Financial Decision Making-2
MN7029: Financial Decision Making
2.2 Cost behaviour, pricing and budgets
Lecture recordings
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Learning Outcomes
Define and distinguish different categories of cost
Understand how a fixed cost and a variable cost behave and deduce the break even point
Understand the benefits and limitations of using marginal contribution analysis and break even point
Discuss the impact for managers in decision making
Describe operation of full absorption costing and Activity Based Costing
Define a budget and show how budgets and strategy are related.
The Decision Making Process
4. Develop short term plans/budgets
3. Select option and consider long term plans
5. Implement the decisions
6. Review and monitor outcomes of decision
7. Act on differences from plan
2. Consider options available
1. Set aims and objective
What is the purpose of management accounting?
Allocate costs between costs of goods sold and inventory for reporting
Provide date for management decision making
Information for planning and performance review
Definition of cost
The amount of resources, usually measured in monetary terms, sacrificed to achieve a particular objective
For example:
A hotel uses resources such as food to make breakfast, labour to clean rooms and electricity to provide light to achieve the objective of providing a comfortable place to stay for customers
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Examples of costs
Fixed and variable – we will discuss next
Direct and indirect – can it be exclusively identified with a cost object or is it an overhead?
Sunk Costs – costs incurred as a result of a past decision that cannot be reversed
Opportunity cost – benefit that is lost as a result of a choice of one course of action rather than another
Behaviour of costs
Helps managers to determine:
How many units to break even point – the number of items sold where costs are equivalent to revenue and therefore there is no profit or loss
Effect of reducing/increasing sales price
Effect of an increase or reduction in volume of sales
Effect of a incurring an additional cost of a marketing campaign or
How best to pay people
Two types of cost
The value of an opportunity forgone
Opportunity cost
A cost already incurred
Historic cost
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Figure 7.1 Decision flow diagram for identifying relevant costs
Relevant cost
Irrelevant cost
Does the cost relate to the objectives of the business?
No
Does the cost vary with the decision?
Does the cost relate to the future?
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
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The behaviour of costs
Remain constant (fixed) when changes occur to the volume of activity
Vary according to the volume of activity
Costs may be classified as:
Fixed
Variable
The value of costs incurred in producing one unit.
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Fixed Costs
Fixed cost: total remains constant in proportion to the level of activity, within a relevant range (per unit decreases)
For example: Rent
Salaries
Advertising
Example: I have rented a factory for £5,000 per month to make my cupcakes. If cake production goes up 10%, rent does not change.
Production
Cost
Figure 7.3 Graph of rent cost against the volume of activity
Rent cost (£)
Volume of activity
R
0
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Variable Costs
Variable cost: total changes in proportion to the level of activity (unit cost remains constant)
For example: Number of units produced
Hours worked
Rooms occupied
Example: If I am making cake and each cake needs 200g of flour then if cake production goes up 10%, so does the quantity and total cost of flour.
Cost
Production
Figure 7.5 Graph of total cost against the volume of activity
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Graph of total sales revenue against the volume of activity
Total sales £
Volume of activity
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Figure 7.5 Graph of total cost against the volume of activity
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Figure 7.6 Break-even chart
Break even point:
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Figure 7.7 Break-even and load factors at Ryanair
Load factor
Break-even point
%
60
40
20
80
0
100
Per cent
2013
70
82
2014
72
83
2015
72
88
2016
72
93
2017
73
94
Source: Based on information contained in Ryanair Holdings plc, Annual Report 2017.
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19
Why does a manager need to know which costs are variable and which are fixed?
Prediction of costs
Traditional accounts separate costs on a functional rather than behavioural basis
The Contribution Approach
Start with sales
Deduct variable costs
Contribution margin
Example CVP
| Total | Per unit | |
| Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | £10 |
| Variable costs | £4,000 | £4 |
| Contribution margin | £6,000 | £6 |
| Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
| Profit | £2,400 |
Contribution margin shows the amount available to cover fixed costs and then provide profits.
If Contribution margin does not cover fixed costs the company makes a loss
CVP and Break even
| Total | Per unit | |
| Sales (600 cakes) | £6,000 | £10 |
| Variable costs | £2,400 | £4 |
| Contribution margin | £3,600 | £6 |
| Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
| Profit | £0 |
To reach break even point, the company must make enough contribution margin to cover fixed costs
Since our cakes have a contribution margin of £6 per unit and fixed costs of £3,600 we can calculate that the break even point is 600 cakes (£3,600/£6)
CVP Chart
Units sold
£ Costs and Revenue
Example CVP
| Total | Per unit | |
| Sales (601 cakes) | £6,010 | £10 |
| Variable costs | £2,404 | £4 |
| Contribution margin | £3,606 | £6 |
| Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
| Profit | £6 |
Above break even, each sale will increase profit by the contribution margin – so if we sell 601 cakes: profit = contribution margin = £6
Managers use this to work out budgets simply at different levels of activity – you just need to multiply the units over break even point by the contribution margin per unit to give the profit
Cost Volume Profit Analysis recap
Total cost (or full cost) = Fixed costs + variable costs
Contribution margin = Sales revenue per unit – variable costs per unit
Break Even Units =
Examples of how to use CVP
Break even point = = = 600 cakes
No of cakes sold to achieve profit of £5,000 = = = 1,433 cakes
Additional profit from sale of an extra 100 cakes above break even = 100 × £6 = £600
What price do we sell cake at if we want to make a profit of £5,000 at 600 cakes? Total revenue to get £5,000 profit would be Fixed costs (£3,600) plus variable costs (600 × £4 = £2,400) plus required profit (£5,000) = £11,000. Divided by number of cakes (600) gives a selling price of £18
Contribution Margin Ratio
| Total | Percentage of sales | |
| Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | 100 |
| Variable costs | £4,000 | 40 |
| Contribution margin | £6,000 | 60 |
| Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
| Profit | £2,400 |
Contribution margin can also be calculated as a % of sales:
Profit = (Sales Revenue x contribution margin) - Fixed costs
Application of CVP
Once we know contribution margin, managers can use this in decision making, for example modelling the impact on profit of:
A change in fixed costs and sales volume (e.g. an advertising campaign)
A change in variable costs and sales volume (e.g. using higher quality raw materials)
A change in fixed cost, sales price and sales volume
A change in variable costs, fixed costs and sales volume
A change in sales price
You can also use it for target profit analysis
Margin of safety = Budgeted or actual sales – Break even sales
Margin of safety % =
Practice question
Question 1: You decide to reduce variable costs by using a lower quality ingredients with a per unit cost of £2 but this will cause sales to fall to 700 cakes – should you do it?
Question 2: You decide to undertake an advertising campaign which will cost £1,000 but will increase sales to 1,200 units. Should you do it?
| Total | Per unit | |
| Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | £10 |
| Variable costs | £4,000 | £4 |
| Contribution margin | £6,000 | £6 |
| Fixed costs | £3,600 | |
| Profit | £2,400 |
Practice question
Q1: You decide to reduce variable costs by using a lower quality ingredients with a per unit cost of £2 but this will cause sales to fall to 700 cakes – should you do it?
New contribution margin = 700 x £8 = £5,600
Present contribution margin = 1,000 x £6 = £6,000
Decrease in total contribution margin = £400
Q2: You decide to undertake an advertising campaign which will cost £1,000 but will increase sales to 1,200 units. Should you do it?
Incremental contribution margin = £6 x 200 = £1,200
Increase in fixed costs = £1,000
Increase in profit = £200
Figure 7.10 The effect of operating gearing
Volume of output
Profit
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Cost Structure/Operating Gearing
What is the best trade off between fixed and variable costs
E.g. buying in components rather than making yourself, automating by machinery rather than labour costs
In my cupcake factory I have the choice of using a individuals to make the cakes (high variable cost, lower fixed cost) or a machine to (low variable cost, high fixed cost)
As you can see at sales of 1,000 I get the same profit whatever I choose.
| Total | Per unit | Total | Per Unit | |
| Sales (1,000 cakes) | £10,000 | £10 | £10,000 | £10 |
| Variable costs | £4,000 | £4 | £2,000 | £2 |
| Contribution margin | £6,000 | £6 | £8,000 | £8 |
| Fixed costs | £3,600 | £5,600 | ||
| Profit | £2,400 | £2,400 |
Cost Structure/Operating Gearing
What happens if there is a 10% increase in sales?
| Total | Per unit | Total | Per Unit | |
| Sales (1,100 cakes) | £11,000 | £10 | £11,000 | £10 |
| Variable costs | £4,400 | £4 | £2,200 | £2 |
| Contribution margin | £6,600 | £6 | £8,800 | £8 |
| Fixed costs | £3,600 | £5,600 | ||
| Profit | £3,000 | £3,200 |
For a 10% increase in sales, option 1 gives a 25% increase in profit, option 2 gives a 33% increase in profit.
Cost Structure/Operating Gearing
What about a 10% decrease in sales?
| Total | Per unit | Total | Per Unit | |
| Sales (900 cakes) | £9,000 | £10 | £9,000 | £10 |
| Variable costs | £3,600 | £4 | £1,800 | £2 |
| Contribution margin | £5,400 | £6 | £7,200 | £8 |
| Fixed costs | £3,600 | £5,600 | ||
| Profit | £1,800 | £1,600 |
For a 10% decrease in sales, option 1 gives a 25% decrease in profit, option 2 gives a 33% decrease in profit.
Higher proportion of fixed costs mean a higher break even point and more profit volatility – more upside when things go well but also more downside…
Operating leverage
The degree of operating leverage shows how profit moves when sales move.
If leverage is high, profit will move proportionately more than if it is low
Operating leverage =
Option A – operating leverage at 1,000 sales = 2.5
Option B – operating leverage at 1,000 sales = 3.33
Figure 7.8a Break-even chart - low gearing
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Figure 7.8b Break-even chart – high gearing
Revenue/Cost (£000)
1
Fixed cost
5
4
3
2
Volume of activity (number of baskets)
0
100