Discussion Thread: Investing, Budgeting, Wealth Management

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ManagingBondPortfolios.pptx

Managing Bond Portfolios

Bodie, Kane, and Marcus

Essentials of Investments Eleventh Edition

11

Chapter

11.1 Interest Rate Risk

Interest Rate Sensitivity

Bond prices and yields are inversely related

Increase in bond’s yield to maturity results in smaller price change than yield decrease of equal magnitude

Long-term bond prices more sensitive to interest rate changes than short-term bonds

As maturity increases, sensitivity of bond prices to changes in yields increases at decreasing rate

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11.1 Interest Rate Risk

Interest Rate Sensitivity

As maturity increases, sensitivity of bond prices to changes in yields increases at decreasing rate

Interest rate risk is inversely related to bond’s coupon rate; low-coupon bonds are more sensitive to interest rates

Sensitivity of bond’s price-to-yield change is inversely related to current yield to maturity

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Figure 11.1 Change in Bond Prices as a Function of Change in Yield to Maturity

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11.1 Interest Rate Risk: Coupons Rate and Sensitivity

Prices of zero-coupon bonds

Prices of 8% annual coupon bonds

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11.1 Interest Rate Risk

Macaulay’s Duration

Measures effective bond maturity

Weighted average of the times until each payment, with weights proportional to the present value of payment

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Spreadsheet 11.1 Calculation of Duration of Two Bonds

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11.1 Interest Rate Risk

Change in Bond Price to Yield to Maturity

Modified Duration

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Spreadsheet 11.2 Computing Duration

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11.1 Interest Rate Risk

What Determines Duration?

Zero-coupon bond’s duration is time to maturity

Time/yield to maturity constant, bond’s duration and interest-rate sensitivity higher when coupon price lower

Coupon rate constant, bond’s duration and interest-rate sensitivity generally increase with time to maturity; duration always increases with maturity for bonds at or above par

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11.1 Interest Rate Risk

What Determines Duration?

Other factors constant, duration and interest rate sensitivity of coupon bond higher when bond’s yield to maturity lower

Duration of a perpetuity

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Figure 11.2 Duration as Function of Maturity

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Table 11.3 Annual Coupon Bond Duration

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11.2 Passive Bond Management

Immunization

Strategy to shield net worth from interest rate movements

Rebalancing

Realigning proportions of assets in portfolio as needed

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Table 11.4 Terminal Value of Bond Portfolio after Five Years

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Figure 11.3 Growth of Invested Funds

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Table 11.5 Market Value Balance Sheets

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Figure 11.4 Immunization

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11.2 Passive Bond Management

Cash Flow Matching and Deduction

Cash flow matching

Matching cash flows from fixed-income portfolio with those of obligation

Deduction strategy

Multi-period cash flow matching

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11.3 Convexity

Convexity

Curvature of price-yield relationship of bond

Why Do Investors Like Convexity?

More convexity = greater price increases, smaller price decreases when interest rates fluctuate by larger amounts

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Figure 11.5 Bond Price Convexity

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11.4 Active Bond Management: Strategies

Sources of Potential Profit Strategy
Substitution swap Exchange of one bond for bond with similar attributes and better price
Intermarket swap Switching from one segment of bond market to another
Rate anticipation swap Switch made in response to forecasts of interest rate changes
Pure yield pickup swap Moving to higher yield bonds, usually with longer maturities
Tax swap Swapping two similar bonds to receive tax benefit
Horizon analysis Forecast of bond returns based largely on prediction of yield curve at end of investment horizon

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11.4 Active Bond Management

Fixed-Income Investment Strategy

Key features

Firms respect market