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Nokia_-_Qatar_Data_Sheet.xlsx
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Sheet1

QATAR MOBILE DEMAND - June 2005
UNITS 2001A 2002A 2003A 2004A 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E
DEMOGRAPHICS
Population [000] 608 640 700 740 800 860 912 957 995 1,035
Nominal GDP [US$m] 17,742 17,881 19,458 28,451 33,620 34,055 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Real Growth Per Capita [%] 5.38 2.00 4.00 2.40 3.50 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Nominal GDP Per Capita [US$] 29,180 28,010 27,960 38,290 42,210 39,590 N/A N/A N/A N/A
PPP Adjusted GDP Per Capita [US$] 37,067 38,500 37,160 38,630 40,070 41,460 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Consumer Price Inflation [%] 1.36 1.01 2.27 6.80 7.30 6.20 N/A N/A N/A N/A
Local Currency / US$ [LCU / US$] 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.64 3.64 N/A N/A N/A N/A
MOBILE PENETRATION OF POPULATION
Main Lines [%] 27.5% 27.6% 26.2% 26.0% 25.3% 24.7% 24.5% 24.5% 24.7% 24.9%
Mobile Subscriptions [%] 29.3% 41.7% 56.0% 74.0% 79.1% 82.0% 84.2% 85.0% 85.7% 86.4%
Prepaid [%] 10.2% 20.4% 35.8% 53.7% 59.8% 63.0% 64.6% 65.1% 65.7% 66.5%
Postpaid [%] 19.0% 21.3% 20.2% 20.3% 19.3% 19.0% 19.6% 19.9% 20.0% 19.9%
MOBILE SUBSCRIPTIONS BY NETWORK OPERATOR
Total Mobile Subscriptions [000] 178 267 392 548 633 705 768 813 853 895
Qtel [000] 178 267 392 548 633 686 698 698 695 690
Operator 2 [000] 0 0 0 0 0 19 69 115 158 205
MOBILE SUBSCRIPTIONS BY TYPE OF PACKAGE
Prepaid [000] 62 131 251 397 478 542 589 623 654 689
Qtel [000] 62 131 251 397 478 529 541 541 537 533
Operator 2 [000] 0 0 0 0 0 13 48 82 116 156
Postpaid [000] 116 136 141 150 155 164 179 190 199 206
Qtel [000] 116 136 141 150 155 157 157 157 157 157
Operator 2 [000] 0 0 0 0 0 7 22 33 42 49
CHURN
Annual Churn Rate [%] 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 9% 11% 10% 10% 10%
By Operator
Qtel [%] 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 9% 11% 10% 10% 10%
Operator 2 [%] 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7% 9% 9% 10% 10%
MOBILE SUBSCRIPTIONS BY TECHNOLOGY
178 267 392 548 633 705 768 813 853 895
Analog [000] 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Digital Trunking [000]
GSM [000] 178 267 389 520 595 655 691 712 733 755
TDMA [000]
CDMA One [000]
HSCSD [000]
PAS [000]
PHS [000]
PDC [000]
GSM/GPRS [000] 0 0 3 27 38 49 61 73 85 98
GSM/EDGE [000]
CDMA 1X [000]
CDMA2000 (EV/3X) [000]
UMTS [000] 0 0 0 0 0 1 15 28 35 41
USAGE
Average Monthly Voice MOU [min] 682 642 597 561 538 522 508 498 490 483
By Operator
Qtel [min] 682 642 597 561 538 521 505 494 485 478
Operator 2 [min] 682 642 0 0 0 558 536 522 510 499
AVERAGE REVENUE PER SUBSCRIPTION
Aggregate Mobile [US$/month] 58 84 77 69 63 57 51 48 46 45
By Operator
Qtel [US$/month] 58 84 77 69 63 57 51 47 45 44
Operator 2 [US$/month] 0 0 0 0 0 62 56 52 50 49
By Service Area
Voice [US$/month] 56 80 72 64 58 51 46 42 39 36
Messaging [US$/month] 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
Data/Internet [US$/month] 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 5
TOTAL MOBILE REVENUES
By Type of Application [US$m] 103 223 303 390 449 456 455 454 457 472
Voice Revenue [US$m] 99 213 286 363 411 410 405 395 389 382
Activation Fees [US$m] 5 9 10 12 11 9 8 5 5 5
Outgoing Voice [US$m] 88 189 252 320 364 360 354 346 338 328
Incoming Voice [US$m] 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 9 9 12
Voice VAS [US$m]
In-Country Roamers [US$m] 6 16 24 31 36 36 36 34 37 38
Data Revenue [US$m] 4 10 17 27 38 46 50 59 69 90
Messaging [US$m] 4 8 12 20 27 32 32 36 37 42
Mobile Internet Access [US$m] 0 2 5 8 11 14 18 23 32 47