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Biosecurity & Bioterrorism: Containing and Preventing Biological Threats

Chapter 13

Consequence Management and a Model Program

Learning Objectives

Discuss consequence management as it applies to an act of bioterrorism.

Define autonomous detection system and discuss concerns for employment of such a system.

Describe the function and operation of the biohazard detection system, which is deployed throughout the United States Postal Service.

Discuss the USPS Continuity of Operations Plan for dealing with a positive biohazard detection system signal.

Discuss current initiatives in military biodefense aimed at providing continuous monitoring for biothreat agents.

Key Terminology

Consequence Management

Autonomous Detection System (ADS)

Biohazard Detection System (BDS)

Concept of Operations (CONOPS)

Reaction to Amerithrax

US was focused on the events of 9/11

Anthrax-laced letters showed us how vulnerable we were to an act of bioterrorism

Tremendous number of hoaxes perpetrated along with false alarms

Response organizations were overwhelmed

American Postal Workers Union demanded that the USPS protect the workforce

Questions at that Time

What should be done to immediately protect the workforce and notify them of the existing threat?

What was the extent of the contamination (how many facilities)?

What was the existing threat to postal workers?

How would the contaminated facilities be cleared and put back into operation?

What should and could be done if the attacks continued?

What obligation do USPS officials have to protect their workers from the threat?

Quotable Quotes

In this time of heightened alert, the employer must provide adequate and timely information that the employee is afforded adequate protection from harm. It is never understandable that an employer can deny or inhibit this opportunity for self protection.

William Burrus, President, APWU

March 26, 2003

Consequence Management

Predominately an emergency management function.

Relative to terrorism incident operations, consequence management includes measures to protect public health and safety, restore essential government services, and provide emergency relief to governments, businesses and individuals affected by the consequences of terrorism

Seiple, 1997

Consequence Management: Domestic Response to Weapons of Mass Destruction

Ways and means to alleviate the short- and long-term physical, socio-economic, and psychological effects of a chemical or biological attack

Coordination of international, national, regional, and local assets to deal with the effects of such an attack

Preparatory work in response to a WMD threat:

site surveys

assessment of the ability of local hospitals to treat or decontaminate victims

size, condition, and locations of local stocks of various antidotes

Preparation could include determining the locations, size, and availability of other national antidote stocks as well as international stocks available to support planning for surge capacity

Seiple’s Recommendations

Detection is the first line of defense; it is where tactical consequence management begins

Mandatory consequence management awareness and training to ensure a lowest common denominator of knowledge at the local, regional, and national level.

Identify, train, and mentor individuals within organizations, which would thereby create a new culture determined to deal with the consequences of terrorist use of WMD.

Develop a tiered continuum of response.

Crisis Management

Sensing the urgency of the matter

Thinking creatively and strategically to solving the crisis

Taking bold actions and acting courageously and sincerely

Breaking away from the self-protective organizational culture by taking risks and actions that may produce optimum solutions in which there would be no significant losers

Maintaining a continuous presence in the rapidly changing situation with unfolding dramatic events

Autonomous Detection Systems

Continuously samples the environment (e.g., air or water)

Mixes that sample with a special buffer solution. An automated detection assay (e.g., a real-time PCR test or an immunoassay)

Analyzes the trapped material at a defined sampling interval

Incorporate an alert notification system to trigger a response once a positive signal has been generated

Result is an approximate real-time detection and alerting system

ADS & Bacillus anthracis (BA)

Every agency that deploys an ADS must develop detailed plans for responding to a positive signal (Meehan et al., 2004)

Plans should be formulated into Concept of Operation (CONOPS) documents that embody consequence management principles

Responding to ADS detection of B. anthracis involves coordinating responses with response agencies and other stakeholders.

CONOPS Guidelines

Immediate response and evacuation

Decontamination of potentially exposed workers to remove spores from clothing and skin and prevent introduction of BA into the worker's home and conveyances

Laboratory confirmation of an ADS signal

Steps for evaluating potentially contaminated environments

Post-exposure prophylaxis and follow-up

Image courtesy of USPS

Biohazard Detection System (BDS)

Developed for the United States Postal Service

A model system resulting from a cooperative effort led by Northrop Grumman

Partnering Organizations:

Cepheid, Inc

Smiths Detection

Sceptor Industries

BDS Summary

Automates and integrates air sampling and subsequent analysis using polymerase chain reaction technology

As letter mail is processed down to a single stream of mail thought an Automated Facer Canceller system (AFCS) it is screened for Bacillus anthracis (BA) spores

Consumables (cartridges and buffer solutions) are replenished daily and weekly with no skilled labor required to operate the system

Critical Thinking

The BDS has been functional since 2004. Since that time, more than ten million individual tests have been run and there hasn’t been a single positive test result (or false positive) in the testing of more than 100 billion pieces of mail. The United States Postal Service has serious financial problems. How much longer will they continue to keep the BDS in operation? The answer to this question is not known. There are many factors that weigh heavily on USPS administrators in justifying the continuation of this program. What might they be? Liability, worker safety, sense of security?

Also, ricin has been sent through the mail several times since the inception of the program. Presumably, this represents a serious threat to postal workers and the general public, but there’s no testing in place for this agent. Why? Would a PCR test detect a toxin?

Required Technical Specifications

Sensitivity is a measurement of how few organisms can be present in a sample and still be detected. Based on the specific protocols in the GeneXpert® cartridge and knowledge of infectious dose ranges for anthrax, sensitivities were established as:

Less than 50 BA spores per reaction in a USPS specimen

Less than 30 BA spores per reaction in pure water or buffer

Specificity is a measure of how often a true negative is called negative by the method. False positive results can cause unnecessary and expensive responses or work stoppages.

False positive rate target = < 1:500,000 (99.9998%)

No cross-reactivity with nearest neighbor organisms or those found as normal content of the raw sample

Non-Determinate Rate (due to all test failures, mechanical, software, or reagent) of less than 1%

Speed of less than 35 minutes to result (after raw sample transfer to cartridge)

Algorithm: Continuous, on-site testing with no human intervention

BDS Timeline

BDS pilot program began May, 2002

Preproduction phase (November 2002–May 2003)

Production deployment started in early 2004

Deployment completed in December of 2005

BDS Validation

Extensive effort involving numerous federal agencies (CDC & DOD)

The Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP), Executive Office of the President, formed an interagency working group (IWG) to critically evaluate the USPS plans and data from BDS pilot studies. That group concluded in a report from the IWG and the letter from the House Of Representatives Committee on Government Reform, dated November 25, 2002 that:

the BDS and GeneXpert system demonstrated performance consistent with laboratory-based state of the art systems. They found the system fully capable to meet the strict USPS performance requirements (OSTP, IWG Report, 2005).

The GeneXpert® System

GeneXpert® cartridges handle large volumes of raw sample, extract and concentrate the target organisms, remove extraneous and inhibiting substances and purify and concentrate the organism’s DNA, all automatically.

The concentrating of target organisms from large sample volumes enables the GeneXpert to meet the sensitivity requirement

The BA Cartridge

Images courtesy of Cepheid, Inc.

Biosensor Process

Real Time PCR

‘A’ - the probe hybridizes to the gene sequence it was designed for while polymerization is taking place

‘B’ - the probe is displaced by the DNA polymerase and cleaved in ‘C’.

‘D’ - the fluorochrome attached to the probe is released into solution and is later excited by a specific wavelength of light.

The excitation is detected and measured.

When that signal exceeds a specific limit, the signal is considered positive

Image courtesy of Cepheid, Inc.

Screen Shot of BDS Biosensor

Result

Growth curves

Image courtesy of Cepheid, Inc.

Attributes of the BDS Biosensor

PCR is a well-established method for the highly sensitive and specific detection of cells at extremely low levels

Gene sequences are amplified from very few copies

Employs a four-color fluorescent real-time PCR system

Four different targets and/or controls are measured and distinguished simultaneously. For the USPS anthrax test, the assay detects:

Two key virulence genes [pX01 gene (pag), and pX02 gene (capB)]

An internal control designed to emulate those targets

A separate sample prep control

Detection of the two key virulence genes is the best approach to achieving the specificity requirement

The probability that a test would be simultaneously falsely positive for two separate genes is extremely improbable

BDS Alert

Sample to LRN

Positive LRN PCR

Negative LRN PCR

Confirmed LRN Culture

Negative LRN Culture

Evacuate facility/shut down HVAC/Notification

Antibiotic distribution plan in “watch” mode

Distribute 5-day course of antibiotic prophylaxis for all employees

60-day antibiotic prophylaxis and vaccination for selected employees

Collect demographic data

Collect Epi Data (upstream analysis)

0-8 hours

9-24 hours

25-120 hours

Initiate environmental sampling to find source of contamination

2 cartridges, liquid reserve

Notify USPS

Isolate to CDC

Alert staff and public off-site

Responding to a BDS Alert

Employee wash change clothes/shoes

High risk: shower

Collect employee data

USPS CONOPS

Critical Thinking

In the fall of 2001, we experienced an act of bioterrorism when Bacillus anthracis spores were intentionally released through several small envelopes placed in the U.S. mail. The USPS turned to industry and asked for proposals to a solution to this problem. Several small companies teamed up with a major defense contractor, Northrop Grumman, and developed the biohazard detection system. It took two years to fully develop the system and nearly 18 months to validate it. The USPS began deployment of the BDS in late 2004. The system is now fully deployed and actively screening letter mail in 282 mail sorting facilities across the United States. So far, billions of pieces of mail have been screened and there have been no false positive or true positive results.

Do you believe that having this system in place is the reason why we have not seen another attempt at using the U.S. postal system to disseminate biological agents?

How has it performed since?

Deployment of BDS completed at 272 sites across the US

As of 2007, more than ten million tests have been performed during screening of more than 100 billion pieces of mail

There have been no false positives (or true positives reported)

Early on, there was some trouble with non-determinant results (neither positive or negative) - due to contamination or debris – problem has been rectified

Discussion Questions

How do the CONOP measures for the BDS compare to the recommendations of Meehan and colleagues (2004), previously outlined in the section of this chapter on Autonomous Detection Systems?

How do the actions outlined in the CONOPS section of this chapter fall into line with RAIN?

What are the benefits and features of having an ADS installed? What are the liabilities?

Chapter Summary

The Amerithrax incident was a wake up call for government officials and the American public

A solution was needed to protect workers and ensure the safety and integrity of the US mail

The commercial sector worked quickly and efficiently to build the solution that the USPS needed

Autonomous Detection Systems are built from impressive and intricate technologies. These systems enable us to monitor the environment for a potential attack from a bioterrorist

The Biohazard Detection System is a perfect example of a model system. It is intended to take advantage of exposure surveillance compared to disease surveillance, which reduces the timeline for detecting a bioterrorist attack, thereby reducing the risk of disease through post-exposure prophylaxis

Consequence management and CONOPS are important, well thought out programs aimed at taking advantage of these systems to the fullest extent possible

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