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Macroeconomic Theory

1 Chapter 15: Monetary Policy in the Intertemporal Framework

Our dynamic framework has had no role for money, which acts as a medium of exchange, unit

of account, and store of value. We introduce money into the in�nite-period framework as a store

of value. This feature allows for us to use the model to study how the monetary policy of central

banks may in�uence real economic activity and con�ict with the classical dichotomy.

→ Introducing money requires us to consider an additional market, The Money Market. • Money Demand: The nominal quantity demanded of money demanded by households

(as well as �rms and the government).

• Money Supply: The nominal quantity of money in circulation (e�ectively determined by the banking system)

⇒ Equilibrium in the Money Market occurs when the nominal quantity of money supplied equals nominal quantity of money demanded.

→ To generate money demand for households, we will use the Money-in-the-Utility (MIU) approach, where demand for real money holdings is an explicit argument in the households'

utility function. For any given period t:

u

( ct, lt,

MDt Pt

) (1)

where MDt is the nominal money demand (so that M D t /Pt is real money demand).

1.1 MIU Model

1.1.1 Households

max {ct+s,lt+s,MDt+s}

∞ s=0

V = ∞∑ s=0

βsu

( ct+s, lt+s,

MDt+s Pt+s

) (2)

subject to the nominal period-t budget constraint:1

Ptct + At + M D t = (1 + it)At−1 + M

D t−1 + Wt(1− lt) (3)

→ The intratemporal and intertemporal conditions, along with a new `consumption-money' optimality condition, can be derived by setting up the sequential Lagrangian, and taking the

�rst-order conditions with respect to ct,ct+1, lt,At, and M D t :

L = ∞∑ s=0

{βsu ( ct+s, lt+s,

MDt+s Pt+s

) +λt+s(Pt+sct+s + At+s + M

D t+s − (1 + it+s)At+s−1

−MDt+s−1 −Wt+s(1− lt+s))}

1 recall that for any nominal variable X, the real quantity is de�ned as x = X/P

1

Writing this out for s = 0,1:

L =u ( ct, lt,

MDt Pt

) + λt

( Ptct + At + M

D t − (1 + it)At−1 −M

D t−1 −Wt(1− lt)

) + βu

( ct+1, lt+1,

MDt+1 Pt+1

) + λt+1

( Pt+1ct+1 + At+1 + M

D t+1 − (1 + it+1)At −M

D t −Wt+1(1− lt+1)

) + ...

Taking FOCs:

∂L ∂ct

= 0 −→ ∂u

∂ct + λtPt = 0 −→

∂u

∂ct

1

Pt = −λt (4)

∂L ∂ct+1

= 0 −→ β ∂u

∂ct+1 + λt+1Pt+1 = 0 −→ β

∂u

∂ct+1

1

Pt+1 = −λt+1 (5)

∂L ∂lt

= 0 −→ ∂u

∂lt + λtWt = 0 −→

∂u

∂lt

1

Wt = −λt (6)

∂L ∂At

= 0 −→ λt − (1 + it+1)λt+1 = 0 −→−λt = −(1 + it+1)λt+1 (7)

∂L ∂MDt

= 0 −→ ∂u

∂MDt

1

Pt + λt −λt+1 = 0 −→

∂u

∂MDt

1

Pt + λt = λt+1 (8)

→ Intratemporal Optimality Condition (Nominal terms): Using Equations (4) and (6):

∂u

∂ct

1

Pt = ∂u

∂lt

1

Wt

⇒ ∂u/∂lt ∂u/∂ct

= Wt Pt

(9)

→ Intertemporal Optimality Condition (Nominal terms): Using Equations (4)-(5) into (7):

−λt = −(1 + it+1)λt+1

∂u

∂ct

1

Pt = (1 + it+1)β

∂u

∂ct+1

1

Pt+1

⇒ ∂u/∂ct

β∂u/∂ct+1 =

Pt Pt+1

(1 + it+1) (10)

2

→ Consumption-Money Optimality Condition: Using Equation (7) into (8):

∂u

∂MDt

1

Pt + λt = λt+1

∂u

∂MDt

1

Pt + λt =

λt (1 + it+1)

∂u

∂MDt

1

λtPt + 1 =

1

(1 + it+1)

∂u

∂MDt

1

λtPt =

1

(1 + it+1) −1

∂u

∂MDt

1

λtPt =

1−1− it+1 (1 + it+1)

∂u

∂MDt

1

λtPt =

−it+1 (1 + it+1)

Using Equation (4) into the above:

( ∂u

∂MDt

) −Pt(∂u ∂ct

) Pt

  = −it+1(1 + it+1)

⇒ ∂u/∂MDt ∂u/∂ct

= it+1

(1 + it+1) (11)

⇒ Equation (11) is the new consumption-money optimality condition. → Intuition: The household desires to have real money holdings such that the MRS of money

for consumption is equal to the relative price of holding money to consumption, each in terms of

their opportunity cost (i.e. savings in interest bearing asset).

⇒ This optimality condition characterizes the households' demand for money: → An increase in the nominal interest increases the right-hand side of Equation (11), which implies that the rate of exchange of money for consumption increases.

→ Assuming a dominant substitution e�ect, the household responds by reducing their money holdings relative to their consumption.

→ Graphically, the household's money demand function is expressed in (Mt, it+1) space:

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1.1.2 Central Bank

⇒ The central bank (exogenous) is assumed to be able control the nominal money supply2 with the intent of achieving a speci�c nominal interest rate in the money market.

→ Buys (sells) nominal quantities of interest bearing assets from households with money to increase (decrease) the money supply as desired.

→ The money supply is assumed to be exogenous absent a monetary policy shock. → Graphically, the money supply function is shown in (Mt, it+1) space:

1.1.3 Firms

In nominal terms, the �rm's problem is:

max {nt+s,kt+s+1}∞s=0

Profit = ∞∑ s=0

(1+it+s) −s{Pt+sf(kt+s,nt+s)−Pt+s(kt+1+s−(1−δ)kt+s)−Wt+snt+s}

(12)

→ Taking the �rst-order condition with respect to labor and future capital yields the usual labor demand and investment demand optimality conditions for the �rm:

∂f/∂nt = Wt Pt

(13)

∂f/∂kt+1 + (1−δ) = Pt Pt+1

(1 + it+1) (14)

2 Reality is of course much more complex. The banking system as a whole is thought to determine the

outstanding nominal quantity of money through the creation of bank deposits. Since we are not modeling

commercial banks explicitly, it is common to assume for simplicity that the central bank can attain any desired

quantity of money supply.

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1.1.4 General Equilibrium

With the addition of the money market, we have four equilibrium conditions: Labor Market,

Financial Market, Goods Market, and the Money Market.

⇒ Money Market Equilibrium: Occurs at a nominal interest rate it+1∗ such that MDt = MSt , where M

D t is determined by the households' consumption-money optimality condition and

MSt is determined by Central Bank policy. Graphically:

⇒ Financial Market Equilibrium: Occurs at real interest rate rt+1∗. such that st = invt. As usual, it's characterized using households' and �rms intertemporal optimality conditions to

obtain: ∂u/∂ct

β∂u/∂ct+1 = 1 +

∂f

∂kt+1 −δ

⇒ Labor Market Equilibrium: Occurs at wt∗ such that nSt = nDt . As usual, it's charac- terized using the households' and �rms' intratemporal optimality condition to obtain:

∂u/∂lt ∂u/∂ct

= ∂f

∂nt

⇒ Goods Market Equilibrium: Occurs when ADt = ASt. As usual without a federal government:

f(kt,nt) = ct ∗+invt∗

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1.2 Short-run Monetary Policy Analysis with the MIU model

1.2.1 A Closer Look at Money Demand

Note that real money balances MDt /Pt appear in the households' utility function while the house-

hold chooses nominal money balances.

→ This implies that the price level will appear in the consumption-money optimality condition.

EXAMPLE: Suppose that the sub-utility function takes the natural log form so that:

u

( ct, lt,

MDt Pt

) = log ct + log lt + log

MDt Pt

Evaluated at this utility function, the consumption-money optimality condition becomes:

∂u/∂MDt ∂u/∂ct

= it+1

1 + it+1

1/(MDt /Pt)

1/ct =

it+1 1 + it+1

ct

(MDt /Pt) =

it+1 1 + it+1

⇒ MDt = ( 1 + it+1 it+1

) Ptct

⇒ Implications of the Money Demand Condition: Since the money market equilibrium condition

MSt = M D t =

( 1 + it+1 it+1

) Ptct always holds in general equilibrium changes to M

S t must change

one or more of it+1, Pt, and ct.

→ The extent to which real variables are a�ected depends on the speed which Pt adjusts within a given period.

1.2.2 Monetary Policy Shocks

• A Monetary Policy Shock will unexpectedly increase or decrease MSt .

EXAMPLE: Suppose the Central Bank increases MSt . Use a money market and goods market

diagram to graphically show how output and/or the price level is a�ected when Aggregate Supply

is Classical, and when it is Keynesian.

⇒ Classical Aggregate Supply: No speci�ed relationship between Pt and qt

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• Monetary Neutrality: monetary policy shocks have no e�ect on real economic activity. → Occurs when goods prices and wages are fully �exible ⇒ Intuition: Despite the initial reduction in it+1, which acts to increase desired ct given the

households' intertemporal optimality condition, the within-period increase in Pt exactly o�sets

the e�ect of the decrease in it+1 on ct.

→ Since consumption is una�ected, the �nancial market equilibrium remains unchanged. → Since there are no changes to the supply or demand schedules, nominal wages adjust so

that the labor market equilibrium remains unchanged.

⇒Keynesian Aggregate Supply: Assumed that Pt may not change within a given period.

• Monetary Non-Neutrality: monetary policy shocks a�ect real economic activity. → Occurs when goods prices and/or wages are `sticky'. ⇒ Intuition: The initial reduction in it+1 increases desired ct given the households' intertem-

poral optimality condition, which is not o�set by an increase in Pt.

→ Since current consumption changes, there will be a decrease in supply schedule in the �- nancial market and an increase in the labor supply schedule in the labor market (both resulting

from the households' inter- and intratemporal optimality conditions).

→ There will be a change to real economic variables in general equilibrium.

1.3 Limits to Conventional Monetary Policy

• The Lower Bound: Nominal interest rates cannot fall below some lower bound i. → As nominal interest rates approach i, typically to be a rate close to zero, the household becomes indi�erent between holding money or interest-bearing assets as a store of value.

⇒ At the lower bound, increases in the money supply cannot e�ect real economic activity through changes to the nominal interest rate.

→ Consumption-money condition becomes ∂u/∂MDt ∂u/∂ct

= i

(1 + i) , which implies that money

demand becomes horizonal over i.

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  • Chapter 15: Monetary Policy in the Intertemporal Framework
    • MIU Model
    • Short-run Monetary Policy Analysis with the MIU model
    • Limits to Conventional Monetary Policy