the Wal-Mart facilities. Most Wal-Mart locations have the same layout to provide predict- ability and comfort to customers. As in most retail operations, the merchandise is grouped by cat- egory. For example, all shoes are grouped in one location, as are clothing items, stationery, and snack items. However, Wal- Mart layouts provide for maximum use of floor space. For example, the layouts are designed with multiple narrow aisles as opposed to a smaller number of wide aisles. The reason is to maximize customer exposure to merchandise. Also, Wal-Mart makes maximum use of height to store inventory and give product visibility to customers. These are some of the rea- sons Wal-Mart is the world’s largest retailer today.
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358 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
Product Layouts Product layouts are layouts that arrange resources in a straight-line fashion to promote efficient production. They are called product layouts because all resources are arranged to meet the production needs of the product. This type of layout is used by companies that have repetitive processing systems and produce one or a few standardized products in large volume.
Examples of product layouts are seen on assembly lines, in cafeterias, or even at a car wash. In product layouts the material moves continuously and uniformly through a series of workstations until the product is completed. The challenge in designing product layouts is to arrange workstations in sequence and designate the jobs that will be performed by each station in order to produce the product in the most efficient way possible. Operations managers must decide exactly what tasks will be performed by every workstation in the sequence. They need to consider the logical order in which jobs should be done. For exam- ple, at a car wash you cannot perform drying before you have performed washing. Managers also need to consider how fast production occurs and how many units can be processed through the system. The faster production occurs, the more units that can be processed through the system.
Remember that product layouts are designed to produce one type or just a few types of products in high volume. Product layouts have the following characteristics:
1. Resources are specialized. Product layouts use specialized resources designed to produce large quantities of a product.
2. Facilities are capital intensive. Product layouts make heavy use of automation, which is specifi cally designed to increase production.
3. Processing rates are faster. Processing rates are fast, as all resources are arranged in sequence for effi cient production.
4. Material handling costs are lower. Due to the arrangement of work centers in close proximity to one another, material handling costs are signifi cantly lower than for process layouts.
5. Space requirements for inventory storage are lower. Product layouts have much faster processing rates and less need for inventory storage.
6. Flexibility is low relative to the market. Because all facilities and resources are specialized, product layouts are locked into producing one type of product. Th ey cannot easily add or delete products from the existing product line.
The characteristic differences between process and product layouts are shown in Table 10.1.
TABLE 10.1 Characteristics of Process and Product Layouts
Process Layouts Product Layouts
Able to produce a large number of different products.
Able to produce a small number of products effi ciently.
Resources used are general-purpose. Resources used are specialized.
Facilities are more labor intensive. Facilities are more capital intensive.
Greater fl exibility relative to the market. Low fl exibility relative to the market.
Slower processing rates. Processing rates are faster.
High material handling costs. Lower material handling costs.
Higher space requirements. Lower space requirements.
Product layouts Layouts that arrange resources in sequence to allow for an effi cient buildup of the product.
Types of Layouts • 359
The importance of an efficient product layout can be seen at the Toy- ota Motor Corporation, the leader of just-in-time production. Toyota had pioneered the pull production system in the 1970s, which has been widely used in practice. The work centers are arranged in a line fashion and are in close proximity to one another, allow- ing easy transfer of work between sta- tions. On the production line, a worker with any problem (e.g., a product defect or a malfunctioning machine) can pull a cord that summons a team leader to address the problem. The line has been designed so that workers can easily communicate their needs to one another. Upstream workers can respond to “pull” signals from workers downstream who require orders of goods. Also, the layout of the facility is designed so that workers can see each other, as visibility of the operation is considered highly important. Toyota’s system is focused on eliminating waste from every aspect of the operation, which is the factor that has contributed to Toyota’s large success.
Hybrid Layouts Hybrid layouts combine aspects of both process and product layouts. This is the case in facilities where part of the operation is performed using an intermittent processing system and another part is performed using a repetitive processing system. For example, Winnebago, which makes mobile campers, manufactures the vehicle itself as well as the curtains and bedspreads that go into the camper. The vehicles are produced on a typical assembly line, whereas the curtains and bedspreads are made in a fabrication shop that uses a process layout. Hybrid layouts are very common. Often, some elements of the operation call for the production of standardized parts, which can be produced more efficiently in a product lay- out, whereas other parts need to be made individually in a process layout.
Hybrid layouts are often created in an attempt to bring the efficiencies of a product layout to a process layout environment. To develop a hybrid layout, we can try to identify parts of the process layout operation that can be standardized and produce them in a prod- uct layout format. One example of this is called group technology (GT) or cell layouts. First, families of products that are similar in their processing characteristics and resource requirements are identified. Managers can then create cells, or small product layouts, that are dedicated to the production of these families of products. This approach brings greater efficiency to the process layout environment. Later in the chapter we will learn more about group technology.
Other examples of hybrid layouts can be seen in everyday life. For example, retail stores and grocery stores use hybrid layouts. In these environments, goods such as dairy items, meat, or produce are stored based on their function. From that standpoint these are process layouts. However, the layout is also designed to consider a path or sequence of purchases in a straight-line fashion, making it similar to a product layout. For example, pasta is stored immediately following spaghetti sauce.
Fixed-Position Layouts A fixed-position layout is used when the product is large and cannot be moved due to its size. All the resources for producing the product—including equipment, labor, tools, and all other resources—have to be brought to the site where the product is located. Examples of
Hybrid layouts Layouts that combine characteristics of process and product layouts.
Group technology (GT) or cell layouts Hybrid layouts that create groups of products based on similar processing requirements.
Fixed-position layout A layout in which the product cannot be moved due to its size and all the resources have to come to the production site.
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fixed-position layouts include building construction, dam or bridge construction, shipbuild- ing, or large aircraft manufacture. The challenge with a fixed-position layout is scheduling different work crews and jobs and managing the project. Project management is discussed more fully in Chapter 16.
Designing Process Layouts We have mentioned that the objective in designing process layouts is to place resources close together based on the need for proximity. This need could stem from the number of trips that are made between these resources or from other factors, such as sharing of infor- mation and communication.
There are three steps in designing process layouts:
STEP 1: Gather information.
STEP 2: Develop a block plan or schematic of the layout.
STEP 3: Develop a detailed layout.
Next we look at how each of these steps is performed.
Step 1: Gather Information The first step is to collect information that will be used to design an initial layout. Several kinds of information are needed.
Identify Space Needed The first piece of information to be collected is the amount of space needed for each of the organization’s key resources. At this stage, managers generally focus on larger resources, such as departments and work centers. Operations managers must identify the space requirements of each department relative to their capacity needs, such as size of equipment and number of employees, as well as circulation room, such as aisles.
Identify Available Space The available space of a facility is best seen by using a block plan, a schematic that shows the placement of departments in a facility. Using a block plan, we can visualize the available space and evaluate whether we can meet space needs. The current block plan for Recovery First is shown in Figure 10.1. The facility is 75 feet long
Block plan Schematic showing the placement of resources in a facility.
EXAMPLE 10.1 Recovery First Sports Medicine Clinic: Developing a Block Plan
Recovery First Sports Medicine Clinic is an outpatient medical facility that provides a variety of medical services to patients suffering from sports injuries. The services include exams and X-rays, physical therapy, and outpatient surgery. The departments housed in the medical facility and their exact space requirements in square feet are shown here:
Department Area Needed (Square feet)
A. Radiology 400
B. Laboratory 300
C. Lobby and waiting area 300
D. Examining rooms 800
E. Surgery and recovery 900
F. Physical therapy 1050
Total 3750
Designing Process Layouts • 361
by 50 feet wide, meaning that there are 3750 square feet of available space. The available space meets our total space requirements, but we will have to allocate more space to some departments. The first step in designing a process layout is to determine the best location of departments relative to one another. The easiest way to do this is to divide the available space into equal sizes to determine the departments’ relative location. Much later, in the detail design stage, we can give more or less space to individual departments based on need.
Identify Closeness Measures Recall that the main criterion in deciding the location of departments relative to one another is the importance of proximity between them. At this stage we need a measure of the importance of having any pair of departments in close proximity to one another. There are two simple tools that can be used for this purpose: a from–to matrix and a REL chart. Both provide measures of the importance of having any pair of resources, such as work centers or departments, close together. This information can be used to design a good layout.
A from–to matrix is a table that shows the number of trips or units of product moved between any pair of departments. Table 10.2 shows the from–to matrix for Recovery First, with daily trips made between each pair of departments. The number of trips between departments can be obtained in many ways—for example, from routing slips or order forms, by performing statistical sampling to determine frequencies, or by interviewing manage- ment. Note in Table 10.2 that all entries are above the diagonal of the matrix. Remember that we are interested in the total amount of movement between any two departments,
From–to matrix Table that gives the number of trips or units of product moved between any pair of departments.
TABLE 10.2 From–To Matrix for Recovery First
Trips between Departments
Department A B C D E F
A. Radiology — — — 45 12 25
B. Laboratory — — 45 14 5
C. Lobby and waiting area — 50 20 43
D. Examining rooms — — 12
E. Surgery and recovery —
F. Physical therapy —
A Radiology
B Laboratory
C Lobby &
Waiting Area
D Examining
Room
E Surgery & Recovery
75 × 50 feet
F Physical Therapy
FIGURE 10.1 Block plan for Recovery First
362 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
regardless of direction. Therefore, the matrix has consolidated movements from both direc- tions. For example, the total number of trips between departments A and D is 45. This could mean that 20 trips are being made from A to D and 25 trips from D to A. However, for our purpose here we are not concerned with the direction of the trips, but only with the total number of trips in order to measure the importance of having these departments close together.
Another tool that can be used to provide information about the importance of proximity is a REL chart, short for relationship chart. A REL chart is a tool that reflects opinions of managers with regard to the importance of having any two departments close together. It is a good tool to use when we need to consider the judgments of managers in deciding where to locate departments. This would be the case when other factors need to be considered in making a location decision, such as communication in an office setting, face-to-face con- tact, or customer access as in retail businesses. In these environments it is often impossible to obtain numerical values of product flow. Using a relationship chart to develop acceptable layouts is part of a classic layout technique called systematic layout planning (SLP). A REL chart can be used in much the same way as a from–to matrix.
A REL chart for Recovery First is shown in Table 10.3. The importance of having depart- ments close together is calculated using a predetermined scale, which is shown with the table. Values in the chart can be obtained by interviewing management and staff.
Finally, in addition to considering closeness information, a company needs to take into account other information when making layout decisions. It is very common not to be able to move certain departments due to physical constraints. For example, Recovery First has decided not to move department C, the lobby and waiting area, because it is closest to the parking lot.
Now that we have collected all the needed information, let’s move to the next step in designing a process layout.
REL chart Table that refl ects opinions of managers with regard to the importance of having any two departments close together.
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TABLE 10.3 REL Chart for Recovery First
Closeness Rating between Departments
Department A B C D E F
A. Radiology — U U 0 A(2) 0
B. Laboratory — U 0 I(3) U
C. Lobby and waiting area — E(1) X(4) I(1)
D. Examining rooms — 0 I(1)
E. Surgery and recovery 0
F. Physical therapy —
Explanation of Rating Codes
Rating Defi nition Code Meaning
A Absolutely necessary 1 Patient convenience
E Especially important 2 Sharing of medical staff
I Important 3 Access to equipment
O Ordinary closeness 4 Patient privacy
U Unimportant
X Undesirable
Designing Process Layouts • 363
Step 2: Develop a Block Plan The next step in the layout planning process is to develop a new block plan or a better block plan than the one already in existence. A block plan can be developed either by trial and error or by choosing from a variety of decision-support tools. We will first use trial and error to develop a better block plan for Recovery First. When the layout problem is small in scope, trial and error can work well. However, when the layout problem is large, it may be necessary to rely on available software. Regardless of whether you choose to use software to make your layout deci- sions, it is important to understand the logic behind trial and error, because decision-support tools are based on heuristics that use logic similar to that used in trial and error. To understand how the decision-support tools work, you need to understand the trial-and-error process.
Using Trial and Error Recall that the goal is to develop a layout that places departments close together that have been identified as needing close proximity by either the from–to matrix or the REL chart. Recovery First has decided to develop a layout that minimizes the number of trips made in order to improve its efficiency. We will use information in the from–to matrix in Table 10.2 to identify critical pairings of departments.
Looking at the from–to matrix, we begin by identifying pairs of departments that need to be located close together. We look for pairs of departments with a high number of trips between them. From Table 10.2 we can identify the following pairs of departments:
Departments C and D, which have 50 trips between them Departments A and D, which have 45 trips between them Departments B and D, which have 45 trips between them Departments C and F, which have 43 trips between them
These departments have a much higher number of trips between them compared to the other department pairs. However, note that this is an arbitrary decision, one that uses judg- ment. If the trips are close in numerical value, the operations manager can use information from the REL chart to decide on critical pairings of departments.
Based on these criteria, we can propose the block plan shown in Figure 10.2. This plan appears to meet set criteria, but how do we know whether it is indeed better than the cur- rent layout? We need a way to measure its effectiveness quantitatively. We can do this by using the load–distance model that was discussed in Chapter 9. The model is shown in Table 10.4. Recall that relative locations can be compared by computing the ld score, which is obtained by multiplying the load for each department by the distance traveled and then summing over all the departments. The resulting score is a surrogate measure for material handling, movement, or communication. Our goal is to make the ld score as low as possible by reducing the distance large loads have to travel.
Load–distance model A procedure for evaluating location alternatives based on distance.
A Radiology
D Examining
Rooms
C Lobby &
Waiting Area
E Surgery & Recovery
B Laboratory
F Physical Therapy
FIGURE 10.2 Proposed block plan for Recovery First
364 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
The load is the number obtained from the from–to matrix; it shows the number of trips between departments. But how do we determine the distance? We can obtain the distance from the block plan. Because the size of each block is the same, we do not need to measure the distance in feet. Rather, to keep it simple we can use one block as a measure of distance. To measure the distance between departments, we typically use rectilinear distance, which we studied in Chapter 9. Remember that the rectilinear distance between any two loca- tions is the shortest distance using only north–south and east–west movements. Therefore, from our proposed block plan we can see that the distance between departments A and D is one block unit. Between A and C the distance is two block units, and between A and F it is three block units. Using this logic, let’s compute the load–distance score for the current and proposed layouts and decide which layout is better.
Table 10.5 shows computations of ld scores for both the current and proposed layouts for Recovery First. We can see that the proposed layout is better than the current one, as it has a lower ld score. In fact, the proposed layout is an almost 30 percent improvement over the current layout. To get the actual distance in feet, we could have multiplied the distance in
Rectilinear distance The shortest distance between two points measured by using only north–south and east–west movements.
TABLE 10.4 The Load–Distance Model
ld score for a layout = a lijdij
where lij = load between departments i and j, obtained from either the from–to matrix or the REL chart
dij = distance between departments i and j, obtained from a block plan
TABLE 10.5 ld Score Computations for Current and Proposed Layouts for Recovery First
Current Layout Proposed Layout
Departments
Number of Trips (obtained from
from–to matrix) l
Distance ( obtained from current block
plan) d Load–Distance
Score ld
Distance ( obtained from proposed block
plan) d Load–Distance
Score ld
A and D 45 1 45 1 45
A and E 12 2 24 1 12
A and F 25 3 75 3 75
B and D 45 2 90 1 45
B and E 14 1 14 1 14
B and F 5 2 10 1 5
C and D 50 3 150 1 50
C and E 20 2 40 3 60
C and F 43 1 43 1 43
D and F 12 2 24 2 24
Total 515 373
Designing Process Layouts • 365
the figure by 25, as each block is 25 feet long. However, multiplying both sides by 25 would not change their relative relationship.
The solution to the layout problem for Recovery First can also be solved using a spread- sheet, as shown.
A
A
A A A B B B C C C D
D E F D E F D E F F
B C D E F
A D C E B F
B C D E F G
Block Layout for Recovery First Clinic 1
2
3 4 5 6 7 8
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Existing Layout
Departments Distance Load-
Distance Load-
DistanceDistance Number of Trips
Proposed Layout
Proposed LayoutCurrent Layout
45 12 25 45 14 5
50 20 43 12
1 2 3 2 1 2 3 2 1 2
Total
45 24 75 90 14 10
150 40 43 24
515
1 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 1 2
Total
45 12 75 45 14 5
50 60 43 24
373
E10: =$C10*D10 (copied down, similar formulas for G10:G19)
E20: =SUM(E10:E19) (similar formula for G20)
Using Decision-Support Tools Using trial and error to develop a layout plan can often lead to satisfactory results. If we continued with trial and error in our example, we could find a solution that lowered the ld score even further. However, when dealing with layout problems of a more realistic size, we need to use decision-support tools. The reason is that the layout problem is a combinatorial problem. For a block plan of 6 departments, there are actually 6! different solutions, or 720 possible solutions. You can imagine how many layout alternatives there would be for a facility with 50 different departments.
A number of computer software packages can be used as decision-support tools in mak- ing the layout decision. Two of the most popular are ALDEP (automated layout design pro- gram) and CRAFT (computerized relative allocation of facilities technique). They are called decision-support tools because they use different heuristics to develop a solution. They do not give an optimal solution, and they consider only one criterion at a time in designing a layout. The best way to use these software packages is to consider the software solution as a starting point in developing a final layout.
ALDEP works from a REL chart. It constructs a layout within the boundaries of the facil- ity by trying to link together departments that have either an A or an E rating in the REL chart. Remember that an A rating stands for absolutely necessary and an E rating for espe- cially important. ALDEP uses this logic to link these departments together. The first depart- ment is selected randomly. To evaluate a layout, the computer program computes a score that is similar to the ld score we computed using trial and error. Depending on the starting point selected, many different layouts can be obtained.
ALDEP and CRAFT Computer software packages for designing process layouts.
366 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
CRAFT works differently from ALDEP. It is also a heuristic, but it uses a different logic to find a solution. CRAFT uses a from–to matrix and an existing layout as a starting point. It proceeds by making paired exchanges of departments that lead to a reduction of the ld score and continues in this manner until there are no more exchanges that can reduce the ld score. The solution with the lowest ld score is the final solution.
Many other sophisticated computer software packages for layout planning can be used to design office buildings, warehouses, and other large facilities. They are capable of designing layouts for multiple floors, and they can consider height for assigning storage locations, as in retail or warehousing. For example, SPACECRAFT is a modified version of CRAFT developed for designing multistory layouts. These software programs, includ- ing ALDEP and CRAFT, can work with a large number of departments of different sizes and shapes.
Step 3: Develop a Detailed Layout The last step in designing a process layout is the development of a detailed layout design. At this stage the block plan is translated into a more realistic schematic. We begin to consider exact sizes and shapes of departments and work centers. We also focus on specific work elements, such as desks, cabinets, and machines, as well as aisles, stairways, and corridors. Operations managers can use a variety of tools in this final stage; they include drawings, three-dimensional models, and computer graphics software.
Special Cases of Process Layout A number of unique cases of process layout require special attention. In this section we look at two special cases: warehouse layouts and office layouts.
Warehouse Layouts Warehouse layouts have the key characteristics of process layouts: products are stored based on their function, and there is movement of goods. The main difference is that move- ment within a warehouse is primarily between the loading/unloading dock and the areas where goods are stored. Typically, there is no movement between the storage areas them- selves; the primary function of a warehouse is to provide storage space, so the only move- ment is inbound or outbound. Think about a warehouse that stores computer equipment and supplies. Printers might be stored in one area, keyboards in another, and ink cartridges in a third. Certainly there would be no movement between the keyboard storage area and the area where ink cartridges are stored. The movement would consist of bringing items either in or out of the warehouse.
Storage Areas of Equal Sizes The primary decision in designing warehouse lay- outs is to decide where to locate individual departments relative to the dock. Using the same logic we used for process layouts in general, the goal is to assign depart- ments to locations in order to minimize the number of trips to the dock. As before, we need a from–to matrix that shows the number of trips. Since the movements are only between the departments and the dock, we simply locate the departments with the highest number of trips closest to the dock. Next, we locate the department with the second-highest number of trips in the next available space closest to the dock. We proceed in this manner until all the departments have been assigned. Example 10.2 illustrates a simple example.
Special Cases of Process Layout • 367
EXAMPLE 10.2 Green Grocer Makes Location Assignments
Green Grocer stores its dry goods in a nearby warehouse. The different categories of foods are stored in departments that each take up the same amount of space, shown in Figure 10.3. Given the available warehouse space and the number of trips made for each category of foods, Green Grocer needs to decide where to locate each department.
FIGURE 10.3 Warehouse storage areas for Green Grocer
Storage Storage Storage
Storage Storage
AisleDock
Storage
Department Food Category Trips to and from Dock
1 Canned goods 50
2 Cereals 63
3 Condiments 35
4 Diapers and baby products 55
5 Cookies and candies 48
6 Fruit and vegetable juices 60
• Before You Begin: Remember that when solving warehouse layouts the objective is to place the departments with the highest number of trips closest to the dock.
• Solution: To assign departments to specifi c storage areas, we progressively assign departments with the highest number of trips closest to the dock. Department 2 is placed closest because it has the highest number of trips. Next comes department 6, and so forth. Using this logic, we develop the block plan shown in Figure 10.4.
FIGURE 10.4 Block plan for Green Grocer warehouse
2 4 5
6 1
AisleDock
3
368 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
Storage Areas of Unequal Size In Example 10.2 all the departments required equal- sized storage areas. What would happen if the storage areas required were of different sizes? It is common for some departments to need more room than others based on the size of the product or volumes needed. Number of trips is not a good measure because it can be misleading. For example, if department A takes up 4 storage areas and makes 20 trips to the dock, it actually has fewer trips per area than department B, which takes up 1 storage area and makes 15 trips. The reason is that when trips per area are considered, department A only has 5 trips whereas B has 15.
To make location assignments when departments take up storage areas of unequal size, we need to follow these steps:
STEP 1: Take the ratio of the number of trips relative to the storage area required.
STEP 2: Use the ratios from Step 1 to make assignments. Assign the department with the highest ratio closest to the dock. Next, assign the department with the second-highest ratio second closest to the dock. Continue in this manner until all departments have been assigned.
Example 10.3 is another example of how this would work.
EXAMPLE 10.3 Looking Good Clothes Assigns Storage Areas
Looking Good Clothes is a clothing retailer for teenagers and young adults. The company is in the process of assigning storage areas in its warehouse in order to minimize the number of trips made to retrieve items needed. Following are the departments that need to be located, the number of trips made per week for each department, and the area needed by each department:
Department Trips to and from Dock Area Needed
1. Backpacks 160 2
2. Hiking boots 150 3
3. Jeans 100 1
4. T-shirts 120 1
5. Bomber jackets 270 3
The warehouse block plan is shown in Figure 10.5.
Storage Storage Storage
Storage Storage
AisleDock
Storage
Storage Storage
Storage Storage
FIGURE 10.5 Warehouse storage areas for Looking Good Clothes
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, follow the two-step process given for making location assignments when storage areas are of unequal size.
Special Cases of Process Layout • 369
Office Layouts Office layouts are another special case of process layouts. Merely looking at the number of trips between departments or the movement of goods is not sufficient to design a good office layout because human interaction and communication are the primary factors that need to be considered when designing office layouts. Recall from Chapter 1 that an impor- tant lesson learned from the Hawthorne studies in the 1930s was that workers respond greatly to their physical environment and have many psychological needs. This information, coupled with the fact that almost half of the workforce in the United States works in an office environment, makes office layouts very important.
Proximity versus Privacy One of the key trade-offs that has to be made in an office layout is between proximity and privacy. The ability of workers to communicate and interact with one another is highly important in an office environment. As companies increasingly embrace team approaches, open office environments are valued because they provide visibility and allow workers to interact easily. Studies have shown that work- ers who are in close proximity to one another have greater understanding, tolerance, and trust for one another.
• Solution:
STEP 1: Take the ratio of trips to the number of areas taken up by the department.
Department Trips to and from Dock Area Needed
Ratio of Trips to Area Needed
1. Backpacks 160 2 80
2. Hiking boots 150 3 50
3. Jeans 100 1 100
4. T-shirts 120 1 120
5. Bomber jackets 270 3 90
Total Area 10
STEP 2: Use the ratios from Step 1 to assign departments to storage areas. These are shown in the block plan in Figure 10.6.
3 5 5
4 5
AisleDock
1
1 2
2 2
FIGURE 10.6 Block plan for Looking Good Clothes warehouse
370 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
However, office layouts that enhance team interactions do not allow privacy. Often, employees need privacy to think and work quietly without being interrupted. Also, it may be difficult to have confidential conversations with coworkers and clients in an open office environment. When designing an office layout, these considerations must be addressed in order to enhance productivity.
Other Factors in Designing Office Environments One important consideration in designing any layout is flexibility. Flexible layouts remain desirable many years into the future or can be easily modified to meet changing demands. Traditional load-bearing walls provide privacy but do not provide flexibility. Partitions, on the other hand, are very flexible but do not offer privacy.
Companies are becoming more creative in meeting the needs of their employees, enhancing productivity, and designing flexible layouts. One option is to use what is com- monly called office landscaping. This entails using plants, decor, and indoor landscaping to provide natural-looking partitions and sections that allow for privacy and flexibility but still have the feel of an open office environment. In addition, the natural look of office landscap- ing provides a pleasant working environment.
We have described several different types of layouts. By now you should know how to design process layouts and under- stand the unique characteristics of warehouse and offi ce lay- outs. We will now learn how to design product layouts. Since
process and product layouts are very different, make sure you review these differences. Before proceeding further, also review the characteristics of product layouts.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
Designing Product Layouts Recall that product layouts arrange resources in sequence so that the product can be made as efficiently as possible. This type of layout is used in repetitive processing systems that produce a large volume of one standardized product.
Product layouts are completely different from process layouts. In product layouts the material moves continuously and uniformly through a sequence of operations until the work is completed. The sequence of operations allows for the simultaneous performance of work. When designing product layouts, our objective is to decide on the sequence of tasks to be performed by each workstation. To accomplish this we need to consider the logical order of the tasks to be performed and the time required to perform each task. Also, we need to consider the speed of the production process, which will tell us how much time there is at each workstation to perform the assigned tasks. This entire process is called line balancing. Next we will go through the steps that must be followed in designing product layouts.
Step 1: Identify Tasks and Their Immediate Predecessors The first step in designing product layouts is to identify the tasks or work elements that must be performed in order to produce the product. We also need to determine how long each task takes to perform and which tasks must be performed in sequence. The task or tasks that must be performed immediately before another task can be done are called the task’s immediate predecessor. We use an example to illustrate this point.
Flexible layouts Layouts that remain desirable many years into the future or can be easily modifi ed to meet changing demand.
Line balancing The process of assigning tasks to workstations in a product layout in order to achieve a desired output and balance the workload among stations.
Immediate predecessor A task that must be performed immediately before another task.
Designing Product Layouts • 371
EXAMPLE 10.4 Vicki’s Pizzeria and the Precedence Diagram
Vicki’s Pizzeria is planning to make boxed take-out versions of its famous pepperoni, sausage, and mushroom pizza. The pizzas will be made on a small assembly line. Vicki has identifi ed the tasks that need to be performed, the time required for each task, and each task’s immediate predecessor. This information is shown here:
Work Element Task Description Immediate
Predecessor Task Time
(in seconds)
A Roll dough None 50
B Place on cardboard backing A 5
C Spread sauce B 25
D Sprinkle cheese C 15
E Add pepperoni D 12
F Add sausage D 10
G Add mushrooms D 15
H Shrinkwrap pizza E, F, G 18
I Pack in box H 15
Total task time 165
Often it is helpful to have a visual representation of the precedence relationships between the tasks that need to be performed. This is called a precedence diagram. Figure 10.7 illustrates the precedence diagram for assembling Vicki’s pizzas. The diagram is read from left to right. The circles, or nodes, represent the tasks, and the arrows, or arcs, show the connections between them. Together, they show how the tasks are connected. To fi nd a task’s immediate predecessor, follow the arrows backward from your task. In the diagram you can see that the fi rst task that must be performed is task A. After A has been completed, B should be done. Next comes task C and then D. After task D, however, we can do either E, F, or G. However, to be able to complete task H, we must have completed all the predecessors of H—namely, E, F, and G. Finally, after all the other tasks have been completed, task I can be performed.
Precedence diagram A visual representation of the precedence relationships between tasks.
A B C D F H I
(50 sec) (5 sec) (25 sec) (15 sec) (10 sec)
(12 sec)
(15 sec)
(18 sec) (15 sec)
E
G
FIGURE 10.7 Precedence diagram for Vicki’s Pizzeria
372 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
Step 2: Determine Output Rate The next step is to determine how many units of product we wish to produce over a period of time, called the output rate. Then we can design a product layout that produces the desired number of units with as few work centers as possible and balance the workload at each workstation. In our example, Vicki has decided that she wishes to produce 60 pizzas per hour in order to meet her growing demand.
Notice that the total task time to produce 1 pizza is 165 seconds. If Vicki wants to per- form all nine work elements herself, her maximum output in 1 hour would be:
Maximum output = 3600 seconds�hour 165 seconds�unit
= 21.8 pizzas�hour
If Vicki wants to produce 60 pizzas in an hour, she will have to divide the work among a number of people working simultaneously at workstations to achieve her desired output rate. Let’s see what Vicki has to consider.
Step 3: Determine Cycle Time Cycle time is the maximum amount of time each workstation has to complete its assigned tasks. Cycle time also tells us how frequently a product is completed. Recall that in product layouts work is being performed on many workstations that are arranged in sequence. At the beginning of the line, workers are carrying out the initial stages of putting the product together. At the end of the line, the last steps of production are being completed. If you were to stop the process at any one point in time, you would find products at all stages of production, from raw materials through work-in-process, as well as completed products.
Cycle time is directly related to the volume that can be produced. The faster the cycle time (the lower its numerical value), the greater the output. A cycle time of 50 seconds means that each workstation has 50 seconds to perform its assigned tasks and that one unit is completed every 50 seconds. By contrast, a cycle time of 100 seconds would give more time to each workstation. It also means that a product would be completed every 100 sec- onds. You can see that by producing a unit every 50 seconds we will produce more units at the end of the day, as opposed to producing a unit every 100 seconds. Therefore, cycle time is directly related to output.
Output = available time
cycle time
General Cycle Time Equation Cycle time can be computed from the preceding equa- tion as follows:
Cycle time = C = available time
output
Computing Cycle Time When Output Is in Units per Hour Cycle time is generally computed in seconds per unit. Note that available time and output are measured over a period of time, such as per hour or per day. Remember that these need to be over the same time period for the computation to work. For example,
Cycle time (seconds�unit) = C = available time (seconds�hour)
output (units�hour)
Note that the “per hour” in the numerator cancels out the “per hour” in the denominator and the final measure is “seconds per unit.”
Output rate The number of units we wish to produce over a specifi c period of time.
Cycle time The maximum amount of time each workstation has to complete its assigned tasks.
Designing Product Layouts • 373
Computing Cycle Time When Output Is in Units per Day The same type of com- putation would be performed if we were given the desired output in units per day:
Cycle time (seconds�unit) = C = available time (seconds�day)
output (units�day)
As before, the “per day” in the numerator cancels out the “per day” in the denominator and the final measure is “seconds per unit.” The important thing is to use the same units in the denominator as in the numerator.
Now let’s compute the cycle time for Vicki’s assembly line. Vicki said that she wanted to produce 60 pizzas per hour as her desired output. We start with the general equation for cycle time. Then we substitute the specific numerical values and perform the computations:
Cycle time (seconds�unit) = C = available time (seconds�hour)
desired output (units�hour)
= 60 minutes�hour × 60 seconds�minute
60 units�hour
= 3600 seconds�hour
60 units�hour
= 60 seconds�unit
Vicki needs to have a cycle time of 60 seconds per unit to produce 60 pizzas in an hour. This means that each workstation has 60 seconds to perform its task. Also, this means that 1 completed pizza will be finished every 60 seconds. After 1 hour, Vicki will have 60 pizzas.
Relationship between Minimum Cycle Time (Bottleneck) and Maximum Output What if Vicki changed her mind and wanted to produce more than 60 pizzas per hour? This would mean that her cycle time would have to be faster (its numerical value would be lower), and pizzas would be produced more frequently than every 60 seconds. Per- haps she could lower the cycle time to 55 seconds or even 50 seconds. But what is the lowest possible value for the cycle time?
Note that if Vicki lowered the cycle time below 50 seconds, there would not be enough time to do task A, which requires 50 seconds. Therefore, given the current task times, 50 seconds is the lowest cycle time Vicki’s assembly line could have. Task A is the longest task and thus acts as a constraint. This is called the bottleneck. The bottleneck constrains the production process and determines the lowest or minimum cycle time.
Sometimes it is possible to reduce the bottleneck by splitting the task into smaller ones that can be done separately. For example, maybe our bottleneck task, which is rolling dough, can be divided into smaller tasks, such as placing dough on a floured board and rolling it out. However, there will always be a bottleneck. Once we eliminate one bottleneck, the next-longest task becomes the bottleneck.
The bottleneck is important because it provides the lowest limit on the cycle time. Cycle time is related to the amount of output; therefore, this minimum cycle time determines the maximum output that can be achieved given current tasks. The relationship can be derived as follows:
Maximum output = available time
minimum cycle time (bottleneck)
374 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
Using this equation, we can compute the maximum output Vicki can have on her assembly line given that task A (the bottleneck) takes 50 seconds:
Maximum output = 3600 seconds�hour
50 seconds�unit = 72 units�hour, or 72 pizzas per hour
The maximum that Vicki can produce on her assembly line is 72 pizzas per hour.
Maximum versus Minimum Cycle Time We learned that the minimum cycle time is equal to the bottleneck, or longest, task. In our example, the minimum cycle time was 50 units per second, resulting in an output of 72 pizzas per hour. This would require that the work be spread out over multiple workstations working simultaneously. The maximum cycle time is equal to the sum of the task times, or 165 seconds. As we saw earlier, this would result in the production of 21.8 pizzas per hour and would require that all tasks be per- formed at a single workstation.
The minimum and maximum cycle times are important because they establish the range of output for the production line. In our case, the range of output is between 21.8 and 72 pizzas per hour and is dependent on the cycle time. Vicki’s desired output, 60 pizzas per hour, falls within this range.
Step 4: Compute the Theoretical Minimum Number of Stations Before we decide to assign specific tasks to workstations, it is usually helpful to compute the theoretical minimum number of stations, or TM. The theoretical minimum number of stations is the number of workstations that would be needed if the line was 100 percent efficient. Rarely do we achieve 100 percent efficiency, and often we will have more stations than the theoretical minimum. However, computing this number gives us a baseline for the number of stations we should have. The computation for the theoretical minimum number of stations is as follows:
TM = ©t C
where Σt = sum of the task times needed to complete a unit C = cycle time
For Vicki’s assembly line, the theoretical minimum number of stations (TM ) is
TM = 165 seconds
60 seconds = 2.75, or 3 stations
Theoretical minimum numbers of stations that end with a fraction are always rounded up because there can be no partial workstations. Notice that the theoretical minimum number of stations results in the production of daily requirements when no inefficiency exists.
Step 5: Assign Tasks to Workstations (Balance the Line) Given the tasks we have to perform and their precedence relationships as well as the cycle time, we can now proceed to assign tasks to workstations. To do this, a number of rules can be used at this stage. We will use the longest task time rule, which basically states that when selecting from a group of tasks we should pick the task that takes the longest time. However, in practice a number of other rules can be used. Following are the basic steps in this process:
Theoretical minimum number of stations The number of workstations needed on a line to achieve 100 percent effi ciency.
Designing Product Layouts • 375
Steps Procedure for Assigning Tasks to Workstations
A Start with the fi rst station; make a list of eligible tasks to be performed, following precedence relationships.
B Select from the eligible task list by picking the task that takes the longest time (longest task time rule). If only one task is eligible, we do not need to use the rule.
C When the cycle time has been used up at one station or no tasks can be assigned to the remaining time, start a new station.
Let’s see how these steps apply to Vicki’s Pizzeria. A convenient method is to make a table with columns labeled Workstation, Eligible Task, Task Selected, Task Time, and Idle Time. We can then fill in the table by following the steps we have outlined and keeping a cycle time of 60 seconds. This is shown in Table 10.6.
Step 6: Compute Efficiency, Idle Time, and Balance Delay After tasks have been assigned to workstations, we should compute the efficiency of the arrangement. Efficiency is the ratio of total productive time divided by total time, given as a percentage:
Efficiency (%) = ©t NC
(100)
where Σt = sum of the task times N = number of workstations C = cycle time
Note that in this equation the numerator is the actual work time, whereas the denomina- tor is the time allocated for performing tasks. To improve efficiency, we try to assign as much work to the lowest number of workstations needed to produce the volume of product desired while keeping the workloads balanced.
Often it is helpful to compute the amount by which the efficiency of the line falls short of 100 percent. Called the balance delay, it is computed as follows:
Balance delay (%) = 100 − efficiency
Effi ciency The ratio of total productive time divided by total time, given as a percentage.
Balance delay The amount by which the line effi ciency falls short of 100 percent.
TABLE 10.6 Assignments of Tasks to Workstations for Vicki’s Pizzeria
Workstation Eligible Task Task Selected Task Time Idle Time
1 A A 50 10
B B 5 5
2 C C 25 35
D D 15 20
E, F, G G 15 5
3 E, F E 12 48
F F 10 38
H H 18 20
I I 15 5
Cycle time = 60 seconds
376 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
Other Considerations In designing process layouts we went from a crude block plan to the design of a detailed layout. Similarly, many details of product layout design need to be addressed in addition to the ones we have discussed.
Shape of the Line We know that product layouts arrange work centers in sequence to allow for efficient production. Even though this sequence is linear, the actual shape of the product layout usually is not one long, straight line. If it were, we would need an unusually long, straight building. Also, having a long, straight line may not be best from a productivity standpoint. Arranging the shape of the line so that workers can see and communicate with one another can improve productivity and worker satis- faction. The actual shape of the line can be an S shape, a U shape, an O, or an L. Much thought should go into the choice of an appropriate shape. For example, shapes such as U and O can store frequently used resources in the center, where they are accessible to everyone.
Paced versus Unpaced Lines Another issue to decide on is whether to have a paced or an unpaced line. On paced lines the product being worked on is physically attached to the line and automatically moved from one station to the next when cycle time elapses. The amount of time workers have to perform their tasks is identical to cycle time. Unpaced lines, on the other hand, allow the product to be physically removed from the line to be worked on. Workers can then vary the amount of time they spend working on the product. Storage areas for inventory are often placed between workstations, to be used when there is a delay in production at a station.
The work environment has a significant impact on worker satisfaction and produc- tivity. Some studies have found that unpaced lines lead to greater productivity when they are coupled with a good incentive program. This situation provides more auton- omy and freedom for workers. However, in some environments a paced line is the only option—for example, when the product is very large and cannot be moved. This would be the case when assembling large and heavy items such as a large refrigerator or an automobile.
Number of Product Models Produced Another consideration is whether to have a single-model or a mixed-model line. A single-model line is designed to produce only one version of a product. In contrast, a mixed-model line is designed to produce many ver- sions. For example, a single line might produce only Jeep Wranglers, whereas a mixed-model line might produce two types of Jeeps, such as the Wrangler and the Cherokee. A mixed model is more flexible, but there may be more complications with regard to scheduling and changing production from one model to the other.
Paced line A system in which the product being worked on is physically attached to the line and automatically moved to the next station when the cycle time has elapsed.
Single-model line A line designed to produce only one version of a product.
Mixed-model line A line designed to produce many versions of a product.
EXAMPLE 10.5 Computing Efficiency and Balance Delay
For Vicki’s assembly line, we can compute the effi ciency and balance delay:
Efficiency ( % ) = 165 seconds
3 stations × 60 seconds (100) =
165 180
= 91.66%
Balance delay ( % ) = 100 − 91.66 = 8.34%
Group Technology (Cell) Layouts • 377
Group Technology (Cell) Layouts Hybrid layouts combine characteristics of both process and product layouts. They are cre- ated whenever possible in order to combine the strengths of each type of layout. One of the most popular types of hybrid layouts is group technology (GT) or cell layouts. Group tech- nology has the advantage of bringing the efficiencies of a product layout to a process layout environment.
If we look at a company that produces many different products, we may find that some products are similar to each other in the way they are made and the resources they require. For example, a company may produce 500 different products. However, if we analyze how each of the products is manufactured, we may be able to create groups of products—say, one group of 150, another group of 100, and so on—that are very similar in the way they are produced. To be efficient, we could place all the resources needed for each group in a separate area, called a cell. The production of a group, or family, of items would be done very efficiently because all the resources required would be in close proximity. This is the goal of group technology.
Group technology is the process of creating groupings of products based on similar processing requirements. For example, Figure 10.8 shows parts that all belong to the same family. These parts are all different, but they are very similar in the way they are made. Group technology essentially creates small product layouts dedicated to the production of a group of items. Figure 10.9 shows process flows before and after the use of GT cells. The first picture is a process layout with different product routes for the many products a com- pany produces. The second picture shows the implementation of group technology in that environment. Cells have been created for each family, and there is a much more orderly flow through the facility.
Both process and product layouts have their strengths and weaknesses. Process layouts are fl exible and can produce many different kinds of products. Process layouts are less effi cient than product layouts because material handling costs can create much ineffi ciency. Product layouts, on the other hand, are less
fl exible because all their resources are devoted to the produc- tion of one type of product. However, they are very effi cient and create little waste. Make sure you understand these differences, because in the next section we will look at ways of combining some of the strengths of process and product layouts.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
Unorganized parts Parts organized by families
Turned parts
Geometric parts
Formed parts
FIGURE 10.8 Unorganized and organized parts
378 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
Facility Layout Within OM: How it all Fits Together
As you have learned in this chapter, layout decisions are directly related to issues of product design and process selection (Chapter 3). The company’s process dictates the type of layout the company will have. In turn, facility layout decisions are linked with a number of other operations decisions. One such issue is that of job design, as process layouts tend to require greater worker skills than do product layouts (Chapter 11). Another issue is the degree of automation, as product layouts tend to be more capital intensive and use more automation compared to process layouts (Chapter 3). Layout decisions are also affected by implementa- tion of just-in-time ( JIT) systems, which dictate a line flow and the use of group technology (GT) cells (Chapter 7). As layout decisions specify the flow of goods through the facility, they impact all other aspects of operations management.
Facility Layout Across the Organization We have seen in this chapter why layout planning is important for operations management. The production process could not run efficiently, and there would be much waste, if we did not design a proper layout for a facility. Layout planning is also important for other func- tions in the organization.
Marketing is highly affected by layout planning, particularly in environments where customers and clients come to the site. This is especially true in retail environments. The location and placement of goods in the facility, their visibility, and ease of access can greatly influence sales. In these types of environments the marketing of the product takes place, in part, through the layout of a facility. For example, attractive displays and product posi- tioning in a grocery store can promote advertising and sales. Thus, it is very important for marketing to work with operations in designing the layout.
MKT
(a) Process flows before the use of GT cells
(b) Process flows after the use of GT cells
W
M F F F
Welding
Milling
Raw materials
F Cell #1
W
F Cell #2
T
F Cell #3 M
HT
Forming Raw materials
Turning
Heat treatT HT
FIGURE 10.9 Process flows before and after the use of GT cells
Group Technology (Cell) Layouts • 379
Human resources knows how the management of people can be affected by layout planning. Studies have shown that people who work and interact together on a regular basis have better working relationships. Managers need to give much thought to which groups of people need to work closely together and place them in close proximity to one another to facilitate teamwork and cooperation.
Finance is involved whenever large financial outlays and cost considerations are at stake. This is certainly true in layout planning. Redesign of layouts can be very costly, partic- ularly if they are large scale, as when switching to an open office environment or a cell lay- out. Finance needs to measure the value of these investments and work with operations to create budgets. Finance must also understand the long-range implications of a good layout for the entire organization in order to evaluate them properly.
Everyone in the company is affected by the design of a facility’s layout. Whatever orga- nization you work at, you are somehow affected by its layout design, including the location of your office and department, the appearance of your office, and the degree of privacy you have. Also included are proximity to coworkers and other people you must interact with, whether you must travel long distances to get supplies or clerical assistance, and the aes- thetics of the layout. Regardless of what business function you are in, the degree of satisfac- tion with your work environment is greatly dependent on the layout.
HRM
FIN
In addition to promoting organizational effi ciency, facility layout can play a signifi cant role in improving organizational sustainability. Offi ce spaces use huge amounts of energy for lighting, heating, and air conditioning, and performing opera- tions. The facility design and layout—such as offi ce space designs with ample natural light, the use of cutting-edge insu- lation material, and the use of innovative recycled building material—can go a long way in reducing energy consumption and creating models of energy effi ciency.
An excellent example of savings that can be achieved through environmental layout design is seen in the offi ces of the National Resources Defense Council (NRDC). The NRDC has been a pioneer in the area of sustainability and wanted to showcase environmental principles through the design of its own offi ces, which incorporate green design features. For ex- ample, its New York offi ce space was on the top three fl oors of
a 12-story Art Deco building in a neighborhood with few sky- scrapers, selected for its abundance of natural light. The com- bination of this “free” light and energy using energy-effi cient technologies has cut energy consumption by 70 percent com- pared to conventional offi ces. Similar savings have been seen in its Washington offi ce, which showcases not only similar energy-effi ciency measures, but also the use of innovative building materials as compressed straw wall panels, counter- tops made of soybeans and recycled newspapers, and ceramic tile containing 70 percent recycled glass from windshields and plate glass. The result of these “green offi ces” has been an annual operating cost savings of $65,000 and energy savings of more than $1 per square foot. This illustrates that layout design with an eye toward sustainability not only helps the en- vironment but also has a direct positive impact on the bottom line. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Entities that make up a supply chain must be linked effi -ciently, with product fl owing smoothly throughout the chain. This includes effi cient shipments and deliveries between entities. Facility layout plays an important role in making sure this takes place. Arranging layouts for effi cient delivery of ma- terials to move directly to the production line is important. In locating the shipping and receiving docks, consideration must be given to the layout of the production facility and the shape of the production line to enable smooth fl ow between
inbound and outbound shipments and the production facility. Similarly, in the retail environment delivery of products must be done in a manner that enhances sales. For example, suppliers may deliver products on display-ready pallets to directly and effi ciently move the product into the retail fl ow, eliminating the need for unloading and stocking shelves. Arranging the facility layout to be linked to inbound and outbound shipments can greatly enhance the smooth fl ow of products throughout the supply chain. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
380 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
Chapter Highlights
Key Terms
layout planning 356
intermittent processing systems 356
repetitive processing systems 356
process layouts 356
product layouts 358
hybrid layouts 359
group technology (GT) or cell layouts 359
fi xed-position layout 359
block plan 360
from–to matrix 361
REL chart 362
load–distance model 363
rectilinear distance 364
ALDEP and CRAFT 365
fl exible layouts 370
line balancing 370
immediate predecessor 370
precedence diagram 371
output rate 372
cycle time 372
theoretical minimum number of stations 374
effi ciency 375
balance delay 375
paced line 376
single-model line 376
mixed-model line 376
Formula Review 1. ld score = ©lijdij
2. Cycle time = C = available time
output
3. Output = available time
cycle time
4. Maximum output = available time
minimum cycle time (bottleneck)
5. TM = ©t C
6. Efficiency (%) = ©t NC
(100)
7. Balance delay (%) = 100 − efficiency
1 Layout planning is deciding on the best physical arrangement of all resources that consume space within a facility. Proper layout planning is highly important for the efficient running of a business. Oth- erwise, there can be much wasted time and energy, as well as confusion.
2 There are four basic types of layouts: process, prod- uct, hybrid, and fixed position. Process layouts group resources based on similar processes or functions, as in a hospital or a machine job shop. Product layouts arrange resources in straight-line fashion, as on an assembly line. Hybrid layouts combine elements of both process and product layouts in their operation. Finally, fixed-position layouts occur when the product is large and cannot be moved.
3 The steps in designing a process layout are (1) gather- ing information about space needs, space availability, and closeness requirements of departments; (2) devel- oping a block plan or schematic of the layout; and (3) developing a detailed layout.
· Process layouts provide much fl exibility and allow for the production of many products with diff ering char- acteristics. Product layouts, on the other hand, provide great effi ciency when producing one type of product.
4 There are a few special cases of process layouts that need special and unique consideration. These are warehouse layouts and office layouts.
5 The steps in designing a product layout are (1) iden- tifying tasks that need to be performed and their immediate predecessors; (2) determining output rate; (3) determining cycle time; (4) computing the theoreti- cal minimum number of stations; (5) assigning tasks to workstations; and (6) computing efficiency, idle time, and balance delay.
6 An example of hybrid layouts is group technology (GT) or cell layouts. Group technology is the process of creating groupings of products based on similar processing requirements. Cells are created for each grouping of products, resulting in a more orderly flow of products through the facility.
Solved Problems • 381
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Jeff-Co Industries is a metalworking shop that is redesigning its layout. The from–to matrix of the numbers of trips between departments is shown in Table 10.7.
TABLE 10.7 From–To Matrix for Jeff-Co Industries
Trips between Departments
Department A B C D E F
A — 10 15 — — 50
B — — 20 10 20
C — 45 — 10
D — — 20
E —
F —
Th e current layout is shown in Figure 10.10. Find an improved layout using trial and error. Which depart- ments should you locate close together?
Before You Begin: To solve this problem, begin by identifying the departments with the highest num- ber of trips between them from the from–to matrix in Table 10.7. Th en redesign the initial layout by bringing the identifi ed departments in close proximity to one another. Compute the ld scores for the initial and pro- posed layouts and compare.
Solution:
Th e following departments have the highest numbers of trips between them and should be located close together:
A and F, which have 50 trips between them C and D, which have 45 trips between them
Using this as our criterion, we can construct the pro- posed layout shown in Figure 10.11.
We can now compute the ld scores for both the cur- rent and proposed layouts in order to make an evalua- tion. See Table 10.8 on the next page.
Based on the ld score, the proposed layout is an improvement of 43 percent over the current layout. Th is problem can also be solved using a spreadsheet. Th is is shown in the spreadsheet that follows.
FIGURE 10.11 Proposed layout for Jeff-Co Industries
A E C
F B D
FIGURE 10.10 Current layout for Jeff-Co Industries
A B C
D E F
382 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
A
A
A A A B B B C C D
B C F D E F D F F
B C D E F
A E C F B D
B C D E F G
Block Layout for Jeff-Co Industries 1
2
3 4 5 6 7 8
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Current Layout
Departments Distance Load-
Distance Load-
DistanceDistance Number of Trips
Proposed Layout
Proposed LayoutCurrent Layout
10 15 50 20 10 20 45 10 20
1 2 3 2 1 2 3 1 2
Total
10 30
150 40 10 40
135 10 40
465
2 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 2
Total
20 30 50 20 10 20 45 30 40
265
E10: =$C10*D10 (copied down, similar formulas for G10:G18)
E19: =SUM(E10:E18) (Similar formula for G19)
TABLE 10.8 ld Score Computations for Current and Proposed Layouts for Jeff-Co Industries
Current Layout Proposed Layout
Departments
Number of Trips (obtained from from–to
matrix) l
Distance (obtained from current block
plan) d
Load–Distance Score
ld
Distance (obtained from
proposed block plan)
d
Load–Distance Score
ld
A and B 10 1 10 2 20
A and C 15 2 30 2 30
A and F 50 3 150 1 50
B and D 20 2 40 1 20
B and E 10 1 10 1 10
B and F 20 2 40 1 20
C and D 45 3 135 1 45
C and F 10 1 10 3 30
D and F 20 2 40 2 40
Total 465 265
Discussion Questions • 383
PROBLEM 2
Parachutes by Dave is a parachute production facility that assembles and packages parachutes. Table 10.9 shows the tasks required to perform the job, the times required by each task, and their immediate predecessors.
TABLE 10.9 Task Information for Parachutes by Dave
Work Element
Task Description
Immediate Predecessor
Task Time (sec)
A Cast lines None 45
B Attach harness
A 15
C Sew rings A 27
D Attach lines to chute
B 52
E Perform safety check
C, D 7
F Pack chute E 18
Total 164 seconds
If Dave wants to produce 50 parachutes per hour, compute the following:
(a) The appropriate cycle time (b) The theoretical minimum number of stations (c) Which tasks should be assigned to which worksta-
tions (using the longest task time rule) (d) The efficiency and balance delay of your solution
Before You Begin: To solve this problem, use the steps given for designing product layouts. Notice that the sum of the task time is 164 seconds.
Solution:
(a) Cycle time = C = available time per hour
output per hour
= 3600 seconds�hour
50 units�hour
= 72 second�unit
(b) Theoretical minimum number of stations:
TM = ©t C
= 164 seconds
72 seconds�unit = 2.28 stations, or 3 stations
(c) Assigning tasks to workstations with a cycle time of 72 seconds and using the longest task time rule, we obtain the following solution:
Workstation Eligible
Task Task
Selected Task Time
Idle Time
1 A A 45 27
B, C C 27 0
2 B B 15 57
D D 52 5
3 E E 7 65
F F 18 47
Cycle time = 72 seconds
(d) Efficiency (%) = ©t
N × C (100) =
164
3 × 72 (100)
= 75.93% Balance delay (%) = 24.07%
Discussion Questions
1. Explain the importance of layout planning for a busi- ness. What are the consequences of a poor layout?
2. Explain the importance of layout planning for everyday life. How has poor layout planning aff ected your life?
3. Identify the four types of layouts and their character- istics.
4. Identify the steps in designing a process layout.
5. Find examples of a process layout in local businesses. Draw a picture of the locations of departments.
6. Identify the steps in designing a product layout.
7. Find examples of a product layout in local businesses. Draw a picture to show the workstations and the tasks performed.
8. Explain the concept of cycle time and how it aff ects output. Give an example.
9. Defi ne group technology. Why is it important?
10. Give an example of a poor layout. Find a better solu- tion for that layout problem.
384 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
Problems
1. Fresh Foods Grocery is considering redoing its facility layout. Th e from–to matrix showing daily customer trips between departments is shown in Table 10.10, and their current layout is shown in Figure 10.12. Fresh Foods is considering exchanging the locations of the dry groceries department (A) and the health and beauty aids department (F). Compute the ld score for Fresh Foods’ current and proposed layouts. Which is better?
TABLE 10.10 From–To Matrix for Fresh Foods
Trips between Departments
Department A B C D E F
A. Dry groceries — 15 45 25 10 50
B. Bread — 30 16 25 25
C. Frozen foods — 34 15 20
D. Meats 40 10
E. Vegetables 20
F. Health and beauty aids
—
FIGURE 10.12 Current layout for Fresh Foods
A B C
D E F
2. Use trial and error to find a better layout for Fresh Foods Grocery in Problem 1. Compute the ld score and compare it to the ld scores computed for Fresh Foods’ current and proposed layouts. Which is best?
4. Mason Machine Tools is reevaluating its facility lay- out. The current layout is shown in Figure 10.13 and the from–to matrix is in Table 10.11. Mason has to leave department C in its current location because relocation costs are too high. It is consid- ering exchanging departments B and D. Evaluate the proposal by computing the ld score for both layouts.
FIGURE 10.13 Current layout for Mason Machine Tools
B A D
C E F
TABLE 10.11 From–To Matrix for Mason Machine Tools
Trips between Departments
Department A B C D E F
A — 5 20 5 — 8
B — — 30 10 10
C — 20 15 5
D — — —
E 17
F —
4. Use trial and error to fi nd a better layout for Mason Ma- chine Tools in Problem 3. Compute the ld score and compare it to Mason’s current and proposed layouts in Problem 3.
5. Gator Offi ce Supplies is comparing two layouts for the design of its offi ce building. It has interviewed man- agers in order to develop the from–to matrix shown in Table 10.12. Th e two layouts considered are shown in Figure 10.14. Which layout do you think is better for Gator Offi ce Supplies using the load–distance model?
TABLE 10.12 From–To Matrix for Gator Office Supplies
Trips between Departments
Department A B C D E F
A — 30 — 34 50 25
B — — 55 10 10
C — — 15 5
D — — —
E 30
F —
Problems • 385
FIGURE 10.14 Current and proposed layouts for Gator Office Supplies
F E
Current layout
A
B C D
C D
Proposed layout
A
B E F
6. Use trial and error to develop a better layout for Gator Offi ce Supplies. Which departments do you think need to be in close proximity to one another?
7. T-Shirts Unlimited is a retailer that sells every kind of T-shirt imaginable. Th e diff erent types of T-shirts are stored in departments that all take up the same amount of space. Given the available warehouse space (Figure 10.15) and a from–to matrix showing the num- ber of trips to and from each department (Table 10.13), help T-Shirts Unlimited decide where to store each type of T-shirt.
FIGURE 10.15 Warehouse storage areas for T-Shirts Unlimited
Storage Storage Storage
Storage Storage
AisleDock
Storage
TABLE 10.13 From–To Matrix for T-Shirts Unlimited
Department Category Trips to and from Dock
1 Sports T-shirts 50
2 Men’s T-shirts 63
3 Women’s T-shirts 35
4 Children’s T-shirts 55
5 Fashion T-shirts 48
6 Undershirts 60
8. David’s Sport Supplies is a store that sells sports equip- ment and gear for teenagers and young adults. David’s is in the process of assigning the location of storage areas in its warehouse (Figure 10.16) to minimize the number of trips made to retrieve needed items. Given here in Table 10.14 are the departments that need to be located, the number of trips made per week for each department, and the area needed by each department.
FIGURE 10.16 Warehouse storage areas for David’s Sport Supplies
Storage Storage Storage
Storage Storage
AisleDock
Storage
Storage Storage
Storage Storage
TABLE 10.14 Department Information for David’s Sport Supplies
Department Trips to and from Dock
Area Needed
1. Baseball equipment 160 2
2. Football gear 100 1
3. Hockey equipment 150 3
4. Basketball equipment 120 1
5. Sports clothes 270 3
9. MMS Associates is a telecommunications service pro- vider. Th e company is currently redesigning its main offi ce to accommodate six newly hired salespeople. Some of the salespeople are expected to work in teams, so offi ce assignments are very important. Table 10.15
386 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
presents the from–to matrix showing the expected frequency of contacts between members of the new sales staff . Th e block plan in Figure 10.17 shows the assigned offi ce locations for the six sales members. Assume equal-sized offi ces and rectilinear distances. How would you evaluate the developed layout? What is the ld score for MMS Associates?
TABLE 10.15 Number of Contacts between Sales Staff
Sales Person A B C D E F
A — 6 12 18 1 1
B — 4 19 3 0
C — 5 0 0
D — 7 19
E — 0
F —
FIGURE 10.17 Assigned office locations for sales staff at MMS Associates
A B C
D E F
10. Michael Marc, the President of MMS Associates, is considering an alternative plan for the sales staff situ- ation described in Problem 9. His alternative plan is shown in Figure 10.18. What is the ld score for this plan? How does it compare to the original plan con- sidered in Problem 9?
FIGURE 10.18 Alternative office locations for sales staff at MMS Associates
A E C
D B F
11. Use trial and error to fi nd a better layout for MMS Associates. Which salespeople will be your priority to keep together?
12. A manufacturing company is designing an assembly line to produce its main product. Th e line should be able to produce 60 units per hour. Th e following data in Table 10.16 give the necessary information.
TABLE 10.16 Task Information for Problem 12
Task Immediate Predecessor Task Time (sec)
A None 35
B A 50
C A 21
D B 38
E C 25
F D, E 58
G F 15
(a) Which task is the bottleneck? (b) Draw a precedence diagram for the above
information. (c) Compute the cycle time with a desired output of
60 units per hour. 13. An assembly line must be designed to produce 50
packages per hour. Th e following data in Table 10.17 give the necessary information.
TABLE 10.17 Task Information for Problem 13
Task Immediate Predecessor Task Time (sec)
A None 25
B A 60
C B 35
D B 45
E B 10
F C, D, E 50
(a) Draw a precedence diagram. (b) Compute the cycle time (in seconds) to achieve
the desired output rate. (c) What is the theoretical minimum number of
stations? (d) Which work element should be assigned to which
workstation? (e) What are the resulting effi ciency and balance
delay percentages?
Problems • 387
14. An assembly line must be designed to produce 40 con- tainers per hour. Th e following data in Table 10.18 give the necessary information.
TABLE 10.18 Task Information for Problem 14
Task Immediate Predecessor Task Time (sec)
A None 60
B A 12
C B 35
D A 55
E D 10
F E 50
G F, C 5
(a) Draw a precedence diagram. (b) Compute the cycle time (in seconds) to achieve
the desired output rate. (c) What is the theoretical minimum number of
stations? (d) Which work element should be assigned to which
workstation? (e) What are the resulting effi ciency and balance
delay percentages? 15. Th e ABC Corporation is designing its new assembly
line. Th e line will produce 50 units per hour. Th e tasks, their times, and their immediate predecessors are shown in Table 10.19.
TABLE 10.19 Task Information for ABC Corporation
Task Immediate Predecessor Task Time (sec)
A None 55
B A 30
C A 22
D B 35
E B, C 50
F C 15
G F 5
H G 10
(a) Which task is the bottleneck? (b) Compute the cycle time with a desired output of
50 units per hour. (c) Use a cycle time of 72 seconds/unit to assign tasks
to workstations.
(d) Compute the theoretical minimum number of stations. Did you end up using more stations than the theoretical minimum?
(e) Compute the effi ciency and balance delay of the line.
16. Kiko Teddy Bear is a manufacturer of stuff ed teddy bears. Kiko would like to be able to produce 40 teddy bears per hour on its assembly line. Use the informa- tion provided in Table 10.20 to answer the questions that follow.
TABLE 10.20 Task Information for Kiko Teddy Bear
Work Element
Task Description
Immediate Predecessor
Task Time (sec)
A Cut teddy bear pattern
None 90
B Sew teddy bear cloth
A 75
C Stuff teddy bear B 50
D Glue on eyes C 20
E Glue on nose C 15
F Sew on mouth C 35
G Attach manufac- turer’s label
B 15
H Inspect and pack teddy bear
D, E, F, G 40
(a) Draw a precedence diagram. (b) What is the cycle time? (c) What is the theoretical minimum number of
stations? (d) Assign tasks to specifi c workstations using the
cycle time you computed in part (b). (e) What are the effi ciency and balance delay of the
line? ( f ) Which task is the bottleneck? (g) Compute the maximum output.
17. Use the longest task time rule to balance the assembly line described in Table 10.21; the line can produce 30 units per hour. (a) What is the cycle time? (b) What is the theoretical minimum number of
stations? (c) Which work elements are assigned to which
workstations? (d) What are the resulting effi ciency and balance
delay percentages?
388 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
TABLE 10.21 Assembly-Line Task Information
Work Element Immediate
Predecessor Task Time
(sec)
A None 25
B A 30
C A 15
D A 30
E C, D 40
F D 20
G B 10
H G 15
I E, F, H 35
J I 25
K J 25
18. A dress-making operation is being designed as an as- sembly line. Table 10.22 shows the tasks that need to be performed, their task times, and preceding tasks. If the goal is to produce 30 dresses per hour, answer the questions that follow the table.
TABLE 10.22 Dress-Making Task Information
Work Element Immediate Predecessor
Task Time (sec)
A. Cut dress body None 30
B. Cut sleeves None 40
C. Cut collar None 20
D. Sew dress body A 100
E. Sew sleeves to dress B, D 25
F. Sew collar to dress C, D 50
G. Hem dress D, E, F 50
H. Package dress G 90
(a) Compute the cycle time. (b) Which task is the bottleneck? (c) What is the maximum output for this line? (d) Compute the theoretical minimum number of
stations. (e) Assign work elements to stations, using the longest
task time rule. ( f ) Compute the effi ciency and balance delay of your
assignment. 19. Table 10.23 shows the tasks required to assemble an
aluminum storm door and the length of time needed to complete each task.
TABLE 10.23 Task Information for Problem 19
Task Immediate Predecessor Task Time (sec)
A None 32
B A 43
C A 12
D A 23
E B, C, D 15
F E 25
G None 20
H F, G 5
(a) Calculate the cycle time needed to produce 480 doors in an 8-hour work day.
(b) What is the minimum number of workstations that can be used on the line and still achieve the desired production rate? Balance the line and calculate its effi ciency.
(c) What is the maximum output possible with these data? Th e minimum?
20. Use the data from Problem 19 to rebalance the line with a cycle time of 90 seconds. How does the number of workstations change? What happens to the output and the line’s effi ciency?
Case: Sawhill Athletic Club (A)
Sawhill Athletic Club was an athletic facility in sub- urban Scottsdale, Arizona. It was designed to provide a wide range of athletic opportunities, including rac- quetball courts and exercise facilities. Th e facilities were modern, and the staff focused on providing high customer service. To provide fl exibility to its members, the club had a wide range of hours of operation. Th e
members were primarily families and young professionals who lived in the area.
Membership at the club had been steady since it opened fi ve years ago. To monitor the club’s quality, members were often asked to fi ll out satisfaction sur- veys. Most members liked the club’s attention to cus- tomer satisfaction, but many complained that the
Case: Sawhill Athletic Club (B) • 389
facilities did not have a good layout. Th ey complained of having to walk long distances from one location to another, citing this as a signifi cant inconvenience. Another complaint was that all the departments were separated with high walls, creating a “closed-in” feeling. A new athletic facility was going to be opening in the area in the near future. Th e owners of Sawhill thought that they had better listen to the requests of their cus- tomers in order to remain competitive.
Improving the Layout
Lauren Nicole was hired to manage Sawhill and to off er any recommendations for changing the layout of the facility. She was told to be creative and use her knowl- edge of facility layout design. She was even provided with a diagram of the facility and averages of daily trips made by clients between each of the departments in the facility.
Layout of Sawhill Athletic Club
Lobby A Racquetball Courts B
Exercise and Weight Room E
Food Court C Pro Shop D
Showers/Locker Room G
Child Care Facility F
Lauren began looking at the information she received, shown in the table. She noticed that all the departments were of approximately equal size except the racquetball courts and exercise facilities. Th ese were approximately twice the size of the other departments and could not be split. All the depart- ments were eligible to be moved. She would take that into consideration as she decided to study the
information and redesign the facility. Th en she would think about which walls to lower between depart- ments to create a more open environment. Decorat- ing would come last.
Case Questions
1. Develop an ld score for the current layout. What problems can you identify with the current layout?
2. Use trial and error to come up with a better layout that lowers the ld score. Explain the departments you thought needed to be in close proximity to one another.
3. Imagine an athletic facility such as Sawhill. What strategies would you suggest for creating an open environment?
Number of Trips between Departments
Department A B C D E F G
A. Lobby — 15 34 32 14 54 76
B. Racquetball courts
— 2 2 34 0 72
C. Food court — 26 0 47 3
D. Pro shop — 9 1 4
E. Exercise & weight room
— 7 74
F. Child care facility — 57
G. Showers & locker
—
Case: Sawhill Athletic Club (B)
Sawhill Athletic Club, an athletic facility in Scottsdale, Arizona, was known for providing a high level of cus- tomer service to its members. Member complaints were taken seriously and immediately addressed. Lau- ren Nicole, the new manager of Sawhill, was now faced with having to resolve another service problem.
Sawhill provided a clean towel to each member upon entering the women’s or men’s locker room. How- ever, the facility had been regularly running out of clean towels for some time. Over the past month, members
have complained loudly that something had to be done because they were tired of waiting for clean towels.
Currently the facility had one industrial-size washing machine and one dryer, each with a capacity to hold 20 towels. Th e washing machine took 20 minutes to complete a load, and the dryer took 60 minutes. Following the dry- ing process, the towels were folded and made available to members. Th e folding process took approximately 1 hour for 60 towels. Th e washing, drying, and folding of towels was done on an almost continual basis with at least one
390 CHAPTER 10 • Facility Layout
full-time person assigned to the area. Th e demand aver- aged 60 towels per hour. Th e process operated as follows:
WASHING DRYING FOLDING
“Th e solution is simple. We will purchase an addi- tional washer and dryer. Th at will solve the problem.” Lauren said confi dently.
Case Questions
1. What is the reason Sawhill is regularly running out of towels?
2. What is the cycle time of the current washing-drying- folding process? What should the cycle time be in order to meet towel demand?
3. Will purchasing an additional washer and dryer solve the problem? How will the cycle time change with an additional washer and dryer? Suggest a solu- tion to the problem.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Layout Analysis at Cruise International, Inc. Your next assignment will be with the Cruise Direc- tor, Jacqueline Downs. She is concerned that passen- gers start their cruise vacation in a good frame of mind. Th erefore, she is quite concerned about the embarka- tion process and wants to make sure that guests are processed as quickly and effi ciently as possible. Jac- queline wants you to examine the current embarkation process. Determine where potential waiting occurs for the guests, and determine whether there might be a
better layout for the embarkation process. Th is assign- ment will enhace your knowledge of the material in Chapter 10 of your textbook while preparing you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Layout Analysis at CII
On-line Case: Facility Layout Design at Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Layout Design at Valley Memorial Hospital Bob Reilly just called to tell you about a new assign- ment for you at VMH. Based on the projected growth in demand and the changing needs of the community VMH serves, the top management is considering set- ting up a larger and more modern out patient clinic in a vacant lot adjacent to the main building. Th is new facil- ity, housed in a building with 4000 square feet of usable fl oor space (100 ft. by 40 ft.), will serve walk-in and minor emergency patients. Carol Gardner, assistant to the chief administrator, has a preliminary block plan indi- cating the layout of the diff erent departments, such as Lobby and Registration, Radiology, and Nurses’ Station, that has been prepared by the emergency department
staff . She wants you to analyze the preliminary layout and also examine an alternate layout based on some changes that she thinks might be worth considering. Data on the traffi c (i.e., number of trips) between the departments have also been compiled. Th is assign- ment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material in this chapter.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Layout Design at Valley Memorial Hospital
www.wiley.com/college/reid
Selected Bibliography • 391
Internet Challenge: DJ and Associates, Inc.
Th e law fi rm of DJ and Associates has just moved into a new facility. Th e spacious reception space has room for three receptionists and a client waiting area. Th e law fi rm has hired you to help with the layout of the recep- tion area. It has given you a budget of $15,000 and asked you to purchase furniture for the reception area that will fi t into the layout, given certain constraints.
Th e reception area is 50 feet long by 20 feet wide. Th e client waiting area is 400 square feet, leaving 600 square feet for the three receptionists, their desks, chairs, fi le cabinets, and aisle room. Th e furniture for the client waiting area has been purchased. Your job is to pur- chase furniture for the receptionists. For each recep- tionist you are to purchase a desk with two chairs and
two large fi le cabinets that will fi t the constraints of the room and your budget. Since appearance is an impor- tant factor, the desks must be made of a high-grade wood. Also, there must be at least 5 feet of walking space between desks.
Use the Internet to carry out your assignment. Find Web sites for commercial offi ce furniture sellers and browse sites for the specifi c furniture you need, check- ing dimensions and prices. Finally, come up with a plan of purchase and suggestions for a layout. It may be a good idea to read up on offi ce layouts to get sugges- tions. Th e fi rm is considering hiring you for future work, so you want to develop a good plan that might include additional suggestions that were not asked for.
Selected Bibliography
Binkley, C. “Sheraton Chain Gets a Makeover from Orange Shag to Pin Stripes,” Wall Street Journal, April 19, 2000.
Goldstein, L. “Whatever Space Works for You,” Fortune, July 10, 2000, 269–270.
Lee, L. “Nordstrom Cleans Out Its Closets,” Business Week, May 22, 2000, 105–108.
Muther, R., and K. McPherson. “Four Approaches to Com- puterized Layout Planning,” Industrial Engineering, 2, 1970, 39–42.
Tompkins, J.A., and J.A. White. Facilities Planning, Fourth Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2010.
Umble, M.M., and M.L. Srikanth. Synchronous Manufactur- ing. Cincinnati, Ohio: South-Western Publishing, 1990.
Upton, D.M. “ What Really Makes Factories Flexible,” Harvard Business Review, July–August 1995, 74–84.
392
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. Competitive priorities, Chapter 2.
2. Process selection, Chapter 3.
3. Layout types, Chapter 10.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Discuss work system design.
2 Discuss job design.
3 Explain work measurement.
4 Describe compensation approaches.
11 Work System Design H
ave you ever been to a restaurant, a store, or any other place where one person seems to be doing several different jobs? For example, is that person the maitre d’, the wine steward, the wait staff, the chef, or the
dishwasher? And does that person have to switch jobs at a moment’s notice? Productive employees are employees who know what is expected of them and
what to expect of themselves. They know what their role is in the company, and they understand the goals of their job.
Because of the seasonal nature of its business, UPS has spent considerable time designing jobs, mak- ing sure to clearly define expectations. This is critical for UPS since it uses more than 95,000 part-time sea- sonal employees during the period from Thanksgiving to Christmas. UPS part- time employees typically work four to five hours daily. The different jobs include driver helpers, package handlers and sorters, and extra delivery drivers. The sheer size of this increase in the workforce demands that each person know his or her role.
Designing a work system that supports a company’s objectives is essential to the company’s success. Let’s look at how companies design their work systems. •
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re sr
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tt y
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I n
c.
Job Design • 393
Work System Design First, a company determines its objectives, and then it develops an operations strategy to achieve those objectives. Part of the operations strategy is designing a work system, which provides the structure for the productivity of the company. Work system design includes job design, work measurement, and worker compensation. The company determines the purpose of each job, what the job consists of, and the cost of the employees to do the job. A job must add value and enable the company to achieve its objectives.
Suppose your company is an organization with an objective to operate a fancy upscale restaurant. To achieve its objective, the restaurant must define a set of jobs, the tasks each job consists of, and a system for evaluating the employee’s performance in the job. The set of jobs at your restaurant would include a chef, a trained kitchen staff, a professional wait staff, a maitre d’, a wine steward, and so forth. The chef ’s tasks would include developing the food motif and menu, for example. The performance measurement would be based on revenue.
Job design ensures that each employee’s duties and responsibilities are geared toward achieving the restaurant’s mission. Methods analysis eliminates unnecessary tasks and improves the process for completing tasks. Work measurement is a process for evaluating employee performance and comparing alternative processes. Worker compensation defines how the worker is paid for completing the job. Let’s begin with job design, the first compo- nent of work system design.
Job Design Job Design Job design specifies the work activities of an individual or a group in support of an organi- zation’s objectives. You design a job by answering questions such as: What is your descrip- tion of the job? What is the purpose of the job? Where is the job done? Who does the job? What background, training, or skills does an employee need to do the job? For example, if one of your company’s objectives is to establish itself as a leader in customer service, jobs must be designed to encourage and reward good customer service practices. In addition, performance measurements for each job must validate the behavior that supports the com- pany’s objective. Let’s look at three additional factors in job design: technical feasibility, eco- nomic feasibility, and behavioral feasibility.
Technical Feasibility The technical feasibility of a job is the degree to which an individ- ual or group of individuals is physically and mentally able to do the job. The more demand- ing the job, the smaller is the applicant pool for that job. Suppose your company requires the candidate for a job to be capable of lifting up to 250 pounds. Few people will qualify for the job. But if the company can reduce the lifting requirement to 50 pounds, many more people will qualify.
Good job design eliminates unreasonable requirements and ensures that any constrain- ing requirements are necessary to do the job. This in turn widens the applicant pool and gives your company a chance to hire the best candidates on the market.
Economic Feasibility The economic feasibility of a job is the degree to which the value a job adds and the cost of having the job done create profit for the company. If the job as it is designed costs more than the value it adds, then it is not economically feasible. Sup- pose your company can reduce a job’s lifting requirement from a maximum 250 pounds to a maximum 50 pounds because the company can buy materials in smaller quantities and
Job design Specifi es the contents of the job.
Technical feasibility The job must be physically and mentally doable.
Economic feasibility The cost of the job should be less than the value it adds.
394 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
pack them in lighter boxes. If the materials are more expensive, however, the company has to weigh the higher material costs against the higher labor costs, choose the alternative that makes more sense economically, or even come up with a third alternative—for example, hire two workers to lift the heavy packages.
Behavioral Feasibility The behavioral feasibility of a job is the degree to which an employee derives intrinsic satisfaction from doing the job. The challenge is to design a job so the worker feels good about doing the job and adds value by doing it. This presents two
problems. First, what motivates one worker may not motivate another worker. Second, someone has to do the boring jobs. One solution is to provide an enjoyable work environ- ment. Employees at companies like Google, The AES Corporation, The Men’s Wearhouse, SAS, and South- west Airlines stay with their com- panies because work is fun. In this case, fun means working in a place where people can use their talents and skills and work with others in an atmosphere of mutual respect.
In 2007 and 2008, Google was recognized as the top company to work for by Fortune magazine. For the years 2009–2011, Google had slipped slightly to fourth in the rankings. Companies ranking higher than Google in 2011 were: SAS, Boston Consulting Group, and Wegmans Food Markets. What is it about Google that consistently makes it such a great workplace? At Google headquarters, there are 11 free gourmet cafeterias for the employees. In addition to the cafés, there are snack rooms that contain various cereals, candies, nuts, yogurts, carrots, fresh fruits, and cappuccinos. It is unlikely that any worker is more than 150 feet away from food.
While many Silicon Valley companies provide shuttle bus transporation to work from area train stations, Google operates free, Wi-Fi–enabled coaches from five Bay area loca- tions. For those employees deciding to drive themselves, Google offers on-site car washes and oil changes. For any employee planning to buy a hybrid automobile, Google gives the employee $5000 toward the purchase price.
Employees can also get haircuts on-site. If an employee refers a friend to Google for employment, the employee receives a $2000 reward for the referral. If an employee has a new baby, Google will reimburse that employee for up to $500 in takeout food during the first four weeks home. Of course, Google has a gym for its employees, so they can attend subsidized exercise classes, get a massage, study a foreign language, or use the personal concierge to make dinner reservations.
Google understands how pressed for time its employees are, so it helps with the house- hold errands. For example, employees can do laundry for free in company washers and dryers ( free detergent, too) or drop off dry cleaning. Google also has five on-site doctors available for employee checkups, free of charge.
Google also recognizes the contributions of its employees. The shuttle buses running from the Bay area locations are a direct result of one employee’s efforts. The employee contacted a bus company, worked out routes, calculated costs, and then brought the idea forward to senior management. Instead of forming a committee to study the proposal, Google just did it.
Google allows dogs to come to work. Realizing that problems can arise from on-site pets, Google has established appropriate guidelines to accommodate both the pet owner and other employees. Google also recognizes the importance of keeping its workforce satisfied,
Behavioral feasibility Degree to which the job is intrinsically satisfying to the employee.
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Job Design • 395
offering a number of compensation incentives and founder awards that can be worth mil- lions. No wonder Google was recognized as the top company to work for in 2008.
A final concern in job design is whether or not the job can and should be automated. Let’s discuss the pros and cons of machines versus people in job design.
Machines or People? When a company considers the technical, economic, and behavioral feasibility of job design, a central question is: Should the job or some part of it be automated? Obviously, machines do some things better than people, whereas people do other things better than machines. For example, we use calculators to do arithmetic or when we need high levels of precision. We use a machine when a job might be dangerous. We also use machines to lift or move very heavy objects or very hot objects or to do simple, repetitive tasks. On the other hand, people are vastly superior to machines in a number of activities. Examples are personal interactions with others, creative thinking, judgments involving multiple variables, expressions of compassion or empathy, complex operations that may not follow linear logic, and teaching.
Using machines versus people is both a tangible economic decision in job design and a decision based on intangibles, such as customer acceptance. For example, automated voice messaging systems are the norm in offices today. But do these automated systems create a favorable impression on the customer? Is it worth the extra expense to provide a live recep- tionist so your customers can talk to a person rather than a machine? When your company makes a decision about machines versus people in job design, support of the company’s objectives is the deciding factor.
If a job is designed for people rather than machines, the next question is how specialized an employee should be.
Level of Labor Specialization The higher the level of specialization, the narrower is the employee’s scope of expertise. The professions—medicine, law, academics—are highly specialized; however, some low- level assembly or service jobs are also specialized.
In the professions, worker satisfaction is one reason for specialization in a particular area of expertise. A doctor who specializes in heart disease, a lawyer who specializes in inter- national law, or a professor who specializes in operations management may do so because of intrinsic satisfaction in the job. Without question, other factors also influence people to enter into particular professional careers.
On the other hand, an assembly or service worker whose work is highly specialized often has a monotonous job. These individuals may have narrowly focused jobs because their skill levels are limited. Yet specialized assembly and service workers contribute to organizational objectives because they yield high productivity and low unit costs. Consider the assembly worker who inserts and tightens four bolts into each product as it passes by on the assembly line. The work is repetitive, but the worker quickly becomes very proficient. A file clerk who spends eight hours each day filing documents and the data-entry person keying in data eight hours each day also have highly specialized, narrowly focused jobs.
Table 11.1 highlights some of the advantages and disadvantages of using specialization in job design. The table shows that management benefits from specialization because the jobs are narrowly defined and easily learned, so less training is needed. Workers achieve high productivity, and wage costs are reasonable. The table also shows that a disadvantage of specialization is worker dissatisfaction, resulting in high turnover and absenteeism, a high number of grievances filed, higher scrap rates, and sabotage.
Specialization The breadth of the job design.
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From the worker’s point of view, this type of job design minimizes the education and skills required, requires little mental effort, has minimal job responsibility, and provides reasonably good wages given the skill requirements. The major disadvantages of such job designs are worker boredom, little room for growth or advancement, little control over the work, and minimal self-fulfillment. In an effort to reduce workers’ boredom, a number of behavioral approaches have been suggested. Discussion of these approaches follows.
Eliminating Employee Boredom Companies that choose highly specialized job design have several options for reducing worker boredom, including job enlargement, job enrichment, and job rotation.
Job enlargement is the horizontal expansion of a job. The job designer adds other related tasks to the job so the worker produces a portion of the final product that he or she can recognize. For example, an assembly worker gets to do additional tasks that complete a portion of the final product, which enables the worker to experience pride in the final product. The worker can then point to the final product and take pride in the portion that he or she was responsible for building. By reducing the level of specialization, however, job enlargement may result in some lost productivity compared to what was specified in the original job design.
One example of job enlargement concerns employees proofreading telephone directo- ries. Rather than proofreading randomly assigned pages, a proofreader is responsible for specific letters in the alphabet. The proofreader can identify those portions of the directory that he or she proofread. Job enlargement is used to instill worker pride in the final product and give the employee some task variety.
Job enrichment is the vertical expansion of a job. The job designer adds worker respon- sibility for work planning and/or inspection. This allows the worker some control over the workload in terms of scheduling—although not in terms of how much work to do—and instills a sense of pride in the worker. For example, workers know they must complete 100
Job enlargement A horizontal expansion of the job through increasing the scope of the work assigned.
Job enrichment A vertical expansion of the job through increased worker responsibility.
TABLE 11.1 The Advantages and Disadvantages of Specialization in Job Design
Specialization from Management’s Perspective
Advantages Disadvantages
Readily available labor Lack of fl exibility
Minimal training needed Worker dissatisfaction characterized by
Reasonable wage cost • high absenteeism
High productivity • high turnover rates
• high scrap rates
• grievances fi led
Specialization from the Employee’s Perspective
Advantages Disadvantages
Minimal credentials needed Boredom
Minimal responsibilities Little growth opportunity
Minimal mental effort needed Little control over work
Reasonable wages Little room for initiative
Little intrinsic satisfaction
Job Design • 397
model A’s, 50 model B’s, and 150 model C’s in one week, but the sequence is up to them. They can do all of the C’s first, then the B’s followed by the A’s, and so forth, as long as the work is finished in one week. Or, for example, workers do their own inspection before the part or product is passed to the next workstation. This procedure instills pride in the output and has the worker perform tasks usually done at a higher level in the organization.
Job rotation exposes a worker to other jobs in the work system. Rotation allows workers to see how the output from their previous assignment is used later in the production or service process. Workers see more of the big picture and have a better overall understand- ing of the work system. In addition, they acquire more skills that may increase their value to the company. Job rotation provides more flexibility for the company, as its workers have upgraded skills.
Team Approaches to Job Design Another option for job design is using teams rather than individuals for certain assign- ments. Problem-solving teams, special-purpose teams, and self-directed teams are three different kinds of employee teams.
Problem-solving teams are small groups of employees who meet to identify, analyze, and solve operational problems. Employees typically volunteer to participate in problem- solving teams, and team members are trained in problem-solving techniques and data col- lection. A team may meet once a week, during normal working hours, for one to two hours. After the team has completed its initial training, it concentrates on a particular operational problem. The team analyzes the problem, collects data, develops alternative solutions, and then presents a proposed solution to upper management. Management then decides whether or not to use the proposed solution.
The purpose of problem-solving teams is to use the employees’ knowledge of operational procedures. Management cannot know as much about detailed operations as the employ- ees who do the work daily. Problem-solving teams are useful for improving operations and as a way to improve communications between employees and management.
Special-purpose teams address issues of major significance to the company. They are often short-term, special task forces with a focused agenda. Members of special-purpose teams typically represent several functional areas for an overall view of the problem. For example, a university might use a special-purpose team to hire a new, high-level adminis- trator. The team has a specific task and a limited time frame to do that task. Since the new administrator will have many constituencies, the team may consist of representatives from each college, the operating staff, the professional/administrative staff, trustees, alumni, and students. Including each constituency in the selection process ensures that their concerns are made known.
Self-directed or self-managed teams are designed to achieve a high level of employee involvement and an integrated team approach. A self-directed team is a group of people working together in their own ways toward a common goal that the team has defined. The team decides on compensations and disciplinary actions when team rules are broken and acts as a profit center. A self-managed team is a group of people working together in their own ways toward a common goal that is defined by a source outside of the team. The team does its own work scheduling and training and provides its own rewards and recognition, but does not set its overall objective.
An example of self-directed work teams comes from the Xinuos Company, formerly oper- ating as The SCO Group. At The SCO Group Operation, the initial team consisted of twelve people, including five assemblers and a quality control person, for both the day and evening shifts. The team subsequently added two material handlers, a product specialist, and a mas- ter scheduler. The team was responsible for building 65 computer operating system products
Job rotation Workers shift to different jobs to increase understanding of the total process.
Problem-solving teams Small groups of employees and supervisors trained in problem-solving techniques who meet to identify, analyze, and propose solutions to workplace problems.
Special-purpose teams Highly focused, short-term teams addressing issues important to management and labor.
Self-directed teams Integrated teams empowered to control portions of their process.
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THE SCO GROUP http://www.xinuos.com
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on a single assembly line. Before the self-managed teams, the company had a problem with product con- sistency. Each shift did things its own way and blamed the other shift for any problems. The self-directed team approach greatly improved communication between shifts and allowed workers to resolve product- consistency problems. The team reduced person-minutes per unit by 22.4 percent, decreased defects
to 1.5 or fewer per 1000 units built, cross-trained its members, and documented the pro- cedures for what needed to be done and how it should be done. Although most workers continue to perform on-site at the company’s facilities, many employees now work in alter- native workplaces.
The Alternative Workplace The alternative workplace is a combination of nontraditional work practices, settings, and locations that supplements traditional offices. The alternative workplace moves the work to the worker rather than the worker to the work.
Companies have begun using alternative workplaces for the benefits they afford in terms of cost reduction, productivity, and flexibility. The cost reduction is achieved through eliminating offices people do not need, consolidating others, and thereby reducing overhead expenses. Alternative workplaces can improve productivity because employees tend to devote more time to customers and/or meaning ful work activities and less time to unproductive office routines like socializing, making up work to look busy, and attending unnecessary meetings. A survey of alternative workplace employ- ees at IBM revealed that 87 percent believed their personal productivity and job effec- tiveness had increased significantly. The alternative workplace offers the flexibility some employees need to balance work and family, which helps companies build and keep a valuable workforce.
Let’s look at six different alter- native workplace arrangements: (l) teleworking and telecommuting, (2) a telework center, (3) a virtual office or virtual workplace, (4) hoteling, (5) hot desking, and (6) desk sharing. Teleworking and telecommuting are synonymous terms meaning the act of performing all or a portion of work functions at an alternative worksite, such as working at home or a tele- work center. The intent is to reduce
or eliminate an employee’s commute. To be considered telework, it must occur at least one day per week on a regular and recurring basis. It does not include situational telework (unscheduled, project-oriented, nonrecurring or full-time mobile work arrangements). A telework center is a facility that provides workstations and other office facilities/services that an employee can use for a fee and is a geographically convenient alternative work- place for the employee.
Alternative workplace Brings work to the worker rather than the worker to the workplace.
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Job Design • 399
A virtual office or virtual workplace is a work environment in which employees work coop- eratively from different locations using a computer network. The actual physical locations of employees working in a virtual office can be temporary or permanent and can be nearly any- where (their homes, satellite offices, hotel rooms, corporate offices, airports, airplanes, or auto- mobiles). With hoteling, employees work in one facility (home base) part of the time and at one or more alternative worksites the rest of the time. When working at the home base, the employ- ees use nondedicated, nonpermanent workspaces assigned on a first-come, first-served basis.
Desk sharing is a work arrangement in which two or more employees share the same workstation in a prearranged manner allowing each employee to have sole access to the specified workstation on given days. The difficulty in desk sharing is arranging a schedule that works for all parties involved in terms of completing their work assignments. Com- patible work habits are also important. Most companies use a combination of alternative workplaces customized to their individual company needs.
AT&T, IBM, and the U.S. Army save significant money in real estate and infrastructure costs by having workers work from home, even when the company must provide these employees computers, software, and tech support. Working from home can improve employee productivity. A study of one well-managed office reported that conversation and other normal office behavior distracted people from productive work an average of 70 min- utes during an 8-hour day. Employees working from home are often more satisfied with their work, and that satisfaction can translate into better customer service. So why isn’t every organization letting its workers work at home?
To determine whether the alternative workplace is right for your organization, consider the following seven questions.
1. Are you committed to new ways of doing things? Will you reward employees for results achieved in an alternative workplace?
2. Is your organization industrial or informational? If your structure is designed for making products or providing services that require face-to-face interaction, the potential for using alternative workplaces is likely to be limited.
3. Does your organization have an open culture and proactive managers? Your managers must be open to change and must support the migration to alternative workplaces for it to work.
4. Can you establish clear links among staff , functions, and time? You need to identify what must be done and when. Th ere can be no ambiguity in expectations. Schedules must be clear.
5. Are you prepared to “push-back” or loosen your control over your direct reports? Managers must respect their direct reports and trust that work will be completed when the worker is out of sight.
6. Are there known external barriers? Do your employees have adequate space to work from home? Will they be able to work at home, or will there be additional distractions?
7. Are you willing to invest in the tools and training needed to make the alternative workplace succeed? Make sure that managers are given guidance in monitoring remote employees, that employees know what is expected of them, and that the customers are fully informed.
Many companies use alternative workplaces. AT&T uses desk sharing, providing flexi- ble workstations so workers can rotate in and out as needed. Cisco Systems uses hot desking, whereby the employees choose an available workstation as they arrive. Sun Microsystems gives many of its designers the option to work at home. Companies such as KPMG, Peat Marwick, and Ernst & Young practice “hoteling,” using either hotel workspaces furnished, equipped, and sup- ported with typical office services or corporate workspaces that are reserved by an employee via the company “concierge.” In both cases, the equipment and/or space can be booked by the hour, day, or week. Today, more than 30 million employees work in alternative workplaces.
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The Work Environment It also is important to understand the effect of working conditions on worker productivity, product quality, and worker safety.
Temperature, relative humidity, ventilation, lighting, and noise level are all factors in work system design. People work well when the temperature is comfortable; typically, the more strenuous the work, the lower the temperature should be. Excess humidity is uncomfortable for most people and can be detrimental to some equipment. Too little humidity results in dry air and may create undesirable static charges. Exchanging or filtering the air can prevent the stale air caused by poor ventilation. Inadequate lighting can lead to production mistakes and/or physical discomfort such as headaches. Detailed work normally needs stronger light. Also, high noise levels can be distracting and can result in errors or accidents as well as impair hearing.
Concern for worker safety brought about the enactment in 1970 of the Occupational Safety and Health Act (OSHA), which created the Occupational Safety and Health Admin- istration. The law was designed to ensure that all workers have healthy and safe working conditions. It mandates specific safety conditions that are inspected randomly by OSHA inspectors. Violations can result in warnings, fines, and/or court-imposed shutdowns. The law requires the company to ensure a safe working environment for its employees. There- fore, worker safety is the primary concern in work system design. Workplace accidents are usually the result of worker carelessness or workplace hazards. Carelessness is defined as unsafe acts, such as failing to use protective equipment, overriding safety controls, disre- garding safety procedures, or improperly using tools and equipment. Workplace hazards include conditions such as unprotected equipment, poor lighting, and poor ventilation.
Methods Analysis Methods analysis further defines how a job is to be done. Whereas job design shows the structure of the job and names the tasks within the structure, methods analysis details the tasks and how to do them.
Methods analysis is used by companies when developing new products or services and for improving the efficiency of methods currently in use. Suppose your restaurant has an accepted procedure for communicating a customer’s dinner choices to the kitchen without errors. Methods analysis documents this accepted procedure, including specific notations that iden- tify customer preferences. The result is a standard operating procedure your restaurant can use for training new employees and for evaluating the performance of existing employees.
Methods analysis consists of the following steps:
1. Identify the operation to be analyzed.
2. Gather all relevant information about the operation, including tools, materials, and procedures.
3. Talk with employees who use the operation or have used similar operations. Th ey may have suggestions for improving it.
4. Chart the operation, whether you are analyzing an existing operation or a new operation.
5. Evaluate each step in the existing operation or proposed new operation. Does the step add value? Does it only add cost?
6. Revise the existing or new operation as needed.
7. Put the revised or new operation into eff ect, then follow up on the changes or new operation. Do your changes to the existing operation improve it? Does your new operation add to the company’s overall operations?
Now let’s look at an example of methods analysis for an established operation.
Methods analysis Process concerned with the detailed process for doing a particular job.
Job Design • 401
EXAMPLE 11.1 Methods Analysis at FEAT Company
Companies typically try to identify operations that are labor intensive; are done often; are dangerous, tedious, or fatiguing; and/or are designated as problem operations. In this ex- ample, the FEAT Company, a producer of electronic consumer goods, uses a particular trans- former (Figure 11.1) in several of its fi nished products. A transformer changes the current in the primary circuit to the current needed in the secondary circuit. You have the task of applying methods analysis to one of FEAT’s problem operations.
Terminals
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TRANSFORMER
FIGURE 11.1 A 12-terminal transformer
You decide to concentrate your methods analysis on the transformer wiring operation be- cause it has been a source of quality problems in the past. After talking with the current operators, you develop a fl owchart of the operation, as shown in Figure 11.2. The fl owchart shows that the operator has to solder six individual wires onto six individual terminals of the transformer.
FIGURE 11.2 Chart of the wiring activity
PROCESS FLOWCHART Job: Solder wires to
transformer Analyst: A. Maize Page 1 of 1
Details of method
Transformer to work location Wire and solder iron to terminal #1 Solder wire to terminal #1 Solder iron to holder Wire and solder iron to terminal #2 Solder wire to terminal #2 Solder iron to holder Wire and solder iron to terminal #3 Solder wire to terminal #3 Solder iron to holder Wire and solder iron to terminal #4 Solder wire to terminal #4 Solder iron to holder Wire and solder iron to terminal #5 Solder wire to terminal #5 Solder iron to holder Wire and solder iron to terminal #6 Solder wire to terminal #6 Solder iron to holder Transformer to finished units
Operation Movement Inspection Delay Storage
402 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
The operator follows these steps to solder the wires onto the terminal.
1. Picks up the appropriate wire with the left hand and moves the wire to the terminal to be soldered.
2. Simultaneously picks up the solder iron in the right hand and moves it to the terminal to be soldered.
3. Solders the wire to the terminal and replaces the solder iron in its holder.
4. Solders terminal number 1, then solders terminals 2 through 6, going from right to left.
The layout of the operator’s workstation is shown in Figure 11.3.
FIGURE 11.3 Wiring the transformer
Transformers Supply
Finished Transformers
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The FEAT Company is concerned about this operation—signifi cant rework is needed because of poor solder joints and the operation is not effi cient. You analyze the operation and realize that attaching the wires from right to left is problematic for a right-handed operator. You also note that when soldering the next terminal, the operator places the soldering iron directly above the recently soldered joint. This slows down the process because the operator now has to be careful not to disturb that joint.
Following your methods analysis, you make this recommendation to the FEAT Company to improve the operation:
Reverse the order in which the wires are soldered to the terminals, beginning at terminal 6 and ending at terminal 1. Now the right-handed operator does not reach directly over the recently soldered joints and can improve both the quality and effi ciency of the operation.
The fi nal step in your methods analysis is to follow up to make sure that the new operation resolves the quality problems the FEAT Company was concerned about.
Work Measurement The second component in work system design, work measurement, is a way of determining how long it should take to do a job. Work measurement techniques are used to set a stan- dard time for a specific job. The standard time is the time it should take a qualified operator, working at a sustainable pace and using the appropriate tools and process, to do the job. The standard time is the sustainable time it takes to do either a whole job or a portion or element of a job. In our restaurant example, the time needed to take the customer’s order and commu- nicate that information to the kitchen staff can be calculated as the standard time.
Why should a company set the standard time for a job? Companies use standard times to develop product costs, to evaluate different materials and/or alternative manufacturing techniques, to measure individual worker proficiency, and to plan a production schedule.
Work measurement Determines how long it should take to do a job.
Standard time The length of time it should take a qualifi ed worker using appropriate process and tools to complete a specifi c job, allowing time for personal fatigue and unavoidable delays.
Work Measurement • 403
When costing a product, a company includes labor in the total cost estimate. Instead of timing the labor to build single units, companies typically use a standard labor cost. To do this, they multiply the standard labor time by a given hourly labor cost to determine the direct labor content of a product. For example, if a company invests three standard hours of labor in building a product and its labor cost is $22 per hour, then the standard labor content is $66 per unit. This does not mean each unit has exactly three hours of labor spent on it: some units will have slightly more labor content, and others will have slightly less. Thus the company estimates that it should take three hours of labor to build that product. For pricing purposes, the company charges for three labor-hours of content in each unit.
Standard times allow companies to evaluate new-product proposals, the use of new materials and equipment, new processes or techniques for building a product, and indi- vidual operator proficiency. The standard time provides a benchmark for companies to use when evaluating other alternatives.
EXAMPLE 11.2 An Alternative Material for FEAT Company
Let’s return to the transformer operation in which six wires are soldered to the transformer. FEAT Company might consider buying transformers with individual wires already attached to each of the terminals, as shown in Figure 11.4. The transformer has wires attached to all twelve terminals, so the operator has to remove the six extra wires.
Suppose FEAT evaluates this change in material and process by determining the change in standard time and comparing that with the change in material costs. The result is a trade-off between reduced labor costs versus higher material costs. For example, what should FEAT do if the prewired transformer costs $0.40 more than the unwired transformer, but the standard time is reduced by 45 seconds per unit and the hourly labor cost is $22?
FIGURE 11.4 A prewired transformer
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• Before You Begin: For this problem we are comparing the increased cost for the transformer with the decreased labor cost. You need to determine the value of the labor saved on each transformer that is used. You do this by fi nding the hourly labor rate ($22.00) and multiplying by the 45 seconds (or 0.0125 hour) saved per unit. Compare this labor savings with the additional cost of $0.40 per transformer.
• Solution: The value of the labor saved is $0.275 per transformer. The additional material cost is $0.40 per unit. If FEAT changes to the prewired transformer, it will cost an additional $0.125 per trans- former ($0.40 − $0.275), the difference between the increased material cost and the reduced labor cost. If FEAT is concerned only with the economics, it should not change to prewired transformers. However, if FEAT can improve quality, this benefi t must be factored in to the decision.
We can do evaluations of this kind for any new idea. Moreover, we can use standard times to fi nd out whether workers are producing at the expected level.
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If the standard time shows that a worker should produce 96 units per eight-hour shift, a supervisor can then track the worker’s performance and see whether that worker is match- ing the standard time. If a worker fails to match the standard time, the company should provide training to improve the worker’s performance.
Standard times also help a company to plan. If you know how long it takes to do a job and how often that job is repeated, you can plan your workload from that job.
If an operation takes 0.30 standard hour of labor and you need 1000 of these operations to complete a job, then you need 300 standard hours to complete the job (0.30 hour times 1000 operations). This information allows you to make workload forecasts, plan the labor needed, and schedule work. If you know how long a job should take, you know how long your resources will be busy with that job before you can start the next job. With this knowl- edge you can schedule jobs and promise viable delivery dates to your customers.
Developing Standards Among the commonly used processes for setting standard times are the time study, elemen- tal time data, predetermined time data, and work sampling. The time study dates back to Frederick Winslow Taylor in the late nineteenth century.
The time study sets a standard time based on timed observations of one employee taken over a number of cycles. A cycle includes all the elements of the job. This standard time is applied to all workers doing the job. Table 11.2 shows the steps in a time study.
Now let’s look at these steps in detail.
STEP 1: As an individual, you set standards for yourself based on the tasks that are typi- cal of your workday. The same is true for your company: you base standard times on the routine, labor-intensive jobs rather than one-of-a-kind jobs. Use this criterion for choos- ing your time-study job in Step 1.
STEP 2: It is also important to inform the employee in advance that you will be making a time study of the job. Be sensitive to how the employee will feel as you time performance.
STEP 3: To break a job down into easily recognizable elements, think about making a hand-tossed pizza:
1. Find the right-sized ball of dough (this depends on the pizza size).
2. Flatten out the dough.
3. Spin and toss the dough until it is the size you want.
4. Put the pizza on the working area.
5. Add sauce.
Time study A technique for developing a standard time based on actual observations of the operator.
TABLE 11.2 Procedure for a Time Study
Step 1. Choose the job for the time study.
Step 2. Tell the worker whose job you will be studying.
Step 3. Break the job into easily recognizable units.
Step 4. Calculate the number of cycles you must observe. n ≥ caz a b as
x bd
2
Step 5. Time each element, record the times, and rate the worker’s performance.
Step 6. Compute normal time. NT = (MOT ) (PRF ) (F )
Step 7. Compute the standard tune. ST = (NT ) (AF )
Work Measurement • 405
6. Add cheese.
7. Add additional toppings.
8. Put the pizza in the oven and bake.
Each of these elements has a clear starting and ending point, and you cannot break it down any further.
STEP 4: When making a time study, you need to know how many cycles, or how many times, you must observe the worker to ensure the results you want. The number of cycles is a function of the variability of observed times, the desired level of accuracy or precision, and the desired level of confidence for the estimated standard times. We often express the desired accuracy level as a percentage of the mean observed times. For example, we might want an accuracy level so that the standard time is within 10 percent of the true mean of the time it takes to do the job.
The formula for determining the number of observations needed is
n ≥ caz a b as
x bd
2
where n = the number of observations of an element that is needed z = the number of normal standard deviations needed for desired confi dence s = the standard deviation of the sample a = the desired accuracy or precision x = the mean of the sample observations
To compute the number of observations needed, we begin by making a small number of observations so that we can determine the sample mean and standard deviation. We also need to know the appropriate value of z to use because it determines our confidence level. Common values of z are shown in Table 11.3. Calculating the number of observations needed will be demonstrated by Example 11.3.
Performance Rating Factor This section deals with setting a normalized standard time based on observed times. The observed work pace may be average, above average, or below average. As the time-study analyst, you must make a judgment about the work pace of the observed worker in terms of how far from the average it is. This is a factor of 1.0 called the performance rating factor (PRF ). If a factor of 1.0 represents an average work pace, any performance rating below 1.0 is a below-average work pace. A performance rating of above 1.0 is an above-average work pace. Performance rating is an attempt to counterbalance any unusual patterns noted in the worker’s performance. For any element
Performance rating factor A subjective estimate of a worker’s pace relative to a normal work pace.
TABLE 11.3 Common z Values
Desired Confi dence (%) z Value
90 1.65
95 1.96
95.5 2.00
96 2.05
97 2.17
98 2.33
99 2.58
406 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
EXAMPLE 11.3 Observing Pizza Preparation at Pat’s Pizza Place
To determine the number of observations needed, we take some initial observations of the job being studied. In this case, let’s observe how long it takes to prepare a large, hand-tossed pepperoni and cheese pizza.
We begin by taking ten observations of each of the seven elements. The elements, the standard deviation of the observed times for each element, and the mean observed time for each element are shown in Table 11.4. Determine the appropriate sample size if the standard time for any work element is to be within 5 percent of the true mean 95 percent of the time.
TABLE 11.4 Mean Observed Times Standard Deviation Mean Observed Work Unit (minutes) Time (minutes)
1. Get appropriate ball of dough. 0.010 0.12
2. Flatten dough. 0.030 0.25
3. Spin and toss dough. 0.040 0.50
4. Place dough on work counter. 0.005 0.12
5. Pour sauce on formed dough. 0.035 0.30
6. Place grated cheese on top of sauce. 0.025 0.25
7. Place pepperoni on top of cheese. 0.030 0.24
• Before You Begin: To solve this problem, use the formula shown in Step 4. The formula requires that you know the number of normal standard deviations needed for the desired confi dence level (from Table 11.3 you can see that a 95 percent confi dence level requires 1.96 normal standard deviations). You also need the desired accuracy or precision (5 percent, or 0.05, in this case). The sample standard deviation and the mean of the sample observations come from Table 11.4. After calculating the required number of observations for each element, we select the highest number of observations as the appropriate number for our time study.
• Solution: The calculations are shown here. All noninteger solutions are rounded up.
Work element 1: n ≥ ca1.96 0.05 b a0.01
0.12 bd
2
= 11 observations
Work element 2: n ≥ ca1.96 0.05 b a0.03
0.25 bd
2
= 23 observations
Work element 3: n ≥ ca1.96 0.05 b a0.04
0.50 bd
2
= 10 observations
Work element 4: n ≥ ca1.96 0.05 b a0.005
0.12 bd
2
= 3 observations
Work element 5: n ≥ ca1.96 0.05 b a0.035
0.30 bd
2
= 21 observations
Work element 6: n ≥ ca1.96 0.05 b a0.025
0.25 bd
2
= 16 observations
Work element 7: n ≥ ca1.96 0.05 b a0.03
0.24 bd
2
= 25 observations
Work element 7 requires the most observations (25) to ensure the accuracy and confi dence needed.
Work Measurement • 407
in which the worker performs below average, the worker may need additional training to improve efficiency.
It is not uncommon for workers to work faster than normal when they are observed or, in some cases, to work more slowly than normal when they are observed. The performance rating is used to develop a standard that is fair to the worker and to the company.
Frequency of Occurrence One other factor to consider when calculating the time stan- dard is the frequency of occurrence (F ) for each work element. We expect most elements to be done every cycle, so they would have a frequency of occurrence equal to 1. However, some elements are not done each cycle, so we adjust the frequency accordingly. If an element is done every other cycle, it would have a frequency equal to 0.5, or, on average, half of it is done each cycle. If an element is done once every five cycles, F = 0.2. We calculate the frequency of occurrence by dividing 1 by the number of cycles between occurrences (1 divided by 10 cycles between occurrences means that F = 0.1).
STEP 6: We compute the normal time (NT ) for each work element by multiplying the mean observed time by the performance rating factor by the frequency of occurrence [NT = (MOT )(PRF )(F )]. The normal time calculations are shown in Table 11.6. Remem- ber that the performance rating factor scores and the frequency of occurrence must be known for you to calculate the normal time. The normal time for preparing a large cheese and pepperoni pizza is 1.966 minutes. This normal time reflects how long it may take to produce a single large cheese and pepperoni pizza. However, it does not allow for personal time, fatigue, or unavoidable delays (PFD) during the typical workday. There- fore, we adjust the normal time with an allowance factor (AT ).
Allowance Factor Personal time, fatigue, and unavoidable delays affect how much an employee can produce during the day. There are two methods used to convert the job’s nor- mal time into the job’s standard time. With the first method, the PFD allowance is based on individual jobs the worker does throughout the day. This is typically used when workers perform several different types of jobs, with some of the jobs more fatiguing than others and other jobs having longer unavoidable delays. In this case, the amount of output expected must take into account the actual jobs performed by the worker. The PFD allowance factor is computed as
Frequency of occurrence How often the work element must be done each cycle.
Normal time The mean observed time multiplied by the performance rating factor by the frequency of occurrence.
Allowance factor The amount of time the analyst allows for personal time, fatigue, and unavoidable delays.
STEP 5: From the calculations completed above, you know that 15 additional cycles must be observed (25 needed less 10 previously completed). Table 11.5 shows the revised mean observed times (MOT).
TABLE 11.5 Revised Mean Observed Times Work Element Mean Observed Time (minutes)
1 0.15 2 0.25 3 0.60 4 0.15 5 0.30 6 0.28 7 0.28
From the revised mean observed times for each work element, we can determine the normal time for the elements. The normal time is different from the observed times because we multiply it by a performance rating factor and the frequency of occurrence.
Mean observed time The average of the observation times for each of the work elements.
408 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
TABLE 11.6 Calculated Normal Times
Work Element
Mean Observed Time
(minutes)
Performance Rating Factor Frequency
Normal Time
(minutes)
1 0.15 0.90 1 0.135
2 0.25 1.00 1 0.250
3 0.60 0.85 1 0.510
4 0.15 1.10 1 0.165
5 0.30 1.20 1 0.360
6 0.28 1.00 1 0.280
7 0.28 0.95 1 0.266
Total 1.966
AFJob = 1 + PFD
where PFD = percentage allowance adjustment based on the individual job. The other method is used when all of the different jobs an employee does are similar, having the same allowance factor. We compute this allowance factor as
AFTime worked = 1
1 − PFD
Let’s look at a numerical comparison of the two methods for setting the allowance factor. If the allowance factor of PFD = 0.15, we compute allowance based on the job as
AFJob = 1 + 0.15 = 1.15, or 115%
When computing the allowance based on time worked, the result is
AFTime worked = 1
1 − 0.15 = 1.176, or 117.6%
STEP 7: Now that we know how to calculate the allowance factor, let’s continue with our pizza-making example and determine a standard time. The standard time equals the normal time multiplied by the allowance factor.
EXAMPLE 11.4 Calculating Standard Time for a Hand-Tossed Cheese and Pepperoni Pizza
To determine the standard time, we multiply the normal time by the allowance factor. For the large, hand-tossed cheese and pepperoni pizza, we use an allowance factor of 15 percent based on time worked because all the hand-tossed pizza preparations should have a similar allowance.
• Before You Begin: To compute the standard time for each element, you need to know the normal time (shown in Table 11.6) and the allowance factor (15 percent based on time worked). Multiply the normal time for the element by the allowance factor.
Work Measurement • 409
Before you go on, let’s make sure you understand how to do a time study. Remember, the fi rst step is identifying the job you will study. Break the job into small, easily recognizable work elements, which allows you to analyze the different elements, look for ways to improve the existing operation, and identify areas where workers need additional training.
To determine the number of observations needed, you must consider the variability of observed times, the desired level of accuracy, and the desired level of confi dence for the estimated standard time. Take some observations so you can
determine the variability of the observed times. The degree of accuracy and level of confi dence factors are managerial decisions.
After determining the number of observations needed, perform any necessary additional observations. Using the ob- served times, calculate the mean observed time for each work element. Calculate the normal time by multiplying the mean observed time by the performance rating factor and the fre- quency of occurrence for each work element. Adjust the nor- mal time by multiplying it by the appropriate allowance factor.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
• Solution: We calculate the standard time for each work element as follows.
ST = (NT )(AF )
where ST = standard time NT = normal time AF = allowance factor
Solving for work element 1 in our example, we have
STElement 1 = (0.135)a 11 − 0.15b = 0.159 minute The standard times for each element using a 15 percent allowance based on work time are
shown in Table 11.7.
TABLE 11.7 Standard Times for Making Large Cheese and Pepperoni Pizza
Normal Time Standard Time Work Element (minutes) (minutes)
1. Get appropriate ball of dough. 0.135 0.159
2. Flatten dough. 0.250 0.294
3. Spin and toss dough. 0.510 0.600
4. Place dough on work counter. 0.165 0.194
5. Pour sauce on formed dough. 0.360 0.424
6. Place grated cheese on top of sauce. 0.280 0.329
7. Place pepperoni on top of cheese. 0.266 0.313
Total 1.966 2.313
The standard time for preparing a large, hand-tossed cheese and pepperoni pizza is 2.313 minutes. This means that during an eight-hour day, our worker should be able to prepare 207 (480 minutes per eight-hour shift, divided by the standard time of 2.313 minutes) large, hand- tossed cheese and pepperoni pizzas.
Other Techniques Used to Develop Standards Two other ways to set stan- dards are the elemental time data approach and the predetermined time data approach. Both approaches require that the analyst setting the standard know how the job is to be
410 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
performed and how the employee’s workplace will be configured. The analyst uses this information along with previously collected data to develop a standard. The basis of both techniques is a database consisting of previously completed time studies.
After your company performs and validates time studies, it stores those accepted time studies in an elemental time database for possible future use. Many jobs consist of the same work elements. For example, in many jobs the operator has to reach for materials, position an item, or insert and tighten something. Instead of recalculating the time it should take to do a particular work element, the time-study analyst checks the database for a valid time study. If the company has already done a time study for that work element, the analyst uses it in the standard time for the job. When a time-study analyst uses standard elemental times, the procedure is as follows:
1. Identify the standard elements of the job.
2. Check the database for time studies done on these elements.
3. If no valid studies exist for this or a similar work element, do a time study for the new work element.
4. Adjust the database times if needed. Note that you can adjust database times if the work element is slightly diff erent. Suppose the database has time studies on reaching 6 inches for a tool and reaching 12 inches for a tool, but for the job you are studying, the operator reaches 9 inches for the tool. Instead of developing a new time study, you can interpolate between the two values and derive a reasonable time for reaching 9 inches.
5. Add the element times to determine the normal time, then multiply by the allowance factor to determine the standard time.
The advantage of using standard elemental times is that you need fewer time studies. The results of each time study go into the database and are available for setting future stan- dard times. Also, using standard elemental times eliminates the workplace disruptions caused by making time studies. The disadvantage is that using standard elements may dis- courage new process development and improvements.
Just as elemental time databases are useful for individual companies, predetermined time data are useful for the many companies that share similar work elements. Predeter- mined time data is a large database of valid work element times. One commonly used sys- tem is methods-time measurement (MTM), which was developed in the 1940s. The tables used in MTM deal with basic elemental motions and associated times. An example of an MTM table is shown in Table 11.8.
Let’s take a closer look at Table 11.8. The first column shows how far the operator must move the object in inches. Columns A through E explain the activity. Column A applies when the operator has to reach for an object in a fixed location or an object in the operator’s other hand. Column B applies when the operator has to reach for a single object in a loca- tion that may vary slightly from cycle to cycle. Columns C and D apply when the operator has to reach for an object jumbled with other objects in a group (search and select), when the operator has to reach for a very small object, or when the operator needs an accurate grasp. Column E applies when the operator has to reach for an indefinite location to posi- tion the hand for the next motion. The last two columns on the right-hand side (labeled A and B) represent the time measurement units (TMUs) if the hand is already in motion.
When using predetermined time data, you split the job into basic elements (reach, grasp, move, engage, insert, turn, disengage), measure the distances involved (how far must the operator reach?), and rate the difficulty of the item (does the operator grasp a single piece of wire or one of many wires?). For each job, you find the time for the individual elements in the appropriate data table and sum the times to get the normal time for the job. You adjust the normal time by the PFD allowance factor to determine the standard time. Element
Elemental time data Establish standards based on previously completed time studies, stored in an organization’s database.
Predetermined time data Published database of elemental time data used for establishing standard times.
Work Measurement • 411
Distance Moved (inches)
Time (TMUs)
A B C or D E
Hand in Motion
A B Cases and
Descriptions
3/4 or less 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.6 A Reach to object in fi xed location or to object in other hand or on which other hand rests
1 2.5 2.5 3.6 2.4 2.3 2.3
2 4.0 4.0 5.9 3.8 3.5 2.7
3 5.3 5.3 7.3 5.3 4.5 3.6
4 6.1 6.4 8.4 6.8 4.9 4.3 B Reach to single object in location, which may vary slightly from cycle to cycle
5 6.5 7.8 9.4 7.4 5.3 5.0
6 7.0 8.6 10.1 8.0 5.7 5.7
7 7.4 9.3 10.8 8.7 6.1 6.5
8 7.9 10.1 11.5 9.3 6.5 7.2 C Reach to object jumbled with other objects in a group so that search and select occur
9 8.3 10.8 12.2 9.9 6.9 7.9
10 8.7 11.5 12.9 10.5 7.3 8.6
12 9.6 12.9 14.2 11.8 8.1 10.1
14 10.5 14.4 15.6 13.0 8.9 11.5 D Reach to a very small object or where accurate grasp is required
16 11.4 15.8 17.0 14.2 9.7 12.9
18 12.3 17.2 18.4 15.5 10.5 14.4
20 13.1 18.6 19.8 16.7 11.3 15.8
22 14.0 20.1 21.2 18.0 12.1 17.3 E Reach to indefi nite location to get hand in position for body balance or next motion or out of way
24 14.9 21.5 22.5 19.2 12.9 18.8
26 15.8 22.9 23.9 20.4 13.7 20.2
28 16.7 24.4 25.3 21.7 14.5 21.7
30 17.5 25.8 26.7 22.9 15.3 23.2
TABLE 11.8 MTM Reach Table
Source: Copyright by the MTM Association for Standards and Research. Reprinted with permission from the MTM Association, 1111 East Touhy Ave., Des Plaines, IL 60018.
times are typically in time measurement units (TMUs): there are 100,000 TMUs in one hour; one TMU equals 0.0006 minute.
To use predetermined time data, you must be skilled in the method of calculating a stan- dard time and knowledgeable about the job being studied. You must understand how the job is done, the appropriate workplace layout, and the level of difficulty of different work elements. The advantages of using predetermined time data are that you do not have to rate individual operator performance, you do not disrupt the workplace to determine the standard time, and you can calculate standard times before the job even begins. The disad- vantages are the skill level needed and the variability among analysts in assessing the level of difficulty of different work elements.
Developing a Standard Work Sampling Work sampling is a method used for estimating the proportion of time that an employee or machine spends on different work activities. Work sampling does not provide a standard time for an activity, but instead provides an estimate of what portion of the day a worker
Work sampling A technique for estimating the proportion of time a worker spends on a particular activity.
412 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
uses for that activity. For example, a secretary may spend the day managing files, generat- ing letters, taking phone calls, greeting visitors, and maintaining an appointment schedule. Work sampling does not specify how long it should take the secretary to generate a partic- ular letter, but it does say what proportion of the day is typically spent on generating letters. For a machine, the company may use work sampling to determine what proportion of the day the machine is used for rush jobs or is idle.
You do not time activities for work sampling. Instead, you make random observations and note the kind of activity. For example, you walk into the secretary’s office and see that the secretary is composing, editing, and printing letters. You record your observations and use them to estimate the proportion of time the employee spends on different activities. Work sampling consists of the following procedures:
1. Identify the worker or machine to be sampled.
2. Defi ne the activities to be observed.
3. Estimate the sample size based on the desired level of accuracy and confi dence.
4. Develop the random observation schedule. Make your observations over a time period that is representative of normal work conditions.
5. Make your observations and record the data. Check to see whether the estimated sample size remains valid.
6. Estimate the proportion of time spent on the given activity.
In the following example, we use work sampling to estimate the proportion of time a secretary spends scheduling appointments. You can use work sampling to estimate the proportion of delays a worker experiences and also as input when calculating the PFD (personal, fatigue, and delay) allowance factor. For example, you can observe whether a worker is working or experiencing delays. After you make enough observations, you can estimate delay time and use it as part of the PFD allowance factor.
EXAMPLE 11.5 Determining the Proportion of Time Used to Schedule Appointments
We use work sampling to estimate the proportion of time a secretary spends doing a given activity during a normal offi ce day. The secretary’s normal activities are managing fi les, gen- erating letters, taking phone calls, greeting visitors, maintaining an appointment schedule, and being idle. We want to know how much of the secretary’s time is used for scheduling appointments.
• Before You Begin: To use work sampling to estimate the proportion of time spent on a particular activity like scheduling appointments, you begin with an estimate of the time spent on the activity. When you have no initial estimate of the proportion, you do a preliminary sample size calculation setting the proportion equal to 0.50. You then take some initial observations, enough to represent a normal distribution (30), and determine the appropriate proportion to use in calculating the sample size actually needed.
• Solution: Determine how many observations to make. Work sampling is designed to produce a value, p̂, which estimates the true proportion, p, that a particular activity normally occurs, within some allowable error, e. To estimate the number of observations needed for a given level of error, we use the following formula.
n ≥ azeb 2
p̂(1 − p̂)
Work Measurement • 413
where n = the number of observations that are needed z = the number of normal standard deviations needed for desired confi dence
e = the allowable error level (given as a percentage)
Let’s assume that we want to estimate with 97 percent confi dence (z = 2.17), the proportion of time the secretary spends on scheduling appointments. We want the resulting estimate to be within 5 percent of the true value. To solve the equation, we need a sample estimate. When we do not know the sample estimate of p̂, we calculate a preliminary estimate of the sample size by setting p̂ = .50. Since we do not have an estimate for the sample proportion, we com- pute the preliminary sample size for our work sampling example as follows:
n ≥ a2.17 0.05 b
2
0.5(1 − 0.5) = 470.89 observations
If we use a preliminary sample size, we verify that the sample size is correct after we make initial observations and compute the proportion sample. For example, we observed the sec- retary 30 times, and he was scheduling appointments during 6 of those observations. The proportion sample is 0.2 (6 times arranging meetings/30 observations). The new estimate of the sample size is
n ≥ a2.17 0.05 b
2
0.2(1 − 0.2) = 301.37 observations
Whenever the value of n is not a whole number, we round up to the next whole number. In our example, we may need to check our sample size once more after completing more observations just to be sure that we are using the right sample size. After completing the 302 observations, we see that the secretary was scheduling appointments on 60 sep- arate occasions, or 19.9 percent (60/302) of the time. We examine the other activities to estimate the proportion of time the secretary spends on each. The company can use these estimates to describe the job to prospective employees or in performance reviews for the current secretary.
Pace Productivity offers the TimeCorder for con- ducting work-sampling time studies. The device, developed in 1989 by Mark Ellwood, was com- pletely redesigned and reintroduced in 2004. It allows employees to easily record how much time is spent on different activities. The TimeCorder has twenty- six alphabetical buttons that each represent a differ- ent activity. When an employee begins a new task, the employee simply pushes the appropriate button for that activity and time is recorded on that activity. When a new button is pushed, time stops for the previous activ- ity and starts for the new activity. A typical study takes six to eight weeks. The company identifies the objec- tives of the study, determines the activities for each job, and selects employees to participate. Participants use the TimeCorder for two weeks, the devices are returned to Pace Productivity, and the data are analyzed and a report pro- vided to the company. The analysis focuses on opportunities for the company to improve productivity.
LINKSTO PRACTICE
PACE PRODUCTIVITY www.paceproductivity.com
414 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
Learning Curve Theory An important factor in calculating labor times is the learning effect. We all can recall a new task or job that took a long time to finish the first time we tried. However, each subsequent time we did the task, it took less time. This is the basis of learning curve theory. People learn from doing a task and get quicker each time they repeat that task. A learning curve is shown in Figure 11.5.
The major attributes of a learning curve are that it takes less time to complete the task each additional time it is done by the same employee, and the time savings decrease with each additional time that task is done by that employee. When the number of times the task is completed doubles, the decrease in time per task affects the rate of the learning curve. For example, if a learning curve has an 85 percent learning rate, the second time the task is done will take 85 percent of the time it took the first time the task was done. The fourth time the task is done will take 85 percent of the time it took the second time. The eighth time will take 85 percent of the time it took the fourth time, and so on. The formula for calculating the time the task should take is
T × Ln = time required for nth time the task is done
where T = time needed to complete task the fi rst time L = learning curve rate n = number of times the task is doubled
If the first time the task was done, the employee took twelve labor hours, and the learning rate is 85 percent, calculate how long the sixteenth time that task is done should take.
Hours needed for 16th task = 12 × (0.85) 4 = 6.26 hours
The sixteenth time the task is done will be the fourth doubling of output—the second time, the fourth time, the eighth time, and finally the sixteenth time.
FIGURE 11.5 Learning curve
1
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
4 8 16
CUMULATIVE TIME PER TASK COMPLETED
D IR
E C
T L
A B
O R
-H O
U R
S P
E R
T A
S K
32
Compensation • 415
Understanding learning curves is important. The amount of labor needed to finish the same task or build the same product a number of times can be calculated, which allows a company to better estimate the labor cost. The company can also better schedule its workload since it knows how much labor is needed to complete the task a specific num- ber of times. Calculating the learning rate also is a means for evaluating productivity. The company can compare its learning rate with that of its competitors. The rate of learning is affected when there are changes in designs, personnel, or procedures. Changes mean that an employee must learn something new, which slows down the improvement rate.
An alternative method of calculating the time required to produce a specific unit is to use a table of learning curve coefficients, as shown in Table 11.9. This table allows you to calculate the time it should take to build the nth unit as well as to calculate the total pro- duction time required to build the entire production run when the nth unit is the last one completed.
Compensation Worker compensation is the third part of work system design. Companies need to develop compensation systems that reinforce the behaviors needed to meet the company’s objectives.
Compensation systems are typically based either on time spent working or on out- put generated. Time-based systems compensate the employee according to the number of hours worked during the pay period. Compensation is not linked to employee perfor- mance but to employee presence at the workplace. Output-based or incentive systems link employee pay to performance. Employees are paid based on their output and not on the number of hours they work.
Time-based compensation systems are normally used when measuring output per employee is not applicable—say, for managers, administrative support staff, and some direct laborers. Consider an employee working in your company’s research and develop- ment group. This employee is doing creative work, which is not easily measured in terms of output. The advantage of the time-based system is its simplicity. For the company, wages
Time-based compensation systems Pay based on the number of hours worked.
EXAMPLE 11.6 Using the Table of Learning Curve Coefficients
You have been asked to develop a time estimate for an order of 24 conveyor bucket systems. Your best estimate is that the fi rst system will take 120 hours of labor, and an 85 percent learning curve is expected.
(a) How many labor-hours should the twelfth conveyor bucket system require? (b) How many labor-hours will the twenty-fourth conveyor bucket system require? (c) How many total labor-hours will be needed to build all 24 systems?
• Solution: (a) To determine how many hours the twelfth system requires, we use Table 11.9, the Learning
Curve Coeffi cients table. Looking in the row for the twelfth unit and the column for an 85 percent learning curve, we fi nd the coeffi cient is 0.558. We multiply the number of labor- hours for the fi rst unit by the coeffi cient: 120 hours × 0.558 = 66.96 hours.
(b) The coeffi cient for the twenty-fourth unit is 0.475, so the twenty-fourth unit should require 57 hours, or 120 hours × 0.475.
(c) The total time required to produce the 24 systems is calculated by fi nding the coeffi cient for total time in the row for the twenty-fourth unit and the column titled total time for the 85 percent learning curve. In this case, the coeffi cient is 14.331. Now multiply the hours for the fi rst unit times the coeffi cient. Total labor required to build the 24 systems is 1719.72 hours, or 120 hours × 14.331.
416 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
70% 75% 80% 85% 90%
Unit Number
Unit Time
Total Time
Unit Time
Total Time
Unit Time
Total Time
Unit Time
Total Time
Unit Time
Total Time
1 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
2 .700 1.700 .750 1.750 .800 1.800 .850 1.850 .900 1.900
3 .568 2.268 .634 2.384 .702 2.502 .773 2.623 .846 2.746
4 .490 2.758 .562 2.946 .640 3.142 .723 3.345 .810 3.556
5 .437 3.195 .513 3.459 .596 3.738 .686 4.031 .783 4.339
6 .398 3.593 .475 3.934 .562 4.299 .657 4.688 .762 5.101
7 .367 3.960 .446 4.380 .534 4.834 .634 5.322 .744 5.845
8 .343 4.303 .422 4.802 .512 5.346 .614 5.936 .729 6.574
9 .323 4.626 .402 5.204 .493 5.839 .597 6.533 .716 7.290
10 .306 4.932 .385 5.589 .477 6.315 .583 7.116 .705 7.994
11 .291 5.223 .370 5.958 .462 6.777 .570 7.686 .695 8.689
12 .278 5.501 .357 6.315 .449 7.227 .558 8.244 .685 9.374
13 .267 5.769 .345 6.660 .438 7.665 .548 8.792 .677 10.052
14 .257 6.026 .334 6.994 .428 8.092 .539 9.331 .670 10.721
15 .248 6.274 .325 7.319 .418 8.511 .530 9.861 .663 11.384
16 .240 6.514 .316 7.635 .410 8.920 .522 10.383 .656 12.040
17 .233 6.747 .309 7.944 .402 9.322 .515 10.898 .650 12.690
18 .226 6.973 .301 8.245 .394 9.716 .508 11.405 .644 13.334
19 .220 7.192 .295 8.540 .388 10.104 .501 11.907 .639 13.974
20 .214 7.407 .288 8.828 .381 10.485 .495 12.402 .634 14.608
21 .209 7.615 .283 9.111 .375 10.860 .490 12.892 .630 15.237
22 .204 7.819 .277 9.388 .370 11.230 .484 13.376 .625 15.862
23 .199 8.018 .272 9.660 .364 11.594 .479 13.856 .621 16.483
24 .195 8.213 .267 9.928 .359 11.954 .475 14.331 .617 17.100
25 .191 8.404 .263 10.191 .355 12.309 .470 14.801 .613 17.713
TABLE 11.9 Learning Curve Coefficients
are easily calculated. For the employees, the pay is steady, and they know what they will get in their regular paycheck.
Output-based (incentive) systems, or piece-rate systems, or commission systems can be linked to Frederick Taylor’s theory that humans are economically motivated. These sys- tems reward workers for their output. The more the worker produces, the more the worker earns. The assumption is that some workers are motivated by money and produce more when pay is linked to performance.
These incentive systems can be designed to compensate either the individual or an entire group of employees. Individual incentive plans typically provide a base salary for the employee, plus a bonus for output achieved above the standard. For example, an employee has a base salary of $250 per week regardless of how much is produced. The
Output-based (incentive) systems Pay based on the number of units completed.
Compensation • 417
standard for the employee is to produce 50 units per week. The employee earns $250 per week until the employee’s output exceeds the standard 50 units per week. For every unit above 50, the employee earns an additional $7. If the employee produces 55 units during the week, he or she earns $285 for that pay period—$250 base, plus a bonus of $35 (5 extra units at $7 each). An employee producing 60 units per week would earn $320.
Successful individual incentive plans are linked to quality as well as to quantity. Encour- aging a worker to produce low-quality units faster does not make good business sense. The incentive plan must be clear on how output is counted.
Group Incentive Plans Group incentive plans are designed to reward employees when the company achieves cer- tain performance objectives. Two methods are profit sharing and gain sharing. Profit shar- ing rewards employees when the company achieves certain profitability levels.
Profit Sharing One variation of profit sharing places half the profits in excess of the min- imum return on investment into a bonus pool for employees. Individual bonuses can then be based on an employee’s base pay, on the percentage of time during the past year the employee worked for the company, or on similar arrangements. For example, a company may give a bonus equal to 15 percent of an employee’s base pay. If employee Heather Jones has a base salary of $34,000, her bonus would be $5100 ($34,000 times 0.15). This may seem like a substantial bonus, but if the company fails to meet its profitability levels, Heather’s bonus is zero.
Gain Sharing Gain sharing emphasizes the costs of output rather than profit levels. With this plan, employees share the benefits of quality and productivity improvements made during the year. The pool of money for the bonuses comes from the cost items under the control of employees. The individual bonuses should represent an appropriate share of the gains.
While we traditionally think of gain sharing as a way to reward individuals within an organization for reducing the costs of output, the concept has been expanded to healthcare provided by Medicare. The Medicare Shared Savings Program facilitates coordina- tion and cooperation among health- care providers to improve the quality of care for Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries. At the start of 2015, eighty-nine programs are operating throughout the United States. The Shared Savings Program is a key component of the Med- icare delivery system reform initiatives in response to the Affordable Care Act. More infor- mation about the Medicare Shared Savings Program can be found at http://www.cms.gov/ Medicare/Medicare-Fee-for-Service-Payment/sharedsavingsprogram/index.html.
Incentive Plan Trends Regardless of the type of incentive system used, individual or group, there are disadvan- tages associated with both. Individual incentive systems have been shown to undermine
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418 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
teamwork and give employees a short-term focus. A study of 20 Social Security Adminis- tration offices showed that an individual merit pay system had no effect on worker perfor- mance. This finding tells us that individual incentive plans need significantly more data collection by management than time-based systems.
Some evidence suggests that group incentive systems suffer from the “free-rider” prob- lem. The free-rider is the person who does not do his or her fair share but is still rewarded by the work of the group. Still, the extent of free-riding is modest, most likely because of group pressure. Overall, companies using group incentive systems tend to outperform companies that do not use such systems.
Work System Design Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Work system design includes job design, work measurement, and worker compensation. Manufacturing or industrial engineers often do these activities. Job design determines exactly how the product or service will be done and is linked directly to product and process design. Based on the type of product (standard or custom) and its proposed process (mass-producing or producing one at a time), a company determines the skills set needed by its employees as well as the necessary equipment. Methods analysis further defines the job design. It provides a means for evaluating different processes and materials, thus allow- ing a company to focus on continuous improvement. This ties in directly with a company’s total quality management (TQM) focus.
Work measurement techniques allow a company to develop standards to use as a basis for evaluating the cost and effectiveness of different methods and materials for building a product or providing a service. These time standards provide a time estimate to use as a basis for establishing detailed work schedules and for determining long-term staffing lev- els. These time estimates can be used as a basis for making delivery or completion-time promises to customers. Standard times are used to develop lead-time estimates, which are inputs for the MRP (material requirement planning) system as well as the MPS (master production schedule) process. Work measurement also provides the means for setting stan- dards against which to compare new methods, new materials, and new designs; ensures that employees know how to do their job; and provides the information needed by the com- pany to calculate its costs.
Worker compensation determines how the worker will be compensated for his or her effort. It determines whether the worker is paid based on time spent or units completed. It also determines whether profit sharing or gain sharing should be included in a worker’s compensation.
Work System Design Across the Organization
Work system design affects functional areas throughout a company. Let’s look at why indi- vidual functional areas are concerned with work system design.
Accounting calculates the cost of products manufactured or services provided. Labor can be a significant portion of the cost of goods sold, especially in the service industries. Accounting measures variances between planned product cost and actual product cost. Accounting also typically measures operational efficiency, which is based on work stan- dards. Work system design is an important resource for accounting activities.
ACC
Compensation • 419
Marketing is concerned with work system design because it is the basis for determining lead time. Accurate work projections enable marketing to make viable promise dates to customers.
Information systems uses estimates of job duration and resources in the software for scheduling and tracking operations.
Purchasing handles requests for materials based on a schedule projected from the work system design. Accurate scheduling enables cost-effective materials and labor purchas- ing decisions. Standard time provides a benchmark for evaluation of new materials and processes.
Manufacturing responds to effective job design, process analysis, and work measure- ment with high levels of performance and on-time delivery of finished goods.
Human resources uses work sampling to establish and validate hiring criteria. You can see that work system design involves all aspects of an organization and has an
impact on how well the organization performs. In many manufacturing companies, job design and process analysis are both done by a manufacturing or an industrial engineer. The engineer works with product blueprints and the workforce to develop job instructions. From these detailed job instructions, the company can develop time standards. Work mea- surement information is often provided by workers as they complete a job. Accounting may use this information to report the efficiency of manufacturing operations. In a service orga- nization, an operations manager or operations analyst may do the job design and process analysis.
Work system design helps companies understand the total costs of making a product or providing a service. It allows companies to evaluate their product or service line and view the bottom line for each product or service.
MKT
MIS
HRM
Work system design includes job design, methods ana-lysis, work measurement, and compensation. Each of these is critical to successful supply chain management. Job design requires clearly specifying what has to be done, who has to do it, how it should be done, and how it should be measured. Every member of the supply chain needs to have his or her role similarly defi ned. Methods analysis is used to improve processes and eliminate non-value-adding activities.
Such analysis can reduce duplicate efforts among supply chain members. Work measurement is used to develop standards for activities performed by members of the supply chain. Standards for picking and packing materials at warehouses or standards for unloading and loading at crossdocks are critical for coordinating material fl ow within the supply chain. Using standards to measure job performance is critical to improving supply chain success. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
A signifi cant aspect of sustainability is the design of jobs and work with an eye toward minimizing harm to the environment. This includes work and jobs within a company’s own operations, as well as the job requirements it makes on its suppliers. Starbucks is a company that provides an excellent example of such work system design, being a leader in sustain- ability practices. These practices include careful selection of suppliers that involve spending 18 weeks visiting coffee grow- ers in various nations, and providing exacting specifi cations for growing, harvesting, and delivery of coffee. Starbucks demands its growers protect biodiversity in their growing and harvesting practices, including specifying precisely how the coffee will be
picked so as not to damage the surrounding habitat. Starbucks then specifi es details of how coffee beans will be stored and handled, such as storing all coffee beans in recyclable burlap bags, and specifying when electronic seals will be added to en- sure product integrity. At the retail stores, jobs continue to be designed with the environment in mind, including a job for re- cycling coffee grounds and using it as nitrogen-rich garden compost. These are all specifi c job duties within the operation and supply chain that ensure sustainability practices are de- signed to support the overall strategy of sustainability. The be- nefi ts to Starbucks have been high product quality and consist- ency, as well as improved profi tability.
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
420 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
Another important aspect of sustainability in work system design is addressing social responsibility, which involves em- ploying and respecting a diverse workforce with competitive wages and ample time away from work. Social sustainability requires management practices with respect to employees that should go above and beyond minimum requirements of health, safety, and nondiscrimination mandated by labor laws. Employment practices should maximize the productivity and quality of employees by fostering a culture of mutual respect, appreciation, and care. This involves redesigning diffi cult jobs and moving away from long hours and poor pay. Investing in
employees—in the form of continuing education programs, leave time, child care, and opportunities for advancement— should be seen as investments in the company itself. The result is happier, healthier, more productive employees and an enhanced reputation of the company. An excellent example of these benefi ts is the SAS Institute in North Carolina, a com- pany consistently on Fortune magazine’s top companies to work for. The company provides a superb work environment— from child care to on-site massages—resulting in high pro- ductivity and almost no turnover. •
Chapter Highlights 1 Work system design includes job design, work mea-
surement, and worker compensation. Job design deter- mines what needs to be done, work measurement determines how long it should take to complete the job, and worker compensation determines how the worker should be paid for doing the job.
2 Job design specifies the work activities of an indi- vidual or group in support of the organizational objectives. Relevant job design issues include design feasibility, the choice of humans or machines to do the job, whether the job is done by an individ- ual or a team, and where the work is done. Techni- cal feasibility is the degree to which an individual or group is physically and mentally able to do the job. Economic feasibility is the degree to which the job adds value compared to the cost of performing the task. Behavioral feasibility is the degree to which an employee derives intrinsic satisfaction from doing the job. Another issue is whether the job should be done by people or machines. When a person does the job, you need to decide on the level of specializa- tion. When jobs are extremely specialized, it is prob- able that techniques reducing employee boredom are needed. Job design can be with a team approach. Such approaches include problem-solving teams, special-purpose teams, and self-directed teams. It also is possible that work can be done at an alter- native workplace. Methods or process analysis is concerned with how an employee should do the job. Methods analysis also is used to improve the effi- ciency of an operation.
3 Work measurement uses standard times to deter- mine the standard costs of a product, to evaluate new materials and/or new processes, to measure individ- ual worker performance, and for planning (schedules,
workload, and staffing). To accomplish this, time stan- dards are developed. A time standard is how long it should take a qualifi ed operator, using the appropri- ate process, material, and equipment, and working at a sustainable pace, to do a particular job. Standards are used to compare alternative processes, evaluate new materials or components, and evaluate individ- ual worker performance. Standards also allow you to determine when a job should be completed or how many units can be done in a specifi c amount of time. To do a time study, you identify the job and break the job into work elements. Th en you determine the num- ber of observations needed and perform the observa- tions. After conducting the observations, you compute the mean observed time for each work element. You compute the normal time for the work element by multiplying the mean observed time by the perfor- mance rating factor. Th e standard time for each work element is the normal time multiplied by the allow- ance factor. Standards also can be developed using either elemental time data or predetermined time data. Another approach used is work sampling. Work sampling involves random observations of a worker. Each time the worker is observed, you note what activity the worker is doing. After numerous obser- vations, you can project the expected proportion of time the worker should spend on diff erent activities. An additional concern is how to capture the impact of employee learning. Learning curves show the rate of learning that occurs when an employee repeats the same task. Using learning curves you can estimate how a long a particular task will take to complete after an employee has performed the task a specifi ed number of times. Th is allows the company to sched- ule better and calculate costs more accurately.
Solved Problems • 421
4 Worker compensation systems are either time based or output based. Time-based systems pay an employee for the number of hours worked. Output-based systems
pay the employee for the number of units completed. Incentive systems can be based on either individual or group performance.
Key Terms
job design 393
technical feasibility 393
economic feasibility 393
behavioral feasibility 394
specialization 395
job enlargement 396
job enrichment 396
job rotation 397
problem-solving teams 397
special-purpose teams 397
self-directed teams 397
alternative workplace 398
methods analysis 400
work measurement 402
standard time 402
time study 404
performance rating factor 405
mean observed time 407
frequency of occurrence 407
normal time 407
allowance factor 407
elemental time data 410
predetermined time data 410
work sampling 411
time-based compensation systems 415
output-based (incentive) systems 416
Formula Review 1. Calculating the number of observations for an element
in a time study
n ≥ caz a bas
x bd
2
2. Calculating the allowance factor based on job time
AFJob = 1 + PFD
3. Calculating the allowance factor based on time worked
AFTime worked = 1
1 − PFD
4. Calculating the normal time
NT = (MOT) (PRF) (F)
5. Calculating standard time
ST = (NT) (AF)
6. Calculating the number of observations for work sampling
n ≥ azeb 2
p̂(1 − p̂)
7. Calculating the time required for the nth time the task is done
T × Ln
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Frank’s BBQ Delight restaurant sells barbecued chicken sandwiches. Th e owner wants to set a standard time for assembling each kind of sandwich he sells. You have been asked to set a standard time for the Super Chicken sandwich—8 ounces of barbecued chicken served on a bulkie roll.
(a) Determine the number of observations you need to make if the owner wants the standard time to be within 5 percent of the true value 90 percent of the time. Results from your fi rst 10 observations are shown here.
422 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
Mean Standard Observed Work Element Deviation Time
1. Get bulkie rolls (box of 12). 0.200 2.40 2. Prepare bulkie roll, move to 0.005 0.08
prep area, open up roll. 3. Get barbecued chicken 0.550 4.00
(4-lb. box). 4. Place 8 oz. chicken on roll. 0.015 0.25 5. Spread on special BBQ 0.010 0.10
sauce. 6. Close bulkie roll, slice in 0.0125 0.10
half. 7. Wrap sandwich, place in 0.010 0.15
pickup area.
(b) Determine the normal time for each of the activ- ities. Determine the standard time if the owner decides to use a 10 percent allowance factor based on the time of the job.
(c) If an employee works at the standard time, how many Super Chicken sandwiches can the employee prepare per hour?
(d) If the owner expects demand for the Super Chicken sandwich to be 100 per hour, how many employees should be assigned to preparing the Super Chicken sandwiches?
Before You Begin: To determine the number of obser- vations needed for an element in a time study, use the formula: n ≥ 3(z�a) (s�x)42. Th e owner has the desired confi dence and accuracy. Th e standard deviation and the mean observed time for each element are provided for you in (a).
Solution a With z = 1.65 and e = 0.05, determine the number of observations needed for each work element.
Work element 1:
n ≥ ca1.65 0.05 b a0.20
2.40 bd
2
= 7.56 or 8 observations
Work element 2:
n ≥ ca1.65 0.05 b a0.005
0.08 bd
2
= 4.25 or 5 observations
Work element 3:
n ≥ ca1.65 0.05 b a0.55
4.0 bd
2
= 20.59 or 21 observations
Work element 4:
n ≥ ca1.65 0.05 b a0.015
0.25 bd
2
= 3.92 or 4 observations
Work element 5:
n ≥ ca1.65 0.05 b a0.01
0.10 bd
2
= 10.89 or 11 observations
Work element 6:
n ≥ ca1.65 0.05 b a0.0125
0.10 bd
2
= 17.02 or 18 observations
Work element 7:
n ≥ ca1.65 0.05 b a0.01
0.15 bd
2
= 4.84 or 5 observations
Calculate the number of observations needed for each of the work elements. Th en determine that we need a total of 21 observations to be 90 percent confi dent that we will be within 5 percent of the true mean. After you make the additional 11 observations, the following data are available.
Mean Performance Work Observed Time Rating Unit (minutes) Factory Frequency
1 2.20 1.10 0.083 2 0.10 0.90 1 3 4.25 0.95 0.125 4 0.20 1.25 1 5 0.10 1.00 1 6 0.12 0.90 1 7 0.12 1.25 1
Before You Begin: To calculate normal time for an element, you multiply the mean observed time by the performance rating factor and then by the frequency. In this case, use the revised mean observed time, which includes all of the observations.
Solution b Th e normal times are shown in the spreadsheet. To cal- culate the normal times, multiply the mean observed time by the performance factor and the frequency factor.
To determine standard time, we multiply the nor- mal time by the allowance factor. Since the allowance is based on job time, we use the formula 1 + allowances. Th e company has decided on a 10 percent allowance.
Th e standard times are shown in the far right col- umn in the spreadsheet.
Solved Problems • 423
Th e following spreadsheet shows how these data could be used in a spreadsheet:
Before You Begin: As long as the employee is work- ing at the standard rate, you can determine how many sandwiches the employee can prepare per hour, by dividing the 60 minutes in an hour by the standard time per sandwich (1.5448 minutes).
Solution c Since the standard time is 1.5448 minutes per cycle, a worker performing at the standard should be able to produce 38.84 sandwiches per hour (60 minutes/1.5448 minutes per sandwich).
Before You Begin: When you know how many sand- wiches need to be made each hour and you know how
many can be made by an employee working at stan- dard, you determine the number of employees needed by dividing the quantity needed (100 per hour) by the number an employee working at standard can produce in one hour (38.84).
Solution d If the owner plans to have staffing to prepare 100 Super Chicken sandwiches, he will need three employees (100 sandwiches per hour divided by 38.84 sandwiches per employee per hour).
PROBLEM 2
You make 20 observations of a business professor at State University. Th e results of the observations are as follows:
Activity Times Observed
Professor at class 5 Professor grading 2 Meeting with students 1 Preparing for class 3 Working on research 3 Idle 2 Speaking on phone 1 Not available 3
A B C D E F G H I J K
Frank’s BBQ Delight (all times in minutes)
Problem Parameters
Work Element Standard Deviation
1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Allowance Accuracy/Precision (a) Confidence Level Z-value (z)
10% 0.05 90% 1.650
9
10 11
12
13 14
15 16
17
0.200
0.005
0.550
0.015
0.010
0.0125
0.010
Standard Time
0.2218
0.0990
0.5552
0.2750
0.1100
0.1188
0.1650
Normal Time
0.2017
0.0900
0.5047
0.2500
0.1000
0.1080
0.1500
Performance Rating Factor
1.10
0.90
0.95
1.25
1.00
0.90
1.25
Revised Mean
Observed Time 2.20
0.10
4.25
0.20
0.10
0.12
0.12
Observations (Rounded)
8
5
21
4
11
18
5
Observations Needed
7.56
4.25
20.59
3.92
10.89
17.02
4.84
Mean Observed
Time 2.40
0.08
4.00
0.25
0.10
0.10
0.15
Frequency 0.083
1.000
0.125
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1
2
3 4
5 6
7
Get bulkie rolls (box of 12). Prepare bulkie roll, move to prep area, open up roll.
Get barbecued chicken (4 lb. box).
Place 8 oz. of chicken on roll. Spread on special BBQ sauce.
Close bulkie roll, slice in half. Wrap sandwich, place in pickup area.
18 19 20 21
G11: =ROUNDUP(F11,0)
G19: =MAX(G11:G17) K19: =SUM(K11:K17)
K11: =J11*(1+C$5)
J11: =H11*E11*I11 F11: =((C$8/C$6)*(C11/D11))^2
1.54481.4044Total Cycle Time (minutes)21Observations Needed
424 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
Based on this information, how many observations do you need to estimate the proportion of the professor’s time spent on classroom preparations? Assume a 95 percent confi dence (z = 1.96) that the resulting esti- mate will be within 5 percent of the true value.
Before You Begin: To determine the number of observations needed to estimate the proportion of the professor’s time spent on classroom preparations, you use the formula n = (z �e) 2p̂(1 − p̂). Calculate the ini- tial proportion estimate using the results of the initial observations.
Solution: Based on the preliminary observations, the estimate of the proportion of time the professor spends prepar- ing for class is 0.15 (3 observed times/20 observations taken).
n = a1.96 0.05 b
2
[0.15(1 − 0.15)] = 195.92 observations
We need to take a total of 196 observations to satisfy our confi dence and error constraints.
PROBLEM 3
You need to develop a cost estimate for a customer order of 12 custom commercial printing presses. It is estimated that the fi rst press will require 750 labor- hours; a learning curve of 80 percent is expected.
(a) How many labor-hours are required for the sixth printing press?
(b) How many labor-hours are required for the twelfth printing press?
(c) How many labor-hours are required to complete all 12 printing presses?
(d) If the average labor-hour cost is $24, what is the total labor cost for building the 12 printing presses?
(e) If your company typically prices products at 2 1 2 times
the labor cost, what is the price quoted to the customer?
Solution: (a) Using Table 11.9, we see that the coeffi cient for the
sixth unit with an 80 percent learning curve is 0.562. Th e time for the sixth unit is 421.50 hours (or 750 hours × 0.562).
(b) Th e coeffi cient for the twelfth unit is 0.449, so the time to build the twelfth unit is 336.75 hours.
(c) Th e total time to build all 12 printing presses is 5420.25 hours (or 750 hours × 7.227).
(d) Total labor cost is $130,086 (or $24 per hour × 5420.25 hours).
(e) Th e price quoted to the customer is $325,215 (or $130,086 × 2.5).
Discussion Questions
1. Describe the major components of work system design.
2. Visit a local business and describe the jobs to be done, the workers needed for the jobs, and how the workers help achieve the objectives of the business.
3. Describe the objectives of job design.
4. Explain why it is hard to design jobs in a business setting.
5. Explain what we mean by technical feasibility, eco- nomic feasibility, and behavioral feasibility.
6. Describe cases in which people are preferable to machines.
7. Describe cases in which machines are preferable to people.
8. Describe the advantages and disadvantages of using a high level of job specialization.
9. Describe factors aff ecting the work environment that must be considered in work systems design.
10. Describe the alternative workplace approach.
11. Create a process fl owchart for an activity that you do daily—for example, getting ready for school each day.
12. Analyze a daily activity to see whether you can im- prove the process.
13. Compare and contrast the four work measurement techniques.
14. Explain the difference between time-based and output-based compensation plans.
15. Explain why it makes sense to use time-based com- pensation systems.
16. Explain why it makes sense to use an output-based compensation system.
Problems • 425
Problems
1. Given the following information, determine the sample size needed if the standard time estimate is to be within 5 percent of the true mean 97 percent of the time.
Work Element
Standard Deviation (minutes)
Mean Observed Time
(minutes)
1 0.20 1.10 2 0.10 0.80 3 0.15 0.90 4 0.10 1.00
2. Using the information in Problem 1, determine the sam- ple size needed if the standard time estimate is to be within 5 percent of the true mean 99 percent of the time.
3. Using the following information, determine the sample size needed if the standard time estimate is to be within 5 percent of the true mean 95 percent of the time.
Work Element
Standard Deviation (minutes)
Mean Observed Time
(minutes)
1 0.60 2.40 2 0.20 1.50 3 1.10 3.85 4 0.85 2.55 5 0.40 1.60 6 0.50 2.50
4. Using the information in Problem 3, calculate the sample size needed if the standard time estimate is to be within 5 percent of the true mean 99 percent of the time. Calculate the percentage increase in sample size for the higher precision.
Use the following information from the Arkade Com-
pany for Problems 5–10.
Work Element
Mean Observed Time
(minutes) Performance Rating Factor
1 1.20 0.95 2 1.00 0.85 3 0.80 1.10 4 0.90 1.10
5. Calculate the normal time for each of the work elements.
6. Th e Arkade Company has decided to use a 15 percent allowance factor based on job time. Calculate the
standard time for each work element and for the total job.
7. Based on the standard time calculated in Problem 6, how many units should an employee operating at 100 percent of standard complete during an eight-hour workday?
8. Th e Arkade Company is considering switching to a 15 percent allowance based on time worked. Calculate the new standard time for each work element and for the total job.
9. Based on the standard time calculated in Problem 8, how many units should an employee operating at 100 percent of standard complete during an eight-hour workday?
10. Compare the two standards calculated in Problems 6 and 8. What other factors should be considered in selecting the method for determining the allowance factor?
11. Jake’s Jumbo Jacks has collected the following inform- ation to develop a standard time for building jumbo jacks.
Element (in minutes)
Observations 1 2 3 4 5
Cycle 1 2.18 1.25 1.70 2.74 1.57 Cycle 2 2.22 1.23 1.75 2.66 1.55 Cycle 3 2.20 1.29 1.72 2.60 1.57 Cycle 4 2.18 1.30 1.80 2.56 1.57 Cycle 5 2.21 1.26 1.84 2.58 1.59 Cycle 6 2.22 1.22 1.79 2.58 1.61 Cycle 7 2.17 1.26 1.78 2.60 1.57 Cycle 8 2.21 1.26 1.75 2.58 1.61 Cycle 9 2.18 1.30 1.80 2.60 1.55 Cycle 10 2.17 1.28 1.78 2.58 1.57 Rating factor 0.90 0.80 1.10 1.05 0.95 Frequency 1 1 1 1 1
(a) Calculate the mean observed time for each element.
(b) Calculate the normal time for each element. (c) Using an allowance factor of 20 percent of job
time, calculate the standard time for each element and for the entire job.
(d) How many units should be completed each hour if the worker performs at 100 percent of the standard?
(e) How many units should be completed each hour if the worker performs at 90 percent of the standard?
12. Frank’s Fabricators has collected the following infor- mation to develop a standard time for producing its
426 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
high-volume Navigator III, a universal remote control. All of the times are in minutes.
Element
Observations 1 2 3 4 5 6
Cycle 1 1.10 3.00 0.92 1.23 1.46 1.80 Cycle 2 1.08 0.88 1.30 1.64 1.78 Cycle 3 1.15 3.20 0.85 1.26 1.55 1.76 Cycle 4 1.16 0.88 1.33 1.52 1.80 Cycle 5 1.07 3.10 0.90 1.28 1.62 1.82 Cycle 6 1.10 0.94 1.30 1.60 1.82 Rating factor 0.95 0.90 1.05 1.0 0.85 1.10 Frequency 1.00 0.50 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
(a) Calculate the mean observed time for each element.
(b) Calculate the normal time for each element. (c) Using an allowance factor of 15 percent of job
time, calculate the standard time for each element. (d) Calculate the standard time for completing one
Navigator III. (e) If an employee is able to produce at a rate equal to
the standard (100 percent effi ciency), how many units should she produce each hour?
( f ) If an employee is working at 90 percent effi ciency, how many units should she complete in one hour?
(g) If a process improvement has changed the mean observed time for element 6 to 1.50 minutes, what is the new standard time for the Navigator III?
(h) If the company builds 20,000 Navigator IIIs each month, how much less time does it require using the new process?
13. Th e following information is provided to you for each of fi ve elements performed in building the Aviator model, a basic universal remote control.
Element
Mean Observed Time
(minutes)
Performance Rating Factor Frequency
1 0.96 0.96 1.0 2 1.45 1.10 1.0 3 3.33 1.00 0.33 4 1.24 0.90 1.0 5 1.18 1.05 1.0
(a) Calculate the normal time for each element. (b) If the company uses a 15 percent allowance factor
based on time worked, calculate the standard time for each element.
(c) Calculate the standard hourly output. (d) Calculate the expected hourly output at 90 percent
of standard.
14. You have 25 observations of university policeman Sgt. Jack B. Nimble during his normal workday. Th e results are shown here. Assume that the estimated propor- tion is to be within 5 percent of the true proportion 95 percent of the time.
Activity Observed Number of
Times Observed
Doing paperwork 9 On the phone 3 Eating doughnuts 3 Cleaning weapon 4 Idle 2 Not in sight 4
(a) Based on your preliminary observations, how many total observations do you need to estimate the proportion of time Sgt. Nimble spends doing paperwork?
(b) How many total observations do you need to estimate the proportion of time Sgt. Nimble spends on the phone?
(c) How many total observations do you need to estimate the proportion of time Sgt. Nimble seems to be unavailable?
15. You are given the following information.
Element (in minutes)
Observations 1 2 3 4 5
Cycle 1 0.58 1.50 0.79 0.30
Cycle 2 0.61 0.75 0.35
Cycle 3 0.59 0.73 0.33
Cycle 4 0.54 0.72 0.35
Cycle 5 0.60 1.40 0.72 0.30 2.00
Cycle 6 0.57 0.71 0.32
Cycle 7 0.53 0.80 0.30
Cycle 8 0.59 0.78 0.28
Cycle 9 0.63 1.54 0.77 0.35
Cycle 10 0.58 0.79 0.33 2.20
Cycle 11 0.56 0.72 0.32
Cycle 12 0.55 0.79 0.34
Cycle 13 0.58 1.62 0.77 0.29
Cycle 14 0.60 0.80 0.33
Cycle 15 0.62 0.74 0.30 2.10
Rating factor 0.95 0.90 1.00 1.10 0.90
Frequency 1 0.25 1 1 0.20
(a) Develop the mean observed time for each element. (b) Calculate the normal time for each element.
Problems • 427
(c) Using an allowance factor of 15 percent of job time, calculate the standard time for each element and for the entire job.
(d) How many units should be completed each hour if the worker performs at 100 percent of the standard?
(e) How many units should be completed each hour if the worker performs at 110 percent of the standard?
16. As a class project you have been asked to project the proportion of time a professor spends on various activities. You have decided to use the work-sampling method. Your initial observations are shown.
Activity Observed Number of
Times Observed
Grading 4 Administrative paperwork 6 Preparing for class 5 Teaching class 5 Meeting with student(s) 8 On the phone 2 Working on research 6 Unavailable 4 Total 40
You are instructed that your estimates are to be within 5 percent of the true value with 97 percent con- fi dence (z = 2.17). (a) Based on your initial observations, how many
total observations are needed to estimate the proportion of time the professor spends on each activity?
After taking additional observations, the following data are available.
Activity Observed Number of
Times Observed
Grading 30 Administrative paperwork 50 Preparing for class 30 Teaching class 30 Meeting with student(s) 66 On the phone 17 Working on research 45 Unavailable 34 Total 302
(b) Determine what proportion of time the professor spends teaching class.
(c) Determine what proportion of time the professor spends working on research.
(d) If the professor works approximately 54 hours per week, determine the amount of time that would normally be spent on each activity.
17. Your 20 observations of Dr. Knowitall reveal the fol- lowing information. Assume that the estimate is to be within 5 percent of the true proportion 95 percent of the time.
Activity Observed Number of
Times Observed
With patient 6 Reviewing test results 3 On phone 2 Idle 1 Away on emergency 4 Not available 4
(a) Calculate the sample size needed to estimate the proportion of time Dr. Knowitall spends away on emergencies.
(b) Calculate the sample size needed to estimate the proportion of time Dr. Knowitall spends reviewing test results.
(c) Calculate the minimum number of observations that must be made to complete the work-sampling analysis.
18. You need to develop a labor time estimate for a cus- tomer order of 20 network installations. It is estimated that the fi rst installation will require 60 hours of labor, and a learning curve of 90 percent is expected. (a) How many labor-hours are required for the
fi fteenth installation? (b) How many labor-hours are required for the
twentieth installation? (c) How many labor-hours are required to complete
all 20 installations? (d) If the average labor cost is $32, what is the total
labor cost for installing the networks? 19. Students in an operations management class have
been assigned six similar computer homework prob- lems. Alexis needed 40 minutes to complete the fi rst problem. Assuming an 80 percent learning curve, how much total time will Alexis need to complete the assignment?
20. Your company has received an order for 20 units of a product. Th e labor cost to produce the item is $9.50 per hour. Th e setup cost for the item is $60 and mate- rial costs are $25 per unit. Th e item is sold for $92. Th e learning rate is 80 percent. Overhead is assessed at a rate of 55 percent of unit labor cost. (a) Determine the average unit cost for the 20 units if
the fi rst unit takes four hours. (b) Determine the minimum number of units that
need to be made before the selling price meets or exceeds the average unit cost.
428 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
Case: The Navigator III
Frank Jones, the owner of Frank’s Fabricators, has collected the following information to develop a standard time for producing the Navigator III, a uni- versal remote control. All of the times are in minutes.
Elements Observations 1 2 3 4 5 6 Cycle 1 1.10 3.00 0.92 1.23 1.46 1.80 Cycle 2 1.08 0.88 1.36 1.64 1.78 Cycle 3 1.15 3.20 0.85 1.26 1.55 1.76 Cycle 4 1.16 0.88 1.33 1.52 1.80 Cycle 5 1.07 3.10 0.90 1.28 1.62 1.82 Cycle 6 1.10 0.94 1.30 1.60 1.82 Rating factor 0.95 0.90 1.05 1.0 0.85 1.10 Frequency 1.00 0.50 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Frank has noticed that one of his senior operators, Sam, is able to consistently produce the Navigator III much quicker than other employees. However, Sam always produces exactly what the standard requires each day. Sam insists that he does everything according to the job directions. He off ers no additional insight into how quickly he achieves the standard output levels.
During casual observations, Frank noticed that Sam appears to be doing element 6 much quicker than any- one else. Because of this, he asks Susan, a time-study analyst, to observe how Sam is doing element 6. After
observing Sam, she determined that his mean observed time for element 6 was 1.50 minutes, and she rated his performance at 100 percent. Th is suggests that his out- put is not being accomplished by unusual eff ort on his part. Since Sam was signifi cantly quicker than the stan- dard but was only working at 100 percent, Susan sug- gested that he had developed a new method for doing element 6.
Questions
1. Based on Susan’s observations, determine how long it actually takes Sam to produce a Navigator III.
2. If direct labor is assessed at $18 per hour, what would the labor savings per Navigator III be if all the employees used the same method that Sam uses?
3. If Frank’s Fabricators produces 20,000 Navigator IIIs each month, what are the potential annual savings by using Sam’s method for element 6?
4. Why do you think Sam is reluctant to share his method improvement for element 6 with the company?
5. Do standard times inhibit process improvement?
6. How can you ensure that employees will share time-saving improvements?
7. From an employee’s perspective, why wouldn’t you share a process improvement with the company?
Case: Northeast State University
Dr. Woodrow Bay, chairperson of the Decision Sciences Department in the College of Business Administra- tion, sat at his desk pondering his latest predicament. For the last 45 minutes at the faculty meeting, faculty members complained about poor administrative sup- port. Numerous examples of unavailable administra- tive assistants were given. As the professors left, one muttered, “Th ere are universities that provide plenty of administrative support; maybe it is time to update our resumes.”
Dr. Bay knew this to be true and that these profes- sors could easily leave for another university given the current job market. He needed to determine whether their perceptions regarding inadequate administrative support were justifi ed.
Background
Th e Decision Sciences Department houses four func- tional areas: operations management, quantitative methods, statistics, and information systems. Th e fac- ulty have national or international reputations based on their excellent scholarship. Higher student enrollments have resulted in the department increasing its fac- ulty from 12 to 20 full-time professors during the past three years. Unfortunately, there was no increase in the administrative support for the department.
As professors were added, the strain on the admin- istrative staff increased. Th ere were more classes, so more course materials needed to be prepared (syllabi, handouts, and exams). In addition, since the faculty
Interactive Case: Virtual Company • 429
were expected to publish research, the administrative
assistants spent more time working on manuscripts.
New professors required signifi cantly more interac-
tion with the support staff to explain what was wanted
and when. Administrative assistants often ran errands
for faculty members (placing items on reserve at the
library, dealing with the bookstore, making photocop-
ies, distributing mail, doing correspondence, providing
supplies, making travel arrangements, arranging meet-
ings, and placing meal orders). Th e administrative assis-
tants seemed unable to complete all of their work in a
normal eight-hour day.
Th e faculty, on the other hand, believed the primary
work activity of the administrative assistants was key-
board entry: keying in manuscripts, course outlines,
correspondence, and grant proposals. When faculty
did not see the administrative assistants keying in
information, the impression was that the staff was not
doing its job. It seemed that too much time was wasted
talking with faculty, students, or each other, and work
was not being done. Dr. Bay did not believe this was the
case. He needed to gather information about how the
administrative assistants spent their time and compare
that with data from the faculty concerning the admin-
istrative assistants. Both the faculty and the adminis-
trative assistants believed that the solution was hiring
an additional administrative assistant. For Dr. Bay this
was next to impossible, given the proposed budget cuts
at the university, so he decided to collect data to gain
insight into the problem.
For two weeks data were collected. From the faculty, Dr. Bay received estimates as to what percentage of the administrative assistants’ time the faculty perceived was spent on diff erent activities. He also did a work sample of the administrative assistants. Th e results are shown here.
Estimates of Administrative Assistants’ Use of Time Faculty Work Activity Estimate (%) Sample (%) Working on computer 20 40 Talking on phone 25 7 Away from offi ce 20 10 Talking with faculty 2 8 Talking with others 15 10 Filing 3 5 Photocopying 5 15 Other 10 5
Case Questions
Your assignment is to analyze the data collected by Dr. Bay. In particular, you should
1. Describe how Dr. Bay can use the data.
2. Suggest ways in which the administrative assistants’ jobs can be changed to make better use of their time and be more supportive to the faculty.
3. Suggest ways the faculty can change work habits to reduce the burden on the administrative assistants.
4. Consider other alternatives to reduce the strain on the administrative assistants.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Work System Design at Cruise International, Inc. You have been asked to work with Monita Terazzi, the head of Housekeeping Services. She is concerned about the high turnover rate among cabin stewards/ stewardesses within her department. Currently, each steward is responsible for 16 staterooms. Many of the departing employees have complained that there is too much work to do during the scheduled hours and they often need to work additional hours. Monita wants you to do a work sampling to determine how the 70 sched- uled hours for cabin stewards/stewardesses are used
each week. Th is assignment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 11 of your textbook and prepare you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Work System Design at CII
www.wiley.com/college/reid
430 CHAPTER 11 • Work System Design
On-line Case: Work System Design at Valley Memorial Hospital.
Assignment: Work System Design at Valley Memorial Hospital You have been asked to work with Lee Jor- dan, director of the Medical/Surgical Nursing Unit. Lee is concerned about nursing services in the obstetric area. Recently, patients have been complaining about the timeliness of the response to their nursing needs. Recognizing that nursing is extremely important to the success of VMH, Lee has always tried to make sure that these areas are adequately staff ed. Her staffi ng decisions have been based on a conservative assump- tion that nurses should be able to devote about 60 per- cent of their time to actual patient nursing, with the remainder used for other non nursing activities. Th ese include (a) paperwork or documentation pertaining to record keeping and insurance, (b) answering queries from doctors and patients either in person or on the telephone, and (c) other activities such as breaks and
personal needs. Lee wants you to design a study to esti- mate the percentage of the nurses time spent on actual nursing and non nursing activities and prepare a con- cise report addressing activities and prepare a concise report addressing a few specifi c questions. Th is assign- ment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material in this chapter.
To complete this assignment, go to www.wiley. com/college/reid to get the details needed. Assign- ment questions are given at the site.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid • Click Student Companion site • Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital • Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc. • Click Consulting Assignments • Click Work System Design at Valley Memorial
Hospital
Internet Challenge: E-commerce Job Design
You have been chosen to head up the development of an e-commerce direct retail site for your company. Since this is new to both you and your company, you need to gather some initial information. You will use this information to develop standard times for measur- ing your company Web site’s performance. Your com- pany is planning to start by off ering between 100 and 200 popular products on-line. Of particular concern to your company is the customer’s ease in using your site.
Begin by visiting at least three diff erent Web sites and documenting your experience at the site with a process fl owchart. Show the sequential steps you as
the customer must follow when visiting the site to gain product information, to place an order, to arrange pay- ment, and to track the order. For one of the sites you visit, collect data on how long it takes a customer to complete a visit to the site. Break the visit into distinct elements such as fi nding product information, placing an order, choosing the shipping method, making pay- ment, and confi rming your order. For one of the three sites you visit, analyze the procedures used and propose changes that you think would improve the customer eff ectiveness of the site.
Selected Bibliography
Barnes, R.M. Motion and Time Study: Design and Measure- ment of Work, Eighth Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1980.
Hatcher, L., and T.L. Ross. “From Individual Incentives to an Organization-Wide Gainsharing Plan: Eff ects on Teamwork and Product Quality,” Journal of Organiza- tional Behavior, May 1991, 169.
Jacob, S. “Medicare to Add Four Dallas–Fort Worth ACOs in 2014,” Healthcare Daily, December 26, 2013. http://
h ealthcare.dmagazin e.com/2013/12/26/medicare- to-add-four-dfw-acos-in-2014/.
Ledford, G.E., Jr., E.E. Lawlet III, and S.A. Mohrman. “Reward Innovations in Fortune 1000 Companies,” Com- pensation and Benefi ts Review, April 1995, 76.
Marwell, G. “Altruism and the Problem of Collective Action.” In Cooperation and Helping Behavior: Th eories and Research. New York: Academic Press, 1982.
Selected Bibliography • 431
Niebel, B., and A. Freivalds. Methods, Standards, and Work Design, Eleventh Edition. New York: McGraw-Hill Higher Education, 2003.
“Th e 100 Best Companies to Work for 2011.” http://archive. fortune.com/magazines/fortune/bestcompanies/2011/ full_list/
Pace, R. “Santa Cruz Operation’s Self Managing Work Groups, A Team Member’s Story,” Target, 8, 6, November– December 1992, 7.
Patterson, G.A. “Distressed Shoppers, Disaff ected Workers Prompt Stores to Alter Sales Commissions,” Wall Street Journal, July 1, 1992, B1.
Pearce, J.L., W.B. Stevenson, and J.L. Perry. “Managerial Compensation Based on Organizational Performance: A
Time Series Analysis of the Eff ects of Merit Pay,” Acad- emy of Management Journal, June 1985, 261.
Pfeffer, J. “Six Dangerous Myths About Pay,” Harvard Business Review, 76, 3, May–June 1998, 109.
Piper, K. “Th e New Accountable Care Organizations and Medicare Gain-Sharing Program.” American Health & Drug Benefi ts, 3(4), July–August 2010, 261–262. http://www. ahdbonline.com/issues/2010/july-august-2010-vol- 3-no-4/495-article-495
Toole, J. “ACOs and Gainsharing: What Was Old Is New Again,” Society of Actuaries, May 10, 2012. http://blog.soa. org/2012/05/10/acos-and-gainsharing-what-was-old- is-new-again/.
432
Inventory Management12
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. Competitive priorities, Chapter 2.
2. Internal and external customers, Chapter 4.
3. Advantages of small lot sizes, Chapter 7.
4. Forecast error, Chapter 8.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Discuss basic inventory
principles.
2 Describe inventory management objectives.
3 Explain the relevant inventory costs.
4 Explain the ABC inventory classifi cation model.
5 Discuss inventory record accuracy.
6 Calculate order quantities.
7 Calculate the appropriate safety stock level.
8 Describe the periodic review approach.
H ave you ever been in a rush to get through the grocery checkout only to be stuck in line behind a person buying numerous varieties of the same general item? Perhaps a person buying 24 cans of pet food, with each
can being a different flavor. You watch in dismay as the cashier scans each individ- ual can, wondering why the cashier doesn’t just scan one can and enter a quantity of 24. Although it would be much easier to let the cash register do the work, it is critical that the cashier scan each individual can.
Many retailers, like Wal-Mart, Sears, Victoria’s Secret, Home Depot, and Kroger, use point-of-sale cash registers to collect data on each item sold. This information is then used to update their inventory records to determine when a replenishment order should be placed.
When the cashier scans only a single flavor and enters a quantity of 24, the register reports that 24 cans of that specific flavor have been bought by this customer and adjusts the inventory record for that item. In reality, the customer bought 1 can each of 24 dif- ferent varieties. Failure to scan each item results in all 24 inventory records becoming inaccurate. These inaccurate inventory records cause companies to replenish the wrong items and result in shortages on the shelves.
Information collected with point-of-sale registers is the basis for generating automatic replenishment orders. When making replenishment decisions, a business decides what, when, and how much should be purchased. When a company replen- ishes the wrong item because of inaccurate inventory records, the customer is often not satisfied. If a company replenishes items too soon because of inaccurate records, it has invested money in unnecessary inventory and risks items spoiling or deteriorating. It is also possible that the company might not have the necessary storage space because of ordering the wrong item.
Companies make replenishment decisions when managing inventory. In this chapter we look at different types of inventory and how companies use those inventories, the costs of different inventory policies, inventory management objectives and performance measures, and techniques for determining how much of an item to replenish. •
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Basic Inventory Principles • 433
Basic Inventory Principles Inventory comes in many shapes and sizes, as shown in Figure 12.1. Most manufacturing firms have the following types of inventory. Raw materials are the purchased items or extracted materials that are transformed into components or products. For example, gold is a raw material that is transformed into jewelry. Components are parts or subassemblies used in building the final product. For example, a transformer is a component in an elec- tronic product. Work-in-process (WIP) refers to all items in process throughout the plant. Since products are not manufactured instantaneously, there is always some WIP inventory flowing through the plant. After the product is completed, it becomes finished goods—the bicycles, stereos, CDs, and automobiles that the company sells to its customers. Distribu- tion inventory consists of finished goods and spare parts at various points in the distri- bution system—for example, stored in warehouses or in transit between warehouses and consumers. Maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) inventory are supplies that are used in manufacturing but do not become part of the finished product. Examples of MRO are hand tools, lubricants, and cleaning supplies.
How Manufacturers Use Inventory In addition to having several types of inventory, manufacturing companies use inventories for several different purposes. Let’s look at each of the following purposes for inventories: (1) anticipation or seasonal inventory; (2) fluctuation inventory or safety stock; (3) lot-size inventory or cycle stock; (4) transportation or pipeline inventory; (5) speculative or hedge inventory; and (6) maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) inventory.
Anticipation Inventory or Seasonal Inventory is built in anticipation of future demand, planned promotional programs, seasonal fluctuations, plant shutdowns, and vaca- tions. Companies build anticipation inventory to maintain level production throughout the year. For example, the toy industry builds toys throughout the year in anticipation of high seasonal sales in December.
Fluctuation Inventory or Safety Stock is carried as a cushion to protect against pos- sible demand variation, “just in case” of unexpected demand. For example, you might keep extra food in the freezer just in case unexpected company drops in. Fluctuation inventory or safety stock is also called buffer stock or reserve stock.
Lot-size Inventory or Cycle Stock results when a company buys or produces more than is immediately needed. The extra units of lot-size inventory are carried in inven- tory and depleted as customers place orders. Consider what happens when you buy a 24-can case of soda. You do not normally drink all 24 cans at once. Instead, what you
Raw materials Purchased items or extracted materials transformed into components or products.
Components Parts or subassemblies used in the fi nal product.
Work-in-process (WIP) Items in process throughout the plant.
Finished goods Products sold to customers.
Distribution inventory Finished goods in the distribution system.
Anticipation inventory Inventory built in anticipation of future demand.
Fluctuation inventory Provides a cushion against unexpected demand.
Lot-size inventory A result of the quantity ordered or produced.
Raw materials
Components Work-in-process (WIP)
Finished goods
Distribution inventory
Maintenance, repairs, & operating
(MRO) supplies
FIGURE 12.1 Types of inventory
434 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
do not need right away, you store for future consumption. You may buy more of an item than you need to take advantage of lower unit costs or quantity discounts. Cycle stock also occurs when making products and the process has a minimum greater than is needed.
Transportation or Pipeline Inventory is in transit between the manufacturing plant and the distribution warehouse. Transportation inventory are items that are not avail- able for satisfying customer demand until they reach the distribution warehouse, so the company needs to decide between using slower, inexpensive transportation or faster, more expensive transportation. To calculate the average amount of inventory in transit, we use the formula
ATI = tD
365
where ATI = average transportation inventory (in units) t = transit time (in days) D = annual demand (in units)
EXAMPLE 12.1 Calculating Average Transportation Inventory
Suppose the Nadan Company, a producer of brass sculptures, needs to ship fi nished goods from its manufacturing facility to its distribution warehouse. Annual demand at Nadan is 1460 units. The company has a choice of sending the fi nished goods regular parcel service (three days transit time) or via public carrier, which takes eight days transit time. Calculate the average annual transportation inventory for each of the alternatives. Note that the average transporta- tion inventory does not consider shipment quantity but only transit time and annual demand. To reduce transit inventory, you reduce transit time.
• Solution: When using the regular parcel service,
ATI = 3 × 1460
365 = 12 units
When using the public carrier,
ATI = 8 × 1460
365 = 32 units
Speculative or Hedge Inventory is a buildup to protect against some future event such as a strike at your supplier, a price increase, or the scarcity of a product that may or may not happen. A company typically builds speculative inventory to ensure a continuous supply of necessary items. Think about booking an airline flight three months in advance so you can take advantage of a reduced fare. You assume that the airfare will not be reduced further and that you will still need the ticket three months from now. It is a gamble.
Maintenance, Repair, and Operating (MRO) Inventory includes maintenance supplies, spare parts, lubricants, cleaning compounds, and daily operating supplies such as pens, pencils, and note pads. MRO items support general operations and maintenance but are not part of the product the company builds.
Inventory plays multiple roles in a company’s operations. For this reason, companies develop inventory management objectives and performance measures to evaluate how well they are handling their inventory investment. The six functions of inventory are summa- rized in Table 12.1.
Transportation inventory Inventory in movement between locations.
Speculative inventory Used to protect against some future event.
Maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) inventory Items used in support of manufacturing and maintenance.
Basic Inventory Principles • 435
Inventory in Service Organizations When we compare service organizations with manufacturing organizations, a major differ- ence is that manufacturers have tangible inventory while service providers typically do not. However, extensive tangible inventory is required in wholesale and retail services. How well this inventory is managed often determines whether a service provider is profitable. Con- sider the importance of inventory in the food service business, especially highly perishable food items. If a manager orders too much of an item, spoilage can occur; if not enough is ordered, customer orders can be lost. It is a constant struggle to order just the right amount of perishable items. Any inventory that perishes, is damaged, or is stolen prior to its actual sale is an inventory loss. In retailing, it is considered good performance when a company has an inventory loss of only 1 percent or less. Some companies face losses exceeding 3 percent of the value of their inventory. Since retailers deal with desirable consumer goods, it is critical for retailers to practice good inventory control and maintain accurate inventory records. To achieve good inventory control, retailers, wholesalers, and food service provid- ers should do the following:
· Select, train, and discipline personnel. It is critical to select good, honest, reliable per- sonnel because employees have direct access to desirable merchandise.
· Have tight control over incoming shipments. Many fi rms track incoming shipments through bar-code scanning and radio frequency identifi cation (RFID) systems. Ship- ments are read into the system, and quantities are reconciled with purchase orders. Each item must have a unique stock-keeping unit (SKU).
· Have tight control over items leaving the facility. Th is is often done with bar-code scanners so that point-of-sale (POS) information can be fed into the system to main- tain inventory record accuracy. It is critical that stores train personnel in proper scan- ning techniques to make sure inventory records remain accurate. Attempts to defeat theft include antitheft magnetic strips or security fi xtures attached directly to the mer- chandise. Th ese are used to activate security alarms as a person exits the facility with unpaid merchandise. Other retailers have personnel stationed near the exits for direct observation of customers leaving the store. In some stores in high-loss areas, one-way mirrors can be used as well as direct video surveillance.
Successful wholesaling, retailing, or food service operations require very good inventory control with accurate records. An additional problem, other than theft, facing many retailers is
TABLE 12.1 Functions of Inventory
Anticipation inventory Items built in anticipation of future demand. Allows company to maintain a level production strategy.
Fluctuation inventory Protects against unexpected demand variations. Assures customer service levels.
Lot-size inventory Results from the actual quantity purchased. Allows for lower unit costs.
Transportation inventory Items in movement between locations. Inventory moves from manufacturer to distribution facilities.
Speculative inventory Extra inventory built up or purchased to protect against some future events. Allows for continuous supply.
MRO Includes maintenance supplies, spare parts, lubricants, cleaning agents, and daily operating supplies. Facilitates day-to-day operations.
436 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
the inability to locate specific merchandise. It is not uncommon for customers to change their minds and simply place merchandise they no longer want in a convenient spot, not necessar- ily anywhere close to where it belongs. It is also common for clerks returning merchandise to the floor (either items from dressing rooms or items picked up that had been misplaced) to neglect to place the merchandise exactly where it belongs. Being unable to find items can lead to poorer customer service and unnecessary replenishment orders. The success of service organizations using a tangible product depends on practicing good inventory control.
Inventory Management Objectives The objectives of inventory management are to provide the desired level of customer ser- vice, to allow cost-efficient operations, and to minimize the inventory investment.
Customer Service What is customer service? Customer service is a company’s ability to satisfy the needs of its customers. When we talk about customer service in inventory management, we mean whether or not a product is available for the customer when the customer wants it. In this sense, customer service measures the effectiveness of the company’s inventory manage- ment. Customers can be either external or internal: any entity in the supply chain is consid- ered a customer.
Suppose your company, Kayaks!Incorporated, offers a line of kayaks and kayaking equip- ment through catalog sales and an accompanying Web site. As product manager, you need to know whether the inventory management system you introduced is effective. One way to measure its effectiveness would be to measure the level of customer service: are custom- ers getting the kayaking equipment they request, and are their orders shipped on time? To answer your questions, you can measure the percentage of orders shipped on schedule, the percentage of line items shipped on schedule, the percentage of dollar volume shipped on schedule, or manufacturing idle time due to inventory shortages.
Percentage of Orders Shipped on Schedule is a good measure for finished goods customer service, such as your kayaking equipment company, if all orders and customers have similar value and late deliveries are not excessively late. For a different kind of com- pany, such as one that designs computer networks, some customers have much greater value. Obviously, this method does not adequately capture the value of those customers’ orders.
For example, if the book publishing company John Wiley & Sons, Inc. represents 50 per- cent of your demand but is only 1 out of 20 orders on the schedule, delivering late to Wiley is certainly more harmful to your company than shipping a smaller order late. With this measure, however, all late orders are treated equally. If you have only one late shipment, the customer service level is 95 percent (19 of 20 shipped on schedule). But if the late order is to Wiley, you have met only 50 percent of your demand.
Percentage of Line Items Shipped on Schedule recognizes that not all orders are equal but fails to take into account the dollar value of orders. This measure needs more information—the number of line items instead of the number of orders—than the previous measure. Therefore, this measure is more expensive to use and is most appropriate for fin- ished goods inventory.
As an example of the percentage of line items shipped on schedule, consider the follow- ing. Your sister company, White Water Rafts, Inc., determines that from the 20 orders sched- uled for delivery this month, customers requested 250 different line items. White Water can
MKT
Customer service The ability to satisfy customer requirements.
Percentage of orders shipped on schedule A customer service measure appropriate for use when orders have similar value.
Percentage of line items shipped on schedule A customer service measure appropriate when customer orders vary in number of line items ordered.
Inventory Management Objectives • 437
ship 225 of these line items on schedule. Its customer service level is 90 percent (225 items shipped on time divided by 250 line items requested).
Percentage of Dollar Volume Shipped on Schedule recognizes the differences in orders in terms of both line items and dollar value. Instead of measuring line items to deter- mine the customer service level, a company totals the value of the orders. For example, if the 20 orders for the Apple iPads had a total value of $400,000 and the company shipped on schedule Apple iPads valued at $380,000, the customer service level is 95 percent ($380,000 shipped, divided by $400,000 ordered).
Idle Time Due to Material and Component Shortages applies to internal customer service. This is an absolute measure of the manufacturing or service time lost because material or parts are not available to the workforce. Absolute measures make sense when a company has historical data to use in comparisons. For example, Kayaks! Incorporated’s supplier historically has lost no more than two manufacturing days per year because of material and component shortages. This year, however, it has lost four manufacturing days for this reason. Obviously, this year’s case is worse and needs management’s attention.
These are only a few of the measures companies use to evaluate customer service. The desired level of customer service should be consistent with the company’s overall strategy. If customer service is your company’s competitive advantage, the company must achieve a very high level of customer service. Even when customer service isn’t the primary focus, your company must still maintain an acceptable level of customer service.
Now let’s look at how inventory helps manufacturers operate efficiently.
Cost-Efficient Operations Companies can achieve cost-efficient operations by using inventory in the following ways. First, companies use work-in-process (WIP) inventory to buffer operations. Suppose one of the Hewlett-Packard (HP) printed circuit board (PCB) manufacturing facilities runs two or more operations in a sequence at different rates of output. In this case, buffer inventories build up between the workstations to ensure that each of the operations runs efficiently. For example, PCBs flow from Ken’s workstation (tasks take 120 seconds) to Barbara’s workstation (tasks take only 90 seconds). If there are no PCBs between the two workstations, Barbara will be idle for 30 seconds out of every 120 seconds because she finishes her tasks 30 seconds before Ken finishes his. If the floor supervisor, Maria, ensures that there is buffer stock between the work- stations, Barbara’s idle time will be eliminated so she can produce more PCBs.
Second, inventories allow manufacturing organizations to maintain a level workforce throughout the year despite seasonal demand for production. (Level production plans are discussed in Chapter 13.) A company can do this by building inventory in advance of sea- sonal demands. This in turn allows the company to maintain a level workforce throughout the year and to reduce the costs of overtime, hiring and firing, training, subcontracting, and additional capacity.
Third, by building inventory in long production runs, the setup cost is spread over a larger number of units, decreasing the per unit setup cost. Setup costs include the cost of scrap (wasted material and labor), calibration, and downtime to prepare the equipment and materials for the next product to be manufactured. Longer runs mean that the equipment does not need as many setups, so less machine time is lost preparing for production.
Fourth, a company that is willing to acquire inventory can buy in larger quantities at a discount. These larger purchases decrease the ordering cost per unit. For example, the Rustic Garden Furniture Company needs 50,000 pieces of wrought iron annually. Rustic’s supplier has offered a unit price of $1.10 if Rustic buys the wrought iron in orders of 10,000 or more pieces at a time. If Rustic chooses to buy in smaller quantities, the unit price is $1.29.
Now let’s look at ways to measure inventory investment.
Percentage of dollar volume shipped on schedule A customer service measure appropriate when customer orders vary in value.
Setup cost Costs such as scrap costs, calibration costs, and downtime costs associated with preparing the equipment for the next product being produced.
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438 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Minimum Inventory Investment A company can measure its minimum inventory investment by its inventory turnover—that is, by the level of customer demand satisfied by the supply on hand. We calculate the inven- tory turnover measure as
Inventory turnover = annual cost of goods sold
average inventory in dollars
EXAMPLE 12.2 Computing Inventory Turns
If the annual cost of goods sold at the Nadan Company is $5,200,000 and the average inventory in dollars is $1,040,000, what is the inventory turnover?
• Solution:
Inventory turnover = $5,200,000 $1,040,000
= 5 inventory turns
The ratio at the Nadan Company should be compared with that achieved by other companies within the industry. Although there is no magic number for inventory turnover, the higher the number, the more effectively the company is using its inventory. One measure of the level of demand that can be satisfied by on-hand inventory is weeks of supply. Weeks of supply is calculated by dividing the average on-hand inventory by the average weekly demand.
Weeks of supply = average inventory on hand in dollars
average weekly usage in dollars
EXAMPLE 12.3 Calculating Weeks of Supply
Suppose that the Nadan Company wants to calculate its weeks of supply. From the previous example, we know that annual cost of goods sold is $5,200,000.
• Solution: To determine the weekly cost of goods sold, we divide the annual cost of goods sold by 52 weeks ($5,200,000/52 = $100,000). Given that Nadan maintains an average inventory of $1,040,000, we calculate the weeks of supply as follows:
Weeks of supply = $1,040,000 $100,000
= 10.4 weeks of supply
Note that there is a relationship between inventory turnover and weeks of supply. If you divide total weeks per year (52) by the weeks of supply (10.4), you see that the answer is the same as when you calculated inventory turnover. If you divide total number of weeks (52) by the inventory turnover rate (5), the answer is 10.4 weeks of supply. In some companies, inventory performance is measured in either days or hours of supply. To calculate days of supply, we use the formula
Days of supply = average inventory on hand in dollars
average daily usage in dollars
Inventory turnover A measure of inventory policy effectiveness.
Weeks of supply A measure of inventory policy effectiveness.
Inventory Management Objectives • 439
and hours of supply is calculated as
Hours of supply = average inventory on hand in dollars
average hourly usage in dollars
Let’s look at an example using both of these measures.
EXAMPLE 12.4 Calculating Inventory Supply at the Jenny Company
Suppose that the Jenny Company, a specialty gift organization, wants to calculate its days of supply. The annual cost of goods sold is $1,300,000, the average inventory is $15,600, and the company operates 250 days per year.
• Solution: First, we calculate the average daily usage. We divide the annual cost of goods sold by the number of days the company operates ($1,300,000 divided by 250 days equals $5200). Second, using the formula, we divide the average inventory on hand by the average daily usage.
Days of supply = $15,600 $5200
= 3 days of supply
Suppose the Jenny Company uses a new process that reduces the average inventory held to $3250. To calculate its current hours of supply, we fi rst calculate the average hourly usage. Using the data provided and assuming an eight-hour day, we divide the average daily usage ($5200) by eight hours. The average hourly usage is $650. Therefore, the hours of supply are
Hours of supply = $3250 $650
= 5 hours of supply
Table 12.2 summarizes the inventory objectives we just discussed.
TABLE 12.2 Inventory Objectives
Inventory Objectives
Customer service Measured by any of the following: • Percentage of orders shipped on schedule • Percentage of line items shipped on schedule • Percentage of dollar volume shipped on
schedule • Idle time due to component and material
shortages
Cost-effi cient operations Inventories help achieve cost-effective operations by • Using buffer stock to assure smooth production
fl ow • Maintaining a level workforce • Allowing longer production runs, which spreads
the cost of setups • Taking advantage of quantity discounts
Minimum inventory investment Measured by any of the following: • Inventory turnover • Weeks of supply • Days of supply
440 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Relevant Inventory Costs Inventory management policies have cost implications. Decisions about how much inven- tory to hold affect item costs, holding costs, ordering costs, and stockout (shortage) costs. Let’s consider each of these costs.
The item costs of a purchased item include the price paid for the item and any other direct costs for getting the item to the plant, such as inbound transportation, insurance, duty, or taxes. For an item built by the manufacturing company, the item costs include direct labor, direct materials, and factory overhead.
Holding costs include the variable expenses incurred by the firm for the volume of inventory held. As inventory increases, so do the holding costs. We can determine unit hold- ing costs by examining three cost components: capital costs, storage costs, and risk costs. Annual holding costs are typically stated in either dollars per unit ($3.50 per unit per year) or as a percentage of the item value (25 percent of the unit value).
Capital costs are the higher of either the cost of the capital or the opportunity cost for the company. The cost of the capital is the interest rate the company pays to borrow money to invest in inventory. The opportunity cost is the rate of return the company could have earned on the money if it were used for something other than investing in inventory. The opportunity cost is at least as much as the interest the company could get at the prevailing interest rate. It may be higher if more lucrative opportunities are available. Suppose you have a startup company and need to finance your inventory with a bank loan at 8 percent. Or the company can invest its capital in the stock market and generate a 20 percent return on the investment. For its capital cost, the company would use the 20 percent opportunity cost rather than the 8 percent cost of the loan. The capital cost is typically expressed as an annual interest rate.
Storage costs usually include the cost of space, workers, and equipment. For our pur- poses, however, we are concerned only with the additional out-of-pocket expenses resulting from the size of the inventory. For example, we include the cost of storage space if it is pub- lic warehousing and varies based on the amount of inventory held. If the company already owns the storage space and incurs no additional expense for storing the inventory, we do not include it in the holding cost. The same is true for employees. If an employee works overtime because of the level of inventory, this is an out-of-pocket expense and needs to be included. However, if the employee’s workload is merely higher during the normal day, the cost of the employee is not included.
Risk costs include obsolescence, damage or deterioration, theft, insurance, and taxes. These costs vary based on industry. Companies operating in a high-tech environment typ- ically experience much greater obsolescence and theft. Companies that manufacture con- sumer products may find higher levels of theft.
In general, risk costs are associated with higher levels of inventory. The more inven- tory you have, the longer it lasts—therefore, the greater the chance of it becoming obso- lete. The more inventory you have sitting around, the more likely it is to be damaged. Think of walking through an overloaded basement: you bump into something; it falls and breaks. Theft also typically increases as inventory increases. When a company has few items in inventory, it is more noticeable when an item disappears. However, if the company has a lot of inventory, it is harder to notice when only one item disappears. Insurance costs are typically based on the value of the inventory, so larger inventories have higher insurance premiums. The same is true for taxes: the more valuable the inventory, the higher the tax.
While theft is often associated with employees, on some occasions theft comes from customers. In the hospitality industry, hotels often have considerable difficulty controlling
Item cost Includes price paid for the item plus other direct costs associated with the purchase.
Holding costs Include the variable expenses incurred by the plant related to the volume of inventory held.
Capital costs The higher of either the cost of the capital or the opportunity cost for the company.
Storage costs Include the variable expenses for space, workers, and equipment related to the volume of inventory held.
Risk costs Include obsolescence, damage or deterioration, theft, insurance, and taxes associated with the volume of inventory held.
Relevant Inventory Costs • 441
the theft of towels, robes, and bed sheets. Linen Technology Tracking, a company based in Miami, Florida, has patented a washable RFID chip that can be sewn into towels, robes, and bed sheets. A hotel in Honolulu using the technology reported reduced theft of its pool tow- els from 4000 a month to just 750. The savings were reported as $16,000 per month. Such savings will increase the opportunities to use technology to reduce theft and provide better accountability for the company.
EXAMPLE 12.5 Calculating Annual Holding Costs
The Nadan Company currently maintains an average inventory of $1,040,000. The company estimates its capital cost at 12 percent, its storage costs at 5 percent, and its risk costs at 8 percent. Calculate the annual holding costs for the Nadan Company.
• Solution: Annual holding cost per unit of inventory equals 25 percent (capital cost + storage costs + risk costs).
Annual cost of holding inventory = $1,040,000 × 0.25 = $260,000
Although many textbooks use an annual holding cost of between 20 percent and 30 per- cent, in real life it depends on the type of business. The risk costs can vary significantly. Let’s look at how annual holding costs are calculated.
Ordering costs are fixed costs for either placing an order with a supplier for a pur- chased component or raw material or for placing an order to the manufacturing organi- zation for a product built in-house. When you buy an item, the ordering costs include the cost of the clerical work to prepare, release, monitor, and receive orders and the physical handling of the goods. The ordering costs are considered constant regardless of the number of items or the quantities ordered. For example, if the cost to place an order is estimated at $100, every time you place an order with a supplier, the ordering cost is constant ($100).
When an order is released for manufacturing in-house, the ordering or setup costs are the clerical work to prepare the manufacturing order and the list of materials to be picked up and delivered to the manufacturing location, plus the cost to prepare the equipment for the job (calibration, appropriate jigs and fixtures, etc.). Like the ordering costs for purchased items, the ordering or setup costs for jobs done in-house are constant.
Companies incur shortage costs when customer demand exceeds the available inven- tory for an item. Suppose a customer, Tom Martin, places an order through your kayaking equipment Web site for a high-end kayak, but that kayak is out of stock. One of two things happens. Either Tom allows you to back-order the kayak—that is, Tom is willing to wait until the kayak is available—or Tom decides to buy the kayak from another company and the result for your company is a lost sale.
In both cases, your company incurs shortage costs. In the case of the back order, shortage costs result from the additional paperwork to track the order and the possible added expense of overnight shipping rather than normal delivery. There is also the lost customer goodwill, an intangible cost. Although Tom accepted the delay this time, you have no guarantee that he will buy from your company again. In the case of the lost sale, the shortage costs typically include loss of the possible profit, plus loss of the contribution to overhead costs. Your company also faces the risk that Tom will not return with future orders. Shortage costs can also result from internal parts shortages, including the cost of downtime due to lack of materials, additional setups, premium transportation costs, and so forth.
Ordering costs The fi xed costs associated with either placing an order with a supplier or setup costs incurred for in-house production.
Shortage costs Incurred when demand exceeds supply.
Back order Delaying delivery to the customer until the item becomes available.
Lost sale Occurs when the customer is not willing to wait for delivery.
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442 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
ABC Inventory Classification All items in a company’s inventory are not equal and do not need the same level of con- trol. Fortunately, we can apply Pareto’s law to determine the level of control needed for individual items. Pareto’s law implies that roughly 10–20 percent of a company’s inventory items account for approximately 60–80 percent of its inventory costs. These relatively few high-dollar-volume items are classified as A items. Moderate-dollar-volume items, roughly 30 percent of the items, account for about 25–35 percent of the company’s inventory invest- ment. These are classified as B items. Low-dollar-volume items, about 50–60 percent of the items, represent only 5–15 percent of the company’s inventory investment and are classified as C items. These percentages are not absolute and are used only as guidelines to determine an item’s ABC classification.
The first step for an ABC inventory analysis is to determine the annual usage for each item. We calculate the total annual dollar volume by multiplying the annual usage by the item cost. We then rank items in descending order based on total dollar volume and calcu- late the total inventory investment.
1. Calculate the annual dollar usage for each item.
2. List the items in descending order based on annual dollar usage.
3. Calculate the cumulative annual dollar volume.
4. Classify the items into groups.
Figure 12.2 graphically depicts the results of the ABC classification. The A items, 106 and 110, combine for 60.5 percent of the total dollar value in inventory and approximately 13.3 percent of the items in inventory. The B items, 115, 105, 111, and 104, account for 25 percent of the total dollar value and 26.7 percent of the items. The C items make up the last 14.5 percent of the total dollar value and 60 percent of the items.
After classifying inventory items into A, B, and C classes, we can determine the appropriate level of inventory control. For our most important and expensive A items, we need very tight control, highly accurate inventory records, and frequent or continuous review. A continuous review system keeps track of an inventory item 24/7. It tracks every inventory transaction as it occurs, whether it is more material going into inventory or material being withdrawn from the stockroom. Consequently, the EOQ model (discussed later in this chapter) is often used. B items need normal control, moderately accurate inventory records, and a reasonable time
Pareto’s law Implies that about 20 percent of the inventory items will account for about 80 percent of the inventory value.
ABC classifi cation A method for determining level of control and frequency of review of inventory items.
Continuous review system Updates inventory balances after each inventory transaction.
Before you continue further into the chapter, you need to be sure that you understand the relevant inventory costs. Item cost, holding costs, ordering costs, and shortage costs are
summarized in Table 12.3. The next section of this chapter focuses on the ABC inventory classifi cation model.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
TABLE 12.3 Relevant Inventory Costs
Item cost Price paid per item plus any other direct costs associated with getting the item to the plant
Holding costs Capital, storage, and risk costs
Ordering costs Fixed, constant dollar amount incurred for each order placed
Shortage costs Loss of customer goodwill, back-order handling, and lost sales
ABC Inventory Classifi cation • 443
FIGURE 12.2 ABC classification of materials
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
10
0
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
TOTAL PERCENT OF MATERIALS IN INVENTORY
P E
R C
E N
T O
F T
O TA
L D
O LL
A R
V A
LU E
I N
I N
V E
N T O
R Y
A items
B items
C items
EXAMPLE 12.6 ABC Analysis at Auto Accessories Unlimited (AAU)
AAU is considering doing an ABC analysis of its entire inventory but has decided to test the technique on a small sample of 15 of its stock-keeping units. The annual usage and unit cost for these items are shown in the table. (a) Calculate the annual dollar volume for each item. (b) List the items in descending order based on annual dollar usage. (c) Calculate the cumulative annual dollar volume. (d) Group the items into classes.
ABC Problem Data
Item Unit $ Value Annual Usage
(in units)
101 12.00 80 102 50.00 10 103 15.00 50 104 50.00 40 105 40.00 80 106 75.00 220 107 4.00 250 108 1.50 400 109 2.00 250 110 25.00 500 111 5.00 450 112 7.50 80 113 3.50 250 114 1.00 1200 115 15.00 300
• Before You Begin: To do an ABC analysis, you need to know the annual usage and the value of each item. That information is provided for you in the problem data. Multiply the unit value by the annual usage of the item to determine the annual dollar volume for each item. Now list the items in descending order based on annual dollar usage. You can now calculate the percentage of the total inventory value each part represents. This allows you to classify the items into groups.
444 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
(b, c, and d)
ABC Solution
Item Annual
Usage ($) Percentage of Total Dollars
Cumulative Percentage of Total Dollars
Item Classifi cation
106 16,500 34.4 34.4 A
110 12,500 26.1 60.5 A
115 4500 9.4 69.9 B
105 3200 6.7 76.6 B
111 2250 4.7 81.3 B
104 2000 4.2 85.5 B
114 1200 2.5 88.0 C
107 1000 2.1 90.1 C
101 960 2.0 92.1 C
113 875 1.8 93.9 C
103 750 1.6 95.5 C
108 600 1.3 96.8 C
112 600 1.3 98.1 C
102 500 1.0 99.1 C
109 500 1.0 100.1* C
Total $47,935
*Total exceeds 100% due to rounding.
Remember that these are not absolute rules for classifying items. Your company wants to group its more valuable items together to make sure that these items get the most control.
• Solution: (a)
ABC Annual Usage Values
Item Unit $ Value Annual Usage (in units) Annual Usage ($)
101 12.00 80 960 102 50.00 10 500 103 15.00 50 750 104 50.00 40 2000 105 40.00 80 3200 106 75.00 220 16,500 107 4.00 250 1000 108 1.50 400 600 109 2.00 250 500 110 25.00 500 12,500 111 5.00 450 2250 112 7.50 80 600 113 3.50 250 875 114 1.00 1200 1200 115 15.00 300 4500
Total $47,935
Inventory Record Accuracy • 445
period between reviews. For B items, a periodic review system (discussed later in this chap- ter) can be used. A periodic review system reviews the inventory level of the item at regular intervals (daily, weekly, monthly) to determine whether a replenishment order is needed. C items require the least amount of control. Possible options for C items are the two-bin system or an infrequent periodic review system. A two-bin system splits an incoming replenishment order into two separate bins. One bin is placed on the factory floor so workers can take what they need. The other bin is kept in the storeroom. This second bin should have enough items to cover normal demand during the replenishment lead time. Lead time is the amount of time it takes from order placement until the ordered item is received. When the bin on the floor is empty, workers go to the stockroom to request additional material. The bin in the stockroom is released to the workers on the floor and a replenishment order is placed.
Inventory Record Accuracy For effective inventory use, the inventory records must accurately reflect the quantity of materials available. Inaccurate inventory records can result in lost sales ( finished good not available at time of sale), disrupted operations (not enough of a component or raw material to complete a job), poor customer service (late deliveries to customers), lower productivity (additional setups to complete a job), poor material planning (the inventory records are crit- ical in determining MRP quantities), and excessive expediting (trying to obtain necessary items in less than normal lead time).
One exceptionally productive approach to inventory management is the automated inventory tracking system used by the very successful Cisco Systems—a world leader in providing networking solutions for all types of businesses. This tracking system forms an intricate network of suppliers, manufacturers, and customers and provides for real- time transactions. When a customer places an order via the Internet, sup- pliers can instantaneously see what parts are needed and can quickly respond by shipping the needed parts and then restocking. Such a system provides accurate, timely information, which helps both Cisco and suppliers to schedule, budget, and forecast. Since most of Cisco’s orders are transacted over the Web, Cisco is able to save millions of dollars annually.
Scannabar is an inventory control system used by managers of hotels, restaurants, and bars that provides a method for keeping an accurate measure of wine, beer, and liquor supplies. Scannabar can individually track and monitor every ounce of liquor purchased from the time it enters the bar or restaurant until its contents are depleted. The system facilitates the reordering of stocked items as well as eliminating the theft of supplies and overpouring by the staff. Scanna- bar is able to measure the contents of 120 bottles in roughly 15 minutes. Users have reported reducing shrinkage from the industry average of 25 percent down to 1–3 percent, and reducing beverages by 25–50 percent. Such savings substantially impact a company’s bottom line.
Inventory record errors occur because of unauthorized withdrawals of material, unse- cured stockrooms, inaccurate paperwork, and/or human errors. Since an accurate database is needed to successfully use the information systems, it is important to detect errors in the inventory records. Two methods are available for checking inventory record accuracy:
Periodic review system Requires regular periodic reviews of the on-hand quantity to determine the size of the replenishment order.
Two-bin system One bin with enough stock to satisfy demand during replenishment time is kept in the storeroom; the other bin is placed on the manufacturing fl oor.
Lead time Time from order placement to order receipt.
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446 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
periodically counting all of the items (typically annually) and cyclically counting specified items (typically daily).
Periodic counting satisfies auditors that the inventory records accurately reflect the value of the inventory on hand. For material planners, the physical inventory is an opportu- nity to correct errors. The four steps in taking a physical inventory are
1. Count the quantity of the item and record the count on a ticket attached to the item.
2. Verify by recounting.
3. After verifi cation, collect the tickets.
4. Reconcile inventory records with actual counts. For major discrepancies, investigate further. For minor discrepancies, adjust the inventory records.
Taking physical inventories does not always improve inventory record accuracy. In many cases, companies close down manufacturing to take the physical inventory; the job is often rushed and is typically done by employees not trained for checking inventory. In some cases, inventory record errors are increased rather than reduced. The other alternative method is cycle counting.
Cycle counting is a method of counting inventory throughout the year. This is a series of mini-physical inventories done daily of some prespecified items. The frequency of counting a particular item depends on the importance and value of the item. Typically, A items are counted most frequently.
The advantages of cycle counting are
· Timely detection and correction of inventory record problems.
· Elimination of lost production time since the company does not need to shut down operations.
· Th e use of employees dedicated to cycle counting.
Scheduling individual item counts can be done in several ways. An item can be counted just before a replenishment order is placed. At this time, the planner has an accurate count of the item on hand and can determine whether a replenishment order is needed. The quantity to be counted also is relatively low. A planner also can choose to count when new orders arrive. This way, the inventory is at its lowest level. Remember that most replen- ishment orders arrive just as the on-hand inventory is running out. Another possibility is to schedule a count after a certain number of transactions have occurred. For example, a planner can request a physical count after every 20 transactions involving a particular item. Since errors typically occur during transactions, the greater the number of transactions, the more likely an error will be introduced. One other possibility is to do a count whenever an error is detected. This allows for corrective action to be taken immediately. Regardless of the method, the intent is to improve inventory record accuracy.
In some cases, companies have shifted the burden of inventory accuracy and replenish- ment decisions to their vendor. Vendor-managed inventory (VMI) requires the vendor to maintain an inventory of certain items at the customer’s facility. The supplier still owns the inventory until the customer actually withdraws it for use. At that time, the customer pays for the items. The customer does not have to order any of the inventory, as the supplier is responsible for maintaining an adequate supply. Companies use this approach most fre- quently with lower-level C items that have a relatively standard design.
Determining Order Quantities The objectives of inventory management are to provide the desired level of customer ser- vice, enable cost-efficient operations, and minimize the inventory investment. To achieve these objectives, a company must first determine how much of an item to order at a time.
Periodic counting A physical inventory is taken periodically, usually annually.
Cycle counting Prespecifi ed items are counted daily.
Vendor-managed inventory (VMI) The supplier maintains an inventory at the customer’s facility.
Determining Order Quantities • 447
Inventory management and control are done at the level of the individual item or stock- keeping unit (SKU). An SKU is a specific item at a particular geographic location. For example, a pair of jeans, size 32 × 32, in inventory at the plant and also eight different ware- houses, represents nine different SKUs. A pair of the same jeans held at the same locations but a different size (32 × 34) represents nine additional SKUs. The same style of jeans in a different color represents additional SKUs.
Non-mathematical Techniques for Determining Order Quantity Let’s look at how a company determines how much of an SKU to order. We will consider some common approaches in this section, summarized in Table 12.4. In the next section we will look at mathematical models for determining order quantity.
Lot-for-lot is ordering exactly what you need. You adjust the ordering quantity to your ordering needs, which ensures that you will not have leftover inventory. You use lot-for- lot when demand is not constant and you have information about expected needs. Order- ing sandwiches for a business lunch meeting is a good example of when to use lot-for-lot. The number of persons attending the meeting can vary based on the meeting topic. Since sandwiches are perishable, you do not want to have leftover inventory. This system is also commonly used in material requirements planning (MRP) systems, which we discuss in Chapter 14.
Fixed-order quantity specifies the number of units to order each time you place an order for a certain SKU or item. The quantity may be arbitrary (perhaps 100 units at a time), or it may be the result of how the item is packaged or prepared (such as 144 per box or a loaf of bread). The advantage of this system is that it is easily understood; the disadvantage is that it does not minimize inventory costs.
The min-max system involves placing an order when the on-hand inventory falls below a predetermined minimum level. The quantity ordered is the difference between the quan- tity available and the predetermined maximum inventory level. For example, if the mini- mum is set at 50 units, the maximum is set at 250 units, and the quantity available at the time of the order is 40 units, the order quantity is 210 units (250 − 40). With this system, both the time between orders and the quantity ordered can vary.
Order n periods means that you determine the order quantity by summing your company’s requirements for the next n periods. Suppose you have to order enough each time you place an order to satisfy your company’s requirements for the next three peri- ods. If these requirements for the next three weeks are 60, 45, and 100, your order is for 205 units. A concern with this system is determining the number of periods to include in the order.
Stock-keeping unit (SKU) An item in a particular geographic location.
Lot-for-lot The company orders exactly what is needed.
Fixed-order quantity Specifi es the number of units to order whenever an order is placed.
Min-max system Places a replenishment order when the on-hand inventory falls below the predetermined minimum level. An order is placed to bring the inventory back up to the maximum inventory level.
Order n periods The order quantity is determined by total demand for the item for the next n periods.
TABLE 12.4 Common Ordering Approaches
Lot-for-lot Order exactly what is needed.
Fixed-order quantity Order a predetermined amount each time an order is placed.
Min-max system When on-hand inventory falls below a predetermined minimum level, order a quantity that will take the inventory back up to its predetermined maximum level.
Order n periods Order enough to satisfy demand for the next n periods.
448 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Mathematical Models for Determining Order Quantity Now let’s look at some mathematical models that determine order quantity and minimize inventory costs, beginning with the economic order quantity (EOQ) model.
Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) The economic order quantity (EOQ) has been around since the early 1900s and remains useful for determining order quantities. EOQ is a continuous review system, used to keep track of the inventory on hand each time stock is added or withdrawn. If the withdrawal reduces the inventory level to the reorder point or below, you make a replenishment order.
Thus, EOQ tells you when to place a replenishment order and determines the order quantity that minimizes annual inventory cost. Suppose you decide that your kayaking equipment company needs to place a replenishment order whenever the inventory level of item K310 reaches 100 units. Right now you have 105 units of item K310 in inventory. You withdraw 5 K310s to satisfy a customer order, resulting in an updated inventory level of 100 units. Since the inventory level has reached the reorder point, it is time to place a replenish- ment order for K310. A key characteristic of the continuous review system is that it keeps track of inventory as it is withdrawn.
In the following section we look at some assumptions made by the basic EOQ model.
EOQ Assumptions The basic EOQ model makes these assumptions:
· Demand for the product is known and constant. Th is means that we know how much the demand is for every time period and that this amount never changes. For example, demand is 50 units per week every week or 10 units per day every day. Th is assumption is indicated by the straight line that shows the depletion of our inven- tory in Figure 12.3.
Economic order quantity (EOQ) An optimizing method used for determining order quantity and reorder points.
FIGURE 12.3 The EOQ model
Lead time = 1 week Replenishment order
cycle
0
200
Maximum inventory level = Q
Minimum inventory level = 0
400
600
Units
TIME (WEEKS)
Q = 600 units D = 200 units weekly L = 1 week lead time R = Reorder point
Reorder point R
Inventory depleted
In ve
n to
ry re p
le n
ish e
d
Determining Order Quantities • 449
· Lead time is known and constant. It is the amount of time it takes from order place- ment until it arrives at the manufacturing company ( for example, 10 working days between order placement and receipt of merchandise).
Because you know how long it takes for the replenishment order to arrive, you can determine when you need to place the order. By finding the reorder point (shown in Figure 12.3), you schedule the arrival of the replenishment quantity just as your company’s inven- tory level reaches zero. The minimum inventory level with the basic EOQ should be zero.
· Quantity discounts are not considered: the cost of all units is the same, regardless of the quantity ordered. (We discuss this in more detail later in the chapter.)
· Ordering and setup costs are fi xed and constant: the dollar amount to place an order is always the same, regardless of the size of the order.
· Since the company knows demand with certainty, the assumption is that all demand is met. Th e basic model does not permit back orders, but more advanced models are less rigid.
· Th e quantity ordered arrives at once, as shown in Figure 12.3. Since the order is sched- uled to arrive just as the company runs out of inventory, the maximum inventory level equals the economic order quantity.
Figure 12.3 shows the basic workings of the EOQ model. The inventory replenishment process begins when the inventory reaches the reorder point. This is the point at which you place an order for Q units, which are timed to arrive just as your company’s inventory level reaches zero. The inventory goes from zero to Q and then is depleted at a constant rate. Once the inventory reaches the reorder point, the process begins again.
Since the basic model assumes certainty about demand and lead time, the reorder point is set equal to demand during lead time, or
R = dL
where R = reorder point d = average daily demand L = lead time in days
Problem-Solving Tip When solving for R, it is possible to use other than daily demand and lead time in days.
Use whatever is convenient. If lead time is given in weeks, then use average weekly demand. If lead time is given in
months, then use average monthly demand.
For example, if average daily demand is 40 units and lead time is five days, then the reorder point is 200 (40 units times five days). When the inventory reaches 200, it is time to place an order.
Calculating Inventory Policy Costs Since companies are interested in the costs asso- ciated with inventory policies, let’s calculate the annual ordering or setup costs and the annual holding costs associated with the basic EOQ model. We do not include shortage costs since all demand is satisfied with the basic EOQ model. We do not include the annual item cost either: no quantity discounts are considered in the basic EOQ model, so the annual item cost remains constant regardless of the quantity ordered each time. Given that, our total costs are
Total annual cost = annual ordering costs + annual holding costs
450 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Problem-Solving Tip When calculating total annual costs, do not round off the number of orders to whole num-
bers. Although it is true that a partial order cannot be placed, for purposes of comparison we leave the number of
orders as a mixed number.
We calculate annual ordering costs by multiplying the number of orders placed per year by the cost to place an order. To find the number of orders placed per year, we divide the annual demand by the quantity ordered.
Suppose annual demand for motherboards at Palm Pilot, the handheld-computer com- pany, is 10,000 units and it currently orders 500 motherboards each time. The number of orders placed per year is 20 (10,000/500). If the cost to place an order is $75, then the annual ordering cost is $1500 (20 orders × $75 ordering cost).
Problem-Solving Tip When solving for Q, it is not necessary to always use annual demand and annual holding
costs. If you have demand given in a different time frame (days, weeks, or months), you can use that as long as
the holding costs are expressed in the same time frame, that is, daily demand and daily holding costs, or weekly
demand and weekly holding costs.
We calculate annual holding costs by multiplying the average inventory level by the annual holding cost per unit. The average inventory is equal to the maximum inventory plus the minimum inventory divided by 2. In the EOQ model, the maximum inventory is Q and the minimum is zero. Therefore, the average inventory level is Q /2. For example, if the order quantity is 500 units, the holding cost is $6 per unit per year, and the annual holding cost is $1500 (500 units/2 × $6 per unit). Sometimes the holding cost is given as a percentage, such as 20 percent of the item price. In this case, we multiply the item price by the percentage to determine the annual unit holding costs. For example, if the holding cost is 20 percent of the item price and the item price is $30, then the annual holding cost is $6 per unit ($30 item price × 20 percent holding cost).
The formula for calculating the total relevant annual costs for the basic EOQ model is
TC = aD Q
Sb + aQ 2
Hb where TC = total annual cost D = annual demand Q = quantity to be ordered H = annual holding cost S = ordering or setup cost
For our example, the total cost is
TC = a10,000 500
$75b + a500 2
$6b or
TC = $1500 + $1500 = $3000
Note that the annual ordering costs equal the annual holding costs. This is true when we use the EOQ model without rounding. In addition, with the EOQ model, the mini- mum total cost always results when the annual ordering costs equal the annual holding costs, as shown in Figure 12.4. Note, too, in Figure 12.4 that as order quantity increases so do holding costs and, at the same time, ordering costs decrease since fewer orders are placed. The total costs, however, are always higher when we use an order quantity other than the EOQ.
Determining Order Quantities • 451
FIGURE 12.4 Holding costs equal ordering costs
ECONOMIC ORDER QUANTITY
A N
N U
A L
C O
S T
Tota l co
st
Hold ing
cost
Ordering cost
Order QuantityEOQ
EXAMPLE 12.7 Calculating the Economic Order Quantity
Find the economic order quantity and the reorder point, given the following information:
Annual demand (D) = 10,000 units Ordering cost (S ) = $75 per order Annual holding cost (H ) = $6 per unit Lead time (L) = 5 days The company operates 250 days per year.
• Before You Begin: Identify the appropriate formula to use for calculating the economic order quantity (EOQ) and the reorder point. The formula for the EOQ is
Q = B2DSH and the formula for fi nding the reorder point is R = dL. Remember to make sure that the holding cost is for the same time period as your demand. For example, if demand is annual, then the holding cost must be an annual holding cost per unit. If demand is monthly, then use a monthly holding cost per unit. You also need to convert annual demand into daily demand to use the reorder point formula. Do this by dividing annual demand by the number of days the company operates per year.
• Solution:
Q = B2 × 10,000 × $75$6 = 500 units Daily demand is 40 units per day (10,000 units demanded annually, divided by 250 days of operation).
R = 40 units × 5 days = 200 units
The inventory policy for this item is to place a replenishment order for 500 units (Q) when the inventory reaches 200 units (R). The replenishment order will arrive just as the current inventory reaches zero. On the previous page, we calculated total annual cost for this policy ($3000). The EOQ model always minimizes total annual costs.
452 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Calculating the EOQ We calculate the economic order quantity (Q) using the following formula:
Q = B2 DSH where Q = optimal order quantity D = annual demand S = ordering or setup cost H = annual holding cost
What Happens When a Non-EOQ Order Quantity Is Used? To illustrate what happens to annual inventory costs when we use an order quantity other than the EOQ, let’s look at an example with a non-EOQ quantity. Determine the total annual costs for your company if you choose to order 1000 units each time a replenishment order is placed.
TC = a10,000 1000
$75b + a1000 2
$6b = $3750 The total annual cost for this non-EOQ inventory policy is $3750 compared to $3000 for
the EOQ policy. Thus we can say that the difference between the EOQ policy and any other policy is a penalty cost incurred by your company for not using the EOQ policy.
Economic Production Quantity (EPQ) The basic EOQ model assumes that the entire replenishment order arrives at one time, but this is not always the case. For example, if we bake four batches each of one-dozen chocolate-chip cookies, our inventory will probably never reach four-dozen cookies. Why? Because we or our friends are sure to eat some of the cookies as soon as we bake them! This means that the maximum inventory level will always be less than the total quantity we produce. If out of every batch of one-dozen cookies, we eat 4 cookies immediately, we will end up with 32 cookies in inventory after baking the four one-dozen batches ([12 baked − 4 used] × 4 batches).
Figure 12.5 shows the economic production quantity (EPQ) model. The cycle begins when we start making the product. Each day, we use some of what we make to satisfy immediate demand; we put the remainder in inventory. We make the product until we have
Economic production quantity (EPQ) A model that allows for incremental product delivery.
FIGURE 12.5 The EPQ model
TIME (DAYS)
U N
IT S
0 0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2 4 6 8 10
Replenishment order cycle
EPQ, the number of units produced
Maximum inventory level = Q(1 – d/p) = IMax
Inventory depletion rate = d
Pr od
uc tio
n ra
te =
p
Inv en
to ry
bu ild
up
Order quantity 2000 units Daily demand (d) = 100 units Daily production (p) = 250 units
12 14 16 18 20
p – d
Determining Order Quantities • 453
completed Q units. At that point, the inventory has reached its maximum level. From this point on, we satisfy demand from the on-hand inventory, depleting it daily. When we reach the reorder point, we order another batch. Our company starts producing the new batch just as we run out of the current inventory.
The EPQ model is appropriate when some of the product we make is used as soon as we make it. In manufacturing, this is typical when a single manufacturing facility produces the parts to build the end product. For example, HP builds deskjet printers using printed circuit boards (PCBs). HP’s manufacturing facility builds PCBs in batches; some of these PCBs are assembled into the end product immediately, and the rest are put into inventory.
The total cost formula for the EPQ model is
TC = aD Q
Sb + aIMax 2
Hb where TC = total annual cost D = annual demand Q = quantity to be ordered H = annual holding cost S = ordering or setup cost
IMax = Qa1 − dpb where d = average daily demand rate p = daily production rate
EXAMPLE 12.8 Calculating the Maximum Inventory Level
If HP uses 6 PCBs per day, can produce 20 PCBs, and produces PCBs in batches of 200 units, determine the maximum inventory level.
• Before You Begin: Remember that when calculating IMax, your answer will always be less than the economic production quantity (EPQ) since you are using some items as soon as they are completed. You really don’t need a formula to compute IMax. In the following example, you are producing a total of 200 PCBs, which takes a total of 10 days to complete (200 units required/20 units produced daily). Each of the 10 days you produce this PCB, you use 6 of the just completed units to satisfy immediate demand and the remaining 14 units go into inventory. Since we do this for 10 straight days, our maximum inventory is 140 units (14 units per day times 10 days). As shown here, you can also use the equation.
• Solution:
IMax = 200a1 − 620b = 140 units The production rate must always be greater than the demand rate. Otherwise, a company could never produce enough to satisfy demand and no inventory would be generated. Using the chocolate-chip cookie scenario as an example: it is impossible to eat more than 12 cookies after the batch is baked because no matter how much we might want to eat more than 12, we must wait for the next batch to be completed.
Although the formula identifies d as daily demand and p as daily production, we can use other time frames for these variables. We can use hourly demand and hourly production, weekly demand and weekly production, monthly demand and monthly production, quar- terly demand and quarterly production, or even annual demand and annual production. The important thing to remember is that the time frame must be the same for both demand and production. That way, the ratio always remains the same.
454 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Calculating EPQ The formula to calculate the economic production quantity is
Q =
R 2DS
H a1 − d p b
where D = annual demand in units S = setup or ordering cost H = annual holding costs per unit d = average daily demand rate p = daily production rate
Compare this policy to Ashlee’s current inventory policy of producing in quantities of 1500 units. First, determine the maximum inventory level.
IMax = 1500a1 − 1500 2500 b = 600 units
Therefore, total cost is
TC = a18,000 1500
$800b + a600 2
$18b = $15,000 The extra cost or penalty cost associated with Ashlee’s current policy is $600 ($15,000 − $14,400).
When you use the EOQ and/or the EPQ model, you need to know when the inventory level reaches the reorder point. A perpetual inventory record provides an up-to-date
Perpetual inventory record Provides an up-to- date inventory balance.
EXAMPLE 12.9 Calculating Ratios
Calculate the ratio of d/p using daily, weekly, and annual demand. Annual demand is 10,000 units and annual production is 25,000 units. The company operates 50 weeks per year, 5 days per week.
• Before You Begin: This example is to show you that the most important issue in calculating ratios of demand/production is to use the same time frame. The ratio remains constant whether we use daily demand/daily production, weekly demand/weekly production, or annual demand/annual production. Just make sure that both the demand and production rates are for the same time period.
• Solution: When using daily fi gures,
Average daily demand: d = 10,000 units/250 days = 40 units per day Daily production: p = 25,000 units/250 = 100 units per day Therefore, the ratio d/p = 40/100 or 0.4.
When using weekly fi gures,
Average weekly demand: d = 10,000 units/50 weeks = 200 units per week Weekly production: p = 25,000 units/50 weeks = 500 units per week Therefore, the ratio d/p = 200/500 or 0.4.
When using annual fi gures,
Average annual demand: d = 10,000 units Annual production: p = 25,000 units Therefore, the ratio d/p = 10,000/25,000 or 0.4.
Determining Order Quantities • 455
inventory balance by recording all inventory transactions—items received into inventory or items disbursed from inventory—as they happen.
An alternative to using perpetual inventory records is the two-bin system. In a two-bin system, a quantity equal to demand during replenishment time is held back, often in a sec- ond bin. When stock available is depleted, the held-back quantity is made available for use and a replenishment order is placed. Deciding on the right quantity replenishment order is complicated when quantity discounts are available. Let’s extend the basic EOQ model to consider quantity discounts.
Quantity Discount Model The basic EOQ model assumes that no quantity discounts are available. In real life, however, quantity discounts are often available, so we need to modify the basic model for these situations. Quantity discounts are price incentives to encourage a company to buy in larger quantities. For example, a supplier charges your
Quantity discount model Modifi es the EOQ process to consider cases where quantity discounts are available.
EXAMPLE 12.10 Calculating EPQ at Ashlee’s Beach Chairs
Ashlee’s Beach Chairs Company produces upscale beach chairs. Annual demand for the chairs is estimated at 18,000 units. The frames are made in batches before the fi nal assembly process. Ashlee’s fi nal assembly department needs frames at a rate of 1500 per month. Ashlee’s frame department can produce 2500 frames per month. The setup cost is $800, and the annual holding cost is $18 per unit. The company operates 20 days per month. Lead time is 5 days. Determine the optimal order quantity, the total annual costs, and the reorder point.
• Before You Begin: To determine the optimal EPQ, use the formula
Q =
R 2DS
Ha1 − dpb Remember that the demand and production rates used to calculate the ratio must be in the same time frame (daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly, or annually). To calculate the reorder point, use the formula R = dL. Don’t forget to transform monthly demand into daily demand to fi nd the reorder point. Reorder points should be found using the easiest numbers possible. For example, if lead time is given as three weeks, then you should fi nd average weekly demand and multiply by the three weeks. If lead time is given in months, use average monthly demand.
• Solution: To determine the total cost, you must calculate the maximum inventory level. To do this you must fi rst calculate the economic production quantity:
Q =
R 2 × 18,000 × $800
$18a1 − 1500 2500
b = 2000 units Therefore, IMax is
IMax = 2000a1 − 15002500b = 800 units and the total annual cost is
TC = a18,000 2000
$800b + a800 2
$18b = $7200 + $7200
= $14,400
Note that the ordering cost equals the annual holding cost. The reorder point is calculated as R = 75 units × 5 days = 375 units. Therefore, the inventory policy is to order a quantity of 2000 frames when the inventory reaches 375 units. The total annual cost (excluding item cost) associated with this policy is $14,400.
456 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
company $7.50 per pound if your company’s order is less than 500 pounds. If your order is for 500 to 999 pounds, the price per pound is $6.90. On orders of 1000 pounds or more, the supplier charges $6.20 per pound.
Whenever the price per unit is not fixed but varies based on the size of your order, the total annual cost formula for any inventory policy used must include the cost of material, as shown next.
TC = aD Q
Sb + aQ 2
Hb + CD where D = annual demand in units Q = order quantity in units S = ordering or setup cost H = annual holding cost C = unit price
EXAMPLE 12.11 Annual Total Costs at Jeannette’s Steak House
Jeannette’s Steak House currently orders 200 pounds of single-portion fi let mignons at a time (a two-week supply). The annual demand for the fi lets is 5200 pounds. The ordering cost is estimated at $50. The annual holding cost is 30 percent of the unit price. Jeannette pays $7.50 per pound for the steaks. Therefore, the annual holding cost rate is $2.25 ($7.50 × 0.30). What are the annual total costs?
• Before You Begin: In this problem we must include the cost of the steaks as we consider quantity discounts. It is never wrong to include the material costs in the total cost calculation, but we usually omit the material cost unless different replenishment policies result in different material costs. If the material cost is not affected by the policy, then it is a constant and does not need to be included.
• Solution:
TC = a5200 200
$50b + a200 2
$2.25b + ($7.50 × 5200) = $40,525 Jeannette’s supplier has offered the following price incentives. If Jeannette places an order for 500 or more pounds, the cost per pound is $6.90. For orders of 1000 pounds or more, the supplier will charge Jeannette $6.20 per pound. For orders of less than 500 pounds, Jeannette would continue to pay $7.50 per pound. Now there are three possible prices based on the size of the order. Let’s look at how Jeannette can determine the best policy for her business.
Figure 12.6 shows the total annual cost curves for each of the three prices. You can see that the $7.50 price is only valid when the order quantity falls between 1 and 499 pounds; the $6.90 price per pound is only valid when the order quantity falls between 500 and 999 pounds; and the $6.20 price is valid for orders of 1000 or more pounds.
The Quantity Discount Procedure The first step is to calculate the order quantity using the basic EOQ model and the cheapest price available. In our example, Jeannette’s cheapest price is $6.20 per pound. Therefore, the annual holding cost is $1.86 (that is, $6.20 × 0.30), and the EOQ is
Q = B2 × 5200 × $50$1.86 = 528.74 pounds Now determine whether the order quantity is feasible. If Jeannette orders this quantity, will she be charged the price used to calculate the EOQ? If Jeannette orders 528.74 pounds, the
Determining Order Quantities • 457
supplier will charge her $6.90 per pound rather than the $6.20 she used in calculating the order quantity. Therefore, this is an infeasible quantity. If it were feasible, we would be done calculating Jeannette’s optimal inventory policy. Since the order quantity is infeasible, we calculate the order quantity using the next higher price, $6.90 per pound.
Q = B2 × 5200 × $50$2.07 = 501.20 pounds If Jeannette orders 501 pounds, the supplier charges her $6.90 per pound, which is the same as the price we used in calculating the order quantity. Therefore, this is a feasible order quantity. Once Jeannette finds the feasible quantity, she calculates the total annual costs for this order quantity.
TC = a5200 501
$50b + a501 2
$2.07b + ($6.90 × 5200) = $36,917.50 Jeannette compares the total annual cost of this feasible order quantity with the total annual cost of the minimum order quantities necessary to qualify for any prices lower than the price at which she found the feasible solution. For example, to qualify for a price of $6.20 per pound, Jeannette must order a minimum of 1000 pounds at a time. The total annual cost of ordering 1000 pounds at a time is
TC = a5200 1000
$50b + a1000 2
$1.86b + ($6.20 × 5200) = $33,430.00 In this case, Jeannette’s annual cost is less if she orders 1000 pounds at a time rather than the EOQ quantity of 501 pounds at a time. The optimal inventory policy for Jeannette is to order 1000 pounds at a time.
FIGURE 12.6 Quantity discount total cost curves
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400
32000
33000
34000
35000
36000
37000
38000
39000
40000
41000
42000
43000
44000
45000
ORDER QUANTITY
T O
TA L
A N
N U
A L
C O
S T S TC ($7.50)
TC ($6.90)
TC ($6.20)
Investigate these two order quantities, 501 and 1000
458 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
EXAMPLE 12.12 Quantity Discounts with Constant Holding Costs at Valley Grand Health Clinic (VGHC)
VGHC operates its own laboratory on-site. The lab maintains an inventory of test kits for a variety of procedures. VGHC uses 780 A1C kits each year. Ordering costs are $15 and holding costs are $3 per kit per year. The new price list indicates that orders of fewer than 73 kits will cost $60 per kit, 73 through 144 kits will cost $56 per kit, and orders of more than 144 kits will cost $53 per kit. Determine the optimal order quantity and the total cost.
• Before You Begin: When you have constant holding costs, you only need to calculate a single Q value using the basic EOQ formula:
Q = B2DSH Check to see what price you must pay per unit if this order quantity is used. If it is the cheapest possible price, this is your optimal replenishment order quantity. If cheaper prices are avail- able, calculate the total annual cost if you buy just enough to qualify for the cheaper price. Do this for all prices cheaper than the price you qualifi ed for with the EOQ. Select the policy that has the lowest total costs, making sure that material costs were included.
• Solution: The fi rst step is to calculate the common Q.
Q = B2 × 780 × $15$3 = 88.3, or 89 kits This quantity qualifi es for a price of $56 per kit. Since it is not the lowest possible price, we calculate the total cost at this price and compare it to the total cost at any lower price breaks. The total cost when ordering 89 kits is
TC = a780 89
$15b + a89 2
$3b + ($56 × 780) = $43,944.96 Total cost when ordering 145 kits is
TC = a780 145
$15b + a145 2
$3b + ($53 × 780) = $41,638.19 Therefore, the VGHC should order 145 kits at a time since it will save $2306.77 each year ($43,944.96 − $41,638.19). The total annual cost curves are shown in Figure 12.7.
FIGURE 12.7 Quantity discount total annual cost with constant holding cost
0 41500 42000 42500 43000 43500 44000 44500 45000 45500 46000 46500 47000 47500 48000
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
ORDER QUANTITY
T O
TA L
A N
N U
A L
C O
S T S
TC ($60)
TC ($56)
TC ($53)
Investigate these two quantities, 89 and 145
Determining Order Quantities • 459
Note that this assumes Jeannette has adequate storage capacity and can accommodate 1000 pounds at a time. The quantity discount procedure when holding costs are given as a percentage of the unit price is summarized in Table 12.5.
At times, the holding cost can remain constant regardless of the price paid for an item. When the holding cost is a constant dollar amount, there is a common Q. The Q calculated will only be feasible in one of the price ranges. If the Q is in the least expensive price range, that is the optimal order quantity. If the Q is in a higher price range, total costs must be cal- culated and compared to the total costs of all lower price breaks.
The Single-Period Inventory Model Let’s look at an inventory model to use when a company needs to purchase finished goods that have relatively short selling seasons. Items such as holiday decorations, Christmas trees, long-stemmed red roses, newspapers, and magazines are good examples. These prod- ucts typically have a high value for a relatively short period; then the value diminishes dra- matically to either zero or some minimum salvage value. For example, week-old newspapers are inexpensive compared to newspapers offering fresh news. The question is how many of these products you should order to maximize your expected profit.
The single-period model is designed for products that share the following characteristics:
· Th ey are sold at their regular price only during a single time period.
· Demand for these products is highly variable but follows a known probability distribution.
· Salvage value of these products is less than their original cost, so you lose money when they are sold for their salvage value.
The objective is to balance the gross profit generated by the sale of a unit with the cost incurred for each unit that is not sold until after the primary selling period has elapsed. When demand follows a discrete probability distribution, we can solve the problem using an expected value matrix.
Single-period model Designed for use with products that are highly perishable.
MKT
TABLE 12.5 Quantity Discount Procedure
1. Calculate the order quantity using the basic EOQ model and the cheapest price possible.
2. Determine whether the order quantity is feasible. That is, if we order this quantity will the supplier charge us the price we used to determine our order quantity? If this is a feasible order quantity, you are done. Otherwise, go to Step 3.
3. If the EOQ quantity found in Step 1 was infeasible, calculate the EOQ for the next higher price.
4. Check again to determine whether this quantity is feasible. If it is not feasible, repeat Step 3. If it is feasible, move on to Step 5.
5. Calculate the total annual costs associated with your feasible order quantity. You must include ordering, holding, and material costs.
6. Calculate the total annual costs associated with buying the minimum quantity required to qualify for any prices that are lower than the price at which the feasible solution was found.
7. Compare the total annual costs of buying these minimum quantities to receive the cheaper price against the cost of the feasible Q.
8. Recommend whichever order policy has the lowest total annual cost.
460 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
EXAMPLE 12.13 Walk for Diabetes
Rick Jones is chairman of this year’s Walk for Diabetes event. Each year, the organizers of the event typically have commemorative T-shirts available for purchase by the entrants in the walk. Rick needs to order the shirts well in advance of the actual event. He must place his order in multiples of 10 (60, 70, 80, etc.). Based on past walks, the organizers have determined that the probability of selling different quantities of T-shirts in a given year is as follows:
Demand (shirts) Probability
80 0.20
90 0.25
100 0.30
110 0.15
120 0.10
Rick plans to sell the T-shirts for $20 each. He pays his supplier $8 for each shirt and can sell any unsold shirts for rags at $2 each. Determine how many T-shirts Rick should order to maximize his expected profi ts.
• Before You Begin: In this problem, you need to determine how many T-shirts to order for the event. If you order too many, you will have leftover shirts with little value. If you don’t order enough, you forgo achieving the profi t associated with each shirt plus creating some customer ill will. The easiest way to approach this decision is to develop a payoff table to calculate expected profi t with each possible order quantity.
• Solution: Based on the information provided, develop a payoff table to determine expected profi t with each possible order quantity. Calculate net profi t for each combination of order quantity and demand as shown next.
Payoff Table
Probability of occurrence 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.15 0.10
Customer demand (shirts) 80 90 100 110 120
Number of Shirts Ordered
Expected Profi t
80 $960 $ 960 $ 960 $ 960 $ 960 $ 960
90 $900 $1080 $1080 $1080 $1080 $1044
100 $840 $1020 $1200 $1200 $1200 $1083
110 $780 $ 960 $1140 $1320 $1320 $1068
120 $720 $ 900 $1080 $1260 $1440 $1026
The numbers in the payoff table are calculated based on what happened. The three possible outcomes are: (1) the number of shirts ordered equals the number of shirts demanded, (2) the number of shirts ordered is greater than the number of shirts demanded, and (3) the number of shirts ordered is less than the number of shirts demanded. To fi nd the payoff when supply equals demand,
Payoff = demand(selling price − unit cost)
In our example, look at what happens when 100 T-shirts are bought and 100 T-shirts are sold.
Payoff = 100($20 − $8) = $1200
Determining Order Quantities • 461
Why Companies Don’t Always Use the Optimal Order Quantity Even though it can be shown mathematically that not using the optimal EOQ quantity results in additional costs for a company, it is not unusual for companies to order a quantity other than the EOQ.
Some companies do not have known uniform demand. In some cases, companies experi- ence lumpy demand (that is, some periods with significant demand and other periods with no demand). This violates one of the underlying assumptions of the EOQ model. In such cases, it is better to use a period-order quantity (discussed later in this chapter).
Some suppliers have a minimum order quantity that they will sell to a company. This minimum order quantity can be based on how the item is packaged. If the item comes in boxes of 1000, the minimum order for the item becomes 1000 pieces. If you need more than one box, you must order additional boxes. To obtain 4000 pieces, you would order four boxes. Some suppliers are willing to break boxes, but many are not. At other times, the minimum order quantity can be based on how the material is shipped. The minimum order quantity may be what is needed to qualify for a full truckload or full railcar load rate. There are also times when a company may not have sufficient storage capacity to accommodate a large order quantity. When that is the case, companies must order less than the EOQ.
Remember that the EOQ must be checked when quantity discounts are available. The basic model did not allow for discounts, so you must confirm what the optimal order policy should be.
The EOQ policy always provides a benchmark to compare against other policies. It is not wrong not to use the EOQ, but it should be more expensive. You need to justify the addi- tional expenses incurred.
When the number of shirts ordered is less than demand, the payoff is calculated as
Payoff = (number of items demanded) × (selling price − item cost) − 3(items ordered − items demanded) × (item cost − item salvage value)4
If 100 T-shirts are ordered and demand is for only 80 shirts, the payoff is
Payoff = 80($20 − $8) − [(100 − 80) × ($8 − $2)] = $840
When the number of shirts ordered is less than demand, the payoff is calculated as
Payoff = number of items ordered × (selling price − item cost)
Returning to the example, determine the payoff when 100 T-shirts are ordered but 120 shirts are demanded.
Payoff = 100($20 − $8) = $1200
After we calculate the payoffs for each combination, we can determine the expected profi t for each order quantity. We do this by multiplying the payoff for an order quantity by the probability for each level of demand. For example, we calculate the payoff for ordering 100 shirts, $1083, as
($840 × 0.20) + ($1020 × 0.25) + ($1200 × 0.30) + ($1200 × 0.15) + ($1200 × 0.10)
Once we generate the expected profi t for each of the possible order quantities, we select the order quantity with the highest expected profi t. In our case, Rick should order 100 shirts since doing so has an expected profi t of $1083.
462 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
How a Company Justifies Smaller Order Quantities One of the principles of the just-in-time philosophy, discussed in Chapter 7, is to reduce order quantities ideally down to an order size of one unit. Smaller orders improve customer responsiveness, reduce cycle inventory, reduce work-in-process (WIP) inventory, and reduce inventories of raw materials and purchased components. Since many good things happen with smaller order quantities, we need to understand how companies economically reduce their order quantities.
Kenworth Trucks, a manufacturer of elite custom-built trucks, leads the industry in operations due largely to the just-in-time effect. Turning out over 35 trucks a day, Kenworth has been able to cut production time from the indus- try norm of six to eight weeks down to a mere three weeks. Such an outstand- ing feat is the result of the implementa- tion of several cutting-edge ideas. Most importantly, there is the use of elec- tronic transmission, which allows the
plant to receive specifications as soon as a buyer has placed an order and which imme- diately involves parts suppliers in the details of the order. This synchronization results in supplies going almost directly to the assembly line. With such a fine-tuned operation, it is no wonder Kenworth Trucks is known as the premier of its industry!
Let’s use the economic production quantity model to illustrate how companies justify smaller lot sizes.
Understanding the EPQ Factors Looking at the EPQ formulation, we can see that three variables influence the size of the optimal order quantity. The demand, setup cost, and holding cost are the variables used.
Q =
R 2DS
H a1 − d p b
where D = annual demand S = setup cost H = annual holding cost per unit d = average daily demand p = average daily production
To decrease the optimal order quantity, we must reduce the product of the terms under the square root. We can reduce the numerator or increase the denominator. It doesn’t make sense for a company to want to increase its holding costs, so we eliminate the idea of increasing the denominator. To reduce the numerator, we can reduce either the annual demand or the setup cost. Most companies are not trying to reduce their annual demand, so we have only one variable left to use: setup cost.
Let’s look at an example to see what happens when setup cost is reduced. The Gamma Toy Company has an annual demand of 10,000 units for one of its toys. The daily demand is 50 units. The daily production rate is 75 units. Annual holding cost per unit per period is
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Determining Safety Stock Levels • 463
$6. Setup cost is estimated to be $100. When we use these values, the economic production quantity is 1000 units, as shown.
Q =
R 2(10,000)100
6a1 − 50 75 b = 1000 units
Now let’s look at what happens if we reduce the setup cost from $100 down to $25. When we use the new setup cost, the economic production quantity is 500 units, as shown.
Q =
R 2(10,000)25
H a1 − 50 75 b = 500 units
Let’s compare the total annual costs of these two different lot sizes. When Q = 1000 units, the total annual cost is
TC = 10,000
1000 × 100 + ± (1000)a1 − 5075b(6)
2 ≤ = $2000
as opposed to a total cost of $1000 when using Q = 500 units.
TC = 10,000
500 × 25 + ± (500)a1 − 5075b(6)
2 ≤ = $1000
You can see that reducing the setup cost allows us to economically decrease order quantity. If a company fails to reduce its setup costs and just starts producing in smaller order quan- tities, it will face higher total annual inventory costs.
Determining Safety Stock Levels
Companies are vulnerable to shortages during replenishment lead times, so one function of inventory is to provide safety stock as a cushion for satisfying unexpected customer demand. Remember that you typically place the replenishment order when the inventory level reaches the reorder point. Remember, too, that your company may experience a short- age between the time you place the replenishment order and the time you receive the items you ordered.
When we have no demand uncertainty, we set the reorder point to equal-to-average demand during lead time, or
R = dL
where R = reorder point in units d = daily demand in units L = lead time in days
Therefore, if d = 20 units and L = 10 days, the reorder point is 200 units. Since we know demand and lead time with certainty, the replenishment order arrives just as the on-hand inventory is depleted.
MKT
464 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Suppose your kayak suppliers cannot always keep a firm delivery date because of fluc- tuation in materials availability at their end. As a result, uncertainty is a condition of your kayaking equipment operation. To support your company’s customer service objectives, your policy is to carry safety stock. You add the amount of safety stock carried to the reorder point, and the reorder point becomes
R = dL + SS
where SS = safety stock in units
For example, if d = 20 units, L = 10 days, and SS = 50 units, the reorder point is 250 units. When your company carries safety stock, it increases the reorder point, as shown in Figure 12.8. The replenishment order is now expected to arrive when the inventory on hand
FIGURE 12.8 How safety stock changes the reorder point
Lead time
Q = 600 units, R = 200 units, no safety stock
0
200
600
TIME (WEEKS)
Lead time
Safety stock
Q = 600 units, safety stock = 50 units, R = 250
If demand during lead time equals average demand, then replenishment arrives as on-hand inventory reaches safety stock level.
TIME (WEEKS)
U N
IT S
0 50
250
600 650
U N
IT S
Determining Safety Stock Levels • 465
equals the safety stock level rather than zero. If demand is greater than expected, then your customers are satisfied from the safety stock. If demand is less than expected, the replacement inventory arrives before the on-hand inventory reaches the safety stock level. Figure 12.9 shows when the replenishment order will arrive.
As safety stock increases, so does the customer service level, thus decreasing the chance of shortage. At the same time, however, holding safety stock requires additional inventory investment. Thus it is important to limit the amount of safety stock your com- pany holds.
Order-cycle service level is the probability that demand during lead time does not exceed on-hand inventory—that on-hand stock is adequate to meet demand. A ser- vice level of 95 percent implies that demand does not exceed supply 95 percent of the time. If your company places 20 orders annually, a 95 percent service level implies that demand will not exceed the on-hand quantity in 19 of the 20 replenishment lead times. We calculate the stockout risk as (1 − the order-cycle service level), or 5 percent in the preceding example.
The amount of safety stock to hold depends on the variability of demand and lead time and the desired order-cycle service level. The safety stock needed to achieve a particular order-cycle service level increases as demand and lead time variability increase. The greater the uncertainty, the more safety stock is needed.
Let’s look at a case in which an estimate of demand during lead time and its standard deviation are known. In this case, the formula for calculating safety stock is
SS = z σdL
where SS = safety stock in units z = number of standard deviations 𝜎dL = standard deviation of demand during lead time in units
Order-cycle service level The probability that demand during lead time will not exceed on-hand inventory.
FIGURE 12.9 Demand uncertainty
Q = 400 units, SS = 50 units, R = 250 units 0
50
100
250
300
400
500
600
Safety stock
R e
p le
n is
h m
e n
t o
f Q
u n
it s
R e
p le
n is
h m
e n
t o
f Q
u n
it s
R e
p le
n is
h m
e n
t o
f Q
u n
it s
D em
and =
A verag
e
D em
and <
A verag
e
D em
and > A
verage
during lead tim e
466 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
The Periodic Review System
With the periodic review system, you determine the quantity of an item your company has on hand at specified, fixed-time intervals (such as every Friday or the last day of every month). You place an order for an amount (Q) equal to the target inventory level (TI ), minus the quantity on hand (OH ), similar to the min-max system. The difference is that with the periodic review system, the time between orders is constant (such as every hour, every day, every week, or every month) with varying quantities ordered. The min-max sys- tem varies both the time between orders and the quantities ordered.
An advantage of the periodic review system is that inventory is counted only at specific time intervals. You do not need to monitor the inventory level between review periods. This system also makes sense when you order several different items from a supplier. For exam- ple, if your company buys 10 different items from the same supplier, you can place one order for all 10 items rather than 10 individual orders, one for each item.
Potential disadvantages include the varying replenishment levels. First, since you must have sufficient space to store the largest possible order quantity, often you will have excess space when the replenishment orders are smaller. Second, because of varying quantities, you may not be able to qualify for specific quantity discounts.
One result from using the periodic review system is a larger average inventory level. Your company must carry enough inventory to protect against stockout for the replenishment lead time plus the review period. The two major decisions to be made when using the peri- odic review system concern the time between orders and the target inventory level.
The time between orders (TBO) may be selected for convenience reasons. That is, it may be easier for you to review your inventory at the end of each week and prepare your replen- ishment order then. An alternative is to base your TBO on the economic order quantity calculation. For example, if you determine that the EOQ = 75 units and that weekly demand is 25 units, it makes sense to place orders every three weeks. You simply divide the EOQ by the average weekly demand.
Target inventory level (TI ) Used in determining order quantity in the periodic review system. Target inventory less on- hand inventory equals order quantity.
EXAMPLE 12.14 Nick’s Safety Stock
Suppose that the owner of the campus bar, Nick’s, has determined that demand for beer during lead time averages 5000 bottles. Nick, the owner, believes the demand during lead time can be described by a normal distribution with a mean of 5000 bottles and a standard deviation of 300 bottles. Nick is willing to accept a stockout risk of approximately 4 percent. Determine the appropriate z value to use. Calculate how much safety stock Nick should hold. Also determine the reorder point.
• Before You Begin: To determine how much safety stock, should be held, use the formula SS = z𝜎dL. You also need to use Appendix B to determine the appropriate z value. To determine the reorder point, use the formula R = dL + SS. Note that safety stock always results in a higher reorder point.
• Solution: Go to Appendix B. To fi nd the appropriate z value associated with the order-cycle service level (1 − 0.04 = 0.9600), you must understand that the appendix shows only positive z values. A z value of 0 represents 0.5000. You need to fi nd the z value that is the difference between the desired service level and a z value of 0 (0.9600 − 0.5000 = 0.4600). Look for the entry closest to 0.4600. If you look at the entry associated with a z value of 1.75, you should see 0.4599, which is as close to 0.4600 as we can get. Therefore, the appropriate z value is 1.75. To determine the appropriate amount of safety stock, do the following calculation:
SS = 1.75 × 300 bottles = 525 bottles of safety stock
The reorder point would now be
R = 5000 + 525 = 5525 bottles
The Periodic Review System • 467
The target inventory (TI ) level is calculated as:
TI = d(RP + L) + SS
where TI = target inventory level in units d = average period demand in units (period can be day, week, month, etc.) RP = review period (in days, weeks, or months) L = lead time (in days, weeks, or months) SS = safety stock in units
The safety stock is calculated as
SS = zσRP + L where z = number of standard deviations 𝜎RP+L = standard deviation of demand during review period and lead time and is
calculated as
σRP + L = σt1RP + L where 𝜎t = standard deviation of demand during interval t RP = review period L = lead time
To calculate the replenishment order quantity, use the following formula:
Q = TI − OH
where Q = replenishment order quantity TI = target inventory level OH = on-hand quantity
Note that when the lead time is greater than the review period, the on-hand quantity must include any on-order amounts.
EXAMPLE 12.15 Using the Periodic Review System
Gray’s Pharmacy uses a periodic review inventory system. Every Friday, the pharmacist reviews her inventory and determines the size of the replenishment order. For example, she knows that demand for 500-mg metformin tablets, a drug for diabetics, is normally distributed with a mean of 6000 tablets each week with a standard deviation of 500 tablets per week. Lead time is three weeks. The desired cycle-service level is 95 percent. There are currently no outstanding orders. (a) Calculate the required safety stock. (b) Calculate the target inventory level. (c) If, when she reviews her inventory of metformin, the pharmacist fi nds that she currently has
19,000 tablets, calculate the appropriate replenishment order quantity.
• Before You Begin: For this problem, you must determine the target inventory level and make a decision as to the replenishment quantity to order. To calculate the target inventory, fi nd the appropriate safety stock level. Use the formula SS = z𝜎RP+L. Calculate the target inventory as TI = d (RP + L + SS ). After determining the target inventory, calculate the appropriate order size as Q = TI − OH.
• Solution: (a) Go to Appendix B, the area under the standardized normal curve, and look for the z value
that equates to 95 percent of the area under the curve. Since the appendix only uses positive z values, and they start at 0.50, we need to look for a z value that matches the difference between the desired cycle-service level (0.95) and the starting point of 0.50. So we are looking for a value close to 0.4500. In the appendix we can see that z = 1.64 has
468 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Comparing Continuous Review Systems and Periodic Review Systems The advantages of continuous review systems (CRS) are the disadvantages of periodic review systems (PRS). For instance, a CRS has no set review periods. This lack of specified review periods means that less inventory is needed to protect against stockouts.
With a PRS, enough inventory must be carried to cover both the lead time and the review period. Since a CRS has no review period, it has a smaller average inventory investment. On the other hand, a CRS means significantly more work because the inventory balances are updated after each transaction rather than periodically. A PRS means less work because inventory balances are only reviewed and updated periodically. So a PRS makes it easier to consolidate orders from a single supplier because you can review all of those items at the same time interval, whereas the CRS is designed to handle items individually.
In general, companies use CRS for items that are expensive and/or critical to the com- pany because CRS more closely monitors these items and reduces inventory investment. Companies typically use both systems depending on the value and criticality of the items to be monitored.
Inventory Management Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Inventory management provides the materials and supplies needed to support actual man- ufacturing or service operations. A product cannot be built unless the required material is available. Inventory replenishment policies guide the master production scheduler when determining which jobs and what quantity should be scheduled (Supplement D). The mas- ter production schedule inserted into the material requirements planning (MRP) system generates the replenishment orders. This output is used to guide purchasing in terms of the frequency and size of orders. Too much inventory is costly to the organization, yet too little can create major inefficiencies.
Inventory record accuracy is especially critical for MRP users. MRP relies on inventory records to process material requirements, so inaccurate records make the MRP output worthless. This, in turn, can cause manufacturing to shut down and/or miss a deadline.
Inventory management policies also affect the layout of the facility. A policy of small lot sizes and frequent shipments reduces the space needed to store materials (Chapter 7). Point-of-delivery placement of inventory affects the size of work centers. Inventory manage- ment also affects throughput time. As a facility increases its work-in-process, throughput times increase. Longer throughput times reduce an organization’s ability to respond quickly to changing customer demands (Chapter 4).
a value of 0.4495 while z = 1.65 has a value of 0.4505. By interpolation, a z = 1.645 has a value of exactly 0.4500. Therefore, our desired z value is 1.645.
SS = 1.645(σt1RP + L) SS = 1.645(50011 + 3) = 1645 tablets
(b) The target inventory level is
TI = 6000(1 + 3) + 1645 = 25,645 units (c) If the current inventory of metformin is 19,000 tablets, the pharmacist should order 6645
tablets, or Q = 25,645 − 19,000 tablets.
The Periodic Review System • 469
Good inventory management assures continuous supply and minimizes inventory investment while achieving customer service objectives.
Inventory Management Across the Organization
Inventory management policies affect functional areas throughout a company. Let’s con- sider why individual functional areas are concerned with inventory management policies.
Accounting is concerned because of the cost implications of inventory, such as the hold- ing costs incurred, the capital needed to invest in inventory, and projected cash flow bud- gets. Accounting is concerned with all types of inventory.
Marketing is concerned because stocking decisions affect the level of customer service provided. Marketing’s primary focus is finished goods inventory, where the goods are held within the distribution system, the response time to satisfy customers, and safety stock levels.
Information systems is involved because a system to track and control inventories is needed, especially when perpetual inventory records are used. Given the large number of SKUs and a high volume of inventory transactions, manual processing is impractical for most companies, so a computerized information system is essential.
Purchasing’s workload is directly affected by inventory policies. Policies regarding order frequency, order volume, acceptable suppliers, and inventory investment determine the number of purchases made. Purchasing is concerned primarily with buying raw materials, components, and subassemblies.
Manufacturing’s cost efficiency can be affected by inventory decisions. If insufficient material is available, either because items are not ordered on time or not ordered in the right quantities, manufacturing efficiency decreases and unit costs increase. Unit costs can also increase when too much material is ordered or when it is ordered too soon.
As you can see, inventory decisions affect many functional areas in a company and may involve input from management in these areas. In addition, inventory decisions have a sig- nificant impact on the company’s profitability.
Who makes aggregate inventory decisions? Typically, it is the materials manager. This person is evaluated based on customer service levels achieved and inventory turnover. For individual finished goods products, the master scheduler makes decisions about how much of a particular item to produce and how much to keep in inventory. A master scheduler is evaluated based on customer service levels and manufacturing efficiency.
For raw materials, components, and subassemblies, inventory planners, material plan- ners, or controllers make decisions about when to place replenishment orders, either for in-house manufacturing or for external purchasing. Planners and controllers are typically evaluated according to customer service levels and inventory investment.
ACC
MKT
MIS
Inventory management deals with economically based item-replenishment policies, safety stock levels, and the appropriate review system for use within a supply chain. Inventory fl ows from the suppliers to the manufacturers to the distributors. Inventory management provides an understand- ing of the total costs of inventory as well as the customer ser- vice ramifi cations of specifi c policies. By themselves, unco- ordinated replenishment policies can cause the bullwhip effect (discussed in Chapter 4) in the supply chain. Vendor-managed
inventory is one approach committed to improving service levels while reducing inventory investment in the supply chain. A policy of making demand information available (point-of- sale information) to all members of the supply chain reduces demand uncertainty and allows a company to achieve its de- sired customer service levels with a smaller inventory invest- ment. Inventory management is a key component of effective supply chain performance. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
470 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
I nventory management, order policies, and storage and movement of goods are all areas where signifi cant gains in sustainability can be made for companies. Consider that modes of transportation used to move materials have signi- fi cant effects on energy consumption, traffi c congestion, and pollution, including noise pollution. Decisions such as sourcing locally, reducing the number of shipments, and se- lecting transportation modes wisely can go a long way to- ward meeting sustainability goals. Some companies are also measuring their cost of goods as total cost of ownership (TCO), which includes usage and disposal costs. For example, the cost of a car battery may signifi cantly change if we in- clude its end-of-life cost, as improper disposal can pose sig- nifi cant negative environmental effects. This may result in replenishment policies that are modifi ed and refl ect these additional costs.
Another area of inventory management that impacts sus- tainability is decisions regarding specifi c products sourced with a consideration of their environmental impact. Even seemingly small changes in items purchased can have a sizable impact. For example, something as simple as the purchase of a wine-bottle stopper can have substantial sustainability im- pact. Production of petroleum-based plastic wine bottle stop- pers causes 50 percent more global-warming pollution than does the manufacture of natural cork stoppers. Similarly, pro- duction of metal screw caps for wine bottles produces any- where from three to fi ve times as much global-warming pollu- tion. Of the three inventory item choices—plastic wine bottle stopper, natural cork stopper, or metal screw cap—the natural cork stopper is a far more sustainable choice. Inventory man- agement needs to consider these differences in deciding on items sourced, in addition to traditional costs. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Chapter Highlights 1 Raw materials, purchased components and materials,
work-in-process (WIP), finished goods, distribution, and maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) supplies are types of inventory. Manufacturers use anticipation inven- tory to satisfy future demand. Fluctuation stock provides a cushion against uncertain demand. Lot-size inventory results from the company’s ordering quantity. Transpor- tation inventory includes items in transit. Speculative inventory is a buildup to protect against a future event. MRO inventory supports daily operations. Many ser- vice organizations use tangible inventory. Many of these items are desirable and subject to theft by employees and customers. Magnetic strips, security devices, and surveil- lance systems can reduce inventory loss.
2 Proper inventory control and management is often the difference between a profit and a loss. Inventory management objectives include achieving the desired level of customer service, allowing cost-efficient oper- ations, and minimizing inventory investment. Cus- tomer service can be measured as a percentage of orders shipped on schedule, a percentage of line items shipped on schedule, a percentage of dollar value shipped on schedule, or idle time due to material shortages. Cost-efficient operations are achieved by using inventory as buffer stocks, allowing a stable year- round workforce, and spreading the setup cost over a larger number of units. Inventory investment is mea- sured as inventory turnover and/or amount of supply (weeks, days, and/or hours).
3 Relevant inventory costs include item costs, holding costs, capital costs, storage costs, risk costs, ordering costs, and shortage costs. Holding cost is the combi- nation of capital costs, storage costs, and risk costs. Capital costs are the higher of either the actual cost of capital or the opportunity cost. Storage costs include out-of-pocket costs associated with storing the inven- tory. Risk costs include theft, damage, deterioration, and obsolescence. Ordering costs are fixed costs asso- ciated with either placing a purchase order or a setup cost for a manufacturing order. Shortage costs occur when the customer does not receive an item on time.
4 The ABC classification system allows a company to assign the appropriate level of control and frequency of review of an item based on its annual dollar volume. The system is based on Pareto’s law. Typically items are classi- fied as A items when they have great value, B items when they have moderate value, and C items when they have little value. The value of the A items usually makes up roughly 60 percent of the total inventory value, but only represents about 10 percent of the items in inventory.
5 Accurate inventory records are critical to good inven- tory management and control. Companies can use periodic counting or cycle counting to improve record accuracy. Determining what and when to count are the major decisions. You can count when a new order is placed, when a new order is scheduled to be received, or after a certain number of transactions occur. A items are counted more frequently than B items, which
Formula Review • 471
are counted more frequently than C items. A physical inventory can also be used to improve record accuracy.
6 Lot-for-lot, fixed-order quantity, min-max system, and order n periods at a time are all non-mathematical techniques used for determining order quantity. The EOQ model, EPQ model, quantity discount model, and single-period model are considered to be mathemati- cal models for calculating order quantity. The assump- tions of the EOQ model are: demand is known and constant; lead time is known and constant; quantity discounts are not considered; ordering and setup costs are fixed, known, and constant; all demand is met; and the quantity ordered all arrives at the same time. Sometimes practical considerations prohibit a com- pany from ordering the optimal quantity. It may be due to a minimum order requirement, a limited amount of space available to store the inventory, or the available
capital to invest in inventory at any given time. Com- panies often try to decrease the order quantity. Using the EPQ model, it can be shown that the only way to reduce order quantity is to reduce the order or setup cost. At times organizations must make decisions about perishable products (newspapers, holiday dec- orations, long-stemmed red roses, etc.). The single- period model can be used in this situation.
7 Safety stock levels are determined based on the level of customer service the company selects. The higher the customer service level desired, the higher the level of safety stock required.
8 Periodic review systems check inventory levels at spec- ified review times. This means less control and less frequent review than continuous review systems. The ABC classification system can be used to determine the frequency of review and the appropriate level of review.
Key Terms
raw materials 433
components 433
work-in-process (WIP) 433
fi nished goods 433
distribution inventory 433
anticipation inventory 433
fl uctuation inventory 433
lot-size inventory 433
transportation inventory 434
speculative inventory 434
maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) inventory 434
customer service 436
percentage of orders shipped on schedule 436
percentage of line items shipped on schedule 436
percentage of dollar volume shipped on schedule 437
setup cost 437
inventory turnover 438
weeks of supply 438
item cost 440
holding costs 440
capital costs 440
storage costs 440
risk costs 440
ordering costs 441
shortage costs 441
back order 441
lost sale 441
Pareto’s law 442
ABC classifi cation 442
continuous review system 442
periodic review system 445
two-bin system 445
lead time 445
periodic counting 446
cycle counting 446
vendor-managed inventory (VMI) 446
stock-keeping unit (SKU) 447
lot-for-lot 447
fi xed-order quantity 447
min-max system 447
order n periods 447
economic order quantity (EOQ) 448
economic production quantity (EPQ) 452
perpetual inventory record 454
quantity discount model 455
single-period model 459
order-cycle service level 465
target inventory level (TI ) 466
Formula Review 1. Calculating average transportation inventory (ATI ):
ATI = tD
365
where t = transit time in days and D = annual demand in units.
2. Calculating inventory turnover and periods of supply:
Inventory turnover = annual cost of goods sold
average inventory in dollars
Weeks of supply = average inventory on hand in dollars
average weekly usage in dollars
Days of supply = average inventory on hand in dollars
average daily usage in dollars
472 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
3. Calculating target inventory (TI ):
TI = d(RP + L) + SS
where d = average daily demand, RP = review period in days, L = lead time in days, weeks, or months, and SS = safety stock.
4. Calculating safety stock in a periodic review model:
SS = zσ RP + L Standard deviation of demand during review period and lead time:
σRP + L = σt1RP + L 5. Calculating reorder point without safety stock:
R = dL
where d = average daily demand and L = lead time in days.
6. Calculating the economic order quantity (EOQ):
Q = B2DSH where D = annual demand, S = ordering cost, and H = holding cost.
7. Calculating total costs:
TC = aD Q
Sb + aQ 2
Hb
8. Calculating the economic production quantity (EPQ):
Q =
R 2DS
H a1 − d p b
9. Calculating total costs:
TC = aD Q
Sb + aIMax 2
Hb where IMax is the maximum inventory level.
10. Calculating IMax:
IMax = Q a1 − d p b
where d = daily demand and p = daily production rate.
11. Calculating total costs for quantity discount comparisons:
TC = aD Q
Sb + aQ 2
Hb + CD where C = price per unit.
12. Calculating amount of safety stock:
SS = zσ sdL where SS = safety stock, z = number of standard deviations, and 𝜎dL = standard deviation of demand during lead time in units.
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Tacky Souvenirs sells lovely handmade tablecloths at its island store. Th ese tablecloths cost Tacky $15 each. Cus- tomers want to buy the tablecloths at a rate of 240 per week. Th e company operates 52 weeks per year. Tacky, the owner, estimates his ordering cost at $50. Annual holding costs are 20 percent of the unit cost. Lead time is 2 weeks. Using the information given,
(a) Calculate the economic order quantity. (b) Calculate the total annual costs using the EOQ. (c) Determine the reorder point.
Before You Begin: To calculate the economic order quantity, you use the formula
Q = B2DSH Remember that the demand information and the hold- ing cost must be for the same time frame. Th at is, if you
use annual demand, you must use an annual holding cost. Once you have calculated the EOQ, you calculate total annual costs with the formula
TC = aD Q
Sb + aQ 2
Hb To fi nd the reorder point, use the formula: R = dL. Remember that demand must be in the same time frame as is given for lead time. For example, if lead time is given as three weeks, then use weekly demand. If lead time is given in days, use daily demand.
Solution:
(a) First, calculate the annual demand and the annual holding cost.
Annual demand = (52 weeks × 240 units per week) = 12,480 units
Solved Problems • 473
Annual holding cost = (0.20 × $15) = $3.00 per unit per year
Now calculate the economic order quantity as shown in the spreadsheet.
Q = B2 × 12,480 × $50$3 = 644.98, or 645 tablecloths Examine the spreadsheet to see how you can solve
EOQ problems using a spreadsheet. Note that you
PROBLEM 2
Jack’s Packs manufactures backpacks made from micro- fabrics. Th e cutting department prepares the material for use by the backpack stitching department. Th e cut- ting department can cut enough material to make 200 backpacks per day. Th e backpack stitching department produces 90 backpacks per day. Annual demand for the product is 22,500 units. Th e company operates 250 days per year. Estimated setup cost is $60. Annual holding cost is $6 per backpack.
A B C
Tacky Souvenirs
Problem Inputs
Calculations and Solution
1
2
3 4 5 6 7 8
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
19
20 21
22
23
240 52
12480
$50.00
20.0% $15.00 $3.00
2
644.98062
645
$967.44 $967.50
$1,934.94
480
Weekly Demand Operating Weeks per year
Annual Demand (units)
Ordering Cost
Annual Holding Cost (%) Unit Cost
Annual Holding Cost ($/unit)
Lead Time (weeks)
EOQ (exact calculation)
EOQ (rounded to nearest integer)
Annual Ordering Costs Annual Holding Costs
Total Annual Costs
Reorder Point (units)
B7: =B5*B6
B13: =B12*B11
B18: =SQRT((2*B7*B9)/B13)
B19: =ROUND(B18,0)
B20: =(B7/B19)*B9
B21: =(B19/2)*B13
B22: =B20+B21
B23: =B5*B15
can use weekly demand since the lead time is given in weekly increments. Just make sure that the aver- age demand time frame matches the time frame used with lead time.
(b) The total costs are
TC = a12,480 645
$50b + a645 2
$3b = $1934.94 (c) The reorder point is
R = 240 units × 2 weeks = 480 units
(a) Calculate the economic production quantity for the cutting department.
(b) Calculate the total annual costs for the EPQ.
Before You Begin: For this problem, calculate the EPQ. We use a modifi ed version of the EOQ formula since we have relaxed the assumption regarding all of the items being delivered at one time. With the EPQ model, units are produced daily. Some are used immediately
474 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
to satisfy demand, while the other units are put into inventory. Th e appropriate formula is
Q =
R 2DS
H a1 − d p b
Remember that the ratio d/p does not have to be daily demand divided by daily production. You need only use fi gures for the same time frame. Th e ratio of annual demand divided by annual production is equivalent to the daily demand divided by daily production. You also should check to be sure that the demand rate is smaller than the production rate. Otherwise, you can never pro- duce enough to satisfy demand. When calculating total costs, make sure that you determine the maximum inventory level when assessing holding costs.
PROBLEM 3
Ye Olde Shoe Repaire has customers requesting leather soles throughout the year. Th e owner, Warren, buys these soles from Th e Leather Company (TLC) at a price of $8 per pair. In an eff ort to improve profi tability by sell- ing in greater quantities, the sales rep for TLC has made the following off er to Ye Olde Shoe Repaire: If Warren orders from 1 to 50 pairs at a time, the cost per pair is $8.00. If the order is between 51 and 100 pairs at a time, the cost is $7.60. On orders for more than 100 pairs at a time, the cost per pair is $7.40. Th e owner estimates annual demand to be 625 pairs of soles. Holding costs are 20 percent of unit price. Th e cost to place an order is $10. Determine the most cost-eff ective ordering policy for Ye Olde Shoe Repaire.
Before You Begin: Th is is a quantity discount problem with proportional holding costs. You begin by calculating the EOQ for the least expensive unit price. Check to see whether this quantity is feasible. Feasibility occurs when you can order the EOQ quantity and pay the unit price that was used in your calculation. For example, if the EOQ turns out to be 92 pairs of leather soles and you used a unit price of $7.40 per pair, you need to check to see whether or not you will be charged $7.40 per pair if you place an order for 92 pairs. If the initial price assumption does not match what you would actually pay, then the quantity is infeasible. Once you fi nd a feasible quantity, calculate the total annual costs for that policy, including the annual material costs. You must also calculate the total costs associated with ordering just enough units to
• Solution (a) First, calculate the EPQ as follows:
Q =
R 2 × 22,500 × $60
$6 a1− 90 200 b = 904.53, or 905 backpacks
(b) To calculate total costs, determine the maximum inventory level as follows:
IMax = 905 a1 − 90 200 b = 497.75, or 498 backpacks
Now that you have determined the maximum inventory level, calculate total costs:
TC = a22,500 905
$60b + a498 2
$6b = $2985.71
qualify for any cheaper prices available. For example, if the feasible quantity occurs with a cost of $7.60 per pair and you know that if you buy 100 pairs at a time you qualify for a unit price of $7.40, you calculate the total annual cost assuming that you would order just enough (100 pairs) to qualify for the lower unit price. You must do this for all prices lower than the price of the feasible EOQ. Your best policy is based on the total annual costs.
Solution:
(a) First, we need to calculate the EOQ at the lowest price offered. The annual holding cost is 20 percent of the unit cost, or $1.48—that is, $7.40 times 20 percent.
Q = B2 × 625 × $10$1.48 = 91.9, or 92 pairs Since this order quantity does not match the unit
price used to calculate the EOQ, this answer is infeasible. This means if we place an order for 92 pairs, we are charged $7.60 per pair rather than the $7.40 we used in calculating the EOQ.
(b) Since the first Q is infeasible, we calculate the EOQ for the next higher price. Make sure to calculate the new annual holding cost, 20 percent of $7.60, or $1.52.
Q = B2 × 625 × $10$1.52 = 90.68, or 91 pairs
Solved Problems • 475
If we place an order for 91 pairs, we will be charged $7.60 per pair, which is the price we used to calculate this EOQ. Th erefore, this is a feasible order quantity. We are ready to calculate the total annual cost for this policy:
TC = a625 91
$10b + a91 2
$1.52b + ($7.60 × 625) = $4887.84
Since the feasible solution was not at the lowest price, we must now compute the total cost of any
PROBLEM 4
Frank’s Ribs knows that the demand during lead time for his world-famous ribs is described by a normal dis- tribution with a mean of 1000 pounds and a standard deviation of 100 pounds. Frank is willing to accept a stockout risk of approximately 2 percent.
(a) Determine the appropriate z value. (b) Calculate how much safety stock Frank should
hold.
Before You Begin: In this problem, you need to fi nd out how much safety stock should be held. First, use Appendix B to determine the z value for the desired safety stock level. Th en, using the formula SS = z𝜎dL, calculate the required safety stock.
PROBLEM 5
Peter sells programs at State University’s home football games. Peter must buy the programs before the game in multiples of 100 (2000, 2100, 2200, etc.). Peter has deter- mined that the probability of selling diff erent quantities of programs at a given game is as follows:
Demand for Programs Probability of Demand
2000 0.10 2100 0.20 2200 0.40 2300 0.20 2400 0.10
Peter plans to sell the programs for $4 each. He pays $2.50 for each program and there is no salvage value.
cheaper price, assuming that we order just enough to qualify for the cheaper price. Th is means we need to order 101 pairs to qualify for the $7.40 price. Th e total cost of this policy is
TC = a625 101
$10b + a101 2
$1.48b + ($7.40 × 625) = $4761.62
Since the total annual cost of ordering 101 pairs at a time is less expensive, Ye Olde Shoe Repaire should order 101 pairs each time leather soles are needed.
Solution:
(a) Go to Appendix B. You need to find the z value asso- ciated with 0.4800, which is the difference between the desired service level, 0.9800, and the z value of 0, 0.5000. Looking at the entry for z = 2.05, you should see 0.4798, which is as close to 0.4800 as we can get. Therefore, the appropriate z value is 2.05.
(b) To determine the amount of safety stock Frank should hold, multiply the z value by the standard deviation:
SS = 2.05 × 100 pounds = 205 pounds
Frank should hold 205 pounds of ribs in safety stock.
Determine how many programs Peter should buy to maximize his profi t.
Before You Begin: For this problem, we are only able to make a single purchase. Determine which order quantity has the highest expected payoff . Develop a payoff table to show the expected value from each order quantity.
Solution:
Based on the information given, we developed a payoff table to determine the expected profi t for each possible order quantity. Net profi t for each combination or order quantity and demand are calculated as shown. Th e order quantity with the highest expected profi t is 2200 programs. Peter should order 2200 programs.
476 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Probability of Occurrence
0.10 0.20 0.40 0.20 0.10
Actual customer demand (programs) 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400
Number of Programs Ordered
Expected Profi t
2000 $3000 $3000 $3000 $3000 $3000 $3000 2100 $2750 $3150 $3150 $3150 $3150 $3110 2200 $2500 $2900 $3300 $3300 $3300 $3140 2300 $2250 $2650 $3050 $3450 $3450 $3010 2400 $2000 $2400 $2800 $3200 $3600 $2800
Discussion Questions
Problems
1. Visit a local business and identify the diff erent types of inventory used.
2. After visiting a local business, explain the diff erent functions of its inventory.
3. Explain the objectives of inventory management at the local business.
4. Describe how the objectives of inventory manage- ment can be measured.
5. Explain the diff erent methods for measuring customer service.
6. Compare the two techniques, inventory turnover and weeks of supply.
7. Describe the relevant costs associated with inventory policies.
8. Explain what is included in the annual holding cost.
9. Describe what is included in ordering or setup costs.
10. Describe what is included in shortage costs.
11. Explain the assumptions of the EOQ model.
12. Describe techniques for determining order quantities other than the EOQ or EPQ.
13. Describe how changes in the demand, ordering cost, or holding cost aff ect the EOQ.
14. Explain how a company can justify smaller order quantities.
15. Explain what safety stock is for.
16. Explain how safety stock aff ects the reorder point.
17. Describe the type of products that require a single- period model.
18. Explain the basic concept of ABC analysis.
19. Explain the concept of perpetual review.
20. Explain how two-bin systems work.
1. Elyssa’s Elegant Eveningwear (EEE) needs to ship fi n- ished goods from its manufacturing facility to its dis- tribution warehouse. Annual demand for EEE is 2400 gowns. EEE can ship the gowns via regular parcel service (3 days transit time), premium parcel service (1 day transit time), or via public carrier (7 days transit time). Calculate the average annual transportation in- ventory for each alternative.
2. Yasuko’s Art Emporium (YAE) ships art from its stu- dio located in the Far East to its distribution center located on the West Coast of the United States. YAE can send the art either via transoceanic ship freight service (15 days transit) or by air freight (2 days transit time). YAE ships 18,000 pieces of art annually. (a) Calculate the average annual transportation
inventory when sending the art via transoceanic ship freight service.
(b) Calculate the average annual transportation inventory when sending the art via air freight.
(c) What additional information is needed to compare the two alternatives?
3. Joe, the owner of Genuine Reproductions (GR), a com- pany that manufactures reproduction furniture, is interested in measuring inventory eff ectiveness. Last year the cost of goods sold at GR was $3,000,000. Th e average inventory in dollars was $250,000. (a) Calculate the inventory turnover for GR. (b) Calculate the weeks of supply. Assume 52 weeks
per year. (c) Calculate the days of supply. Assume that GR
operates 5 days per week. 4. Genuine Reproductions (GR) plans on increasing next
year’s sales by 20 percent while maintaining its same average inventory in dollars of $250,000.
Problems • 477
(a) Calculate the expected inventory turnover for next year.
(b) Calculate the expected weeks of supply. 5. What is the inventory turnover for Genuine Repro-
ductions from Problems 3 and 4 if sales actually in- crease 20 percent but the average inventory rises to $325,000?
6. Frederick’s Farm Factory (FFF) currently maintains an average inventory valued at $3,400,000. Th e company estimates its capital cost at 10 percent, its storage cost at 4.5 percent, and its risk cost at 6 percent. (a) Calculate the annual holding cost rate for FFF. (b) Calculate the total annual holding costs for FFF.
7. Th e Federal Reserve Board has just increased the in- terest rate. FFF in Problem 6 now has to pay 12 per- cent for its capital. Calculate the impact on total an- nual holding costs for FFF.
8. A technology problem has rendered some of the in- ventory at FFF (Problem 6) obsolete. FFF estimates that the risk cost of its inventory is now 10 percent. (a) Calculate the new annual holding cost rate. (b) Calculate the new total annual holding costs for
FFF. 9. Custom Computers, Inc. assembles custom home
computer systems. Th e heat sinks needed are bought for $12 each and are ordered in quantities of 1300 units. Annual demand is 5200 heat sinks, the annual inventory holding cost rate is $3 per unit, and the cost to place an order is estimated to be $50. Calculate the following: (a) Average inventory level (b) Th e number of orders placed per year (c) Th e total annual inventory holding cost (d) Th e total annual ordering cost (e) Th e total annual cost
10. Custom Computers, Inc. from Problem 9 is consid- ering a new ordering policy. Th e new order quantity would be 650 heat sinks. Recalculate Problem 9, parts (a) through (e), and compare results.
11. Bill Maze, recently hired by Custom Computers, Inc., has suggested using the economic order quantity for the heat sinks. Using the information in Problem 9, calculate the following: (a) Economic order quantity (b) Average inventory level (c) Th e number of orders placed per year (d) Th e total annual ordering cost (e) Th e total annual holding cost ( f ) Th e total annual cost
Compare these results with the costs calculated in Problems 9 and 10.
12. A local nursery, Greens, uses 1560 bags of plant food annually. Greens works 52 weeks per year. It costs $10 to place an order for plant food. The an- nual holding cost rate is $5 per bag. Lead time is one week. (a) Calculate the economic order quantity. (b) Calculate the total annual costs. (c) Determine the reorder point.
13. Rapid Grower, the supplier of plant food for Greens in Problem 12, has off ered the following quantity discounts. If the nursery places orders of 50 bags or less, the cost per bag is $20. For orders greater than 50 bags but less than 100 bags, the cost per bag is $19. For orders of 100 bags or more, the cost is $18 per bag. Greens estimates its holding cost to be 25 percent of the unit price. Determine the most cost-eff ective ordering policy for Greens.
14. In an eff ort to reduce its inventory, Rapid Grower is off ering Greens, a local nursery (Problems 12 and 13), two additional price breaks to consider. If the nursery orders a three-month supply, the cost per bag is $16. If Greens orders a six-month supply, the cost per bag is $14.50. Should Greens change its order quantity calcu- lated in Problem 13?
15. In a further attempt to liquidate its inventory, Rapid Grower has off ered Greens, the local nursery, an op- tion to buy the entire year’s supply at one time. Th e cost per bag would be $12. Should Greens take advant- age of this off er?
16. Sam’s Auto Shop services and repairs a particular brand of foreign automobile. Sam uses oil fi lters throughout the year. Th e shop operates 52 weeks per year, and weekly demand is 150 fi lters. Sam estim- ates that it costs $20 to place an order and his annual holding cost rate is $3 per oil fi lter. Currently, Sam orders in quantities of 650 fi lters. Calculate the total annual costs associated with Sam’s current ordering policy.
17. Using the information in Problem 16, calculate the fol- lowing: (a) Th e economic order quantity (b) Th e total annual costs using the EOQ ordering
policy (c) Th e penalty costs Sam is incurring by using his
current policy 18. Th e local Offi ce of Tourism sells souvenir calendars.
Sue, the head of the offi ce, needs to order these cal- endars in advance of the main tourist season. Based on past seasons, Sue has determined the probability of selling diff erent quantities of the calendars for a par- ticular tourist season.
478 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Demand for Calendars Probability of Demand
75,000 0.15
80,000 0.25
85,000 0.30
90,000 0.20
95,000 0.10
Th e Offi ce of Tourism sells the calendars for $12.95 each. Th e calendars cost Sue $5 each. Th e salvage value is estimated to be $0.50 per unsold calendar. Determine how many calendars Sue should order to maximize expected profi ts.
19. Th e Offi ce of Tourism (Problem 18) has decided to heavily promote local events this year and anticipates more tourists this season. Sue has changed the probab- ility of selling diff erent quantities of calendars as shown. Given the new probabilities, determine how many cal- endars Sue should order to maximize expected profi ts.
Demand for Calendars Probability of Demand
75,000 0.05
80,000 0.20
85,000 0.25
90,000 0.30
95,000 0.20
20. Given the following list of items, (a) Calculate the annual usage cost of each item. (b) Classify the items as A, B, or C.
Item Annual
Demand Ordering Cost ($)
Holding Cost (%)
Unit Price ($)
101 500 10 20 0.50
102 1500 10 30 0.20
103 5000 25 30 1.00
104 250 15 25 4.50
105 1500 35 35 1.20
201 10,000 25 15 0.75
202 1000 10 20 1.35
203 1500 20 25 0.20
204 500 40 25 0.80
205 100 10 15 2.50
21. Using the information provided in Problem 20, (a) Calculate the economic order quantity for each
item. (Round to the nearest whole number.) (b) Calculate the company’s maximum inventory
investment throughout the year. (c) Calculate the company’s average inventory level.
22. Tax Preparers, Inc. works 250 days per year. Th e com- pany uses adding machine tape at a rate of eight rolls per day. Usage is believed to be normally distributed with a standard deviation of three rolls during lead time. Th e cost of ordering the tape is $10, and holding costs are $0.30 per roll per year. Lead time is two days. (a) Calculate the economic order quantity. (b) What reorder point will provide an order-cycle
service level of 97 percent? (c) How much safety stock must the company hold to
have a 97 percent order-cycle service level? (d) What reorder point is needed to provide an order-
cycle service level of 99 percent? (e) How much safety stock must the company hold to
have a 99 percent order-cycle service level? 23. Healthy Plants Ltd. (HP) produces its premium plant
food in 50-pound bags. Demand for the product is 100,000 pounds per week. HP operates 50 weeks per year and can produce 250,000 pounds per week. Th e setup cost is $200 and the annual holding cost rate is $0.55 per bag. Currently, HP produces its premium plant food in batches of 1,000,000 pounds. (a) Calculate the maximum inventory level for HP. (b) Calculate the total annual costs of this operating
policy. 24. Using the data provided in Problem 23, determine
what will happen if HP uses the economic production quantity model to establish the quantity produced each cycle. (a) Calculate the economic production quantity (EPQ). (b) Calculate the maximum inventory level using the
EPQ. (c) Calculate the total annual cost of using the EPQ. (d) Calculate the penalty cost HP is incurring with its
current policy. 25. Greener Pastures Incorporated (GPI) produces a
high-quality organic lawn food and weed elimin- ator called Super Green (SG). Super Green is sold in 50-pound bags. Monthly demand for Super Green is 75,000 pounds. Greener Pastures has capacity to pro- duce 24,000 50-pound bags per year. Th e setup cost to produce Super Green is $300. Annual holding cost is estimated to be $3 per 50-pound bag. Currently, GP is producing in batches of 2500 bags. (a) Calculate the total annual costs of the current
operating policy at GPI. (b) Calculate the economic production quantity
(EPQ). (c) Calculate the total annual costs of using the EPQ. (d) Calculate the penalty cost incurred with the
present policy.
Problems • 479
26. Lissette Jones, the materials manager for an upscale retailer, wants to measure her customer service level. She has collected the following representative data.
Order Number
Number of Line Items
Dollar Value of Order
1 4 1000
2 8 1440
3 2 1600
4 6 920
5 10 1800
6 8 1200
7 8 2700
8 4 1560
9 5 1780
10 5 1000
Totals 60 $15,000
Assuming that orders 1–6 and 8–10 shipped on schedule:
(a) Calculate the customer service level using the percentage of orders that shipped on schedule.
(b) Calculate the customer service level using the percentage of line orders that shipped on schedule.
(c) Calculate the customer service level using the percentage of dollar volume that shipped on schedule.
(d) Which of these measures would you recommend to Lissette?
27. Your new company has decided to use a periodic review system. You have learned that average weekly demand is 48 units per week with a standard deviation of 8 units. You believe that your cycle-service level should be 94 percent. Lead time is two weeks. Initially, you believe that you should do a review every Friday. Determine the required safety stock and the target inventory level. (a) How would this procedure change if the cycle-
service level needed to be 98 percent? (b) What is the impact of changing the review period
from every Friday to every other Friday, assuming that the cycle-service level is 94 percent?
28. Michael’s Offi ce Supply (MOS) sells offi ce furniture, equipment, and supplies. Th is week the company has received 50 customer orders. Each order has an aver- age of fi ve line items. Th e average dollar amount of each order is $1200. MOS was able to ship 47 of the 50 orders on schedule. (a) Using the percentage of orders shipped on time,
calculate the customer service level.
(b) If Michael’s calculates customer service level by using the percentage of line items shipped on schedule, how many line items must be shipped to achieve the same customer service level calculated in part (a)?
(c) If Michael’s calculates customer service level by the percentage of dollar volume shipped, how many dollars of product must be shipped to achieve the same customer service level calculated in part (a)?
(d) What factors determine the customer service level measure that MOS should use?
29. My Kitchen Delights (MKD), a regional producer of gourmet jams and jellies, uses approximately 24,000 glass jars each month during its production. Because of space limitations, MKD orders 5000 jars at a time. Monthly holding cost is $0.08 per jar, and the ordering cost is $60 per order. Th e company operates 20 days per month. (a) What penalty cost is the company incurring by its
present replenishment policy? (b) MKD would prefer to order eight times each
month but needs to justify any change in order size. How much would ordering cost need to be reduced to justify a lot size of 3000 jars?
(c) If MKD can reduce its ordering cost to $30, what is the optimal replenishment order quantity?
30. My Kitchen Delights (MKD) is considering two new suppliers for the jars used in the production process. Th e quality at both suppliers is equal. Assume that the annual holding cost is 30 percent of the unit price. Monthly demand averages 20,000 jars. Ordering cost with these two suppliers is $30 per order. Th e price lists for the suppliers are as follows:
Supplier A
Quantity Unit Price
1–2499 $3.00
2500–3499 2.90
3500–4999 2.80
5000 or more 2.70
(a) Determine the optimal order quantity when using Supplier A.
(b) Determine the optimal order quantity when using Supplier B.
(c) Given MKD’s lack of space, which supplier do you recommend be used? Justify your answer.
Supplier B
Quantity Unit Price
1–1999 $3.50
2000–2999 3.15
3000–3999 2.85
4000–4999 2.75
5000 or more 2.60
480 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
Case: FabQual Ltd.
FabQual Ltd. manufactures parts and subassemblies for a number of small-volume manufacturers of specialized construction equipment, including bulldozers, graders, and cement mixers. FabQual also manufactures and distributes spare parts. Th e company has made a spe- cialty of providing spare parts for equipment no longer in production; this includes wear parts that are no lon- ger in production for any OEM.
Th e Materials Management Group (MMG) orders parts—both for delivery to a customer’s production line and for spares—from the Fabrication Department. Spares are stocked in a fi nished goods store. FabQual’s part number 650810/ss/R9/o is a wear part made only for spares demand. It has had demand averaging 300 units per week for more than a year, and this level of demand is expected to persist for at least four more years. Th e standard deviation of weekly demand is 50 units.
Th e MMG has been ordering 1300 units monthly of part number 650810/ss/R9/o from the Fabrication Department to meet the forecast annual demand of 15,600 units. Th e order is placed in the fi rst week of each month. In order to provide Fabrication with scheduling fl exibility, as well as to help with planning raw material requirements, a three-week manufacturing lead time is allowed for parts.
In the Fabrication Department, two hours is now allowed for each setup for a run of part number 650810/ ss/R9/o. Th is time includes strip-down of the previous setup; delivery of raw materials, drawings, tools and fi x- tures, and the like; and buildup of the new setup. Th e two-hour setup time is a recent improvement over the previous four hours, as the result of setup reduction activities in the Fabrication Department. Th e Fabrica- tion Department charges £20 per hour for setups. (If you prefer to work in dollars, you can fi nd the current
exchange rate in the Wall Street Journal.) Part number 650810/ss/R9/o enters the fi nished goods stores at a full manufacturing cost of £55. Th e Financial Offi ce requires a 25 percent per item per year cost for inven- tory planning and control. (Th is is your annual holding cost rate.)
Case Questions
1. What is the total annual cost of the present ordering policy for part number 650810/ss/R9/o?
2. What would be the lot size for part number 650810/ ss/R9/o if FabQual were to use an economic order quantity (EOQ)?
3. What would be the total annual cost of using an eco- nomic order quantity for part number 650810/ss/ R9/o?
4. What would be the reorder point for part number 650810/ss/R9/o if FabQual wanted a delivery perfor- mance of 95 percent? What would it be if the com- pany wanted a delivery performance of 99 percent?
5. Under the present scheme—ordering 1300 units each month in the fi rst week of each month—there are typically 700 to 800 units on hand when the new batch of 1300 units arrives toward the end of each month. What would be the impact on the overall inventory level of part number 650810/ss/R9/o of a change from the present order policy to an EOQ- based policy?
6. What are other implications of a change from the present scheme to one based on the economic order quantity? If this part is representative of a great many spare parts, what would be the overall impact?
Source: Copyright © by Professor L.G. Sprague, 1999. Reprinted with permission.
Case: Kayaks!Incorporated
Kayaks!Incorporated manufactures a line of sea kayaks and accessories in a make-to-stock environment. Th ese products are sold to boat dealers and major depart- ment stores throughout North America, which then sell these products to the fi nal customer. Customers expect immediate receipt of the goods, so it is critical to have suffi cient inventory held by the dealers and depart- ment stores. Aeesha Grant, the materials manager at
Kayaks!, wants to make sure that the customer service level is being correctly calculated before she considers any changes to manufacturing. She has collected the following information for you to analyze and prepare a report on the customer service level being provided by Kayaks!Incorporated to the boat dealers and depart- ment stores.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company • 481
Case Questions
1. Kayaks!Incorporated has always measured customer service as the number of complete orders that ship on schedule. Using this measure, calculate the cus- tomer service level provided by Kayaks!Incorporated.
2. Does this method of calculating the customer ser- vice level make sense for Kayaks!Incorporated?
3. What other methods might be useful in measuring Kayaks! customer service level? How would these aff ect your analysis of customer service?
4. What is your report to Aeesha Grant with regard to the customer service being provided by Kayaks!Incorporated?
Customer Line
Items Dollar Value
Line Items Shipped on Schedule
Dollar Value on Schedule
1 2 2000 2 2000
2 17 40,000 16 37,500
3 9 16,000 9 16,000
4 7 9500 6 9000
5 24 68,000 22 64,000
6 4 6000 4 6000
7 7 14,000 7 14,000
8 3 14,000 3 14,000
9 9 6000 7 4800
10 12 18,500 11 18,000
11 7 16,000 7 16,000
12 12 14,000 11 11,000
13 11 19,500 9 15,000
Customer Line
Items Dollar Value
Line Items Shipped on Schedule
Dollar Value on Schedule
14 5 8000 5 8000
15 5 6000 5 6000
16 7 12,000 6 11,500
17 16 28,000 15 24,500
18 11 12,000 11 12,000
19 9 17,500 9 17,500
20 3 7500 3 7500
21 4 11,000 4 11,000
22 8 12,000 8 12,000
23 20 48,000 19 44,000
24 1 2500 1 2500
25 12 9000 12 9000
Totals 225 417,000 212 392,800
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Innventory Management at Cruise Inter- national, Inc. In this assignment you will work with Andrew Jaworski, the cruise ship’s Medical Offi cer. He has a special off er from a supplier for a disposable syringe fi lled with a premeasured dosage of medicine to alleviate motion sickness, which needs to be evaluated. He has provided you with all the necessary information needed to analyze the quantity discount off ered by the supplier. One additional concern comes from Peggy Johnson, the Corporate Medical Offi cer. Th e Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is currently testing a new motion sickness medicine that would make the other medicine obsolete. She believes there is a 10 percent
chance of the new medicine receiving FDA approval and that we will know in approximately nine months. Your job is to make a recommendation regarding this quantity discount off er. Th is assignment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material in Chapter 12 of your textbook and prepare you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Inventory Management at CII
www.wiley.com/college/reid
On-line Case: Inventory Management at Valley Memorial Hospital
Assignment: Independent Demand Inventory Manage- ment “Th is assignment just came up yesterday,” says
Meg Willoughby, head of Material Management at VMH. “We’ve been purchasing 600 cholesterol-testing kits for the lab here every three months. Yesterday, our supplier called and off ered us a discount on the price
482 CHAPTER 12 • Inventory Management
per kit if we purchase in greater bulk. One complication is that Peggy Dundee in the lab says that a new choles- terol kit being tested by the Food and Drug Administra- tion might make the current kits obsolete. So I’m not sure whether to take the deal or not and could use your help. Of course, you’ll want precise information about costs and such, so let’s sit down in the conference room and I’ll show you everything you need to know.” To complete this assignment, go to www.wiley.com/ college/reid to get the details needed. Assignment questions are given at the site.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Independent Demand Inventory Management
Internet Challenge: Community Fund-Raiser (A)
Your nonprofi t club holds a major fund-raiser for two weeks each year to support community improvement projects. Th e club sells packages of cookies throughout the community and donates the proceeds. Th e goal of the event is to raise at least $40,000 for the community. Th is year you are in charge of the fund-raising event. Your fi rst step is to search the Internet and identify at least three potential suppliers of the cookies to be sold this year. At least one of the suppliers should be in the immediate vicinity of your town or city. From past fund-raisers, the club believes that an acceptable price of the cookies to the customers does not allow for more than a $1 markup over the regular cost per package. However, if quantity discounts can be obtained, then the profi t per package can exceed $1. It is believed that regardless of the cookies sold, demand will be 40,000 packages. If you decide to buy more than 40,000 packages, any leftover cookies will be donated to
local shelters. Since you are a nonprofi t organization, no tax advantage is gained. For each of the potential suppliers, you need to iden- tify the total cost associated with buying the packages of cookies. Be sure to consider transportation costs as well as any quantity discounts. Remember that your objective is to raise at least $40,000 for the community. It is also important to consider the logistics of your plan. Will all of the cookies arrive at one time or will deliver- ies be spread over the two-week fund-raiser? Find out how far in advance you need to place your order and when payment for the cookies is due. Explain how you can be sure the cookies will arrive on time. You need to put together a report for your next meeting comparing your three suppliers and make a recommendation as to which supplier should be used, the quantity of cookies to purchase, the expected profi t to be donated, and the logistics for the fund-raiser.
Selected Bibliography
Arnold, J.R.T., S.N. Chapman, and L.M. Clive. Introduction to Materials Management, Seventh Edition. Upper Saddle River, N.J.: Pearson Education Limited, 2012.
Buff a, E.S., and J.G. Miller. Production-Inventory Systems: Planning and Control, Th ird Edition. Homewood, Ill.: Irwin, 1979.
Cox, J.F., III, J.H. Blackstone, and M.S. Spencer, eds. APICS Dictionary, Fourteenth Edition. Falls Church, Va.: Ameri- can Production and Inventory Control Society, Inc., 2014.
Fogarty, D.W., J.H. Blackstone, and T.R. Hoff man. Produc- tion and Inventory Management, Second Edition. Cincin- nati, Ohio: South-Western Publishing, 1991.
“An Inventory Control System Th at’s Fast, Accurate, Reli- able, and Simple to Use.” http://en.scannabar.com/
Inventory Management Reprints. Falls Church, Va.: American Production and Inventory Control Society, 1993.
Love, S.F. Inventory Control. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1979.
“RFID Chips in Hotel Towels? What’s Next?” http://www. securitymagazine.com/articles/82047-security-blog- 2011-05-15-rfi d-chips-in-hotel-towels.
Vollmann, T.E., W.L. Berry, D.C. Whybark, and F.R. Jacobs. Manufacturing Planning and Control Systems, Fifth Edi- tion. Burr Ridge, Ill.: McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2005.
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Aggregate Planning 13 A
s a student, you have a limited amount of hours available for you to study. You probably prepare for an exam in one of two ways. You wait until the night before the exam to cram three to five weeks of studying
into one night. Or you regularly review your notes, maybe two or three times a week, and just do your normal review the night before the exam. While cramming might work if you have only a single exam to prepare for, sometimes that is not the case. Changing demands on your fixed amount of time (capacity) can create prob- lems in achieving your objectives.
Companies also often have limited capacity to han- dle changing demands and typically take one of these two approaches or a combi- nation of the two approaches to satisfy demand fluctua- tions. Companies providing perishable products or ser- vices are often forced to wait until the very last possible minute in order to ensure
fresh products or timely services. For example, consider how G’s Naturally Fresh, a salad and vegetable-growing company based in the United Kingdom, must handle both sea- sonal demand and seasonal production.
Lettuce is a perishable item and must be kept refrigerated prior to shipment and during transport. Even then, the product stays fresh for only one week. In northern Europe, demand for lettuce occurs year-round, decreasing during the winter to about half the summer demand. However, lettuce cannot be grown out- doors during the winter months, and greenhouse cultivation is considered to be too expensive.
G’s Naturally Fresh responded to the problem by buying a farm and packaging facility located in southeastern Spain to provide the lettuce needed during the win- ter. The lettuce is transported daily to the United Kingdom by a fleet of refrigerated trucks. When demand is higher than expected, the picking rigs and their crews pick into the middle of the night using floodlights. Staffing is a problem for G’s Naturally Fresh. The UK operation maintains a permanent full-time staff while the Spanish workforce is primarily temporary, with very few employees working through the summer season.
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Before studying this chapter, you should know or, if necessary, review
1. Competitive priorities, Chapter 2.
2. Capacity management concepts, Chapter 9.
3. Work standards, Chapter 11.
4. Relevant inventory costs, Chapter 12.
5. Order quantity models, Chapter 12.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Explain business planning.
2 Discuss planning options.
3 Identify aggregate planning strategies.
4 Develop aggregate plans.
484 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
Companies typically use a planning approach that tries to level the workload, or they try to change capacity to meet demand fluctuations. Companies trying to level the workload carry inven- tory, use back orders, and try to level demand. Companies changing capacity to meet demand fluctuations use overtime, undertime, hiring and firing, and/or subcontracting.
The level and timing of resources for production are detailed in a company’s aggregate plan. The master production schedule determines how those resources are to be used. Let’s look at the role of aggregate planning in your company’s strategic business plan. •
Business Planning The business planning process begins when your company’s top management gathers input from marketing, operations, engineering, and finance to develop a strategic business plan. The strategic business plan, with its long-term focus, provides your company’s direction and objectives for the next two to ten years. The strategic business plan is normally updated and reevaluated annually. The strategic business plan is also the starting point for sales and operations planning. It states the company’s objectives for profitability, growth rate, and return on investment.
Sales and operations planning integrates the medium-range functional plans devel- oped by marketing, operations, engineering, and finance. Sales and operations planning begins with the marketing plan developed by the marketing group based on information shared with operations, finance, and engineering.
The marketing plan is intended to meet the objectives of the strategic business plan. The marketing plan identifies the sales needed to achieve the profitability level, the growth rate, and the return on investment stated in the strategic business plan. Detailed in the market- ing plan are the targeted market segments; necessary market share; competitive focus such as price, quality, flexibility, or time; expected profit margins; and any new products needed.
If the marketing plan does not meet the strategic business objectives, top management and marketing management revise either the objectives or the marketing plan itself until it fully supports the strategic objectives.
The aggregate plan, also called the production plan, identifies the resources needed by the operations group during the next six to eighteen months to support the marketing plan. The aggregate plan details the aggregate production rate and the size of the workforce, which enables planners to determine the amount of inventory to be held; the amount of overtime or undertime authorized; any authorized subcontracting, hiring, or firing of employees; and back ordering of customer orders. The aggregate plan is usually updated and reevaluated monthly by the operations group.
Your company normally develops the aggregate plan based on a composite product that represents the expected product mix (to minimize the level of detail, individual products are not represented in the aggregate plan). Companies may group products into major product families to facilitate aggregate planning. For example, if your company produces several varieties of stereo equipment, you might have product families based on kinds of stereos. Product families could include home theater stereos, portable stereos, or automo- bile stereo systems. Each family can include different items as long as each item has similar processing needs.
Regardless of the method, the goal is to reduce the number of calculations to develop the aggregate plan. Using a composite product, or product families, reduces the level of detail but still provides the information needed for decision making at this stage. Com- mon terms of output used in the aggregate plan are units, gallons, pounds, standard hours, and dollars.
Strategic business plan A statement of long-range strategy and revenue, cost, and profi t objectives.
Sales and operations planning The process that brings together all the functional business plans (marketing, operations, engineering, and fi nance) into one integrated plan.
Marketing plan Identifi es the markets to be served, desired levels of customer service, product competitive advantage, profi t margins, and the market share needed to achieve the objectives of the strategic business plan.
Aggregate plan Includes the budgeted levels of fi nished products, inventory, backlogs, workforce size, and aggregate production rate needed to support the marketing plan.
Business Planning • 485
To summarize, the purpose of the aggregate plan is to develop production rates and authorize resources that accommodate the marketing plan and allow your company to meet the objectives of the strategic business plan. Figure 13.1 summarizes the business planning flow.
The financial plan indicates the sources and uses of funds, expected cash flows, antic- ipated profits, and projected budgets. The engineering plan supports the research and development of new products introduced in the marketing plan and subsequently planned for in the aggregate plan.
The sales and operations planning process evaluates the company’s performance regu- larly throughout the year. The process begins in sales and marketing with comparisons of real demand against forecasted demand. The forecast is updated and the market reevalu- ated. Based on the updated forecast, marketing communicates to the operations, finance, and engineering groups the proposed changes to the marketing plan and makes the changes all three groups agree on. The other groups adjust their plans accordingly. If operations, finance, or engineering cannot support the proposed changes to the marketing plan, mar- keting again revises the marketing plan.
The sales and operations plan is evaluated and updated monthly. The master production schedule and the detailed sales plan are reviewed weekly or even daily. The master pro- duction schedule is an anticipated production schedule and is typically stated as specific finished goods. It details how operations will use available resources and which units or models will be built in each time frame. This allows marketing to make informed commit- ments to customers. Master production scheduling and customer commitments are dis- cussed in Supplement D.
Studies building on the results of earlier research done by the Aberdeen Group in 2010, reported that a failure to manage demand, supply, financial, and new-product planning
Financial plan Identifi es the sources and uses of funds; projects cash fl ows, profi ts, return on investment; and provides budgets in support of the strategic business plan.
Engineering plan Identifi es new products or modifi cations to existing products that are needed to support the marketing plan.
Master production schedule The anticipated production schedule for the company expressed in specifi c confi gurations, quantities, and dates.
Long term (2–10 years)
Medium term (6–18 months)
Short term (weekly, daily)
Sales plan actual vs. planned
Master schedule actual vs. planned
Strategic business plan
Sales and operations planning
Marketing plan Engineering planFinancial plan
FIGURE 13.1 The business planning hierarchy
486 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
risks, opportunities, and plan options can cause several negative effects. It can lead or con- tribute to: missed profits or earnings, lost customers, missed orders, unacceptable forecast error, decreased market share, late-to-market and underperforming new products, supply interruption, lower inventory turnover, longer lead times, higher total costs, poor use of resources, increased obsolescence, inefficient planning process, and inaccurate and incom- plete information available for decision making. On the other hand, companies successfully using sales and operations planning (S&OP) see gross margins improve, better customer retention rates, improved order fulfillment rates, better new-product introduction success, and significant cost savings.
Several indicators surface when a company has a successful S&OP process. In these com- panies, senior management uses the process to effectively run the business. Management teams are demand-driven, profit-focused, and drive superior performance. Management uses the information gained to improve decision making. Short- to long-term demand, supply, financial risks, and plans are managed, reevaluated, and reconciled. Collaboration
exists with key value chain partners (both customers and suppliers).
Let’s look at how sales and operations has been used by Coca-Cola Midi. Coca-Cola Midi (CCM), a regional manu- facturing division of Coca-Cola located in France, produces soft-drink concentrates and juice beverage bases for Europe, Asia, and Africa. CCM manages more than 700 SKUs, creat- ing more than 79,000 tons of product valued at hundreds of millions of sales dollars.
At CCM, 72 percent of its product volume is produced by third-party juice processors. These third-party providers deliver juice directly to Coca-Cola bottling operations, third- party packers, and other customer locations.
CCM has used both enterprise resource planning (ERP; discussed in Chapter 14) and sales and operations plan- ning since opening in 1991. Sales and operations planning is the basis for all planning, manufacturing, and supply chain activities. CCM begins working on its monthly sales and operations planning update ten days before the end of
the month, when preliminary demand data are updated. These data are adjusted over the next two weeks, with the new sales and operations plan completed four days into the new month.
Sales and operations planning enables disciplined and formalized communications across the company and among suppliers, partners, and customers. Continuous improve- ments in customer service, inventory management, obsolete products, and freight costs have resulted from CCM’s use of sales and operations planning.
Aggregate Planning Options Companies can choose from two groups of options when formulating an aggregate plan. The first group, demand-based options, includes two reactive options and one proactive option. These are
· Reactive options, in which the operations department uses inventories and back orders to react to demand fl uctuations.
· The proactive option, in which marketing tries to shift the demand patterns to minimize demand fluctuations.
Demand-based options A group of options that respond to demand fl uctuations through the use of inventory or back orders, or by shifting the demand pattern.
LINKSTO PRACTICE
COCA-COLA MIDI (CCM) www.thecoca-colacompany. com
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Aggregate Planning Options • 487
An example for the proactive option is the early-bird dinners offered by some restaurants. The reduced price for a specific time period encourages customers to dine earlier and spreads the demand out over a longer period of time.
The second group, capacity-based options, changes output capacity to meet demand through the use of overtime, undertime, subcontracting, hires, fires, and part-timers or temps. These options are required when current capacity isn’t equal to current demand. Each of these offers relief for fluctuating demand, but each has cost and operational impli- cations for the company. Let’s look at each option individually.
Demand-Based Options Using finished goods inventory to absorb demand fluctuations allows your company to develop a stable work environment. The company produces at average demand lev- els throughout the year rather than change capacity from one period to the next. When demand is less than average, the extra units go into inventory. When demand exceeds pro- duction, the extra units come out of inventory. Producing at average demand levels allows your company to invest less in capacity.
However, the stable working environment isn’t free. The company does have increased inventory holding costs because inventory is built and warehoused in anticipation of future demand. Inventory holding costs range from 15 to 35 percent of the cost of the inventory. Unfortunately, some companies with highly seasonal sales may have no choice but to use this option. For example, companies that make holiday products often experi- ence 60–90 percent of their demand over a short period of time (one or two months out of the year). Producing the majority of their annual demand at the last minute could require enormous machine and labor capacity, which would be underused or even idle the rest of the year.
Back orders result when your company does not have enough production and/or inven- tory on hand to cover current demand, so it promises to deliver the product to the customer at a later date. Customers may wait or they may take their business elsewhere. When a cus- tomer is unwilling to wait, the back order turns into a lost sale. Your company must under- stand its customers and its marketplace to judge whether or not back orders are a viable option. If alternative products or sources are readily available, customers probably will not wait. They are more likely to wait for unique products.
Unique has different meanings. Perhaps your company is the sole producer of a certain product, the reputation of your company merits waiting, or the price is much lower than for any substitute product. Whatever your reason for choosing back orders as an option, it must be a good one if you expect a customer to wait for your product.
In addition to possible lost sales, your company may have extra administrative costs because of the back order, such as higher shipping costs for overnight delivery. (These costs are discussed in Chapter 12.) In general, the back order should be used sparingly.
Shifting demand is a proactive marketing approach to leveling demand in which your company tries to change consumer buying patterns by offering incentives. Prime examples of this are movie matinees, early-bird dinners, and preseason or off-season discounts. In most cases, there is no out-of-pocket cost to the company—the profit is simply less per sale. This strategy makes sense when the company has high fixed costs and low variable costs. For example, a movie theater has a high fixed cost (the building and the projection equip- ment) but is empty during most of a 24-hour day. The variable cost for showing the movie is quite low. A matinee allows the theater to make better use of its capital investment.
Another way to level demand is offering preseason or off-season discounts. Shifting some of the company’s demand means that less inventory is needed to satisfy demand during the prime season. Thus the inventory investment is lower, less floor space is needed, and some customers are pleased by the discount.
MKT
Capacity-based options A group of options that allow the fi rm to change its current operating capacity.
Finished goods inventory Products available for shipment to the customer.
Back orders Unfi lled customer orders.
MKT
Shifting demand A marketing strategy that attempts to shift demand from peak periods to nonpeak periods to smooth out the demand pattern.
488 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
Capacity-Based Options Overtime is the most common method for increasing output capacity. It is an expensive option, however, and should only be used short-term. Using overtime to increase output typically means your company pays a 50 percent wage premium to its workers. Unfortu- nately, when people work overtime, their productivity does not increase proportionately, so the cost of labor per unit increases. Workers typically do not produce more during overtime.
Worker productivity—and the quality of the work—may even decrease. In fact, the more overtime a company uses, the more likely it will experience reduced productivity and qual- ity. Reduced productivity and quality tend to increase costs even more. Therefore, overtime is at best a short-term option for increasing production capacity.
Undertime results when a company does not need an employee to produce at 100 per- cent of his or her capability. Undertime is normally the result of reduced demand and a desire not to build up inventory levels. Undertime does not cost a company a wage pre- mium, but it does increase the labor cost per unit, because fewer units are built but regular- time wages stay the same.
Why would a company keep employees around if they are not needed? The answer is straightforward: economics. It may be cost-effective to carry valuable workers for a short period of time if the company expects demand to return to previous levels. If the company releases employees immediately, it may incur high replacement costs when it eventually hires new employees. The problem with undertime is that employee morale may suffer when people realize that there is not enough work to keep everyone busy. Thus undertime is also a short-term option.
Subcontracting means letting another company do some of the work for you. Sub- contracting provides additional output capacity during periods of high demand. Unlike strategic outsourcing decisions that have components, subassemblies, or final products previously done in-house instead produced by another company, subcontracting is a tactical decision as to how to increase output in periods of high demand. For example, a publishing company may choose to outsource technical information development (a task requiring technical writing expertise) and have no in-house capability. Or a pub- lishing company may need to subcontract additional technical information development because the in-house group has more work than it can handle. Outsourcing decisions identify the core business that the company is in. Subcontracting decisions provide extra capacity for the company.
The advantages of subcontracting are additional output without investing in additional tools, equipment, and labor. The disadvantage of subcontracting is the cost, which is sub- stantial. The first step is to find a qualified subcontractor for the job. Then you have the additional cost of shipping parts to the subcontractor and having finished subassemblies or products shipped back to you. In addition, subcontracting means your company loses some degree of control. By contrast, work done in-house is always under your control: you know exactly where it is and how it is progressing. Since finding a good subcontractor takes time, subcontracting is a medium- to long-term option.
Hiring and firing changes the size of the workforce. Both hiring and firing can mean high costs for your company. Hiring requires the administrative work of identifying the position, communicating with potential applicants, evaluating the materials submitted by applicants, interviewing, verifying employment and references, running background checks, making decisions, verifying physical condition, making offers, and completing negotiations. After the employee is hired, your company sets up payroll, health insurance, security ID and badge, computer log-in, phone extension, and so forth. During employee training, output is normally lower and mistakes are typically higher. Thus hiring a permanent employee is a long-term option.
Overtime Work beyond normal established operation hours that usually requires a premium be paid to the workers.
Undertime A condition occurring when there are more people on the payroll than are needed to produce the planned output.
Subcontracting Sending production work outside to another manufacturer or service provider.
ACC
Hiring and fi ring Long- term option for increasing or decreasing capacity.
Aggregate Planning Options • 489
Firing employees is also expensive. Excessive firing can lead to increased unemployment compensation premiums. (Unemployment compensation is like any insurance policy: when you have a lot of claims, your rates increase.) Add to that the severance pay that companies typically pay to permanently laid-off employees, and the cost mounts. Significant, too, is the expense in lost knowledge when you terminate employees. Employees may leave with individual know-how that the remaining workforce will have to learn for themselves. For example, your employee may not have documented a minor change to the job instructions that increases productivity or improves product quality. The next employee on the job will have to learn this secret of improved output.
Finally, you have the cost in morale, which may affect productivity. Deciding who will stay and who will go is not a pleasant exercise. Some companies base the decision on senior- ity rather than what makes sense from an operational standpoint. When senior employees remain and junior employees are forced out, the remaining employees may return to jobs that have experienced major technological change. Thus respect for seniority rewards com- pany loyalty but often at the expense of lost productivity.
For all of these reasons, hiring and firing employees is in the category of long-term options. Table 13.1 summarizes aggregate planning options.
Evaluating the Current Situation When you are considering the different options, it is important to evaluate your company’s current situation in terms of point of departure, magnitude of the change, and duration of the change.
The point of departure is the percentage of normal capacity your company is currently operating at. For example, if you are operating at 100 percent of normal capacity and need to increase capacity by 10 percent, you might use a relatively simple option such as overtime to achieve that 10 percent extra capacity. If you are already using overtime—say, you are operating at 125 percent of normal capacity—you might look for a different way to increase capacity. At this point, subcontracting or hiring temporary workers might be more econom- ical. If you need to increase capacity even more, maybe it is time to hire some new per- manent workers. The same is true when you need to reduce capacity. If you are making a small reduction—perhaps down to 90 percent of normal capacity—you might decide to use undertime. For even greater reduction, you might cut back hours or furlough employees. If the need to reduce is still greater, you might choose permanent layoffs. Thus point of depar- ture affords your company perspective on the best options.
Magnitude of the change is the size of change needed. Smaller changes may be easier to implement. Larger capacity changes need more drastic measures, such as hiring or firing a shift, and the effects on productivity are greater.
Duration of the change is the length of time you expect to need the different level of capacity. If the duration is a brief seasonal surge, then hiring temporary or seasonal workers makes sense. For example, many retail stores hire additional clerks during holiday seasons. Some of these employees work for several years at the same store. When you expect the
ACC
Point of departure The percentage of normal capacity the company is currently using.
Magnitude of the change The relative size of the change needed.
Duration of the change The expected length of time the different capacity level is needed.
TABLE 13.1 Summary of Aggregate Planning Options
Demand-Based Options Capacity-Based Options
• Inventory • Overtime/undertime
• Back orders • Subcontracting
• Shifting demand • Hiring and fi ring
490 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
increased need for capacity to be permanent, a long-term solution like subcontracting or hiring new employees is more appropriate.
Evaluating the point of depar- ture, magnitude of change, and duration of change allows your company to reduce the number of viable options for its aggre- gate plan.
When companies face highly seasonal demand, an alterna- tive to hiring full-time perma-
nent employees is the use of seasonal employees. UPS experiences highly seasonal demand each year, delivering approximately 300 million packages globally during the four weeks between Thanksgiving and Christmas. To meet this high demand, UPS hires around 90,000 part-time seasonal employees. That number includes 50,000 package handlers, who load and unload packages; 34,000 driver helpers; 2400 seasonal drivers for the delivery vans; and 850 tractor-trailer drivers. UPS hires and trains these employees each year. These trained, seasonal employees are often considered for permanent part-time jobs with UPS after the holidays. UPS has successfully implemented the use of seasonal workers to achieve its cor- porate strategy. As a result, UPS was recognized by Your Money magazine as providing the best part-time jobs in the nation.
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LINKSTO PRACTICE
UPS HIRES SEASONAL WORKERS www.ups.com
Make sure you understand the two kinds of options used in ag- gregate planning: demand-based options and capacity-based options.
Demand-based options stabilize capacity and react to de- mand fl uctuations through the use of inventories and back orders, which may enable you to shift some demand to make the demand pattern smoother. Still, the longer you use either inventories or back orders, the riskier they become. Consumer preferences change over time, and demand for your product may erode. Demand-based options are used with aggregate planning strategies that focus on maintaining a constant level of output.
Capacity-based options are used to change capacity levels. Some capacity-based options are short-term, such as overtime
and undertime; some are medium-term, such as subcontract- ing or using temporaries; and some are long-term, such as hir- ing or fi ring employees.
Your company should choose the capacity-based option that best satisfi es the time frame needed for the changed capacity level. Capacity-based options are used with aggre- gate planning strategies that change the output level to satisfy changing demand levels.
Now that you understand the options used in aggregate planning, let’s look at three different types of aggregate plans: the level plan, the chase plan, and the hybrid plan.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
Aggregate Plan Strategies Level Aggregate Plan We categorize aggregate plans as level, chase, or hybrid plans. A level aggregate plan main- tains a constant workforce and produces the same amount of product in each time period of the plan. Example 13.1 shows how to calculate the number of employees needed to pro- duce a specified output.
Level aggregate plan A planning approach that produces the same quantity each time period. Inventory and back orders are used to absorb demand fl uctuations.
Aggregate Plan Strategies • 491
One advantage of a level production plan is workforce stability. Your company sets labor and equipment capacity equal to average demand, rather than hire excess labor or buy addi- tional tools and equipment just to meet peak demand. In addition, the labor force is not subjected to varying work levels during the year, such as periods of layoff or undertime fol- lowed by periods of hiring and/or overtime.
The disadvantages of the level plan are the buildup of inventory and/or possible poor customer service from extensive use of back orders. The level plan is often used with make-to-stock products such as stereos, kitchen appliances, and hardware. Example 13.2 calculates the level workforce needed when demand varies throughout the planning horizon.
EXAMPLE 13.2 Calculating Average Monthly Net Demand for Wavetop, Inc.
Wavetop, Inc., a producer of water ski equipment, anticipates the following demand for its water skis. Demand for January is 12,000 units; February, 9000; March, 12,000; April, 15,000; May, 18,000; and June, 24,000. The company has 6000 units in beginning inventory. Calculate the average monthly net demand for the company.
• Solution: Summing the monthly demands, the company needs a total of 90,000 units during the next six months. Since Wavetop, Inc. already has 6000 units in inventory, net demand is 84,000 units. The company has six months to satisfy demand, so it must build 14,000 units monthly (84,000 units divided by 6 months = 14,000 units needed per month).
By calculating the amount of production needed each month, the company can plan the appropriately sized workforce. If each employee can build 25 units per normal workday and the company operates 20 days per month, then each employee builds 500 units per month. To calculate the number of employees needed, divide the number of units needed per month by the monthly output per employee (14,000 units divided by 500 units per employee = 28 employees needed).
Chase Aggregate Plan A chase aggregate plan produces exactly what is needed to satisfy demand during each period. The production rate changes in response to demand fluctuations. Whereas the level aggregate plan sets capacity to accommodate average demand, the chase aggregate plan sets labor and equipment capacity to satisfy demand each period.
Chase aggregate plan A planning approach that varies production to meet demand each period.
EXAMPLE 13.1 Calculating the Number of Employees
Wavetop, Inc. currently has 10 employees, each producing 5 complete units per day, for a total of 50 units every workday. Calculate the number of employees needed in the company’s level aggregate plan if the company has an average weekly demand of 500 units and plans on satis- fying all of its demand.
• Solution: If average weekly demand is 500 units and employees work fi ve days per week, we need to produce 100 units per day. Thus, the workforce should be 20 employees (100 units needed each day divided by 5 units completed per employee per day). If we use this method, in- ventory accumulates when demand is below average and depletes when demand exceeds the average level. If we do not have enough inventory on hand to satisfy demand, then back orders result.
492 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
The advantage of the chase plan is that it minimizes finished goods holding costs. This may be a better option when a company produces make-to-order products such as cus- tom cabinets, special-purpose equipment, one-of-a-kind items, or highly perishable prod- ucts. The disadvantages are constantly changing capacity needs and the need for enough equipment to meet peak demand. The additional equipment needed to meet peak demand creates excess capacity in nonpeak demand periods. Many options for short-term capacity changes are expensive. Example 13.3 shows how the workforce size fluctuates for Wavetop when a chase plan is used.
Hybrid Aggregate Plan A hybrid aggregate plan typically uses a combination of options. With this plan, your company might maintain a stable workforce supplemented by an inventory buildup and some overtime production to meet demand. Or the company may back-order a portion of its demand. Any combination of options is possible. Because of the number of options you can combine in a hybrid plan, you need to evaluate your company’s current situation and limit the options you choose from.
Next, let’s look at developing the aggregate plan.
EXAMPLE 13.3 Chase Aggregate Plan at Wavetop, Inc.
Let’s look at what would happen if Wavetop, Inc. decides to adjust its capacity by hiring and fi r- ing employees each month. We calculate the number of employees needed during each period based on the net demand.
• Solution: For example, January demand is 12,000 units, but since we have 6000 units in inventory, the net demand is only 6000 units. Each employee builds 500 units per month, so Wavetop, Inc. needs 12 employees (6000 units divided by 500 units per employee per month) in January. The company needs 18 employees in February, 24 employees in March, 30 employees in April, 36 employees in May, and 48 employees in June. How does this affect the space needed, the number of workstations, the sets of tools, and so forth?
When Wavetop, Inc. used a level aggregate plan, it needed space and equipment to ac- commodate 28 employees. With the chase aggregate plan, however, the company needs space and equipment for 48 people.
Developing the Aggregate Plan When developing an aggregate plan, there are five steps to complete. First, you must decide on the type of aggregate plan. Second, calculate the aggregate production rate. Third, calcu- late the size of the workforce. Fourth, test the plan. Fifth, evaluate the plan’s performance. Let’s look at each step in more detail.
STEP 1: Identify the aggregate plan that matches your company’s objectives: level, chase, or hybrid.
· When choosing the type of aggregate plan to be used, consider your objectives. If maintaining a stable workforce is important, you might choose to use a level plan. If outstanding customer service is your objective, a chase plan might be best. Most likely, your company will choose a hybrid plan that allows multiple objectives to be met.
Hybrid aggregate plan A planning approach that uses a combination of level and chase approaches while developing the aggregate plan.
Developing the Aggregate Plan • 493
STEP 2: Based on the aggregate plan, determine the aggregate production rate.
· If you use the level plan with inventories and back orders, the aggregate production rate is set equal to average demand. In addition, if you allow no back orders, the size of the workforce is changed initially so that all demand is met on time.
· If you use the chase aggregate plan, calculate how much output capacity you need each period. Calculate how many units will be produced on regular time and overtime and how many units will be subcontracted.
STEP 3: Calculate the size of the workforce.
· If you use the level aggregate plan, calculate how many workers you need to achieve the average production rate needed.
· If you change capacity each period with hires and fi res, calculate how many workers you need each period and make the necessary changes in the workforce.
· If you change capacity through a variety of options, calculate how much of a particular option you need each period.
STEP 4: Test the aggregate plan.
· Using the production rate and initial workforce size, calculate your inventory levels (excesses and shortages), any shortages you face, expected number of employees hired and fi red, and when you will need overtime.
· Calculate the total costs for your plan.
STEP 5: Evaluate the plan’s performance in terms of cost, customer service, human resources, and operations.
After you develop a plan, it is critical to evaluate it in terms of cost, customer service, operations, and human resources. Cost comparisons are simple if you are comparing sim- ilar ending positions—that is, plans with the same ending inventory level or producing the same number of units.
The comparisons are less clear when plans produce different quantities and leave different ending inventories. In this case, you can use a per unit cost comparison. To do this for customer service, measure how many back orders were placed during each period and throughout the duration of the plan. Decide whether this is an acceptable level of customer service to satisfy mar- keting’s objectives. Assess the plan first in terms of operations, then in terms of human resources. Are the workers putting in excessive overtime one month and doing little the next? How does this plan affect the workforce? Does it lower morale or does it provide stability for the workers?
When you evaluate the plan from several perspectives, you can decide how it can best satisfy your company’s objectives. Table 13.2 shows you how to do this. Table 13.3 summa- rizes the steps to develop an aggregate plan.
TABLE 13.2 Evaluation Perspectives and Measurements
Perspective Measurements
Cost Total cost Unit cost Inventory levels
Customer service level Number of back orders
Operations Stability of schedule Equipment utilization Labor use
Human resources Effect on workforce Employment stability
494 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
Aggregate Plans for Companies with Tangible Products When developing an aggregate plan for an organization, you need cost data, capacity data, and demand data. We will use the data shown in Table 13.4 to develop our plans. Let’s begin with a level aggregate plan using inventories and back orders.
Review the fi ve steps to develop an aggregate plan:
Now let’s develop some aggregate plans for companies with tangible products.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
TABLE 13.3 Steps to Develop an Aggregate Plan
Step 1: Identify the type of aggregate plan: level, chase, or hybrid.
Step 2: Calculate the aggregate production rate.
Step 3: Calculate the size of the workforce.
Step 4: Test the plan and calculate costs.
Step 5: Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer service, operations, and human resources.
4 5 6 7 8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
A B Cost Data
Regular-time labor cost per hour $15.00 Overtime labor cost per hour $22.00
Hiring cost per employee $500.00 Firing cost per employee $750.00
Inventory holding cost per unit per period $5.00 Shortage cost per unit per period $7.50
Material cost per unit $30.00
Capacity Data Beginning workforce (employees) 18
Beginning inventory (units) 2500 Production standard per unit (hours) 0.64
Regular-time available per period (hours) 160 Overtime available per period (hours) 20
Demand Data (units) Nov 3000 Dec 6000 Jan 2000 Feb 8500 Mar 4000 Apr 5500
May 1500
Total Number of Periods 7
TABLE 13.4 Data for Sophisticated Skates
Developing the Aggregate Plan • 495
EXAMPLE 13.4 Plan A: Level Aggregate Plan Using Inventories and Back Orders
Sophisticated Skates produces a variety of inline roller skates. Management wants you to develop an aggregate plan that covers the next seven months. Develop an aggregate plan using a level production strategy (stable workforce throughout the plan, inventories, and back orders).
• Before You Begin: Be sure that you understand the data provided in Table 13.4. The labor costs are given as the hourly wage cost of one employee. If you are working regular time, you are paid $15.00 per hour. For overtime, you receive $22.00 per hour. Employees are hired or fi red at the beginning of the plan. For level plans you can adjust your workforce at the beginning of the plan, and then it remains constant throughout the plan. The hiring and fi ring costs are per person. The inventory holding cost is assessed to the ending inventory for each period. In this case, there is a $5 holding cost per unit per period. The shortage or back-order cost is given as $7.50 per unit per period. The material cost used to build each unit is $30.00. In terms of capacity, the company currently has 18 employees. There is a beginning inventory of 2500 units. Every unit produced takes 0.64 labor hour, and each period of the plan has 160 regular-time hours available for production from each employee. Each employee can work up to 20 hours of overtime each period. The demand data, given in units, indicate total demand for the plan of 30,500 units. We are concerned with the net cumulative demand, so we subtract the beginning inventory of 2500 units, leaving us with a net cumulative demand of 28,000 units.
Since the type of aggregate plan has been identifi ed (level), you need to understand how that affects your options. A level plan has the same output every period, whether you defi ne your period as a month, quarter, week, or day. You must fi rst determine what the aggregate production rate must be for each period. Then you will check to see how many employees are required to produce that number of units each period. At this point you are ready to try out your plan. Then you show what happens each period. Next you calculate the costs of your plan. And fi nally, you evaluate your plan in terms of customer service, costs, operations, and human resources.
• Solution: STEP 1: Identify the type of aggregate plan. This is given as a level production strategy, using a constant workforce, inventories, and back orders to satisfy demand.
STEP 2: Calculate the aggregate production rate. You calculate the aggregate production rate by dividing the net cumulative demand by the number of periods in the plan. Net cumu- lative demand is the total demand for the plan less any beginning inventory. In this case, the aggregate production rate is 4000 units (28,000 units demanded divided by 7 periods).
STEP 3: Calculate the workforce. The workforce is the aggregate production rate (4000 units) divided by the number of units per employee per period produced on regular time. Each employee works 160 regular-time hours per period; each unit requires 0.64 hour of labor time. Therefore, each employee produces 250 units per period on regular time. You need 16 em- ployees (4000 units divided by 250 units per employee). Since the current workforce has 18 employees, you need to fi re 2 employees.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan. The completed plan is shown in a spreadsheet in Table 13.5. Note that demand for November has been reduced from 3000 units to 500 units. This is be- cause the beginning inventory is netted out in the fi rst period of the plan. In the spreadsheet, notice the “Cum. Dem. Minus Cum. Prod.” row. This is shown merely to illustrate whether or not there is excess inventory or whether there is a shortage (back order). For example, in November, net demand was 500 units and the company produced 4000 units, leaving −3500 units in cell F24. A negative number here means that you have produced more than is cur- rently demanded, or you have excess inventory (as shown in cell F25). If the number in row 24 is positive (cell I24), it means that you do not have enough inventory to meet demand and you must back-order units.
The bottom section of the spreadsheet calculates the costs of your plan. In this case, the regular-time labor cost is regular-time hourly rate times number of regular hours per period times number of periods in plan times number of employees ($15.00 × 160 hours × 7 peri- ods × 16 employees). Alternatively, since all of the regular-time hours were used productively, you could multiply the number of units built (28,000) times the cost to build 1 unit ($15.00 × 0.64 hour required to build 1 unit), or 28,000 × $15.00 × 0.64 hour. The total material cost is
496 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
calculated by multiplying the 28,000 units built by the material cost per unit. Inventory cost is calculated by multiplying the ending inventory in units for each period by the period holding cost. The same is true for any back orders.
STEP 5: Evaluate the plan in terms of customer service, costs, operations, and human resources. We won’t compare costs yet since this is the only plan. We can look at customer service, noting that we experience back orders in February, March, and April. The fi ll rate (the number of customers satisfi ed out of the total demand) for this plan is 83.9 percent (23,500 units satisfi ed when demanded divided by a total demand of 28,000 units). This is likely too low a fi ll rate. Other than that, the inventory levels seem to be okay, assuming there is room to store up to 3500 units. From a human resources perspective, we fi red two employees initially, but the number remained stable for the rest of the plan.
3 4
1 2
5 6 7 8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34
36 35
E F G H I J K L M
Solution for Level Aggregate Plan Using Inventories and Back Orders
Compute Level Production Rate Total Demand 30500
Less: Beginning Inventory 2500 Total Net Demand 28000
Average Demand per Period 4000
Compute Workforce Needed Units per Worker per Period 250
Workers Needed 16 Number to Hire 0 Number to Fire 2
Detailed Plan Computations Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May
Demand (units) net of beginning inventory 500 Cumulative demand (units) 500
Production per period (units) 4000 28000 Cumulative production (units) 4000
Cum. Dem. Minus Cum. Prod. (units) -3500 Ending inventory (units) 3500 8500
Back orders (units) 0
6000 6500 4000 8000
-1500 1500
0
2000 8500 4000
12000 -3500 3500
0
8500 17000 4000
16000 1000
0 1000
4000 21000 4000
20000 1000
0 1000
5500 26500 4000
24000 2500
0 2500
1500 28000 4000
28000 0 0 0 4500
Cost Calculations for Plan Regular-time labor cost $268,800
Materials cost $840,000 Inventory holding cost $42,500
Back-order cost $33,750 Hiring cost $0 Firing cost $1,500 Total cost $1,186,550
Period
TABLE 13.5
A chase strategy is illustrated in Example 13.5.
EXAMPLE 13.5 Plan B: Chase Aggregate Plan Using Hiring and Firing
Using the same problem data as Example 13.4, develop a chase aggregate plan using hires and fi res, but no overtime production.
• Before You Begin: Since we are using a chase strategy that only allows hiring and fi ring, we need to determine how many employees are needed to satisfy the net demand for each period. We can do that by dividing net period demand by the number of units one employee can make per period on regular time. Once we determine the number of employees needed, we either hire or fi re based on our requirements.
Developing the Aggregate Plan • 497
Additional aggregate plans for companies with tangible products can be found in the Solved Problems at the end of the chapter. These plans provide a chance to consider addi- tional aggregate planning alternatives.
Aggregate Plans for Companies with Nontangible Products In the previous examples, your company used inventory buildup as a way of leveling the aggre- gate plan. When your company’s product is nontangible—for example, if your company offers a service as do banks, healthcare providers, and hair stylists—inventory is no longer a viable option. We use the problem data shown in Table 13.7 to develop a level aggregate plan.
• Solution: STEP 1: Identify the type of aggregate plan. This is given as a chase aggregate plan. Remem- ber that a chase plan has no ending inventory for any period. This problem limits you to hiring and fi ring employees as a means of adjusting your production output.
STEP 2: Calculate the aggregate production rate. In a chase plan, the aggregate production rate is equal to each period’s net requirements. Remember that a pure chase plan allows no ending inventory. However, in this example there is some beginning inventory that must be netted out. After netting out the initial inventory, no other period will have a beginning inventory. The production rate for each period is shown in Table 13.6.
STEP 3: Calculate the workforce needed each period. The number of workers needed equals the period production rate divided by the number of units produced per employee per period. Confi rm the calculations shown in Table 13.6.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan. The completed plan and costs are shown in Table 13.6. STEP 5: Evaluate the plan. On the basis of cost, this plan is slightly less expensive than the level plan. However, you should be concerned about whether you have captured all the costs associated with the chase plan. For example, in the chase plan, the number of employees required per period ranges from 2 in November up to 34 in February, which means you need space and equipment for 34 employees. However, space and equipment are underutilized in every other month of the plan. Even in December, the next busiest period, you need only roughly 70.6 percent of capacity (24/34). In other months, utilization is even lower. Chase plans with extreme ranges of output often waste capacity. The impact of this chase plan on morale would be signifi cant. Employees would never be certain of their job. And this plan could not be used if the employees needed any signifi cant level of skills.
38 39
37
40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56
E F G H I J K L M
Solution for Chase Aggregate Plan Using Hiring and Firing (no overtime)
Beginning number of employees 18 Units per Worker per Period 250
Detailed Plan Computations Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May
Demand (units) net of beginning inventory 500 500Production per period (units)
2 28000
Employees needed in period 0
16
6000 6000
24 22 0
2000 2000
8 0
16
8500 8500
34 26 0
4000 4000
16 0
18
5500 5500
22 6 0
1500 1500
6 112 0
16 Number to hire Number to fire
54 66
Cost Calculations for Plan Regular-time labor cost $268,800
Materials cost $840,000 $27,000Hiring cost
Firing cost $49,500 Total Cost $1,185,300
Period
TABLE 13.6
498 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
4 5 6 7 8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
A B Cost Data
Regular-time labor cost per hour $8.00 Overtime labor cost per hour $12.00
Subcontracting cost per unit (labor only) $60.00 Hiring cost per employee $250.00 Firing cost per employee $150.00
Capacity Data Beginning workforce (employees) 60
Service standard per call (hours) 4 Regular-time available per period (hours) 160
Overtime available per period (hours) 24
Demand Data (calls) Period 1 2400 Period 2 1560 Period 3 1200 Period 4 2040 Period 5 2760 Period 6 1680 Period 7 1320 Period 8 2400
Total Number of Periods 8
TABLE 13.7 Data for Plans C, D, and E
EXAMPLE 13.6 Plan C: Level Aggregate Plan with No Back Orders, No Tangible Product
With this plan, your company maintains a level workforce with no back orders. Any demand not satisfi ed is lost to a competing service provider, so the company must meet all demand.
• Before You Begin: Remember that level aggregate plans use inventories and back orders to handle demand fl uctuations. In this problem, you do not have a tangible product, so you cannot use inventories. The problem also stipulates that no back orders are allowed to occur. You need to determine the workforce size needed to satisfy demand during the peak period. Since this is a level plan, you must maintain this size workforce throughout the entire plan. Level aggregate plans for companies without a tangible product that require 100 percent customer service will always set the staff level to meet peak demand.
• Solution: STEP 1: Choose the kind of aggregate plan. In this example, we use a level plan. STEP 2: Calculate the production rate. Since the company is not going to back-order, you staff to accommodate peak de- mand. The aggregate production rate is set equal to the highest demand in any period during the plan. Period 5 has 2760 service calls, which means 11,040 hours of regular-time labor must be available.
STEP 3: Calculate the size of the workforce. You need 69 employees (11,040 hours divided by 160 hours per employee per period). Each period, you have 11,040 hours of regular-time labor available.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan. Table 13.8 shows Plan C using 69 employees and meeting demand each period. As you can see, this plan creates excess labor: only period 5 uses the total workforce. Period 3 uses a little over 43 percent of capa- city (4800/11,040). Over the life of the plan, your company uses just under 70 percent of its available regular-time workforce (61,440/88,320). Table 13.8 shows the costs of the plan. An additional calculation not shown in the table is the cost per service call, which is $46.15 ($708,810 divided by 15,360 service calls).
STEP 5: Evaluate the plan. We have no other plans for nontangible products for comparison yet, but it is likely that underuse of the regular-time workforce will make Plan C cost-prohibitive. It is also likely that the high undertime will lower employee morale. From an operational perspective, it might be bet- ter to keep the present workforce and supplement with overtime. When we use overtime, we reduce undertime. In fact, when we use the maximum amount of overtime permitted, we minimize undertime.
HRM
Developing the Aggregate Plan • 499
Let’s look at a plan that uses some overtime.
3 4 5 6 7 8 9
10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
D E F G H I J K L M N O P Plan C: Level Aggregate Plan with No Back Orders, No Tangible Product
Compute Workforce Needed Key Formulas (some are copied) Maximum Demand 2760 <-- Need to staff to meet the maximum number of calls $E$6 =MAX($B$18:$B$25)
Calls per Worker per Period 40 $E$7 =$B$14/$B$13 Workers Needed 69 $E$8 =E6/E7
Number to Hire 9 $E$9 =MAX(E8-$B$12,0) Number to Fire 0 $E$10 =MAX(B12-$E$8,0)
Detailed Plan Computations 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total
Demand (calls) 2400 1560 1200 2040 2760 1680 1320 2400 15360 $E$14 =TRANSPOSE($B$18:$B$25) Service hours needed 9600 6240 4800 8160 11040 6720 5280 9600 61440 $E$15 =E14*$B$13
Regular-time hours available 11040 11040 11040 11040 11040 11040 11040 11040 $E$16 =$E$8*$B$14 Undertime hours 1440 4800 6240 2880 0 4320 5760 1440 26880 $E$17 =E16-E15
Cost Calculations for Plan C Regular-time labor cost $706,560 $E$20 =E8*$B$14*$B$5*$B$27
Hiring cost $2,250 $E$21 =E9*$B$8 Firing cost $0 $E$22 =E10*$B$9 Total Cost $708,810 $E$23 =SUM(E20:E22)
Period
TABLE 13.8
EXAMPLE 13.7 Plan D: Hybrid Aggregate Plan Using Initial Workforce and Overtime as Needed
Now we will develop a hybrid aggregate plan using a workforce of 60 employees working 160 regular-time hours per period. We use overtime when regular-time capacity is inadequate.
• Before You Begin: We have a workforce of 60 employees who provide 9600 regular-time hours each period. Calculate when overtime is needed and how much overtime should be authorized. Any period that requires less than 9600 hours to satisfy demand will not need overtime. In this case, the only time you need any overtime hours is in period 5. The amount of overtime is the difference between the total time needed less the regular time available. When such a plan is used, you might expect to see considerable amounts of undertime.
• Solution: STEP 1: Choose the kind of aggregate plan. We use a hybrid plan. STEP 2: Calculate the production rate. In this plan, our regular-time aggregate production rate is the same as for Plan C be- cause we are keeping the initial workforce of 60 employees. Thus we have 9600 regular-time hours available each period (60 employees × 160 hours per employee per period). The overtime needed in a period depends on the number of service calls expected. For each period, we calculate the number of hours needed to satisfy the service calls. For example, in period 4, we need 8160 hours to meet demand (2040 calls × 4 hours per call). STEP 3: Calculate the size of the workforce. We know that the workforce is 60 employees working 160 hours of regular time each period.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan. Table 13.9 shows the completed plan. We need overtime only in period 5; the initial workforce has more than enough capacity during the other periods. We calculate the overtime by subtracting the available regular-time hours (9600 hours) from the service hours needed in period 5 (11,040), which yields 1440 hours of overtime. Table 13.9 shows the total costs of regular-time labor and overtime labor.
STEP 5: Evaluate the plan. This plan reduces regular-time capacity from 88,320 hours in Plan C to 76,800 hours. Thus we increase regular-time labor use to 80 percent (61,440/76,800). In addition, the cost per call drops to $41.15. This is a major improvement over Plan C in terms of cost and customer service. However, it is still problematic in terms of the amount of undertime.
ACC
500 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
EXAMPLE 13.8 Plan E: Chase Aggregate Plan Using Hiring and Firing
With this plan, your company reduces its undertime costs using hiring and fi ring.
• Before You Begin: This is a pure chase aggregate plan. Calculate exactly how many workers you need to satisfy demand each period. Once you have calculated the number of employees needed, either hire or fi re as required.
• Solution: STEP 1: Choose the kind of aggregate plan. In this example, we use a chase plan. STEP 2: Calculate the production rate. We calculate the production rate based on the number of service calls each period, multiplied by the productivity rate of four hours per service call. Table 13.10 shows the production hours needed for each period.
STEP 3: Calculate the number of employees needed for each period. To do this, we multiply the number of service calls for each period by the time per service call (for example, in period 2, 1560 calls × 4 hours each call = 6240 hours needed). Divide the number of hours needed by the number of hours per employee per period (160 hours per employee) and determine that 39 employees are needed in period 2. Table 13.10 shows the appropriate workforce for each period.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan. Table 13.10 shows the completed plan. We calculate the number of hires or fi res by comparing the number of employees needed in the current period with the number of employees used in the previous period. For ex- ample, in period 1, we used 60 employees, and in period 2 we need 39 employees. Thus we need to fi re 21 employees at the start of period 2. In period 3, we need only 30 employees, so we must fi re an additional 9 employees.
42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58
D E F G H I J K L M N O P Plan E: Chase Aggregate Plan Using Hiring and Firing
Beginning Number of Employees 60
Detailed Plan Computations 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total
Demand (calls) 2400 1560 1200 2040 2760 1680 1320 2400 15360 $F$48 =TRANSPOSE($B$18:$B$25) Service hours needed 9600 6240 4800 8160 11040 6720 5280 9600 61440 $F$49 =F48*$B$13
Number of employees needed 60 39 30 51 69 42 33 60 384 $F$50 =F49/$B$14 Number of hires 0 0 0 21 18 0 0 27 66 $F$51 =MAX(F50-E50,0) Number of fires 0 21 9 0 0 27 9 0 66 $F$52 =MAX(E50-F50,0)
Cost Calculations for Plan E Regular-time labor cost $491,520
Hiring cost $16,500 Firing cost $9,900 Total Cost $517,920
Period
TABLE 13.10
Next, let’s see what happens when we develop a plan that eliminates undertime.
26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
D E F G H I J K L M N O P Plan D: Hybrid Aggregate Plan Using Initial Workforce and Overtime as Needed
Detailed Plan Computations 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total
Demand (calls) 2400 1560 1200 2040 2760 1680 1320 2400 15360 $E$30 =TRANSPOSE($B$18:$B$25) Service hours needed 9600 6240 4800 8160 11040 6720 5280 9600 61440 $E$31 =E30*$B$13
Regular-time hours of capacity 9600 9600 9600 9600 9600 9600 9600 9600 76800 $E$32 =$B$12*$B$14 Overtime hours needed 0 0 0 0 1440 0 0 0 1440 $E$33 =MAX(E31-E32,0)
Undertime hours 0 3360 4800 1440 0 2880 4320 0 16800 $E$34 =MAX(E32-E31,0)
Cost Calculations for Plan D Regular-time labor cost $614,400 $E$37 =$B$12*$B$14*$B$5*$B$27
Overtime labor cost $17,280 $E$38 =M33*B6 Total Cost $631,680 $E$39 =SUM(E37:E38)
Period
TABLE 13.9
Developing the Aggregate Plan • 501
As you can see, when examining aggregate plans for services, the labor cost is often very critical. Different methods of controlling the cost of labor for service firms include (1) accurately scheduling labor-hours to ensure quick response to customer demand (using prearranged appointments); (2) having an on-call labor pool that can be added or deleted to meet unexpected demand; (3) having multiskilled workers who can be reas- signed in response to unexpected demand; and (4) having flexible work hours to meet changing demand.
Think about services that use these different methods. Emergency response organiza- tions often have the right to call in off-duty workers in the case of a major emergency. When business is slow at a restaurant, bar, or retail store, companies often send workers home early. In cases when workers must stay, additional work is done during customer lags. In supermarkets, we often see a rush of personnel to the front of the store when a rush of business occurs. These are multiskilled workers being temporarily reallocated to meet the customer demand. Since it is clear that service organizations must manage labor costs well, another approach to consider is manipulating demand to reduce the high demand vari- ability often encountered in service organizations. One such approach is the use of yield management.
Yield management is the process of allocating scarce resources to customers at prices that maximize the yield to the company. Although we normally assume that companies charge all customers the same price for a product or service, sometimes that is not the case. Think of the airlines as one such organization. All passengers reach the destination together, but the ticket prices for the flight vary considerably. The underlying concept of yield management is to match demand to supply by charging based on a customer’s will- ingness to pay. Management identifies possible differences in the service and prices them accordingly. In the airlines, this includes nonstop service, convenient schedules, type of air- craft, and routing choices.
Yield management dates back to the 1980s when American Airlines’ reservations system allowed the airline to alter ticket prices in real time. When expensive seats were not in demand, more discounted seats would be offered. If demand for full-fare seats was high, then the number of reduced-fare seats was lowered. Similar logic applies readily to hotel rooms, rental cars, and cruise line cabins. When there is a perishable resource, such as a seat in an airplane, it yields no revenue if it is empty when the plane takes off. It is better to fill the seat at a reduced rate (as long as it covers the vari- able cost) rather than let it go empty. The major providers of hotel rooms, car rentals, airline transportation, and cruise lines use yield management in an effort to fully utilize their perishable services.
Yield management Allocates scarce resources to maximize yield.
In this plan, your company experiences fl uctuations in the workforce with a low of 30 employees and a high of 69. The minimum change in workforce for any given period is 9 workers, which represents a substantial portion of the workforce. We can easily calculate the regular-time wage costs and the cost of hiring and fi ring, but we cannot capture the intangible cost for such a widely fl uctuating workforce. Table 13.10 evaluates the plan costs.
STEP 5: Evaluate the plan. At $33.72, the cost per call is a good deal lower and regular-time labor utilization is 100 percent. Still, this plan has potential problems. Since employees inter- face with the customer, it is important to maintain performance level. Your company will have to train and retrain the changing workforce. This plan also needs an investment in enough space and equipment for up to 69 employees. In periods of less than high demand, this extra capacity will be severely underused.
When we compare Plans C, D, and E, it is obvious that we have not yet found the best solution. Try working with the problem data further: maybe a smaller permanent workforce and additional overtime would be a better alternative.
HRMACCMKT
502 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
Aggregate Planning Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Aggregate planning determines the resources available to operations to support the overall business plan. It is critical that accurate demand forecasts be available (Chapter 8) so that a reasonable production plan can be developed. A company needs to determine the aggregate production rate output required to determine the appropriate size of the workforce. After these determinations have been made, the company can calculate its inventory levels, back- order levels, capacity requirements, and customer service levels. If the plan requires seven- day-a-week operations, appropriate staff schedules need to be developed (Chapter 15).
The aggregate plan specifies the number of employees needed. This allows the company to determine how much equipment and workspace are needed, as well as to provide the input needed for developing a workplace layout (Chapter 9) within the operations area. Aggregate planning provides the resources needed by operations to achieve the company’s strategic objective.
Aggregate Planning Across the Organization
Aggregate planning, master production scheduling, and rough-cut capacity affect functional areas throughout an organization. The master production schedule is a basis for communi- cation among those functional areas. Let’s look at how each area is affected.
Accounting is affected because the aggregate plan details the resources needed by operations during the next 12 to 18 months. Accounting uses this information to project cash flows, calculate the capital needed to support operations, and project earnings. It also sets a benchmark for measuring the effectiveness of operations.
Marketing is involved because the aggregate plan supports the marketing plan. Mar- keting must know whether operations can provide the necessary output at a price that allows marketing to achieve its targeted profit margins. Furthermore, the aggregate plan gives marketing insight into operations’ goals and activities for the year.
Information systems (IS) maintains the databases that support demand forecasts and other such information used to develop the aggregate plan.
Purchasing calculates long-term needs based on the aggregate plan. The aggregate plan gives purchasing information about the future that facilitates long-term relationships and con- tracts with suppliers. This information also allows purchasing to evaluate quantity discounts.
Manufacturing learns from the aggregate plan what resources are available to achieve its goals: how many workers, how much work can be subcontracted, how much inventory can be held, and so forth.
In most companies, the operations manager develops the aggregate plan. The operations manager submits an annual operations budget request based on the resources identified in the aggregate plan, which justifies new hiring or expected firing during the year and planned or budgeted levels of overtime, subcontracting, and inventory.
When the plan is implemented, the operations manager measures operations’ perfor- mance against the plan, checking progress at least monthly. The operations manager also evaluates performance against the authorized operations budget. Variances need to be explained at all levels and the plan updated. At that point, the past month is dropped from the aggregate plan and replaced by an additional month at the end of the aggregate plan. The monthly review and update allow the company to monitor its performance, maintain its medium-term plan, and correct for changes since the plan was developed.
ACC
MKT
MIS
Chapter Highlights • 503
Aggregate planning ensures the necessary resources to satisfy an organization’s objectives (profi t, customer ser- vice, inventory investment, etc.). It determines both the output rate and the workforce size. These resources are based on product demand and refl ect the customer service objectives of the company. The master production schedule is shared with all members of the supply chain so that everyone knows ex- pected completion dates and availability of different products.
Members of the chain also know when demand differs from the plan as well as any problems encountered by operations that affect the availability quantity or date for different products. This allows members of the chain to respond to po- tential problems and not make unsustainable delivery commit- ments. The master production schedule is the primary means of communication within the supply chain. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
Until recently buyers of goods were content as long as well-priced goods arrived on time, in the specifi ed order quantities, and intact. The aggregate plan drove these com- mitments. How the goods actually got to the buyer was of little concern. Today, however, with the pressure of high fuel costs and consumers and regulators demanding eco-friendly prac- tices, companies are under great pressure to ensure that the delivery of inventories of goods they have ordered abide by best practices. One strategy companies are exploring is to minimize total material movement to and from the facility through delivery consolidation and accepting the carrying of larger inventory quantities. Some companies are even chan- ging order cycles and delivery commitments with customers to improve transportation effi ciency.
Sustainable practices may require modifying traditional ordering policies to consolidate orders to reduce transporta- tion emissions and a company’s carbon footprint. It may require modifying traditional order computations to ensure that a moving truck is always full—rather than partially full— and that orders are coordinated so that a truck is never return- ing empty. This may also require modifying orders to minimize waste of packaging and consolidating orders to satisfy require- ments that minimize waste of packaged material. It is these small changes in inventory management that can play a signi- fi cant difference in ensuring sustainability practices. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Chapter Highlights 1 Business planning begins with the development of the
strategic business plan. This plan provides your com- pany’s direction and objectives for the next two to ten years. Sales and operations planning integrates the plans from the different functional areas that support the strategic business plan. The marketing plan identi- fies what must be sold, the profit margin needed, and the timing of the product demand. The production plan identifies the resources required to accomplish the marketing plan. The financial plan identifies cap- ital needed to achieve the production plan. The engi- neering plan must identify the process capabilities needed and determine whether additional equipment is required. Engineering also determines whether the required process is currently available. Sales and oper- ations planning regularly evaluates the company’s performance. Actual sales are compared to planned demand. Forecasts are updated and the market is
reevaluated. Any changes in the marketing plan are reviewed by the other functional areas to ensure the changes are feasible.
2 Demand-based planning options respond to demand fluctuations by using inventory or back orders, or by shifting the demand pattern. Demands patterns can be smoothed through price incentives, reduced prices for out-of-season purchases, or nonprime service times. Capacity-based planning options allow a company to change its current operating capacity. These options include overtime, undertime, subcontracting, and hir- ing and firing employees.
3 There are three aggregate planning strategies: level strategy, chase strategy, and hybrid strategy. A level aggregate plan maintains the same size workforce and produces the same output each period. Inventories and back orders absorb fluctuations. The chase strat- egy changes capacity each period to match demand.
504 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
The hybrid strategy allows a company to combine both demand-based and capacity-based planning options when formulating the aggregate plan.
4 The key difference in aggregate planning for compa- nies that have intangible products is that inventory
is no longer a planning option. In most service orga- nizations, it is critical to control labor costs. Hotels, airlines, car rentals, and cruise lines use yield manage- ment techniques to match demand to supply.
Key Terms
strategic business plan 484
sales and operations planning 484
marketing plan 484
aggregate plan 484
fi nancial plan 485
engineering plan 485
master production schedule 485
demand-based options 486
capacity-based options 487
fi nished goods inventory 487
back orders 487
shifting demand 487
overtime 488
undertime 488
subcontracting 488
hiring and fi ring 488
point of departure 489
magnitude of the change 489
duration of the change 489
level aggregate plan 490
chase aggregate plan 491
hybrid aggregate plan 492
yield management 501
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.)
Use the problem data in Table 13.11 for Solved Prob- lems 1–4.
PROBLEM 1: Plan 1: Level Aggregate Plan Using Inventories and Back Orders
Develop a level aggregate plan using inventories and back orders. Test and evaluate the plan.
Before You Begin: Remember that a level strategy can use inventories and back orders to satisfy fl uctuations in demand. You need to determine the aggregate pro- duction rate needed and then the size of the workforce needed to produce that rate. Follow the steps below.
Solution: STEP 1: Choose the kind of aggregate plan. In this case we use a level aggregate plan.
STEP 2: Calculate the aggregate production rate. We use the level option to calculate the average period demand rate. First, we add up the period demands and divide by the number of periods (14,400 units/8 = 1800 units per period); then we fi nd the average production rate needed. If we have a beginning inventory, we subtract it from the total demand fi gure. If we have a desired end- ing inventory, we add that to the total demand fi gure. Otherwise, the 1800 units we calculated earlier is our average demand and subsequently our aggregate pro- duction rate.
STEP 3: Calculate the number of workers to produce 1800 units per period. Since each employee works 160 hours per period and each unit takes 8 hours of labor
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A B Cost Data
Regular-time labor cost per hour $12.50 Overtime labor cost per hour $18.75
Subcontracting cost per unit (labor only) $125.00 Back-order cost per unit per period $25.00
Inventory holding cost per unit per period $10.00 Hiring cost per employee $800.00 Firing cost per employee $500.00
Capacity Data Beginning workforce (employees) 90
Beginning inventory (units) 0 Production standard per unit (hours) 8
Regular-time available per period (hours) 160 Overtime available per period (hours) 40
Demand Data (units) Period 1 1920 Period 2 2160 Period 3 1440 Period 4 1200 Period 5 2040 Period 6 2400 Period 7 1740 Period 8 1500
Total Number of Periods 8
TABLE 13.11 Data for Solved Problems 1–4
Solved Problems • 505
to produce, each employee can produce 20 units per period. We need 1800 units produced, so 1800 units divided by 20 units per employee means that we need a workforce of 90. Since we have 90 workers, we do not need to hire or fi re any workers.
Now let’s look at a level aggregate plan that would improve customer service with inventories but not allow back orders. All demand must be met each period.
STEP 2: Calculate the aggregate production rate. When we do not allow back orders, we do not use the aver- age demand rate to calculate the workforce, as shown in Table 13.12. A new row (row 44), labeled “cumulative demand/periods,” divides the cumulative demand to each point by the number of periods in which to pro- duce that quantity. For example, by the end of period 2, we need a total of 4080 units. Th us we plan to build 2040 units each month to satisfy all demand for the fi rst two periods with the level aggregate plan. We calculate this value for each period. Th e period with the highest needed production rate determines the aggregate pro- duction rate we use in the plan. For our plan, 2040 units is the highest production rate needed, so it becomes our planned aggregate production rate.
STEP 3: Calculate how many employees we need to produce 2040 units per period. Since each employee can produce 20 units per period during regular time,
Develop a level aggregate plan using inventories but no back orders. Test and evaluate the plan. Compare to Plan 1.
Before You Begin: In this problem, you are constrained to a level strategy and are not allowed to have any back orders. Determine a production rate that does not allow for any back orders. To do this, use the cumulative demand divided by the number of periods up to that point. An example is shown in Step 2. Do this calcula- tion for each period. Th e largest value represents the aggregate production rate needed to avoid back orders. Once the rate is determined, calculate the size of the workforce needed.
Solution: STEP 1: Choose the kind of aggregate plan. In this case we use a level plan.
PROBLEM 2: Plan 2: Level Aggregate Plan Using Inventories but No Back Orders
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D E F G H I J K L M N O P
Plan 2: Level Aggregate Plan, Using Inventories but No Back Orders
Detailed Plan Computations 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total
Demand (units) (net of beg. Inventory) 1920 2160 1440 1200 2040 2400 1740 1500 $E$42 =$B$21-$B$15 Cumulative demand (units) 1920 4080 5520 6720 8760 11160 12900 14400 $E$43 =SUM($E42:E42)
Cumulative demand/periods 1920 2040 1840 1680 1752 1860 1843 1800 $E$44 =E$43/E$41 Period production (units) 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 2040 16320 $E$45 =$E$52
Cumulative production (units) 2040 4080 6120 8160 10200 12240 14280 16320 $E$46 =SUM($E45:E45) Cum.Dem. Minus Cum.Prod. -120 0 -600 -1440 -1440 -1080 -1380 -1920 $E$47 =E43-E46
Ending Inventory (units) 120 0 600 1440 1440 1080 1380 1920 7980 $E$48 =IF(E47<0,-E47,0) Backorders (units) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $E$49 =IF(E47>0,E47,0)
Compute Level Production Rate and Workforce Needed Production Rate (units) 2040 $E$52 =MAX(E44:L44)
Units per Employee per Period 20 $E$53 =B$17/B$16 Employees Needed 102 $E$54 =E52/E53
Number to Hire 12 $E$55 =MAX(E54-B$14,0) Number to Fire 0 $E$56 =MAX(B$14-E54,0)
Cost Calculations for Plan 2 Regular-time labor cost $1,632,000 $E$59 =E54*B$17*B$5*B$30
Overtime labor cost $0 $E$60 0 Inventory holding cost $79,800 $E$61 =M48*B$9
Back-order cost $0 $E$62 =M49*B$8 Hiring cost $9,600 $E$63 =E55*B$10 Firing cost $0 $E$64 =E56*B$11 Total Cost $1,721,400 $E$65 =SUM(E59:E64)
Period
TABLE 13.12
506 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
we need 102 employees for this plan. We must hire 12 employees.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan using a production rate per period of 2040 units and a workforce of 102 employees. Table 13.12 shows the results of the plan.
Th is plan creates high inventory, especially after period 2. Th e inventory ranges from 0 to 1920 units, or from 0 weeks of supply to more than 4 weeks of supply.
We can calculate most of the costs of the plan. How- ever, we cannot capture the true holding costs because we do not know when the ending inventory of 1920 units will be consumed. We need to remember this when we com- pare our plans. Table 13.12 shows the costs for this plan.
STEP 5: Evaluate the plan. Compared with Plan 1, Plan 2 costs at least an additional $239,700 and possibly more given the ending inventory level. Th is is more than a 16 percent increase in total cost. However, we need to make sure our comparisons are fair. In Plan 1, we build 14,400 units, whereas in Plan 2, we build 16,320 units. We should expect total costs of Plan 2 to be higher since we need more labor to build the additional units. Note
that when plans require building diff erent quantities, it may be easier to use the unit cost per plan for our com- parisons. Th e unit cost for Plan 1 is $102.90 ($1,481,700 divided by 14,400 units). Th e unit cost for Plan 2 is $105.48 ($1,721,400 divided by 16,320 units). Plan 2 costs $2.58 more per unit, or roughly 2.5 percent more ($2.58 divided by $102.90).
What are we getting for this extra cost? Improved customer service. Plan 2 provides 100 percent customer service because no products are back-ordered. Now your company must decide whether 100 percent customer service is worth at least an additional 2.5 percent in cost or if another approach might be more cost-eff ective.
Remember, we have understated our holding costs. From an operations standpoint, this is a relatively easy plan to implement. We increase our workforce by 12 employees, or just over 13 percent. Our output is still level and we do not need overtime or undertime. Morale should be fi ne.
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employee per period (1920 units divided by 20 units per employee). Since we need 108 employees in period 2 and we ended period 1 with 96 employees, we must hire an additional 12 employees for period 2. We will have no ending inventories or back orders.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan. Table 13.13 shows the period-to-period testing of the plan. Note that this plan cre- ates fl uctuation in the size of the workforce, ranging from a high of 120 employees to a low of 60 employees. Th is means that the company must have enough space, tools, and equipment for up to 120 employees working simultane- ously during a given time. It also means that half that space can be idle during other periods. Th e number of changes in the size of the workforce and the magnitude of some of these changes could cause problems. Suppose we fi re a total of 48 workers during periods 3 and 4, only to hire 42 new employees in period 5. Your workforce has increased by 70 percent (42 divided by 60). Imagine the mass confu- sion and the loss of productivity at the beginning!
STEP 5: Evaluate Plan 3. Th e costs of Plan 3 are the highest of the three plans. Th e unit cost for Plan 3 is $107.56 ($1,548,900 divided by 14,400 units), an increase of more than $2 per unit from Plan 2, which also pro- vided excellent customer service.
PROBLEM 3: Plan 3: Chase Aggregate Plan Using Hiring and Firing
Develop a chase aggregate plan using hiring and fi ring. Test and evaluate the plan. Compare with Plans 1 and 2.
Before You Begin: When using a pure chase strategy with hires and fi res, calculate the number of employees needed to satisfy each period’s demand. Once you have established the number of employees needed, either hire or fi re as required.
Solution: STEP 1: Choose the kind of aggregate plan. In this exam- ple we use a chase plan.
STEP 2: Calculate the production rate. For example, in period 1, we need to build 1920 units. Since the com- pany builds exactly what is needed to satisfy each peri- od’s demand, the production rate for each period is set equal to the demand rate. Table 13.13 shows the level of output needed in each period.
STEP 3: Calculate the size of the workforce. Th e initial workforce is 90, so we hire 6 employees for period 1. Th e number of employees we need to hire or fi re depends on our ending workforce level in the previous period. We can see from Table 13.13 that we need 96 employees in period 1. We calculate this by dividing the number of units needed by the number of units produced by each
Solved Problems • 507
and the beginning inventory for that period. For exam- ple, in period 1, we need 1920 units to satisfy demand. Th e hybrid aggregate plan in Table 13.14 shows that we build 1800 units during regular-time production and produce the remaining 120 units using overtime. We do not need overtime after period 2 because we can build up enough inventory to handle demand fl uctuations. We can see that the demand fi gures for periods 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8 have changed. Th ese changes refl ect the net demand for the period after subtracting the ending inven- tory of the previous period. For example, in period 4, demand is 1200 units. However, since we have 360 units in ending inventory in period 3, we subtract those out of period 4’s demand to arrive at a net demand of 840 units.
STEP 3: Calculate the workforce size. We know that the workforce size for this plan is 90 employees.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan. We test the plan using 90 employees producing 1800 units per period during reg- ular time and using overtime for production when regu- lar-time production is not adequate to satisfy demand. Table 13.14 shows the plan.
feasibility of major changes like these. Employee morale might be low because of the lack of job security. How many employees can aff ord to take a month or two off ?
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PROBLEM 4: Plan 4: Hybrid Aggregate Plan Using Initial Workforce and Overtime as Needed
Develop a hybrid aggregate plan using the initial work- force of 90 employees supplemented with overtime when demand exceeds regular-time production. Test and evaluate the plan. Compare with Plans 1, 2, and 3.
Before You Begin: In this problem, the size of the work- force is given. You are to supplement the regular-time output of this workforce with overtime when needed. Determine when overtime is needed. Th e key to remem- ber is that in periods when the demand is lower than the production rate, inventory is generated. Th e eff ect of end- ing inventory in any period is that it reduces the amount of production needed the following period. Be sure to care- fully read Step 2 as you look at the results in Table 13.14.
Solution: STEP 1: Choose the kind of aggregate plan. In this exam- ple we use a hybrid plan.
STEP 2: Calculate the production rate. We already know the regular-time production rate of 1800 units per period because we are using the initial workforce. Th is plan increases capacity when period demand exceeds the product available through that period’s production
From a customer service standpoint, Plan 3 is fi ne because no products are back-ordered. From an oper- ations standpoint, however, this plan is not easy to implement. We need space, tools, and equipment for up to 120 individuals in period 6, whereas we will have only 60 employees in period 4. We need to consider the
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D E F G H I J K L M N O P
Plan 3: Chase Aggregate Plan, Using Hiring and Firing (no overtime)
Beginning Number of Employees 90 $E$70 =$B$14 Units per Worker per Period 20 (used to compute workforce size requirement each period) $E$71 =B17/B16
Detailed Plan Computations 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total
Demand (units) (net of beg. Inventory) 1920 2160 1440 1200 2040 2400 1740 1500 $E$75 =$B$21-$B$15 Production per period (units) 1920 2160 1440 1200 2040 2400 1740 1500 14400 $E$76 =E75 Employees needed in period 96 108 72 60 102 120 87 75 720 $E$77 =E76/$E$71
Number to hire 6 12 0 0 42 18 0 0 78 $E$78 =MAX(E77-E70,0) Number to fire 0 0 36 12 0 0 33 12 93 $E$79 =MAX(E70-E77,0)
Cost Calculations for Plan 3 Regular-time labor cost $1,440,000 $E$82 =M77*B$17*B$5
Overtime labor cost $0 $E$83 0 Inventory holding cost $0 $E$84 0
Back-order cost $0 $E$85 0 Hiring cost $62,400 $E$86 =M78*B$10 Firing cost $46,500 $E$87 =M79*B$11 Total Cost $1,548,900 $E$88 =SUM(E82:E87)
Period
TABLE 13.13
508 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
Plan 4 uses a stable workforce of 90 employees and uses overtime in periods 1 and 2. All other demand fl uctuations are handled through inventory. Total pro- duction for this plan is 14,880 units (14,400 during reg- ular time and 480 during overtime). Ending inventories range from 0 to 960 units. Table 13.14 shows the total costs for Plan 4.
STEP 5: Evaluate Plan 4. Th e per unit cost in Plan 4 is $103.51, which is only $0.61 higher than for our Plan 1 level aggregate plan using inventories and back orders. However, Plan 4 provides 100 percent cus- tomer service, and the per unit cost diff erential is only about 0.6 percent. Plan 4 achieves excellent customer
service at the lowest cost so far, which should satisfy both fi nance and marketing. In terms of operations and human resources, we are using overtime in the short term for periods 1 and 2. We do not ask workers to put in more than 20 percent over- time in period 2 (360 units on overtime in period 2, while producing 1800 units on regular time). Overtime in period 1 is limited to 7 percent of the regular-time production. Th us we are not overusing the workers, and we keep overtime to a minimum. In addition, Plan 4 should not be hard to implement from an operations standpoint.
Psychics of the World pays each of its 48 employees $4000 per month. Each psychic works 160 regular-time hours per month or 40 regular-time hours per week. Th e regular-time labor cost of a call is $20, and the overtime labor cost per call is $30. Each psychic is expected to serve 200 callers per month. Th e management has lim- ited overtime to 50 calls per month per psychic. It costs $3000 to hire a new psychic and $2000 to fi re a psychic.
PROBLEM 5
Psychics of the World, Inc. wants an aggregate plan for its organization. Given the nature of the business, Psychics has decided that back orders are not acceptable. If a caller cannot be handled immediately, the call is a lost sale.
Psychics has predicted the following number of calls: May—8000 calls, June—5000 calls, July—6000 calls, August—7000 calls, September—6000 calls, October—8000 calls, November—10,000 calls, and December—12,000 calls.
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D E F G H I J K L M Plan 4: Hybrid Aggregate Plan Using Initial Workforce and Overtime as Needed
Compute Regula r-Time Production Rate Number of Employees 90
Units per Employee per Period 20 Regular-Time Production per Period 1800
Detailed Plan Computations 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Total
Total Demand in Period 1920 2160 1440 1200 2040 2400 1740 1500 Net Demand After Inventory Considered 1920 2160 1440 840 1080 1680 1620 1320
Regular-Time Production 1800 1800 1800 1800 1800 1800 1800 1800 14400 Overtime Production Needed 120 360 0 0 0 0 0 0 480
Ending Inventory 0 0 360 960 720 120 180 480 2820
Cost Calculations for Plan 4 Regular-time labor cost $1,440,000
Overtime labor cost $72,000 Inventory holding cost $28,200
Back-order cost $0 Hiring cost $0 Firing cost $0 Total Cost $1,540,200
Period
TABLE 13.14
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Solved Problems • 509
Before You Begin: Th is requires an aggregate plan for a company without a tangible product, so inventory is not an option. Th e plan also does not allow for back orders or overtime. Th erefore, you need to staff for peak demand and maintain that workforce throughout the plan.
Solution a STEP 1: Choose the kind of aggregate plan. We are using a level plan.
STEP 2: Calculate the aggregate production rate. Since inventory and back orders are not permitted, fi nd the period with the highest demand (December has demand of 12,000 calls). Th is is the aggregate production rate.
STEP 3: Calculate the workforce size given the aggregate production rate (12,000 calls divided by 200 calls per psychic per month). Th e workforce should have 60 psy- chics, so we need to hire 12 more psychics.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan. Th e plan is shown in Table 13.16.
We calculate wasted capacity by subtracting the capacity used (calls to be serviced) from the available regular-time capacity. We calculate the costs in Step 5.
STEP 5: Evaluate the plan. We have no other plan to compare the cost with, but this plan appears to waste substantial capacity (34,000 more calls could have been handled). Total calls demanded were 62,000, whereas we had capacity for 96,000. Since management is con- cerned with wasting valuable psychic time, let’s develop a plan that minimizes the amount of wasted capacity (minimizes undertime).
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A B Cost Data
Regular-time labor cost per month $4,000.00 Regular-time labor cost per hour $25.00
Overtime labor cost per hour $37.50 Hiring cost per employee $3,000.00 Firing cost per employee $2,000.00
Capacity Data Beginning workforce (employees) 48
Service standard per call (hours) 0.8 Regular-time available per period (hours) 160
Overtime available per period (hours) 40
Demand Data (calls) May 8000
June 5000 July 6000 Aug 7000 Sept 6000 Oct 8000 Nov 10000 Dec 12000
Total Number of Periods 8
TABLE 13.15 Data for Psychics of the World
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E F G H I J K L M N O P Q
Solution a: Level Aggregate Plan, No Inventory, No Back Orders, No Overtime
Compute Workforce Needed Key Formulas (some are copied) Maximum Demand 12000 <-- Need to staff to meet the maximum number of calls $F$6 =MAX($B$18:$B$25)
Calls per Worker per Period (Reg Time) 200 $F$7 =$B$14/$B$13 Workers Needed 60 $F$8 =F6/F7
Number to Hire 12 $F$9 =MAX(F8-$B$12,0) Number to Fire 0 $F$10 =MAX(B12-$F$8,0)
Detailed Plan Computations May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Total
Demand (calls) 8000 5000 6000 7000 6000 8000 10000 12000 62000 $F$14 =TRANSPOSE($B$18:$B$25) Service hours needed 6400 4000 4800 5600 4800 6400 8000 9600 49600 $F$15 =F14*$B$13
Employees Needed 32 20 24 28 24 32 40 48 $F$16 =F15/$F$7 Regular-time hours of capacity 9600 9600 9600 9600 9600 9600 9600 9600 $F$17 =$F$8*$B$14
Wasted Capacity Hours 3200 5600 4800 4000 4800 3200 1600 0 27200 $F$18 =F17-F15
Cost Calculations for Part a Regular-time labor cost $1,920,000 $F$21 =F8*$B$14*$B$6*$B$27
Hiring cost $36,000 $F$22 =F9*$B$8 Firing cost $0 $F$23 =F10*$B$9 Total Cost $1,956,000 $F$24 =SUM(F21:F23)
Period
TABLE 13.16 Solution for Psychics, Part a
(a) Using the data in Table 13.15, develop a level aggre- gate plan without inventory, without back orders, and without overtime.
(b) Using the same problem data, develop an aggregate plan using a level workforce supplemented by over- time. Minimize the wasted capacity. No back orders are permitted.
510 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
Before You Begin: In this scenario, you want to use a level workforce supplemented by overtime. No back orders are permitted, and you are to minimize wasted capacity. To minimize wasted capacity, calculate how large a workforce is needed if each worker not only works the 160 regular-time hours per period but also works the available 40 hours of overtime. Th erefore, when calculating how many employees are needed, divide by 200 total hours per employee per period (the sum of regular time and overtime). Th is reduces the size of your workforce, thus minimizing wasted capacity.
Solution b STEP 1: Choose the kind of aggregate plan. Here, we use a level workforce.
STEP 2: Calculate the aggregate production rate. Th is is the same as for the previous plan (12,000 calls).
STEP 3: Calculate the appropriate workforce. Th is time we divide the aggregate production rate by the max- imum number of calls per psychic per period (regular time plus overtime). Each psychic can provide up to 250 calls per period. Th is reduces the workforce from 60 psychics in the previous plan to 48 psychics in this plan (12,000 calls divided by 250 calls per psychic). No hires or fi res are needed.
STEP 4: Test and cost the plan. Th e plan is shown in Table 13.17.
STEP 5: Evaluate the plan. Th is plan reduces the wasted regular-time capacity by 16,400 calls (34,000 − 17,600). Th e total cost is $336,000 less than the previous plan. Overtime is needed only in two periods, so it should not create morale problems. Th is plan is an improvement, but better plans are possible.
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E F G H I J K L M N O P Q
Solution b: Level Aggregate Plan with Overtime, No Inventory, No Back Orders
Compute Workforce Needed Key Formulas (some are copied) Maximum Demand 12000 <-- Need to staff to meet the maximum number of calls $F$41 =MAX($B$18:$B$25)
Calls per Worker per Period (Reg Time) 200 $F$42 =$B$14/$B$13 Calls per Worker per Period (Overtime) 50 $F$44 =F41/(F42+F43)
Workers Needed 48 $F$45 =MAX(F44-$B$12,0) Number to Hire 0 $F$46 =MAX(B47-$F$8,0) Number to Fire 0
Detailed Plan Computations May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Total
Demand (calls) 8000 5000 6000 7000 6000 8000 10000 12000 62000 $F$50 =TRANSPOSE($B$18:$B$25) Service hours needed 6400 4000 4800 5600 4800 6400 8000 9600 49600 $F$51 =F50*$B$13
Regular-time hours of capacity 7680 7680 7680 7680 7680 7680 7680 7680 61440 $F$52 =$F$44*$B$14 Overtime hours needed 0 0 0 0 0 0 320 1920 2240 $F$53 =MAX(F51-F52,0)
Wasted regular time capacity hours 1280 3680 2880 2080 2880 1280 0 0 14080 $F$54 =MAX(F52-F51,0)
Cost Calculations for Part b Regular time labor cost $1,536,000 $F$57 =F44*$B$14*$B$6*$B$27
Overtime labor cost $84,000 $F$58 =N53*B7 Hiring cost $0 $F$59 =F45*$B8 Firing cost $0 $F$60 =F46*$B9 Total Cost $1,620,000 $F$61 =SUM(F57:F60)
Period
TABLE 13.17 Solution for Psychics, Part b
Discussion Questions
1. Explain the importance of the strategic business plan.
2. Describe sales and operations planning in terms of its purpose, components, and frequency.
3. Defi ne the aggregate plan.
4. Explain why we use an aggregate or a composite product when developing the aggregate plan.
5. Compare and contrast the level and the chase aggreg- ate plans.
6. Describe the different demand-based options used in aggregate planning and their implications for a company.
Problems • 511
7. Describe the different capacity-based options used in aggregate planning and their implications for a company.
8. Explain what the hybrid aggregate plan is and why it is used.
9. Explain the procedure for developing an aggregate plan.
10. Describe the factors to consider before developing an aggregate plan.
11. Explain how aggregate planning is diff erent when the company does not provide a tangible product.
12. Visit a local manufacturer and determine how it uses aggregate planning.
13. Visit a local service provider and determine how it uses aggregate planning.
14. What two items must you calculate fi rst when devel- oping an aggregate plan?
15. Visit a local business and learn how it calculates its resources.
16. Describe the inputs needed to do master production scheduling.
17. Describe the diff erent sources of demand.
Problems
Use the following data to solve the fi rst seven problems.
Problem Data
Cost data Regular-time labor cost per hour $10.00 Overtime labor cost per hour $15.00 Subcontracting cost per unit (labor only) $84.00
Holding cost per unit per period $10.00
Back-order cost per unit per period $20.00
Hiring cost per employee $600.00
Firing cost per employee $450.00
Capacity data Beginning workforce 210 employees
Beginning inventory 400 units
Labor standard per unit 6 hours
Regular time available per period 160 hours
Overtime available per period 32 hours
Subcontracting maximum per period 1000 units
Subcontracting minimum per period 500 units
Demand data Period 1 6000 units
Period 2 4800 units
Period 3 7840 units
Period 4 5200 units
Period 5 6560 units
Period 6 3600 units
1. Th e BackPack Company produces a line of backpacks. Th e manager, Jill Nicholas, is interested in using a level aggregate plan. Inventories and back orders will be
used to handle demand fl uctuations. She has asked you to develop such a plan. (a) Calculate the aggregate production rate. (b) Calculate the appropriate workforce given the
aggregate production rate. (c) Show what would happen if this plan were
implemented. (d) Calculate the costs of this plan. (e) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer service,
operations, and human resources. 2. Jill has decided that the BackPack Company must
have very good customer service. She has asked you to develop a level aggregate plan using inventories but not back orders. All demand must be met each period. You must: (a) Calculate the aggregate production rate. (b) Calculate the appropriate workforce given the
aggregate production rate. (c) Show what would happen if this plan were
implemented. (d) Calculate the costs of this plan. (e) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources. 3. Although the BackPack Company has always used
a level aggregate plan, Jill is interested in evaluating chase aggregate plans also. She has asked you to cal- culate how many hires and fi res would be necessary to adjust capacity to meet demand exactly each period. If necessary, incur some undertime. Calculate the num- ber of workers needed each period.
4. Now that you have calculated the number of workers needed each period in Problem 3, Jill wants to see how the plan would actually work. You need to:
512 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
(a) Show what would happen if this plan were implemented.
(b) Calculate the costs associated with this plan. (c) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources. 5. Jill Nicholas is concerned about BackPack’s corporate
image and has decided against using hires and fi res. Instead, she has asked you to consider a chase aggreg- ate plan using the current workforce supplemented by either overtime or undertime to change capacity to match demand exactly. She has asked for the following information from you: (a) How many production hours would be required
each period to produce the exact quantity needed?
(b) How many regular-time production hours are available each period?
(c) How many overtime production hours would be needed each period?
(d) Show what would happen if this plan were implemented.
(e) Calculate the costs associated with this plan. ( f ) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources. 6. Jill Nicholas believes there must be a better aggre-
gate plan. She has suggested a hybrid plan, using a permanent workforce of 195 employees and subcontracting as needed. Once again, Jill has requested that you provide the following information: (a) Calculate the regular-time production possible
each period given a workforce of 195. (b) Show what would happen if this plan were
implemented. (c) Calculate the costs associated with this plan. (d) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources. 7. Jill wants you to consider a hybrid aggregate plan,
using up to the maximum overtime per employee for any period where demand cannot be satisfi ed with the current regular-time production and the available in- ventory. Back orders can occur. (a) Show what would happen if this plan were
implemented. (b) Calculate the costs associated with this plan. (c) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources.
Use the information shown here for Problems 8 through 13. Th e Draper Tax Company provides tax services to local businesses. Draper chooses to meet all demand as it occurs because customers are unwill-
ing to accept back orders. Th e company has provided the following cost, capacity, and demand information.
Draper Tax Company Problem Data
Cost data Regular-time labor cost per hour $25.00 Overtime labor cost per hour $37.50 Temporary worker cost per hour $40.00 Hiring cost per permanent worker $2000.00 Firing cost per permanent worker $1200.00 Back-order cost $500.00
Capacity data Beginning workforce 12 employees Labor standard per service 12 hours Regular-time hours per period 40 hours Overtime hours per period 8 hours
Demand Data
Week 1 48 clients Week 2 36 clients Week 3 50 clients
Week 4 40 clients Week 5 38 clients Week 6 48 clients
8. Calculate the size of the workforce needed for the company to meet average weekly demand.
9. Develop a level aggregate plan for the Draper Tax Company if back orders are permitted. (a) Show what would happen if this plan were
implemented. (b) Calculate the costs associated with this plan. (c) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources. 10. Develop a level aggregate plan for the Draper Com-
pany if no back orders are permitted. (a) Show what would happen if this plan were
implemented. (b) Calculate the costs associated with this plan. (c) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources. 11. Develop a chase aggregate plan using hires and fi res
to adjust the capacity for Draper. All demand must be met each period. (a) Show what would happen if this plan were
implemented. (b) Calculate the costs associated with this plan. (c) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources. 12. Develop a chase aggregate plan for Draper using a per-
manent workforce of 12 employees supplemented by overtime. All demand must be met each period.
Case: Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (A) • 513
(a) Show what would happen if this plan were implemented.
(b) Calculate the costs associated with this plan. (c) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources. 13. Concerned about the welfare of its workers, Draper
has decided to try a strategy without any overtime. In- stead of overtime, Draper has decided to supplement the permanent workforce of 12 employees with tem- porary workers. Any temporary worker must work the entire week. Th ere is no hiring or fi ring cost associated with temporary workers. Develop this aggregate plan for Draper. (a) Show what would happen if this plan were
implemented. (b) Calculate the costs associated with this plan. (c) Evaluate the plan in terms of cost, customer
service, operations, and human resources. 14. W. C. Sanders, owner of Fort Engines, a producer of
heavy-duty snow blower engines, needs to develop an aggregate plan for the coming year. Th e company currently uses 20 individuals working 160 regular-time hours each month. Each worker is capable of produ- cing 10 heavy-duty snow blowers per month. Employ- ees are paid $12 per hour. Overtime is limited to a maximum of 40 hours per month per employee. Hold- ing costs are $5 per unit per period. Back-order cost is
$10 per unit per period. Th e beginning inventory is 40 units. Monthly demand projections are:
Month Demand (units) Month Demand (units) January 250 July 220 February 230 August 220 March 190 September 260 April 170 October 260 May 200 November 240 June 220 December 220
(a) Develop a hybrid aggregate plan using the initial workforce supplemented by overtime. If demand in any period exceeds regular-time production plus overtime production plus any beginning inventory, the company will use back orders. Calculate the cost of this plan.
(b) Another alternative is to try a level plan that uses inventory and back orders to absorb fl uctuation. Calculate the cost of this plan.
(c) A third alternative being considered is to use a hybrid plan but also to close down the facility for the entire month of July. Overtime, inventory, and back orders can be used. Calculate the cost of this plan.
(d) Compare the three plans in terms of cost, customer service, operations, and human resources.
Case: Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (A)
Marcia Blakely, plant manager at the Newmarket Inter- national Manufacturing Company (NIMCO), was pre- paring for a meeting with her management team. Joining her would be Jack Novak, the company controller; Amy Granger, regional marketing manager; and Joe Barnes, the production manager. Th e goal of the meeting was to develop a staffi ng plan for the second quarter. A quick per- formance review covering the past two quarters proved disappointing. Customer service was poor in spite of higher component inventory levels. Stockouts of some components were a problem and caused production inef- fi ciencies. Nothing seemed to be working smoothly.
Company History
NIMCO was founded by Marcia Blakely when she was only two years out of graduate school. Marcia’s knowl- edge of mass customization has been the driving force behind NIMCO. Th e company produces three major custom products. Volume on the products is quite high
even though each item is customized specifi cally for the customer. Each of the products is processed through up to four diff erent work centers. Although each item is unique, the processing time at each work center is con- stant due to the sophisticated equipment used.
NIMCO currently has 75 full-time employees work- ing in manufacturing. Each employee is scheduled to work 40 hours per week. Because mass customization is used, NIMCO carries no fi nished goods inventory. Th e company policy is to meet all demand each period; no back orders or stockouts are permitted.
Joe Barnes, the production manager, received the fol- lowing information in advance of the meeting: demand forecasts for products A, B, and C for each week of the second quarter as shown in the table, and standard labor time estimates for each product. Th e standard labor times are: product A—0.24 hour, product B—0.38 hour, and product C—0.29 hour.
514 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
Joe knew that it would be useful to have you, his assistant, generate additional information for this meet- ing. You are to convert the individual product forecasts into the total number of labor-hours needed each week. For example, in week 14, there are 3600 product A’s mul- tiplied by 0.24 hour, 4000 product B’s times 0.38 hour, and 2000 product C’s times 0.29 hour. Th e total stan- dard labor time associated with products demanded in period 14 is 2964 hours. After determining the required labor-hours each period, Joe wants you to develop three possible staffi ng plans. Th e fi rst plan uses a level work- force and does not allow back orders in any period. Th e second plan uses the original full-time workforce
(75 employees) supplemented by the use of overtime to avoid back orders. Th e third plan adjusts the workforce each period to satisfy all demand by hiring and fi ring employees. To develop these plans and calculate their associated costs, you need to know that the regular- time wage rate is $14 per hour, overtime is $21 per hour, hiring costs are $500 per employee, and fi ring costs are $750 per employee.
Your job is to provide analyses of these three plans for Joe to use at the meeting. Make sure to include your recommendation after considering cost, customer ser- vice, and operations.
Quarter 2 Demand Forecasts Demand for Demand for Demand for Demand for Demand for Demand for
Week Product A Product B Product C Week Product A Product B Product C
14 3600 4000 2000 21 4300 3600 3000 15 4000 4000 2500 22 4000 3600 3000 16 4300 4000 2800 23 4000 3800 2800 17 4400 3800 3100 24 3600 3800 2800 18 4500 3800 3200 25 3200 3800 2600 19 4500 3800 3200 26 3000 4000 2600 20 4400 3600 3200
Case: JPC, Inc.: Kitchen Countertops Manufacturer
JPC, Inc. is a major producer of solid-surface kitchen countertops. Th e countertops are made from a durable nonporous acrylic polymer and are available in a wide variety of colors. Th e tops resist stains, scratches, fad- ing from sunlight, and heat. Th ey also do not promote the growth of mildew or bacteria, thus providing an easy-care, sanitary countertop. Its products are dis- tributed throughout North America and until recently have experienced growing demand. Th e products are used primarily in new house construction. Th e com- pany currently operates three diff erent manufacturing plants.
During the recent housing slowdown, demand for the countertops has dropped signifi cantly (from 2,300,000 tops last year to an expected 1,700,000 tops), and JPC is considering closing one of its three plants. Th e annual regular-time production capacity at Plant 1 is 960,000 tops; Plant 2 can produce 480,000 tops per year; and Plant 3 can produce 720,000 tops per year. Each plant is allowed to use up to an additional 20 percent overtime
for top production. Th is means that, theoretically, JPC could produce as many as 2,592,000 tops with its cur- rent facilities.
If JPC closes down a plant, the weekly costs associ- ated with the closed, nonoperating plant will decrease. Closing Plant 1 would reduce annual fi xed costs to $312,000. If Plant 1 remains operational, the fi xed costs are $728,000. If Plant 2 is closed, annual fi xed costs drop to $260,000 rather than the normal $600,000. If Plant 3 is closed, annual fi xed costs drop to $390,000 rather than the normal $780,000.
Th e variable production costs are diff erent at each plant. At Plant 1, the variable cost to produce one coun- tertop during regular time is $420; the variable cost to produce during overtime is $525 per top. At Plant 2, the variable cost to produce one countertop during regular time is $390; the variable cost to produce during over- time is $500. At Plant 3, the variable cost to produce one countertop during regular time is $410; the variable cost to produce during overtime is $510 per top.
Internet Challenge: Cruising • 515
Your job is to analyze the data and make a recom- mendation as to whether or not JPC should close one of its manufacturing facilities. You should also indicate how much capacity and the type of capacity needed at
the diff erent operational manufacturers. In addition, you should note whether other factors should be con- sidered in making this decision.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Staff Planning at Cruise International, Inc. You are meeting today with Monita Terazzi, the Head of Housekeeping. She wants you to help her develop an 18-month staffi ng plan for the fl oor supervisors, head room supervisors, cabin stewards/ stewardesses, and assistant cabin stewards/stew- ardesses. Currently, new employees (with 18-month contracts) are added to the ship every three months. Consider how the current method is working and make any recommendations for improvement that you can. Also explain how the use of contract employees
changes the aggregate planning process. Completion of this assignment will enable you to enhance your knowl- edge of the material covered in Chapter 13 of the text. It will also better prepare you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Staff Planning at CII
On-line Case: Aggregate Planning at Valley Memorial Hospital
Capacity Planning You’re meeting today with Carol Gardner, assistant to the chief administrator at VMH. She tells you she’s been saving a big project for you: “My job is scheduling all hospital staff for every shift, but I want you to focus on the nursing staff , so I can plan the nursing schedule for next year. After you fi nish, I’ve also got a smaller job for you. Let’s go back in my offi ce and I’ll tell you what you need to know.”
To complete this assignment, go to www.wiley. com/college/reid to get the details needed. Assign- ment questions are given at the site.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Capacity Planning
www.wiley.com/college/reid
Internet Challenge: Cruising
Aggregate planning identifi es the resources needed by operations during a specifi ed time period. Once these resources have been authorized, operations must make do or justify any deviations from the plan. With this in mind, identify the resources if you and three of your peers take a cruise of 10 to 14 days during a period when school is not in session.
On the Internet, investigate at least three diff erent cruise lines. Develop a set of criteria for selecting which
cruise line you will use. Select a cruise that you would like to take. Th e destination of the cruise is up to you. In preparation for the cruise, calculate how much and what kinds of clothing you’ll take, as well as what acces- sories (cameras, binoculars, snorkeling gear, golf clubs, etc.) and how much cash. Th en check to see which items you own and which items you need to buy.
Remember to check the site to see how many for- mal nights, informal nights, casual nights, and theme
516 CHAPTER 13 • Aggregate Planning
nights there will be during your cruise. Also check the shore excursions so you can calculate adequate fund- ing. Don’t forget to check your itinerary so you have proper clothes for any ports you’ll be visiting (some countries frown on tank tops and shorts). Your pro- fessor should indicate any budgetary restrictions that you have.
You can put many of your expenses on a credit card, but you’ll also need cash for gratuities, inciden- tal expenses at the diff erent ports, and money for the
casinos or bingo. You need to plan for transportation to and from the airport or for parking at the airport if one of you drives. You also need to be sure to take care of stopping your mail and taking care of any other respon- sibilities while you are away.
Develop an aggregate plan detailing the resources you will need for this cruise. Th en disaggregate your aggregate plan by detailing what resources will be spent each day of your trip. Be ready to justify your expenditures.
Selected Bibliography
Arnold, J.R.T., S.N. Chapman, and L.M. Clive. Introduction to Materials Management, Seventh Edition. Upper Sad- dle River, N.J.: Pearson Education Limited, 2012.
Ball, B. “S&OP: A Proven Process to Maximize Your Business Results.” http://aberdeen.com/research/10080/10080-RR- sales-operations-planning.aspx/content.aspx. January 2015.
Blackstone, J.H. Jr. Capacity Management. Cincinnati, Ohio: South-Western, 1989.
Boyer, J.E., Jr. “Sales and Operations Planning Blueprint,” APICS Magazine, March–April 2008, 27–30.
Cox, J.F., III, J.H. Blackstone, and M.S. Spencer, eds. APICS Dic- tionary, Fourteenth Edition. Falls Church, Va.: American Production and Inventory Control Society, Inc., 2014.
Dougherty, J.R. “Lessons from the Pros,” APICS Magazine, November–December 2007, 31–33.
Gessner, R.A. Master Production Schedule Planning. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1986.
Narasimhan, S., D.W. McLeavey, and P. Billington. Produc- tion Planning and Inventory Control, Second Edition. Englewood Cliff s, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1995.
Plossl, G.W. Production and Inventory Control: Principles and Techniques, Second Edition. Englewood Cliff s, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1985.
Slack, N., S. Chambers, and R. Johnston. Operations Man- agement, Th ird Edition. Upper Saddle River, N.J.: Pearson Education Limited, 2001.
Vollmann, T.E., W.L. Berry, D.C. Whybark, and F.R. Jacobs. Manufacturing Planning and Control Systems, Fifth Edi- tion. Burr Ridge, Ill.: McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2005.
Resource Planning14
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. E-commerce, Chapter 4.
2. Calculating available capacity, Chapter 9.
3. Calculating order quantities, Chapter 12.
4. Inventory record accuracy, Chapter 12.
5. Developing the MPS, Supplement D.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Describe enterprise resource
planning (ERP).
2 Review the benefi ts and costs of an ERP system.
3 Describe material planning systems.
4 Demonstrate how MRP works.
5 Demonstrate capacity requirements planning (CRP).
D o you remember the first time you invited your fiancée and parents for a very special dinner at your place? You decided to serve salad, grilled steaks, corn on the cob, baked potatoes, and apple pie à la mode. You
decided to special order the steaks two days ahead of time. You needed to make the pie the night before, so you made a special trip to get fresh apples and the other necessary ingredients. You bought the ice cream, corn, salad mix, some tomatoes, cucumbers, croutons, and salad dressing the day of the dinner as well as picked up the steaks. You also managed to pick up a special bottle of wine to go with dinner.
The night before the dinner, you baked the apple pie. The day of the dinner, you started the baked potatoes about an hour before dinnertime. You then mixed your salad. You seasoned the steaks and started the grill about 30 minutes before din-
ner. At the same time, you put a pot of water on to boil to cook the corn. You put the steaks on the grill to cook and the corn in the boiling water. You set the table while you were waiting. Just as you had planned, the dinner was ready on time. The steaks were done just right, the baked potatoes perfect, and the corn hot and juicy.
Your dinner was a huge success because you had used the basic concepts of material requirements planning: a master pro- duction schedule, bills of material, inventory records, and backward
scheduling. The master production schedule was your planned menu for the dinner. To determine the materials needed, you had to know what you wanted to prepare. After setting the menu, the next step was to look at the bill of material (recipe) for each item. This allowed you to determine how much of each component or material was needed. Once you had the list assembled as to what was needed to
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518 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
make the dinner, you checked your inventory to see what you already had and what still had to be purchased.
To use backward scheduling, we take a desired completion time or due date, consider all the activities that must be completed, and schedule the activities so that everything is ready at the appropriate time. Not all activities need the same amount of time to be completed, so we sched- ule when different activities must begin.
Your dinner didn’t take too long to prepare, but building products typically takes some time. Consider a company like Dell Computer, well known for its rapidly built-to-order computers. Dell begins assembly of a customer’s order almost immediately after receiving the order. To do this, Dell must carefully manage its component inventories, knowing the availability of needed compo- nents to complete the assembly. Information regarding the order is sent to members of its supply chain to ensure on-time delivery of the finished computer. Dell uses this approach to support the concept of mass customization.
In this chapter, we will examine enterprise resource planning (ERP), as well as learn the basic mechanics of material requirements planning (MRP) and the role of capacity requirements plan- ning (CRP). •
Enterprise Resource Planning Enterprise resource planning (ERP) is software designed for organizing and managing business processes (core and administrative) by sharing information across functional areas. Core processes include production planning and control, inventory management, purchas- ing, and distribution; administrative processes include accounting (cost control, accounts payable and receivable, etc.) and human resources management. Figure 14.1 shows an over- view of enterprise resource planning.
Enterprise resource planning (ERP) Large, sophisticated software systems used for identifying and planning the enterprise- wide resources needed to coordinate all activities involved in producing and delivering products.
Managers
Finance
Operations
Inventory Planning
HRM
Service Parts
& Repair
Central Database
Sales
Performance Reports
Suppliers
Employees
Customers
FIGURE 14.1 Enterprise resource management
Enterprise Resource Planning • 519
The number of finished goods sold to final customers is a good example of the type of useful information shared throughout the supply chain. Knowing actual sales figures allows improved decision making by members of the supply chain and can help eliminate the bull- whip effect (discussed in Chapter 4). For example, using the information about actual sales to the customer, manufacturing can determine more accurately the quantity and timing of product replenishments. Warehouse management then can plan for the receipt and subse- quent distribution of the replenishments. Suppliers can determine the materials and com- ponents needed by manufacturing to meet the manufacturing schedule. All members of the supply chain are aware of what is happening and can plan accordingly. The primary objec- tive of ERP is to integrate all departments and functions, internal and external, into a single computer system to serve the enterprise’s needs.
The availability of information can increase productivity as well as customer satisfaction. For example, after Master Product Company began using ERP, sales increased by 20 percent while inventory investment decreased 30 percent. Owens Corning reported saving $65 mil- lion by using ERP to coordinate customer orders, financial reporting, and global procure- ment. Currently, ERP systems are used in thousands of medium-size and large companies globally. These systems typically consist of modules that can be used either alone or in vari- ous configurations. Let’s look at the typical ERP modules.
All modules are fully integrated, using a common database and support processes that go across functional areas. A transaction in any module is immediately available to all other modules and to all relevant parties. There are four basic categories of ERP modules: finance and accounting, sales and marketing, production and materials management, and human resources.
The finance and accounting module can include the following capabilities: financial report generation, investment management, cost control analysis, asset management, capital management, debt management, and so on. It defines cost and profit centers, uses activity-based costing, facilitates capital budgeting and profitability analysis, and tracks enterprise performance measures. A company can see the financial implication of every transaction.
The sales and marketing function handles customer-related activities. A customer can check for pricing, availability, and shipping options, as well as special promotions. The sales module can do a profitability analysis using different pricing options, discount structures, and rebates. The module also allows more accurate delivery date projections by providing insight into a company’s finished goods and work-in-process inventories, as well as access to master scheduling information. Distribution requirements (documentation, packaging, etc.), transportation management (mode of transport), and shipping schedules are included. This module also handles billing, invoicing, rebate processing, product registrations, and customer complaints.
The production and materials module processes planning, bill of material generation, and product costing. The module implements engineer change orders, plans material requirements (MRP), allocates resources, and schedules and monitors production. It links manufacturing, sales, and finance together in real time. In terms of materials, it generates purchasing needs, manages inventory and warehouse functions, and supports supplier eval- uations and invoice verification.
The human resources module includes workforce planning, employee scheduling, train- ing and development, payroll and benefits, expense reimbursement, job descriptions, orga- nizational charts, and workflow analysis.
These four modules can be implemented either individually or as a fully integrated sys- tem. ERP uses a common database to ensure the same information is used throughout the company to improve decision making across functional areas. Let’s look at the evolution of ERP systems.
520 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
The Evolution of ERP Systems An ERP system provides a single interface for managing all routine activities performed in manufacturing—from order entry to after-sales customer service. In the later 1990s, ERP systems were extended to external members of the supply chain (suppliers and custom- ers). These extensions provide customer interaction and supplier management modules. Using a single interface can provide significant savings for large companies. For example, ExxonMobil consolidated 300 different information systems into one ERP system by imple- menting SAP R/3 (a leading ERP system) in its U.S. petrochemical operations.
First-generation ERP was designed to automate routine business transactions and did it very well. Merrill Lynch reported that almost 40 percent of U.S. companies with greater than $1 billion in annual revenues had implemented ERP. Most companies had received the major benefits of ERP systems by the late 1990s. The development of second-generation ERP systems has begun. Its objectives are to leverage existing systems to increase efficiency in handling transactions, improve decision making, and support e-commerce.
While first-generation ERP systems gave planners plenty of statistics about what hap- pened in the company, in terms of costs and financial performance, the reports were merely snapshots of the business at a single point in time. These reports did not support the con- tinuous planning needed in supply chain management. This deficiency led to the develop- ment of planning systems focused on decision making. These new systems are referred to as SCM (supply chain management) software.
SCM software is designed to improve decision making in the supply chain. It helps answer such questions as: (1) What is the best way to ship a product to a specific customer? (2) What is the optimal production plan? (3) How much product should ship to specific intermediaries? (4) How can outbound and inbound transportation costs be minimized? SCM software typically includes decision-support modules, such as linear programming and simulation, to help answer these questions.
Let’s consider how ERP and SCM software can work together. Think about the task of order processing. With SCM software, the question is, “Should I take your order?” while the ERP approach is, “How can I best take or fulfill your order?” Both are merely information systems. SCM systems complement ERP systems, providing intelligent decision support. The SCM system is designed to overlay existing systems and extract data from every part of the supply chain. This way, the company has a clear picture of where it is heading rather than simply having automated processes. Supply chain intelligence (SCI) is the capability of collecting business intelligence along the supply chain. This intelligence enables strategic decision making by analyzing data along the entire supply chain.
An example of a successful SCM system implementation is IBM. IBM restructured its global supply chain to achieve quick responsiveness to customers while holding minimal inventory. To do this, IBM developed an extended-enterprise supply chain analysis tool called the Asset Management Tool (AMT). AMT allows for quantitative analysis of inter- enterprise supply chains. IBM used AMT to analyze inventory budgets, inventory turnover objectives, customer service target levels, and new-product introductions. AMT bene- fits have included the saving of over $750 million in material costs and price-protection expenses each year.
Another example of an ERP application with an SCM module is Colgate-Palmolive (C-P). C-P produces oral-care products (mouthwashes, toothpaste, and toothbrushes), personal- care products (baby care, deodorants, shampoos, and soaps), and pet food. Foreign sales account for about 70 percent of C-P’s total revenues. An important factor for C-P was whether it could use ERP software across the entire spectrum of its business. The company needed the ability to coordinate globally, yet act locally. C-P’s U.S. division opted to use SAP R/3 for this effort.
SCM software Designed to improve decision making in the supply chain.
Supply chain intelligence (SCI) Enables strategic decision making along the supply chain.
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Another option for businesses wanting ERP functions is to lease applications rather than to build systems. In leased applications, the ERP vendor takes care of the functionalities and internal integration problems. The ERP vendor is typically referred to as an application service provider (ASP). The ASP sets up the system and runs it for the company. This approach often works well for small to medium-size companies. The software is usually delivered via the Internet.
Since many companies involved in e-commerce have ERP systems, and since e-commerce needs to interface with the ERP systems, integration is necessary, primarily for order fulfillment and collaboration with business partners.
Let’s look at how a nonmanufacturing com- pany might use an ERP system. The Arapahoe County government serves a population of more than 537,000, nine school districts, 14 incorpo- rated communities (including the county seat of Littleton), and 163 local improvement and ser- vice districts. It has an annual operating budget of approximately $300 million and a staff of 1800. Currently, the county has one of the lowest prop- erty tax rates in the Denver metropolitan area.
The key challenges facing the county govern- ment included multiple, separate, stand-alone financial systems; limited visibility into financial operations; outdated information (six to eight weeks old); difficulty in complying with new gov- ernment reporting regulations; an inefficient procure-to-payment process; and multiple rec- onciliations needed to keep information in sync. No vendor payment discounts were taken.
Even though Arapahoe County only has 1800 employees, it has multiple financial sys- tems. Numerous Microsoft Excel spreadsheets and Microsoft Access databases had been developed by individuals over the years. These disparate systems could not communicate with each other, so simple inquiries could take weeks to answer. Vendor payments were often late, resulting in project delays. Monthly reports took six to eight weeks to produce and were out of date before they were completed. Officials had trouble managing the con- strained budgets because of the lack of visibility into the future.
After implementing an ERP system, the following strategic and financial benefits were noted: elimination of redundant financial systems; improved timeliness and accuracy of key reports; improved vendor relations and increased negotiating power; improved visi- bility; compliance with the latest government reporting requirements; more staff time for value-added tasks; and increased vendor payment discounts. The following operational benefits occurred: purchase order cycle time was reduced 80 percent; the age of information in monthly reports was reduced from six to eight weeks to real time; full-time staff equiva- lents in accounts payable and purchasing were reduced 50 percent; and the financial closing process time (done annually) was reduced by 150 hours.
The use of an ERP system by Arapahoe County illustrates that such systems are use- ful in nonmanufacturing organizations as well as in traditional manufacturing companies. You should understand that ERP systems deal more often with back-office applications (accounting, inventory, scheduling, etc.), while e-commerce applications deal more with front-office applications such as sales, order entry, customer service, and customer rela- tionship management. You also should understand that order or service fulfillment prob- lems occur since so many customers are served. Companies operating on-line must find the
Application service provider (ASP) Sets up and runs ERP systems.
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products or information that are needed, package them in an appropriate manner, arrange for delivery to the customer, collect money from the customers if appropriate, and handle the return of unwanted or defective products or services.
The Benefits and Costs of ERP
The Benefits of ERP Systems One benefit of ERP is that it integrates the complete range of an organization’s operations in order to present a holistic view of the business functions from a single information and IT architecture. This single information source improves the organizational information flow. Because of improved information flow, an organization increases its ability to incorporate best practices that facilitate better managerial control, speedier decision making, and cost reductions throughout the organization. The basic architecture of an ERP system builds upon a single database, one application, and a unified interface across the entire enterprise, thus allowing an integrated approach.
A study by Benchmarking Partners for the Deloitte & Touche consulting corporation classifies companies’ motivations for implementing ERP systems into two groups: techno- logical and operational. Technological motivation relates to the replacement of disparate systems; improved quality and visibility of information; integration of business processes and systems; replacement of older, obsolete systems; and the acquisition of systems that can support future business growth. For example, ExxonMobil used ERP to replace 300 dif- ferent systems.
Operational motivation is related to improving inadequate business performance, reducing high-cost structures, improving customer responsiveness, simplifying complex processes, supporting global expansion, and standardizing best practices throughout the enterprise. Cybex International is a good example of an organization using ERP to improve customer responsiveness.
ERP provides both tangible and intangible benefits. Tangible benefits refer to reductions in inventory and staffing, increased productivity, improved order management, quicker clos- ing of financial cycles, reduced IT and purchasing costs, improved cash flow management, increased revenue and profits, reduced transportation and logistics costs, and improved on- time delivery performance. Intangible benefits refer to the improved visibility of corporate data, improved customer responsiveness, better integration between systems, standardiza- tion of computing platforms, improved flexibility, global sharing of information, and better visibility into the supply chain management process.
A study of ERP implementations reported that it took companies eight months until after the new system was established to see any benefits. The median annual savings from a new ERP system was $1.6 million.
One company that developed various ERP software packages to enhance manufacturers’ overall productivity was i2 Technologies. JDA Software acquired i2 Technologies in 2010.
By using this software, man- ufacturers can now improve supply chain activities by monitoring, managing, and optimizing their internal and external activities. For example, manufacturers can connect immediately with suppliers and shippers in real
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time and can examine the supply chain. In addition, manufacturers can obtain reports that discuss efficiency and forecast potential problems. JDA Software’s Transportation Solutions helps manufacturers optimize delivery schedules. Also, JDA Software’s Softgoods Matrix. com helps soft goods retailers, manufacturers, and suppliers coordinate on-line business, improve response to changes in consumer trends, and attract potential customers. Some of the world’s largest manufacturing firms have adopted software developed by JDA Software.
SAP AG, one of the leading developers of enterprise solutions software, provides compa- nies with mySAP.com, a software platform for open systems. Open systems allow users to communicate with another user without being constrained by a particular organization’s solution. This software includes functionality for material requirements planning, including manufacturing and financial applications, materials management, product design manage- ment, sales and distribution, human resources, production planning, quality assurance, and plant maintenance. SAP also provides functionality that promotes the ability to do collabo- rative planning on the Web via collaborative exchanges and public marketplaces.
Although enterprise software ( formerly known as ERP) is often associated with manu- facturing operations, it also has applications in the service sector. SAP Public Sector and Education SAP Public Services, Inc. offers an offender management system. The system allows the Commonwealth of Virginia’s Department of Corrections Web-based case man- agement, enabling the Department of Corrections to enter into the e-government world.
The Costs of ERP Systems SAP AG, PeopleSoft, Oracle, and Infor Global Solutions are major suppliers of ERP systems. The cost of an ERP system ranges from hundreds of thousands of dollars to several million dollars. In addition to the software cost is the cost of outside consultants used in the selec- tion, configuration, and implementation of the ERP system. An IT research firm, Gartner Group, reports that companies can expect to spend up to three times as much money for consultants as they do for the ERP system. Additional costs include the human resources needed to work on the implementation of the system, new hardware to run the program, and the development of a new, integrated database.
A review of successful ERP implementations indicates that the most critical factors are leadership and top management commitment. Top management must clearly set the vision and direction for the business, as well as establish a culture that enables the business to benefit by using the technological capabilities of an ERP system. Champions are needed to effectively implement change programs and promote best practices. Let’s look at how some companies have used ERP.
When selecting the ERP system to use, a study by the Aberdeen Group (www.aberdeen. com) reports that functionality, ease of use, and total cost of ownership (TCO) are the top three selection criteria. Total cost of ownership is the software cost, service costs, and three years of maintenance costs.
Service costs are for external professional services. These might include implementa- tion, training, customization, or consulting, but do not include company employees. Main- tenance costs are based on average maintenance fees paid in aggregate and on a per user basis. Maintenance costs include technical support and bug fixes as well as new-product innovations.
Total cost of ownership varied based on size of the company. For companies with less than $50 million in annual sales, the average total was $366,583. Companies with sales between $50 million and $100 million had an average total cost of $892,765. For companies with sales between $500 million and $1 billion, average total costs were $3,483,776. And for companies with sales exceeding $5 billion, the average total cost was $7,148,750. The aver- age number of users in these companies went from a low of 35 up to a high of 3274.
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The study also reported the business benefits achieved through ERP. Companies expect to reduce inventory investment, manufacturing operational costs, and administrative costs; improve complete and on-time shipments; and enhance manufacturing schedule compli- ance. Companies implementing ERP generally reported improvements in the 10–20 percent range.
Now that you have a basic understanding of ERP systems, let’s examine the manufac- turing planning systems that were the basis for today’s production and materials modules.
Material Planning Systems
In the 1960s, manufacturing planning systems focused primarily on traditional inventory control issues (when to order, how much to order, etc.). This led to the development of material requirements planning (MRP) systems. These systems translated the approved master production schedule of final products into time-phased net requirements for sub- assemblies and final assemblies for manufacturing and components and raw materials for purchasing. The initial MRP systems evolved into closed-loop MRP.
Closed-loop MRP is an MRP system that includes sales and operations planning, mas- ter production scheduling, and capacity requirements planning (discussed in Chapter 13). After realistic and attainable plans are developed, manufacturing executes the plan. This involves input–output capacity measurement, detailed scheduling and dispatching (we will discuss these in Chapter 15), anticipated delay reports from the manufacturing facility and the suppliers, as well as scheduling deliveries from suppliers. Closed-loop means that each function is included in the overall system and that feedback mechanisms are in place to make sure that the plan remains valid.
In the mid-1970s, manufacturing resource planning (MRP II), the next generation of manufacturing planning systems, was developed. MRP II has three major components: man- agement planning, operations planning, and operations execution. The company’s strategy is translated into business objectives for the current year. These objectives drive the devel- opment of the marketing plan that in turn drives the development of the production plan. The production plan identifies the resources available to manufacturing to achieve the out- put needed by marketing. Then the master production schedule shows how the resources from the production plan are to be used. Operations planning is the MRP function. One of the primary inputs to the MRP system is the master production schedule. The output from the system is the order release schedule. Operations execution brings the plan to life. Raw materials and components are purchased, subassemblies and final assemblies scheduled, quality assured, labor managed, and production completed. Problems encountered in pro- duction are fed back to the MRP component. Ongoing performance evaluation provides feedback—that is, additional resource requirements, changing market demands, and so on—to business planning for any necessary corrective actions. Shortcomings in MRP II in managing a production facility’s orders, production plans, and inventories, along with the need to integrate external functions, led to the development of ERP systems.
An Overview of Material Planning Systems Material planning systems are designed to answer five primary questions: 1) what needs to be built, 2) how many are needed, 3) when do we need to have the items completed, 4) what materials are needed, and 5) when are those materials needed. Material requirements planning (MRP) is an information system that provides the answers to these questions for a company that produces items in batches. An MRP system uses backward scheduling that enables companies to have the right materials in the right amounts at the right time.
Closed-loop MRP An MRP system that includes production planning, master production scheduling, and capacity requirements planning.
Manufacturing resource planning (MRP II) A method for the effective planning and integration of all internal resources.
Material requirements planning (MRP) A system that uses the MPS, inventory record data, and BOM to calculate material requirements.
Backward scheduling Starts with the due date for an order and works backward to determine the start date for each activity.
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While having the materials is critical, the company also needs the capacity to process the materials on time. Companies use capacity requirements planning (CRP) to check that enough work is scheduled for operations and that the amount of work is feasible. CRP reveals potential problems, which gives operations a chance to prevent problems from occurring. For example, if you know that you need 250 hours of test equipment time four weeks from now and you only have 200 hours of test equipment time available during that week, you can do something about it now. You can change the master schedule so that some of the items needing testing are scheduled for a different time period, or you can authorize additional workers in the test area, or authorize overtime for that work center. You don’t wait until four weeks from now and then figure out what to do.
When having your dinner party we described at the beginning of this chapter, you had to do several activities before you served the dinner. First, you planned the menu. Second, you determined the number of servings needed. Third, you reviewed the recipes for each item on the menu to determine the materials needed. Fourth, you checked your cupboards, refrigerator, and freezer to see if you had any of the materials on hand. Fifth, you purchased any materials that you still needed. Sixth, you prepared the dinner.
Planning the menu and calculating the number of servings is equivalent to creating an authorized master production schedule (MPS). Reviewing the recipes to determine the materials needed is equivalent to checking the bill of material (BOM) file to determine the materials needed to build a product. The BOM file lists all the subassemblies, component parts, and raw materials that go into the end item and shows the usage quantity of each. Using the list of components and materials needed, MRP checks the inventory records to determine whether sufficient quantities of those materials are available or whether the pur- chasing department needs to procure these materials.
Objectives of MRP The objectives of an MRP system are to determine the quantity and timing of material requirements and to keep priorities updated and valid.
· Determine the quantity and timing of material requirements. Your company uses MRP to determine what to order (it checks the BOM); it checks the inventory records to determine whether enough items are available in stock or on order; then it indicates how much to order (it uses the lot size rule for the specifi c item), when to place the order (it looks at when the material is needed and backward-schedules to account for lead time), and when to schedule delivery (it schedules the material to arrive just as it is needed).
· Maintain priorities. Your company also uses MRP to keep priorities updated and valid. Requirements change. Customers change order quantities and/or timing. Sup- pliers deliver late and/or the wrong quantities. Unexpected scrap results from man- ufacturing. Equipment breaks down and production is delayed. In an ever-changing environment, you use an MRP system to respond to changes in the daily environment, to reorganize priorities, and to keep plans current and viable.
The next section illustrates the differences between independent demand and dependent demand.
Types of Demand The two types of demand are independent and dependent. Independent demand is the demand for finished products; it does not depend on the demand for other products. Fin- ished products include any item sold directly to a consumer. For example, if a company builds and sells CD cabinets, the demand for the CD cabinet is not dependent on anything
Capacity requirements planning (CRP) Determines the labor and machine resources needed to fi ll the open and planned orders generated by the MRP.
Bill of material (BOM) Lists all the subassemblies, component parts, and raw materials that go into an end item and shows the usage quantity of each required.
Independent demand The demand for an item is unrelated to the demand for other items.
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else. The company could also sell decorative replacement hinges or handles as independent products. Figure 14.2 is a drawing of the CD cabinet. Although you can’t see inside the cabi- net, it does have four shelves.
Dependent demand is derived from finished products. For example, when a company makes CD cabinets (see Figure 14.2), it needs tops, bottoms, feet, doors, door magnets, door hinges, door handles, screws, left sides, right sides, door catches, cabinet shelves, and shelf holders. The company can determine how many of each of these items is needed based on how many CD cabinets the company plans to build. If the company builds 100 CD cabi- nets, operations needs 100 tops, 100 bottoms, 100 doors, 100 left sides, 100 right sides, 200 door hinges (2 are needed to build one finished product), 400 feet and 400 cabinet shelves (4 are needed to build one finished product), 1000 screws (8 are needed for the door to attach the hinges, magnet, and handle; and 2 are needed for the right side to attach the door catch), and 1600 shelf holders (16 for each finished product). The company does not forecast dependent demand but, rather, calculates the material needs based on the final products to be produced. MRP computerized information systems are designed to manage dependent demand inventory and to schedule necessary replenishment orders. Let’s look at a typical MRP system.
Figure 14.3 is an overview of an MRP system. The authorized MPS is the primary input to the MRP system. The MPS details the company’s planned products, quantity, and the sched- ule used by marketing when promising deliveries. The product due dates are critical to the MRP system since they set the completion dates used to backward-schedule production. Part of the MRP system is developing a time-phased schedule that shows future demand, supply, and inventories by time period. The time-phased schedule shows the production planner when in the production process parts and materials must be available. Not all parts and materials have to be available at the start of production, but they must be available at the stage of production in which they are needed. For example, when you are building a furniture cabinet, you do not need the stain before you start building the cabinet; you need it when you are ready to apply the finish. On the other hand, you must have the wood before you can begin building the cabinet.
The MRP system checks the BOM file to determine the materials needed, how much, and when. The system generates the gross requirements of each part and material needed to accomplish the MPS. The system inserts the gross requirements into the individual inventory records and computes the projected available quantity for each item so that you know whether there’s enough inventory or whether you need a replenishment order. If you need a replenishment order, the MRP system tells you when to place the order, either to a supplier or to the manufacturing floor, to ensure that the parts or material are available when needed. The MRP system generates planned replenishment order release schedules
Dependent demand The demand for component parts is based on the number of end items being produced.
Time-phased Expressing future demand, supply, and inventories by time period.
Gross requirements The total-period demand for an item.
Cabinet Top
Right Side
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Handle
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FIGURE 14.2 A CD cabinet
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and can generate additional reports, which we discuss later in the chapter. Let’s look more closely at the primary inputs to an MRP system. Using the CD cabinet from Figure 14.2 as our end item, let’s look at these inputs.
The Operating Logic of MRP Before illustrating the operating logic of an MRP system, it is necessary to understand the three inputs needed by the MRP system. The inputs are an authorized MPS, the bill of material, and individual item inventory records.
Authorized MPS The authorized MPS is a statement of what and when your company expects to build. Table 14.1 shows the first MPS record for the CD cabinet. From the MPS record, we calculate when we need to have replenishment orders of CD cabinets. We cal- culate the timing of MPS orders by the projected available quantity. When we do not have enough inventory to satisfy the forecast for a particular period, we need an MPS order. The quantity of the replenishment order is based on the lot sizing rule used. Table 14.2 shows the completed MPS record.
Authorized master
production schedule
MRP system
Primary Output Schedule of
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Inventory records
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TABLE 14.1 Initial MPS Record for CD Cabinet
Item: CD Cabinet Lead time: 1 week
Lot size rule: FOQ = 100 Beginning inventory: 80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 25 25 25 25 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35
Projected Available: 55 30 5 –20
MPS
FIGURE 14.3 Overview of the MRP process
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Inventory Records To determine whether enough inventory is available or whether a replenishment order is needed, the MRP system checks the inventory records of all items listed in the BOM. Table 14.3 shows the CD cabinet’s inventory record. Let’s look at the infor- mation in the record.
The top part of the record contains product or part identification information—typically either a part number, part name, or description. In our example, the part name is the CD cabinet. The top portion also contains planning factors. These can include the lot size rule, lead time, safety stock requirements, and so forth.
In our example, the lot size rule is lot-for-lot (L4L), and the planned lead time is one week. This information remains relatively constant and is needed by the system to deter- mine how much to order and when to place the replenishment order. Additional informa- tion in the records changes with each inventory transaction. These transactions include releasing new orders, receiving previously ordered materials, withdrawing inventory, can- celing orders, correcting inventory record errors, and adjusting for rejected shipments. The record shows how much inventory of an item is available, projects future needs, and shows the projected inventory level in different time periods.
One problem with an MRP system is inventory record accuracy. Because the system checks the inventory record to see whether it has to generate a replenishment order, an inaccuracy in the record can cause an error in replenishment ordering. Cycle counting, dis- cussed in Chapter 12, is a technique for improving inventory record accuracy. Let’s look at the inventory record shown in Table 14.3.
The item is a CD cabinet and the lot size rule is lot-for-lot. The lead time is one week. Thus if we want 100 CD cabinets to be available in week 4, we have to begin the final assem- bly of the CD cabinets in week 3. For our purposes, gross requirements are due at the begin- ning of the period (Monday morning), and planned orders are started at the beginning of a time period. Final assembly is done during week 3 so we can have 100 CD cabinets at the beginning of week 4.
Planning factors Factors include the lot size rule, replenishment lead times, and safety stock requirements.
Lead time The span of time needed to perform an activity or series of activities.
TABLE 14.2 Updated MPS Record for CD Cabinet
Item: CD Cabinet Lead time: 1 week
Lot size rule: FOQ = 100 Beginning inventory: 80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 25 25 25 25 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35
Projected Available: 55 30 5 80 50 20 90 60 25 90 55 20
MPS 100 100 100
TABLE 14.3 First Inventory Record for CD Cabinet
Item: CD Cabinet Lead time: 1 week
Lot size rule: L4L Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 –100
Planned Orders
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Gross requirements for finished products are taken from the authorized MPS. Scheduled receipts are replenishment orders that have been placed but not yet received. For example, if we placed an order last week and we know it will arrive in period 1, it would be in the scheduled receipts row.
The projected available quantity is a period-by-period projection of how much inven- tory should be available. The projected available quantity equals the beginning inventory, plus any replenishment order due, less the gross requirements for that period. For example, in period 4, we have no beginning inventory and we have 0 units scheduled to arrive, less our gross requirements of 100 units in period 4. Thus our projected available at the end of period 4 is −100, as shown in Table 14.3. The beginning inventory for any time period is equal to the projected available quantity at the end of the previous period.
Planned orders result when we do not have enough inventory to cover the gross require- ments for a period. For example, unless we plan an order to arrive in period 4, we will be short 100 CD cabinets. When we need a replenishment order, we calculate the quantity by the lot size rule and we calculate the timing by the lead time. For example, we need an order to arrive in period 4, the lot size rule L4L dictates that we order just enough to cover our requirement (100 units), and the lead time of one week means that we must place the order one week before we need it (so we have a planned order of 100 units in period 3). Table 14.4 shows the updated inventory record for the CD cabinet.
Bills of Material A bill of material (BOM) lists the subassemblies, intermediate assem- blies, component parts, raw materials, and quantities of each needed to produce one final product. It is exactly like a recipe for baking a cake. As we would follow the recipe for the cake, the manufacturer is expected to follow the BOM precisely. No extra parts are added. No substitutions are made without appropriate paperwork. Companies that use MRP systems must have a disciplined workforce that uses only the materials authorized by the BOM. The BOMs used as input to the MRP system are indented bills of materials. Table 14.5 shows an indented bill of material for the CD cabinet. In an indented BOM, the highest-level item (“parent”) is closest to the left margin, with components (“children”) going into that item indented to the right. In our example, the CD cabinet is the highest-level item and all the components are indented. The components for the cabinet door are indented even farther to the right since these components go directly into the door assembly rather than the CD cabinet.
A product structure tree visually represents the BOM for a product. Although product trees are seldom used in the workplace, for our purposes they make it easier to explain the MRP process. Figure 14.4 is a product structure tree for the CD cabinet with the name of the item, the usage quantity per parent item, and the replenishment lead time.
At the top of the product structure tree is the end item, the product sold to the cus- tomer. In this case, the end item is the CD cabinet, but the end item could also be a repair part such as decorative hinges or a door handle.
Scheduled receipt An open order that has an assigned due date.
Projected available The inventory balance projected into the future.
Planned orders Suggested order quantities, release dates, and due dates created by an MRP system.
Indented bill of material Shows the highest-level “parents” closest to the left margin and the “children” indented toward the right. Subsequent levels are indented farther to the right.
Product structure tree The visual representation of the BOM, clearly defi ning the parent–child relationships.
End item A product sold as a completed item or repair part.
TABLE 14.4 Updated Inventory Record for CD Cabinet
Item: CD Cabinet Lead time: 1 week
Lot size rule: L4L Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders 100 100 100
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In the MRP system, a parent item is any end item made from one or more components. In our example, the CD cabinet is made from these components: a cabinet top, a cabinet bottom, cabinet door, cabinet left side, cabinet right side, 4 cabinet shelves, and 16 shelf holders. To simplify MRP processing logic, we call the end item the “parent” and its compo- nents the “children,” and we show each item’s parents or children in each of the inventory records. Table 14.6 shows the updated inventory record for the CD cabinet with this addi- tional information. Since the CD cabinet is the end item, it has no parents. The immediate components of the CD cabinet are its children.
Parent item An item produced from one or more children (components).
Components Raw materials, purchased items, or subassemblies that are part of a larger assembly.
TABLE 14.5 Indented BOM
Part Number Description Quantity Required
CD1001-01 CD Cabinet 1
CD1001T-01 Cabinet top 1
CD1001B-01 Cabinet bottom 1
CD1001F-01 Feet 4
CD1001D-01 Cabinet door 2
CD1001DM-01 Door magnet 1
CD1001DH-01 Door hinges 2
CD1001DK-01 Door handle 1
CD1001DS-01 Screws 8
CD1001S-01 Cabinet side 2
CD1001SC-01 Door catch 1
CD1001DS-01 Screws 2
CD1001SH-01 Cabinet shelf 4
CD1001SS-01 Shelf holder 16
CD Cabinet LT = 1
Cabinet top Usage = 1
LT = 3
Feet Usage = 4
LT = 4
Magnet Usage = 1
LT = 2
Hinges Usage = 2
LT = 4
Handle Usage = 1
LT = 3
Screws Usage = 8
LT = 1
Door catch Usage = 1
LT = 1
Screws Usage = 2
LT = 1
Cab. bottom Usage = 1
LT = 3
Cab. door Usage = 2
LT = 4
Cab. side Usage = 2
LT = 3
Shelf Usage = 4
LT = 2
Shelf support Usage = 16
LT = 1
FIGURE 14.4 Product structure tree
Material Planning Systems • 531
When your company has inventory on hand, the lead time can be less than the cumu- lative lead time. Suppose all the feet were already in inventory. The lead time of the CD cabinet is reduced to eight weeks, the next-longest path through the product structure tree since the feet to cabinet bottom to CD cabinet path would only need five weeks now, since the feet are already in stock. Thus, having inventory on hand allows you to respond more quickly because you can reduce lead times.
TABLE 14.6 Updated Inventory Record for CD Cabinet
Item: CD Cabinet Parent: none
Lot size rule: L4L Children: Top, bottom, doors, sides,
Lead time: 1 week shelves, shelf supports
Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders 100 100 100
EXAMPLE 14.1 Calculating Cumulative Lead Time for a CD Cabinet
We need to calculate the cumulative lead time for the end item, a CD cabinet.
• Before You Begin: Determine how long it takes to build a CD cabinet if none of the activities has been completed. You need to order every component part, build every subassembly, and complete the fi nal assembly. Start by looking at the product structure tree. Determine the total time required for each connected pathway or route from the bottom to the top. For example, look at the component hinges in Figure 14.4. The lead time for the hinges is four weeks. The parent of the hinges is the cabinet door. Lead time for the cabinet door is three weeks. Continue on to the parent for the cabinet door, the fi nal assembly of the CD cabinet. Its lead time is one week. The total lead time for this connected pathway or route is eight weeks (4 + 3 + 1). Cumulative lead time for this product is the largest value associated with any individual connected path from the lowest level to the fi nal assembly level. Beginning inventories can reduce the amount of time it takes to complete an order. For example, if suffi cient hinges were already available, four weeks of lead time is subtracted from the lead time of this connected path.
• Solution: We can use the product structure tree to calculate the cumulative lead time for the end item, a CD cabinet. We do this by summing the individual lead times for each route from the lowest level to the end item. The fi rst possible route includes only the cabinet top and fi nal assembly of the CD cabinet. Thus the total lead time for this route is four weeks (three weeks for the cabinet top and one week for the CD cabinet fi nal assembly). The next path includes the feet, the cabinet bottom, and the fi nal assembly of the CD cabinet for a total of nine weeks, which is the longest path through the product structure tree. The longest path through the product structure tree determines the minimum lead time required for a company to build the product if no inventory exists. Table 14.7 shows all the paths through the product structure tree.
532 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
How MRP Works In order to better understand MRP systems, it is best to get into the details of the MRP explosion process. Using the CD cabinet as our final product, we will look more closely at the MPS, the bill of materials for the cabinet, and the inventory records for each item used to produce the cabinet. We will begin by looking at the MPS to determine how many cabi- nets are needed and when the cabinets are needed.
TABLE 14.7 Paths through the Product Structure Tree
Path from Bottom to Top Cumulative Lead Time (weeks)
Cabinet top to CD cabinet 4
Feet to cabinet bottom to CD cabinet 9
Magnet to cabinet door to CD cabinet 6
Hinge to cabinet door to CD cabinet 8
Handle to cabinet door to CD cabinet 7
Screws to cabinet door to CD cabinet 5
Cabinet side to CD cabinet 4
Door catch to side to CD cabinet 5
Screws to side to CD cabinet 5
Shelf to CD cabinet 3
Shelf holder to CD cabinet 2
Be sure that you understand the logic behind MRP. The sys- tem checks the gross requirements for each period, compares that with the inventory available (the beginning inventory for that period, plus any replenishment orders due). If the gross requirements exceed the inventory available, an order must be
scheduled to arrive in that period. The system calculates the timing of the replenishment order by subtracting the lead time (in weeks) from the period the material is needed to satisfy the gross requirements. The system calculates the quantity of the replenishment order by the lot size rule for that item.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
EXAMPLE 14.2 The MRP System at Storage Solutions by Elyssa, Inc.
Complete the MRP records for each of the items in the bill of material for the CD cabinet.
• Before You Begin: In this problem, determine the timing of planned orders for each item used in the construction of the CD cabinet. Using input from the master production schedule, determine the timing of the fi nished CD cabinet (shown in Table 14.6). Process the MRP records, level by level. Complete all of the level-one items before beginning the level-two items, and so on. The end result of this problem should be completed MRP records for every item used in the CD cabinet.
• Solution: This example illustrates the MRP explosion process. Using Table 14.6, we begin the MRP explosion process. MRP calculates the materials needed to meet the authorized MPS. The gross require- ments for end items are always dictated by the authorized MPS. When we input these quantities into the proper time frame, MRP calculates the gross requirements for components. The MRP program begins by processing the inventory records of each component of the end item.
Explosion process Calculates the demand for the children of a parent by multiplying the parent requirements by the children’s usage as specifi ed in the BOM.
How MRP Works • 533
We will work through this example starting with the cabinet top. Table 14.8a shows the appropriate inventory record. Let’s look at the differences in the inventory record. First, the lot size rule is a fi xed-order quantity of 144 units, which means the order quantity is always 144 units. If an order of 144 units is not enough to cover the gross requirements, we can place a double order (288 units) or triple order (432 units). The lead time is three weeks, so we must place the replenishment order three weeks before it is needed. Gross requirements for a com- ponent, or child, are determined by the planned orders of its parent or parents. The planned orders of the parent item determine the timing of the gross requirements of the child. In our case, the parent item (the CD cabinet) has planned orders in periods 3, 6, and 9, and its children (the top, bottom, door, sides, shelves, and shelf supports) will all have gross requirements in periods 3, 6, and 9. The quantity of the gross requirement for the child is determined by the usage quantity. Since each CD cabinet needs one cabinet top, the gross requirement for the cabinet top is 100 pieces. This is the planned order quantity of the parent multiplied by the usage rate of the child (100 × 1). The beginning inventory of the cabinet tops is 120 units. We can see from the inventory record in Table 14.8a that we need replenishment orders (each for a quantity of 144 units) in periods 3 and 6. If no replenishment order is placed in period 3, we will not have enough cabinet tops to satisfy our gross requirement in period 6. Table 14.8 (a–f ) has the inventory records for all the children of the CD cabinet. Note that all of the CD cabinet children have gross requirements in periods 3, 6, and 9. This is because the timing of gross requirements for a child is derived from the planned orders of its parent or parents. After the system sets the gross requirements, it projects the available inventory and back-schedules replenishment orders using the lead time needed for the order to arrive in the appropriate period. For example, the 144 cabinet tops ordered in period 3 will arrive in period 6 to help satisfy the gross requirement in that period. The next order for cabinet tops will be placed in period 6 to arrive in period 9. Quantities shown as scheduled receipts have already been ordered. See Table 14.8b, period 3.
TABLE 14.8 Inventory Records for CD Cabinet Components
TABLE 14.8a Inventory Record for Cabinet Top
Item: Cabinet Top Parent: CD Cabinet Lot size rule: FOQ = 144 Children: none Lead time: 3 weeks Beginning inventory: 120
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 120 120 20 20 20 64 64 64 108 108 108 108
Planned Orders: 144 144
TABLE 14.8b Inventory Record for Cabinet Bottom
Item: Cabinet Bottom Parent: CD Cabinet Lot size rule: FOQ = 144 Children: Feet Lead time: 3 weeks Beginning inventory: 20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0 100 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts: 144
Projected Available: 20 20 64 64 64 108 108 108 8 8 8 8
Planned Orders: 144
534 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
TABLE 14.8c Inventory Record for Cabinet Door
Item: Cabinet Door Parent: CD Cabinet Lot size rule: FOQ = 216 Children: Magnet, hinge, handle, screws Lead time: 4 weeks Beginning inventory: 120
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 200 0 0 200 0 0 200 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts: 216
Projected Available: 120 120 136 136 136 152 152 152 168 168 168 168
Planned Orders: 216 216
TABLE 14.8d Inventory Record for Cabinet Sides
Item: Side Parent: CD Cabinet Lot size rule: FOQ = 216 Children: none Lead time: 3 weeks Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 200 0 0 200 0 0 200 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts: 216
Projected Available: 0 0 16 16 16 32 32 32 48 48 48 48
Planned Orders: 216 216
TABLE 14.8e Inventory Record for Cabinet Shelves
Item: Shelf Parent: CD Cabinet Lot size rule: L4L Children: none Lead time: 2 weeks Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 400 0 0 400 0 0 400 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders: 400 400 400
TABLE 14.8f Inventory Record for Shelf Supports
Item: Shelf Supports Parent: CD Cabinet Lot size rule: FOQ = 2500 Children: none Lead time: 1 week Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 1600 0 0 1600 0 0 1600 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 900 900 900 1800 1800 1800 200 200 200 200
Planned Orders: 2500 2500
After MRP reviews and updates the children of the CD cabinet, it drops to the next lower level in the BOM and processes the inventory records at that level. In our example, those records are for the door magnet, door hinge, handle, screws, door catch, and feet. The cab- inet door is the parent item for the magnet, hinge, handle, and screws. The cabinet right side is the parent of the door catch as well as a second parent for the screws. The cabinet bottom is the parent of the feet. Table 14.9 shows the inventory records for these remaining compon- ents. The process is the same as for the children of the CD cabinet. You look to the planned
How MRP Works • 535
order releases of the parent item to determine the gross requirements of the components. For example, look at Table 14.9c (the inventory record for the handle); its parent (cabinet door) has planned orders in periods 3 and 6. Therefore, the handle must have gross requirements in periods 3 and 6. Next, let’s look at how MRP provides information to the production and inventory control planners.
TABLE 14.9 Inventory Records for Remaining Components
TABLE 14.9a Inventory Record for Door Magnet
Item: Door Magnet Parent: Cabinet Door Lot size rule: FOQ = 250 Children: none Lead time: 2 weeks Beginning inventory: 12
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 216 0 0 216 0 0 0 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 12 12 46 46 46 80 80 80 80 80 80 80
Planned Orders: 250 250
TABLE 14.9b Inventory Record for Door Hinge
Item: Door Hinge Parent: Cabinet Door Lot size rule: FOQ = 932 Children: none Lead time: 4 weeks Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 432 0 0 432 0 0 0 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts: 932
Projected Available: 0 0 500 500 500 68 68 68 68 68 68 68
Planned Orders:
TABLE 14.9c Inventory Record for Door Handle
Item: Handle Parent: Cabinet Door Lot size rule: FOQ = 200 Children: none Lead time: 3 weeks Beginning inventory: 50
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 216 0 0 216 0 0 0 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts: 200
Projected Available: 50 50 34 34 34 18 18 18 18 18 18 18
Planned Orders: 200
TABLE 14.9d Inventory Record for Door Screws
Item: Screw Parent: Cabinet Door, Cabinet Side Lot size rule: FOQ = 2000 Children: none Lead time: 1 week Beginning inventory: 500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 2160 0 0 2160 0 0 0 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 500 500 340 340 340 180 180 180 180 180 180 180
Planned Orders: 2000 2000
536 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
TABLE 14.9e Inventory Record for Door Catches
Item: Door Catch Parent: Cabinet Sides Lot size rule: FOQ = 252 Children: none Lead time: 1 week Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 216 0 0 216 0 0 0 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 36 36 36 72 72 72 72 72 72 72
Planned Orders: 252 252
TABLE 14.9f Inventory Record for Feet
Item: Foot Parent: Cabinet Bottom Lot size rule: L4L Children: none Lead time: 4 weeks Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gross Requirements: 0 0 576 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts: 576
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders:
Action Notices MRP systems typically provide inventory planners with action notices, which indicate the items that need the planner’s attention. An action notice is created when a planned order needs to be released, when due dates of orders need to be adjusted, or when there is insufficient lead time for a planned replenishment order. Let’s look at the different kinds of action notices.
A positive quantity in the current period’s planned order row means that an order must be released. We call the current period the action bucket because that is the period in which we take actions such as releasing, rescheduling, or canceling orders.
Production and inventory control planners release orders either to an external supplier or to the shop floor. An order released to a supplier authorizes the shipment of the material so that it arrives as needed. An order released to the shop authorizes withdrawal of the needed materials and the start of production. Action notices are generated only for actions taken in the current period. Production and inventory control planners adjust the due dates of orders (both opened and planned) to make sure the material does not arrive too soon or too late but just as it is needed. If an order is scheduled to arrive before it is needed ( for example, because the gross requirements changed), the planner delays receipt of the replenishment order until it is needed. If the order is not scheduled to arrive in time, the planner tries to rush or expedite the order. Action notices indicate that a decision must be made or an action taken. The pro- duction and inventory control planner uses the available information and makes the decision.
Comparing Different Lot Size Rules Different lot size rules can be used with MRP systems, such as least unit cost, least total costs, and parts period balancing. In this book, we cover the fixed-order quantity (FOQ), lot- for-lot (L4L), and period-order quantity (POQ). These lot size rules are discussed in Chapter 12. Different lot size rules change the frequency of replenishment orders and determine the quantity of the order. Let’s look at an example comparing FOQ, L4L, and POQ.
Action notices Output from an MRP system that identifi es the need for an action to be taken.
Action bucket The current time period.
Expedite To rush orders that are needed in less than the normal lead time.
How MRP Works • 537
EXAMPLE 14.3 Comparing Different Lot Size Rules at Storage Solutions by Elyssa, Inc.
Given the following gross requirements, let’s calculate the planned replenishment orders needed, then calculate the inventory and ordering costs for the next 13 weeks. The CD cabinet has gross requirements of 25 in periods 2 and 3; 40 in periods 4 and 5; and 60 in periods 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, and 13. The fi rst lot size to try is FOQ = 144, then use L4L, and fi nally use a POQ = 4 periods. The cost to place an order is $25, and the holding cost per unit per period is $0.10.
• Before You Begin: Companies using MRP often use different lot-sizing techniques. Different techniques determine the timing of replenishment orders, the amount of inventory carried, and the frequency of setups. In this problem, you compare three different lot size rules. Calculate the costs associated with each ordering policy and determine which lot size rule makes the most sense. Remember that the fi xed-order quantity (FOQ) rule requires you to order the same quantity each time, while lot-for-lot (L4L) means you order just enough for the next period, and period-order quantity (POQ) means that you order enough to satisfy your requirements for the next n periods.
• Solution: Tables 14.10a–c show the completed inventory records. As you can see, the planned replenish- ment orders vary in frequency and in quantity. Note the different levels of inventory held because of the lot size rule. Lot-for-lot always minimizes a company’s inventory investment because it orders only what is needed for one period. However, L4L also maximizes a company’s ordering costs.
TABLE 14.10 Inventory Records Comparing Lot Size Rules
TABLE 14.10a Inventory Record Using Fixed-Order Quantity
Item: CD Cabinet Lead Time: 1 week Lot size rule: FOQ = 144 Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gross Requirements: 0 25 25 40 40 0 60 60 60 0 60 60 60
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 119 94 54 14 14 98 38 122 122 62 2 86
Planned Orders: 144 144 144 144
TABLE 14.10b Inventory Record Using Lot-for-Lot Item: CD Cabinet Lead Time: 1 week
Lot size rule: L4L Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gross Requirements: 0 25 25 40 40 0 60 60 60 0 60 60 60
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders: 25 25 40 40 60 60 60 60 60 60
TABLE 14.10c Inventory Record Using Period-Order Quantity
Item: CD Cabinet Lead Time: 1 week
Lot size rule: FOQ = 4 periods Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Gross Requirements: 0 25 25 40 40 0 60 60 60 0 60 60 60
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 105 80 40 0 0 120 60 0 0 120 60 0
Planned Orders: 130 180 180
538 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
Capacity Requirements Planning (CRP)
A company uses a rough-cut capacity planning technique to determine whether a proposed MPS is feasible. In Supplement D, we see how to evaluate the feasibility of a proposed MPS with capacity planning using overall planning factors (CPOPF). Rough-cut capacity planning tech- niques use data from the proposed MPS. Capacity requirements planning (CRP) uses data from MRP. We calculate workloads for critical work centers based on open shop orders and planned shop orders. Work begins on open shop orders while planned shop orders are scheduled to be done. We translate these orders into hours of work by work center and by time period.
Open shop orders Released manufacturing orders.
Let’s calculate the costs for each of these different lot size rules for this 13-week situation. The FOQ lot size rule has ending inventory in all but the fi rst period. In total, 825 units are held for a holding cost of $82.50 (825 units × $0.10 per unit per period). The ordering cost is $100 (4 orders × $25 per order). Total holding and ordering cost using the FOQ is $182.50. The L4L lot size rule has no ending inventory during the 13 weeks. However, it does need a total of ten replenishment orders. The total holding and ordering cost for L4L is $250. The POQ = 4 periods lot size rule has ending inventory in periods 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 11, and 12. Total units held are 585, for holding costs of $58.50. POQ requires three replenishment orders (ordering cost equals $75). Total costs for POQ are $133.50. In this case, the POQ lot size rule has the lowest total holding and ordering costs. To ensure that costs are minimized, we have to do the cost comparisons.
EXAMPLE 14.4 Calculating Workloads
Table 14.11 shows items scheduled for Work Center 101. These items are either taken directly from MRP’s planned orders or they are already open shop orders. We want to calculate work- loads for Work Center 101.
• Before You Begin: Capacity requirements planning (CRP) uses the planned order releases from the MRP output to calculate the workload for specifi c work centers. The workload associated with a planned order has two parts: the setup to do the job and the processing time for the job.
TABLE 14.11 Workload for Work Center 101
Period Item
Number Quantity Setup Time
(hours)
Run Time per Unit in Standard
Hours Total Item
Time (hours)
Weekly Workload
(hours)
4 DN100 250 3.0 0.20 53.0
DP100 250 5.0 0.18 50.0
DS119 150 2.5 0.30 47.5
DT136 400 3.5 0.27 111.5 262.0
5 EQ555 1000 8.0 0.08 88.0
ER616 500 4.0 0.22 114.0
ES871 100 2.0 0.35 37.0 239.0
6 FA314 250 3.0 0.30 78.0
FF369 100 1.5 0.12 13.5
FR766 50 0.5 0.15 8.0
FS119 200 3.0 0.35 73.0
FY486 500 6.0 0.27 141.0 313.5
Capacity Requirements Planning (CRP) • 539
The primary difference between rough-cut capacity planning (RCCP) and CRP is that CRP uses the actual planned orders instead of the quantity needed just to complete the fi nal product assembly. For example, using RCCP, if we want to estimate the time needed to build 100 CD cabinets, we assume that we make just enough pieces of everything to build 100 units. We don’t take into account beginning inventories. However, with CRP, we take into account only the items that have a planned order scheduled. This also indicates the quantity to be built of the item. If a lot size rule other than L4L (lot-for-lot) is used, more capacity must be used to complete the planned order for the item. CRP provides a better estimate of the total capacity needed.
• Solution:
We calculate the total item time by summing the setup time and the total run time for the item.
Total item time = setup time + (quantity × run time per unit) The setup time is incurred each time the machine is prepared to produce the desired quantity of an item. We calculate the total run time by multiplying the quantity to be produced by the run time per unit. In our example, for item DN100, we plan to produce 250 units, with each unit needing 0.20 hour of run time. The total run time is 50.0 hours (250 units × 0.20 hour per unit). Total workload placed on the work center by item DN100 is 53 hours: 3 hours to set up the machine and 50 hours to run the quantity. We make similar calculations for each of the other items. When we have calculated the workloads, we compare them to the available capacity for the work center in those time periods. We calculate available capacity (discussed in Chapter 9) by multiplying the number of ma- chines available × number of shifts used × number of hours per shift × number of days per week × usage × effi ciency.
Available capacity =
number of machines available
× number of shifts used
× number of hours per shift
× number of days per week
× utiliza- tion
× efficiency
In our case, we have four machines and we use two ten-hour shifts for fi ve days per week, so our usage is 85 percent and our effi ciency is 95 percent.
Available capacity
= 4 machines × 2 shifts × 10 hours per shift
× 5 days per week
× 0.85 utilization × 0.95 efficiency
The available capacity per week is 323 standard hours. Figure 14.5 shows the workload com- pared to available capacity. If the available capacity is not adequate, the company has a number of options. The easiest and quickest way to increase available capacity may be to authorize overtime at the work center. Another approach is to reduce the capacity needed by doing some of the work at an alternate work center. If the gap between available and needed capacity is signifi cant, the company can hire a subcontractor for temporary extra capacity.
0 4
DT136
DS119
DP100
DN100
ER616
ES871
EQ555
WEEKS
H O
U R
S
FS119
FR766 FF369 A
va ila
b le
C ap
ac it
yFY486
FA314
5 6
50
100
150
200
250
300 323 350
FIGURE 14.5 Workload for Work Center 101
540 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
CRP enables a company to evaluate both the feasibility of the MRP system and how well the company is using its critical work centers.
Resource Planning Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Enterprise resource planning provides a common database for use by an organization, its suppliers, and its customers. Second-generation ERP systems are designed to support sup- ply chain management and e-commerce. These systems automate routine transactions and provide real-time information to all members of the enterprise. ERP systems typically have a production and materials module (MRP) to determine what is needed, how much is needed, and when it is needed.
MRP reports are used by the production and inventory planners to (1) generate purchas- ing requisitions and (2) develop schedules of different activities to be done on the man- ufacturing floor. Techniques for sequencing activities are discussed in Chapter 15. The authorized MPS, the bill of material (BOM) file, and the inventory records are inputs to the MRP system. It is critical that the MPS be feasible and that the BOM file and the inventory records be accurate. This implies that the time standards (Chapter 11) are valid and that cycle counting (Chapter 12) is used to maintain inventory record accuracy. If not, material is not ordered at the appropriate time in the right quantity. The master scheduler is respon- sible for the feasibility of the MPS, and a manufacturing engineer is probably responsible for the BOM file. The production and inventory planners are often held accountable for the accuracy of the inventory records.
Even though rough-cut capacity planning (RCCP) using MPS data was done to check for feasibility, it is still important to do capacity requirements planning (CRP) for any critical work centers (bottlenecks or potential bottlenecks). CRP operates at a greater level of detail than does RCCP, using information generated by the MRP system. Production planners do this to make sure the detailed schedule of production is feasible.
Resource planning is designed to ensure that the right materials, in the right quantities, are available at the right time. And to ensure that the right job is being done on the right equipment.
Resource Planning Across the Organization
Since MRP determines the quantity and timing of materials needed, it affects several func- tional areas in the company. Let’s first look at how each functional area is affected by MRP and then consider the effects of ERP.
Accounting calculates future material commitments based on MRP output. Account- ing then develops cash flow budgets and the inventory investment to support the current MPS. With a common database, accounting should be able to determine the exact status of outstanding orders, including cost, quantity, and delivery date. Since there is a common database, discrepancies between supplier and manufacturer should be reduced.
Marketing is primarily concerned with the MPS, which identifies when finished goods will be completed. MRP reveals potential material shortages that directly affect marketing since the shortages may delay product completion. Marketing can also use MRP for allo- cating scarce materials to maximize customer service. One major advantage of ERP is that marketing can track actual sales at the final product level (using POS) to determine what actions, if any, need to be taken to maximize customer service.
ACC
MKT
Capacity Requirements Planning (CRP) • 541
Information systems maintains MRP, which is a large database that includes the BOM, the inventory records, and the MPS. Minimizing errors in the database is essential to pro- ducing useful reports. ERP will help IS by using a single integrated database for both inter- nal and external members of the supply chain.
Purchasing uses the planned orders generated by MRP to evaluate the feasibility of long- term or blanket contracts and to determine delivery need. The lead times that are input into MRP often come directly from purchasing. ERP will facilitate supplier-managed inventory approaches and reduce transaction costs for purchasing.
Manufacturing uses the output generated by MRP to develop daily manufacturing sched- ules. MRP ensures that the right materials in the right quantity are available to support the MPS. Manufacturing also uses MRP to allocate scarce materials. ERP will provide manufac- turing with improved insight into actual customer demand. It should increase the probabil- ity that manufacturing is working on products actually needed to satisfy customer demand.
In most manufacturing operations, production or inventory control planners are respon- sible for working with MRP. Planners are typically responsible for certain inventory items, including end items, subassemblies, and components. Planners check the MRP output for action notices related to the items for which they are responsible. Planners schedule, reschedule, and expedite materials to support the MPS. A planning position is often an entry-level job in the materials field.
As companies continue to move toward ERP, all functional areas will work from a cen- tral database. The database gives all areas in the company access to the same information simultaneously and improves organizational effectiveness.
MIS
Enterprise resource planning provides the structure for common databases across the organization, its suppliers, and its customers. Suppliers can access the master production schedule (MPS) to see projected build dates for products that use materials supplied by them. The current trend is to inte- grate e-commerce and ERP systems. Tangible benefi ts of an ERP system include reduced inventory levels, reduced staffi ng,
improved order launching, reduced IT and purchasing costs, improved cash fl ow, and increased profi ts. Intangible benefi ts include improved visibility of system demand, improved cus- tomer responsiveness, and improved fl exibility. Enterprise re- source planning systems provide the structure needed for ef- fective supply chain management. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
ERP systems are now a major part of life for most busi-nesses and their supply chains. When fi rst implemented, the role of ERP was to manage a company’s data and proc- esses from a single system. Today, ERP systems have become increasingly important in managing sustainability, as compa- nies are under tremendous pressure to meet and document their sustainability initiatives. As regulatory and environmental pressures grow, companies are now turning to ERP systems for help in executing and tracking the success of their sustaina- bility initiatives. Remember that ERP systems are about man- aging resources and measures of sustainability to show how well a company uses these resources with an eye toward “greening.” As a result, ERP systems are increasingly becom- ing platforms for this type of analysis, providing accurate re- ports on items such as carbon footprints, carbon trades, and information to support product-level carbon labeling.
To meet this growing demand, ERP software vendors, such as SAP and Oracle, are enhancing their software offering in the areas of sustainability reporting, planning, and management, adding modules such as carbon management. Using ERP systems to link resources to sustainability metrics is so huge that even small soft- ware vendors are developing these systems. These solutions in- volve expanding current ERP capability to include gathering and analyzing enormous amounts of data, as sustainability initiatives run the full length of a company’s supply chain. This involves col- lecting product and SKU-level waste data from manufacturing sites, gathering emissions fi gures from transport providers, and obtaining “real-time” energy consumption information from rel- evant utilities. So to really track and report success of corporate sustainability initiatives, these systems require complex streams of data. As the need for sustainable use of resources grows, ERP systems will increasingly add capabilities in this area. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
542 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
Key Terms
enterprise resource planning (ERP) 518
SCM software 520
supply chain intelligence (SCI) 520
application service provider (ASP) 521
closed-loop MRP 524
manufacturing resource planning (MRP II) 524
material requirements planning (MRP) 524
backward scheduling 524
capacity requirements planning (CRP) 525
bill of material (BOM) 525
independent demand 525
dependent demand 526
time-phased 526
gross requirements 526
planning factors 528
lead time 528
scheduled receipt 529
projected available 529
planned orders 529
indented bill of material 529
product structure tree 529
end item 529
parent item 530
components 530
explosion process 532
action notices 536
action bucket 536
expedite 536
open shop orders 538
Chapter Highlights 1 Enterprise resource planning (ERP) is software
designed for organizing and managing business proc- esses by sharing information across functional areas using a common database and a single computer sys- tem. First-generation ERP systems provide a single interface for managing routine activities performed in manufacturing. Second-generation ERP systems of SCM software are designed to improve decision making in the supply chain. The trend is to integrate e-commerce and ERP systems.
2 ERP systems provide both tangible and intangible benefits. Tangible benefits include reductions in inven- tory and staffing, increased productivity, improved order management, quicker closing of financial cycles, reduced IT and purchasing costs, improved cash flow management, and increased revenue and profits. Intangible benefits include improved visibility of cor- porate data, improved customer responsiveness, and improved flexibility.
3 Material planning is facilitated with material require- ments planning (MRP) systems. The MRP system determines what to order, how much to order, when to place the order, what materials are needed, and when to schedule the order’s arrival. The objectives of MRP are to determine the quantity and timing of material requirements and to keep schedule priorities updated and valid. MRP systems calculate material requirements for items with dependent demand. MRP systems backward-schedule to determine when each
activity starts so the finished product is completed on time. The operating logic used in an MRP system checks the authorized MPS to determine the quan- tity and timing of an order. The system then checks the bill of material file to determine the materials and parts needed to build an item. Then the system checks individual item inventory records to see whether the materials are available or need to be ordered. If orders are needed, the system calculates when the order for the material must be released. This provides the schedule for completing the end item on time.
4 The MRP system generates action notices to show when to release planned orders, reschedule an order, or adjust due dates. These notices make it easier for the planner to use the MRP output more effectively. Different lot size rules can be used with MRP systems to generate different order quantities and order fre- quencies. The lot-for-lot rule always minimizes inven- tory but maximizes the ordering costs incurred. A cost comparison shows the effect of using different lot sizing rules.
5 Planned orders generated by MRP, plus any open shop orders, are inputs to capacity requirements planning (CRP). CRP checks whether available capacity is suf- ficient to complete the orders scheduled in a partic- ular work center during a specific time period. CRP calculates the workloads at critical work centers. The planned order releases are multiplied by the standard times to calculate individual work center loads.
Solved Problems • 543
Formula Review 1. To calculate total item time:
Total item time = setup time + (quantity × run time per unit)
2. To calculate available capacity:
Available capacity = number of machines available × number of shifts used × number of hours per shift × number of days per week × utilization × efficiency
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Using the product tree shown in Figure 14.6, calculate the cumulative lead time for Item 100 if you have no inventory.
Before You Begin: Determine the minimum amount of time needed to build Item 100. To fi nd the cumulative lead time, calculate the total time it takes for each connected pathway from the lowest level up to the fi nished product. If there is no inventory in stock, this represents the quick- est way you can respond to an order for this item. Th en, consider the eff ect of having some inventory on hand. Inventory of component parts and/or subassemblies can reduce the amount of time it takes to respond to an order.
Solution: Check all the paths through the product structure tree to fi nd the longest path.
Path through the Product Structure
Total Lead Time (weeks)
Part 201 to Part 101 to Item 100 7 Part 102 to Item 100 6 Part 202 to Part 103 to Item 100 5 Part 203 to Part 103 to Item 100 6 Part 104 to Item 100 6
How long is the lead time if you have enough inventory for Parts 102, 104, 201, and 203?
Th e path from Part 201 to Part 101 to Item 100 is the longest (7 weeks), so it is the cumulative lead time. When we have enough inventory for some parts, we can eliminate that segment of the path and all levels below that inventory. For example, if we have enough of Part 101, we do not need any more of its component parts (201). Th e new paths when we have suffi cient inventory for Parts 102, 104, 201, and 203 are shown here.
Path through the Product Structure
Total Lead Time (weeks)
Part 101 to Item 100 4
Part 202 to Part 103 to Item 100 5
Given that we have enough inventory, we are concerned with only two paths through the product tree. In this situation, the minimum time to produce this item is 5 weeks.
Part 201 usage (2)
LT = 3 weeks
Part 202 usage (3)
LT = 1 week
Part 203 usage (2)
LT = 2 weeks
Item 100 LT = 2 weeks
Part 101 usage (3)
LT = 2 weeks
Part 102 usage (2)
LT = 4 weeks
Part 103 usage (1)
LT = 2 weeks
Part 104 usage (2)
LT = 4 weeks
FIGURE 14.6 Product structure tree
544 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
PROBLEM 2
Complete the inventory record for Item 500 and do an MRP explosion of its component parts. Figure 14.7 shows the product structure tree for Item 500.
Before You Begin: Th is problem requires an MRP explosion for Item 500. Begin the explosion process with the fi nished good, and then work downward level by level through the product structure tree. Remember that the timing and quantity of the gross requirements for children are determined by the planned orders of the parents. After the explosion, you will have the planned orders necessary to produce the units listed in the mas- ter production schedule.
Item: 500 Parent: none Lot Size Rule: L4L Children: 501, 502, 503, 504 Lead Time: 2 weeks Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 Gross Requirements: 0 0 0 250 0 Scheduled Receipts: Projected Available: Planned Orders:
6 7 8 9 10 Gross Requirements: 250 0 250 0 250 Scheduled Receipts: Projected Available: Planned Orders:
Solution: Given the gross requirements, we will need planned orders for Item 500 in weeks 2, 4, 6, and 8. Each of the planned orders is for 250 units, exactly the
quantity needed to satisfy the gross requirements. Th e completed record is shown here.
Item: 500 Parent: none Lot Size Rule: L4L Children: 501, 502, 503, 504 Lead Time: 2 weeks Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5 Gross Requirements: 0 0 0 250 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders: 0 250 0 250 0
6 7 8 9 10 Gross Requirements: 250 0 250 0 250
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders: 250 0 250 0 0
Now that we have a completed inventory record for the end item, we can do the MRP explosions for its children. Remember that each of the children will have gross requirements in the periods that the parent has a planned order (weeks 2, 4, 6, and 8). Th e completed records for the four children follow. Since the usage rate for Item 501 is (2) per parent item, the gross requirement is double the planned order quan- tity of the parent, or 250 × 2 = 500 units. Th e lot size rule is a fi xed-order quantity of 1000 pieces. Each time an order is placed, it is for 1000 pieces. Th us, Item 501 has two planned orders, one in period 2 and one in period 6.
FIGURE 14.7 Product structure tree
Part 812 usage (2)
LT = 2 weeks
Part 813 usage (3)
LT = 3 weeks
Item 500 LT = 2 weeks
Part 501 usage (2)
LT = 2 weeks
Part 502 usage (1)
LT = 1 week
Part 503 usage (3)
LT = 3 weeks
Part 504 usage (2)
LT = 2 weeks
Solved Problems • 545
Item: 501 Parent: 500 Usage: 2 Lot Size Rule: FOQ = 1000 Children: none Lead Time: 2 weeks Beginning inventory: 600
1 2 3 4 5
Gross Requirements: 0 500 0 500 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 600 100 100 600 600
Planned Orders: 0 1000 0 0 0
6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements: 500 0 500 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 100 100 600 600 600
Planned Orders: 1000 0 0 0 0
Using lot-for-lot as our lot size rule, we need to place four orders for Item 502. We have planned orders in periods 1, 3, 5, and 7.
Item: 502 Parent: 500 Usage: 1 Lot Size Rule: L4L Children: 812, 813 Lead Time: 1 week Beginning inventory: 0
1 2 3 4 5
Gross Requirements: 0 250 0 250 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders: 250 0 250 0 250
6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements: 250 0 250 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders: 0 250 0 0 0
Once again, we calculate the gross requirements by multiplying the parent’s planned order quantity by the usage factor (3) shown in the product structure tree. Th is results in the gross requirement for Item 503, which is triple the order quantity of the parent’s planned order.
Item: 503 Parent: 500 Usage: 3 Lot Size Rule: FOQ = 1500 Children: 812, 813 Lead Time: 3 weeks Beginning inventory: 800
1 2 3 4 5
Gross Requirements: 0 750 0 750 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 800 50 50 800 800
Planned Orders: 1500 0 0 0 1500
6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements: 750 0 750 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 50 50 800 800 800
Planned Orders: 0 0 0 0 0
Given the lot size rule for this item, we need only one planned order.
Item: 504 Parent: 500 Usage: 2 Lot Size Rule: FOQ = 2000 Children: none Lead Time: 2 weeks Beginning inventory: 600
1 2 3 4 5
Gross Requirements: 0 500 0 500 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 600 100 100 1600 1600
Planned Orders: 0 2000 0 0 0
6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements: 500 0 500 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 1100 1100 600 600 600
Planned Orders: 0 0 0 0 0
Now let’s look at the children of Item 502. Th e gross requirements for Item 812 are double the quantity of its parent’s planned orders. Th e lot size rule, POQ = 4 periods, means that the planned order quantity should be enough to cover the requirements in the period it is scheduled to arrive plus the next three periods. For example, we need an order to arrive in period 3. Th is planned order must be large enough to cover the gross requirements in periods 3, 4, 5, and 6. Th e inventory records for both 812 and 813 follow.
Item: 812 Parent: 502 Usage: 2 Lot Size Rule: POQ = 4 periods Children: none Lead Time: 2 weeks Beginning inventory: 500
1 2 3 4 5
Gross Requirements: 500 0 500 0 500
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 500 500 0
Planned Orders: 1000 0 0 0 500
6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements: 0 500 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders: 0 0 0 0 0
546 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
Item: 813 Parent: 502 Usage: 3 Lot Size Rule: FOQ = 1500 Children: none Lead Time: 3 weeks Beginning inventory: 1500
1 2 3 4 5 Gross Requirements: 750 0 750 0 750 Scheduled Receipts: Projected Available: 750 750 0 0 750 Planned Orders: 0 1500 0 0 0
6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements: 0 750 0 0 0
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available: 750 0 0 0 0
Planned Orders: 0 0 0 0 0
PROBLEM 3
EJ Fabricators operates six machines, three eight-hour shifts, fi ve days per week. EJ’s usage rate is 82 percent and its effi ciency rate is 90 percent. Calculate the avail- able capacity. Calculate EJ’s workload in periods 7 and 8 and determine whether there is a capacity problem.
Before You Begin: In this problem, determine whether adequate capacity is available. Calculate available capacity by multiplying the number of machines avail- able for use by the number of shifts operated by the number of days per week by the utilization level by the effi ciency level. Th is, in eff ect, reduces the output expected by factoring in utilization and effi ciency. Th is allows more realistic expectations from manufacturing.
Solution: We calculate the available capacity by multi- plying the number of machines by the number of shifts by the number of hours per shift by the number of days per week by the utilization rate by the effi ciency rate:
6 machines × 3 shifts × 8 hours per shift × 5 days per week × 0.82 utilization × 0.90 efficiency
which equals 531.36 hours of available capacity. To cal- culate the workload, we need information about the jobs scheduled in each period. We have shown you how to calculate the capacity available. Now calculate the workload for each period.
Discussion Questions
1. Describe enterprise resource planning and its role in an organization.
2. Describe the basic modules of an ERP system.
3. Describe the evolution of ERP systems.
4. Describe the role of SCM software and give examples of how it diff ers from fi rst-generation ERP.
5. Explain what independent demand is and give ex- amples of products with independent demand.
6. Explain what dependent demand is and give examples of how you can use dependent demand in your per- sonal life.
7. Explain the concept of backward scheduling and give examples of how you use backward scheduling in your personal life.
8. What are the objectives of MRP?
9. Describe how MRP works.
10. Describe the inputs needed for MRP.
11. For each input needed, describe problems that might arise when you run MRP.
12. Explain what happens when you use diff erent lot size rules in MRP.
13. Explain why companies do capacity requirements planning.
14. Describe the inputs needed for capacity requirements planning.
15. Describe how MRP II diff ers from MRP.
Problems • 547
Problems
Use the information given here for the next fi ve problems.
Item Usage per Parent Load Time (weeks)
Q — 2
R 2 3
S 1 4
T 3 2
X 2 3
Y 1 2
V 1 3
Z 3 2
1. Will’s Welded Widgets (WWW) makes its Q Model from components R, S, and T. Component R is made from two units of component X and one unit of com- ponent Y. Component T is made from one unit of com- ponent V and three units of component Z. Draw the product structure tree for the Q Model.
2. Using the given information, calculate the replenish- ment lead time for the Q Model assuming that you have no beginning inventories.
3. Using the given information, calculate the gross re- quirements for each of the components if the com- pany plans to build 100 of its Q Models. Assume that there are no beginning inventories.
4. Using the given information, calculate the gross re- quirements for each of the components when the company plans to build 100 of its Q Models if you have these inventories: 150 units of component T and 200 units of component R.
5. Using the given information and the beginning invent- ories from Problem 4, calculate the minimum replen- ishment time for the 100 Q Models.
Use the following information for Problems 6 through 10.
Component
Imme- diate
Parent
Usage per
Parent
Lead Time
(weeks) Beginning Inventory
A none — 1 0
B A 2 2 250
C A 1 6 500
D A 3 3 750
E A 2 2 750
F B 4 2 3000
G B 2 4 1000
H D 3 2 5000
Component
Imme- diate
Parent
Usage per
Parent
Lead Time
(weeks) Beginning Inventory
I D 2 4 5000
J E 1 8 1000
K E 5 1 5000
L E 2 4 2500
M F 3 3 250
N F 6 3 2560
O H 2 4 0
P K 1 2 500
Q K 2 3 1000
6. Flora’s Fabulous Fountains’ (FFF) top product is its Model A. Using the information given, draw the product structure tree for the Model A.
7. Using the information given, calculate the replenish- ment time when no beginning inventory exists.
8. Flora is preparing for her busy season and is building 2500 Model A fountains. Calculate the gross require- ments for each component assuming that there is no beginning inventory.
9. Using the information given and assuming that 2500 Model A fountains are scheduled for completion, cal- culate the gross requirements of each component. Use the beginning inventories given.
10. Calculate the minimum replenishment time for the Model A fountains given the beginning inventories.
11. Fill in the partially completed inventory record shown here.
Item: AB500 Parent: None Lot Size Rule: L4L Children: AB501, AB511, Lead Time: 2 weeks AB521
1 2 3 4 5
Gross Requirements: 150 250 150
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available:
Planned Orders:
6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements: 250 150 250 150 250
Scheduled Receipts:
Projected Available:
Planned Orders:
548 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
12. Using the planned orders generated in Problem 11, complete inventory records for components AB501, AB511, and AB521. Th e lot size rule, lead time, and us- age information are shown here.
Component Lot Size
Rule Time
(weeks)
Lead Usage Factor
Beginning Inventory
AB501 L4L 2 2 1100 AB511 FOQ = 350 3 1 650 AB521 POQ = 3 2 3 1650
13. Using the inventory records completed in Problem 12, calculate the average inventory level of AB501, AB511, and AB521.
14. Use the planned orders generated in Problem 11. Cal- culate the average inventory records if the company decides to switch the lot size rule for AB511 and AB521 to lot-for-lot. Compare the number of replenishment orders using the new lot size rules.
15. Using the information given, fi ll in the partially com- pleted inventory record shown here.
Item: AB500 Parent: None Lot Size Rule: FOQ = 200 Children: AB501, AB511, Lead Time: 2 weeks AB521
1 2 3 4 5 Gross Requirements: 150 250 150 Scheduled Receipts: Projected Available: Planned Orders:
6 7 8 9 10 Gross Requirements: 250 150 250 150 250 Scheduled Receipts: Projected Available: Planned Orders:
16. Using the planned orders generated in Problem 15, complete the inventory record for components AB501, AB511, and AB521. Use the lot size rule, lead time, and usage information given in Problem 12. Indicate any problems that occur.
17. Fill in the partially completed inventory record shown here.
Item: AB500 Parent: None Lot Size Rule: POQ = 3 Children: AB501, AB511, Lead Time: 2 weeks AB521
1 2 3 4 5 Gross Requirements: 150 250 150 Scheduled Receipts: Projected Available: Planned Orders:
6 7 8 9 10 Gross Requirements: 250 150 250 150 250 Scheduled Receipts: Projected Available: Planned Orders:
18. Using the planned orders generated in Problem 17, complete inventory records for components AB501, AB511, and AB521. Use the lot size rule, lead time, and usage information given in Problem 12.
19. Th e Yankee Machine Shop has the following orders scheduled in Work Center 111 for week 12. Calculate the capacity needed.
Orders Quantity Setup Time
(hours) Run Time per Piece (hours)
LL110 10 2.0 1.2
LL118 25 4.0 0.4
LL131 100 6.0 0.6
LL140 50 4.0 0.2
20. Th e Yankee Machine Shop currently has three ma- chines working in Work Center 111, eight hours per day, fi ve days per week, a utilization rate of 90 percent, and an effi ciency rate of 90 pecent. (a) Calculate the available capacity. (b) Is the available capacity enough to complete
the orders given in Problem 19 that are already scheduled in Work Center 111? If not, how much additional capacity is needed?
21. Th e Yankee Machine Shop has decided to schedule its workforce to work ten hours per day, fi ve days per week. Does this new policy provide enough capacity to complete the orders shown in Problem 19?
22. Unfortunately, after extending the work day from eight hours to ten hours, the Yankee Machine Shop has noted that effi ciency has decreased to 80 per- cent. Given this new piece of information, is there enough capacity to complete the orders given in Problem 19?
23. In week 13, the Yankee Machine Shop has the follow- ing orders scheduled for Work Center 111. Calculate the capacity needed.
Orders Quantity Setup Time
(hours) Run Time per Piece (hours)
MM078 100 4.0 0.3
MM118 250 6.0 0.1
MM213 100 3.0 0.3
MM240 500 8.0 0.1
Case: Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (B) • 549
24. In an eff ort to increase capacity in Work Center 111 for week 13, Yankee Machine Shop has authorized overtime. Th e work center will be staff ed 12 hours per day for six days. Because of the additional stress on the three machines, it is expected that the utilization rate will drop to 85 percent. Th e effi ciency rate is expected to fall to 80 percent. (a) Calculate the capacity available in Work Center
111 for week 13. (b) Will this plan provide suffi cient capacity to
complete the orders given in Problem 23? If not, what do you recommend be done?
25. Th e Gamma Ray Company produces two products, the Gamma Blaster (GB) and the Gamma Disaster (GD). Each product is made from three components: A, B, and C. Th e Gamma Blaster is made from the follow- ing components: A (2), B (3), and C (4). Th e Gamma Disaster is made from A (3), B (2), and C (1). All other
relevant information is provided. Complete the appro- priate inventory records.
Item On
Hand Scheduled Receipts
Lot Size Rule MPS
Lead Time
GB 0 0 L4L 150, period 8 1
GD 0 0 L4L 100, period 6 2
A 250 200, period 4 FOQ = 200 4
B 25 0 FOQ = 300 2
C 0 0 L4L 3
26. Using the information in Problem 25, determine the minimum lead time to satisfy a new order for the Gamma Blaster. Determine the minimum lead time required to satisfy a new order for the Gamma Disaster.
Case: Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (B)
Th e Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (NIMCO) was started by Marcia Blakely just two years after she fi nished graduate school. Her knowledge of mass customization has been the driving force behind NIMCO. Th e company produces three major custom products. Volume on the products is high even though each item is customized specifi cally for the customer. Th e products are processed through up to four diff erent work centers. Even though each item is unique, the pro- cessing time at each work center is constant due to the sophisticated equipment used.
Developing a Material Requirements Plan
Joe Barnes, the production manager, reviewed your rough-cut capacity planning report and developed a new MPS that better uses capacity at each work center. Joe has given you an authorized MPS and has asked you to gener- ate the schedule of material requirements. Th e authorized master production schedule is shown in Table 14.12.
TABLE 14.12 Authorized MPS
Period 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
A 7600 8700 9000 8700
B 4000 4000 4000 3800 3800 3800 3600
C 5300 6300 6400
Period 21 22 23 24 25 26
A 8000 6800 3000
B 3600 3600 3800 3800 3800 4000
C 6000 5600 5200
(a) Generate the material requirements. You need a BOM for each of the three products (A, B, and C), beginning inventory levels, and scheduled receipts. The BOMs are shown in Figure 14.8. All items use lot-for-lot as the lot size rule. No beginning inventories exist. Lead time is two weeks for all items except items D and F, which have a lead time of three weeks and one week, respectively. All other information is provided for you in Table 14.13.
(b) After completing the material requirements plan, develop a load profi le for each work center for each week of the second quarter. Use the planned order releases and calculate the workload at each work center for weeks 14 through 26. Th e stan- dard times are shown in the table. Use the load profi les to identify potential problems. Th e eff ec- tive capacity at each work center is 960 hours each period.
550 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
FIGURE 14.8 Product structure tree
Product A
Component D(3)
Component G(2)
Component J(3)
Component H(4)
Component X(1)
Component K(3)
Component F(1)
Component R(2)
Component E(2)
Component I(2)
Product B
Product C
TABLE 14.13 Additional Information
Item Scheduled Receipts Work Done at Work Center
Standard Hours per Piece
A 0 4 0.04 B 0 4 0.10 C 0 4 0.06 D 22,800 in Period 12 1 0.02
26,100 in Period 14 E 15,200 in Period 12 3 0.02 F 7600 in Period 12 3 0.02
8700 in Period 14 G 8000 in Period 12 2 0.02 H 16,000 in Period 12 1 0.0375 I 34,800 in Period 12 3 0.02 J 48,000 in Period 12 2 0.015
22,800 in Period 13 K 15,900 in Period 12 3 0.03
18,900 in Period 13 R none scheduled 2 0.04 X none scheduled 3 0.04
Interactive Case: Virtual Company • 551
Case: Desserts by J.B.
Jay Brown ( J.B. to his friends) is a student at the North- west Culinary Institute and specializes in preparing elab- orate desserts. After graduation, J.B. wants to open up a bakery. Th e bakery, Desserts by J.B., would off er elaborate, European-style desserts. As J.B. prepares his business plan, the issues of material and capacity planning arise. At the Institute, J.B. never worried about such issues. Someone else was responsible for ensuring that material was available and for scheduling the equipment.
Since J.B. knows that you are studying business, he has asked for your help. He needs some guidance on material planning and capacity management. In order to assist your analysis, J.B. has asked you to compile a list of necessary information. Once you have adequate
information, J.B. needs to know how to determine his material requirements and how to determine his capac- ity needs. (a) Develop a list of the information you will need
before you can help J.B. (b) Using at least fi ve recipes for elaborate European-
styled desserts, demonstrate how you would plan for materials.
(c) Discuss the factors J.B. needs to consider when determining his capacity needs.
(d) Explain to J.B. how he will be able to use an MRP approach in his bakery. Be sure to explain issues such as planned orders, projected available quan- tities, lot sizing rules, BOMs, and inventory records.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: ERP Systems at Cruise International, Inc. Bob Bristol wants you to examine the possi- ble benefi ts from implementing an ERP system. Since planning and coordination of a wide range of resources is critical to CII, Bob believes that an ERP system will be useful. He wants a concise research report for top management at CII addressing ERP issues relevant to CII. Completion of this assignment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material covered in
Chapter 14 of the text. It will also better prepare you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click ERP Systems at CII
On-line Case: An ERP System for Valley Memorial Hospital
ERP System for Valley Memorial Hospital Bob Reilly, head of Kaizen, just called you to say that he was impressed with your work on the various consulting assignments for VMH. As you are approaching the completion of your internship, he recognizes that you have a thorough understanding of the operations at VMH and wants you to examine a broader issue, which has implications across the entire organization. He tells you that, with the current buzz about applications of information technology, administrators and managers at VMH have heard a great deal about enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems. Although they are not sure whether ERP would work well for VMH, they are interested in explor- ing whether an ERP system could be benefi cial. Clearly, eff ective management (i.e., planning and coordination)
of a wide range of resources is critical to VMH. Bob wants you to prepare a concise research report for the top management at VMH addressing relevant ERP issues. He has provided a few specifi c questions for you to consider. Th is assignment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material in this chapter. To complete this assignment, go to www.wiley.com/ college/reid to get more details. Assignment questions are given at the site.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click ERP System for Valley Memorial Hospital
www.wiley.com/college/reid
552 CHAPTER 14 • Resource Planning
Internet Challenge: The Gourmet Dinner
Your university’s Department of Hospitality Manage- ment hosts several gourmet dinners throughout the year. To show how OM concepts are useful in the ser- vice industry, the department has asked you to help manage the next gourmet dinner from the standpoint of materials planning.
Th e dinner is typically a fi ve-course meal: appetizer, soup, salad, entrée, and dessert. Your Internet challenge is to develop the menu using the many cooking Web sites available and then to calculate the kinds and quan- tities of raw material you will need. Assume that the facility where the dinner is hosted will take care of the beverages and that the kitchen and staff have enough
capacity for your menu selections. Th e gourmet dinner will have 300 attendees. If any menu items need more than 12 hours of preparation (remember you are plan- ning for 300 guests), be sure the items arrive in time. Based on your menu, make a list of the raw materials you will need. Specify delivery dates for each item. Cal- culate how long each item on the menu will take to pre- pare for 300 guests. Decide what time the staff needs to start preparation for the dinner to be served beginning at 8:00 p.m. Calculate the time the staff needs to start preparing each item, assuming that the appetizers will be served at 8:00, the soup at 8:20, the salad at 8:35, the entrée at 8:50, and the dessert at 9:15. Bon appetit!
Selected Bibliography
Al-Mashari, M., A. Al-Mudimigh, and M. Zairi. “Enterprise Resource Planning: A Taxonomy of Critical Factors,” European Journal of Operational Research, 146 (2003), 352–364.
Arnold, J.R.T., S.N. Chapman, and L.M. Clive. Introduction to Materials Management, Seventh Edition. Upper Saddle River, N.J.: Pearson Education Limited, 2012.
Blackstone, J.H. Capacity Management. Cincinnati, Ohio: South-Western, 1989.
Cox, J.F., III, J.H. Blackstone, and M.S. Spencer, eds. APICS Dictionary, Fourteenth Edition. Falls Church, Va.: Amer- ican Production and Inventory Control Society, Inc., 2014.
Nelson, E., and E. Ramstad. “Hershey’s Biggest Dud Has Turned Out to Be New Computer System,” Wall Street Journal, October 29, 1999, 1.
Orlicky, J. Material Requirements Planning. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1975.
“SAP Off ers Supply Chain Optimization to Help Industry Meet Global Challenge,” Chemical Market Reporter, 254, 15, October 12, 1998.
Stefanac, R. “As the Picture Gets Bigger, the Focus Becomes Sharper,” Computing Canada, 24, 45, November 30, 1998.
Stein, T. “ERP’s Future Linked to E-Supply Chain,” Informa- tion Week, October 19, 1998.
Turban, E., D. Leidner, E. McLean, and J. Wetherbe. Infor- mation Technology for Management: Transforming Orga-
nizations in the Digital Economy, Sixth Edition. Hoboken, N.J.: John Wiley & Sons, 2008.
Vollmann, T.E., W.L. Berry, D.C. Whybark, and F.R. Jacobs. Manufacturing Planning and Control Systems, Fifth Edi- tion. Burr Ridge, Ill.: McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2005.
Wight, Oliver W. Manufacturing Resource Planning: MRP II. Essex Junction, Vt.: Oliver Wight, 1984.
Scheduling15 Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. Operational impact of competitive priorities, Chapter 2.
2. The differences between high-volume and low-volume operations, Chapter 10.
3. Line balancing, Chapter 10.
4. Techniques for reducing employee boredom, Chapter 11.
5. Order promising, Supplement D.
6. Order planning, Chapter 14.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Explain basic scheduling
concepts.
2 Develop a schedule of operations.
3 Describe the optimized production technology.
4 Describe scheduling issues for service organizations.
A re you a list maker? Many of us are. For some people, the To Do list is a way of life. In fact, many people create electronic lists on their PDAs. We often make lists of errands, business meetings, and social events. The list
might include picking up the dry cleaning, washing the dog, buying a new remote for the TV at the mall, going to the bank, paying bills, cleaning out the garage, meet- ing a friend for lunch, calling Mom, preparing dinner, and so forth. Organizing the list effectively into an operational schedule is more difficult.
Suppose that you needed to schedule all the activities listed above. Some of the tasks are errands, some are household chores, and some are social/ family obligations. You could get the dry clean- ing first since it is right near your home, but you need money to pay for the cleaning and
the bank is in the other direction. So you head to the bank first. Then you pick up the dry cleaning and head home. You wash the dog, getting completely soaked in the process. You change clothes and go to the mall to pick up a new TV remote. You return home and clean the garage and your clothes get dirty. You shower and change clothes in time to meet your friend for lunch. Then it is back home to do the laundry. You still need to call Mom, pay your bills, and prepare dinner before your guests arrive. There must be a better way to do these tasks!
When developing an operational schedule, there are numerous things to con- sider. For example, are there some activities that can be done in parallel (simulta- neously)? That is, can you pay your bills on-line while dinner is baking in the oven and a load of clothes is being washed? Can you arrange your schedule to avoid bottlenecks? For example, go to the bank early in the morning before lines develop. Can you let someone else do some of the tasks for you? Maybe a neighbor can pick up the dry cleaning, or maybe you can pay one of the neighborhood teens to clean out the garage. Are there some activities that can be postponed to another time? Put the garage cleaning off for a few days. Do you create additional tasks because of the sequence you choose to follow? For example, do you need to look
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554 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
nice when shopping at the mall or going to the bank? Will you look nice if you have just finished cleaning the garage or washing the dog? Sometimes the length of time needed to complete your scheduled jobs depends on whether certain jobs require more time because of the preceding task. For example, since you washed the dog before going to the mall, now you need to change clothes before your next task.
To schedule effectively, you must know what has to be done, how long it should take to do, who must do it, and what its priority is. Planning your schedule is the last step before actually completing the tasks on the schedule.
Businesses also make schedules to show how labor, materials, and equipment should be used. Consider an automobile maintenance and repair facility. The schedule can identify the start and finish time for each activity, and the resources to be used—such as auto mechanic Alex using repair bay number two to do a tune-up on a PT Cruiser, starting at 9:00 and finishing by 9:45. Then Alex will be scheduled to do a brake job on a Lincoln Navigator (starting at 9:45 and finishing at 11:00, once again in repair bay number two). Well-defined schedules allow a company to make promises to customers concerning the completion time of the service provided.
In this chapter, we learn how the schedule affects on-time delivery to customers. We examine high-volume and low-volume scheduling operations. We look at different ways of scheduling jobs as well as ways to measure schedule effectiveness. We also consider the theory of constraints and scheduling for service operations. Let’s begin with basic scheduling concepts. •
Basic Scheduling Concepts A company’s overall strategy provides the framework for making decisions in many oper- ational areas. Companies differentiate themselves based on product volume and product variety. This differentiation affects how the company organizes its operations. A company providing a high-volume, standardized, consistent-quality, lower-margin product or service such as a commercial bakery or a fast-food restaurant focuses on product and layout. This type of operation needs dedicated equipment, less-skilled employees, and a continuous or repetitive process flow. Companies providing low-volume, customized, higher-margin products or services, such as a custom furniture maker or an upscale restaurant, focus on process. They need general-purpose equipment, more highly skilled employees, and flexible process flows. Each kind of operation needs a different scheduling technique. Let’s look at high-volume operations first.
Scheduling High-Volume Operations High-volume operations, also called flow operations, can be repetitive operations for dis- crete products like automobiles, appliances, or bread, or services like license renewals at the Division of Motor Vehicles. Or they can be continuous operations for goods produced in a continuous flow as in a product like gasoline or a service like waste treatment. High-volume standard items, either discrete or continuous, have smaller profit margins, so cost efficiency is important. Companies achieve cost efficiency in a high-volume operation through high levels of labor and equipment utilization. Design of the work environment ensures a smooth flow of products or customers through the system. One design is line balancing, which we covered in Chapter 10. Flow operations have the following characteristics.
Flow operations use fixed routings—the product or service is always done the same way in the same sequence with the same workstations. The workstations are arranged sequen- tially according to the routing. Similar processing times are needed at each workstation to achieve a balanced line. Workstations are dedicated to a single product or a limited family of
Flow operations Processes designed to handle high- volume, standard products.
Routing Provides information about the operations to be performed, their sequence, the work centers, and the time standards.
Basic Scheduling Concepts • 555
products. They use special-purpose equipment and tooling. In a service operation, individ- uals performing a specific but limited activity are the equivalent of special-purpose equip- ment. For example, when you attend the theater, you go through a number of processing points. First you buy the tickets at the box office. Then you hand the ticket to the ticket taker. Next you are escorted to your seat by an usher. Each person attending the perfor- mance goes through these same processing points.
Material flows between workstations may be automated. A well-designed system min- imizes work-in-process inventory and reduces the throughput time for the product or service. The design of the production line dictates the capacity of the flow system. The workstation or processing point that needs the greatest amount of time is the system’s bot- tleneck, which determines how many products or services the system can complete. Thus the goal is to sequence the operations so they need the least control possible.
A major concern with flow operations is employee boredom with repetitive tasks. Com- panies use techniques like job enrichment, job enlargement, and job rotation (discussed in Chapter 11) to reduce boredom and maximize line output. At the other extreme in schedul- ing environments is the low-volume operation, discussed next.
Scheduling Low-Volume Operations Low-volume or job-shop operations are used for high-quality, customized products such as custom stereo systems or custom automobile paint jobs, or for services such as personal fit- ness, with higher profit margins. Companies with low-volume operations use highly skilled employees, general-purpose equipment, and a process layout. The objective is flexibility, both in product variation and product volume. Equipment is not dedicated to particular jobs but is available for all jobs. In low-volume operations, products are made to order. Each product or service can have its own routing through a unique sequence of workstations, processes, materials, or setups. As a result, scheduling is complex. The workload must be distributed among the work centers or service personnel. A useful tool for viewing the schedule and workload is a Gantt chart. Let’s look at how a Gantt chart is used.
Gantt charts are named after Henry Gantt, who developed these charts in the early 1900s. A Gantt chart is a visual representation of a schedule over time. Two kinds of Gantt charts are the load chart and the progress chart.
Load Chart The load chart shows the planned workload and idle times for a group of machines or individual employees or for a department. Figure 15.1 is an example of a load chart showing the jobs assigned to each mechanic and each mechanic’s lunch break. In this example, Bob and J.J. are at lunch from 12:00 to 1:00, and Alex and Sam are at lunch from 12:30 to 1:30 p.m. All employees work from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m.
Progress Chart The progress chart monitors job progress by showing the relationship between planned performance and actual performance. In the progress chart in Figure 15.2, the brackets indicate when the activity is scheduled to be finished, and the shaded area shows the progress of the activity. Note that the first activity, “Complete design specs,”
Gantt chart Planning and control chart designed to graphically show workloads or to monitor job progress.
Load chart A chart that visually shows the workload relative to the capacity at a resource.
Progress chart A chart that visually shows the planned schedule compared to actual performance.
Mechanic 8–9 9–10 10–11 11–12 12–1 1–2 2–3 3–4 4–5
Bob
Sam
Alex
J.J.
JOB A
JOB B
JOB E
JOB D JOB F JOB MJOB L
JOB C
JOB G JOB I
JOB JJOB H JOB N
JOB OJOB K
FIGURE 15.1 Sample load chart
556 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
begins on time and is finished as scheduled. The second and third operations start on time. Materials sourcing is finished on time, but process design is not finished until late April. Because of the delay in the process design, the pilot run does not start as scheduled and the feedback activity has not yet begun. Both of these operations are behind schedule. The transition to manufacturing will probably also be behind schedule. Gantt charts provide a visual image of the progress of jobs through the system. Now we need to learn methods to load the work shop.
Given technology advancements, there are many software packages available for devel- oping Gantt charts as well as software applications for real-time progress tracking. RFID technology can be integrated into scheduling software to track milestones in the produc- tion process.
Shop Loading Methods Two kinds of work scheduling or work loading are infinite loading and finite loading. Infinite loading schedules work without regard to capacity limits. They let you know how much capacity you need to meet a schedule.
Loading Manufacturing companies can use infinite loading according to a proposed mas- ter production schedule (MPS). A service organization like a law firm can use infinite loading to identify the resources needed to complete the proposed case load. Infinite loading iden- tifies uneven workloads and bottlenecks. Figure 15.3 is an example of infinite loading. We can see from the chart that the shop has enough capacity in periods 4 and 7 but not enough
Infi nite loading Scheduling that calculates the capacity needed at work centers in the time period needed without regard to the capacity available to do the work.
Finite loading Scheduling that loads work centers up to a predetermined amount of capacity.
Activity Jan Feb Mar April May June July Complete design specs
Source materials
Design process
Pilot run
Feedback
Transition to manufacturing
Current date
[ ]
[ ] = planned activity progress
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
= actual activity progress
FIGURE 15.2 Sample progress chart
Available capacity
Period 3 4 5 6 7 8
Under
Over
Under
Over
FIGURE 15.3 Infinite loading
Basic Scheduling Concepts • 557
capacity in periods 5 and 8. In this way, we identify time periods when capacity is either poorly used or inadequate and change the schedule to level the resource requirements.
Finite loading is an operational schedule with start and finish times for each activity. It does not allow you to load more work than can be done with the available capacity. The finite loading schedule shows how a company plans to use available capacity at each work center. In a manufacturing company, the schedule shows the jobs to be done at a partic- ular work center if the work center uses a set number of production hours each day. For example, if the work center can build 50 wire assemblies per hour and the company needs 1000 wire assemblies, the job will take 20 hours of capacity at that work center. In a service organization, a doctor’s office is a good example. To spend ten minutes with each patient, the doctor can have six patients scheduled per hour.
Figure 15.4 is an example of finite loading. Note that no work center is assigned more work than it is able to handle. The disadvantage of finite loading is that it tends to break down over the long term: problems arise and the schedule slips, causing jobs to be resched- uled. Finite loading is why you may have to wait at the doctor’s office. New software pack- ages tend to use real-time finite scheduling. These programs alert the scheduler when a problem arises and may recommend appropriate rescheduling.
Companies benefit from both infinite and finite loading. Infinite loading identifies resource bottlenecks for a proposed schedule so that planners can find solutions proac- tively, such as changing the schedule and increasing the resource capacity. Finite loading develops the operational schedule that uses the available capacity. Finite and infinite load- ing assign work to specific work centers based on a proposed schedule. Both techniques use either a schedule (infinite loading) or a prioritized list of jobs to be done ( finite loading). Two additional techniques are forward scheduling and backward scheduling.
Scheduling With forward scheduling, processing starts immediately when a job is received, regardless of its due date. Each job activity is scheduled for completion as soon as possible, which allows you to determine the job’s earliest possible completion date. Figure 15.5 shows an example of forward scheduling. The job is due at the end of week 10, but it can be finished as early as the end of week 7. With forward scheduling, it is not unusual for jobs to be finished before their due date. The disadvantage to finishing a job early is that it causes an inventory buildup if items are not delivered before the due date.
With backward scheduling, you begin scheduling the job’s last activity so that the job is finished right on the due date. To do this, you start with the due date and work back- ward, calculating when to start the last activity, when to start the next-to-last activity, and so forth. Figure 15.5 gives an example of backward scheduling. Backward scheduling shows you how late the job can be started and still be finished on time. When you are using back- ward scheduling and forward scheduling together, a difference between the start times of the first activity indicates slack in the schedule. Slack means that you can start a job imme- diately but you do not have to do so. You can start it any time up to the start time in your backward schedule and still meet the due date.
Forward scheduling Schedule that determines the earliest possible completion date for a job.
Due date Time when the job is supposed to be fi nished.
Backward scheduling Starts with the due date for an order and works backward to determine the start date for each activity.
Slack The amount of time a job can be delayed and still be fi nished by its due date.
Available capacity
Period 3 4 5 6 7 8
Under
FIGURE 15.4 Finite loading
558 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
Monitoring Workflow Input/output control is a capacity-control technique used to monitor workflow at individual work centers. Input/output control monitors the planned inputs and outputs at a work center against the actual inputs and outputs. Planned inputs are based on the operational schedule, whereas planned outputs use capacity-planning techniques. Actual input is compared with planned input to ensure that enough work enters the measured work center. A work center cannot process items that have not yet arrived. Actual output is used to identify possible problems in the work center, such as an equipment problem or unexpected absences.
Input/output control A technique for monitoring the fl ow of jobs between work centers.
EXAMPLE 15.1 Input/Output Control at JT’s Custom Wine Storage Units
JT produces custom wine storage units. JT is very concerned about the performance of Work Center 101, the bottleneck in the manufacturing process. You have the input/output report shown in Figure 15.6 and you need to explain the numbers.
• Before You Begin: Explain the numbers in the input/output report. The purpose of this report is to monitor the fl ow of work between work centers and backlog size. First, examine the input report to determine whether the supplying work center is actually supplying the amount of work expected. Then examine the output report to see how Work Center 101 is performing. A key indicator is the size of its backlog. If the backlog is increasing, then Work Center 101 is unable to keep up with its input. If the backlog is decreasing, then Work Center 101 is outputting more product than is being inputted. If this continues, the backlog will disappear entirely.
• Solution:
The input/output report for Work Center 101 shows any deviations in input or output at the work center. The input deviation is calculated by subtracting the planned input from the actual input. The output deviation is calculated as planned output subtracted from actual output. For example, based on the input information in period 4, the planned input was 800 standard hours of work, but the actual input was only 750 standard hours. Remember that standard hours of work are the amount of time needed to complete the work if the employee works at 100 percent effi ciency. Subtracting the planned input from the actual input (750 standard hours minus 800 standard hours) results in a deviation of negative 50 standard hours. In period 5, the actual input exceeded the planned input, resulting in a positive deviation (780 standard hours minus 750 standard hours = 30 standard hours deviation).
Forward scheduling
Backward scheduling
Materials
ordered
First
operation
Second
operation
Third
operation
Final
operation
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Materials
ordered
First
operation
Second
operation
Third
operation
Final
operation
Order received
Due date
FIGURE 15.5 Forward and backward scheduling
Basic Scheduling Concepts • 559
The cumulative deviation is a running sum of the deviations. For example, in period 4, the deviation is −50 hours; the cumulative deviation is equal to this period’s deviation plus the previous cumulative deviation total. In our case, the previous cumulative deviation is zero, so the cumulative deviation at the end of period 4 is −50 hours. After period 5, the cumulative deviation is −20 hours (a +30 hours deviation in period 5 plus the previous cumulative devi- ation [−50 hours]). We calculate the deviations and cumulative deviations in the same way for both input and output. Management uses cumulative deviation values to indicate possible input or output problems. If planned input is consistently below actual input, the feeding work center may not have enough capacity to meet the planned input. The same is true when the work center’s actual output is consistently less than the planned output. The work center is not producing with the effi ciency expected. The backlog row is the amount of work waiting to be fi nished at the work center. In our example, Work Center 101 has 100 standard hours of work waiting. The only time the size of the backlog changes is when actual input does not equal actual output. When a work center receives more work than it fi nishes, the backlog increases. When a work center produces more output than the input received, the backlog decreases. In period 4, Work Center 101 receives 750 standard hours of new work. Work Center 101 fi nishes 800 standard hours of work during period 4; this is possible only if Work Center 101 fi nishes some of the 100 hours of backlog from the beginning of period 4. The new input plus the backlog equals the max- imum amount of work that can be fi nished at Work Center 101 (850 standard hours). Since the work center fi nishes 800 standard hours of work, the backlog decreases to 50 stand- ard hours of work. In period 5, the backlog increases because Work Center 101 receives 780 standard hours of work but only produces 750 standard hours of work. The difference between the actual input and the actual output is 30 standard hours; therefore, the back- log increases by 30 standard hours. The input/output report allows a planner to monitor how well the available capacity is used at individual work centers and provides insight into process problems.
Planned output 800 hours 800 hours 800 hours 800 hours 800 hours
4 5 6 7 8
Actual output 800 hours 750 hours 780 hours 850 hours 825 hours
Deviation 0 hours –50 hours –20 hours +50 hours +25 hours
Cumulative 0 hours –50 hours –70 hours –20 hours +5 hours deviation
Backlog 50 hours 80 hours 80 hours 40 hours 25 hours 100 hours
Planned input 800 hours 750 hours 800 hours 820 hours 800 hours
4 5 6 7 8
Actual input 750 hours 780 hours 780 hours 810 hours 810 hours
Deviation –50 hours +30 hours –20 hours –10 hours +10 hours
Cumulative –50 hours –20 hours –40 hours –50 hours –40 hours deviation
Output Information
Input Information
Period
Period
FIGURE 15.6 Input/output report for Work Center 101
560 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
Developing a Schedule of Operations
When several jobs need to be done, how do you decide which one to do first? Do you work on the job that you have to finish first? The job you enjoy doing? The job you can finish the fastest? The job that has the biggest payoff ? When you decide which job to do first, you are sequencing the jobs.
The APICS Dictionary defines operation sequencing or job sequencing as a technique for short-term planning of actual jobs to be run in each work center based on capacity and priorities. We expect a work center to have several jobs waiting to be processed, so we decide on the sequence for processing the jobs. Operation sequencing sets projected start and finish times and expected queues. A job’s priority is its position in the sequence.
How Priority Rules Are Used Job priority is often set by a priority rule. (See Table 15.1 for explanations of some commonly used priority rules.) Priority rules are typically classi- fied as local or global. A local priority rule sets priority based only on the jobs waiting at that individual work center. For example, the highest priority might be given to the job that arrives first or the job that can be done the fastest. Global priority rules, like critical ratio or slack per remaining operations, set priority according to factors such as the scheduled workload at the remaining work centers that the job must be processed through.
A work center needs priority rules when multiple jobs await processing (but not if only a single job needs processing). Priority rules assume that there is no variability in either the setup time or the run time of the job. Let’s look at how to use priority rules.
Using priority rules is straightforward. Just follow these steps.
STEP 1: Decide Which Priority Rule to Use. Different priority rules achieve different results. We will discuss this when we look at performance measurements.
STEP 2: List All the Jobs Waiting to Be Processed at the Work Center and Their Job Time. Job time includes setup and processing time.
STEP 3: Using Your Priority Rule, Determine Which Job Has the Highest Priority and Should Be Worked on First, Second, Third, and So On. To illustrate the use of priority rules, let’s use SPT to sequence a group of jobs waiting at Work Center 102, Jill’s Machine Shop.
Operation sequencing A short-term plan of actual jobs to be run in each work center based on available capacity and priorities.
Queue Waiting line.
Priority rule Determines the priority of jobs at a work center.
Local priority rule Makes a priority decision based on jobs currently at that work center.
Global priority rule Makes a priority decision based on information that includes the remaining work centers a job must pass through.
TABLE 15.1 Commonly Used Priority Rules
First come, fi rst served (FCFS): Jobs are processed in the order in which they arrive at a machine or work center.
Last come, fi rst served (LCFS): The last job into the work center or at the top of the stack is processed fi rst.
Earliest due date (EDD): The job due the earliest has the highest priority.
Shortest processing time (SPT): The job that requires the least processing time has the highest priority
Longest processing time (LPT): The job that requires the longest processing time has the highest priority.
Critical ratio (CR): The job with the smallest ratio of time remaining until due date to its processing time remaining has the highest priority.
Slack per remaining operations (S/RO): The job with the least slack per remaining operations is given the highest priority. Calculate by dividing slack by remaining operations.
Developing a Schedule of Operations • 561
Scheduling Performance Measures Companies measure scheduling effectiveness according to their competitive priorities. For example, if your company is concerned with customer response time, you measure sched- uling effectiveness in terms of response time. Mean job flow time and the mean number of jobs in the system each measure a company’s responsiveness. On the other hand, if your company competes on cost, it is concerned with efficiency. If on-time delivery is of primary concern, the company measures on-time delivery performance. Makespan measures effi- ciency; mean job lateness and mean job tardiness measure due-date performance. After looking at airline scheduling, we discuss different performance measures.
Makespan The amount of time it takes to fi nish a batch of jobs.
EXAMPLE 15.2 Using SPT at Jill’s Machine Shop
Using SPT as a priority rule, determine the sequence for the following jobs waiting at Work Cen- ter 102 at Jill’s Machine Shop. The job information follows.
• Before You Begin: In this problem, the objective is to develop a sequence to perform the batch of jobs. The priority rule is used when one or more jobs are available to be put in the sequence. SPT means that the job with the shortest processing time is put fi rst in the sequence, and the job with the second shortest time is placed second. When there is a tie between available jobs, it does not matter which job is placed fi rst in the sequence.
Job Number Job Time at Work Center 102 (includes setup and run time)
AZK111 3 days
BRU872 2 days
CUF373 5 days
DBR664 4 days
EZE101 1 day
FID448 4 days
STEP 1: Choose the priority rule. You must use SPT.
STEP 2: List the jobs waiting for processing at Work Center 102 and their job times. This information is given in the table.
STEP 3: Using the priority rule, determine the sequence of jobs.
The highest priority goes to job EZE101 (one day) since it takes the least amount of time. The second job is BRU872 (two days). The third job is AZK111 (three days). Job DBR664 and job FID448 are tied for fourth place because both take four days. Since we have no additional in- formation, it does not matter which of these is done fourth and which one is done fi fth. We will do DBR664 fourth and FID448 fi fth. The last job is CUF373. Our completed sequence is
Position in Sequence Job Number
First EZE101
Second BRU872
Third AZK111
Fourth DBR664
Fifth FID448
Sixth CUF373
How well a priority rule works depends on the performance measurement the company uses. In the next section, we will cover commonly used performance measures.
562 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
Consider scheduling in the airline industry. Cheaper fares, competition factors, weather patterns, equipment and expansion difficulties, and poor scheduling are only some of the reasons why scheduling problems occur. How- ever, various remedies can help alleviate these scheduling problems, including charging peak travel fares, requiring the FAA and weather service to work more closely for more accurate and frequent
weather forecasts, “technologizing” (i.e., utilizing scheduling technology, modernizing the air traffic control system, and automating ticketing and boarding), building new runways and using abandoned military airfields, and, most important, designing realistic schedules (i.e., cutting back the number of flights, moving leisure flights to off-peak times, extending the operation day, and spreading out arrival and departure times). As long as the number of air travelers continues to boom, optimal scheduling will be an important issue to the airline industry.
Job flow time measures response time—the time a job spends in the shop, from the time it is ready to be worked on until it is finished. It includes waiting time, setup time, processing time, and possible delays. We calculate job flow time as
Job flow time = time of completion − time job was first available for processing
EXAMPLE 15.3 Calculating Mean Flow Time
Calculate the mean fl ow time for the following sequence of jobs.
• Before You Begin: In this problem, sum the individual job fl ow times and divide by the number of jobs in the sequence to calculate the mean job fl ow time. Flow time is the amount of time a job spends in the shop before being completed.
• Solution: To calculate mean job fl ow time, we sum the individual job fl ow times for each job and divide by the number of jobs. Viewing Figure 15.7, we can see that the job fl ow time for job A is 10 days, 13 days for job B, 17 days for job C, and 20 days for job D. Adding these job fl ow times together (10 + 13 + 17 + 20) gives us a total job fl ow time of 60 days. We divide this by the number of jobs to determine mean job fl ow time—that is, 60 days divided by 4 jobs equals a mean job fl ow time of 15 days.
Job A finishes on day 10 Job B finishes on day 13
Job C finishes on day 17
Job D ends on day 20
FIGURE 15.7 Job schedule
The average number of jobs in the system measures the work-in-process inventory and also affects response time. The greater the number of jobs in the system, the longer the queues and subsequently the longer the job flow times. If quick customer response is critical to your company, the number of jobs waiting in the system should be relatively low.
Job fl ow time Measurement of the time a job spends in the shop before it is fi nished.
Average number of jobs in the system Measures work- in-process inventory.
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Developing a Schedule of Operations • 563
Makespan measures efficiency by telling us how long it takes to finish a batch of jobs. To calculate makespan, we subtract the starting time of the first job from the completion time of the last job in the group. Using the data from Example 15.4, a calendar showing the prog- ress of the jobs would look like Figure 15.7. In this case, the makespan for this group of jobs is 20 days. Note that makespan has no link to customer due dates: you can have an efficient schedule in terms of finishing a batch of jobs but still have relatively poor customer service.
Job lateness, a measure of customer service, is the difference between the time a job is finished and the time it is supposed to be finished (its due date). When a job is finished ahead of schedule, it has negative lateness. For example, if job X is due on day 15 and it is finished on day 12, it has a lateness value of negative 3 days. If job X is finished on day 15, its lateness value is zero. If job X is done on day 17, its lateness value is a positive 2 days. Pos- itive job lateness values are typically described as job tardiness. Tardiness indicates how many days pass after the due date before the job is completed.
Job lateness Measures whether the job is done ahead of, on, or behind schedule.
Job tardiness Measures how long after the due date the job is completed.
EXAMPLE 15.4 Calculating the Average Number of Jobs in the System
Calculate the average number of jobs in the system.
• Before You Begin: To calculate the average number of jobs in the system, sum the individual job fl ow times and divide that by the makespan (the amount of time it takes to fi nish the entire batch of jobs). This is the average number of jobs in the shop. If this number is too low, it is likely that some work centers will be starved for work. If the number is too high, it means that work-in-process inventories will be higher.
• Solution: To calculate the average number of jobs in the system, we need to know the individual job fl ow times for each job. Once again, look at Figure 15.7 to determine job fl ow times. The total job fl ow time (10 + 13 + 17 + 20 = 60 days) is divided by the total number of days it takes to complete the whole batch of jobs (20 days). Therefore, the average number of jobs in the system is 3. The higher the average number of jobs in the system, the longer the waiting time.
EXAMPLE 15.5 Calculating Job Lateness and Tardiness
Calculate mean job lateness using the following data.
• Before You Begin: Lateness measures how closely to the due date different jobs are completed. A negative lateness value means that the job is completed before it is due. A positive lateness value means the job is completed after it was due. A value of zero means that the job was completed on its due date. Tardiness is used when companies do not include jobs completed early in their calculation.
Job Completion
Date Due Date Lateness
A 10 15 –5
B 13 15 –2
C 17 10 7
D 20 20 0
564 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
Let’s compare two priority rules.
Using Different Priority Rules Now that you know how to use priority rules and how to measure schedule effectiveness, compare the effectiveness of different priority rules.
Mean job lateness using S/RO is −5 days, compared to −8.33 days using SPT. The SPT rule always minimizes mean job lateness. The mean tardiness using S/RO is 0.167 days, compared to 1.17 days using SPT. The maximum tardiness is less using S/RO (1 day), com- pared to SPT (7 days). Priority rules based on due date are better at reducing the maximum tardiness. Mean job flow time using S/RO is 16.17 days, compared to only 12.83 days with SPT. Note that the SPT priority rule always minimizes mean job flow time. Average number of jobs in the system using S/RO is 3.59 jobs, compared to 2.85 jobs using SPT. Since SPT sets priority on getting several jobs done as quickly as possible, we can expect less work-in- process or fewer average jobs in the system.
Now that we have used two different priority rules to develop a sequence for a single machine or work center, let’s look at a technique for developing the sequence when two different work centers are involved.
• Solution: Job A is fi nished fi ve days ahead of its due date, and job B is fi nished two days earlier than its due date. Job C is fi nished seven days tardy, and job D is fi nished on its due date. The performance measure we use to evaluate the schedule is mean job lateness, which sums all the individual lateness values and divides by the number of jobs processed. In our case, it is 0 divided by 4 jobs equals 0 days job lateness. On average, the jobs are fi nished on their due dates. Some companies do not include negative values of lateness in the calculation because there is no perceived benefi t to fi nishing the job early. In this case, we substitute zeroes for the negative numbers, and we sum the lateness values and then divide by the number of jobs to get the average tardiness of the jobs. The updated information using zeroes instead of negative lateness values is as shown in the table.
Job Completion
Date Due Date Tardiness
A 10 15 0
B 13 15 0
C 17 10 7
D 20 20 0
In this case, average tardiness is 1.75 days [(0 + 0 + 7 + 0)/4 jobs]. If customer service is important to your company, average tardiness is probably a more relevant measurement than job lateness.
Be sure you know how to use priority rules and how to meas- ure a schedule’s effectiveness. Different priority rules measure different aspects of performance, depending on your com- pany’s competitive priorities. SPT (shortest processing time) always minimizes mean job fl ow time, mean job lateness, and
average number of jobs in the system. FCFS (fi rst come, fi rst served) is considered a fair rule because everyone is treated equally. EDD (earliest due date) and S/RO (slack per remaining operations) tend to perform well in terms of minimizing mean job tardiness.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
Developing a Schedule of Operations • 565
EXAMPLE 15.6 Using SPT
Using the job information shown in Table 15.2, compare the shortest processing time priority rule (SPT) to the slack per remaining operations priority rule (S/RO). Determine the job sequence and calculate mean job fl ow time, average number of jobs in the system, mean job lateness, and mean job tardiness.
• Before You Begin: First, develop the sequence of jobs using the appropriate priority rule. Begin with SPT and calculate the performance measurements. Repeat using S/RO.
TABLE 15.2 Job Data
Job
Job Time at Work Center 301 (days)
Due Date (days from now)
Remaining Job Time at
Other Work Centers (days)
Remaining Number of Operations
A 3 15 6 2
B 7 20 8 4
C 6 30 5 3
D 4 20 3 2
E 2 22 7 3
F 5 20 5 3
The fi rst priority rule is SPT and the available jobs are listed, so we need to calculate only the sequence. Using SPT, we base the sequence on doing the job that needs the least amount of time at the work center fi rst (in our case, job E). We do job E fi rst, and then we look for the next shortest job time (job A takes three days) to be second in our sequence. The complete sequence for SPT is job E, A, D, F, C, and then B, shown graphically here.
E done at
end of day 2
A done at
end of day 5
D done at
end of day 9
F done at
end of day 14
C done at
end of day 20 B done at
end of day 27
Using this information, we calculate the mean job fl ow time. The fl ow time for job E is 2 days; for job A it is 5 days; for job D it is 9 days; for job F it is 14 days; for job C it is 20 days; and for job B it is 27 days. To fi nd the mean job fl ow time, we add up these individual job fl ow times and divide by the number of jobs: (2 + 5 + 9 + 14 + 20 + 27)/6 jobs = 12.83 days. We calculate the average number of jobs in the system by dividing total job fl ow time by the makespan, which is 27 days. Total job fl ow time is 77 days (2 + 5 + 9 + 14 + 20 + 27). The average number of jobs in the system is 2.85 jobs. To calculate the mean lateness and mean tardiness of the jobs processed, we need to know when each job leaves Work Center 301. Table 15.3 shows those results.
TABLE 15.3 Work Center 301 Completion Data Using SPT
Job Completion
Date Due Date Lateness (days) Tardiness (days)
A 5 15 –10 0
B 27 20 7 7
C 20 30 –10 0
D 9 20 –11 0
E 2 22 –20 0
F 14 20 –6 0
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566 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
Problem-Solving Tip Remember that job flow time is the amount of time the job is in the system (its com- pletion date minus when the job was first available). Since all the jobs were available at the same time, their flow time is the same as their completion time.
To fi nd mean job lateness, we add up the individual lateness values (−10 + 7 − 10 − 11 − 20 − 6), which equals −50 days. Dividing by the number of jobs (6), the mean job lateness is −8.33 days. On average, jobs take 8.33 fewer days to get through the shop than we expected. How is this information useful? Your company can correlate job fl ow time with lead times quoted to customers. If the job fl ow time is less than expected, marketing can consider using reduced lead times as a competitive advantage.
Problem-Solving Tip Negative lateness means the job is finished ahead of its due date. Zero lateness means the job finished on its due date. Positive lateness means the job finished after its due date.
Tardiness applies only to jobs fi nished after the due date. We treat all negative lateness values as zeroes. To fi nd mean job tardiness, we sum the individual job tardiness values and divide by the number of jobs. In this example, only one job is tardy and the sum of the tardi- ness values is 7. The mean job tardiness is 1.17 days, or 7/6 jobs. The maximum tardiness is 7 days. This information is also important for marketing because it implies the level of cus- tomer service provided. Now let’s look at what happens when we use the S/RO priority rule to develop our sequence.
• Solution: We calculate the S/RO by fi nding the amount of slack each job has and then dividing that slack by the remaining number of operations (including the current operation). We calculate slack by subtracting the total work remaining (current operation plus all other undone oper- ations times) from the amount of time left until the due date. We calculate the values in the slack time column by adding the job time at Work Center 301 plus the remaining job time at other work centers (for job A, 3 + 6 = 9 days of remaining work) and subtracting that total from the number of days till the due date (for job A, 15 days). The difference is the slack (for job A, 6 days) as shown in Table 15.4.
TABLE 15.4 Job Data with Slack Calculations
Job
Job Time at Work Center
301 (days)
Remaining Job Time at Other Work
Center (days)
Due Date (days
from now)
Slack Time (days)
Remaining Number of
Operations after Work Center 301 S/RO
A 3 6 15 6 2 2
B 7 8 20 5 4 1
C 6 5 30 19 3 4.75
D 4 3 20 13 2 4.33
E 2 7 22 13 3 3.25
F 5 5 20 10 3 2.5
We calculate the S/RO values by dividing the slack for the job (6 days for job A) by the number of remaining operations, including the current operation (two plus the current one, or three remaining operations), which equals an S/RO of 2 for job A. Table 15.4 shows the S/RO value for each job. The lower the value of the S/RO, the higher is its priority. For our problem, job B should be done fi rst, followed by A, F, E, D, and then C. Graphically, the sequence appears as follows.
B done at end of day 7
A done at end of day 10
F done at end of day 15
E done at end of day 17
D done at end of day 21
C done at end of day 27
Developing a Schedule of Operations • 567
Sequencing Jobs through Two Work Centers At times, all jobs must be processed through the same two work centers sequentially. For example, when you do laundry, clothes go through the washer before the dryer. Different kinds of clothing need different wash cycles and different drying times, but the sequence is the same. To shorten the time it takes to do your laundry, you can use Johnson’s rule. Johnson’s rule is a scheduling technique for developing a sequence when jobs are proc- essed through two successive operations. The operations can be at machine centers, departments, or different geographical locations. The job flow must be unidirectional: the first activity for every job is the same, and you must finish it before you can begin the second activity (wash the clothes before you dry the clothes). Johnson’s rule is an optimizing tech- nique and always minimizes makespan. To use Johnson’s rule, follow this procedure.
STEP 1: List the jobs and the processing time for each activity.
STEP 2: Find the shortest activity processing time among all the jobs not yet scheduled. If the shortest activity processing time is a first activity, put the job needing that activity in the earliest available position in the job sequence. If the shortest activity processing time is a second activity, put the job needing that activity in the last available position in the job sequence. When you schedule a job, eliminate it from further consideration.
STEP 3: Repeat Step 2 until you have put all the activities for the job in the schedule.
Johnson’s rule A technique for minimizing makespan in a two-stage, unidirectional process.
Table 15.5 shows the completion dates of the jobs when we use S/RO.
TABLE 15.5 Work Center 301 Completion Data Using S/RO
Job Completion
Date Due Date Lateness
(days) Tardiness
(days)
A 10 15 –5 0
B 7 20 –13 0
C 27 30 –3 0
D 21 20 1 1
E 17 22 –5 0
F 15 20 –5 0
EXAMPLE 15.7 Vicki’s Office Cleaners
Vicki’s Offi ce Cleaners does the annual major cleaning of university buildings. The job requires mopping and waxing the fl oors in fi ve buildings at Mideast University. Each building must have the fl oors mopped and stripped (fi rst activity), and then waxed and buffed (second activity). Vicki wants to minimize the time it takes her crews to fi nish cleaning the fi ve buildings. Use Johnson’s rule to develop the sequence Vicki should follow.
• Before You Begin: In this problem, fi nd the best sequence for mopping and waxing the different university buildings. Whenever the scheduling problem has a unidirectional fl ow and two different activities to be done, use Johnson’s rule. This sequence, to be followed by the mopping and waxing crews, minimizes makespan.
568 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
• Solution: STEP 1: List the Jobs and the Processing Time.
Activity 1 Mopping (days)
Activity 2 Waxing (days)
Adams Hall 1 2
Bryce Building 3 5
Chemistry Building 2 4
Drake Union 5 4
Evans Center 4 2
STEP 2: Find the Shortest Activity Processing Time among the Jobs. The shortest activity processing time is one day for mopping Adams Hall. Since the shortest activity time is a first activity, we put mopping Adams Hall in the top available position in the sequence. The first job in our sequence is mopping Adams Hall. We eliminate Adams Hall since it has a spot in our sequence. We also eliminate the first position in our sequence. Let’s look at the remaining jobs and repeat Step 2.
Activity 1 Mopping (days)
Activity 2 Waxing (days)
Bryce Building 3 5
Chemistry Building 2 4
Drake Union 5 4
Evans Center 4 2
STEP 2: Find the Shortest Activity Processing Time among the Remaining Jobs. There are two activities tied this time: waxing the Evans Center and mopping the Chemistry Building— each takes two days. When a tie occurs and the shortest processing time is for the same activity, either building can be selected. In a case like this where the shortest processing times are for different activities, we schedule both. Since the shortest time for the Evans Center is the second activity, it takes the lowest available spot in our sequence. The Evans Center will be done fifth. The shortest processing time for the Chemistry Building is for its first activity, so it takes the highest available spot in our sequence. The Chemistry Building will be mopped second. We update our remaining jobs, removing the Evans Center and the Chemistry Building and the fifth and second positions. Now repeat Step 2 again.
Activity 1 Mopping (days)
Activity 2 Waxing (days)
Bryce Building 3 5
Drake Union 5 4
STEP 2: Find the Shortest Activity Processing Time among the Remaining Jobs. The shortest activity processing time is three days for mopping the Bryce Building. Since this is the first activity, we put mopping the Bryce Building in the earliest available spot in the sequence, which is third. Since only one job is left, Drake Union, we put it in the only remaining spot in the sequence, fourth. The sequence Vicki should use is shown here. When we have a tie for the shortest activity, it does not matter which job we put fi rst.
Sequence Position Job
First Adams Hall (A)
Second Chemistry Building (C)
Third Bryce Building (B)
Fourth Drake Union (D)
Fifth Evans Center (E)
Optimized Production Technology • 569
Optimized Production Technology
Scheduling Bottlenecks When companies schedule a job shop, bottlenecks are common. A bottleneck is any resource whose capacity is less than the demand placed on it. For example, let’s consider Akito’s Flowers, a retail florist. When a customer orders flowers, three steps follow. First, the clerk takes the order and processes payment. Second, the clerk gives the order to the flower arrangers, who gather the appropriate materials and do the flower arrangement. Third, the drivers deliver the flowers. At Akito’s Flowers, the clerk can process 30 telephone orders per hour. Each of the three flower arrangers can make 7 arrangements per hour, and each of the three drivers can make ten deliveries per hour. The flower arrangers are the bottleneck in this process. Regardless of the number of orders processed by the clerk, the arrangers can do a maximum of 21 arrangements per hour, and Akito’s can deliver no more than 21 floral arrangements per hour. Thus the output of the process is reduced to the capacity of the bottleneck. Bottlenecks typically result when one operation in a job takes longer than the other operations.
Techniques for scheduling bottleneck systems emerged in the late 1970s with the introduction of optimized production technology (OPT) by Eli Goldratt. OPT classifies resources as either bottlenecks or nonbottlenecks, and makes bottlenecks the basis for scheduling and capacity planning. According to OPT, companies should schedule bottle- neck resources to full capacity and schedule nonbottleneck resources to support the bot- tleneck resources. In our example, the bottleneck resource is the flower arrangers; the nonbottleneck resources are the clerks processing orders and the delivery drivers. Nonbot- tleneck resources can be idle and still not affect the output of the system because output is determined by the bottleneck resource, not by capacity at the nonbottleneck resources. OPT also introduces the concept of capacity-constrained resources, which are resources that have become bottlenecks because of inefficient usage. In our florist shop example, the delivery drivers could become a capacity-constrained resource if Akito’s does not attend to consolidating shipments and using the drivers efficiently. Table 15.6 lists OPT principles.
Let’s look at each of these principles.
Balance the process rather than the flow. Traditionally, managers try to make the same amount of capacity available in each department or work center. This means every resource is a bottleneck. At Akito’s Flowers, balanced capacity means process- ing 21 orders per hour or needing only 0.7 order clerks and 2.1 drivers. Although in
Optimized production technology (OPT) A technique used to schedule bottleneck systems.
Nonbottleneck A work center with more capacity than demand.
Capacity-constrained resource Bottleneck caused by ineffi cient usage.
Now let’s look at the sequence graphically.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Mopping A C C B B B D D D D D E E E E
Waxing A A C C C C B B B B B D D D D E E
Vicki’s Cleaners begins mopping Adams Hall on day 1. No waxing is done because none of the fl oors has been mopped yet. At the end of day 1, Vicki’s Cleaners has fi nished mop- ping Adams Hall. On day 2, the mopping crew starts mopping the Chemistry Building while the waxing crew begins at Adams Hall. At the end of day 3, the mopping crew fi nishes the Chemistry Building and moves on to the Bryce Building to start day 4. The waxing crew fi n- ishes Adams Hall and starts the Chemistry Building on day 4. Note that this sequence has a makespan of 18 days. We can fi nd no other sequence for these jobs that can take less time because Johnson’s rule always minimizes makespan.
570 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
theory this approach provides capacity for 21 floral arrangements per hour, in real life we cannot use partial employees or machines, so we have some excess capacity. If we have no excess capacity, we guarantee that fewer than 21 orders will be processed each hour, because real life has statistical fluctuations and dependent events. At Akito’s Flowers, processing does not begin until the clerk receives an order. What hap- pens when no orders are received for the first 20 minutes of the day? That 20 minutes is lost capacity not only for the clerk but also for the floral arrangers and the delivery drivers. If we have some excess capacity at the nonbottleneck resources, we can oper- ate the bottleneck at full capacity.
Nonbottleneck usage is determined by some other constraint within the system.
At the floral shop, the order processing and the delivery service are nonbottlenecks. Their level of usage is determined by the flower arrangers (the bottleneck resource).
Usage and activation of a resource are not the same. Activation of a resource means the resource is used to process materials or products. Usage means that the resource activated is contributing positively to the company’s performance. Thus usage means the resource is performing a needed activity.
An hour lost at a bottleneck resource is an hour lost forever. If an organization’s goal is to maximize throughput, the bottleneck must be fully used. Suppose our floral arrangers cannot produce arrangements for an hour because the delivery of flowers to the shop is delayed. Thus the shop can only produce a maximum of 147 arrange- ments that day instead of 168 arrangements (7 hours × 3 arrangers × 7 arrangements per hour instead of 8 hours × 3 arrangers × 7 arrangements per hour).
An hour lost at a nonbottleneck resource is just a mirage. Time lost at a nonbottle- neck resource is critical only if the lost time causes the resource to become a bottle- neck. For example, if one of the florist’s drivers leaves work an hour early, it may or may not affect the output for the day. It affects the output only if more than 14 deliv- eries must be made during that last hour. Otherwise, there is no decrease in output. If more than 14 deliveries are needed, the delivery service has become a bottleneck resource.
Bottlenecks determine throughput and system inventory. A bottleneck resource determines the throughput for the system. It also determines how much inventory is needed in the system to ensure the continuous operation of the bottleneck resource. For example, the florist can process 168 orders per day. Therefore, the flower inven- tory must be sufficient to produce 168 arrangements.
Throughput The quantity of fi nished goods that can be sold.
TABLE 15.6 OPT Principles • Balance the process rather than the fl ow.
• Nonbottleneck usage is determined by some other constraint within the system.
• Usage and activation of a resource are not the same.
• An hour lost at a bottleneck resource is an hour lost forever.
• An hour lost at a nonbottleneck resource is just a mirage.
• Bottlenecks determine throughput and system inventory.
• The transfer batch does not have to equal the process batch.
• The process batch should be variable.
• Schedules should be established by considering all constraints simultaneously. Lead times are the result of the schedule and are not predetermined.
Optimized Production Technology • 571
The transfer batch does not have to equal the process batch. The transfer batch is the quantity of items moved at the same time from one resource to the next. At Akito’s Flowers, that is the number of orders the clerk processes before forwarding the orders to the floral arrangers. If the clerk forwards orders only once per hour, the floral arrangers’ output is directly affected. If the clerk forwards each order as it arrives, the number of orders the clerk can process per hour is probably affected.
The process batch is the quantity of an item processed at a resource before that resource is changed to produce a different product. If one of the floral arrangers specializes in preparing business floral arrangements and typically produces these arrangements in batches of 14, the process batch is 14 units. The arranger could transfer these arrangements immediately to the delivery area after each one is pro- duced. In this case, the transfer batch quantity is 1. The delivery service could begin immediately to prepare the arrangement for delivery rather than waiting until all 14 arrangements are ready.
The process batch should be variable. We do not always have to produce the same quantity, but instead we should produce what is needed. At Akito’s Flowers, one of the floral arrangers produced a batch of 14 business floral arrangements at a time, but this does not mean that the arrangers always have to produce 14. Maybe two of the business customers close for summer vacation. In this case, the arranger should make only 12 arrangements and not 14, because the additional 2 will not be sold. Thus, the process batch quantity should be linked to demand.
Schedules should be established by considering all constraints simultaneously.
Lead times are the result of the schedule and are not predetermined. You should develop the schedule considering all your constraints. If you do not know what your workload is, you cannot tell a customer how long it will take to do a job. Once you know how much work you need to do, you can determine how long it should take.
Instead of losing capacity because of order-processing delays, a florist can improve the order entry procedure. An approach by 1-800-FLOWERS.com, a nationwide network of 1500 independent florists, allows customers to enter a Web site and private chat room to discuss their order with a customer service representative in real time. With its on-line proprietary order-processing system designed to handle a high volume of transactions, 1-800-FLOWERS. com is positioned to provide highly personalized real-time customer service. The company has been operating on the Web since 1992.
Theory of Constraints The theory of constraints (TOC) is an extension of OPT. According to the TOC, a system’s output is determined by three kinds of constraints: internal resource constraint, market constraint, and policy constraint. An internal resource constraint is the classic bottleneck discussed in the previous section. A market constraint results when market demand is less than production capacity. Since companies do not want excess inventory buildup, the market determines the rate of production. Policy constraint means that a specific policy dictates the rate of production (for example, a policy of no overtime).
TOC tries to improve system performance by focusing on constraints. Improvement is measured financially and operationally. Financial measurements are net profit, return on investment, and cash flow. Operational measurements include throughput, inventory, and operating expenses. Throughput is the rate at which money is generated by the system
Transfer batch The quantity of items moved at the same time from one resource to the next.
Process batch The quantity produced at a resource before the resource is switched over to produce another product.
MKT
Theory of constraints (TOC) A management philosophy that extends the concepts of OPT.
Internal resource constraint A regular bottleneck.
Market constraint The condition that results when market demand is less than production capacity.
Policy constraint The condition that results when a specifi c policy dictates the rate of production.
LINKSTO PRACTICE
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572 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
through sales. Unsold product is not throughput. Inventory is the money the system has invested into buying materials to produce items it intends to sell and does not include labor or overhead. Operating expense is the money spent to convert inventory into throughput, including all labor, overhead, and other expenses.
The procedure for using TOC consists of the following steps.
STEP 1: Identify the System’s Bottleneck(s). At Akito’s Flowers, identify the floral arrangers as the bottleneck.
STEP 2: Exploit the Bottleneck(s). For the floral shop, take orders ahead of time to make sure there is always a buffer of orders for the arrangers to work on. This prevents idle time at the bottleneck resource.
STEP 3: Subordinate All Other Decisions to Step 2. Schedule nonbottleneck resources to support the maximum use of the bottleneck. For Akito’s Flowers, have the clerk trans- fer orders to the arrangers every ten minutes at the start of the day to make sure the bottleneck is fully used. You may have to arrive early or stay late to be sure the orders are processed and waiting for the arrangers to arrive first thing each day.
STEP 4: Elevate the Bottleneck(s). If after Steps 1 through 3 the bottleneck is still a constraint, then consider increasing the capacity of the bottleneck. At Akito’s Flowers, add another floral arranger.
STEP 5: Do Not Let Inertia Set In. Although the floral arrangers may improve their throughput, check to see whether new constraints have developed. If so, work on increas- ing throughput.
Scheduling Issues for Service Organizations
In many service organizations, scheduling is complicated because service demand— quantity, type of service, and timing—is often variable and hard to forecast. In addition, inventories may not be possible and capacity is limited. For example, a movie theater can- not show the movie before the customers arrive and hope to satisfy demand. The theater is also limited as to how many people can occupy the theater at any given time. Because of these constraints, some additional techniques are available for scheduling services. These include scheduling the services demanded and scheduling the workforce.
Scheduling Techniques for Service Organizations Techniques for scheduling services demanded range from setting appointments, requiring reservations, using a public schedule, and delaying or back ordering the service. Let’s look at each of these individually.
Appointments Appointment systems set a time for the customer to use the service. For example, students make appointments with professors to discuss class work. Appointments minimize customer waiting time and make good use of the service provider’s capacity. Appointment systems are used by physicians, lawyers, auto repair or service shops, and hair salons. The shared component of each of these services is that no tangible inventory is usually possible. Disadvantages of an appointment system include the problem of “no- shows”—people who miss appointments—and insufficient time scheduled for customers. In the case of “no-shows,” the service provider may be idle until the next scheduled appoint- ment and incur a loss of revenue. In the case of insufficient time, the service provider often falls behind schedule and keeps customers waiting.
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Scheduling Issues for Service Organizations • 573
Research is being done on scheduling outpatients in a dynamic, multiperiod environ- ment. The objectives are to minimize the delay between the time a patient requests an appointment and when the patient is actually seen and to determine where unscheduled appointment slots should be maintained during the day. These unscheduled slots are for urgent-care patients needing to be seen as soon as possible by the physician. For complete details of the study, see Klassen and Rohleder (2004).
Reservations A reservation system enables the customer to take control or temporary possession of an item—for example, a hotel room, an automobile, or a banquet hall. A reser- vation system provides advance notice of when the item is needed and for how long. Depos- its usually reduce the problem of last-minute cancellations or “no-shows.”
Posted Schedules Many service providers post a schedule indicating when a service is available. Movie theaters, universities, airlines, trains, buses, retail stores, museums, con- certs, and sporting events are all examples of services that post schedules. The posted schedule tells the customer the event’s date and time.
Delayed Services or Backlogs Another method used to schedule customer demand is delayed services or backlogs. Restaurants that do not take reservations are one exam- ple. The restaurant puts customers on a waiting list until a table becomes available. Other examples are banks, grocery stores, retail stores, repair services, and barber shops. In most of these organizations, customers are served in the order in which they arrive. These meth- ods are aimed at better managing the service organization’s capacity. An alternative method for managing capacity involves the way the workforce is scheduled.
Scheduling Employees Since organizations may not always be able to schedule demand, the alternative is to man- age capacity in the way they schedule employees. Organizations can staff for peak demand, use floating personnel, have employees on call, or use temporary employees, seasonal employees, part-time employees, or any combination of the above.
Staffing for Peak Demand With this procedure, the organization has enough service providers to accommodate the maximum level of customer demand. The obvious problem with this is cost. The workforce is fully used only during peak demand. Otherwise, a portion of the workforce is idle. Organizations typically staff for peak demand when the service pro- viders have significant skills and the size of the workforce cannot be changed quickly. An example is your local fire or police department.
Floating Employees When customer demand for services can change daily, organiza- tions use floating employees to their advantage. Floating employees perform a number of services and are assigned where they are needed each day. Hospitals use floating employees because the number of patients and degree of care needed can change daily. A disadvantage of this approach for some employees is the uncertainty of their work location and the tran- sient nature of short-term assignments.
Employees on Call Some organizations use on-call employees during specific periods of the week. Physicians at a hospital may be on call in case of emergencies, though not phys- ically present unless needed. Maintenance employees may also be on call in case of emer- gencies. Although being on call restricts an employee’s normal free time, it also means the employee does not have to be physically present in the workplace during the specified period.
Temporary Employees Using temporary employees is another way for an organization to adjust workforce level. An organization can hire temporary employees with almost any skill set through a temp agency. The agency provides the employees and bills the organization.
574 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
Seasonal Employees Service organizations such as retailers with seasonal customer demand hire seasonal employees. These are short-term hires who expect their job to be ter- minated at the end of the season. Growers, for example, use seasonal employees to process items as they ripen. These organizations need an expanded workforce for a short period of time and cannot justify hiring additional permanent employees.
Part-Time Employees For some organizations, customer demand is higher during certain times of the day and lower at other times. At a fast-food restaurant, for example, demand is high at meal times—breakfast, lunch, and dinner—and lower during the rest of the day. Instead of hiring employees for a full eight-hour shift, the organization uses its capacity more effectively by hiring part-time employees.
Organizations can combine any of these techniques to manage their service capacity effectively. Although these techniques provide the means for managing capacity, organiza- tions still need to develop employee schedules that comply with legal requirements and contractual obligations. Legal requirements may dictate the minimum number of employ- ees physically present and on duty at a fire station, for example. Contractual obligations are determined by labor agreements. These obligations may limit overtime and concern the number of consecutive days off each week.
Now let’s look at a technique for developing a workforce schedule when each employee works full-time and needs to have two consecutive days off each week.
Developing a Workforce Schedule Tibrewala, Phillippe, and Brown developed a technique in 1972 that enables a company to operate seven days a week and give each of its full-time employees two consecutive days off. The purpose is to find the two consecutive days off for each employee, satisfy staffing needs, and minimize excess capacity. For example, a swimming pool or beach needs lifeguards seven days a week. This scheduling technique can develop the schedules to be used so that each lifeguard has two consecutive days off during the week. Since most companies define the starting day and ending day of their pay week, we will use Monday as the first day of the week. Thus an employee cannot be off on Sunday and Monday since those are not two consecutive days during the same pay week. We use Tibrewala, Phillippe, and Brown’s tech- nique for developing the schedule by following these steps:
STEP 1: Find Out the Minimum Number of Employees Needed for Each Day of the Week.
Day of the Week M T W Th F Sa Su
Number of staff needed 4 5 5 3 5 2 3
STEP 2: Given the Minimum Number of Employees Needed Each Day, Calculate the Number of Employees Needed for Each Pair of Consecutive Days during the Pay Week. For example, a total of nine employees are needed on Monday and Tuesday. The sum for each pair of days is as shown in the table.
Pair of Consecutive Days Total of Staff Needed
Monday and Tuesday 9 employees Tuesday and Wednesday 10 employees Wednesday and Thursday 8 employees Thursday and Friday 8 employees Friday and Saturday 7 employees Saturday and Sunday 5 employees
HRMACC
Scheduling Issues for Service Organizations • 575
STEP 3: Find the Pair of Days with the Lowest Total Needed. These are the two con- secutive days off for one employee, who will work the other five days of the week. In our case, the lowest total is for the Saturday and Sunday pair of days. Employee number 1 works Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, and is off on Saturday and Sun- day. When there is a tie, we can choose any of the tied pairs. We base our decision on an existing labor contract or established company procedures, or we can break the tie arbitrarily.
STEP 4: Update the Number of Employees You Still Need to Schedule for Each Day. We decrease our employee needs for Monday through Friday by 1 because employee number one is scheduled to work those days. The number of employees needed for Sat- urday and Sunday has not changed because no one has been scheduled yet to work those days. The updated staffing needs are shown here.
Day of the Week M T W Th F Sa Su
Number of staff needed 3 4 4 2 4 2 3
STEP 5: Using the Updated Staffing Needs, Repeat Steps 2 through 4 Until You Have Satisfied All Needs.
Now we repeat Step 2.
STEP 2: The New Total Number of Staff for Each Pair of Days Is as Follows:
Pair of Consecutive Days Total of Staff Needed
Monday and Tuesday 7 employees Tuesday and Wednesday 8 employees Wednesday and Thursday 6 employees Thursday and Friday 6 employees Friday and Saturday 6 employees Saturday and Sunday 5 employees
STEP 3: The Days Off for Employee Number 2 Are Also Saturday and Sunday. This employee will work Monday through Friday.
STEP 4: Update the Staffing Needs.
Day of the Week M T W Th F Sa Su
Number of staff needed 2 3 3 1 3 2 3
Since there are still unsatisfied needs, we return to Step 2. We continue doing this until there are no unsatisfied needs. The final schedule is shown next.
Employee M T W Th F Sa Su
1 X X X X X off off 2 X X X X X off off 3 X X off off X X X 4 X X X X X off off 5 off off X X X X X 6 X X X X off off X
This technique gives the manager work schedules for each employee to satisfy minimum daily staffing requirements. Although it is not a unique solution, the schedule gives each full-time employee two consecutive days off. The next step is to replace employee numbers
576 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
with employee names. The manager can give the senior employee first choice of schedules and proceed until all the employees have been assigned a schedule.
Scheduling Within OM: Putting it all Together
Scheduling is the final planning that occurs before the actual execution of the plan. A job’s position in the schedule is determined by its priority status. Production planners track the performance of operations in meeting the planned schedule. This is critical because the master scheduler (Chapter 13) evaluates production planners on the level of customer ser- vice achieved for their product responsibilities.
Schedules are essential to shop floor supervisors. The schedule details when a job is to be worked on, what resources to use, and how much time the job should need. Schedules ensure that manufacturing is working on the right job, using the right equipment, at the right time. Dispatching with the use of priority rules allows floor supervisors to determine which job should be done next.
The amount of time to complete a job is often determined by a time standard ( Chapter 11). If the time standards are inaccurate (either too stringent or too loose), the worker’s morale may be affected. If standards are too stringent, it may be impossible to keep up with the schedule. If standards are too loose, there is no incentive to push and resources are often underutilized.
In service operations, the schedule is critical in terms of projecting when a job will be completed for the customer. Customers often need to know when the service will be pro- vided (think of cable installers) so that the customer is available. Customers often link qual- ity of service (Chapter 5) with adherence to the schedule (if the company delivers on time, everything is fine). If the company does not schedule adequate time for the service to be completed, the worker may either rush through the service or run late throughout the day. Think of the last time you waited in a doctor’s office. In either case, the perceived quality of the service can be affected.
Scheduling Across the Organization Scheduling executes a company’s strategic business plan, so it affects functional areas throughout the company.
Accounting relies on schedule information and completion of customer orders to develop revenue projections, calculate actual job costs, and do cash flow analysis.
Marketing uses schedule effectiveness measurements to determine whether the com- pany is using lead times for competitive advantage, whether flow time is correlated to esti- mated lead times, and whether deliveries are made on time. Knowing lead times allows marketing to make realistic delivery promises to customers.
Information systems maintains the scheduling database, which includes routings and processing times. Information systems also provides the software to monitor product movement through the scheduling process.
Purchasing follows items through the process to determine whether components and/ or raw materials need to be expedited when the job is ahead of schedule or de-expedited when jobs are behind schedule to ensure the items are available when needed.
Operations uses the schedule to maintain its priorities and to provide customer service by finishing jobs on time. The schedule reflects operations’ workload and is used to measure performance.
In manufacturing companies, production planners typically schedule individual jobs; in service organizations, the office manager or shift supervisor does the scheduling. Both
ACC
MKT
MIS
OM
Chapter Highlights • 577
planners and managers are evaluated on the customer service levels they achieve. The pro- duction planner is concerned with the sequencing of jobs through the factory. The office manager or shift supervisor is concerned with adequate staffing. Scheduling jobs and devel- oping work schedules should reflect the company’s competitive strategy and serve as a tool to keep all the functional areas synchronized.
Scheduling is the fi nal planning step before a product is built or a service performed. The detailed schedule shows when work on a specifi c customer order is to begin and when it is to be completed. These two valuable pieces of informa- tion are shared with members of the supply chain, who can then track the progress of the order. Visibility into actual pro- duction performance can improve communications among the supply chain members and alert members when execution
problems occur. Detailed scheduling often requires using the due-date information for the different jobs to be scheduled. These due dates should refl ect the objectives of the supply chain. Different priority rules can be tested to see which rule provides the best schedule performance when considering supply chain objectives. The linkage of customer order priority and supply chain objectives should provide more effective operations. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
Recall that scheduling techniques vary depending on the environment and that we use different priority rules to make scheduling decisions. With the increasing push toward sustainability from customers and other stakeholders, these traditional priority rules and scheduling techniques need to be modifi ed to help develop schedules that meet sustainability criteria. Scheduling has always been about jobs, people, and materials. Now we have to expand these rules to include meeting sustainability criteria.
In addition to traditional priority rules, scheduling decisions should include developing schedules to minimize carbon emission, minimize energy use, lower material chemical con-
tent and other environmental pollutants, and maximize the use of recycled material. Job and worker schedules can also be developed to ensure fair treatment of workers as part of social responsibility. This concern also extends to treatment, sched- ule development, and work demands of suppliers. Therefore, in developing schedules we may want to modify traditional rules—such as ensuring shortest processing time—to also in- clude minimizing certain sustainability standards, such as emissions. These priority rules are not in contradiction but sus- tainability just adds another criterion for us to consider when developing schedules. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Chapter Highlights 1 Different kinds of operational environments require
different scheduling techniques. In high-volume oper- ations, scheduling is done through line design and line balancing. In low-volume operations, scheduling often uses priority rules. Gantt charts provide a visual image of the shop workload and the jobs currently in process. Infinite shop loading schedules jobs without capacity constraints. Finite shop loading schedules jobs up to a predetermined capacity level. Shop loading can be done using either forward scheduling or backward scheduling. Forward scheduling shows the earliest time a job can be completed. Backward scheduling shows the latest time a job can be started and still be finished on time.
2 When developing a schedule of operations, priority rules are used to establish the priority of competing
jobs that require the same resource. If there are no conflicting jobs, then the job arriving at a work cen- ter is processed. SPT always minimizes mean job flow time, mean job lateness, and average number of jobs in the system. FCFS is considered one of the fairest priority rules. Rules related to due dates tend to minimize the maximum tardiness of a job. The choice of priority rule is dependent on organizational objectives. Performance measures reflect the priori- ties of the organization. Some performance measures (mean job flow time, mean job lateness, mean job tar- diness, makespan, and the average number of jobs in the system) focus on the efficiency of manufacturing while others (FCFS, minimizing the maximum tardi- ness, etc.) focus on customer service. Johnson’s rule is an effective scheduling technique for minimizing
578 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
makespan when successive work centers are needed to complete the process.
3 Optimized production technology (OPT) is a tech- nique used to schedule bottleneck systems. OPT classifies resources as either bottlenecks or nonbot- tlenecks. The bottlenecks are the basis for scheduling and capacity planning with OPT. With OPT the focus is on balancing the process rather than the flow. The
theory of constraints expands OPT into a managerial philosophy of continuous improvement.
4 Service organizations use appointments, reservations, and posted schedules to ensure effective use of their ser- vice capacity. A method developed by Tibrewala, Phil- lippe, and Brown constructs workforce schedules when a company uses full-time employees, operates seven days per week, and gives it employees two consecutive days off.
Key Terms
fl ow operations 554
routing 554
Gantt chart 555
load chart 555
progress chart 555
infi nite loading 556
fi nite loading 556
forward scheduling 557
due date 557
backward scheduling 557
slack 557
input/output control 558
operation sequencing 560
queue 560
priority rule 560
local priority rule 560
global priority rule 560
makespan 561
job fl ow time 562
average number of jobs in the system 562
job lateness 563
job tardiness 563
Johnson’s rule 567
optimized production technology (OPT) 569
nonbottleneck 569
capacity-constrained resource 569
throughput 570
transfer batch 571
process batch 571
theory of constraints (TOC) 571
internal resource constraint 571
market constraint 571
policy constraint 571
Formula Review 1. To calculate job flow time:
Job flow time = time of completion − time job was first available for processing
2. To calculate mean job flow time:
Mean job flow time = sum of individual flow times
number of jobs
3. To calculate average number of jobs in system:
Average number of jobs in system = total flow time
makespan
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Th e Fargoe Forge Company has collected the following data regarding the input and output of work at Work Center 222. Complete the partially fi lled in input/ output chart.
Before You Begin: Th is plan requires the comple- tion of the input/output report. Th e planned input, actual input, planned output, and actual output are
provided. Calculate the deviation by period (actual minus planned). Do this for both input and out- put and calculate the cumulative deviation for both. Finally, calculate the backlog. Th e backlog only changes when actual input is diff erent from actual output. If actual input is greater than actual output, the backlog increases. When actual output is greater, the backlog is reduced.
Solved Problems • 579
Solution: STEP 1: Calculate the period-by-period deviations. Subtract the planned input from the actual input. Sub- tract the planned output from the actual output. Th e results are shown in the spreadsheet.
STEP 2: Calculate the cumulative deviation for input and output. Add the deviation for the current period to the cumulative deviation of the previous period. For example, in period 5, the cumulative deviation of the input is 75 hours of work (50 hours at the end of period 4, plus 25 hours in period 5). Th e cumulative deviations are shown in the spreadsheet.
STEP 3: Calculate the backlog at Work Center 222. Th e backlog changes only when the actual input is diff erent from the actual output in a period. Th e beginning back- log is 125 hours of work. Th e backlog at the end of period 4 changes to 95 hours because the actual input is only 650 hours of work, whereas the actual output is 680 hours of work. Since the work center completed 30 hours more than it actually received, the backlog has to be reduced by 30 hours, or a total of 95 hours. Th e backlog for period 5 remains at 95 hours. In period 6, the backlog drops to 45 hours. Th e backlog in period 7 is 20 hours and drops to 15 hours in period 8, as shown in the spreadsheet.
1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
A B C D E F G
Fargoe Forge Company
Input Information (hours) 4 5 6 7 8
Planned Input 600 675 625 650 650 Actual Input 650 700 600 575 675
Deviation Cumulative Deviation
Output Information (hours) 4 5 6 7 8
Planned Output 680 680 680 680 680 Actual Output 680 700 650 600 680
Deviation Cumulative Deviation
Backlog 125
Period
Period
1
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29
A B C D E F G
Fargoe Forge Company
Input Information (hours) 4 5 6 7 8
Planned Input 600 675 625 650 650 Actual Input 650 700 600 575 675
Deviation 50 25 −25 −75 25 Cumulative Deviation 50 75 50 −25 0
Output Information (hours) 4 5 6 7 8
Planned Output 680 680 680 680 680 Actual Output 680 700 650 600 680
Deviation 0 20 −30 −80 0 Cumulative Deviation 0 20 −10 −90 −90
Backlog 125 95 95 45 20 15
Key Formulas C8 =C7-C6 copy to right C9 =C8 D9 =C9+D8 copy to right
C15 =C14-C13 copy to right C16 =C15 D16 =C16+D15 copy to right C18 =B18+C7-Ccopy to right
Period
Period
$C$8: =C7-C 6 (copy right)
$C$9: =C8 $D$9: =C9+D8 (copy right)
$C$18: =B18+C7-C14 (copy right)
580 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
PROBLEM 2
Custom Glass, Inc. produces custom storm windows. Th e company has the following jobs waiting to be proc- essed at its glass-cutting work center.
Job Job Time
(days) Due Date
(days from now)
A 8 20
B 4 15
C 6 30
D 7 24
E 9 10
(a) Using earliest due date as the priority rule, deter- mine the sequence for these jobs.
(b) Using shortest processing time as the priority rule, determine the sequence for these jobs.
(c) Calculate the mean job flow time, average number of jobs in the system, mean job lateness, and mean job tardiness for the schedule using earliest due date.
(d) Calculate the mean job flow time, average number of jobs in the system, mean job lateness, and mean job tardiness for the schedule using the shortest processing time.
Before You Begin: Th is problem compares two diff er- ent priority rules and evaluates their eff ectiveness when scheduling a batch of jobs. First, develop the sequence for each rule. Th en calculate the diff erent performance measures. Compare the results.
Solution: (a) The sequence generated using earliest due date
as the priority rule is E, B, A, D, C. Job E has the highest priority since it is due in the least amount of time. The schedule is as follows:
• Job E is done after 9 days,
• Job B is done after 13 days,
• Job A is done after 21 days,
• Job D is done after 28 days,
• Job C is done after 34 days.
(b) The sequence generated using shortest processing time as the priority rule is B, C, D, A, E. Job B has the highest priority since it takes the least amount of time to complete. The SPT schedule is as follows:
• Job B is done after 4 days, • Job C is done after 10 days, • Job D is done after 17 days,
• Job A is done after 25 days, • Job E is done after 34 days.
(c) Based on the schedule generated using the EDD rule, the results are as shown in the table.
EDD Results
Job
Job Flow Time (days)
Due Date (days
from now)
Job Lateness
(days)
Job Tardiness
(days)
A 21 20 1 1 B 13 15 −2 0 C 34 30 4 4 D 28 24 4 4 E 9 10 −1 0
Totals 105 6 9
Mean job fl ow time is 21 days (105 days divided by 5 jobs). Remember that job fl ow time extends from the time the job is available to work on to its completion. Since all the jobs are available at the same time, the fl ow time for each job is equal to its completion time. Th e average number of jobs in the system is 3.1 jobs (105 days of total fl ow time divided by the makespan of 34 days). Total lateness is 6 days (1 − 2 + 4 + 4 − 1); therefore, mean job late- ness is 1.2 days (6 days divided by 5 jobs). Total tardiness is 9 days; therefore, mean job tardiness is 1.8 days.
(d) Based on the schedule generated using the SPT rule, the results are as shown here.
SPT Results
Job
Job Flow Time (days)
Due Date (days
from now)
Job Lateness
(days)
Job Tardiness
(days)
A 25 20 5 5 B 4 15 −11 0
C 10 30 −20 0
D 17 24 −7 0
E 34 10 24 24
Totals 90 −9 29
Mean job fl ow time is 18 days (90 days divided by 5 jobs). Th e average number of jobs in the system is 2.65 jobs (90 days of total fl ow time divided by the makespan of 34 days). Total lateness is negative 9 days (5 − 11 − 20 − 7 + 24); therefore, mean job lateness is 21.8 days (−9 days divided by 5 jobs). Total tardiness is 29 days; therefore, mean job tardiness is 5.8 days.
Solved Problems • 581
PROBLEM 3
Jack’s Machine Shop has the following batch of jobs that need to be scheduled so that the makespan is minimized. Each job is processed fi rst at Machine Center 1 and then at Machine Center 2. Th e job information is as follows.
Job
Machine Center 1 Processing Time
(days)
Machine Center 2 Processing Time
(days)
A 4 3 B 2 7 C 6 5 D 4 5 E 3 4 F 5 1
Using Johnson’s rule, develop a sequence for Jack’s Machine Shop that minimizes makespan.
Before You Begin: Th e objective is to minimize makespan. When the scheduling problem has a unidi- rectional fl ow and two diff erent activities to be done, use Johnson’s rule to minimize makespan.
Solution: Th e jobs and the processing times are listed so we can begin at Step 2.
STEP 2: Th e shortest individual activity processing time is one day for Job F at Machine Center 2. Since this time is on the second activity, Job F takes the last avail- able spot in the sequence, which is sixth.
STEP 3: Removing the job we just sequenced, we repeat Step 2 until we have sequenced all jobs. Th e remaining jobs are as follows.
Job
Machine Center 1 Processing Time
(days)
Machine Center 2 Processing Time
(days)
A 4 3 B 2 7 C 6 5 D 4 5 E 3 4
STEP 2: Th e shortest individual activity processing time is from Job B at Machine Center 1. Th erefore, we put Job B in the highest available spot in the sequence, which is fi rst. Now we eliminate Job B from consider- ation and repeat Step 2.
Job
Machine Center 1 Processing Time
(days)
Machine Center 2 Processing Time
(days)
A 4 3 C 6 5 D 4 5 E 3 4
STEP 2: The shortest activity processing time is now in two places, from Job A for three days at Machine Center 2 and from Job E for three days at Machine Center 1. We can put both of these jobs into our sequence. Job A goes into the last available spot, fifth, and Job E goes into the highest available spot, sec- ond. We can now eliminate both jobs from consid- eration. The updated list of remaining jobs is shown next.
Job
Machine Center 1 Processing Time
(days)
Machine Center 2 Processing Time
(days)
C 6 5
D 4 5
STEP 2: Th e shortest activity processing time is four days for Job D at Machine Center 1. Job D should be placed in the highest available slot, third. We put the remaining job in the only available position in the sequence, fourth.
Th e fi nal sequence is B, E, D, C, A, F.
PROBLEM 4
Th e Sports Injury Clinic operates seven days a week. Based on historical data, the manager, Joan, has deter- mined the following daily minimum staffi ng require- ments. She believes that she needs three employees on Monday and Th ursday, four employees on Tuesday,
two employees on Wednesday and Sunday, and fi ve employees on Friday and Saturday. Joan wants a work- force schedule that allows each employee two consecu- tive days off each week and minimizes excess staffi ng. Develop a schedule.
582 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
Before You Begin: Many service operations conduct business seven days per week. When those compa- nies schedule staff , they may do so with the objective of providing each staff member with two consecutive days off during the week. Th e technique developed by Tibrewala, Phillippe, and Brown determines how many employees are needed and what their schedules need to be.
Solution: STEP 1: Find out the minimum number of employees needed for each day of the week.
Day of the Week M T W Th F S Su
Number of staff needed 3 4 2 3 5 5 2
STEP 2: Given the minimum staff needed each day, cal- culate the number of employees needed for each pair of consecutive days.
Pair of Consecutive Days Total of Staff
Needed
Monday and Tuesday 7 Tuesday and Wednesday 6 Wednesday and Thursday 5 Thursday and Friday 8 Friday and Saturday 10 Saturday and Sunday 7
STEP 3: Find the pair of days that has the lowest total need. Wednesday and Th ursday have the lowest total need, so they become the days off for the fi rst employee.
STEP 4: Update the number of staff still needed. Reduce the staff needed by one employee for Monday, Tuesday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday since the fi rst employee will work on those days.
STEP 5: Using the updated requirements, repeat Steps 2 through 4 until all requirements have been met. If you continue to develop the workforce schedule, an alter- native schedule is shown. Given the amount of slack, several other alternatives are also possible.
Employee M T W Th F S Su
1 X X off off X X X
2 X X X X X off off
3 off off X X X X X
4 X X off off X X X
5 off off X X X X X
6 X X off off X X X
Discussion Questions
1. Compare and contrast high-volume and low-volume scheduling operations.
2. Describe a high-volume service operation and how scheduling should be done.
3. Describe a low-volume service operation and how scheduling should be done.
4. Visit a local service operation and describe its schedul- ing procedures.
5. Visit a local manufacturing operation and describe how it sequences jobs through the shop.
6. Describe infi nite loading.
7. Explain how the output from infi nite loading is used.
8. Explain how fi nite loading is done.
9. Explain the benefi ts of fi nite loading.
10. Describe forward scheduling.
11. Describe backward scheduling.
12. Visit a local service or manufacturing operation and learn how it measures schedule eff ectiveness.
13. Describe the principles of OPT.
14. Describe the theory of constraints.
15. Describe diff erent methods that might be useful for scheduling service operations.
Problems • 583
Problems
1. Jack, the owner and manager of Jack’s Box Company, wants to monitor usage at Work Center 3, which is a bottleneck in the system. He has collected data on the planned and actual input and output.
Input Information (in hours)
4 5 6 7 8
Planned input 40 50 50 60 60 Actual input 45 45 45 55 60 Deviation Cumulative deviation
Output Information (in hours)
4 5 6 7 8
Planned output 70 70 70 70 70 Actual output 60 60 60 60 60 Deviation Cumulative deviation Backlog 75 hours
(a) Complete the input/output record. (b) Describe your concerns based on the results of the
input/output analysis. 2. Since Jack believes that Work Center 3 is his bottle-
neck, he has asked you to do the following: (a) Calculate the percentage of planned output needed
to complete the planned inputs [(planned input + backlog)/planned output] at Work Center 3.
(b) Calculate the percentage of planned input that actually happened [(actual input + backlog)/ (planned input + backlog)].
(c) Calculate the percentage of available output that was actually accomplished (actual output/ planned output) at Work Center 3.
(d) Given your results, do you believe that Jack is correct in assuming that Work Center 3 is his bottleneck? Justify your answer.
3. Based on your concerns, Jack has gathered the follow- ing information for Work Center 2, the work center that directly feeds Work Center 3. Complete the input/ output analysis of Work Center 2.
Input Information (in hours)
4 5 6 7 8
Planned input 40 50 50 60 60
Actual input 25 35 35 40 40
Deviation
Cumulative deviation
Output Information (in hours)
4 5 6 7 8
Planned output 40 50 50 60 60
Actual output 45 45 45 55 60
Deviation
Cumulative deviation
Backlog 75 hours
(a) Complete the input/output record. (b) Describe your concerns based on the results of the
input/output analysis. 4. Jack has asked you to calculate the following for Work
Center 2. (a) Calculate the percentage of planned output needed
to complete the planned inputs [(planned input + backlog)/planned output] at Work Center 2.
(b) Calculate the percentage of planned input that actually happened [(actual input + backlog)/ (planned input + backlog)] at Work Center 2.
(c) Calculate the percentage of available output that was actually accomplished (actual output/ planned output) at Work Center 2.
(d) What insights can you off er Jack about Work Centers 2 and 3?
5. Henri’s Custom Gowns has six jobs waiting to be processed. Each gown is at the beading work center. Th e job information is shown here.
Job Job Time (in days)
Days until Due
Job Time at Other Work
Centers
Operations Remaining at Other
Work Centers
A 9 30 10 3
B 5 10 2 1
C 8 24 8 2
D 10 40 18 3
E 7 26 12 1
F 6 15 6 2
(a) Determine the sequence Henri should follow if he uses the SPT (shortest processing time) priority rule.
(b) Based on the sequence developed in part (a), calculate the following performance measures: makespan, mean job fl ow time, average number of jobs in the system, mean job lateness, mean job tardiness, and maximum tardiness.
584 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
6. Henri has decided to try a diff erent priority rule. (a) Using the data in Problem 5, determine the
sequence Henri should follow if he uses the EDD (earliest due date) priority rule.
(b) Based on the sequence developed in part (a), calculate the following performance measures: makespan, mean job fl ow time, average number of jobs in the system, mean job lateness, mean job tardiness, and maximum tardiness.
7. Henri has heard of the LPT (longest processing time) priority rule and wonders how that would change the sequence of the jobs listed in Problem 5. (a) Determine the sequence Henri should follow if he
uses the LPT priority rule. (b) Based on the sequence developed in part (a),
calculate the following performance measures: makespan, mean job fl ow time, average number of jobs in the system, mean job lateness, mean job tardiness, and maximum tardiness.
8. In an eff ort to be fair to his customers, Henri has de- cided to use the FCFS ( fi rst come, fi rst served) prior- ity rule. Using the job data from Problem 5, assume that the jobs arrive in order—that is, A fi rst, then B, then C. (a) Using the data in Problem 5, determine the
sequence Henri should follow if he uses the FCFS ( fi rst come, fi rst served) priority rule.
(b) Based on the sequence developed in part (a), calculate the following performance measures: makespan, mean job fl ow time, average number of jobs in the system, mean job lateness, mean job tardiness, and maximum tardiness.
9. Henri recently learned about global priority rules. He is interested in the slack over remaining operations (S/RO) rule. (a) Using the data in Problem 5, determine the
sequence Henri should follow if he uses the S/RO priority rule.
(b) Based on the sequence developed in part (a), calculate the following performance measures: makespan, mean job fl ow time, average number of jobs in the system, mean job lateness, mean job tardiness, and maximum tardiness.
10. Joe’s Twenty-four Seven Laundromat has the follow- ing jobs waiting to be processed. Th e fi rst step of the process includes washing and drying the clothes; the second step is pressing the clothing. Joe wants to minimize the amount of time it takes to do all the jobs. Th e fi ve jobs waiting to be processed are shown here.
Job Wash and Dry (hours) Press (hours)
A 6 4 B 3 5 C 2 3 D 7 5 E 4 3
(a) Using FCFS, assume the jobs arrive in the order shown (A, then B, then C, etc.). Show the beginning and ending time for each job.
(b) Calculate the makespan, the mean job fl ow time, and the average number of jobs in the system.
11. Joe thinks that it is probably more effi cient to use SPT (shortest processing time) as his priority rule. (a) Develop a sequence using SPT based on processing
time for the wash and dry operation. (b) Calculate the makespan, the mean job fl ow time,
and the average number of jobs in the system. 12. Joe has asked you to develop a sequence that minim-
izes makespan for the sequence of jobs given in Prob- lem 10. Compare the makespan, mean job fl ow time, and average number of jobs in the system to your res- ults in Problems 10 and 11.
13. Raquel’s Landscaping Company has contracted for several landscaping jobs. Each job requires preparing the areas (identifying the locations and types of plants, preparing the soil, etc.) and then planting the trees, bushes, and shrubs. Th e expected time for each of the jobs is shown next.
Job Preparing the Area
(days) Planting (days)
R 3 2 S 1 3 T 4 5 U 8 5 V 6 4 W 4 3
(a) Using FCFS ( fi rst come, fi rst served), assume the jobs arrive in the order shown (R, then S, then T, etc.). Show the beginning and ending time for each job.
(b) Calculate the makespan, the mean job fl ow time, and the average number of jobs in the system.
14. Raquel is concerned with effi ciency. She believes it is probably more effi cient to use SPT (shortest proc- essing time) as her priority rule. (a) Develop a sequence using SPT based on processing
time for preparing the area.
Problems • 585
(b) Calculate the makespan, the mean job fl ow time, and the average number of jobs in the system.
15. Raquel has asked you to develop a sequence that min- imizes makespan for the sequence of jobs given in Problem 13. Compare the makespan, mean job fl ow time, and average number of jobs in the system to your results in Problems 13 and 14.
16. Barb’s Beach Bar operates seven days per week. Barb uses only full-time employees and wants each employee to have two consecutive days off each week. She be- lieves that she needs a minimum of three employees on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Th ursday, and Sunday. On Friday and Saturday, she believes that she needs six employees. Develop a workforce schedule for Barb.
17. Next week is a three-day weekend. Barb believes that she will need a minimum of six employees on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Th e other days will still need a minimum of three workers. Remember that Barb wants each employee to have two consecutive days off each week. Develop a workforce schedule for the holi- day weekend.
18. Marvin’s Beach Cleaners is responsible for keeping the beach clean. Marvin estimates that he needs a minimum of two people on Monday; three people on Tuesday and Sunday; four people on Wednesday and Th ursday; and fi ve people on Friday and Saturday. Contractually, Marvin is required to give each em- ployee two consecutive days off during the week. De- velop a workforce schedule for Marvin to use.
19. Marvin is preparing for the upcoming three-day week- end. He estimates that he will need three additional workers on Sunday of that week. Using the require- ments given in Problem 18 for the other days of the week, develop a workforce schedule for Marvin to use.
20. Cathy’s Coney Islands operates seven days per week. Demand is relatively constant during the week and tails off on the weekend. She estimates that she needs fi ve employees Monday through Friday, and two em- ployees on Saturday and Sunday. She is committed to giving each employee two consecutive days off during the week. Develop a workforce schedule for Cathy.
21. Cathy’s Coney Islands has just purchased new equip- ment. Cathy believes the improved effi ciency will re- duce the number of people needed Monday through Friday down to four. She does not believe she can ever have fewer than two persons working, so the weekend requirements remain the same. Develop a workforce schedule for Cathy.
22. Bill’s Bar & Grill is open seven nights a week. Business is busiest on Th ursday, when there is a concert in the park
across the street. Bill wants a workforce schedule that allows each employee two consecutive days off each week. He believes that he needs four employees every day except on Th ursday, when he believes he needs six employees. Develop a workforce schedule for Bill.
23. During the winter, no concerts are held in the park. Bill believes that he needs a minimum of four employ- ees every day of the week. Develop a workforce sched- ule for Bill that allows each employee two consecutive days off each week. Compare the number of workers he needs during the winter to the number of workers needed during the concert season.
24. Student Premier Painters (SPP) has six house painting jobs in a particular neighborhood. Th e houses vary in size, condition, and painting requirements, but each house must be prepped (cleaned, sanded, and primed) fi rst, before it is painted. Th e relevant information is given.
Days
Houses Prep Paint
Arnold 4 3 Blake 3 6 Coffman 2 5 Downs 3 2 Eckels 6 4 Farber 5 7
(a) Sequence the painting jobs to minimize makespan. (b) Calculate the mean job fl ow time associated with
this sequence. (c) Calculate the average number of jobs in the
system with this sequence. 25. Using the job information in Problem 24, develop a se-
quence based on the shortest processing time priority rule. Prioritize based on prep time. In the case of ties, select the house that has the shortest paint time. (a) Calculate the makespan. (b) Calculate the mean job fl ow time associated with
this sequence. (c) Calculate the average number of jobs in the system
with this sequence. 26. Using the information in Problem 24, develop a se-
quence based on the longest processing time priority rule. Prioritize based on prep time. In the case of ties, select the house that has the longest paint time. (a) Calculate the makespan. (b) Calculate the mean job fl ow time associated with
this sequence. (c) Calculate the average number of jobs in the system
with this sequence.
586 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
Case: Air Traffic Controller School (ATCS)
ATCS provides training for future air traffi c controllers. One of the skills air traffi c controllers need is the ability to sequence aircraft for landing purposes. Th e control- ler decides who lands immediately and who goes into a holding pattern. Th e following data are provided to you, the student, to develop an acceptable landing sequence. Any sequence that results in an aircraft not being sched- uled to land before it runs out of remaining fl ying time is unacceptable. Th e following aircraft are currently await- ing your decision as to their landing sequence.
Flight Number
Minutes on Runway
Remaining Flying Time (minutes)
Cost per Minute of
Flying Time ($)
101 2.00 10 100 118 3.00 15 150 217 2.75 8 125 8076 1.50 5 80 219 3.50 12 200 894 1.75 19 150 024 2.50 16 400 616 3.25 22 300
Th ere are many ways to sequence this group of aircraft waiting to land. Since cost is an obvious fac- tor, consider a sequence that minimizes total cost to land the aircraft. Multiply the cost per minute of fl ying time by the remaining number of minutes. Th is gives you the maximum cost associated with an airplane
circling in a holding pattern until the last possible moment. (a) Develop a landing sequence that gives priority to
those aircraft with the highest cost of slack time (excess fl ying time multiplied by cost per minute of fl ying time). For example, Flight 616’s 18.75 minutes of slack time (22 − 3.25) times $300 per minute means that if Flight 616 does not land until its time is all used up, it incurs an extra fl ying cost of $5,625. Make a Gantt chart showing the landing sequence and evaluate the sequence in terms of performance. Calculate mean fl ow time, mean lateness, and aver- age number of planes in the system.
(b) Develop a sequence using SPT as a priority rule. Make a Gantt chart showing the landing sequence and evaluate the sequence in terms of performance. Calculate mean fl ow time, mean lateness, and aver- age number of planes in the system.
(c) Develop a third sequence using EDD (earliest due date) as a priority rule. Th e plane with the least amount of fl ying time remaining has the highest priority. Make a Gantt chart showing the landing sequence and evalu- ate the sequence in terms of performance. Calculate mean fl ow time, mean lateness, and average number of planes in the system. Calculate the total cost associ- ated with this sequence (fl ow time multiplied by cost per minute of fl ying time for each fl ight).
(d) Try to develop an alternative sequence that lands all of the aircraft safely and reduces the total cost.
Case: Scheduling at Red, White, and Blue Fireworks Company
Joan Bennett, the production manager at the Red, White, and Blue Fireworks Company (RWBFC), has decided to change the work schedule for her manufac- turing employees. Because of high product demand and an inability to expand at the current facility, RWBFC needs to operate ten hours each day, seven days each week. In order to avoid the use of overtime and to keep her employees fresh, Joan decided to have employees work four ten-hour shifts each week. She insists that every employee must have three consecutive days off . Th e work week begins on Monday and ends on Sun- day. Th e manufacturing process requires a minimum of 20 employees. Joan has asked you to develop a staff - ing plan that will determine the exact number of full- time employees needed, as well as the schedule each
employee will need to work. Remember, each employee must have three consecutive days off .
Joan also has asked you to determine which other factors you consider relevant in making the transition to the new schedule. In particular, she is very interested in a method for determining which employees work which schedule and how to implement the new sched- ule with minimal dissatisfaction. (a) Develop a staffi ng plan for RWBFC in accordance
with the constraints stated above.
(b) Explain the method used in developing your plan.
(c) Explain how employees should be assigned to the diff erent schedules.
(d) Discuss any concerns you have with the new staff - ing plan.
Internet Challenge: Batter Up • 587
Internet Challenge: Batter Up
As a world-class fan of major league baseball, you have always wanted to watch a game in person at each of the ballparks across the country. Now that you are about to graduate, you have decided it is time to achieve this goal. To do so, you must fi rst know the location of each ballpark, when ball games are scheduled, and the driv- ing distance between parks. Th e Internet can give you all this information.
Decide on a priority rule for building your schedule. You will drive between ballparks, so be sure to leave enough time to reach the next ballpark. You can average 60 miles per hour when traveling on the open road and
cover up to 600 miles each day. You must visit each of the major league ballparks during the course of one sea- son. Since you do not graduate until the end of May, you cannot start your adventure until June 1. Your objective is to minimize the total amount of time it takes to visit each ballpark and to minimize the number of miles you drive. You must include any time it takes to return home. You are constrained to driving no more than 10 hours or 600 miles per day. Use the Internet to fi nd the location of each ballpark, the scheduled baseball games, and the mileage between cities. Batter up!
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Scheduling at Cruise International, Inc. You are meeting with Wilhelm Schmidt, the Cruise Ship First Engineer, to help him with a maintenance scheduling problem. He needs help in assigning each of the six maintenance workers to specifi c tasks. You are also to meet with Sara Jones from the Business Offi ce. William Stein, the Assistance Purser, would like you to review how Sara processes reports throughout the day, Her objective is to process the entire batch of reports as soon as possible. Completion of these assignments will
enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material covered in Chapter 15 of this text. It will also better pre- pare you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Scheduling at CII
On-line Case: Scheduling at Valley Memorial Hospital
Scheduling Today’s assignment is with Carol Gardner, assistant to the chief administrator at Valley Memorial Hospital. “Actually,” she says, “there are four diff erent problems I’d like your help with. Two days ago, Tami Zarkin, the 2-East supervisor, called about a schedul- ing issue: how to assign the six nurses on the ward to the six patients there, given that some nurses are bet- ter than others with certain patients or at certain tasks. Th en, Susie Berkman from the intensive care unit came by to ask for help scheduling the nurses on the 3 p.m. to 11 p.m. shift. Yesterday, Gail Johnson, our supervi- sor at the blood bank, said she needed help scheduling the volunteer staff there. And fi nally, this morning, Don Maltby, who manages the business offi ce, asked me to
help him fi gure out the most effi cient way for his assis- tant, Naomi Engel, to process cost reports and for the data entry staff to get the processed reports into our database. Let’s discuss how to get the information you’ll need from each of these people.”
To complete this assignment, go to www.wiley. com/college/reid to get more details. Assignment questions are given at the site.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Scheduling
www.wiley.com/college/reid
588 CHAPTER 15 • Scheduling
Selected Bibliography
Abernathy, W., N. Baloff , and J. Hershey. “Th e Nurse Staff - ing Problem: Issues and Prospects,” Sloan Management Review 13, 1, Fall 1971.
Blackstone, J.H., Jr. Capacity Management. Cincinnati, Ohio: South-Western, 1989.
Buff a, E.S., and J.G. Miller. Production-Inventory Systems: Planning and Control, Th ird Edition. Homewood, Ill.: Irwin, 1979.
Cox, J.F., III, J.H. Blackstone, and M.S. Spencer, eds. APICS Dic- tionary, Fourteenth Edition. Falls Church, Va.: American Production and Inventory Control Society, 2014.
“Employee Shift Scheduling Software for Manufacturing, Production, and Plant Maintenance Operations.” http:// www.bmscentral.com/products/schedule/industries/ manufacturing-shift-scheduling.aspx.
“High-Mix Discrete Manufacturing.” http://www.nmetric.com/ discrete-manufacturing/how-nmetric-is-diff erent/.
“Interactive Scheduling is Key to Successful Biomanufac- turing Operations.” http://cellculturedish.com/2014/09/ interactive-scheduling-key-successful-biomanufacturing- operations/. September 17, 2014.
Johnson, S.M. “Optimal Two Stage and Th ree Stage Pro- duction Schedules with Setup Times Included,” Naval Logistics Quarterly 1, 1, March 1954.
Klassen, K.J., and T.R. Rohleder. “Outpatient Appointment Scheduling with Urgent Clients in a Dynamic, Multi- period Environment,” International Journal of Service Industry Management, 15, 2, 2004, 167–186.
“Optimising Production Operations.” London, United King- dom: Deloitte MCS Unlimited, 2013.
Sipper, D., and R.L. Buffi n, Jr. Production: Planning, Control and Integration. Burr Ridge, Ill.: McGraw-Hill, 1998.
Taylor, E. “Service Operations Planning vs. Manufactur- ing Planning.” http://smallbusiness.chron.com/service- operations-planning-vs-manufacturing-planning-20343. html.
Umble, M.M., and M.L. Srikanth. Synchronous Manufactur- ing. Cincinnati, Ohio: South-Western, 1990.
Vollmann, T.E., W.L. Berry, D.C. Whybark, and F.R. Jacobs. Manufacturing Planning and Control Systems for Sup-
ply Chain Management, Fifth Edition. Homewood, III.: McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2005.
Project Management16
Before studying this chapter you should know or, if necessary, review
1. The implications of competitive priorities, Chapter 2.
2. Time standards, Chapter 11.
3. Gantt charts, Chapter 15.
Learning Objectives After studying this chapter you should be able to 1 Describe a project’s life cycle.
2 Describe project management concepts.
3 Estimate the probability of a project being completed by a specifi c due date.
4 Demonstrate how to reduce a project’s completion time.
5 Describe the critical chain approach.
T hink about life’s major events and what it takes to make them successful. Consider what is involved in planning a surprise 50th wedding anniver- sary party for your grandparents. Such an event is a complex project with
many simultaneous and sequential activities leading up to the day of the party. Consider the following partial list of activities to prepare the surprise.
1. Decide on the actual date for the celebration. (Sometimes the exact anni- versary date doesn’t work.)
2. Prepare a preliminary budget. (Most projects have some budgetary constraints.)
3. Develop the guest list of family and friends.
4. Determine the theme for the celebration (maybe a slide show of major events in the past 50 years).
5. Evaluate the possible facilities for the party. (Consider location, handicap accessibility, and size.)
6. Evaluate food options (full sit-down dinner, a buffet, or just appetizers?). 7. Book the facility. 8. Select and order invitations. (Consider lead time and quantities.) 9. Select and order decorations. (Consider the limitations of the facility that
you have booked.) 10. Evaluate party favors (maybe some personalized memento). 11. Select type of music (background or dance?). 12. Evaluate music options (recorded, live, or DJ?). 13. Finalize the music. 14. Send invitations. 15. Collect RSVPs to determine final headcount. 16. Help out-of-area guests arrange local accommodations. 17. Finalize food options. 18. Finalize party favors. 19. Arrange seating chart.
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590 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
20. Hire a limo service to pick up your grandparents. 21. Decorate the facility.
These activities need to be done before the surprise anniversary party. Many of these can be done simultaneously, but you must do some activities sequentially. For example, you must know how many guests you are expecting before you can book the facility, order invitations, plan for food, or do a seating chart. Each activity in preparation for the surprise celebration is related to other activities, and the order of the activities is clearly defined. •
The Project Life Cycle While most of us dislike waiting in traffic due to road construction, think about all the activities that must be considered. Think about replacing a bridge on a country road. Once the local government begins to consider replacing the bridge, certain activities must occur. Engineers and architects need to develop a plan for the new bridge, including materials needed, and a budget. After plan approval, the local government issues a request for bid to construction companies. Each company needs to submit a bid detailing the total cost of the project and the expected completion time. The local government then awards the contract. At that point the fun begins. The project manager coordinates the flow of equipment and materials to the site of the bridge and makes sure that the right workers are there at the right time ( just imagine all the types of equipment and workers needed). The manager also maintains some flexibility in case of bad weather and makes sure that detours are set up or some type of traffic control is provided. Such projects easily take four to eight months for completion.
Project management techniques are useful when a project consists of several activities, some simultaneous and others sequential. A project is a unique, one-time set of activi- ties that is intended to achieve an objective in a given time period. The project is of some length (weeks, months, or even years) and uses resources (human, capital, materials, and equipment).
For the surprise 50th anniversary party for your grandparents, it can easily take three to six months of planning and cost thousands of dollars. In the business world, projects can be designing new products, installing new systems, constructing new facilities, designing an advertising campaign, designing information systems, and developing company Web sites. In politics, a project can be designing a political campaign. Projects consist of several tasks and take place in a given time period. Every project has a life cycle.
Projects vary in terms of objectives, but each project has a common life cycle or sequence of activities. The life cycle begins with an initial concept, followed by a feasibility study, the planning of the project, the execution of the plan, and finally the termination of the project. Let’s look at each phase of a project life cycle.
Identify the need for the project. In our anniversary example, the concept is the recog- nition of two individuals’ lifelong commitment to each other. In the business world, the concept might be the company’s decision to launch a new product, implement a new infor- mation system, or become involved in e-commerce. In politics, the concept might be a can- didate’s decision to run for office.
Evaluate expected costs, benefits, and risks of the project. For our anniversary exam- ple, a feasibility study might mean deciding whether the couple would be happier by being guests at the party or if they would rather take a getaway trip to visit some exotic part of the world. For the company launching a new product, a feasibility study means examining the potential market, the market share, and profits for the new product compared to the costs.
Project Endeavor with a specifi c objective, multiple activities, and defi ned precedence relationships, to be completed in a specifi ed time period.
Project Management Concepts • 591
In politics, a feasibility study is a candidate’s assessment of the resources needed to run a successful political campaign and the benefits of elected office.
Analyze the work to be done and develop time estimates for completing each of the activities. In our wedding example, you plan what must be done, by whom, and when. When planning the party, a friend or another family member might do the initial screening of caterers, musicians, and so forth, allowing you to make the final decision. In business, planning consists of the activities needed to launch the new product. For example, the com- pany must design the new product; source and order the materials, equipment, and tools; choose the process to use; design the layout; write the job instructions; do a pilot run; evalu- ate the process and the product design; and transition the product to manufacturing. In pol- itics, planning might include deciding how to raise funds, schedule personal appearances and debates, handle public relations, and adopt policy positions.
Carry out the activities that make up the project. For our party, this means actually book- ing the facility, arranging the music, doing the seating arrangements, finalizing the menu, arranging the limo pickup, and so on. In business, the execution of the project entails com- pleting the product design, obtaining the materials and equipment needed, setting up the process, writing job instructions, and making the product. For a political candidate, exe- cution includes fund-raising, making public appearances, and showcasing the political message.
End the project. After this date, resources can be used for different activities. For you, termination occurs after the party is over. In business, termination means product design engineers work on new products, purchasing agents can return to routine activities or a new project, and manufacturing engineers work on new projects. For a political candidate, termination means serving in an elected office or looking for a new job. See Table 16.1 for a summary of these project life-cycle phases.
Project Management Concepts Program evaluation and review technique (PERT) and critical path method (CPM) date back to the 1950s. PERT was originally developed to plan and mon- itor the Polaris missile, an extremely large project using over 3000 contractors and involving thousands of activi- ties. PERT is credited with reducing the project duration by two years. Because of its success, most government contracts still require the use of PERT or a similar tech- nique. CPM was initially developed to plan and coordi- nate maintenance projects in chemical plants.
Program evaluation and review technique (PERT) Network planning technique used to determine a project’s planned completion date and identify the project’s critical path.
Critical path method (CPM) Network planning technique, with deterministic times, used to determine a project’s planned completion date and identify the project’s critical path.
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TABLE 16.1 Project Life-Cycle Phases
Concept: Identify the need for the project.
Feasibility analysis or study: Evaluate costs, benefi ts, and risks.
Planning: Decide who does what, how long it should take, and what you need to do it.
Execution: Do the project.
Termination: End the project.
592 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
The benefits of network planning techniques include the following:
· Graphical display of the project, including the relationships and sequence of activities.
· Estimate of the expected project length.
· Method for determining which activities are critical to the timely completion of the project and are therefore included in the critical path.
· Method for determining the amount of slack associated with individual project activities.
Both PERT and CPM portray the project as a network diagram. The project activities and their precedence relationships are illustrated in the network diagram by nodes ( circles) and arrows. Project activities are actions that consume resources and/or time. For example, making the drawings for a new product is an activity—it takes time and uses resources (human and equipment). Precedence relationships structure the sequencing of activities; that is, you have to finish one before you can start the next. These are like course prereq- uisites: before you can enroll in an operations management class, you have to take a basic statistics course. In business, before a company can source materials for a new product, the designers have to finish the product design. Project managers use these network planning techniques to:
Identify project activities and precedent relationships. Project managers use this technique to create a document reflecting the activities, the responsible department, and the necessary resources (time, people, and equipment).
Calculate the expected completion time of the project. Project managers use this technique to plan additional projects and negotiate contracts with clients. For exam- ple, the customer may include a monetary penalty if the project is not completed by a certain date or a bonus if the project is completed ahead of schedule. The proj- ect manager can evaluate whether the probability risk of completing the project on schedule is acceptable or whether additional resources are needed to ensure timely completion.
Identify the activities critical to the timely completion of the project. Project manag- ers use this technique to identify activities that can be delayed without affecting the project’s completion, to provide some flexibility for the project manager.
Suppose you are a project manager using network planning techniques. You would typi- cally describe the project, diagram the network, estimate the project’s completion time, and monitor the project’s progression. Let’s look at these four steps in detail.
Step 1: Describe the Project The project schedule is the tool used to communicate what work needs to be performed, which resources are used to perform the work, and when the work needs to be performed. On-line project management software allows project managers to track project schedules, resources, and budgets in real time. The software enables the project schedule to be viewed and updated by members of the project team. Every team member is well informed on the overall project status.
Developing a project schedule begins with a work breakdown structure (WBS). The WBS is similar to the bill of material discussed in Chapter 14. The overall objective of the product is typically to be used as the end product in the bill of material, or the deliverable. The next level in the bill of material identifies all the major tasks needed to accomplish the overall objective of the project. Each of these major tasks is broken down further, listing the tasks
Project activities Specifi c tasks that must be completed and that require resources.
Precedence relationships Establishes the sequencing of activities to ensure that all necessary activities are completed before a subsequent activity is begun.
Project Management Concepts • 593
that must be completed to accomplish the major task. This continues until all activities and tasks are included in the WBS.
To illustrate how a project schedule is developed, we make a network diagram of a rela- tively simple project. We describe the project in terms that each of the team members will understand. The project’s objective and the project end date will be included. For example, the project may be the release of a specific new product by November 1, or it may be ISO certification by the end of the calendar year. Given the project objective, define the project activities in terms of resource requirements (labor, equipment, and cash) and precedence relationships.
Step 2: Diagram the Network Diagram the project as a network, visually displaying the interrelationships between the activities. There are two kinds of network diagrams: activity-on-arrow (AOA) and activity- on- node (AON). We will focus on activity-on-node diagrams.
The activity-on-node (AON) diagram represents project activities by nodes and prec- edence relationships by arrows. Figure 16.1a shows the simple case in which we must do activity A before doing activity B, which we must do before activity C. In Figure 16.1b, the diagram indicates that we must finish activity A first before we can begin both activities B and C. In Figure 16.1c, we must finish both activities A and B before either activity C or D can begin. Figure 16.1d is an example in which we can begin two activities (B and C) when we finish activity A and we can begin activity D only after we finish both activities B and C.
We can use the network diagram to determine the project’s critical path. The critical path is the longest sequential path of interrelated activities in the network and shows the minimum completion time for the project. Any delay in an activity that is on the critical path will delay the whole project. Let’s diagram a sample project.
Activity-on-node Network diagramming notation that places activities in the nodes and arrows to signify precedence relationships.
Critical path The longest sequential path through the network diagram.
A B C
a. Activity A precedes activity B, which precedes activity C.
B
C
b. Activity A must be completed before activities B and C can begin.
c. Activities A and B must both be completed before activity C or D can begin.
d. Activities B and C can begin once activity A has been completed; activity D cannot begin until both B and C are completed.
C
D
A
A
B
DA
B
C
FIGURE 16.1 Network notation
594 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
EXAMPLE 16.1 Network Diagram of the New-Product Project for Cables By Us
Two recent graduates, Michael and Elyssa, own Cables By Us, a company that produces cable assemblies. Business has been good, so Michael and Elyssa have decided to expand their product line to include a new cable product. The new product will be manufactured in the current facility in an area not now in use. Michael and Elyssa have decided to use a project management approach to bring the new product on-line and have identifi ed eleven activities and their precedence relationships, as shown in Table 16.2. Develop an AON diagram of the project.
TABLE 16.2 Project Activities and Precedence Relationships
Activity Description Immediate
Predecessors
A Develop product specifi cations none
B Design manufacturing process A
C Source and purchase materials A
D Source and purchase tooling and equipment B
E Receive and install tooling and equipment D
F Receive materials C
G Pilot production run E, F
H Evaluate product design G
I Evaluate process performance G
J Write documentation report H, I
K Transition to manufacturing J
• Before You Begin: A network diagram visually represents the different project activities and their precedence relationships. For Michael and Elyssa, the fi rst activity (A) is developing product specifi cations. After activity A is completed, both activities B and C can begin. The diagram needs to refl ect the connected pathways through the project.
• Solution: In Figure 16.2, note that the project begins with activity A. Once activity A is completed, both activities B and C can begin. After completing activity B, activity D can be started. Fol- lowing activity D’s completion, activity E begins. When activity C is completed, we can start activity F. Activity G cannot be started until both activities E and F have been completed. Following the completion of activity G, we can begin working on both activities H and I. Activity J can begin once activities H and I are fi nished. The fi nal activity, K, can be done after activity J is fi nished.
B
A
C F
D E
G
H
J K
I
FIGURE 16.2 Initial network diagram
Project Management Concepts • 595
Step 3: Estimate the Project’s Completion Time To estimate the completion time of the project, the project manager evaluates the connected paths through the diagram to determine which of the routes takes the longest time. The long- est connected route through the diagram is the critical path. The sum of the lengths of time of each of the activities on the critical path determines the minimum completion time for the project. If an activity on the critical path is delayed, the completion of the project is delayed.
We estimate the project completion time based on the time estimates for the project activities. Activity time estimates can be either probabilistic or deterministic. We use probabilistic time estimates when we are unsure about the duration of project activities— for example, because of technical problems, bad weather, delayed material delivery, and less-than-expected labor productivity. We use deterministic time estimates when we have done similar activities in the past and can make a reliable time estimate. Let’s look first at estimating the project’s completion date using deterministic time estimates.
Step 3 (a): Deterministic Time Estimates With the deterministic time estimate, we make a single time estimate for each project activ- ity. Table 16.3 shows the time estimates for each of Michael and Elyssa’s project activities.
Given this information, we need to transfer the activity time requirement to the network diagram, as shown in Figure 16.3. We include the time estimate with the activity designator in the appropriate node. For example, activity A should take four weeks. We determine project completion time by calculating how long each of the paths through the network will take.
TABLE 16.3 Deterministic Time Estimates
Activity Description Time Estimate
(weeks)
A Develop product specifi cations. 4
B Design manufacturing process. 6
C Source and purchase materials. 3
D Source and purchase tooling and equipment. 6
E Receive and install tooling and equipment. 14
F Receive materials. 5
G Pilot production run. 2
H Evaluate product design. 2
I Evaluate process performance. 3
J Write documentation report. 4
K Transition to manufacturing. 2
Probabilistic time estimate Process that uses optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic time estimates.
Deterministic time estimate Assumption that the activity duration is known with certainty.
B(6)
Connected paths 1. A, B, D, E, G, H, J, K 2. A, B, D, E, G, I, J, K 3. A, C, F, G, H, J, K 4. A, C, F, G, I, J, K
A(4)
C(3) F(5) I(3)
G(2) J(4) K(2)
D(6) E(14) H(2)
FIGURE 16.3 Identifying paths
596 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
EXAMPLE 16.2 Calculating the Path Completion Times Using Deterministic Time Estimates
Identify the four connected paths in the project, running from the beginning to the end, and calculate how long it takes to complete each path.
• Before You Begin: First, identify the connected pathways through the network diagram. Sum the total time to complete all the activities on each pathway. Compare the results. The pathway that takes the greatest amount of time to fi nish determines the minimum completion time for this project.
• Solution: For example, the fi rst path includes activities A, B, D, E, G, H, J, and K. Add the time estimates for each of these activities together to fi nd the length of time it takes to complete the path. Verify the results shown in Table 16.4.
TABLE 16.4 Completion Times for Each Path
Activities on Path Completion Time (weeks)
A, B, D, E, G, H, J, K 40
A, B, D, E, G, I, J, K 41
A, C, F, G, H, J, K 22
A, C, F, G, I, J, K 23
Since the critical path is the longest connected path through the network, the critical path includes activities A, B, D, E, G, I, J, and K. Activities C, F, and H are not included on the critical path. When the project and number of pathways are larger, another technique can be used to determine the project’s completion time and the project’s critical path. In this case, ES (earliest start time), EF (earliest fi nish time), LS (latest start time), and LF (latest fi nish time) are used along with deterministic time estimates to identify any activity that has slack. Slack means that the start time for a specifi c activity can be delayed without delaying the project’s planned completion date. Figure 16.4 shows the network diagram and the calculated ESs and EFs. By convention, the project starts at time 0, which is the earliest time any activity can start. Since activity A must be done fi rst, it has ES = 0. The earliest that activity A can be fi nished is cal- culated as its earliest start time plus the time it takes to do the activity. The general formula is EF = ES + activity time estimate. For activity A, the formula is EF = ES + the activity A time estimate. Or, EF = 0 + 4 weeks, or a total of 4 weeks. The earliest start time for both activities B or C is equal to the EF for activity A, the activity immediately preceding it.
ES = 4 EF = 10
ES = 0 EF = 4
ES = 4 EF = 7
ES = 7 EF = 12
ES = 30 EF = 32
ES = 32 EF = 35
ES = 35 EF = 39
ES = 39 EF = 41
ES = 10 EF = 16
ES = 16 EF = 30
ES = 32 EF = 34
B(6)
A(4)
C(3) F(5) I(3)
G(2) J(4) K(2)
D(6) E(14) H(2)
FIGURE 16.4 Earliest start, earliest finish network
Slack The amount of time an activity can be delayed without affecting the project’s planned completion time.
Project Management Concepts • 597
EXAMPLE 16.3 Using ES, EF, LS, and LF to Find Slack
Confi rm the calculations made in Figure 16.4 and Figure 16.5.
ES = 4 EF = 10 LS = 4 LF = 10
ES = 0 EF = 4 LS = 0 LF = 4
ES = 4 EF = 7 LS = 22 LF = 25
ES = 7 EF = 12 LS = 25 LF = 30
ES = 30 EF = 32 LS = 30 LF = 32 ES = 32
EF = 35 LS = 32 LF = 35
ES = 35 EF = 39 LS = 35 LF = 39
ES = 39 EF = 41 LS = 39 LF = 41
ES = 10 EF = 16 LS = 10 LF = 16
ES = 16 EF = 30 LS = 16 LF = 30
ES = 32 EF = 34 LS = 33 LF = 35
Critical path is A-B-D-E-G-I-J-K
B(6)
A(4)
C(3) F(5) I(3)
G(2) J(4) K(2)
D(6) E(14) H(2)
FIGURE 16.5 Latest start, latest finish network
• Before You Begin: When confi rming the ES and EF calculations, pay particular attention to activities G and J. In this situation, these activities have multiple immediate predecessors. Both activities E and F must be fi nished before activity G can begin. Both activities H and I must be completed before activity J can begin. Remember that since both immediate predecessors must be completed before the next activity can start, the immediate predecessor with the larger EF becomes the ES for the following activity.
• Solution: By convention, the ES for activity A is 0. The earliest fi nish time is 4. Once activity A is com- pleted, activities B and C can be started. The ES for each is equal to the EF of its immediate predecessor, activity A. Continue moving from left to right through the diagram. The ES for activity G is 30, since both activities E and F must be completed before activity G can begin. The larger EF time for these predecessors is the ES for activity G. The estimated project dur- ation is 41 weeks, the EF for the fi nal project activity. After moving from left to right through the network computing the ESs and EFs, the LSs and LFs are calculated working from right to left. Since the project duration has been established as 41 weeks, the LF for the fi nal project activity (K) is set to 41 weeks. Beginning with the LF for the fi nal activity, move from right to left through the network diagram. If activity K must be fi nished by time 41, then it must be started no later than time 39 (the LFK − the time to com- plete activity K). If activity K must be started no later than time 39, then its immediate pred- ecessor (activity J) must be fi nished no later than time 39, so LFJ = 39. The latest activity J can be started and still be completed on schedule is time 35. At activity G, there are two activities that follow the completion of activity G. In this case when there are two or more activities (H and I) going back to a single activity (G), the smaller LS value (LSI = 32) is the LF for activity G. Continue through the network. After the LSs and LFs are completed, determine which activities are on the critical path. Any activity with slack is not on the critical path. To determine whether slack exists for an activity, compare its ES value with the LS value. If these two values are equal, then that activity has no slack. Look at activity I for an example with no slack. Look at activity H for an example with slack. In this example, activities A, B, D, E, G, I, J, and K are on the critical path. Activities C, F, and H have slack.
598 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
Step 3 (b): Probabilistic Time Estimates With probabilistic time estimates, we make three time estimates for each project activity: the optimistic time, the most likely time, and the pessimistic time. The optimistic time, denoted as (o), is the shortest time in which the activity can be completed. The most likely time, denoted as (m), is the most reasonable time estimate. The pessimistic time, denoted as (p), is the longest time in which the activity can be completed. Using Michael and Elyssa’s plan for a new product, let’s add some time estimates so we can determine the project’s critical path. Table 16.5 shows the optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic time estimates for the project activities.
When we calculate the expected time for an activity, we treat each activity time estimate as a random variable derived from a beta probability distribution. The beta distribution can have various shapes typically found in project management activities and also has definite end points. These end points limit the possible completion times of the project between the optimistic and the pessimistic completion times. The most likely time completion date is the mode of the beta distribution. Figure 16.6 shows an example of a beta probability distribution.
We use three time estimates to compute an expected time for finishing each of the activ- ities. The expected time for each activity is a weighted average, calculated using the formula
Expected time = optimistic time + 4(most likely time) + pessimistic time
6
For activity A, the expected time is 4 weeks.
Expected timeA = 2 + 4(4) + 6
6 =
24
6 = 4 weeks
Optimistic time estimate The shortest time period in which the activity can be completed.
Most likely time estimate The normal time that the activity is expected to take.
Pessimistic time estimate The longest time period in which the activity will be completed.
Beta probability distribution Typically represents project activities.
ET
Activity start
Optimistic completion
time
Most likely completion
time
Pessimistic completion
time
FIGURE 16.6 Beta distribution
EXAMPLE 16.4 Calculating the Expected Times
Confi rm the expected time for each of the activities in the Cables By Us project. Identify the different connected pathways through the network and calculate the expected completion time for each pathway.
• Before You Begin: To calculate the expected time for each activity, use the following formula:
Expected time = optimistic time + 4(most likely time) + pessimistic time
6
Identify the connected pathways through the network and calculate the expected time for each. Remember that the pathway that takes the longest time to complete is the critical path for the project.
Project Management Concepts • 599
• Solution: Table 16.5 shows the expected time for each of the activities. Note that in some cases, the optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic times can be identical, as they are for activities G and K. For those activities, no uncertainty exists; we know for sure how long those activities will take.
TABLE 16.5 Probabilistic Time Estimates
Activity Description
Optimistic Time (o) (weeks)
Most Likely Time (m) (weeks)
Pessimistic Time (p) (weeks)
Expected Time (ET) (weeks)
A Develop product specifi cations 2 4 6 4
B Design manufacturing process 3 7 10 6.83
C Source and purchase materials 2 3 5 3.17
D Source and purchase tooling and equipment 4 7 9 6.83
E Receive and install tooling and equipment 12 16 20 16
F Receive materials 2 5 8 5
G Pilot production run 2 2 2 2
H Evaluate product design 2 3 4 3
I Evaluate process performance 2 3 5 3.17
J Write documentation report 2 4 6 4
K Transition to manufacturing 2 2 2 2
The next step is to transfer the expected activity times to the network diagram, as shown in Figure 16.7. Now we determine the critical path through the project. We have two ways to fi nd the critical path. The fi rst, which is more practical for small network diagrams, is to calculate the expected time each path through the network takes to complete. In Figure 16.7, we can see four connected or sequential paths through the project. Table 16.6 shows these paths and the expected times to complete them.
Connected paths 1. A, B, D, E, G, H, J, K 2. A, B, D, E, G, I, J, K 3. A, C, F, G, H, J, K 4. A, C, F, G, I, J, K
B(6.83)
A(4) G(2) J(4) K(2)
D(6.83)
C(3.17) F(5) I(3.17)
E(16) H(3)
FIGURE 16.7 Network diagram with expected activity times
600 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
An alternative method for determining the expected project duration using probabilistic time estimates is to find which activities have slack time. These are the activities we can delay without affecting the project completion date.
The fi rst connected path includes activities A, B, D, E, G, H, J, and K. The second path includes activities A, B, D, E, G, I, J, and K. The third path includes activities A, C, F, G, H, J, and K. The fourth path includes activities A, C, F, G, I, J, and K. There are no other connected paths through the project. To calculate the expected time of each path, we sum the expected times for the activities on the path. For example, we expect the fi rst path to take 44.66 weeks (4 weeks for activity A + 6.83 weeks for activity B + 6.83 weeks for activity D + 16 weeks for activity E + 2 weeks for activity G + 3 weeks for activity H + 4 weeks for activity J + 2 weeks for activity K). The critical path is the longest connected path through the network. Therefore, the second path—A, B, D, E, G, I, J, K—is the critical path and determines the expected com- pletion time for the project.
TABLE 16.6 Paths through the Network
Path Number Activities on Path Expected Completion
Time (weeks)
1 A, B, D, E, G, H, J, K 44.66
2 A, B, D, E, G, I, J, K 44.83
3 A, C, F, G, H, J, K 23.17
4 A, C, F, G, I, J, K 23.34
EXAMPLE 16.5 Calculating Earliest Start Times and Latest Start Times
Given Michael and Elyssa’s project, determine which activities have slack by calculating the ES, EF, LS, and LF for each activity.
• Before You Begin: The ES and LF calculations using probabilistic time estimates are done exactly as were the deterministic time estimates used in Example 16.3.
• Solution: By convention, we set the timing at 0 to begin the project. Therefore, the earliest we can begin activity A is at time 0, which means that the earliest we can fi nish activity A is at time 4. Both activities B and C can begin as early as time 4. Activity B can be fi nished as early as time 10.83 (the earliest start time plus the expected activity time). Activity C can be fi nished as early as time 7.17. When we have to fi nish two or more activities before another activity can begin, such as activities E and F being fi nished before beginning activity G, we calculate the earliest fi nish time for each activity. Figure 16.8 shows that the earliest we can fi nish activity E is time 33.66, whereas we can fi nish activity F as early as time 12.17. Since both activities must be fi nished before we can begin activity G, the earliest we can start activity G is time 33.66. Note that when two or more activities must be done before the next activity can begin, the earliest start time of that activity is the larger of the incoming earliest fi nish times. The Gantt chart in Figure 16.9 shows the project with each activity fi nished at the earliest possible start date. Note that we cannot begin activity D until we fi nish both activities B and C. We can begin activity F as soon as we fi nish activity C. Using Michael and Elyssa’s project, determine the latest start and latest fi nish times for each of the activities.
Project Management Concepts • 601
ES = 4 EF = 10.83
ES = 0 EF = 4
ES = 4 EF = 7.17
ES = 7.17 EF = 12.17
ES = 33.66 EF = 35.66
ES = 35.66 EF = 38.83
ES = 42.83 EF = 44.83
ES = 38.83 EF = 42.83
ES = 10.83 EF = 17.66
ES = 17.66 EF = 33.66
ES = 35.66 EF = 38.66
B(6.83)
A(4) G(2) J(4) K(2)
D(6.83)
C(3.17) F(5) I(3.17)
E(16) H(3)
FIGURE 16.8 Network diagram with early starts and early finishes
• Solution: In Figure 16.10, we have added the latest start times (LS) and the latest fi nish times (LF) to the network diagram. LS is the latest time we can start an activity without delaying the entire project. LF is the latest time we can fi nish an activity without delaying the entire project. By convention, we set the LF for the fi nal activity equal to the EF for that activity (44.83 weeks in this case). To cal- culate the latest start time for activity K, we subtract the expected activity time (2 weeks) from the latest fi nish time (44.83 − 2.0 = 42.83). The latest fi nish time for activity J is the latest start time for activity K. When we have two activities going back to a common activity, such as activities B and C going back to activity A, we calculate the LS for each and then we use the smaller of the latest start times (for example, the LS for activity B is 4, the LS for activity C is 25.49, therefore the LF for activity A is 4). The Gantt chart in Figure 16.11 shows the project schedule using the latest possible start times for each of the activities if the project is to be completed in 44.83 weeks. When we have computed the ES and EF for each activity, we can determine which activities are on the critical path. All activities that have equal ES and EF are on the critical path. From Figure 16.10 we can see that activities A, B, D, E, G, I, J, and K are on the critical path. Activities C, F, and H are not on the critical path. Any activity not on the critical path has slack time, so we
A
B
C
D
E
G
H
I
J
K
F
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Weeks
26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46
FIGURE 16.9 Earliest-start Gantt chart
602 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
can delay the completion of that activity. To illustrate this, let’s look at our network diagram in Figure 16.10. We can see that activities C and F together need only an expected time of 8.17 weeks. The other activities that we must fi nish before activity G—activities B, D, and E—are expected to take 29.66 weeks. The difference (21.49 weeks) represents how long we can delay activities C and F and still not affect the project’s completion date. As long as we fi nish C and F by time 33.66, we can fi nish the project as planned. The Gantt chart in Figure 16.11 shows the project schedule using the latest possible start times for each of the activities if the project is to be completed in 44.83 weeks. When we compare the earliest-start schedule with the latest-start schedule, we can see that three activities (C, F, and H) have different starting and fi nishing times. We can start activity C as early as week 4 or as late as week 25.49, so activity C has slack. The same is true for activity F: we can start it as early as week 7.17 and as late as week 28.66. Activity H has less slack. We can start it as early as week 35.66 and no later than week 35.83. Since each of these activities has slack, we do not include them in the project’s critical path.
A
B
D
C
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Weeks
26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46
FIGURE 16.11 Latest-start Gantt chart
ES = 4 EF = 10.83 LS = 4 LF = 10.83
ES = 4 EF = 7.17 LS = 25.49 LF = 28.66
ES = 7.17 EF = 12.17 LS = 28.22 LF = 33.66
ES = 35.66 EF = 38.83 LS = 35.66 LF = 38.83
ES = 0 EF = 4 LS = 0 LF = 4
ES = 33.66 EF = 35.66 LS = 33.66 LF = 35.66
ES = 42.83 EF = 44.83 LS = 42.83 LF = 44.83
ES = 38.83 EF = 42.83 LS = 38.83 LF = 42.83
B(6.83)
A(4) G(2) J(4) K(2)
D(6.83)
C(3.17) F(5) I(3.17)
E(16) H(3)
ES = 10.83 EF = 17.66 LS = 10.83 LF = 17.66
ES = 17.66 EF = 33.66 LS = 17.66 LF = 33.66
ES = 35.66 EF = 38.66 LS = 35.83 LF = 38.83
FIGURE 16.10 Network diagram with late starts and late finishes
Project Management Concepts • 603
Step 4: Monitor the Project’s Progression Even though you have carefully planned the project, things happen that can affect its prog- ress. Parts or equipment may arrive later than expected, materials may not meet quality specifications and will need to be replaced, less labor than expected may not be available, and bad weather—all can delay the project’s completion. Planning the project is necessary, but monitoring its progress is even more important in meeting the scheduled completion date. You focus initially on activities in the critical path since any delay in these activities delays the whole project. You are also aware of activities not on the critical path that have little slack because a relatively short delay in these activities can affect the project’s comple- tion time.
When changes are made, project managers manage these changes through the use of change control boards. The purpose of these boards is to review and prioritize changes dur- ing the course of the project. There are typically two categories of changes. First are changes that are necessary in order to meet the objectives of the project. Second are changes that were not part of the original scope of the project. These changes may be in response to a shift in the market. The company may receive additional marketing knowledge, which requires a product modification. There may also be a new technology that can be incorpo- rated into the product that was not available when the project was initiated. There may also be a new material or purchased component now available that improves the product. It is important that all changes are clearly prioritized so that the project remains on schedule.
One large-scale project to manage is the Olympic Games—a project that necessitates an exceptional amount of advance research and planning. The logistics and infrastructures of the city that hosts the Olympic Games and the Organizing Committee for the Games both have to oversee hundreds of smaller projects that culminate to ensure a successful run of the Olympics. From tasks such as shipping and receiv- ing the tremendous amount of freight ( for example, broadcast equipment) to facilitating the stay of the athletes, proj- ect managers must pay close attention to details. Of course, with such a large-scale event comes a myriad of problems, such as enough timely transportation, leadership changes, and security concerns. Only with extensive preparation can such a large-scale event be successful.
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LINKSTO PRACTICE
MANAGING THE OLYMPIC GAMES www.olympic.org
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Be sure that you can use network diagrams to illustrate the project. 1. Describe the project in terms of your objective, the project
activities, and the precedence relationships. 2. Estimate the project activities. For probabilistic time
estimates, make an optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic
estimate and compute the expected time for each project activity. For deterministic time estimates, make a single time estimate for each activity.
3. Use a network diagramming technique, either activity-on- arrow or activity-on-node, to refl ect the precedence rela- tionships between activities.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
604 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
Estimating the Probability of Completion Dates
An advantage of using probabilistic time estimates is the ability to predict the probability of project completion dates. We learned how to calculate the expected time for each activity with the three time estimates provided. Now we need to calculate the variance for each activity. The variance of the beta probability distribution for each activity is
σ 2 = ap − o 6 b
2
where p = pessimistic activity time estimate o = optimistic activity time estimate
EXAMPLE 16.6 Calculating the Variance of Activities
Calculate the variance of each activity in the Cables By Us project. Then calculate the variance associated with each connected pathway through the project.
• Before You Begin: The variance is calculated using the formula
σ 2 = ap − o 6 b
2
• Solution: Using activity A to illustrate the formula, the variance is 0.44:
σ 2A = a6 − 26 b 2
= 0.44
Confi rm the variances for the remaining activities as shown in Table 16.7. Then sum the total variances associated with each pathway. Confi rm the values shown in Table 16.8.
TABLE 16.7 Project Activity Variance
Activity Optimistic
Time Most Likely
Time Pessimistic
Time Variance
A 2 4 6 0.44
B 3 6 10 1.36
C 2 3 5 0.25
D 4 7 9 0.69
E 12 16 20 1.78
F 2 5 8 1.00
G 2 2 2 0.00
H 2 3 4 0.11
I 2 3 5 0.25
J 2 4 6 0.44
K 2 2 2 0.00
Estimating the Probability of Completion Dates • 605
When you know the expected completion time of each path and its variance, you can determine the probability of specific completion dates. For example, you may want to know the probability of completing the project in 48 weeks. We can use the following formula to determine the probability of finishing each of the paths at a specified date:
z = specified time − path expected completion time
path standard deviation or
z = DT − EFPath1σ 2Path
where DT = the specifi ed completion date EFPath = the expected completion time of the path σ 2Path = variance of path
For a particular path through the project, the z value shows the path’s number of standard deviations that the specified time is past the expected path completion time. A negative z value shows that the specified time is earlier than the expected path completion time. After calculating the z value, you can look it up in Appendix B to determine the probability of fin- ishing the path by the specified time. Note that the probability of finishing the path by the specified time equals the area under the normal curve to the left of z, as shown in Figure 16.12.
Using the variance for each activity, calculate the variance for paths through the network. To calculate the variance for a specifi c path through the network, add the variance for each of the activities on the path. For example, the variance for the critical path A, B, D, E, G, I, J, K is 4.96 weeks (0.44 + 1.36 + 0.69 + 1.78 + 0.00 + 0.25 + 0.44 + 0.00). The size of the variance refl ects the degree of uncertainty for the path. The greater the variance, the greater is the uncertainty. The variance for the second-longest path through the network (A, B, D, E, G, H, J, K) is 4.82 weeks. Table 16.8 shows the four specifi c paths and their variances.
TABLE 16.8 Variances of Paths through the Network
Path Number Activities on Path Path Variance (weeks)
1 A, B, D, E, G, H, J, K 4.82
2 A, B, D, E, G, I, J, K 4.96
3 A, C, F, G, H, J, K 2.24
4 A, C, F, G, I, J, K 2.38
Shaded area represents 93.57%
of area under the curve
–3 –2 –1 +1 z = 1.52
z values +2 +3
FIGURE 16.12 Probability of path 1 finished in 48 days
606 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
In general, we give any activity with a z value of 2.50 or larger a 100 percent probability of completion by the specified time. You may be more concerned with the probability of the critical path’s completion by the specified time. Still, it is a good idea to determine the prob- ability of other paths with similar completion times. The probability of finishing the critical path for this project in 48 weeks is 0.9222. It is true that a delay in any activity in the critical path will delay the project’s completion. This does not mean, however, that we ignore what happens in the other paths. These lengths of other paths through the project are sometimes almost the same as that of the critical path. Thus, an extended delay or delay in a combina- tion of activities on an alternate path could ultimately delay the project’s completion.
Reducing Project Completion Time
You may need to reduce the time you spend finishing a particular project because of deadlines, promised completion dates, penalty clauses for late completion, or the need to put resources on a new project. When you plan a project, you make time estimates based on normal pro- cedures and resources. However, you may be able to speed up a project by making additional resources available. For example, your company could have materials shipped via premium rather than normal transportation to get the materials faster and the activity finished sooner. You could authorize overtime to speed up an activity. Another possibility, as is done in highway construction, is to bring in lights so workers can work through the night and minimize traffic disruptions. Whatever the method, you can often reduce the time needed to finish an activity.
Crashing Projects At the same time that you shorten a project’s duration, you also need to minimize the additional expense. We call shortening a project crashing the project. To crash the project and minimize expense, you need additional information about your project activities. Let’s use Michael and Elyssa’s project with deterministic time estimates (shown in Figure 16.3). Table 16.10 shows the new crashing information.
crashing Reducing the completion time of the project.
EXAMPLE 16.7 Calculating the Probability of Finishing the Project in 48 Weeks
Calculate the probability of fi nishing the project in 48 weeks.
• Solution: We compute the probability of path number 1 as follows:
z = 48 weeks − 44.66 weeks14.82 = 1.52
The z value of 1.52 in Appendix B shows that there is a 0.9357 probability of fi nishing the path in no longer than 48 weeks. Conversely, there is only a 0.0643 probability of not fi nishing this path by 48 weeks. Table 16.9 shows the z value calculations and the probability of completion for the other three paths.
TABLE 16.9 z-Value Calculations and Path Probabilities of Finishing in 48 Weeks
Path Number Activities on Path
Path Variance (weeks) z value
Probability of Completion
1 A, B, D, E, G, H, J, K 4.82 1.5216 .9357
2 A, B, D, E, G, I, J, K 4.96 1.4215 .9222
3 A, C, F, G, H, J, K 2.24 16.5898 1.000
4 A, C, F, G, I, J, K 2.38 15.9847 1.000
Reducing Project Completion Time • 607
In Table 16.10, normal time and normal cost refer to how long the activity typically takes to complete and the cost for completing the activity in that amount of time. Crash time is the least possible amount of time in which the activity can be done. The crash cost is the amount of money you must pay to complete the activity in the minimum amount of time. If you choose to only partially speed up an activity, the additional cost must be calculated. For example, if we choose to complete activity E in 13 weeks, the additional cost is $6000. The difference between the crash cost and the normal cost ($72,000 − $60,000 = $12,000) is divided by the difference between normal time and crash time (14 weeks − 12 weeks = 2 weeks). The cost to crash activity E, then, is $12,000/2, which equals $6000 per week.
Note that we cannot reduce activities C, G, H, or K, so for those activities the maximum number of weeks of reduction is set to 0. Also note that reducing the lengths of different activities costs different amounts. We can reduce activity I by 1 week for a cost of $1000, whereas we can reduce activity B by 1 week for a cost of $5000. When you need to reduce the length of a project, you first consider reducing activities on the critical path. Activities not on the critical path have slack and typically do not need to be reduced. Figure 16.13 shows the revised network diagram.
TABLE 16.10 Normal and Crash Cost Estimates
Activity Normal Time
(weeks) Normal Cost
($) Crash Time
(weeks) Crash Cost
($)
Maximum Weeks of Reduction
Cost per Week to Reduce
($)
A 4 8000 3 11,000 1 3000
B 6 30,000 5 35,000 1 5000
C 3 6000 3 6000 0 0
D 6 24,000 4 28,000 2 2000
E 14 60,000 12 72,000 2 6000
F 5 5000 4 6500 1 1500
G 2 6000 2 6000 0 0
H 2 4000 2 4000 0 0
I 3 4000 2 5000 1 1000
J 4 4000 2 6400 2 1200
K 2 5000 2 5000 0 0
FIGURE 16.13 Crashed project diagram
ES = 4 EF = 10
ES = 0 EF = 4
ES = 4 EF = 7
ES = 7 EF = 12
ES = 28 EF = 30
ES = 30 EF = 32
ES = 32 EF = 34
ES = 34 EF = 36
ES = 10 EF = 14
ES = 14 EF = 28
ES = 30 EF = 32
Critical path: A, B, D, E, G, H, J, K A, B, D, E, G, I, J, K
B(6)
A(4)
C(3) F(5) I(3)
G(2) J(4) K(2)
D(6) E(14) H(2)
608 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
EXAMPLE 16.8 Crashing the Project
Suppose you are the project manager for Cables By Us. Consider what activities you would crash if Michael and Elyssa want to fi nish their project in 36 weeks. A quick look at Table 16.4 shows you that the normal project completion time is 41 weeks and the critical path includes activities A, B, D, E, G, I, J, and K. You need to consider crashing these activities to reduce the overall project length from 41 to 36 weeks. Table 16.10 shows that activities G and K cannot be crashed, so you eliminate them. Table 16.11 shows the remaining activities on the critical path. Michael and Elyssa want their project completed in 36 weeks instead of the 41 weeks shown in Table 16.4. They also want to minimize the extra cost incurred for crashing the project. Recom- mend which activities should be crashed so that the project takes only 36 weeks.
• Before You Begin: Table 16.11 has additional information showing the costs of completing each of the activities on the critical path in the normal time allotted, as well as how quickly the activity can be completed and the cost per week for reducing the activity time. For example, activity A normally takes 4 weeks and costs $8000 to complete. If needed, activity A can be done in only 3 weeks, but the cost of speeding up this activity raises the total cost of activity A up to $11,000. So to reduce activity A by 1 week costs an additional $3000. Only activities on the critical path are considered initially. A reduction in time to complete an activity that already has slack does not reduce the time to complete the project. Be aware that it is possible to change the critical path of the network if an activity is crashed too much.
• Solution: To minimize the cost to crash the project, look in the last column for the least expensive critical path activity to crash per week. Activity I costs $1000 to crash per week and you can crash it by 1 week. If you crash activity I by 1 week, the project will take 40 weeks. You still need to cut the project by 4 more weeks. The next least expensive activity to crash is activity J. It costs $1200 per week to crash and you can crash it for 2 weeks. This reduces the project’s length to 38 weeks. The next least expensive activity to crash is activity D at a cost of $2000 per week and you can crash it for 2 weeks. This reduces the total project duration to 36 weeks at a cost of $7400, as shown in Figure 16.13.
Crash activity I from 3 weeks to 2 weeks $1000
Crash activity J from 4 weeks to 2 weeks $2400
Crash activity D from 6 weeks to 4 weeks $4000
Total Crash Cost $7400
TABLE 16.11 Normal and Crash Cost Estimates for Remaining Critical Path Activities
Activity
Normal Time
(weeks) Normal Cost ($)
Crash Time
(weeks)
Crash Cost ($)
Maximum Weeks of Reduction
Cost per Week to Reduce
($)
A 4 8000 3 11,000 1 3000
B 6 30,000 5 35,000 1 5000
D 6 24,000 4 28,000 2 2000
E 14 60,000 12 72,000 2 6000
I 3 4000 2 5000 1 1000
J 4 4000 2 6400 2 1200
The Critical Chain Approach • 609
The Critical Chain Approach
The critical chain approach is to get projects done faster and more consistently at or before the project due date. The focus is on the final due date rather than on individual activities or project milestones. The idea of the critical chain is that project activities are uncertain. Because of this uncertainty, we add safety time to project time estimates. In some cases, the safety time added exceeds 200 percent of the work time estimate.
Adding Safety Time We have three ways to add safety time. First, we base time estimates on a pessimistic expe- rience. Most time estimates include enough safety time to ensure that the project activity is completed on time 80–90 percent of the time. From statistics, we know that to cover 80–90 percent of the area under the curve, we have to add a substantial safety factor. Second, the more management levels involved, the greater the safety factor. Since no manager wants to look bad, we add more safety factors (perhaps an extra 10–20 percent). When each man- agement level adds this safety factor, the total safety is greatly increased. Third, top manage- ment may make global reductions in project length. If we know that the total project length is likely to be reduced by 20–25 percent, we inflate our time estimate by 20–25 percent.
Wasting Safety Time Just as we have three ways to add safety time, we have three ways to waste safety time. One is the student syndrome. If we have six weeks allotted for an activity that should take only two weeks, we do not start it until two weeks before it is due. Then if anything unex- pected happens, we miss the due date because we wasted the safety cushion. A second way is multitasking, which uses a person or resource for more than one project. Thus we have to decide which project to work on: assigning resources to a low-priority project wastes valuable safety time. On the other hand, the amount of safety time may be the reason for using it on a lower-priority project. Suppose we have two activities. Activity A is on sched- ule and has plenty of safety time, whereas activity B is behind schedule and has little safety time. Typically, we work on activity B first and waste activity A’s safety time. The third way to waste safety time comes from dependencies between activities in which delays accumu- late and advances are wasted. Let’s look at an example. Activity A is scheduled to take ten days. Activity B is scheduled to start on day 10 after activity A is finished. Think about what happens if we finish activity A in eight days. Do we start activity B earlier? Typically, no: we start activity B on day 10 as originally planned and we waste the safety time. What happens if we do not finish activity A until day 12? When do we start activity B? Day 12. The delays accumulate and they are passed on.
Critical chain approach Focus on the fi nal due date that is based on the theory of constraints.
In summary, to reduce project length, you need this information:
1. Normal activity time estimate and normal activity cost. 2. Crash activity time estimate and crash activity cost. 3. The activities on the critical path.
When you have this information, you need to do the following:
1. Determine how much the project needs to be reduced. 2. Determine which activities on the critical path can be reduced.
3. Crash critical activities on the basis of increasing cost. • Crash the least expensive activity fi rst, the next least ex-
pensive second, and so on, until you have shortened the project to the desired length.
• Calculate the total costs associated with crashing the project and determine whether the cost is justifi ed.
BEFORE YOU GO ON
610 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
How does the critical chain approach solve the problem of safety time? The critical chain removes safety time from the individual activities and puts the total safety time at the end of the critical path, which creates a project buffer. Let’s compare the critical paths shown in Figure 16.14. The completion time is the same, but the original critical path has safety time added to each activity. The critical path with the project buffer eliminates the individual safety times. Activities not finished on time eat into the project buffer instead of wasting activity safety time.
Since the theory of constraints (discussed in Chapter 15), which is the basis of the critical chain, focuses on keeping the bottleneck busy, we can put time buffers before bottlenecks in the critical path, as shown in Figure 16.15. The feeder buffer protects the critical path from delays in noncritical paths. When the delay exceeds the feeder buffer, the project comple- tion date is still protected by the project buffer. (For more information, see Critical Chain by Eliyahu M. Goldratt.)
Project buffer Safety time placed at the end of the critical path.
FIGURE 16.14 Comparing critical paths
Comparing Critical Paths
Activity A Activity B Activity C Activity D Activity E
Activity A
Original critical path
Critical path with project buffer
Activity B Activity C Activity D Activity E Project Buffer
Example with Feeder Buffers
Activity A
Activity B1 Buffer
Activity D2Activity D1 Buffer
Activity B Activity C Activity D Activity E Project Buffer
FIGURE 16.15 Example with feeder buffers
The Critical Chain Approach • 611
Project Management Within OM: How it all Fits Together
Project management techniques provide a structure for the project manager to track the progress of different activities required to complete the project. Particular concern is given to critical path (the longest connected path through the project network) activities. Any delay to a critical path activity affects the project completion time. These techniques indi- cate the expected completion time and cost of a project. The project manager reviews this information to ensure that adequate resources exist and that the expected completion time is reasonable. If the expected completion date has a high probability of exceeding a contrac- tual due date and incurring penalty costs, the project manager evaluates different methods for crashing the project (reducing project completion time). This evaluation is used to eco- nomically justify the application of more resources or to acknowledge a high probability of facing penalty costs. The project manager also looks at the resource load profile in an attempt to level resource requirements for the project.
After resolving the issue of resources, the project manager tracks the progress of the proj- ect. Once the earliest and latest start and finish times are determined, the production and material planners order materials and schedule required operations. The project manager interacts with the people responsible for different project activities and informs them of any proposed project schedule changes.
Project Management OM Across the Organization
Since projects tend to be long-term and consume a company’s resources, functional areas through the company work with expected completion dates, resource requirements, and the consequences of activity delays. Let’s look at how the functional areas use project man- agement information.
Accounting uses project management information to provide a time line for major expenditures associated with the project. Accounting measures actual cost performance against planned costs to calculate profits. Accounting also calculates the cost benefit of crashing a particular project.
Marketing uses project management information to monitor the progress of a project and to provide honest and realistic updates to the customer. The project schedule allows marketing to evaluate whether or not to crash a project.
Information systems develop and maintain the software that supports project manage- ment. Choosing, installing, and training users in the appropriate software is vital to success- ful project management.
Purchasing uses project management information to deal with project delays by de- expediting items and rescheduling these items for later delivery. This allows the company to keep a lower inventory investment. Purchasing can also suggest when to avoid late deliv- eries to keep the project on schedule and how to reduce delivery time to help put a project back on schedule.
Operations uses project management information to monitor the progress of activities on and off the critical path and to manage resource requirements in terms of the quantity and time needed for operations. Within an organization, the project manager or an assistant may develop the project schedule, typically using software for projects with many activities. Project managers can be product managers, manufacturing engineers, operations analysts, or office managers. Project management is a function not only of manufacturing companies
ACC
MKT
MIS
OM
612 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
but of service organizations too. Suppose you are planning the worldwide tour of a major art exhibit. Project scheduling techniques will help you effectively manage the many activities in this and other similar projects for your organization.
Project management provides a structure to track the prog-ress of a project. Any delays in an activity on the critical path delay the completion date for the entire project. Projects, such as introducing new products, can be undertaken by a supply chain. Communication among members of the chain to ensure a timely completion of the project is critical. Given that members of the supply chain share information, as well as a common database, all members should have real-time access to the project’s progress. Any delays should be communicated throughout the chain. The project management approach in- dicates the timing and the quantity of resources needed. For
manufacturing, this input is needed by the master production scheduler and is used to develop a valid MPS. Subsequently, this is input into the MRP system to develop the planned or- ders necessary to support the project. Project tracking allows supply chain members to make changes as needed without surprising other members of the chain, thus increasing the chances of completing the project on schedule.
For service projects, the input is used by the project man- ager to develop the project structure. The project manager ensures that members are aware of progress in the service proj ect and the impact of any delays. •
THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK
Project management requires great effi ciency and effect-iveness from project managers in scheduling activities. In today’s business environment this also requires that managers pay more attention to environmental issues, specifi cally in the area of sustainability.
Project management, as in any other type of scheduling, lends itself to the integration of sustainability principles. This means scheduling resources and planning activities with an eye toward meeting sustainability metrics, such as minimiza- tion of the carbon footprint or emissions and pollutants, and minimization of waste of natural resources. This is true regard- less of the project managed and involves scheduling activities of both materials and people.
Bringing sustainability into project management, however, poses special challenges, as each project is unique and a proj- ect is divided into distinct activities, typically performed by
different individuals or groups. One challenge is to ensure that there is a system view of the project and that everyone, regard- less of the activity for which each one is responsible, under- stands the sustainability goals of the project. The second chal- lenge is to ensure that sustainability goals continue to be realized as one party “hands off” its activity to the next. As each project goes through fi ve phases, it is best to begin in- tegrating sustainability at the start of the project—in the concept phase—and determine how sustainability criteria will be included in all other phases of the project. Integrating sus- tainability in this phase can help project managers understand how to integrate sustainability into each activity of the project in a consistent manner. This can also result in innovation as to how best to incorporate sustainability throughout all activities of the project, as everyone has a say, and can result in a shared purpose for the team and better overall project results. •
THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK
Chapter Highlights 1 A project is a unique, one-time event of some duration
(weeks, months, or years) that consumes resources (human, capital, materials, and equipment capac- ity) and is designed to achieve an objective. Business projects can be the design of a new product, instal- lation of a new system, construction of a new facility, development of a new advertising campaign, design of a new information system, and development of a company Web page. Political projects can be the
design of a political campaign. Regardless of type of project, each project goes through a five-phase life cycle: concept, feasibility analysis or study, planning, execution, and termination. In the concept phase, we identify the need for the project. We do a feasibility study to evaluate the expected costs, benefits, and risks. Planning consists of calculating the work that needs to be done, who is to do what, what materials are needed, and the time required to do it. Execution
Formula Review • 613
is actually doing the work, and termination is com- pleting the project.
2 Project management techniques (PERT and CPM) were developed in the 1950s. Step 1 in using project management techniques is to describe the project. The work breakdown structure identifies all the activ- ities that need to be completed for the project to be successful. In Step 2, we diagram the project network. What we do in the third step depends upon our time estimates for the activities. Step 3a is used when there are deterministic time estimates. Step 3b is used with probabilistic time estimates. By the end of Step 3, we can determine the critical path of the project as well as the expected duration of the project. The critical path is the longest connected path through the project. There is no slack associated with activities on the criti- cal path. Step 4 is about monitoring the progress of the project so that the project is completed on schedule.
3 When using probabilistic time estimates, we can determine the probability that a project will be done by a specified time. We calculate a z value and then deter- mine the probability that the critical path and other near-critical paths will be completed by a given due
date. This information allows a company to consider: (1) the impact of penalty and/or reward provisions and (2) whether the project duration should be reduced.
4 To reduce the duration of a project, we need to know the cost of reducing individual activity times on the critical path. We then calculate per period for reducing the completion time for an activity. We start crashing the critical path by finding the least expensive activity to crash. We crash that activity as much as possible, but not more than needed to reach the desired com- pletion date. We continue doing this, checking for the next least expensive activity to crash, until the desired project completion date is achieved. Crashing activi- ties that are not on the critical path does not reduce the project’s duration.
5 The critical chain approach is designed to get projects done faster and more consistently at or before the proj- ect due date. The focus is on the final due date rather than on individual activities or project milestones. The critical chain approach removes safety times from indi- vidual activities and creates a project buffer at the end of the critical path. Feeder buffers are used on noncrit- ical paths merged with the critical path.
Key Terms
project 590
program evaluation and review tech- nique (PERT) 591
critical path method (CPM) 591
project activities 592
precedence relationships 592
activity-on-node 593
critical path 593
probabilistic time estimate 595
deterministic time estimate 595
slack 596
optimistic time estimate 598
most likely time estimate 598
pessimistic time estimate 598
beta probability distribution 598
crashing 606
critical chain approach 609
project buff er 610
Formula Review 1. Expected time for each activity:
Expected time = optimistic time + 4(most likely time) + pessimistic time
6
2. Variance for each activity:
σ 2 = ap − o 6 b
2
3. Calculating the z value to estimate probability of completion:
z = specified time − path expected completion time
path standard deviation or z = aDT − EFPath1σ 2
Path
b
614 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
Solved Problems (See student companion site for Excel template.) PROBLEM 1
Use the following information to diagram the project network.
Activity Immediate Predecessors
A none B A C A D B E C F D, E G F
Diagram the network using AON notation.
Solution: Th e AON notation is straightforward for this project. Activity A is done fi rst, then activities B and C can
begin. When B is done, activity D begins. When C is done, activity E begins. Activity F begins after both D and E are fi nished. Figure 16.16 shows the diagrammed network.
A F G
B D
C E
FIGURE 16.16 Project network diagram
PROBLEM 2
Your boss gives you the following information about the new project you are leading. Th e information includes the activities, the three time estimates, and the precedence relationships.
(a) Calculate the expected time for each of the activities. (b) Determine the expected completion time of the project. (c) Calculate the variance of each of the project activities. (d) Determine the probability that each of the connected paths through the project will be completed within
30 weeks.
Activity Immediate
Predecessor’s Time Optimistic
(weeks) Most Likely
Time (weeks) Pessimistic
Time (weeks)
A none 6 10 14
B A 3 6 10
C A 4 8 10
D B 5 6 7
E C 4 6 12
F D, E 3 3 3
G F 3 4 5
Before You Begin: Th is project has three estimates for each activity. First, calculate the expected time for each project:
Expected time of activity = o + (4 × m) + p
6 Determine the expected completion time by summing the total expected time for each pathway through the net- work. Th en calculate the variance of each activity:
Variance of activity = ap − o 6 b
2
Solved Problems • 615
Finally, determine the probability of completing each pathway in 30 weeks. To fi nd the z value, use the following formula:
z = aDT − EFPath1σ 2Path b Solution: (a) The formula for calculating the expected time for an activity is
Expected time = optimistic time + (4 × most likely time) + pessimistic time
6
The expected times for each activity are shown in Table 16.12.
TABLE 16.12 Calculation of Activity Expected Times and Variances
Activity Optimistic
Time Most Likely
Time Pessimistic
Time Expected
Time Variance
A 6 10 14 10.00 1.78
B 3 6 10 6.17 1.36
C 4 8 10 7.67 1.00
D 5 6 7 6.00 0.11
E 4 6 12 6.67 1.78
F 3 3 3 3.00 0.00
G 3 4 5 4.00 0.11
(b) Using Figure 16.17, we can identify the two connected paths running through the project. The first path includes activities A, B, D, F, and G and needs 29.17 weeks to complete. The second path includes activities A, C, E, F, and G and needs 31.34 weeks to complete. The early-start/early-finish and late-start/late-finish times are shown in Table 16.13.
B(6.17) D(6)
C(7.67) E(6.67)
G(4)F(3)A(10)
ES = 10 EF = 16.17 LS = 12.17 LF = 18.34
ES = 16.17 EF = 22.17 LS = 18.34 LF = 24.34
ES = 24.34 EF = 27.34 LS = 24.34 LF = 27.34
ES = 27.34 EF = 31.34 LS = 27.34 LF = 31.34
ES = 0 EF = 10 LS = 0 LF = 10
ES = 17.67 EF = 24.34 LS = 17.67 LF = 24.34
ES = 10 EF = 17.67 LS = 10 LF = 17.67
FIGURE 16.17 Project diagram
616 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
(c) We calculate the variance using the formula
σ 2 = ap − o 6 b
2
The variance for each activity is shown in Table 16.12.
(d) To determine the probability of completing the project in 30 weeks, we need to calculate the variance for each path through the project. We do this by summing the individual variances of each activity included on the path. For the first path—A, B, D, F, and G—the variance is 3.36 weeks. The vari- ance for the second path—A, C, E, F, and G—is 4.67 weeks. We use the following formula to determine the probability of completion by a specified time:
z = aDT − EFPath1σ 2Path b
The probability that the first path (A, B, D, F, G) will be completed within 30 weeks is
z = a30 − 29.1713.36 b = 0.45 A z value of 0.45 equates to a probability of 0.6736,
or a 67.36 percent chance of this path being com- pleted in 30 weeks. The probability that the sec- ond path (A, C, E, F, G) will be completed within 30 weeks is
z = a30 − 31.3414.67 b = −0.62 A z value of −0.62 equates to a probability of
0.2676, or a 26.76 percent chance that this path will be completed in 30 weeks.
PROBLEM 3
You are in charge of a new project that needs to be com- pleted within 24 weeks. Figure 16.18 shows the network diagram and other relevant information.
Before You Begin: First, determine the expected com- pletion time for this project. Identify the connected pathways through the network and sum the total time to complete the activities on each connected pathway. Th e longest time is the expected project duration. Since the desired project completion date is 24 weeks, cal- culate how many weeks the project must be crashed. Crash the project by crashing activities on the critical path. Find the cheapest such activity and crash it. Con- tinue crashing until the expected project duration is 24 weeks. Critical path: A, B, D, E, G, H
B(6)
C(5)
A(4) D(3) E(4)
F(6)
G(8)
H(3)
FIGURE 16.18 Project diagram
TABLE 16.13 Calculation of Early-Start/Early-Finish Times and Late-Start/Late-Finish Times
Activity Expected
Time
First Immediate
Predecessor
Second Immediate
Predecessor Early-Start
Time Early-Finish
Time Late-Start
Time Late-Finish
Time Slack
A 10.00 none 0.00 10.00 0.00 10.00 0.00
B 6.17 A 10.00 16.17 12.17 18.34 2.17
C 7.67 A 10.00 17.67 10.00 17.67 0.00
D 6.00 B 16.17 22.17 18.34 24.34 2.17
E 6.67 C 17.67 24.34 17.67 24.34 0.00
F 3.00 D E 24.34 27.34 24.34 27.34 0.00
G 4.00 F 27.34 31.34 27.34 31.34 0.00
Solved Problems • 617
Solution: First we need to determine the completion time for the project. Using Figure 16.18, we can identify the four paths through the project and calculate the project completion time. Th e fi rst path (A, B, D, E, F, H) takes 26 weeks (4 + 6 + 3 + 4 + 6 + 3). Each of the paths and its completion time are shown here.
Path Completion Time (weeks)
A, B, D, E, F, H 26
A, B, D, E, G, H 28
Path Completion Time (weeks)
A, C, D, E, F, H 25
A, C, D, E, G, H 27
We determine the time to fi nish this project by the con- nected path that takes the longest time to complete. In this case, the completion time is 28 weeks. Th e crit- ical path of this project includes activities A, B, D, E, G, and H.
Activity Normal Time Normal Cost ($) Crash Time Crash Cost ($) Maximum Weeks
Crashed Crash Cost
per Week ($)
A 4 4000 3 4500 1 500
B 6 9000 6 9000 0 0
C 5 1500 3 2000 2 250
D 3 6000 2 9000 1 3000
E 4 8000 2 16,000 2 4000
F 6 3000 5 3500 1 500
G 8 4000 6 6000 2 1000
H 3 3600 2 4800 1 1200
Given the crash costs, we need to reduce the com- pletion time from 28 weeks to 24 weeks. To do this, we consider the activities on the critical path and their associated crash cost. We do not need to consider crashing activities C and F because they are not part of the critical path and we cannot crash activity B because it cannot be reduced. Of the remaining activ- ities, the least expensive activity to crash is A, which we can crash 1 week at a cost of $500. Since we want to reduce the project by 4 weeks, we have to fi nd addi- tional reductions. Th e next least expensive activity to crash is G, which we can crash 2 weeks at a total cost of $2000. We need only one more week of reduction. Activity H is the next least expensive activity to crash, at $1200 per week. By crashing these three activities, we can fi nish the project in 24 weeks. Th e additional
cost for crashing the project is $3,700 ($500 for A, $2000 for G, and $1200 for H). Figure 16.19 shows the crashed project diagram.
B(6)
C(5)
A(3) D(3) E(4)
F(6)
G(6)
H(2)
FIGURE 16.19 Crashed project diagram
618 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
Problems Use the following project information for Problems 1 and 2.
Activity Activity Time
(weeks) Immediate
Predecessor(s)
A 3 none
B 4 A
C 2 B
D 5 B
E 4 C
F 3 D
G 2 E, F
1. Construct a network diagram using AON notation. 2. Using the network diagram constructed in Problem 1,
(a) Calculate the completion time for the project. (b) Determine which activities are included on the
critical path. 3. Jack’s Floating Banana Party Company is planning to
add a new party vessel for the upcoming season. Jack has identifi ed several activities that must be fi nished before the start of the season. Using the following information,
Activity Activity Time
(weeks) Immediate
Predecessor(s)
A 6 none
B 5 none
C 3 A
D 3 B
E 6 C, D
F 9 D
(a) Draw the network diagram for this project. (b) Identify the critical path. (c) Calculate the expected project length.
Use the following project information for Problems 4 through 8.
Activity
Optimistic Time
Estimate (weeks)
Most Likely Time
Estimates (weeks)
Pessimistic Time
Estimates (weeks)
Immediate Predecessor
(s)
A 3 6 9 none
B 3 5 7 A
C 4 7 12 A
D 4 8 10 B
E 5 10 16 C
F 3 4 5 D, E
G 3 6 8 D, E
H 5 6 10 F
I 5 8 11 G
J 3 3 3 H, I
4. Using the information given, construct a network dia- gram using AON notation.
5. Using the information given, calculate the expected time for each of the project activities.
6. Using the information given, calculate the variance for each of the project activities.
7. Using your results from Problems 4 and 5, (a) Calculate the completion time for this project. (b) Identify the activities included on the critical path
of this project.
Discussion Questions
1. Identify some projects that are currently underway in your community. Is there a new hospital being built, a new re- tail store being opened, highway construction being done? For at least one project, try to identify the major activities.
2. Visit a local organization to learn about the kinds of proj- ects it is working on and how it manages these projects.
3. Identify a personal project that you have recently com- pleted or are in the process of completing—for example, writing a research paper or organizing a social event. Identify the major activities you had to complete.
4. Explain the advantage of using probabilistic time estimates.
5. Explain how we calculate the expected time value.
6. Explain the phases of a project’s life cycle.
7. Describe the life cycle of a project you have done.
8. Provide an example of precedence relationships from your personal life.
9. Explain why determining the critical path is important in project management.
Problems • 619
8. Using your results from Problem 6, (a) Calculate the probability that the project will be
completed in 38 weeks. (b) Calculate the probability that the project will be
completed in 42 weeks. Use the information provided in Table 16.14 and the net-
work diagram in Figure 16.20 for the next four problems.
B(3)
A(4) C(5) G(4) H(3)
E(5)
D(2) F(6)
FIGURE 16.20 AON network diagram
9. Using the information given, (a) Calculate the completion time of the project. (b) Identify the activities on the critical path.
10. Using the information given and the project comple- tion time calculated in Problem 9(a), reduce the com- pletion time of the project by 3 weeks in the most eco- nomical way.
11. Using the information given and the project comple- tion time calculated in Problem 9(a), reduce the com- pletion time of the project by 5 weeks in the most eco- nomical way.
12. Using the information given and the project comple- tion time calculated in Problem 9(a), calculate the minimum time for completing the project possible.
Use Figure 16.21 and the following project data for the
next two problems.
13. Using the information given, (a) Calculate the expected time for each of the project
activities. (b) Calculate the variance for each of the project
activities. (c) Evaluate the connected paths through the diagram
to determine the expected project completion time.
Activity
Optimistic Time
(weeks)
Most Likely Time
(weeks) Pessimistic
Time (weeks)
A 8 10 12
B 4 10 16
C 4 5 6
D 6 8 10
E 4 7 12
F 6 7 9
G 4 8 12
H 3 3 3
14. Using the information given and expected project completion time from Problem 13(c), (a) Calculate the probability of completing the project
in 36 weeks. (b) Calculate the probability of completing the project
in 40 weeks. 15. Th e accounting department at Northeast University is
off ering a combined fi ve-year B.S./M.S. in accounting.
TABLE 16.14
Activity Normal Time
(weeks) Normal Cost ($)
Crash Time (weeks)
Crash Cost ($)
Maximum weeks Reduced
Crash Cost per Week ($)
A 4 800 3 1200 1 400
B 3 900 2 1000 1 100
C 5 1250 3 2250 2 500
D 2 800 2 800 0 0
E 5 1500 4 2000 1 500
F 6 2000 5 3000 1 1000
G 4 600 3 900 1 300
H 3 900 3 900 0 0
620 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
Th e senior accounting professor has identifi ed the project activities and any precedence relationships, as shown in Table 16.15. Th ree time estimates for each activity are included. (a) Develop a network diagram for this project using
AON notation. (b) Calculate the expected time for each of the project
activities. (c) Identify the critical path for the project. (d) Calculate the expected project completion time.
16. Th e dean of the business school wants to start off ering this program starting 32 weeks from now. Using the information provided in Problem 15, (a) Calculate the probability of the program starting
on time.
B
C
D
E
F
G
A H
FIGURE 16.21 Network diagram
(b) If the dean needs a 95 percent probability of being done on time, how long can the expected project duration be?
Use the following information for Problems 17 through
19.
Activity Immediate
Predecessor(s)
Normal Time
(weeks) Normal
Cost
Crash Time
(weeks) Crash Cost
A none 10 $16,000 8 $20,000
B none 4 6000 3 9000
C A, B 6 12,000 3 24,000
D A 7 7000 5 10,000
E B 14 28,000 12 34,000
F C, D, E 3 4500 3 4500
G F 4 7200 3 9000
H F 2 5000 2 5000
I F 5 15,000 4 18,000
J H, I 2 7000 2 7000
K J 5 10,000 4 11,000
L K 10 24,000 10 24,000
TABLE 16.15
Activity Description of Activity Immediate
Predecessor(s)
Optimistic Time
Estimates (weeks)
Most Likely Time Estimates (weeks)
Pessimistic Time
Estimates (weeks)
A Design general curriculum requirements none 4 8 16
B Develop program brochure A 2 3 6
C Identify prospective students none 3 6 9
D Develop advertising campaign B, C 4 7 10
E Design specifi c curriculum content A 8 16 20
F Send brochure and student application D 2 3 4
G Evaluate applications F 2 4 6
H Accept students, notify students G 1 2 3
I Schedule rooms for classes H 1 1 7
J Designate professors to teach courses H 1 2 3
K Select texts for courses J 3 5 7
L Order and receive texts K 6 8 17
Case: The Research Offi ce Moves • 621
Case: The Research Office Moves
Jeannette, the senior administrative assistant, has just learned that she is in charge of the upcoming move of the research offi ce at Southwest University. She has coordinated several such moves before and immedi- ately begins organizing her thoughts. Determining what needs to be done, when it needs to be done, and who needs to do it are critical to a successful move. From past moves, Jeannette knows the fi rst step is having the management team allocate the offi ces available to the diff erent departments. She knows that each depart- ment manager fi ghts for the best offi ce space. Because of the politics, Jeannette expects this activity to take three weeks.
After the management team fi nalizes departmental allocations, each department manager allocates offi ce space to individuals within the department. Th is is also quite political and typically takes two weeks. Individuals often take the offi ce space allocations personally, and each manager needs time to smooth any ruffl ed feath- ers. Th e allocation decisions are returned to Jeannette so that she can develop an overall layout for the move. She normally does this in about four weeks. During the fi rst week of this phase, Jeannette sends each individ- ual a printout of the fl oor space he or she will have and requests that individuals determine how the furniture is to be arranged. Individuals inform her of any additional or replacement offi ce furniture needs. Th ey indicate where phone jacks and computer hookups should be. Each individual requests the packing supplies needed to pack up his or her offi ce items. Th ese requests are returned in three weeks.
When Jeannette receives the individual requests, she consolidates the requests to form lists of packing supplies and furniture. She orders the supplies from the university-approved supplier, and the supplies arrive in two weeks. She chooses among three approved offi ce furniture suppliers and selects and orders the offi ce furniture, which is scheduled to arrive in six weeks.
When the packing supplies arrive, Jeannette distributes them to each individual so that packing can be done. It normally takes a week to sort and distribute supplies. Individuals pack their offi ce items and tag their offi ce furniture that is to be moved. Th ey are expected to complete their packing in two weeks.
After ordering the furniture, Jeannette makes arrange- ments for the movers to move the items, the telecom- munications offi ce to move or install telephones, and computer services to provide Internet hookups. Th e mov- ers require three weeks notice but move the items in a single day. Th e phone installers demand two weeks notice but complete the work in one day. Th e computer services technicians require four weeks notice and complete the hookups in one day. Th e fi nal activity is moving day. All three of these groups—the movers, the phone installers, and the computer technicians—are there on the same date to minimize offi ce disruption and minimize the time the offi ce is unable to provide customer service.
In past moves, Jeannette has had trouble making sure that everything fl ows smoothly. She believes that there must be a method available to help her manage this offi ce move. (a) Why are offi ce allocations so diffi cult? What fac-
tors must be considered when planning an offi ce layout?
(b) Off er Jeannette a method for monitoring the offi ce move. Explain why this method or approach would be reasonable.
(c) How long should it take from the day the decision is made to move until the move is completed? Employees only work Monday through Friday. All of Jeannette’s activity time estimates assume a fi ve- day work week.
(d) What are the critical activities for the timely com- pletion of this offi ce move?
(e) What recommendations could you make to Jean- nette to make this easier in the future?
17. Draw the network diagram. Determine the normal time it will take to complete this project. Determine the critical path for the project. Calculate the cost of completing the project in normal time.
18. Determine the absolute minimum time it will take to complete the project if the project is crashed as far as
possible. Calculate the cost associated with this ap- proach to the project.
19. If the company wants to complete the project in 40 weeks, which activities should be crashed? Calculate the additional cost incurred to complete the project in 40 weeks.
622 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
Case: Writing a Textbook
Two professors of operations management, Susan and Chris, have decided to write a new textbook for use in the undergraduate introductory operations management course. As they discuss the project, they put together the following list of activities that must be done
1. Write a prospectus. (Th is entails defi ning what is unique about the textbook and how it compares with other texts currently on the market.) Time esti- mate: 4 weeks.
2. Discuss the book concept with several publishers, provide publishers with prospectus. Time estimate: 1 week. (All major publishers attend annual profes- sional academic meetings, so you can meet with all of them during that week.) Th is activity cannot be done before the prospectus is fi nished.
3. Conduct focus groups of faculty to test the concept of the text. Time estimate: 1 week. (Th is can be done at the same conference as activity 2.)
4. Select a publisher for the text from those express- ing interest. Time estimate: 2 weeks. (Th is cannot be done until after completing activity 2.)
5. Update and submit prospectus and a sample chap- ter. Time estimate: 4 weeks. (Th is cannot be done until activities 3 and 4 are completed.)
6. Negotiate contract with publisher. Time estimate: 3 weeks. (Th is cannot be done until activity 5 is completed.)
7. Susan begins writing Chapters 1 through 8, at a rate of one per month. Susan works sequentially, doing Chapter 1, then Chapter 2, and so on. Th is activity begins after the contract has been signed.
8. Chris begins writing Chapters 9 through 16, at a rate of one per month. Chris also works sequen- tially. Th is activity begins after the contract has been signed.
9. Chapters are sent out for review. Each chapter undergoes external review after the publisher receives the chapter. Each review takes 4 weeks. Reviews can begin as soon as the publisher begins receiving chapters from the authors.
10. Susan reviews comments from external reviewers and revises chapters. Time estimate is 2 weeks per chapter. Susan can begin these as soon as the fi rst reviews are received by the publisher. Susan will do these at the same time as she is writing new chapters.
11. Chris reviews comments from external reviewers and revises chapters. Time estimate is 2 weeks per chapter. Chris can begin these as soon as the fi rst reviews are received by the publisher. Chris will do these at the same time as he is writing new chapters.
12. Develop list of photo and artwork requirements. Time estimate: 24 weeks. Th is can begin as soon as the revised fi rst chapters are completed. Require- ments for each chapter are needed.
13. Select persons to write instructor’s manual, solu- tions manual, test bank, and PowerPoint presenta- tion. Time estimate: 4 weeks. Th is can be done after activity 6 is completed.
14. Determine what will be placed on the student CD and determine a responsible individual to handle this process. Time estimate: 2 weeks. Th is activity can be done after activity 6 is completed.
15. Write instructor’s manual. Time estimate: 12 weeks. Th is cannot be started until at least half of the revised chapters have been received by the publisher.
16. Write test bank. Time estimate: 12 weeks. Th is can- not be started until at least half of the revised chap- ters have been received by the publisher.
17. Write solutions manual. Time estimate: 12 weeks. Th is cannot be started until at least half of the revised chapters have been received by the publisher.
18. Write PowerPoint presentation. Time estimate: 12 weeks. Th is cannot be started until at least half of the revised chapters have been received by the publisher.
19. Design text cover. Time estimate: 8 weeks. Th is activity can be done after activity 6 is completed.
20. Design marketing campaign. Time estimate: 10 weeks. Th is activity can be done after activity 6 is completed.
21. Publisher produces galley proofs. Time estimate: 6 weeks following receipt of fi nal revised chapters.
22. Proofreading galley proofs. Time estimate: 4 weeks after completion of galley proofs.
23. Produce student CD. Time estimate: 4 weeks. Th is activity can be done after activities 15, 17, and 18 have been fi nished.
24. Publisher prints text. Time estimate: 16 weeks. Th is activity can be done after activities 20 and 21 have been completed.
Internet Challenge: Creating Memories • 623
Th ese activities represent a portion of the tasks involved in writing a textbook. Th e listed activities deal only with the actual production of the text and the ancillary materials. We have not considered the mar- keting activities or the logistics associated with a new text.
Susan and Chris are interested in establishing a proj- ect schedule for the new textbook.
(a) Add any additional activities that you think are necessary to the project.
(b) Draw the network diagram for this project. (c) Determine how long it should take to complete the
project. (d) Consider what external issues might interfere with
the timely completion of the project.
Internet Challenge: Creating Memories
Your Internet challenge is to help plan the 50th wedding anniversary party described at the beginning of this chapter. Use the list of activities that were identifi ed for the party preparation and search the Internet for infor- mation on each activity. Complete the following: 1. Find time estimates for each activity. You can add to
the list but you must include all the activities.
2. Develop a project schedule for the party. You can use either PERT or CPM. You can use PERT with single time estimates, but you will not be able to calculate the probability of on-time completion.
3. Determine the critical path for the party. 4. Based on the party date, determine when activities
on the critical path must be started and fi nished.
Interactive Case: Virtual Company
On-line Case: Cruise International, Inc.
Assignment: Project Management at Cruise Interna- tional, Inc. CII wants to launch a new onboard tele- medicine procedure, and the project is time-critical. You need to provide project management assistance to Susan Petersen in CII’s marketing department as well as to Dr. Janelle Black at Corporate Medical Services. You need to make sure that all the necessary activities have been identifi ed and that all precedence relation- ships are correct. After that, you need to evaluate the cost trade-off s associated with speeding up specifi c
project activities. Completion of this assignment will enable you to enhance your knowledge of the material covered in Chapter 16 of the text. It will also better pre- pare you for future assignments.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Cruise International, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Project Management at CII
On-line Case: Project Management at Valley Memorial Hospital
Project Management For today’s assignment you’re meet- ing with Jim Hernandez from Valley Memorial Hospital’s Marketing Department. “Th e project I have in mind for you,” he says, “involves a new telemedicine procedure that we’re ready to introduce at the clinic on the Native Amer- ican reservation about 85 miles from here. Th e procedure requires the acquisition, installation, and marketing of a new telemedicine communications system. Dr. Henry Suver of our Emergency Department is responsible for implementing the system, and he can tell you all about it. Let’s go over to Emergency, and I’ll introduce you to him.”
To complete this assignment, go to www.wiley. com/college/reid to get more details. Assignment questions are given at the site.
To access the Web site: • Go to www.wiley.com/college/reid
• Click Student Companion Site
• Click Virtual Company/Valley Memorial Hospital
• Click Kaizen Consulting, Inc.
• Click Consulting Assignments
• Click Project Management
www.wiley.com/college/reid
624 CHAPTER 16 • Project Management
Selected Bibliography
Denzler, D.R. “A Review of CA-Super Project,” APICS—Th e Performance Advantage, September 1991, 40–41.
Goldratt, E.M. Critical Chain. Great Barrington, Mass.: Th e North River Express, 1997.
Kerzner, H. Advanced Project Management: Best Practices on Implementation, Th ird Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2004.
Kerzner, H. Project Management: A Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling, Sixth Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1999.
Kerzner, H. Project Management for Executives. New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1984.
“Managing Project Changes.” http://www.projectinsight. net/project-management-basics/managing-changes.
Mantel, S.J., Jr., J.R. Meredith, S.M. Shafer, and M.M. Sutton. Project Management in Practice, Th ird Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2007.
Meredith, J.R., and S.J. Mantel, Jr. Project Management, A Managerial Approach, Sixth Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 2005.
Moder, J.E., E.W. Davis, and C. Phillips. Project Management with CPM and PERT. New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1983.
“Project Management and Resource Planning.” http:// www.projectinsight.net/project-management-basics/ project-management-resource-plan.
“Project Scheduling.” http://www. projectinsight.net/ project-management-basics/project-management-schedule.
Smith-Daniels, D.E., and N.J. Aquilano. “Constrained Resource Project Scheduling,” Journal of Operations Management, 4, 4, 1984, 369–387.
Solutions to Odd-Numbered ProblemsA
625
Chapter 2 1. Productivity of worker 1 = 1000 labels/30 minutes =
33.3 labels per minute Productivity of worker 2 = 850 labels/20 minutes =
42.5 labels per minute Worker 2 is more productive. 3. Productivity of older model machine = 6 loaves/
5 hours = 1.2 loaves per hour Productivity of newer model machine = 4 loaves/
2 hours = 2.0 loaves per hour Th e newer machine is more productive. 5. Productivity using former method = 3 walls/
45 minutes = 0.07 walls per minute Productivity using new method = 2 walls/
20 minutes = 0.10 walls per minute Th e new method is more productive. 7. a. Using only the nondefective production,
productivity went from (20,000 × 0.85) = 17,000 units/month to (25,000 × 0.91) = 22,750 units/month
b. Change in productivity = (22,750 − 17,000)/ 17,000 × 100% = 33.8% increase
9. Work crew Productivity Anna, Sue, and Tim 10 homes/35 hours =
0.29 homes per hour Jim, Jose, and Andy 15 homes/45 hours =
0.33 homes per hour Dan, Wendy, and Carry 18 homes/56 hours =
0.32 homes per hour Rosie, Chandra, and Seth 10 homes/30 hours =
0.33 homes per hour Sherry, Vicky, and Roger 18 homes/42 hours =
0.43 homes per hour Sherry, Vicky, and Roger are the most productive group.
Chapter 3 1. a. Total Cost = $40,000 + $45Q
Total Revenue = $100Q
Break-even Quantity: Q = Fixed Cost/(Selling Price − Variable Cost) = 40,000/(100 − 45) Q = 727.3, so break even is exceeded at 728 units.
b. Contribution to Profi t = Total Revenue − Total Cost = SP(Q) − [FC + VC(Q)] = 80(2000) − [40,000 + 45(2000)] = $30,000
c. Contribution to Profi t = Total Revenue − Total Cost = SP(Q) − [FC + VC(Q)] = 100(1500) − [40,000 + 45(1500)] = $42,500
3. Break-even Quantity = Fixed Cost/(Selling Price − Variable Cost) = 200/(1 − 0.20) = 250 hot chocolates
5. a.
T O
TA L
D O
LL A
R S 100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0 300 600 728 900
Total Revenue Total Cost
QUANTITY
BREAK EVEN
T O
TA L
D O
LL A
R S
240,000
220,000
200,000
180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000 500 1000 1334 1500 2000
Process 1 Total Cost Process 2 Total Cost
QUANTITY
BREAK EVEN
626 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
b. Process 1 is lower in total cost when the quantities are fewer than approximately 1300 tables. Process 2 becomes lower in total cost with quantities higher than 1300 tables. Th e actual break even may be calculated to be 1334.
7. a.
Break-even Quantity = Fixed Cost/(Selling Price − Variable Cost) = 70,000/(20 − 18) = 35,000 units of product
b. Increase Sales: 20,000(1.35) = 27,000 units Contribution to Profi t = Total Revenue −
Total Cost = SP(Q) − [FC + VC(Q)] = 27,000(20) − [70,000 + 18(27,000)] = −$16,000
Reduce Variable Costs: 0.90(18) = $16.20 Contribution to Profi t = Total Revenue − Total Cost = SP(Q) − [FC + VC(Q)] = 20,000(20) − [70,000 + 16.20(20,000)] = $6000
Reducing the variable costs contributes more to profi ts.
9. Break-even Quantity = Fixed Cost/(Selling Price − Variable Cost) = 9000/(80 − 50) = 300 units of service
11. Indiff erence Quantity between Process A and Process B
Total Cost A = Total Cost B = [FC + VC(Q)]A = [FC + VC(Q)]B
The equation rearranges to: Q = (FCB − FCA)/ (VCA − VCB) = (30,000 − 20,000)/(30 − 15) = 666.7, or 667 chairs.
Process A is better than Process B when demand is below 667 chairs.
Indiff erence Quantity between Process A and Outsourcing
Total Cost A = Total Cost O = [FC + VC(Q)]A = [FC + VC(Q)]O
Q = 20,000/(50 − 30) = 1000 chairs
Process A is better than outsourcing when demand is over 1000 chairs
Indiff erence Quantity between Process B and Outsourcing
Total Cost B = Total Cost O = [FC + VC(Q)]B = [FC + VC(Q )]O
Q = 30,000/(50 − 15) = 857.14, or 858 chairs. Process B is better than outsourcing when demand is
over 857 chairs. In summation: Demand
Ranges Cheapest Production
0 to 857 Outsource 858 and more Process B
Process A is never the best alternative. 13. It is known from Problem 12, that money is lost if
demand is under 8,000 units. Given they will proceed: Break-even Between Old and New Equipment: =
FCo + VCo(Q) = FCn + VCn(Q) Q = 2000
Use the old equipment if demand is at most 2000 units. Use the new equipment if demand is over 2000 units.
15. Arrive at Offi ce n Wait in Reception Area n Brought to Examination Room n Wait for Doctor n Meet with Doctor n Return to Reception Desk n Depart
Bottlenecks occur during the waiting periods. Parallel activities such as lab results or X-rays may be analyzed during some of the waiting times.
17. Utility = used/available = (28/30) × 100% = 93.3%
Chapter 4 1. Indiff erence Point: Total Cost of Insourcing =
Total Cost of Outsourcing Total Cost = FC + VC(Q)
a. 300,000 + 1.5(Q) = 120,000 + 2.25(Q) Q = 240,000 units b. Since the demand is expected to be over the
indiff erence point, insourcing is cheaper. Th e total cost for insourcing would be $750,000 and the total cost for outsourcing would be $795,000. Th e actual diff erence may be computed to be $45,000.
3. a. Total Cost = FC + VC(Q) = 125,000 + 0.90(160,000) = $269,000 b. Total Cost from Durable = 170,000 + 0.65(160,000) = $274,000 c. Indiff erence point: Total Cost of Insourcing = Total Cost of Outsourcing
125,000 + 0.90(Q) = 170,000 + 0.65(Q) Q = 180,000 snow boards
BREAK EVEN
T O
TA L
D O
LL A
R S
QUANTITY
800,000
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000 20,000 30,000 35,000 40,000
Total Revenue
Total Cost
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 627
standard deviation 𝜎 can be estimated from the
4 samples using the equation: R a
n
i = 1 (xi − x)
2
n − 1 ,
where n = 16 and X = 5.97; therefore the estimate is 0.1138.
The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means is equal to 0.0569, which is
estimated using σ
3n , where σ = 0.1138 and n = 4 (i.e., the number of observations in each sample).
c. Center Line (CL) = x = 5.97
UCL = x + 3 σ
3n = 5.97 + 3(0.0569) = 6.14 LCL = x − 3
σ
3n = 5.97 − 3(0.0569) = 5.80 3. x = 19.8 ounces, R = 0.4 ounces, A2 = 0.58 for n = 5 CL = x = 19.8 UCL = x + A2R = 19.8 + 0.58(0.4) = 20.03 LCL = x − A2R = 19.8 − 0.58(0.4) = 19.57 5. R = 0.3 ounces, D4 = 2.11, D3 = 0, n = 5 CL = R = 0.3 ounces UCL = D4R = 2.11(0.3) = 0.633 LCL = D3R = 0(0.3) = 0
7. CL = P = 6
100 = 0.06
UCL = 0.06 + 3B0.06(1 − 0.06)20 = 0.22 LCL = 0.06 − 3B0.06(1 − 0.06)20 = 0 (rounded to zero since the LCL value is negative)
9. CL = C = 12
10 = 1.20
UCL = 1.20 + 331.20 = 4.49 LCL = 1.20 − 331.20 = 0 (rounded to zero since the LCL value is negative)
11. CP (Machine A) = USL − LSL
6σ =
16.2 − 15.8 6(0.2)
= 0.33
CP (Machine B) = USL − LSL
6σ =
16.2 − 15.8 6(0.3)
= 0.22
CP (Machine C) = USL − LSL
6σ =
16.2 − 15.8 6(0.05)
= 1.33 Machine C is the only capable machine since its CP value is greater than 1.
d. Annual demand must exceed 180,000 snow boards to justify outsourcing as the cheaper process. Th at increase is 12.5%, or 20,000 units over the current demand.
5. a. Total Cost Last Year = FC + VC(Q) = 85,000 + 15(1450) = $106,750 b. Total Cost from VB = 100,000 + 5(1450) = $107,250 c. Indiff erence point: Total Cost of Insourcing = Total Cost of Outsourcing
85,000 + 15(Q) = 100,000 + 5(Q) Q = 1500 orders
d. Yes, VB is a cheaper alternative whenever demand exceeds 1500 orders.
e. Additional factors that should be considered include the economic stability of VB, the ability of VB to manage quality, the ability of VB to “partner,” the ability of VB to deliver on time, and the impact of outsourcing on remaining employees.
Chapter 5 1. Reliability of CD player = (0.90)5 = 0.5905 3. Reliability of copier = (0.89)(0.95)(0.90)(0.90) =
0.6849 5. Reliability of bank system = (0.90)(0.89)(0.95) =
0.7610 7. Probability of each component working = P(A) +
P(B) − P(A)P(B); or consider that either the original component or the backup must work; then one can compute 1-probability that both fail for that step and compute P(1)P(2).
Reliability of LCD projector = 1 − {(1 − 0.90) (1 − 0.80)} = 0.98
9. Probability of developing vaccine = 1 − {(1 − 0.90)(1 − 0.85)(1 − 0.70)} = 0.9955
Chapter 6 1. a. Mean of sample 1 = (5.8 + 5.9 + 6.0 + 6.1)/4 =
5.95 Mean of sample 2 = (6.2 + 6.0 + 5.9 + 5.9)/4 = 6.0 Mean of sample 3 = (6.1 + 5.9 + 6.0 + 5.8)/4 = 5.95 Mean of sample 4 = (6.0 + 5.9 + 5.8 + 6.1)/4 = 5.975
b. Th e mean of the sampling distribution is the average of the sample means x = Mean = (5.95 + 6 + 5.95 + 5.975)/ 4 = 5.97
Th e standard deviation of the sampling
distribution is computed as σ
3n . Th e population
628 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
b.
Th e mean is in control, but the range is not. (Sample 1 is above the UCL.)
21. Cp = 1.39, which appears the process is in control. However, upon calculating the Cpk;
Cpk = Mine 10.50 − 9.80 3(0.12)
, 9.80 − 9.50
3(0.12) f
= Min51.94, 0.8336 = 0.833 Th e process is not capable.
Chapter 7 1. D = 30 packages per hour T = 20 minutes = 1/3 hour C = 5 packages per container
N = DT
C =
(30) (1�3) 5
= 2 kanbans
3. D = (300 wicks/day)(1 day/5 hours)(1 hour/ 60 minutes) = 1 wick/minute Plus 10% safety stock = 1.1
T = 20 minutes C = 20 per container
N = DT/C = (1.1)(20)/20 = 1.1 containers
13.
17. Assuming the actual proportion of defect is 0.0022 (11 defects in the 5000) and using n = 2000, if c = 1, the consumer’s risk is 0.066. Using c = 2, the consumer’s risk is 0.1848.
19. a. Ranges in samples 1 through 6 are 1.11, 0.34, 0.46,
0.67, 0.27, 0.24, respectively. R = 0.515. x-bar chart: CL = 5.95 UCL = 5.95 + (0.58)(0.515) = 6.25 LCL = 5.95 − (0.58)(0.515) = 5.65 R-chart: CL = 0.515 UCL = (2.11)(0.515) = 1.087 LCL = 0
P R
O B
A B
IL IT
Y O
F A
C C
E P
T IN
G T H
E L
O T
OC CURVE WITH N = 5, C = 1 1
0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
0 0 0.5 1
Series 1
PROPORTION OF DEFECTIVE ITEMS IN THE LOT
15.
P R
O B
A B
IL IT
Y O
F A
C C
E P
T IN
G T H
E L
O T
OC CURVE WITH N = 10, C = 1
Series 1
PROPORTION OF DEFECTIVE ITEMS IN THE LOT
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
O U
N C
E S
SAMPLE
X-BAR CHART 6.3
6.25 6.2
6.15 6.1
6.05 6
5.95 5.9
5.85 5.8
5.75 5.7
5.65 5.6
0 1 2
Mean UCL LCL
3 4 5 6 7
SAMPLE
R A
N G
E
R CHART
Range UCL LCL
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
1 1.1 1.2
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Percentage of Items Defective (p)
0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.9138 0.7361 0.5443 0.3758 0.244
0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.1493 0.086 0.0464 0.0233 0.0107
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 629
c. N = (6.0)15
30 = 3.0 containers
Both the number of containers and inventory level will increase.
Chapter 8 1. F4 = (A1 + A2 + A3)/3 = (200 + 350 + 287)/3 =
279.0 F5 = (A2 + A3 + A4)/3 = (350 + 287 + 300)/3 =
312.33 3. a. 3-Period Moving Average: FJune = (AMarch +
AApril + AMay)/3 = (38 + 39 + 43)/3 = 40 5-Period Moving Average: FJune = (AJanuary +
AFebruary + AMarch + AApril + AMay)/5 = (32 + 41 + 38 + 39 + 43)/5 = 38.6
b. Naïve: FJune = AMay = 43 c. 3-Period Moving Average: FJuly = (AApril + AMay +
AJune)/3 = (39 + 43 + 41)/3 = 41 5-Period Moving Average: FJuly = (AFebruary +
AMarch + AApril + AMay + AJune)/5 = (41 + 38 + 39 + 43 + 41)/5 = 40.4
Naïve: FJuly = AJune = 41
5. D = (500 pounds/day)(l day/8 hours) = 62.5 pounds/hour
Plus 10% safety stock = 6.25 T = 1 hour C = 10 per container N = (62.5 + 6.25)(1)/10 = 6.875 containers 7. D = (300 units/hour)(1 hour/60 minutes) =
5 units/minute plus 10% safety stock = 5.5 units/minute
T = 15 minutes C = 30 units/container
N = (5.5) (15)
30 = 2.75 containers
9. a. N = (5.5) (15)
15 = 5.5 containers
Number of containers increases. Inventory level is the same.
b. N = (5.5) (15)
40 = 2.06
Number of containers decreases. Inventory level is the same.
d. Assuming the June value is to be used as known:
Month Actual
3-Period Moving Average
Absolute Error
5-Period Moving Average
Absolute Error Natïve
Absolute Error
January 32 February 41 32 9 March 38 41 3 April 39 37 2 38 1 May 43 39.33 3.67 39 4 June 41 40 1 38.6 2.4 43 2
MAD (3-period moving average)
= ©|Actual − Forecast|
n
= (2 + 3.67 + 1)�3 = 2.22
MAD (5-period moving average)
= ©|Actual − Forecast|
n
= 2.4�1 = 2.4
MAD (Naïve) = ©|Actual − Forecast|
n
= (9 + 3 + 1 + 4 + 2)�5 = 3.8
Th e 3-period moving average provides the best historical fi t using the MAD criterion and would be better to use.
Month Actual
3-Period Moving Average
Squared Error
5-Period Moving Average
Squared Error Natïve
Squared Error
January 32 February 41 32 81 March 38 41 9 April 39 37 4 38 1 May 43 39.33 13.47 39 16 June 41 40 1 38.6 5.76 43 4
e.
630 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
MSE (3-period moving average)
= ©(Actual − Forecast)2
n
= (4 + 13.47 + 1)�3 = 6.1567
MSE (5-period moving average)
= ©(Actual − Forecast)2
n : 5.76
MSE (Naïve) = ©(Actual − Forecast)2
n
= (81 + 9 + 1 + 16 + 4)�5 = 111�5 = 22.20
Th e 5-period moving average provides the best historical fi t using the MSE criterion, but it only measures one error term.
5. Forecasts using α = 0.1:
Week Demand Exponential Smoothing
Absolute Error
1 330 2 350 330 20 3 320 332 12 4 370 330.8 39.2 5 368 334.72 33.28 6 343 338.048 4.952
MAD: 21.89
Forecasts using α = 0.7:
Week Demand Exponential Smoothing
Absolute Error
1 330 2 350 330 20 3 320 344 24 4 370 327.2 42.8 5 368 357.16 10.84 6 343 364.748 21.748
MAD : 23.88
Week Demand 3-Period
Moving Average Absolute
Error 1 20 2 31 3 36 4 38 29 9 5 42 35 7 6 40 38.67 1.33
MAD : 5.77 MSE: 43.92
Week Demand Exponential Smoothing
Absolute Error
1 20 2 31 20 11 3 36 22.2 13.8
Week Demand Exponential Smoothing
Absolute Error
4 38 24.96 13.04 5 42 27.568 14.432 6 40 30.4544 9.545
MAD : 12.36 MSE: 156.17
Regression model: Demand = 21 + 3.857 Time
Time (X) Demand (Y) X2 XY 1 20 1 20 2 31 4 62 3 36 9 108 4 38 16 152 5 42 25 210 6 40 36 240
Total: 21 207 91 792
X = 21�6 = 3.5 Y = 207�6 = 34.5
b = ©XY − nXY ©X 2 − nX 2
= 792 − (6) (3.5) (34.5)
91 − 6(3.5) 2 = 3.857
a = Y − bX = 34.5 − 3.857(3.5) = 21
Week Demand Regression
Line Absolute
Error 1 20 24.857 4.857 2 31 28.714 2.286 3 36 32.571 3.429 4 38 36.428 1.572 5 42 40.285 1.715 6 40 44.142 4.142
MAD : 3.00 MSE: 10.52
Season Year 1 Year 2 Fall 200/710 = 0.282 230/810.25 = 0.284 Winter 1400/710 = 1.972 1600/810.25 = 1.975 Spring 520/710 = 0.732 580/810.25 = 0.716 Summer 720/710 = 1.014 831/810.25 = 1.026
Fall 0.283 Winter 1.973 Spring 0.724 Summer 1.020
Using α = 0.1 provides a better historical fi t based on the MAD criterion.
7.
Th e linear regression model provides the best historical fi t using the MAD and the MSE criteria.
Th e sales data have a reasonably good fi t to a linear model.
9. STEP 1: Average demand for each season: Year 1: 2840/4 = 710 Year 2: 3241/4 = 810.25
STEP 2: Seasonal index for each season:
STEP 3: Average seasonal index for each season:
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 631
F10 = 3.011 + 0.489(10) = 7.901 attendees (in thousands)
19. a. Forecast using a weighted moving average = 230(0.1) + 304(0.3) + 415(0.6) = 363.2
b. Forecast using the naïve approach = 415 c. Absolute deviation using a weighted moving
average = �420 − 363.2� = 56.8 Absolute deviation using naïve method = �420 − 415� = 5 Th e naïve approach is better.
21. MAD1 = (12 + 2 + 8 + 3 + 2 + 4)/6 = 31/6 = 5.17 MAD2 = (3 + 1 + 2 + 2 + 4 + 3)/6 = 15/6 = 2.5 Forecast 2 provides a better historical fi t using the MAD criterion.
23. a. Sales = 243.07 + 7.424 (month) b. Correlation coeffi cient is 0.97.
It indicates a strong, positive linear relationship. c. Forecast for month 25 = 243.07 + (7.424)25
= 428.68 or 429 units. Please see www.wiley.com/college/reid for solution to Problem 25.
Chapter 9
1. UtilizationEffective = Actual Output
Effective Capacity (100%)
= 300
250 (100%) = 120%
UtilizationDesign = Actual Output
Design Capacity (100%)
= 300
400 (100%) = 75%
Th e utilization rates show that the facility’s current output is below its design capacity and considerably higher than its eff ective capacity. If the eff ective capacity is realistically set, it is expected that the facility will operate over that level for a short time.
3. a. Eff ective capacity = 60 brownies Design capacity = 100 brownies
b. UtilizationEffective = Actual Output
Effective Capacity (100%)
= 64
60 (100% ) = 106.67%
UtilizationDesign = Actual Output
Design Capacity (100% )
= 64
100 (100% ) = 64%
Th e utilization rates show that the facility’s current output is far below its design capacity and higher than its eff ective capacity. Th e design capacity occurs only with extra help.
STEP 4: Average demand per season = 4000/4 = 1000.
STEP 5: Multiply next year’s average seasonal demand by each seasonal index.
Season Forecast Fall 283 Winter 1973 Spring 724 Summer 120
11. ©xy = 1978 ©x 2 = 649 ©y 2 = 6142 ©x = 55 ©y = 162
a. Th e correlation coeffi cient is 0.9887. Th is high correlation indicated that there is a strong positive linear association between sales and training hours.
b. Using a regression model: Sales = −16.6 + 4.455 training hours If training hours = 18: Sales = −16.6 + 4.455 × 18 = 63.59
(in thousands) 13. ©xy = 6021 ©x 2 = 5625 ©y 2 = 7000 ©x = 165 ©y = 186
a. Resort attendance = a + b (average temperature) Using regression analysis, the estimated model is: Resort attendance = 58.65 − 0.65 (average temperature) Resort attendance forecast when the average temperature is 45 degrees: = 58.65 − 0.65(45) = 29.4 thousand attendees
b. Th e correlation coeffi cient is −0.97. Since this value is very close to negative 1, it indicates that the average temperature is a strong predictor of resort attendance. Note that since the sign is negative, it indicates that an inverse or a negative relationship exists between the two variables.
15. Period 6 Forecasts: Simple average: F6 = 348.8 3-Period moving average: F6 = 348.33 Exponential smoothing: Using the fi fth-period forecast of 328, F6 = 336.40 Looking at the error only in period 6, MAD (simple average) = �368 − 348.8� = 19.2 MAD (3-period moving average) = �368 − 348.33� = 19.67 MAD (exponential smoothing) = �368 − 336.40� = 31.60
Simple average provides the lowest MAD.
17. ©xy = 208.2 ©x 2 = 204 ©y 2 = 227.61 ©x = 36 ©y = 41.7 Regression model: Clinic attendance = 3.011 + 0.489 month F9 = 3.011 + 0.489(9) = 7.412 attendees
(in thousands)
632 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
b. EVsmall expansion = 35,000(0.70) + 15,000(0.30) = $29,000 EVlarge expansion = 40,000(0.70) + 20,000(0.30) = $34,000
Company should opt for the large expansion.
11. a.
b. EVsmall expansion = 120,000(0.50) + 80,000(0.50) = $100,000 EVlarge expansion = 200,000(0.50) + 100,000(0.50) = $150,000
Company should opt for the large expansion.
13. Weighted Score
Location 1 Location 2 50 20 80 40 60 150 50 30 90 150
Total: 330 390
Location 2 is the preferred one.
15. Load-Distance ScoreJasper = Σlijdij = (30)(15) + (6)(10) + (10.5)(12) + (4.5)(8) = 672 Load-Distance ScoreLongboat = Σlijdij = (12)(15) + (12)(10) + (30)(12) + (24)(8) = 852 Warehouse should be located in Jasper.
17. Total CostA = 70,000 + 1(2000) = $72,000 Total CostB = 34,000 + 5(2000) = $44,000 Total CostC = 20,000 + 8(2000) = $36,000 Total CostD = 50,000 + 4(2000) = $58,000 Location C is best.
5. UtilizationEffective = Actual Output
Effective Capacity (100%)
= 500
600 (100%) = 83.33%
UtilizationDesign = Actual Output
Design Capacity (100%)
= 500
1000 (100%) = 50%
Th e computed utilization rates show that the facility’s current output is below its design and eff ective capacities. Th is illustrates that the manufacturer is not using capacity to its fullest extent and there is room for improvement.
7. a.
b. EVsmall expansion = 50,000(0.40) + 70,000(0.60) = $62,000 EVlarge expansion = 60,000(0.40) + 100,000(0.60) = $84,000 Company should opt for the large expansion. 9. a.
Large
Small
Low Demand (0.40) $60,000
High Demand (0.60) $100,000
Low Demand (0.40)
Expand
Do Not Expand
$50,000
High Demand (0.60)
$70,000
$45,000
Large
Small
Low Demand (0.30) $20,000
High Demand (0.70) $40,000
Low Demand (0.30)
Expand
Do Not Expand
$15,000
High Demand (0.70)
$35,000
$12,000
Large
Small
Low Demand (0.50) $100,000
High Demand (0.50) $200,000
Low Demand (0.50)
Expand
Do Not Expand
$80,000
High Demand (0.50)
$120,000
$70,000
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 633
Chapter 10 1. Current Layout Proposed Layout
Departments Number
of Trips (l ) Distance
(d ) Load–Distance
Score (ld ) Distance
(d ) Load–Distance
Score (ld ) AB 15 1 15 2 30 AC 45 2 90 1 45 AD 25 1 25 2 50 AE 10 2 20 1 10 AF 50 3 150 3 150 BC 30 1 30 1 30 BD 16 2 32 2 32 BE 25 1 25 1 25 BF 25 2 50 1 25 CD 34 3 102 3 102 CE 15 2 30 2 30 CF 20 1 20 2 40 DE 40 1 40 1 40 DF 10 2 20 1 10 EF 20 1 20 2 40
Total: 669 659
Current Layout Proposed Layout
Departments Number
of Trips (l ) Distance
(d ) Load–Distance
Score (ld ) Distance
(d ) Load–Distance
Score (ld ) AB 5 1 5 1 5 AC 20 2 40 2 40 AD 5 1 5 1 5 AF 8 2 16 2 16 BD 30 2 60 2 60 BE 10 2 20 2 20 BF 10 3 30 1 10 CD 20 3 60 1 20 CE 15 1 15 1 15 CF 5 2 10 2 10 EF 17 1 17 1 17
Total: 278 218
Th e proposed layout is the preferred one due to a slightly lower ld score. 3.
Current Layout Proposed Layout
Departments Number
of Trips (l ) Distance
(d ) Load–Distance
Score (ld ) Distance
(d ) Load–Distance
Score (ld ) AB 30 3 90 3 90 AD 34 1 34 1 34 AE 50 1 50 2 100 AF 25 2 50 1 25 BD 55 2 110 2 110 BE 10 2 20 1 10 BF 10 1 10 2 20 CE 15 1 15 2 30 CF 5 2 10 3 15 EF 30 1 30 1 30
Total: 419 464
Proposed location is better based on the ld score. 5.
Th e current location is better based on the ld score.
634 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
7. To assign departments to specifi c storage areas, we progressively assign departments with the highest number of trips closest to the dock. Using this logic, we develop the following block plan:
2 4 5
Dock
6 1 3
9. It is reasonable to assume the layout can be improved. A starting point would have D directly next to F, B, and A.
Current Layout Current Layout
Departments Number of
Trips (l ) Distance
(d ) Load–Distance
Score (ld ) Departments Number of
Trips (l ) Distance
(d ) Load–Distance
Score (ld )
AB 6 1 6 BF 0 2 0 AC 12 2 24 CD 5 3 15 AD 18 1 18 CE 0 2 0 AE 1 2 2 CF 0 1 0 AF 1 3 3 DE 7 1 7 BC 4 1 4 DF 19 2 38 BD 19 2 38 EF 0 1 0 BE 3 1 3
Total: 158
11. Th e following departments have the highest number of trips between them and should be located close to each other.
B and D, which have 19 trips between them D and F, which have 19 trips between them A and D, which have 18 trips between them A and C, which have 12 trips between them
Proposed layout:
B D A
E F C
A slightly better layout exists.
Proposed Layout
Departments Distance
(d) Load–Distance
Score (ld)
AB 2 12 AC 1 12 AD 1 18 AE 3 3 AF 2 2 BC 3 12 BD 1 19 BE 1 3 BF 2 0 CD 2 10 CE 2 0 CF 1 0 DE 2 14 DF 1 19 EF 1 0
Total: 124
13. a.
A B
C
D
E
F
b. C = (3600 seconds/hour)/(50 units/hour) = 72 seconds/unit
c. TM = ©t C
= 225
72 = 3.125 or 4 stations
d. Station Task 1 A 2 B, E 3 D 4 C 5 F
e. Efficiency = ©t NC
(100%) = 225
(5) (72) (100%)
= 62.5% Balance delay (%) = 37.5%
15. a. Task A is the bottleneck. b. C = (3600 seconds/hour)/(50 units/hour)
= 72 seconds/unit
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 635
Work- station
Task Selected
1 A
2 B
3 C, D, E
4 F, G, H
Effi ciency = 175/240 = 72.9% Th is is one possible solution. c. Maximum output would use the bottleneck
task: (3600 seconds/hour)/(43 seconds/unit) =
83.7 units per hour Minimum output uses the total time in one
workstation: 3600/175 = 20.57 units per hour
Chapter 11 1. With z = 2.17 and e = 0.05, the number of
observations needed for each work element is:
Work element 1: n ≥ c 2.17 0.05
× 0.20
1.10 d2 = 63
Work element 2: n ≥ c 2.17 0.05
× 0.10
0.80 d2 = 30
Work element 3: n ≥ c 2.17 0.05
× 0.15
0.90 d2 = 53
Work element 4: n ≥ c 2.17 0.05
× 0.10
1.00 d2 = 19
Sample size needed is 63.
3. Work element 1: n ≥ c 1.96 0.05
× 0.60
2.40 d 2 = 97
Work element 2: n ≥ c 1.96 0.05
× 0.20
1.50 d2 = 28
Work element 3: n ≥ c 1.96 0.05
× 1.10
3.85 d2 = 126
Work element 4: n ≥ c 1.96 0.05
× 0�85 2.55 d2 = 171
Work element 5: n ≥ c 1.96 0.05
× 0.40
1.60 d2 = 97
Work element 6: n ≥ c 1.96 0.05
× 0.50
2.50 d2 = 62
Sample size needed is 171.
c. Work- station
Task Selected
Task Time
Idle Time
1 A 55 17
2 B 30 42 C 22 20 F 15 5
3 D 35 37
4 E 50 22 G 5 17 H 10 7
d. TM = ©t C
= 222
72 = 3.08 or 4 stations
Same number of stations as the theoretical minimum stations was used.
e. Efficiency = ©t NC
(100%) = 222
(4) (72) (100%)
= 77.08% Balance delay (%) = 22.92%
17. a. C = (3600 seconds�hour)� (30 units�hour) = 120 seconds�unit
b. TM = ©t C
= 270
120 = 2.25 or 3 stations
c. Work- station
Task Selected
1 A B D F C
2 E G H I
3 J K
Workstation 1 has no idle time, while work- stations 2 and 3 have 20 seconds and 70 seconds, respectively.
d. Efficiency = ©t NC
(100%)
= 270
(3) (120) (100%) = 75%
Balance delay = 25% 19. a. C = 480 doors/8 hours = 60 doors/hour;
(3600 sec/hour/60 doors/hour) = 60 sec/door. b. TM = 175/60 = 2.9 or 3 workstations
636 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
c. 60 minutes/7.037 = 8.526 units per hour d. 8.526 × 0.90 = 7.6734 units per hour 15. a.
Element Mean Observed Time (minutes)
1 0.582 2 1.515 3 0.759 4 0.319 5 2.1
b. Normal timeelement 1 = (0.582) (0.95) (1) = 0.553 minutes
Normal timeelement 2 = (1.515) (0.90) (0.25) = 0.341 minutes
Normal timeelement 3 = (0.759) (1) (1) = 0.759 minutes
Normal timeelement 4 = (0.319) (1.10) (1) = 0.351 minutes
Normal timeelement 5 = (2.10) (0.90) (0.20) = 0.378 minutes
c. STelement 1 = (0.553) (1.15) = 0.636 minutes STelement 2 = (0.341) (1.15) = 0.392 minutes STelement 3 = (0.759) (1.15) = 0.873 minutes STelement 4 = (0.351) (1.15) = 0.404 minutes STelement 5 = (0.378) (1.15) = 0.435 minutes
Standard time for job = (0.636 + 0.392 + 0.873 + 0.404 + 0.435) = 2.740 minutes
d. 60/2.740 = 21.898 units per hour e. 21.898 × 1.1 = 24.088
17. a. n = a1.96 0.05 b
2
(0.2) (1 − 0.2) = 246 observations
b. n = a1.96 0.05 b
2
(0.15) (1 − 0.15) = 196 observations
c. Th e largest observed frequency was 6 (with patient)
n = a1.96 0.05 b
2
(0.3) (1 − 0.3) = 323 observations
19. T = 40 minutes, n = 6, total learning curve coeffi cient = 4.299. Total time = 40(4.299) = 171.96 minutes, or 2.87 hours.
Chapter 12
1. ATIregular service = (3) (2400)
365 = 19.7 units
ATIpremium service = (1) (2400)
365 = 6.6 units
ATIpublic cararier = (7) (2400)
365 = 46.0 units
5. Work Element Normal Time (NT)
1 1.14 2 0.85 3 0.88 4 0.99
7. From Problem 6, the sum of the standard times is 4.439 minutes (1.311 + 0.9775 + 1.012 + 1.1385).
(1 unit/4.44 minutes) × (60 minutes/hour) × (8 hours/day) = 108.1 units/day
9. From Problem 8, the sum of the standard times is 4.541 minutes (1.341 + 1.000 + 1.035 + 1.165).
(1 unit/4.541 minutes) × 60 minutes/hour) × (8 hours/day) = 105.7 units/day
11. a. Element Mean Observed Time
1 2.194 2 1.265 3 1.771 4 2.608 5 1.576
b. Normal time = (mean observed time) (performance rating factor)( frequency)
Normal timeelement 1 = (2.194) (0.90) (1) = 1.975 minutes Normal timeelement 2 = (1.265) (0.80) (1) = 1.012 minutes Normal timeelement 3 = (1.771) (1.10) (1) = 1.948 minutes Normal timeelement 4 = (2.608) (1.05) (1) = 2.738 minutes Normal timeelement 5 = (1.576) (0.95) (1) = 1.497 minutes c. STelement 1 = (1.975) (1.20) = 2.370 minutes STelement 2 = (1.012) (1.20) = 1.214 minutes STelement 3 = (1.948) (1.20) = 2.338 minutes STelement 4 = (2.738) (1.20) = 3.286 minutes STelement 5 = (1.497) (1.20) = 1.796 minutes
Standard time for Job = (2.37 + 1.214 + 2.338 + 3.286 + 1.796) = 11.004 minutes
d. (60 minutes/hour)(1 unit/11.004 minutes) = 5.45 units/hour
e. (5.45 units/hour)(0.90) = 4.9 units/hour 13. a. b.
Element Mean Time (minutes) Normal Time
Standard Time
1 0.96 0.9216 1.084 2 1.45 1.595 1.876 3 3.33 1.110 1.306 4 1.24 1.116 1.313 5 1.18 1.239 1.458
Sum = 7.037 minutes
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 637
e. Annual inventory holding cost
= Q
2 H = (208.2) (3)
= $624.50
f. Total annual cost = $624.50 + $624 = $1249.50 g. Th e economic order quantity provides the lowest
total annual costs.
13. EOQ at price of $18�bag = B(2)(1560)(10)(18)(0.25) = 83.3 bags (infeasible quantity)
EOQ at price of $19�bag = B(2)(1560)(10)(19)(0.25) = 81.0 bags ( feasible quantity) Total cost at feasible EOQ amount = (81/2)(19 × 0.25) + (1560/81)(10) + (19)(1560) = $30024.97 Total cost at Q = 100: (100/2)(18 × 0.25) + (1560/100)(10) + (18)(1560) = $28461 Optimal ordering policy is to order 100 bags at a time. 15. EOQ at price break of $12�bag
= B(2)(1560)(10)(12.00)(0.25) = 101.98 (not a feasible quantity at the given price break) Total cost at Q = 1560 bags: = (1560/2)(12 × 0.25) + (1560/1560)(10) + (12)(1560) = $21,070 Greens should take advantage of this off er.
17. a. EOQ = B2 DSH = B(2)(150 × 52)(20)3 = 322.5 units b. Total annual costs =
Q
2 H +
D
Q S
= (322.5)
2 (3) +
(150 × 52) 322.5
(20) = $967.50
c. Lost annual savings = $1215 − $967.5 = $247.50
3. a. Inventory Turnover = $3,000,000
$250,000 = 12
b. Weeks of Supply = $250,000
$3,000,000
52
= 4.33 weeks
c. Days of Supply = $250,000
$3,000,000
260
= 21.7 days
5. Inventory Turnover = $3,600,000/$325,000 = 11.1 inventory turns
7. Annual holding cost = (0.225)($3,400,00) = $765,000
Annual holding cost increases $68,000 or 9.76%
9. a. Average inventory level = Q
2 =
1300
2
= 650 units b. Number of orders placed per year (N)
= D
Q =
5200
1300
= 4 orders c. Annual inventory holding cost
= Q
2 H = (650) (3)
= $1950 d. Total annual ordering cost = (D/Q)(S)
= (4)(50) = $200 e. Total annual cost = $1950 + $200 = $2150 (not
counting the cost of the heat sinks, which is $62,400)
11. a. EOQ = B2DSH = B(2)(5200)(50)3 = 416.33 units
b. Average inventory = 416.33
2 = 208.2 units
c. Number of orders placed per year = D
Q
= 5200
416.33 = 12.5
d. Annual ordering cost = (12.5)(50) = $625
Demand (000’s) Expected
Profi t (000’s)75 80 85 90 95
75 596.25 596.25 596.25 596.25 596.25 596.250 Order 80 573.75 636 636 636 636 632.888
Amount 85 551.25 613.5 675.75 675.75 675.75 657.075 (000’s) 90 528.75 591 653.25 715.5 715.5 665.700
95 506.25 568.5 630.75 693.00 755.25 655.650
19.
Sue should order 90,000 calendars to maximize expected profi ts.
638 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
b. EPQ =
R 2 × 18000 × 300
3 a1− 18000 24000
b = 3794.73, or 3795 Imax = 3795(1 − .75) = 948.75, or 949 Holding Cost = (949/2) × 3 = $1423.50 Setup Cost = 18,000 × 300/3795 = $1422.92 Total Cost = $2846.42 c. Penalty Cost = $3097.50 − $2846.42 = $251.08 27. a. Th e z for 94% is found to be approximately 1.55
(the area above it is the risk of stockouts).
Safety stock = 1.55 3σ3RP + L4 = 21.48, or 22 units TI = d(RP + L) + SS = 48(3) + 22 = 166 units b. Z becomes 2.05, safety stock becomes 28.4 or 29,
and the target inventory becomes 173.
c. Safety stock = 1.55 3σ3RP + L4 = 24.8, or 25 Target inventory becomes 192 + 25 = 217 units 29. a. Current Total Cost at Q = 5000 = 4.8(60) +
2500(0.08) = $488 per month EOQ = 6000 per month: Total Cost = 4(60) +
3000(0.08) = $480 Th e penalty cost of the existing system is $8
per month. b. With Q = 3000, holding costs are reduced to $120.
To keep the total cost at $480, the order costs would be $360. Solving 8(S) = $360, order costs would have to be reduced to $45 to stay at the same expense as the EOQ.
c. If S = $30, the EOQ becomes 4242.6 jars.
21. a. Item
Annual Demand
Ordering Cost
Holding Cost (%)
Unit Price EOQ
101 500 $ 10.00 20% $ 0.50 316.228 102 1500 $ 10.00 30% $ 0.20 707.1068 103 5000 $ 25.00 30% $ 1.00 912.8709 104 250 $ 15.00 25% $ 4.50 81.6497 105 1500 $ 35.00 35% $ 1.20 500 201 10000 $ 25.00 15% $ 0.75 2108.185 202 1000 $ 10.00 20% $ 1.35 272.1655 203 1500 $ 20.00 25% $ 0.20 1095.445 204 500 $ 40.00 25% $ 0.80 447.2136 205 100 $ 10.00 15% $ 2.50 73.0397
Rounded EOQ results.
Item 101 102 103 104 105 201 202 203 204 205 EOQ 316 707 913 82 500 2108 272 1095 447 73 Product Cost 158 141.48 913 369 600 1581 367.20 219 357.60 183.5
b. Using the EOQ number times the unit cost, the company’s maximum inventory investment throughout the year occurs for item 201 with an inventory level of 2108 units and value of $1581.14.
c. Item EOQ Average Inventory
101 316 158 102 707 353.5 103 913 456.5 104 82 41 105 500 250 201 2108 1054 202 272 136 203 1095 547.5 204 447 223.5 205 73 36.5
Average inventory in dollars = $2444.35 23. a. Imax = Q(1 − d/p) = 1,000,000(1 − 100,000/
250,000) = 600,000 pounds
b. Total Cost = (5,000,000) (200)
1,000,000 +
(600,000) (0.55�50)
2 = $4300
25. a. Setup Cost: Number of setups = Yearly demand/ 2500 bags per batch
= (75,000 × 12/50)/2500 = 7.2 batches per year 7.2 × $300 = $2160
Imax = 2500(1 − 0.75) = 625 Average inventory = 312.5 units Total cost of existing policy is $3097.50
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 639
b. (5600 units × 6 hours each)/160 hours per employee = 210 employees
Chapter 13
1. a. Total aggregate production 34,000 units Production rate per period = (34000 − 400)/6 =
5600 units
c. Period 1 2 3 4 5 6
Demand 6000 4800 7840 5200 6560 3600 Production 5600 5600 5600 5600 5600 5600 Ending Inventory 400 800 0 Back order 0 1440 1040 2000 0
d. Back-order costs: 4480 units × $20 = $89,600 Holding costs: 800 units × $10 = $8000 Regular-time labor cost: $2,016,000 Total cost = $2,113,600
e. Th e costs appear very high, considering the customer is served very poorly. However, the level aggregate plan is good for operations and human resources.
3.
c. Using the hours required and the hours available from parts (a) and (b):
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
Employees Needed
210 180 294 195 246 135 1260
5. a. Th e amount of production hours needed each period:
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6
Hours Needed
33,600 28,800 47,040 31,200 39,360 21,600
b. Amount of regular-time production using a workforce of 210 employees: (160 hours/ employee/period)(210 employees) = 33,600 hours/period
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
Overtime 0 0 13,440 0 5,760 0 19,200 Hours Needed Undertime 0 4800 2400 12,000 19,200
d.
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6
Overtime Hours per Employee 64 27.42
Th e overtime available hours are exceeded by 100%. e. Overtime cost: 19,200 × $15 = $288,000
Regular labor cost: $2,016,000 Total cost: $2,304,000
f. Th e customer demand is being met, but costs are $81,000 over the costs of the hiring and fi ring plan in Problem 3. Once again, this chase plan is disruptive to operations and to human resources. Certainly, if this plan is implemented, arrangements must be made to increase available overtime.
7. a. Given the production rate, that is, 1/6 unit per hour ( from 6 hours per unit), the production from the
maximum of 32 hours of overtime for each of the 210 employees is computed to be 1120 units.
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
Demand 6000 4800 7840 5200 6560 3600 34,000 Production 5600 5600 5600 5600 5600 3600 Overtime Units 0 0 1120 0 880 0 2000 Ending Inventory 400 0 800 0 80 0 0 880 Back Orders 0 0 320 0 0 0 320
= a 6
i = 1demandi =
b. Overtime cost: 12,000 hours × $15 = $180,000 Back-order costs: 320 × $20 = $6400 Holding costs: 880 × $10 = $8800 Regular labor cost: $2,016,000 Total cost = $2,211,200
c. Th is hybrid aggregate plan provides some back orders, but only in period 3. Overtime costs are still a signifi cant amount at $180,000, but this expense is far less than using only overtime to meet demand. Th is plan fi ts the existing available overtime hours and should therefore not be too disruptive to operations.
640 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
c. Th is plan provides a uniform availability of weekly hours. However, in weeks 1, 3, 4, and 6 there are
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
Number of Clients 48 36 50 40 38 48 260 Hours Required 576 432 600 480 456 576 Hours Available 480 480 480 480 480 480 Unmet Hours 96 0 120 0 0 96 Number of Temporary Employees 3 0 3 0 0 3 9
13. a. Hours Available 12 × 40 = 480
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
Number of Clients 48 40.67 50 46.67 41.34 48 274.68 Hours Required 576 488.04 600 560.04 496.08 576 3296.16 Number of Regular Time Hours Available 520 520 520 520 520 520 3120 Number of Hours Backordered 56 0 80 40.04 0 56 232.04 Number of Calls Backordered 4.67 6.67 3.34 4.67 19.34
9. a.
Note: Backordered calls are added to next period’s demand (4.67 + 36 = 40.67) b. Regular Time Labor Cost $78,000
Hiring Cost $2,000 Total Cost $80,000
unmet client hours. If the clients are unwilling to wait for their services, this could result in potential revenue loss to the fi rm. Also, there are excess service hours in weeks 2 and 5, which cannot be inventoried.
11. a.
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 Total
Number of Clients 48 36 50 40 38 48 260 Hours Required 576 432 600 480 456 576 3120 Number of Employees Required 14.4 10.8 15 12 11.4 14.4 Actual Number of Employees 15 11 15 12 12 15 80
Number of Hires (beginning workforce = 12) 3 4 3 10 Number of Fires 4 3 7
b. Regular Time Labor Cost $80,000 Hiring Cost $20,000 Firing Cost $8,400 Total Cost $108,400
c. Customer demand is met at a cost $108,400. Th e hiring and fi ring would be diffi cult for operations and aff ect employee morale.
b. 9 employees = 360 hours @$40/hour = $14,400 12 permanent employees = 480 hours × 6 ×
$25 = $72,000 Total Cost = $86,400
c. Customer demand is met at a lower price than hiring and fi ring permanent employees. Th is plan is very good for the permanent employees, with minimal operational issues if the temporary employees are readily available.
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 641
Chapter 14 1.
Q
T (3)
Z (3)
V (1)
S (1)
R (2)
Y (1)
X (2)
2 weeks
2 weeks4 weeks3 weeks
3 weeks 2 weeks 3 weeks 2 weeks
Note: numbers inside parentheses represent usage per parent while numbers outside the boxes indicate lead time in weeks.
3.
Product Q R S T X Y V Z
Gross Requirements
100 200 100 300 400 200 300 900
5. From Problem 4: Th e cumulative lead time is 7 weeks (VTQ).
7. From Problem 6: Th e cumulative lead time, the longest planned length of time to complete the end product, is 11 weeks (i.e., path J, E, A).
9.
Component Gross Requirement
A 2500 B 4750 C 2000 D 6750 E 4250 F 16,000 G 8500 H 15,250 I 8500 J 3250 K 16,250 L 6000 M 47,750 N 95,750 O 30,500 P 15,750 Q 31,500
11. Product: AB500
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements 150 250 150 250 150 250 150 250 Scheduled Receipts 150 250 150 250 150 250 150 250 Projected Available: 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Planned Orders 150 250 150 250 150 250 150 250
13. From the inventory records in Problem 12: Average Inventory for AB501 = 1100/10 = 110 units Average Inventory for AB511 = 1350/10 =
135 units (Assuming the remaining inventory
after the gross requirements are satisfi ed, is used in the next production cycle.)
Average Inventory for AB521 = 4350/10 = 435 units
15. Item: AB500 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements 150 250 150 250 150 250 150 250 Scheduled Receipts 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 Projected Available 0 0 50 0 50 0 50 0 50 0 Planned Orders 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200
Item: AB500 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gross Requirements 150 250 150 250 150 250 150 250 Scheduled Receipts 550 650 400 Projected Available: 0 0 0 400 150 0 400 250 0 250 0 Planned Orders 550 650 400
17.
642 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
Total time: 108 hours Capacity needed: 108 hours 21. From the capacity requirement of 108 hours in
Problem 19 (and detail from Problem 20): Available weekly capacity = (3 machines)(10 hours/day)
19. (5 days/week)(0.90 utilization)(0.90 effi ciency) = 121.5 hours
Th is new policy provides adequate capacity.
23.
Total time: 156 hours Capacity needed: 156 hours
25. Th e 150 Gamma Blasters need a planned order for period 7. Th e 100 Gamma Disasters need a planned order in period 4.
Chapter 15 1. a. Work Center 3
Component A:
b. If actual output is consistently below planned output, Work Center 3 may not have enough capacity to meet the planned input for Work Center 4. However, the backlog is consistently decreasing in Work Center 3, as their actual output exceeds the actual inputs in periods 4 through 7.
3. a. Work Center 2
b. Th e work center nearly has the capacity to meet planned input if backlogs did not exist. Actual output is consistently less than the planned output, especially in periods 5, 6, and 7, thus indicating that the work center is not producing with the effi ciency expected. Work Center 1 has to be studied regarding its output.
Orders Setup + Run Time (hours)
LL110 2.0 + 1.2(10) = 14 LL118 4.0 + 0.4(25) = 14 LL131 6.0 + 0.6(100) = 66 LL140 4.0 + 0.2(50) = 14 Orders Setup + Run Time (hours)
MM078 34 MM118 31 MM213 33 MM240 58
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Gross requirements 300 300 Scheduled Receipts 200 200 Projected Available 250 250 250 250 150 150 150 50 50 Planned Orders 200
Component B:
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Gross requirements 200 450 Scheduled Receipts 300 600 Projected Available 25 25 25 25 125 125 125 275 275 Planned Orders 300 600
4 5 6 7 8
Planned Input 40 50 50 60 60 Actual Input 45 45 45 55 60 Deviation 5 −5 −5 −5 0 Cumulative Deviation 5 0 −5 −10 −10
4 5 6 7 8
Planned Output 70 70 70 70 70 Actual Output 60 60 60 60 60 Deviation −10 −10 −10 −10 −10 Cumulative Deviation −10 −20 −30 −40 −50 Backlog 75 hours 60 45 30 25 25
4 5 6 7 8
Planned Input 40 50 50 60 60 Actual Input 25 35 35 40 40 Deviation −15 −15 −15 −20 −20 Cumulative Deviation −15 −30 −45 −65 −85
4 5 6 7 8
Planned Output 40 50 50 60 60 Actual Output 45 45 45 55 60 Deviation 5 −5 −5 −5 0 Cumulative Deviation 5 0 −5 −10 −10 Backlog 75 hours 55 45 35 20 0
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 643
5. a. Job sequence: B, F, E, C, A, D b.
B done at end
of day 5
F done at end
of day 11
E done at end
of day 18
C done at end
of day 26
A done at end
of day 35
D done at end
of day 45
Makespan = 45 days Mean job fl ow time = (5 + 11 + 18 + 26 +
35 + 45)/6 = 23.33 days Average number of jobs in the system =
140/45 = 3.11 jobs
Job Completion Date Due Date Lateness (days) Tardiness
B 5 10 −5 0 F 11 15 −4 0 E 18 26 −8 0 C 26 24 2 2 A 35 30 5 5 D 45 40 5 5
Total = −5 Total = 12
Mean job lateness = −5/6 = −0.83 days Mean job tardiness = 12/6 = 2.0 days Maximum tardiness = 5 days
7. a.
D done at end
of day 10
A done at end
of day 19
C done at end
of day 27
E done at end
of day 34
F done at end
of day 40
B done at end
of day 45
b. Makespan = 45 days Mean job fl ow time = (10 + 19 + 27 + 34 + 40 + 45)/6 = 29.17 days Average number of jobs in the system =
175/45 = 3.89 jobs
Job Completion Date Due Date Lateness (days) Tardiness
D 10 40 −30 0 A 19 30 −11 0 C 27 24 3 3 E 34 26 8 8 F 40 15 25 25 B 45 10 35 35
Total = 30 Total = 71
Mean job lateness = 30/6 = 5 days Mean job tardiness = 71/6 = 11.83 days Maximum tardiness = 35 days
9. a.
Job Job Time Remaining Job
Time at Other W/C Due Date Slack Times Remaining Number of
Operations at Other W/C S/RO
A 9 10 30 11 3 2.75 B 5 2 10 3 1 1.5 C 8 8 24 8 2 2.67 D 10 18 40 12 3 3 E 7 12 26 7 1 3.5 F 6 6 15 3 2 1
F done at end
of day 6
B done at end
of day 11
C done at end
of day 19
A done at end
of day 28
D done at end
of day 38
E done at end
of day 45
644 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
b. Makespan = 45 days Mean job fl ow time = (6 + 11 + 19 + 28 + 38 + 45)/6 = 24.5 days Average number of jobs in the system =
147/45 = 3.27 jobs
Job Completion Date Due Date Lateness (days) Tardiness
F 6 15 −9 0 B 11 10 1 1
C 19 24 −5 0 A 28 30 −2 0 D 38 40 −2 0 E 45 26 19 19
Total = 2 Total = 20
Mean job lateness = 2/6 = 0.33 days Mean job tardiness = 20/6 = 3.33 days Maximum tardiness = 19 days
11. a.
0 C
C
B
B
E E
A
A
D D
2 5 9 15 22 27
0 2 5 10 13 15 2219 27
Wash
Press
0
0
R S T U V W
VUTSR W
3
3 5
4 8
8 13
16
16
22
2221
26
26
29
29
Prepare
Plant
0 S T U V W R
RWVUTS 0
1
1 4
5
5
13
1310
19
1918
23
23
26
26
28
28
Prepare
Plant
b. Makespan = 27 hours Mean job fl ow time = (5 + 10 + 13 + 19 +
27)/5 = 14.8 hours
Average number of jobs in the system = 74/27 = 2.74 jobs
b. Makespan = 29 days Mean job fl ow time = (5 + 8 + 13 + 21 + 26 +
29)/6 = 17 days
Average number of jobs in the system = 102/29 = 3.52 jobs
13. a.
15. a.
b. Makespan = 28 days Mean job fl ow time = (4 + 10 + 18 + 23 + 26 +
28)/6 = 18.17 days Average number of jobs in the system = 109/28 =
3.89 jobs
Johnson’s rule has produced the minimum makespan. However, this has the highest mean job fl ow time and the highest average number of jobs in the system.
APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems • 645
17. Employee Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
1 OFF OFF X X X X X 2 X X OFF OFF X X X 3 OFF OFF X X X X X 4 X X OFF OFF X X X 5 OFF OFF X X X X X 6 X X OFF OFF X X X
Various answers may result given the ties that occur at the start of the exercise.
19.
Various answers may result from the ties that occur after the fi rst four employees are assigned days off .
Employee Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
1 OFF OFF X X X X X 2 OFF OFF X X X X X 3 X X OFF OFF X X X 4 OFF OFF X X X X X 5 X X OFF OFF X X X 6 X X X X OFF OFF X
21. Employee Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
1 X X X X X OFF OFF 2 X X X X X OFF OFF 3 OFF OFF X X X X X 4 X X OFF OFF X X X 5 X X X X OFF OFF X
Various answers may result from the ties that occur after the fi rst two employees are assigned days off .
23. Employee Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
1 OFF OFF X X X X X 2 X X OFF OFF X X X 3 X X X X OFF OFF X 4 X X X X X OFF OFF 5 OFF OFF X X X X X 6 X X OFF OFF X X X
Various answers may result given the ties that occur at the start of the exercise. Th is winter schedule has one fewer employee, with 2 days out of 7 having 5 employees at work.
25. a.
2 5 8 12 17 23
29251815972
C D B A F E
EFABDC
Prepare
Plant
b. Makespan = 29 days c. Mean job fl ow time = (7 + 9 + 15 + 18 + 25 +
29)/6 = 17.17 days
d. Average number of jobs in the system = 103/29 = 3.55 jobs
646 APPENDIX A • Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems
Chapter 16 1.
b.
A B C
D
E
F
G
A C E
B D F A
C
E
B D F G H
I
J K L
A
B
C
E
D
F H
G
J K L
I
3. a.
b. Critical path = BDF c. Path completion times: A C E = 15 weeks B D E = 14 weeks B D F = 17 weeks Expected project length = 17 weeks 5.
Activity A B C D E F G H I J
Expected Time 6 5 7.33 7.67 10.17 4 5.83 6.33 8 3
7. a. Path completion times: ABDFHJ = 32 weeks ABDGIJ = 35.5 weeks ACEFHJ = 36.83 weeks ACEGIJ = 40.33 Project completion time = 40.33 weeks b. Critical activities: A C E G I J 9. a. Path completion times: ABEGH = 19 weeks ACEGH = 21 weeks ADFGH = 19 weeks ACFGH = 22 weeks Project completion time = 22 weeks b. Critical activities: ACFGH 11. Reduce G by 1 week, then A by 1 week, then C by
2 weeks, and then F by 1 week. Total additional cost is $2700.
13. a.
Activity A B C D E F G H
Expected Time 10 10 5 8 7.33 7.17 8 3
c. ABDFH = 38.17 ABDGH = 39 ACEFH = 32.5 ACEGH = 33.33 Expected project completion time = 39 weeks 15. a.
Activity A B C D E F G H
Variance 0.44 4 0.11 1.44 1.78 0.25 1.78 0
b.
c. Path completion times: AE = 24 weeks ABDFGHI = 30 weeks ABDFGHJKL = 44.17 CDFGHI = 24 weeks CDFGHJKL = 38.17 weeks Critical path: ABDFGHJKL
d. Estimated project completion time = 44.17 weeks 17. a.
Activity A B C D E F G H I J K L
Expected Time 8.67 3.33 6 7 15.33 3 4 2 2 2 5 9.17
b. ADFIJKL = 42 weeks BEFIJKL = 43 weeks Normal time is 43 weeks (critical path). c. Th e cost of the normal times for the project is
$141,700. 19. a. Reduce K, I, and B by one week. b. Total additional cost is $7000 = ($1000 +
$3000 + $3000).
The Standard Normal Distribution B
647
This table gives the area under the standardized normal curve from 0 to z, as shown by the shaded portion of the following figure.
Examples: If z is the standard normal random variable, then Prob (0 ≤ z ≤ 1.32) = 0.4066 Prob (z ≥ 1.32) = 0.5000 – 0.4066 = 0.0934 Prob (z ≤ 1.32) = Prob (z ≤ 0) + Prob (0 ≤ z ≤ 1.32) = 0.5000 + 0.4066 = 0.9066 Prob (z ≤ –1.32) = Prob (z ≥ 1.32) = 0.0934 (by symmetry) 0 z
0.0000 0.0398 0.0793 0.1179 0.1554 0.1915 0.2257 0.2580 0.2881 0.3159
0.3413 0.3643 0.3849 0.4032 0.4192 0.4332 0.4452 0.4554 0.4641 0.4713
0.4772 0.4821 0.4861 0.4893 0.4918 0.4938 0.4953 0.4965 0.4974 0.4981
0.4986 0.4998
0.0040 0.0438 0.0832 0.1217 0.1591 0.1950 0.2291 0.2612 0.2910 0.3186
0.3438 0.3665 0.3869 0.4049 0.4207 0.4345 0.4463 0.4564 0.4649 0.4719
0.4778 0.4826 0.4864 0.4896 0.4920 0.4940 0.4955 0.4966 0.4975 0.4982
0.4987
0.0080 0.0478 0.0871 0.1255 0.1628 0.1985 0.2324 0.2642 0.2939 0.3212
0.3461 0.3686 0.3888 0.4066 0.4222 0.4357 0.4474 0.4573 0.4656 0.4726
0.4783 0.4830 0.4868 0.4898 0.4922 0.4941 0.4956 0.4967 0.4976 0.4982
0.4987
0.0120 0.0517 0.0910 0.1293 0.1664 0.2019 0.2357 0.2673 0.2967 0.3238
0.3485 0.3708 0.3907 0.4082 0.4236 0.4370 0.4484 0.4582 0.4664 0.4732
0.4788 0.4834 0.4871 0.4901 0.4925 0.4943 0.4957 0.4968 0.4977 0.4983
0.4988
0.0160 0.0557 0.0948 0.1331 0.1700 0.2054 0.2389 0.2704 0.2995 0.3264
0.3508 0.3729 0.3925 0.4099 0.4251 0.4382 0.4495 0.4591 0.4671 0.4738
0.4793 0.4838 0.4875 0.4904 0.4927 0.4945 0.4959 0.4969 0.4977 0.4984
0.4988
0.0199 0.0596 0.0987 0.1368 0.1736 0.2088 0.2422 0.2734 0.3023 0.3289
0.3531 0.3749 0.3944 0.4115 0.4265 0.4394 0.4505 0.4599 0.4678 0.4744
0.4798 0.4842 0.4878 0.4906 0.4929 0.4946 0.4960 0.4970 0.4978 0.4984
0.4989
0.0239 0.0636 0.1026 0.1406 0.1772 0.2123 0.2454 0.2764 0.3051 0.3315
0.3554 0.3770 0.3962 0.4131 0.4279 0.4406 0.4515 0.4608 0.4686 0.4750
0.4803 0.4846 0.4881 0.4909 0.4931 0.4948 0.4961 0.4971 0.4979 0.4985
0.4989
0.0279 0.0675 0.1064 0.1443 0.1808 0.2157 0.2486 0.2794 0.3078 0.3340
0.3577 0.3790 0.3980 0.4147 0.4292 0.4418 0.4525 0.4616 0.4693 0.4756
0.4808 0.4850 0.4884 0.4911 0.4932 0.4949 0.4962 0.4972 0.4979 0.4985
0.4989
0.0319 0.0714 0.1103 0.1480 0.1844 0.2190 0.2518 0.2823 0.3106 0.3365
0.3599 0.3810 0.3997 0.4162 0.4306 0.4429 0.4535 0.4625 0.4699 0.4761
0.4812 0.4854 0.4887 0.4913 0.4934 0.4951 0.4963 0.4973 0.4980 0.4986
0.4990
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9
2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9
3.0 3.5
z 0.00 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08
0.0359 0.0753 0.1141 0.1517 0.1879 0.2224 0.2549 0.2852 0.3133 0.3389
0.3621 0.3830 0.4015 0.4177 0.4319 0.4441 0.4545 0.4633 0.4706 0.4767
0.4817 0.4857 0.4890 0.4916 0.4936 0.4952 0.4964 0.4974 0.4981 0.4986
0.4990
0.090.020.01
Source: Adapted from Robert Markland, Topics in Management Science, 3rd ed. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1989.
648
P -C
h a
rt C
0 1
2 3
4 x
c =
1
P (x ≤
c ) =
ac x =
0
an x b p
x (1
− p
)n − x
.9 0 0 0
1 .0
0 0 0
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1 .0
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1 .0
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0 0 0
.0 4 1 0
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6 . . . .
7 . . . .
8 . . . .
9 . . . .
1 0 . . . .
P
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Name Index
651
A Abercrombie & Fitch, 323
Aberdeen Group, 523
Ace Hardware, 300
AES Corporation, 394
Alcoa, 256
Amazon.com, 4, 109
American Airlines, 323
American College of Emergency Physicians, 318
American Express, 209
Ann Taylor, 323
A.P. Møller-Maersk, 111
Apple Computer, 1, 54, 437
Aracruz Celulose, 47
Arapahoe County, 521
AT&T, 158, 240, 399
Avendra.com, 108
B Babcock & Wilcox Company, 73–74
Baby Gap, 323
Bama Companies, 125–126
Barnes & Noble, 15, 32
Barnesandnoble.com, 4, 109
Baxter Healthcare Corporation, 106
Bell Labs, 157
Ben & Jerry’s, 267
Benchmarking Partners, 522
Bike World, 135
Black & Decker, 300
BMG Music Service, 109
BMW, 36, 234
Boeing, 209, 235, 240
Boston Consulting Group (BCG), 109, 394
Boy Scouts, 30
Burger King, 76
C CALEB Technologies, A27, B17
Canyon Ranch, 56
Cardinal Logistics Management, 115
Carnival Cruises, 316
Cisco Systems, 399, 445
Coca-Cola, 260
Coca-Cola Midi (CCM), 486
Cocoa Fizz, 189, 190, 194, 196–197, 203, 205, 206
Colgate-Palmolive (C-P), 520
Columbia House, 109
Compaq, 31, 39
Compuware Company, 98, 107
Consumer Reports Online, 107
Continental Airlines, A27, B17
Costco Wholesale Corporation, 132
Covisint, 98, 106–107, 108, 136
CVS, 41, 135
Cybex International, 522
D DaimlerChrysler, 98, 106
Dell Computer Corporation, 3, 15, 31, 32, 34, 37, 39,
100, 301, 344, 518
Deloitte & Touche, 522
DHL, 102
Dole Food Company, 77, 329
Dorothy Lane Market, 86
DoubleClick Inc., 107
E Eaton, 128
eBay, 109
Eddie Bauer, 32
Embassy Suites, 83
Ernst & Young, 399
ExxonMobil, 520, 522
F Facebook, 17
Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), 562
Federated Department Stores, 323
FedEx, 1, 29, 37, 40, 55, 102, 109, 132, 135, 171, 234, 258
Fingerhut, 131
Florida Power & Light, 173
Ford Motor Company, 57, 64, 98, 106, 151, 234, 255
Fortune magazine, 355
Fruit of the Loom, Inc., 32
G Gap Kids, 323
Th e Gap, 3, 32, 323
Gateway, Inc., 109
General Electric, 1, 17, 153, 209, 217, 235, 268
General Motors, 5, 7, 14, 98, 106
Georgia-Pacifi c Corporation, 127
Gillette, 270
Gold’s Gym, 56
Google, 113, 394–395
G’s Naturally Fresh, 483
GTE, 128
652 • NAME INDEX
H Half.com, 109
Heery International, A27
Henkel AG & Co. KgaA, 300
Herman Miller Company, 114
Hewlett-Packard, 31, 32, 55, 235, 437
Hillenbrand Industries, 127
Holiday Inn, 83
Holiday Valley resort, 288
Home Depot, 19, 110, 132, 270, 432
Honda, 14, 156, 235, 254
I i2 Technologies, 522
IBM Corporation, 7, 17, 30, 32, 34, 39, 55, 57, 171, 235, 255,
299, 399, 520
Infor Global Solutions, 523
Institute for Supply Management (ISM), 129, 130
Intel Corporation, 186, 187, 269, 301
International Organization for Standardization (ISO), 173–174
IT&T, 158
J JC Penney’s, 109, 323
J.D. Power, 151
JDA Software, 522–523
Jeep, 152, 376
Jimmy Dean, 55
John Deere, 134
K Kellogg’s, 335
Kenworth Trucks, 462
Kozmo.com, 4
KPMG, 399
Th e Kroger Company, 166, 432
L La Petite Academy Day Care Center, 55
Lands’ End, 7, 109, 161–162, 268
LensCrafters, 37, 258
LG, 54
Th e Limited, 323
Linen Technology Tracking, 441
L.L.Bean, Inc., 109
Lockheed Martin, 209, 235
Lowe’s, 19
M Marriott Corporation, 218, 316
McDonald’s, 36, 76, 83, 85, 112, 234, 258, 259
Medicare, 417
Meijer, 166
Men’s Wearhouse, 394
Mercedes-Benz, 152
Merrill Lynch, 520
Merry Maids, 258
Microsoft, 54, 521, A1, B8
Motorola, 31, 32, 153–154, 171, 175, 208, 209, 217, 220
MyPoints.com, 107
N National Resources Defense Council (NRDC), 379
Nielsen Media Research, 78
Nike, 88
Nissan/Renault, 98, 106, 254, 255
Nokia, 31
Nordstrom, Inc., 86, 218
O Occupational Safety and Health Administration, 399
Offi ceMax, Inc., 109
Olympic Games, 603
1-800-FLOWERS.com, 571
Oracle, 541
OSRAM GmbH, 128
Otis Elevator, 255
P Pace Productivity, 413
Peat Marwick, 399
PeopleSoft, 523
Pepperidge Farm, 64
PepsiCo, 32, 88, 302
Pizza Hut, 54, 234
Proctor and Gamble, 14, 46, 268, 323
ProcureSteel.com, 108
PSA Peugeot Citroën, 98
R Red Robin, 268
Ritz-Carlton, 171, 218
Rolex, 152
Rolls-Royce, 134
Ryder Integrated Logistics, 248–249
S Salazar’s Beauty Salon, 55
Samsung, 54
SAP AG, 520, 522–523, 541
SAS Institute, 355, 394
Saturn Corporation, 240
Th e SCO Group, 397
Sears, Roebuck and Company, 31, 32, 38, 109,
268, 323, 432
Seven Springs resort, 288
Singapore Airlines, 29
Snowshoe resort, 288
NAME INDEX • 653
U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), 136
U.S. Green Building Council, 177
U.S. Postal Service, 6
U.S. Supreme Court, 113
V Victoria’s Secret, 32, 432
Virginia’s Department of Corrections, 523
Volvo, 36
W Walgreens, 41
Wal-Mart, 1, 15, 19, 46, 77, 78, 88, 110, 132, 134, 270,
300, 330, 357, 432
Walt Disney Company, 162, 259, 316
Wegmans Food Markets, 394
Welch’s, B18
Wendy’s, 6, 83, 234, 258
Western Electric, 158
Whirlpool Corporation, 128, 248
X Xerox, 32, 171, 248
Xinuos Company, 397
Y Yahoo.com, 107
Z Zara, 235
Social Security Administration, 418
Solo Cup Company, 127
Sony, 156
Southwest Airlines, 1, 28, 36, 45, 394
Staples, Inc., 109
Starbucks, 55, 419
Steinway & Sons, 185
Sun Microsystems, 399
Sweetheart Cup Company, 127
T Taco Bell, 76
Target, 110, 248, 300
Taylor Companies, 261
Texas Instruments (TI), 9, 209, 240
3M, 171, 255
TomballForest.com, 108
Toshiba, 156
Toyota Motor Company, 1, 14, 15, 55, 57, 151, 156, 217,
234, 235, 255, 256, 359
Travelindustryexchange.com, 108
Travelocity.com, 107
Tropicana, 329
Twitter, 17
U United Parcel Service (UPS), 4, 37, 39, 102, 109, 135,
299, 392, 490
U.S. Army, 399
U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP), 111
U.S. Defense Department, 17
Subject Index
654
A ABC classifi cation. See also Inventory management
continuous review system and, 442–445
example, 443–444
lead time and, 445
periodic review system and, 445
two-bin system and, 445
ABS function, A26
Absolute references, A19–A20
Acceptable quality level (AQL), 212, 239
Acceptance sampling. See also Statistical quality
control (SQC)
average outgoing quality, 214
defi ned, 186, 210
goal of, 210
operating characteristic (OC) curves, 211–214
sampling plans, 210–211
Accounting
aggregate planning and, 502
inventory management and, 469
JIT and lean systems and, 259
operations information fl ow and, 22
project management and, 611
resource planning and, 540
scheduling and, 576
supply chain management (SCM) and, 140
total quality management (TQM) and, 176
work system design and, 418
Act, in PDSA cycle, 161
Action bucket, 536, D9
Action notices, 536
Activity-on-node (AON), 593
Advertising revenue model, 107
Affi liate revenue model, 107
Aggregate planning
across the organization, 502
back orders, 487
business planning and, 484–486
capacity-based options, 487, 488–489
current situation evaluation, 489–490
demand-based options, 486–487
duration of the change, 489–490
fi nished goods inventory, 487
hiring and fi ring, 488–489
magnitude of the change, 489
within OM, 502
options, 486–490
options summary, 489
overtime, 488
point of departure, 489
shifting demand, 487
strategies, 490–492
subcontracting, 488
supply chain link, 503
sustainability link, 503
undertime, 488
yield management and, 501
Aggregate plans
chase, 491–492, 496–497, 500–501
for companies with nontangible products, 497–501
for companies with tangible products, 494–497
defi ned, 484
developing, 492–501
with hiring and fi ring, 496–497, 500–501
hybrid, 491–492
identifying, 492
implementation, 502
with initial workforce and overtime, 499–500
with inventories and back orders, 495
level, 490–491
with no back orders, no tangible product, 498–499
performance evaluation, 493
steps in, 492–494
testing, 493
Aggregate production rate, 493
AGVs (automated guided vehicles), 79
ALDEP (automated layout design program), 365–366
Algebraic approach, A12–A13
Algebraic formulation, B3–B7
Allowance factor, 407–409, 421
Alternative workplace
defi ned, 398
desk sharing, 389
determination, 399
hoteling, 399
telework center, 398
teleworking and telecommuting, 398
virtual offi ce/virtual workplace, 399
AMT (Asset Management Tool), 520
Answer Report, Solver, B14
Anticipatory inventory, 433, 435
AON (activity-on-node), 593
Application service provider (ASP), 520
Appointments, 572
Appraisal costs, 154–155
AQL (acceptable quality level), 212, 239
Arrival rate, C5
AS/RSs (automated storage and retreival systems), 79
SUBJECT INDEX • 655
Behavioral feasibility, 394–395
Benchmarking
in continuous improvement, 161–162
defi ned, 57, 161
Best operating level, 321
Beta distribution, 598
Beta probability distribution, 604
Bills of material (BOM)
components, 530
defi ned, 525, 527
end item, 529
indented, 529, 530
parent item, 530
product structure tree, 529, 530, 532
Binding constraints, B13
Black belts, Six Sigma, 209
Black box diagram, A6
Block plans
ALDEP and, 365–366
CRAFT and, 365–366
with decision-support tools, 365–366
developing, 363–366
load-distance model and, 363–364
with trial and error, 363–365
BOM (bill of material), 525
Bottlenecks
defi ned, 67
elevating, 572
exploiting, 572
identifying, 572
scheduling, 569–571
system inventory and, 570
throughput determination and, 570
time needed by, 555
Bottom-round management, 252
Break-even analysis. See also Location analysis
defi ned, 58, 339
equations, 339
fi xed costs and, 58
graphical approach, 59
quality computation, 59, 60
steps in, 340
using, 340–342
variable costs and, 58
Break-even point, modeling, A5–A6
Break-even quality, 59, 60
Broad view of the organization, 236
Bullwhip eff ect
causes of, 105
counteracting, 105
defi ned, 104
Business functions
information fl ow between operations and, 21
organizational chart, 2
Business planning
example, 485–486
Assemble-to-order strategy, 68, 69, 76
Asset Management Tool (AMT), 520
Assignable causes of variation, 187
Assigning tasks to workstations, 374–375
Atmosphere, 153
ATP. See Available-to-promise
Attributes
control charts for, 191, 197–202
defi ned, 190
Authorized MPS, 527
Automated guided vehicles (AGVs), 79
Automated layout design program (ALDEP), 365–366
Automated order entry systems, 106
Automated storage and retreival systems (AS/RSs), 79
Automation
advantages and disadvantages of, 78–79
defi ned, 78
fl exible manufacturing system (FMS), 79
material handling, 79
numerically controlled (NC) machines, 80
robotics, 79–80
Available-to-promise (ATP). See also Master production
schedule (MPS)
defi ned, D9
quantities, D10–D11
quantity calculation formulas, D15
records, D10–D12
revised records, D11–D12
row, D10, D11
AVERAGE function, A26
Average number of jobs in the system, 562–563, 577
Average outgoing quality (AOQ)
curve, 215–216
defi ned, 215
equation, 216
Average transportation inventory (ATI), 471
B B2B. See Business-to-business
B2C. See Business-to-consumer
Back orders
aggregate plan with, 495
defi ned, 487
Backlogs, 573
Back-ordering, 441
Backward integration, 120
Backward scheduling
completion time/due date and, 518
defi ned, 524, 557
illustrated, 558
Balance delay, 375–376, 380
Balking, C3
Base-case spreadsheet model, A3
Basic partnerships, 125
Batch processes, 66
656 • SUBJECT INDEX
Business planning (Continued)
hierarchy, 485
master production schedule, 485
sales and operations planning, 484–485
strategic business plan, 484
Business process reeingineering, 14
Business results, in MBNQA, 172
Business strategy
core competencies, 32–33
defi ned, 29
developing, 30–34
environmental scanning, 31–32
formulation of, 33–34
inputs in developing, 33
mission, 30–31
relationship with functional strategies, 29
understanding role of, 34
Business-to-business (B2B)
defi ned, 17
e-commerce, 106–107
transactions, 98
Business-to-consumer (B2C)
defi ned, 17
e-commerce, 107–108
C C2C (customer-to-customer), 17
CAD (computer-aided design), 81
CAE (computer-aided engineering), 81
CAM (computer-aided manufacturing), 81
Capacity
alternatives, developing, 324, 325
alternatives, evaluating, 324, 325
available, calculating, 543
competitors and, 324–325
considerations, 320–323
defi ned, 317
demonstrated, D5
design, 319
diseconomies of scale and, 321–322
economies of scale and, 321
eff ective, 320
eff ectiveness of use, 319
focused factories and, 322–323
forecasting, 324
measure examples, 319
measuring, 318–320
purchase of, 318
requirements, identifying, 323–325
subcontractor networks and, 323
Capacity cushions, 324
Capacity planning
across the organization, 343
decisions, 323–325
defi ned, 316, 317
importance of, 317–318
issues, 318
within OM, 343
rough-cut, 540, D1, D5–D8, D14
steps in decisions, 323–324
supply chain link, 344
sustainability link, 344
Capacity planning using overall planning factors (CPOPF)
defi ned, 538, D5
example, D5–D8
planning factors, D6
procedure for, D5
Capacity requirements planning (CRP). See also Resource
planning
data from MPS, 538
defi ned, 525
open shop orders and, 538
Capacity utilization
computing, 320
defi ned, 320
formula, 320, 345
Capacity-based options. See also Aggregate planning
defi ned, 487
hiring and fi ring, 488–489
overtime, 488
subcontracting, 488
undertime, 488
Capacity-constrained resources, 569
Capital costs, 440
Causal models. See also Forecasting models
defi ned, 272
linear regression, 289–292
multiple regression, 293
Cause-and-eff ect diagrams, 158, 164
C-charts
computing, 201–202
control limits, 201
defi ned, 201
use of, 198
Cells
defi ned, 359
layouts of. See group technology (cell) layouts
manufacturing, 247–248
Center of gravity approach, 338–339
Champion, Six Sigma, 209–210
Chance events, 325
Changing Cells, Solver, B9–B10
Chase aggregate plan. See also Aggregate plans
advantage of, 492
defi ned, 491
using hiring and fi ring, 496–497, 500–501
Checklists, 164–165
CIM (computer-integrated manufacturing), 81
Closed-loop MRP, 524
Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment
(CPFR)
SUBJECT INDEX • 657
defi ned, 62
illustrated, 63
sequential design versus, 62–63
Conformance specifi cation, 152
Constrained optimization problem, B2
Constraints
binding, B13
defi ned, B2
equality, B5
greater-than-or-equal-to, B5
less-than-or-equal-to, B5
market, 571
nonbinding, B13
nonnegativity, B5
policy, 571
shadow price, B15
slack, B13
Solver, B9, B10–B11
Consumer expectations, e-commerce and, 108–110
Consumer's risk, 212, 213
Continuous improvement
benchmarking, 161–162
defi ned, 160–161
JIT, 236
kaizen, 161, 236
plan-do-study-act (PDSA) cycle, 161
Continuous processes, 67
Continuous review systems (CRS), 442–445, 468
Contracting metric, SCM, 138
Control charts
for attributes, 191, 197–202
c-charts, 201–202
center line, 189
defi ned, 165, 189
developing, 189–190
lower control limit, 189
mean (x-bar) charts, 191–194
mean and range together, 196–197
p-charts, 198
as quality tool, 165
range (R) charts, 194–196
types of, 190–191
upper control limit, 189
for variables, 190–197
Control limits. See also Control charts
c-charts, 201
p-charts, 198
range (R) charts, 195
x-bar charts, 191, 194, 222
Controllable inputs, A2, A6
Copyright infringement, 113
Core competencies. See also Business strategy
defi ned, 32
leveraging, 127
organizational, 33
Correct model, A4
defi ned, 299
implementation of, 300, 301
as iterative process, 300
nine-step process, 300
premise, 299–300
Collaborative product commerce (CPC) software, 81
Combining forecasting, 299
Common causes of variation, 187
Community considerations, in location decisions, 330
Compensation. See also Work system design
gain sharing, 417
group incentive plans, 417
incentive plan trends, 417–418
output-based systems, 416–417
overview of, 415
profi t sharing, 417
time-based systems, 415–416
Competitive advantage, technology as tool, 41
Competitive evaluation, 167
Competitive priorities
cost, 35–36
defi ned, 34
fl exibility, 37
intermittent operations and, 74
operations and, 74
order winners and order qualifi ers and, 38–39
quality, 36
time, 36–37
trade-off s, 38, 40
translating into production requirements, 39
Competitiveness, productivity and, 44
Competitors
capacity and, 324–325
ideas from, 57
Completion dates
beta probability distribution, 604
probability calculation, 606
probability estimation, 604–606
variance of activities calculation, 604–605
Completion time estimation. See also Project management
deterministic time estimates, 595–598
overview of, 595
probabilistic time estimates, 598–602
Compliance metric, SCM, 138
Components
defi ned, 433
parent item, 530
Computer age, 13
Computer-aided design (CAD), 81
Computer-aided engineering (CAE), 81
Computer-aided manufacturing (CAM), 81
Computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM), 81
Computerized relative allocation of facilities technique
(CRAFT), 365–366
Concurrent engineering
computerized technologies and, 64
658 • SUBJECT INDEX
retail, 132
transportation, 132
types of, 132
Cross-functional decision making, 19
Cross-functional worker skills, 251–252
CRP. See Capacity requirements planning
CRS (continuous review systems), 468
Cultures, globalization and, 332
Customer and market focus, in MBNQA, 172
Customer population, waiting lines, C3
Customer relationship management (CRM), 19
Customer service
defi ned, 436
inventory management for, 436–437
Customer-defi ned quality, 174
Customers
arrival rate, C5, C12
average number waiting, C6
average time spent waiting, C6
external, 162
focus on, 160
ideas from, 57
internal, 162
proximity to, 330
requirements of, 166–167
in service design, 85–86
service experience by, 82
services and contact with, 82–83
Customer-to-customer (C2C), 17
Cycle counting, 446
Cycle stock, 433–434
Cycle time
defi ned, 372
equation, 372
formula, 380
maximum output relationship, 373
maximum versus minimum, 374
reductions, 258
in units per day, 373
in units per hour, 372
volume production and, 372
Cycles, 274
D Data Tables. See also Excel; Spreadsheet models
creating, A14–A15
defi ned, A13
illustrated, A14
problem-solving, A16
results, graphing, A16–A17
using, A13–A16
Days of supply, 471
Decision alternatives, 325
Decision points, 325
Decision trees
defi ned, 325
Correlation coeffi cient, 292, 303
Cost-effi cient operations, 437
Costs
appraisal, 154–155
capital, 440
as competitive priority, 35–36
of ERP systems, 523–524
external failure, 155
fi xed, 58
holding, 440, 451
internal failure, 155
inventory, 440–442
inventory policy, 449–450
item, 440
ordering, 441
prevention, 154
risk, 440–441
setup, 238, 463
shortage, 441
storage, 440
variable, 58
COUNT function, A26
Courtesy/friendliness, 153
CPFR. See Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and
Replenishment
CPM. See Critical path method
CPOPF. See Capacity planning using overall planning factors
CR (critical ratio), 560
Cradle to Cradle, 177
CRAFT (computerized relative allocation of facilities
technique), 365–366
Crashing projects
cost estimates, 607
critical activities, 609
defi ned, 606
diagram, 607
example, 608
Critical chain approach
adding safety time, 609
defi ned, 609
project buff er, 610
wasting safety time, 609–610
Critical path method (CPM)
defi ned, 591
network diagram, 592
Critical paths, 593, 610
Critical ratio (CR), 560
CRM. See Customer relationship management
Crosby, Philip B., 157, 158
Crossdocking
defi ned, 132
distributor, 132
failure, 133
implementation, 133
innovations, 132–133
manufacturing, 132
SUBJECT INDEX • 659
Design of experiment, 159
Desk sharing, 399
Deterministic time estimates
calculation example, 596
defi ned, 595
slack and, 596, 597
table, 595
Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 113
Diseconomies of scale, 321–322
Distribution inventory, 433
Distribution management, 102
Distribution of data, 188, 189
Distribution warehouses
defi ned, 130
importance of, 131
Distributor crossdocking, 132
Division of labor, 12
DMAIC (Defi ne, Measure, Analyze, Improve, Control), 209
Do, in PDSA cycle, 161
Documented model, A4, A5
Double sampling, 210–211
Due dates, 557
Duplication, partnering and, 126–127
Durability, 153
Duration of the change, 489–490
E Earliest due date (EDD), 560
Early supplier involvement (ESI), 57, 128
E-commerce
advertising revenue model, 107
affi liate revenue model, 107
B2B, 106–107
B2C, 107–108
competition resulting from, 108–110
consumer expectations and, 108–110
copyright infringement and, 113
defi ned, 17, 106
government regulation and, 113
safety and welfare issues, 113
sales revenue model, 107
sales tax collection and, 113
subscription revenue model, 107
supply chains and, 106–108
transaction fee model, 107
Economic feasibility, 393–394
Economic order quantity (EOQ) model. See also Order
quantity determination
annual costs formula, 450
assumptions, 448–449
calculating, 452
defi ned, 448
example, 451
formula, 452, 472
illustrated, 448
expected value (EV), 327
illustrated example, 327
information content, 325
procedure for drawing, 326
procedure for solving, 327
reading, 326
using, 325, 326
Decision variables, A2, B2, B4
Decisions
capacity planning, 323–325
example, 8
insourcing versus outsourcing, 121–123
location, 329–331, 332–333
in long-range plan support, 28
operations, 39
operations management (OM), 6–9
product design, 72–74
product mix, B3
sourcing, 120–130
strategic, 7, 9
tactical, 7, 9
technology, 77–81
Defects
cost of, 155
inspections and, 216–217
variation in production process and, 187
zero, 158
Delayed services, 573
Delphi method, 271–272, 324
Demand
dependent, 526
forecast updating, 105
independent, 525–526
peak, staffi ng for, 573
types of, 525–527
uncertainty, 465
Demand management, D3
Demand time fences, D12
Demand-based options. See also Aggregate planning
back orders, 487
defi ned, 486
fi nished good inventory, 487
shifting demand, 487
Deming, W. Edwards, 157–158
Deming Prize, 157, 172–173
Demonstrated capacity, D5
Dependent demand, 526
Descriptive statistics. See also Statistical quality control (SQC)
defi ned, 186
distribution of data, 188, 189
mean, 188
range and standard deviation, 188, 189
use of, 187
Design capacity, 319
Design for manufacture (DFM), 60–61
Design for the environment (DFE), 136
660 • SUBJECT INDEX
implementation, 519
improvements form using, 524
as information technology, 77
manufacturer use of, 521
modules, 519
motivation for implementation, 522
SCM software and, 520
service costs, 523
supply chain intelligence and (SCI), 520
system evolution, 520–522
system selection, 523
use of, 521–522
Enterprise software, 523
Environmental scanning. See also Business strategy
defi ned, 31
information from, 31
trends and, 31–32
EOQ. See Economic order quantity (EOQ) model
E-purchasing
benefi ts for suppliers, 119
benefi ts to buyers, 119
defi ned, 108, 117
example web site, 120
key features of, 118
process, 118
sourcing strategy, 117
Equality constraint, B5
ERFQs (electronic requests for quotes), 107
ERP. See Enterprise resource planning
ESI (early supplier involvement), 57, 128
Ethics, supplier management, 129–130
Excel
ABS function, A26
AVERAGE function, A26
COUNT function, A26
Data Table, A13–A16
editing formulas in, A20
Footer dialog box, A9
formulas, A25–A27
Goal Seek dialog box, A11–A12
IF function, A26
INDEX function, A23, A26
MATCH function, A22–A23, A26
MAX function, A22, A26
MIN function, A26
NORMSDIST function, A26
NORMSINV function, A26
Options dialog box, A10
Page Setup dialog box, A9
Solver, B8–B12
SQRT function, A26
Stacked Column chart, A21
STDEV function, A26
SUM function, A26
SUMPRODUCT function, A24, A26
Exchanges, 108
Economic order quantity (EOQ) (Continued)
inventory policy costs calculation, 449–450
non-EOQ order quantity and, 452
policy, 461
quantity discounts and, 461
Economic production quantity (EPQ) model. See also Order
quantity determination
calculating, 454
defi ned, 452
example, 455
factors, understanding, 462–463
formula, 454, 472
illustrated, 452
maximum inventory level and, 453
perpetual inventory record, 454–455
total cost formula, 453
use of, 453
Economic trends, 32
Economies of scale, 321
EDD (earliest due date), 560
EDI (electronic data interchange), 106
E-distributors, 108
Eff ective capacity, 320
Effi ciency
defi ned, 4
metric, 71
operational, 30
in product layout, 375–376, 380
server, waiting line, C12–C13
Electronic commerce. See E-commerce
Electronic data interchange (EDI), 106
Electronic requests for quotes (eRFQs), 107
Electronic storefronts, 106
Elemental time database, 410
E-manufacturing, 80–81
Employee boredom, eliminating, 396–397
Employees
on call, 573
empowerment, 162–163
fl oating, 573
part-time, 574
scheduling, 573–574
seasonal, 574
temporary, 573
Employment, lifetime, 252–253
End item, 529
Energy Star certifi cation, 177
Engineering plan, 485
Enterprise resource management, 518
Enterprise resource planning (ERP)
application service provider (ASP) and, 521
benefi ts of, 522–523
common database, 519
costs of, 523–524
defi ned, 19, 518
design and implementation of, 9
SUBJECT INDEX • 661
Finite loading, 556–557
Firing employees, 489
First come, fi rst served (FCFS), 560
Fitness to use, 152
Fixed costs, 58
Fixed-order quantity, 447
Fixed-position layouts, 359–360
Flexibility
as competitive priority, 37
defi ned, 14, 37, 237
JIT, 237
mass customization, 15
in offi ce layouts, 370
product, 37
resource, 246–247
volume, 37
Flexible layouts, 370
Flexible manufacturing system (FMS), 79
Flexible model, A4
Floating employees, 573
Flow operations
defi ned, 554
routings, 554–555
Flowcharts, 164
Fluctuation inventory, 433, 435
Focused factories, 322–323
Forecast accuracy
in forecasting model selection, 296
for groups/families of items, 268
mean absolute deviation (MAD) and, 293–294
mean squared error (MSE) and, 293–294
measures, 293–296
monitoring, 269
for shorter time horizons, 269
tracking signal, 295–296
Forecast bias, 295
Forecast error, 293, 304
Forecasting
across the organization, 301
capacity, 324
combining, 299
CPFR and, 299–300
importance of, 267
level or variation, 272–274, 275–282
models, 268
within OM, 300–301
predictive analytics and, 298–299
principles of, 268
process, 268–269
qualitative methods, 269–270, 271–272
quantitative methods, 270, 272
supply chain link, 301
sustainability link, 302
types of methods, 269–272
Forecasting models
available data and, 296
Executive opinion, 271
Expanded partnerships, 125
Expected value (EV), 327
Expediting orders, 536
Explosion process, 532
Exponential smoothing, 280–281, 303
External customers, 162
External distributors
defi ned, 100
for manufacturers, 102
service organizations, 103–104
External factory, 254
External failure costs, 155
External setups, 246
External suppliers, 100–101
Extranets, 108
F Facilities
best operating level, 321
location analysis, 328–342
Facility layout, 355–391
across the organization, 378–379
intermittent operations and, 74–75
for intermittent versus repetitive operations, 75
just-in-time manufacturing, 247–249
layout planning and, 356
layout types and, 356–360
within OM, 378
operations and, 74–75
repetitive operations and, 74–75
supply chain link, 379
sustainability link, 379
Factor rating, 333–334
FCFS ( fi rst come, fi rst served), 560
Feigenbaum, Armand V., 157, 158
Finance
capacity planning and, 343
defi ned, 46
facility layout and, 379
forecasting and, 301
JIT and lean systems and, 259–260
location analysis and, 343
operations information fl ow and, 21
operations strategy and, 46
process selection and, 87
product design and, 87
in product screening, 58
statistical quality control (SQC) and, 219
total quality management (TQM) and, 175
Financial metric, SCM, 138
Financial plan, 485
Finished goods, 433
Finished goods inventory, 487
Finite customer population, C3
662 • SUBJECT INDEX
General warehouses, 130
Global marketplace, 16
Global Organic Textile Standards (GOTS), 177
Global positioning systems (GPS), 77–78
Global priority rule, 560
Globalization
advantages of, 331
boarder security and, 111
defi ned, 331
disadvantages of, 331–332
location decisions and, 332
supply chain management (SCM) and, 110–111
Goal Seek approach, A11–A12
Goods and services consistency, 36
GOTS (Global Organic Textile Standards), 177
Government regulations, e-commerce and, 113
GPS (global positioning systems), 77–78
Greater-than-or-equal-to constraint, B5
Green belts, Six Sigma, 209
Green operations, 17
Green Seal certifi cation, 177
Green supply chain management, 113–115
Gross requirements, 526
Group technology (cell) layouts. See also Facility layout; Lay-
outs
advantages of, 377
defi ned, 359
parts organized by families, 377
process fl ows, 378
H Hawthorne eff ect, 13
Hawthorne studies, 12
Hedge inventory, 434
High customer attention approach, 86
High-performance design, 36
High-volume operations, scheduling, 554–555
Hiring and fi ring
as capacity-based option, 488–489
chase aggregate plan with, 496–497, 500–501
defi ned, 488
Histograms, 165
Historical development
big data analytics, 18
computer age, 13
concepts, 11
electronic commerce, 17
fl exibility, 14–15
global marketplace, 16
human relations movement, 12–13
Industrial Revolution, 10–12
just-in-time ( JIT), 14
management science, 13
milestones, 10
outsourcing, 17–18
Forecasting models (Continued)
causal, 272, 289–293
data patterns and, 297
exponential smoothing, 280–281
features of, 268
forecast accuracy requirement and, 296
forecast horizon and, 296–297
linear regression, 289–292
linear trend line, 283–286
list of, 273
multiple regression, 293
naïve, 275–276
selecting and testing, 269
selection of, 296–297
simple mean or average, 276
simple moving average (SMA), 276
time series, 272–288
trend-adjusted exponential smoothing, 283, 284
weighted moving average, 280
Forecasting software
compatibility, 298
cost of, 298
guidelines for selecting, 297–298
specialty forecasting packages, 297
spreadsheets, 297
statistical packages, 297
Forecasts
content decision, 268
data analysis and evaluation, 268–269
generation of, 269
horizon length, 296–297
Formulation. See also Optimization
complete, B5–B6
constraints and, B5
defi ned, B4
examining, B6–B7
feasible solution, B6
infeasible solution, B6
optimal solution, B6
test-based, B4
Forward integration, 120
Forward scheduling
defi ned, 557
illustrated, 558
Frequency of occurrence, 407
From-to-matrix, 361–362
G Gain sharing, 417
Gantt charts
defi ned, 555
earliest-start, 602
latest-start, 602
load chart, 555
progress chart, 555–556
SUBJECT INDEX • 663
process selection and, 87
product design and, 87
project management and, 611
resource planning and, 541
scheduling and, 576
statistical quality control (SQC) and, 219–220
supply chain management (SCM) and, 140
total quality management (TQM) and, 176
work system design and, 419
Information technology (IT)
defi ned, 40, 77
ERP, 77
examples of, 40–41
GPS, 77–78
rapid growth of, 269
RFID, 78
wireless technologies, 77–78
Infrastructure
issues, 111–112
operations decisions, 39
Input/output control, 558–559
Inputs, A2
Insourcing
decisions, 121–123
defi ned, 120
formula for, 142
Inspections
costs, 216
frequency, 216
location, 217
tool selection for, 217
Institute for Supply Management (ISM), 129, 130
Interchangeable parts, 12
Intermittent operations
competitive priorities and, 74
defi ned, 64–65
facility layout and, 74–75
organizational decisions for, 73
repetitive operations versus, 65
Intermittent processing systems, 356
Internal customers, 162
Internal failure costs, 155
Internal functions, 100, 102
Internal operations, 102–103
Internal resource constraints, 571
Internal setups, 246
Internet, government regulation of, 113
Intimacy, partnering and, 127–128
Intranets, 107
Inventory
aggregate decisions, 469
anticipatory, 433, 435
back orders and, 441
capital costs, 440
costs, 440–442
distribution, 433
overview, 10
reengineering, 14
scientifi c management, 12
supply chain management (SCM), 15–16
sustainability and green operations, 17
time-based competition, 15
total quality management (TQM), 14
Holding costs, 440, 451
Hot desking, 398
House of quality, 166, 168
Human relations movement, 12–13
Human resource managers, 22
Human resources
facility layout and, 379
forecasting and, 301
in MBNQA, 172
process selection and, 87
product design and, 87
statistical quality control (SQC) and, 219
total quality management (TQM) and, 176
work system design and, 419
Hybrid aggregate plan, 491–492
Hybrid layouts, 359
I Idea development, 56–57
Idle time, 375
IF function, A26
Immediate predecessor, 370
Incentives
gain sharing, 417
group plans, 417
output-based system, 416–417
plan trends, 417–418
profi t sharing, 417
Incoming inspection, 117
Indented BOM, 529, 530
Independent demand, 525–526
INDEX function, A23, A26
Industrial Revolution, 10–12
Industry consortia, 108
Infeasible problem, B16
Infi nite customer population, C3
Infi nite loading, 556, 557
Information and analysis, in MBNQA, 172
Information fl ow
between operations and other business functions, 21
organizational chart, 20
supply chains, 104
Information systems (IS)
aggregate planning and, 502
defi ned, 21
forecasting and, 301
inventory management and, 469
JIT and lean systems and, 260
664 • SUBJECT INDEX
Inventory turnover
calculation, 471
defi ned, 438
IS. See Information systems
Ishikawa, Kaoru, 157, 158–159
ISM (Institute for Supply Management), 129, 130
ISO 9000 standards, 173, 177
ISO 14000 standards, 174, 176–177
ISO 26000 standards, 174, 177
Item costs, 440
J Jidoka, 250
JIT. See Just-in-time
Job design. See also Work system design
alternative workplace, 398–399
behavioral feasibility, 394–395
defi ned, 393
economic feasibility, 393–394
employee boredom and, 396–397
job enlargement and, 396
job enrichment and, 396–397
job rotation and, 397
machines versus people, 394–395
methods analysis, 400–402
problem-solving teams, 397
self-directed teams, 397–398
specialization, 395–396
special-purpose teams, 397
team approaches to, 397–398
technical feasibility, 393
work environment, 400
Job enlargement, 13, 396
Job enrichment, 13, 396–397
Job fl ow time, 562, 577
Job lateness, 563–564
Job rotation, 397
Job tardiness, 563–564
Jobs
priority, 560
sequencing through two work centers, 567–569
Jockeying, C3
Johnson's rule, 567
Juran, Joseph M., 157, 158
Just-in-time ( JIT)
across the organization, 259–260
benefi ts of, 255–256
broad view of, 235
broad view of the organization, 236
champion for implementation, 257
continuous improvement, 236
cross-functional worker skills, 251–252
cycle time reductions, 258
defi ned, 14
defi ning beliefs of, 235
Inventory (Continued)
fi nished goods, 487
fl uctuation, 433, 435
functions of, 435
holding costs, 440, 451
item costs, 440
in just-in-time manufacturing, 238–239
lost sales and, 441
lot-size, 433–434, 435
maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO), 434, 435
manufacturer use of, 433–435
minium investment, 438–439
ordering costs, 441
policy costs, 449–450
principles, 433–436
risk costs, 440–441
in service organizations, 435–436
setup cost, 463
speculative, 434, 435
storage costs, 440
target level, 466
transportation, 434, 435
types of, 433, 435
Inventory management, 432–482
ABC classifi cation, 442–445
across the organization, 469
continuous review system, 442–445
for cost-effi cient operations, 437
for customer service, 436–437
cycle counting, 446
days of supply, 438
hours of supply, 439
idle time due to material and component shortages, 437
lead time, 445
minimum inventory investment and, 438–439
objectives, 436–439
within OM, 468–469
order quantity determination, 446–463
percentage of dollar volume shipped on schedule, 437
percentage of line items shipped on schedule, 436–437
percentage of orders shipped on schedule, 436
periodic counting, 446
periodic review system, 445, 466–468
record accuracy, 445–446
safety stock levels, 463–466
supply chain link, 469
sustainability link, 469
two-bin system, 445
vendor-managed inventory (VMI), 446
weeks of supply, 438
Inventory records
material requirements planning (MRP) and,
528–529
planned orders and, 529
planning factors, 528
scheduled receipts and, 529
SUBJECT INDEX • 665
supplier, 244–245
variation of production, 243–245
L Labor sources, proximity to, 330
Language barriers, 332
Large-scale waiting line systems, C13–C14
Last come, fi rst served (LCFS), 560
Layout planning, 356
Layouts. See also Facility layout
fi xed-position, 359–360
fl exible, 370
group technology (cell), 359, 377–378
hybrid, 359
offi ce, 366–369
process, 356–357, 360–370
product, 358–359, 370–377
warehouse, 366–369
LCFS (last come, fi rst served), 560
Lead time
in ABC classifi cation, 445
cumulative, calculating, 531
defi ned, 445, 528
Leadership, in MBNQA, 172
Lean systems. See also Just-in-time ( JIT)
across the organization, 259–260
defi ned, 18
within OM, 259
Learning curves
coeffi cients, 415, 416
formula, 414
illustrated, 414
importance of, 415
theory, 414–415
Least-squares straight line, 289
LEED certifi cation, 177
Less-than-or-equal-to constraint, B5
Level aggregate plan, 490–491
Leveling, 246
Leveraging
core competencies, 127
supply chain management strategies, 136–137
LHS value, B7
Lifetime employment, 252–253
Limits Report, Solver, B14
Line processes, 66
Line shape, 376
Linear program (LP) problems
defi ned, B6
infeasible solution, B16–B17
outcomes of, B16–B17
Simplex Method, B6–B7
unbounded, B16
Linear regression. See also Causal models
correlation coeffi cient, 292
elements of, 237–241
fl exibility, 237
implementing, 256–258
just-in-time manufacturing, 237, 241–249
layout changes implementation, 257
lifetime employment, 252–253
lot size and lead time reduction and, 257
management role, 253–254
multifunction workers, 258
within OM, 259
philosophy, 235
problem elimination, 234
production employees, 251–252
pull production implementation, 257
quality improvements and, 257, 258
respect for people, 240, 251–255
in services, 258–259
setup time reduction and, 257
setup times and parallel processing, 258–259
simplicity, 236
supplier relationships, 254–255, 257
supply chain link, 260
sustainability link, 260–261
system, 237
total quality management (TQM), 239–240, 249–251
uniform facility loading, 258
visibility, 237
waste elimination, 235–236
workplace reorganization and, 257, 259
Just-in-time manufacturing
cell manufacturing, 247–248
defi ned, 237
external setups, 246
facility layout, 247–249
internal setups, 246
inventory and, 238–239
kanban, 238
kanban production, 241–243
master production schedule, 237–238
multifunction workers, 247
pull system, 238, 241
resource fl exibility, 246–247
small-lot production, 243–245
uniform plant loading, 246
variations on kanban production, 243–245
K Kaizen, 161, 236
Kanban(s)
cards, 242–243
computing number of, 244
defi ned, 238
formula, 243, 262
production, 241
signal, 244, 245
666 • SUBJECT INDEX
Lost sales, 441
Lot tolerance percent defecive (LTPD), 212
Lot-for-lot, 447
Lot-size inventory, 433–434, 435
Low-volume operations, scheduling, 555–556
LP. See Linear program (LP) problems
M MAD. See Mean absolute deviation
Magnitude of the change, 489
Maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) inventory, 434, 435
Makespan, 561, 563
Make-to-order strategy, 68, 69, 76
Make-to-stock strategy, 68, 69, 76
Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award (MBNQA), 171–172
Management, role in JIT, 253–254
Management science, 13, 252–253
Managers, SQC implications for, 216–217
Manufacturability, 55
Manufacturers
characteristics of, 5
defi ned, 5
ERP use, 521
external distributors, 100, 102
external suppliers, 100–101
internal functions, 100, 102
postponement, 131
quality in, 153–154
service organization diff erences, 5–6
supply chain components for, 100–102
use of inventory, 433–435
Manufacturing
cell, 247–248
just-in-time, 237–239, 241–249
value-added, 237
Manufacturing crossdocking, 132
Marginal value, B15
Market constraints, 571
Market research, 271
Marketing
aggregate planning and, 502
capacity planning and, 343
defi ned, 46
facility layout and, 378
forecasting and, 301
inventory management and, 469
JIT and lean systems and, 259
location analysis and, 343
operations information fl ow and, 21
operations strategy and, 46
process selection and, 87
product design and, 87
in product screening, 58
project management and, 611
resource planning and, 540
Linear regression. See also Causal models (Continued)
defi ned, 289
fi t to historical data, 289
forecasting with, 290–291
formula, 303
least-squares straight line, 289
relationship between variables, 289
steps, 290
Linear trend line. See also Time series models
defi ned, 283
equation, 284, 303
forecasting with, 285–286
steps in process, 285
Load charts, 555
Load-distance model. See also Location analysis
in block plan development, 363–364
calculation, 335
defi ned, 335
distance identifi cation, 335
load identifi cation, 335
rectilinear distance and, 335, 336
using, 336–338
Loading
fi nite, 556–557
infi nite, 556, 557
uniform facility, 258
uniform plant, 246
Local priority rule, 560
Location analysis
across the organization, 343
break-even analysis, 339–342
center of gravity approach, 338–339
defi ned, 316, 328
evaluation procedures, 333–342
facility location and, 328
factor rating, 333–334
factors aff ecting decisions, 329–331
globalization and, 331–332
load-distance model, 335–338
within OM, 343
supply chain link, 344
sustainability link, 344
transportation method, 340
Location decisions
community considerations, 330
factors aff ecting, 329–331
globalization and, 332
procedure for making, 332–333
proximity to customers and, 330
proximity to source of labor and, 330
proximity to sources of supply and, 329
quality of life issues, 330
site considerations, 330
Logistics, 102
Longest processing time (LPT), 560
Long-range plan, 28
SUBJECT INDEX • 667
types of demand, 525–527
use of, 13
Material resource planning (MRP II), 524
Mathematical models, A2, A3
MAX function, A22, A26
Maximum cycle time, 374
Maximum output, 373, 380
MBNQA (Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award), 171–172
Mean, 188, 222
Mean absolute deviation (MAD)
advantages of, 294
defi ned, 293
example use of, 294–295
formula, 293, 304
Mean job fl ow time, 577
Mean observed time, 407
Mean squared error (MSE)
advantages of, 294
defi ned, 293
example use of, 294–295
formula, 293, 304
Mental models, A2
Methods analysis. See also Job design
defi ned, 400
example, 401–402
steps in, 400
Methods-time measurement (MTM), 410–411
MIN function, A26
Mini-max system, 447
Minimum inventory investment, 438–439
Minium cycle time
maximum cycle time versus, 374
maximum output and, 373
Mission statement, 30–31
Mixed services, 84
Mixed-model line, 376
Models. See also Spreadsheet models
defi ned, A3
inputs/outputs, A2
types of, A2
Monitoring
forecast accuracy, 269
project progression, 603
workfl ow, 558–559
Most likely time estimate, 598
Moving assembly line, 12
MRO (maintenance, repair, and operating) inventory, 434, 435
MRP. See Material requirements planning (MRP) systems
MSE. See Mean squared error
MTM (methods-time measurement), 410–411
Multifactor productivity, 42
Multifunction workers, 247, 258
Multiple regression, 293
Multiple-criteria decision making
absolute references in, A19–A20
calculations, A19
scheduling and, 576
statistical quality control (SQC) and, 219
supply chain management (SCM) and, 140
total quality management (TQM) and, 175
work system design and, 419
Marketing plan, 484
Marketplace trends, 31–32
Mass customization, 15
Mass production, 12
Master production schedule (MPS)
available-to-promise (ATP) and, D9
as basis of communication, D2–D4
defi ned, 237–238, 485, D2
demand management and, D3
developing, D4–D8
evaluating and accepting, D8
extended record, D9
leveled, 238
linkages, D3
as MRP input, D3
objectives, D3–D4
within OM, D14
order promising and, D9
projected available quantity, D4
records, D4–D5
stabilizing, D12–D14
time fences and, D12–D14
using, D9–D12
Master scheduler
defi ned, D2
MPS objectives, D3–D4
MATCH function, A22–A23, A26
Material handling, automated, 79
Material requirements planning (MRP) systems.
See also Resource planning
action notices, 536
authorized MPS, 527
backward scheduling, 524
bill of material (BOM) and, 525, 529–532
closed-loop, 524
defi ned, 524, D3
example, 532–536
expediting in, 536
explosion process, 532
functioning of, 532–538
gross requirements, 526
inventory records, 528–529
lot size rules comparison, 536–538
material resource planning (MRP II), 524
MPS as input, D3
objectives of, 525
operating logic of, 527–532
overview illustration, 527
overview of, 524–525
reports, 540
time-phased schedule, 526
668 • SUBJECT INDEX
Operating characteristic (OC) curves
acceptable quality level (AQL), 212
constructing, 214
consumer's risk, 212, 213
defi ned, 211
developing, 213–214
with diff erent steepness levels, 212
example of, 211
lot tolerance percent defecive (LTPD), 212
producer's risk, 212, 213
Operation sequencing, 560
Operational effi ciency, 30
Operations
broad view of, 236
competitive priorities and, 74
cost-effi cient, 437
degree of vertical integration and, 76–77
facility layout and, 74–75
function design, 35
intermittent, 64–65
internal, 102–103
product and service strategy and, 76
in product screening, 58
project management and, 611–612
repetitive, 65
scheduling and, 576–577
supply chain management (SCM) and, 140
Operations management (OM)
across the organization, 20–22
benefi ts of learning about, 2
decisions, 6–10
defi ned, 2
diff erences between manufacturing and service
organizations and, 5–6
effi ciency and, 4
historical development, 10–18
improper, 4
as management function, 2
operations strategy within, 45–46
in practice, 19
responsibilities, 9
role of, 3
success generation, 3
today's environment, 18–19
transformation process, 3
value added and, 4
Operations strategy
across organization, 46
competitive priorities, 34–37
competitive priorities translation, 39–40
cost and, 35–36
defi ned, 29
design of operations function and, 35
developing, 34–40
fl exibility and, 37
importance of, 30
Multiple-criteria decision making (Continued)
formulas, entering, A20–A24
illustrated, A17
input section, A18
relative references in, A19
spreadsheet modeling, A17–A24
Multiple-sampling plans, 211
Multiplicative seasonality, 286
Multiserver waiting line model. See also Waiting lines
assumptions, C9
characteristics spreadsheet, C11
defi ned, C9
example, C10–C12
formulas, C9, C15
probabilities of customers in the system, C12
N Naïve method, 275–276, 303
Net marketplaces, 106–107
Network center, 398
Network diagrams
activity-on-node (AON), 593
creating, 593
critical path, 593
early starts/early fi nishes network, 601
example, 594
expected activity times, 599
late starts/late fi nishes network, 602
network rotation, 593
precedence relationships, 592
project activities, 592
Nonbinding constraints, B13
Nonbottlenecks, 569, 570
Nonnegativity constraints, B5
Nontangible products, aggregate plans for companies with,
497–501
Normal times, 407, 408, 421
NORMSDIST function, A26
NORMSINV function, A26
Numerically controlled (NC) machines, 80
O Objective function, B4
Objectives, B2
OC curves. See Operating characteristic (OC) curves
Occupational Safety and Health Act (OSHA), 400
Offi ce landscaping, 370
Offi ce layouts. See also Process layouts
characteristics of, 369
fl exible, 370
offi ce landscaping, 370
proximity versus privacy, 369–370
OM. See Operations management
On-time delivery, 37
Open shop orders, 538
SUBJECT INDEX • 669
fi xed-order quantity, 447
lot-for-lot, 447
mathematical models for, 448–459
mini-max system, 447
non-mathematical techniques, 447
optimal order quantity and, 461
order n periods, 447
quantity discount model, 455–459
single-period model, 459–461
smaller order quantities and, 462–463
stock-keeping units (SKUs) and, 447
Order winners, 38–39
Order-cycle service level, 465
Ordering costs, 441
Organizational chart
business functions, 2
fl ow of information, 20
Organizational core competencies, 33
Organizations
manufacturing, 5–6
quasi-manufacturing, 6
service, 5–6
OSHA (Occupational Safety and Health Act), 400
Out of control, 189
Outcomes, 325
Output rate, 372, 380
Output-based (incentive) systems, 416–417
Outputs, A2
Outsourcing
decisions, 121–123
defi ned, 17, 120
formula for, 142
U.S. market, 18
Overtime, 488, 499–500
P Paced lines, 376
Parallel processing, 258–259
Parameters, A2
Parent item, 529
Pareto analysis, 165
Pareto's law, 442
Partial cumulative binomial probability table, 213
Partial productivity, 42
Partnering
benefi ts of, 128–129
critical factors in, 126–128
defi ned, 125
duplication and, 126–127
impact and, 126–127
intimacy and, 127–128
leveraging core competencies and, 127
new opportunities and, 127
relationship characteristics, 128
types of, 125
vision and, 128
need for trade-off s, 38
within OM, 45–46
operational effi ciency and, 30
operations decisions, 39
order winners and qualifi ers, 38–39
quality and, 36
role of, 29–30
supply chain and, 46
sustainability and, 47
time and, 36–37
Opportunities
identifi cation of, 31
partnering and, 127
OPT. See Optimized production technology
Optimistic time estimate, 598
Optimization
algebraic formulation, B3–B7
constrained problem, B2
constraints, B2
as decision support tool, B1
decision variables, B2
defi ned, B2
feasible solution, B6
infeasible solution, B6
introduction to, B1–B26
LHS value, B7
linear program (LP), B6
objective, B2
within OM, B17–B18
optimal solution, B6
problem-solving steps, B2–B3
RHS value, B7
solution interpretation, B13–B17
Solver basics, B8
spreadsheet model development, B7–B8
use of, B1
Optimized production technology (OPT)
balancing the process and, 569–570
capacity-constrained resources and, 569
constraint consideration and, 571
defi ned, 569
nonbottleneck usage and, 570
principles, 570
process batch and, 571
resource usage and activation and, 570
scheduling bottlenecks and, 569–571
theory of constraints (TOC) and, 571–572
throughput and, 570
transfer batch and, 571
Order batching, 105
Order n periods, 447
Order promising, D9
Order qualifi ers, 38–39
Order quantity determination, 446–463
economic order quantity (EOQ), 448–452
economic production quantity (EPQ), 452–455
670 • SUBJECT INDEX
defi ned, 560
diff erent, using, 564–566
global, 560
local, 560
steps for using, 560
use example, 561
waiting line, C5–C6, C13
Privacy, in offi ce layouts, 369–370
Probabilistic time estimates
advantage of using, 604
beta distribution, 598
defi ned, 595
earliest and latest start times calculation, 600
earliest-start Gantt chart, 601
early starts/early fi nishes network diagram, 601
expected times, 598–600
late starts/late fi nishes network diagram, 602
latest-start Gantt chart, 602
most likely time estimate, 598
network diagram, 599
optimistic time estimate, 598
pessimistic time estimate, 598
table, 599
Problem-solving teams, 397
Process batch, 571
Process capability
defi ned, 203
measuring, 203–208
process variability and specifi cation width relationship, 204
product specifi cations, 203
Process capability index
computing, 205
defi ned, 204
formula, 204
in measuring process capability, 206
ranges, 205
values, 206–207
Process fl ow analysis, 67
Process fl owcharts
assemble-to-order strategy, 68, 69
customer fl ow, 70
defi ned, 67
elements of development, 68
make-to-order strategy, 68, 69
make-to-stock strategy, 68, 69
for product strategies, 68, 69
Process layouts. See also Facility layout; Layouts
block plan development, 363–366
challenge in, 356
characteristics of, 357, 358
closeness measures identifi cation, 361–362
defi ned, 356
designing, 360–366
detailed, developing, 366
improper design of, 357
information gathering, 360–362
Partnership evaluation, 126
Part-time employees, 574
P-charts
constructing, 199–201
control limits, 198
defi ned, 198
standard deviation, 198
use of, 198
Percentage of dollar volume shipped on schedule, 437
Percentage of line items shipped on schedule, 436–437
Percentage of orders shipped on schedule, 436
Performance measures
process, 69–72
scheduling, 561–564
SCM, 137–139
waiting line, C6–C12
Performance rating factor, 405–407
Periodic counting, 446
Periodic review system
continuous review comparison, 468
defi ned, 445, 466
target inventory level (TI) and, 466
using, 467–468
Period-order quantity (POQ), 536
Perpetual inventory record, 454–455
PERT. See Program evaluation and review technique
Pessimistic time estimate, 598
Phases, waiting lines and, C4, C12
Physical models, A2
Piece-rate incentives, 12
Pipeline inventory, 434
Plan-do-study-act (PDSA) cycle, 161
Planned orders, 529
Planning factors
defi ned, 528
formulas, D15
Planning time fences, D12, D13
Plant-within-a-plant (PWP), 38, 323
Point of departure, 489
Point-of-sale (POS) technology, 136
Poka-yoke, 250
Policy constraints, 571
Political trends, 32
POQ (period-order quantity), 536
Posted schedules, 573
Postponement, 131
Precedence diagram, 371
Precedence relationships, 592
Predetermined time data, 410–411
Predictive analytics, 298–299
Preventative maintenance, 250–251
Prevention costs, 154
Price and availability, 116
Price fl uctuations, 105
Priority rules
commonly used, 560
SUBJECT INDEX • 671
fi nal design, 60
idea development, 56–57
within OM, 86
preliminary design and testing, 59–60
process, 56–57
process selection and, 72–77
product life cycle and, 61–62
product screening, 58–59
quality, 36
quality function deployment (QFD) and, 166–169
reliability and, 169–170
remanufacturing and, 64
service design, 55–56
simplifi cation, 61
standardization, 61
steps in process, 56
total quality management (TQM) and, 166–170
Product fl exibility, 37
Product layouts. See also Facility layout; Layouts
balance delay computation, 375–376
characteristics of, 358
cycle time, 372–374
defi ned, 358
effi ciency, importance of, 359
effi ciency computation, 375–376
idle time, 375
line balancing, 370
mixed-model line, 376
number of product models produced, 376
output rate, 372
paced lines, 376
precedence diagram, 371
shape of the line, 376
single-model line, 376
task assignment to workstations, 374–375
task identifi cation, 370–371
theoretical minimum number of stations, 374
unpaced lines, 376
Product life cycle
defi ned, 61
stages of, 62
Product mix decision, B3
Product mixing, 131
Product screening
break-even analysis, 58–59
defi ned, 58
Product specifi cations, 203
Product technology, 40
Product tree structure
defi ned, 529
end item, 529
illustrated, 530
parent item, 529
paths through, 532
Production card, 242
Production employees, 251–252, 253
from-to-matrix and, 361–362
offi ce layouts, 369–370
REL chart and, 362
space identifi cation, 360–361
special cases for, 366–370
use of, 357
warehouse layouts, 366–369
Process management
in MBNQA, 172
in TQM, 170–171
Process performance metrics
computing, 71–72
defi ned, 69
effi ciency, 71
process velocity, 71
productivity, 71
throughput time, 70
utilization, 71
Process quality, 36
Process selection
across the organization, 87
defi ned, 55
designing processes and, 67–69
within OM, 86
performance metrics and, 69–72
product design and, 72–77
types of processes and, 64–67
Process technology, 40
Process variability
not centered across specifi cation width, 206, 208
specifi cation width relationship, 204
Process velocity
defi ned, 71
formula, 90
Processes
batch, 66
bottleneck, 67
continuous, 67
continuum of types, 66–67
designing, 67–69
intermittent operations, 64–65
line, 66
out of control, 189
project, 66
repetitive operations, 65
types of, 64–67
ProcessModel simulation software, C13
Producer's risk, 212, 213
Product and service strategies, 76
Product design
across the organization, 87
competitive priorities and, 74
concurrent engineering and, 62–64
decisions, 72–74
defi ned, 55
design for manufacture (DFM) and, 60–61
672 • SUBJECT INDEX
defi ned, 590
describing, 592–593
life cycle, 590–591
progression monitoring, 603
Promptness, 153
Proximity, in offi ce layouts, 369–370
Psychological criteria, 152
Pull systems
defi ned, 238, 241
push systems versus, 241
with two kanban cards, 242
Purchase orders, 116
Purchasing
defi ned, 116
incoming inspection and, 117
price and availability, 116
purchase orders, 116
requisition requests, 116
in supply chain management, 116–120
traditional process, 117
traditional versus e-purchasing, 116–120
Pure services, 83–84
Push systems, 238
PWP (plant-within-a-plant), 38, 323
Q QFD. See Quality function deployment
Qualitative forecasting methods
characteristics of, 270
defi ned, 269
Delphi method, 271–272
executive opinion, 271
market research, 271
strengths/weaknesses of, 270
Quality. See also Total quality management (TQM)
atmosphere and, 153
awards and standards, 171–174
break-even, 59, 60
competing on, 46
as competitive priority, 36
conformance specifi cation and, 152
cost of, 154–155
courtesy/friendliness and, 153
customer-defi ned, 174
defect cost and, 155
defi ning, 152–154
durability and, 153
fi tness to use and, 152
goods and services consistency and, 36
gurus of, 156–160
high-performance design and, 36
house of, 166, 168
manufacturing versus service organizations, 153–154
performance and, 153
process, 36
Productivity, 41–45
competitiveness and, 44
computing, 43
defi ned, 41
example measures, 43
formula, 48
interpretation of measures, 44
measuring, 41–43
metric, 71
multifactor, 42
partial, 42
service sector and, 45
total, 41–42
U.S. business sector, percentage change, 45
Products
characteristics of, 167
manufacturability, 55
Profi t sharing, 417
Program evaluation and review technique (PERT)
defi ned, 591
network diagram, 592
Progress charts, 555–556
Project activities, 592
Project buff er, 610
Project management, 589–624
across the organization, 611–612
completion date probability estimation, 604–606
completion time estimation, 595–602
completion time reduction, 606–609
concepts, 591–603
CPM and, 591–592
critical chain approach, 609–610
deterministic time estimates, 595–598
network diagram creation, 593
network planning, 592
within OM, 611
path identifi cation, 595
PERT and, 591–592
probabilistic time estimates, 595, 598–602
project description, 592–593
project life cycle and, 590–591
project progression monitoring, 603
steps in, 592–603
supply chain link, 612
sustainability link, 612
Project processes, 66
Projected available
defi ned, 529
quantity calculation formula, D15
Projects
completion date probability, 604–606
completion time, calculating, 592
completion time, estimating, 595–602
completion time reduction, 606–609
crashing, 606–609
critical path, 593
SUBJECT INDEX • 673
Quasi-manufacturing organizations, 6
Quasi-manufacturing services, 83
Queues, 560
Queuing system, C2. See also Waiting lines
R Radio frequency identifi cation (RFID)
applications, 134–135
defi ned, 78, 134
requirement of use, 136
tags, 78, 134
Range, 188
Range (R) charts. See also Control charts
center line, 195
constructing, 196
defi ned, 194
factors for 3-sigma control limits, 195
process shifts captured by, 197
with x-bar charts, 196–197
Rapid delivery, 37
Rationing and shortage gaming, 105
Raw materials, 433
RCCP. See Rough-cut capacity planning
Rectilinear distance, 335, 336, 364
Redundancy, product reliability with, 170
Reengineering, 14
REL chart, 362
Relationship matrix, 167–168
Relative references, A19
Reliability
computing, 169–170
defi ned, 153, 169
formula, 178
with redundancy, 170
in TQM, 169–170
Remanufacturing, 64
Reneging, C3
Reorder point, 464, 472
Repetitive operations
defi ned, 65
facility layout and, 74–75
intermittent operations versus, 65
organizational decisions for, 73
Repetitive processing systems, 356
Replenishment order quantity, 467
Requisition requests, 116
Reservations, 573
Resource fl exibility, 246–247
Resource planning, 517–552
across the organization, 540–541
enterprise resource planning (ERP), 518–524
material requirements planning (MRP), 524–538
within OM, 540
supply chain link, 541
sustainability link, 541
product design, 36
promptness and, 153
psychological criteria, 152
reliability and, 153
service, 217–218
Six Sigma, 208–210
supplier, managing, 171
support services and, 152
value for price paid and, 152
Quality at the source, 170–171, 239, 250
Quality circles, 159, 162, 252
Quality control
defi ned, 158
tools of, 163–166
total, 158
Quality Control Handbook ( Juran), 158
Quality discount model. See also Order quantity
determination
annual cost formula, 456
defi ned, 455
example, 458
procedure, 456–459
procedure steps, 459
total cost curves, 456
total cost formula, 472
Quality function deployment (QFD). See also Product design
competitive evaluation, 167
customer requirements, 166–167
defi ned, 166
house of quality, 166, 168
product characteristics, 167
in product design, 136
relationship matrix, 167–168
selling targets, 168–169
trade-off matrix, 168
Quality improvement, 158
Quality Is Free (Crosby), 158
Quality planning, 158
Quality tools
cause-and-eff ect diagrams, 164
checklists, 164–165
control charts, 165
defi ned, 163–164
fl owcharts, 164
histograms, 165
illustrated, 163
Pareto analysis, 165
scatter diagrams, 165
Quality-of-life issues, in location decisions, 330
Quantitative forecasting methods
causal models, 272, 289–293
characteristics of, 270
defi ned, 270
list of, 273
strengths/weaknesses of, 270
time series models, 272–288
674 • SUBJECT INDEX
average number of jobs in the system and, 562–563
backward, 518, 524, 557
bottlenecks, 569–571
concepts, 554–559
delayed services or backlogs, 573
employees, 573–574
forward, 557
Gantt charts, 555–556
high-volume operations, 554–555
job fl ow time and, 562
job lateness/tardiness and, 563–564
makespan and, 561–562, 563
monitoring workfl ow and, 558–559
within OM, 576
optimized production technology and, 569–572
performance measures, 561–564
posted schedules, 573
reservations, 573
schedule of operations development and, 560–569
for service organizations, 572–576
shop loading methods, 556–560
supply chain link, 577
sustainability link, 577
theory of constraints (TOC) and, 571–572
SCI (supply chain intelligence and), 520
Scientifi c management, 12
SCM. See Supply chain management
SCM software, 520
SCOR (Supply Chain Operations Reference) model, 139
Seasonal employees, 574
Seasonal index, 286
Seasonal inventory, 433
Seasonality. See also Time series models
computation steps, 286–287
defi ned, 274
forecast example, 287–288
forecasting, 286–288
formula, 303
multiplicative, 286
Self-directed teams, 397–398
Sensitivity Report, Solver, B14–B15
Servers. See also Waiting lines
arrangement of, C4–C5
effi ciency, C12–C13
in multiserver model, C9–C12
number of, C4
in single-server model, C6–C9
Service design
customer involvement in, 85–86
defi ned, 56
diff ering, 84–86
high customer attention approach, 86
substituting technology for people, 85
Service organizations
appointments, 572–573
characteristics of, 5
Respect for people. See also Just-in-time manufacturing
defi ned, 240, 251
in JIT, 251–255
lifetime employment, 252–253
management role, 253–254
production employees, 251–252
supplier relationships, 254–255
Retail crossdocking, 132
Revenue formula, 89
Reverse engineering, 57
RFID. See Radio frequency identifi cation
RHS value, B7
Risk costs, 440–441
Robotics, 79–80
Robust design, 159
Role of operations management, 3
Rough-cut capacity planning (RCCP)
CPOPF, D5–D8
defi ned, 540, D5
master scheduling and, D1–D22
within OM, D14
Routings, 554–555
S Safety stock
calculation of, 467, 472
defi ned, 433
demand uncertainty and, 465
example, 466
formula, 472
levels, determining, 463–466
order-cycle service level and, 465
reorder point and, 464, 472
Safety time
adding, 609
problem, solving, 610
wasting, 609
Sales and operations planning, 484
Sales revenue model, 107
Sampling plans
defi ned, 210
double sampling, 210–211
multiple, 211
single sampling, 210
Scatter diagrams, 165
Scheduled receipts, 529
Schedules
constraint consideration in establishing, 571
posted, 573
slack, 557
time-phased, 526
workforce, 574–576
Scheduling, 553–588
across the organization, 576–577
appointments, 572
SUBJECT INDEX • 675
Single-server waiting line model. See also Waiting lines
assumptions, C6
characteristics spreadsheet, C8
example, C7–C9
formulas, C7, C15
probabilities of customers in the system, C9
Single-source suppliers, 254
Site considerations, in location decisions, 330
Six Sigma quality
black belts, 209
champion, 209–210
defi ned, 208
DMAIC, 209
green belts, 209
implementation aspects, 209
Skewed distribution, 188, 189
SKUs (stock-keeping units), 435, 447
Slack
constraint, B13
defi ned, 557, 596
fi nding, 597
Slack per remaining operations (S/RO),
560, 564, 567
SMA. See Simple moving average
Small-lot production, 245
Social responsibility, 420
Social trends, 32
Software
collaborative product commerce (CPC), 81
enterprise, 523
forecasting, 297–298
SCM, 520
Solver. See also Excel
Answer Report, B14
basics, B8–B12
Changing Cells, B9–B10
constraints, B9, B10–B11
defi ned, B8
Limits Report, B14
Sensitivity Report, B14–B15
setting up and running, B9–B12
solution reports, B14–B15
Solver Options, B9, B11–B12
specifying model to, B13
steps for using, B9
Target Cell, B9
Sourcing decisions, 120–130
formula, 142
insourcing versus outsourcing, 121–123
number of suppliers and, 124–125
partnerships and, 125–129
supplier management ethics and, 129–130
supplier relationship development, 123–124
Sourcing strategy, 117
SPACECRAFT, 366
SPC. See Statistical process control
defi ned, 5
delayed services or backlogs, 573
external distributors, 103–104
internal operations, 102–103
inventory in, 435–436
manufacturing organization diff erences, 5–6
posted schedules, 573
productivity and, 45
quality in, 153–154
reservations, 573
scheduling employees in, 573–574
scheduling issues for, 572–576
scheduling techniques for, 572–573
staffi ng for peak demand, 573
supply chain for, 102–104
workforce schedules, 574–576
Service package, 84
Service rate, C5
Service system, C3–C5
Services
classifi cation of, 83–84
customer contact, 82–83
designing, 82–86
as intangible product, 82
JIT in, 258–259
manufacturing versus, 82–83
mixed, 84
pure, 83–84
quasi-manufacturing, 83
statistical quality control (SQC) in, 217–218
warehouse, 131
Setting targets, 168–169
Setup cost, 238, 437, 463
Shadow price, B15
Shewhart, Walter A., 157
Shifting demand, 487
Shortage costs, 441
Shortest processing time (SPT), 560, 561, 565–566
Signal kanban, 244, 245
Simple mean or average, 276, 303
Simple moving average (SMA). See also Time series models
computing with, 279–280
defi ned, 277
forecasting with, 277–278
forecasting with ( fi ve-period MA), 278–279
formula, 277, 303
Simplex Method, B6–B7
Simplicity, 237
Single sampling, 210
Single setups, 246
Single-model line, 376
Single-period model. See also Order quantity
determination
characteristics of, 459
defi ned, 459
example, 460–461
676 • SUBJECT INDEX
predetermined time data, 410–411
time study, 404–405
State of control, 189
Statistical packages, 297
Statistical process control (SPC). See also Control charts
attributes, 190, 197–202
defi ned, 186
methods, 189–191
out of control, 189
state of control, 189
variables, 190, 191–197
Statistical quality control (SQC)
acceptance sampling, 186, 210–216
across the organization, 219–220
categories of, 186
defi ned, 186
descriptive statistics, 186, 187–189
implementation of, 220
implications for managers, 216–217
within OM, 219
process quality, 203–208
in services, 217–218
Six Sigma quality, 208–210
statistical process control (SPC), 186, 189–203
supply chain link, 220
sustainability link, 220
STDEV function, A26
Stock-keeping units (SKUs), 435, 447
Stopwatch time studies, 12
Storage areas. See also Warehouse layouts; Warehouses
of equal sizes, 366–367
of unequal sizes, 368–369
Storage costs, 440
Strategic alliances, 32
Strategic business plan, 484
Strategic decisions
defi ned, 7
tactical decisions relationship, 9
Strategic planning, in MBNQA, 172
Structure, operations decisions, 39
Study, in PDSA cycle, 161
Subcontracting, 488
Subcontractor networks, 323
Subscription revenue model, 107
Substituting technology for people approach, 85
SUM function, A26
SUMPRODUCT function, A24, A26
Supplier kanbans, 244–245
Suppliers
e-purchasing benefi ts, 119
external, 100–101
ideas from, 57
in JIT, 254–255
management ethics, 129–130
number of, 124–125
one versus multiple, 124
Specialization
advantages/disadvantages of, 396
defi ned, 395
in job design, 395–396
Special-purpose teams, 397
Specialty forecasting packages, 297
Speculative inventory, 434, 435
Spreadsheet models, A1–A31
algebraic approach, A12–A13
for analysis, A10–A13
assessing, A8–A10
base-case, A3
column chart, A21
constructing, A6–A8
correct model, A4
Data Tables, A13–A16
defi ned, A2
development steps, A3–A4
documented model, A4, A5
evaluating, A4–A6
Excel formulas, A25–A27
fl exible model, A4
formulas, entering, A20–A24
Goal Seek approach, A11–A12
illustrated, A7
modeling process, A3–A17
multiple-criteria decision making, A17–A24
within OM, A27
in optimization, B7–B8
results, graphing, A16–A17
stacked column chart, A21
testing, B8
tips, A25
Spreadsheets
formulas, A9, A10
in software forecasting, 297
SPT (shortest processing time), 560, 561, 565–566
SQC. See Statistical quality control
SQRT function, A26
S/RO (slack per remaining operations), 560, 564, 567
Standard deviation, 188, 189, 222
Standard time
benefi ts of, 404
calculating, 408–409
in costing products, 403
defi ned, 402
formula, 421
use of, 403–404
Standards development. See also Work measurement
allowance factor, 407–409, 421
elemental time database, 410
frequency of occurrence, 407
mean observed time, 407
normal time, 407, 408, 421
number of observations, 405
performance rating factor, 405–407
SUBJECT INDEX • 677
publishing, 16
resource planning and, 541
scheduling and, 577
for service organizations, 102–104
statistical quality control (SQC) and, 220
total quality management (TQM) and, 176
for travel agency, 103
work system design and, 419
Supply sources, proximity to, 329
Support services, 152
Sustainability
aggregate planning and, 503
capacity planning and, 344
defi ned, 17
facility layout and, 379
forecasting and, 302
inventory management and, 470
ISO standards for reporting, 174
just-in-time ( JIT) and, 260–261
location analysis and, 344
metrics, 220
OM function and, 22–23
operations strategy and, 47
product design and, 88
project management and, 612
resource planning and, 541
scheduling and, 577
supply chain management (SCM) and, 140–141
total quality management (TQM) and, 176–177
work system design and, 419–420
System utilization rate, C6
T Tactical decisions
defi ned, 7
strategic decisions relationship, 9
Taguchi, Genichi, 157, 159–160
Taguchi loss function, 159–160
Tangible products, aggregate plans for companies with,
494–497
Target Cell, Solver, B9
Target inventory level (TI), 466, 472
TBO (time between orders), 466
Team approach, 162–163
Teams
problem-solving, 397
self-directed, 397–398
special-purpose, 397
Technical feasibility, 393
Technology
automation, 78–80
computer-aided design (CAD), 81
computer-integrated manufacturing (CIM), 81
decisions, 77–81
e-manufacturing, 80–81
opportunities for, 121
purchase price and availability and, 116
quality, managing, 171
relationships, developing, 123–124
single-source, 254
tier one, 100
tier three, 100
tier two, 100
Supply chain intelligence and (SCI), 520
Supply chain management (SCM), 98–150
across the organization, 140
compliance metric, 138
contracting metric, 138
defi ned, 15, 99
e-commerce and, 106–110
fi nancial metric, 138
globalization and, 110–111
government regulation and, 113
green, 113–115
implementing, 135–139
infrastructure issues and, 111–112
issues aff ecting, 106–115
leveraging strategies, 136–137
for manufacturers, 100
within OM, 139
overview, 15–16
performance metrics, 137–139
purchasing and, 116–120
software, 520
sourcing decisions, 120–130
warehouses and, 130–135
Supply Chain Operations Reference (SCOR) model, 139
Supply chain velocity, 112
Supply chains
aggregate planning and, 503
author-controlled publishing, 16
basic, 99–105
bullwhip eff ect and, 104–105
capacity planning and, 344
dairy products, 101
defi ned, 15, 99
design trends, 112
e-commerce and, 106–108
facility layout and, 379
forecasting and, 301
illustrated, 99
information fl ow, 104
inventory management and, 469
just-in-time ( JIT) and, 260
location analysis and, 344
for manufacturers, 100–102
OM function and, 22
operations strategy and, 46
process selection and, 88
product design and, 88
project management and, 612
678 • SUBJECT INDEX
Time series models. See also Forecasting models
cycles, 274
defi ned, 272
exponential smoothing, 280–281
forecasting level or variation, 275–282
level or horizontal pattern, 272–274
linear trend line, 283–286
naïve method, 275–276
random variation, 275
seasonality, 274, 286–288
simple mean or average, 276
simple moving average (SMA), 277–280
trend-adjusted exponential smoothing, 283, 284
trends, 274, 283–286
weighted moving average, 280
Time study
defi ned, 404
normal times and, 407, 408, 421
number of observations and, 405, 409, 420
procedure for, 404
standard time and, 402–404, 408–409, 421
Time-based competition
defi ned, 15
systems, 415–416
Time-phased schedule, 526
TMUs (time measurement units), 410–411
TOC. See Th eory of constraints
Tolerances, 203
Total cost formula, 89
Total item time, 543
Total productivity, 41–42
Total Quality Control (Feigenbaum), 158
Total quality management (TQM). See also Quality
across the organization, 175–176
continuous improvement, 160–162
customer focus, 160
defi ned, 14, 151, 156, 171, 239
employee empowerment, 162–163
evolution of, 156–160, 171
failure, causes of, 174
gurus of, 156–160
in JIT, 239–240, 249–251
within OM, 175
philosophy of, 160–161
preventative maintenance, 250–251
process management, 170–171
product design, 166–170
product versus process, 249–250
quality at the source, 239, 250
quality function deployment (QFD) and, 166–169
reliability and, 169–170
supplier quality management, 171
supply chain link, 176
sustainability link, 176–177
team approach, 162–163
use of quality tools, 163–166
Technology (Continued)
information, 40–41, 77–78
process, 40
product, 40
strategic role of, 40–41
substitution for people, 85
3D printing, 81
as tool for competitive advantage, 41
types of, 40–41
wireless, 77–78
Telecommuting, 398
Teleworking, 398
Temporary employees, 573
Test-based formulation, B4
Testing
aggregate plans, 493
forecasting models, 269
in product design, 59–60
spreadsheet models, B8
Th eoretical minimum number of stations, 374
Th eory of constraints (TOC)
constraint types and, 571
defi ned, 571
steps for using, 572
Th ird-party service providers, 135
Th reats, identifi cation of, 31
3D printing, 81
Th roughput, 570
Th roughput time, 70
Tier one suppliers, 100
Tier three suppliers, 100
Tier two suppliers, 100
Time
as competitive priority, 36–37
cycle, 258, 372–374, 380
idle, 375
job fl ow, 562, 577
lead, 428, 445, 531
mean observed, 407
normal, 407, 408, 421
rapid delivery and, 37
safety, 609, 610
shortest processing (SPT), 560, 561, 565–566
standard, 408–409, 421
throughput, 70
on-time delivery and, 37
wait, C1
Time between orders (TBO), 466
Time fences
demand, D12
example, D13–D14
illustrated, D13
planning, D12, D13
policies, D12
Time measurement units (TMUs), 410–411
Time series, 272
SUBJECT INDEX • 679
Vendor-managed inventory (VMI), 446
Vertical integration
defi ned, 120
operations and, 76–77
as strategic decision, 76
Virtual offi ce, 399
Virtual private networks (VPNs), 107
Visibility, 237
Vision, partnering and, 128
Visual models, A2
VMI (vendor-managed inventory), 446
W Wait time, C1
Waiting lines, C1–C19
arrangement of servers and, C4–C5
arrival and service patterns, C5
arrival rate, C5, C12
average number of customers waiting, C6
average time customers spend waiting, C6
cost and service level trade-off , C2
customer population, C3
defi ned, C2
elements of, C2–C6
large-scale systems, C13–C14
multiserver model, C9
number of, C3–C4, C13
number of servers and, C4
within OM, C14
operational characteristics, changing,
C12–C13
performance measures, C6–C12
phases, C4, C12
priority rules, C5–C6, C13
server effi ciency, C12–C13
service facilities, C12
service rate, C5
service system, C3–C5
single-server model, C6–C9
system utilization rate, C6
Warehouse layouts. See also Process layouts
characteristics of, 366
storage areas of equal sizes, 366–367
storage areas of unequal sizes, 368–369
Warehouses
crossdocking, 132–133
distribution, 130–131
general, 130
product mixing, 131
radio frequency identifi cation (RFID) and,
134–135
role in SCM, 130–135
services, 131
third-party service providers, 135
transportation consolidation, 131
work environment, 251
Tracking signal, 295–296, 304
Trade-off matrix, 168
Trade-off s
competitive priorities, 38, 40
defi ned, 38
Traffi c management, 102
Transaction fee model, 107
Transfer batch, 571
Transportation consolidation, 131
Transportation crossdocking, 132
Transportation inventory, 434, 435
Transportation method, 340
Trend-adjusted exponential smoothing, 283, 284, 303
Trends
driving supply chain design, 112
economic, 32
forecasting, 283–286
incentive plan, 417–418
marketplace, 31–32
political, 32
seasonality, 286–288
social, 32
time series models, 274, 283–286
Turnover, inventory, 438, 471
Two-bin system, 445
Types of inventory, 433, 435
U Unbounded problem, B16
Uncontrollable inputs, A2, A6
Undertime, 488
Uniform facility loading, 258
Uniform plant loading, 246
Units per day, output in, 373
Units per hour, output in, 372
U.S. employment by economic sector, 7
Utilization
defi ned, 71
formula, 90
V Value added, 4
Value chain management (VCM), 108
Value for price paid, 152
Value-added manufacturing, 237
Variable costs, 58
Variables
control charts for, 190–197
defi ned, 190
linear regression, 289
Variation
assignable causes of, 187
common causes of, 187
product consistency and, 186–187
680 • SUBJECT INDEX
need for, 392
within OM, 418
overview of, 393
social responsibility and, 420
supply chain link, 419
sustainability link, 419–420
work measurement, 402–415
Workfl ow, monitoring, 558–559
Workforce
schedules, developing, 574–576
size, calculating, 493
Work-in-process (WIP)
defi ned, 433
inventory, 437
Workload calculation, 538–539
Workplace, virtual, 399
Workstations, assigning tasks to, 374–375
X X-bar charts. See also Control charts
constructing, 192–193
control limits, 191, 194, 222
defi ned, 191
factors for 3-sigma control limits, 195
formulas, 191
process shifts captured by, 197
with range (R) charts, 196–197
from sample range, 194
Y Yield management, 501
Z Z value, 605–606
Zero defects, 158
Waste
defi ned, 235
elimination of, 235–236
reduction, 127
types of, 235
visibility, 237
Weeks of supply, 438, 471
Weighted moving average, 280
Wireless technologies, 77–78
Withdrawal card, 242
Work environment, 251, 400
Work measurement. See also Work system design
allowance factor, 407–409, 421
defi ned, 402
elemental time database, 410
frequency of occurrence, 407
learning curve theory, 414–415
normal time, 407, 408, 421
number of observations, 405
performance rating factor, 405
predetermined time data, 410–411
standard time, 402–404, 421
standard work sampling, 411–413
standards development, 404–411
time study, 404–405
Work sampling
defi ned, 411–412
example, 412–413
formula, 421
procedures, 412
random observations, 412
standard, developing, 411–413
Work system design, 392–431
across the organization, 418–419
compensation, 415–418
job design, 393–402
WILEY END USER LICENSE AGREEMENT Go to www.wiley.com/go/eula to access Wiley’s ebook EULA.
[email protected] 1 3/21/14 3:30 PM
- Cover
- Title Page
- Copyright Page
- Preface
- Acknowledgments
- About the Authors
- Contents
- CHAPTER 1 Introduction to Operations Management������������������������������������������������������
- What is Operations Management?�������������������������������������
- Differences between Manufacturing and Service Organizations������������������������������������������������������������������
- Operations Management Decisions��������������������������������������
- Historical Development�����������������������������
- Why OM?��������������
- Historical Milestones����������������������������
- The Industrial Revolution��������������������������������
- Scientific Management����������������������������
- The Human Relations Movement�����������������������������������
- Management Science�������������������������
- The Computer Age�����������������������
- Just-in-Time�������������������
- Total Quality Management�������������������������������
- Business Process Reengineering�������������������������������������
- Flexibility������������������
- Time-Based Competition�����������������������������
- Supply Chain Management������������������������������
- Global Marketplace�������������������������
- Sustainability and Green Operations������������������������������������������
- Electronic Commerce��������������������������
- Outsourcing and Flattening of the World����������������������������������������������
- Big Data Analytics�������������������������
- Today’s OM Environment�����������������������������
- Operations Management in Practice����������������������������������������
- Within OM: How It All Fits Together������������������������������������������
- OM Across the Organization���������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- CASE: Hightone Electronics, Inc.���������������������������������������
- CASE: Creature Care Animal Clinic (A)��������������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Demonstrating Your Knowledge of OM�������������������������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 2 Operations Strategy and Competitiveness��������������������������������������������������������
- The Role of Operations Strategy��������������������������������������
- The Importance of Operations Strategy��������������������������������������������
- Developing a Business Strategy�������������������������������������
- Mission��������������
- Environmental Scanning�����������������������������
- Core Competencies������������������������
- Putting It Together��������������������������
- Developing an Operations Strategy����������������������������������������
- Competitive Priorities�����������������������������
- The Need for Trade-Offs������������������������������
- Order Winners and Qualifiers�����������������������������������
- Translating Competitive Priorities into Production Requirements����������������������������������������������������������������������
- Strategic Role of Technology�����������������������������������
- Types of Technologies����������������������������
- Technology as a Tool for Competitive Advantage�����������������������������������������������������
- Productivity�������������������
- Measuring Productivity�����������������������������
- Interpreting Productivity Measures�����������������������������������������
- Productivity and Competitiveness���������������������������������������
- Productivity and the Service Sector������������������������������������������
- Operations Strategy Within OM: How it All Fits Together��������������������������������������������������������������
- Operations Strategy Across the Organization��������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Prime Bank of Massachusetts����������������������������������������
- CASE: Boseman Oil and Petroleum (BOP)��������������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Understanding Strategic Differences��������������������������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 3 Product Design and Process Selection�����������������������������������������������������
- Product Design���������������������
- Design of Services versus Goods��������������������������������������
- The Product Design Process���������������������������������
- Idea Development�����������������������
- Product Screening������������������������
- Preliminary Design and Testing�������������������������������������
- Final Design�������������������
- Factors Impacting Product Design���������������������������������������
- Design for Manufacture�����������������������������
- Product Life Cycle�������������������������
- Concurrent Engineering�����������������������������
- Remanufacturing����������������������
- Process Selection������������������������
- Types of Processes�������������������������
- Designing Processes��������������������������
- Process Performance Metrics����������������������������������
- Linking Product Design and Process Selection���������������������������������������������������
- Product Design Decisions�������������������������������
- Competitive Priorities�����������������������������
- Facility Layout����������������������
- Product and Service Strategy�����������������������������������
- Degree of Vertical Integration�������������������������������������
- Technology Decisions���������������������������
- Information Technology�����������������������������
- Automation�����������������
- E-manufacturing����������������������
- Designing Services�������������������������
- How Are Services Different from Manufacturing?�����������������������������������������������������
- How Are Services Classified?�����������������������������������
- The Service Package��������������������������
- Differing Service Designs��������������������������������
- Product Design and Process Selection Within OM: How It All Fits Together�������������������������������������������������������������������������������
- Product Design and Process Selection Across the Organization�������������������������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Biddy’s Bakery (BB)��������������������������������
- CASE: Creature Care Animal Clinic (B)��������������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Country Comfort Furniture����������������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 4 Supply Chain Management����������������������������������������
- Basic Supply Chains��������������������������
- Components of a Supply Chain for a Manufacturer������������������������������������������������������
- A Supply Chain for a Service Organization������������������������������������������������
- The Bullwhip Effect��������������������������
- Issues Affecting Supply Chain Management�����������������������������������������������
- E-commerce and Supply Chains�����������������������������������
- Consumer Expectations and Competition Resulting from E-commerce����������������������������������������������������������������������
- Globalization��������������������
- Infrastructure Issues����������������������������
- Government Regulation and E-commerce�������������������������������������������
- Green Supply Chain Management������������������������������������
- The Role of Purchasing�����������������������������
- Traditional Purchasing and E-purchasing����������������������������������������������
- Sourcing Decisions�������������������������
- Insourcing versus Outsourcing Decisions����������������������������������������������
- Developing Supplier Relationships����������������������������������������
- How Many Suppliers?��������������������������
- Developing Partnerships������������������������������
- Supplier Management Ethics���������������������������������
- The Role of Warehouses�����������������������������
- Crossdocking�������������������
- Radio Frequency Identification Technology (RFID)�������������������������������������������������������
- Third-Party Service Providers������������������������������������
- Implementing Supply Chain Management�������������������������������������������
- Strategies for Leveraging Supply Chain Management��������������������������������������������������������
- Supply Chain Performance Metrics���������������������������������������
- Supply Chain Management Within OM: How It All Fits Together������������������������������������������������������������������
- SCM Across the Organization����������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Electronic Personal Heart Rate Monitors Supply Chain Management Game���������������������������������������������������������������������������������
- CASE: Supply Chain Management At Durham International Manufacturing Company (DIMCO)������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Global Shopping������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 5 Total Quality Management�����������������������������������������
- Defining Quality�����������������������
- Differences between Manufacturing and Service Organizations������������������������������������������������������������������
- Cost of Quality����������������������
- The Evolution of Total Quality Management (TQM)������������������������������������������������������
- Quality Gurus��������������������
- The Philosophy of TQM����������������������������
- Customer Focus���������������������
- Continuous Improvement�����������������������������
- Employee Empowerment���������������������������
- Use of Quality Tools���������������������������
- Product Design���������������������
- Process Management�������������������������
- Managing Supplier Quality��������������������������������
- Quality Awards and Standards�����������������������������������
- The Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award (MBNQA)����������������������������������������������������������
- The Deming Prize�����������������������
- ISO 9000 Standards�������������������������
- ISO Standards for Sustainability Reporting�������������������������������������������������
- Why TQM Efforts Fail���������������������������
- Total Quality Management (TQM) Within OM: How It All Fits Together�������������������������������������������������������������������������
- Total Quality Management (TQM) Across the Organization�������������������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Gold Coast Advertising (GCA)�����������������������������������������
- CASE: Delta Plastics, Inc. (A)�������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Snyder Bakeries������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 6 Statistical Quality Control��������������������������������������������
- What Is Statistical Quality Control?�������������������������������������������
- Sources of Variation: Common and Assignable Causes���������������������������������������������������������
- Descriptive Statistics�����������������������������
- The Mean���������������
- The Range and Standard Deviation���������������������������������������
- Distribution of Data���������������������������
- Statistical Process Control Methods������������������������������������������
- Developing Control Charts��������������������������������
- Types of Control Charts������������������������������
- Control Charts for Variables�����������������������������������
- Mean (x-Bar) Charts��������������������������
- Range (R) Charts�����������������������
- Using Mean and Range Charts Together�������������������������������������������
- Control Charts for Attributes������������������������������������
- p-Charts���������������
- c-Charts���������������
- Process Capability�������������������������
- Measuring Process Capability�����������������������������������
- Six Sigma Quality������������������������
- Acceptance Sampling��������������������������
- Sampling Plans���������������������
- Operating Characteristic (OC) Curves�������������������������������������������
- Developing OC Curves���������������������������
- Average Outgoing Quality�������������������������������
- Implications for Managers��������������������������������
- How Much and How Often to Inspect����������������������������������������
- Where to Inspect�����������������������
- Which Tools to Use�������������������������
- Statistical Quality Control in Services����������������������������������������������
- Statistical Quality Control (SQC) Within OM: How It All Fits Together����������������������������������������������������������������������������
- Statistical Quality Control (SQC) Across the Organization����������������������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Scharadin Hotels�����������������������������
- CASE: Delta Plastics, Inc. (B)�������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Safe-Air�����������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 7 Just-in-Time and Lean Systems����������������������������������������������
- The Philosophy of JIT����������������������������
- Eliminate Waste����������������������
- A Broad View of Operations���������������������������������
- Simplicity�����������������
- Continuous Improvement�����������������������������
- Visibility�����������������
- Flexibility������������������
- Elements of JIT����������������������
- Just-in-Time Manufacturing���������������������������������
- Total Quality Management (TQM)�������������������������������������
- Respect for People�������������������������
- Just-in-Time Manufacturing���������������������������������
- The Pull System����������������������
- Kanban Production������������������������
- Variations of Kanban Production��������������������������������������
- Small Lot Sizes and Quick Setups���������������������������������������
- Uniform Plant Loading����������������������������
- Flexible Resources�������������������������
- Facility Layout����������������������
- Total Quality Management�������������������������������
- Product versus Process�����������������������������
- Quality at the Source����������������������������
- Preventive Maintenance�����������������������������
- Work Environment�����������������������
- Respect for People�������������������������
- The Role of Production Employees���������������������������������������
- Lifetime Employment��������������������������
- The Role of Management�����������������������������
- Supplier Relationships�����������������������������
- Benefits of JIT����������������������
- Implementing JIT�����������������������
- JIT in Services����������������������
- Improved Quality�����������������������
- Uniform Facility Loading�������������������������������
- Use of Multifunction Workers�����������������������������������
- Reductions in Cycle Time�������������������������������
- Minimizing Setup Times and Parallel Processing�����������������������������������������������������
- Workplace Organization�����������������������������
- JIT and Lean Systems Within OM: How It All Fits Together���������������������������������������������������������������
- JIT and Lean Systems Across the Organization���������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Katz Carpeting���������������������������
- CASE: Dixon Audio Systems��������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Truck-Fleet, Inc.��������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 8 Forecasting����������������������������
- Principles of Forecasting��������������������������������
- Steps in the Forecasting Process���������������������������������������
- Types of Forecasting Methods�����������������������������������
- Qualitative Methods��������������������������
- Quantitative Methods���������������������������
- Time Series Models�������������������������
- Forecasting Level or Horizontal Pattern����������������������������������������������
- Forecasting Trend������������������������
- Forecasting Seasonality������������������������������
- Causal Models��������������������
- Linear Regression������������������������
- Multiple Regression��������������������������
- Measuring Forecast Accuracy����������������������������������
- Forecast Accuracy Measures���������������������������������
- Tracking Signal����������������������
- Selecting the Right Forecasting Model��������������������������������������������
- Forecasting Software���������������������������
- Predictive Analytics and Forecasting�������������������������������������������
- Combining Forecasting����������������������������
- Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR)��������������������������������������������������������������������
- Forecasting Within OM: How It All Fits Together������������������������������������������������������
- Forecasting Across the Organization������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Bram-Wear����������������������
- CASE: The Emergency Room (Er) At Northwest General (A)�������������������������������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: On-line Data Access����������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 9 Capacity Planning and Facility Location��������������������������������������������������������
- Capacity Planning������������������������
- Why Is Capacity Planning Important?������������������������������������������
- Measuring Capacity�������������������������
- Capacity Considerations������������������������������
- Making Capacity Planning Decisions�����������������������������������������
- Identify Capacity Requirements�������������������������������������
- Develop Capacity Alternatives������������������������������������
- Evaluate Capacity Alternatives�������������������������������������
- Decision Trees���������������������
- Location Analysis������������������������
- What Is Facility Location?���������������������������������
- Factors Affecting Location Decisions�������������������������������������������
- Globalization��������������������
- Making Location Decisions��������������������������������
- Procedure for Making Location Decisions����������������������������������������������
- Procedures for Evaluating Location Alternatives������������������������������������������������������
- Capacity Planning and Facility Location Within OM: How It All Fits Together����������������������������������������������������������������������������������
- Capacity Planning and Facility Location Across the Organization����������������������������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Data Tech, Inc.����������������������������
- CASE: The Emergency Room (ER) At Northwest General (B)�������������������������������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: EDS Office Supplies, Inc.����������������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 10 Facility Layout���������������������������������
- What Is Layout Planning?�������������������������������
- Types of Layouts�����������������������
- Process Layouts����������������������
- Product Layouts����������������������
- Hybrid Layouts���������������������
- Fixed-Position Layouts�����������������������������
- Designing Process Layouts��������������������������������
- Step 1: Gather Information���������������������������������
- Step 2: Develop a Block Plan�����������������������������������
- Step 3: Develop a Detailed Layout����������������������������������������
- Special Cases of Process Layout��������������������������������������
- Warehouse Layouts������������������������
- Office Layouts���������������������
- Designing Product Layouts��������������������������������
- Step 1: Identify Tasks and Their Immediate Predecessors��������������������������������������������������������������
- Step 2: Determine Output Rate������������������������������������
- Step 3: Determine Cycle Time�����������������������������������
- Step 4: Compute the Theoretical Minimum Number of Stations�����������������������������������������������������������������
- Step 5: Assign Tasks to Workstations (Balance the Line)��������������������������������������������������������������
- Step 6: Compute Efficiency, Idle Time, and Balance Delay���������������������������������������������������������������
- Other Considerations���������������������������
- Group Technology (Cell) Layouts��������������������������������������
- Facility Layout Within OM: How It All Fits Together����������������������������������������������������������
- Facility Layout Across the Organization����������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Sawhill Athletic Club (A)��������������������������������������
- CASE: Sawhill Athletic Club (B)��������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: DJ and Associates, Inc.��������������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 11 Work System Design������������������������������������
- Work System Design�������������������������
- Job Design�����������������
- Job Design�����������������
- Machines or People?��������������������������
- Level of Labor Specialization������������������������������������
- Eliminating Employee Boredom�����������������������������������
- Team Approaches to Job Design������������������������������������
- The Alternative Workplace��������������������������������
- The Work Environment���������������������������
- Methods Analysis�����������������������
- Work Measurement�����������������������
- Developing Standards���������������������������
- Developing a Standard Work Sampling������������������������������������������
- Learning Curve Theory����������������������������
- Compensation�������������������
- Group Incentive Plans����������������������������
- Incentive Plan Trends����������������������������
- Work System Design Within OM: How It All Fits Together�������������������������������������������������������������
- Work System Design Across the Organization�������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: The Navigator III������������������������������
- CASE: Northeast State University���������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: E-commerce Job Design������������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 12 Inventory Management��������������������������������������
- Basic Inventory Principles���������������������������������
- How Manufacturers Use Inventory��������������������������������������
- Inventory in Service Organizations�����������������������������������������
- Inventory Management Objectives��������������������������������������
- Customer Service�����������������������
- Cost-Efficient Operations��������������������������������
- Minimum Inventory Investment�����������������������������������
- Relevant Inventory Costs�������������������������������
- ABC Inventory Classification�����������������������������������
- Inventory Record Accuracy��������������������������������
- Determining Order Quantities�����������������������������������
- Non-mathematical Techniques for Determining Order Quantity�����������������������������������������������������������������
- Mathematical Models for Determining Order Quantity���������������������������������������������������������
- The Single-Period Inventory Model����������������������������������������
- Why Companies Don’t Always Use the Optimal Order Quantity����������������������������������������������������������������
- How a Company Justifies Smaller Order Quantities�������������������������������������������������������
- Determining Safety Stock Levels��������������������������������������
- The Periodic Review System���������������������������������
- Comparing Continuous Review Systems and Periodic Review Systems����������������������������������������������������������������������
- Inventory Management within OM: How It All Fits Together���������������������������������������������������������������
- Inventory Management across the Organization���������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Fabqual Ltd.�������������������������
- CASE: Kayaks!Incorporated��������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Community Fund-Raiser (A)����������������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 13 Aggregate Planning������������������������������������
- Business Planning������������������������
- Aggregate Planning Options���������������������������������
- Demand-Based Options���������������������������
- Capacity-Based Options�����������������������������
- Evaluating the Current Situation���������������������������������������
- Aggregate Plan Strategies��������������������������������
- Level Aggregate Plan���������������������������
- Chase Aggregate Plan���������������������������
- Hybrid Aggregate Plan����������������������������
- Developing the Aggregate Plan������������������������������������
- Aggregate Plans for Companies with Tangible Products�����������������������������������������������������������
- Aggregate Plans for Companies with Nontangible Products��������������������������������������������������������������
- Aggregate Planning Within OM: How It All Fits Together�������������������������������������������������������������
- Aggregate Planning Across the Organization�������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (A)��������������������������������������������������������������
- CASE: JPC, Inc.: Kitchen Countertops Manufacturer��������������������������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Cruising�����������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 14 Resource Planning�����������������������������������
- Enterprise Resource Planning�����������������������������������
- The Evolution of ERP Systems�����������������������������������
- The Benefits and Costs of ERP������������������������������������
- The Benefits of ERP Systems����������������������������������
- The Costs of ERP Systems�������������������������������
- Material Planning Systems��������������������������������
- An Overview of Material Planning Systems�����������������������������������������������
- Objectives of MRP������������������������
- Types of Demand����������������������
- The Operating Logic of MRP���������������������������������
- How MRP Works��������������������
- Action Notices���������������������
- Comparing Different Lot Size Rules�����������������������������������������
- Capacity Requirements Planning (CRP)�������������������������������������������
- Resource Planning Within OM: How It All Fits Together������������������������������������������������������������
- Resource Planning Across the Organization������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Newmarket International Manufacturing Company (B)��������������������������������������������������������������
- CASE: Desserts By J.B.�����������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: The Gourmet Dinner���������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 15 Scheduling����������������������������
- Basic Scheduling Concepts��������������������������������
- Scheduling High-Volume Operations����������������������������������������
- Scheduling Low-Volume Operations���������������������������������������
- Shop Loading Methods���������������������������
- Developing a Schedule of Operations������������������������������������������
- Scheduling Performance Measures��������������������������������������
- Using Different Priority Rules�������������������������������������
- Sequencing Jobs through Two Work Centers�����������������������������������������������
- Optimized Production Technology��������������������������������������
- Scheduling Bottlenecks�����������������������������
- Theory of Constraints����������������������������
- Scheduling Issues for Service Organizations��������������������������������������������������
- Scheduling Techniques for Service Organizations������������������������������������������������������
- Scheduling Employees���������������������������
- Developing a Workforce Schedule��������������������������������������
- Scheduling Within OM: Putting It All Together����������������������������������������������������
- Scheduling Across the Organization�����������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: Air Traffic Controller School (ATCS)�������������������������������������������������
- CASE: Scheduling At Red, White, And Blue Fireworks Company�����������������������������������������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Batter Up������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- CHAPTER 16 Project Management������������������������������������
- The Project Life Cycle�����������������������������
- Project Management Concepts����������������������������������
- Step 1: Describe the Project�����������������������������������
- Step 2: Diagram the Network����������������������������������
- Step 3: Estimate the Project’s Completion Time�����������������������������������������������������
- Step 3 (a): Deterministic Time Estimates�����������������������������������������������
- Step 3 (b): Probabilistic Time Estimates�����������������������������������������������
- Step 4: Monitor the Project’s Progression������������������������������������������������
- Estimating the Probability of Completion Dates�����������������������������������������������������
- Reducing Project Completion Time���������������������������������������
- Crashing Projects������������������������
- The Critical Chain Approach����������������������������������
- Adding Safety Time�������������������������
- Wasting Safety Time��������������������������
- Project Management Within OM: How It All Fits Together�������������������������������������������������������������
- Project Management OM Across the Organization����������������������������������������������������
- THE SUPPLY CHAIN LINK����������������������������
- THE SUSTAINABILITY LINK������������������������������
- Chapter Highlights�������������������������
- Key Terms����������������
- Formula Review���������������������
- Solved Problems����������������������
- Discussion Questions���������������������������
- Problems���������������
- CASE: The Research Office Moves��������������������������������������
- CASE: Writing A Textbook�������������������������������
- INTERACTIVE CASE: Virtual Company����������������������������������������
- INTERNET CHALLENGE: Creating Memories��������������������������������������������
- Selected Bibliography����������������������������
- Appendix A Solutions to Odd-Numbered Problems����������������������������������������������������
- Appendix B The Standard Normal Distribution��������������������������������������������������
- Appendix C p-Chart�������������������������
- NAME INDEX�����������������
- SUBJECT INDEX��������������������
- EULA