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IntTradeTheories.pptx

International Trade Theories

10-08-2019

Chapter 6 Notes

Adam Smith – Absolute Advantage

Countries should produce those goods for Which it has an advantage and use that to Trade with other countries.

Assume each country has 200 units of Resources.

Without trade they can produce only 12.5 Tons of cocoa and 15 tons of rice

With trade, they can produce 20 tones of each Increasing consumption for everyone.

David Ricardo - Relative Advantage

Shows gains of trade when one country is more efficient at producing both goods.

Each country produces those goods it is most efficient (relative) and then trade –

Before trade total production is 12.5 tones of cocoa and rice.

After trade is is 15 tones and 13.75 tones respectively.

Shortcommings of these two models

Assumes only 2 countries, but world is 200+

No accounting for transportation and finance

Does not account for different prices in different countries (factor prices)

Assumes resources can move freely from one country to another

Assumes constant returns to scale – reality is that both increasing and diminishing returns exist

Assumed each country has fixed resources. Can some resources increase over time – or dynamic effects of creating new resources?

Dynamic effects

Scale – production possibilities curve (PPC) expands outward as firms become more productive from expanded markets

Import/global competition – forcing more efficiency and innovation

Evidence of Economic Growth and Trade

Multiple studies have shown that trade supports economic growth – ibid: Jeffrey Sachs, and other studies – see Petersen Institute for International Economics – Gary Hufbauer and others.

Heckscher-Ohlin Theory

Comparative advantage arises from differences in national factor endowments (Land, Labor, Capital and Natural Resources)

E.g. US is big producer of agricultural products because of available land and climate for food production

Assumes countries will export products and services derived from their abundance, and import those for which there is scarcity.

Weakness: assumes that technology is constant across markets.

Product Life Cycle Theory – Raymond Vernon

Innovator country produces and exports

To gain market share abroad – moves operations (generally sales first) closer to customers in foreign markets – i.e. becomes a multinational

Learning occurs by domestic and foreign competitors (concept that knowledge is free in the long run)

Meanwhile, and perhaps simultaneously, innovator country’s market is in decline (old technology and so forth)

Products are imitated or innovated (driven by local demand) and original country becomes net importer.

Opportunistic Exporting

Pursuing Opportunities Abroad

Strategic Alliances

Foreign Production or Subsidiary

New Trade Theory – Paul Krugman

Premise- Scale Matters

Ability to use more specialized employee skills and technology

For some industries, there may only be room for a few global players

Opportunity to simultaneously lower costs for consumers and increase choice.

Innovations may occur in some small countries, whose domestic market is not large enough to drive down costs and make production more efficient, however when able to trade, scale can be achieved by exporting and globalization

One contention of this theory, is that it creates incentives for countries to adopt “industrial policies”, which is increasingly observed globally and feeds into the Porter Diamond of National Advantage.

Chance

Firm Strategy, structure and rivalry

Factor Conditions

Demand Conditions

Government

Related and Supporting Industries

Diamond of National Advantage - Porter

Porters Diamond of National Advantage

Firms are competing globally, not just domestically

Characteristics of the home nation play a central role in the company’s international success

Building Capacity

Innovation support and networks (Industry clusters of world class buyers, suppliers and related industries)

The nation may create the environment, but it is up to the individual firm to seize those opportunities, through its own strategy and operations

Porter National Advantage factors

Factor Conditions – basic – such as natural resources, where resource mobility is low; and advanced – such as human capital, research capabilities.

Demand Conditions – size, growth and degree of sophistication

Related and Supporting Industries – suppliers, vertical integration partners, and spin-off’s or auxiliary products – all of which play off each other to develop specific and advanced skills and processes

Firm Strategy, Structure and Rivalry – vigorous domestic competition forces firms to become more efficient, adopt cost saving measures, reduce product development time, etc.

Government – incentives, sponsored research and collaboration (e.g. DARPA)

Thailand’s medical tourism cluster serves over 2 million visitors per year

Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry

Context for Firm Strategy and Rivalry

Demand Conditions

Demand Conditions

Factor (Input) Conditions

Factor (Input) Conditions

Related and Supporting Industries

Related and Supporting Industries

+ Ease opening up business & in dealing with licenses

+ Property registration

+ Labor management

+ Increase Intensity of local competition

- Many restrictions on foreign ownership (in financial, telecom, etc.)

- Lack of innovation

- Poor intellectual property and antitrust law enforcement

+ High customer expectation, particularly in the service industry (leading to a sophisticated range of products)

Poor enforcement of consumer protection regulation

Low buyer sophistication

+ Diversified industry in the economy

? Collaboration between Public and Private sector

+ Adopting Cluster Development Strategy: Travel and Tourism, Food, Entertainment

+Education – King’s Scholar’s program funding top students to study at top universities around the world

+ Abundant natural resources and beautiful scenery

+ Good Transportation Infrastructure

+ Minimal restriction on capital flow

+ Local equity market access including access to credit

+ Abundant labor force with high literacy rate

+ University Collaborations

High bureaucracy

+ Highly trained medical industry – built on the back of US Army and Vietnam War

Medical Tourism Cluster – Bangkok, Thailand

Thailand Medical Tourism – Cluster Map

Leveraging Medical Tourism – to enter Health and Wellness