POLS 446A
Francis Fukuyama (1992)
The End of History and the Last Man
By Way of an Introduction
The distant origins of the present volume lie in an article entitled
“The End of History”“ which I wrote for the journal /The National
Interest/ in the summer of 1989. In it, I argued that a remarkable
consensus concerning the legitimacy of liberal democracy as a system of
government had emerged throughout the world over the past few years, as
it conquered rival ideologies like hereditary monarchy, fascism, and
most recently communism. More than that, however, I argued that liberal
democracy may constitute the “end point of mankind”s ideological
evolution” and the “final form of human government,” and as such
constituted the “end of history.” That is, while earlier forms of
government were characterised by grave defects and irrationalities that
led to their eventual collapse, liberal democracy was arguably free from
such fundamental internal contradictions. This was not to say that
today”s stable democracies, like the United States, France, or
Switzerland, were not without injustice or serious social problems. But
these problems were ones of incomplete implementation of the twin
principles of liberty and equality on which modern democracy is founded,
rather than of flaws in the principles themselves. While some
present-day countries might fail to achieve stable liberal democracy,
and others might lapse back into other, more primitive forms of rule
like theocracy or military dictatorship, the ideal of liberal democracy
could not be improved on.
The original article excited an extraordinary amount of commentary and
controversy, first in the United States, and then in a series of
countries as different as England, France, Italy, the Soviet Union,
Brazil, South Africa, Japan, and South Korea. Criticism took every
conceivable form, some of it based on simple misunderstanding of my
original intent, and others penetrating more perceptively to the core of
my argument. Many people were confused in the first instance by my use
of the word “history.” Understanding history in a conventional sense as
the occurrence of events, people pointed to the fall of the Berlin Wall,
the Chinese communist crackdown in Tiananmen Square, and the Iraqi
invasion of Kuwait as evidence that “history was continuing,” and that I
was //ipso facto// proven wrong.
And yet what I suggested had come to an end was not the occurrence of
events, even large and grave events, but History: that is, history
understood as a single, coherent, evolutionary process, when taking into
account the experience of all peoples in all times. This understanding
of History was most closely associated with the great German philosopher
G. W. F. Hegel. It was made part of our daily intellectual atmosphere by
Karl Marx, who borrowed this concept of History from Hegel, and is
implicit in our use of words like “primitive” or “advanced,”
“traditional” or “modern,” when referring to different types of human
societies. For both of these thinkers, there was a coherent development
of human societies from simple tribal ones based on slavery and
subsistence agriculture, through various theocracies, monarchies, and
feudal aristocracies, up through modern liberal democracy and
technologically driven capitalism. This evolutionary process was neither
random nor unintelligible, even if it did not proceed in a straight
line, and even if it was possible to question whether man was happier or
better off as a result of historical “progress.”
Both Hegel and Marx believed that the evolution of human societies was
not open-ended, but would end when mankind had achieved a form of
society that satisfied its deepest and most fundamental longings. Both
thinkers thus posited an “end of history”: for Hegel this was the
liberal state, while for Marx it was a communist society. This did not
mean that the natural cycle of birth, life, and death would end, that
important events would no longer happen, or that newspapers reporting
them would cease to be published. It meant, rather, that there would be
no further progress in the development of underlying principles and
institutions, because all of the really big questions had been settled.
The present book is not a restatement of my original article, nor is it
an effort to continue the discussion with that article”s many critics
and commentators. Least of all is it an account of the end of the Cold
War, or any other pressing topic in contemporary politics. While this
book is informed by recent world events, its subject returns to a very
old question: Whether, at the end of the twentieth century, it makes
sense for us once again to speak of a coherent and directional History
of mankind that will eventually lead the greater part of humanity to
liberal democracy” The answer I arrive at is yes, for two separate
reasons. One has to do with economics, and the other has to do with what
is termed the “struggle for recognition.”
It is of course not sufficient to appeal to the authority of Hegel,
Marx, or any of their contemporary followers to establish the validity
of a directional History. In the century and a half since they wrote,
their intellectual legacy has been relentlessly assaulted from all
directions. The most profound thinkers of the twentieth century have
directly attacked the idea that history is a coherent or intelligible
process; indeed, they have denied the possibility that any aspect of
human life is philosophically intelligible. We in the West have become
thoroughly pessimistic with regard to the possibility of overall
progress in democratic institutions. This profound pessimism is not
accidental, but born of the truly terrible political events of the first
half of the twentieth century “ two destructive world wars, the rise of
totalitarian ideologies, and the turning of science against man in the
form of nuclear weapons and environmental damage. The life experiences
of the victims of this past century”s political violence “ from the
survivors of Hitlerism and Stalinism to the victims of Pol Pot “ would
deny that there has been such a thing as historical progress. Indeed, we
have become so accustomed by now to expect that the future will contain
bad news with respect to the health and security of decent, liberal,
democratic political practices that we have problems recognising good
news when it comes.
And yet, good news has come. The most remarkable development of the last
quarter of the twentieth century has been the revelation of enormous
weaknesses at the core of the world”s seemingly strong dictatorships,
whether they be of the military-authoritarian Right, or the
communist-totalitarian Left. From Latin America to Eastern Europe, from
the Soviet Union to the Middle East and Asia, strong governments have
been failing over the last two decades. And while they have not given
way in all cases to stable liberal democracies, liberal democracy
remains the only coherent political aspiration that spans different
regions and cultures around the globe. In addition, liberal principles
in economics “ the “free market” “ have spread, and have succeeded in
producing unprecedented levels of material prosperity, both in
industrially developed countries and in countries that had been, at the
close of World War II, part of the impoverished Third World. A liberal
revolution in economic thinking has sometimes preceded, sometimes
followed, the move toward political freedom around the globe.
All of these developments, so much at odds with the terrible history of
the first half of the century when totalitarian governments of the Right
and Left were on the march, suggest the need to look again at the
question of whether there is some deeper connecting thread underlying
them, or whether they are merely accidental instances of good luck. By
raising once again the question of whether there is such a thing as a
Universal History of mankind, I am resuming a discussion that was begun
in the early nineteenth century, but more or less abandoned in our time
because of the enormity of events that mankind has experienced since
then. While drawing on the ideas of philosophers like Kant and Hegel who
have addressed this question before, I hope that the arguments presented
here will stand on their own.
This volume immodestly presents not one but two separate efforts to
outline such a Universal History. After establishing in Part I why we
need to raise once again the possibility of Universal History, I propose
an initial answer in Part II by attempting to use modern natural science
as a regulator or mechanism to explain the directionality and coherence
of History. Modern natural science is a useful starting point because it
is the only important social activity that by common consensus is both
cumulative and directional, even if its ultimate impact on human
happiness is ambiguous. The progressive conquest of nature made possible
with the development of the scientific method in the sixteenth and
seventeenth centuries has proceeded according to certain definite rules
laid down not by man, but by nature and nature”s laws.
The unfolding of modern natural science has had a uniform effect on all
societies that have experienced it, for two reasons. In the first place,
technology confers decisive military advantages on those countries that
possess it, and given the continuing possibility of war in the
international system of states, no state that values its independence
can ignore the need for defensive modernisation. Second, modern natural
science establishes a uniform horizon of economic production
possibilities. Technology makes possible the limitless accumulation of
wealth, and thus the satisfaction of an ever-expanding set of human
desires. This process guarantees an increasing homogenisation of all
human societies, regardless of their historical origins or cultural
inheritances. All countries undergoing economic modernisation must
increasingly resemble one another: they must unify nationally on the
basis of a centralised state, urbanise, replace traditional forms of
social organisation like tribe, sect, and family with economically
rational ones based on function and efficiency, and provide for the
universal education of their citizens. Such societies have become
increasingly linked with one another through global markets and the
spread of a universal consumer culture. Moreover, the logic of modern
natural science would seem to dictate a universal evolution in the
direction of capitalism. The experiences of the Soviet Union, China, and
other socialist countries indicate that while highly centralised
economies are sufficient to reach the level of industrialisation
represented by Europe in the 1950s, they are woefully inadequate in
creating what have been termed complex “post-industrial” economies in
which information and technological innovation play a much larger role.
But while the historical mechanism represented by modern natural science
is sufficient to explain a great deal about the character of historical
change and the growing uniformity of modern societies, it is not
sufficient to account for the phenomenon of democracy. There is no
question but that the world”s most developed countries are also its most
successful democracies. But while modern natural science guides us to
the gates of the Promised Land of liberal democracy, it does not deliver
us to the Promised Land itself, for there is no economically necessary
reason why advanced industrialisation should produce political liberty.
Stable democracy has at times emerged in pre-industrial societies, as it
did in the United States in 1776. On the other hand, there are many
historical and contemporary examples of technologically advanced
capitalism coexisting with political authoritarianism from Meiji Japan
and Bismarckian Germany to present-day Singapore and Thailand. In many
cases, authoritarian states are capable of producing rates of economic
growth unachievable in democratic societies.
Our first effort to establish the basis for a directional history is
thus only partly successful. What we have called the “logic of modern
natural science” is in effect an economic interpretation of historical
change, but one which (unlike its Marxist variant) leads to capitalism
rather than socialism as its final result. The logic of modern science
can explain a great deal about our world: why we residents of developed
democracies are office workers rather than peasants eking out a living
on the land, why we are members of labor unions or professional
organisations rather than tribes or clans, why we obey the authority of
a bureaucratic superior rather than a priest, why we are literate and
speak a common national language.
But economic interpretations of history are incomplete and unsatisfying,
because man is not simply an economic animal. In particular, such
interpretations cannot really explain why we are democrats, that is,
proponents of the principle of popular sovereignty and the guarantee of
basic rights under a rule of law. It is for this reason that the book
turns to a second, parallel account of the historical process in Part
III, an account that seeks to recover the whole of man and not just his
economic side. To do this, we return to Hegel and Hegel”s
non-materialist account of History, based on the “struggle for recognition.”
According to Hegel, human beings like animals have natural needs and
desires for objects outside themselves such as food, drink, shelter, and
above all the preservation of their own bodies. Man differs
fundamentally from the animals, however, because in addition he desires
the desire of other men, that is, he wants to be “recognised.” In
particular, he wants to be recognised as a human being, that is, as a
being with a certain worth or dignity. This worth in the first instance
is related to his willingness to risk his life in a struggle over pure
prestige. For only man is able to overcome his most basic animal
instincts “ chief among them his instinct for self-preservation “ for
the sake of higher, abstract principles and goals. According to Hegel,
the desire for recognition initially drives two primordial combatants to
seek to make the other “recognise” their humanness by staking their
lives in a mortal battle. When the natural fear of death leads one
combatant to submit, the relationship of master and slave is born. The
stakes in this bloody battle at the beginning of history are not food,
shelter, or security, but pure prestige. And precisely because the goal
of the battle is not determined by biology, Hegel sees in it the first
glimmer of human freedom.
The desire for recognition may at first appear to be an unfamiliar
concept, but it is as old as the tradition of Western political
philosophy, and constitutes a thoroughly familiar part of the human
personality. It was first described by Plato in the /Republic/, when he
noted that there were three parts to the soul, a desiring part, a
reasoning part, and a part that he called /thymos/, or “spiritedness.”
Much of human behaviour can be explained as a combination of the first
two parts, desire and reason: desire induces men to seek things outside
themselves, while reason or calculation shows them the best way to get
them. But in addition, human beings seek recognition of their own worth,
or of the people, things, or principles that they invest with worth. The
propensity to invest the self with a certain value, and to demand
recognition for that value, is what in today”s popular language we would
call “self-esteem.” The propensity to feel self-esteem arises out of the
part of the soul called /thymos/. It is like an innate human sense of
justice. People believe that they have a certain worth, and when other
people treat them as though they are worth less than that, they
experience the emotion of /anger/. Conversely, when people fail to live
up to their own sense of worth, they feel /shame/, and when they are
evaluated correctly in proportion to their worth, they feel /pride/. The
desire for recognition, and the accompanying emotions of anger, shame,
and pride, are parts of the human personality critical to political
life. According to Hegel, they are what drives the whole historical process.
By Hegel”s account, the desire to be recognised as a human being with
dignity drove man at the beginning of history into a bloody battle to
the death for prestige. The outcome of this battle was a division of
human society into a class of masters, who were willing to risk their
lives, and a class of slaves, who gave in to their natural fear of
death. But the relationship of lordship and bondage, which took a wide
variety of forms in all of the unequal, aristocratic societies that have
characterised the greater part of human history, failed ultimately to
satisfy the desire for recognition of either the masters or the slaves.
The slave, of course, was not acknowledged as a human being in any way
whatsoever. But the recognition enjoyed by the master was deficient as
well, because he was not recognised by other masters, but slaves whose
humanity was as yet incomplete. Dissatisfaction with the flawed
recognition available in aristocratic societies constituted a
“contradiction” that engendered further stages of history.
Hegel believed that the “contradiction” inherent in the relationship of
lordship and bondage was finally overcome as a result of the French and,
one would have to add, American revolutions. These democratic
revolutions abolished the distinction between master and slave by making
the former slaves their own masters and by establishing the principles
of popular sovereignty and the rule of law. The inherently unequal
recognition of masters and slaves is replaced by universal and
reciprocal recognition, where every citizen recognises the dignity and
humanity of every other citizen, and where that dignity is recognised in
turn by the state through the granting of /rights/.
This Hegelian understanding of the meaning of contemporary liberal
democracy differs in a significant way from the Anglo-Saxon
understanding that was the theoretical basis of liberalism in countries
like Britain and the United States. In that tradition, the prideful
quest for recognition was to be subordinated to enlightened
self-interest “ desire combined with reason “ and particularly the
desire for self-preservation of the body. While Hobbes, Locke, and the
American Founding Fathers like Jefferson and Madison believed that
rights to a large extent existed as a means of preserving a private
sphere where men can enrich themselves and satisfy the desiring parts of
their souls, Hegel saw rights as ends in themselves, because what truly
satisfies human beings is not so much material prosperity as recognition
of their status and dignity. With the American and French revolutions,
Hegel asserted that history comes to an end because the longing that had
driven the historical process “ the struggle for recognition “ has now
been satisfied in a society characterised by universal and reciprocal
recognition. No other arrangement of human social institutions is better
able to satisfy this longing, and hence no further progressive
historical change is possible.
The desire for recognition, then, can provide the missing link between
liberal economics and liberal politics that was missing from the
economic account of History in Part II. Desire and reason are together
sufficient to explain the process of industrialisation, and a large part
of economic life more generally. But they cannot explain the striving
for liberal democracy, which ultimately arises out of /thymos/, the part
of the soul that demands recognition. The social changes that accompany
advanced industrialisation, in particular universal education, appear to
liberate a certain demand for recognition that did not exist among
poorer and less educated people. As standards of living increase, as
populations become more cosmopolitan and better educated, and as society
as a whole achieves a greater equality of condition, people begin to
demand not simply more wealth but recognition of their status. If people
were nothing more than desire and reason, they would be content to live
in market-oriented authoritarian states like Franco”s Spain, or a South
Korea or Brazil under military rule. But they also have a thymotic pride
in their own self-worth, and this leads them to demand democratic
governments that treat them like adults rather than children,
recognising their autonomy as free individuals. Communism is being
superseded by liberal democracy in our time because of the realisation
that the former provides a gravely defective form of recognition.
An understanding of the importance of the desire for recognition as the
motor of history allows us to reinterpret many phenomena that are
otherwise seemingly familiar to us, such as culture, religion, work,
nationalism, and war. Part IV is an attempt to do precisely this, and to
project into the future some of the different ways that the desire for
recognition will be manifest. A religious believer, for example, seeks
recognition for his particular gods or sacred practices, while a
nationalist demands recognition for his particular linguistic, cultural,
or ethnic group. Both of these forms of recognition are less rational
than the universal recognition of the liberal state, because they are
based on arbitrary distinctions between sacred and profane, or between
human social groups. For this reason, religion, nationalism, and a
people”s complex of ethical habits and customs (more broadly “culture”)
have traditionally been interpreted as obstacles to the establishment of
successful democratic political institutions and free-market economies.
But the truth is considerably more complicated, for the success of
liberal politics and liberal economics frequently rests on irrational
forms of recognition that liberalism was supposed to overcome. For
democracy to work, citizens need to develop an irrational pride in their
own democratic institutions, and must also develop what Tocqueville
called the “art of associating,” which rests on prideful attachment to
small communities. These communities are frequently based on religion,
ethnicity, or other forms of recognition that fall short of the
universal recognition on which the liberal state is based. The same is
true for liberal economics. Labor has traditionally been understood in
the Western liberal economic tradition as an essentially unpleasant
activity undertaken for the sake of the satisfaction of human desires
and the relief of human pain. But in certain cultures with a strong work
ethic, such as that of the Protestant entrepreneurs who created European
capitalism, or of the elites who modernised Japan after the Meiji
restoration, work was also undertaken for the sake of recognition. To
this day, the work ethic in many Asian countries is sustained not so
much by material incentives, as by the recognition provided for work by
overlapping social groups, from the family to the nation, on which these
societies are based. This suggests that liberal economics succeeds not
simply on the basis of liberal principles, but requires irrational forms
of /thymos/ as well.
The struggle for recognition provides us with insight into the nature of
international politics. The desire for recognition that led to the
original bloody battle for prestige between two individual combatants
leads logically to imperialism and world empire. The relationship of
lordship and bondage on a domestic level is naturally replicated on the
level of states, where nations as a whole seek recognition and enter
into bloody battles for supremacy. Nationalism, a modern yet
not-fully-rational form of recognition, has been the vehicle for the
struggle for recognition over the past hundred years, and the source of
this century”s most intense conflicts. This is the world of “power
politics,” described by such foreign policy “realists” as Henry Kissinger.
But if war is fundamentally driven by the desire for recognition, it
stands to reason that the liberal revolution which abolishes the
relationship of lordship and bondage by making former slaves their own
masters should have a similar effect on the relationship between states.
Liberal democracy replaces the irrational desire to be recognised as
greater than others with a rational desire to be recognised as equal. A
world made up of liberal democracies, then, should have much less
incentive for war, since all nations would reciprocally recognise one
another”s legitimacy. And indeed, there is substantial empirical
evidence from the past couple of hundred years that liberal democracies
do not behave imperialistically toward one another, even if they are
perfectly capable of going to war with states that are not democracies
and do not share their fundamental values. Nationalism is currently on
the rise in regions like Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union where
peoples have long been denied their national identities, and yet within
the world”s oldest and most secure nationalities, nationalism is
undergoing a process of change. The demand for national recognition in
Western Europe has been domesticated and made compatible with universal
recognition, much like religion three or four centuries before.
The fifth and final part of this book addresses the question of the “end
of history,” and the creature who emerges at the end, the “last man.” In
the course of the original debate over the /National Interest/ article,
many people assumed that the possibility of the end of history revolved
around the question of whether there were viable alternatives to liberal
democracy visible in the world today. There was a great deal of
controversy over such questions as whether communism was truly dead,
whether religion or ultranationalism might make a comeback, and the
like. But the deeper and more profound question concerns the goodness of
Liberal democracy itself, and not only whether it will succeed against
its present-day rivals. Assuming that liberal democracy is, for the
moment, safe from external enemies, could we assume that successful
democratic societies could remain that way indefinitely” Or is liberal
democracy prey to serious internal contradictions, contradictions so
serious that they will eventually undermine it as a political system”
There is no doubt that contemporary democracies face any number of
serious problems, from drugs, homelessness and crime to environmental
damage and the frivolity of consumerism. But these problems are not
obviously insoluble on the basis of liberal principles, nor so serious
that they would necessarily lead to the collapse of society as a whole,
as communism collapsed in the 1980s.
Writing in the twentieth century, Hegel”s great interpreter, Alexandre
Kojève, asserted intransigently that history had ended because what he
called the “universal and homogeneous state” “ what we can understand as
liberal democracy “ definitely solved the question of recognition by
replacing the relationship of lordship and bondage with universal and
equal recognition. What man had been seeking throughout the course of
history “ what had driven the prior “stages of history” “ was
recognition. In the modern world, he finally found it, and was
“completely satisfied.” This claim was made seriously by Kojève, and it
deserves to be taken seriously by us. For it is possible to understand
the problem of politics over the millennia of human history as the
effort to solve the problem of recognition. Recognition is the central
problem of politics because it is the origin of tyranny, imperialism,
and the desire to dominate. But while it has a dark side, it cannot
simply be abolished from political life, because it is simultaneously
the psychological ground for political virtues like courage,
public-spiritedness, and justice. All political communities must make
use of the desire for recognition, while at the same time protecting
themselves from its destructive effects. If contemporary constitutional
government has indeed found a formula whereby all are recognised in a
way that nonetheless avoids the emergence of tyranny, then it would
indeed have a special claim to stability and longevity among the regimes
that have emerged on earth.
But is the recognition available to citizens of contemporary liberal
democracies “completely satisfying”“ The long-term future of liberal
democracy, and the alternatives to it that may one day arise, depend
above all on the answer to this question. In Part V we sketch two broad
responses, from the Left and the Right, respectively. The Left would say
that universal recognition in liberal democracy is necessarily
incomplete because capitalism creates economic inequality and requires a
division of labor that /ipso facto/ implies unequal recognition. In this
respect, a nation”s absolute level of prosperity provides no solution,
because there will continue to be those who are relatively poor and
therefore invisible as human beings to their fellow citizens. Liberal
democracy, in other words, continues to recognise equal people unequally.
The second, and in my view more powerful, criticism of universal
recognition comes from the Right that was profoundly concerned with the
leveling effects of the French Revolution”s commitment to human
equality. This Right found its most brilliant spokesman in the
philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche, whose views were in some respects
anticipated by that great observer of democratic societies, Alexis de
Tocqueville. Nietzsche believed that modern democracy represented not
the self-mastery of former slaves, but the unconditional victory of the
slave and a kind of slavish morality. The typical citizen of a liberal
democracy was a “last man” who, schooled by the founders of modern
liberalism, gave up prideful belief in his or her own superior worth in
favour of comfortable self-preservation. Liberal democracy produced “men
without chests,” composed of desire and reason but lacking /thymos/,
clever at finding new ways to satisfy a host of petty wants through the
calculation of long-term self-interest. The last man had no desire to be
recognised as greater than others, and without such desire no excellence
or achievement was possible. Content with his happiness and unable to
feel any sense of shame for being unable to rise above those wants, the
last man ceased to be human.
Following Nietzsche”s line of thought, we are compelled to ask the
following questions: Is not the man who is completely satisfied by
nothing more than universal and equal recognition something less than a
full human being, indeed, an object of contempt, a “last man” with
neither striving nor aspiration” Is there not a side of the human
personality that deliberately seeks out struggle, danger, risk, and
daring, and will this side not remain unfulfilled by the “peace and
prosperity” of contemporary liberal democracy” Does not the satisfaction
of certain human beings depend on recognition that is inherently
unequal” Indeed, does not the desire for unequal recognition constitute
the basis of a livable life, not just for bygone aristocratic societies,
but also in modern liberal democracies” Will not their future survival
depend, to some extent, on the degree to which their citizens seek to be
recognised not just as equal, but as superior to others” And might not
the fear of becoming contemptible “last men” not lead men to assert
themselves in new and unforeseen ways, even to the point of becoming
once again bestial “first men” engaged in bloody prestige battles, this
time with modern weapons”
This books seeks to address these questions. They arise naturally once
we ask whether there is such a thing as progress, and whether we can
construct a coherent and directional Universal History of mankind.
Totalitarianisms of the Right and Left have kept us too busy to consider
the latter question seriously for the better part of this century. But
the fading of these totalitarianisms, as the century comes to an end,
invites us to raise this old question one more time.
------------------------------------------------------------------------