McKesson - Analysis 4-3
Data Provided
| Month | Stock | Dollar per | ||
| Price | ECU | |||
| 1 | 35.550 | Rate of Return | 1.1845 | Change in Exchange Rate |
| 2 | 36.175 | 1.8% | 1.1920 | 0.6% |
| 3 | 36.050 | -0.3% | 1.2085 | 1.4% |
| 4 | 36.175 | 0.3% | 1.2144 | 0.5% |
| 5 | 36.300 | 0.3% | 1.2032 | -0.9% |
| 6 | 36.175 | -0.3% | 1.2107 | 0.6% |
| 7 | 36.800 | 1.7% | 1.2071 | -0.3% |
| 8 | 36.425 | -1.0% | 1.2083 | 0.1% |
| 9 | 36.425 | 0.0% | 1.2052 | -0.3% |
| 10 | 35.425 | -2.7% | 1.2220 | 1.4% |
| 11 | 34.050 | -3.9% | 1.2326 | 0.9% |
| 12 | 33.425 | -1.8% | 1.2376 | 0.4% |
| 13 | 37.675 | 12.7% | 1.2205 | -1.4% |
| 14 | 38.550 | 2.3% | 1.2240 | 0.3% |
| 15 | 38.050 | -1.3% | 1.2315 | 0.6% |
| 16 | 38.800 | 2.0% | 1.2359 | 0.4% |
| 17 | 39.050 | 0.6% | 1.2442 | 0.7% |
| 18 | 39.300 | 0.6% | 1.2407 | -0.3% |
| 19 | 39.800 | 1.3% | 1.2324 | -0.7% |
| 20 | 39.175 | -1.6% | 1.2348 | 0.2% |
| 21 | 39.550 | 1.0% | 1.2097 | -2.0% |
| 22 | 39.050 | -1.3% | 1.2094 | -0.0% |
| 23 | 38.800 | -0.6% | 1.2100 | 0.0% |
| 24 | 38.425 | -1.0% | 1.2075 | -0.2% |
| 25 | 38.925 | 1.3% | 1.2123 | 0.4% |
| 26 | 39.050 | 0.3% | 1.2265 | 1.2% |
| 27 | 40.800 | 4.5% | 1.2344 | 0.6% |
| 28 | 40.550 | -0.6% | 1.2277 | -0.5% |
| 29 | 40.800 | 0.6% | 1.2255 | -0.2% |
| 30 | 40.550 | -0.6% | 1.2381 | 1.0% |
| 31 | 40.550 | 0.0% | 1.2349 | -0.3% |
| 32 | 40.425 | -0.3% | 1.2363 | 0.1% |
| 33 | 38.550 | -4.6% | 1.2363 | 0.0% |
| 34 | 39.300 | 1.9% | 1.2321 | -0.3% |
| 35 | 38.550 | -1.9% | 1.2349 | 0.2% |
| 36 | 38.675 | 0.3% | 1.2313 | -0.3% |
| 37 | 37.800 | -2.3% | 1.2303 | -0.1% |
| 38 | 37.800 | 0.0% | 1.2332 | 0.2% |
| 39 | 37.925 | 0.3% | 1.2341 | 0.1% |
| 40 | 37.800 | -0.3% | 1.2345 | 0.0% |
| 41 | 38.300 | 1.3% | 1.2295 | -0.4% |
| 42 | 38.050 | -0.7% | 1.2382 | 0.7% |
| 43 | 38.675 | 1.6% | 1.2323 | -0.5% |
| 44 | 38.425 | -0.6% | 1.2357 | 0.3% |
| 45 | 38.425 | 0.0% | 1.2326 | -0.3% |
| 46 | 38.925 | 1.3% | 1.2313 | -0.1% |
| 47 | 38.925 | 0.0% | 1.2367 | 0.4% |
| 48 | 38.675 | -0.6% | 1.2379 | 0.1% |
| 49 | 38.300 | -1.0% | 1.2394 | 0.1% |
| 50 | 37.550 | -2.0% | 1.2994 | 4.8% |
| 51 | 37.800 | 0.7% | 1.2994 | 0.0% |
| 52 | 40.050 | 6.0% | 1.2352 | -4.9% |
| 53 | 39.800 | -0.6% | 1.2387 | 0.3% |
| 54 | 39.800 | 0.0% | 1.2447 | 0.5% |
| 55 | 39.425 | -0.9% | 1.2538 | 0.7% |
| 56 | 39.425 | 0.0% | 1.2701 | 1.3% |
| 57 | 39.300 | -0.3% | 1.2684 | -0.1% |
| 58 | 40.050 | 1.9% | 1.2689 | 0.0% |
| 59 | 39.550 | -1.2% | 1.2738 | 0.4% |
| 60 | 39.675 | 0.3% | 1.2694 | -0.3% |
| 61 | 39.640 | -0.1% | 1.2743 | 0.4% |
Regression for Data Provided
| SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||||
| Regression Statistics | ||||||||
| Multiple R | 0.4646355891 | |||||||
| R Square | 0.2158862306 | 22% of variation or movement of value over time in company value of company is explained by changes in exchange rate between dollar and EUR | ||||||
| Adjusted R Square | 0.2023670277 | |||||||
| Standard Error | 0.0209482897 | |||||||
| Observations | 60 | |||||||
| ANOVA | ||||||||
| df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||||
| Regression | 1 | 0.0070076273 | 0.0070076273 | 15.9688579209 | 0.0001840734 | |||
| Residual | 58 | 0.0254521887 | 0.0004388308 | |||||
| Total | 59 | 0.0324598161 | ||||||
| Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | |
| Intercept | 0.0033596922 | 0.0027234078 | 1.2336353662 | 0.2223147329 | -0.0020918008 | 0.0088111852 | -0.0020918008 | 0.0088111852 |
| Change in Exchange Rate | -1.0050835634 | 0.2515157827 | -3.9961053441 | 0.0001840734 | -1.5085471032 | -0.5016200236 | -1.5085471032 | -0.5016200236 |
| <0.05 =Coeff on X variable significantly different from 0 | ||||||||
| $ per EUR | neg 1.005% |
McKesson
| Month | Stock | Dollar per | ||
| Price | ECU | |||
| 1 | 112.31 | Rate of Return | 1.129772 | Change in Exchange Rate |
| 2 | 114.41 | 1.9% | 1.12345 | -0.6% |
| 3 | 117.18 | 2.4% | 1.119172 | -0.4% |
| 4 | 129.34 | 10.4% | 1.130053 | 1.0% |
| 5 | 133.73 | 3.4% | 1.121734 | -0.7% |
| 6 | 133.08 | -0.5% | 1.114252 | -0.7% |
| 7 | 131.92 | -0.9% | 1.102332 | -1.1% |
| 8 | 128.38 | -2.7% | 1.106466 | 0.4% |
| 9 | 139.62 | 8.8% | 1.105233 | -0.1% |
| 10 | 133.9 | -4.1% | 1.11105 | 0.5% |
| 11 | 138.05 | 3.1% | 1.109846 | -0.1% |
| 12 | 135.39 | -1.9% | 1.091708 | -1.6% |
| 13 | 131.3 | -3.0% | 1.105525 | 1.3% |
| 14 | 137.11 | 4.4% | 1.086721 | -1.7% |
| 15 | 154.02 | 12.3% | 1.093466 | 0.6% |
| 16 | 149.32 | -3.1% | 1.125411 | 2.9% |
| 17 | 146.14 | -2.1% | 1.145744 | 1.8% |
| 18 | 149.34 | 2.2% | 1.183038 | 3.3% |
| 19 | 145.34 | -2.7% | 1.178781 | -0.4% |
| 20 | 143.94 | -1.0% | 1.17708 | -0.1% |
| 21 | 175.58 | 22.0% | 1.184064 | 0.6% |
| 22 | 170.13 | -3.1% | 1.217602 | 2.8% |
| 23 | 170.67 | 0.3% | 1.216347 | -0.1% |
| 24 | 165.82 | -2.8% | 1.209424 | -0.6% |
| 25 | 190.79 | 15.1% | 1.190316 | -1.6% |
| 26 | 183.93 | -3.6% | 1.196578 | 0.5% |
| 27 | 188.66 | 2.6% | 1.214649 | 1.5% |
| 28 | 187.94 | -0.4% | 1.203926 | -0.9% |
| 29 | 200.31 | 6.6% | 1.182541 | -1.8% |
| 30 | 200.62 | 0.2% | 1.177023 | -0.5% |
| 31 | 196.4 | -2.1% | 1.177358 | 0.0% |
| 32 | 204.77 | 4.3% | 1.15969 | -1.5% |
| 33 | 213.52 | 4.3% | 1.139576 | -1.7% |
| 34 | 245.37 | 14.9% | 1.130397 | -0.8% |
| 35 | 253.42 | 3.3% | 1.132211 | 0.2% |
| 36 | 271.42 | 7.1% | 1.134813 | 0.2% |
| 37 | 302.71 | 11.5% | 1.100694 | -3.0% |
| 38 | 306.15 | 1.1% | 1.080801 | -1.8% |
| 39 | 325.01 | 6.2% | 1.057227 | -2.2% |
| 40 | 323.02 | -0.6% | 1.056715 | -0.0% |
| 41 | 338.23 | 4.7% | 1.019149 | -3.6% |
| 42 | 363.41 | 7.4% | 1.011835 | -0.7% |
| 43 | 337.04 | -7.3% | 0.991346 | -2.0% |
| 44 | 386.13 | 14.6% | 0.983325 | -0.8% |
| 45 | 378.5 | -2.0% | 1.022525 | 4.0% |
| 46 | 372.53 | -1.6% | 1.059237 | 3.6% |
| 47 | 376.06 | 0.9% | 1.078189 | 1.8% |
| 48 | 347.39 | -7.6% | 1.07039 | -0.7% |
| 49 | 354.13 | 1.9% | 1.071229 | 0.1% |
| 50 | 362.27 | 2.3% | 1.099125 | 2.6% |
| 51 | 388.73 | 7.3% | 1.087917 | -1.0% |
| 52 | 425.6 | 9.5% | 1.084543 | -0.3% |
| 53 | 400.79 | -5.8% | 1.105107 | 1.9% |
| 54 | 410.67 | 2.5% | 1.091297 | -1.2% |
| 55 | 433.75 | 5.6% | 1.068324 | -2.1% |
| 56 | 454.2 | 4.7% | 1.056504 | -1.1% |
| 57 | 469.36 | 3.3% | 1.081896 | 2.4% |
| 58 | 462.43 | -1.5% | 1.091979 | 0.9% |
| 59 | 499.3 | 8.0% | 1.091126 | -0.1% |
| 60 | 520.79 | 4.3% | 1.079318 | -1.1% |
| 61 | 539.26 | 3.5% | 1.088084 | 0.8% |
Regression for McKesson
| SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||||
| Regression Statistics | ||||||||
| Multiple R | 0.2736479951 | |||||||
| R Square | 0.0748832252 | |||||||
| Adjusted R Square | 0.058932936 | |||||||
| Standard Error | 0.0568666151 | |||||||
| Observations | 60 | |||||||
| ANOVA | ||||||||
| df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||||
| Regression | 1 | 0.0151820611 | 0.0151820611 | 4.6947879246 | 0.0343750539 | |||
| Residual | 58 | 0.1875610911 | 0.0032338119 | |||||
| Total | 59 | 0.2027431523 | ||||||
| Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | |
| Intercept | 0.027594284 | 0.0073450567 | 3.7568510716 | 0.000401287 | 0.0128915556 | 0.0422970123 | 0.0128915556 | 0.0422970123 |
| Change in Exchange Rate | -0.9976919292 | 0.4604563532 | -2.1667459299 | 0.0343750539 | -1.9193954622 | -0.0759883963 | -1.9193954622 | -0.0759883963 |