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LectureSlides-InternationalPoliticalEconomy.pptx

TECON 325 International Political Economy:

Reference: IPE, 5th ed., Oatley

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Introduction to IPE

What is IPE?

International Political Economy (IPE)

The study of the political battle between the winners and losers in global economic exchange

Requires an understanding of politics and economics

Develop a modern theoretical framework to understand the issues

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What is IPE?

Economic integration makes “society” better off

Lowering barriers to the flow of goods, money, and factors of production

Total Benefits > Total Costs

Gains are distributed unevenly

Integration creates “winners” and “losers”

“Losers” fight against integration, “winners” fight for it

Played out through domestic and international financial/political institutions

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What is IPE?

Workings of IPE

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Politics

Global Economy

Economic Forces

Policy

The Steel Tariffs (2002-2003)

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Illustrate the type of conflict we will study

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The Steel Tariffs (2002-2003)

U.S. steel increasingly uncompetitive in global markets

34 mills closed 1997-2002

18,000 workers laid off

Bush administration lobbied by United Steel Workers of America

Raised import tariffs to protect domestic steel industry

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The Steel Tariffs (2002-2003)

Tariffs raised domestic prices, hurting domestic users

Consuming Industries Trade Action Coalition

U.S. consumers!

Domestic groups and foreign gov’ts lobby Bush administration to lower tariffs

Brought case before the WTO

Bush administration drops tariffs in the face of retaliatory action

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The Steel Tariffs (2002-2003)

What we need to understand in IPE:

Economic interests of political groups

Economic theory

Domestic and foreign political systems

The role of international organizations (WTO)

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Two Basic Questions

How does politics affect resource allocation?

Resources are finite

People disagree over how to use them

What are the consequences of these decisions?

Welfare consequences: general “well-being”

Distributional consequences: who gains/loses?

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The Steel Tariffs (2002-2003)

Allocation:

More investment in U.S. domestic steel industry

More jobs for U.S. steel workers

Consequences:

Inefficient allocation: “society” is worse off

U.S. steel wins while U.S. consumers, steel users and foreign producers lose

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The Tire Tariffs (2009-2012)

Questions:

How did the tariffs affect the allocation of resources?

i.e. Employment, tire production, production/consumption of related goods

What were the consequences of this reallocation?

Who are the parties involved? Who won? Who lost?

What was the role of international organizations?

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What is IPE?

Four areas of study:

International Trade System (real)

International Monetary System (monetary)

Multinational Corporations

Economic development

All are distinct but interrelated

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The International Trade System

Centered around the World Trade Organization (WTO) – IGO dedicated to global economic integration

~$35 trillion in goods and services annually

Also “challenged” by regional trade agreements (e.g. NAFTA)

How does the struggle between winners and losers shape global and regional trade systems?

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The International Monetary System

Decentralized – allows people using different currencies to trade with one another

Critical to international flows of goods and investment

How does the struggle between winners and losers shape monetary and exchange rate policy?

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Multinational Corporations

Controversial but prominent role in global economy

1/4 of global production, 1/3 of global trade

Powerful political influence in many different countries

How does the struggle between winners and losers affect efforts to attract and control MNCs?

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Economic Development

Different development strategies associated with different outcomes

Which strategies have been successful and why?

How does the struggle between winners and losers shape the development strategies governments adopt?

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Studying IPE

Two “flavors” of IPE research:

Explanatory studies: what happened? (positive)

Evaluative studies: was it good? (normative)

Textbook focuses on explanation

Help us evaluate current issues in IPE

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Studying IPE

Modern IPE emphasizes incentives and institutions

Evolved out of three competing traditional schools

Three traditional schools of thought:

Mercantilism

Liberalism

Marxism

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Mercantilism

National power derives from wealth

Three modern principles:

National power requires economic strength

Promote exports over imports

Some forms of production are “better”

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Liberalism

Developed to challenge Mercantilism

All countries can gain from trade

Markets ensure efficient allocation of resources

Limited role for state in economic activity

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Marxism

Developed as a critique of capitalism:

Capitalists extract value from labor, paying only subsistence wage

Capitalists control the state and resource allocation

Predicted revolution:

Concentration of capital

Falling wages

Imbalance between production and consumption

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Studying IPE

The three schools offer different views on the forces driving allocation:

The state (Mercantilism)

The market (Liberalism)

The capitalist class (Marxism)

And different criteria for evaluating policy

National power (Mercantilism)

Social welfare/efficiency (Liberalism)

Distribution of wealth (Marxism)

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Studying IPE

Modern IPE scholarship emphasizes interests and institutions

Where do the political/economic interests of agents come from?

How do institutions aggregate those preferences and form policy?

Most often, interests = income

Also affected by “mental models” of cause and effect

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Studying IPE

Institutions are rules governing the political process

Who chooses policies?

How do they choose?

How are decisions enforced?

Esp. internationally

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Historical Context

Globalization began in 1800s centered on Britain

Large flows of money, people, goods across borders

Caused by technological advances reducing shipping costs

Britain repeals Corn Laws in the 1840s

Opened markets to imported grain

Followed by wave of bilateral agreements

Currencies pegged to gold standard in late 1800s

Maintained price stability

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Historical Context

Globalization halted abruptly due to WWI

Many nations severed economic ties and withdrew from trade agreements

Opportunity for U.S. to replace Britain as hegemon

U.S. remained isolationist

European recovery slowed under debt burden (thanks to U.S.)

Fragile post-war globalization ended by U.S. stock market crash in 1929

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Historical Context

Globalization resumed after WWII with U.S. embracing role as hegemon

Helped design international institutions to support globalization (WTO, IMF, World Bank)

Wider public acceptance of active role of state in economy

Inter-war retrenchment evidence that globalization is not inevitable?

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Conclusion

IPE studies the system defined by the interplay between politics and economics

Feedback loop between economic forces and policy

Political competition between winners and losers

Explains how policy affects resource allocation as well as the welfare/distributional consequences

Competing visions offered by three classical schools of thought

Modern IPE emphasizes interests and institutions

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