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Lecture12PoliticalEconomyRegimeinChinasMainland.pptx

Current Political Economy Regime in China’s Mainland

Political economy regime

Combination of economic liberalization and political authoritarianism

regime of political economy

public policy profile

market-oriented reforms and political grip

political and economic institutions

strong reformist state retreats from economy

socioeconomic coalition base

co-optation of newly-emerged social sectors

“Reforms & opening up”

Deng Xiaoping’s reforms since 1978

economic liberalization

break the monopoly of state sector

“socialist market economy”

political authoritarianism

the “four basic principles”

last one is the key: “leadership of the CCP”

allow no organized opposition to the party

Deng’s handpicked successors

First two

were selected as economic reformers

were purged for political liberalization

Hu Yaobang

CCP General Secretary from 1978-87

Zhao Ziyang

CCP General Secretary from 1987-89

Deng’s handpicked successors

Last two

were selected as technocrats

politically “reliable”

economic reformers

Jiang Zemin

CCP General Secretary 1989-2002

Hu Jintao

CCP General Secretary 2002-2012

From Jiang Zemin to Hu Jintao

CCP General Secretary (2002)

16th National Party Congress

Hu Jintao replaced Jiang Zemin

PRC State President (2003)

10th National People’s Congress

Hu Jintao replace Jiang Zemin

the first peaceful and orderly leadership succession in PRC history

Crack down political dissidents

CCP has allowed no organized opposition to the Party leadership

Waves of pro-democracy movements

late 1970s: “democracy wall” movement

late 1980s: Tian’anmen Square protests

late 1990s: China Democracy Party

late 2000s: Charter ’08 and Liu Xiaobo

each followed immediately by suppression

Broader programs of reform

Separate Party from government

halted after 1989 Tian’anmen

Separate state from economy

market mechanism

de facto privatization

Broader programs of reform

Separate government from enterprises

reinforced after 2001 WTO

introduce competition

deregulate industries

increase role for law

limit corruption

Price adjusted by market

Economic liberalization accelerated since 1990s

in 2001, prices of another 107 kinds of commodities and service were deregulated

State management of economy

break down bureaucratic interests that have fostered economic paternalism

1998: industrial ministries were reorganized as bureaus

2000: industrial bureaus were eliminated

2003: State Development Planning Commission was reorganized as the State Development and Reforms Commission

State management of economy

Further restructuring of state institutions

2003: State Economic and Trade Commission was eliminated

2003: the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation and the Ministry of Internal Trade were merged into the new Ministry of Commerce

foster professionalism within government

Competition and deregulation

Introduction of competition into formerly monopolized industries

telecommunications industry

electric power industry

railway industry

airline industry

break down bureaucratic interests that have fostered economic paternalism

State retreats from economy

State sector continues to shrink

downsized, privatized, or go bankrupt

non-state sector continues to grow

Potential challenges

Potential challenges to the current regime of political economy

globalization

demographic changes

political instability

China Joined WTO in 2001

Culmination of 15 years of the PRC government’s efforts

Impact of WTO

Expansion of trade & foreign investment

trade volume $0.6 trillion for 2002

22% increase from 2001

direct investment US$55 billion for 2002

13% increase from 2001

Economists estimate WTO membership would add 1.5% to China’s annual growth rate after 5 years

Impact on WTO

weed out inefficient SOEs

erode local protectionism

curtail industrial monopolies

urban-rural divide

regional differences

unemployment

social unrest

International Covenants

In October 1997, PRC government signed the International Covenant on Economic Social and Cultural Rights

In October 1998, PRC government signed the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights