Evaluate the estimated demand model.
Raw Data
| Year | Pork Consumption dpc: Pounds per Capita | Price Pork dpc: $/pound | Price Beef dpc: $/pound | Income dpc: Average Household in $1000s |
| 1985 | 57 | 1.48 | 2.34 | 21 |
| 1986 | 54 | 1.61 | 2.35 | 23 |
| 1987 | 49 | 1.86 | 2.38 | 24 |
| 1988 | 51 | 1.80 | 2.34 | 25 |
| 1989 | 51 | 1.71 | 2.35 | 27 |
| 1990 | 51 | 1.71 | 2.29 | 29 |
| 1991 | 49 | 1.89 | 2.27 | 31 |
| 1992 | 49 | 1.99 | 2.38 | 32 |
| 1993 | 52 | 1.94 | 2.50 | 34 |
| 1994 | 52 | 1.93 | 2.66 | 37 |
| 1995 | 49 | 2.25 | 2.81 | 37 |
| 1996 | 50 | 2.24 | 2.88 | 38 |
| 1997 | 52 | 2.09 | 2.85 | 39 |
| 1998 | 52 | 2.09 | 2.93 | 41 |
| 1999 | 52 | 2.10 | 2.83 | 43 |
| 2000 | 51 | 2.06 | 2.84 | 45 |
| 2001 | 48 | 2.34 | 2.80 | 47 |
| 2002 | 48 | 2.45 | 2.80 | 50 |
| 2003 | 51 | 2.43 | 2.77 | 52 |
| 2004 | 53 | 2.41 | 2.88 | 55 |
| 2005 | 51 | 2.58 | 3.06 | 57 |
| 2006 | 50 | 2.69 | 3.38 | 58 |
| 2007 | 51 | 2.66 | 3.32 | 58 |
| 2008 | 52 | 2.66 | 3.75 | 59 |
| 2009 | 51 | 2.79 | 4.07 | 60 |
| 2010 | 50 | 2.83 | 4.09 | 63 |
| 2011 | 49 | 2.81 | 3.97 | 67 |
| 2012 | 50 | 2.87 | 4.16 | 68 |
| 2013 | 49 | 2.94 | 4.33 | 68 |
| 2014 | 50 | 2.92 | 4.26 | 68 |
| 2015 | 47 | 3.11 | 4.38 | 67 |
| 2016 | 45 | 3.43 | 4.81 | 70 |
| 2017 | 45 | 3.47 | 4.99 | 71 |
Results
| SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||||
| Regression Statistics | ||||||||
| Multiple R | 0.8351852186 | |||||||
| R Square | 0.6975343494 | |||||||
| Adjusted R Square | 0.6662447993 | |||||||
| Standard Error | 1.3522944836 | |||||||
| Observations | 33 | |||||||
| ANOVA | ||||||||
| df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||||
| Regression | 3 | 122.3010225904 | 40.7670075301 | 22.2928852583 | 0.0000001101 | |||
| Residual | 29 | 53.032310743 | 1.8287003704 | |||||
| Total | 32 | 175.3333333333 | ||||||
| Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | |
| Intercept | 63.6339718057 | 1.7007732702 | 37.414729476 | 4.25179713655048E-26 | 60.1554998989 | 67.1124437126 | 60.1554998989 | 67.1124437126 |
| Price Pork | -13.0145529376 | 2.1390789273 | -6.0841854743 | 0.0000012646 | -17.3894605665 | -8.6396453087 | -17.3894605665 | -8.6396453087 |
| Price Beef | 1.9584167911 | 0.9391588581 | 2.0852881004 | 0.0459535721 | 0.0376212559 | 3.8792123262 | 0.0376212559 | 3.8792123262 |
| Income | 0.2383343024 | 0.0541160612 | 4.4041324734 | 0.0001322942 | 0.1276545299 | 0.3490140748 | 0.1276545299 | 0.3490140748 |
| Q=63.63-13.01Pp+1.95Pb+.24M | ||||||||
| where | Pp = Price of Pork | |||||||
| Pb = Price of Beef | ||||||||
| M = Income |
elasticities
| Year | Pork Consumption dpc: Pounds per Capita | Price Pork dpc: $/pound | Price Beef dpc: $/pound | Income dpc: Average Household in $1000s |
||||||||
| 1997 | 52 | 2.09 | 2.85 | 39 | ||||||||
| 2017 | 45 | 3.47 | 4.99 | 71 | ||||||||
| price elasticity | Q2017-Q1997 | X | P AVG | -7 | X | 2.78 | = | -19.46 | = | -0.2907515315 | inelastic | |
| of demand | P2017-P1997 | Q AVG | 1.38 | 48.5 | 66.93 | |||||||
| income elasticity | Q2017-Q1997 | X | M AVG | -7 | X | 55 | = | -385 | = | -0.2480670103 | inferior | |
| of demand | M2017-M1997 | Q AVG | 32.00 | 48.5 | 1552 | |||||||
| Cross price elasticity | Qp2017-Qp1997 | X | P AVG Beef | -7 | X | 3.92 | = | -27.44 | = | -0.2643799981 | complimentary | |
| of demand | Pb2017-Pb1997 | Q AVG Pork | 2.14 | 48.5 | 103.79 |