PAFF 510 MATH ASSIGNMENT

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LogicModelAssignment2.docx

Logic Model Assignment (25 points – 10 for memo & 15 for logic model)

Consider a policy or social program that actually exists, that you would like to propose or that someone else has proposed. Choose an area that interests you and that you know something about. Prepare a description of the theory of the mechanism of how your program works to affect the outcome.

If you are looking for a program – I recommend reading through this report from UCLA on the impact of Washington DC’s voucher program.

Write this up as memo (~ 400 words) to a boss or collaborator who is working with you to develop the program. This is not someone you need to convince about the importance of the outcomes or the program.

Make sure that you including the following:

(1) What is (are) the outcome(s) (dependent variable(s)) the program is designed to affect? If there are many outcomes, restrict your analysis to one outcome or two closely related outcomes. (For example, your program program’s goal might be to raise high school graduation rates in urban areas and so the outcome is graduation rate.) Make sure that you state the outcome(s) explicitly.

(2) Describe your program—what it is. This should be as explicit as possible, not vague generalities. This section should be brief: a half double-spaced page at the most. Do not include marketing or promotion: your reader does not need to be convinced of the importance of the project. Write an objective and concrete statement of what the program literally does but do include implementation details.

(3) Using a path diagram and a narrative description, describe your theory of how the program is supposed to work. Both the path diagram and the narrative description should make clear the mechanism(s) through which the program will affect the outcome. So, if a link is not obvious, break it down into the steps along the way, illustrating the intervening variables.

This section should illustrate to your readers why they should believe that the program will work—will affect the outcome(s). It should also make clear what the weak linkages are.

This part (3) is the main focus of the assignment.

Notes and advice:

· The circles represent variables and the arrows represent causal effects. Make sure that you understand clearly the unit of analysis in your theory—the individuals to whom the variable applies: For example, is the program working on students, on schools, on cities?

· There can be many mechanisms through which a program works. If so, pick only a couple and just note that there are other mechanisms. These should be more detailed than the logic models you see in many grant proposals and papers. Each link should be spelled out and made believable.

· Draw your logic model by hand. Using software takes unnecessary time and (much more importantly) makes it hard to insert extra variables and arrows or to change what is there. If you absolutely must draw this in software, do not do that until the last possible point when you have already finalized your logic model by hand. To submit the logic model by email scan just the diagram part.

· Do not include introductions, motivations, background, marketing and so on.

· Do not include inputs, resources, or (detailed) activities. This logic model is not an implementation-oriented one: It focuses on mechanism. Implementation is done more effectively after you understand clearly the mechanism. So, this logic model should not look like Figure 2.9. It should look more like Figure 2.8 or the top of p. 45 but with more details (e.g., more branches, more intervening variables).

· Do use the tips on pp. 43-45. These tips were developed based on commonly made errors!

· Check that each separate causal link makes sense isolated. Check that you are not missing causal links between variables on the page.

Rubric for Logic Model Assignment

Issue

A level work

B level work

C level work

F level work

Independent variable

(program)

Clearly defined indep var in narrative and path diagram

All effects on outcome (except contextual vars) lead ultimately from indep var

Clearly defined indep var in narrative and path diagram

Some effects on outcome lead ultimately from indep var

Some definition of indep var in either narrative or path diagram

No clearly defined indep var

Dependent variable (outcome)

Clearly defined Dep var in narrative and path diagram

No other unspecified outcomes are de facto outcomes

Clearly defined dep var in narrative and path diagram

Almost no other unspecified outcomes are de facto outcomes

Some definition of dep var in either narrative or path diagram

Other unspecified outcomes are de facto outcomes

No clearly defined dep var

Intervening variables

Clearly defined Interv variables in narrative and path diagram

The bulk of preceding variables are logical causes and following variables are logical consequences Does not confuse process and mechanism

Mostly clearly defined Interv variables in narrative and path diagram

Most of preceding variables are logical causes and following variables are logical consequences

Does not confuse process and mechanism

Some definition of interv variables in either narrative of path diagram Some of preceding variables are logical causes, and some following variables are logical consequences Confuses process and mechanism

Intervening variables are not variables Preceding variables are not logical causes and following variables are not logical consequences Completely substitutes process for mechanism

Issue

A level work

B level work

C level work

F level work

Mechanics of Assignment

Narrative of mechanism is clear, concise and avoids marketing in favor of program description.

Clearly describes variables and mechanisms. The bulk of path diagram has clearly drawn variables, explicit relationship arrows, and includes signs to show positive or inverse causal effects

Narrative portion is clear, concise and contains little marketing in favor of program description.

Describes variables and mechanisms, Most of the path diagram has clearly drawn variables, explicit relationship arrows, and includes signs to show positive or inverse causal effects

Narrative portion is confusing and/or contains mostly program marketing language. Path diagram is missing some variables and/or some arrows and signs

Narrative does not explain the program or variables.

Path diagram missing many arrows and signs.

Writing quality

Writing is very clear

Arguments are cogent &persuasive

Organization is sensible & clear

Language is correct and concise

No repetition

Writing is fairly clear

Arguments are fairly cogent & persuasive

Organization is mostly sensible & clear

Language is mostly correct

Some unnecessary repetition

Writing is unclear

Arguments are not cogent & persuasive

Poor organization

Language has mistakes

Much unnecessary repetition

Writing is unclear

No arguments are made

No organization

Language has many mistakes

Much repetition