Technology and Innovation in International Political Economy

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The International Political Economy of Technology and Innovation

Dr Michael F. Keating

International Political Economy (INR 6205)

Richmond the American International University in London

Political Ideology

Micro-Analysis

Exogenous vs. Endogenous Innovation

Product vs. Process Innovation

Sequential vs. Disruptive Innovation

Business Innovation

The Valley of Death Problem

Meso-Analysis

National Innovation Systems

Knowledge Economies

Enhanced State Functions

Macro-Analysis

The Global Division of Labour

Developing States

Appropriate Technology

The Technostructure

Innovation and Technology

Neo-Realism

Technology operates within the States System, power

Neo-liberalism

Technology driven by markets and driving in turn, power

Marxism

Technology subservient to capital, power

Gramscian

Technology linked to ideological hegemony, power

Feminist

Technology reflecting patriarchal hierarchies, power

Potsmodernism

Technostructure and domination/control/discipline, power

Environmentalism

Light vs Dark Greens, power

Political Ideologyy

Prometheanism

Humans will solve their problems through technology

Technological determinism

Technical fixes

Cornucopians – Mother Earth will provide!

Science and technology ensure continued economic growth

New resources are created which reduce need for scarce resources

Hence a ‘reformist’ environmental agenda (ecological modernisation)

Neo-Malthusians – environmental limits

Economic growth is not limitless, resources will run out

(Soft) Limits to Growth

Technology a leading CAUSE of environmental degradation

Radical ecology opposed to ‘technical fixes’

Eco-Technological Ideology

Neo-classical economics views innovation as an interruption from outside the economic system (exogenous)

A given rate of technological change is assumed

Technology as a function of the historical development of markets

With regulation as an ‘economic cost’ and a sub-optimal distortion

Is social change driven by new technology?

Impact of demands, supplies, efficiency gains

Consequences for other sectors?

Issue-areas are not discrete

Economic, political, cultural, international

Exogenous Drivers

Neo-Schumpeterian economics views innovation as a response to incentives arising within the economic system (endogenous)

Institutions, policies and systems of governance affect technological change

Technology a function of state incentives (economic and legal)

With regulation discouraging/encouraging certain directions in innovation

Feedback loops for promoting efficiency and adaptation

New technologies being created driving global economic growth

States and companies seek ‘first mover advantage’ in technology markets

How does society shape technologies?

What are the political economic drivers?

The market as the key mechanism in promoting innovation

State policies, laws, norms, and institutions that guide behaviour

Endogenous Drivers

Product Innovation

Most well-understood

Marketing to Consumers

Whole product life cycle efficiency

Process Innovation

Metatechnologies

Machine tools

Microchips

Transforming systems of production

Just-in-Time

Outsourcing

Products remain the same but their (economic and social) costs are restructured

Bio-plastics

Innovation

Path Dependency/Historical Institutionalism

Co-evolution/ Incrementalism

Innovation reflects existing values, patterns, rules, laws and institutions

Leaves underlying technological framework intact

Change by adaptation of existing systems and reflections of system linkages

Economic; Regulatory; Related Industries

Technology ‘Lock-in’

Ensuring economies of scale and system resilience but can create problems

Embedded redundant technology (qwerty)

Sequential innovation insufficient to promote radical change

Sequential Innovation

Punctuated Equilibrium – radical disjunctures and discontinuities

Creative Destruction, non-linear technological change

Potentially involves heavy transaction costs against sunken costs and vested interests

Risk of vast stranded assets

Power of current technology lobby groups

New Technology as a threat to economic continuity and jobs

Where radical change is most needed it is least preferred?

Car Industry vs. Electric Cars

Toyota Prius

VW and German Diesel manufactures

US Car Industry vs. Tesla

Disruptive Innovation

Schumpeter (1912) concentrated economic power increase innovation

Monopolies for Innovation

Brains Trust

Higher risk-taking

Actually a mixed story

Large companies sometimes not a good source of technology innovation

Oil Company ‘Dinosaurs’ still producing ‘Dinosaur Juice’

High capital intensity of investment

Largely automated (anti-innovation)

Monopolies for Innovation?

State subsidies needed

Basic research

Support technology making it to markets

BUT Government ‘push’ and Market ‘pull’ don’t meet…

R&D/Demonstrators phase 1-2 (push)

Niche markets/Commercial phase 4-5 (pull)

Pre-commercial phase (3) The Valley of Death

High returns and high risks

Non-technological barriers stronger than technological ones

Can the state ‘share risks’ with the private sector?

The Valley of Death Problem

Innovations must make it to market…

Efficient and profitable the ultimate challenge

Success determined after the fact

Strong state support while achieving economies of scale may be needed

SMEs may be more suited to innovation

But face high entry cost and lack economies of scale

Difficulties in accessing capital, may face regulatory barriers

Will be more reliant on the state as a result

The Valley of Death Problem

National Innovation Systems (NIS):

Actors (individuals and organisations)

Institutions (formal and informal rules, norms, laws and regulations regarding the interactions of Actors)

‘a melding of institutional capacities, coordination mechanisms, communication networks, and policy incentives that fosters innovation-led gains in economic productivity’ (World Bank 2009)

Even in globalized markets the source of innovation is national in character

Reflects distinct national technological capabilities

Entrenched in national institutional and social arrangements

Development based on an NIS approach therefore allows “...nationally specific patterns of industrial adjustment and economic development” (Zysman 1996) to emerge as states capitalize on their existing actors and institutional base.

National Innovation Systems

States are part of a global economy

But global sources of finance, governance may be insufficient

States must build on NIS to support innovation in a global context

Reducing trade/regulatory/technology barriers

Dissemination strategies needs to be global

Pilot schemes and demonstrators on global scale

Social acceptability may also need to be addressed

Social coalitions, technology as a non-technical problem

State Support for Innovation

Knowledge Economies occur when existing manufacturing and services sector (already integrated into the global division of labour) become increasingly based on high-tech, computerised, scientific and network-based processes related to the management of information.

The Tertiary sector is central to the promotion of knowledge economies

Meeting research needs undersupplied by the market

Forums for research and product/process innovation linkages with industry

Outsource centres for industrial R&D

Knowledge economies cause extreme structural differentiation

Resulting in coordination problems

Necessitating new forms of state intervention

Knowledge Economies

State adaptation to knowledge economies (the Regulatory State):

Governance

States must provide a policy environment supportive of systems of innovation

Coordination

States must coordinate investment and research

Develop ‘catalysts’ through tax breaks or subsidies

Make public investments in infrastructure or organisations for scientific research

Or ensure private sector investment

Networking

States must promote forms of connectivity that enable collective learning and innovation

Encourage networking between researchers and research organisations and the private sector

Create incentives for tertiary providers and industry to collaborate in developing technological capability

Institutions for disseminating and commercializing research outcomes

Enhanced State Functions

Linking innovators, businesses, scientists and universities

Contributing to national economy as well as to state capacity

Enabling technological diffusion and uptake, further competitive gains

Building an ‘industrial ecology’, synergies of Greentech production

Industrial centres themselves as location of product/process innovation

State: Finance, accelerators, collaborative institutional structure (science parks)

Creating secondary markets (waste streams, recycling)

NIS, Knowledge Economies and Enhance State Functions

In theory a good idea…

Human Capital the basis of any development strategy

Economic growth is increasingly tied to high levels of education and technical skills, and IT-dependent

Skills shortages in Developing States mean very high returns

Human capital investment promotes technological production that underpins knowledge economies

Transfers resources to more dynamic sectors of the economy

Promotes economic growth and global competitiveness

Enables states to adapt to knowledge economies

Knowledge Economics in Developing States

Innovation fits into existing global economic structures

Including structures of exclusion

Economic benefits of industrial manufacturing reduced in the global knowledge economy

Global cities – high-tech, infrastructure-heavy (capital intensive), high-skill (labour)

Rise of the BRICS? China/India renewables investment?

Knowledge economies therefore reflect the Global Division of Labour

Phase 1: research, design, engineering (Tier 1)

Phase 2: production, manufacturing (Tier 2)

Phase 3: marketing, services, standard-generation (Tier 1)

Tier 1 States: OECD countries

Tier 2 States: Industrialising Developing States (Industrial Asia)

Tier 3 States: Non-Industrialised Developing States

Exclusion from Knowledge Economies

Integrated into the global division of labour as producers of cheap primary commodities

Knowledge Economies and the Global Division of Labour

DEEPLY problematic in non-industrialised developing states

No industry base or private sector to collaborate with weak tertiary sector

Lack of state finance and of private finance

Dissemination functions problematic

Problems with coordinated investments (‘regional cooperation’)

National Systems of Innovation (NIS)

If the national configuration of resources, capital and institutions is weak, then the governance/coordination/networking capacity to emerge from the NIS will also be weak

NIS and Enhanced State Functions in Developing States?

East and South East Asia

Well integrated in Phase 2 of Knowledge Economies

With Japan/South Korea phases 1/3

Benefitting from regional economic structures, expertise and tech transfer

Sub-Saharan Africa

Excluded from all phases of Knowledge Economies in the GDL

Primary commodity production (minerals/agriculture)

Vulnerable to commodity markets, secondary manufactures imports

Lacking capital (financial, physical, human) for innovation

But weaknesses can be opportunities

Lack of vested interests/sunken costs

Decentralised technologies

Promoting technology transfer or supporting sustainable livelihoods?

Developing States

Leftwich (2000) ‘technicist fallacy’

Social and political causes and constraints of policy problems mean “technical solutions” cause more problems than they solve

Technological solution should avoid being technical solutions

Criticisms of Schumacher’s promoting “intermediate technologies” (1973)

Promoting second rate development for the third world

Promoting technical solutions to political problems

Hence “appropriate”, implying social and cultural as well as technological constraints

Small scale, low-cost or easy to finance, organisational simplicity

Easy to manufacture, easy to use, and easy to maintain and repair

Direct benefits accrue to local communities – training, employment, capabilities

Reflecting existing cultural and social environments, friendly to local environmental resources

Emphasising what works well in local conditions

Appropriate Technology

Appropriate technology preferred to technology transfer for developing states

A dynamic strategy for raising productivity and promoting further developmental changes

Emphasizing Labour/human capital given this abundant factor of production

Capital-intensive development strategies can’t deliver benefits to domestic social coalitions of labour/land

Capital-intensive development strategies driving urbanisation, hence poverty

Technological appropriateness easier in rural areas

The ability of the state to engage in development strategies will be better served by appropriate technologies than on technology transfer

However successful technologies may have been in OECD contexts

“A system of permanent innovation in appropriate technology in the long run should engender domestic capacity to absorb and generate needed capital and technology” (Akubue 2000).

Appropriate technology can lead to “self-adaptive development in dynamic conditions” (Sianipar et al. 2013).

Appropriate Technology

Local materials and skills need to match the resources, demand and technology (Garniati et al. 2014)

‘…technological independence from international supply chains’

‘…regard for indigenous characteristics in knowledge transfer’

Local community rights over the technical and management aspects

Future design improvement based on local knowledge generation

Technology can be cutting edge and high-tech and still be highly adaptable to developing state contexts

Telecommunications & Mobile Banking

Capital-intensive but low-cost to consumers

Credits can be bought in small units in a widely available and competitive market

Many apps are free

Creative recharging possibilities

Small, portable technologies

Small infrastructure costs – piggybacking on satellites, no need for wiring

Lack of sunk costs, vested interests, or large and effective monopoly providers

Privatisation, competition and free markets have been successful

Appropriate Technology

The Technostructure

Intellectual Property

Genetics, Patenting, Cloning

Dr Frankenstein, Dr Moreau

Seed Movements

Biopolitics

The technology of control

Panopticon

Tapping

Hoodies

Big Data

Consumerism

Advertising

Information

Elections

Privacy

Facebook

The Privacy Economy

The Great Firewall of China