4 Microeconomics Questions

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Slides 10

(Chapter 13)

2

Predatory conduct

We studied entry deterrence via capacity

investment

We will now study predatory pricing

Set up a low price to avoid entry (asymmetric info)

Set us a low price to force exit

3

Predation with asymmetric info

 Let entry decision depend on incumbent’s costs

 If the incumbent is low cost, do not enter

 If the incumbent is high cost, enter

 Potential entrant doesn’t know incumbent cost

 Does a high-cost incumbent have an incentive to

pretend to be low-cost to prevent entry? Such as

price like a low-cost firm?

4

An example of predation via

asymmetric information  Incumbent has a monopoly in period 1

 Threat of entry in period 2

 Market closes at the end of period 2

 Entrant observes incumbent’s actions in period 1

 These actions determine whether to enter in period 2

 Incumbent might be high-cost or low-cost

 no direct information on incumbent’s costs

 entrant knows with probability α incumbent is low-cost

 Need to specify payoffs in different situations

5

 Incumbent profits in period 1 (in $million)

 low-cost firm acting as low-cost monopolist: 10

 high-cost firm acting as high-cost monopolist: 6

 high-cost adopting low-cost monopoly price: 4

 Incumbent profits in period 2

 if no entry, profits according to true type (10 or 6)

 if entry occurs:

 low-cost incumbent: 5

 high-cost incumbent: 2

 Entrant profits in period 2

 competing against a low-cost incumbent: -2

 competing against a high-cost incumbent: 2

An example of predation via

asymmetric information

6

What does the structure tell us?

 What if there is no uncertainty—i.e. entrant knows

whether incumbent is high cost or low cost?

 If the incumbent has high costs, enter

 If the incumbent has low costs, don’t enter

 How does the entrant make a decision with

uncertainty?

 Should the incumbent change what she does when there is

uncertainty?

 Games like this really underline the importance of “thinking

like an economist”

7

Game tree for our example

Nature

High-

Cost

Low-Cost

I

I

High Price

Low Price

E

E

Enter

Stay

Out

Incumbent: 6 + 2 = 8

Entrant: 2

Incumbent: 6 + 6 = 12

Entrant: 0

Enter

Stay

Out

Incumbent: 4 + 2 = 6

Entrant: 2

Incumbent: 4 + 6 = 10

Entrant: 0

Low Price Enter

Stay Out

Incumbent: 10 + 5 = 15

Entrant: -2

Incumbent: 10 + 10 = 20

Entrant: 0

8

What if a high-cost incumbent

pretends to be low-cost?  Consider a high-cost incumbent. It can

 Price high in period 1

 entry will certainly occur, total profits are 8

 price low in period 1  if no entry occurs, total profits are 10

 if entry occurs, total profits are 6

 High-cost incumbent has incentives to pretend to be low-cost if by so doing it can deter entry

 But, will the entrant really stay out if it observes the incumbent price like a low-cost firm?

9

What if a high-cost incumbent

pretends to be low-cost?

 If the entrant is a clever, rational firm, it knows that the incumbent may try to deceive it

 Issue: What can the entrant infer from observing a low price knowing this may be a deception?

 It depends on the probability that observing a low-price means the incumbent is a low-cost firm

10

 If the entrant observes the incumbent setting a low-price in period 1, it cannot tell whether the incumbent is high cost or low cost

 Thus, the entrant must rely on the unconditional probability that the incumbent is low-cost

 Suppose the incumbent is low-cost with probability , in which case entry will lead to a profit of –2

 The incumbent is high-cost with probability 1 - , in which case entry will lead to a profit of 2

 So expected profit is -2 + 2(1 - ) = 2 - 4

What if a high-cost incumbent

pretends to be low-cost?

11

 Expected profit is 2(1 - ) - 2 = 2 - 4

 This is negative if  > ½

 So, if the probability that the incumbent is low cost is “sufficiently high”, an incumbent can deter entry by setting a low price in period 1

What if a high-cost incumbent

pretends to be low-cost?

12

More on predatory pricing

 We discussed setting low prices to deter entry

 How about setting low prices to force exit?

 It has been the subject of numerous legal cases

 Much more so than the previous one!

 High price firms claim low price firms are predating

 International “dumping” cases

13

Classic case:

Matsushita vs Zenith (1986)  Allegation in Matsushita vs Zenith

 Group of Japanese firms engaged in predatory

pricing against U.S. competitors

 The goal was to drive U.S. firms out of the market

 Zenith’s evidence noted low prices by Japanese

firms (especially relative to their prices in Japan)

and lost market share by U.S. firms

 Penalty if found guilty of predatory pricing

 pay triple damages

 Civil penalty only; no jail time

14

Classic legal identification of

predatory pricing: P<AVC

 Classic standard: pricing is predatory if P < AVC

 Why AVC?

 Short-run “shut-down” price of profit-maximizing firm

 Could use MC, but too difficult to measure

 Charging prices lower than competitors’ costs is

not predatory

 Does not dissuade inefficient competitors from suing

 Nor is charging P < (own ATC)

15

Classic economic idea behind

predatory pricing

$/unit

Quantity

Demand

MR QM

PM

AVC=MC

QP

ATCMonopoly

Profit

Firm needs to drive out competitors so it

can charge the monopoly price Pm

16

Classic economic idea behind

predatory pricing

$/unit

Quantity

Demand

MR QM

PM

AVC=MC

PP

QP

ATC

Losses during predation

Monopoly

Profit

Charge price PP during predatory

phase. This is below your AVC and that

of your rivals. Rivals will have to exit.

17

What are some requirements for

successful predatory pricing?

 The predator must be successful in two ways

 forcing out competitors with a low price AND

 making money as a monopolist

 What does the firm needs?

 Ability to satisfy demand at lower prices

 Otherwise competitors capture “residual demand” and

make money

 Need excess capacity or low capacity costs to do this

 Sufficient financing to withstand losses

 Market power in the monopolist phase

18

Successful predatory pricing

means you must recover losses  Is this a profitable strategy?

 Predation requires sustaining current losses with

the expectation of recouping monopoly profits later

 It is just like an investment problem

 Worthwhile if NPV(losses) < NPV(future gains)

 Losses are incurred in present, while gains are

less valuable because they come in the future

 Need to keep firms from entering in the future

 So, you need exit barriers to be low, and entry

barriers to be large

 This seems tough!!

19

Back to Matsushita vs Zenith

(1986)  Arguments of plaintiffs (U.S. TV manufacturers)

 If market is competitive, televisions should sell for

similar prices in different countries

 Prices were lower in the U.S. than in Japan

 U.S. firms losing market share in the U.S. (over period

of about 10 years)

 This must be predation!

 Does the plaintiffs’ argument hold water?

20

The NPV of Predation:

Matsushita v. Zenith

Variable Level

Predatory price (% of “competitive” price) 62%

Years of predation 20

Growth in demand 5%

Japanese beginning mkt. share 0.05

Japanese ending mkt. share 0.42

Recoupment price (% of “competitive” price) 119-138%

 Alleged predation wasn’t successful even after 20 years—U.S. firms had not exited

 NPV calculation is negative even if recoupment period is infinite!

21

From the Supreme Court

decision “In order to recoup their losses, petitioners [Japanese]

must obtain enough market power to set higher than

competitive prices, and then must sustain those prices

long enough to earn in excess profits what they earlier

gave up in below-cost prices. Two decades after their

conspiracy is alleged to have commenced, petitioners

appear to be far from achieving this goal: the two largest

shares of the retail market in television sets are held by

RCA and respondent Zenith, not by any of petitioners.”

22

From the Supreme Court

decision

“The alleged conspiracy's failure to achieve its ends in

the two decades of its asserted operation is strong

evidence that the conspiracy does not in fact exist.

Since the losses in such a conspiracy accrue before

the gains, they must be "repaid" with interest. And

because the alleged losses have accrued over the

course of two decades, the conspirators could well

require a correspondingly long time to

recoup…petitioners would most likely have to sustain

their cartel for years simply to break even.”

23

Legal tests for predatory pricing

 There are now two tests that must be passed for

a legal finding of predatory pricing

1. Are prices below a reasonable measure of seller’s

costs?

2. Is there a reasonable chance that the seller will

recoup its investment?

 Conservative standard, but it’s better to err by

allowing some predatory pricing than to condemn

some competitive pricing

 setting prices low is a hallmark of competition

 successful predation is rare (so that the likelihood

of false acquittals is low)

24

Another type of behavior that

looks like predation

 Microsoft sold its new premium Xbox 360 games

console at around a third less than the price of its

components - and that is not counting the cost of

assembly, testing, distribution and marketing,

according to research firm supply

 Is this predation or are there other stories?

25

Other stories

 Sell Xbox console for cheap so people buy more

games. Make a big margin on the games

 Probably the main reason

 Network effects / word-of-mouth demand: Set low

price initially so lot of people buy. Demand increases

later once people see that the Xbox is lots of fun

 Learning-by-doing: Cost of making an Xbox

decreases as you make more of them

 Spread the Microsoft brand so people buy other

Microsoft products

26

Why so many suits then?

 Current system may make suits a good gamble

 Plaintiffs can hire lawyers on contingency, while

defendants typically pay by the hour

 Large defendants have extremely high legal costs (per

hour)

 In the 1980s AT&T spent $100 million per year

defending against predation claims

 To illustrate, MCI won a jury verdict against AT&T

that, with tripling, would have amounted to a $1.8

billion judgment in 1980 dollars

27

Why so many suits then?

 Quotes from interviews with jurors in major predatory pricing

trials

 "the jurors were overwhelmed, frustrated, and confused by

testimony well beyond their comprehension....”

 “At no time did any juror grasp--even at the margins--the law,

the economics, or any other testimony related to the

allegations or defense."

 “At no time have I encountered a juror who had the foggiest

notion of what oligopoly, market power, or average variable

cost meant, much less how they applied to the case....

Typical is the response I received when I asked a juror

whether he remembered average variable cost. The juror

replied, ‘Yes, explain it to me. I still don't know what it

means.’”

28

Suing to collude?

 Now imagine how a predatory pricing lawsuit could

be used to help organize a tacit collusion scheme:

 Plaintiff firm, unhappy with price cuts by a rival, files a

complaint detailing what is wrong with defendant's

price cuts and what reasonable prices would be

 Then follows a prolonged period of discovery (often

years) in which

 The firms exchange reams of sensitive competitive documents,

senior executives testify about their pricing strategies, business

plans, productive capacity, costs, and many more pieces of

business information that will come very handy to both sides

when considering future pricing and output decisions

29

Suing to collude?

 While discovery and trial takes place, a judge

closely scrutinizes the parties' pricing behavior

 Judges have issued injunctions against

defendants, prohibiting them from lowering their

prices until a final adjudication of the case

 So we have several ingredients of a successful

tacit collusion scheme  price signaling

 information exchange

 policing mechanisms

 sanctions for deviating from collusive prices!

30

Suing to collude?

 American announced its “value pricing” plan on April

9, 1992, and other major carriers quickly matched or

beat American's price cut. Between April and June,

fares remained relatively flat. Then Continental filed

its predatory pricing lawsuit in early June of 1992

and Northwest filed its parallel suit a few days later

 A few days after filing suit, Northwest announced a

10 percent price increase

 American and Continental soon followed with price

increases of their own

 Between July and the end of the year, while the predatory

pricing case progressed, the major airlines reportedly raised

prices seven times

Slides 11

(Chapters 5 and 6)

2

Price discrimination

 First degree (“perfect”): the firm is able to charge

each consumer their willingness to pay

 Monopolist observes the WTP of every consumer

 No DWL!!!

 Second degree: The firm knows there are different

types of consumers, but can’t distinguish them

 Typically implemented with quantity discounting or

“block” pricing (selling multiple units of the good)

 Third degree: The firm can identify different groups

of consumers and charge them different prices

3

3rd degree price discrimination

4

3rd degree price discrimination

5

2nd degree price discrimination

 Stata can 3rd degree price discriminate because

it can find out whether its buyers are students or

faculty

 But what if Stata can’t tell?

 Motivating example: a club selling drinks

 Club has high-demand sector (students), and low-

demand sector (faculty)

 But can’t tell them apart

6

2nd degree price discrimination

 Idea: use “non-linear pricing” to get the “types” of

consumers to sort themselves

 “Non-linear pricing” often involves charging

different consumers different prices based on the

quantity or quality purchased

 Example: Air travel

7

Simple example of quantity discount:

two-part tariff

 Start with simple model of a club: only one type of

customer ---students

 Each student’s demand is P = 16 - 2Q

 Marginal cost is $4

 Benchmark: standard linear pricing

DMR

10

4 MC

8

Simple example of quantity discount:

two-part tariff

 Per-student demand is P = 16 - 2Q; MC = 4

 Now, what about a two-part tariff? Charge a cover

charge F plus a per-drink price p

 Per-drink price p?

 Quantity of drinks sold?

 Fixed fee?

 Profits?

D

16

4

6

MC

9

Simple example of quantity discount:

two-part tariff

 Per-student demand is P = 16 - 2Q; MC = 4

 Now, what about a two-part tariff? Charge a cover

charge F plus a per-drink price p

 Per-drink price p?

 p = 4

 Quantity of drinks sold?

 Fixed fee?

 Profits?

D

16

4

6

MC

10

Simple example of quantity discount:

two-part tariff

 Per-student demand is P = 16 - 2Q; MC = 4

 Now, what about a two-part tariff? Charge a cover

charge F plus a per-drink price p

 Per-drink price p?

 p = 4

 Quantity of drinks sold?

 Q = 6

 Fixed fee?

 Profits? D

16

4

6

MC

11

Simple example of quantity discount:

two-part tariff

 Per-student demand is P = 16 - 2Q; MC = 4

 Now, what about a two-part tariff? Charge a cover

charge F plus a per-drink price p

 Per-drink price p?

 p = 4

 Quantity of drinks sold?

 Q = 6

 Fixed fee?

 F = 36

 Profits? D

16

4

6

MC

12

Simple example of quantity discount:

two-part tariff

 Per-student demand is P = 16 - 2Q; MC = 4

 Now, what about a two-part tariff? Charge a cover charge F plus a per-drink price p

 Per-drink price p?

 p = 4

 Quantity of drinks sold?

 Q = 6

 Fixed fee?

 F = 36

 Profits?

 π = 36 D

16

4

6

MC

13

With one “type” of consumer, two-part

tariff or “block tariff” are like 1st degree PD

 With one type: monopolist can extract all surplus

 Socially efficient outcome

 Alternative, equivalent approach to two-part tariff:

block tariff

 Like a “package deal”

 Sell consumers 6 drink tickets for total charge $60

14

More interesting: two types of consumers

 Let demand for beer differ between two groups

 Faculty: P = 12 - 2Q

 Students: P = 16 - 2Q

 Marginal cost is still $4

 There are twice as many faculty as students

15

Suppose we can distinguish the two types

 If you can distinguish the types, then you can still 3rd

degree price discriminate

 Charge a different two part-tariff to each group

16

8

12

6

44 MC MC

64

$36 $16

StudentsFaculty

Low fixed price = $16

Per unit price = MC

High fixed price = $36

Per unit price = MC

16

More interesting: we can’t distinguish the

two types

 Suppose you still offer the same two-part tariffs

 Which option will faculty take? Students?

16

8

12

6

44 MC MC

64

$36 $16

StudentsFaculty

Low fixed price = $16

High fixed price = $36

Per unit price = MC Per unit price = MC

17

More interesting: you can’t distinguish the

two types. Block pricing case.

 Now suppose you still offer the same block tariffs

 Which option will faculty take? Students?

16

8

12

6

44 MC MC

64

$36 $16

StudentsFaculty

Block for faculty:

$32 for 4 tickets

Block for students:

$60 for 6 tickets

$16 $24

18

More interesting: you can’t distinguish the

two types. Block pricing case.

 If a student buys the faculty block, valuation of 4

drinks is $48

 $48 > $32 charge, so choose the faculty block

12

6

4 MC

4

$16

Faculty

Block for faculty:

$32 for 4 tickets

16

8

4 MC

64

$48

Students

19

When you can’t distinguish types, can’t

perfectly discriminate anymore

 Club owner wants to charge a higher cover charge to students

 But students will “pretend” to be faculty rather than pay the high cover

 Even if they don’t get as many drinks under block tariff

 Some options for the owner:

 Single two-part tariff for all customers

 Two block tariffs under which students still want the student tariff

20

Option 1: Charge a single cover price F

plus per-drink price p to everyone

 Idea: students can still select to buy more drinks than

adults. But won’t pay higher cover charge

 Our earlier two-part tariff examples suggest that

setting p = MC = 4 is a good starting point

 Can the firm do better?

21

Single two-part tariff with two types

6

C =4

4

A =12

8

A =16

B B’

22

Option 2: Offer two entry / drink packages

 Have a package that students (“high types”) will choose, and a package that faculty (“low types”) will choose

 Low type package will include a smaller number of drinks, so that students won’t want it

23

First think about the low

demand types (faculty)

First package from before: costs $32

and includes four drinks

Producer surplus is:

$32-$16 = $16

12

6

4 MC

4

$16

$16

Recall where these numbers come from

Four drinks because that is what they

demand when P=MC

Then, add triangle ($16) and cost ($16)

24

High demand types (students)

 First thought: charge $60 for entry + six drinks

16

8

4 MC

6

$36

$24

 THIS WON’T WORK!

25

Students buying the faculty

package

16

8

4 MC

6

Package 1: $32

Includes: entry and 4 drinks

If a high demand consumer

buys package 1, the area under

demand is $48 and they pay $32.

So, they get $16 in surplus.

4

$48

Any package must bring high

demand consumers at least $16

in surplus.

High demand Can the firm do anything?

26

What is needed to make this work?

 When will the high demand customer tell the firm

that they are indeed a high demand customer?

 When it is in their interest to do so!

 They will tell truth when they get more utility from

revealing that they are a high demand customer

 So, the key for the firm is to design another

package such that students will want to buy it

 That is, students will get more utility from this new

package

27

Constructing a package for the

high types

16

8

4 MC

6

Package 2: $????

Includes: entry and 6 drinks

Why should package have 6 drinks?

$60

28

Constructing a package for the

high types

16

8

4 MC

6

Package 2: $????

Includes: entry and 6 drinks

Why should package have 6 drinks?

If a high demand consumer

buys package 2, the area under

demand is $60 $60

What is the most you can charge

them?

29

Constructing a package for the

high types

16

8

4 MC

6

Package 2: $????

Includes: entry and 6 drinks

Why should package have 6 drinks?

If a high demand consumer

buys package 2, the area under

demand is $60 $60

What is the most you can charge

them?

$60-$16 = $44

Producer surplus is:

$44-24=$20

30

Recap so far: 2nd degree PD

with block pricing  “High types” are students; “low types” are faculty

 If we can observe type, 3rd degree PD leads to:

 Faculty: $32 for 4 drinks

 Students: $60 for 6 drinks

 If we can’t observe type, we must charge the

students less. Otherwise, they will take the faculty

package.

 New prices:

 Faculty: $32 for 4 drinks

 Students: $44 for 6 drinks Profits = $36

31

Can we do even better?

Let’s think about what just happened…

 We must lower the price of the high demand

package because we are worried the high

demand consumers will buy the low demand

package

 We lower the high demand package price by the

amount of CS a high demand consumer would

get from buying the low demand package

 What would allow us to increase the price of the

high demand package and make more money?

 Must make the low package less desirable

32

Options for increasing the price of

the high demand package 1. We could increase the price of the low demand

package

 Need to include more drinks to compensate the

low types

 Would this make the low package more or less

attractive to the high types?

2. We could “degrade” the quality of the low

demand package by offering fewer drinks

 Suppose the low demand package only had 3

drinks, but lower cover charge…

33

Degrading the low demand

package…  Let’s work this out on the board

 Suppose the low demand package only has 3

drinks, but lower cover charge. What happens?

34

Recap of degrading the “low type”

package  What happens when we only offer the faculty 3

drinks?

 New faculty package: $27 for 3 drinks

 New student package: $48 for 6 drinks

 New profits: $39. Higher than before!

 Note: prices reflect a bulk discount (one student

package is cheaper than two faculty packages)

 Why does degrading the low package work?

35

Degrading the low demand

package…  Degrading the low demand package improves

profits because:

 Low type has low valuation of quantity on the

margin. So don’t have to compensate the low type

too much for this

 High type still has high valuation of quantity at the

low type’s margin. Degrading the low-type

package makes it much less desirable to the high

type

 Can charge more for the more attractive high-type

package

36

Degrading the low demand

package is common  Lots of examples of degrading the low package

 Airlines: make coach seats bunched and

uncomfortable. Serve gross food

 Trains in India (may not be true today): no roof for

section of train with the cheapest tickets

 IBM (may not be true today): intentionally slowed

its cheaper laser printers

Slides 12

(Chapter 7)

2

Multi-product Monopolies:

A bit of gray area…  Some of our examples of 2nd degree price

discrimination can also be thought of as differentiated products models

 First-class versus economy airfare

 Large vs. small coffee at Starbucks

 Economists usually say that price discrimination exists in these cases when:

 The per unit profits differ across products

 That is, price differences are not entirely explained by cost differences

3

Why is Microsoft “evil”?

 It is fairly clear that Microsoft has a monopoly, or near-monopoly in operating systems (MS Windows)

 Many antitrust cases about Microsoft haven’t exclusively focused on Windows. Other products of Microsoft have always been central to the cases

 Internet browsers, media players, server software

 We’re not ready to talk about Microsoft yet, but multi-product issues will play a role

4

Multiple products changes

things…  Monopolist offers goods of different varieties

 The “big” issues are:

 pricing

 product variety (how many cars do I offer?)

 product bundling (how to bundle? price?)

 whether to tie the sales of one product to sales

of another

 “quality” discrimination

5

Two types of product differentiation:

vertical vs horizontal

 Vertical product differentiation

 Products differ in quality

 We all agree which product has the highest quality

 Horizontal product differentiation

 Consumers differ in their tastes: not everyone

agrees which product is best

 The firm has to decide how best to serve different

types of consumer

6

Product variety and “quality”

discrimination  A natural phenomenon with multiproduct firms

 Different varieties of the same car: Honda Accord,

EX, LX, XX, TX, etc…

 Want some consumers to buy the high-quality

version, others to buy low-quality

 Constraints are similar to price discrimination

 Try to make sure that each type of consumers buys

the good that was designed for him/her

7

Quality and price discrimination

 How to price goods of different quality?

 Similar to price discrimination:

 Extract all consumer surplus from low quality good

and as much as possible from high quality good

 Use schemes to let the customers sort themselves

 Set the prices of higher quality goods so that high

demand customers buy high quality product

8

Monopoly with multiple horizontally

differentiated products

A return to Hotelling!

9

Example: Breakfast cereal

 Some basic facts about the cereal industry

 Economists call it the “ready-to-eat” cereal industry

 Highly concentrated industry

 Kellogg’s and General Mills are dominant

 Do the firms have high margins (price minus

marginal cost)?

10

Some puzzles

 There is little entry into cereal despite high

margins. An exception is recent entry of

healthy brands, e.g., Kashi

 Despite lack of entry, incumbent firms

frequently introduce new brands (there are at

least 12 types of Cheerios)

11

Does the world need this many

types of cheerios?

12

Entry puzzle in breakfast cereal: no

new firms, but lots of new brands

A. Lack of entry by other firms suggests presence of barriers to entry

B. Incumbent firms introduce lots of new brands

Two potential stories as to why this might be:

1. High costs of advertising / promotion

2. All brands themselves are a barrier to entry

13

What about story 1: High up-front

advertising?

A. Lack of entry by other firms suggests presence of barriers to entry

B. Incumbent firms introduce lots of new brands

How would an advertising story work given (A) and (B) above?

 Need that incumbent firms don’t have to spend as much on ads as an entrant

 Possible reason: established firms already have substantial brand recognition

 Example: Apple-Cinnamon Cheerios in 1989

 We’ll talk more about advertising in two weeks

14

What about story 2: Brand

proliferation?

 Idea behind the brand proliferation theory of entry

deterrence

 Suppose that, without entry threat, it is optimal to

have N brands of cereal ---we will model this!

 But now face threat of entry

 Why might it be a good idea to introduce more

brands?

15

Idea behind entry deterrence via

brand proliferation

 Incumbent is worried about profitable entry if it has N

brands

 Entrant could introduce a new brand that is “different

enough” so that it makes positive profits

 Suppose the incumbent introduces the new brand

instead

 Now there is no “space” for the entrant to insert its new

product

 Incumbent makes less profit (too many brands), but is

still competing only with itself

 Prices stay high

16

We need a model to help us

answer some questions here

 How to model the concept of multiple products in a

horizontally differentiated market?

 We’ve seen this already when we considered

differentiated product Bertrand competition

 Use the Hotelling line! Except now the products are

all owned by the same firm

 We will use this model to answer questions:

 What is the optimal number of brands for a

monopolist?

 How does this compare to the socially optimal

number of brands?

17

Return to the Hotelling model of

horizontal differentiation

 Early in the course, we used the Hotelling line

model to figure out what happens in

differentiated Bertrand competition

 Basic idea: the line was an abstract way to

model differing preferences of consumers

 e.g., Coke vs Pepsi

 People on one side of the line like Pepsi,

people on other side like Coke

18

Return to the Hotelling model of

horizontal differentiation

 “Spatial model”: each product sold has a location

on the Hotelling line

 Interpretation of “location” can be rich:

 “location” can be thought of in

 space (geography)

 time (departure times of planes, buses, trains)

 product characteristics (design and variety)

19

Applying the Hotelling line to a

multiproduct monopoly

 Questions we can ask using the Hotelling line

 Pricing: What price to charge for each product?

 Design: How differentiated should the products be?

 Variety: How many varieties?

20

Basic setup of the model is the

same as in multi-firm case

 Model the line as Main Street: 1 mile long

 N consumers are evenly distributed on the line

 Consumers only buy one item from one store

 Suppose a consumer located at x buys from the

store located at y

 Then utility is U = V – t|y – x| - py

 Where t is the “travel cost”

 V is the value from consuming the “ideal” product

 py is the price set at store y

21

What will the monopolist do?

 Monopolist must decide how best to supply these consumers

 That is, what price to charge

 And, how many stores (brands) to offer

 Suppose MC = c

 The fixed cost of operating a store is F

 How does this compare to the socially optimal number of brands?

 We will study the full model in class as it involves many pictures! PRN 7.2 does a similar example, though graph setup is different