BUSINESS AND FAITH INTEGRATION

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Lecture_Note_Chapter_5-The_Time_Value_of_Money.docx

BUSI 530

Chapter 5: The Time Value of Money

Chapter 5 Learning Objectives

1. Calculate the future value to which money invested at a given interest rate will grow.

2. Calculate the present value of a future payment.

3. Calculate present and future values of a series of cash payments.

4. Find the interest rate implied by present and future values.

5. Compare interest rates quoted over different time intervals—for example, monthly versus annual rates.

6. Understand the difference between real and nominal cash flows and between real and nominal interest rates.

Time Value of Money

Money has a time value. It can be expressed in multiple ways:

A dollar today held in savings will grow.

A dollar received in a year is not worth as much as a dollar received today.

Chapter 5 Outline

Interest and Future Value

Future Value

Interest: Simple vs. Compound

Present Value

Discount Rates and Present Values

Multiple Cash Flows

Level Cash Flows: Perpetuities and Annuities

Annuities Due

Effective Annual Interest Rates

Inflation and the Time Value of Money

Basic idea of this chapter: Money has a time value and it can be expressed by interest rates.

Future Values

Let r = annual interest rate

Let t = # of years

Simple Interest Compound Interest

Future Value - Amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest.

Compound Interest - Interest earned on interest.

Simple Interest - Interest earned only on the original investment.

Simple Interest: Example

Interest earned at a rate of 7% for five years on a principle balance of $100.

Example - Simple Interest

Today Future Years

1 2 3 4 5

Interest Earned 7 7 7 7 7

Value 100 107 114 121 128 135

Value at the end of Year 5: $135

Future Value – Amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest.

Simple Interest – Interest earned only on the original investment.

Compound Interest: Example

Interest earned at a rate of 7% for five years on the previous year’s balance.

Example - Simple Interest

Today Future Years

1 2 3 4 5

Interest Earned 7 7.49 8.01 8.58 9.15

Value 100 107 114.49 122.50 131.08 140.26

Value at the end of Year 5: $140.26

Future Value – Amount to which an investment will grow after earning interest.

Compound Interest – Interest earned on interest.

The Power of Compounding

Interest earned at a rate of 7% for the first forty years on the $100 invested using simple and compound interest.

Present Value

What is it?

Why is it useful?

Present Value – Value today of a future cash flow

Present Value

Discount Rate – Interest rate used to compute present values of future cash flows

Discount Factor – Present value of a $1 future payment

Present Value – Value today of a future cash flow

Recall: t = number of years

Present Value: Example

Always ahead of the game, Tommy, at 8 years old, believes he will need $100,000 to pay for college. If he can invest at a rate of 7% per year, how much money should he ask his rich Uncle GQ to give him?

FV = $100,000 t = 10 yrs r = 7%

Note: Ignore inflation/taxes

Time Value of Money (applications)

The PV formula has many applications. Given any variables in the equation, you can solve for the remaining variable.

Present Values: Changing Discount Rates

The present value of $100 to be received in 1 to 20 years at varying discount rates:

PV of Multiple Cash Flows

The present value of multiple cash flows can be calculated:

Recall: r = the discount rate

Note: The present value of an entire investment can be computed by summing the present values of each individual cash flow.

Multiple Cash Flows: Example

Your auto dealer gives you the choice to pay $15,500 cash now or make three payments: $8,000 now and $4,000 at the end of the following two years. If your cost of money (discount rate) is 8%, which do you prefer?

* The initial payment occurs immediately and therefore would not be discounted.

The total present value of the financed transaction is $15,133.06. Therefore you would save money should you choose to make payments instead of paying it all up front in cash.

Perpetuities

What are they?

Let C = Yearly Cash Payment

PV of Perpetuity:

Recall: r = the discount rate

Perpetuity – A stream of level cash payments that never ends

Perpetuities: Example

In order to create an endowment, which pays $185,000 per year forever, how much money must be set aside today if the rate of interest is 8%?

What if the first payment won’t be received until 3 years from today?

Annuities

What are they?

Why are they useful?

Annuity – Equally spaced level stream of cash flows lasting for a limited period of time

Present Value of an Annuity

Let:

C = yearly cash payment

r = interest rate

t = number of years cash payment is received

The terms within the brackets are collectively called the “annuity factor.”

Annuity – Equally spaced level stream of cash flows lasting for a limited period of time

Annuity Factor - The present value of $1 paid every year for each of t years.

Annuities: Example

You are purchasing a home and are scheduled to make 30 annual installments of $10,000 per year. Given an interest rate of 5%, what is the price you are paying for the house (i.e. what is the present value)?

Future Value of Annuities

You plan to save $4,000 every year for 20 years and then retire. Given a 10% rate of interest, how much will you have saved by the time you retire?

Annuity Due

What is it?

How does it differ from an ordinary annuity?

How does the future value differ from an ordinary annuity?

Recall: r = the discount rate

Annuity Due : Level streams of cash flow starting immediately

Annuities Due: Example

Suppose you invest $429.59 annually at the beginning of each year at 10% interest. After 50 years, how much would your investment be worth?

Annuity Due : Level stream of cash flows starting immediately.

Interest Rates: EAR & APR

What is EAR?

What is APR?

How do they differ?

Effective annual interest rate : - Interest rate that is annualized using compound interest.

Annual percentage rate: Interest rate that is annualized using simple interest.

EAR and APR Calculations

Effective annual interest rate : - Interest rate that is annualized using compound interest.

Annual percentage rate : Interest rate that is annualized using simple interest.

*where MR = monthly interest rate

Effective annual interest rate : - Interest rate that is annualized using compound interest.

Annual percentage rate : Interest rate that is annualized using simple interest.

EAR and APR: Example

Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the Effective Annual Rate (EAR)? What is the Annual Percentage Rate (APR)?

Inflation

What is it?

What determines inflation rates?

What is deflation?

Inflation: The rate at which prices as a whole are increasing.

Inflation and Real Interest

Exact calculation:

Approximation:

Inflation : The rate at which prices as a whole are increasing.

Nominal interest rate : The rate at which money invested grows.

Real interest rate : The rate at which the purchasing power of an investment increases.

Inflation: Example

If the nominal interest rate on your interest-bearing savings account is 2.0% and the inflation rate is 3.0%, what is the real interest rate?

Appendix A: Inflation

Simple Interest 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 107 114.00000000000001 121 128 135 142 149 156 163 170.00000000000003 177 184 191 198 204.99999999999997 212 219.00000000000003 226.00000000000003 233 240.00000000000003 247.00000000000003 254 261.00000000000006 268 275 282 289 296 303 310 317.00000000000006 324 331 338.00000000000006 345 352.00000000000006 359.00000000000006 366 373.00000000000006 380 Compound Interest 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 107 114.49000000000002 122.50430000000001 131.07960099999997 140.25517306999998 150.07303518489996 160.57814764784305 171.81861798319201 183.84592124201549 196.71513572895651 210.48519522998356 225.21915889608232 240.98450001880815 257.85341502012466 275.90315407153338 295.21637485654065 315.8815210964986 337.99322757325353 361.6527535033814 386.96844624861785 414.05623748602125 443.0401741100427 474.0529862977458 507.23669533858788 542.74326401228916 580.73529249314913 621.38676296767005 664.88383637540664 711.42570492168522 761.22550426620319 814.51128956483751 871.52707983437597 932.53397542278242 997.811353702377 1067.6581484615433 1142.3942188538508 1222.361814173621 1307.9271411657751 1399.482041047379 1497.4457839206959

Year

Future Value

Page 1 of 10

FV = Initial investment(1)

Simple

rt

´+´

r

1

(1)

t

r

DF

+

=

1

(1)

t

r

PVFV

+

10

1

(1.07)

1

$100,000$50,835

(1)

t

PVFV

r

=´=´»

+

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

Number of Years

PV of $100

0%

5%

10%

15%

1

2

:

The cash flow in year 1

The cash flow in year 2

The cash flow in year t (with any numbe

r of cash flows in between)

t

Denote

C

C

C

=

=

=

12

12

(1)(1)(1)

....

t

t

C

CC

rrr

PV

+++

=+++

1

2

4,000

1

(1.08)

4,000

2

(1.08)

Initial Payment*

8,000.00

3,703.70

3,429.36

Total PV $15,133.06

PVofC

PVofC

+

+

==

==

=

C

r

PV

=

185,000

.08

$2,312,500

PV

==

2

2,312,500

(1.08)

$1,982,596

PV

+

==

11

(1)

t

r

rr

PVC

´+

éù

=´-

ëû

30

11

.05

.05(1.05)

$10,000

$153,724.51

PV

PV

+

éù

=-

ëû

=

20

20

11

.10

.10(1.10)

$4,000(1.10)

$229,100

FV

FV

+

éù

=-´+

ëû

=

(1)

AnnuityDueAnnuity

PVPVr

=´+

(1)

AnnuityDueAnnuity

FVFVr

=´+

)

1

(

r

FV

FV

Annuity

AD

+

´

=

000

,

550

$

)

10

.

1

(

)

000

,

500

($

)

1

(

=

´

=

+

´

=

AD

AD

Annuity

AD

FV

FV

r

FV

FV

1

)

1

(

12

-

+

=

MR

EAR

12

´

=

MR

APR

%

00

.

12

)

12

(

)

01

.

0

(

%

68

.

12

1

)

01

.

1

(

12

=

´

=

=

-

=

APR

EAR

1+nominal interest rate

1+inflation rate

1real interest rate=

+

rate

inflation

-

rate

interest

nominal

rate

interest

Real

»

1+.02

1+.03

1real interest rate=

1real interest rate= 0.9903

real interest rate = -.0097 or -.97%

Approximation = .02-.03 =.011%

+

+

-=-

FV = Initial investment(1)

t

Compound

r

´+