SWOT analysis for global expansion to Panama City and three entry mode and Justification for Entry Mode

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South Africa

Company Overview

Costco Wholesale Corporation, popularly known as Costco, is an American company. It is the largest membership-only warehouse club in the United States. Since 2013, Costco is aggressively expanding globally with its retail innovation practices that have developed cult-like followers, usually recognized as the Costco craze. The company currently has more than 200 Costco warehouses internationally, operating in eight countries outside the USA (Farfan, 2019). Globalization provided the opportunity to the retail giants to expand their business beyond the boundaries of the nations. However, several elements are critical while selecting the country for expansion.

Justification for International Expansion (The OLI framework,

specifically the VRIO analysis of the value proposition) Chapter3 and 7 PPT.

In order to create an accurate V.R.I.O analysis for Costco we needed to create the framework for the company to decide the Value, Rarity, Imitability, and Organization. First, we had to figure out the factors that would be compared between each of the V.R.I.O. and with this decision we saw that they are an international presence and are well-known so the first would be their Strong Global Presence. Next, we wanted to focus on the products themselves and have a location that can provide access to fresh foods (like seafoods) without having to worry about intermediate storage facilities to prolong freshness. Finally, we see that the system of membership with shoppers is an important capability as this is something that is seen in very few stores and this can gauge the average incomes of those that live in the vicinity.

The rationale for the three chosen countries

Our team brought the three main criteria to the table when searching for the countries of potential expansion for Costco. The following are our reasonings for why we chose these countries:

1) Each location represents a central hub of technological advancement, increased population, and a location that the countries deem as a suitable place to establish their headquarters.

2) Fresher foods can be higher quality and have a higher accessibility as each of these locations are coastal.

3) Average income is suitable for a consumer to want to purchase a membership from Costco and buy in large quantities.

S.W.O.T. analysis of the three chosen countries

South Africa

Portugal

Panama

Market Opportunities

Human Resources Management Practices (

http://dspace.lib.fcu.edu.tw/bitstream/2377/31760/1/M0597326106136.pdf (Here maybe some relative information about it can be used.)

Expansion Strategy (IRF)

Chapter7 Reading and may can refer to Key Strategies of Costco in China from this link: https://www.fbicgroup.com/sites/default/files/Costco_Report.pdf

Structure (IRF) Chapter7 ‘s Reading

Three Possible Entry Modes (The last part of Chaper6)

Justification for Entry Mode (Suggestion: you can refer to the last video from chapter6, link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D8-PkFgw2Yk&feature=emb_logo )

SWOT:

Costco Expansion in Johannesburg, South Africa

Costco Wholesale Corporation, popularly known as Costco, is an American company. It is the largest membership-only warehouse club in the United States. Since 2013, Costco is aggressively expanding globally with its retail innovation practices that have developed cult-like followers, usually recognized as the Costco craze. The company currently has more than 200 Costco warehouses internationally, operating in eight countries outside the USA (Farfan, 2019). Globalization provided the opportunity to the retail giants to expand their business beyond the boundaries of the nations. However, several elements are critical while selecting the country for expansion. This essay evaluates the expansion of Costco in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Johannesburg is the largest city in South Africa, classified as a megacity located in the Gauteng province. It is recognized as one of the 50 largest urban areas globally, and the population is close to 5.92 million (World Population Review, 2021). Further, Gauteng province is the wealthiest province in South Africa. It is necessary to evaluate internal and external factors to assess whether South Africa is the right destination for Costco’s expansion. The SWOT analysis highlighting internal and external aspects of South Africa (Frue, 2019) is given in the next section.

SWOT analysis of South Africa

Strength: Internal

1. Wide-ranging languages, cultures, and customs is the primary strength of South Africa. The people speak a different language, follow diverse traditions and religions (Frue, 2019).

2. The mining industry in South Africa has attracted Europeans since long for its raw materials such as copper, gold, and cobalt. The corporations such as BMW have invested heavily in the South African market, proving the destination is attractive for the business (Frue, 2019).

3. One thousand seven hundred forty miles of the coastal area provides an advantage to South Africa. The ports, such as Johannesburg, allow easy logistics.

4. The population of the country is large, close to 53 million.

5. The access to the South African Development Community (SADC) countries is good.

6. The political stability is relatively good in South Africa.

7. The infrastructure, which is the most critical factor for any business, is good.

8. The diverse industrial base is making South Africa an excellent destination for international businesses.

Weaknesses: Internal

1. The crime rate in South Africa is high, and it ranked third worldwide.

2. Since the country has an extensive coastal line, it is prone to natural disasters. Johannesburg is a coastal city (Frue, 2019).

3. Although the cost of labor is cheap, the volume of unskilled labor is high.

Opportunities: External

1. The demand for the imported goods in South Africa is high.

2. The South African economy is becoming more and more consumer-driven (Hung Lau, 2012).

3. The growth of the middle class in South Africa improved consumption.

4. The demand for technology is rising continuously.

Threats: External

1. The cost of energy is rising, which may increase the supply chain costs.

2. The strikes and social inequality in South Africa are common and may impact Costco’s operations frequently.

3. The wages are slowly increasing, and the lack of skilled workers may affect productivity.

Conclusion

The SWOT analysis shows several strengths and opportunities of South Africa, such as diverse culture, increasing consumption, political stability, demand for imported goods, and low labor costs, which shows positive signs for Costco. However, Costco must consider the threats such as strikes and social inequality to design Costco operations policies in South Africa to ensure smooth running without staff disputes. In a nutshell, South Africa seems an attractive destination for Costco considering its diverse culture and increasing consumption. Also, South Africa, especially Johannesburg, can be pivotal for Costco to expand its operations in the prospective African countries, for example, SADC members.

References

Cuofano, G. Costco SWOT Analysis In A Nutshell. FourWeekMBA.

https://fourweekmba.com/costco-swot-analysis/

Farfan, B. (2019). Discover Costco’s Secret to Conquering the Retail Sector. The Balance Small Business. Retrieved 12 February 2021, from https://www.thebalancesmb.com/costco-international-expansion-and-retail-innovation-2891768 .

Frue, K. (2019). SWOT Analysis of South Africa Reveals How to Boost the Economy. PESTLE Analysis. Retrieved 12 February 2021, from https://pestleanalysis.com/south-africa-swot-analysis/ .

Hung Lau, K. (2012). Demand management in downstream wholesale and retail distribution: a case study. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal17(6), 638-654. https://doi.org/10.1108/13598541211269247

International Trade, A. (2020, October 01). South Africa - market opportunities. Retrieved February 24, 2021, from https://www.trade.gov/knowledge-product/south-africa-market-opportunities

Pratap, A. (August 1, 2019). Costco SWOT Analysis. Notesmatic.

https://notesmatic.com/2019/03/costco-swot-analysis-2/

World Population Review. (2021). Johannesburg Population 2021 (Demographics, Maps, Graphs). Worldpopulationreview.com. Retrieved 12 February 2021, from https://worldpopulationreview.com/world-cities/johannesburg-population .

South Africa Overview

Overview

South Africa is the southernmost country on the African continent. It shares borders with Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Namibia, Swaziland, and Lesotho. South Africa is renowned for its cultural diversity, great natural beauty, and diverse topography. Three cities, including Bloemfontein, Cape Town, and Pretoria serve as the country’s capitals. Specifically, the judicial capital is Bloemfontein, the legislative capital is Cape Town, and the legislative capital is Pretoria. Johannesburg is one of the country’s largest cities. It is also the chief financial and industrial metropolis of South Africa. The other large cities in South Africa include East London, Durban, Port Elizabeth, and Germiston.

South Africa has a dual economy, which draws on its vastly evolved intellectual capital, abundant mineral resources, fertile agricultural lands, and tourist attractions. However, the nation has one of the world’s highest rates of inequality, with a consumption expenditure Gini index of 0.63 in 2015 (World Bank, 2019). Millions of South African citizens, particularly blacks, are still poor. Despite this and other challenges, the South African market remains an attractive destination for companies all over the world. The country is one of Africa’s best-operating environments, which makes it among the most sought-after investment destinations for international companies looking to expand their operations. It continues to be a conducive destination, especially to the U.S. investment. Thus, this nation is a viable market for Costco.

Demographics

South Africa has a population of 59,308,690 people of diverse languages, origins, religions, and cultures, and 66.3 percent of this population is urban (Worldometer, 2020). In this nation, families have an average of 3.4 members, and women head over four in ten of these families (43 percent) (National Department of Health (NDoH) et al., 2018). The life expectancy at birth for both sexes in South Africa is 64.9 years, with that of males being 61.5 years and that of females being 68.4 years (Worldometer, 2020). Notably, life expectancy has continued to rise over the years in South Africa.

South Africa’s fertility rate has declined significantly over the years. Specifically, the Total Fertility Rate in this nation has declined from 6.1 births per woman in 1955 to 2.4 births per woman in 2020 (Worldometer, 2020). The use of contraceptives has contributed to this decline in fertility. According to NDoH et al. (2018), 60% of sexually active females in South Africa are using contraception, and nearly all of them are utilizing a modern method.

Both infant mortality and deaths under age 5 have continued to decline in South Africa. The infant mortality in this country in 2020 reduced to 23.57 from 134.21 (per 1,000 live births) and deaths under age 5 reduced to 30.67 from 227.67 (per 1,000 live births).

Regarding education, 86% of men and 89% of women aged 15 to 49 years have some secondary education (NDoH et al., 2018). Additionally, nearly all men and women aged 15 to 49 years (95 percent and 96 percent respectively) are literate and only 2 percent of men and women have not attended school at all (NDoH et al., 2018).

Political Environment

The political transition of South Africa is acknowledged as among the most remarkable political feats of the previous century (World Bank, 2019). The country has a bicameral parliament (the National Assembly that is made up of 400 members and the National Council of Provinces that is made up of 90 members). The South African government is formed in the National Assembly. The country’s president is the majority party leader in the National Assembly and acts as both the head of government and head of state. The African National Congress (ANC) has continued to dominate South African politics and has since 1994 been driving the nation’s policy agenda. The other main political parties include the South African Communist Party (SACP), Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP), Democratic Alliance (DA), Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), and Congress of South African Trade Unions (COSATU).

South Africa has a favorable investment climate. The South African government encourages foreign investment in every sector of the economy. It is vital to highlight that the country’s independent judiciary, free press, mature services and financial sector, robust legal sector dedicated to maintaining the rule of law, good infrastructure, and stable institutions have continued to fortify its investment climate. In South Africa, there are no restrictions or sanctions on doing business with any jurisdiction or nation. Consequently, the favorable investment environment in this nation will contribute to the success of Costco there.

Nevertheless, Costco should be concerned about political instability in South Africa. As noted by Essel & Mostert (2013), less developed and emerging market economies are more likely to experience political instability than developed market economies. South Africa is one of the emerging market economies that are still grappling with political instability from time to time. In particular, this country’s political environment is at times clouded by political intolerance, violence, corruption, popular protests, and mismanagement. Consequently, the company should be worried about these political risks.

Legal Environment

South Africa has a well-developed legal sector. The nation’s legal system is based on statute, common law (that is Roman-Dutch in its origin), customary law, and case law (in which the courts apply the country’s common and statutory law but similarly frequently refer to foreign jurisdictions, for example, Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States for guidance) (Kleitman, 2021).

South Africa has a robust intellectual property protection regime. The Constitution of South Africa protects intellectual property rights from arbitrary deprivation and the country has, in recent years, made substantial steps in the deployment, management, administration, and protection of IP (The Department of Trade and Industry, 2018). The country is a party to several international conventions and agreements relating to IP protections (including copyright, trademarks, patents, and designs) (Kleitman, 2021). Consequently, the value of Costco’s innovation and ideas will be safeguarded in this nation.

Several series of statutes (robustly influenced by the international employment standards and the Bill of Rights contained in the nation’s Constitution) have been promulgated in South Africa to implement employment legislation reform since the nation became a democracy in 1994 (Kleitman, 2021). Costco will be required to comply with several employment laws. Among these laws are the Labour Relations Act 1995 (LRA), Employment Equity Act 1998 (EEA), Skills Development Act, and the Basic Conditions of Employment Act (BCEA).

The company should be concerned about the implementation of the Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment Act (BBBEE). Specifically, the South African government enacted this Act in 2003 to address the apartheid inequalities and reconcile South Africans. The Act supports black businesses and calls upon companies that operate in the country to integrate black South Africans into the workplace. Costco should be ready to implement this Act for it to succeed in South Africa.

Economic Environment

South Africa is one of the largest economies in the continent of Africa. It is a middle-income emerging market. Notably, this nation has a highly developed economy as well as advanced economic infrastructure that apart from making it one of the leading African economies, also make it home to 75 percent of the biggest African companies (Export Entreprises SA, 2021). The country boasts of its well-developed transport, energy, communications, financial, and legal sectors and a plentiful supply of natural resources. The South African government under the current President, Cyril Ramaphosa, has been doing its best to restore macroeconomic stability within the nation by investing in substantial policy improvements (Export Entreprises SA, 2021). However, despite these efforts, the country’s global competitiveness has decreased due to spending pressures, increasing public debt, and inefficient state-owned enterprises.

Additionally, just like the economies of other nations across the world, the economy of South Africa has also been hit by the ongoing COVID-19 recession. In 2020, this economy collapsed as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, reporting a growth balance of -8.0 percent (Export Entreprises SA, 2021). The restrictions on business activity and human movement in South Africa in 2020 led to a substantial decline in workplace activity and an increase in unemployment. Prior to the coronavirus pandemic, South Africa was already facing serious economic challenges with not just unemployment but also with inequality and poverty (PwC, 2021).

South Africa’s unemployment rate has continued to be the highest in the world. The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a significant increase in the rate of unemployment in this nation. For instance, in 2020, the country’s rate of unemployment increased exponentially to 37 percent up from 28.7 percent in 2019 (Export Entreprises SA, 2021). The unemployment rate in South Africa is expected to continue being high in the years to come. In particular, the International Monetary Fund estimates that this rate will continue being stable in both 2021 and 2022 at 36.5 percent and 37 percent respectively (Export Entreprises SA, 2021). The rates of unemployment have remained much higher among the black majority and young population in South Africa, further exacerbating poverty and inequality. The coronavirus pandemic has worsened several of the fundamental issues surrounding poverty, such as food insecurity and hunger, in South Africa and forecasts are at the moment estimating that this ongoing pandemic might push up to a million South Africans into poverty (Export Entreprises SA, 2021).

South Africa’s economic growth is anticipated to pick up in 2021. Specifically, the economy of South Africa is expected to experience positive growth in 2021 following the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. As per the October 2020 forecast of the International Monetary Fund, this economy is expected to grow at 3 percent of the Gross Domestic Product and to stabilize at 1.5 percent in 2022 (Export Entreprises SA, 2021). According to PwC (2021), South Africa will experience a GDP growth of 3.4 percent in 2021.

Financial Environment

South Africa boasts of a well-developed financial sector. In essence, the economy of South Africa includes a modern industrial and financial sector, which is supported by a continuously upgraded infrastructure. Notably, this nation prides itself on its sophisticated financial structure. Its active stock exchange ranks among the top 20 in the world in terms of market capitalization (Export Entreprises SA, 2021). The nation’s securities exchange, Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE), is among the world’s top 30 largest stock exchanges and the largest in the continent of Africa. The country also has robust banking systems. In particular, its banking sector consists of several small banks, the South African Reserve Bank (central bank), and some large financially strong investment institutions and banks. The South African currency (Rand) is among the strongest African currencies.

In South Africa, the accounting year is the same as the tax year for companies. The country’s accounting regulation bodies include ASB (Accounting Standards Board) and SAICA (South African Institute of Chartered Accountants). The professional accountancy bodies are the South African Institute of Professional Accountants (SAIPA) and SAICA. The companies operating in South Africa are required to prepare financial statements yearly as per the IFRS. Notably, IFRS apply to all foreign and South African companies. Some businesses are required to have their financial statements independently reviewed while others are required to have theirs audited. Every company is required to keep its accounts in English. As per the international accounting rules, in South Africa, yearly accounts must offer information about the notes on the accounts, the profit and loss account, and the balance sheet.

South Africa’s trade policies have been moving towards a globally competitive economy away from an extremely protected, inward-looking economy. During the apartheid, the ability of this nation to trade with other nations was seriously restricted by the sanctions that developed nations placed on it. The trade between South Africa and other countries has increased significantly in post-apartheid. The nation maintains formal trade relations with several nations through membership in intercontinental trade institutions, trade agreements, and treaties. The SADC (Southern African Development Community) is the centerpiece of this nation’s foreign economic policy.

Cultural Issues (Geert Hofstede's Cultural Dimensions)

Power Distance

The score of 49 on this dimension suggests that South Africans accept a hierarchical order to a large extent where everyone has a place and that needs no further justification (Hofstede Insights, 2017). Notably, the United States (the home country of Costco) scores slightly lower on this dimension (40) than South Africa. In South Africa, centralization is popular, hierarchy in organizations is viewed as reflecting intrinsic inequalities and employees expect to be informed what to do (Hofstede Insights, 2017).

Individualism

South Africa scores lower (65) on this dimension than the United States (91) (Hofstede Insights, 2017). Just like the United States, South Africa is also an individualistic society, but the U.S. is more individualistic. Thus, in this nation, the decisions about promotion and hiring are based on merit only. Besides, the relationship between the employee and employer in South Africa is a contract that is based on mutual advantage and management is the management of individuals.

Masculinity

South Africa scores 63 on the masculinity dimension while the United States scores 62 (Hofstede Insights, 2017). Consequently, both societies are driven by achievement, competition, and success. Just like in the United States, in South Africa, the stress is on equity and managers are expected to be both assertive and decisive (Hofstede Insights, 2017).

Uncertainty Avoidance

South Africa scores 49 on the uncertainty avoidance dimension while the United States scores 46, which shows that both societies have a low preference for avoiding uncertainty (Hofstede Insights, 2017). The people of both nations are characterized by a readiness to try something different or new and a reasonable degree of acceptance for innovative products and new ideas.

Long-term Orientation

South Africa scores 34 on the long-term orientation dimension while the United States scores 26, which is slightly lower (Hofstede Insights, 2017). Consequently, just like Americans, South Africans also are normative in their thinking, prone to examine new information to find out if it is true, show great respect for traditions, and concentrate on attaining quick results.

Indulgence

South Africa scores 63 on the indulgence dimension while the United States scores 68, which is a bit higher (Hofstede Insights, 2017). Therefore, South Africa just like the United States has an indulgence culture. Just like the Americans, South Africans also show a willingness to realize their desires as well as impulses regarding having fun and enjoying life. Both South Africans and Americans tend to be optimistic and have a positive attitude.

From the above analysis, it is apparent that South African culture does not differ from American culture. Consequently, Costco will not face stumbling cultural blocks in its expansion into South Africa.

How should Costco adapt?

By comparing US and South Africa’s Hofstede score, we understand that the culture in South Africa is not much different then here in the US. The main difference is the individualism score. People in South Africa are not that individualistic compared to people in the US. But this should be a good thing for Costco since they are in the wholesale business. From what we see in the comparison, we don’t think the expansion to South Africa needs to change the management and the business model much to meet any more cultural differences. That is besides the localization parts, of course.

References

Essel, R., & Mostert, F. J. (2013). Political risk factors in South Africa: Sources, analysis and insurance flexibility. Risk Governance & Control: Financial markets and institutions 3(1), 34-41.

Export Entreprises SA. (2021, February). Economic and political outline of South Africa. Santandertrade.com. Retrieved from https://santandertrade.com/en/portal/analyse-markets/south-africa/economic-political-outline

Hofstede Insights. (2017, August 22). Country Comparison. South Africa versus the United States. Hofstede Insights. https://www.hofstede-insights.com/country-comparison/south-africa,the-usa/

Kleitman, Y. (2021). Doing business in South Africa. Practical Law. https://content.next.westlaw.com/Document/I2ef128301ed511e38578f7ccc38dcbee/View/FullText.html?contextData=(sc.Default)&transitionType=Default&firstPage=true&bhcp=1

National Department of Health (NDoH), Statistics South Africa (Stats SA), South African Medical Research Council (SAMRC), and ICF South Africa. (2018). Demographic and health survey 2016 key findings. Pretoria, South Africa, and Rockville, Maryland, USA: NDoH, Stats SA, SAMRC, and ICF. https://dhsprogram.com/pubs/pdf/SR248/SR248.pdf

PwC. (2021, Feb 16). South Africa’s economic outlook. What can budget 2021 do to help? https://www.pwc.co.za/en/assets/pdf/sa-economic-outlook-february-2021.pdf

The Department of Trade and Industry (2018). Intellectual property policy of the Republic of South Africa Phase I. The Department of Trade and Industry. https://www.gov.za/sites/default/files/gcis_document/201808/ippolicy2018-phasei.pdf

World Bank. (2019, October 10). South Africa. Overview https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/southafrica/overview

Worldometer. (2020). South Africa demographics 2020 (Population, age, sex, trends) https://www.worldometers.info/demographics/south-africa-demographics/