Investment model
Investment Analyses
Market Analysis
Cross sectional: fundamental analyses
Time serial: technical analyses
Industry Analysis
Cross sectional
Time serial
Company analysis
Cross sectional
Profit analyses:
Profitability ratios: ROA, ROE, ROCE, EARNINGS/SALES, Cash flow/TA.
Activity: inventory turnover, asset turnover
Risk analyses: liquidity w/ cash position, solvency, credit.
Growth analyses: earnings growth, sales growth, assets growth
Select the best:
Creating composite indices using results from 3-a-I, ii, iii, & others.
Establish selection process:
Aggressive approach: consider
Growth potential measures first,
Profit measures second
Then, risk measures.
Conservative approach: consider
risk measure first ,
profit measures second,
Then growth potential measures.
Using valuation models.
Choose the most under- valued item which has the largest gap between the intrinsic value from the model and the current market value.
Methods to find intrinsic values:
Present value methods:
Cash flow based.
Earnings based.
Dividend based.
CAPM for expected return: Ri = Rf +βi (E(Rm) - Rf ) +εi
Other methods to find under-valued stocks:
Using P/E ratios
Using BV/MV ratios.
Time series: Trend analyses.
Growing vs. shrinking in value.