Decision making
Week 8
“Decisions’ Elements”
Dr Ramesh Vahidi [email protected]
MANG6312@Ramesh Vahidi 2022 1
Southampton Business School
24th Mar 2022
Overall Review: Aspects of DM in Projects
• Strategies
• Success
• Context
• Stakeholders’ goals, requirements, expectations, …
• DM Models
• DM in groups
• Problem identification & formulation techniques
• Individuals as decision makers
• Heuristics methods
• Human errors & biases
• Decision Types
• Related disciplines
• Classification of project decision
• Interdependence
• Reality in DM Conceptual Aspect
Decision makers Aspect
Decision Elements
Aspect
Decision Methods & Processes Aspect
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Proportion of Decision Elements
Traditional
Hard Factors
Soft Factors
Contemporary
Hard Factors
Soft Factors
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Hard factors:
- Easy to spot
- Easy to measure
- Not project specific
Soft factors:
- Hard to spot
- Hard to measure
- Project specific
Examples: Time, cost, technical specifications, number of people affected, …
Examples: Long term benefits, acceptability, strategic, reputation, …
Elements in Project Decision
– Decision Elements: What we normally consider/should consider in making or analysing a decision. Besides, elements affect our decisions unknowingly and unintentionally.
– Numerous factors specifically for large projects. Which ones people consider or affect them depend on their:
– Decision making skills, experiences, styles and competencies;
– Natural limitations (e.g., cognitive, personality, bounded rationality and biases);
– Available data and knowledge related to the decision in the org.;
– Decision making biases;
– Specific situations and context;
– ….
– Quality of decision making and capability of decision makers:
– How many of the influencing elements were identified?
– How many they actually did use/consider in making a decision?
– To what extent they actually used/considered these elements.
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If and how these could inform making
and analysing decisions?
Stakeholder Management
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If and how these could
help in making and
analysing decisions?
Main Decision Elements in Projects - Some Main Sources
• Who should be involved? their concerns? Impact?
• Governance impacts?
• What contextual factors can impact the decision? How should they be considered in decision making?
• How can the decision affect project success?
• Which success factors/criteria can affect the decision?
• What is the impact of decision outcome on project/org. strategies and vs.?
• Are these
aligned?
Project Strategies
Project Success
Project Stakeholders
Project Context
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Leadership Governance
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If and how these could
help in making and
analysing decisions?
Project
Strategy -
Strategic
Management
of Projects
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Let’s agree on: ‘Project Objective’
“Something toward which work is to be directed, a
strategic position to be attained, a purpose to be
achieved, a result to be obtained, a product to be
produced, or a service to be performed.”
(PMI, 2013, p.548, my italics)
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X MANG6312@Ramesh Vahidi 2022
Status of ‘Project Strategy’ Studies
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• A recent development;
• Growing agreement on its impact on firms and project success;
• Should be created based on the situations/project.
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Why basically develop a Project Strategy?
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“Ultimately, the goal is to provide a framework and guidelines for
organizations and managers on how to plan their projects with a
strategic focus in mind and how to manage them in a more strategic way
for better business results.”
Shenhar and Patanakul (2010, cited in Turner, 2014, p.35)
RV: And basically from a practical point of view to be able to justify your project, to be able to secure required but scarce resources within the organization and survive within the changing organizations!
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Portfolio Strategy
Programme Strategy
Project Strategy
Project Objective
/Plan /tasks
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Organizational Strategy
Various Levels of Strategy – Large Org. with Many Projects
(Maylor, 2010)
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Project Strategy and its Components
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Shenhar and Patanakul (2014, cited in Turner, 2014, p.39)
Project Strategy: the project perspective, position, and guidelines for what to do and how to do it, to achieve the highest competitive advantage and the best value from the project.
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*These should be embedded from the very early stages of formation and some were discussed further in Success lecture.
‘Shenhar and Patanakul’s’ (2014, cited in Turner, 2014) suggested questions for designing ‘Project Strategy’
The source provides a detailed example.
(Table extracted from Turner, 2014, p.45)
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Traditional vs Strategic Approach
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Maylor (2010, p.52)
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Global Extension of Strategies
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https://www.un.org/youthenvoy/2016/09/un-global-compact-prme-announce-student-engagement- platform-support-sdgs/
*Responsible Management Education → Responsible Managers **“Responsible Graduates”!
***“Responsible Human Beings”!!
From the Exercise on SDGs …
• How were these relevant to your selected project?
• Will these affect your project management style? How?
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https://www.un.org/youthenvoy/2016/09/un- global-compact-prme-announce-student- engagement-platform-support-sdgs/
Now You Tell Me …
• What were the most important things you learned from this lecture?
• How will you use these in analysing a case study?
• How will you use these as a project manager?!
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Do you see how your country report has helped you in developing your understanding of the external
environment of projects in your country?
Food for Thought: Self-reflect and have a developmental plan for yourself!
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• What are the capabilities of a modern world project leader then?
• How could these be developed?
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Readings/References Boddy, D. (2014) Management: an introduction. 5th ed. Imprint: Harlow : Financial Times Prentice Hall. [electronic resource via the Library]. Chapter 3.
Combe, C. (2014) Introduction to Management. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Maylor, H. (2010) Project management. 4th ed. [electronic resource]. Pearson education/Financial Times Prentice Hall. Chapter 3. (Abbey Bank Case, page 56)
*Turner, R. (ed.) (2014) Gower handbook of project management. 5th Ed. Farnham: Gower. Chapter 3. 2010 Edition has more or less the same content on this particular topic but always try using the most recent versions.
Patanakul, P. & Shenhar, A.J. (2012) ‘What Project Strategy Really Is: The Fundamental Building Block in Strategic Project Management’. Project Management Journal. pp.4-20.
Further Readings/References
Shenhar, A.J. (2004) ‘Strategic Project Leaderships: Toward a strategic approach to project management’. R&D Management, 34, 5.
Mega projects’ disadvantaged and drawbacks: read works of Bent Flyvbjerg an his colleagues (plenty on the web).
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References
Boddy, D. (2014) Management: an introduction. 5th ed. Imprint: Harlow : Financial Times Prentice Hall. [electronic resource via the Library].
Combe, C. (2014) Introduction to Management. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Hardman (see slides 5&6 for details).
Virine, L. & Trumper, M. (2008) Project decisions-The art and science. Vienna: Management Concepts Inc.
• Following our discussions on the inevitable sources of decision elements (such as project success model, strategic PM, …), you could find relevant references for each of these topic in related slides from MANG6311 so I did not repeat them here.
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