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IT 20 Lecture Two
Matthew Yen
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3. Sources of Change
Great Breakthrough
Push and Pull
Market Economy
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4. Science vs. Technology
Who is the Driver?
Differences between Science and Technology
Commonalities
Advancement
The S-curve may be used to describe technology advancement: there were periods it moves ahead with painstaking growth; there were periods it ramp up rapidly due to some breakthroughs, such as: Thomas Edison light bulb invention and Wright brothers’ aviation endeavor.
http:// strategicthinker.wordpress.com/s-curve
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Stages of S-Curve
Stage One (Characteristics, activities, methodologies, skills, practice, etc.)
Push (supply, internal drive) –
Creativity
Accident
Inspiration
Pull (demand, external needs) –
Market demand
Needs: : Maslow Hierarchy of Needs
Push-Pull
Venture capital, e.g.: Shark Tank
Government priority: NSF
Academia: MIT, Stanford, etc.
Brainstorm: IDEAS, RAND, etc.
Theory of Inventive Principles (TRIZ)
Stage Two
Diffusion – media, commerce, academic, intelligence, etc.
(Diffusion of Innovation by Everett Rogers)
Adoption
Adaptation (Appropriate technology)
Training/Education
Production
Patent protection
CAD/CAM
Mass production/customization
Professional marketing and management
Stage Three
Bureaucracy
Regulation
Guild/Union
Deadweight
Competition
Complacency
Patent expiration
Strategies:
From Good to Great (Jim Collings)
Bottle neck & Theory of Constraints (TOC)
Kaizen (Continuous improvements)
Lean principles
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Push-N-Pull
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http://www.newtopgardentools.com/blog/pull-versus-pull-in-supply-chain-management/
Supply and Demand
Carnot Economic Cycle
Economic Temperature
Supply
Demand
Entropy
Qe
Pe
T1
S1
T0
S0
Area representing distribution enabled by money circulation
Line representing barter w/o money
Carnot cycle is the most efficient cycle for an engine.
This is an example of Technology as a Metaphor (CH 1)
Equilibrium Point (Production Cycle in Red = Business Cycle in Blue)
Quantity
Supply
Demand
Price
Qe
Pe
Science vs. Technology
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Science vs. Technology
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Science: To Know
Technology: Know How
Video Stories
THE ENIAC: The First Computer
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=goi6NAHMKog
The work of Prof Sir John Ambrose Fleming at UCL. Made to commemorate the 100th anniversary of his invention of thermionic valve:
http:// www.youtube.com/watch?v=txCRJ5AUEgI
The story of Alexander Fleming and penicillin for children (https:// youtu.be/ZAGY36JYQlg)
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Market Economies and Technology Advance
Free enterprise or free market is the conducive for technology development
Carnegie & Rockefeller - A Short Documentary (https://youtu.be/9vuqR3e0uKU)
Capitalism & Communism
(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zBxW2WLO9d8)
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The Sower Parable
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Technology developments likens the Sower Parable in Matthew 13: A good system and environment are essential for its growth.
Point to Ponder
三人一条心,黄土变成金 (sān rén yì tiáo xīn, huáng tǔ biàn chéng jīn)
If people are of one heart, even the yellow earth can become gold. This proverb tells us that as long as people are unified, any goal can be achieved.
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Stage One
Time
Total Users
Stage Two
Stage Three
Prigogine: Dissipative Structures
Figure: S-curve for technology growth
Product Development Cycle – A Proven Model
Design
Research
Prototype (Model)
Test (Simulation & Analy sis)
Pilot Production
Sales and Service
Business & Management
Department of Industrial Technology 559 -278-2145
www.csufresno.edu/indtech
Matthew Yen 08-28-2014
Academic Program
(Technology Management &
Applied Engineering)
Prototype
Making
Product
Testing
Production/Manufacturing
From Incubator to Garage (e.g.: HP Garage)